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Bitcoin price started a fresh increase and cleared the $80,800 zone. BTC is consolidating and might aim for more gains above the $81,500 level. Bitcoin managed to stay above $80,000 and started a fresh increase. The price is trading above $80,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $80,150 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might extend gains if it stays above the $80,000 and $79,200 levels. Bitcoin Price Could Extend Gains Bitcoin price found support near $78,800 and started a fresh increase. BTC gained pace for a move above the $79,200 and $80,000 resistance levels. The bulls even pushed the price above $80,800. A high was formed at $81,765, and the price started a consolidation phase above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $74,940 swing low to the $81,765 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $80,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is also a bullish trend line forming with support at $80,150 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. If the price remains stable above $80,000, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $81,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $81,750 level. A close above the $81,750 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $82,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $83,200 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $84,500. Another Drop In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $81,500 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $80,500 level. The first major support is near the $80,150 level. The next support is now near the $78,350 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $74,940 swing low to the $81,765 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $77,550 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $76,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $80,150, followed by $78,350. Major Resistance Levels – $81,500 and $82,000.

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Bitcoin’s latest rally is being driven by a sharp acceleration in institutional demand, according to Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards, who says large buyers are now absorbing roughly six times the amount of BTC mined each day. The setup has pushed several of Capriole’s long-running Bitcoin models back into bullish territory, with Edwards arguing that both on-chain and technical conditions now favor a continuation higher. In a May 5 Substack post titled “Institutions are Guzzling Bitcoin,” Edwards said institutional flows have intensified since his previous update, rising to around 577% of daily mined supply. Bitcoin, he noted, has gained 12% over the same period. “Institutions are slurping up 600%+ of Bitcoin’s daily mined supply. Every time it’s been this high before, price has shot up over the next week. As the chart shows, we’ve typically seen double digit returns from here with a couple of weeks in all prior cases.” Based on that historical pattern, Edwards said a comparable move would put Bitcoin near $96,000. The argument is straightforward: if institutional demand continues to exceed new issuance by such a wide margin, available supply tightens quickly, especially in a market where long-term holders have already shown less willingness to sell into weakness. Capriole Models Turn Bullish Bitcoin From $71,000 Edwards also pointed to Capriole’s internal models, including Trend King and Macro Index, both of which flipped long around $71,000. Trend King, described by Edwards as the firm’s longest-running live trading strategy, is currently leveraged long Bitcoin. The model is primarily technical, though it also incorporates selected on-chain inputs. Related Reading: Bitcoin Seasonality Flashes Bullish May Signal After Two Green Months Macro Index, Capriole’s fundamentals-only Bitcoin model, has also moved into what Edwards described as “recovery” mode. The model tracks more than 200 on-chain and macro market data points, providing an aggregate view of Bitcoin’s fundamental backdrop. Edwards said its trends “tend to be sticky,” implying that the signal is less about a short-term tactical trade and more about a broader regime shift. Derivatives data adds another layer to the bullish case. Capriole’s Bitcoin Perps Heat indicator, which tracks relative extremes in perpetual swap markets by measuring funding rates and open interest across a four-year normalization window, recently showed what Edwards called an “extremely bullish long term signal” following excessive shorting. Related Reading: Crypto Shorts Suffer $300M Flush As Bitcoin Hits $80,000 That matters because market positioning appears to have reset before the breakout. Edwards wrote that “complete capitulation on derivatives markets occurred in March/April,” suggesting that leverage had been flushed out before Bitcoin’s latest move higher. In that framing, the rally is not simply chasing overheated longs; it is emerging after a period in which traders were leaning too defensively. SOPR Breakout Confirms On-Chain Momentum Spent Output Profit Ratio, or SOPR, is another key piece of the thesis. Edwards highlighted that SOPR had spent significant time below 1, a zone he described in the previous issue as historically offering “great Bitcoin opportunities.” In the latest note, he said the metric has now closed back above 1, signaling a return of positive price and on-chain momentum. “Bitcoin looks incredibly strong here. It’s also supported by relative strength against all markets, having bottomed and outperformed since the Iran war started. We see consistent strength across technical and fundamental data for Bitcoin today.” The equities backdrop is more mixed, but still broadly supportive of risk assets in Edwards’ view. He said Capriole’s “quiet strong market” strategy remains risk-on, while collapsing credit spreads and a favorable VIX regime are backing the current breakout. The S&P 500 has also printed a fresh all-time high, with Edwards identifying 7,000 as the key weekly level to watch. There are caveats. Edwards flagged weakness in the advance-decline line, high oil prices linked to the Iran war, and the gold-to-stock ratio as longer-term equity risks. But for now, he framed those as warnings rather than a confirmed bearish turn. At press time, Bitcoin traded at $81,429. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #coinmarketcap #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news #ali martinez #macd

Crypto analyst Max has cited historical data to provide insights into what could be next for Bitcoin, noting that it has closed two consecutive monthly candles in the green. Based on this historical data, BTC may be heading for a red month, except if this bear cycle turns out to be different.  Bitcoin Expected To Close This Month In The Red After Two Monthly Green Candles In an X post, Max stated that there has never been a bear market where Bitcoin printed more than two consecutive monthly candles. He noted that BTC closed March and April in the green, with gains of 2% and 12%, respectively. As such, the analyst remarked that this month is likely to close red unless this cycle is different from every previous one. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts Exactly When To Sell Bitcoin For The Most Return Max also mentioned that further downside remains, given the higher probability that May is a historically weak month and a large amount of liquidity is sitting below. However, it is worth noting that Bitcoin is already up almost 6% this month, rising to a multi-month high of $81,000 today. This has provided optimism that the bull market may be back with BTC targeting new highs.  The analyst commented on the current Bitcoin price action, indicating that it is still bearish despite the recent rally. He noted that on the first two attempts to break above the $79,000 resistance, a clear rejection followed. Now, on this third attempt, price has managed to break above but quickly lost momentum and closed back below the resistance.  In line with this, Max opined that Bitcoin’s current price action looks like a typical fakeout and liquidity grab. He added that there is a high chance BTC will sweep the untouched lows next if price continues to find acceptance below $79,000. How BTC Could Reach $94,000 Crypto analyst Ali Martinez predicted that Bitcoin could reach $94,000 on this rally. He noted that on the daily chart, BTC is approaching the 200 SMA at $83,000, which is the most significant psychological and structural barrier. The analyst added that a clean daily close above this hurdle could clear the path for a macro expansion toward $89,000, with a secondary target at $94,000.  Related Reading: What The Sharp Drop In The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Means For The BTC Price Martinez also noted that Bitcoin continues to show structural strength, with a 15% price increase following a bullish MACD crossover on the weekly chart on April 13. He added that historically, this specific weekly crossover has been a premier signal for defining multi-month trends. Notably, this crossover led to 147%, 75%, and 35% rallies in 2023, 2024, and 2025, respectively.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $81,000, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

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Bitcoin and major cryptocurrencies have staged a notable recovery over the past two weeks, with BTC climbing back toward the $80,000 area from lows near $75,000 — a move underpinned by renewed institutional demand and easing geopolitical risk, according to the market insights team at QCP Capital, one of Asia’s largest digital asset trading firms. Related Reading: TON Jumps 30% As Durov Says Telegram Will Take The Lead The broader crypto market has moved in step with the recovery. Ethereum, XRP, and Solana have each posted gains alongside Bitcoin over the period, reflecting a return of risk appetite across the digital asset space. The catalyst, as QCP’s analysis frames it, is a combination of supportive ETF flows and a partial de-escalation of tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz — a geopolitical variable that has weighed heavily on risk assets since early in the year. ETF Flows Doing The Heavy Lifting According to QCP Capital’s most recent market update, spot ETF flows remain a key pillar of the current recovery. The firm noted approximately $163 million in net inflows last week, with outflows recorded between April 27 and April 29 — likely tied to month-end rebalancing and basis trade adjustments — more than offset by a single-session inflow of approximately $630 million on Friday. That flow pattern matters. April closed as the strongest month for spot Bitcoin ETF demand in 2026, with $2.44 billion in net inflows, according to data tracked by Investing.com — nearly double March’s figure and enough to push total cumulative inflows since the January 2024 launch above $58.5 billion. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) led the monthly tally, accounting for the bulk of net capital across the eleven US-listed products. The picture is not without caveats. As CoinDesk reported, cumulative inflows remain roughly $2.5 billion below the October 2025 peak of $61.19 billion — a gap that reflects the $6.38 billion in outflows recorded between November 2025 and February 2026. The recovery, in other words, is real but incomplete. The Real Test For The Bitcoin Price: $80,000 QCP’s analysis points to the macro backdrop as the other swing factor. The firm noted in an earlier market update that the conflict premium tied to Hormuz tensions has not fully washed out, leaving BTC’s current strength reading more as relief than regime shift. Fresh shorts, per QCP’s observations, continued to be added into recent strength rather than being fully forced out — a positioning dynamic that leaves the market tactically vulnerable to squeezes but stops short of signaling a decisive sentiment shift. That view is echoed elsewhere. Analysts at Marex described $80,000 as the key psychological barrier. A clean break and sustained hold above that level, they noted, would shift the market into a momentum-driven trade with room to extend. A rejection, by contrast, invites profit-taking back toward the mid-$70,000 range. Key risks flagged by QCP include the possibility of renewed US-Iran tensions, with energy markets still sensitive to any Hormuz disruption, and the continued overhang of US tariff policy on countries importing Iranian crude. This development marks a pivotal juncture for Bitcoin and the broader nascent sector. The next few sessions will prove whether the current recovery has the structural conviction to hold above $80,000 or remains a rally trading on borrowed relief. Related Reading: Bitcoin Targets $86,000 After Key EMA Reclaim: Is The Next Rally Here? As of this writing, Bitcoin trades at around $79,500 after briefly topping $80,000 during Asian hours, consolidating near the critical level that analysts say will determine the near-term direction of the market. Bitcoin price crossing above $80,000 on the daily chart, a close above this level on higher timeframes might kick off a bigger rally. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview Cover image from Grok, BTCUSD chart from Tradingview

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Bitcoin’s May setup is drawing fresh attention after two consecutive green months, with Trader_XO pointing to seasonality data that leaves BTC on the edge of a rare three-month streak. The question is whether the historical pattern has real market weight this time, or whether the latest geopolitical shock has already complicated the signal. Bitcoin Eyes Rare Three-Month Winning Streak The Coinglass data shared by Trader_XO shows Bitcoin’s monthly returns by year, with 2026 so far marked by a sharp early-year drawdown followed by a recovery phase. BTC fell 10.17% in January and another 14.94% in February, before turning higher with a 1.81% gain in March and an 11.87% advance in April. May is shown up 3.18% so far, keeping the month positive at the time of the snapshot. “Bitcoin seasonality, with context,” Trader_XO wrote. “May stats: Positive ~60% of the time (8/13 years). Avg return: ~+8%. Median return: ~+3%. Only once has BTC had March, April, May all green (2019). This year so far: March: +1.81%. April: +11.87%. May opened at 76.3s. Does May end up being positive by month end?” The Coinglass table gives the seasonal argument some structure. Its visible average row lists May at +7.82%, making it one of Bitcoin’s stronger months historically, behind October, November and April in the displayed data. The median row shows May at +6.34%, while the broader table highlights how uneven the month has been: May delivered outsized gains in 2017 and 2019, both above 52%, but also saw deep losses in 2021 and 2022, at -35.31% and -15.6%. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Tops $80,000 For First Time Since January After Trump Announcement That dispersion matters. May’s green bias is not the same as a reliable monthly trade. The chart shows positive May returns in eight of the past 13 completed years, but the losses, when they arrived, were large enough to make context more important than a simple seasonal read. That was also the point raised in the replies. StrongHedge argued that “context matters alongside data,” noting that in 2019 the market had “pico bottomed” and was beginning a new uptrend. Trader_XO agreed, responding: “Yep — exact same thoughts.” The comparison is important because 2019 remains the only year in the dataset where Bitcoin posted gains in March, April and May in sequence. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Show Signs Of Exhaustion Around $78,000 — What’s Next? For 2026, the market is now testing whether the same three-month pattern can repeat after a very different start to the year. The rebound from February’s drawdown has been strong enough to restore upside momentum, but not clean enough to remove macro and geopolitical risk from the equation. That became clear in Monday’s price action. Bitcoin climbed above $80,000 for the first time since late January, reaching an intraday high around $80,529, after Donald Trump announced “Project Freedom,” a US effort tied to the Strait of Hormuz. Reuters reported that the US deployed Navy guided-missile destroyers to help escort commercial vessels, while AP reported that CENTCOM said two American-flagged merchant ships transited the strait with Navy support. The relief move did not hold. Later, Iran’s Fars news agency reported that missiles had hit a US warship near Jask Island after it ignored Iranian warnings, while US officials denied that any Navy vessel had been struck. Bitcoin quickly lost the $80,000 breakout and slipped back toward the high-$78,000s. At press time, BTC traded at $78,755. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

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Bitcoin price started a fresh increase and cleared the $80,500 zone. BTC is consolidating and might aim for more gains above the $81,200 level. Bitcoin managed to stay above $78,500 and started a fresh increase. The price is trading above $78,800 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $79,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might extend gains if it stays above the $79,200 and $78,800 levels. Bitcoin Price Eyes Fresh Highs above $81K Bitcoin price found support near $78,500 and started a fresh increase. BTC gained pace for a move above the $78,800 and $79,200 resistance levels. The bulls even pushed the price above $80,500. A high was formed at $80,770, and the price started a consolidation phase above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $74,940 swing low to the $80,770 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $79,200 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is also a bullish trend line forming with support at $79,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. If the price remains stable above $79,200, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $80,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $80,800 level. A close above the $81,200 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $81,650 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $82,000 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $82,500. Another Drop In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $81,200 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $79,200 level. The first major support is near the $78,500 level. The next support is now near the $77,850 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $74,940 swing low to the $80,770 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $77,150 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $76,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $79,200, followed by $78,500. Major Resistance Levels – $80,500 and $81,200.

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #bitcoin halving #btc #bitcoin news #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news #market value to realized value #mvrv #tradingview #cmc #cryptorphic #bitbull

Bitcoin is undergoing a notable transformation as shifting market conditions redefine how the asset behaves and is valued. Once dominated by retail speculation and predictable halving-driven cycles, BTC is now entering a more mature phase shaped by broader financial forces.  How The Bitcoin Structure Is Shifting Beyond Halving Narratives Bitcoin is approaching a critical inflection point where its market structure could shift decisively. A KOL manager and advisor known as BitBull on X has stated that the short-term holder Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio is currently hovering around 1.0, a historically important level that reflects whether recent buyers are in profit or under pressure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Show Signs Of Exhaustion Around $78,000 — What’s Next? According to BitBull, when the MVRV remains below 1.0, it typically signals that most short-term holders are under pressure and rallies struggle. In every previous cycle, the real move began only after the MVRV reclaimed and held above 1.0, which is when selling pressure starts to fade, and momentum begins to build on the upside. At the same time, BTC price is attempting to reclaim the short-term holder realized price, another key on-chain level that often acts as a dividing line between weak and strong market structure. However, if MVRV reclaims and holds above 1.0 and the price breaks the short-term holder realized price, it usually marks a shift from a weakening structure to a stronger trend-driven market.  Currently, BTC is very close to that point. Daily Close Above Resistance Could Shift Market Momentum The Bitcoin price is sitting at a critical inflation point that could define its next major move. Top KOL on Tradingview and CMC, known as Cryptorphic on X, highlighted that the price is currently testing a well-established resistance zone around $80,000, an area that has previously acted as a strong barrier. Related Reading: Bitcoin To $125,000: Arthur Hayes Says The Setup Is Turning Bullish This makes the current setup particularly important, and a clean daily close above the region would signal a weakening of bearish momentum pressure and potentially open the path for continued upside expansion. However, the structure isn’t fully convincing, and the BTC price is slowly grinding into resistance without strong follow-through. At the same time, volume is declining even as the price pushes higher and prints higher highs. This type of divergence between price action and participation often signals weakening momentum behind the move, increasing the likelihood of either a rejection or a short-term pullback. That’s why this level represents a key decision point.  Furthermore, if buyers step in with strong volume and push the price firmly above resistance, it could confirm a breakout and shift momentum in favor of the bulls. On the other hand, if it fails to break through convincingly, it may result in another rejection from the resistance. In this structure, the daily close is the key signal because BTC’s behavior here will determine the next move. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

#ethereum #bitcoin #btc price #federal reserve #bitcoin price #btc #s&p 500 #jerome powell #bitcoin news #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news #aralez

Bitcoin is trading close to $80,000 in the first week of May; Jerome Powell is weeks away from stepping down as Federal Reserve chair; the S&P 500 is at an all-time high; and sentiment across crypto markets is slowly turning positive.  Crypto trader and market analyst Aralez has stepped forward with a full arc of the industry’s next major cycle that stretches from the second quarter of 2026 into the end of 2027. The prediction starts with a bearish short-term outlook for both Bitcoin and Ethereum, but it does not end there. Bitcoin And Ethereum Could Face Another Deep Drop Before Q3 The first stage of Aralez’s prediction focuses on May and June 2026, where he expects the market to see one more wave of panic. This is the most bearish part of the forecast, and it places the Bitcoin price reaching below $58,000, which would represent a drop of about 27% from its current price near $79,715. The chart attached to the analysis shows Bitcoin holding close to $80,000 before rolling over into a projected Q2 decline. Related Reading: This Week In Bitcoin: Top Developments That Could Signal A New Era Ethereum, in his view, could fall to around $1,600. This would also translate to a decline of about 32% from its current price of $2,359. Aralez also tied this stage to weakness in the S&P 500, with a prediction that it could reverse and fall below 6,800. That would be a clear break from the current mood in equities, where the index is currently trading at new highs around 7,230. The second part of the forecast is on Q3 2026, when Bitcoin will start to form a bottom while whales begin accumulating. The trigger in his forecast is a change in Federal Reserve leadership, followed by a strong market drop and the first US rate cut. Aralez’s prediction is that the leadership transition will lead to a market sell-off, with the S&P 500 falling to as low as $5,200 in the worst of it. Q4 2026 To 2027 Could Bring Bitcoin Back Above Its Record High The most bullish section of the prediction begins in Q4 2026. Aralez expects Bitcoin to start a new uptrend and reach above $90,000 before the end of the year. That would represent a major recovery from the projected sub-$58,000 Q2 target, but the analyst sees it as only the first stage of a bigger move. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices Have Been Rising And Falling Sharply The outlook is that Bitcoin will break its all-time high and reach above $140,000 sometime between Q1 and Q4 2027. The surge will be supported by mass integration of AI into the crypto industry, the launch of quantitative easing amid a global crisis, and new narratives bringing millions of participants into crypto. Those who buy Bitcoin during the Q3 2026 bottom, at or below $58,000, would achieve close to a 3x return within twelve months if the $140,000 target is hit. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

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The latest Bitcoin move has brought bulls back into control of the short-term chart, but the setup is not as straightforward as a clean breakout into higher prices. The 4-hour structure shows momentum building, trendline support holding, and buyers pushing through to higher highs.  However, the path to a much larger expansion still appears to have one unfinished step. The technical chart implies Bitcoin may need to revisit an important area before the next major move to at least $97,000 can develop properly. Bitcoin Breakout Leaves One Important Level Behind Technical analysis of Bitcoin’s price action on the 4-hour candlestick chart posted on the TradingView platform shows the leading cryptocurrency is already doing the difficult part of the setup.  Related Reading: If You Hold XRP, Then You Should Be Paying Attention To These Major Developments Bitcoin’s price action has moved above the long descending resistance line that had stopped previous rallies, turning the broader 4-hour structure more bullish. The breakout also came while Bitcoin continued to respect the rising support trendline that has guided the recovery since late February to April. However, breakouts without retests are incomplete. The 4-hour chart also shows that the Bitcoin price has moved ahead of the strongest demand zone, leaving behind the $71,900 to $72,000 region as the area bears may still want to retest.  Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: TradingView The Expansion Phase And What It Requires The most important part of the setup is the support region around $71,900 to $72,000. However, a retest of this range would not be a sign of weakness. It would be the price action doing precisely what it is supposed to do: return to a level of proven demand and absorb remaining sell orders, create a strong buying opportunity, and establish a foundation solid enough to support an expansion to new yearly highs. Speaking of a run to new yearly highs, the price target proposed by this analysis is a rally to at least $97,400. This means the bullish setup has some room to breathe, but not unlimited room.  Related Reading: Here’s How The Ethereum Vs. Solana Rivalry Is Going There is an invalidation level sitting at $67,500. A breakdown below $67,500 would weaken the argument that Bitcoin is only retesting before expansion. Instead, it would mean that the breakout has failed and that sellers have regained control of the short-term structure. The broader market backdrop is helping the bullish case. Bitcoin’s rebound has coincided with heavy demand through US Spot Bitcoin ETFs, which witnessed $630 million in inflows on May 1. Bitcoin briefly broke above $80,000 over the weekend, but the move failed to hold as the price reversed before the daily close. A daily close above $80,000 could serve as the first signal of a broader bullish expansion.  BTC 200 Day Moving Average The next major confirmation would be a daily close above the 200-day moving average, which is currently at $83,600. Bitcoin has not closed above this moving average since October 2025, making it an important level for bulls to reclaim. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

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Bitcoin is once again pressing against the pivotal $80,000 resistance, a level that has repeatedly capped upside attempts in recent price action. The market now finds itself at a decisive moment, where a confirmed breakout could ignite fresh bullish momentum, while failure to push higher may trigger another wave of selling pressure.  BTC Tests Critical $80,000 Resistance Zone Bitcoin is currently positioned at a critical technical juncture that demands close attention. According to Cryptorphic, the price is actively testing formidable resistance situated around the $80,000 region. This psychological and technical barrier has recently served as a significant ceiling. Related Reading: Bitcoin Clings To Key Support: EMA Reclaim Vs $78,000 Resistance Showdown The primary catalyst for a trend continuation lies in the daily candlestick close. A clean daily close above this $80,000 area would invalidate the prevailing bearish momentum and pave the way for a move into higher price discovery. However, the current price action is characterized by a slow grind into resistance rather than an impulsive breakout, suggesting a lack of immediate follow-through from buyers. A concerning development in this setup is the divergence between price and trading volume. While Bitcoin continues to notch higher highs, trading volume is notably declining. This suggests that the strength behind the upward move is waning, a technical signal that often precedes a sharp rejection or a healthy pullback. The outlook now hinges on whether Bitcoin can generate a high-volume surge to clear the $80,000 hurdle or if the lack of conviction will result in another rejection from this key resistance. Currently, the daily close is the primary indicator to determine the next market move. Bitcoin Reaches Key Inverse Flag Target At $80,500 The latest technical analysis from Bitcoin Meraklısı confirms that the primary upside objective has been achieved. Bitcoin has successfully reached the initial target previously identified: the critical inverse flag resistance level situated at the $80,500 mark. Reaching this milestone marks a pivotal moment in the current price action, as the market tests the upper boundaries of this formation. Related Reading: Bitcoin At A Transitional Phase? Bull Score Index Signals Uncertain Momentum Should the price successfully break above this flag resistance and maintain its upward trajectory, a series of sequential horizontal targets becomes relevant. Analysts are keeping a close watch on the $84,500 level as the next immediate hurdle. Beyond that, it is $93,000, with the ultimate target resting near the $98,000 barrier. Despite the optimistic momentum, breaking through the inverse flag resistance is rarely seamless. Thus, the possibility of a price reaction, or a temporary rejection, at this junction must be factored into any trading strategy. Looking ahead, the prevailing expectation is for the upward trend to persist. However, in the volatile landscape of digital assets, it is essential to remain objective and weigh all potential outcomes. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

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Crypto analyst Tice has pointed to a signal that has predicted every Bitcoin bottom in each bear cycle. Based on this, the analyst suggested that the flagship crypto may again be forming a bottom just as the price looks to break above the psychological $80,000 level.  The Signal That Has Predicted Every Bitcoin Bottom Is Again Aligning In an X post, Tice said that the signal that has called every Bitcoin bottom in history has triggered again. He noted that in the 2014, 2018, and 2022 bear cycles, BTC was in a bear cycle for around 14 months before forming a bottom, with a price explosion following. Now, this same pattern may be playing out again with BTC looking to form a bottom.  Related Reading: Analyst Predicts Exactly When To Sell Bitcoin For The Most Return Tice stated that risk has been repriced, leverage has been cleared, and sentiment has been washed out. He added that time alignment is a condition, not a confirmation. Right now, time, structure, and positioning are said to be all aligning. He suggested that now was a good time to invest in Bitcoin with the “window” open and that asymmetric opportunities like this don’t wait.   In another X post, the analyst reiterated that a Bitcoin bottom was forming. He alluded to the median Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV), which he noted has hit the same signal as every major bottom in BTC history. Tice added that a multi-year bull market has always followed whenever this signal appears, as it has now.  Therefore, he remarked that if history rhymes even loosely, then two to three years of bull market for BTC may be on the horizon. He added that the bear market that felt different on the way down is about to feel very familiar on the way up.  BTC Approaching A Make-or-Break Level Crypto analyst Colin stated that Bitcoin is nearing an interesting spot on the chart, which is the intersection of two trend lines and one horizontal resistance level. Based on this, he gave a 50% chance of BTC forming a local top around this intersection. However, if it breaks above the channel, the analyst predicts it could move much higher and reach a local top around the $84,000 to $86,000 zone.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Crash Is Coming: Pundit Says It’s Time To Sell All Your BTC Colin noted that the zone is where the most immediate and significant horizontal resistance can be found from the previous consolidation range. Meanwhile, the analyst doesn’t believe Bitcoin is back in a bull run, despite the leading crypto forming new highs since its February 6 low of around $60,000. BTC has also notably rallied amid the U.S.-Iran war.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $79.900, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

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Bitcoin pushed back above $80,000 for the first time since late January, as traders reacted to a mix of geopolitical relief, steady ETF demand and a moderate short squeeze across crypto derivatives markets. BTC traded near $80,000 after touching an intraday high of $80,529, reaching its highest level since January 31. The break matters because $80,000 had become the market’s nearest psychological ceiling after weeks of recovery from deeper Q1 stress. Why Is The Bitcoin Price Up Today? The main catalyst appeared to come from Washington. In a Truth Social post on Sunday, US President Donald Trump announced “Project Freedom,” an operation he said would help ships stranded by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Trump framed the move as a “humanitarian gesture” for neutral countries affected by the US-Israeli war with Iran, saying the US would “guide their Ships safely” through restricted waterways so they could resume business. Related Reading: Bitcoin Apparent Demand Remains Weak — What This Says About Price Recovery The message landed in a market already sensitive to any shift in the Hormuz standoff. The initiative is scheduled to begin Monday and could involve guided-missile destroyers, more than 100 aircraft and 15,000 service members, while Iran denounced the plan as a possible ceasefire violation. “They are victims of circumstance,” Trump wrote of the stranded crews. Any interference, he added, would “have to be dealt with forcefully.” For crypto traders, the important point was not that Hormuz risk disappeared. It did not. The point was that the US announcement gave markets a concrete de-escalation path after weeks in which blocked shipping, higher energy risk and uncertainty around Iran had weighed on broader risk appetite. Iran’s effective closure of the strait had shaken global markets, with ships and seafarers stranded in the Persian Gulf since the war began. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Show Signs Of Exhaustion Around $78,000 — What’s Next? Derivatives positioning then amplified the move. CoinGlass data shows $356.55 million in total crypto liquidations over 24 hours, including $303.88 million in short liquidations against $52.66 million in longs. Bitcoin accounted for the largest liquidation block in the heatmap at $170.69 million, followed by Ethereum at $91.60 million. That is consistent with a moderate short squeeze: bearish positions were forced to buy back into a rising market, adding mechanical demand just as BTC cleared the $80,000 area. The squeeze was not the only support. Spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds in the US recorded a fifth consecutive week of inflows, totaling $153.87 million last week, according to SoSoValue data. That flow profile helped strengthen the argument that the move was not purely a headline-driven spike, but also reflected continued institutional allocation after weeks of recovery. At press time, BTC traded at $79,865. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

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Bitcoin price started a fresh increase and cleared the $80,000 zone. BTC is consolidating and might aim for more gains above the $80,500 level. Bitcoin managed to stay above $78,000 and started a fresh increase. The price is trading above $78,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $79,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might extend gains if it stays above the $79,000 and $78,500 levels. Bitcoin Price Regains Traction Bitcoin price found support near $78,000 and started a fresh increase. BTC gained pace for a move above the $78,500 and $78,800 resistance levels. The bulls even pushed the price above $80,000. A high was formed at $80,336, and the price started a consolidation phase above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $74,940 swing low to the $80,336 high. The bulls are now active above $78,500. Bitcoin is now trading above $79,200 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is also a bullish trend line forming with support at $79,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. If the price remains stable above $79,200, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $80,250 level. The first key resistance is near the $80,500 level. A close above the $80,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $81,200 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $82,000 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $82,500. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $80,500 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $79,000 level. The first major support is near the $78,250 level. The next support is now near the $77,650 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $74,940 swing low to the $80,336 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $77,000 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $76,000, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $79,000, followed by $78,250. Major Resistance Levels – $80,500 and $82,000.

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Bitcoin had a modest start to May, with the flagship cryptocurrency rising as much as 3.5% on Friday. As of this writing, the premier cryptocurrency trades near $78,400, barely moving over the past day. Interestingly, a market pundit has explained how a perceived shift in Bitcoin’s investor behavior could be a major influence on the cryptocurrency’s inertia. Buying Power On Binance Fades After Bitcoin Rally Crazzyblockk, in a QuickTake post on the CryptoQuant platform, highlighted a dynamic shift among Bitcoin investors over the past few days. The relevant indicator cited here is the Binance Stablecoin Netflow (USD) metric. Related Reading: Bitcoin Apparent Demand Remains Weak — What This Says About Price Recovery For context, the metric tracks the net amount of stablecoins entering or leaving Binance, thereby indicating whether buying power is accumulating (inflows) or being withdrawn (outflows) from the exchange. According to Crazzyblockk, Binance (the world’s leading exchange by trading volume) had, on a daily basis, recorded significant amounts in net inflows from 14th to 22nd April. During this period, Binance saw daily inflows of $548 million to $1.14 billion in fresh stablecoins. Interestingly, this consistent stream of inflows corresponded with Bitcoin’s recovery from $74,000 to $78,000. The crypto expert noted that this is a sign of “textbook buying power accumulation on Binance.”  However, this stream of stablecoin inflows appears to have come to an end—an event that could, in turn, cause the rally to progressively lose strength. This could, by extension, be a sign of potential sentiment shift, as bearish pressure could quickly kick in at major resistance levels (as is currently the case). Binance Records $1.54-$1.78B In Outflows Per Day Since April 28 On the flipside, investors did not merely hold off on their liquidity; they may also be showing signs of a sentiment shift. Starting April 28, Binance has seen five consecutive days of stablecoin outflows, ranging from $1.54 billion to $1.78 billion each day.    According to Crazzyblockk, a similarly heavy stablecoin sell-off has not been seen in the Bitcoin market since January 26. The last time it happened, daily outflows reached $3.2 billion, while the market leader traded near $89,500. Notably, that period was followed by a roughly 15% decline in BTC’s price before it eventually stabilized around $76,000. Crazzyblockk further explained that this is due to a simple mechanism that repeats itself on a smaller scale: “stablecoin reserves built up, fueled a rally, then drained as the cycle exhausted itself.” Hence, if the stablecoin netflows on Binance fail to transition back into the ‘inflows’ side, Bitcoin could be facing significant downside risk. To alleviate this risk, Crazzyblockk explained that fresh capital, in the form of stablecoins, would need to re-enter exchanges, especially Binance.  Related Reading: ‘Ethereum’s Price Should Have Dropped Already’ – Analyst Explains The On-Chain Signal Behind The Warning Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

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After weeks of renewed optimism, many in the Bitcoin market now believe the tide could finally be turning. While the premier cryptocurrency’s price action has been steadily turning around since the start of April, the current on-chain structure suggests expectations might be overestimated. According to an on-chain analyst, BTC’s recovery process is unlikely to occur in a few weeks. Bitcoin Bottom Could Take Six Months To Form: Analyst In a May 2nd post on the X platform, crypto pundit Axel Adler Jr. shared an on-chain insight into the recovery path of Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. This on-chain observation is based on an adjusted model of the Realized Price Bands metric that reflects the average cost basis of different market participants. Related Reading: Bitcoin Could Be One Breakout Away From A Structural Shift: Analysts The Adjusted Realized Price Bands model is calibrated to only account for Bitcoin’s live circulating supply, filtering the effect of the dormant — albeit significant — portion of the coin’s total supply. This metric shows when significant holders, who are likely to make market decisions, are at a loss or near a loss, signaling historical accumulation zones. Highlighting data from CryptoQuant, Adler Jr. revealed that the lower bound of the Adjusted Realized Price Bands model, known as the “RP Alive,” is now below $59,000. According to the on-chain analyst, this price zone could mark the start of a Bitcoin bottom formation, suggesting the market leader might still have one more leg down. Adler Jr., however, noted that Bitcoin’s price being near the bottom doesn’t guarantee an immediate reversal, as bottom formation isn’t a “one or two week process.” The analyst postulated that the base case for the bottom formation is around six months. BTC Bottom Formation Depends On Return Of Market Demand Adler Jr. further explained the rationale for the six-month base case conclusion, noting that demand remains the core driver of bottom formations. The on-chain analyst then mentioned that real demand forms only over the long term, not on emotion or local bounces. In essence, the on-chain analyst believes the bottom formation will only begin when the investors start to “see forward-looking value again,” and genuine spot demand returns to the market. Unfortunately, recent on-chain data shows that BTC’s apparent demand remains weak. As of this writing, the price of BTC is around $78,458, with no significant movement in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, the flagship cryptocurrency is up nearly 2% on the weekly timeframe. Related Reading: Dogecoin Inverted Scale Shows A Sharp Drop, But Something Is Interesting About This Chart Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

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A crypto analyst has outlined a specific period he believes could be the right time to sell Bitcoin (BTC) for the most returns. Supporting his prediction, the analyst highlighted a recurring historical pattern that has marked major bullish turning points in BTC’s market cycles. He suggested that these past patterns could be used to determine the best exit points for traders in the ongoing cycle.  Analyst Reveals Best Time To Sell Bitcoin Crypto market analyst Merlijn The Trader has cautioned that Bitcoin could be approaching a major turning point, urging traders to consider selling their coins to maximize returns. In a post on X, he predicted that BTC may be heading toward another sharp correction, with a possible downside target near the $33,000 level, one of his lower-cycle projections. Related Reading: Bitcoin ETFs Lose Nearly Half A Billion Dollars As Fear Returns To Crypto The analyst warns traders to “sell in May and go away,” arguing that Bitcoin may hit a fresh cycle top this May, followed by a potential drop that could trigger losses for many bulls who fail to exit early enough. He pointed to a repeating Bitcoin cycle pattern that has historically aligned with major market tops around May in mid-cycle years. Sharing a price chart, Merlijn The Trader outlines BTC’s price movements from 2014 to the present. He noted that during the 2014 Bitcoin cycle, the market topped in May before a decline of around 61% followed. In 2018, a similar May peak preceded a massive price crash of approximately 65%. Furthermore, in 2022, the same structure repeated, with Bitcoin forming a May high which eventually led to a 66% market recession. Across these three cycles, the timing of the peaks has remained eerily consistent, with May acting as a critical turning point before a sustained downside movement. Notably, Merlijn The Trader believes that the current market cycle is once again following these historical trends.  Based on the recurring structure, the analyst estimates a possible downside of about 60.73% after Bitcoin reaches a potential market top this May. With BTC currently trading above $78,000, such a staggering decline would place the price near $33,000.  Analyst Outlines Bull And Bear Case Scenarios For Bitcoin In a separate analysis, crypto expert Ted Pillows predicts two potential near-term scenarios for Bitcoin as its price hovers around $78,000. The analyst explained that, because the $75,000 level has acted as strong support for Bitcoin over the past few weeks, he believes the cryptocurrency could be preparing for another major rally.  Pillows noted that Bitcoin is now approaching the critical resistance zone around $78,000 to $80,000. He said this zone is where the real test is set to begin. According to the analyst, if Bitcoin can safely reclaim and hold this range, the next move could be a jump to fill the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) gap near $86,000.  The chart also shows this clearly, tracing BTC’s projected path toward this upper CME gap. Once price nears $86,000, Pillows predicts a sharp pullback to the previous $80,000 range.  Related Reading: US CLARITY Act Moves Closer To Law After Surprise Stablecoin Yield Update For his bearish forecast, the analyst noted that if Bitcoin gets rejected around the $78,000 to $80,000 resistance, it could trigger a larger correction, potentially pushing the price toward the $70,000 level before a new bounce. Further decline in this area could also lead to a steeper drop to $66,318.    Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin is holding a critical position as it attempts to stabilize above a key moving average while facing persistent resistance near $78,000. The recent reclaim of the 21-week EMA signals potential strength, but repeated rejections overhead continue to test bullish momentum. With price caught between strong support and a stubborn ceiling, the next move could be decisive in shaping BTC’s short-term trend.   BTC Secures Marginal Weekly Close Above 21-Week EMA Crypto analyst Rekt Capital shared in a recent update that Bitcoin has achieved a marginal weekly close above its 21-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA). This technical milestone is significant as it suggests price is in a prime position to reclaim this specific moving average as a solid support for future upward momentum. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rejection Sparks Caution: Is The Rally Losing Steam? However, the analyst noted that the initial breakout lacked sufficient breathing room for a standard, clean retest. Consequently, the market experienced a violent downside wick that dipped below the EMA, serving as a volatile retest to shake out weak hands. During this period of heightened volatility, Bitcoin’s price action saw a deep wick that brought it into proximity with the $73,000 level. This area is technically significant as it represents the Double Bottom formation top. Reaching this level confirms that the market is still interacting with major historical structural boundaries despite the current fluctuations. The focus now shifts entirely to the upcoming weekly candle close to determine the mid-term trajectory. If the candle closes at its current snapshot levels, it would signal that the retest of the 21-week EMA was successful.  Conversely, a weekly close below the 21-week EMA would negate the current bullish thesis. Such a failure would likely result in a deeper correction, pushing Bitcoin’s price back into the low $70,000 range.  Bitcoin Struggles To Break Into $80,000 Target Zone According to technical analysis by Crypto Candy, Bitcoin continues to make attempts toward the $80,000 target zone but has yet to build enough momentum for a sustained breakout. Each push higher has been met with resistance, showing that buyers are still struggling to gain full control of the trend. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stalls At $77K As Major On-Chain Resistance Kicks In – Details At the moment, the $78,000 level is acting as a strong barrier, repeatedly capping upside moves. As long as the price remains below this zone, the risk of a short-term pullback remains on the table. If momentum fades further, BTC could revisit the $73,000 region, which stands out as a key support area. Despite the near-term resistance, the overall outlook remains bullish, with the $80,000 target still firmly in play. This bias continues to hold as long as Bitcoin maintains support above $73,000, keeping the structure intact and leaving room for another push toward higher levels once resistance is cleared. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

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The Bitcoin price enjoyed a modest recovery on Friday, the start of May. Alongside its technically bullish structure, this auspicious beginning tells a story about Bitcoin’s chances of performing impressively in the coming weeks. Yet, the flagship cryptocurrency still faces a broader threat of a potential downturn. According to data from a recent on-chain evaluation, if Bitcoin experiences another sell-off, it might not establish a local floor until it reaches as low as $43,000. MVRV Points To Key Support Zone Below Current Levels In a recent post on the social media platform X, crypto pundit Ali Martinez hypothesized that Bitcoin’s price might have yet to establish a local bottom. This postulation is based on BTC’s MVRV Pricing Bands, which use the ratio between market value and realized value to identify when Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued. Related Reading: Ethereum Pullback Sparks $1B Buying Frenzy Despite Hawkish Fed Warning on Inflation — What Changed? According to the analyst, the MVRV Pricing Bands have been instrumental in establishing where the Bitcoin price bottoms are likely to be. Specifically, the crypto expert explained that Bitcoin has historically bottomed between the 1.0 and 0.8 bands — a pattern that has been playing out since 2010.  With the usual “bottoming zones” within the established price bands, Martinez further revealed that Bitcoin has yet to test these critical zones in its current cycle. Per the analyst, the bands have established the following price positions: 1.0 MVRV Band at $54,145; 0.8 MVRV Band at $43,316. Hence, the crypto pundit noted that these bands could contain Bitcoin’s price in the event of a macro sell-off (causing a deep retracement). As is also evident in the chart shared by Martinez, cycles that fail to revisit key accumulation zones typically remain vulnerable to deeper pullbacks before establishing a long-term base. Bitcoin Price Takes On 2022 Bottoming Structure  In a separate post on the X platform, Ali Martinez revealed that the Bitcoin price is currently forming a structure similar to that seen in 2022. In the case where Bitcoin follows the 2022 structure, Martinez pointed out that the market could still give one more push higher. However, this bullish trajectory might not be sustainable in the near-term, as it would likely be followed by a “final leg down.” If this holds, the MVRV pricing bands previously established would likely also come into play to cushion Bitcoin’s fall. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price stands at approximately $77,933, reflecting a 2% daily gain. Related Reading: XRP May Outlook: 4 Catalysts, Key Dates, And Critical Price Levels To Watch   Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

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The Bitcoin price had quite an interesting performance over the past week, cruising to a new high above the $79,000 high early on before crashing to as low as $75,500 on the last day of April. However, the premier cryptocurrency has had a somewhat bright start to May, hovering around the $78,000 level. While the subtle price action resurgence suggests improving market sentiment, on-chain data shows that current demand is still insufficient to fuel a full recovery for Bitcoin — and perhaps the rest of the crypto market. BTC Apparent Demand Improving, But Still Not Sufficient: Analyst In a recent Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, pseudonymous analyst Darkfost stated that the underlying Bitcoin market demand has remained weak despite the price rebound over the past two months. According to the crypto pundit, there is no current evidence of a shift in the price regime, despite BTC rising by more than 30% from its cycle lows. Drawing inferences from the Apparent Demand metric, which measures demand by comparing the freshly mined BTC to the amount of unmoved coin in over a year, Darkfost reiterated that market appetite has remained weak. Indeed, the metric has seen some recovery — as has price — from the ghastly -89,000 BTC in early April. Related Reading: Bitcoin Renko Mari-Ashi Reveals Where The Bottom Lies And When The Rise Will Begin Again However, CryptoQuant data shared by the analyst shows that the apparent demand (30-day sum) is still negative at -44,700 BTC. Darkfost revealed that the Bitcoin Apparent Demand metric has been in the red all year, except for a brief period in February, when BTC mining activity saw a sharp decline. Darkfost explained in their Quicktake post: I am excluding the brief positive shift at the end of February, as it was not driven by a genuine increase in demand, but rather by a sharp drop in BTC issuance. This was mainly due to a significant decline in mining activity, particularly linked to severe weather conditions in the United States earlier in the year. The analyst noted that while the apparent demand trend shows signs of improvement over the past few weeks, market appetite needs to improve further to create the appropriate environment to support a sustainable Bitcoin price recovery. As seen in previous trends, the price of BTC is directly related to the Apparent Demand indicator. Hence, investors need to watch out for when the metric turns positive. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $78,334, reflecting an over 2% jump in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Bitcoin On Morgan Stanley’s Balance Sheet? The Answer Is Getting Interesting Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

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After a shaky start to the year, Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and XRP Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have recorded their strongest performance in months, signaling strong institutional demand despite the recent market volatility. Related Reading: XRP 2017 Breakout Replay? Analyst Drops Bold Target As Multi-Year Pattern Repeats Bitcoin Leads ETF Boom With $2B Inflows As the crypto market recovered from the start-of-year correction, US spot Bitcoin ETFs kicked off a new positive inflow streak, capping the second straight month of massive gains. The flagship crypto saw an 11.8% rise in April, climbing from the $68,000 mark to the $78,000-$79,000 resistance area for the first time since February, BTC’s strongest monthly gain in a year, according to CoinGlass data. Amid this performance, Bitcoin-based investment products recorded their strongest inflows in six months, with a nine-day streak between April 14 and April 24 totaling $2.1 billion. This marked the longest and largest inflows since the category’s $5.33 billion nine-day streak that ended in early October 2025. Nonetheless, this week’s market volatility, which recently pushed BTC’s price to a weekly low of $74,973, snapped Bitcoin ETFs from their daily and weekly positive spells, pulling nearly half a billion dollars from the funds in just three days. As reported by NewsBTC, the category saw $490 million in outflows between April 27 and April 29, its biggest negative net flows in three months. Despite the recent withdrawals, the funds posted $1.97 billion in April after a mild $14.76 recovery on Thursday, surpassing March’s $1.32 billion and recording their best performance of the year, the first two-month streak since Q4 2025. Notably, these inflows have offset outflows from January and February, with nearly $1.5 billion in net inflows Year-to-Date (YTD). ETH, XRP Funds See April Comeback Like Bitcoin, altcoin-based ETFs also saw a strong performance during the April market recovery, with Ethereum and XRP leading the charge. As ETH’s price printed its second green candle in 2026, its investment products logged their first positive performance of the year. SoSoValue data shows that the category posted $356 million in inflows in April, ending a six-month negative streak totaling $2.8 billion. Ethereum ETFs recorded a 10-day positive spell between April 9 and April 22, bringing in $633.5 million during this period. It’s worth noting that ETH funds remain in red despite the recent inflows, with about $413 million in net outflows during the first four months of 2026. XRP funds also rebounded in April, with inflows totaling $81.59 million. This marked a strong recovery from March’s performance, when the category saw the first red month since its November launch. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces ‘Most Critical Week In Months’ Amid $76,000 Retest – Should Investors Worry? Similar to Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, the XRP-based products recorded their best daily streak of the year, seeing 14 days of positive net flows between April 10 and April 29. Following this performance, the funds have seen around $124 million in inflows during the first four months of the year, bringing their total cumulative inflows to $1.29 billion. Meanwhile, Solana ETFs continued their seven-month positive streak, posting $38.69 million in inflows last month and recording $251.8 million net inflows for 2026. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

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A crypto analyst has shared more insights into the Bitcoin (BTC) price action using a rare Japanese chart pattern called the Renko Mari-Ashi. The chart shows that the Bitcoin price has formed a Double Bottom and could be on the verge of a major breakout. Additionally, it has highlighted the points where the Double Bottom was formed, revealing the area where BTC is likely to start rising again in this cycle.  Bitcoin Double Bottom Formation On The Renko Mari-Ashi Chart Geometric, a pseudonymous market analyst on X, said on April 28 that the Renko Mari-Ashi chart is signaling another major bottom formation for Bitcoin. He described this chart as a special Japanese chart that focuses solely on a cryptocurrency’s price movement, not the timing of its actions.  Related Reading: Here’s How The Ethereum Vs. Solana Rivalry Is Going He said that this chart was designed to filter out market noise and highlight major trends and reversals in a cryptocurrency. Moreover, unlike traditional candlestick charts, which create a new candle at each interval, the bricks on the Renko Mari-Ashi chart are formed only when the price moves by a specific amount, which can take minutes, hours, or days.  Looking at the Bitcoin price action on this rare chart, Geometric tracks the cryptocurrency’s movements from 2018 to the present, highlighting every major bull run and bear market along the way. The chart shows that Bitcoin has now completed a second Double Bottom formation and could be gearing up for a major reversal.  The first time a similar Double Bottom pattern appeared was around September 2024, a few weeks before BTC’s historic surge to the $100,000 psychological level. Prior to this, Bitcoin had formed a Double Top, setting the stage for its Double Bottom. Once that price floor was confirmed, BTC exploded above $100,000 in 2025, forming another Double Top pattern.  Following the trajectory of the Renko Mari-Ashi chart blocks, Bitcoin crashed below $75,000 around May after hitting $100,000. This massive drop preceded the price reversal that led to the cryptocurrency’s historic all-time high above $126,000 in October 2025. Once this ultimate top was reached, BTC started its current bear market decline, which Geometric says has now led to the formation of a new Double Bottom, similar to the one that emerged in 2024. Where BTC Bottom Stands And When The Uptrend Begins The Renko Mari-Ashi officially places BTC’s current Double Bottom around the $60,000 to $65,000 range. The first bottom formed in February 2026 when BTC crashed down toward $60,000, while the second price floor emerged near $65,000 following a bullish fakeout.  Related Reading: XRP Price At $25,000? The ‘Divine’ Prediction That Is Setting The Community On Fire With this Double Bottom now confirmed, Geometric suggests that BTC’s bear market may be over, and price action has returned to the green. He wrote on the chart that the Bitcoin price is now in a bullish breakout zone, signaling a potential strong rally ahead. If price action plays out as it did in 2024, BTC could be headed for another major bull run to new highs this cycle.  Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

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Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $76,500 zone. BTC is consolidating and might aim for more gains if it clears the $76,750 resistance zone. Bitcoin managed to form a base above $75,000 and started a recovery wave. The price is trading below $77,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $76,750 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might gain bullish momentum if it settles above the $77,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Eyes Upside Break Bitcoin price remained supported above the $75,000 zone. BTC formed a base and settled above $75,500 to start a recovery wave. There was a move above the $76,000 and $76,200 levels. The bulls were able to push the price above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $77,888 swing high to the $74,940 low. However, the bears are active near $76,750. There is also a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $76,750 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Bitcoin is now trading below $77,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $75,500, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $76,750 level, the trend line, and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $77,888 swing high to the $74,940 low. The first key resistance is near the $77,000 level. A close above the $77,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $78,000 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $78,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $80,000. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $76,750 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $76,000 level. The first major support is near the $75,650 level. The next support is now near the $75,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $74,250 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $73,200, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $76,000, followed by $75,650. Major Resistance Levels – $76,750 and $77,000.

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Top US officials have increasingly placed Bitcoin (BTC) at the center of national security discussions, and Representative Lance Gooden says the change is more than just political rhetoric.  In comments reported Thursday, the Texas Republican argued that the largest cryptocurrency has become a “geopolitical weapon” being used—simultaneously, in his view—by multiple adversaries. Multi-Front Security Use Of Bitcoin Gooden’s remarks follow confirmation from Pentagon leadership. According to reporting by the TFTC agency, Secretary of War Pete Hegseth told him that the Department of Defense is actively involved with Bitcoin in classified operations designed to counter what Hegseth described as “China’s digital authoritarianism.”  Gooden quoted Hegseth directly, saying: “I am a long enthusiast of Bitcoin and crypto potential, and a lot of the things we are doing, enabling it or defeating it, are classified efforts that are ongoing inside our department, which do provide us a lot of leverage in a lot of different scenarios.” Related Reading: Hyperliquid Jumps Into The Betting Boom With New ‘Outcome Tokens’ For Real-World Events In recent Senate testimony, Admiral Samuel Paparo—commander of the US Indo-Pacific Command—described Bitcoin as having “incredible potential” as a tool with cybersecurity and wider strategic uses.  Paparo told the Senate, “We have a node on the Bitcoin network right now. Bitcoin has direct implications for power projection.” Within that context, Gooden laid out what he sees as a multi-front national security landscape for Bitcoin. He argued that Iran is demanding Bitcoin as a toll for transit through the Strait of Hormuz.  BPI Numbers Fuel Gooden’s Claim The Republican also claimed that North Korea-linked hackers are using Bitcoin in ransomware campaigns. And he said China is “believed to be stockpiling substantial holdings as part of its strategic reserve.”  Gooden framed his conclusion plainly: “Over the past decade, Bitcoin has evolved from a fringe asset into a matter of national security.” The geopolitical angle is supported by estimates from advocacy and policy groups in the industry. According to the Bitcoin Policy Institute (BPI), China holds approximately 194,000 BTC, while the United States holds approximately 328,000 BTC.  Related Reading: A Stealth Force In Derivatives—Why Bitcoin Can’t Punch Past $80,000 Yet For Gooden, those figures underscore the shift he says is underway: Bitcoin is no longer treated as a speculative sideshow in finance committees.  Instead, he described the market’s leading cryptocurrency as an instrument that can show up in armed services hearings—as an asset relevant to power projection, economic conflict, and reserve accumulation. As of this writing, BTC is trading at approximately $76,384, marking modest gains of 1% within the last 24 hours after probing the $75,000 support level on Wednesday. The key level to watch for the cryptocurrency is currently around $80,000 — a level that has been elusive for BTC since early February.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

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Bitcoin was trading at $75,900 on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve’s latest rate decision sent a chill through crypto markets, capping three straight days of withdrawals from US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds that together erased more than $490 million. Related Reading: Trump’s Bitcoin Reserve Could Be Near As White House Signals Major Update Fidelity And BlackRock Lead The Exodus Fidelity’s FBTC took the heaviest hit, shedding $191 million over the period. BlackRock’s IBIT — the largest spot Bitcoin ETF by assets under management — wasn’t far behind, with close to $167 million flowing out. Ark Invest’s ARKB recorded another $73.3 million in withdrawals. The selling was spread across the week: Monday saw the worst single-day figure at $263 million, followed by $89.7 million on Tuesday, and $137.6 million on Wednesday — the day the Fed announced its decision. The outflows came right on the heels of a strong stretch. According to reports, Bitcoin ETFs had pulled in steady money for nine consecutive days before the streak snapped, with total inflows during that run reaching a little over $2 billion. Last week alone brought in almost $824 million. The reversal was sharp. Fed Holds Firm, Markets Respond The Federal Reserve kept its benchmark rate unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% for the third meeting in a row. Fed Chair Jerome Powell gave no hint of cuts ahead. No softer tone on inflation. No signal of easier financial conditions on the horizon. That message landed hard on risk assets, and Bitcoin felt it quickly. At the same time, rising tensions between the US and Iran added to the unease. Reports indicate that US President Donald Trump warned the Strait of Hormuz could be blocked if Iran does not stand down. Global markets were already on edge, and that kind of geopolitical pressure tends to push investors toward the exits. Meanwhile, fear has returned to the crypto market, with the Crypto Fear and Greed Index falling back into the “Fear” zone as investors grow cautious amid macro uncertainty and continued Bitcoin ETF outflows. What Comes Next For Bitcoin Bitcoin had bounced back from a low near $74,000 earlier in the month, briefly pushing toward $80,000 before this week’s pullback. With ETF outflows continuing, that $75,000 level is again in focus as a potential support test. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull Run Brewing: ATH In Sight By Late 2026: Analyst Data shows Bitcoin dropped about 3% following the Fed’s announcement. Some traders still expect a recovery toward the $85,000–$88,000 range in May, though that outlook depends heavily on whether macro conditions hold steady. For now, the momentum that built over nine days of inflows has stalled. The question is whether it restarts — or fades further. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

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Morgan Stanley’s Amy Oldenburg said a future move by major banks to put Bitcoin on their balance sheets is “not totally out of the question,” pointing to regulatory progress while warning that capital rules and global supervisory alignment still matter. Speaking during a Bitcoin 2026 conference panel, Oldenburg was asked what it would take for a bank like Morgan Stanley, or another regulated financial institution, to make the leap from offering Bitcoin exposure to actually holding Bitcoin as a treasury asset. “Bitcoin on the balance sheet,” she said, pausing on the premise. “You know, I think if we continue to see the progress that we’ve made over the last 16 months or so in regulatory, that that’s something that you may see going forward. It’s not totally out of the question.” Morgan Stanley And Bitcoin? That answer is notable less because it signals an imminent move and more because it frames the idea as procedurally possible. For years, the bank balance sheet question has sat on the far end of institutional Bitcoin adoption: beyond ETFs, beyond custody, beyond client access, and into the realm of prudential capital, examiner expectations, accounting, liquidity planning and board-level risk appetite. Oldenburg’s caveat was that the constraint is not a single rule. She pointed first to SAB 121, the SEC accounting guidance that had made it more difficult for banks to custody crypto assets at scale before its rollback changed part of the equation. But she immediately widened the lens. Related Reading: Bitcoin To $125,000: Arthur Hayes Says The Setup Is Turning Bullish “I think the other thing too is we were talking about SAB 121 rolling back on the capital treatment, but it’s not just that that holds us back,” she said. “It’s Fed guidance, it’s Basel guidance. When you’re a large G-sub bank, it’s not just one agency that you report to.” That is the core of the issue for a firm like Morgan Stanley. A global systemically important bank does not evaluate Bitcoin only through a market-risk lens. It has to satisfy multiple regulators, capital frameworks and jurisdictional expectations at once. Oldenburg said large banks have “many oversight groups” to attend to and need “a little bit more alignment across the board with some of those agencies.” The Backdrop The Basel point is especially important. The Basel Committee’s cryptoasset standard places the most conservative treatment on unbacked crypto assets such as Bitcoin, and industry advocates have argued that the 1,250% risk-weight treatment effectively makes direct bank balance-sheet exposure uneconomic. The Basel Committee said in February 2026 that it had expedited a targeted review of its prudential standard for banks’ cryptoasset exposures, with an update expected later in the year. The Bitcoin Policy Institute has been trying to push that debate into the US implementation process. In March, the group said it planned to review and comment on the Federal Reserve’s coming Basel proposal, arguing that the current treatment discourages banks from holding or servicing Bitcoin because of the punitive risk weight. Related Reading: Analyst Reveals Bitcoin Big Picture, Predicts 50% Crash By EOY The US side has also been moving, though not in a straight line toward bank-owned Bitcoin. In April 2025, the Federal Reserve withdrew earlier guidance tied to banks’ crypto-asset and dollar-token activities, saying the move would keep expectations aligned with evolving risks and support innovation in the banking system. The FDIC and OCC also moved away from prior-approval style frameworks for permissible crypto activity, while maintaining that banks still need sound risk management. More recently, US banking agencies clarified that eligible tokenized securities should generally receive the same capital treatment as their non-tokenized equivalents, describing the capital rule as technology neutral. That clarification does not solve Bitcoin’s balance-sheet treatment, because Bitcoin is not a tokenized version of a traditional security. But it does show regulators separating blockchain rails from asset risk, rather than treating every digital-asset exposure as the same category. That distinction helps explain Oldenburg’s answer. The path for a bank to hold Bitcoin is not simply “regulators become more pro-crypto.” The first point is Basel: if Bitcoin remains subject to the most punitive capital treatment, a G-SIB has little economic incentive to warehouse it as a treasury asset, even if client demand is clear. The second point is Federal Reserve supervision: even after recent rollbacks, large banks still need a coherent examiner framework that tells them how Bitcoin exposure will be judged across safety and soundness, liquidity, operational risk and capital planning. At press time, BTC traded at $1.3716. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

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A crypto analyst is sounding the alarm about Bitcoin (BTC), warning investors to sell their coins before the next price crash. According to the market expert, Bitcoin could be preparing for another major correction, but this time, it’s in the $40,000 range. Contrary to the widespread belief that Bitcoin has entered a new bull market, this analyst argues that the bear market is far from over and that it will end only after BTC hits its final cycle bottom.  Analyst Warns Investors To Sell Bitcoin Now Orbion, a crypto market, has warned members of the Bitcoin community to consider exiting their positions immediately, predicting another major price crash ahead. He pointed to Bitcoin’s recent rally above $79,000, describing it as a bull trap that briefly attracted buyers before the price reversed back to previous lows as selling pressure increased.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Should Be Wary Of This Level Or Investors Risk Getting Trapped According to Orbion, the move to $79,000 marked the final bull trap of its bear market cycle. He argued that there is no more meaningful demand left at the top, suggesting that the Bitcoin price will likely continue struggling to sustain any further upside momentum from current levels.  Against this backdrop, the analyst is urging investors and holders to sell their coins to avoid losses. He believes that Bitcoin is now forming its final bear market bottom, which could trigger a drop toward the $40,000 region. His accompanying chart clearly displays this bearish setup, showing Bitcoin’s weakening momentum despite its recent rebounds to higher levels. The chart shows that since the flagship cryptocurrency reached an all-time high above $125,000 in October 2025, its price has been in a prolonged downtrend. It has also traded within a narrow descending channel for months, constantly making lower highs and lower lows.  If price action plays out as Orbion says, Bitcoin could hit another lower high below $45,000, representing a more than 40% decline from current price levels above $75,000. The analyst believes a decline in this region is highly likely, marking it as BTC’s final cycle bottom.    Analyst Sees No Chance Of BTC Hitting $100,000 This Year Sharing similar bearish sentiments, market analyst KillaXBT has boldly claimed that Bitcoin has “absolutely zero chance” of surpassing or even reclaiming the $100,000 level this year. He noted that 42% of market participants still hold hopes that Bitcoin can close the year with a bullish green candle. Because of this large scale, the analyst believes the current market sentiment has not yet reached true capitulation. Related Reading: Why The Bitcoin Price Could Hit $68,000 Again As a result, the analyst expects the next 90 days to be highly volatile and difficult for traders, likely marked by sharp, unpredictable price swings. He further warned that Bitcoin is more likely to crash toward sub-$60,000 levels than stage a recovery back above $100,000 in the near term.   Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

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Bitcoin’s recent rejection near key resistance has raised fresh concerns about the strength of its ongoing rally. After a steady climb, signs of selling pressure are beginning to emerge, hinting that bullish momentum may be weakening. With price now hovering around critical support zones, the next move could determine whether the uptrend regains traction or starts to lose steam.  2–618 Pattern Triggers: BTC Rejected At $78,000 In a market update, analyst Kamile Uray revealed that the long-anticipated 2-618 pattern for Bitcoin has officially activated. After the price approached the $78,037 mark, significant selling pressure stalled the upward momentum. This reaction at the local peak confirms that the market is currently responding to technical overhead, initiating a corrective phase. Related Reading: Bitcoin Setup Suggests Liquidity Hunt Before Next Directional Move The immediate outlook suggests the current decline could extend down to the $73,762 level, which serves as a critical decision point for the asset. If Bitcoin manages to hold this floor, the possibility of a renewed bullish push remains on the table.  Should the price slip below the $73,762 bottom, the next major target is $70,165, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci support of the most recent upward wave. A successful defense of this area would likely spark another upward move. Conversely, if bulls want to reclaim full control, they must achieve a close above $79,555. Such a move would establish the first higher high on the 4-hour chart relative to the recent downturn, signaling a continuation of the macro uptrend toward the $98,000 and $107,000–$109,000 range. In the event of a more severe retracement, secondary supports are identified at $65,666, $63,823, $62,433, and $60,000. The stakes are particularly high at this lower limit; a daily close below $60,000 would be a highly bearish signal, potentially marking the beginning of a more substantial market decline. Key Levels In Focus: Mapping Bitcoin’s Critical Zones Highlighting the key levels marked on the chart, Daan Crypto Trades emphasized that the low $80,000 region remains a pivotal zone for bulls in the short to mid-term. He also noted that the $72,000 level, which previously acted as resistance for over two months, has now flipped into a critical support zone.  Related Reading: Why Every Bitcoin Macro Triangle Breakdown Has Led To A Retracement Phase Maintaining price above this level would reinforce bullish control and suggest that the market is building a solid base for further upside, providing the foundation needed for another leg higher. A breakdown below $72,000, however, would likely indicate that the momentum from the recent bounce is fading, opening the door for more sideways market structure. Although Bitcoin has posted a steady 20% gain throughout April, the price action may not last long, as volatility is expected to emerge at any point. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

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The latest holder data from Santiment shows that crypto adoption is still increasing, even as prices are without a clear bullish trend across the market. Bitcoin is approaching a major wallet milestone, XRP has continued to grow its user base, and Ethereum is dominating the field by a wide margin. Numbers Reveal A Surge In Adoption New figures from on-chain analytics platform Santiment show that cryptocurrencies are witnessing intense adoption across the board. This data is particularly gotten from the holder count from Santiment, which looks at the number of addresses with non-empty balances. Of the bunch, Bitcoin, XRP, and Ethereum are posting numbers that are noteworthy. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices Have Been Rising And Falling Sharply Bitcoin’s holder count is now one of the clearest signs of adoption across the crypto industry. Santiment’s latest data shows Bitcoin is currently at about 59.08 million non-empty wallets, bringing the network close to the 60 million mark. This means Bitcoin has built one of the largest ownership bases in crypto despite several months of difficult price action and correction from its 2025 price peak. The timing of Bitcoin’s wallet growth is important because it is coming at the same time institutional demand is starting to improve again. Data from SoSoValue shows that Spot Bitcoin ETF flows witnessed positive flows in March and April, after four straight months of net outflows from late November 2025 through February 2026 that totaled about $4 billion. Santiment’s data places XRP’s non-empty wallet count at 7.8 million. That figure, when viewed in isolation, is somewhat modest against Bitcoin’s tally. However, when viewed in context, it reflects a network that has increased in adoption with unusual consistency over the past 18 months since it started trading in the US again. This growth is also notable because XRP has not had the kind of price performance that would usually be expected to accompany a rising holder base. A Broader Market In Expansion The Santiment snapshot is not limited to only Bitcoin and XRP, and it places the cryptocurrencies in context compared to the rest of the market. According to Santiment, Ethereum is nearing 190 million non-empty wallets for the first time in its history, putting it far ahead of every other large-cap crypto asset tracked in the dataset. Ethereum’s 189.5 million non-empty wallets is itself a headline number, one that places it at 3.2 times Bitcoin’s holder count. Related Reading: Analyst Says High XRP Price Targets Are Dangerous, Here’s Why XRP’s 7.8 million non-empty wallets place it below Dogecoin’s 8.25 million and Tether’s 13.61 million on Ethereum, but above USDC’s 6.76 million, Cardano’s 4.63 million, and Chainlink’s 870,720 non-empty wallets. These holder numbers show how far crypto adoption has grown. Research estimates that about 559 million people now own cryptocurrency in 2026, representing a 9.9% global adoption rate, with further growth expected when clearer regulations take shape in the US and other major jurisdictions. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

#bitcoin #btc price #federal reserve #gary gensler #bitcoin price #btc #fed #jerome powell #federal open market committee #bitcoin news #btcusd #us securities and exchange commission #btcusdt #btc news #benjamin cowen #us sec #max trades

When Gary Gensler left the US Securities and Exchange Commission in January 2025, Bitcoin was trending higher, and many expected a more favorable regulatory backdrop to drive further upside. Instead, BTC has fallen sharply to a zone that complicates a once-popular narrative that regulation, or Gensler specifically, was the primary force holding the market back. Bitcoin’s Price May Be Saying More About Markets Than Regulators The market reaction to regulatory change hasn’t played out the way many expected. Analyst Benjamin Cowen has mentioned on X that when Gary Gensler stepped down from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in January 2025, Bitcoin was trading around $109,000. Today, it sits closer to $75,000. Related Reading: Crypto Markets Rattle As Bitcoin Sinks Under $77K Following Oil Spike Cowen argues that one major reason the crypto markets have suffered is that market participants started to lose faith in the industry itself. After Gensler left, it essentially just opened the floodgates to the grift age of crypto.  During the period, the influencers and politicians were launching memecoins and rug-pulling their followers every day, without fear of any repercussions. This led to a massive misallocation of capital, with liquidity flowing into speculative assets instead of strengthening the broader ecosystem. While people celebrated Gensler’s exit, it marked a turning point in the industry, with BTC only marginally going higher before entering a bear market. According to Cowen, now that some people are celebrating Jerome Powell’s removal as chair of the Federal Reserve, it is a sign that history could repeat itself. They celebrated it in the short term, which will mark a turning point in credibility for the Fed in a few years. If the Fed becomes another cabinet within the executive branch, it may lead to a lack of trust in the institution. In a few years, participants will realize that markets were better off with Powell than without him. Liquidity Sweeps Into FOMC Are Becoming A Familiar Setup Bitcoin has shown a consistent pattern around Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings, and it’s not bullish in the short term. A crypto trader known as Max Trades highlighted that following the last seven FOMC meetings, BTC dropped sharply after each decision. Related Reading: Bitcoin Setup Suggests Liquidity Hunt Before Next Directional Move What makes the current setup notable is how closely it mirrors the conditions seen before the March meeting. Back then, price rallied into the event, repeatedly sweeping local highs while building a large pool of liquidity below. That structure marked the local top, followed by a 13% correction that erased most of the prior move. Heading into the current interest rate decision, these factors are in place, with BTC price trading just below a major higher-timeframe resistance level, adding another layer of confluence to the downside scenario. However, if this same scenario plays out similarly, the BTC price could point to the formation of another local top around this event. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

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Samson Mow, the CEO of Jan3, a BTC-focused tech company, has made a bold call, predicting that the Bitcoin price could eventually explode to $1 million per coin. Mow’s ambitious price forecast adds to the growing list of $1 million Bitcoin price projections by Bitwise and other market experts. The CEO has pointed to supply and demand dynamics as the key factor that could drive this seven-figure price target.  Why The Bitcoin Price Could Climb To $1 Million The Bitcoin price is now sitting above $75,000 after a sharp rebound to $79,000, only to quickly reverse most of those gains. Despite its failure to return to its all-time high above $126,000, market experts still maintain strong bullish outlooks for BTC.  Notably, Mow’s $1 million price forecast for Bitcoin suggests that the cryptocurrency could surge by over 1,200% or roughly 13x from its current price, marking a staggering gain. Speaking on a podcast, the CEO did not provide a clear timeline for this target. However, he strongly implied that a run to this level is inevitable.  Related Reading: Here’s How The Ethereum Vs. Solana Rivalry Is Going He backed his outlook by arguing that Bitcoin could experience a sharp “Omega Candle” that may propel its price toward $1 million. He stated that this move could occur sooner than expected and would likely be driven by a major shift in BTC’s supply and demand dynamics.  According to him, the current market appears to be mispricing BTC’s supply, with enough coins still sitting around waiting to be sold. He stated that many people are also being misled into believing that BTC has an infinite supply and that its price will always remain low.  However, Mow rejects this view, noting that major Bitcoin treasury companies like Strategy and others are steadily accumulating BTC, which could drive the available supply to extreme lows. Once this happens, the CEO believes that BTC could face a powerful supply shock that could propel its price toward $1 million. Mow also stated that Bitcoin has a habit of moving in directions the market does not expect. He argued that the traditional four-year cycle is dead and suggested that BTC could eventually hit a new ATH sooner than many expect. Despite claims that the market is in a bear market, the CEO believes Bitcoin can continue rising, challenging expectations of a prolonged downturn. Mow Outlines Bull Case For $10 Million BTC Price Another major reason Mow believes BTC could reach $1 million is its potential to evolve into the world’s reserve asset. As demand from institutions rises and more countries adopt the cryptocurrency, Mow expects BTC’s price to continue to increase over time. Related Reading: XRP Price At $25,000? The ‘Divine’ Prediction That Is Setting The Community On Fire He has also projected that the flagship cryptocurrency could eventually surge to $10,000,000 per coin. A massive gain like this would represent a 900% increase from $1 million and an overall gain of more than 13,200% from its current price.  Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com