Extended mine clearance in the Strait of Hormuz could disrupt global shipping and trade, impacting oil prices and economic stability.
The post Pentagon: Mine clearance in Strait of Hormuz may take six months appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Iran's toll system in the Strait of Hormuz complicates diplomatic resolutions, increasing geopolitical tensions and economic control.
The post Iran collects first revenue from Strait of Hormuz tolls, deterring ships appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
China's cautious monetary policy may prioritize stability over growth, potentially increasing downside risks for future GDP projections.
The post China considers slower lending rate cuts amid economic stability focus appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
SoFi's XRP trading launch highlights the need for regulatory clarity to drive significant market shifts and investor confidence.
The post SoFi adds XRP trading amid stagnant market odds for price surge appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The Senate's decision may escalate US-Iran tensions, reducing chances for diplomatic resolutions and increasing market volatility.
The post US Senate rejects resolution to limit Trump’s war powers on Iran appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Bitcoin Magazine Pro lead analyst Matt Crosby says traders relying on Bitcoin’s traditional four-year cycle may be leaning on a framework that no longer fits the market. In his latest analysis, Crosby argued that structural shifts in supply, institutional demand and macro liquidity now matter more than the old halving-driven playbook. Bitcoin’s Old Cycle Playbook Is Breaking Down Crosby’s core claim is straightforward: Bitcoin may already be trading in a different regime. Pointing to the fact that more than 20 million BTC are now in circulation, he said over 95% of the total eventual supply has already been issued, reducing the relative shock value of each new halving. Historically, halvings cut Bitcoin’s inflation rate in half and helped shape a familiar pattern of post-halving rallies, then drawdowns and recovery into the next cycle. Crosby said that pattern may now be losing force. “Many people are looking towards the previous cycles as a potential for what Bitcoin will do this time,” he said. “We can’t bottom out anytime soon. We need to wait until at least a year has passed from that peak, because that’s what we’ve always done.” Crosby pushed back on that logic, adding that he has “concrete evidence” for why the old cycle should no longer be treated as the base case. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Rebuild As Futures Metric Hits 4-Month High Much of that evidence, in his view, comes from demand. Crosby highlighted the scale of accumulation now coming from large treasury buyers and spot Bitcoin ETFs, saying Strategy alone has been acquiring more than 1,000 BTC per day, or roughly two to three times Bitcoin’s daily inflation rate. He also pointed to a recent day in which spot ETFs bought nearly $750 million worth of Bitcoin. That kind of persistent demand, he argued, is materially different from the market structure seen in earlier cycles. Rather than anchoring on calendar-based cycle models or seasonality, Crosby said investors should watch liquidity and broader macro conditions. He cited a 96.26% long-term correlation between the S&P 500 and global M2 liquidity, along with a 93% correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P over 15 years on a monthly basis. Bitcoin itself, he said, shows an 85% correlation to global liquidity, reinforcing the idea that liquidity expansion and contraction remain the dominant force behind major moves. Crosby also challenged the usefulness of election-cycle seasonality. While Bitcoin’s midterm years have sometimes posted strong average returns, he noted that median returns are negative and that the sample size remains thin. Gold and equities, by contrast, do not show the same kind of clean political-cycle pattern. For Crosby, that makes seasonality a weak foundation for market calls. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull Score Index Turns Neutral For First Time This Bear Market He also argued that Bitcoin looks different when measured against gold rather than the US dollar. On that basis, he said, Bitcoin may have topped in late 2024 and already spent more than a year in a relative bear phase, potentially bottoming around February 2026. That, he suggested, is another sign the classic four-year cycle has already begun to break down. The more actionable signals, Crosby said, are coming from on-chain and macro indicators. He pointed to Coin Days Destroyed and Value Days Destroyed as tools that have historically flagged major tops and attractive accumulation zones, and said Bitcoin has recently re-entered an area that previously aligned with undervaluation. At the same time, he noted that US consumer sentiment in April 2026 fell to 47.6%, which he described as the lowest reading on record, while manufacturing expectations and liquidity conditions have started to improve. “At some point, it’s inevitable this four-year cycle is going to break,” Crosby said. “We are seeing fresh liquidity entering the system. We are seeing the S&P 500 rally. We are seeing more positivity in manufacturing outlooks, and we are seeing incredible negativity, not just in Bitcoin, but in sentiment across equity markets as well.” His conclusion was not that risk has disappeared. It was that the market may no longer reward waiting for an “arbitrary date on a calendar.” If Crosby is right, the next big Bitcoin move will be shaped less by inherited cycle lore and more by the harder forces of liquidity, positioning and sustained institutional demand. At press time, BTC traded at $78,144. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The San Francisco-based firm is raising for its seventh early-stage fund and second growth fund, which are expected to be completed in the next five to six months.
The closure heightens geopolitical tensions, disrupts global oil supply, and diminishes prospects for US-Iran diplomatic engagement.
The post Iran closes Strait of Hormuz over ceasefire breaches, complicating US talks appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The blockade's impact on oil prices could strain global economic policies, influencing inflation and geopolitical strategies significantly.
The post Iran halts oil exports as Strait of Hormuz blockade impacts prices appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Iran's hardline stance may hinder diplomatic progress, impacting regional stability and increasing geopolitical tensions with the US.
The post Iran halts US talks unless Washington admits defeat, says deputy speaker appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The US-mediated talks could stabilize regional tensions, but any ceasefire breakdown risks escalating conflict and market volatility.
The post US hosts talks as Lebanon seeks ceasefire extension with Israel appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The lack of urgency in negotiations may prolong tensions, reducing the likelihood of a timely resolution and impacting regional stability.
The post Trump says no time pressure on Iran ceasefire talks as peace deal odds drop appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Hezbollah's conditional ceasefire commitment could stabilize regional tensions, fostering potential diplomatic progress if Israel complies.
The post Hezbollah commits to ceasefire if Israel complies, diplomatic talks possible appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Rising tensions in Hormuz could hinder diplomatic efforts, impacting global markets and increasing geopolitical instability.
The post Iran seizes ships in Hormuz, Trump demands talks within days appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The Digital Asset Market Structure CLARITY Act is hitting a key moment, with Senate talks now slipping into May due to delays around stablecoin rules. Most issues are close to being sorted, but timing is becoming the real problem. According to the reports, with a tight calendar and a possible July vote window, the bill …
The incident exacerbates US-Iran tensions, reducing chances for diplomatic breakthroughs and impacting global oil and nuclear negotiations.
The post Trump reveals ‘gift from China’ on seized Iranian tanker amid US-Iran tensions appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The Iran conflict accelerates Europe's shift to solar, impacting global commodity markets and highlighting vulnerabilities in energy supply chains.
The post Iran war boosts European solar demand, pressures silver, oil prices appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Increased geopolitical tensions may impact global oil markets, but current trading suggests limited immediate effect on oil prices.
The post US intercepts Iranian oil supertankers, escalating Strait of Hormuz tensions appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The IRGC's actions in the Strait of Hormuz could escalate tensions, impacting global trade routes and prompting potential military responses.
The post IRGC Navy seizes container ship in Strait of Hormuz, contradicts Trump claims appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The airstrike exacerbates geopolitical instability, potentially influencing Netanyahu's political future and escalating regional conflicts.
The post Israeli airstrike in Gaza kills five civilians, raises regional tensions appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Looting incidents risk escalating tensions, potentially destabilizing the fragile truce and impacting diplomatic and market dynamics.
The post Israeli soldiers looting homes in Lebanon could strain ceasefire efforts appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
When Charles Hoskinson and others in the crypto space talk about operating with regulatory clarity today, one name rarely gets the credit it deserves: Ripple. That is the argument analyst Bradley Kimes made in a recent podcast, and it is starting to cut through as new money flows into crypto and asks the obvious question …
Rising tensions could destabilize regional security, impact global markets, and alter diplomatic relations, necessitating close monitoring.
The post State Department urges Americans to exit Middle East amid Iran tensions appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The interception exacerbates US-Iran tensions, diminishing diplomatic resolution prospects and impacting market confidence in peace deals.
The post US intercepts Iranian oil tankers, complicating peace deal prospects appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Geopolitical tensions may drive inflation fears, impacting Fed policy expectations and prompting shifts toward safe-haven investments.
The post Treasury yields rise amid US-Iran standoff; traders eye April PMI data appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Heightened tensions in the Strait of Hormuz underscore global energy vulnerability, potentially impacting geopolitical stability and economic forecasts.
The post Oil tops $100 as Iranian boats fire on ships in Strait of Hormuz appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The launch could heighten market volatility, with institutional interest and regulatory clarity crucial for sustained XRP price momentum.
The post GraniteShares launching 3x leveraged XRP ETFs amid $55M inflow appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
SK Hynix's profit surge highlights the critical role of AI chip supply in tech market dynamics, influencing NVIDIA's market position and expansion.
The post SK Hynix profit soars five-fold on AI chip demand, eyes US ADR listing appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The courtroom chaos amplifies political instability, potentially accelerating Netanyahu's exit amid growing demands for accountability.
The post Israel Supreme Court chaos adds pressure on Netanyahu amid inquiry demands appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Increased regulatory scrutiny of private credit may heighten market volatility, potentially impacting broader financial stability and equity markets.
The post Regulators scrutinize $3T private credit sector, raising S&P 500 risk concerns appeared first on Crypto Briefing.