Bitcoin market activity over the past day has been marked by turbulence, with its value falling to as low as $90,000 levels earlier today before rebounding to just above $94,000. Despite this partial recovery, the cryptocurrency remains down 5.8% over the past week and more than 13% below its all-time high of $109,000, reached in January. This recent price movement has led a CryptoQuant analyst to suggest that Bitcoin may be transitioning into a distribution cycle, a phase where price gains start to slow as supply shifts toward newer market participants. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Is Trading In This Bearish Flag — What’s The Downside Target? Bitcoin Transitioning From Accumulation to Distribution The analyst known as Oinonen, discussed the current state of Bitcoin’s market cycle in a recent post titled “Entering the Distribution Cycle.” Oinonen noted that after gaining 129.2% over the past year and surpassing $100,000, Bitcoin might be nearing a “cycle top.” He cited comments from Ki Young Ju, who suggested that the market is in the “early distribution phase” and could potentially see a few more quarters of growth, influenced by retail investors entering the market and broader promotional efforts. Applying Dow Theory to Bitcoin’s recent market patterns, Oinonen explained that the cryptocurrency’s market movements can be divided into accumulation and distribution phases. He pointed out that while 2022 represented a clear distribution cycle, Bitcoin transitioned into an accumulation cycle in 2023, which extended through 2024. Now, as 2025 unfolds, Bitcoin appears to be shifting back into a distribution phase. Despite this shift, Oinonen emphasized that the market still has the potential for further price discovery, citing relatively low funding rates and a lack of overleveraged conditions. Price Supports and Future Outlook Oinonen also cited Axel Adler Jr, another market observer, who shared similar sentiments, noting that Bitcoin’s current market environment is not overheated and retains the potential for additional growth under stable macroeconomic conditions. This view is supported by the ongoing institutional demand reflected in MicroStrategy’s recent Bitcoin purchases. The company has continued its pro-cyclical acquisition strategy, adding 10,107 bitcoins in early 2025 and bringing its total holdings to 471,107 BTC. Related Reading: Bitcoin Eyes $108K: Can Bulls Sustain Momentum Against Bearish Signals? This sustained institutional interest serves as a leading indicator of market confidence and highlights Bitcoin’s continued appeal as a long-term investment. Oinonen mentioned that as Bitcoin hovers near its “fair price” support level of $87,990—identified by its power-law fit—further developments should be watched out for. The analyst added: Despite the approaching distribution cycle, Bitcoin might still reach significantly higher spot price levels. Bitcoin’s funding rate is relatively low and comparable to summer 2024 levels. We’re far from an overleveraged market, and the structure supports further spot price discovery. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a significant drop, with its value plunging to $91,000 in the early hours of Monday. The decline follows unfavorable macroeconomic developments, including newly imposed US tariffs. This price movement has left investors and analysts closely scrutinizing the market for signs of a reversal or further downturn. According to a recent analysis by CryptoQuant analyst TraderOasis, Bitcoin’s decline below critical support levels has resulted in increased panic selling. Despite this, the Coinbase premium index indicates that institutional investors are continuing to accumulate BTC rather than offloading their holdings. This contrast between retail-driven selloffs and institutional accumulation suggests that larger players are using the current dip to boost their positions. Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Is Bullish But It’s Time For Caution Bitcoin Market Dynamics And Institutional Activity TraderOasis highlights several key market indicators that shed light on the current dynamics. Open interest—a measure of active trading positions—has dropped significantly, pointing to a wave of forced liquidations as leveraged traders exit their positions. Oasis wrote: A drop in funding rates suggests that market participants are taking short positions (betting on a price decrease) and that bearish sentiment is increasing. Notably, this ongoing pattern described by the analyst hints at a strategic accumulation phase by so-called “whales,” or large-scale investors. Oasis mentioned that while retail traders face stop-loss liquidations, these larger entities appear to be absorbing Bitcoin at discounted prices. This accumulation during periods of panic is not uncommon and often precedes a market recovery. Rising Liquidations and Signs of Recovery Another CryptoQuant analyst, Mignolet, echoed these observations, emphasizing the scale of recent long-position liquidations. The current liquidation volume is reportedly the highest since September 2023, with many traders caught off guard by the abrupt price drop. Mignolet compares this event to past market shocks, including the FTX collapse and the COVID-induced crash. The market has been cleaned out “BTC price drop shock has led to the largest liquidation of long positions in recent times… The market has been cleansed, and the open interest trend has finally broken down” – By @mignoletkr Link ????https://t.co/fYs10fAIo6 pic.twitter.com/27znZMRzqs — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) February 3, 2025 Related Reading: Crypto Traders Wrecked As Trump’s Tariffs Spark $2 Billion Liquidation Despite the significant liquidations, there are signs of optimism on the horizon. The Coinbase Premium Gap (CPG) data points to aggressive buying by institutional investors, who are capitalizing on the sudden influx of liquidity. While the market remains volatile, this accumulation activity suggests that larger players anticipate a reversal soon. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
The price of Ethereum (ETH) has shown some significant change in the past day rising by 1.86%. However, according to trading data from CoinMarketCap, the popular altcoin has recorded negative growth since December 2024 despite some significant gains in the past month. Interestingly, underlying market activity points to a potential price breakout. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Spikes 5% In A Day—Will the Rally Continue? Ethereum Sees Strong Accumulation Activity Amid Price Dip Ever since touching the $4,000 price mark, Ethereum has slipped into a downtrend falling as low as $3,000. Amidst notable gains by Bitcoin in January, Ethereum continues to struggle hitting consistent lower lows during this period. However, a CryptoQuant market expert with the username Crypto Sunmoon has noted an increase in market buying volume amidst the current price dip indicating a bullish divergence in the ETH market. For context, a bullish divergence occurs when an asset’s price is making lower lows while a momentum indicator is making higher lows, thereby hinting at a potential reversal or upward movement. As for Ethereum, the increase in buying volume amid falling prices indicates a strong demand from buyers especially at the current price levels. This development further suggests a strong confidence in the asset’s profitability as investors expect buying pressure to surpass selling activity in the coming days. Based on historical data, Crypto Sunmoon predicts Ethereum may experience a price surge such as the one in May 2024 when a similar bullish divergence last occurred. During that month, ETH rose by over 21% suggesting the altcoin will likely return to $4,000 if the projected price breakout occurs, according to current market prices. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Forms Falling Wedge Pattern On 1-Day Chart That Suggests 20% Rally Is Coming ETH Long-Term Holders Signal Strong Market Confidence In other news, IntoTheBlock reports that long-term holders of Ethereum currently boast an average holding time of 2.4 years showing massive confidence in Ethereum’s future value potential. However, Ethereum faces other issues including an absence of short-term participants which prevents ETH from experiencing significant levels of speculative trading that can drive up price appreciation. Furthermore, the rapid growth of layer 2 solutions such as Optimism, and layer 1 blockchains such as Solana are also tampering with the potential market demand and attention for Ethereum. At press time, ETH trades at $3,306 after a gain of 1.86% over the past day as earlier stated. Meanwhile, the asset’s daily trading volume has increased by 55.69% resulting in a value of $30.3 billion. On larger time frames, Ethereum is also up by 0.22% on its weekly chart but down by 2.27% on its monthly chart leaving much to desire for many short-term investors. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview
Bitcoin price has regained upward traction, trading back above $105,000 after a temporary dip below $104,000 earlier today. This 1.2% increase over the past hour reflects renewed optimism in the market. Amid this price performance, Crypto Dan, a CryptoQuant analyst has shared his analysis of on-chain data and market behaviors that may shape Bitcoin’s trajectory in the weeks and months ahead. Related Reading: Bitcoin Outflows Signal Bullish Strength As Demand Remains High At $100K – What This Means Bitcoin Bullish Market But Caution According to Dan, the amount of Bitcoin held for less than six months continues to show notable growth with each market cycle. This trend suggests that as Bitcoin’s appeal widens, new capital inflows—particularly from the expected introduction of Bitcoin spot ETFs—could further drive demand. Dan anticipates that both institutional and retail investors will ramp up their involvement as these ETFs gain traction by the first half of 2025. Additionally, while current indicators remain bullish, Crypto Dan warns that surging interest in Bitcoin and altcoins, paired with an influx of new investors, could signal that the current cycle may be nearing its peak. If Bitcoin pushes through its all-time high with significant momentum, and altcoins follow suit, it could trigger a wave of inflows that may mark the cycle’s final stages. Dan advises investors to start considering risk management strategies. The Crypto Market Remains Bullish… But It’s Time for Caution “If Bitcoin breaks through its all-time high with strong momentum and altcoins follow suit, triggering a wave of new investor inflows, it may indicate that the end of the cycle is approaching.” – By @DanCoinInvestor… pic.twitter.com/NvKB8Ly1DE — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) January 31, 2025 Diverging Inflows from Retail and Whales This cautionary note is reinforced by observations from another CryptoQuant analyst, Darkfost, who highlights a discrepancy in the behavior of retail investors and whales. According to recent Binance data, retail investors have significantly increased their BTC deposits over the past month, with inflows reaching approximately 6,000 BTC. In contrast, whale activity on Binance has dwindled, with their BTC inflows dropping to around 1,000 BTC—a fourfold decrease. Darkfost notes that retail investors often use exchanges to liquidate their holdings, whereas whales’ reduced inflows suggest they are holding onto their Bitcoin. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Enters Ascending Phase After Cup And Handle Formation At $105,000, Here’s The Next Target This contrasting behavior offers insights into broader market sentiment: retail participants appear eager to capitalize on short-term gains, while larger, more established investors maintain a more cautious stance. Historically, following whale behavior rather than retail trends has provided a more reliable signal for long-term market moves. Darkfost highlighted this noting: This is a perfect example of the contrasting behaviors between whales and retail traders and it is often considered a better choice to follow whales rather than retail investors Featured Image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has recently faced a slowdown in its upward trajectory after reaching over $105,000 earlier this week. The cryptocurrency had shown signs of a potential breakout, but key indicators have come into focus as the market evaluates its next move. The latest insights from analysts have raised questions about whether Bitcoin’s market momentum can overcome the resistance level at $108,000, its previous all-time high. Related Reading: MVRV Ratio Reveals Bitcoin’s Market Position Amid Short-Term Selling Pressure Analyzing Bitcoin’s Market Indicators Amid the price performance from BTC, CryptoQuant analyst ShayanBTC has provided insights on the challenges and possibilities ahead for Bitcoin. Shayan noted that despite Bitcoin’s recent price increases, the funding rates—a critical on-chain indicator—have started to decline. This bearish divergence suggests that demand in perpetual markets may be weakening, casting doubt on whether the current bullish momentum is sufficient to push Bitcoin above its all-time high. Particularly, one of the primary hurdles for Bitcoin’s price to surpass $108,000 is the lack of strong market enthusiasm, as reflected in the funding rates. According to Shayan, typically, rising funding rates indicate an increase in long positions and market optimism. However, the current decline in these rates signals that traders are hesitant to bet on further price increases. Shayan emphasized that without a significant boost in optimism and a greater influx of long positions, Bitcoin’s resistance at $108,000 could hold firm, potentially leading to a consolidation phase or even a temporary price rejection. The analyst wrote: For Bitcoin to decisively breach $108K, the funding rates must rise further, signaling an increase in optimism and a greater influx of long positions. Without this market-wide enthusiasm, the resistance at $108K could hold, leading to potential consolidation or a temporary rejection. Indication from Long-Term Holders Metric On the other hand, long-term holders—investors who have maintained their Bitcoin holdings for seven years or more—have shown no inclination to sell their assets. Another CryptoQuant analyst reporting this in a post on the QuickTake platform noted: Holders who have held bitcoin for seven years or more sold some of their holdings before the end of the previous bull market. Long-term bitcoin holders have not yet moved their holdings to exchanges. This behavior highlights a trend seen in previous market cycles: long-term holders often remain resilient through price fluctuations, providing a steady base of support for the cryptocurrency. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Enters Ascending Phase After Cup And Handle Formation At $105,000, Here’s The Next Target The decision of these holders to keep their Bitcoin off exchanges suggests confidence in the asset’s long-term value, even as short-term market sentiment fluctuates. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
The stablecoin market has grown by almost $40 billion since President Trump won the U.S. election.
While the broader cryptocurrency market appears to be gradually recovering, Toncoin (TON) has yet to join the upward trend. Over the past week, TON has faced significant challenges, seeing its price dip by 5.4%. Amid this price performance, a CryptoQuant analyst has highlighted signs of a potential reversal, especially as recent data sheds light on underlying market dynamics that could impact the coin’s near-term trajectory. Related Reading: Is Toncoin Price Gearing For A Rebound At $5? This On-Chain Metric Suggests So Toncoin Open Interest and Potential Reversal Signals The CryptoQuant analyst Joao Wedson has provided an intriguing perspective. In a recent post titled “TON: Signs of a Reversal?” Wedson highlighted a pattern within the open interest data that could hint at a price rebound. This analysis comes at a critical time, with market participants seeking any indicators that TON might stabilize and regain lost ground. Wedson’s analysis centers around the weekly variation in Toncoin’s open interest—a measure of the total number of outstanding derivatives contracts on the asset. According to the data, the open interest delta has shown a consistent increase whenever TON experiences volatility spikes. Historically, these patterns have been observed ahead of significant price surges, raising the possibility that a similar recovery could be on the horizon. TON: Signs of a Reversal? “We’ve observed a pattern where the Open Interest Delta increases with each volatility spike—a behavior that previously preceded a sharp price surge.” – By @joao_wedson Full analysis ????https://t.co/FC8q4QYIp6 pic.twitter.com/5luN5VojDn — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) January 29, 2025 TON Market Performance In recent weeks, TON’s price action has been noticeably less bullish. Even as the broader cryptocurrency market experiences gradual gains, TON has struggled to recover, consistently declining and now down roughly 11% over the past two weeks. This divergence from the broader market’s upward momentum may suggest that TON is facing its own bearish pressures, whether driven by chart patterns or on-chain factors. Related Reading: Toncoin Gears Up For A Fresh Rally With Bullish Momentum Building For instance, Renowned crypto analyst Ali recently highlighted that TON has faced significant transfers to exchanges signaling increasing sell-offs. Over 240,000 #Toncoin $TON have been transferred to exchanges in the past week, potentially signaling increased selling pressure as shown by on-chain data from @santimentfeed! pic.twitter.com/FF9BBEMJzL — Ali (@ali_charts) January 29, 2025 Although TON is trading at $4.84 as of now, up 0.4% on the day, this small increase has not been enough to lift the asset out of its current correction. The continued decline in TON’s price has not only reduced its market capitalization but also significantly diminished its daily trading volume. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin (BTC) has shown a swift recovery, climbing back above $95,000 after experiencing a notable dip below this level just a day prior. This price rebound has reignited discussions among analysts about the underlying market dynamics and potential future trends. Recent insights from CryptoQuant contributors shed light on key metrics influencing Bitcoin’s price behavior, focusing on the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Now Capitulating: Bottom Here? Current Stance On MVRV Ratio And Its Implications For Bitcoin The MVRV Ratio is a widely used metric that measures Bitcoin’s market value relative to its realized value. It can be used to identify whether the market is overbought or oversold. CryptoQuant analyst KriptoBaykusV2 has analyzed the current MVRV Ratio, which stands at 2.2, indicating a balanced market state. This metric offers valuable insights into Bitcoin’s price cycles, shedding light on historical overbought and oversold conditions. The MVRV Ratio is calculated by dividing Bitcoin’s market value (the total Bitcoin supply multiplied by its current price) by its realized value (the aggregate value of all Bitcoins based on their last movement price). This ratio provides insight into the profitability of Bitcoin holders, helping to gauge market sentiment. Historically, an MVRV above 3 has signaled overbought conditions with higher correction risks, as seen during the 2017 and 2021 bull runs. Conversely, an MVRV below 1 has identified oversold zones, marking potential buying opportunities during bear markets like those in 2018 and 2020. Currently, with the MVRV Ratio at 2.2, the market is in a neutral state, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This indicates a balanced environment with the potential for trend shifts. According to KriptoBaykusV2, the MVRV Ratio’s position provides critical signals for both short-term traders seeking tactical opportunities and long-term investors aiming for strategic positioning. Selling Pressure and Short-Term Market Trends Meanwhile, another CryptoQuant analyst, G a a h, highlighted the prevailing short-term selling pressure affecting Bitcoin’s market dynamics. The Take Buy Sell Ratio indicator reveals that selling activity outweighs buying, suggesting that supply currently exceeds demand. This trend is often observed during profit-taking phases near resistance levels, resulting in price corrections or sideways trading. Additionally, short-term holders are reportedly liquidating positions, with many sales occurring at little to no profit. This behavior contributes to increased market volatility and short-term downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price. Although Bitcoin has seen a quick recovery in price now trading above $96,000, G a a h wrote: On the price chart, a bearish structure is forming with a high probability of continuation given the circumstances in the data presented. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin is showing signs of a gradual recovery following its earlier pullback. After dipping below the $100,000 mark, the cryptocurrency has regained ground, currently trading above $102,000. This represents a 6.3% increase over the past two weeks. Amid this upward trajectory, a CryptoQuant analyst has assessed the patterns of Bitcoin’s realized capitalization and UTXO age bands for clues about what might come next. Related Reading: Bitcoin Hovers Above $104K—Analyst Reveals What’s Next Based on Funding Rates What the Data Suggests About Bitcoin’s Future IT Tech, a contributor to the CryptoQuant QuickTake Platform, recently shared insights on Bitcoin’s current cycle behavior. According to the analysis, the proportion of younger UTXOs—coins that have moved recently—has begun to rise. Historically, high levels of younger UTXOs have coincided with cycle tops, as seen during the peaks of 2013, 2017, and 2021. Although the current cycle has not yet reached these extreme levels, the increase in younger UTXOs suggests that newer market entrants are becoming more active. According to IT Tech, based on historical trends, a high proportion of young UTXOs typically signals increased speculation, which can lead to heightened volatility and a potential market top. If this trend continues, Bitcoin could see another leg up before significant distribution takes place. Conversely, if long-term holders maintain their positions, the current rally may still have room to grow. IT Tech emphasized that while current indicators point to increased market activity, the younger UTXO levels remain below historical peaks. Bitcoin’s Next Move: Are We Approaching a Cycle Top or Just Gaining Momentum? “Suggests that we are entering a phase of increased market activity, but the proportion of young UTXOs is not yet at the historical peak levels.” – By @IT_Tech_PL Link ????https://t.co/fVO3Kuavlw pic.twitter.com/pxegbBrpBX — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) January 28, 2025 This provides room for Bitcoin to continue its upward trajectory, but market participants should remain vigilant. IT Tech concluded by noting: The chart suggests that we are entering a phase of increased market activity, but the proportion of young UTXOs is not yet at the historical peak levels. This could mean that Bitcoin still has room for further upside, but traders should closely monitor the ratio of young coins to long-term holdings for potential warning signs of a top. Bitcoin Market Performance At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at a price of $102,768 marking a 1.3% increase in the past day. This slight surge in price has boosted BTC’s market cap back above $2 trillion—a notable surge from $1.96 trillion seen on Monday. Interestingly, despite this increase, Bitcoin’s daily trading volume has seen an opposite trend currently sitting at a valuation of $50.2 billion, a notable decrease from over $100 billion seen last week. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has experienced a rollercoaster start to the week, briefly dipping below the $100,000 mark in the early hours of Monday before recovering slightly. This correction came after Bitcoin achieved a new all-time high above $109,000 last week, marking a milestone in the cryptocurrency’s ongoing bull run. At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price has climbed back above $100,000, leaving investors speculating whether the asset will resume its upward trajectory or enter a prolonged consolidation phase. Amid this, Burak Kesmeci, a contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake Platform. Kesmeci recently highlighted intriguing trends in Bitcoin’s trading volume on Binance, suggesting that current selling pressure may be “easing.” Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Latest ATH: Is The Top Finally In Or Just Getting Started? Taker Sell Volume Shows Signs of Stabilization Kesmeci’s analysis focuses on the Taker Sell Volume metric on Binance, which has shown a noticeable uptick in recent sessions. Historically, Taker Sell Volume spikes have signaled heightened selling activity, eventually giving way to buying momentum. Kesmeci notes that these episodes often coincide with local bottoms as sell orders are completed and new buy orders start to flow in. However, in the past week, hourly data shows a pattern of lower highs in Taker Sell Volume, indicating a gradual decline in selling pressure. This trend suggests that as major sell orders are fulfilled, the influence of sellers is waning, potentially paving the way for renewed buying interest. According to the analyst, if this pattern holds, Bitcoin could be poised for another rally, contingent on sustained buyer engagement at current price levels. What The Stablecoin Market Current Stance Signal For Bitcoin While Kesmeci’s analysis offers a promising outlook, other factors contribute to a more cautious market environment. A separate post by analyst Avocado Onchain highlights the shifting dynamics of stablecoin flows. USDC deposits into exchanges have surged, potentially signaling increased interest in digital assets. However, this influx coincided with Bitcoin’s price falling back below $100,000. Avocado also points to a negative Coinbase Premium, a metric that reflects US-led buying momentum. With this indicator showing weakness, the expected strong support from US investors has yet to materialize. Meanwhile, market sentiment has been influenced by speculation over a potential bubble in US AI tech stocks, as well as concerns about broader corrections in risk assets. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sudden Breakdown: Price Falls Below $100,000 Support Under these conditions, Avocado highlighted that Bitcoin may face an extended consolidation period before resuming its upward climb. The analyst wrote: Bitcoin is more likely to undergo a substantial consolidation period before showing signs of recovery, rather than rebounding in the short term. Thus, it is important to approach the market with a long-term perspective rather than a short-term one. I remain optimistic about Bitcoin셲 long-term outlook. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
The cryptocurrency market was in a somewhat uncertain phase over the past week following the inauguration of Donald Trump as President of the United States. This uncertainty is demonstrated by the diverse performance of various assets in the market. The Toncoin price, for instance, experienced an almost 9% price decline in the last seven days, giving emphasis to the bearish half of the market. According to the latest on-chain data, the cryptocurrency might be preparing for a price rebound after its recent struggles. Is It Time To Buy Toncoin? In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, an analyst with the pseudonym Maartunn shared their latest on-chain observations and how it could offer into TON’s price trajectory. The relevant metric here is the Normalized Risk metric (NRM), which evaluates the price risk of an asset compared to its historical price data. Related Reading: XRP Consolidates Near Key Levels: The Implications Of A Breakout This on-chain indicator can be used to determine whether a cryptocurrency (Toncoin, in this case) is in a favorable or unfavorable risk position. Typically, the value for the Normalized Risk metric ranges from 0 to 1, with values closer to 0 signaling lower risk while values closer to 1 signaling higher risk. As observed in the highlighted chart, the Normalized Risk’s value is currently closer to zero, implying that the TON price is approaching the low-risk territory. Historically, low values of this metric have been correlated with local price bottoms for Toncoin. For example, the price of TON slumped to around $5.3 before climbing to $6.8 in August 2024 while the Normalized Risk metric was well beneath 0.1 at the time. Similarly — about a month later, the altcoin’s price jumped to $5.9 after sliding down to $4.6 while the Normalized Risk indicator was around 0.1. Nevertheless, Maartunn noted that it may take some time for this indicator to “fully bottom out and reach its lowest risk level.” Nevertheless, recent on-chain data suggests that the Normalized Risk metric is nearing a key turning point, implying a strong rebound might be on the cards for the TON price. TON Price Overview As of this writing, the price of Toncoin stands at around $5.08, reflecting a mere 0.7% increase in the past 24 hours. This sluggish single-day action underscores the uncertainty in the market — and to be frank, Toncoin’s struggles over the past few weeks. Related Reading: Solana Compresses Near Previous ATH – Gearing Up For The Next Leg Higher? The TON price has been unimpressive on broader timeframes, failing to successfully break above the $6 mark in the past month. According to data from CoinGecko, the altcoin’s value has declined by nearly 15% in the past month. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
In the past months, Bitcoin has broken multiple resistance levels to achieve consistent all-time highs each month. So far, the asset’s latest all-time high sits above $109,000 marking a more than 150% increase in year-over-year performance. Amid this price performance, CryptoQuant analyst Gaah has recently examined Bitcoin’s current position in the market cycle and whether the asset might be nearing a peak. Related Reading: Bitcoin Profit-Taking Drops 93% From December Peak – What’s Next For BTC? Bitcoin: Is The Top In? According to Gaah’s analysis, the Index of Bitcoin Cycle Indicators (IBCI)—a composite metric that includes on-chain data points like the Puell Multiple, MVRV, NUPL, and SOPR—has entered the “distribution region” for the first time in eight months. While this doesn’t “yet confirm a market top,” it serves as a cautionary signal that Bitcoin could be approaching the final stages of its current bull cycle. For IBCI to hit a definitive top, all its components would need to reach their historical peak levels, according to the analyst. However, as long as the IBCI remains above 50%, the broader market trend remains bullish, indicating continued demand and the potential for further price increases. Beyond the IBCI, Gaah notes that additional on-chain indicators present a mixed picture. While the NUPL metric hovers near its upper range, suggesting a possible end to the bull run, the Puell Multiple remains closer to the lower zone, which could indicate room for continued growth. This interplay of signals suggests that the market may not have reached a definitive top just yet. According to Gaah, historically, a fully realized IBCI peak has preceded corrections and longer-term bear phases. However, the current position offers room for optimism, provided that demand remains strong and other indicators remain supportive. Related Reading: Bitcoin Capital Inflows See Notable Slowdown, But Is This A Worry? Another Diverging Interpretation In contrast to Gaah’s cautious perspective, another CryptoQuant analyst, Burak Kesmeci, highlights a different scenario using the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross. This metric, designed to spot local tops and bottoms, recently fell to its lowest point in 60 days, signaling a potential “local bottom.” Kesmeci explains that historically when the NVT Golden Cross drops below -1.6, it often indicates that the asset is trading within a bottom range. As Bitcoin recently pulled back by about 7.5% after reaching its all-time high, the metric’s current reading could be a precursor to renewed upward momentum. Kesmeci wrote: Rather than indicating a specific price level, this metric suggests that Bitcoin may be trading within a local bottom zone. Historically, such signals have often preceded recovery and trend reversals, making it an important indicator to monitor. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Following Donald Trump’s inauguration on January 20th, Bitcoin (BTC) has remained range-bound, trading between $101,000 to $110,000. However, a new report by CryptoQuant states that behind this routine price action, Bitcoin ‘whales’ are quietly back to accumulating the premier cryptocurrency. Bitcoin Whales Back In Accumulation Mode According to the report, large BTC holders – commonly referred to as Bitcoin ‘whales’ – have re-entered the accumulation phase. Recent data shows a significant uptick in the monthly percentage growth of BTC holdings among these large investors. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Forecast Of $150,000 ‘Too Low’ Amid Rising Adoption, Crypto Trader Says Notably, Bitcoin whale holdings increased from a decline of -0.25% on January 14 to a growth of 2% by January 17, marking the highest monthly growth rate since mid-December. In absolute terms, these investors’ BTC holdings rose from 16.2 million on November 4 to 16.4 million as of January 24. The surge in whale accumulation appears to be driven by several bullish developments early in Trump’s administration. For example, the US president has already signed an executive order establishing a Working Group on Digital Asset Markets. This Working Group has been tasked with proposing a federal regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies – including stablecoins – within six months. Additionally, the group will evaluate the potential creation of a national digital asset stockpile, fueling speculation about a potential US strategic Bitcoin reserve. Besides growth in whale holdings, selling pressure for BTC has declined sharply since major profit-taking in December. This aligns with a recent report which found that BTC profit-taking has dropped by 93% from its December peak. The report reads: Bitcoin holders realized daily profits as high as $10 billion as Bitcoin approached $100K in December. However, daily realized profits have fallen to levels around $2-$3 billion in January, which indicates market participants may have finished selling Bitcoin for the most part. Moreover, the traders’ unrealized profit margins have declined near zero, a level which typically marks a price floor during bull markets. However, the report also highlights that overall Bitcoin spot demand has weakened over the past month, raising concerns about the likelihood of another bullish rally. Specifically, the rate of demand growth for Bitcoin has fallen from 279,000 BTC in early December to just 75,000 BTC at the time of writing. Analysts Confident Of Another BTC Rally Despite the cooling of on-chain demand, crypto analysts remain optimistic about another major price rally for Bitcoin. For instance, a recent report suggested that BTC could target a price as high as $249,000 during Trump’s presidency. Related Reading: Could Bitcoin Hit Its Peak In Summer 2025? Analysts Weigh In Another report by Bitfinex predicted that BTC is likely headed to $200,000 by mid-year amid mild price pullbacks. However, a lot depends on how the US Federal Reserve handles interest rate adjustments this year. From a technical standpoint, BTC’s cup-and-handle pattern projects a price target of as high as $275,000. At press time, BTC trades at $106,074, up 0.1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum is now demonstrating steady price growth, posting a 6% rise in the past day as the broader cryptocurrency market rallied. This upward momentum follows news of a US executive order establishing a national digital asset stockpile, contributing to a positive market environment. Amid this backdrop, CryptoQuant analyst ShayanBTC has provided a fresh perspective on Ethereum’s current trajectory. Shayan highlights an interesting divergence between the increasing open interest in Ethereum futures and the price, which has yet to reach previous highs. Related Reading: Ethereum’s Price Stalls Below $3,500 as Leverage Ratios Climb—What Next? Growing Futures Market and Divergent Price Action According to Shayan in a post recently uploaded on the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform, Ethereum’s open interest—an indicator of active futures contracts—has surged to its highest levels in recent weeks, indicating heightened market participation and growing interest among traders. The analyst notes that the rise in ETH’s open interest and slow price response suggests a disconnect between market sentiment and price performance. While futures traders appear optimistic, this optimism has not yet translated into Ethereum breaking key resistance levels. The analyst wrote: Interestingly, there is a divergence between Ethereum’s price and futures market activity. Despite the significant increase in open interest, the price has yet to break its previous highs, showcasing a potential imbalance between market expectations and price action. Shayan also notes that elevated open interest could lead to volatility. Historically, large buildups in open interest have been followed by significant price swings as positions are liquidated. Although the direction of the next move remains uncertain, current activity and sentiment lean toward a potential bullish breakout. Shayan suggested that if Ethereum can surpass critical resistance, it could pave the way for a more prolonged rally. Market Concerns And Bearish Indicators In contrast, another CryptoQuant analyst, Darkfost, presents a more cautious outlook. Darkfost points to a range of bearish factors, including increasing Ethereum inflows and reserves on Binance. According to the data shared by Darkfost, since September 2024, Ethereum inflows have consistently outpaced outflows, leading to a rise in exchange reserves. This trend reflects selling pressure, as more Ethereum is moved to exchanges, potentially indicating an intent to sell rather than hold. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Revival: What the Signs Say About Its Next Move Additionally, Binance’s taker buy-sell ratio has remained bearish for months, showing a consistent dominance of sell orders. Darkfost reveals that the shift in these metrics suggests that some investors may be locking in profits or reallocating capital elsewhere, leading to a more cautious market sentiment. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin (BTC) has shown notable recovery since this week began, climbing back above $100,000 and now trading at $104,430. This upward move represents a 4.9% daily gain and more than a 10% increase over the past week. Analysts have been examining this rally closely, noting that it mirrors patterns observed in past market cycles. Specifically, the role of market pullbacks—often seen as discouraging by short-term investors—has emerged as a critical factor behind Bitcoin’s long-term strength. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin’s Upward Cycle Back? Key Insights Into The Latest Recovery Bitcoin Larger Rally Ahead, Here’s Why According to datascope, a contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, Bitcoin’s most significant rallies have frequently originated in so-called “bear zones.” These are periods when the market dips sharply, and sentiment turns pessimistic. However, the analyst emphasizes that these pullbacks are more than just periods of loss; they are times when patient investors can position themselves for future gains. The current recovery, as the analyst explains, aligns with a historical pattern where Bitcoin tends to emerge stronger after periods of sharp declines. Datascope wrote in a post on the CryptoQuant QuickTkake platform: When we look at Bitcoin’s pullbacks, a fascinating pattern emerges! What happens in those red-marked zones? The market takes a dive into the “bear zone,” and it feels like all hope is lost. But this is exactly where the magic begins!. By examining past performance, datascope found that Bitcoin’s strongest upward moves have historically followed these bearish periods. Rather than panic-selling, holding steady during these moments has proven advantageous for those looking to capitalize on the eventual market rebound. According to the analyst, “these patterns highlight the importance of market psychology and the power of patience.” Datascope concluded by noting: The takeaway is simple: if you can read Bitcoin’s ups and downs, pullbacks don’t have to be scary—they can be opportunities. While red zones might initially seem discouraging, history proves that the rebounds from these levels are often far more impressive. Patience wins! Coinbase Premium Index Signals Bullish U.S. Sentiment Meanwhile, another reason why Bitcoin’s ongoing recovery could lead to a larger rally is the fact that Coinbase Premium Index (CPI), has returned to positive territory for the first time since early January. This metric reflects the difference between Bitcoin’s prices on Coinbase and other exchanges, often seen as a gauge of US investor sentiment. The recent move into positive territory suggests that American buyers are reclaiming market influence, potentially driving Bitcoin’s recent gains. Related Reading: Crypto Fear And Greed Index Barrels Toward Extreme Greed Again As Bitcoin Price Clears $101,000, Is This Good News? Burak Kesmeci, another contributor to CryptoQuant, observed that US investors are showing renewed interest in Bitcoin as the inauguration of the new administration approaches. Kesmeci noted that the positive CPI readings indicate a market dominated by buyers on both daily and hourly timeframes. This shift in sentiment comes as Bitcoin reclaims the $100,000 milestone and may signal a broader trend of optimism among US investors. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin (BTC) has seen a steady price recovery following the recent release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. It is now trading above $103,000. This marks an 8% gain over the past week, driven by growing interest from large investors and a shift in market dynamics. According to the latest insights from CryptoQuant Analysts, some underlying whale activity factors might be influencing Bitcoin’s current trajectory. Related Reading: Rising Bitcoin Prices Defy Exchange Inflows: What Investors Need to Know Bitcoin Price Rebounds Amid Growing Whale Activity CryptoQuant QuickTake Platform contributor Joao Wedson has recently highlighted a noteworthy trend in whale behavior on Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange. In a recent analysis, Wedson examined the Exchange Whale Ratio, which measures the share of Bitcoin’s largest inflow transactions relative to the total exchange volume. This metric, according to the analyst has now reached historical highs, signaling that large holders—often referred to as whales—are transferring significant amounts of Bitcoin to the exchange. The increased movement of Bitcoin by whales may indicate that they are preparing for substantial buy or sell actions, potentially amplifying market volatility. Wedson added: Stay alert! Intense movements by major players can bring volatility risks but also unique opportunities for those closely monitoring the market. Understanding New Whale Movements and Market Cycles In addition to whale activity on Binance, another CryptoQuant contributor, KriptoBaykusV2, provided insights into the emergence of new large investors in the market. According to KriptoBaykusV2, the “New Whales” indicator highlights the influx of previously inactive large investors acquiring Bitcoin. Over the past three years, this metric has grown steadily, suggesting heightened interest in the cryptocurrency market. However, the entry and exit of new whales often coincide with price swings, making it a key factor for understanding market cycles. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Target $145,000 To $249,000 Under Trump Administration: Report Historical data shows that peaks in new whale activity often align with periods of price volatility. For example, during 2021 and 2023, sharp increases in the number of new large investors were followed by significant price corrections. KriptoBaykusV2 wrote: Understanding whether the market is in a bull or bear phase is crucial for investors. Increases in the number of new whales often signal the start of bull markets, while the sharp corrections that follow these movements can indicate the onset of bear markets. This is especially evident from 2021 onwards, where these fluctuations are clearly visible Meanwhile, Bitcoin is currently trading at a price of $103,985, at the time of writing marking not only a 4.9% increase in the past day but also a nearly 10% surge in the past two weeks. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Toncoin (TON) has shown signs of recovery, trading above $5.5 after experiencing price declines in recent weeks. This rebound has not only boosted TON’s market capitalization by some millions but also brought investors to ponder on Toncoin’s potential for a sustained rally. Particularly, as the TON market stabilizes so far, questions about investor sentiment and market risk are coming to the forefront. Related Reading: Toncoin Could See A 65% Surge In The Next 43 Days—Here’s Why Is Now The Time To Buy TON A CryptoQuant Quicktake Platform contributor Darkfost recently analyzed Toncoin’s market behavior, focusing on the annualized realized volatility over a one-week period. This metric as shared by the analyst has dropped below the 0.25 threshold, offering insights into the prevailing investor sentiment and perceived market risk. While low volatility is often associated with reduced risk, it may also indicate waning market interest or growing investor caution. Notably, the decline in realized volatility is a significant development, as periods of low volatility have historically been followed by market reversals. Darkfost emphasized that reduced volatility often signals diminished investor interest, which can present both opportunities and challenges for traders. On the one hand, such periods may highlight reduced market risks, offering potential entry points for long-term investors. On the other hand, they require careful analysis, as low volatility alone cannot guarantee future price movements. Darkfost suggested that monitoring these low-volatility periods closely, alongside other indicators, is essential for making informed decisions. Additional evaluation of broader trends and corroborating signals is necessary to identify whether these zones represent genuine buying opportunities. Toncoin Market Performance And Outlook In recent weeks, TON’s price has shown little movement in either a bullish or bearish direction. Despite the broader crypto market experiencing a recent downturn, TON has managed to hold steady above the $5 mark, avoiding any significant drops below this level. Related Reading: Toncoin Signals Accumulation Phase as Open Interest Hits Nine-Month Low – What’s Next? Even as the broader crypto market now begins to recover, TON has struggled to break past the $5 threshold, indicating that it may be encountering resistance at this price point. At the time of writing, TON is trading at $5.22, reflecting a modest 0.5% increase over the past day. Interestingly, despite this encountered resistance above $5, TON appears to still be seeing significant movement behind the scenes. Just yesterday, the network registered over 100% in large transaction volume reaching nearly $8.5 billion Toncoin $TON surged 104% in large transaction volume over the past 24 hours, reaching $8.13 billion, driven by significant whale activity and $127 million in market-wide shorts liquidations. Currently trading at $5.39, TON’s spike aligns with a broader crypto market recovery… pic.twitter.com/7uLTLhz3h6 — ᵇᵉᵃᵗ (@beatbroker) January 15, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
According to CryptoQuant’s latest weekly report, Bitcoin (BTC) could target a price range between $145,000 and $249,000 in 2025. The report cites rising institutional capital inflows and favorable crypto regulations as key drivers of Bitcoin’s potential price appreciation. Bitcoin To Benefit From Increasing Institutional Flows Following a flash crash to $89,256 earlier this week, Bitcoin is now striving to reclaim the $100,000 price level. A recent report by CryptoQuant predicts that BTC could peak at $249,000 this year, supported by multiple favorable factors, including a pro-crypto stance from the Donald Trump administration in the US. Related Reading: Bitcoin Primed For A Major Rebound Following ‘Final Capitulation,’ Analyst Predicts The report suggests BTC will reach “at least” $145,000 in 2025, with the influx of fresh capital serving as the primary catalyst for this bullish momentum. Drawing from historical analysis of capital inflows during previous market cycles, the report estimates that $520 billion in new capital could enter Bitcoin markets this year. It states: In the context of a positive regulatory environment, accommodative monetary policy, and cyclical patterns, it is reasonable to expect capital will continue to flow into Bitcoin in 2025. The following chart illustrates Bitcoin’s realized market cap since 2015. For those unfamiliar, Bitcoin’s realized market capitalization represents the cumulative USD value of each BTC at the last point it moved on-chain. If the market follows historical patterns, then the $520 billion in fresh capital inflows to BTC could become a reality. This fresh capital injection could push BTC price to anywhere between $145,000 to $249,000, since the expansion in BTC’s realized capitalization has a more-than-proportional effect on the digital asset’s market value and price. The report highlights institutional investors – particularly addresses holding between 100 and 1,000 BTC – as the primary contributors to the market’s capital inflows. These addresses largely represent institutional-grade custodial services and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Notably, institutional participants increased their Bitcoin holdings by $127 billion in 2024, reflecting robust confidence in the cryptocurrency’s long-term potential. Additionally, the final year of Bitcoin’s four-year cycle is often associated with significant price surges for the asset. All Eyes On US Federal Reserve While many crypto analysts and market commentators maintain an optimistic outlook for Bitcoin in 2025, some express caution regarding the potential impact of the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) delayed interest rate cuts amid inflation concerns and subdued retail investor participation. Related Reading: Could Bitcoin Hit Its Peak In Summer 2025? Analysts Weigh In For instance, a recent report by 10x Research noted that delayed interest rate cuts by the Fed could dampen BTC’s bullish momentum. Further, data from CME FedWatch indicates a 97.3% probability that the Fed will leave the rates untouched during the Federal Open Market Committee meeting later this month. That said, asset manager Sygnum posits that BTC is likely to face demand shocks as more institutional investors embrace the emerging asset. At press time, BTC trades at $99,309, up 2.9% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
Binance Open Interest surged approximately $500 million just two hours after the CPI results “brought smiles to the faces of crypto investors,” says an analyst.
Bitcoin (BTC) has rebounded to trade above $99,000 following its significant dip earlier this week. While the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) news appears to have contributed to this quick recovery, it has also drawn attention from analysts, who are closely monitoring key metrics to understand the market’s next move. A CryptoQuant contributor known as Crypto Dan recently provided insights into Bitcoin’s current market behavior. Highlighting the Short-Term Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), Dan observed that the metric has shown a recurring pattern during correction phases. This pattern, he noted, typically dampens market optimism before a subsequent rebound. Despite the recent correction, signs point to the potential resumption of an upward cycle in the near future. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sharp Rebound Above $95K: Stop Hunting or Trend Reversal? Short-Term SOPR Analysis And What It Currently Suggests For BTC The SOPR metric measures the profitability of spent outputs relative to their realized value, providing insights into market participants’ behavior during price corrections. According to Crypto Dan, during corrections, the SOPR oscillates between red and green zones. The red zone signals increased profit-taking, often driven by whale activity, which can extend correction periods. Conversely, the green zone indicates reduced selling pressure, setting the stage for potential rebounds. Dan reveals that the SOPR currently shows a smaller volume of profit-taking compared to previous correction periods, such as the seven-month correction earlier in the year. This trend suggests that the recent correction, which has lasted over a month, may be shorter in duration. Dan speculates that Bitcoin could resume its upward trend within the first quarter of 2025. However, he cautioned that short-term volatility remains a risk, with the possibility of further sharp drops before a sustained reversal. The analyst wrote: However, in the short term, there may still be one or two sharp drops that push SOPR below the yellow dotted line, potentially crushing market participants’ hope for a rally before the market reverses upward. As such, aggressive short-term trades should be approached with caution. Bitcoin Market Performance And Outlook Meanwhile, Bitcoin appears to now be making its way back above the $100,000 mark as the asset currently trades at a price of $99,494, at the time of writing marking a 2.7% increase in the past day. This increase in Bitcoin’s price aside from being attributed to the underlying positive metrics on the BTC network can also be linked to the latest update on the US CPI. According to the latest reports, the US CPI rose by 0.4% in December—this news has resulted in the US Dollar seeing a notable plunge while other financial assets saw the opposite trend recording an uptick. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin (BTC) witnessed a sharp decline below $90,000 yesterday, sparking concerns about its near-term stability. However, the cryptocurrency has since rebounded, trading back above $96,000 at the time of writing. This rapid recovery has drawn the attention of market analysts who are examining the underlying trends driving Bitcoin’s price movements. Related Reading: Rebound Alert: US Bitcoin ETF Interest Picks Up Speed In 2025 Is Bitcoin’s Surge Above $96k A Stop Hunt? A CryptoQuant contributor, Mignolet, shared an analysis highlighting the recent price dynamics. According to the analyst, the recent drop in BTC to $89,000 and the current recovery was triggered by the breaking of a key short-term support level. Mignolet revealed that this pattern, referred to as “stop hunting,” occurs when price movements break support levels temporarily before recovering. Despite the recovery, Mignolet emphasizes that a true trend reversal would require stronger involvement from key market participants. Mignolet’s analysis points to significant selling activity among whale entities, as observed in Coinbase Premium Gap (CPG) data. Typically, buying whales step in to absorb such dips, creating notable market volatility. However, this time, such activity was absent, raising questions about the sustainability of the ongoing rebound. Additionally, Binance’s market-buy ratio data suggests that large-scale buyers on the exchange have not capitalized on the recent price movement, indicating cautious sentiment among key players. Further evidence disclosed by Mignolet comes from the exchange-traded fund (ETF) daily inflow and outflow data, which is yet to confirm any major shifts in market dynamics. While the daily candle pattern suggests a meaningful move, the lack of participation from whales could limit Bitcoin’s ability to sustain a long-term reversal. Mignolet also warned that market sentiment might shift too quickly to optimism without clear supporting data. The analyst noted: While the candle pattern signifies a meaningful move, the major players are not capitalizing on the opportunity. What concerns me more is that many people’s sentiment may quickly shift to a sense of relief too soon. Bitcoin Market Performance After seeing a notable plunge in price yesterday dropping below $90,000 and triggering a total liquidation of over $300 million in the crypto market, Bitcoin is finally seeing a noticeable reversal in its bearish trend. Particularly, over the past day, Bitcoin has increased by 5.6% bringing its price to trade at $96,351, at the time of writing. However, despite this increase, the asset is still roughly a 10.8% decrease away from its peak above $108,000 recorded last month. While Mignolet’s analysis suggested that Bitcoin bearishness might not be over yet, it is worth noting that the asset’s current recovery coincides with reduced selling activity from long-term holders. Related Reading: Could Bitcoin Hit Its Peak In Summer 2025? Analysts Weigh In In a separate analysis, CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost revealed that the net position change of long-term holders (LTHs) over the past 30 days remains negative but shows signs of improvement. From a low of -827,000 BTC on December 5, the figure has improved to -246,000 BTC. This reduction in selling pressure suggests that LTHs are less inclined to sell at current price levels as Bitcoin’s price declines. However, Darkfost noted that for bullish momentum to regain strength, LTHs would need to shift toward accumulation rather than reducing sales. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Heightened bearish conditions within the market have hindered Bitcoin‘s upward momentum, causing the digital asset to drop below the $90,000 price level. Despite the persistent volatility in the past few days, retail activity has shown a remarkable performance, reflecting growing optimism among these investors. A Rapid Increase In Bitcoin’s STH Realized Cap Recent reports from […]
Despite broader bearish trends in the cryptocurrency market, Tron (TRX) has demonstrated resilience with notable growth in key metrics. Recent analysis from CryptoQuant contributors sheds light on Tron’s expanding ecosystem and revenue surge, presenting a compelling case for its role in blockchain technology’s ongoing evolution. One major highlight is the substantial increase in Tron’s daily on-chain revenue. According to the data shared by the analyst, Crazzyblockk, this rise has been driven by the network’s enhanced gas fee revenue and higher transaction volumes. Additionally, Tron’s price movement appears to be now becoming interesting as it approaches critical support and resistance levels, which could dictate its near-term trajectory. Related Reading: TRON Reclaims Its Crown With 43% Dominance In Altcoin Transactions Daily Revenue Growth Reflects Network Utility Tron’s daily on-chain revenue has grown by 119% since January 1, 2024, a metric closely tied to rising gas usage and increased transaction activity on its blockchain, according to CryptoQuant analyst Crazzyblockk. This surge as disclosed by the analyst highlights Tron’s scalability in “processing high transaction volumes” while maintaining “cost efficiency.” The revenue growth also highlights the network’s expanding adoption within the decentralized finance (DeFi) and smart contract ecosystems. The network’s ability to generate substantial gas fee revenue serves as a benchmark for blockchain performance, with Tron’s figures signaling growing user engagement and utility. The analyst wrote: The year-to-date revenue expansion signals increasing user demand and network utility, further solidifying Tron’s position as a leading blockchain for high-speed, low-cost operations. Crazzyblockk also suggests that this trend reflects the network’s economic viability and its strengthening position among blockchains optimized for high-speed and low-cost operations. Additionally, this development is especially significant as blockchain networks compete to attract developers and investors with notable decentralized applications. The analyst concluded by noting: With this explosive momentum in daily revenue, Tron is setting a new standard for blockchain economic models. Investors, developers, and users alike should keep a close watch as this trend continues to reshape decentralized finance and smart contract adoption. Tron Approaches Key Level Meanwhile, from a technical perspective, Tron has reached a critical level near its 1-Year Moving Average (MA) plus two standard deviations, at approximately $0.25. Darkfost another CryptoQuant analyst warned that failing to hold this level could result in a decline to its 1-Year MA support of around $0.15. However, the analyst highlighted Tron’s ecosystem growth offers optimism for long-term investors. Related Reading: TRON Founder Justin Sun Expected to Meet Trump as Potential Web3 Advisor The network has seen notable activity, including a sharp increase in the USDT volume on its blockchain, which rose from $8 billion in early 2023 to $27 billion by late 2024. This growth points to strong adoption and an influx of capital into the Tron network. Additionally, metrics like the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicate that TRX was recently oversold, a condition that in the past has often preceded bullish momentum. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin market performance has faced a challenging start to the year, marked by a lesser upsurge and more bearish sentiment. Amid these fluctuations, insights from CryptoQuant analyst Avocado Onchain shed light on the current state of Bitcoin’s price movements and the factors influencing them. In a post titled “Bitcoin Price Correction: Short-Term Volatility Amid Long-Term Bullish Outlook,” Avocado analyzed key on-chain metrics, highlighting trends that may define Bitcoin’s immediate and future trajectory. Related Reading: Crypto Liquidations Near $690 Million As Bitcoin, Ethereum Crash On-Chain Metrics Hint At Bitcoin’s Next Move The analyst pointed out that the ongoing decline in Bitcoin’s price has been fueled by several factors, including uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve rate adjustments, cautious market behavior ahead of political transitions, and concerns over state-held Bitcoin sales, which historically emerge during correction periods. These elements have combined to push market sentiment toward bearish territory. However, Avocado emphasized that the short-term outlook does not necessarily overshadow Bitcoin’s long-term potential for recovery and growth. Avocado’s analysis utilized on-chain data to assess the possibility of additional price corrections. One of the primary indicators examined was the Taker Buy/Sell Ratio (30-day moving average), which revealed a dominance of sell-side activity. Following Bitcoin’s price surge in March 2024 and its recent all-time high, this ratio trended downward, signaling an overheated market. This pattern historically precedes periods of price decline, indicating potential for further corrections. Another metric, the Short-Term Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), which measures short-term investors’ profitability, has dropped below 1. This indicates that many short-term holders are selling at a loss, a behavior that has been observed during prior correction phases. Similarly, the Funding Rates (30-day moving average), a measure of market sentiment among leveraged traders, is trending downward. Negative funding rates often precede a bearish market shift but can also pave the way for eventual recovery once sentiment stabilizes. Avocado wrote: While this analysis focuses on short-term price movements, Bitcoin is likely to rebound in the long run and resume its upward trend after completing the correction phase. Investors should remain strategic, avoid reacting to short-term noise, and focus on the broader bullish trajectory. Related Reading: Bitcoin Is Forming A Symmetrical Triangle – Breakout Or Breakdown? Bitcoin Market Performance Meanwhile, Bitcoin has continued to demonstrate bearish movements especially with its price now trading for $92,317, at the time of writing down by 3.3% in the past day. One of the major factors that have contributed to the ongoing bearish sentiment in the Bitcoin market appears to be the resurfacing of the US government wanting to sell the seized BTC from Silk Road which now amounts to roughly $6.5 billion. The US Govt has been given the greenlight to liquidate 69,000 BTC ($6.5B) from Silk Road, an official confirmed to DB News today Interesting situation less than 2 weeks away from the new admin who vowed to not sell https://t.co/HqD1KnhJK3 pic.twitter.com/xn8ATSEL7H — db (@tier10k) January 9, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin journey in the new year continues to demonstrate less upward momentum, with its price recently dropping below the $95,000 price mark. Amid this movement, the market seems to be witnessing a notable trend among miners as they grapple with the effects of rising values and selling pressure. Insights from XBTManager, a CryptoQuant contributor, shed light on the challenges facing Bitcoin miners and the broader implications for the cryptocurrency market. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Rally In Q1 2025 Driven By US Fed’s Money Printing, Predicts Arthur Hayes Miners Feel the Pressure As Bitcoin Remains Below $100K In a post titled “The Strong Remain, the Weak Exit the Market,” XBTManager highlighted that Bitcoin’s appreciation has placed miners in a “precarious” position. The recent price surge above $100,000 initially brought substantial gains for miners, but subsequent corrections have intensified selling activity. According to the analysis, miners have entered a state where their positions are “extremely underpaid,” leading to significant financial strain. XBTManager wrote: Following a sharp pullback in Bitcoin’s price, it entered a correction phase and rose again to the 102k levels, only to trigger another wave of heavy selling. As Bitcoin climbed to 102k, miner positions, which were in a “fairly paid” state, transitioned to an “extremely underpaid” state as selling pressure intensified at that level. Notably, as weaker miners exit the market, those with greater resilience are expected to persist, potentially opening opportunities for investors. XBTManager’s outlook suggests that assuming the current bull market remains intact, the ongoing challenges for miners could present favorable conditions for strategic buying. MVRV Indicator Hints At Bitcoin’s Continued Growth Potential Another CryptoQuant contributor, CryptoOnchain, offered an additional perspective on Bitcoin’s market cycle. Analyzing the 100-day MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio, CryptoOnchain argued that Bitcoin has “yet to reach its peak” for this cycle. Historical data shows that the MVRV ratio reached a value of 3 during the market tops in the last two cycles. At present, this ratio stands at 2.14, indicating potential for further upward movement. 100-day moving average of MVRV: Bitcoin has not yet reached the top price of this cycle “MVRV metric reached the value of 3 at the market tops in the past two cycles, whereas it currently stands at 2.14… it can be said that Bitcoin is preparing to move towards the top price of… pic.twitter.com/YlNLQwgE3w — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) January 9, 2025 The MVRV metric, which helps identify market tops and bottoms, signals that Bitcoin may be preparing for another price surge in the coming months. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces Mixed Signals: Institutional Investors Accumulate Amid Retail Weakness If the pattern from previous cycles holds true, Bitcoin could be on track to approach a new peak before the current cycle concludes. CryptoOnchain particularly concluded by noting: Based on this, it can be said that Bitcoin is preparing to move towards the top price of this cycle, which is likely to occur in the coming months. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingvIEW
Recent declines in Bitcoin’s price have been followed by negative sentiment across several on-chain metrics that are crucial in determining its next trajectory. With key metrics witnessing a decrease, there are speculations that the flagship asset might see an extended drop in its price. Market Sentiment Shifting As Bitcoin Funding Rates Drops As the market […]
Bitcoin has experienced notable price volatility since the start of the year, with its performance showing mixed signals. Institutional investors, however, appear to have maintained their confidence in the asset despite recent market corrections. According to a recent analysis shared by CryptoQuant contributor caueconomy on the QuickTake platform, institutional players have been strategically accumulating Bitcoin, suggesting long-term confidence in the asset’s value trajectory. Related Reading: Bitcoin Is Forming A Symmetrical Triangle – Breakout Or Breakdown? Bitcoin Institutional Accumulation Signals Market Confidence caueconomy revealed that on December 21, investors sold approximately 79,000 BTC within a week, triggering a significant market correction of around 15%. This sell-off marked a local top and was followed by a phase of price consolidation. However, instead of exiting the market, large investors utilized the price dip to open Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP) positions, gradually accumulating Bitcoin just below the $95,000 mark. Over the past 30 days, institutional players have added more than 34,000 BTC to their portfolios, creating a layer of buying pressure that supports Bitcoin’s current recovery phase. Interestingly, the analyst pointed out that this trend has been consistent since June 2023, even during periods of rebalancing in institutional portfolios. While retail investor demand has hit a five-year low, institutional interest remains notably strong, indicating a divergence in market behavior between retail and institutional participants. This sustained accumulation suggests that large investors anticipate long-term value Increased Selling Pressure On Binance Sparks Market Concern While institutional accumulation has provided some support for Bitcoin’s price, another CryptoQuant contributor, Darkfost, highlighted growing selling pressure on Binance, one of the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchanges. In a separate analysis, Darkfost noted a sharp increase in hourly Net Taker Volume, which turned significantly negative, peaking at -$325 million — the highest figure recorded in 2025. This surge in selling pressure coincided with the release of unfavorable economic data from the ISM PMI and JOLTs Job Openings reports, which affected broader market sentiment across risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Related Reading: Bitcoin Signal That Took Price From $69,000 To $108,000 Appears Again The data triggered a wave of sell orders, causing Bitcoin’s price to face additional downward pressure. Darksfost suggested, noting: Monitoring this indicator, along with others, will be essential to determine whether fear is starting to dominate the markets over the long term or if it is merely temporary. Despite this intensified selling activity, Bitcoin has managed to maintain support above the $95,000 level. At the time of writing, the cryptocurrency is trading at $95,586, reflecting a 5.2% decline over the past 24 hours. The price remains significantly below Bitcoin’s all-time high of $108,000, recorded last month, marking an 11.8% drop from its peak. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
The cryptocurrency market has shown heightened activity in early 2025, with Toncoin (TON) emerging as one of the spotlighted assets following an analysis shared by a CryptoQuant analyst, Burak Kesmeci. According to recent data, the 90-day percent return metric for TON indicates the early stages of an uptrend, raising expectations of a sustained rally in the coming weeks. This trend has been observed historically, with similar metrics signaling substantial gains in past bull cycles. Related Reading: Toncoin Price Recovery Continues — Is The Dwindling Staking TVL Ratio Bullish? Historical Data Suggests Strong Price Potential Kesmeci disclosed that historical analysis reveals that TON has previously demonstrated notable performance following reversals in the 90-day percent return metric. For example, in August 2023, TON rose from $1.72, delivering a 65% gain over 70 days. Similarly, in February 2024, the asset surged by 258% in just 43 days after a similar metric reversal. The most recent example, recorded in November 2024, saw TON climb 32% within 11 days. These instances suggest that when the 90-day percent return metric crosses into positive territory, it often serves as a precursor to significant upward price movement. The current trend, which began just seven days ago, has sparked optimism among investors who are considering short-term accumulation strategies. Kesmeci reveals that if historical trends persist, TON could experience a median gain of 65% over the next 43 days. The analyst wrote: Currently, we observe that the “90-day percent return” metric for TON has entered a bull trend for the fourth time. It has been only 7 days since this reversal. Based on previous data: Expected duration: 43 days (median value) Potential percentage return: 65% (median value) These insights suggest that TON is likely to continue its upward trend in the short term. However, it is worth noting that market conditions and external factors, such as overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency sector, could influence the trajectory of this trend. Toncoin Market Performance Since the year began, Toncoin has been unable to make a significant movement towards the upside. Instead, the altcoin has continued to face consistent decline. Over the past two weeks, TON has now plunged by a double-digit performance of nearly 12%. This has brought the asset’s price to currently trade below $6 as of today marking a 7.5% decline in the past 24 hours. Interestingly, despite the consistent decline from TON in recent weeks, the asset’s daily trading volume has seen an opposite trend. Related Reading: Toncoin Consolidates: Could A Breakout Push TON Higher? Particularly, in the past 7 days, TON’s daily trading volume has moved from $200 million last Wednesday to now sitting at roughly 344 million as of today. Given the current trend in TON’s price, it is worth noting that this increase in TON’s trading volume might be from the continuous selling pressure in the TON market. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
The rapid advancements in quantum computing which sparked growing concerns within the cryptocurrency sector late last year, particularly regarding Bitcoin’s long-term resilience seem to have once again resurfaced. CryptoQuant, an on-chain data analytics platform, recently highlighted these risks in a series of posts on X titled “Quantum Computing is a Growing Risk for Bitcoin”. The discussion […]
Bitcoin (BTC) has seen bullish but unsteady price action in early 2025, with recent data highlighting shifting sentiment among US investors. After briefly crossing the $102,000 mark yesterday, the asset has struggled to maintain upward momentum, shedding most of its recent gains as it stands at just below $100,000. These developments coincide with critical insights from key on-chain metrics that offer a clearer view of Bitcoin’s short-term trajectory. Related Reading: Bitcoin Forms First Daily Death Cross On Dominance Chart In 4 Years, What To Expect Next Bitcoin’s Price Struggles Despite Positive Coinbase Premium Index Signal A CryptoQuant analyst known as Burak Kesmeci recently shared insights on the Coinbase Premium Index (CPI), which turned positive for the first time in 2025. The CPI measures the price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase and other global exchanges, serving as a crucial indicator of US investor sentiment. 3 days ago, Coinbase Premium Index crossed SMA14 for the 1st time in 26 days—Bitcoin is now up 4% to $102K. In Nov 2024, a similar move saw Bitcoin rally from $69K to $108K. U.S. buyers could be back in action. pic.twitter.com/XtAlHUzzvv — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) January 6, 2025 Alongside this positive shift, a notable 4,012 BTC outflow from Coinbase was recorded, signaling renewed buying interest among US-based investors. Historically, such patterns have been associated with a rise in buying pressure, often laying the groundwork for potential price surges. Despite these positive signals, Bitcoin’s price performance remains restrained. After briefly surpassing $102,000 on December 6, Bitcoin retreated and now trades below $100,000, reflecting a modest 3.3% decrease over the past 24 hours. This price mark from the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization puts it at approximately 8.9% below its all-time high of $108,135, achieved in December 2024. Bitcoin Faces Key Resistance Levels Notably, the current price action from BTC suggests that while buying pressure exists, it may not yet be sufficient to trigger another strong rally. According to cryptocurrency analyst Ali, Bitcoin maintains a critical support zone between $95,400 and $98,400, where over 1.77 million addresses collectively hold 1.53 million BTC. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Miner Sentiment Signals: Are We Nearing a Market Rebound? This support zone remains essential for stabilizing Bitcoin’s price amid market uncertainty. Conversely, resistance appears limited, with only 107,000 BTC supply positioned between $104,700 and $105,770. This relatively thin resistance could pave the way for upward movement if buying pressure intensifies. #Bitcoin sits well above an important support zone between $95,400 and $98,400, where 1.77 million addresses bought over 1.53 million $BTC. However, there isn’t significant resistance ahead, only a minimal supply wall of 107,000 #BTC between $104,700 and $105,770. pic.twitter.com/MEATFegTV2 — Ali (@ali_charts) January 7, 2025 Meanwhile, zooming out, analysts remain bullish overall on Bitcoin. Captain Faibik for instance has recently shared his outlook on BTC suggesting that the asset is still poised for a rally to $112,000. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView