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A seasoned crypto analyst has warned that the recent Bitcoin (BTC) price action may be setting the stage for major liquidity traps, echoing patterns seen in past cycles. As the leading cryptocurrency aims for new all-time highs, the pundit suggests that market makers could be deliberately engineering conditions for bear traps before triggering a powerful breakout.  Bitcoin Path To ATH Riddled With Liquidity Traps Crypto market expert Luca has shared intriguing insights into Bitcoin’s latest price behavior, arguing that the market may be entering a classic liquidity trap phase allegedly orchestrated by market makers. The analyst stated in an X (formerly Twitter) post that Bitcoin’s price action since topping out in late May 2025 has followed a suspicious pattern. He noted that despite experiencing several price rallies, not a single local high has been swept in the past few weeks.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price At $110,000: Why BTC Must Break Out Of This Wedge Luca suggests that this rare price structure could be a deliberate setup, giving the illusion of stability and offering false conviction in bearish positions. The analyst warns that market makers have possibly influenced this market behavior by baiting shorts into entering or holding positions with the assumption that Bitcoin could continue to be capped below resistance. Ideally, this underpins the theory that bear traps are potentially being set as BTC gears up for its next bullish rally.   Notably, multiple key resistance levels are now stacked tightly between $109,000 and $112,000, as highlighted on the analyst’s 4-hour Bitcoin chart. While BTC has been consolidating just below these levels, forming what appears to be a potential base, Luca argues that this price behavior is not a coincidence. Rather than market weakness, he believes the subdued price action reflects a calculated effort by market makers to encourage bearish complacency. The pundit interprets the deliberate avoidance of liquidity above these resistance lines as a signal that deeper bear traps are possibly being laid. Luca has revealed that this setup could be laying the groundwork for a sudden short squeeze, potentially igniting a sharp move toward a new all-time high for Bitcoin.  Analyst Says BTC 2024 Breakout Back In Play Adding historical context to his analysis, Luca compares the current market structure to a prolonged consolidation phase observed throughout 2024. On the second 8-hour chart, a clear trendline of resistance can be seen capping Bitcoin’s upside for most of the previous year.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Flashes Double Top Above $106,000: FVG Says A Large Crash Is Coming The chart shows that price action consistently failed to break above the descending barrier, with multiple attempts being rejected between March and October. Each rejection was marked by unswept highs—similar to the current market setup and suggesting that shorts were systematically being protected.  This compression finally resolved in November 2024, when Bitcoin erupted through the resistance and launched a parabolic move to new highs. That breakout was fueled by the exact mechanism Luca now believes is in motion. With historical patterns now resurfacing, the analyst maintains that Bitcoin’s ongoing suppression and untouched highs are part of a blueprint that indicates a possible bullish move toward uncharted price territory. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin briefly pushed into the $108,800 level a few hours ago but was once again unable to reclaim higher prices, reinforcing the key resistance just below its all-time high. This rejection has left the market in a state of caution, with investors expecting increased volatility in the coming sessions. As BTC continues to hover below the $109,300 mark, traders are watching closely for signs of either a confirmed breakout or a potential pullback. Related Reading: Bitcoin Struggles Below ATH After Weeks Of Failed Attempts – $109K Level In Focus Adding a new layer to the current setup, top analyst Ted Pillows shared a notable development in Bitcoin dominance. According to Pillows, the Bitcoin Dominance chart is now showing a daily bearish divergence—a classic signal that often precedes a shift in momentum from Bitcoin to altcoins. This divergence occurs when BTC dominance trends higher while momentum indicators begin to weaken, suggesting that Bitcoin’s relative strength may be peaking. For altcoin investors, this could be an early signal of a shift. Historically, bearish divergences in dominance have lead to strong altcoin rallies, as capital begins flowing from BTC into higher-beta assets. While Bitcoin consolidates near resistance, attention may soon shift toward altcoins, setting the stage for a possible altseason. Bitcoin Consolidates As Charts Signal Altcoin Rotation Following the resolution of global tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran, Bitcoin surged above the $105,000 level, signaling renewed confidence across global risk markets. The move marked a key recovery from previous uncertainty, with BTC taking back critical support and shifting focus back toward the $110,000 resistance zone. However, despite the initial breakout, Bitcoin has struggled to push into uncharted territory. Price action remains choppy and directionless, with the market hesitating ahead of what many believe could be a decisive move. Analysts continue to call for a breakout, citing strong accumulation trends, improving macroeconomic conditions, and a bullish long-term structure. Yet the inability to break above the $109,300–$110,000 range raises concerns about weakening momentum. The longer Bitcoin remains capped below resistance, the more likely it is that capital may begin to rotate into other parts of the market. Top analyst Ted Pillows recently shared key insights supporting that thesis. According to Pillows, Bitcoin dominance is showing a daily bearish divergence—a classic sign of impending trend reversal. As BTC dominance climbs but momentum weakens, it suggests that Bitcoin’s recent strength may be fading, and a shift toward altcoins could be underway. Historically, bearish divergences in BTC dominance have often preceded sharp corrections in Bitcoin and explosive rallies across the altcoin market. As Bitcoin consolidates and its dominance loses strength, conditions may be forming for the next big altseason. While nothing is guaranteed, the combination of geopolitical relief, market indecision, and technical signals suggests that a sharp rotation could be close. Traders are now watching both BTC price and dominance levels closely, knowing that once momentum shifts, the move could be swift and powerful. Related Reading: Ethereum Sees $269M In Net Inflows In 24H – Bullish Momentum Accelerates ETH/BTC Chart Shows Signs Of Reversal The ETH/BTC weekly chart reveals a prolonged downtrend that has persisted since late 2022, with Ethereum consistently underperforming against Bitcoin. Since peaking above 0.085 BTC in late 2022, the pair has steadily declined, now trading around 0.0228 BTC—a level not seen since 2020. This confirms that Bitcoin has been the clear market leader for nearly two years, adding most of the capital inflow during bullish phases while altcoins, including Ethereum, lagged behind. However, current price action shows early signs that this trend may be nearing its end. ETH/BTC appears to have found a local bottom, just above the 0.02 BTC zone, after a steep drop. Although the pair remains well below the 50 (weekly), 100, and 200 moving averages, the selling momentum has clearly slowed, and volume has begun to stabilize. Related Reading: Ethereum Holds Critical Long-Term Channel – Next Move Could Be Parabolic This phase suggests that a swing could be forming. If Ethereum can reclaim higher support levels and Bitcoin dominance continues to show bearish divergence—as noted in recent market analyses—the ETH/BTC ratio could start trending higher once again. A rotation from Bitcoin into Ethereum and other altcoins may soon follow, potentially marking the beginning of a new phase in the crypto cycle where altcoins start to outperform. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Crypto analyst Stockmoney Lizards has provided an update on the current Bitcoin price action, predicting that the flagship crypto could reach as high $145,000 later this year. The analyst alluded to a doji pattern, which supports this bullish prediction.  Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Price Rally To $145,000 In an X post, Stockmoney Lizards stated that his mid-term target for the Bitcoin price is between $135,000 and $145,000. He expects BTC to reach these targets between September and October later this year. The analyst also touched on the current price action and why he believes the flagship crypto will reach such lofty heights.  Related Reading: Extended Wave 5 Scenario Puts Bitcoin Price Above $300,000 With Step-Like Structure In Place Stockmoney noted that the Bitcoin price is trading at the upper level of the corrective channel, forming some dojis at this level. He admitted that he doesn’t know how many bounces market participants will see from BTC and what levels the crypto will test. He raised the possibility that the local bottom may be in and also that BTC could retest the $90,000 to $94,000 range.  The analyst stated that if he had to bet, he would probably predict that the Bitcoin price taps the high of the $90,000 range again. BTC had dropped to as low as $98,000 last week amid the escalated tensions between Israel and Iran. Bitcoin has since recovered following the ceasefire between both countries.  Stockmoney affirmed that the latest Bitcoin price action is a bullish formation as the flagship crypto has had an impulsive move up. He added that the current price action is not the usual money rotation with old traders selling and new traders loading up at range lows. The analyst also indicated that BTC’s rally isn’t driven by the derivatives market either.  BTC To At Least Reach $135,000 Crypto analyst Titan of Crypto has echoed Stockmoney’s prediction that the Bitcoin price could at least reach $135,000. In an X post, the analyst declared that BTC’s path to this price target remains intact. He stated that Bitcoin is now challenging the first Fibonacci extension at $107,000 after breaking out and retesting key levels.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Bullishness For Q3 Grows: What Happens In Every Post-Halving Year? Once the Bitcoin price clears this Fibonacci extension, Titan of Crypto believes that the next stop is $135,000. He revealed that the market structure supports this move, but it remains to be seen if momentum will follow. His accompanying chart showed that BTC could reach this Fibonacci extension at $135,000 by September, aligning with Stockmoney’s prediction. The chart also suggested that BTC could still rally to as high as $150,000 at some point.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $108,200, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

While Bitcoin continues to hover above the $100,000 threshold, the driving forces behind this historic consolidation phase appear to be more complex than the surface-level narratives of institutional “FOMO” and ETF euphoria. According to multiple leading analysts, a silent rotation is underway—one that suggests long-term holders are offloading their positions while corporate treasuries and institutional buyers quietly absorb the flood. OG Bitcoin Whales Are ‘Dumping’ On Wall Street Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, delivered a sobering breakdown via X on June 29, challenging the prevailing belief that Bitcoin’s price stagnation amid surging demand is anomalous. “People are wondering why BTC has been stuck at $100K so long, despite the institutional FOMO,” he wrote. “Despite what X news might suggest, it’s because Bitcoin OGs (long-term holders) have been dumping on Wall St since the ETF Launch in January 2024, unloading their positions.” Edwards, known for blending on-chain metrics with macro frameworks, pointed to a visible dynamic shift that is now being captured in blockchain data. While older coins are being redistributed, a newer class of holders—primarily treasury-oriented entities—are stepping in aggressively. “We have clearly entered the heat of [the Treasury Company] trend today as many copy-cats have entered the market,” he said, referencing his earlier prediction on Bits and Bips that corporate adoption would eventually eclipse ETF inflows in relevance. What makes this transition particularly remarkable is the data behind it. Edwards highlighted that 6-month-plus BTC holders—commonly associated with more strategic, non-speculative accumulation—have skyrocketed in the past two months. “The amount of BTC acquired in the last 2 months by this cohort has completely consumed all of the BTC unloaded by LTHs over the last 1.5 years,” he said. “Incredible.” Related Reading: Bitcoin In Stalemate With Liquidation Traps On Both Sides Of The Market This cohort’s aggressive accumulation, he added, has historically preceded bullish squeezes. “Whenever aggressive spikes in 6M+ holders occur, price usually squeezes following these periods. Short-term bullish,” Edwards remarked. However, he tempered the optimism by cautioning that broader on-chain data still signals fragility. “If the 6M+ holders (Treasury Companies) can continue their relentless buying, that should be achievable,” he noted, signaling that the flywheel has momentum, but is not yet immune to systemic pressure. Adding another layer to this developing narrative, Mauricio Di Bartolomeo, Co-founder and CSO at Ledn, offered an alternative theory. He suggested that what appears as two flows—LTHs selling and Treasury entities buying—might in fact be “the same trade.” He wrote, “Long term holders [are] selling spot to buy ETFs/BTC Treasury Cos. Even though that feels unnatural for us bitcoiners.” Di Bartolomeo framed the shift as generational, pointing out that many early adopters may simply be more comfortable in traditional financial custody rather than self-sovereign wallets. Related Reading: Analyst Spots Bitcoin Time Bomb Hidden In Bullish Weekly Chart But Edwards pushed back on that explanation, arguing that if ETF migration was driving the reclassification of long-term holders, it would be evident across multiple aging cohorts. “I don’t think so because we would have seen a similar uptrend over time in the 6M+ and 1Yr+ cohorts if that was the case,” he replied. “Some is definitely moving to equities, but it’s very typical of this stage of the Halving cycle to see LTH selling into profit.” Why Bitcoin ETF Do Not Have A 1:1 Effect On Price The apparent dissonance between rising demand and stagnant price has also prompted commentary from on-chain analyst TXMC, who warned that most observers misunderstand what actually sets Bitcoin’s price. “Bitcoin people grossly underestimate how little of the supply is actually setting the price every hour,” he wrote. He described Bitcoin’s fragmented market structure as a web of siloed exchanges, loosely synchronized through cross-exchange market-making. “Each location has its own liquidity and depth which vary wildly. A large market order can have an outsized effect depending on which exchange it is placed at, and which time of day.” TXMC argued that while ETFs and institutional desks are accumulating large quantities of Bitcoin, much of this activity is routed through OTC desks that bypass order books entirely. “These actions do not affect the price in the same way,” he said. “The desks source their own liquidity, and only have to go into the books to fill the difference.” This explanation may help reconcile why ETF inflows in the billions of dollars have failed to push BTC significantly higher. Edwards’ thesis aligns with this too, insofar as the ETF boom may be fueling redistribution rather than outright net demand. TXMC added: “Stop underestimating how many big entities are out there looking for exit liquidity.” Despite growing bullishness in cohort composition, the real test lies ahead. Whether corporate treasuries and ETF managers can absorb the remaining exit waves of Bitcoin’s earliest holders remains to be seen. But if Edwards is right, the rotation may already be past its critical phase. “The flywheel still has a long way to go,” Edwards concluded. And if history is any guide, these moments of consolidation amid redistribution tend to precede volatility—not follow it. At press time, BTC traded at $108,044. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The Bitcoin price has recently climbed back above the $108,000 mark, yet it struggles to surpass its current record of $111,800, creating a sense of uncertainty in the market.  This persistent inability to break through has characterized the cryptocurrency’s performance in recent weeks, leaving analysts to speculate on its next moves. Analyst Predicts Major Upswing  Crypto analyst Doctor Profit has outlined two potential scenarios for the Bitcoin price trajectory in the near term, offering insights into both immediate volatility and a long-term bullish outlook.  In a recent post on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), Doctor Profit emphasized the significance of the current market conditions, suggesting that Bitcoin could reach between $120,000 and $150,000 in the coming months. Related Reading: Dogecoin Silent Build-Up: Double Bottom Hints At Explosive Move To $0.47 According to Doctor Profit, the market is poised for a breakout. He noted, “We’re standing in front of a breakout, one that has the potential to send Bitcoin into the $120,000–$150,000 zone over the next few months.”  This assertion is supported by data reflecting strong on-chain activity, favorable technical structures, liquidity flow, and macroeconomic factors. While the long-term outlook appears promising, he cautioned that short-term fluctuations will remain prevalent. Two Scenarios For The Bitcoin Price Doctor Profit outlined two primary outcomes that traders should consider. The first scenario involves a bullish breakout from a bull flag pattern, allowing Bitcoin to surge past the $113,000 resistance level and continue climbing without a pullback.  However, the analyst views this scenario as overly simplistic, suggesting that market makers typically prefer not to allow such parabolic moves to occur without a preceding shakeout. The second scenario, which appears more likely, involves either a rejection at the bull flag breakout or a liquidity grab at the $113,000 mark. This would potentially lead Bitcoin to revisit the lower boundary of the current range, around $90,000 to $93,000.  Doctor Profit noted that this region is attractive because it contains significant liquidity and a notable gap in the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) futures market. He views a dip to these levels not as a bearish signal, but rather as an opportunity to accumulate more Bitcoin. In his analysis, he stated, “$93K is not bearish. It’s clearly a gift!.” Doctor Profit believes that this potential dip would not only reset market leverage but also shake out weaker hands, creating a more robust foundation for a subsequent rally. Macroeconomic Trends Favor BTC Looking at the long-term prospects, Doctor Profit highlighted that larger wallets continue to accumulate Bitcoin, indicating that major investors are positioning themselves for a significant upward movement.  He pointed to macroeconomic indicators, particularly the M2 money supply, which suggests that Bitcoin remains undervalued relative to broader economic trends.  Related Reading: TD Sequential Flashes Buy: Dogecoin Ready For Rebound To $0.21 Notably, the Bitcoin price has been trading within its current range for 226 days, which echoes patterns observed during previous accumulation phases before major price breakouts. As Doctor Profit concluded, the Bitcoin price trajectory remains optimistic, with expectations of reaching between $120,000 and $150,000 in the foreseeable future.  He notes that while there are multiple paths to achieving this target, a dip into the $90,000 to $93,000 range would provide a crucial opportunity for accumulation and set the stage for a powerful upward move. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $107,500 zone. BTC is now consolidating and might aim for a move above the $108,800 resistance. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $107,500 zone. The price is trading above $107,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $107,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it stays above the $106,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Eyes More Gains Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $105,000 zone. BTC gained pace and was able to climb above the $105,500 and $106,500 levels to enter a positive zone. The bulls pushed the price above the $107,500 resistance and the price tested the $108,800 zone. A high was formed at $108,792 and the price is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $106,477 swing low to the $108,792 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $107,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a bullish trend line forming with support at $107,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $109,800 level. The first key resistance is near the $109,200 level. A close above the $109,200 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $110,000 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $112,000 level. Downside Correction Reaction In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $108,800 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $107,800 level. The first major support is near the $107,500 level and the trend line. The next support is now near the $107,200 zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $106,477 swing low to the $108,792 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $106,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $105,500, below which BTC might gain bearish momentum. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $107,500, followed by $107,200. Major Resistance Levels – $108,800 and $110,000.

After an eventful start to the week marked by a sharp downward swing below $100,000, the Bitcoin price has recovered excellently, returning above the $107,000 mark to close the week. In spite of Bitcoin’s recent recovery, there seems to be a different sentiment in the market which, interestingly, has been growing over time. Here’s how the current growing sentiment could affect the premier cryptocurrency’s future trajectory. Short Positions Surge Over The Past 7 Days — What This Means In a June 28th post on social media platform X, cryptocurrency analytics firm Alphractal shared an interesting on-chain development in the Bitcoin market.  Related Reading: You Won’t Believe Who’s Moving Millions in Bitcoin on Binance Right Now This on-chain observation is based on the Liquidity Zone (7 Days) indicator, which measures three important data: on one hand, it is used to monitor the price movement of Bitcoin; on another, the Net Delta of open interest or positions; and, lastly, it shows the distribution of open interest at various price levels.  For a little context, the open interest Net Delta measures the difference between long and short open positions in the market. If the Net Delta reads positive, it means the buyers populate the market more. On the other hand, a negative reading means there are more short positions open than longs.  In the post on X, Alphractal pointed out that, over the span of seven days, more positions have been opened in a bet against the price of BTC. From the chart below, the red bars represent a negative Net Delta. As has been formerly explained, what this means is that the short traders currently dominate the market.  Interestingly, the shorts-dominated market does not exactly guarantee that we will experience a sell-off in the near future. This is because the high negative Net Delta was recorded at a time when Bitcoin’s price is still at a stable level, even with little growth.  When sell positions are opened in a stable but bullish market, this usually indicates that the bears might be getting trapped. If, eventually, the Bitcoin price overcomes the sell resistance, a phenomenon known as a short squeeze will occur. In this scenario, sellers will be forced to buy back at higher prices, thereby pushing the Bitcoin price to the upside. This upward momentum will then further liquidate short positions.  What’s Next For Bitcoin? There are uncertainties as to whether the Bitcoin market might break the sell resistance, or go in favour of the sellers. For this reason, Alphractal warns that those with bearish sentiment should be cautious about their next move. Related Reading: Ethereum Reclaims $2,500 In Squeeze-Driven Rally – But Can It Hold? As of this writing, Bitcoin seems stuck within a choppy range over the past day and is currently valued at $107,309. The flagship cryptocurrency’s measly growth of 0.2% in the past 24 hours pales in comparison to its seven-day rise of 5.2%. Featured image from IStock, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s price action has been relatively stable in recent days, currently trading just above $107,000 after briefly touching previous highs near $108,000.  Amid this backdrop, technical analysis from a popular crypto analyst on the TradingView platform outlined a compelling structural setup forming on Bitcoin’s daily chart. The analysis shows that Bitcoin’s action is in a compression phase that could precede a breakout to $115,000 very soon. Related Reading: Stablecoin Skepticism Grows As IMF Official Challenges Their Money Role Compression Structure Forming Below $108,000 Resistance Bitcoin’s price action is currently following movements in traditional risk assets like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, both of which have recovered following the recent de-escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Against this backdrop, crypto analyst RLinda shared an outlook on TradingView that highlights a structural setup forming on the D1 chart and predicts a breakout to as high as $115,000 if some resistance levels are cleared.  According to RLinda, Bitcoin is in the middle of a compression phase just below the $108,100 resistance level. This follows what the analyst describes as a false breakout above $100,000, which led to a brief distribution and now an active accumulation zone. The daily chart shows price action gradually tightening within the $106,500 to $108,100 range since June 25, the essence of which the analyst called a pause for a breather before a possible continuation of growth.  The current setup has already established well-defined boundaries, with support at $106,500 and $108,100 as immediate resistance. A breakout above this immediate resistance would pave the way for the next resistance around $110,400 and bring Bitcoin within striking distance of its all-time high at $111,000. On the other hand, a short-term pullback toward $105,650 is still possible before a new move to the upside. Bitcoin Price Levels To Watch Bitcoin’s price action is really pressing on this resistance level around $108,000 and is building momentum for a breakout once the price level gives way. The key resistance levels to monitor are stacked around $108,100, $108,900, and $110,400. As long as the structure between $106,500 and $108,100 holds, and Bitcoin’s price is sticky near the top of that zone, the breakout scenario becomes increasingly probable. Although there are currently no reasons for a decline on the daily and weekly candlestick charts, the analyst noted that a temporary pullback to $105,650 or even $104,650 cannot be ruled out. However, even such a pullback would likely only serve as a retest but still keep the broader setup intact.  Related Reading: The $100K Mirage: Bitcoin’s Rally Not Backed By On-Chain Strength At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $107,457, up by 0.5% in the past 24 hours. The breakout trigger is still at $108,100. If broken, Bitcoin could easily move to new highs around $115,000.  Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is currently trading around the $107,000 region after bouncing off a $99,000 low early in the week, but its progress is being capped just beneath a key resistance zone. Technical analysis shows that Bitcoin’s price is starting to coil into a wedge structure on the 1-hour chart, and crypto analyst Daan believes that the breakout from this formation could determine whether it has the strength to finally clear its most recent all-time high. Related Reading: Stablecoin Skepticism Grows As IMF Official Challenges Their Money Role Wedge Formation Stalls Bitcoin Below $108,000 Bitcoin has been consolidating within a descending wedge pattern over the past few days, as shown in the one-hour candlestick timeframe chart below. This consolidation came after Bitcoin rejected just above $108,000 on July 26.  Notably, this pattern has formed beneath the $108,351 level, which is around the previous all-time high and is an important point of resistance in the current range. The pattern reflects a tightening of price action, with lower highs squeezing the price into a narrow range. Furthermore, on-chain trading volume has been relatively stable throughout this consolidation, with no strong directional bias yet.  According to Daan’s analysis, even though this kind of setup could lead to a strong breakout, it may still take time to resolve. “It has been pretty choppy,” the analyst noted. The market’s lack of conviction is shown by Bitcoin’s repeated rejections just under the $108,000 level on multiple one-hour candlestick charts. A Clean Break Above $110k Could Change Everything Despite the relatively muted short-term moves, the wedge pattern is building pressure. A confirmed breakout above the upper resistance line, especially with a decisive close beyond $108,000 could mean the beginning of a much larger move. This close would be much more confirming on larger timeframes. Crypto analyst recommended zooming out to larger timeframes and waiting for that proper break above the $108,000 to $110,000 region. A proper breakout of Bitcoin above this range would also have a broader impact across the market and revive interest in altcoins.  Without this breakout, however, Bitcoin is stuck within what the analyst describes as a “massive resistance in a larger range.” In this scenario, the leading cryptocurrency will be at risk of another downside volatility, especially if the support at the lower boundary of the wedge fails. Related Reading: The $100K Mirage: Bitcoin’s Rally Not Backed By On-Chain Strength At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $107,447. Though the hourly price structure shows strength in rebounding from intraday lows near $106,200, Bitcoin bulls must now contend with the narrowing price action. The wedge formation shows that Bitcoin is gearing up for its next major move, but whether it will be upward or downward depends on how price reacts to the wedge boundaries and the $108,000 resistance line. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

The cryptocurrency market — specifically Bitcoin and Ethereum — has performed quite well in the second quarter of 2025, which is a stark contrast to the first quarter’s performance. The premier cryptocurrency capitalized on this bullish momentum, jumping to a new all-time high above the $111,000 mark. Similarly, the price of Ethereum started its own resurgence and reclaimed the $2,000 mark in early May, albeit the altcoin has been stuck in a consolidation range over the past month. Despite the brewing market uncertainty due to the escalating tensions between Israel and Iran, Bitcoin and Ethereum have managed to stay afloat. US Investors Keep Crypto Prices Afloat In a new post on the X platform, on-chain analyst Burak Kesmeci revealed that United States investors have been active in the market over the past few weeks. The crypto analyst explained that this correlates with the Bitcoin and Ethereum prices withstanding bearish pressure in recent weeks. Related Reading: You Won’t Believe Who’s Moving Millions in Bitcoin on Binance Right Now This on-chain observation is based on the Coinbase Premium Index, which tracks the difference between the crypto prices on the US-based Coinbase exchange (USD pair) and global Binance exchange (USDT pair). This metric reflects the sentiment of the US institutional entities (the major players on Coinbase) compared to those on global exchanges. Typically, when the price premium on Coinbase has a positive value, it implies increasing demand from US investors, who are willing to spend more than other global investors to buy cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin and Ethereum, in this case). On the flip side, the Coinbase Premium Index falling beneath the zero mark signals that US investors are buying less compared to the global traders. According to Kesmeci, the Bitcoin and Ethereum Coinbase Premium Index (excluding the abrupt dip in BTC on May 29) has been in the positive territory since May 9, 2024. This 47-day streak suggests high buying activity from US institutional investors despite geopolitical tensions. Kesmeci added: In the U.S., institutional investors and Bitcoin & Ethereum ETF investors (except for Fidelity) continue their heavy purchases through Coinbase (and have been for weeks). This is why Coinbase Premiums are showing strong positive momentum. Because of this (in my opinion), despite the crises, we haven’t seen a sharp drop in Bitcoin or Ethereum in the market. In essence, the on-chain analyst believes the Bitcoin and Ethereum prices have been able to weather the storm with the rising tensions in Asia because US investors have been active in the market. Naturally, risk assets tend to succumb to bearish pressure during unstable conditions like wars, global pandemics, and so on. Bitcoin & Ethereum Price As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $107,100, reflecting no significant movement in the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, the Ether token is valued at around $2,420, with a mere 0.6% price jump in the past day. Related Reading: Bitcoin Lockdown: 14 Million BTC Now In Cold Storage As Holders Dig In Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

From Michael Saylor to David Bailey, Anthony Pompliano to Jack Mallers, and everyone in between, there’s a rising tide of executives buying bitcoin for their corporate treasuries. Large companies and Wall Street are vacuuming up billions of dollars’ worth of BTC every week, yet its price remains relatively untouched. One Bitcoiner took to Twitter to […]
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In a post on 27 June, crypto-market chartist Dr Cat (@DoctorCatX) warned that Bitcoin’s ostensibly bullish weekly structure may be concealing a latent “time bomb” that could detonate if bulls fail to force a decisive breakout over the next three to four weeks. The technician’s diagnosis hinges on a classic Ichimoku paradox: an expanding bullish kumo and a flat Kijun Sen on the weekly timeframe are clustering with a constellation of bearish warnings on the daily and two-day charts. Bitcoin Faces A July Time Bomb “Look at the weekly kumo: it’s expanding, widening,” Dr Cat began. “This means that bullish momentum is building for potential trend sustainability even though the trend is not active as Kijun Sen is flat.” The observation is significant because an enlarging kumo—formed by the Senkou Span A/B envelope—generally represents thickening support, making sudden breakdowns statistically less probable as long as the cloud keeps widening. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Top In? Bitcoin MVRV-Score Has The Answer At the same time, the Chikou Span (CS) is “above the candles without a gap,” but, Dr Cat cautioned, it has “4 weeks deadline to close above ATH or will enter the candles.” Should the lagging line be absorbed back into price, the textbook interpretation is a loss of bullish conviction at the largest visible scale. That ostensibly constructive weekly backdrop contrasts starkly with a “lot of red flags on the daily hinting for a bearish scenario which can escalate on many levels.” Among those alarms is the prospect of a death TK cross on the two-day chart, anticipated “tonight,” in which the Tenkan Sen slips below the Kijun Sen—often the prelude to a down-leg when it materialises beneath the cloud. “So how do you interpret such conflicting information from different timeframes?” the analyst asked rhetorically, underscoring that traders who privilege only a single interval risk being blindsided. Dr Cat’s answer is a roadmap defined by time. Because the weekly cloud continues expanding, “it is hard for the price to dump a lot” immediately; historically, the kumo “needs first to become flat.” The flattening mechanism is mechanical: if Bitcoin fails to record a fresh all-time high “in 2 weeks from now,” roughly by the week that begins 14 July, the leading Senkou Span A numerator will stop rising, truncating cloud expansion. That in turn opens a window for gravity to reassert itself on the higher timeframe. Against that backdrop the analyst offered two conditional trajectories. First scenario: bearish signals on the lower charts mature. “The price will likely need at least 1.5 month or so for a very big dump on the weekly scale, because the weekly kumo will keep expanding for 2 more weeks,” Dr Cat wrote. During that holding period the market could “range around / just do small dumps to the $90s,” a reference to the high–$90 000 zone that has defined range lows since late spring. Should this grind continue beyond the second half of July without a structural shift on daily Ichimoku metrics, weekly momentum would invert: the kumo would cease expanding and the CS would dive into prior candles, removing two of the most durable layers of longer-term support. Related Reading: Top Analyst Predicts New Bitcoin Peak Timeline And ‘Double Cycle Blowoff’ Second scenario: bulls seize the initiative. To “save the chart from the warning signs,” buyers must engineer “a higher high above the $110,600 high shortly after the 27th of June,” thereby invalidating the bearish daily setup and re-energising the top-down trend. Time is critical: after “the week starting on 14th of July,” the CS will approach prior candlesticks, making each subsequent failure to print a new high proportionally more damaging. Dr Cat locates a final decision node on “the Sunday of the week starting on the 14th of July”—20 July—when the interplay between a stalling cloud and an in-candle CS could arm an additional set of “red flags for bulls.” The post stops short of assigning explicit probability weightings to either outcome, but its construction implies that the market’s most consequential catalyst in mid-summer may not be macro data or ETF flows so much as a self-reflexive technical countdown visible to every chart-watcher who uses Ichimoku. With roughly three weeks remaining before the cloud loses upward curvature, participants must choose between forcing a breakout above $110,600 or bracing for a higher-time-frame correction that could test sub-$100 000 territory. Whether Bitcoin’s expanding cloud proves a shield or a trap is, by Dr Cat’s own framing, “hidden in plain sight.” For now, the bullish weekly silhouette buys bulls breathing-room, but the daily and two-day warnings ensure that every hour the asset trades side-ways the theoretical time bomb ticks louder. At press time, BTC traded at $106,778. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin returned to its familiar price range over the week after a dip last weekend brought its price to just under $99,000. This was followed by a bounce to the $106,000 price level, which has given bulls a reason to remain hopeful.  However, on-chain data shows some deeper cracks are forming beneath the surface. The latest on-chain data from analytics firm Glassnode shows growing signs of fatigue in both spot and futures markets. These are conditions that may again cause Bitcoin price to retest $99,000. Price Support Holds, But Momentum is Clearly Fading Bitcoin has gone through multiple price swings in recent days, but it has found its way back to the narrow $100,000 to $110,000 band that has defined market structure since early May. On-chain data from Glassnode shows that strong accumulation between $93,000 and $100,000, which is visible on the Cumulative Volume Delta (CBD) Heatmap, has so far served as a buffer zone that helped Bitcoin’s prices bounce during the most recent geopolitical volatility. However, market volume indicates that this structural support may soon face additional pressure. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Top In? Bitcoin MVRV-Score Has The Answer According to the latest weekly report by Glassnode, investor profitability and engagement surrounding Bitcoin are cooling rapidly. Specifically, a third major wave of profit-taking is causing the 30-day realized profit average to taper, and on-chain activity has decreased significantly. The 7-day moving average of on-chain transfer volume has dropped by about 32%, from a peak of $76 billion in late May to $52 billion over the recent weekend. Current spot volume trading, which is now at just $7.7 billion, is far below the volumes seen during previous rallies. The lack of strong buying enthusiasm on the spot market shows that bullish sentiment has been replaced by caution. As such, the risk of a breakdown below $99,000 grows unless another wave of demand re-enters.  Futures Market Also Cooling Off The slowdown in sentiment is not limited to the spot market. Although Bitcoin is attracting interest on derivatives exchanges, there are clear signs that futures sentiment is waning. Open interest dropped by 7% over the weekend, from 360,000 BTC to 334,000 BTC, and funding rates have been declining steadily since Bitcoin hit its Q1 2025 all-time high.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Could Rally To $110,000 ATH As These Macroeconomic Factors Align Futures market participants had been very active through Bitcoin’s climb to $111,800 in May, but their conviction appears to be fading now. A further indication of a growing reluctance to hold long positions is the sharp decline in both the annualized funding rate and the 3-month rolling basis.  Without stronger directional conviction, the futures markets may not provide the upside needed to push Bitcoin to new highs. This situation may instead contribute to additional downward pressure. So far, Bitcoin has respected the $93,000 to $100,000 support zone, which was heavily accumulated during the Q1 2025 top formation. However, with low spot volumes, on-chain activity slowing, and fading futures sentiment, this support could become tested again. If market participants with a cost basis in this zone begin to sell, the resulting pressure could drag Bitcoin below $99,000 again next week. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $107,100. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin is showing resilience above the $105,000 mark, holding firm despite ongoing volatility and economic uncertainty. While bulls struggle to break above the all-time high at $112,000, the market remains in a high-stakes consolidation phase. Macroeconomic conditions remain unstable, with weak global growth forecasts and elevated inflation pushing investors into risk-off assets. Still, Bitcoin appears to be thriving under these pressures, strengthening its case as a hedge against traditional financial instability. Related Reading: Ethereum Fakes Out Bears – Altcoin Rally Depends On Key Level Breakout Top analyst Carl Runefelt recently highlighted a compelling technical development: Bitcoin is forming a massive inverse head and shoulders pattern spanning the last four years. This rare and long-term formation typically signals a bullish reversal and, if confirmed, could mark the beginning of a powerful breakout into price discovery. Runefelt notes that the neckline of this pattern aligns with current resistance just below $112K, making the coming weeks crucial for market direction. As the crypto market digests geopolitical tensions, central bank policy shifts, and on-chain accumulation trends, Bitcoin’s ability to stay elevated signals growing investor conviction. All eyes are now on whether BTC can complete this historic pattern and launch the next leg of the bull run. Bitcoin At A Critical Crossroads Bitcoin is trading at a pivotal level that could determine the market’s next major move — a breakout into new all-time highs or a retrace toward lower demand zones. After surging over 10% since last Sunday, the bullish sentiment is building rapidly, but the price remains stuck in a tight range between $100,000 and $110,000. Bulls are confident and in control of momentum, yet they’ve repeatedly failed to push BTC above the key $110K resistance. At the same time, bears have been unable to take the price below the $100K psychological support, signaling equilibrium and mounting pressure for a breakout. This standoff has kept volatility high, with macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical instability adding fuel to the fire. Still, the current market structure appears constructive for Bitcoin. If bulls can finally break above the $110K level and push into price discovery, it would confirm the strength behind this rally and potentially spark a new phase of exponential growth. Carl Runefelt believes a major breakout may be on the horizon. His technical analysis reveals a massive inverse head and shoulders pattern forming over the last four years — a rare and highly bullish setup. According to Runefelt, traders should be “ready for a crazy pump” if Bitcoin breaks through the neckline near $112K. Historically, this type of pattern precedes explosive rallies, and given the long-term nature of this one, the upside potential could be significant. As long-term holders accumulate and market liquidity builds, the coming weeks may determine whether Bitcoin cements its breakout or returns to test deeper support. Either way, this moment is shaping up to be one of the most decisive junctures in the current bull cycle. Related Reading: Ethereum Reclaims $2,444 Level – Bullish Continuation In Focus BTC Price Analysis: Key Resistance Blocks Price Discovery Bitcoin is currently trading at $107,144 on the daily chart, showing modest gains but facing strong resistance as it nears the $109,300 level. The chart highlights a clearly defined horizontal structure between $103,600 and $109,300 — a range Bitcoin has respected for nearly two months. Bulls remain in control short term, having reclaimed all three major moving averages: the 50-day ($105,800), 100-day ($96,784), and 200-day ($96,136) SMAs. The most recent bounce off the $103,600 support zone was followed by rising volume, indicating a potential shift in momentum back to the upside. However, BTC has yet to close convincingly above $109,300, which continues to cap any price discovery attempts. A breakout above this level could open the door to new all-time highs and trigger an aggressive bullish continuation. Related Reading: Chainlink Reclaims Key Structure – Quiet Accumulation Could Fuel $25–$30 Surge On the downside, failure to breach resistance and a drop below $105K could reintroduce bearish pressure and trigger a retest of the lower range. For now, Bitcoin remains range-bound with bullish bias, but buyers need to follow through with strong volume and a clean break above the $109K barrier to fully confirm market intent. Until then, caution is warranted as indecision prevails near key resistance. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

A major breakthrough has just arrived for Bitcoin and the crypto industry from one of the most influential financial regulatory bodies in the United States. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), which oversees the country’s largest mortgage liquidity providers, has issued a directive that could change how digital assets are viewed.  Under this directive, mortgage liquidity providers have been officially ordered to begin preparations for considering cryptocurrencies as part of a borrower’s asset portfolio during mortgage evaluations. Crypto As Mortgage-Eligible Asset In a recent post on the social media platform X, FHFA Director Bill Pulte issued a directive instructing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to prepare proposals that allow homebuyers to count cryptocurrency holdings held on US-regulated exchanges as part of their asset reserves for mortgage applications without converting them into dollars. Related Reading: These Companies Are Following Saylor’s Strategy Into The Bitcoin Battleground With Over $2 Billion Slated To Buy BTC Crypto assets have always been excluded from mortgage risk assessments unless converted to U.S. dollars before closing. However, this recent move breaks that barrier. This policy shift aligns with former President Donald Trump’s campaigns to establish the United States as the crypto capital of the world. Pulte, who was recently sworn in as the 5th Director of U.S. Federal Housing FHFA in March 2025, is now part of those taking steps to make this vision a reality.  According to the order, both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac must also factor in market volatility and enforce strong risk-based adjustments before implementing the new assessment method. Fannie and Freddie are government-sponsored enterprises that do not issue mortgages themselves but play an important role in the housing market by purchasing home loans on the secondary market and setting the criteria for the loans they are willing to acquire. Bitcoin To Benefit The Most, But Where Does XRP Stand? Bitcoin is going to benefit the most from this policy update. Being the largest and most widely held cryptocurrency, Bitcoin has long been considered the digital gold standard, which makes it a natural candidate for institutional recognition.  Related Reading: Crypto Pundit Reveals Why This Bitcoin Bull Market Feels Different As Crypto Enters ‘New Era’ Its established presence on U.S.-regulated exchanges and deep liquidity profile through Spot Bitcoin ETFs tick nearly every box laid out in the FHFA’s directive. However, the decision raises an important question for XRP holders as to whether the same regulation will be extended to XRP. Unlike Bitcoin, XRP has had a complicated history with regulatory agencies in the US, most notably the SEC. Although recent legal clarity around XRP has allowed the crypto to resume trading on major US-based exchanges, it isn’t really certain whether Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will be quick to include it under this new directive. Nonetheless, the FHFA’s directive doesn’t specify eligible tokens. It simply refers to cryptocurrencies held on US-regulated exchanges. As such, the directive could be quick to include US-based cryptocurrencies like XRP and Ethereum alongside Bitcoin. Other countries are already far ahead with XRP in real estate. In Japan, for instance, Open House Group allows XRP payments for property purchases in cities such as Tokyo and Osaka. Dubai is also using the XRP Ledger to tokenize real estate. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

The Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) continues to exert pressure on the broader crypto market, casting a shadow on the prospects of an incoming altcoin season. Despite recent volatility and decline in the market, a crypto analyst observes that Bitcoin Dominance remains firmly elevated, signaling that capital is still concentrated in the leading cryptocurrency. This trend, they argue, is preventing any meaningful breakout for altcoins and could persist unless a decisive shift in market structure occurs.  Altcoin Season Stifled As Bitcoin Dominance Surges The Bitcoin Dominance in the cryptocurrency market is tightening its grip, crushing hopes of an imminent altcoin season. According to a recent technical analysis posted on X (formerly Twitter) by market expert Tony Severino, Bitcoin’s market cap dominance has reached 65.72% with both monthly and Relative Strength Index (RSI) readings pushing above the critical 70 level.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance Hits New Cycle High Above 66% – How This 4-Year ATH Affects Altcoin Season At the time of the analysis, the RSI on the monthly timeline stood at 73.19, while the weekly registered at 70.58—both firmly in overbought territory. These levels typically reflect strong momentum and extended bullish conditions, indicating that Bitcoin’s command over the crypto market is still strong and growing.  Severino shared a dual chart view of Bitcoin Dominance and RSI across the weekly and monthly time frames, highlighting candlestick structures that support Bitcoin’s ongoing upward momentum. BTC.D has been climbing since late 2023. The RSI values also remain comfortably above their respective Moving Average (MA) baselines of 67.31 and 65.42, indicating sustained strength rather than signs of immediate exhaustion.  As long as Bitcoin Dominance holds these elevated RSI levels across their major time frames, Severino suggests that altcoins will likely continue to underperform, further delaying the long-awaited altcoin season. The analyst emphasizes that meaningful upside for altcoins will not begin until BTC.D starts to wane and RSI readings fall below 70—effectively signaling a shift in sentiment and market strength that could allow capital to rotate to alternative cryptocurrencies.  Until such a pullback occurs, the analyst argues that the weekly and monthly BTC.D and RSI charts strongly indicate that any expectations of an altcoin season this cycle remain premature.  Dragonfly Doji Forms On BTC.D Chart In another X post, Severino announced that the Bitcoin Dominance has potentially formed a Dragonfly Doji on the weekly chart. With four days left in the weekly session, the analyst notes that the distinct candle pattern is still developing but presently resembles the classic Dragonfly Doji, characterized by a long lower wick and a close near the opening price.  Related Reading: Rising Bitcoin Dominance Above 64% Dashes Hopes Of Altcoin Season, Here’s Why Typically, this chart pattern is viewed as a bullish reversal signal when it appears at the bottom of a downtrend, indicating possible upside momentum. However, in this case, it has emerged during a broader uptrend in BTC.D, creating a more complicated technical picture. Severino believes that the Dragonfly Doji could either represent a continuation of the current momentum or a temporary pause in market direction. If the candle evolves into a larger bullish body and closes above the 65.65% level, it may confirm further strengthening of Bitcoin’s growing market dominance relative to altcoins.  Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Veteran crypto analyst Bob Loukas has delivered a Bitcoin update suggesting that the asset could be entering the “perfect storm” phase of its four-year cycle. But in a twist that defies traditional cycle models, Loukas now sees the possibility of a delayed blowoff top extending into early 2026 and introduces the prospect of a rare double-cycle structure. In his latest installment of the Four-Year Journey published on June 26, Loukas reaffirms that the current Bitcoin cycle — which began with the November 2022 low — remains structurally intact and is nearing its climactic phase. “This is certainly the most bullish phase of the four-year cycle,” Loukas states. “We’re now sort of on the cusp of what traditionally has been the beginning or the blowoff phase of a cycle.” Bitcoin Blowoff Delayed? What separates this cycle, according to Loukas, is the unique combination of maturing fundamentals and a confluence of macro, institutional, and regulatory forces. These include continued ETF inflows, corporate treasury adoption, and a radical policy shift under the Trump administration, including what he anticipates may be a pro-crypto Fed chair appointment. Together, these forces are creating what he calls a “perfect storm” for price expansion. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Top In? Bitcoin MVRV-Score Has The Answer Loukas is cautious about providing hard price targets but acknowledges a doubling effect that could send Bitcoin from its current range near $110,000 to as high as $150,000–$170,000 in the short term. Historically, such phases have seen Bitcoin double in a matter of months once new highs are breached. “A breakout to the upside can see Bitcoin essentially almost double in a very short period of time,” he says, pointing to prior legs of the cycle where Bitcoin surged from $25K to $75K or $50K to $100K within five-month windows. Yet what makes this latest report particularly notable is Loukas’ introduction of a more complex structure he calls a “double cycle blowoff.” He describes this as a fusion of two adjacent four-year cycle peaks — a concept that could delay the market top to as late as February or March 2026, well beyond the traditional 35-month cycle peak window. “If we’ve still got sort of a six to seven month expansion to a peak… that would lead us into maybe even a February or March peak,” Loukas explains. This scenario, while still within the broader cyclical rhythm, would imply a 39–41 month uptrend rather than the typical 33–35 months. “I do think it’s time… 15–16 years into Bitcoin’s adoption,” he notes, referencing the arc from early tech believers to deep institutional penetration. Related Reading: $179,000 Or $79,000? Bitcoin Faces Critical Cycle Pivot, Says Analyst The implications are significant. A delayed peak could mean a much shorter corrective phase — or even the emergence of a second explosive rally as the next cycle begins, creating what Loukas describes as the illusion of one extended supercycle. “There’s a significant upside potential still to come in this cycle,” he says, warning that many may be caught off guard. “You don’t want to be surprised.” BTC Price Targets Loukas also addresses the broader sentiment picture, noting that the typical mania — the kind that marked tops in 2017 and late 2021 — has not yet materialized. “We haven’t seen that sort of blowoff, absolute extreme sentiment that you typically would see near the top,” he says. He sees this as further evidence that the final phase is still ahead. Regarding the price target for a supercycle, Loukas ponders: “I can see numbers in the quarter of a million level. I can also see some really crazy numbers when you see prior manias and bubbles in different asset classes, […] Seeing a 5x, 6x, 7x move from here over a 2-year period in a major mania is not really a stretch. Even from a market cap perspective, it’s not a stretch, seeing where gold is already heading through the $20 trillion level and well beyond.” While he emphasizes that these ideas are probabilistic and not predictions, Loukas does warn of the long-term consequences if his double-cycle thesis plays out. A massive influx of institutional capital, sovereign interest, and retail mania could ultimately trigger Bitcoin’s first true secular bear market, one not measured in months but in years. “If you consider a mania leadup where so many treasury companies and traditional flows come together and peak… the unwinding process just takes a lot longer.” For now, Loukas’ model portfolio remains partially in cash after trimming some positions near recent highs, reflecting a conservative approach tailored to capital preservation. Still, he acknowledges that younger or more risk-tolerant investors may view this moment as a final accumulation window before the next phase begins. “This video is very, very bullish, right?” he quips. At press time, BTC traded at $107,317. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

This week, Bitcoin (BTC) has recovered from its recent drop below the $100,000 level and is attempting to turn the crucial $108,000 resistance into support for the fourth time. As we approach the second half of 2025, a market watcher has shared his forecast for BTC. Related Reading: Solana Price At ‘A Very Delicate Level’ – Analyst Says $148 Reclaim Is Key Bitcoin Sees Transitional Period On Thursday, analyst Rekt Capital shared a roadmap for BTC for the rest of the year. He noted that this cycle has been “truly a cycle of re-accumulation ranges,” explaining that these have formed throughout the cycle since the end of 2022 and evolved since the Bitcoin Halving last year. In the pre-having period, BTC registered brief price deviations with downside wicks below the re-accumulation range lows in the weekly chart. Meanwhile, the post-halving period has seen Bitcoin deviations occur with multi-week clusters of full-bodied candles below the range lows. For instance, after its first price discovery uptrend, which lasted around seven weeks, BTC moved within its re-accumulation range for about ten weeks. Then, it transitioned into the first Price Discovery Correction, recording a nine-week downside deviation below the range lows before breaking out and rallying past the range highs toward a new ATH last month. Its past performances suggested that BTC was ready to enter its second Price Discovery Uptrend. But as Rekt Capital detailed, a transitional period has occurred for the first time, with price consolidating around the re-accumulation range high area. According to the analyst, this is “perhaps the first time that we’re seeing a deviation occur below the range high,” making this area a crucial level to transition into a new uptrend. We never really had to pull back substantially, maybe, until that final corrective period, which would last multiple months, but each re-accumulation range would see quite a bit of upside, and that upside would be very quick and no real post-breakout retesting, no real pausing. What we’re seeing here is something very, very different. Weekly Close Key For BTC’s Future Based on its new transition period, the key level for Bitcoin to reclaim in the weekly timeframe is the $104,400 support, which it held for nearly seven weeks before the recent pullbacks. This level was lost after BTC closed last week below it and “should not become a resistance level.” To the analyst, it’s key that this week’s close solidifies the price recovery as it would position the cryptocurrency for a retest and confirmation of $104,400 as support and continue the build the base around this area to transition into the next multi-week Price Discovery Uptrend. Rekt Capital added that the timeline for BTC’s next uptrend will depend on the length of the new transitional period. However, he believes that it will take “a bit longer” to break out. Related Reading: Injective Prepares For Bullish Reversal Amid 25% Recovery – Analyst Forecasts Massive Breakout Additionally, he suggested that what comes after the upcoming uptrend will also depend on how long it takes, as it could lead to an extended cycle or a prolongation of this phase, which could push the cycle peak into deeper stages of 2025. Nonetheless, the analyst affirmed that it’s crucial that the next corrective period, which could see Bitcoin drop between 25% to 33%, is short to potentially enjoy a third Price Discovery Uptrend before the bear market. As of this writing, BTC is trading at $107,555, a 3.2% increase in the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $106,500 zone. BTC is now consolidating and might aim for a move above the $108,000 resistance. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $106,500 zone. The price is trading above $106,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $107,300 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it stays above the $105,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $104,200 zone. BTC gained pace and was able to climb above the $105,000 and $105,500 levels to enter a positive zone. The bulls pushed the price above the $106,500 resistance and the price tested the $108,150 zone. A high was formed at $108,165 and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $107,300 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. However, the price stayed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $98,272 swing low to the $108,165 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $106,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $107,800 level. The first key resistance is near the $108,150 level or the 1.236 Fib extension level of the downward move from the $106,470 swing high to the $98,276 low. A close above the $108,150 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $110,000 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $112,000 level. Bearish Reaction In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $108,150 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $105,800 level. The first major support is near the $105,000 level. The next support is now near the $103,200 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $98,272 swing low to the $108,165 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $102,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $101,200, below which BTC might gain bearish momentum. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $105,800, followed by $105,500. Major Resistance Levels – $107,800 and $108,150.

The Bitcoin price could be entering the final and most explosive phase of its current market cycle, as an analyst maps out the cryptocurrency’s next movements onto a parabolic step-like structure. Reinforcing this bullish outlook is the Elliott Wave 5 count, which points to an epic price rally that could propel Bitcoin above $300,000, eclipsing its previous all-time high and current market value by a substantial margin.  Bitcoin Price Ultimate Parabolic Push Unveiled A newly released Bitcoin price forecast by X (formerly Twitter) crypto analyst Gert van Lagen boldly suggests that the leading cryptocurrency may be on the verge of its most aggressive bull run this cycle. Lagen’s price chart indicates that BTC is firmly locked into a parabolic step-like growth structure, potentially eyeing an extended Wave 5 breakout that could drive prices well beyond $345,000.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Elliott Wave Count Predicts Further Crash To $94,000, But What Next? The trajectory of the analyst’s chart illustrates a clear parabolic growth curve anchored by four distinct formations, labeled Base 1 through Base 4. Each of these bases represents a phase of accumulation and consolidation that preceded a Bitcoin price breakout. This structure also mirrors a textbook parabolic setup, where each new base sets the stage for steeper upward moves.   Most notably, after the completion of Base 3, marked by the inflection point on the chart, Bitcoin launched into a sharp rally, confirming the expected parabolic behavior. Lagen’s analysis now indicates that BTC’s current Base 4 has been completed, followed by a corrective A-B-C structure that appears to have reached its bottom, positioning the cryptocurrency for the anticipated final leg of its cycle. Using Elliott Wave theory, Bitcoin’s price action is still unfolding within the fifth wave, which is the final advance in the five-wave impulsive cycle. The price chart identifies Wave 1 as beginning shortly after the 2022 lows. This was followed by a powerful breakout in 2023, which defined Wave 3, while Wave 4 concluded more recently with a classic corrective pattern. Notably, the upcoming Wave 5 could see Bitcoin skyrocket anywhere between $300,000 and $425,000, depending on the timing and strength of its bullish momentum.  Timeline For Game-Changing Rally A key element in Lagen’s analysis is the dynamic “sell line” drawn near the upper end of the parabolic arc that runs underneath the Bitcoin price movement on the chart. According to the analyst, the longer it takes for Bitcoin to hit this projected vertical trajectory, the higher the price at which the potential market top might occur. This is due to the upward curvature of the parabolic trend line itself, which steepens over time. Related Reading: Bitcoin To Surge To $130,000 Next? What The Wave Count Says Currently, Lagen forecasts an early breakout by July 7, 2025, if momentum resumes immediately. However, if Bitcoin continues consolidating through the summer, the projected peak could rise further, as the sell line would continue climbing over time. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin is starting to inch closer toward $110,000 again, recently pushing to an intraday high of $108,116 and now steadily trading above $107,000. Despite the retracement below $99,000 in the past week, Bitcoin’s current price action shows that the broader market is still bullish.  Notably, the recent price action in the past 24 hours is beginning to quiet questions about whether Bitcoin has already reached its top for this cycle. The MVRV Z-Score may be offering a clear answer, and it points in a very different direction from what some might expect. MVRV Z-Score Says Bitcoin Has Room To Run According to crypto analyst Doctor Profit, who initially posted an on-chain analysis of Bitcoin on the social media platform X, the MVRV Z-Score indicates that BTC is still far from its cycle top. The MVRV Z-Score is an established on-chain metric used to determine whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued. Related Reading: Bitcoin Top Is In And Price Is Headed For $92,000, Analyst Warns As pointed out by the analyst, the current level on the MVRV Z-Score metric is only slightly above 2, which has been a relatively neutral zone since Bitcoin’s creation. Bitcoin only reached its major tops in past cycles when this metric climbed into the red zone and above a value of around 8 and above. The overall Bitcoin price chart shared by Doctor Profit supports this claim. Peaks in the orange MVRV Z-Score line are shown with red shaded zones in the chart below. These red zones have aligned almost perfectly with Bitcoin’s price tops in 2011, 2013, 2017, and 2021. On the other hand, despite the recent surge to new all-time highs in May, the current cycle has yet to push BItcoin’s price into that overheated region. Instead, the chart shows the Z-Score still in a much lower band. This boils down to show that the Bitcoin price could have a very significant upside left. MVRV vs Price: What The Current Setup Means For Bitcoin One detail that stands out in the current cycle is the pattern of lower highs forming in the MVRV Z-Score, as seen in the chart. Unlike in old cycles, where the metric surged into extreme overvaluation zones above 10, the most recent peaks have been noticeably more subdued. This trend could be interpreted as a signal that the market is beginning to mature or that Bitcoin may even already be approaching the peak of its current cycle. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Could Rally To $110,000 ATH As These Macroeconomic Factors Align However, although this pattern is worth keeping an eye on, it is far from conclusive. The only conclusive fact is that Bitcoin’s price has never reached a definitive cycle top until the MVRV Z-Score has pushed into the red zone, which it has yet to do this time around. Although there isn’t a set price peak from the metric, other analysts have offered a wide range of predictions for where it might land. Predictions of Bitcoin price peaks range anywhere from $150,000 to as high as $500,000. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $107,740, up by 1.4% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

A popular crypto analyst has issued a stark cyclical warning that could define Bitcoin’s trajectory for the rest of the summer. Dr. Cat, known for his integrated use of Ichimoku Cloud analysis, Elliott Wave Theory, and proprietary time-cycle forecasting, posted an intricate scenario on X suggesting Bitcoin now stands at a pivotal inflection point—one that may ultimately determine whether the next major move is to $179,000 or back down to $79,000. Bitcoin Faces Make-or-Break Moment “If we set a daily high between the 25th and 27th of June,” Dr. Cat began, referencing the window derived from his Time Theory model, “and it turns out to be a lower high per the Wave Theory, then a lower low should follow.” The implications, however, go far beyond near-term downside. “If a lower low comes, we invalidate the weekly cycle which implies no bottom before mid-July to mid-August.” According to the forecast timeline, the earliest potential bottom would fall between July 14 and August 17, with a primary target range from July 28 to August 3, incorporating a ±2 week deviation. That timing model dovetails with the chart’s behavior around critical Ichimoku levels. Dr. Cat emphasized that Bitcoin is currently “making a bearish retest of the weekly Tenkan Sen,” adding that yesterday’s attempt to reclaim that level failed: “Price touched Tenkan Sen yesterday but I saw that it would open below it today.” Related Reading: Trump’s Truth Social Officialy Files For Bitcoin And Ethereum ETFs With NYSE The Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen—two key lines in the Ichimoku system—are not just flat; they are structurally unconvincing despite a nominal 10% price advance. “This isn’t a real uptrend,” noted one user, to which Dr. Cat replied: “This is simply a neutral chart trying to flip bullish.” He elaborated that this neutrality means neither bullish nor bearish continuation is guaranteed, but warned that inaction or false optimism at this stage could expose traders to a cascading downside. One of the most significant technical levels lies just beneath current price. “The super key support of 93.2K (weekly Kijun Sen) is relatively close—and too close to hold if the time cycles play out,” Dr. Cat stated. A failure of that level would likely trigger a deeper reversion to the 3-week Kijun Sen, which remains unvisited and is currently positioned near $75K but rising. The entire bearish cascade remains “completely valid and with a very real chance of playing out,” unless Bitcoin manages to break above $110.6K after June 27. Such a move would invalidate both the time and wave-based lower-high structure and neutralize the scenario before it unfolds. But until then, Dr. Cat is urging traders to look beyond surface-level price movements. “Most people look at whether price goes up or down but don’t look at how it does it,” he said. Recalling his accurate bullish stance in April and May—when others were waiting for retracement—and his caution in early June, he emphasized the importance of reading the structure, not just the candles. Related Reading: Bitcoin Repeats Its 2021 Pattern—Analyst Warns Final Crash Still Ahead “The weekly chart was one candle away from a bullish TK cross, which would’ve implied big bullish continuation. But I waited. Then the market dumped,” he reminded followers. “Now it is relatively similar… dramatic reversals happen as close to invalidation as possible so everyone is tested and trapped to the limit.” In summary, Dr. Cat’s outlook remains balanced—but volatile. “I’m not telling you I can read the future,” he said. “I’m telling you that you need to distinguish neutral from bullish charts, which many people can’t—and suffer the consequences.” With time cycles converging and Ichimoku structures flashing indecision, Bitcoin now stands at a binary junction. The next high or low could lock in a multi-week trend, with targets as distant as $179K—or as painful as $79K—hanging in the balance. “This is simply a neutral chart trying to flip bullish. Which can certainly flip bullish pretty soon but until that happens I discuss whether first comes 179K or 79K with pretty much equal probability and I’m warning about an absolutely valid scenario which is on the table unless the chart flips bullish,” Dr. Cat concludes. At press time, BTC traded at $107,356. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $105,500 zone. BTC is now consolidating and might aim for a move above the $108,000 resistance. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $105,500 zone. The price is trading above $105,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $107,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it stays above the $106,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Eyes More Gains Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $103,500 zone. BTC gained pace and was able to climb above the $104,200 and $105,500 levels to enter a positive zone. The bulls pushed the price above the $106,500 resistance and the price tested the $108,200 zone. A high was formed at $108,165 and the price is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $98,272 swing low to the $108,165 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $106,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a bullish trend line forming with support at $107,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $108,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $108,200 level or the 1.236 Fib extension level of the downward move from the $106,470 swing high to the $98,276 low. A close above the $108,200 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $110,000 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $112,000 level. Another Drop In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $108,500 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $107,400 level and the trend line. The first major support is near the $105,500 level. The next support is now near the $104,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $103,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $103,200, below which BTC might gain bearish momentum. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $107,400, followed by $105,500. Major Resistance Levels – $108,500 and $110,000.

After a week of volatile price action, Bitcoin has once again returned to familiar territory around the $106,000 price level. However, on-chain data shows that investors are still cautious, with the crypto Fear & Greed Index now in the neutral zone.  On the other hand, technical analysis of Bitcoin’s price action on the 4-hour candlestick timeframe chart shows that its price behavior has completed a significant correction, one that’s paving the way for a major rally to $130,000.  Bitcoin’s Wave 2 Correction Might Be Complete According to XForceGlobal, a crypto analyst who posted a detailed Elliott Wave chart on the social platform X, Bitcoin’s recent correction fits neatly within a completed WXY pattern. The second wave, which started following the all-time high of $111,814 on May 22 and formed the corrective structure, has now retraced into the expected Fibonacci range between the 23.6% and 38.2% levels. Notably, the ideal minimum target for this correction move was in the $90,000 region, and Bitcoin fulfilled that condition with the pullback to just under $98,200 over the weekend. Related Reading: Bitcoin Elliott Wave Count Predicts Further Crash To $94,000, But What Next? The most important thing was in preserving the macro wave structure. Instead of drawing out a deeper pullback into the 0.618 to 0.886 Fibonacci levels, which is often characteristic of bear market retracements, the analysis maintains the idea that this was a wave 2 correction within a larger bullish impulse.  This distinction is important. If the WXY correction is indeed complete and wave 2 has concluded, the next logical move in the Elliott Wave sequence is a third wave advance. According to Elliott Wave analysis, the third wave is often the most explosive in terms of price expansion. Its outcome could therefore push the price of Bitcoin to new heights that are significantly higher than its most recent all-time high. Why $130,000 Is A Realistic Target For Bitcoin The analyst’s technical projection on Bitcoin’s 4-hour candlestick timeframe chart shows an expected wave 3 trajectory extending beyond $111,800, with an expansion arrow reaching up above $130,000. This is the expansion move and is based on a similar projection of Wave 1. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bearish Move Is Over? Higher Lows Chart A Course To $115,482 In the accompanying chart, the analyst marks the key pivot zone between $98,000 and $102,000 as the Wave C termination area. If this zone indeed marks the completion of the second wave, the next movement would require validation through the formation of a clear 1-2 structure within Wave 3.  This means that confirmation of the bullish count also depends on the price making a new local high above the current range and then pulling back without breaching the recent lows. If that structure plays out, then the market would likely be in the early stages of a powerful third wave. Bitcoin has already made an 8% price gain after it dropped to a low of $98,200 following U.S. airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites. The most significant upward move came on Tuesday, June 24, when reports of a Middle East cease-fire pushed Bitcoin up roughly 4%. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $106,330. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Sina—co-founder of the hedge fund 21st Capital—publicly dismantled a popular Bitcoin price model promoted by Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal, calling it a textbook case of data illiteracy and overfitting. The model in question draws a close correlation between Bitcoin and Global M2—a measure of global money supply—by shifting M2 data forward by a set number of weeks, typically 10 to 12, to supposedly “predict” Bitcoin’s future price moves. Raoul Pal has used this chart to argue that macro liquidity conditions drive crypto cycles, and that the current market behavior can be forecast using monetary expansion. Expert Torches M2-Bitcoin Correlation But Sina, a trained data scientist who teaches data analytics at the undergraduate and graduate level, says this model collapses under scrutiny. “This is a terrible failure of not understanding overfitting,” he said in a June 24 video posted to X. “What I’m seeing doesn’t even pass the first month of a first-year data analytics course.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Poised For Rally As Geopolitical Tensions Ease And Inflation Expectations Fall Sina points out that the apparent correlation between Bitcoin and Global M2 only exists because the data has been “tortured” to fit historical patterns. “If I’m allowed to play with the data and arbitrarily move things around, I can definitely find great matches between pockets of data,” he said, warning that this flexibility is exactly what allows analysts to create the illusion of predictive accuracy. The primary issue, he explained, is that the Global M2 data itself is inherently flawed. It’s compiled by multiplying various central banks’ M2 figures by exchange rates—mixing fast-reporting economies like the US with countries that have data delays of weeks or even months. This creates a misleading impression of daily fluctuations in global liquidity. “It seems to be moving on a daily basis, but it’s actually mixing frequent and infrequent updates,” Sina said. “It’s not a true signal.” More importantly, Sina argues that the model fails the moment one zooms out from selective chart slices. While Raoul Pal and others have showcased examples of tightly aligned tops and bottoms between Bitcoin and Global M2, Sina demonstrated how minor tweaks in lead time or scale can yield dramatically different outcomes. “Let’s try a lead of 80 days. That doesn’t look good. What about 108? Ah, now the tops align—so let’s zoom in again and pretend it works,” he said sarcastically. “This is not modeling. This is playing.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Repeats Its 2021 Pattern—Analyst Warns Final Crash Still Ahead He highlighted how each adjustment to the model—shifting from a 12-week lead to 10 weeks, to 108 days—exposes its lack of systematic foundation. “If you don’t have a proper model, you fail to predict the future,” Sina said. “This is classic overfitting. You force the data to match historical behavior, but you lose any generalizability.” To illustrate the concept, Sina compared it to fitting a curve through a noisy sine wave. A well-structured model captures the core pattern and ignores noise. An overfit model, by contrast, attempts to match every small fluctuation—resulting in poor predictive performance when new data arrives. “Overfitting looks better, but it models noise. And noise doesn’t repeat,” he said. Sina also questioned whether Bitcoin might actually lead liquidity, not follow it. “If you look at the last cycle, Bitcoin topped first. Liquidity topped 145 days later,” he said. This reverses the causality implied by the Global M2 model and calls into question its entire premise as a forward-looking tool. His conclusion was blunt: “You have to be very careful with overfitting. It looks matching, but it’s forcibly fit on historical data. You have no idea about the predictive accuracy of this thing.” At press time, Bitcoin traded at $106,952. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The Bitcoin price surge above $106,000 this week has reignited bullish sentiment across the market, with analysts suggesting that the stars are aligning for a rally to a new all-time high. From shifting geopolitical tensions to a major regulatory pivot in the United States (US), multiple macroeconomic factors appear to be setting the stage for Bitcoin’s next explosive move. Ceasefire And Rate Cut Buzz Fuel Bitcoin Price Optimism  Over the weekend, the Bitcoin price briefly slipped, triggering over $200 million in leveraged long liquidations. However, this dip proved short-lived as the flagship cryptocurrency rebounded swiftly above $100,000 following US President Donald Trump’s announcement of a total ceasefire between Israel and Iran. This sudden de-escalation helped ease global market anxiety, pushing Bitcoin past $106,000 and oil prices sharply down from $77 to under $70. Related Reading: Crypto Pundit Reveals Why This Bitcoin Bull Market Feels Different As Crypto Enters ‘New Era’ Simultaneously, Optimism is building that the US Federal Reserve (FED) could begin cutting interest rates sooner than expected. Sharing new data by CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, crypto analyst CW disclosed that the odds of a FED rate cut have increased to 18.6% by July 30 during the scheduled FOMC meeting.  The report reveals that 81.4% of market participants believe the FED to keep rates unchanged at their current level. However, FedWatch’s data indicates growing expectations for a rate cut by the September FOMC meeting, with 79% betting on a reduction and only 21.3% anticipating no change.  Notably, lower interest rates generally benefit risk assets like Bitcoin by increasing liquidity and boosting investor sentiment. With geopolitical tensions easing and a possibly looser monetary policy on the horizon, Bitcoin could gain further momentum, potentially climbing to $110,000.  Supporting this bullish forecast, crypto analyst Justin Bennett suggests that Bitcoin is gearing up for a rally toward a new ATH of $110,000 following its recent reclaim of the key $103,500 level. Although a retracement to around $102,500 remains possible, Bennett believes that once BTC cleans up support around $103,400, formed during Monday’s expansion, the next move could be parabolic.  Regulatory Win Solidify Bitcoin’s Position In TradFi Beyond anticipated rate cuts and ceasefire announcements, the US FED recently made a landmark policy shift that could have profound long-term implications for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. By removing “reputational risk” as a factor in evaluating crypto firms’ access to bank servicing, the FED is effectively ending a key pillar of Operation Checkpoint 2.0—a campaign that restricted over 30 crypto and fintech companies from traditional financial infrastructure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Deviates From Global M2 Money Supply, Is The Bull Run Over? This recent change clears the way for greater institutional involvement in crypto. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) have also followed suit, green-lighting crypto activities for banks and allowing them to participate in the digital assets market without prior approval. Together, these moves mark a regulatory pivot that not only legitimizes the crypto industry but could also accelerate demand and capital inflows into Bitcoin, potentially boosting its already significant valuation. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

The cryptocurrency market is currently experiencing heightened volatility, particularly with Bitcoin (BTC) fluctuating dramatically. Recently, the price dipped below $99,000 before rebounding to over $106,000 within a span of just 24 hours. Bullish Bitcoin Setup Amid Geopolitical Tensions In a recent post on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), analyst Cyclop suggested that despite the current market conditions, BTC exhibits a bullish setup reminiscent of the patterns seen in March 2020.  The analyst noted that Bitcoin appears to be mirroring its past movements, with a brief dip followed by a rally for both BTC and altcoins. Cyclop drew parallels between the ongoing geopolitical tensions involving Israel, Iran, and the US and the market dynamics observed during the COVID-19 crash.  Related Reading: Dogecoin About To Explode? ‘Don’t Send It Too Hard,’ Analyst Warns While acknowledging that geopolitical strife and global market panic are distinct issues, he pointed out that both scenarios resulted in sharp but temporary sell-offs followed by swift recoveries. According to Cyclop, the current market setup displays similar characteristics: widespread fear, a risk-off sentiment among investors, and global uncertainty.  He emphasized the importance of understanding the timing of resolution to these tensions, suggesting that for a robust rally, several bullish catalysts are necessary to alleviate market uncertainty. He identified three key factors: potential interest rate cuts, a ceasefire between Iran and Israel, and Bitcoin holding crucial support levels. $120,000 By Year-End? Recently, a ceasefire was declared following 12 days of intense conflict between Iran and Israel. In a notable public statement, President Donald Trump criticized both nations, suggesting that their actions were misguided.  This period of relative calm is seen as a positive indicator for the market. Cyclop highlighted that maintaining the $100,000 level for Bitcoin was crucial, and the cryptocurrency has successfully broken through the $106,000 barrier, signaling further growth. Furthermore, Ethereum (ETH) has also shown signs of a quick recovery alongside Bitcoin with its price nearing the key $2,500 level. Cyclop advised investors not to attempt to time the market perfectly, as reversals can often feel unsettling and uncertain.  Related Reading: Ethereum Bounces Hard After Support Bluff, A False Alarm Or Fresh Rally? Looking ahead, Cyclop anticipates a consolidation phase for Bitcoin within the $102,000 to $106,000 range, with expectations of a breakout that could push BTC to an all-time high of around $120,000 by November or December of this year.  As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $106,500 per coin. Despite ongoing economic uncertainties, the market’s leading cryptocurrency has seen a 75% increase year-to-date. However, Bitcoin is still trading nearly 5% below its record high of $111,800, which was reached on May 23. The most important resistance level is $110,200, which has prevented a new price discovery phase for Bitcoin on two occasions. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

After the Bitcoin price breakdown below $100,000 over the weekend, multiple new narratives have emerged for where the digital asset may be headed. Calls for the next Bitcoin bear market continue to ring loud as analysts predict lower prices. One crypto analyst, known on X as Astronomer, has taken to the platform to give investors a possible roadmap of where the cryptocurrency is headed next and where to start buying for maximum gains. Next Course Of Action After Crash Following the Bitcoin price crash, Astronomer pointed out that the price had fallen below the expected close. However, it seems that the decline was not completely over, as there could be another final drop. This could come after the market reversal that has taken hold over the last few days, presenting another buy opportunity. Related Reading: XRP Price At Risk Of 20% Crash To $1.55 If This Level Fails To Hold From here, the crypto analyst explains that there could be a reversal toward the $95,000 level, and also a possibility of a bounce toward $110,000. As a result of this, the next area of action that investors could start buying from is placed at the $97,000 level, but the price could go lower. Astronomer explains that weekend lows are usually taken out, and with this weekend low still above $97,000, the price could revisit this territory. Nevertheless, the analyst explains that those who have been sidelined throughout the rally, or those who want to begin getting into the market, the Bitcoin price at around $97,000 is a good place to start. In addition to the current market factors, the analyst also points to sentiment and geopolitics as supporting the analysis. “It’s a shame we have to take advantage of blood being shed, from what’s happening in the world, but also from the bears soon at the end of this dip,” the analyst said. Where Is The Bitcoin Price Headed? With the announcement from US President Donald Trump that Israel and Iran have agreed to a ceasefire, the market has already seen a recovery, with the Bitcoin price rallying to $106,000 initially. This has already triggered a turn in the sentiment from Fear back to Greed as investors begin piling in again. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance Hits New Cycle High Above 66% – How This 4-Year ATH Affects Altcoin Season In a subsequent post, Astronomer explains that missing out on the buy below $97,000 is no cause for alarm. But cautions against buying now due to fear. The analyst explains that such a move is not advisable as it could lead to losses, as buying during high euphoric times is not advisable. Given this, it is likely better to wait for a correction before going into the market. “Buying higher now during high euphoric times (especially locally), is a worse idea,” Astronomer warned. “Create good habits, create a solid plan, and stick to both.” Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $103,250 zone. BTC is now consolidating and might aim for a move above the $106,500 resistance. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $105,000 zone. The price is trading above $103,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $106,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it stays above the $104,200 zone. Bitcoin Price Eyes More Gains Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $102,500 zone. BTC gained pace and was able to climb above the $103,200 and $103,500 levels to enter a positive zone. The bulls pushed the price above the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $106,470 swing high to the $98,276 low. It opened the doors for a push above the $106,000 resistance and the price tested the $106,500 zone. Bitcoin is now trading above $105,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a bullish trend line forming with support at $106,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $106,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $107,200 level. The next key resistance could be $108,500 or the 1.236 Fib extension level of the downward move from the $106,470 swing high to the $98,276 low. A close above the $108,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $110,000 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $112,000 level. Another Drop In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $106,500 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $106,000 level. The first major support is near the $105,500 level. The next support is now near the $104,200 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $103,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $102,000, below which BTC might struggle to find bids. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $106,000, followed by $105,500. Major Resistance Levels – $106,500 and $108,500.

The Bitcoin market has been marked by notable volatility recently, with prices fluctuating significantly, dropping close to the $98,400 level before rebounding above $105,000 on Monday.  Potential 12% Retrace To $92,000 Technical analyst Doctor Profit recently shared key notes on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), indicating that a substantial Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) gap exists at $92,000.  The analyst predicts that this level will likely be eventually reached, suggesting that closing this gap could create additional fear in the market, which often plays into the hands of market makers.  Related Reading: Dogecoin Crash Far From Over? Analyst Reveals The Target Doctor Profit also highlighted in his analysis the presence of significant liquidity in that area, making it a probable target for Bitcoin in the near term. This could potentially mean a 12% retrace of BTC’s price.  Doctor Profit also pointed to several technical indicators that suggest a bearish trend for Bitcoin. He highlighted the Moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) crossing on the daily chart and the breakdown of the critical $104,000 level.  Additionally, the analyst mentioned the temporary loss of what he calls the “golden line,” which is currently situated around $103,000 for BTC, another key level to watch in order to accomplish further recoveries.  Doctor Profit warned that caution is necessary, especially near pivotal levels like $100,000 and the CME gap at $92,000. He even posited that a worst-case scenario could see Bitcoin correcting all the way down to the $82,000–$84,000 range. Bitcoin Fate Hangs On Golden Line  Doctor Profit further elaborated that the situation hinges on the golden line, which serves as a critical retest to confirm the breakdown that occurred yesterday. For Bitcoin to secure a bullish continuation, it needs to close above this level. Moreover, he identified a significant liquidity cluster around the $113,000 mark, noting that this area is rife with short liquidations. Should Bitcoin consolidate above the golden line, the uncertainty that has plagued traders could dissipate, allowing for a shift from protective strategies back to a more bullish outlook. Related Reading: XRP Price At Risk Of 20% Crash To $1.55 If This Level Fails To Hold In his analysis, Doctor Profit concluded by stating that while he initially expected Bitcoin to reach $90,000 before any new all-time highs (ATH), the resolution of current market uncertainty indicates that this may no longer be necessary. With the war between Israel and Iran, along with the volatility seemingly over, he believes Bitcoin can accelerate toward new all-time highs without the need to revisit the $90,000 mark. When writing, BTC trades at $105,560, recording a 3% price surge in the 24-hour time frame. At this level, the market’s leading cryptocurrency trails 5.3% below its record high of $111,800.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com