Bitcoin price recorded one of its sharpest single-day declines in recent years, a move not seen since the FTX collapse. The largest crypto crashed to an intraday low near $60,000, marking its first visit to this level since October 2024 and fully erasing gains made after the US presidential election. The downside pressure quickly spread …
The initiative highlights the need for proactive measures in the crypto industry to safeguard against future technological threats.
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Data shows social media users are still optimistic about XRP even as sentiment around Bitcoin and Ethereum has declined alongside the market downturn. XRP Positive/Negative Sentiment Is Still At A Notable Level In a new post on X, analytics firm Santiment has talked about how social media sentiment has compared across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP during the latest market decline. The indicator of relevance here is the “Positive/Negative Sentiment,” which tells us about how positive comments related to a given asset stack up against the negative ones on the major social media platforms. Related Reading: Social Media Now Talking Sub-$60,000 Bitcoin Prices As Fear Rises The metric works by assembling posts/comments/messages containing mentions of the asset and feeding them into a machine-learning model to classify them as bearish or bullish. It then counts up the number of posts in each category and finds their ratio. When the value of this ratio is greater than 1, it means positive comments related to the cryptocurrency outweigh the negative ones. On the other hand, the indicator being under this threshold suggests the dominance of bearish sentiment. Now, here is the chart shared by Santiment that shows the trend in the Positive/Negative Sentiment for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP over the past month: As is visible in the above graph, the Positive/Negative Sentiment plunged across the three cryptocurrencies at the end of January as prices crashed. The indicator’s value slipped below 1 for each of them during this drop, indicating traders became bearish on the market as a whole. As prices have continued to slide down since then, however, a shift has occurred in the Positive/Negative Sentiment, with its value separating for the three. The chart shows that the metric’s latest value for XRP is nearly 2.2, indicating that social media users have become more optimistic about the coin. Meanwhile, the indicator continues to be inside the bearish zone for Bitcoin with a value of 0.79. Ethereum has seen some improvement in the metric to a neutral value of 1, but compared to the normal for January, this level could still be considered to reflect a bearish sentiment among the retail social media crowd. Related Reading: Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score Compresses To Levels Last Seen Near $29,000 Historically, digital asset markets have often tended to move in a direction contrary to the expectations of retail traders. This means that an extreme amount of fear can help prices rebound, while overhype can lead to tops. “There remains a strong argument for a short-term relief rally as long as the small trader crowd continues to show disbelief toward cryptocurrency as a whole,” explained the analytics firm. Given that trader sentiment has diverged for XRP recently, however, it only remains to be seen how the sector will develop in the near future. XRP Price At the time of writing, XRP is floating around $1.35, down more than 27% over the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin price extended its decline to $60,000. BTC is down over 10% and might struggle to recover easily above the $70,000 resistance. Bitcoin is attempting to recover but struggling to clear hurdles. The price is trading below $70,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $70,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might dip again if it trades below the $62,500 and $61,200 levels. Bitcoin Price Dips Sharply Bitcoin price failed to remain stable above the $72,000 zone. BTC extended its decline below the $70,000 and $68,500 levels. The bears were able to push the price below $65,500. A low was formed at $60,500, and the price is now attempting to recover. There was a minor increase above the $62,000 and $63,200 levels. The price cleared the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent downward move from the $76,865 swing high to the $60,500 low. Bitcoin is now trading below $68,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $62,000, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $66,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $67,200 level. A close above the $67,200 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $68,500 resistance or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent downward move from the $76,865 swing high to the $60,500 low. Any more gains might send the price toward the $70,500 level. There is also a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $70,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The next barrier for the bulls could be $72,500 and $75,000. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $68,500 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $63,200 level. The first major support is near the $62,500 level. The next support is now near the $61,200 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $60,500 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $60,000, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $62,500, followed by $61,200. Major Resistance Levels – $67,200 and $68,500.
Analysts said repeated failures to hold key support levels have pushed market sentiment firmly into a risk-off stance.
Reports have disclosed that Polygon closed the final quarter of 2025 with higher on-chain usage, driven by payments, stablecoin transfers, and tokenized assets. Related Reading: Crypto Could Bounce Soon As Fundamentals Firm Up, Tom Lee Says While traders watched MATIC drift inside a narrow range, activity on the chain told a different story, one focused on payments, stablecoins, and quiet institutional adoption rather than price momentum. Polygon Payments Use Grows Faster Than Prices According to Messari’s Q4 network review released on January 4, Polygon processed heavy payment traffic as fees stayed low and settlement times remained short. More than 50 apps built for payments handled about $3.50 billion in transfers during the quarter. That figure was 96% higher than the prior quarter and close to four times the level seen a year earlier. Stablecoin-linked cards added another layer of activity. Ten card programs together moved nearly $363 million using Mastercard and Visa rails, with Visa responsible for the larger share. Reports say this growth came from everyday spending rather than one-off events, a sign that Polygon is being used for routine transfers instead of short-term experiments. Beyond card payments, several firms expanded how they move money on the chain. DeCard allowed users to pay with USDC and USDT at a wide range of merchants. Flutterwave chose Polygon for cross-border business payments in 30 African countries. Revolut integrated cheap stablecoin transfers inside its app, while Stripe continued building subscription tools that rely on USDC. None of those moves grabbed market headlines, yet together they pushed steady volume through the network. Tokenized Assets Gain Ground Quietly Away from payments, tokenized real-world assets continued to stack up. Reports note Polygon ended Q4 with nearly $1.10 billion in RWAs, ranking ninth worldwide. Growth was driven less by retail hype and more by regulated structures. Stablecoin supply climbed to nearly 3 billion, led by USDC at $1.34 billion and DAI near $630 million. Latin America stood out as a key region, where non-USD stablecoin volume totaled $1.18 billion. Average daily DEX volume jumped 44% to a little over $200 million. MATICUSD trading at $0.19 on the 24-hour chart: TradingView MATIC Trades Sideways As Activity Builds MATIC’s price action stayed restrained despite the on-chain growth. The token slipped back from short-term resistance during broader market weakness and then stabilized as buyers defended key support zones. Related Reading: Russia’s Biggest Exchange To Launch XRP Indices And Futures Deeper losses were avoided, but strong upside moves failed to appear. Volume has yet to confirm a shift in trend. For now, Polygon shows rising use across payments and tokenized assets, while its token waits for a clearer signal from traders. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Crypto analyst Coinvo has revealed that the Bitcoin price has just hit a 15-year trendline following its latest crash to around $70,000. He declared this a buying opportunity, noting that the trendline has historically held on four prior occasions in past cycles. Bitcoin Price Hits 15-Year Trendline Against Gold In an X post, Coinvo stated that the Bitcoin price has hit the same RSI trendline on its gold chart as in 2011, 2015, 2019, and 2022. He further noted that this development has historically created a buying opportunity, as BTC has consistently outperformed gold when this happens. He urged market participants not to miss this as it is the “biggest opportunity” they have ever had. Related Reading: Bitcoin Set To Test Resistance At $80,600 After Bottoming At $74,000 His statement comes as the Bitcoin price crashed to a new yearly low at around $70,000, with the leading crypto asset now down over 19% year-to-date (YTD). Based on Coinvo’s analysis, this may mark the bottom for BTC despite concerns that the crypto market may be entering a deep bear market. In another X post, the analyst stated that the Bitcoin price is set to repeat the entire 2023 rally. He noted that the same pattern as in 2023 is playing out now, with BTC hitting the 200-day EMA, which marked a bear-market bottom back then by flipping into support. Coinvo added that most people are too focused on the bearish noise, but urged market participants not to let it obscure the truth, as Bitcoin is going higher. However, crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen has suggested that the Bitcoin price could still drop lower, having crashed below its April 2025 low. He noted that in the previous cycles, when BTC fell below the 100-week SMA, it crashed straight to the 200-week SMA before any relief bounce occurred. BTC Could Still Crash To As Low As $63,000 Veteran trader Peter Brandt shared an accompanying chart showing that the Bitcoin price could still drop to as low as $63,000. This came as he noted that the nature of BTC’s decline, with eight consecutive days of lower lows and highs, indicates campaign selling rather than retail liquidation. He noted that he has observed this pattern several times and that it is difficult to determine when it ends. Crypto analyst PlanB highlighted potential bear-market scenarios for BTC. He stated that an 80% drawdown from the current all-time high (ATH) could put the Bitcoin price at $25,000. Furthermore, a drop to the 200-week MA and current realized price could mean a crash to between $50,000 and $60,000. Meanwhile, a crash to the previous cycle’s ATH could mean that $70,000 is the bottom. Related Reading: Here’s What To Expect If The Bitcoin Price Maintains Support Above $74,400 At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $70,700, down over 7% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
The Bitcoin price has gone through an intense bout of volatility over the past few days, with a violent sell-off that has dragged its price into the $70,000 range. The move wiped out short-term bullish positioning and forced the price below several intraday support levels. Although there are risks of further downside, Bitcoin is now looking to stabilize and push to reclaim important reference levels. A technical outlook suggests that a path back to the $81,000 region could open up faster than expected if certain conditions are met. Sweep Of The Yearly Low One of the most important developments on the chart is the sweep of the last yearly candle low around $74,456. That move flushed liquidity resting below prior lows and was a clear downside grab that had been waiting for months. Related Reading: One Month In And 10% Of Dogecoin Millionaires Have Already Disappeared In 2026 – Details In terms of a market-structure perspective, this type of sweep is a reset point that clears weak hands and allows price to build a more stable base. The bounce that followed pushed Bitcoin back to $77,000, a move that shows buyers were willing to defend the area after the liquidation event. This is now transitioning into a decision zone, which is where the next directional move becomes more important. As noted by crypto analyst Minga on the social media platform X, Bitcoin went back to testing the weekly open just below $77,000. Holding above it would mean that the recovery has real follow-through, which in turn would allow the price to revisit the monthly open at $78,700. The chart shared by the analyst also shows multiple equal highs stacked above that region, right within the previous range low. Together, these elements form a pocket of unfinished business. If Bitcoin reclaims and sustains acceptance above the weekly open, the probability of a push through the monthly open increases, with that momentum then potentially carrying price into the $80,000s, where prior range liquidity is around $81,000. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @Mingarithm on X Related Reading: Where’s XRP Price Headed As Exchange Reserves Plunge To 1.7 Billion? Downside Scenario And The Relief Bounce Zone Below There is a valid alternate path if Bitcoin’s advances continue to reject at the weekly open, which is looking like the case in the current price action. In that case, there is a deeper downside target between $70,800 and $69,100. This area stands out as a high-confluence zone that aligns with a higher-timeframe order block, the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement, and the last cycle’s all-time high in 2021. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $70,930, down by 7.2% in the past 24 hours and is now at risk of losing $70,000. If price holds above this zone after the current test, then Bitcoin is likely to transition into a range before attempting continuation and breaking above $81,000. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin has finally swept the sell-side liquidity that had been building beneath the market, driving price into a deep demand zone where stronger buyers are expected to step in. With the downside move now largely complete, attention shifts to whether this level can spark a meaningful reaction or mark the start of a broader reset. Why The 100-Week SMA Remains A Proven Bitcoin Accumulation Zone Crypto analyst Brett emphasized that accumulating Bitcoin below the 100-week Simple Moving Average has repeatedly proven to be one of the most reliable long-term investment strategies. According to the expert, this zone has historically marked periods of maximum pessimism, where risk-to-reward strongly favors patient buyers rather than short-term traders. Related Reading: Bitcoin Drop Below $80,000 May Not Be The Final Capitulation Event, Checkonchain Says Brett explained that his personal approach deliberately avoids trying to pinpoint the exact market bottom. Instead, he focuses on steady accumulation by placing buy orders across a wide range between $55,000 and $75,000, supported by daily recurring purchases. For investors with a more conservative mindset, Brett pointed out that waiting for confirmation can be just as effective. Looking at past cycles, Brett noted that buying after Bitcoin moves back above the 100-week SMA has consistently delivered strong returns. He stressed that BTC has never fallen below the previous cycle’s 100-week SMA, reinforcing its importance as a structural support level. Those who followed this strategy in prior market cycles are now sitting on significant long-term profits. Breakdown Confirmed As Key Lows Failed To Hold According to the latest BTC Heatmap update by Columbus, the market has followed the exact trajectory previously mapped out. Columbus notes that the inability of the local lows to hold, combined with weak reactions on the tape, signaled that the liquidity stacked below would act as a magnet. Consequently, the continuation leg played out as an inevitable result of this structural weakness. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Bottom In? CMT Reveals What Investors Need To See Now In his analysis of the current price action, Columbus highlights that Bitcoin is now trading directly within a cluster of heavier bids located around the low-$70,000 region. The analyst identifies this specific zone as the first area where a “real reaction” is likely to occur, as it represents a significant concentration of buy-side interest. For Columbus, the sweep into these deeper pockets was the necessary clearing event to reach this primary demand zone. Columbus concludes that since the anticipated downside has fully played out, the focus now shifts entirely to the immediate response from buyers. With the liquidity targets hit and the price sitting on heavy support, Columbus is now closely watching for a definitive reaction to determine if this level will provide the foundation for the next leg of the trend. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
The following article is adapted from The Block’s newsletter, The Daily, which comes out on weekday afternoons.
That target is “unrealistic” this year, but possible “over the long term” once negative sentiment reverses, according to the analysts.
Reports say an on-chain analytics account called Rand flagged a new milestone: crypto funds have recorded three straight months of outflows for the first time on record. Related Reading: Crypto Could Bounce Soon As Fundamentals Firm Up, Tom Lee Says That streak stands out because it breaks the pattern of sporadic withdrawals and inflows that marked earlier market cycles. Many investors are watching closely. Outflows Reach A Historic Turning Point According to market watchers, the run of withdrawals covers both retail and institutional flows. Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the US have been a major focus, with inflows that were once enormous now trimming down. Some of the earlier gains that piled into ETFs have been partially reversed, leaving holders with paper losses that many see as painful right now. US ???????? spot #Bitcoin ETF’s recorded 3 months of net outflows in a row. The first time in history that there has been 3 consecutive months of outflows. pic.twitter.com/WusDpXuSSm — Rand (@cryptorand) February 3, 2026 ETF Investors Holding Their Ground Reports say several prominent analysts have pointed out that, while the recent bleed looks alarming, ETF holders haven’t fled. James Seyffart noted that holders remain largely in place despite steep paper losses. Jim Bianco weighed in too, suggesting the average ETF stake is underwater by a meaningful margin yet still being held. This is not a full-scale selloff; it’s a slow retreat for now. Large sums entered the market during the peak months and those inflows dwarf the recent outflows when measured over the longer run. Sentiment has shifted, but conviction has not collapsed. What The Numbers Show Over 30 days, spot Bitcoin’s price slid by a sizable amount, and that drop helped push ETF positions into the red. Reports show some holders face losses around the low 40%, while shorter windows show steeper swings. The math is simple: big gains came fast, and some of that profit has been given back. At the same time, net positions remain sizable and a fair share of the capital that flowed in earlier is still parked in ETFs. Long Term Gains Versus Short Term Pain According to other market commentators, the bigger picture still favors those who kept faith through the rally years. Since 2022, Bitcoin’s cumulative rise outpaced several traditional stores of value, say analysts tracking long-term performance. That record is raised as a counterpoint to the current outflow story. Some investors see the current weak stretch as a pause; others see it as a warning. Related Reading: Russia’s Biggest Exchange To Launch XRP Indices And Futures What Comes Next The three-month outflow run is a sobering marker. It signals caution has spread beyond a handful of traders and reached products that many thought would smooth volatility. Money can return just as quickly as it left, or the slow drip could continue. For now, reports and the data both show a market in a rare place: bruised, but not emptied. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Strategy faces $7.5B paper loss as Bitcoin nears $65K while the stock tumbles 14% ahead of earnings with analysts expecting a Q4 loss.
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Recently, the shift toward a “risk-off” sentiment is largely driven by a more hawkish U.S. Federal Reserve, with the potential for higher-for-longer interest rates strengthening the U.S. Dollar. As a result, the dollar gains strength from $95.56 to $97.80 when writing. Since DXY rose, capital has typically exited speculative assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum and …
Bitcoin (BTC) extended its sharp sell‑off on Thursday, briefly falling below the $67,000 level and marking its lowest price since November 2024. The renewed pressure follows commentary from market analyst Hugo Crypto, who pointed to a recent report from investment bank Stifel outlining a notably bearish outlook for Bitcoin. Deeper Bitcoin Drawdown Ahead? According to Stifel’s analysis, the leading cryptocurrency could continue declining toward $38,000. If reached, that target would represent an additional drop of roughly 43% from current levels and would place Bitcoin back at prices last seen in January 2024. Related Reading: Ripple Throws Weight Behind Hyperliquid, Fueling HYPE’s Rally Toward Crucial Levels Stifel’s forecast is built on several macro and market‑specific factors. The firm cited the impact of tighter US Federal Reserve (Fed) policy, ongoing uncertainty and stagnation around US crypto regulation, shrinking market liquidity, and sustained outflows from spot Bitcoin exchange‑traded funds (ETFs). The bank also framed its outlook within the context of historical Bitcoin market cycles. According to Stifel, Bitcoin’s peak near $126,000 in October 2025 fits a familiar pattern seen in prior cycles, which have typically been followed by extended and deep drawdowns. Additional warnings were echoed by market observer Walter Bloomberg, who highlighted weakening demand, a sharp slowdown in ETF inflows, and growing stress in derivatives markets. Futures markets, in particular, appear to be entering what he describes as a “forced deleveraging” phase, where leveraged positions are unwound rapidly, adding to selling pressure. BTC Faces Key Technical Test ETF data from Thursday further illustrates the strain on market sentiment. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have so far recorded net outflows of approximately 7,925 BTC on the day, equivalent to about $533 million. Over the past seven days, net outflows have totaled roughly 19,090 BTC, or around $1.28 billion, reinforcing concerns that institutional demand is fading rather than providing support. Related Reading: Bitcoin Crash To $72,000 Signals Major Reset: On-Chain Metrics Deteriorate From a technical perspective, analyst MartyParty highlighted the importance of the $68,000 level, which Bitcoin would need to reclaim to stabilize in the near term. This area aligns with the 200‑week exponential moving average, a level often viewed as critical during major market corrections. Failure to hold above that zone could open the door to a move toward the 200‑week simple moving average, currently near $58,000, according to technical analysts. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading around $67,100, down roughly 8% on the day and more than 20% over the past week, based on CoinGecko data. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
The breakdown of the ascending wedge in Bitcoin price chart and the dip below the psychological $70,000 level have shifted the immediate market bias to bearish. With spot BTC ETFs experiencing massive net outflows in recent weeks the institutional “shield” that protected higher price levels is currently under pressure. Currently, Bitcoin crypto’s adjusted Net Unrealized …
Cryptocurrency markets extended their sharp decline on Thursday, with Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP dropping to multi-month lows as institutional selling, heavy liquidations and weak market sentiment combined to push prices lower. Bitcoin fell below $69,000, slipping under its previous 2021 all-time high, while Ethereum dropped below $2,000 for the first time since May 2025. XRP …
Bitcoin price has officially erased all the gains incurred in the past couple of years, specifically after Donald Trump was elected as the president of the US. The current trade dynamics and the market structure suggest Bitcoin bears may still be in control, highlighting the possibility of a deeper correction in the coming days. The …
Veteran market analyst Gareth Soloway has outlined several possible paths for Bitcoin’s price, including a worst-case scenario that could see the cryptocurrency fall sharply if global financial markets face a major downturn. In a recent market update, Soloway said Bitcoin is currently holding an important price area and has shown more resilience than U.S. stock …
The bitcoin price has broken below its 365-day moving average for the first time since March 2022, CryptoQuant said.
Global financial markets saw heavy losses over the past 24 hours, with cryptocurrencies leading a sharp sell-off that wiped out trillions of dollars in market value across asset classes. The total crypto market fell about 7%, erasing roughly $184 billion in value in a single day, as selling pressure accelerated and investor confidence weakened. Crypto …
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP have all retreated to deep cycle lows, dragging the broader crypto market back to valuation levels not seen since late 2024, according to CryptoSlate's data. While price action across the board appears uniformly grim, with BTC heading below $70,000 and XRP recently trading around $1.35, sentiment toward the Ripple-linked token is […]
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Bitcoin retreated below the closely watched $70,000 threshold, leading a broad selloff in digital assets that has erased over $1 billion in trading positions. According to CryptoSlate's data, the world’s largest cryptocurrency fell to lows not seen since the November 2024 election, dragging the wider market into the red. Ethereum slid 7% to around $2065, […]
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Bitcoin fell below $70,000 on Tuesday, erasing all gains since its 2021 peak and leaving the asset down nearly 30% year-over-year.
PlanB, the pseudonymous analyst behind the stock-to-flow model, says bitcoin’s drawdown has left markets staring at four plausible bear-market paths, ranging from a classic 80% drawdown to the possibility that the lows are already in. In a post on X and a follow-up video dated Feb. 4, PlanB framed the debate around where bitcoin typically finds bear-market bottoms relative to long-term trend metrics, while also arguing that the previous rally’s lack of momentum could translate into a shallower reset this time. Bitcoin closed January at $78,000, he said, marking a roughly 40% decline from the cycle’s all-time high at $126,000. On his chart, the 200-week moving average closed at $58,000 and realized price at $55,000, with the January RSI ending at 49, a level he treats as a regime shift. “RSI here, 49. RSI, as you know, is an index between 0 and 100. And everything above 50 is an uptrend. Everything below 50 is downtrend,” PlanB said. “So 49 is below 50, it’s downtrend. It’s a bear market… similar to 2014–15, 2018–19 and 2022–23.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Unrealized Losses Reach 22% – Still No Capitulation Phase 4 Bitcoin Bear Market Scenarios From there, he outlined four scenarios for how the drawdown could evolve. The first is the historical “worst case” that still sits in traders’ mental models: an 80% drop from the top. With an ATH of $126,000, PlanB said that would imply a move to roughly $25,000 — “somewhere here between these two lines” on his chart, even if he acknowledged it would “look really really odd.” The second scenario is more conventional by his own backtests: a bottom around the 200-week moving average and realized price, which he pegged in the $50,000–$60,000 level. PlanB pointed to prior cycles where price eventually “drop[s] to the moving average realized price levels,” highlighting 2022 and 2015 as examples where the RSI trough coincided with those long-term anchors. The third scenario is shallower still: a retrace that stops just above the prior cycle’s all-time high, around $69,000–$70,000. PlanB’s reasoning is that the preceding bull phase looked muted in his indicators, which could compress the magnitude of the bear. “So what I think is… because the bull market was very weak… it didn’t have the red dots, the high RSI peaks,” he said. “Because of that, the bear market could be very shallow. And that would mean, for example, going back to the level or just be above the level of the… previous all-time high, which was 69,000.” Related Reading: ‘Sell Gold, Buy Bitcoin’: Cathie Wood Makes The Rotation Call The fourth scenario is the one traders always want on their screens: that the market already printed its low. PlanB wrote that “yesterday’s $72.9k was the bottom,” and reiterated in the video that “maybe the $72.800 that we saw a couple days ago was already the bottom.” Notably, the BTC price already dropped to $70,140 on Wednesday, invalidating this scenario. IMO there are 4 bitcoin bear market scenarios: 1) -80% from ATH $126k => $25k 2) down to 200w MA / realized price => $50k-60k 3) down to just above previous ATH => $70k 4) yesterday’s $72.9k was the bottom I discuss these scenario’s in my new video: ???? https://t.co/mXSxJK9LLx — PlanB (@100trillionUSD) February 4, 2026 PlanB also revisited his stock-to-flow framework, saying it remains at $500,000 as a value signal derived from scarcity while stressing it is not built to call turning points. “Stock to flow says nothing about tops and bottoms,” he said, adding that it speaks to “the four-year average” and periodic “phase transition every four or five years.” That caveat set up his final point: the cycle template may be shifting. PlanB noted that in his four-year-cycle view, the peak historically lands in the first or second year after a halving, but “it didn’t happen after 2024 halving.” In his telling, that leaves room for an upside phase later in the cycle, even as his nearer-term framework keeps the focus on whether bitcoin gravitates toward realized price and the 200-week average, holds the prior ATH zone, or validates a higher low in the low-$70,000s. At press time, BTC traded at $ Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin briefly dropped below the $70,000 mark for the first time since November 2024 and is now trading at $70,131, down 5.34% in the past 24 hours. Ethereum also faced heavy selling pressure, sliding to $2,095 after a sharp 6.96% daily decline. Market volatility triggered massive liquidations, with CoinGlass data showing $951 million wiped out …
Les ETF Bitcoin traversent actuellement une phase délicate qui commence à faire douter une partie du marché. Après plusieurs semaines marquées par des sorties massives de capitaux, une question revient avec insistance : assiste-t-on aux prémices d’un nouveau crash ou à une simple respiration du cycle haussier ? Fuite massive des ETF Bitcoin Depuis la fin du mois de janvier, les ETF Bitcoin enregistrent des sorties nettes d’une ampleur rarement observée depuis leur lancement. En l’espace de quelques séances, plusieurs centaines de millions de dollars ont quitté ces produits, alimentant un sentiment de méfiance croissant chez les investisseurs institutionnels. Le mouvement s’est accompagné d’une nette pression vendeuse sur le prix du BTC, retombé brutalement sous des niveaux psychologiques clés. À première vue, le signal est préoccupant. Les ETF étaient jusqu’ici perçus comme le moteur principal de la demande institutionnelle, et leur retournement brutal a surpris même les acteurs les plus prudents. Pour certains, ces sorties reflètent une prise de bénéfices logique après une année exceptionnelle. Pour d’autres, elles traduisent un désengagement plus profond face à un environnement macroéconomique devenu moins favorable au risque. Il serait pourtant réducteur de n’y voir qu’un signal de panique généralisée. Les flux ETF sont par nature volatils et réagissent rapidement aux mouvements de prix. Une partie des capitaux sortants correspond probablement à des arbitrages de court terme ou à des réallocations vers d’autres classes d’actifs jugées temporairement plus attractives. D’ailleurs, quelques journées de flux positifs ont montré que certains investisseurs commencent déjà à se repositionner. Un autre élément souvent négligé concerne la structure du marché. Les ETF ne représentent qu’une fraction de l’offre détenue. Une part importante du Bitcoin reste verrouillée par des détenteurs long terme peu sensibles aux fluctuations à court terme. Tant que ces acteurs ne capitulent pas, parler d’effondrement structurel semble prématuré. Quelle cible de prix pour le bottom du BTC ? La correction actuelle a replacé le débat sur la table : jusqu’où le Bitcoin peut-il descendre avant de trouver un véritable point bas ? Après avoir marqué un sommet historique fin 2025, le BTC a déjà perdu une part significative de sa valeur, ce qui alimente naturellement les scénarios les plus pessimistes. Sur le plan technique, plusieurs zones attirent l’attention. Une première région de soutien se situe entre 70 000 $ et 75 000 $, correspondant à d’anciens niveaux d’accumulation. Si cette zone venait à céder durablement, le marché pourrait chercher de la liquidité plus bas, autour des 60 000 $. Ce niveau n’aurait rien d’anormal dans un cycle haussier de grande ampleur, même s’il serait psychologiquement difficile à encaisser. Pour autant, envisager un retour brutal vers des niveaux beaucoup plus bas me semble excessif à ce stade. Les indicateurs de long terme montrent que le Bitcoin reste largement au-dessus de ses supports structurels, et la pression vendeuse semble davantage liée à des ajustements de position qu’à une perte de confiance profonde dans l’actif. Mon scénario privilégié reste celui d’une phase de consolidation étendue. Un marché hésitant, parfois nerveux, mais globalement contenu dans une large fourchette. Une zone comprise entre 65 000 $ et 80 000 $ apparaît aujourd’hui comme un équilibre plausible, tant que le contexte macroéconomique ne se détériore pas brutalement. En résumé, les sorties des ETF constituent un signal à surveiller, mais pas nécessairement une alerte rouge. Le marché digère, réévalue et ajuste. Comme souvent avec le Bitcoin, le bruit est fort, mais la structure de fond reste, pour l’instant, étonnamment solide.
Cardone's unwavering Bitcoin strategy amid price volatility highlights a growing trend of institutional confidence in cryptocurrency's long-term value.
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Bitcoin price continued to face heavy selling pressure this week, trading near the $71,000 level and showing signs of further downside as broader market uncertainty builds. Market observers warn that a break below the $70,000 psychological support could open the door to a deeper correction into the $60,000 range or lower. Bitcoin Bear Market Duration …
Bitcoin’s latest drawdown is forcing a critical stress test on the “treasury company” trade. Over the past months, the model appeared simple, requiring companies to sell stock or low-cost convertible notes, buy Bitcoin, and rely on rising prices and a persistent equity premium to cover the remainder. However, with Bitcoin sliding towards $70,000, which is […]
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