Bitcoin has shown a significant recovery, reclaiming the $100,000 milestone yesterday. It trades at $101,805, marking a 1.4% increase over the past 24 hours. Amid this price performance, analysts have closely examined various metrics to gauge potential market movements, including identifying optimal cash-out moments. Meanwhile, recent data reveals intriguing patterns that could guide investor strategies. When Should You Cash Out Your Bitcoin? One key insight shared by a CryptoQuant analyst, Onchain Edge, highlights a critical signal for when investors should consider reducing their Bitcoin holdings. Other metrics suggest a resurgence in buyer activity, reinforcing optimism in Bitcoin’s ongoing rally. Onchain Edge emphasizes the importance of the BTC supply loss percentage as a marker for peak market phases. He notes that when this metric drops below 4%, it could signify the culmination of a bull market and the beginning of an overheated market phase. Currently, the current supply loss percentage stands at 8.14%, providing room for further price growth before a potential peak. The analyst warns, however, that failing to act at the right time during such peak phases could lead to substantial losses in a subsequent bear market. Elaborating on his analysis, Onchain Edge encourages investors to consider dollar-cost averaging (DCA) out of their positions once the supply loss percentage breaches the 4% threshold. It is worth noting that this strategy by Edge could help mitigate the risk of holding through the transition into a bear market. Historically, peak bull run phases are characterized by significant profits among market participants, often followed by sharp corrections. Investors can protect their gains by exiting strategically while preparing for lower entry points during future market downturns. BTC Buyer Activity Resurges Meanwhile, in a separate analysis, another CryptoQuant analyst known as Crazzyblockk sheds light on the behavior of takers on Binance, one of the largest cryptocurrency exchanges. Data from the Taker Buy/Sell Ratio shows a shift toward aggressive buying activity. This metric, which compares the volume of buy orders filled by takers to sell orders, had experienced a period of negative monthly values, indicating a preference for selling among market participants. However, the ratio has recently turned positive, signifying renewed interest from buyers. This trend suggests reduced selling pressure and growing optimism among traders about Bitcoin’s potential price increase. According to Crazzyblockk, sustaining this momentum is critical for maintaining the bullish trajectory, particularly as Bitcoin consolidates around the psychologically significant $100,000 level. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Ethereum, the second-largest crypto by market capitalization, has recently demonstrated strong bullish momentum, breaching above $4,000. It is worth noting that its price rally has been accompanied by a significant spike in its funding rates, a critical metric reflecting sentiment in the futures market. The metric, analyzed by CryptoQuant analyst ShayanBTC, has reached levels not seen since January 2024. This surge in funding rates suggests a growing optimism among traders, with many anticipating the possibility of Ethereum reaching new all-time highs. Related Reading: Large Ethereum Transactions Grow As ETH Breaks Yearly Highs But Is A Correction On The Horizon? Despite this enthusiasm, the market’s current state raises questions about sustainability. Historically, such spikes in funding rates have often preceded short-term corrections, stabilizing the market. According to Shayan, the current situation mirrors January 2024, when Ethereum saw an 88% rally following similar market conditions. The analyst suggests that while the current rally may pave the way for further gains, a pullback could be essential for healthier long-term growth. Funding rates serve as a barometer for market sentiment, particularly in the futures market. A positive funding rate indicates a preference for long positions, with traders expecting higher prices. Ethereum Funding Rates Hit Multi-Month High “Funding rates are at levels last seen in January 2024, when Ethereum rallied by 88%. This reflects increased long-position interest as optimism grows. Similar to January, this sharp increase suggests the likelihood of a pullback.” –… pic.twitter.com/euKGhIqNKO — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) December 9, 2024 As Ethereum’s funding rates hit multi-month highs, this trend signals a surge in bullish sentiment. However, history shows such sharp increases can create short-term market imbalances, leading to corrections. Shayan noted: While Ethereum’s rally is underpinned by bullish sentiment, the spike in funding rates signals the need for a short-term correction, paving the way for healthier and more sustainable price growth. Ethereum Market Performance Ethereum remains below the $4,000 mark after falling below this level last week. Currently, ETH is trading at $3,819, reflecting a 4.9% decline in the past 24 hours. Despite the recent drop, the asset has gained nearly 30% over the past month. However, ETH’s latest dip further distances it from its all-time high of $4,878 in 2021, leaving it 20.5% below that peak. Related Reading: Ethereum Active Addresses Surge By 36% In Support Of Bullish Price Action – Details Nevertheless, market analysts maintain a bullish outlook on Ethereum, with many projecting potential new highs for the asset shortly. $ETH Hello everyone, I felt the need to share a detailed #ETHUSDT analysis with you. I hope you find it helpful. First and foremost, despite the recent rise in $BTC, Ethereum and altcoins have not yet responded as expected. Therefore, I encourage those who are worried to remain… pic.twitter.com/XsB2HroNnG — Talha Batuhan Ayna (@TBatuhanAyna) December 9, 2024 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Excitement and speculations about a notable price spike for Bitcoin, the largest digital asset following its recent ascent to the $100,000 level, are emerging rapidly within the crypto community, with crypto enthusiasts pointing to new all-time highs in the upcoming weeks. Next Leap For Bitcoin From The $100,000 Mark In light of renewed market upside momentum, […]
A crypto analyst says Bitcoin is in a state of “musical chairs” right now and warns that traders should be “prepared when the music stops.”
The price of Bitcoin (BTC) has dipped by 1.66% in the last day after failing to break past $102,000 on Friday. Currently, the crypto market leader seems to be in consolidation, with little indication of its next price movement. However, recent whale activity has pointed to a continuous bullish trajectory. Related Reading: Bitcoin ETFs Surpass […]
The year 2024 will be one for the history books for the cryptocurrency industry and, especially, for Bitcoin. After kickstarting the year with the approval of spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), it didn’t take long before the premier cryptocurrency rode on the back of fresh institutional capital to a new all-time high. This has pretty much […]
The role of Bitcoin long-term holders (LTHs) has again come under the microscope of analysts as the asset currently faces a 4.5% correction from its all-time high (ATH) above $100,000 created on Thursday. These holders, defined as those who retain their Bitcoin for over 155 days, are known to influence market movements through their accumulation and distribution behaviors significantly. A recent analysis by CryptoQuant analyst Datascope has highlighted key trends in LTH activity that could signal the next phase for Bitcoin. Related Reading: Hut 8 Unveils $750 Million Initiative To Establish Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Key Trends And Historical Context Datascope’s insights highlight the importance of the LTH accumulation/distribution ratio as an on-chain metric. This ratio reflects whether LTHs are amassing Bitcoin, indicative of market bottoms, or liquidating holdings during price peaks, often signaling corrections. Historical patterns from 2013 and 2017 saw LTHs engaging in substantial selling at market highs, while periods like 2019 and 2020 were marked by intense accumulation, paving the way for bull markets. According to datascope’s analysis, the peaks of 2013 and 2017, which were characterized by heightened selling activity from LTHs, correlated with significant price corrections. These corrections, fueled by profit-taking, marked the culmination of bullish cycles. Conversely, during the lows of 2019 and 2020, LTHs exhibited strong accumulation tendencies, which signalled confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term potential and laying the groundwork for subsequent price surges. Now in 2024, datascope pointed out that the LTH metric is once again providing critical insights into market conditions. Recent data reveals increased selling activity among LTHs, a behaviour observed during periods of market overheating or resistance at current price levels. While this trend could hint at an impending correction, it also raises the possibility of the market transitioning into a new accumulation phase. Echoing this, a recent report from CryptoQuant reveals there has been sustained buying pressure from US investors. Bitcoin passes $100k as institutional demand drives the market. The Coinbase Premium Index highlights sustained buying pressure from U.S. investors. pic.twitter.com/eZvKFCmVxs — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) December 5, 2024 Current Outlook On Bitcoin Bitcoin has continued to see decline in its price following the $103,679 ATH recorded yesterday. At the time of writing, BTC has dropped 2.2% in the past 24 hours with a current trading price of $99,208. Regardless of this, the asset appears to still be in an uptrend. over the past month, Bitcoin is still up by roughly 33.6% with a current market capitalisation of $1.965 trillion. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin’s $100K Just the Beginning? Key Insights from Supply Distribution Data datascope commenting on Bitcoin’s current market outlook wrote: The market is at a crossroads, potentially entering a new upward cycle or consolidating before a deeper correction. With Bitcoin in an “overheated” zone, investors should exercise caution and evaluate profit-taking opportunities. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Investors and traders are engaging with Bitcoin following its remarkable price growth in the past few weeks, cementing its position as the leading digital asset in the crypto market. However, reports show that this robust optimism is spotted mainly among BTC’s short-term investors. Bullish Sentiment Shifts Toward Bitcoin’s Short-Term Holders In a sudden turn of […]
Bitcoin has achieved a major milestone, trading at six-figure levels for the first time since its inception. On Thursday, the cryptocurrency reached a new all-time high of $103,679, marking a year-to-date surge of over 140% and pushing its market capitalization above $2 trillion. This achievement has reignited enthusiasm within the investor community, solidifying Bitcoin’s position as a key player in the global financial market. Despite this impressive feat, Bitcoin has experienced a slight retracement. At the time of writing, it trades at $101,573, still up by 6% in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Retail Demand Surges for Bitcoin: The Journey Towards $100K and Beyond Begins? What Comes Next? Market intelligence platform IntoTheBlock weighed in on this development, offering insights into Bitcoin’s potential trajectory. The platform’s analysts highlighted that Bitcoin’s capped supply and growing interest from institutional investors and even countries create significant upward potential. Bitcoin breaks $100.000! A major milestone, but what’s next? With a limited supply and substantial interest from large investors (and even countries), the potential seems limitless. However, we recommend taking a look at prior cycles to evaluate potential. This chart shows… pic.twitter.com/5b60oTRJy3 — IntoTheBlock (@intotheblock) December 5, 2024 However, past cycles suggest diminishing returns, with historical post-halving cycles showing returns of 7,900% in 2013, 2,560% in 2017, and 594% in 2021. Based on these trends, IntoTheBlock expect a more conservative growth range of 100%-200% from the halving price, suggesting a peak between $130,000 and $190,000. IntoTheBlock analysts particularly wrote: So while some are calling for a million dollars per Bitcoin, a more reasonable expectation would be a 100%-200% return from the halving price, placing the top between 130k and 190k. However the analysts also pointed out: “That is, unless Bitcoin becomes a global reserve asset of course.” Analyzing Market Trends and Investor Behaviour Meanwhile, a CryptoQuant analyst has provided additional insights into Bitcoin’s recent performance and market behaviour. According to the analyst, Bitcoin purchases continue to rise, with the Coinbase Premium Index reflecting strong buying activity in the United States. The index, which tracks the difference in price between Coinbase Pro and Binance, shows sustained positive data, indicating active participation by US investors. The analyst emphasized the importance of monitoring this index alongside broader trend analysis. For example, during periods classified as “fear phases,” where buyers retreat and bearish momentum fails to materialize, the market often creates opportunities for strategic entry points. Related Reading: $1.87B Bitcoin Withdrawals From Coinbase In 24H – What This Means To Price If the index remains in the positive zone, it signals a continuation of the uptrend, making pullbacks an optimal time for positioning. Until Bitcoin reaches what the analyst describes as the “excess phase,” buying positions should be held, while profitable positions should be secured to mitigate risk. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has reached a landmark moment in its history earlier today, crossing the $100,000 price mark for the first time and cementing its position once again as the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. As it stands, BTC all-time high is at roughly $103,679. This significant achievement has prompted a detailed analysis of its supply distribution, offering valuable insights into the behavior of long-term and short-term holders and the broader implications for the Bitcoin market. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Silent Whales: Rising Exchange Inflows Hint at Market’s Next Big Move Supply Distribution and Market Behaviour Amid the excitement of Bitcoin’s new all-time high, an analysis from CryptoQuant’s analyst, Crazzyblockk, sheds light on how this milestone impacts the cryptocurrency’s realized cap and the broader market structure. While the milestone reflects growing global adoption and investment confidence, it also raises questions about the potential trajectory of the market. According to the analysis, Bitcoin’s supply is currently divided between two key groups of holders: long-term holders (LTHs) and short-term holders (STHs). CryptoQuant data reveals that out of Bitcoin’s total supply, over 14.5 million BTC are held by LTHs, while nearly 5 million BTC are in the hands of STHs. Despite the price surge, only 52% of Bitcoin’s realized cap is attributed to STHs, a stark contrast to previous market peaks where this figure typically exceeded 80%. Historically, Bitcoin’s realized cap trends reveal distinct behaviors during market cycles. During bear market phases, most realized cap shifts towards LTHs as accumulation intensifies, signaling the end of the bearish trend. Conversely, during bull market peaks, the realized cap tends to be dominated by STHs, driven by speculative trading and short-term profits. However, the current distribution shows a higher concentration among LTHs, indicating a deviation from traditional market patterns. Implications for Bitcoin’s Market Momentum According to the CryptoQuant analyst, the relatively low realized cap held by STHs in the current market cycle suggests reduced selling pressure, which may support sustained price growth. The analyst revealed that with a significant proportion of Bitcoin held by LTHs, market confidence appears strong, potentially providing a buffer against abrupt price corrections. This stability is crucial as it reflects long-term investor trust and reduces the likelihood of speculative volatility. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Next Move? Coinbase Premium Suggests a Short-Term Rally May Be Brewing In addition, the analysis also highlights that this supply distribution aligns with a long-term bullish outlook for Bitcoin. The reduced participation of STHs in the realized cap indicates room for further upward movement as more capital may enter the market without triggering a significant sell-off. The analyst wrote: In conclusion, Bitcoin reaching $100,000 is a historic achievement, but the current supply dynamics suggest the potential for further upward movement, given the stability provided by LTHs and the relatively low participation of STHs in the realized cap. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
The cryptocurrency exchange market appears to have undergone a transformative shift in 2024, driven largely by a significant uptick in institutional activity. According to insights shared by CryptoQuant on its QuickTake platform, major exchanges are witnessing unprecedented growth in Bitcoin and USDT deposits. This trend highlights the increasing confidence of institutional investors in digital assets, […]
Bitcoin has experienced notable whale activity since the conclusion of the US election on November 5, with an increase in the volume of Bitcoin transferred to exchanges by active whale addresses. However, contrary to what one might expect, there hasn’t been a significant surge in profit-taking activity among these large holders, a CryptoQuant analyst named onatt revealed in a recent post on the QuickTake platform. Related Reading: Bitcoin to Enter Final Bull Phase? Key Indicator Hints at Major Price Movement Whale Activity Suggests Market Stability but Signals Potential Risks The report by CryptoQuant analyst Onatt sheds light on this whale activity, emphasizing the lack of immediate selling pressure despite the increase in Bitcoin inflows to exchanges. Instead of liquidating their holdings, whales appear to be employing a “wait-and-see strategy,” the analyst wrote. They seem to utilize their Bitcoin for purposes like hedging, over-the-counter (OTC) transactions, or collateral. Although this approach points to market stability, onatt advised that “these movements should be closely monitored to anticipate any possible market impact.” Providing more details of this development, Onatt’s analysis reveals that the Adjusted Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) metric, which tracks profit-taking activities, does not yet signal significant movements. Historically, large inflows of Bitcoin into exchanges have often been associated with increased selling pressure, but the current scenario deviates from this trend. Instead, these movements may reflect strategic maneuvers by whales as they prepare for potential market shifts. Onatt also noted that while the immediate risk of sell-offs appears low, the ongoing rise in Bitcoin exchange inflows could foreshadow future volatility. Bitcoin Market Performance Bitcoin so far appears to have hit a wall ever since it traded above $95,000. Over the past weeks, Bitcoin has been unable to move further from this price level but has managed to maintain it despite the bears attempts to push it below $95,000. Over the past week, BTC hasn’t moved much and only registers 2.5% increase and in the past 24 hours, the asset has seen just a slight decrease by 1.2% to trade for $95,837 at the time of writing currently. As for Bitcoin’s daily trading volume, interestingly, there has been an opposite trend. Despite Bitcoin’s small price movement into decline, BTC daily trading volume has notably increased from below $60 billion on November 29 to now at $94.5 billion. Related Reading: MicroStrategy Continues Bitcoin Buying Streak: 15,400 BTC Added This Monday Given Bitcoin’s current price trajectory, it is worth noting that this increase in BTC’s trading volume over the past few days might be from sell-offs. According to a renowned analyst known as Ali on X, Bitcoin has formed a head and shoulder pattern on its 1-Hour chart which now signals a correction to $90,000 levels. #Bitcoin $BTC could be forming a head-and-shoulders pattern, which could trigger a price correction to $90,000! pic.twitter.com/mWLDabsYRV — Ali (@ali_charts) December 3, 2024 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
A crypto analyst highlighted significant Bitcoin inflows to crypto exchanges from whales, who are still holding back on making any major moves.
Major cryptocurrency assets, excluding Bitcoin, usually known as Altcoins, are currently demonstrating strong momentum, rising significantly to pivotal levels in the past few days. While there is the belief that the tokens are surging due to a drop in Bitcoin’s dominance, several seasoned market experts think otherwise. Has The Much-Awaited Altcoin Season Begun? In an insightful prognosis […]
XRP has experienced an extraordinary surge in recent weeks, with its price skyrocketing by 380% over the past 23 days. In just the last four days, the price jumped 75%, reaching a peak of $2.87 on December 2. This rapid ascent appears to be fueled by significant buying activity from large investors, commonly known as “whales.” Ki Young Ju, CEO of on-chain analysis firm CryptoQuant, highlighted that these whales are primarily operating through the US based exchange Coinbase. On December 2, he pointed out that “Coinbase whales are driving this XRP rally,” noting that Coinbase’s minute-level price premium ranged from 3% to 13% during the surge. In contrast, Upbit—a Korean exchange with more XRP investors than Binance—showed no significant premium, suggesting the buying pressure is predominantly originating from the United States. On his alternative X account (@kate_young_ju), Ki Young Ju hinted at possible insider activity influencing the market dynamics, stating, “Someone knew something.” Related Reading: XRP Price Prediction: Analyst Says History Is Repeating Itself, Here’s How Today, he cautioned traders against shorting XRP. “Shorting XRP right now seems risky, imo. $25B XRP deposit before the pump might look like market manipulation but could simply be front-running. This insider whale might know something extremely bullish about XRP, such as spot ETF approval,” he speculated. He further shared a chart “XRP: Retail Activity Through Trading Frequency Surge (Spot & Futures), which indicates that retail trading activity for XRP has surpassed the highs of 2021 and is nearing levels last seen in January 2018, when XRP reached its all-time high of $3.92. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Says Litecoin Is About To Pull An XRP, Here’s What He Means Observing the one-year cumulative volume delta (CVD) of taker buy/sell volume, he remarked: “1-year CVD of Taker Buy/Sell Volume for XRP shows a historic rebound. Whales are aggressively using market orders, driving overwhelming demand.” A 700% Rallye Incoming For XRP Against BTC? From a technical analysis perspective, crypto analyst Jacob Canfield emphasizes the importance of examining the XRP/BTC pairing. He notes that XRP is currently at a critical resistance zone on the BTC pair chart (XRPBTC), having just reached the $2.75 level on the USDT pair—a resistance point since December 2019. Canfield suggests that a breakout here could signal a potential 240% move back to key resistance zones from 2017, 2018, and 2019. “If we get real FOMO, then we could be setting up for another 700% move to all-time high against Bitcoin,” he commented, acknowledging the “two of the strongest monthly candles for XRP that we’ve seen in over 5 years.” Looking at shorter time-frames of the XRP/USD pair, Canfield highlights the utility of support and resistance levels to identify new entry points in these time frames. “In bull markets, you need to use low time frame support/resistance to find new entries. 5 min/15 min are the best. XRP as an example – $2.20 was the clear S/R invalidation. Base of the biggest green candle = base of impulse. Usually the best place to re-enter a trade.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.63. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin, the world’s leading cryptocurrency, appears to be on the brink of a potential sharp rise. According to a CryptoQuant analyst, Crypto Dan, the market could experience a significant upward trend within the next two months. This insight, shared on the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform, is based on a critical market indicator that has historically signaled major price rallies. Related Reading: Data Shows Selling Pressure Mounts On Bitcoin: Is The Bull Run at Risk? Bitcoin Market Outlook: Sharp Rise Incoming In the post titled “Strong Rise in Bitcoin is Expected Within 1-2 Months”, Crypto Dan highlights the emergence of a “golden cross” in the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) indicator. This occurrence, he notes, is a rare event that typically happens only once or twice during an entire bull market cycle. As part of the current bullish cycle that began in January 2023, its reappearance is being seen as a strong precursor to a substantial market move. For further context, the SOPR Ratio indicator measures realized profits and losses in the Bitcoin market, offering insight into investor sentiment. The “golden cross” identified by Crypto Dan signifies a pivotal moment in the bull cycle. Historically, this signal has been followed by strong price increases within two months of its appearance. Crypto Dan explained that the market is likely entering the final phase of the current upward cycle, a stage characterized by steeper price gains and shorter periods of consolidation. This means that while Bitcoin’s ascent might accelerate, the opportunities for investors to accumulate at lower prices could diminish rapidly. Furthermore, he projected that if the anticipated rise materializes by the end of 2024 or the first quarter of 2025, it could draw significant new capital into the market. The inflow of additional funds is expected to fuel Bitcoin’s momentum, potentially driving the market to its peak during this cycle. Dan wrote: As the market moves towards the later stages of the cycle, the magnitude of the rise tends to be larger, and the periods of decline/adjustment are shorter. If a steep rise occurs as implied by this indicator within the end of 2024 to the first quarter of 2025, it can be expected that new inflows and additional funds will enter the market, bringing it to its peak. BTC Market Performance Meanwhile, Bitcoin continues to maintain stability above the $95,000 price mark. At the time of writing, the asset currently trades for $96,296, down by 1% in the past day but still up by nearly 40% in the past month. According to a renowned crypto analyst known as Ali on X, while some in the community expect a major retracement in Bitcoin’s price, BTC could do the opposite. The analyst projected BTC could surge to as high as $120,000-$150,000 before the first 30% price correction. Given the fact that #Bitcoin tends to do the opposite of what the crowd believes, there is potential for $BTC to go higher. If the current cycle behaves like the last two, #BTC could go to $120,000-$150,000 before the first 30% price correction. https://t.co/xTHJMITqJa — Ali (@ali_charts) December 2, 2024 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Toncoin price performance has been one of the brightest spots in the cryptocurrency market in a week that has been rather slow for the large-cap assets. While Bitcoin has struggled to achieve its dream of a $100,000 valuation, tokens like Toncoin (TON), Stellar (XLM), and XRP have continued to soar with double-digit returns. Specifically, TON seems to be finally coming to life after a somewhat sluggish start to the month of November. However, the question that would probably be lingering on several investors’ minds is — how long can the Toncoin price sustain this bullish momentum? Is TON Price Going To Continue Upward Trend? In a Quicktake post on CryptoQuant, an analyst with the pseudonym Darkfost shared an exciting analysis for the price of Toncoin over the next few weeks. According to the pundit, on-chain signals are currently bullish for the altcoin’s price. Related Reading: XRP Price Prediction: Analyst Says History Is Repeating Itself, Here’s How The relevant metric here is the “90-day percent return,” which measures the percentage change in the price of an asset over the last 90 days. It typically tracks the performance of the cryptocurrency within that period while providing insight into its short-term trend and momentum. According to data from CryptoQuant, the TON 90-day percent return recently turned positive following the upward movement of the Toncoin price. From a historical standpoint, when this metric flips to positive, the price action that follows is usually with significant momentum. Ultimately, this shift in the 90-day percent return suggests that investors’ confidence is increasing and are more willing to hold their assets. This is usually in anticipation of higher prices, as investors are expecting the bullish trend to continue. According to the Quicktake analyst, another on-chain signal that supports the bullish prognosis is the percentage change in open interest. Data from CryptoQuant shows that the on-chain metric has also flipped to positive, suggesting a continuation of the current bullish trend. Toncoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of Toncoin stands at around $6.526, reflecting no significant change in the past day. The altcoin is still up by almost 18% on the weekly timeframe, according to CoinGecko data. This recent bullish run pushed the price of TON back above $6.5 for the first time since late August. Following the token’s fall to around $4.5 in September, the price has been moving mostly sideways before climbing the latest high this month. Related Reading: Dogecoin TD Sell Signal Goes Off, But Here’s Why Parabolic Bull Run Can Still Continue Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
The call of the Bitcoin price reaching $100,000 cooled off this past week, especially after the premier cryptocurrency slipped beneath $93,000 during the last seven-day span. Fortunately, BTC has somewhat recovered from the slump, climbing as high as $98,500 on Friday, November 29. Following the recent Bitcoin price decline, investors have been left wondering if […]
Ethereum is finally seeing a notable rebound in its price as the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, which continues to break through significant resistance levels. Following its upward trajectory, seeing a nearly 10% increase in the past week, discussions about Ethereum potentially reaching a new all-time high by the year’s end have gained momentum. Notably, aligning with the ongoing ETH rally is renewed interest in Ethereum futures, with market metrics pointing to a bullish sentiment among traders. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Powers Ahead with a 10% Surge: More to Come? More Room For Growth? A CryptoQuant analyst known as ShayanBTC recently shared insights into the ongoing rally in Ethereum, emphasizing the role of funding rates—a crucial metric in futures trading. Funding rates reflect the sentiment of traders and indicate whether the market is predominantly bullish or bearish. According to Shayan, Ethereum’s funding rates have seen a noticeable uptick in recent weeks, suggesting that demand for long positions is growing. Despite this bullish sentiment, the analyst mentioned that funding rates remain below the peak of Ethereum’s previous all-time high of $4,900, signaling that “it has not yet entered an overheated state.” Meanwhile, while indicative of bullish sentiment, funding rates also act as a warning sign for potential market corrections. Historically, sharp increases in funding rates have been followed by sudden market corrections or liquidation cascades. However, Shayan notes that Ethereum’s current funding rates are still manageable, implying that the market has more room to grow before such risks become critical. Ethereum Market Performance And Outlook Ethereum is currently experiencing an upward trajectory, posting notable double-digit gains of roughly 15.6% over the past two weeks. This bullish performance has propelled ETH to break through the critical $3,500 resistance level, setting its sights on the next major resistance at the $4,000 mark. Currently, Ethereum is trading at $3,563, reflecting a 1.3% increase in the last 24 hours. However, this price represents a slight pullback from its 24-hour high of $3,682 recorded earlier today. Additionally, Ethereum’s current price is just 26.78% below its all-time high of $4,878, highlighting its gradual recovery within the market. Related Reading: ETH/BTC’s 8-Year Cycle Chart Shows How High Ethereum Price Can Go This Cycle Regardless of the bullish sentiment, Coinglass data shows that in the past 24 hours alone, 98,389 traders have been liquidated, with the total liquidations coming in at $278.03 million. Out of this total amount of liquidations, Ethereum accounts for roughly $63.33 million, with $40 million of this liquidation coming from short positions and $23.3 million from long positions. Amid the current price performance from Ethereum, the renowned crypto analyst known as Ali on X has reiterated his target for ETH. Ali said the mid-term target remains $6,000 and long-term target $10,000. Our mid-term target for #Ethereum $ETH remains $6,000… Long-term target: $10,000! https://t.co/X4lodGGIVY pic.twitter.com/siQsJzelzE — Ali (@ali_charts) November 27, 2024 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
While more than 90% of Ether holders are in profit, data shows traders remain cautious about the asset hitting $4,000 anytime soon.
Before its recent price correction, Bitcoin came close to hitting the six-digit milestone, achieving an all-time high of $99,645—a near 170% year-to-date increase. This notable price performance, followed by the recent price dip, has sparked discussions about the state of the market, particularly the profit-taking behaviour observed among investors. An analysis by a CryptoQuant analyst known as Darkfost sheds light on these dynamics, focusing on realized profits and investor behaviour linked to Binance, one of the largest cryptocurrency exchanges globally. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Price Dip Triggers Alert On NVT Golden Cross—Here’s What To Watch For Are Investors Actively Taking Profits Now? According to Darkfost, tracking the profits realized by investors transferring Bitcoin to Binance can provide “valuable insights into the broader market sentiment and behaviour, especially considering Binance consistently handles higher volumes than any other exchange.” He notes that following Bitcoin’s breakthrough to a new high, there has been a noticeable increase in realized profits among the Binance cohort. This trend reflects a significant level of investor engagement, where users are capitalizing on the price surge to secure gains. However, Darkfost emphasizes that the scale and pace of profit-taking—whether aggressive or steady—could help determine the trajectory the market is headed to next. The analyst highlights that profit-taking activity on Binance has recently subsided after an initial surge. This pause in selling behaviour may suggest growing confidence among investors in Bitcoin’s potential for further gains. However, Darkfost stresses the importance of monitoring these metrics, particularly the realized profits exceeding $10 million. Significant profit-taking could indicate a cooling-off period or even a reversal in an upward trend, while a steady approach may reinforce the strength of the ongoing rally. Bitcoin Sees Rebound After recording a notable correction following its latest achieved all-time high, Bitcoin is finally now seeing a noticeable rebound in its price. Over the past few days, since the week started, Bitcoin has experienced consistent dip which dropped its price to as low as $90,000 levels yesterday for the first time in recent weeks. Related Reading: The Current Correction In Bitcoin Is The Last Before A Major Rally—Here’s Why However, so far, the asset is now gradually regaining its recently shedded gains. At the time of writing, Bitcoin has surged by 2.3% in the past 24 hours with a current trading price of $94,656 which bring BTC’s price to a mere 5.1% decrease away from its all-time high. Along with its price, BTC’s market cap valuation has also seen a surge. Over the past day alone nearly $80 billion has been added to the crypto’s market cap which rose from $1.8 trillion on November 26 to $74 trillion as of today. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Despite recent price corrections, Bitcoin's valuation metrics still indicate a bull cycle ahead.
Investors rotate into altcoins along a risk curve, starting with large-cap assets and eventually migrating into riskier low-cap coins.
The likelihood of Bitcoin surpassing $100,000 has risen to 45%, despite its recent pullback, according to recent onchain data.
Bitcoin price momentum has grabbed significant attention as it gradually sheds some of its gains acquired in the past weeks. So far, Bitcoin has plunged 7.6% from its all-time high (ATH) of $99,645 seen last week. Particularly, at the time of writing, the asset trades for $92,476. Marking roughly 4.6% drop in the past day alone. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rally Pauses Before $100K—Here’s What Could Happen Next What To Expect From This Current Bitcoin Decline Amid the ongoing correction in Bitcoin’s price, a recent analysis from CryptoQuant’s BaroVirtual has highlighted the steady decline in Bitcoin reserves across major crypto exchanges. According to the analyst, this pattern indicates a market amid a “bull run.” The analyst drew parallels with the March to November 2020 period, noting that exchange reserves saw a similar decline back then, followed by substantial inflows in December 2020 that fuelled upward buying pressure. The conclusion? The current dip in exchange reserves suggests that participants who missed earlier accumulation opportunities may now be entering the market before the next price surge. BaroVirtual noted: Some market participants who have not properly accumulated Bitcoin earlier are likely doing so now, realizing that this is likely the last downward correction before another upward price surge. Retail Traders Yet to Join The Market Meanwhile, although institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals seem to dominate the current market, retail traders appear to be lagging. Another CryptoQuant analyst known as Woominkyu has shed light on this trend, noting that the Korea Premium Index—a key metric for retail involvement—remains below -0.5. This figure highlights limited activity from retail participants in the ongoing rally. According to Woominkyu, the Korea Premium Index has historically shown spikes to extreme levels preceding Bitcoin’s price peaks. He emphasized that monitoring this index could provide vital insights into identifying potential market tops. It is worth noting that the absence of retail traders in the recent crypto rally is quite noteworthy, as their eventual participation could lead to heightened buying pressure and potentially drive Bitcoin’s price higher. At the time of writing, the crypto market is facing a bloodbath, with the global crypto market cap valuation sipping by nearly 6% in the past day to a current valuation of $3.34 trillion. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Crash Not Over? Why A Decline To $89,000 Is Possible According to data from CoinGlass, in the past 24 hours, 206,491 traders have been liquidated, with the total liquidation of the crypto market is roughly $624.99 million. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin recently came close to breaking the $100,000 price mark last week, reaching a high of $99,645 before encountering resistance. According to CryptoQuant analyst Percival, the psychological barrier of round numbers like $100,000 often serves as a point where traders exit positions for “relative safety.” Since climbing from $73,000 to $99,800, Percival highlighted that Bitcoin has recorded a roughly 57% gain, ranking it among the ‘top six exit rallies from consolidation zones.’ Despite this, the CryptoQuant analyst suggests that Bitcoin may enter a consolidation phase. Related Reading: Bitcoin Realized Profit Hits ATH At $443 Million – Local Top Or Continuation? BTC Faces Resistance Below $100K: What Lies Ahead? Percival emphasized the significance of the Choppiness Index, a metric that gauges market momentum. According to him, the index indicates that Bitcoin’s rally is losing strength weekly. This suggests the cryptocurrency could consolidate for several weeks before another rally begins. Analyzing previous market cycles, particularly in 2020, Percival noted that Bitcoin’s first post-consolidation correction lasted approximately three weeks, with an 18% price drop. If history repeats, the next rally may occur in the latter half of December. The analyst also pointed to Long-Term Holder (LTH) behavior as a critical factor in understanding Bitcoin’s current market dynamics. LTHs are currently seeing 350% in profit and are in a supply distribution phase, with approximately 575,000 Bitcoins (worth around $58 billion) re-entering the market. Despite this, demand has remained strong, driven by inflows into Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and purchases from institutional players like MicroStrategy. Using the STH Realized Profit and Loss metric, Percival further explored Short-Term Holder (STH) activity. He noted that short-term holders account for 30.2% of the profits recorded during this phase. Additionally, Bitcoin’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio has exceeded 1.33σ, signaling that the average token is approaching the 1.4σ zone, corresponding to 40% unrealized profits. Historically, this zone aligns with the first correction following a significant rally, as observed in late 2020. What to Expect Next for Bitcoin Looking ahead, Bitcoin’s trajectory may depend on several factors, including the pace of its consolidation phase and the behavior of institutional and retail investors. If the current consolidation period mirrors the patterns of previous cycles, Bitcoin could stabilize before attempting another push beyond $100,000. However, short-term corrections may still occur with LTHs continuing to take profits and STHs remaining active. Related Reading: Bitcoin Attempt To Dip Below $96K ‘Led To Nothing’ – Analyst Expects $100K Soon The cryptocurrency market also sees strong demand from institutional players, as evidenced by significant ETF inflows. This suggests that, despite short-term volatility, Bitcoin’s long-term outlook remains promising. When writing, BTC trades for $96,353, up slightly by 0.3% in the past day, with a current market capitalization of $1.9 trillion. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart From TradingView
Interest in Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency asset, is gaining momentum once again among retail and institutional investors, as evidenced by a robust increase in its net staking inflows in the past week in tandem with recent improvements in the price of ETH. Consistent Growth In Ethereum’s Staking Net Inflows In a positive development, Ethereum’s staking has […]
The ongoing Bitcoin bull market has sparked renewed interest in on-chain metrics to fully understand the bullish trend behind the scenes. Earlier today, Avocado Onchain, a CryptoQuant analyst, shared his perspective on Bitcoin’s market performance, focusing on the widely-used Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio. This indicator is often used to assess Bitcoin’s valuation about its realized cap, which represents the aggregated value of all Bitcoin based on its last movement price. Related Reading: Bitcoin Hits S2F Threshold: Should You Hold Tight Or Take Profits? What Bitcoin MVRV Metric Currently Signals According to Avocado Onchain, the MVRV ratio provides key insights into market cycles. Historically, when the MVRV ratio dips below 1, it signals a market bottom, while values above 3.7 have coincided with potential market tops. As Bitcoin approaches new all-time highs, the MVRV ratio’s behavior suggests a shift in market sentiment from skepticism to optimism. This raises critical questions about how investors should interpret these metrics during a bull cycle. The MVRV ratio, calculated by dividing Bitcoin’s market cap by its realized cap, offers insights into whether the asset is undervalued or overvalued relative to its historical averages. Avocado Onchain emphasized that the ratio might not necessarily reach 3.7 in this cycle, as seen in prior bull markets, but could still signal overvaluation at lower levels. He noted that the ratio’s peaks and troughs have shown a narrowing trend, with higher lows and lower highs. MVRV Historical Patterns Drawing from historical patterns, the CryptoQuant analyst noted: In past cycles, detailed analysis of historical charts shows that in 2017, the MVRV ratio first reached 3.7, but Bitcoin’s price didn’t peak until six months later. Similarly, in 2021, the peak followed about three months after the ratio hit 3.7. Avocado Onchain suggested that while the MVRV ratio signals “overvaluation,” it does not guarantee an imminent price peak. Instead, the ratio often lingers around the overvaluation range, reflecting ongoing bullish sentiment with price fluctuations. Related Reading: Bitcoin Officially In Overheated MVRV Zone, Rally End Near? To mitigate risks, Avocado Onchain advises against relying solely on the MVRV ratio for investment decisions. He advocates for a gradual selling strategy as the ratio rises, allowing investors to balance potential gains with reduced exposure to market corrections. The analyst particularly concluded, stating: Asset prices often enter phases of extreme overvaluation that cannot be fully explained by numerical data alone. During a bull market, it’s essential to use not only on-chain metrics but also factors like investor sentiment, macroeconomic trends, and government policies to develop a well-rounded. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has so far continued to level up in terms of price performance, hitting new highs consistently for the past week. As a result of this, investors seem to be curious about whether it’s time to secure profits or stay bullish for the next leg of the cycle. A recent analysis by a CryptoQuant analyst, known as Darkfost, sheds light on this and the current market sentiment, offering insights into potential strategies for navigating the current phase of Bitcoin’s cycle. Related Reading: Analyst Reveals Bitcoin’s Hidden Price Zones: Key Levels Investors Need To Watch Time to Secure Profits? Darkfost’s observations center around the S2F reversion metric, a tool used to gauge market conditions and identify strategic moments for buying or selling Bitcoin. According to the analyst, this metric has reached 2.5, a historical indicator that signals the market is “heating up.” While this doesn’t suggest Bitcoin has reached its cycle peak, it indicates that the asset is entering a phase where profit-taking could be a wise strategy. Darkfost wrote: Currently, the S2F reversion has reached the 2.5 level, which historically suggests that starting to take some profits may be prudent. This doesn’t indicate we’ve reached the cycle’s top, but it means that the market is beginning to heat up but stay bull. Notably, the S2F (Stock-to-Flow) reversion metric is derived from Bitcoin’s stock-to-flow model, which compares the asset’s existing supply with its annual production rate. This model has historically provided insights into Bitcoin’s valuation and potential price movements. The S2F reversion specifically measures deviations from this model, with higher levels typically indicating overbought conditions in the market. While the S2F metric for Bitcoin has now reached 2.5 level, Darkfost has pointed out when to take profit, noting: The next target for further profit-taking would likely be when the S2F reversion metric reaches the 3.0 level. Bitcoin Market Performance Bitcoin remains in a bullish trend. Earlier today, the asset reached a new all-time high (ATH) of $98,310 bringing its year-to-date price performance to over 160%. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Warns of Potential Bitcoin Market Shift as Exchange Reserves Decline However, at the time of writing, BTC has faced a little price correction from its peak as it trades for $97,236, down by 1.2% from its ATH but still up by 3.1% in the past day. Analysts say the asset is primed for a further rally to the six-figure price mark. Ali, one of the prominent crypto analysts in the space, for instance has recently highlighted that with Bitcoin breaking out of a bullish flag on the lower time frames, the asset could reach $100,000 as soon as today. #Bitcoin $BTC could reach $100,000 today as it appears to be breaking out of a bull flag on the lower timeframes. pic.twitter.com/UKKcXilHO4 — Ali (@ali_charts) November 21, 2024 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
The Ethereum (ETH) market may now be heading for a significant shift in momentum as its derivatives market continues to exhibit unprecedented growth. Particularly, while Bitcoin’s price action remains a dominant force in the market, Ethereum’s derivatives activity suggests that it could be gearing up for notable upward momentum. Related Reading: Is Ethereum Undervalued? Investors Hold Firm While Price Targets Rise New Highs In ETH Open Interest And Leverage Ratios According to a recent analysis by CryptoQuant’s EgyHash, the open interest in Ethereum has surpassed its previous all-time high, marking a 40% increase in just four months and exceeding the $13 billion threshold. The surge in open interest, which represents the total number of outstanding derivative contracts, reflects a growing engagement among traders and institutions in Ethereum’s market. Alongside this, EgyHash also mentioned that funding rates have turned moderately positive, signalling that long-position traders are currently dominant. This aligns with a sentiment favouring further price increases for ETH in the short term. The rise in open interest is not the only indicator of Ethereum’s increasing activity in derivatives markets. The CryptoQuant analyst pointed to Ethereum’s estimated leverage ratio. EgyHash disclosed that this metric which is calculated as the ratio of open interest to the exchange’s coin reserves, has also reached a new all-time high of +0.40. Commenting on what these rising metrics means for market participants, the CryptoQuant analyst wrote: While these trends underscore positive market sentiment toward ETH, it would be prudent to remain mindful of potential risks. The elevated leverage and dominance of long positions could increase the likelihood of a long squeeze if sudden price volatility occurs, potentially leading to market corrections. Ethereum Market Performance Regardless of the positive key metrics, Ethereum has continued to be one of the underperforming crypto in the market especially when compared to Bitcoin. Particularly, while Bitcoin has consistently being breaching major resistance to hit new highs, ETH still remains 36.2% decrease away from its all-time high of $4,878 registered in 2021. However, as of today, the asset seems to be gearing up for an uptrend. At the time of writing, Ethereum has surged by 0.9% in the past day with a current trading price of $3,112. Renowned analyst known as Ali on X has recently shared his outlook on the asset noting that Ethereum could outperform Bitcoin soon. The analyst backed this statement citing several key metrics and trends. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Faces Challenges: Will It Find Traction Soon? According to Ali, the altseason indicator is flashing buying opportunity and ETH’s MVRV momentum nears a key moving average suggesting significant upside potential. The analyst also mentioned the spot exchange-traded flows (ETF) Inflows and increasing whale Activity. Ali then suggested that Ethereum could test $4,000 and $6,000 levels based on an ascending parallel channel. He also highlighted a bullish theory on ETH’s potential to hit $10,000. But there is another bullish theory!#Ethereum could be mirroring the price action of the S&P500, which puts a $10,000 target on $ETH.https://t.co/ifn1zGnn9x — Ali (@ali_charts) November 19, 2024 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView