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Standard Chartered’s Geoffrey Kendrick says Bitcoin could still face a final washout to $50,000 before recovering sharply, arguing that the current drawdown looks more like a macro-led tech capitulation than a crypto-specific breakdown. Speaking on Deribit’s Crypto Options Unplugged, Kendrick, the bank’s global head of digital assets research, said he still expects Bitcoin to end the year at $100,000 and reach $500,000 by 2030, even as he warned that the near-term setup remains fragile. “Picking the bottom is always extremely difficult,” Kendrick said, framing the recent selloff as mostly orderly outside a few volatile weeks. He argued that institutional positioning has held up better than many expected, pointing to relatively sticky ETF exposure and continued buying from MicroStrategy even after the stock’s premium to net asset value fell below one. Related Reading: 43% of Bitcoin Supply Is In Loss As Market Nears Bear Territory Still, Kendrick said the market may not be done deleveraging. “I suspect we could still see that final capitulation. Now, it could be macro driven,” he said. “Bitcoin and crypto assets more broadly is still very highly correlated with the Nasdaq.” In his view, weaker earnings from large US tech names over the next few months, combined with a lack of immediate Federal Reserve support, could drag crypto lower alongside equities. That, he said, is what makes the $50,000 level plausible. Kendrick compared the potential move with prior cycle drawdowns, noting that a decline to that zone would still be shallower than the roughly 75% peak-to-trough drop seen in the previous cycle. The key difference this time, he argued, is the absence so far of a major internal crypto failure on the scale of FTX. Why Kendrick Is Long-Term Bullish On Bitcoin Even so, Kendrick’s medium- and long-term thesis remains emphatically bullish. He tied that outlook less to short-term trading flows than to what he sees as a structural shift driven by stablecoins and tokenized real-world assets. Last year, when stablecoins stood around $200 billion, Kendrick projected they could grow to $2 trillion by the end of 2028. He said the market is now closer to $300 billion, with much of that demand coming not from crypto trading but from savings use cases in emerging markets. “What’s replaced it has primarily been savings in emerging markets,” Kendrick said, referring to stablecoins’ original role as on-off ramps for crypto trading. “On my estimate of the $300 billion, about $200 [billion] is for EM savings use case.” He added that much of that capital appears to sit in large wallets and turns over infrequently, suggesting it is being used more as stored value than transactional float. Related Reading: Bitcoin SOPR Ratio Shows Early Capitulation—But Not Full Bottom Yet Kendrick’s broader argument is that this trend could have macro consequences well beyond crypto. If stablecoin issuers absorb close to $1 trillion in additional T-bill demand over the next three years, he said, the US Treasury may respond by shifting issuance toward the front end, flattening the yield curve and reinforcing dollar demand. In his telling, that liquidity effect could eventually become a tailwind for risk assets, including Bitcoin. “I think we go down to, let’s say, $50,000 and back to $100,000 by the end of this year and $500,000 by 2030,” Kendrick said. “Ironically, if stablecoins are massive and Genius Act is as it is, the inflow of cash on liquidity and flattening yield curve and all that sort of stuff becomes massively supportive of Bitcoin medium term.” He extended that optimism across other large-cap crypto assets. Kendrick said he sees Ethereum reaching $40,000 and Solana hitting $2,000 by 2030, with Ethereum benefiting from stablecoin and tokenization activity and Solana from ultra-low-cost transaction flows and micropayments. He also projected tokenized real-world assets could grow from roughly $40 billion today to $2 trillion by the end of 2028. For now, though, Kendrick’s message was less about chasing momentum than about separating market price from underlying adoption. “Pretty much all the underlying metrics, if you like, have been improving,” he said. “Except for the price.” At press time, Bitcoin traded at $70,260. Featured image from YouTube, chart from TradingView.com

The last full Bitcoin could be mined sometime in the 2090s. Only fractions will follow until roughly 2140, when the final satoshi is expected to be produced. Related Reading: Bitcoin ETFs Break 5-Month Streak With 2nd Consecutive Week Of Inflows That endpoint moved one step closer Sunday when miners pulled the 20 millionth coin from the network — exactly 17 years, two months, and one week after the first block was mined in January 2009. A Pool Called Foundry USA Did The Work The Foundry USA mining pool mined that coin at block height 939,999, collecting a reward of 3.125 BTC. That figure reflects the current payout level set by the April 2024 halving, which cut daily network production from 900 BTC to roughly 450 BTC. The 20 million mark means 95.24% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist is now out in the world. For every 20 coins already mined, just one remains to be created. The remaining 1 million will take about 114 years to fully issue. Not All 20 Million Coins Are Accessible According to blockchain analytics firms River Financial and Chainalysis, between 2.3 million and 3.7 million BTC are gone permanently — lost to forgotten passwords, misplaced private keys, and early holders who never passed on wallet access. Recent data has estimated about 1.8 million coins were lost during Bitcoin’s earliest years, when the asset had little value and storage infrastructure was unreliable. Another 230 BTC is locked forever due to the original genesis block and early outputs written with scripts that cannot be spent. The practical supply available to buy, sell, or hold sits well below 20 million. Miners Face A Long-Term Revenue Problem The same halving schedule that caps Bitcoin’s supply also shrinks miner income over time. Daily issuance will fall below 30 BTC by the 2040s and below 2 BTC per day by the 2060s. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Valuation Model Hints At $500K Cycle Average, Analyst Says Once subsidies approach zero, transaction fees become the only compensation miners receive for securing the network. Whether those fees can sustain robust protection remains unanswered. The milestone arrived while Bitcoin traded around $69,282, down nearly 21% year-to-date. Despite pressure from macroeconomic uncertainty and Middle East conflict, it gained about 3.44% over the past week. The next halving is scheduled for April 11, 2028, cutting the block reward from 3.125 BTC to 1.5625 BTC. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Three individuals stole almost $1M on Bitcoin from a couple at knife point at their home. The Bitcoin Crime Modus Operandi French outlet TF1 Info reported today that on early Monday morning, a man and a woman in their late fifties were held captive in their home in Le Chesnay, Yvelines (France), by three individuals posing as police officers. Related Reading: Hyperliquid Traders Rise in Arms as Bitcoin Hits 7-Day Low And Oil Soars Following the TF1 account, the woman opened the door of her house when the individuals identified themselves as the police, only to be then pushed and kidnapped inside alongside her husband. The slightly injured woman and her husband were forced onto their sofa, where the man was tied up by the kidnappers. Afterwards, one of the individuals pulled out a knife and threatened to attack the woman if her husband didn’t transfer the equivalent of €900K in bitcoin. Around 9 a.m., when the robbery was completed, the individuals fled in a white van. Only then was the injured woman able to untie her husband and called the neighbors for help. The Investigation No arrests have been made just yet. The Versailles prosecutor’s office has opened an investigation for kidnapping and armed robbery by an organized gang, as well as criminal conspiracy, according to TF1. The investigations are being carried out by the Brigade de répression du banditisme (BRB). Related Reading: Why A U.S. Court Says Binance Is Not (Yet) Liable for Terrorist Crypto Flows From Online Exploits To Violent Offline Attacks This is not an isolated horror: it is but the latest entry in a growing ledger of real‑world Bitcoin heists. On March 4, as reported by out sister website Bitcoinist, veteran trader “Mr Silly” suffered a multimillion‑dollar theft, where address poisoning and an offline robbery combined to strip him of roughly $24 million and push him out of the market. On November 24, 2025, an armed robber invaded a San Francisco home posing as a delivery worker. The modus operandi was pretty similar to the Le Chesnay crime: the homeowner was tied up and the attacker took the victim’s cellphone, laptop, and $11 million worth of cryptocurrency. In France, kidnappings for cryptocurrencies have multiplied since the begging of 2025, TF1 claims. In January last year, the co-founder of Ledger, David Balland, was abducted and later freed by the police. Just last month, on February 12, the head of Binance France, was targeted by also three (poorly prepared) hooded individuals in a failed home invasion in his Val-de-Marne apartment, french outlet RTL News reported. For Bitcoin holders, the lesson is brutally simple: the attack surface has moved from your seed phrase to your front door BTC's price trends to the upside on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview Cover image from Perplexity, BTCUSDT chart from Tradingview

Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $68,500 zone. BTC is now consolidating and might aim for more gains above $70,500. Bitcoin started a decent recovery wave above the $69,200 zone. The price is trading above $68,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $70,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might dip again if it trades below the $69,280 and $68,000 levels. Bitcoin Price Fails Near Resistance Bitcoin price remained elevated and extended its increase above the $68,500 level. BTC climbed above the $69,200 and $70,000 resistance levels. The bulls pushed the price above the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $74,062 swing high to the $65,646 low. However, the bears are still active below $72,000. The price faced rejection near the $71,600 level and started a downside correction. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $70,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Bitcoin is now trading above $68,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $68,500, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $70,250 level. The first key resistance is near the $70,500 level. A close above the $70,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $71,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $72,000 level or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $74,062 swing high to the $65,646 low. The next barrier for the bulls could be $72,650. More Losses In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $70,500 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $69,280 level. The first major support is near the $68,500 level. The next support is now near the $68,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $67,250 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $66,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now near the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $68,500, followed by $68,000. Major Resistance Levels – $70,500 and $72,000.

Proceeds from Bitcoin sales have paid for healthcare, environmental programs, and government worker salaries in Bhutan — a detail that puts the kingdom’s latest crypto move in sharper focus. Related Reading: WAR Token Explodes 100%, Then Crashes 20% In Sudden Sell-Off A Small Nation With A Big Bitcoin Strategy On Monday, blockchain analytics firm Arkham flagged a transfer of 175 Bitcoin, worth roughly $11.85 million, out of Bhutan’s main government wallet. The funds moved to an address created about a month ago, one that had already received 184 Bitcoin from state accounts. As of Tuesday, the coins had not moved again. No sale has been confirmed. But the transfer fits a pattern Arkham has tracked for months. Data shows Bhutan tends to offload Bitcoin in batches of $5 million to $10 million at a time. The heaviest selling on record came in mid-to-late September 2025. Back in February, a similar transfer preceded a $7 million sale to Singapore-based crypto trading firm QCP Capital. Bhutan just moved another $11 Million of Bitcoin out of its main holding addresses. The last time they did this was 1 month ago, and they were selling $7 Million of BTC with QCP Capital. Bhutan periodically sells portions of its Bitcoin in clips of $5-10M, with a particularly… pic.twitter.com/tBuz280bBe — Arkham (@arkham) March 9, 2026 How Bhutan Built Its Stash The kingdom did not buy its Bitcoin on an exchange. It mined it. State-backed operations began in 2019, powered almost entirely by hydroelectric energy. During summer months, Bhutan’s rivers run fast and full, pushing its hydropower plants into surplus. Rather than waste that extra electricity, officials directed it toward Bitcoin mining. That strategy produced roughly 13,000 Bitcoin over several years, making Bhutan one of the larger sovereign holders in the world. Arkham currently puts the country’s holdings at around 5,400 Bitcoin — a figure that reflects years of periodic selling. Among nations, Bhutan ranks seventh. The US holds the top spot by a wide margin, with 328,372 Bitcoin worth close to $22 billion. The April 2024 halving hit the operation’s profitability hard. Mining rewards dropped to 3.125 Bitcoin per block, pushing up the effective cost of each coin produced. Since then, Bhutan has sold more frequently, and some Bitcoin miners globally have shifted their computing power toward artificial intelligence and data center work instead. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Valuation Model Hints At $500K Cycle Average, Analyst Says Druk Holding Manages The Portfolio All of Bhutan’s digital assets — Bitcoin included — are managed by Druk Holding and Investments, the country’s sovereign wealth fund. The portfolio also holds smaller amounts of Ether and a memecoin called KiboShib, which was reportedly generated by artificial intelligence. What makes Bhutan’s position unusual is how grounded its crypto activity is in basic public finance. The kingdom is not sitting on Bitcoin as a long-term ideological bet. It is mining when the energy is cheap, selling when prices allow, and using the money to keep the lights on. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has climbed back to the top of its current trading range, placing the market at a critical decision point. While a breakout could open the door to further upside, analysts warn that failure to push higher may trigger a sharp rejection. If selling pressure emerges at these highs, Bitcoin could rotate back toward the key support level around $62,800. A Return To The Top Of Its Trading Range Bitcoin moves to its range highs, prompting analyst Lennaert Snyder to issue a cautious update regarding current market conditions. Snyder highlights his trading strategy: avoiding long positions at the top of a range. Since the most logical and high-probability buying opportunities are found at the range lows, entering a long at these elevated levels presents an unfavorable risk-to-reward ratio. Related Reading: Bitcoin At The Bottom? The 23-Month Cycle That Has Never Failed Instead of chasing the upward momentum, the current technical setup suggests that a shorting scenario is much more compelling. Snyder is currently tracking three potential paths for today’s price action, each focusing on how Bitcoin reacts to overhead resistance. If Bitcoin begins to drop from its current position and loses the critical market structure level at $69,383, it would signal a shift in momentum. In this case, Snyder intends to enter a short position, targeting the “weak lows” situated around $65,280. Furthermore, there is buy-side liquidity still resting above the current price at $71,200 and $72,846. If Bitcoin pushes higher to “sweep” these pools and trap breakout buyers, Snyder will wait for a bearish Market Structure Break (MSB) to confirm the move. This confirmation would then serve as the entry point to short the asset back down toward the same $65,280 target. Bitcoin Touches Exact Range High At $70,500 In a recent technical update, crypto analyst Zord highlighted that Bitcoin has accurately tapped the Range High at approximately $70,500, a level previously identified in his last market analysis. This precise touch confirms the current range boundaries, placing the asset at a critical inflection point where the next major directional move will likely be decided. Related Reading: Bitcoin Losing Strength — $66,000 Now The Line Between Recovery And Crash The potential for a bullish expansion remains on the table, with Zord noting that a successful breakout from this resistance could finally propel BTC toward a new all-time high or a sweep of the $74,000 level. However, the analyst cautioned that despite the proximity to these highs, a definitive breakout has not yet materialized. Conversely, the risk of a rejection at this overhead resistance carries significant downside implications. If BTC fails to sustain its momentum here, Zord anticipates an immediate retracement back through the Range Mid, ultimately targeting the Range Low situated at $62,800. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin (BTC) is showing technical warning signs that have caught the attention of market watchers, with one analyst now predicting a dramatic price collapse in the world’s largest cryptocurrency. The analyst noted that a Bitcoin candlestick pattern that previously preceded a devastating crash to below $20,000 has reappeared on the weekly chart, reigniting fears that history may be repeating itself. If it does, it could completely rewrite the narrative of this entire market cycle.  Historical Setup Signals Bitcoin Potential Crash To $19,000 Market analyst Tony Severino has issued a stark warning to Bitcoin investors and holders, sharing a technical analysis on X that draws a chilling comparison between current price action and a previous cycle crash. The analyst has projected that Bitcoin could decline as low as $19,000 in this bear market.  Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin $200,000 Target Remains Open, But There’s A More Realistic Target The chart shared by Severino places two Bitcoin weekly candlestick patterns side by side, revealing a near-identical structural setup between the current market cycle and a previous bear phase. The left panel shows Bitcoin’s recent trajectory from late 2025 to early 2026, while the right panel displays a historical period that ultimately saw prices collapse below $20,000.  Severino expressed his surprise at the chart patterns, noting that it was “absolutely wild” how similar the candlestick structures are between the two periods. He added that even the technical indicators are “almost exactly the same.”  Both chart panels feature a prominent rectangular consolidation zone followed by a pink-highlighted rebound area. The visual symmetry between the two timeframes underpins the analyst’s bearish thesis, suggesting that the current rebound around the pink zone could be short-lived, followed by a potential crash below $19,000 if historical trends repeat.  Notably, the analyst’s bearish forecast drew skepticism from some members of the crypto community. One member argued that a drop to such levels would not simply represent a routine cycle correction, but the largest retracement in Bitcoin’s history. Severino, however, stood firmly on his analysis and forecast, stating that a 74% correction was entirely possible and even normal within Bitcoin’s historical framework. Not backing down, he insisted again that the market may still have significant downside to navigate before any meaningful bottom is established.   Update On BTC’s Price Action The Bitcoin price has recovered again from its previous level, trading back above $70,000. Last week, the cryptocurrency crashed to as low as $63,000 amid significant volatility and shifts in market sentiment.   Related Reading: Bitcoin At The Bottom? The 23-Month Cycle That Has Never Failed However, CoinMarketCap data shows that Bitcoin has gained over 4.8% in the last 24 hours, with its daily trading volume up by more than 23.4%. The sudden price increase has been attributed to sustained inflows into Spot Bitcoin ETFs and easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.  Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Strategy has found a new gear in its Bitcoin accumulation engine, and its STRC preferred stock equity is doing a growing share of the driving. The company, formerly known as MicroStrategy, held 738,731 BTC as of March 8, up from 672,500 at the end of 2025. This represents an addition of 66,231 coins in 68 […]
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Data shows the Bitcoin Funding Rates have turned negative across exchanges recently, indicating bearish bets are currently dominating. Aggregated Bitcoin Funding Rates Have Plunged As pointed out by analytics firm Santiment in a new post on X, the aggregated Bitcoin Funding Rates are currently showcasing a significant short bias. The “Funding Rate” here refers to an indicator that keeps track of the amount of periodic fees that derivatives market traders are exchanging between each other on a given centralized exchange. Related Reading: Bitcoin SOPR Ratio Shows Early Capitulation—But Not Full Bottom Yet When the value of this metric is positive, it means the long contract holders are paying a premium to the short contract holders in order to hold onto their position. Such a trend can be a sign that a bullish sentiment is dominant on the platform. On the other hand, the indicator being under the zero mark implies a bearish mentality may be held by the majority of traders, as shorts are outpacing the longs on the exchange. Now, here is the chart shared by Santiment that shows the trend in the aggregated Bitcoin Funding Rates across all exchanges: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Funding Rates across exchanges have witnessed a notable negative spike recently, implying demand for short positions has gone up. “Traders are showing clear concern over fear of an escalating war, as well as expressing frustration toward the lack of progress on the Clarity Act,” noted the analytics firm. The rise of bearish sentiment may not actually be bad for the cryptocurrency, however, if history is anything to go by, the asset’s price often tends to go against the crowd opinion. In terms of the derivatives market, this contrarian effect can emerge due to liquidations feeding into the opposite type of price move. “Historically, extreme shorting increases the likelihood of cryptocurrencies bouncing due to potential short liquidations providing a boost whenever prices break through resistance levels,” explained Santiment. Related Reading: XRP Investors In Pain: $50 Billion Worth Of Supply Now In Loss While either side of the market can fall prey to liquidations depending on random volatility, the side that’s more dominant is usually the one more likely to be affected by a mass cascade. For Bitcoin, that side is the short one at the moment. It now remains to be seen how the asset will develop in the coming days, given the bearish sentiment. BTC Price The effect of the negative Funding Rates may already be in motion as the asset has seen a bounce back above the $70,000 level during the past day. The upward move has caused short liquidations of more than $100 million, as the heatmap from CoinGlass suggests. Looks like BTC has seen the highest amount of liquidations over the last 24 hours | Source: CoinGlass Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin could be on track for a massive long-term rally if one of the most interesting valuation models in the crypto industry is still valid. According to pseudonymous analyst PlanB, the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model suggests that Bitcoin could average around $500,000 during the current halving cycle between 2024 and 2028.  The bold projection comes even as Bitcoin is showing no signs of trading at that level in recent days, but recent price action in the past 24 hours has seen it reclaiming the $70,000 price level. Here’s When Bitcoin Will Reach $500,000 PlanB’s projection for Bitcoin is not that the cryptocurrency’s price action instantly jumps to $50,000, but that the entire post-halving cycle from 2024 through 2028 could average around that level if the Stock-to-Flow framework continues to play out as predicted. That is a much more aggressive call than simply predicting a cycle top, because an average of $500,000 would imply that Bitcoin would eventually spend meaningful time well above that price level at some stage of the cycle.  Related Reading: Why Did Bitcoin Price Crash To $67,000, And Ethereum Price Fell Below $2,000? The current Bitcoin price setup is a test of whether the leading cryptocurrency is deeply undervalued at today’s levels or whether the S2F model has finally broken down for good. The chart attached to PlanB’s technical analysis helps explain this prediction of a $500,000 price tag for Bitcoin. It overlays Bitcoin’s price history with the 200-week moving average, realized cost price, RSI coloring, and a staircase-like Stock-to-Flow path. The dotted S2F path for the 2024-2028 halving window rises to around $500,000 in 2027. Bitcoin S2F Model. Source: Plan B On X What’s Going On With Bitcoin? Bitcoin has spent the past week swinging between recovery and pressure, a stretch that saw the asset trade above $73,000 on March 5 before falling back toward the mid-$60,000s and then rebounding again above $70,000 at the time of writing. That uncertain context of price action is what makes PlanB’s latest Stock-to-Flow price prediction stand out, because it takes strong conviction to predict an average price of $500,000 for Bitcoin.  Related Reading: Expert Trader Shows ‘Simple Math’ To Calculate The Bitcoin Price Bottom The recent price action places Bitcoin just above two long-watched structural supports: the realized cost price and the 200-week moving average. Both of these supports are also visible in PlanB’s Stock-to-Flow model chart shared above. That does not automatically prove a six-figure or seven-figure breakout is next, but it does support the view that the entire cycle structure has not fully collapsed. As it stands, about 43% of Bitcoin addresses are holding at a loss, with the majority being short-term holders and Bitcoin treasury firms. However, many analysts have proposed that Bitcoin’s correction is yet to find a bottom, despite it being down by over 45% from its October 2025 peak.  Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin climbed back above $70,000 Tuesday as crude oil staged a sharp reversal, easing near-term fears of accelerating inflation and giving digital asset markets room to recover. According to CryptoSlate's data, the largest digital currency jumped over 5% in the last 24 hours, peaking at around $71,164 after slipping below $68,000 earlier in the session. […]
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Crypto analyst Merlijn has revealed that Bitcoin has just re-entered the DCA zone, indicating it’s a good time to buy BTC. The leading crypto is already staging another rebound, rising to the psychological $70,000, which has so far proved to be a major resistance level.  Bitcoin Reenters DCA Zone As Price Eyes Another Rally In an X post, Merlijn stated that Bitcoin has just entered the DCA zone on the rainbow chart and that BTC is now back in the DCA zone. He noted that a massive rally has followed every time this has happened. At the same time, this is when retail investors have panicked and sold. The analyst added that this chart has never been wrong.  Related Reading: Bitcoin At The Bottom? The 23-Month Cycle That Has Never Failed In another X post, Merlijn stated that Bitcoin has reached a critical level, especially as it continues to trade within a tight range between $60,000 and $70,000. His accompanying chart showed that BTC could rally above $120,000 if it holds this support level. However, there is the possibility of a larger decline if it fails to hold this current range.  The analyst also revealed that Bitcoin is mirroring the 2021 top exactly with the same sequence, lower highs, and the same structure. He noted that 2021 ended with one final flush before the recovery. Merlijn said the $60,000 level is the last line of defense, and a hold above it would mean buyers are taking control. However, a drop below this level would put liquidity clusters below as the next targets.  Bitcoin saw a violent recovery following the final flush below, and the analyst is confident that this time won’t be different. Crypto analysts like Benjamin Cowen have predicted that BTC could recover by the second half of this year as part of the 4-year cycle.  Peter Brandt Predicts A Breakout For BTC Veteran trader Peter Brandt has predicted that Bitcoin could break out to the upside. In an X post, he said, alluding to BTC’s daily and weekly charts, that “the Big Banana is forming a Little Banana — and it indicates there is about to be a Banana Split.” His accompanying chart showed that the flagship crypto could rally to $82,500 by April.  Related Reading: Samson Mow Calls Bitcoin ‘Exponential Gold’, Predicts What Will Happen In the long term, Brandt predicted that Bitcoin could rally to $120,000 and possibly $280,000. His prediction comes just days after he admitted that BTC may be in the midst of a bullish reversal. The veteran trader said that he viewed Bitcoin’s rally to $74,000 back then as potentially a significant change in price behavior since the October top last year.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $69,900, up over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin is showing tentative signs of stabilization after its pullback from $74,000, but Glassnode says the recovery still lacks the ingredients of a decisive bullish turn. In its March 9 Weekly Market Pulse, the analytics firm described a market that is improving at the margins even as spot participation, capital flows and broader conviction remain subdued. Glassnode’s overview is cautiously constructive, but only up to a point. The firm wrote, “ETF activity remains a relative area of strength. Net inflows accelerated and trading volumes picked up.” In the same breath, though, it stressed that “overall, conditions are stabilizing” while “capital flows remain soft,” a framing that captures the report’s central tension: some internals are healing, but the market still looks fragile rather than fully re-energized. Glassnode Sees Bitcoin Market Stabilizing That fragility is most visible in spot markets. Glassnode said the 14-day RSI rose from 45.2 to 47.7, a modest improvement in momentum that points to firmer buyer activity without suggesting the move is overheated. But the more important spot signals moved the other way. Spot CVD fell from negative $84.4 million to negative $97.6 million, indicating heavier sell-side pressure from aggressive traders, while spot volume dropped from $9.8 billion to $9.1 billion. The report said participants are showing less urgency as they wait for stronger directional cues, leaving sellers with an outsized role in price discovery. Related Reading: 43% of Bitcoin Supply Is In Loss As Market Nears Bear Territory Derivatives paint a more complicated picture. Futures open interest climbed 5.1% to $29.4 billion, showing leverage and speculative engagement are rebuilding, while perpetual CVD surged 201.7% to $172.6 million, a sign of aggressive buy-side activity in leveraged markets. At the same time, funding flipped sharply lower to negative $391.7K, falling below Glassnode’s statistical low band and signaling stronger demand for short exposure. In other words, leveraged traders are active again, but they are not aligned on direction. Options markets, by contrast, looked less defensive. Open interest rose from $32.8 billion to $34.1 billion, the volatility spread narrowed from negative 25.78% to negative 17.64%, and 25-delta skew fell from 16.51% to 11.72%. Glassnode’s interpretation was that fear is moderating and demand for downside protection is easing, leaving options positioning more balanced than it was a week earlier. Related Reading: Bitcoin Exchange Reserves Fall To 2019 Levels As ETFs And Corporate Treasuries Accumulate The clearest area of strength remains the US spot ETF complex. Weekly net inflows rose from $776 million to $934 million, while trading volume jumped from $16.0 billion to $23.1 billion. But even there, the signal is not cleanly bullish. ETF MVRV dropped from 1.07 to negative 0.53, pushing the average ETF holder underwater. Glassnode said that shift is “consistent with capitulation-like conditions,” suggesting institutional-style demand is still coming in even as existing positioning remains under stress. On-chain data tells a similar story of stabilization without renewed heat. Active addresses slipped 2.0% to 649.3K and fee volume fell 5.1% to $170.5K, both signs of a quieter network backdrop, even as transfer volume rose 23.7% to $5.9 billion. Realized cap change improved from negative 2.4% to negative 1.9%, suggesting outflows are easing, but hot capital share fell to 23.3% and remained well below the statistical low band. That points to a market still dominated by older capital, with little evidence yet of fresh speculative churn. Profitability metrics improved modestly, with supply in profit rising from 54.6% to 56.8%, NUPL improving from negative 31.9% to negative 26.7%, and the realized profit-to-loss ratio lifting from negative 0.8 to negative 0.7. That eases some of the pressure built up during the decline. Still, Glassnode’s broader message is hard to miss: Bitcoin’s market structure looks steadier than it did a week ago, but until spot demand returns in force, the rebound remains more tentative than convincing. At press time, Bitcoin traded at $70,755. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The 2022 Bitcoin crash has been one for the history books, where the price went from $69,000 to $16,000 before hitting a bottom. Being the most recent bear market before the current cycle, there have been a lot of comparisons between the current trend and the previous one. So far, while the Bitcoin price has tried to hold up against the bears, there have been similarities to the 2022 bear market cycle that could suggest a repeat of such a crash. The Similarities That Say Bitcoin Price Might Crash Further A pseudonymous crypto analyst who goes by the name Sherlock on X pointed out multiple similarities that have popped up on the Bitcoin price chart that could suggest a repeat of the 2022 cycle. The first of these was the weekly trendline break that happened after the initial wave of declines. Once this was broken, the floodgates were opened for the bears. Related Reading: Analysts Predict Conservative XRP Price If It Follows 2017 Run Next on the list is that Bitcoin has recorded multiple red weekly candles. Then came a relief bounce that led to consolidation in the middle of this trend, as shown by the most recent bounce toward $74,000. This green candle pushed the price toward the next resistance. However, bulls were ultimately rejected from this level, leading to an impulsive break below the trend low. The last of the events that took place on the chart is the formation of the upper wick candle. Once this was completed and the price was rejected from this level, the next breakdown saw the Bitcoin price crash from $30,000 to $17,500 before the next relief, a 40% price decline. Presently, the completion of the upper wick candle is the only thing left for the Bitcoin price. Sherlock confirms that the digital asset is actually printing the upper wick candle. If this completes, then it could lead to the same breakdown that was seen back in 2022. Related Reading: XRP Bull Flag Breakout After 8-Month Consolidation To Send Price To $11 A repeat of this 40% breakdown from the current level would put the Bitcoin price back into the $35,000 territory. Following through to the end of where the last bear market bottom was established, it would mean falling as low as $30,000 before the sellers are exhausted. Interestingly, though, this was the last leg down that led to the end of the 2022 bear market. In the next few months that followed, there was a rapid recovery, and in the year following the bottom, the Bitcoin price would go on to hit new all-time highs. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin is trading near $67,300, well off its recent high of $74,000. One well-known analyst says that dip barely matters — he’s looking at a cycle average closer to half a million dollars. Related Reading: WAR Token Explodes 100%, Then Crashes 20% In Sudden Sell-Off A Model Built On Scarcity PlanB, the pseudonymous analyst behind the Stock-to-Flow model, says Bitcoin’s price during the current 2024–2028 halving cycle could average around $500,000, with a range stretching from $250,000 to $1 million. The model is built on a simple premise: as Bitcoin’s supply grows more slowly — thanks to halving events that cut mining rewards roughly every four years — and demand holds steady or rises, the price should follow. Reports indicate that PlanB is careful to frame the figure as a cycle average, not a ceiling or a guaranteed peak. Bitcoin halvings reduce the number of new coins entering circulation. The most recent one took place in April 2024. Historically, each halving has been followed by a significant price run. That pattern is the backbone of PlanB’s argument. ???? Bitcoin at $67k… but S2F model screams $500k avg this cycle (2024-2028)! ???? Is BTC massively undervalued & the ultimate buy opportunity? Or is S2F broken forever? ???? What’s your take, bull or bust? pic.twitter.com/QlBhOgSgGj — PlanB (@100trillionUSD) March 8, 2026 Not Everyone Is Buying It Crypto analyst Bobby A puts his estimate at $200,000 to $250,000 by 2026 or 2027 — still a major jump from current levels, but nowhere near PlanB’s midpoint. According to Bobby A, Stock-to-Flow works as a rough long-term guide but falls short when used to pin down specific price targets in complex markets. He argues the model captures Bitcoin’s broad growth story without accounting for the many variables that move prices in real time. My take is somewhere in the middle. In my opinion, Bitcoin is currently undervalued and will likely trade toward the $200,000 to $250,000 range as this cycle matures through 2026 and into 2027. That said, I do not subscribe to the idea that Bitcoin will reach $500,000 by 2028.… https://t.co/d8wu0skKuN — Bobby A (@Bobby_1111888) March 8, 2026 That skepticism is not without basis. Stock-to-Flow drew sharp criticism after Bitcoin failed to sustain the price levels the model projected during the 2020–2024 cycle. Some analysts wrote off the model entirely. Others say it was never meant to work as a precise forecasting tool to begin with — a nuance that often gets lost in headline-driven coverage. Related Reading: Stablecoin Market Breaks Records — USDC Controls 70% Of $1.8 Trillion Volume What’s Weighing On Bitcoin Now Several outside pressures have contributed to Bitcoin’s recent pullback. Geopolitical tensions and shifting inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds — which won US regulatory approval in early 2024 — have added to short-term volatility. Data shows that ETF inflows, which helped push Bitcoin to record highs earlier this year, have been inconsistent in recent months. Reports note that many analysts view the current period as a consolidation phase following the strong rally that carried Bitcoin above $72,000. Whether that consolidation leads to a renewed push higher — or signals a longer plateau — remains an open question. PlanB’s $500,000 average would require Bitcoin to climb more than seven times its current price before the cycle ends. That’s a large number. But in a market that went from under $20,000 to over $73,000 in roughly 18 months, some investors say stranger things have happened. Featured image from Free3D.com, chart from TradingView

Strategy, the company that has built its identity around hoarding Bitcoin, is now sitting on paper losses — and buying more anyway. The company’s average purchase price sits at roughly $75,985 per coin, well above where Bitcoin is trading today at around $66,850. Related Reading: WAR Token Explodes 100%, Then Crashes 20% In Sudden Sell-Off That gap has pushed Strategy’s net asset value below 1, meaning the stock is worth less than the Bitcoin it holds. It is a sharp reversal for a company that long commanded a premium over its own treasury. Another Round Of Buying Despite that, co-founder Michael Saylor posted the firm’s Bitcoin accumulation chart on X over the weekend with the message, “The Second Century Begins” — his recurring signal that another purchase is coming. Strategy’s most recent buy came in the final week of February, when the company added 3,015 coins for more than $200 million, bringing its total haul to 720,737 Bitcoin. At current prices, that cache is worth roughly $48 billion. The Second Century Begins. pic.twitter.com/stZzNhLgay — Michael Saylor (@saylor) March 8, 2026 Debt And Equity Keep Fueling The Buys The company has not paused its buying despite a broad market decline. Strategy continues to fund its purchases through debt and equity offerings — a model that works smoothly when Bitcoin is climbing, but draws harder scrutiny when prices fall. With its NAV now below 1, some investors are getting Bitcoin exposure at a discount through the stock, which is a dynamic that rarely worked in Saylor’s favor before. Data from SaylorTracker shows the depth of the current shortfall. The company’s unrealized loss grows wider with each dip in Bitcoin’s price, yet the firm shows no sign of changing course. Saylor has made clear in past statements that Strategy is not a short-term trade but a long-duration bet on Bitcoin as a reserve asset. Pressure Builds Across The Bitcoin Treasury Space Strategy is not alone in feeling the squeeze. According to reports, the broader Bitcoin treasury sector could see consolidation in 2026, with cash-generating businesses moving to absorb companies that simply accumulate coins without producing revenue. Related Reading: Stablecoin Market Breaks Records — USDC Controls 70% Of $1.8 Trillion Volume Wojciech Kaszycki, chief strategy officer at treasury firm BTCS, said companies trading below net asset value are under real pressure. Consolidating with another player, “sometimes two plus two equals six or more,” he said. Saylor has brushed off that path. He said mergers and acquisitions take too long and carry too much uncertainty, noting that deals which look attractive at the start can look very different six to nine months later. Whether another purchase is confirmed remains to be seen. But if history is any guide, the chart post rarely comes without a filing to follow. Featured image from mybrokerone.com, chart from TradingView

BTC rebounded from about $65,000 as crude oil retreated and institutional flows helped stabilize the market.

Bitcoin continues to trade below the $70,000 level as the broader crypto market navigates another period of heightened volatility. After several attempts to regain upward momentum, price action has remained unstable, reflecting ongoing uncertainty across global financial markets. Despite these short-term fluctuations, structural indicators suggest that bigger changes may be occurring beneath the surface of the Bitcoin market. Related Reading: The 31,900 Bitcoin Purge: Why March 4 Marked An Institutional Bitcoin Floor A recent report from CryptoQuant highlights a long-term trend that has been unfolding since 2022: a steady decline in the amount of BTC held on centralized exchanges. This shift accelerated following the collapse of FTX in November 2022, an event that significantly altered investor behavior across the crypto ecosystem. During that month alone, users withdrew more than 325,000 Bitcoin from exchange reserves, rushing to move their holdings into private custody. Today, total Bitcoin reserves on exchanges have dropped to levels last seen in 2019, currently sitting at roughly 2.7 million BTC. Among retail-focused centralized exchanges, Binance alone holds approximately 20% of that supply, reflecting its dominant role in global crypto trading. When institutional platforms are included, Coinbase Advanced emerges as the largest holder, with around 800,000 BTC stored on the exchange. Even so, this figure remains roughly 200,000 BTC lower than the levels recorded in July 2025, underscoring the continued reduction in exchange-held supply. Institutional Accumulation Reshapes Bitcoin Supply Dynamics The CryptoQuant report also notes that the decline in exchange reserves cannot be explained solely by the aftermath of the FTX collapse. While that event accelerated the movement of funds into self-custody, two additional structural developments have played a major role in pushing exchange balances back to levels last seen in 2019. The first major driver has been the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024. At the time, exchange reserves were still above 3.2 million BTC. Since then, these investment vehicles have absorbed a significant portion of the circulating supply. Today, spot ETFs collectively hold around 1.3 million BTC, representing roughly 6.7% of the total supply. Custodial cold storage sequestering these holdings effectively removes a massive amount of Bitcoin from active exchange liquidity. A second structural factor is the emergence of Digital Asset Treasuries. An increasing number of companies have begun holding Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset, collectively accumulating approximately 1.1 million BTC—close to 5% of total supply. Together, these developments are reshaping Bitcoin’s market structure. As ETFs and corporate treasuries lock up larger portions of supply, a growing share of BTC becomes embedded within institutional financial frameworks. Over time, this shift could gradually tighten available market liquidity and influence long-term price formation dynamics. Related Reading: Post-Crash Purge: XRP’s 60% Valuation Reset Meets a Record Low in Exchange Liquidity Bitcoin Consolidates Near $67K As Short-Term Momentum Weakens The 4-hour chart shows Bitcoin trading around $67,500 after a period of sharp volatility that unfolded throughout February and early March. Price initially declined from the $87,000 region, triggering a strong sell-off that pushed BTC briefly below $60,000 before buyers stepped in to stabilize the market. Since that capitulation event, Bitcoin has entered a broad consolidation phase, fluctuating mostly between $64,000 and $72,000. Technically, the chart highlights a weakening short-term structure. Bitcoin remains below the longer-term moving averages, with the 200-period moving average (red) trending downward and acting as overhead resistance. Each recent rally attempt has struggled to sustain momentum once price approaches this level, suggesting that sellers remain active during upward moves. Related Reading: The $1.35 Floor: How Extreme Negative Funding Is Priming XRP For A High-Velocity Trend Reversal Meanwhile, the shorter moving averages have begun to flatten, reflecting a temporary balance between buyers and sellers. The market is currently hovering around these shorter-term indicators, indicating indecision as participants reassess the broader macro environment. Volume activity remains relatively moderate compared with the spike seen during the February capitulation, suggesting that the most aggressive selling pressure may have already occurred. However, for a stronger bullish recovery to develop, Bitcoin would likely need to reclaim the $70,000–$72,000 zone and establish sustained trading above the descending longer-term average. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin price started a recovery wave from the $65,500 zone. BTC is now consolidating and might aim for more gains above $69,500. Bitcoin started a decent recovery wave above the $67,500 zone. The price is trading above $68,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $69,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might dip again if it trades below the $68,500 and $68,000 levels. Bitcoin Price Starts Recovery Wave Bitcoin price extended its decline and traded below the $66,500 level. BTC tested the $65,500 support zone before the bulls emerged. A low was formed at $65,646, and the price recently started a recovery wave. The price climbed above the $67,200 and $67,500 resistance levels. The bulls pushed the price above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $74,062 swing high to the $65,646 low. However, the bears are still active below $70,000. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $69,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Bitcoin is now trading above $68,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $67,500, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $69,250 level. The first key resistance is near the $69,600 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $74,062 swing high to the $65,646 low. A close above the $69,600 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $70,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $72,000 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $72,650. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $69,250 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $68,500 level. The first major support is near the $68,000 level. The next support is now near the $67,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $66,650 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $65,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $68,000, followed by $67,500. Major Resistance Levels – $69,250 and $69,850.

Oil-linked trading on the decentralized exchange Hyperliquid (HYPE) has recently surpassed $1 billion in volume within a 24-hour period, leading to a significant 10% rally in the platform’s native token, HYPE, allowing it to outperform the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization.  In fact, oil-linked trading on Hyperliquid hit over $1.2 billion, making it the second-most traded market on the platform, just behind Bitcoin (BTC). Hyperliquid’s Oil Contract Trading Soars The driving force behind the recent HYPE performance has been the CL-USDC perpetual contract, which tracks West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices. This contract’s trading volume recently eclipsed Ethereum (ETH) trading on the platform.  Related Reading: Bitcoin At The Bottom? The 23-Month Cycle That Has Never Failed The increase in activity coincides with a dramatic rise in oil futures, which jumped over 30% to nearly $120 a barrel on traditional exchanges. This spike followed escalating tensions in the Middle East that have disrupted global supply chains. Before these developments, daily volumes for the CL-USDC contract hovered around $21 million. However, following the recent geopolitical events, that figure skyrocketed to more than $1.2 billion as of Monday. Additionally, open interest in this contract surged to $183 million. $150 Price Target For HYPE Further fueling the excitement surrounding the HYPE rally is a bullish outlook from Arthur Hayes, co-founder of cryptocurrency platform BitMEX.  In a recent essay, Hayes set a price target of $150 for HYPE by August 2026, asserting that Hyperliquid can continue to expand its revenue streams even if broader cryptocurrency markets experience difficulties. Related Reading: Dogecoin Remains Inside Falling Channel, Bulls Target Surge Above $0.1 While HYPE has been on the rise, with the token retesting the $35 resistance wall, major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum have shown modest recoveries during the same period. Bitcoin gained approximately 2.5%, while Ethereum saw a slightly higher increase of 3.4%. Analyzing HYPE’s daily trading chart reveals critical support levels that investors should watch. Key support zones are anticipated around $32, $29, and $28, with the latter acting as a significant accumulation point over the past two weeks. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin’s rally back to the mid-$73,000 region did not last long as the leading cryptocurrency’s price action reversed as the week came to a close and fell back around $67,000 after momentarily regaining momentum last week, pulling Ethereum down with it till the ETH price also lost the $2,000 price level.  However, the pullback of these leading cryptocurrencies is the product of a few forces colliding at once: a war nobody fully priced in and institutions quietly heading for the exits. Here is what happened. Spot Bitcoin ETFs: From Boosting Rally To Draining Liquidity One of the clearest reasons for Bitcoin’s reversal is that the same ETF complex that helped lift the price early in the week suddenly turned into a source of pressure. SoSoValue data show that US-based Spot Bitcoin ETFs posted strong inflows at the start of the week, including about $458.19 million on March 2, $225.15 million on March 3, and $461.77 million on March 4.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Pattern Memory Predicts The Bottom, And It’s Below $40,000 That stretch helped Bitcoin climb as high as roughly $74,051 intraday on March 4, but the tone changed quickly after that. By March 5, spot Bitcoin ETFs had flipped to a net outflow of about $227.83 million, and on March 6, the outflow worsened to roughly $348.83 million, showing that institutional demand softened just as Bitcoin was testing resistance near the mid-$70,000s. Spot Bitcoin ETFs. Source: SoSoValue Unsurprisingly, Ethereum also saw its own exchange-traded funds flows deteriorate in tandem with Bitcoin. SoSoValue’s data show US Spot Ethereum ETFs started the week on firmer footing, with $38.69 million in net inflows on March 2, led by BlackRock’s ETHA at about $26.51 million. However, by the second half of the week, that demand had faded massively.  Spot Ethereum ETFs recorded about $90.94 million in net outflows on March 5 and another $82.85 million in net outflows on March 6, with Fidelity’s FETH alone accounting for roughly $67.57 million of the March 6 withdrawal. Spot Ethereum ETFs. Source: SoSoValue Profit-Taking And Global Risk Aversion The final piece is the macro backdrop. The bounce to $73,000 to $74,000 invited short-term traders to lock in gains, especially after Bitcoin ran into a clear resistance band and failed to push through decisively. On-chain data shows that more than 27,000 BTC in profit were sent to exchanges by short-term holders within 24 hours. Related Reading: XRP Price At $100 Is ‘Inevitable’, Analyst Explains Why This Is However, investors are not dealing with only crypto-related concerns. Financial markets are still pricing in the conflicts in the Middle East. Iran responded to US-Israel attacks by not only firing retaliatory strikes but also effectively closing the Strait of Hormuz, a passage for roughly one-fifth of the world’s oil supply. That closure is what truly rattled markets. Once Bitcoin lost altitude, Ethereum followed with even more force. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $67,500. Ethereum, on the other hand, is trading at $1,975. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

A crypto market analyst has outlined what he describes as a straightforward mathematical method that helped identify the bottom of Bitcoin’s previous bear market. By focusing on long-term Fibonacci levels and quarterly price behavior, the analyst argues that the same structural logic that marked the 2022 bottom is now shaping Bitcoin’s next macro phase. Simple Math That Identified The Bitcoin Price Bear Market Bottom In an X post shared on March 8, crypto analyst Chetan Gurjar revisited a prediction he made in December 2022 regarding Bitcoin’s bear market low. While he acknowledged that the timing of the call was slightly off by a few months, he stated that the price target itself proved accurate. Related Reading: Bitcoin Liquidation Map Predicts The Next Targets To Watch Out For The analysis referenced Bitcoin’s bear market bottom around the $15,000 region in late 2022, which the analyst had previously projected using this framework. His approach centers on macro Fibonacci extension levels plotted on the quarterly chart, with particular focus on the 1.618 Fibonacci level positioned near $62,084. The chart accompanying the explanation highlights how Bitcoin historically reacts to this macro level. During the 2021 bull cycle, Bitcoin repeatedly failed to break and sustain price action above the 1.618 Fibonacci level. The analyst pointed to the second and fourth quarter candles of 2021, both of which were rejected at that same zone. These repeated rejections signaled strong resistance at the time, reinforcing the significance of the level in the broader market structure. By mapping these macro levels across cycles, the analyst argues that long-term Fibonacci mathematics can help identify both extreme lows and potential expansion targets. Quarterly Fibonacci Retest Suggests Next Macro Phase The analyst’s latest chart interpretation suggests that Bitcoin’s relationship with the 1.618 Fibonacci level has shifted from resistance to support. After breaking above the $62,084 region on the quarterly timeframe, Bitcoin has not produced a quarterly candle close below the level since the breakout. The chart shows two notable retests following the move. In the second and third quarters afterward, Bitcoin briefly tested the level but managed to hold above it on a closing basis. One quarterly wick even dipped below $50,000 before reclaiming the $62,084 level. As of the current quarter ending in March, Bitcoin is again trading above the same macro Fibonacci level. According to the analyst’s interpretation, this behavior represents a bullish quarterly retest. Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Price Bottom Hasn’t Happened Yet, Gives Timeline To Expect Reversal The projection drawn on the chart extends toward the next Fibonacci expansion level at 2.618, which sits near $393,874. Gurjar describes this level as the minimum macro target if the structure holds. The chart also signals potential volatility, suggesting price wicks could stretch toward the $500,000 region during the expansion phase. However, the analyst notes that deeper quarterly wicks remain possible depending on broader market conditions, including potential weakness in the altcoin market. Even with that caveat, the framework presents the current structure as a continuation pattern centered on Bitcoin holding the 1.618 Fibonacci level. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

SUI is approaching a key decision point as technical signals begin to shape its next move. Analysts are closely watching the RSI trendline on the BTC trading pair, which could act as the trigger for the token’s direction. A break below the trendline may accelerate bearish momentum, while a successful hold could allow a short-term rebound toward key resistance zones before the broader trend unfolds. BTC Pair RSI Trendline Becomes The Key Trigger For SUI Crypto analyst Umair Crypto, in a recent update, pointed out that SUI’s next move may largely depend on the behavior of the RSI trendline on its BTC trading pair. According to the analyst, a decisive break below it could quickly push the price toward the $0.82 region. Related Reading: SUI Breakdown Attempts Absorbed — Is It Ready To Explode Higher? While attention is focused on the BTC pair, the USDT pair is already showing signs of weakness, hovering around the bottom of its range, suggesting that the market is under pressure. Therefore, the direction taken by the BTC pair’s RSI could play a crucial role in determining whether the range on the USDT pair continues to hold or eventually breaks. Umair outlined two possible scenarios. In the first scenario, a breakdown of the RSI trendline on the BTC pair would likely trigger further weakness, causing the USDT pair to lose its range support and opening the door for a decline below $0.82. The second scenario involves the RSI trendline holding firm. If that happens, SUI could see a short-term bounce, with price potentially moving toward the $0.94 level.  Despite the possibility of a brief rebound, the broader market bias remains tilted to the downside. Any move toward $0.94 would likely represent a corrective bounce within the larger downtrend, rather than a full trend reversal. For now, the RSI behavior on the BTC pair continues to lead the signal, while the USDT range is expected to react accordingly. A Stabilization Around Key $0.89 Support Level According to an analysis from BitGuru, SUI is currently exhibiting signs of stabilization following a prolonged downtrend and several distinct phases of consolidation, suggesting that the aggressive downward momentum may be reaching a point of exhaustion. The primary focus for market participants is now centered on the $0.89 support area, where SUI is currently holding its ground.  Related Reading: SUI Slides Into Key Fib Support — Is the Downtrend Far From Over? This specific price level has emerged as a critical floor for the asset; as long as the bulls can defend this zone, the structural outlook remains constructive for a potential trend reversal or a relief rally. Should this support level successfully hold, the technical framework suggests a shift in momentum toward the upside. Analysts are eyeing the $1.01 to $1.05 resistance zone as the immediate objective for a recovery. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto analyst Coinvo has explained why Bitcoin may be close to a bottom, which could spark a rally to new highs. This comes as BTC continues to face downside pressure due to the rising tensions between the U.S. and Iran.  Why Bitcoin May Soon Reach A Bear Market Bottom In an X post, Coinvo alluded to the Bitcoin monthly chart, noting that the leading crypto has hit its bear market at exactly 23 months after the all-time high (ATH) in every single cycle. BTC is currently sitting at 23 months right now, which the analyst noted is a sign to buy more Bitcoin, as this pattern has “never failed.” Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin $200,000 Target Remains Open, But There’s A More Realistic Target The analyst also predicted that Bitcoin could see a massive expansion once it bottoms, rallying to as high as $150,000. This means that BTC could still surpass its current ATH of $126,000, which it recorded in October last year. Meanwhile, in another X post, Coinvo revealed that Bitcoin is replicating the exact same bull market pattern that gold did in the 70s. He added that this pattern has never failed, suggesting BTC could soon see a bullish reversal.  Bitcoin is currently facing downside pressure as the U.S-Iran war continues to escalate. The war has sent oil prices as high as $115 today, sparking concerns that this could drive inflation higher. However, Coinvo indicated that the rising oil prices may not be bearish for BTC. In an X post, he stated that most people think that rising oil prices are bearish for the leading because of inflation, but history says the opposite. This came as he revealed that BTC’s secret bull-run signal has just flashed for the fourth time in history.  Bull Trap May Be Forming For BTC Popular crypto analyst Willy Woo warned that a bull trap is forming for Bitcoin, while also indicating that a bottom isn’t in yet. He stated that BTC is still “solidly” in the middle of its bear market through a lens of long-range liquidity. The analyst also noted that after rapid downward flushes like the market has seen, BTC tends to trade sideways and then mount a rally, testing resistance.  Related Reading: Here’s What’s Driving The Bitcoin Price Crash Toward $60,0000 Willy Woo also revealed that current conditions are setting up a Bitcoin rally to test the mid-$80,000 range, which is the cost basis for short-term investors. This rally looks more likely, especially considering that BTC sold off fast in the early bear market. The analyst highlighted that investor flows have been in consistent recovery since mid-February, which could spark this rebound to $80,000. He added that expected volatility in equities is hinting at a switch to risk-on in the coming weeks.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $67,800, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin slid below $70,000 this weekend after a weak US jobs report, and another jump in oil prices revived stagflation concerns and pushed investors out of risk assets. The largest cryptocurrency fell as low as $65,660, according to CryptoSlate’s data, less than a week after reaching a monthly high near $74,000. The move put Bitcoin […]
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A growing share of Bitcoin supply has slipped underwater, with CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost arguing that the market is now sitting much closer to historical bear-phase conditions than to a confirmed bull trend. His latest charts show 43% of Bitcoin supply held in UTXOs is currently in loss, leaving just 57% in profit. Darkfost is looking at the distribution of supply across Bitcoin’s unspent transaction outputs, a way of tracking how much coin supply is sitting above or below cost basis. In his reading, that metric has reached a zone that has historically marked the boundary between advancing bull markets and broader corrections. “Roughly one out of two investors is currently at a loss. More precisely, this refers to the supply held within each UTXO on Bitcoin. At the moment, 43% of that supply is in loss,” he wrote on X. He added that “historically, as the histogram shows, we usually see around 75% of the supply in profit,” describing that level as a “rough boundary between a bull trend and a market correction.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Must Not Drop Below $63,700, Analyst Warns That framing is central to the thesis. When the share of supply in profit rises back above roughly 75%, Darkfost said, bull trends have typically “confirmed and accelerated.” When more supply starts falling into loss, the opposite tends to happen: corrections deepen, confidence weakens and the market begins to resemble prior bear-market structures. With Bitcoin now at 57% supply in profit, he said conditions look “closer to those seen during deep bear market phases.” Still, he did not present the current setup as a one-way collapse. Darkfost said the market is showing signs of stabilization, which he linked to the current consolidation phase. But he also warned that the process may not be finished. “It is still possible that the market moves lower in order to shake out LTHs further and push the share of supply in loss toward around 45%, a level that has been reached during previous bear markets,” he wrote. Related Reading: Bitcoin Big-Money On The Move: Exchange Whale Ratio Spikes To 0.6 Macro Backdrop Weighs On Bitcoin His second chart ties that on-chain deterioration to a macro backdrop that has become less supportive for risk assets. As tensions around the Strait of Hormuz intensified, Darkfost argued, oil’s rally has added another layer of pressure to Bitcoin. “Since the beginning of the year, oil has gained more than 60%, a dramatic increase reflecting market concerns over the geopolitical situation,” he wrote. “This is not surprising, given that the Strait of Hormuz accounts for about 20% of global daily oil exports and nearly 35% of oil transported by sea. Any incident that blocks the strait or disrupts transit therefore has an immediate impact on oil prices.” He extended that argument beyond energy markets. Higher oil prices, he said, feed directly into inflation expectations and broader financial-market stress, a combination that has historically not favored speculative assets. “For a volatile and risky asset like Bitcoin, this type of environment is unfavorable,” Darkfost wrote. “Historically, periods when oil prices regain strength often coincide with BTC end-of-cycle phases. These moments also signal geopolitical tensions, which are not conducive to risk-taking or exposure to more speculative assets.” Taken together, the two charts sketch a market that is not yet definitively in a bear trend but is drifting toward a zone where that label becomes harder to dismiss. The immediate question is whether Bitcoin can rebuild the share of supply back into profit and reclaim the historical 75% threshold, or whether macro stress and further long-term-holder selling push the market deeper into loss territory first. At press time, BTC traded at $67,730. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin price started a fresh decline below $68,500 and $68,000. BTC is now consolidating and might struggle to start a recovery wave above $68,500. Bitcoin started a fresh decline after it settled above the $69,500 zone. The price is trading below $68,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support at $68,900 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might dip again if it trades below the $65,500 and $65,000 levels. Bitcoin Price Starts Another Decline Bitcoin price failed to extend its increase above the $68,500 zone. BTC started a fresh decline after it settled below the $68,000 support zone. The bears pushed the price below $67,500 and $67,200. Besides, there was a break below a major bullish trend line with support at $68,900 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Finally, the price tested the $65,500 zone. A low was formed at $65,646, and the price is now consolidating losses. Bitcoin is now trading below $68,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $65,500, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $67,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $67,600 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $74,062 swing high to the $65,646 low. A close above the $67,600 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $68,800 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $68,800 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $69,850 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $74,062 swing high to the $65,646 low. More Losses In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $68,000 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $65,500 level. The first major support is near the $65,000 level. The next support is now near the $63,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $62,000 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $61,200, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $65,500, followed by $65,000. Major Resistance Levels – $68,000 and $68,800.

An on-chain data expert has identified a critical level that the Bitcoin price must not break, or it could be at risk of a significant downturn. Critical Levels For BTC Price: Alphractal CEO On Saturday, March 7, Alphractal founder and CEO Joao Wedson revealed on the social media platform X that the $63,700 level is a crucial support level for the Bitcoin price. The crypto expert analyzed why this price level is critical to the long-term health of the flagship cryptocurrency and other relevant levels to watch. Related Reading: Pundit Says XRP Price Could Reach $1,000 By End Of 2026 If This Happens This on-chain evaluation is based on the Fibonacci-adjusted Market Mean Price, which represents the cost basis, on average, of all Bitcoin holders. This indicator shows BTC’s average cost basis, adjusted with specific Fibonacci ratios; it exhibits mathematical levels of extension or retracement around the BTC average holder’s cost. As observed in the chart above, $63,700 is the next most relevant level for the Bitcoin price, per the Fibonacci-adjusted Market Mean Price. Wedson noted that the premier cryptocurrency cannot afford to break below this key on-chain level, else its price risks embarking on a downward journey on the charts. According to the Alphractal founder, the Bitcoin price could fall to the immediate support cushion around $57,000 if it loses the crucial $63,700. However, there is a chance that the market leader could fall even further to the next Fibonacci-adjusted Market Mean Price around $52,400. In the case where Bitcoin price fails to hold above either of the aforementioned support levels, Wedson identified the $48,700 as the worst-case scenario. A drop to this support level would represent an almost 30% move from the current price point. Wedson noted in his post: It is important to note that these levels are dynamic and update daily, as they adjust according to investor behavior on the blockchain. Wedson appears to have identified the $48,700 as a possible bottom for the premier cryptocurrency in its current bearish phase. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, BTC is valued at around $67,330, reflecting an over 1% price decline in the past 24 hours. With a sloppy performance so far in the first quarter of 2026, the market leader is down by nearly 50% from the current all-time high of around $126,080. Related Reading: Bitcoin Losing Strength — $66,000 Now The Line Between Recovery And Crash Featured image by DALL-E, chart from TradingView

A Blockstream executive made waves on social media Saturday with a striking comparison: US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds have pulled in roughly the same amount of cumulative investor money as gold ETFs collected over their first 15 years — and Bitcoin did it in less than two. Related Reading: Stablecoin Market Breaks Records — USDC Controls 70% Of $1.8 Trillion Volume The Numbers Behind The Claim Fernando Nikolić, Blockstream’s director of marketing, posted the observation on X, adding that the milestone came during a period when Bitcoin had dropped 46% from its peak and spent several months trending downward. His point was that institutional money kept flowing into Bitcoin products even as prices fell hard. The claim drew attention because gold ETFs had a significant head start in the market — more than a decade — before Bitcoin products even existed. spot bitcoin ETFs matched 15 years of cumulative gold ETF inflows in under two years gold had a fifteen year head start and bitcoin caught it in twenty months absolute cinema ???? and this happened during a 46% drawdown btw during five red months while most of your timeline… pic.twitter.com/TuK5E2WZsq — Fernando Nikolić ???????? ???? (@basedlayer) March 8, 2026 The data backing the broader story comes from SoSoValue, which tracks daily and weekly flows into US spot crypto ETFs. According to that data, Bitcoin ETFs brought in around $568 million this week. The prior week saw roughly $787 million come in. Back-to-back positive weeks like that haven’t happened since early October last year — a stretch of about five months during which money was consistently leaving these funds. Before the recent stretch of inflows, the bleeding was significant. Reports indicate Bitcoin ETFs shed approximately $3.8 billion across five straight weeks of net withdrawals. The worst single week came around January 30, when investors pulled out close to $1.50 billion in one stretch. Day-By-Day, The Picture Gets Messier The weekly totals look clean. The daily breakdown does not. This week, Bitcoin ETFs took in $458 million on Monday, another $225 million on Tuesday, and a strong $462 million on Wednesday. Then the direction flipped. Thursday brought $228 million in outflows, and Friday saw close to $350 million leave the funds. The week ended positive, but just barely held together in the final sessions. Ether ETFs followed a similar pattern on a smaller scale. The funds recorded their second straight week of net inflows, collecting around $23.56 million after posting a little over $80 million the prior week. That two-week run marks the first consecutive weekly gains for Ether products since early October. Before that, five uninterrupted weeks of withdrawals drained more than $1.38 billion from those funds, with the week ending January 23 alone accounting for roughly $611 million in redemptions. Related Reading: Bitcoin ETFs Bleed $349M In A Day As Whales Dump, Small Buyers Step In: Analysts A Rebound With Uneven Footing Two positive weeks for both Bitcoin and Ether ETFs signal a shift, but the daily choppiness tells a more complicated story. Large inflows early in the week gave way to sizable redemptions by Thursday and Friday — a pattern that suggests some investors remain cautious even as fresh money enters. Featured image from Online Casinos, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has fallen back below $70,000 as selling pressure continues to dominate among crypto traders. Notably, there is currently little sign of strong buying demand that could stop further downside and the current structure still leaves room for a Bitcoin price drop below $60,000. Interestingly, technical analysis shows that the Bitcoin price action is beginning to resemble the pattern it created during the 2022 bear market, with long-term data showing that Bitcoin’s bear cycles have gradually become less severe over time. Related Reading: Stablecoin Market Breaks Records — USDC Controls 70% Of $1.8 Trillion Volume Bitcoin’s Bear Market Cycles Are Shrinking Technical analysis of Bitcoin’s entire price history shows that post-cycle drawdowns have been compressing with almost mechanical precision. This pattern hiding in plain sight was laid out by crypto analyst CrypFlow on the social media platform X. According to the analyst, each major bear market has produced a smaller percentage decline than the previous one, starting with a 93% collapse after the 2011 top. The 2013 top was followed by an 87% collapse. After the run of 2017, the market gave back 84%. Lastly, when the 2021 bull cycle peaked, the subsequent bear market stopped at a comparatively modest 78% decline. The argument is that Bitcoin’s growth into a deeper, more liquid market has gradually reduced the kind of downside volatility that defined its early years. Based on that context, the next major bear market low would not need to rival the bloodshed of prior cycles. Therefore, it is safe to assume a worst-case scenario of a 70% drawdown from Bitcoin’s 2025 peak price of $126,080. Extrapolating that compression forward, a 70% crash from the 2025 cycle top would place Bitcoin somewhere around $37,000. However, the analyst also noted that this price is not a bottom forecast. It is also worth noting that Bitcoin has never closed a monthly candle below the previous cycle top during a bear market. In this case, that previous cycle top is 2021’s peak around $69,000. Familiar 2022 Bull Trap And Possible Drop To $50,000 Bitcoin’s bear market cycles might be shrinking, but a look at the current price pattern shows it might be playing out just like it did in the 2022 bear market. This was revealed in a setup by a crypto analyst that goes by the name Chiefy on X.  In that setup, Bitcoin’s current price action was placed side by side with the 2022 bear market, with both periods showing what a textbook sequence of a bear trap followed by a bull trap.  In September 2022, Bitcoin staged what appeared to be a recovery bounce at $18,000 after a brutal descent. However, this led to a bull trap around $21,000 that lured buyers in before the price action rolled over and carved out fresh lows.  Related Reading: Bitcoin ETFs Bleed $349M In A Day As Whales Dump, Small Buyers Step In: Analysts The script playing out in early 2026, according to this analysis, is identical. The bear trap in this case was Bitcoin’s fall to $60,000 in February and then another bull trap as it pushed to $74,000. If the 2022 analogy holds, that bounce is not a recovery. It is a setup, and the next Bitcoin price low, the analyst warns, is around $50,000. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @0xChiefy On X Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView