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#bitcoin #btc #bitcoin news #btcusdt #bitcoin selling #bitcoin long-term holders #bitcoin lths

On-chain data shows Bitcoin long-term holders (LTHs) have seen their netflow rise recently, a sign that selling pressure from diamond hands is easing. Bitcoin LTH Net Position Change Is Becoming Less Negative In a new post on X, Glassnode analyst Chris Beamish has talked about the latest trend in the behavior of Bitcoin LTHs. This cohort represents one of the two main divisions of the BTC market done on the basis of holding time and includes the investors who purchased their tokens more than 155 days ago. Related Reading: Solana’s Next Major Support Levels Sit At $50, $22, And $10: Analyst Statistically, the longer an investor holds onto their coins, the less likely they become to sell them at any point. As such, the LTHs with their long holding times are considered to reflect the resolute side of the sector. Though, despite the resilience of this group, its members still participate in selling during some parts of the cycle. One such phase is currently ongoing, as the chart shared by Beamish shows. As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin LTH Net Position Change, an indicator tracking the monthly net amount of BTC entering into or exiting out of the group’s combined balance, turned negative as the cryptocurrency’s price saw a bearish shift in the last quarter of 2025. Since then, the indicator has mostly stayed contained inside the zone, implying continued distribution from the diamond hands. From the chart, it’s apparent that the selloff only deepened as BTC crashed to its low around $60,000 last month, implying that the volatility scared even some of the more resolute hands into parting with their tokens. Since the negative peak in the indicator coinciding with the price lows, however, the Bitcoin LTH Net Position Change has been climbing back up. Today, its value is still red, suggesting continued selling pressure on the monthly timeframe, although the degree of it is notably lower. “After months of sustained net selling, LTH net position change is now easing, suggesting that selling pressure from seasoned holders is moderating as BTC stabilizes,” noted the analyst. It now remains to be seen whether the Bitcoin LTH Net Position Change will continue to improve in the near future or if the diamond hands aren’t done selling yet. Related Reading: XRP Triangle Could Point To Support Between $0.60 And $0.90 In some other news, each attempt from the cryptocurrency at the $70,000 level has been met with profit-taking recently, as on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has highlighted in an X post. As is visible in the graph, the 12-hour moving average (MA) of the Bitcoin Net Realized Profit/Loss spiked above $5 million per hour as BTC rallied on Monday. The metric crossing this threshold also capped out previous recovery attempts from the asset during the past month. “The asymmetry reflects the fragility of the current demand structure,” said Glassnode. BTC Price Bitcoin has seen a minor retrace to $68,500 since the Monday high. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

#bitcoin #crypto #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #mara #btcusdt #crypto news #btc news #mara holdings

MARA Holdings, one of the largest Bitcoin (BTC) mining companies in the world, has signaled a major shift in strategy that could have significant implications for the broader BTC market.  In a recent filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the company disclosed an update to its treasury policy that would allow it to sell Bitcoin from its balance sheet — a notable departure from its long-standing commitment to holding the asset as a long-term investment. Bitcoin Miner MARA May Sell Reserves Under the new policy, MARA is no longer strictly committed to retaining all of the Bitcoin it mines. Instead, it has opened the door to potentially liquidating part or even all of its holdings if circumstances require it. MARA currently holds 53,822 BTC, making it the second-largest publicly traded corporate holder of Bitcoin, according to data from BitcoinTreasuries.net.  At current market prices, the company’s reserves are valued at approximately $3.59 billion. Only Michael Saylor’s Strategy — formerly known as MicroStrategy — holds more, with over 720,000 BTC. Related Reading: Bitcoin Prints Fifth Straight Red Month; Previous Streak Was Followed By 300% Surge In its filing, MARA acknowledged that prolonged weakness in Bitcoin’s price could materially affect its financial position. If the price remains depressed or declines further, the value of its holdings could fall significantly, weighing on its balance sheet and liquidity.  Because Bitcoin mining represents the company’s primary source of revenue, extended price declines could make it increasingly difficult to cover operational costs, meet debt obligations, or fund strategic initiatives. The company also pointed to upcoming financial obligations, including the potential need to repurchase outstanding convertible senior notes in 2027. Meeting such obligations would require substantial cash resources.  Under those circumstances — including liquidity pressures or adverse market conditions — MARA said it may decide to sell a portion or the entirety of its Bitcoin reserves. Potential ‘Supply Bomb’ Looms  Market analyst Shanaka Anslem offered a detailed breakdown of the company’s current challenges. According to Anslem, MARA’s production cost now stands at approximately $87,000 per Bitcoin, while the asset is trading around $66,690.  That gap means the company is effectively losing money on each block it mines. At the same time, hashprice — a key measure of mining profitability — has dropped to a record low of $35 per petahash. Anslem also highlighted MARA’s 2025 open-market purchases. During that year, the company acquired 4,267 BTC at an average price of $111,034 per coin. With current prices significantly lower, those purchases are now roughly 38% underwater.  Related Reading: CME Capitalizes On ADA, XLM, LINK In Crypto Strategy: Key Figures Exposed Looking ahead, Anslem suggested that blockchain data will provide critical clues about whether MARA’s policy shift translates into actual selling.  If the company’s wallets show no meaningful outflows over the next 90 days, he argued, the announcement may amount to little more than optional flexibility, and the perceived supply overhang could prove illusory.  However, if substantial transfers begin — particularly in a market environment characterized by a Fear and Greed Index reading of 15 and Bitcoin already down 22% year-to-date — the psychological and price impact could be significant. In that scenario, other miners with large treasuries might also come under scrutiny, creating what he described as a potential “supply bomb” effect. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #bitwise #bitcoin news #matt hougan #btc news

Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan says the recent Bitcoin dip is being read very differently inside institutional circles than it is on crypto social media. In a March 2 interview with Scott Melker, Hougan said many professional allocators that missed the first leg of ETF-driven adoption are now treating lower prices as an opening, not a warning sign. Bitcoin Dip Draws Rush From Institutional Buyers The clearest example was a prospective client Hougan said had been in discussions with Bitwise for roughly two years before finally committing $11 million. For Hougan, that was less a story about sudden conviction than about how institutions actually move. “The average Bitwise client takes eight meetings before they allocate, which is brutal. But they meet quarterly. We’re about two years into the ETF boom. So they’re just now getting ready to allocate.” Bitcoin Insider Reveals Why Institutions Are Scrambling To Buy The Dip! | @Matt_Hougan pic.twitter.com/KUKndfw0mP — The Wolf Of All Streets (@scottmelker) March 2, 2026 That lag, he argued, is being mistaken for hesitation when it is often just an institutional process. “They’re not surprised that crypto is volatile,” Hougan said. “Like, wow, crypto is volatile, right? They’ve been waiting for an entry point.” He highlighted that spot ETFs saw net inflows during sharp down weeks, which he took as evidence that institutions remain “the marginal buyer” and are likely to keep entering the market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Prints Fifth Straight Red Month; Previous Streak Was Followed By 300% Surge Hougan drew a distinction between crypto-native sentiment and the way wealth managers, RIAs and larger institutions frame the asset. Retail, he said, has slipped into a full bear-market mindset, pointing to the crypto Fear & Greed Index falling to 5. But institutions are operating on a different clock. “These people are making allocations for the next five or 10 years,” he said. “Even if you talk to the most bearish, despairing person on crypto Twitter and you ask them where Bitcoin will be in 10 years, they’re going to be pretty bullish.” That helps explain why falling prices are not necessarily slowing adoption. In many cases, Hougan said, advisors first buy Bitcoin personally, hold it for about a year, then begin allocating to a small group of clients before scaling up. “Typically what they do is they take their first 10 clients who have been asking them relentlessly about crypto for the last 10 years and they allocate on their behalf,” he said. “The big game comes when they go from 10 to 100.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment On Wall Street Has Turned Negative, Galaxy’s Thorn Says The distribution channels are also opening wider. Hougan said that, as of Q4, three of the four major wire houses can now proactively discuss Bitcoin with clients, while the fourth is expected to follow. Still, he estimated that roughly 20% to 25% of wealth managers remain closed to crypto exposure, underscoring that institutional access is still being rolled out rather than fully saturated. For Hougan, that is why the market may be underestimating what comes next. “Eventually Bitcoin ETFs, I think, will at some point have a trillion dollars of assets in them,” he said. “They’re not going to go down from here. It just takes time.” He was equally emphatic that this cycle feels different from prior drawdowns. “In previous bear markets, in FTX, the bear market felt existential,” Hougan said. “This winter doesn’t feel like that. Most people look at this as an attractive entry point. They don’t see death and despair. They see the world getting more digital, they see rising concern about fiat currency, they see a four-year cycle that would naturally mean we have a pullback.” If that view holds, the current drawdown may matter less as a test of conviction than as a transfer point: from fast-moving retail traders to slower, deeper pools of capital that are still early in their allocation process. At press time, BTC traded at $66,360. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

#bitcoin #bitcoin price #btc #btcusd #btcusdt #xbtusd

Bitcoin price started a decent increase above $68,500 but failed at $70,000. BTC is now consolidating and might aim for more gains above $68,800. Bitcoin started a fresh increase after it settled above the $68,000 support. The price is trading above $68,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a contracting triangle forming with resistance at $68,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might dip again if it trades below the $67,000 and $66,550 levels. Bitcoin Price Corrects Lower From $70,000 Bitcoin price managed to form a base above the $66,500 zone. BTC started a fresh increase and was able to surpass the $67,400 resistance zone. The price even rallied above the $68,800 resistance. Finally, the bears appeared near $70,000. A high was formed at $70,100, and the price recently corrected some gains. There was a move below $68,000, and the price tested the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $63,030 swing low to the $70,100 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $68,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $67,400, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $68,500 level. There is also a contracting triangle forming with resistance at $68,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The first key resistance is near the $69,550 level. A close above the $69,550 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $70,000 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $70,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $70,850 and $71,200. Downside Break In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $68,800 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $67,400 level. The first major support is near the $66,550 level. The next support is now near the $65,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $64,700 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $63,000, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $67,400, followed by $66,550. Major Resistance Levels – $68,800 and $70,000.

#bitcoin #btc #bitcoin analysis #bitcoin news #btcusdt #bitcoin accumulation #bitcoin whale accumulation #bitcoin whale activity

Bitcoin has entered a phase of heightened volatility as escalating conflicts in the Middle East inject fresh uncertainty into global markets. Risk assets have reacted unevenly, with crypto trading as a real-time barometer of macro stress while traditional markets intermittently close or gap. Price swings have become sharper, liquidity thinner, and short-term positioning more defensive as participants reassess exposure amid geopolitical risk. Related Reading: Bloodbath Or Buy-Zone? Bitcoin’s $66K Stagnation Hits The 25% Loss Threshold Historically Tied To Market Bottoms Despite this challenging backdrop, on-chain data presents a more nuanced picture. According to analysis from CryptoQuant, Bitcoin netflow dynamics suggest that accumulation may be quietly unfolding beneath the surface. Exchange netflows — which measure the balance between coins moving onto and off trading platforms — are often a leading indicator of investor intent. Sustained outflows typically imply that participants are withdrawing assets into cold storage or long-term custody, reducing immediately available sell-side supply. In recent sessions, netflow patterns have tilted toward outflows rather than aggressive inflows, even as headlines intensified. This divergence between price uncertainty and subdued exchange deposits hints at restrained distribution behavior. Sustained Exchange Outflows Signal Quiet Accumulation Phase The exchange-level data adds a concrete dimension to the accumulation thesis. On Binance — which custodies roughly 665,000 BTC, or about 25% of total exchange reserves — netflows have flipped decisively negative since February 21. Outflows have dominated on most trading days, producing a cumulative withdrawal of approximately 13,500 BTC. A single session accounted for 3,848 BTC leaving the platform, a meaningful movement in the context of tightening liquidity. Importantly, this pattern is not isolated. Aggregated across major exchanges, netflows have remained negative for seven consecutive days. Such persistence reduces the probability of statistical noise and instead suggests coordinated positioning behavior. When coins exit exchanges, they typically move into cold storage or long-term custody solutions, mechanically reducing the immediately tradable supply. This shift is occurring after an approximate 50% correction from cycle highs. Historically, deep retracements tend to recalibrate risk-reward perceptions. The current price zone appears to be viewed by some participants as strategically attractive rather than structurally broken. That said, accumulation does not guarantee immediate upside. In the short term, sustained outflows can underpin range-bound conditions as supply tightens, but demand remains measured. Whether this evolves into expansion depends on the durability of inflows into spot markets. Related Reading: The $650M Wave: Why XRP’s Record Inflow To Binance Signals A Massive Institutional Retreat Bitcoin Compresses Below Key Averages as $69K Caps Upside Attempts On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin remains locked in a corrective structure following the sharp early-February breakdown. Price is consolidating around the $66,800 region, but the broader short-term trend remains tilted to the downside. BTC continues to trade below the 50, 100, and 200-period moving averages, all of which are sloping downward — a configuration that confirms persistent bearish pressure. The $68,000–$69,000 zone is acting as immediate resistance, aligning with the 100-period moving average (green). Multiple attempts to reclaim this level have failed, reinforcing it as a supply area. Above that, the 200-period moving average (red), currently near the low-$70Ks, represents a stronger structural ceiling. Related Reading: Ethereum’s Market Order Imbalance Hits Record Negatives: $1,850 Is Now The Line In The Sand On the downside, the $63,000–$64,000 region remains key support. Previous liquidity wicks into that area, triggering sharp rebounds, suggesting the presence of reactive buyers. However, the pattern of lower highs within the range indicates that upside momentum lacks conviction. Volume has contracted compared to the breakdown phase, signaling equilibrium rather than accumulation. The market is compressing within a narrowing band, often a precursor to expansion. A decisive 4-hour close above $69K would challenge the bearish bias. Conversely, a clean break below $63K would likely reopen downside toward the next liquidity pocket. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

#bitcoin #us #crypto #btc #israel #middle east #btcusd #iran #war

War is burning across the Middle East. Oil prices are climbing. Stock markets in Asia have taken a hit. And yet, Bitcoin is still standing above $66,000 — a fact that has caught the attention of analysts keeping a close eye on the market. Related Reading: Crypto’s Quietest Month In Nearly A Year — But Hackers Haven’t Gone Away Calm Where There Should Be Panic The group most closely watched during moments of market stress is what analysts call short-term holders — people who bought Bitcoin recently and are most likely to sell fast when things go wrong. Based on reports from on-chain data platform CryptoQuant, that group has stayed unusually quiet. When Bitcoin slipped into the $63,000 to $64,000 range on Feb. 28, exchange inflows from recent buyers barely moved. No major wave of selling followed. No spike in coins being rushed to exchanges at a loss. That was not the case earlier in February. Reports say that on Feb. 5-6, short-term holders sent 89,000 BTC to exchanges at a loss within a single 24-hour window. It was a clear panic event. Since then, those kinds of loss-driven transfers have been falling steadily — and the Iran escalation did not reverse that trend. CryptoQuant analyst Moreno, who tracked the data, says this matters because markets tend to find their footing once the most nervous sellers have already exited. If exchange inflows from short-term holders remain low, it could point to seller exhaustion and set the stage for a price recovery. A sudden jump in those inflows, however, would suggest the selling is not done. What History Says About War And Bitcoin This is not the first time Bitcoin has been tested by armed conflict. According to market analyst Ted Pillows, the pattern has played out twice before. When Russia launched its invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Bitcoin dropped — then surged 40%. When Israel struck Iran in June 2025, Bitcoin dipped again before gaining 25%. Feb 2022: Russia attacked Ukraine. ▫️ $BTC dumped first and then rallied 40%. June 2025: Israel attacked Iran. ▫️ Bitcoin dumped first and then rallied 25%. Feb 2026: US attacked Iran. Will a similar pattern follow again? pic.twitter.com/b8FLF4aR9p — Ted (@TedPillows) February 28, 2026 Now, following joint US-Israeli strikes on Iran in February 2026, Bitcoin has once again pulled back. Pillows is now asking whether that same rebound pattern could follow a third time. The current conflict is far larger than those earlier flashpoints. Reports say US-Israeli forces struck more than 2,000 targets across 131 Iranian cities and provinces, hitting nuclear sites, missile systems, and senior military figures, including Iran’s Supreme Leader. Related Reading: Wall Street Giant JPMorgan Sees Clarity Act Driving Second-Half Upside Bitcoin Price Action Iran fired back with missiles and drones aimed at Israel, US bases, and multiple Gulf states. The war has dragged in Lebanon, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the UAE, Cyprus, and a UK military base. Bitcoin has dropped 3.5% since Feb. 26, bringing its price to $65,540. It briefly touched $63,030 on Feb. 28 before climbing back above $65,000. Given the scale of what is happening on the ground, that kind of price movement is relatively contained. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin price prediction #bitcoin news #btc news

Joe Burnett, VP of Bitcoin Strategy at Strive (Nasdaq: ASST), is arguing that bitcoin could reach $11 million by the first quarter of 2036, not because it replaces the financial system, but because it becomes the dominant long-duration savings asset in an economy reshaped by AI-led deflation and repeated monetary expansion. His thesis, laid out in a March 2 Substack note, frames bitcoin less as a speculative trade and more as the asset most likely to absorb excess liquidity in a world of falling production costs and chronic policy intervention. Burnett’s base case implies a bitcoin network value of roughly $230 trillion by 2036. He sets that against a global financial asset base that he estimates could grow from more than $1 quadrillion today to about $1.97 quadrillion over the next decade, assuming 7% annual compounding. In that framework, bitcoin would account for around 12% of global financial assets. “That outcome reflects a measured repricing of global wealth toward the only monetary asset with absolute scarcity,” Burnett wrote. “Bitcoin does not need to replace all currencies. It does not need universal daily transactional use. It only needs to become the primary long-duration savings asset in a world defined by monetary expansion and technology deflation.” The Bitcoin 2036 AI-Deflation Thesis At the center of the argument is what Burnett calls the “AI deflation engine.” His view is that artificial intelligence will compress labor costs, speed up output and intensify competition across both digital and physical industries, creating sustained downward pressure on prices. He compares the shift to the automobile’s displacement of horses, but argues that this time the target is white-collar labor. AI, he wrote, is already drafting contracts, analyzing financials, writing code and handling research once performed by junior professionals, while robotics continue pushing into logistics, manufacturing and agriculture. Related Reading: Bitcoin Prints Fifth Straight Red Month; Previous Streak Was Followed By 300% Surge In a neutral monetary system, he argues, that kind of productivity boom would simply raise real purchasing power. In a debt-based fiat system, it becomes destabilizing. Falling wages, weaker asset prices and fixed nominal liabilities do not mix well. “As AI drives real-economy deflation, central banks and fiscal authorities expand liquidity to prevent a deflationary spiral,” Burnett wrote. “The more effective AI becomes at reducing costs, the more aggressive the monetary response becomes to prevent debt deflation.” That policy reflex is the bridge to bitcoin. Burnett argues that every deflationary shock begins with a move into cash and sovereign bonds, but that phase tends to give way to rate cuts, balance-sheet expansion, credit support and fiscal transfers. He points to earlier episodes in 1987, 2001, 2008, 2020 and 2022 as evidence that policymakers do not tolerate sustained deflation. In his telling, the long-run result is persistent productivity deflation paired with persistent monetary expansion, a mix that leaves capital searching for an asset whose supply cannot be politically expanded. From there, Burnett widens the lens. Equities, in his view, are increasingly exposed to AI-driven creative destruction. Real estate retains scarcity value, but technology could accelerate design, permitting and construction, limiting long-run upside. Sovereign bonds, meanwhile, offer nominal stability while remaining tied to currencies subject to ongoing dilution. Bitcoin, he argues, sits in a different category because its supply cap, divisibility, portability and verifiability make it uniquely suited to absorb global liquidity over time. He also ties that thesis to a newer market structure he calls “Digital Credit” — income-generating securities backed by large bitcoin balance sheets. Burnett cites publicly traded instruments such as STRC and SATA as examples of vehicles that offer dollar income to credit investors while channeling capital into additional bitcoin accumulation. That, he argues, could create a reflexive loop between global yield demand and bitcoin buying. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment On Wall Street Has Turned Negative, Galaxy’s Thorn Says The note leans heavily on scarcity math. Burnett writes that by 2036, fewer than 41,000 new BTC will be issued over the entire year. If global financial assets reach roughly $2 quadrillion and only 1% of one year’s incremental capital formation seeks monetary preservation in bitcoin, that would still amount to $1.4 trillion competing for that limited new supply — or roughly $34 million of demand per newly issued coin. “The path will not be smooth, but the conclusion will become increasingly obvious,” Burnett wrote. “Bitcoin’s trajectory toward eight-figure price levels reflects structural monetary conditions rather than speculative enthusiasm and ‘belief.’ As liquidity continues expanding within a technologically deflationary world, capital will concentrate into assets capable of preserving value across time.” His closing point is less about straight-line appreciation than timing. Markets, he argues, still price bitcoin as a volatile cyclical asset. The next decade, in his view, will increasingly price it as monetary infrastructure. Whether that transition plays out anywhere near his $11 million target, Burnett’s thesis is clear: if AI keeps driving abundance and policymakers keep offsetting it with liquidity, bitcoin may be where a growing share of global capital ends up. At press time, Bitcoin traded at $66,958. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #fomo #bitcoin news #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news #ltf #joao wedson #lp #alphractal

The Bitcoin market appears to be entering a decisive holding phase, with on-chain data signaling a steady contraction in active supply.  Rather than aggressive selling or speculative rotation, a growing portion of circulating BTC is moving into long-term storage, reducing the amount readily available for trading. This tightening liquidity dynamic reflects rising investor conviction, as holders choose accumulation over distribution. How Volatility Compression Tightens Bitcoin’s Range In a recent post on X, Joao Wedson, the founder and CEO of Alphractal, noted that the Bitcoin 30-Day active supply has dropped sharply in recent weeks, which is a clear signal that fewer BTC have moved across the network over the past month. Due to this BTC drop, active participation has decreased, and the market has become quieter, with fewer units changing hands in the short to medium term. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Turbulent Ride: How BTC’s Price Has Fared With Escalating Mid-East Conflicts Wedson explains that when this 30-day active supply indicator spikes higher, it typically reflects that short-term holders and retail investors are experiencing strong emotions. The high peaks in the 30-day active supply often coincide with strong retail moments driven by euphoria or panic. This is when more coins return to circulation, whether driven by FOMO during rallies or capitulation during sharp corrections. Thus, when the indicator declines downward, it generally signals the volatility compression, low supply rotation, and market participants appear more patient. In simple terms, the high 30-day active supply would show emotion, rotation, and active retail engagement.  Meanwhile, the low 30-day active supply would show apathy, holding behavior, and tighter market structural conditions. This 30-day active supply is an excellent metric for capturing the market’s monthly behavioral pulse. BTC Enters A Decision Level With Statistical Significance The Bitcoin price action is approaching its next pivot on the 3rd, a level that has historically produced meaningful reactions. According to a crypto trader known as LP on X, reviewing the last eight pivot occurrences, five have resulted in local lows. Statistically, that move gives the current Low-Time Frame (LTF) pivot a slight tendency to form a bottom, but the context matters. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Explodes Higher, $70K Level Faces Fresh Bullish Assault However, if the price sells off into a pivot, the probability of it acting as the local low increases. Then, if the price rallies into the pivot, the odds would shift toward marking a local high. Over the past several days, the price has been volatile but generally has been grinding higher into the upcoming pivot, slightly increasing the risk of a level that could form a high. Historically, reactions from this pivot have led to moves in the 7% and 9% range, suggesting that whichever direction is confirmed could result in a meaningful expansion. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #btcusd

Iran war jitters attack once more, knocking investors out of risk assets and dragging the broader crypto market into the red. Bitcoin’s slide has kicked back in after a short-lived push above 70,000 dollars with BTC slipping about 2.3% into the high‑60,000s dollars. Bitcoin: A Snapshot Of The Uncertainty In Numbers For weeks, Bitcoin (BTC) has been struggling to hold above $70,000: on Monday it briefly pushed above 70,000 dollars, only to reverse and drop as much as 2.3% to 67,834 dollars in early European trading, before stabilizing around 68,100 dollars by 8:10 a.m. in London. This comes after a rejection near the $90k–$100k region in late 2025, lining up with US and Israel airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites and fears around a possible closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which triggered classic risk‑off flows across crypto and other assets. Related Reading: Bitcoin In The Line Of Fire: Price Dips To $63k As US, Israel Launch Strikes On Iran A Broader Sentiment However concerning this may be for an asset known as the “digital gold”, this is not just a BTC issue. Ethereum, Solana and the rest of the large‑cap complex traded lower alongside it, confirming this as a broad risk‑off move. This seems to indicate that the risk of a prolonged war involving Iran is weighing on global risk appetite, and crypto appears to be trading firmly as a high‑beta risk asset. Investors continue to rotate into classic havens such as gold while selling crypto. This reinforces the idea that Bitcoin is still closely tied to broader risk sentiment during geopolitical unrest and not necessarily benefitting from it. Related Reading: How The Israel-Iran War Could Shake Crypto Prices, Explains Arthur Hayes It should be noted that, as Bloomberg reports, the Iran situation also feeds into fears of higher oil prices and stickier inflation. This could keep interest rates elevated for longer and further pressure speculative assets like cryptocurrencies. What Traders Are Watching For Traders appear to be trading headline to headline for now. For short‑term holders who bought into strength above 70,000 dollars, every hawkish Fed comment or fresh Iran escalation keeps their entries underwater and raises the odds they’ll be forced to cut at a loss, especially if Bitcoin makes a clean move toward the 60,000 dollar “line in the sand.” For long‑term holders, however, sitting on older, deeply profitable coins, the same headlines are more an exercise in patience than survival. A deeper sweep into the low‑60,000s would hurt mark‑to‑market, but it is still well inside a multi‑year profit zone and historically has been where these players either sit tight or quietly add. Once again, the numbers prove that the market is just as fragile as human’s fears. BTC's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview Cover image from ChatGPT, BTCUSD chart from Tradingview.

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news #elliott wave theory #fibonacci retracement levels

A technical analyst known as ‘V’ has shared a striking Elliott Wave Theory-based Bitcoin price outlook on X that he believes most market participants are completely overlooking. The chart, plotted on Bitcoin’s weekly timeframe, outlines a multi-year roadmap that could first subject the cryptocurrency to significant downside pressure, potentially triggering a price crash to $40,000 before setting the stage for an explosive rally that could shock investors and traders.   Elliott Wave Pattern Points to $40,000 Bitcoin Price Dip V’s analysis on X begins by identifying a completed five-wave structure that carried Bitcoin from its 2022 lows to an early 2025 peak around $109,354. Those waves, clearly labeled 1 through 5 on the chart, mark the end of Bitcoin’s first major impulse move.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Fear Has Been This Low Only 2 Times In History, Here’s What Follows Each Time From here, V projects that Bitcoin could now enter a Wave 2 correction, which could take the form of a classic ABC zigzag pattern. In this projected scenario, Wave A is forecasted to bottom somewhere between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels, triggering a Bitcoin price decline to the $51,000 to $62,000 range.  Following this, Wave B is expected to see a small relief bounce, pushing Bitcoin back up toward the 100% to 132% extension zone between $109,354 to $120,594 on the chart. Once this bounce occurs, V predicts a final downside target in Wave C. He forecasts that the Bitcoin price could decline to the $51,336 to $35,564 range, representing a massive 55% to 69% decrease from the previous bounce area.  Notably, V has stated that Bitcoin’s projected move to its final bearish target could catch the majority of investors and traders completely off guard. This is because a relief rally back towards six figures in Wave B would likely restore investor confidence and draw buyers back in, only for the market to decline all over again to an even steeper target. In other words, it could be a bull trap. The Bitcoin End Game That Could Shock Investors Following the anticipated completion of the Wave 2 correction, V predicts the onset of Wave 3, a phase that could trigger a powerful bullish reversal for Bitcoin. The chart illustrates a projected rally, highlighted by a rising arrow. Bitcoin is expected to retest and reclaim its previous resistance level around $109,354, marking a potential gain of more than 207% from its projected Wave C bottom around $35,564.  Related Reading: Blood Moon Affecting Bitcoin Price? Why A Surge Above $100,000 Could Be Coming Once BTC crosses this resistance with strong momentum, the chart projects a stronger upward push toward a shocking $150,000 target. Notably, the last time Bitcoin was remotely close to this level was in October 2025, when its price skyrocketed to new all-time highs above $126,000. If the V’s Elliott Wave forecast plays out as expected, it would mark a new historic ATH for BTC. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

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Bitcoin is tightening its range at a critical support zone, with price action compressing after weeks of sideways movement. As volatility contracts and momentum build beneath key resistance, the market appears to be preparing for a decisive breakout. With major support holding for now, the stage is set for a significant move.  Consolidation Zone Signals Strategic Accumulation Crypto analyst Donald Dean highlights that Bitcoin is currently in a prime position for consolidation and accumulation. Currently, price action continues to respect a crucial support trendline, with steady buying activity occurring near the $69,000 mark. This persistent behavior suggests the market is building a solid floor, allowing investors to accumulate positions before the next significant move.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Has Officially Entered Bearish Territory, And It’s Headed To $35,000; Chart Shows From a technical perspective, this $69,000 zone represents a formidable area of support and a retest of the major breakout in 2024. Dean views this phase as a healthy development for the long-term trajectory of the asset. Once the multi-year support is confirmed, Bitcoin would essentially create a launchpad that will serve as the base for a sustained move toward higher valuations. Looking at the weekly chart, Dean identifies specific upside targets based on volume and Fibonacci extensions. The first objective is the $90,000 volume shelf, which acts as a magnet for price. Beyond that, the Golden Ratio (1.618 extension) suggests a target of $102,000. Once these levels are cleared, the next major challenge involves a move to $122,000, which would represent a 2x increase from the previous low-to-high cycle. However, the long-term outlook remains even more ambitious if the bullish momentum persists. Furthermore, Dean notes that the subsequent Golden Ratio at the 2.618 extension places the target at approximately $155,000. While these figures represent significant milestones, the current focus remains on the successful defense of the $69,000 level to validate the structural integrity of the ongoing bull market. Weeks Of Sideways Movement, No Clear Bitcoin Breakout In a recent update, Crypto Candy emphasized that Bitcoin remains stuck in an extended consolidation phase, trading within the $60,000 to $70,000 range for weeks. Despite multiple attempts to break out, the price continues to rotate within this zone, signaling ongoing indecision between buyers and sellers. Related Reading: No Rebound For Bitcoin Yet — Short-Term BTC Holders Continue Holding At A Loss After briefly dipping toward the $62,000 area, BTC once again rebounded toward $70,000. However, this rebound does not alter the broader range structure. Without a decisive breakout, these moves are viewed as internal rotations rather than the start of a sustained trend.  For now, Crypto Candy maintains a bearish bias unless Bitcoin can convincingly flip the $71,000–$72,000 resistance zone into support. As long as the price stays below that threshold, the expectation remains for another leg down toward $61,000 or potentially lower. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

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Bitcoin has returned to an extreme technical zone that has historically marked major cycle bottoms for the BTC price. According to crypto analyst @DurdenBTC, the Harmonic Oscillator has now printed its lowest possible reading, a level that previously preceded outsized one-year gains. The signal raises a direct question: Does history imply that Bitcoin is positioned to double from here? Bitcoin Harmonic Oscillator Signals BTC Price Could More Than Double A chart shared by the analyst highlights a striking signal for Bitcoin, showing the Harmonic Oscillator at -100, the lowest point on its long-term decaying price range, which spans from -100 to +100. This “Capitulation” zone marks periods when BTC trades far below its harmonic center and historical equilibrium, signaling extreme market pessimism. Related Reading: XRP Price About To Enter ‘Face-Melting Phase’, And The Target Is $27 Historically, every time the oscillator has hit this level—late 2011, early 2015, late 2018, March 2020, and late 2022—Bitcoin reached major cycle lows before entering strong upward trends. The chart quantifies this pattern, showing a median one-year return of +135% from the capitulation zone, with a 100% success rate across all recorded signals. For traders, this suggests that the BTC price could more than double over the next year if history repeats itself. The chart also contrasts other zones in the oscillator, illustrating the model’s cyclical reliability: the “Undervalued” zone historically produced +77% median returns, “Equilibrium” and “Overheated” zones delivered smaller gains, and the “Euphoria” band at the top often led to negative returns. In essence, the chart emphasizes that Bitcoin’s current capitulation reading may mark a rare opportunity for a major rally. By connecting extreme market lows with historically consistent gains, the oscillator provides traders a clear framework for anticipating BTC’s next potential cycle. Bearish Trend Model Meets A Generational Buy Signal Although the oscillator has a strong historical record, @DurdenBTC notes that his broader trend system currently leans bearish. This creates a tension between momentum-based trend signals and the oscillator, which indicates extreme undervaluation. The oscillator works on a damped harmonic model, where price moves around a rising long-term center line while volatility gradually compresses. Related Reading: XRP Daily Liquidity Is Pointing To A Rally To $4, Analyst Explains What’s Going On The chart shows Bitcoin trading below its harmonic center and fair value, with a negative deviation reinforcing the capitulation signal. A 90-day inset highlights a sharp drop to this lower boundary. Meanwhile, the two-year fair value estimate remains well above the current price, showing a significant gap between current levels and the modeled equilibrium. The oscillator also shows that cycle energy has reset to lower levels, similar to previous macro bottoms. Historically, these resets marked the shift from decline into accumulation phases. This does not mean price will immediately reverse, but statistically, readings like this have marked generational buying opportunities. While the analyst maintains a cautious stance aligned with the bearish trend, the -100 oscillator reading represents one of the most asymmetric setups in Bitcoin’s cycle history. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

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Crypto analyst Amonyx recently drew attention to a CNBC video in which XRP was described as the hottest crypto trader of the year, ahead of Bitcoin and Ethereum. This comes as the XRP ETFs continue to see inflows even as other crypto funds see outflows.  Why The Altcoin Is The Top Trade Over Bitcoin and Ethereum In an X post, Amonyx shared the CNBC video in which XRP was described as the top trade ahead of Bitcoin and Ethereum. The analyst then questioned whether the market was seeing something or about to. CNBC’s Mackenzie Sigalos noted that the token was already gaining a lot of attention towards the end of last year, with investors piling into the XRP ETFs while the spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs saw outflows.  Related Reading: What Happens To The XRP Price If It Follows The Amazon Trend And Begins Parabola She further stated that these investors likely saw XRP as a less crowded trade than Bitcoin and Ethereum as crypto prices declined in the fourth quarter of last year. Sigalos added that this trade had paid off, considering that the altcoin recorded a 20% gain at the start of the year. Meanwhile, she also touched on XRP’s use case and why it might be gaining so much attention.  The CNBC news host noted that XRP and Solana are the two most popular altcoins right now and that XRP has gained prominence for its utility in cross-border payments. Sigalos also suggested that XRP, alongside Solana, may have an edge over Bitcoin and Ethereum in terms of having more room to rally to the upside.  Regarding blockchain adoption, she noted that users and investors may be turning to cheaper, faster networks like Solana over Bitcoin and Ethereum, especially for payments and tokenization. The XRP Ledger is also gaining traction for tokenization, recently surpassing Solana in terms of tokenized value on the network, according to RWA.xyz.  XRP ETFs Continue To See Inflows SoSoValue data shows that the XRP ETFs continue to see daily net inflows even as the crypto market wavers. These funds are currently on a five-day streak of consecutive net inflows and have notably only seen six days of outflows since the start of the year. They currently boast net assets of $1.02 billion, which represents 1.20% of XRP’s market cap. Related Reading: Analyst Says XRP’s $15 Target Has Still Not Changed – Here’s Why However, the XRP funds recorded lower inflows than the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana funds last week. A CoinShares report revealed that the XRP funds saw weekly flows of $1.9 million last week. On the other hand, the BTC, ETH, and SOL funds recorded weekly flows of $881.5 million, $116.9 million, and $53.8 million.  At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.36, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

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After the Bitcoin price recovered from the flush to $63,000 over the last week, expectations are that the uptrend could continue. This has sparked predictions for the next rally and that the BTC price could move above $70,000 as a result of this. However, one analyst has thrown a wrench in this move, predicting that there could be another crash coming. This could lead to the final bottom, but suggests that much lower prices are coming first. The Ending Diagonal That Suggests Bitcoin Is Headed Downward EduwaveTrading posted an analysis on the TradingView website that paints a rather bearish picture for the Bitcoin price, at least in the short term. This prediction has to do with Bitcoin not reaching the previous swing low, and this could mean that there is another wave coming to help it hit that swing low. Related Reading: How High Will The Dogecoin Price Be If Bitcoin Reaches $200,000? As a result of the swing low not being hit, the crypto analyst suggests that Bitcoin could have dropped into an expanding ending diagonal pattern. This pattern, despite the recovery, points to another possible downward move. This move would be the start of a deeper downtrend that sends it to new yearly lows. The swing low target here lies just above $62,000 and could be a magnet for the price at this point. If the expanding ending diagonal pattern plays out, it means there is one more flush left. Once the swing low is broken, the analyst points out that Bitcoin could drop further below $59,000 before finding support again. Given this pattern, the crypto analyst suggests that investors may want to wait for this next flush to play out before doing anything. Only then would it be ‘safe’ to enter into Bitcoin, in order to avoid further losses. BTC Is Still Very Bearish Just like EduwaveTrading, another crypto analyst, Behdark, has predicted that Bitcoin will see another crash. This time around, the analyst points to the takeout on the downtrend lined the fact that the momentum has been dropping ahead, suggesting that Bitcoin is still very bearish. Related Reading: Are Institutions Killing Bitcoin And Ethereum? Here’s How They’ve Fared Since Companies Got Involved If the sellers continue to hold strong, then the crypto analyst sees Bitcoin falling toward $61,000, which coincides with the swing low that EduwaveTrading points out. Both of these analyses together say that it’s highly likely that the BTC price sees a strong move downward before establishing enough support to continue upward again. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

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Bitcoin (BTC) has wrapped up February with its fifth straight monthly loss, marking only the second time in its history that the leading cryptocurrency has printed five consecutive red candles on the monthly chart.  Upside Call Options Surge The latest decline saw Bitcoin fall to around $63,000 last Saturday, representing a roughly 15% drop for the month of February. However, the start of March has brought a modest rebound.  The asset opened the first week of the month at $68,600, posting gains of just over 3% as it attempts to reclaim the $70,000 level, which has continuously acted as a significant resistance barrier over the past several weeks. Related Reading: Dogecoin (DOGE) Slips Toward Critical Support, Breakdown Threat Emerges Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, market participants appear relatively composed. Markus Thielen, head of research at 10x Research, said traders do not anticipate the Iran conflict causing major economic disruption.  In a note to Bloomberg, Thielen said that demand for upside Bitcoin call options has increased in recent days, suggesting that some investors are positioning for a potential rally ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting. The current setup has also reignited historical comparisons. The last time Bitcoin experienced a similar string of red monthly candles was during the 2018–2019 bear market.  In that earlier cycle, the asset went on to print six consecutive monthly losses. What followed was a sharp reversal: five straight green candles and a 308% surge, with Bitcoin climbing from roughly $3,400 to $14,000. Market Watchers Split On Bitcoin Outlook Market expert Ash Crypto recently highlighted this pattern on social media, suggesting that if history were to repeat, Bitcoin could be approaching a cyclical bottom after its fifth red month.  A comparable 300% advance from current trading levels would imply a potential move toward $272,000. Such a projection, however, depends on whether the recent lows ultimately prove to be the final bottom of this correction. Related Reading: XRP Faces $650 Million Sell Risk As US-Iran Conflict Sparks Risk-Off Move Not all analysts are convinced that the downside is over. Technical analyst Virtual Bacon has outlined the possibility of further retracement before a sustained recovery can be expected.  He identified $65,000—previously an all-time high—as the first key level, noting that the price has already revisited that zone. For those who subscribe to the thesis that former highs often turn into support, he suggested that the opportunity may already be present. A deeper pullback, in his view, could bring Bitcoin toward $58,000, where the 200-week simple moving average (SMA) currently sits. Historically, that long-term indicator has played a critical role in defining market bottoms.  It helped contain the sharp selloff during the 2020 COVID-19 crash, marked the absolute low in 2018, and was tested multiple times in 2015 without ever closing below it every week.  Because of this track record, the 200-week moving average has been widely regarded as one of the most reliable long-term accumulation zones in Bitcoin’s history. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

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Bitcoin price started a decent increase above $68,000 but failed at $70,000. BTC is now consolidating and might aim for more gains above $69,200. Bitcoin started a fresh increase after it settled above the $67,500 support. The price is trading above $68,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $66,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might dip again if it trades below the $67,400 and $67,000 levels. Bitcoin Price Fails At $70,000 Bitcoin price managed to form a base above the $65,500 zone. BTC started a fresh increase and was able to surpass the $66,500 resistance zone. The price even rallied above the $68,000 resistance. Besides, there was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $66,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Finally, the bears appeared near $70,000. A high was formed at $70,100, and the price recently corrected some gains. There was a move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $63,030 swing low to the $70,100 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $68,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $67,500, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $69,200 level. The first key resistance is near the $69,500 level. A close above the $69,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $70,000 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $70,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $70,850 and $71,200. Downside Continuation In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $70,000 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $68,000 level. The first major support is near the $67,500 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $63,030 swing low to the $70,100 high. The next support is now near the $65,650 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $65,000 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $64,200, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $68,000, followed by $67,500. Major Resistance Levels – $69,200 and $70,000.

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Crypto Exchange-Traded Products (ETPs), led by Bitcoin (BTC) funds, have broken their one-month negative streak after recording significant inflows over the last week, signaling renewed demand for the digital asset-based investment products amid broader market weakness and geopolitical tensions. Related Reading: Crypto’s Quietest Month In Nearly A Year — But Hackers Haven’t Gone Away Crypto Funds Break Out Of Multi-Week Bleeding In its latest Digital Asset Fund Flows Weekly Report, CoinShares revealed that crypto investment products recorded around $1 billion in inflows during the last week, breaking out of the multi-billion-dollar outflow streak that began mid-January with no notable outflows. Crypto-based funds saw cumulative outflows of $4 billion during the previous five weeks, driven by market weakness and overall negative sentiment. Notably, the US market accounted for most of the negative net flows, while Bitcoin ETPs showed the weakest performance among major cryptocurrencies, recording over $3.80 billion in outflows since January 23. Now, funds based on the flagship cryptocurrency showed the strongest performance, with over $881 million in inflows, according to CoinShares’ data. Although the $3.7 million in inflows into short Bitcoin investment products highlights that the opinion remains polarized, the report noted. Ethereum investment products recorded their strongest week since mid-January, registering inflows totaling $117 million. Despite this, the two largest cryptocurrencies by market cap remain in a net outflow position Year-to-Date (YTD). Conversely, Solana funds saw $53.8 million in inflows last week and $156 million in inflows YTD. In addition, the US accounted for most inflows, with $957 million, while Canada, Germany, and Switzerland saw continued inflows of $34.1 million, $31.7 million, and $28.4 million, respectively. “From a macro standpoint, it is difficult to attribute the shift in sentiment to a single catalyst. However, prior price weakness, a break below key technical levels, and renewed accumulation by large Bitcoin holders appear to have contributed to the reversal,” explained James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares. “At a more anecdotal level, recent client discussions have been almost entirely focused on identifying entry points rather than reducing exposure to the asset class,” he continued. Bitcoin ETF Investors Show Diamond Hands Amid last week’s rebound, Nate Geraci, co-founder of the ETF Institute, highlighted US spot Bitcoin ETF investors, who have “largely displayed diamond hands” during the market correction and negative sentiment. The ETF expert observed that Bitcoin funds’ cumulative $6.5 billion in outflows since the October 10 crash were a “drop in the bucket” compared to the $55 billion in cumulative total net inflows that the category has seen since its January 2024 debut. As reported by NewsBTC, Geraci stressed that while these major drawdowns are “a walk in the park for long-time BTC investors,” newer ETF investors also appear unfazed by the recent market conditions and are “apparently buying the dip.” Related Reading: Blood Moon Affecting Bitcoin Price? Why A Surge Above $100,000 Could Be Coming Similarly, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior ETF Analyst Eric Balchunas discusses the performance of spot Bitcoin ETFs over the past two years, affirming, “As an ETF watcher, you know just how absurd this strength amid a 50% drawdown.” He stated that the funds’ overall performance is “the real story,” rather than the $6 billion that has come out during the latest market downturn, which he concluded was normal for most assets. As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $65,582, a 2.2% decline on the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

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Bitcoin has remained in a consolidation phase since its early February breakdown below the $70,000 threshold, oscillating around the mid-$60K region without establishing a clear directional bias. The loss of $70K marked a structural shift in short-term momentum, transitioning the market from trend continuation to range-bound stabilization. While volatility has moderated, underlying stress signals suggest that the correction may not be fully resolved. Related Reading: The Distribution Trap: Why Bitcoin’s Reserve Growth Proves Sellers Still Hold The Tape According to a recent report by CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, Short-Term Holders (STH) are still carrying substantial unrealized losses. With Bitcoin trading near $66,000, this cohort’s average unrealized loss stands at approximately 26.3%. Historically, periods in which STH losses exceed 25% tend to coincide with advanced phases of bear markets rather than early corrective pullbacks. In previous cycles, these losses have occasionally expanded toward 40% during capitulation events before a durable bottom formed. The current reading, therefore, places the market in a zone of elevated psychological pressure. Short-term participants, who are typically more reactive to price fluctuations, remain underwater, increasing the probability of volatility spikes if key levels fail. Short-Term Holder Losses Signal Late-Stage Stress and Strategic Accumulation Zones The current configuration of Short-Term Holder positioning reflects a classic late-correction dynamic. When STH cohorts begin to carry meaningful unrealized losses — particularly above the 25% threshold — market psychology shifts from optimism to stress. Historically, these zones have coincided with attractive long-term accumulation windows, not because downside risk disappears, but because forced selling pressure gradually exhausts itself. Long-term investors deploying systematic DCA strategies have often benefited from entering during these compressed conditions. The relationship between STH profitability and trend development is equally instructive. Sustained bullish expansions typically begin once the average unrealized profit of STH reclaims positive territory. That shift signals renewed structural demand strong enough to lift recent buyers back into profit. However, excessive profitability can also destabilize trends. In this cycle, readings near 20% average profit have coincided with overheated conditions and subsequent pullbacks, as profit-taking accelerates. At present, with STH deeply underwater, the broader structure remains bearish from a cyclical standpoint. Momentum has not yet transitioned into expansion. Yet paradoxically, these stress phases often represent asymmetric positioning opportunities. The key distinction lies in timeframe: tactically fragile in the short term, but strategically constructive for disciplined capital deployment. Related Reading: Ethereum’s Market Order Imbalance Hits Record Negatives: $1,850 Is Now The Line In The Sand Bitcoin Compresses Below Moving Averages as $62K–$69K Range Tightens On the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin remains locked in a tight consolidation band around the $66,000 level after the sharp early-February breakdown. The structure is clearly corrective: price is trading below the 50, 100, and 200-period moving averages, all of which are sloping downward. This alignment confirms short-term bearish momentum, even as volatility compresses. Repeated attempts to reclaim the 100-period moving average (green) have failed, reinforcing it as dynamic resistance near the $68,000–$69,000 zone. Meanwhile, the 200-period average (red), positioned higher around the low-$70Ks, marks a broader trend ceiling. As long as price remains beneath these levels, upside attempts are likely to encounter supply. Related Reading: Engine Stalled: How The $8 Billion ‘October Shock’ Left Bitcoin’s Spot Market In A Liquidity Trap On the downside, the $62,000–$63,000 region continues to act as horizontal support. The sharp wick earlier in February suggests aggressive liquidation-driven selling into that area, followed by a reflex bounce. However, subsequent rebounds have printed lower highs, indicating that buyers lack follow-through. Volume has tapered off compared to the breakdown phase, suggesting temporary equilibrium rather than accumulation. The current compression reflects indecision, not strength. A decisive 4-hour close above $69K would challenge the bearish structure, while a loss of $62K would likely trigger renewed downside expansion. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

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Solana has spent weeks compressing inside a tightening range, with price action forming a structure that suggests a breakout is brewing. As volatility contracts, pressure continues to build within the pattern. A decisive move above $88.60 could serve as the trigger bulls have been waiting for, potentially unleashing a sharp, impulsive rally as stored momentum is released. Volatility Squeeze On Solana — Triangle About To Resolve Solana has been trading within a tight sideways range for the past three weeks, gradually forming what appears to be a triangle pattern on the chart. Related Reading: Crypto Trader Predicts Solana 50% Price Crash To $30 If This Level Breaks According to More Crypto Online, a decisive break above the Sunday high at $88.60 would serve as the first clear indication that bulls are stepping back in with strength. Such a move would suggest that the triangle formation is nearing completion and could mark the beginning of a sustained upside breakout. Triangle patterns are particularly important because they often precede aggressive expansions. As price continues to coil within the structure, volatility contracts, and pressure build. This compression phase stores energy, increasing the probability that the eventual breakout will be forceful rather than gradual. Once price clears a key boundary, the release of that built-up momentum can trigger a sharp and impulsive move.  200 SMA And Range Hold Key To $85 Reclaim In a recent Solana analysis, Umair Crypto emphasized that the key level to watch is BTC’s pair 200 SMA and range structure. A sustained hold above these levels would open the door for an $85 reclaim. However, failure to maintain that strength would likely keep SOL trapped in the broader $77–$90 consolidation range, a scenario that has now persisted for 24 days, with no structural change since the initial call. Related Reading: Solana Reclaims $80 Amid Friday Market Bounce – Analysts Set Next Targets Structurally, the two pairs are telling different stories. On the USDT chart, SOL continues to print lower highs, signaling weakness. Meanwhile, the BTC pair is showing relative strength, forming higher highs and suggesting a more constructive trend. This divergence creates a pivotal moment where resolution could tilt either bullish or bearish, depending on which structure ultimately confirms. At present, the BTC pair has pushed above its range and reclaimed the 4H 200 SMA. However, Umair Crypto cautions that this setup has failed before, causing the price to slip back below the 200 SMA and re-entering the range, invalidating the breakout. For a true breakout scenario to activate, the BTC pair must hold above both the range and the 200 SMA with a clean retest. If that happens, strength could transfer to the USDT pair, making the $85 point of control a key reclaim target. If not, further rotation within the $77–$90 range remains the most likely outcome. In short: no confirmed hold, no confirmed breakout, BTC pair confirms, USDT executes. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

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The Bitcoin and Ethereum prices plunged sharply over the weekend as missiles flew across the Middle East, exposing just how quickly geopolitical crises can send shockwaves through the financial markets. A joint US and Israel strike on Iran triggered a violent selloff that wiped out billions of dollars from the crypto market in a matter of hours. Fresh reports now indicate that Bitcoin and Ethereum are beginning to recover. Still, with geopolitical tensions continuing to escalate, it remains uncertain whether this renewed momentum can be sustained.  Bitcoin Price Recovers After US-Israel War Fueled Crash Geopolitical shockwaves rattled global financial markets this past weekend as a joint US and Israeli military operation against Iran sent Bitcoin into a sharp but brief decline, wiping out millions of dollars in long positions before a partial recovery took hold. Notably, BTC plummeted to nearly $63,000 overnight following the coordinated strikes on Iranian military targets.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Has Officially Entered Bearish Territory, And It’s Headed To $35,000; Chart Shows Within 45 minutes of Israel launching its assault, Bitcoin shed $2,500 in value, while more than $200 million worth of long positions were liquidated in just one hour. The broader crypto market saw roughly $72 billion wiped out amid the chaos. The sell-off was swift and severe, with major exchange players including Binance, Coinbase, and trading firm Winternute offloading more than $3.5 billion in Bitcoin within a 20-minute window. This further added downward pressure to the already declining and volatile market. Despite the carnage, Bitcoin has since climbed back above $66,000, according to CoinMarketCap data, though volatility remains elevated as the Middle East conflict shows no signs of immediate resolution.  Market analysts were quick to explain the technical reasons behind BTC’s price decline. One expert noted that Bitcoin did not crash for no reason. She explained that because it was the most accessible and highest volume asset that trades around the clock, it was significantly exposed to weekend fear and panic selling compared to other major asset classes.  Ethereum Price Rebounds After Massive Sell-Off Ethereum also took a hit alongside Bitcoin following news of the US-Israel war. ETH dropped roughly 10% within just one hour of the news breaking, falling below $1,900 and erasing all the gains it had made when it briefly touched $2,000 last week. At its lowest point, Ethereum fell to around $1,850 before rebounding back above $1,950.  Related Reading: Are Institutions Killing Bitcoin And Ethereum? Here’s How They’ve Fared Since Companies Got Involved Notably, the crash triggered sharp declines in Ethereum derivatives markets, with millions of dollars in liquidations. A large percentage of those liquidations came from long positions, suggesting that traders who had bet on Ethereum rising were hit the hardest.  In the broader context, the Ethereum price was already experiencing a downturn, meaning the geopolitical shock had compounded an already painful downtrend for ETH holders. In addition to Ethereum, other altcoins, such as XRP, saw major sell-offs as geopolitical tensions rose. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

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When markets are closed and Bitcoin is moving, the custody agreement decides who can act. A spot Bitcoin ETF fixed an awkward problem for finance. Bitcoin used to arrive as software, keys, and operational responsibility. The ETF repackaged it as a ticker that sits next to every other ticker. That convenience came with a structural […]
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Wall Street’s attitude toward Bitcoin has flipped from euphoric to deeply skeptical after last year’s crowded long trade unraveled, according to Galaxy Digital head of research Alex Thorn. In an interview on What Bitcoin Did, Thorn said the shift has less to do with conspiracy theories or a single bearish catalyst than with exhausted demand, heavy long-term holder selling, and a market now struggling to find a fresh narrative. Thorn pushed back on claims that firms such as Jane Street are to blame for Bitcoin’s weakness, calling that line of thinking “Twitter cope.” He argued that most of the outrage reflects frustration with price action rather than evidence of deliberate suppression. “What do we think the actual incentive would be for them to suppress the price?” Thorn said. “Bitcoin’s a multi-trillion, well whatever it is, one-point-something-trillion-dollar asset. It’s hard to manipulate markets of scale in a specific direction because it is a free market and it’s a large one.” – bitcoin didn’t crash because of jane street – whale distribution was significant, inevitable, necessary, healthy – wall st negativity on BTC is real but wrong – bitcoin’s fundamental value is real and right – you need to be robotmaxxing or you’ll be forever framemogged https://t.co/GUMAARf7Pl pic.twitter.com/QQhDy3RNrg — Alex Thorn (@intangiblecoins) February 28, 2026 Why Wall Street Is Wrong On Bitcoin His broader explanation was more straightforward. From late 2024 through the period between the US election and inauguration, he said, being long Bitcoin was “the most popular trade in the world.” That changed as capital rotated elsewhere. AI-linked equities, semiconductor names, energy plays, quantum stocks and gold all began attracting attention, while Bitcoin’s momentum faded. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whale Inflows On Binance Reach Highest Level Since 2022 At the same time, Thorn said, long-term holders were consistently distributing coins into strength. He described that selling as structural rather than alarming. “That’s literally how distribution occurs and it’s how you make money in a trade,” he said, arguing that older holders taking gains is part of Bitcoin’s maturation rather than a sign of failure. He went further, framing the whale distribution as constructive for the network over the long run. “Technically you want more selling. You want it distributed to people who buy it at a higher cost basis,” Thorn said. “The realized price is higher and that’s a good thing. That means people, with enormous amounts of money, are willing to buy Bitcoin at really high prices. To me that’s a core signal of adoption.” Still, Thorn acknowledged that sentiment has deteriorated sharply, especially among professional investors. In his view, Bitcoin’s failure since September to behave like “digital gold” damaged the story many allocators had bought into. Wall Street, he said, took that label too literally. Related Reading: Fidelity Thinks Bitcoin May Be Leaving Its 80% Crashes Behind “We didn’t mean it was going to trade with a high beta to GLD,” Thorn said. “Its features are gold-like. Its trading behavior hasn’t fully caught up to that yet. The delta between those two things, if you believe it eventually closes, that’s your alpha.” That mismatch has helped sour institutional mood just as broader macro fears have worsened. Thorn said investors are anxious about AI from both directions: that it may fail to justify massive capex, or succeed so thoroughly that it destroys jobs and destabilizes markets. If equities roll over on the back of that uncertainty, he suggested, Bitcoin may struggle to stay insulated. Even so, Thorn drew a line between short-term sentiment and long-term conviction. “We really should focus on explaining its fundamental purpose and use cases and value to a holder of Bitcoin as the reason that it goes up,” he said. “Stop begging for Jay Powell to buy your bags. That’s not nearly as durable as the reason it going up being that people deeply understand the savings technology that is Bitcoin.” For Thorn, that is the real story now: Wall Street may have turned negative, but the longer-term battle is still about whether more investors come to see Bitcoin as a durable store-of-value asset rather than a passing macro trade. At press time, BTC traded at $66,109. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

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An important long-term technical signal is still flashing bullish as Bitcoin approaches an important point on the higher timeframe charts. According to CMT-certified analyst Tony Severino, the monthly SuperTrend indicator for BTCUSD has held support and is yet to display an active sell signal, even with recent market dynamics leading to contention as to whether the cycle has flipped bearish. His chart highlighted an interesting development on the one-month timeframe, where the structure has not yet transitioned into a confirmed sell. Monthly SuperTrend Still In Buy Mode In his post on X, Severino focused on the Bitcoin BTCUSD 1M chart and noted that the SuperTrend indicator has held support and kept its active buy signal. The monthly timeframe is particularly significant because it filters out short-term noise and shows a clear view of the broader cycle. Related Reading: XRP Daily Liquidity Is Pointing To A Rally To $4, Analyst Explains What’s Going On The accompanying chart shows Bitcoin trading around $66,300, with the SuperTrend level sitting just above $66,400. However, the indicator is still printing green on the monthly timeframe, which means that the macro trend has not flipped bearish. A monthly close below the SuperTrend line is what has always confirmed a sell signal, and that has not happened. The visual structure in the chart also shows how previous bear markets were characterized by a clear transition from green to red on the SuperTrend. At present, that transition has not occurred. Instead, the Bitcoin price is consolidating around the SuperTrend support. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @TonySeverinoCMT On X Is The Bottom Close Or Is More Patience Needed? Severino added an important caveat. According to him, almost all bear markets initially hold at support for a month or three before eventually turning into a sell signal. That observation points out that simply holding support does not automatically invalidate bearish risk. Although the analyst acknowledged that bear markets can linger at support before failing, he noted that the bottom is usually close after such behavior.  Related Reading: 5 Monthly Red Candles: How XRP Is About To Create A Historical Losing Streak Bitcoin ended February 14.8% below its monthly open, but it has managed to hold above the SuperTrend. That said, a confirmed monthly breakdown below the SuperTrend would materially change the outlook. Until that happens, the indicator is demonstrating that Bitcoin is still in a bullish structure. Severino later shared another post discussing a separate analysis based on the quarterly Ichimoku indicator. In that analysis, he stated that historical evidence and data suggest Bitcoin could fall another 38% to 66% from current levels. A decline of that magnitude would imply a Bitcoin bear market bottom anywhere from $40,000 to $25,000. Severino followed up in another post with a comment saying, “Sell, says the SuperTrend.” At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $66,000, down by 1.6% in the past 24 hours. The monthly structure has not fully broken, but the warnings indicate that the cryptocurrency may not be out of danger just yet. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

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Crypto analyst Pure has indicated that the blood moon could be having an impact on the trajectory of the Bitcoin price. The analyst drew attention to historical trends, suggesting this might be the case and that a rally above $100,000 may be on the cards.  A Bitcoin Price Rally Above $100,000 May Be On The Cards In an X post, Pure drew attention to a potential correlation between the Blood Moons over the last 12 years and the Bitcoin price action. Based on this, the analyst’s chart suggested that BTC could still rally above $100,000 soon enough, potentially reaching the current all-time high (ATH) of $126,000. The chart also showed that there had typically been at least three Blood Moons in each of the past three BTC cycles.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Buying Just Ramped Up Into The Billions Again, Is It Time To Get Back In? The third Blood Moon in each of those past cycles had notably marked a bottom for the Bitcoin price, with the leading crypto reaching new highs afterward. Now, a third Blood Moon is set to occur in this cycle after the ones that occurred on March 14 and September 7 last year. As such, there is the possibility that BTC could bottom again if history were to repeat itself.  Pure also noted that the next Blood Moon after tomorrow will occur after three years, indicating that it is the Blood Moon that could mark the bottom since none other is going to happen in this cycle. The analyst also admitted that this could mean that the max pain is about to end with a potential bullish reversal on the horizon for the Bitcoin price.  BTC Still In A Bear Market Regardless Of A Relief Bounce Market expert Benjamin Cowen reiterated that BTC is still in a bear market, though a relief bounce may be on the cards amid U.S.-Iran tensions. In an X post, Cowen noted that risk assets often sell off, then bounce as major conflicts begin. If a rally for the Bitcoin price occurs, the expert noted that it will likely result in a lower high in March, just like it did in 2022. Related Reading: Bitcoin Has Officially Entered Bearish Territory, And It’s Headed To $35,000; Chart Shows Cowen also noted that bear markets tend to take a while to play out. His accompanying chart showed that the Bitcoin price bounced after the war between Russia and Ukraine began in 2022, but formed a lower high, leading to a deeper long-term decline before it bottomed. Notably, BTC bottomed year-end 2022 back then, which also coincides with Cowen’s prediction that BTC may bottom in the fourth quarter of this year.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $66,600, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

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Bitcoin saw its price crash toward $60,000 last week, and naturally, investor sentiment took a plunge with it. Now, while the sentiment has been in a decline for the better part of five months, what stands out this time is how low the score on the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index has gotten. In fact, the sentiment surrounding the crypto market has dropped so low that it has gotten to a point that has only been hit twice in the history of Bitcoin. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Crashes To 9 Since hitting its all-time high of $126,000 back in August 2025, the sentiment has been ping-ponging, but now, it seems to have determined a direction. The trend has been mainly downward, and then last week, the index dropped to a low of 9. Related Reading: Analyst Says XRP’s $15 Target Has Still Not Changed – Here’s Why The Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index tracks the sentiment across the market using a number of factors, such as social sentiment and volume, among others. Thus, it gives a rather comprehensive view of how investors are feeling toward the market. The index ranges from 1-100, with 100-75 being Extreme Greed, 74-54 being Greed, 53-47 being Neutral, 46-26 being Fear, and 25-1 being Extreme Fear. Presently, the market is sitting in Extreme Fear, which means that investors are wary of getting into the market. More importantly, though, the last two times that the market sentiment was this low were the 2018-2019 bear market and then the FTX crypto exchange crash back in 2022. What’s interesting about these two different posts in history is what followed after the sentiment dropped this low. The initial reaction to this seems to be very similar, with a long accumulation trend following each time. Usually, this trend lasts for a few months, suggesting that the market is using this time to build up momentum. Related Reading: How High Will The Dogecoin Price Be If Bitcoin Reaches $200,000? However, like clockwork, there has been a steady upward move, meaning that sentiment this low could mark the end of the bear market. This then leads to the start of the bull market, and by the next year, the price is often hitting new all-time highs. Using this trend, it is likely that the Bitcoin price has hit or is close to hitting its bottom. In that case, a long period of accumulation could be the next course of action, and this could inevitably lead to the start of the next bull market. However, it is important to keep in mind that there have been points where Bitcoin has deviated from its set historical trend as new investors and macro factors begin to affect the financial markets. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

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Bitcoin price started a decent increase above $66,000. BTC is now consolidating above $66,000 and might aim for more gains above $67,200. Bitcoin started a fresh increase after it settled above the $65,500 support. The price is trading below $67,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $67,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might dip again if it trades below the $65,500 and $65,000 levels. Bitcoin Price Faces Key Resistance Bitcoin price managed to form a base above the $63,500 zone. BTC started a fresh increase and was able to surpass the $64,500 resistance zone. The price even rallied above the $67,000 resistance. Finally, the bears appeared near $68,000. A high was formed at $68,180, and the price recently corrected some gains. There was a move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $63,030 swing low to the $68,181 high. Bitcoin is now trading below $67,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $65,000, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $67,000 level. There is also a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $67,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The first key resistance is near the $68,200 level. A close above the $68,200 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $69,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $70,000 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $70,500 and $71,200. Downside Continuation In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $67,000 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $65,500 level. The first major support is near the $65,000 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $63,030 swing low to the $68,181 high. The next support is now near the $64,250 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $64,000 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $63,000, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $65,500, followed by $65,000. Major Resistance Levels – $67,000 and $68,200.

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The past few days have seen shocking developments on the geopolitical front, with the United States and Israel launching coordinated strikes against Iran. The operation took place on Saturday, February 28, 2026, and because cryptocurrency markets trade around the clock, Bitcoin’s price action quickly reflected the shock. Bitcoin became the world’s real-time measure of fear, plunging, recovering, and leaving traders bracing for what comes next. Related Reading: Vitalik Buterin Lays Out A Plan To Make Ethereum 1,000 Times More Capable The Initial Shock: Bitcoin Tumbles Below $64,000 Bitcoin’s price action took a hit almost as soon as reports emerged that US and Israeli forces were conducting military operations inside Iran. Notably, Bitcoin plunged from a price of $65,572 to $63,176 in about an hour overnight following word of the strikes.  According to data from The Kobeissi Letter, over $100 million worth of leveraged Bitcoin longs were liquidated in just 15 minutes after the news broke out. The scale of the sell-off was significant: about $128 billion was wiped off the overall crypto market in a single hour as liquidations surged across global exchanges.  However, Bitcoin did not stay down for long after the initial plunge. The largest cryptocurrency started to stage a rebound as traders speculated on unfolding developments, including confirmation of the death of Iran’s supreme leader Ali Khamenei during the attacks. Early Asian trading saw BTC climb back above $67,000, regaining some ground as markets reevaluated the situation and eased momentary panic.  Bitcoin rose as much as 2.21% above $68,000 following the news of Khamenei’s death, with Coingecko data pointing to an intraday high of $68,043. Still, the recovery has been uneven, with price action reflecting ongoing uncertainty over how the geopolitical tensions will be resolved. At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price action has corrected a bit from this intraday high and is now trading at $66,310. What Comes Next: Analysts Warn The Rally May Be Fragile Despite the bounce, market analysts across social media platforms are recommending caution. The real price reaction will happen on Monday when US equity markets and Bitcoin ETFs reopen. As it stands, the attacks are not yet a contained event, with missiles still hitting Dubai and Iranian retaliation across the Gulf. There is also the risk of a full closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sell-Off Slows Down, But The Road To Recovery Is Long — Analyst Bitcoin is already currently down by almost 50% from its all-time peak of over $126,000 earlier in October 2024, unable to latch on to rallies in gold, silver, and other assets. All eyes will be on Monday’s market open, when the entire traditional investment niche starts to react to the full weight of the world’s most dramatic geopolitical escalation in years. Bitcoin is already in a fragile state, and because of that, a move to $60,000 could play out during the week if there’s any form of selling pressure. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin difficulty just reset about 15% higher to roughly 144.40T. While this is neither the first nor the last, it is the largest since around 2021. The timing is important because the protocol tightened miner economics while Bitcoin has been chopping around the mid-$60,000s with repeated tests near $65,000. When blocks arrive faster than the […]
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For the better part of the last two years, spot Bitcoin ETFs were treated like a one-way door. They took Bitcoin out of keys and operational hassle and turned it into a ticker that fit inside every normal portfolio. Money came in, shares got created, and Bitcoin had a steady, legitimate source of demand. Across […]
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With the Bitcoin price evidently in a bear cycle, there were not a lot of positives to take from the market’s performance in the past month. According to a recent on-chain observation, March seems set to be a continuation of the worrying trend, as a relevant metric paints a bearish picture for the world’s leading cryptocurrency. Whale Activity Rouses Expectations Of Sell Pressure  In a recent Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, analyst Arab Chain revealed a critical change in Bitcoin’s whale behavior, as reflected on the Binance Whale To Exchange Flow. This metric tracks the total amount of Bitcoin transferred by large holders into Binance over a 30-day period.  Related Reading: Bitcoin ETF Investors Show Diamond Hands: Only $6.5B In Outflows Since October 10 According to Arab Chain, the whale inflow to Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, spiked to as high as $8.8 billion, marking an expansion toward new highs not seen since early 2022. Interestingly, this surge in exchange inflows was seen at the same time Bitcoin was trading at around $64,000. Arab Chain further explained that the sudden, large exchange inflows from these BTC whales suggest a significant rise in the activity of this investor group. According to historical data, these large movements to trading platforms indicate the intentions of whales to sell.  However, more than just a signal of potential sell pressure, this event could also be an indication that Bitcoin’s whales are reallocating their positions. Regardless of the prevalent intent among this investor group, it appears that these whales are preparing for a major move or shift in the Bitcoin market. Arab Chain also referenced observations from comparing the current move to that which occurred in 2021. According to the analytics group, 2021 “saw price peaks followed by sharp corrections after waves of large whale inflows to exchanges.” — and because this is recurring today, it might be a sign of “increased potential selling pressure, or at least a willingness among large investors to manage risk at elevated price levels.” But then, Arab Chain pointed out that surges in exchange inflows do not necessarily mean a bearish period would follow, as some cycles only witnessed high volatility before price continued to expand. Nonetheless, the present conditions reveal that the Bitcoin market is at a “crossroads,” where its price action in the coming weeks could be pivotal in determining what’s next for the asset.  Bitcoin Price At A Glance At the time of this writing, the price of BTC stands at $67,960, reflecting a nearly 3% jump in the past 24 hours.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Historical Cycle Pattern Points To $31,500 Bottom Target – Details Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView