Combined with earlier transfers reported by Arkham, Bhutan has moved more than $110 million in bitcoin so far this year.
Bitcoin’s five-year compound annual growth rate has slipped below gold’s for the second time in its history, according to Fidelity Digital Assets, marking an unusual moment for an asset long defined by its outsized long-term returns. For markets, the signal is not just about relative performance against gold, but about what a slower growth profile may say about Bitcoin’s current market cycle. In a new Chart Chatter segment posted on X, Fidelity Digital Assets research analyst Zack Wainwright said Bitcoin’s five-year CAGR has been trending lower over time as the asset’s price has risen. That dynamic, he argued, has now produced a rare crossover. “What we are seeing now in early 2026 is Bitcoin’s CAGR falling below Gold’s 5-year CAGR for just the second time in Bitcoin’s history,” Wainwright said. “We have now seen three straight months to start the year of CAGR below Gold’s.” What This Means For Bitcoin That is the key statistic in Fidelity’s framing. Bitcoin has spent most of its history comfortably ahead of gold on a five-year compounded basis, which made the January break notable on its own. The fact that it has now persisted for three consecutive months gives the move more weight, especially coming at a time Fidelity explicitly describes as a bear market. Related Reading: This Week Could Be The Most Volatile For Bitcoin In 2026, Top Expert Warns Wainwright tied the last comparable episode to the end of the previous cycle. “Back in 2022, we saw one such month of this occurring in December 2022, when Bitcoin’s price was bottoming out in the bear market around $15,000,” he said. “We are now once again in a bear market and below that CAGR for a longer stretch this time of three months.” In Fidelity’s telling, the drop below gold is rare, but it has also happened before during a moment of acute market weakness. The difference this time is duration. One month in late 2022 could be dismissed as a brief distortion near a cycle low. Three straight months in early 2026 suggests a more sustained compression in Bitcoin’s long-term return profile. At the same time, Fidelity did not frame the crossover as evidence that Bitcoin has lost its defining edge altogether. Wainwright was careful to stress the historical balance. “Overall, Bitcoin has remained above Gold’s CAGR for the majority of its history,” he said. “So this is truly a unique instance and occurrence in Bitcoin, where it is now below the CAGR of Gold.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Buying Picks Up Again, But $79,962 Remains The Key Resistance: On-Chain Data Gold’s side of the comparison is important too. Spot gold closed at $2,156.61 per ounce on March 18, 2024, then climbed to $2,999.96 on March 18, 2025, and stood at $5,012.45 on March 17, 2026. That translates into a gain of about 67.1% over the past year and roughly 132.4% over two years — a surge that helps explain why Bitcoin’s five-year CAGR has now slipped below gold’s. For now, the takeaway is straightforward: Bitcoin still has the stronger long-run record against gold across most of its history, but early 2026 has produced a rare exception. Whether that proves to be another late-bear-market anomaly or an early sign of a more mature, slower-growth Bitcoin is the question Fidelity has now put squarely in front of the market. At press time, BTC traded at $74,015. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is trading at $74,201, up 6.68% on the week, but the move higher just triggered the largest short-term holder sell-off of the year. On-chain data shows what happened at $75,000, and it raises a question every Bitcoin holder needs to answer right now. Short-Term Holders Are Not Believers As Bitcoin attempted to break above …
Bitcoin started the week strong, rising nearly 7%, but has now pulled back to around $74,000 after failing to hold above $76,000. The rally has slowed as traders wait for today’s Federal Reserve decision. Meanwhile, popular trader DefiWimar has made a bold call, warning that Bitcoin could drop to $69,000. Here’s why? Bitcoin Faces $69K …
The SEC's latest guidance on cryptocurrencies will lead to increased institutional capital flowing into crypto ETFs, one analyst said.
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin short-term holders have responded to the latest price rally by participating in profit realization. Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Have Shown A Realized Profit Spike In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Realized Profit for the Bitcoin short-term holders. The Realized Profit here refers to an indicator that measures, as its name suggests, the total amount of profit being harvested by BTC investors through their transactions. The metric works by going through the transfer history of each coin being moved on the network to see what price it was transacted at prior to this. If the previous selling price was less than the latest spot price for any token, then that particular coin’s current transaction is leading to the realization of some net gain. Related Reading: Cardano Chop Nearing End? Here’s The Key Resistance To Watch The exact degree of profit involved in the move is naturally equal to the difference between the two prices. The Realized Profit adds up this difference for all profitable moves on the blockchain. In the context of the current topic, the Realized Profit of only a segment of the market is of interest: the short-term holders (STHs). This group includes the BTC investors who purchased their coins within the past 155 days. The STHs are generally considered to represent the fickle-minded side of the market, with its members tending to show some reaction whenever market volatility emerges. During the last few days, Bitcoin has seen a recovery surge beyond the $74,000 level and it would appear that the STHs have reacted to it as well. As displayed in the above graph, the 12-hour moving average (MA) of the Bitcoin STH Realized Profit spiked to a value of $18.4 million per hour alongside the price rally. Since the profit-taking spree has arrived, the cryptocurrency’s surge has stalled. “Consistent with the pattern observed over February, where short-term holders continue to exhaust each rally at the +$70k level, absorbing momentum before any breakout can develop,” explained Glassnode. It now remains to be seen whether Bitcoin can overcome the profit realization pressure from the STHs this time around or if the rally’s fate will be similar to other recent attempts at recovery. Related Reading: Dogecoin Surges 6% As Whales Scoop Up 470 Million DOGE In some other news, the crypto Fear & Greed Index has just returned to the fear territory, breaking a long streak of extreme fear in the market. The uplift in sentiment suggests that the price rally has renewed some degree of optimism among traders, although with the index still at a value of 28, the market mood remains quite bearish. BTC Price Bitcoin broke above $75,000 during the price surge, but it has since returned to $74,300. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently hovering above the recently breached $74,000 resistance, positioning to reclaim price levels not seen since the fourth quarter of last year. However, this week’s activity is set to be turbulent, with market expert Virtual Bacon predicting it could be the “most volatile week in Bitcoin all year.” Bear Market Prevails In a report shared on social media platform X, Virtual Bacon noted that, although the current Bitcoin price uptrend is optimistic, significant challenges remain. The critical 200-day simple moving average (SMA) sits at $93,000, while the 50-week SMA is around $98,000. The last lower high resistance is pegged at $94,000, creating a confluence of resistance in the $93,000 to $98,000 range. Related Reading: Bitcoin Returns To Full Bull Mode: Key Indicators Signal Bottom And Major Relief Rally Simply said, there is a 15% downside risk to support levels in the low $60,000 zone, against a 30% upside potential to resistance. Virtual Bacon emphasized that the chances of a rejection back into the previous range outweigh the possibility of a full breakout into a bull market. “This isn’t me being bearish,” he stated, emphasizing that the analysis is grounded in numerical realities. “We remain in a bear market until BTC decisively breaks above the $94,000 to $98,000 resistance.” Market Volatility Expected This Week Virtual Bacon’s concern regarding the expected volatility this week is attributed to several volatility catalysts. The first is the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting taking place from March 18-19. There is a 99.1% likelihood of no interest rate cuts. However, the expert believes that any comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell—particularly concerning hawkish stances influenced by oil-driven inflation—could trigger a hard market sell-off. Furthermore, the expiration of quarterly Bitcoin options on the same day enhances the potential for dramatic market movements. Current options data indicates heavy open interest clustered around the $74,000 to $75,000 range, suggesting that prices may stay constrained near this level until Friday’s expiry. Virtual Bacon noted that, if the Bitcoin price moves above $75,000, it could surge toward $80,000. However, if it drops below $70,000, it may amplify the downward trend. The ongoing geopolitical tensions surrounding oil prices could further complicate market conditions. The expert contended that if oil prices approach $120, combined with FOMC and quadruple witching events, the market could experience significant instability. Two Scenarios For Bitcoin In the expert’s view, there are two main scenarios to consider by the end of the week. The first, a potential breakout, would see Bitcoin hold above the $75,000 mark through Friday’s expected volatility. He said that this could facilitate a move toward $80,000 and set the stage for renewed bullish sentiment as the market looks for recovery toward the critical resistance levels of $94,000 to $98,000 in the second quarter of the year. Related Reading: Circle (CRLC) Boosted By USDC Demand: New Analyst Projections Suggest Rally To $136 The second scenario involves a rejection at the $75,000 resistance level, leading to a post-expiry drop back into the $63,000 to $70,000 range. Virtual Bacon concludes that if such a decline occurs, the S&P 500 could break below its 200-day SMA, and oil prices could escalate, pushing Bitcoin back into prolonged bear market conditions, with scenarios suggesting prices could fall as low as $58,000 or even $43,000. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
Despite a recent resurgence in prices, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), the two largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, are not expected to achieve new all-time highs this year, according to analysts at Citigroup. The company significantly revised its forecasts for both cryptocurrencies on Tuesday, reflecting concerns about the slow pace of legislative progress in the United States, which limits the potential for regulatory catalysts that could drive increased demand from institutional investors and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Bitcoin And Ethereum Price Targets Revised Downward In their latest update, Citigroup lowered its 12-month price target for Bitcoin from $143,000 to $112,000, while Ethereum’s forecast was reduced from $4,304 to $3,175. This suggests that, based on current trade prices, Bitcoin is predicted to increase by nearly 50% in the remaining months of the year from $74,360. Ethereum, on the other hand, would see a nearly 62% increase in price from its present level of $2,314 per token over the course of the year. Related Reading: Bitcoin Returns To Full Bull Mode: Key Indicators Signal Bottom And Major Relief Rally Citi strategist Alex Saunders emphasized that while regulatory catalysts are essential for fostering greater adoption and inflows into the market, the opportunity for significant US legislative action this year is diminishing. The report further highlights that, under a recessionary economic climate, Bitcoin could see its price dip to as low as $58,000, while Ethereum might fall to around $1,198. Conversely, in a bullish scenario driven by heightened demand from end investors, Bitcoin’s price could reach $165,000, with Ethereum potentially climbing to $4,488. Tight Timeline For Crypto Legislation Progress The upcoming mid-term elections in November further complicate the legislative landscape for crypto-focused regulation. Should Democrats gain additional seats in Congress, the chances of passing the crypto market structure bill (CLARITY Act) could diminish. For the bill to advance, support from 7 Senate Democrats is required. Citigroup analysts suggest that Bitcoin is likely to trade within a range while awaiting developments in the legislative arena, with $70,000 acting as a significant price point as the US election approaches. Related Reading: Circle (CRLC) Boosted By USDC Demand: New Analyst Projections Suggest Rally To $136 Earlier on Tuesday, Bitcoinist reported that Alex Thorn from the research team at Galaxy Digital pointed out that time is of the essence. He cautioned that if progress is not made this month, the likelihood of passing the CLARITY Act this year will become “extremely low.” While negotiations in Washington D.C focus on resolving the stablecoin rewards issue, Thorn highlighted that additional challenges could emerge. These challenges may include discussions regarding decentralized finance (DeFi), investor protections, and broader ethical considerations in the digital asset sector. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
A single on-chain indicator has quietly called every major Bitcoin cycle bottom for the past decade, and it is now approaching that important level once again. The setup comes from a monthly Bitcoin chart paired with the NUPL indicator, which tracks whether the average holder is sitting on unrealized profit or loss. In each of the last three major bear market lows, the indicator fell into the same area and touched a rising trendline. Nailing The Bitcoin Bottom Bitcoin’s latest break above $70,000 and into the mid-$70,000s has seen a bullish mood slowly returning. The fear and greed index has improved, but one question is still unresolved. Has the market already found its bottom, or is another washout still ahead? Interestingly, a long-term reading of the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss, or NUPL, shows that the answer may lie in a pattern that has repeated across multiple market cycles. Related Reading: Bitcoin Crash Far From Over? Analyst Shares How Painful Bear Markets Can Get NUPL is a clean sentiment gauge in Bitcoin analysis because it strips price action down to a question of whether holders, on average, are in profit or in pain. When the reading is high, the market is sitting on large unrealized gains. When it falls hard, those profits disappear, and losses dominate. The monthly candlestick chart shows that Bitcoin’s major cycle lows have consistently formed when NUPL resets into deep territory and tags a long-term ascending support line. That happened at the 2015 cycle bottom, repeated again at the 2018 bear market low, and showed up once more around the 2022 bottom. Each of those touches came at points when sentiment had already been crushed, and the Bitcoin price had shed most of its previous gains. The current NUPL reading of 22.9 represents a cryptocurrency that is still in modest aggregate profit, although it has shed a huge portion of the gains investors accumulated during the rally to the October 2025 peak above $126,000. Is The Bottom Already In? According to a crypto analyst that goes by the name CrypFlow on the social media platform X, the NUPL indicator is now approaching that level of Bitcoin bottoms again. If this pattern holds, Bitcoin may still need another deeper reset in sentiment before the market reaches a true long-term washout. Price may have already corrected a lot, but the indicator shows the emotional capitulation seen at prior bottoms may not be complete yet. The NUPL might continue to push downwards and reach the trendline before a bottom is confirmed. Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Bulls Have Won And This Is The Next Target Although no single indicator can call every bottom with perfect precision, the NUPL leaves room for the possibility that one final price crash could still come before the next full cycle expansion begins. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $74,220, up by 1.3% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com
The wallet sat quiet for almost two years. No trades, no movement — just billions of Shiba Inu tokens parked on-chain while the market did what it wanted. Then, on March 15, it all moved at once. A Long Wait That Ended In The Red Blockchain data from Arkham Intelligence shows that a wallet identified as “0xbOe8” sent roughly 14.5 billion SHIB to crypto exchange OKX last Sunday. The tokens first moved to an intermediary wallet before landing in OKX’s hot wallet. When the dust settled, the investor recovered just $84,640 — a fraction of the $506,830 originally spent. The math is brutal. That works out to a loss of about $422,190, or 80% of the entire investment. For nearly two years, the wallet showed almost no activity. On-chain records indicate the only movements during that period were small spam transfers — nothing that looked like active trading or any attempt to cut losses early. The original purchase was made on Binance in March 2024, when SHIB was deep in a rally that pushed the token to a high of around $0.000045. Buyers at that level were betting the momentum would carry further. It didn’t. Bought At The Peak, Held Through The Drop Since that March 2024 high, SHIB has shed roughly 82% of its value. The token now trades around $0.0000063. At its lowest point this past February, the price had fallen to about $0.0000051 — an 85% drop from where this investor got in. Holding through that kind of decline takes either conviction or inertia. Based on the on-chain record, this wallet did nothing for close to two years. No partial sells, no rebalancing. The position just aged while the price eroded. When the wallet finally moved on Sunday, the token ended up at OKX — widely seen as a signal that a sale was imminent or already executed, given that hot wallets on exchanges are typically used for active trading. Related Reading: Another Bitcoin Buy Coming? Saylor Sparks Speculation With ‘Orange Dots’ Post The Flip Side Of The Same Coin Not every SHIB holder has a story like this one. Reports note that some early buyers turned small initial amounts into life-changing returns, though those cases largely belong to an earlier era of the token’s history. The meme coin launched in 2020, and its biggest gains came in 2021, when prices spiked by several thousand percent. Featured image from Pethelpful, chart from TradingView
A crypto analyst has identified an eight-year convergence pattern on the Ethereum (ETH)-Bitcoin (BTC) trading pair chart, suggesting it could signal the long-awaited onset of an altcoin season. Although rumors of an altcoin season have circulated in the crypto space since before 2025, such a phase has yet to materialize, underscoring the persistent volatility in alternative cryptocurrencies throughout this bull market. Despite this prolonged delay, the analyst argues that the new convergence structure could become a catalyst that fuels an altcoin season even more powerful than the one observed in 2021. Ethereum Chart Structure Signals Powerful Altcoin Season Crypto analyst CW has presented a new technical analysis suggesting a major altcoin season in this cycle. Supported by a multi-year chart structure, the analysis centers on the ETH/BTC trading pair and outlines a unique convergence pattern that has been developing since mid-2017. Related Reading: Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices Are Struggling Again, And Here’s What’s Behind It In his post on X, CW predicts that this convergence pattern could break during the current bull market cycle. The structure is visible on the weekly chart as a large descending triangle or wedge that started when ETH/BTC reached a peak around 0.16. Since that high, the pair has been compressing between a descending resistance line and a flat horizontal support level near the 0.020 zone. Price action in the chart shows that ETH/BTC hit this peak during the 2021 bull market but failed to break the upper descending trendline of the converging pattern. Following this, the pair dropped back sharply and has continued to trend lower, now pressing into the very tip of the convergence pattern near the 0.029 level. This suggests that ETH/BTC is approaching its final stage near the apex of the descending triangle pattern. The narrowing distance between the resistance and the support suggests the market could be at a critical juncture. CW suggests that a breakout from this point could end the trading pair’s eight-year compression within the convergence pattern. If this happens, it could signal a major shift in strength from BTC to ETH, and finally to the broader altcoin market, marking the potential onset of an altcoin season in 2026. 2026 Altcoin Season To Surpass 2021 Boom CW emphasized in his post that the altcoin season he anticipates in this bull cycle could exceed the strength of the 2021 cycle, mirroring the explosive scale of the 2017 cycle. He argued that many investors underestimate how powerful the 2017 bull run was, noting that it delivered wider, more aggressive gains across the altcoin market than the more selective rally in 2021. Related Reading: Is The Altcoin Market Dead? Why These Cryptocurrencies Have Failed To Move In a previous analysis, CW shared a separate chart from CryptoQuant, adding further weight to his outlook for a 2026 altcoin season. The chart, which tracks the CEX volume ratio of non-BTC assets versus Bitcoin, excluding stablecoins, compares the current market setup to the 2021 altcoin season. In both periods, altcoin trading activity on centralized exchanges was consistently higher than Bitcoin’s volume. However, CW notes that this activity has been running for much longer in 2026 than in 2021. He believes this sustained volume, coupled with a potential breakout from ETH/BTC’s current convergence pattern, strengthens the case of a powerful altcoin season in 2026. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
Strategy has once again strengthened its aggressive digital asset vault, adding another billion-dollar allocation of Bitcoin to its growing treasury. The move reinforces the company’s long-standing belief that BTC represents the most reliable store of value in the digital era, positioning Strategy even further ahead as the largest corporate holder of the cryptocurrency. What Strategy’s Latest Purchase Means For The Capital Market According to analyst Adam Livingston’s post on X, Bitcoin advocate and Executive Chairman Michael Saylor of Strategy (MSTR) has released its latest Form 8-K, confirming another massive expansion of its BTC standard. Meanwhile, the BTC bears are currently consolidating around the market. Related Reading: Strategy’s Bitcoin Bet Now $3.35 Billion In The Red As Saylor Tells Investors To Wait This week, Strategy has intensified its aggressive accumulation strategy after revealing in a new filing that it raised more than $1.5 billion and used the capital to purchase 22,337 additional BTC. The latest acquisition pushes the company’s total BTC holding to approximately 761,068 BTC, reinforcing Strategy’s position as the largest corporate holder of the digital asset. Livingston argues that the balance sheet got heavier, the funding engine got smarter, and the anti-MSRT commentariat got hit with another folding chair made of SEC fillings. In the video shared by Livingston, the expert explains why Strategy’s latest move is viewed as overwhelmingly bullish for its long-term outlook. Furthermore, Livingston shared insight on how STRC is becoming a game-changer for common shareholders by offering a more efficient way for Strategy to raise capital and expand its BTC holdings without relying on traditional methods. The analysis also addresses ongoing criticism around dilution, which many bearish takes fail to account for the underlying mathematics of Strategy’s model. The company is evolving into a powerful BTC accumulation vehicle that is systematically absorbing liquidity from the market and positioning itself as a dominant force in the digital asset space. Why Cross-Margining Is A Game-Changer For Hedge Funds The recent regulatory developments are marking a significant shift in how Bitcoin is being integrated into traditional finance. Crypto analyst MartyParty revealed that the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), alongside institutions like the Options Clearing Corporation, has advanced rules via filings that allow cross-margining using BTC ETF holdings as collateral. Related Reading: US Bitcoin ETFs Hit 5-Day Inflow Streak For First Time In 2026 These changes allow hedge funds and institutional investors to use holdings in spot BTC ETFs such as IBIT and FBTC as collateral for equity options trading and other margin requirements. MartyParty highlighted that this development builds on earlier milestones, such as the approval of options BTC ETFs in 2024, including the ongoing expansion. Together, these developments reduce friction for institutions, making it easier to integrate BTC into broader portfolios without liquidation or segregating assets. The broader implication is a maturing financial ecosystem where BTC is increasingly treated as a legitimate collateral asset in TradFi, boosting liquidity and efficiency for large players. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
If bitcoin continues to rally, it could first find resistance at $75,000," said CryptoQuant. "The next resistance level is near $85,000."
Crypto analyst Merlijn revealed that Bitcoin has flashed the most powerful fractal in the markets right now. This comes amid BTC’s rally to a one-month high of $75,000 despite the escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran. Bitcoin Flashes Most Powerful Fractal In Markets Right Now In an X post, Merlijn stated that Bitcoin has formed the most powerful fractal in the market right now. He noted that gold had formed this structure in 1974, when it completed three waves, followed by a Fibonacci extension and a parabolic move. Now, BTC is forming an identical structure, with the third step forming. Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Bulls Have Won And This Is The Next Target The analyst further said that $62,000 is the last line before the Fibonacci extension opens, and that if BTC holds this level, then the $226,000 Fibonacci target unlocks. However, if the leading crypto loses this level, then the fractal gets one more low first. Merlijn added that BTC is pointing to the same outcome as gold, with a parabolic move on the horizon. In another X post, the analyst provided a bullish outlook for Bitcoin, citing global liquidity. He noted that M2 is expanding again and that BTC has just entered the green accumulation zone. Merlijn explained that the last two times this combination appeared, BTC multiplied. He added that a hold above $74,000 will confirm this liquidity cycle, while a drop below $65,000 means one more compression before a rally to the upside. Bitcoin rallied to $75,000 yesterday, signaling that the leading crypto was again seeing bullish momentum despite the U.S.-Iran conflict. Veteran trader Peter Brandt suggested that BTC could rally above $80,000 in the short term. Market Conditions Show Signs Of Stabilization And Market Recovery In a research report, the on-chain analytics platform Glassnode said that market conditions are showing signs of stabilization and gradual recovery. The spot CVD is said to have flipped decisively positive, which Glassnode noted reflects a return of aggressive buying pressure. Furthermore, the derivatives markets reflect rising but cautious engagement. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Base Case: What To Expect Before The Run-Up Above $100,000 Glassnode stated that futures open interest has edged higher as futures CVD surged, while funding payments moved further into negative territory, which points to persistent short positioning. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin ETFs are seeing renewed interest, although the on-chain analytics platform noted the total ETF trading volume has cooled slightly from prior elevated levels. Lastly, Glassnode mentioned that on-chain activity remains relatively muted, with active addresses declining below their lower band and transfer volumes improving modestly but remaining subdued. Fee volume is said to have remained stable, which reflects steady but quiet network usage. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $74,100, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin price has rallied for eight consecutive days for the first time in over two years, typically a signal of strengthening momentum. The price touched an intraday high near $76,000, supported by a sharp rise in volume from $22 billion to over $56 billion. While this move hints at a potential trend shift, confirmation remains …
The following article is adapted from The Block’s newsletter, The Daily, which comes out on weekday afternoons.
Bitcoin has again come under sharp criticism after former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson questioned its legitimacy. His remarks, shared in a March 13, 2026, post on X, reignited debate over whether the world’s largest cryptocurrency is fundamentally sound or structurally flawed. Bitcoin Under Fire: What Boris Johnson’s Statement Suggests In his post, Johnson reiterated long-standing doubts about Bitcoin, noting that reports of investor losses had strengthened his skepticism. His comments highlight concerns over the cryptocurrency’s structure and the potential risks for participants. Related Reading: Bitcoin And Crypto Exchanges Could Be In Trouble, Here’s Why This perspective aligns with his previous column, where he described individuals drawn in by promises of profit but ultimately losing significant sums. One example involved a retired person who invested £500 hoping to double it, only to spend years attempting withdrawals while paying fees, eventually losing about £20,000. Johnson suggests these cases illustrate that Bitcoin is not only volatile but also part of an ecosystem where investors may face exploitation. He also questioned Bitcoin’s intrinsic value, describing it as a digital construct without physical backing or cultural significance. Johnson raised concerns about the anonymity of its creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, arguing that the lack of accountability adds risk. His remarks imply that Bitcoin’s reliance on investor interest, along with its decentralized and opaque origins, could expose participants to dynamics reminiscent of fraudulent financial models. Is Bitcoin A Ponzi Scheme? Facts Behind The Claim While Johnson suggests Bitcoin may resemble a Ponzi scheme, this comparison is misleading. A classic Ponzi relies on a central organizer who guarantees fixed returns and pays earlier investors with new participants’ funds. Bitcoin, by contrast, has no central operator, no promised returns, and no mechanism for redistributing incoming funds. Transactions are verified by a decentralized network rather than a controlling entity. Bitcoin’s value comes from open market demand and a fixed supply cap of 21 million coins, not the entry of new participants. The network is transparent, participation is voluntary, and the protocol enforces scarcity and transaction rules. These factors ensure Bitcoin lacks the defining features of a Ponzi scheme, as emphasized by Michael Saylor, who points out that decentralization removes the key elements required for such fraud. Related Reading: Pundit Shares What The XRP Float Is Likely To Be For Global Settlement However, some of Johnson’s observations reflect market realities. Price momentum often depends on investor sentiment, adoption trends, and liquidity, which can superficially resemble Ponzi-like growth patterns, especially when scams or misleading schemes exploit the cryptocurrency ecosystem. High-profile losses contribute to the perception of risk, even though Bitcoin’s structure is fundamentally different: it does not promise returns, is not centrally controlled, and allows free buying, selling, and storing of coins. While Bitcoin carries risks typical of any volatile asset, its decentralized design, transparent operation, and capped supply separate it from a Ponzi scheme. Johnson’s remarks highlight legitimate concerns about risk perception but do not reflect the cryptocurrency’s underlying mechanics. Featured image created with Daily Express, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin is showing early signs of renewed demand after a February stretch marked by heavy selling across both retail and institutional venues, even as the broader macro backdrop remains unsupportive for risk assets. On-chain and ETF flow data now point to a market that is stabilizing, though not yet fully out of danger. That shift is notable because it is unfolding against a difficult backdrop. As CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost put it, “Despite escalating tensions in Iran, Bitcoin continues to show a degree of resilience, particularly compared to equities and commodities, which are increasingly displaying toppish market structures. This is all the more notable given that the upcoming FOMC meeting is unlikely to deliver any rate cuts.” The market, in other words, is improving in spite of macro rather than because of it. Darkfost noted that current probabilities imply roughly a 99% chance of no change from the Federal Reserve, leaving traders focused less on an immediate policy move and more on forward guidance, especially whether officials reopen the door to future hikes. Related Reading: Bitcoin Eyes Mid-$80,000s As Peter Brandt Flags ‘Horn’ Pattern Within that setup, exchange flow data has started to look better. According to Darkfost, the 30-day moving average volume delta on Binance and Coinbase has shifted back toward buyers after plunging deeply negative in mid-February. On Feb. 16, the metric stood at -$145 million on Binance and -$88 million on Coinbase, a sign that “both retail and institutional participants were largely aligned on the sell side.” Today, those averages have moved back into positive territory at around +$21 million and +$14 million. It is still a modest move. But compared with the conditions seen a month ago, it marks a clear change in tone. Why $79,962 Remains The Key Resistance For Bitcoin ETF flow data presented by CryptoQuant contributor Axel Adler Jr. tells a similar story, though with an important caveat. Over the past month, US spot bitcoin ETF flows swung from capitulation to recovery. From Feb. 15 to 24, the 7-day average net flow remained negative, bottoming at -1,883 BTC per day on Feb. 18. The reversal began on Feb. 25, when flows recovered to +2,305 BTC per day, before peaking at +3,387 BTC per day on March 2. The latest reading has cooled to +1,472 BTC per day, while total ETF holdings rose from 1,264,982 BTC to 1,291,618 BTC over the month, an increase of 26,636 BTC. Related Reading: Bitcoin Returns To Full Bull Mode: Key Indicators Signal Bottom And Major Relief Rally Adler’s conclusion is constructive, but measured. “ETF flows recovered after February’s outflow, liquidity returned to positive territory — demand is back,” he wrote. “But until spot closes above the Realized Price (~$80K), the ETF cohort remains underwater, and this level will likely slow any rally.” That realized price now sits at $79,962, down slightly from $80,501 on Feb. 15. Even after bitcoin rebounded from $63,756 on Feb. 24 to $74,788, spot still trades $5,174, or 6.5%, below the aggregate ETF cohort’s cost basis. That leaves a large pocket of holders in unrealized loss and creates the risk that any move toward $80,000 draws out supply from investors looking to exit near breakeven. For now, both analysts are describing the same market: selling pressure has eased, buyer activity has returned, and institutional demand is no longer deteriorating. But confirmation still matters. At press time, Bitcoin traded at $74,063. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Muneeb Ali's Stacks Labs said its SIP-034 upgrade has now been implemented, boosting effective capacity for certain DeFi applications.
Bitcoin is playing out a price movement that has convinced many traders that October 2025 was the cycle peak. However, an interesting technical analysis shows that the market structure still does not look complete. Analyst CryptoAmsterdam made the case that Bitcoin is moving through a temporary correction inside a much larger phase. If that reading is correct, then Bitcoin could still stage a stronger rally than previous bull markets. Bitcoin May Still Be Inside An Unfinished Macro Bull Cycle Every major Bitcoin bull run has followed a recognizable five-stage sequence: a bull phase, a bear phase, accumulation below the macro range, a disbelief rally back into range, and finally a parabolic move into new all-time highs. This structure has held across the 2013, 2017, and 2021 cycles, each one completing all five stages within roughly a four-year window. The current cycle has not. Related Reading: Pundit Shares What The XRP Float Is Likely To Be For Global Settlement According to CryptoAmsterdam’s analysis, Bitcoin reached a new peak without delivering the characteristic Stage 5 parabolic expansion. The chart comparisons he shared by plotting Bitcoin’s weekly price action against prior cycles show that the 2013, 2017, and 2021 cycles each measured approximately 1,456 to 1,477 days from trough to peak, with Stage 5 accounting for the most explosive price movement in each case. That phase, however, appears structurally absent in the current cycle. Price action has entered a corrective period since the peak at $126,000, but the cycle framework, by this reading, is still open. Price Chart Comparison. Source: @damskotrades On X The technical analysis also shows that price action can look weak on a shorter time frame and still remain bullish on a much larger one. That is where Bitcoin appears to be sitting now. The chart setup shows the recent correction is only a mini-cycle correction forming inside a broader macro continuation. This reading becomes more interesting when placed beside gold and Alphabet. In both examples, price also advanced within a larger macro cycle, paused for a mid-cycle correction, and then resumed higher once that smaller reset was complete. According to CryptoAmsterdam, Bitcoin could now be doing something similar. If the reading is correct, then Bitcoin’s current price action is Stage 3 of a mini-cycle nested within the larger Stage 5 of that macrocycle. Therefore, the parabolic phase would still be ahead. Gold And Alphabet Inc. Source: @damskotrades On X Possibility Of A New Price High Another reason for a stronger rally is Bitcoin’s tendency to lag other assets. Over the last several years, Bitcoin has often printed macro structures similar to large-cap stocks, only with a delay that can stretch into hundreds of days. That makes Bitcoin look less like the leader of the cycle and more like the final participant. Related Reading: Here’s How Much Needs To Flow Through Ripple For XRP Price To Reach $3,700 Notably, technical analysis shows that gold has always bottomed well before Bitcoin did. For instance, Bitcoin moved higher during gold’s advance in the previous cycle in 2021 but underwent an entire mini-cycle correction while gold was trending straight up. Only when gold completed and topped its parabolic rally did Bitcoin take over into a vertical move, as shown in the chart below. Gold And BTC. Source: @damskotrades On X The next outlook now is that Bitcoin will continue its larger Stage 5 move like we saw with Gold and Google (Alphabet Inc.). The projected move is expected to push the Bitcoin price into macro cycle highs above $200,000. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Michael Saylor’s Strategy bought 22,337 Bitcoin for about $1.57 billion last week, using a funding mix led by its variable-rate perpetual preferred stock, STRC. The March 16 announcement showed the company paid an average of $70,194 per Bitcoin in the purchase. The buy lifted Strategy’s holdings to 761,068 Bitcoin, valued at about $56.5 billion at […]
The post Strategy on course to hit 1 million BTC this year — and STRC is the clearest reason why appeared first on CryptoSlate.
Three months ago, Citigroup set a $143,000 Bitcoin target and told investors that 2026 was the year US crypto regulation would finally deliver. Today, the same bank cut that target by $31,000. The reason has nothing to do with Bitcoin itself. It has everything to do with Washington. Head of Quantitative Global Macro and DeFi …
Bitcoin’s recovery is evolving into a broader market comeback as spot ETF inflows rebound, buyer activity returns after February’s sell-off, and fresh institutional accumulation helps push BTC back above $75,000. Bitcoin pushed above $75,000 in Asia trading hours, extending a rebound that's getting harder to dismiss as a simple bounce. Wall Street is putting fresh […]
The post Bitcoin price climbs as global markets shake, fueled by ETFs and institutional buying appeared first on CryptoSlate.
Bitcoin’s foray above $70,000, while encouraging, has not really done much to quell the expectations that this is only the start of the bear market. A number of analysts continue to warn investors that this might only be a temporary relief, with the real crash on the way. One of these analysts is HAMED_AZ, who took to the TradingView website to share why the Bitcoin price is still very bearish and why he expects a further crash before the cryptocurrency hits a bottom. Bitcoin Price Still Very Bearish According to HAMED, the Bitcoin price is still very bearish, despite the recent recovery, and this is due to the fact that it continues to trade inside a descending channel. This descending channel appeared on the daily timeframe, and since the price broke below the support at $79,000, it has completely eroded the bullish sentiment. Related Reading: Why The XRP Price Might Crash To $0.87 Before The Bear Market Ends Even now, the Bitcoin price has yet to retest the resistance that has now formed after this support level turned into resistance, showing weakness on the part of the bulls. Another important point that that the analyst makes is that this same zone is closely aligned with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. All of these put together make it an important level to determine the next wave of action. If the cryptocurrency’s price continues to correct below the $79,000-$82,000 level, then it is possible that the price could experience another rejection that could send it crashing lower. This is because this level is an area that bears control. What To Expect In the case of a crash, then the crypto analyst suggests that there could be another 40% price crash. This would mean that the price would eventually fall below $50,000. The bottom for this move is placed somewhere around $47,000, which would mean that the Bitcoin price would be below 60% from all-time high levels. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Can Still Cross $1: Historical Cycle Performance Points To 750% Rally “If price reaches this zone and shows signs of rejection or weakening bullish momentum, the market may experience a bearish rejection, continuing the broader downtrend within the channel,” HAMED explained. “As long as price remains below the supply zone and the upper boundary of the descending channel, the dominant scenario favors a bearish continuation after a pullback into resistance.” On the flip side of this, there is still the possibility that the bulls will reclaim control of the cryptocurrency. This would happen if the Bitcoin price were to rally and break above $82,000. In this case, it would push to the upper boundary of the descending channel, leading to a potential trend reversal. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) has briefly surpassed the critical resistance level of $74,000, generating renewed optimism among investors as key market indicators suggest the potential for a bottom and further recovery for the leading cryptocurrency. A Potential Surge To $108,000 Market analyst Ali Martinez drew attention to a significant development in a social media post on Monday, noting that Bitcoin’s funding rates have turned negative. This particular signal has historically foreshadowed substantial relief rallies over the past three years. Martinez added that current market sentiment reflects a state of “peak fear,” which often indicates that the local bottom is close. Historical patterns reveal a consistent trajectory: when the majority are paying to short Bitcoin, it typically signifies a market rebound. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts Dogecoin Price Will ‘Pump Hard’ Soon, Here’s Why The analyst has highlighted several past instances where this pattern played out effectively. For example, in December 2022, Bitcoin climbed from $17,800 to $24,800, a gain of 39%. Similarly, from March 2023, the cryptocurrency surged from $20,000 to $30,700, marking a 53% increase in price. The trend continued with notable jumps in August 2023 and beyond. Considering this pattern persists for the cryptocurrency, where Bitcoin has historically demonstrated an average gain of 46%, there is a possibility that the digital asset could rally back to approximately $108,000 for the first time since November of last year. Bitcoin Whales Return In addition to funding rates, blockchain analysis firm CryptoQuant has reported further bullish signs for Bitcoin. Recent analysis by the firm indicates that the ratio of BTC whales on exchanges has reached its highest point in six years. An increase in this whale ratio often signifies a short-term bottom, while peaks in the ratio typically mark the commencement of an upward trend. Presently, the ratio of retail investors is at a six-year low, suggesting that larger players in the market are accumulating aggressively. On-chain indicators support the notion that Bitcoin may be poised for an upward movement, with the exchange whale ratio reinforcing the idea that the current price levels represent a bottom. Related Reading: Ripple Pushes XRP Global With Multi-Continent Expansion Drive In another observation on social media platform X (previously Twitter), market expert Jesus Martinez pointed out the presence of an unfilled Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) gap between $80,000 and $84,000 for the leading cryptocurrency. Nine out of ten CME gaps have been successfully closed since August 2025, sparking speculation that the cryptocurrency may experience an additional 13% increase should it promptly fill the gap at $84,000 in the short term. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading slightly above the $74,100 mark, with gains of nearly 4% and 8% in the 24-hour and seven-day time frames, respectively. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
The cryptocurrency market is showing renewed strength, led by Bitcoin, which is currently trading around $74,306. The latest price move extends a relief rally that has been building over the past few weeks, even as global economic and geopolitical conditions remain uncertain. Bitcoin Buyer Activity Picks Up After February Sell-Off After heavy selling pressure in …
Rich Dad Poor Dad author Robert Kiyosaki has once again sounded the alarm over what he believes could become the largest financial bubble collapse in modern history. As global tensions rise and economic uncertainty spreads, the author argues that markets are approaching a critical turning point. Bitcoin Price has shown bullish strength, climbing above $74,000 …
The crypto market saw $609 million in liquidations in the past 24 hours, including $485 million in short positions, Coinglass data showed.
Bitcoin's surge highlights market volatility amid global economic shifts, underscoring investor sensitivity to macroeconomic policy signals.
The post Bitcoin briefly touches $76,000 ahead of key economic decisions this week appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Bitcoin price started a strong increase above the $75,000 zone. BTC is now consolidating and might aim for more gains if it clears $76,000. Bitcoin started a decent upward move above the $74,000 zone. The price is trading above $74,200 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $71,650 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to rise if it clears the $75,500 and $76,000 levels. Bitcoin Price Extends Rally Bitcoin price remained supported and extended its increase above the $72,500 level. BTC climbed above the $73,200 and $74,000 resistance levels. The bulls were able to pump the price above $75,000. A high was formed at $75,998, and the price is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $70,293 swing low to the $75,998 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $74,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. Besides, there is a bullish trend line forming with support at $71,650 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. If the price remains stable above $73,500, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $75,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $76,000 level. A close above the $76,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $76,800 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $78,000 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $80,000. Downside Correction In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $76,000 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $74,500 level. The first major support is near the $73,200 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $70,293 swing low to the $75,998 high. The next support is now near the $72,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $71,200 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $70,000, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $74,500, followed by $73,200. Major Resistance Levels – $75,500 and $76,000.