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Bitcoin’s price has faced a dramatic downturn, falling below $90,000 and reaching as low as $87,000 levels today. This steep decline places the cryptocurrency further away from its January all-time high of over $109,000. The sharp sell-off comes amid both internal and external challenges, leaving investors uncertain about what lies ahead. While the market struggles to find support, the path forward so far remains unclear However, Mac.D, a contributor to the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform has managed to analyze the current market scenario and give a detailed outlook. Related Reading: Bitcoin Retail Demand Levels Return to Neutral Zone—What Next? Is A Rally Still Possible For Bitcoin? Diving into the outlook, Mac first touched on the major factors behind the ongoing plunge in Bitcoin’s price. According to Mac, a combination of internal and external pressures have contributed to Bitcoin’s recent plunge. Internally, the aftermath of a notable Ethereum-related hacking incident has unsettled the broader crypto market. Externally, the ongoing inflation concerns and the reintroduction of tariff policies under the Trump administration have weighed on risk assets, including Bitcoin. These factors have collectively led to a break below the crucial $90,000 support level, according to Mac, the analyst further points to two key elements that could influence Bitcoin’s trajectory moving forward. First, the recent liquidation of long positions has reached its highest level since November, with $245 million worth of long positions wiped out. Such large-scale liquidations often reduce market depth, creating conditions that might enable a price rebound. BTC Massive Long Liquidation, At a Crossroads of Rise or Fall “Liquidation of long positions has occurred. Today’s liquidation marks the highest since November, with $245 million worth of long positions being liquidated.” – By @MAC_D46035 Full post ⤵️https://t.co/c4aefYbQ73 pic.twitter.com/xCwDbAyLJM — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) February 25, 2025 Second, the average entry price for whale investors holding Bitcoin for less than six months is around $89,600. This psychological support level may help stabilize the market if these whales refrain from further selling. Despite these potential supports, the outlook is far from certain. Mac cautions that if the support level fails to hold, further declines could occur. In this scenario, he recommends proactive risk management strategies, including short positions in futures or partial liquidation of holdings. Related Reading: Bitcoin Once Again Arrives At This Bear-Bull Boundary—Will A Break Happen? Technical Outlook On BTC With Bitcoin currently trading at $87,132, it is quite obvious that the asset has breached the $89,600 support highlighted by Mac. While Mac suggests this breach could lead to further declines, another analyst, RektCapital, offers a more optimistic technical view. According to RektCapital, Bitcoin’s recent drop might be a temporary setback. The analyst highlights a potential downside deviation that often precedes a significant price recovery, indicating that a rebound could already be taking shape. #BTC The downside deviation below the Range Low of the ReAccumulation Range is now in progress$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/r5reRJ0HFy pic.twitter.com/yr1ABiDmBg — Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) February 25, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Ethereum (ETH) has plummeted 11.4% in the past 24 hours, reflecting a broader market downturn that saw Bitcoin (BTC) drop by 8%, XRP by 13.6%, and Solana (SOL) by 12.9%. Despite the sea of red, several leading voices—including CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju—are calling for a more optimistic perspective on ETH. Time To Go Bullish On Ethereum Sharing his “bullish thoughts on ETH” via X, Ki Young Ju argued there has been “no significant sell pressure” despite the recent Bybit hack, pointing out that both on-chain and market data remain neutral. “Exchange selling takes time, and OTC offloads barely affect the price,” he added. He also emphasized Ethereum’s dominant share of the stablecoin market cap—currently around 56% and noted how potential regulatory shifts under the Trump administration, which is reportedly “easing crypto regs,” could spur further adoption of ETH-based stablecoins and smart contracts in 2025. Related Reading: Ethereum Must Hold This Key Level To Keep Altseason Hopes Alive, Analyst Explains Ju referenced additional catalysts, reminding followers that the ETH spot ETF “is already approved,” suggesting that a “Large Cap ETF altseason” might be on the horizon for Ethereum. He added, “BlackRock ETH spot ETF holdings increased 124% over the past three months.” Lastly, Ju highlighted growing whale accumulation: addresses holding 10,000 to 100,000 ETH have increased their balances by 24% over the past year, with the current price “nearing the cost basis of accumulating addresses.” However, Ju admitted he was “surprised” by what he sees as an overwhelmingly bearish mood on Crypto Twitter. “Wow, CT [Crypto Twitter] sentiment on ETH is extremely bearish. Let me know if you have any data-driven analysis to support your bearish thesis. Most bears seem to cite the dropping price itself as their reason for selling. Very interesting,” Ju remarked. On his alternative X account—under the handle @kate_young_ju—he reiterated that “whales are stacking ETH,” pointing to the current cost basis for these accumulating addresses at around $2,199, compared to the spot price hovering near $2,505. Ju is not alone in challenging the doom-and-gloom market narrative. AdrianoFeria.eth (@AdrianoFeria), an member of the ETH community, asserted that “the market is in the shitter” but urged investors to focus on high-level institutional and political signals favoring Ethereum. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Could Still Reclaim $4,000 Based On This Bullish Divergence He specifically cited reports of the US President and family purchasing “hundreds of millions of dollars worth of ETH,” the CEO of BlackRock’s endorsement of tokenization (and BlackRock’s own tokenized USD experiment on Ethereum), and Bybit’s need to buy large quantities of ETH to cover its hack—potentially fueling more demand. Feria also mentioned that Ken Griffin, the CEO of Citadel believes Ethereum could replace Bitcoin. For this community member, the fact that “everyone on CT is still taking a shit on ETH” only reinforces a contrarian bullish stance. Popular crypto analyst IncomeSharks (@IncomeSharks) weighed in by posting a chart showing another “red scary candle” but indicating a buy zone above $2,400. Meanwhile, Chris Burniske, partner at Placeholder VC, offered historical perspective, reminding followers of 2021’s mid-cycle drawdowns: BTC fell 56%, ETH 61%, SOL 67%, and many other assets 70-80%. According to Burniske, “you can come up with all the reasons for why this cycle is different, but the mid-bull reset we’re going through isn’t unprecedented. Those calling for a full blown bear are misguided.” At press time, ETH traded at $2.382. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin’s price performance remains under pressure, with the asset experiencing a drop of 2.3% over the past week. This decline pushes BTC’s value even further from its January all-time high of over $109,000. Amid the bearish momentum, analysts are observing signs of renewed interest from retail investors—a critical market segment that could shape Bitcoin’s near-term direction. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Price Manipulated? Expert Exposes The Truth Bitcoin Retail Demand Slowly Recovers A new analysis by CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost has highlighted a promising shift in Bitcoin’s retail demand metrics. Specifically, the 30-day demand change has climbed back into the neutral zone around 0%, recovering from a highly negative -21% seen late last year. According to the insight shared by Darkfost, this is the first time since 2021 that retail demand has shown such a notable turnaround. Historically, periods of recovering retail demand have been linked to eventual price rebounds. For example, in July 2024, retail demand reached a similar low point before beginning to recover. Although it took roughly three months for Bitcoin’s price to respond positively, the subsequent upward movement demonstrated the impact of growing retail interest. Bitcoin retail Investor demand is brewing “Notably, past instances of recovering retail demand have often coincided with upward price movements in the short-term.” – By @Darkfost_Coc Full post ⤵️https://t.co/lvhC8JnvBD pic.twitter.com/YdBr6F78W7 — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) February 24, 2025 Darkfost noted that if this trend holds true this time, the current recovery in retail demand could lay the groundwork for future price gains—though such changes may take time to materialize. Network Activity and Investor Sentiment on the Decline Despite the positive signs from retail demand, overall network activity and investor sentiment tell a more cautious story. Darkfost in a separate post revealed a downward trend in the number of active Bitcoin wallets and transactions used for deposits and withdrawals. The accumulation of Bitcoin by spot ETFs has also slowed, with minor outflows suggesting a more hesitant investor base. Additionally, the number of unspent transaction outputs (UTXOs) is decreasing at a pace reminiscent of previous market corrections. Although this alone does not confirm a market cycle peak, it does raise questions about the underlying strength of current market participants. Investor sentiment has also been weighed down by broader macroeconomic and geopolitical factors. Darkfost highlighted that while initial bullish sentiment was buoyed by optimism surrounding Trump’s election and the possibility of favorable US crypto regulations, no substantial policy changes or legislative actions have yet emerged. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Bullish Case Hinges On $94,645 Support: Will Buyers Step In? Meanwhile, global trade tensions and risk-averse market behavior continue to dampen enthusiasm. With earlier bullish narratives already factored into Bitcoin’s price, the market will likely require new catalysts or improved conditions to regain upward momentum. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

The Ethereum price appeared to be finally gearing for a strong bullish breakout after multiple weeks of disappointing and sluggish action. However, this bullish dream ended almost immediately after it started as nearly $1.5 billion worth of ETH tokens were drained from the ByBit exchange. Ethereum, which traded as high as $2,840 earlier on Friday, February 21, dropped towards $2,600 on the back of news of the ByBit hack. Interestingly, recent on-chain data suggests that the altcoin’s price could still make its way to $4,000 before the end of this cycle. Could ETH Price Still Record A 60% Rally This Cycle? In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, an analyst with the pseudonym Crypto Sunmoon identified a particular bullish divergence that offers insight into the Ethereum price performance in the near future. This bullish observation is based on recent movements of ETH’s “taker buy/sell ratio” across all exchanges. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price On The Edge: Breakout Or Breakdown—What’s Next? This metric measures the taker buy and taker sell volumes for a specific cryptocurrency (Ethereum, in this case). When the taker buy/sell ratio is greater than one, it implies that the taker buy volume is higher than the taker sell volume. This is typically considered a bullish signal, indicating the willingness of investors to pay a higher price for an asset. On the contrary, a less-than-one taker buy/sell ratio indicates that sellers are overwhelming the buyers in the market. This scenario suggests that more sellers are willing to offload their assets at a lower price, signaling a bearish shift in investor sentiment. Crypto Sunmoon noted that the 100-day exponential moving average (EMA) of the Ethereum taker buy/sell ratio on all exchanges has been rising in recent weeks. The Ethereum price, on the other hand, has been declining since mid-December. According to the analyst, this divergence is positive, as it indicates that a bearish trend has ended and an upward trend could be starting. The last time this bullish divergence occurred, the Ethereum price traveled from beneath $2,500 to above $4,000 (over 60% rally). While investors would view a reclaim of $3,000 as a victory for Ethereum, history and this bullish divergence suggest that the altcoin’s price could still climb toward the $4,000 mark before the end of the current cycle. Ethereum Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of Ethereum stands around $2,650, reflecting a nearly 4% decline in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: More Pain Ahead For Solana? Dangerous Price Drop To $125 Looms With This Support Retest Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

As the cycle progresses, many investors are awaiting the long-anticipated Altseason, with opinions split on whether it will happen. Several market watchers have affirmed that Altcoins (Alts) are getting ready for an explosive breakout, but others, including CryptoQuant’s CEO, have suggested a different outlook. Related Reading: Nansen’s Bitcoin On-Chain Analytics Reveal 42% Increase In BTC Transactions Few Cryptocurrencies To ‘Survive’ The Altseason On Friday, Ki Young Ju, CryptoQuant’s founder and CEO, affirmed that the Altseason has begun. In an X thread, Ju suggested that there will not be a direct Bitcoin-to-alt rotation this cycle, noting that “stablecoin holders are favoring” Altcoins. According to Ju, Bitcoin is no longer a quote cryptocurrency, adding that Bitcoin (BTC) Dominance doesn’t define the altseason anymore. In a December post, he explained that “Altcoins used to move together based on their correlation with BTC,” however, this pattern has now broken. Instead, he stated that trading volume is the metric that defines it, with Altcoins currently having 2.7x the volume of Bitcoin. Ju also considers this to be a very selective and challenging altseason, with only a few Altcoins with strong user cases and narratives expected to thrive. He added that, despite good market sentiment, there isn’t fresh liquidity, which “feels like a PvP fight over a fixed pie.” As a result, Altcoin battles “are getting fiercer,” and only a few are pumping this altseason and attracting new liquidity. Altcoin markets are currently a zero-sum PvP game. While Bitcoin has doubled its market cap, the alt market cap is still below its previous ATH, rotating among themselves without fresh capital inflows. Only a few Alts with strong use cases and narratives will survive. Altcoins Ready For Next Leg Up Trader Crypto Yoddha suggested that Altcoins are “ready for round 2” after its recent performance. According to the post, the crypto market, excluding BTC and ETH, is following 2020-2021’s playbook. During the last cycle, Altcoins experienced two legs towards its cycle top and all-time high (ATH) of $1.13 trillion. In the “first round,” they broke out from its accumulation period, seeing a small re-accumulation phase before surging to the previous top. After reclaiming this resistance level, Altcoins started “round two,” achieving various new highs before hitting a new cycle top. Yoddha pointed out that the market is finishing the first round, as it tested last cycle’s top during the post-election pump. Analyst Rekt Capital affirmed that the crypto market cap, excluding the top 10 tokens, “has completed the second part of its Double Bottom formation.” He explained that Altcoins had been consolidating between the $250 billion to $280 billion range since the February 3 correction. Related Reading: Ethereum To Move Sideways For 2-3 Months? Analyst Says Longer ETH Consolidation Is Needed Per the post, Alts must close above $280 billion and retest this level as support to confirm a breakout from its three-week resistance and attempt to reclaim the $300 billion mark. Similarly, analyst Carl Runefelt stated that Altcoins have a parabolic move after breaking out of its two-month descending channel. Alts saw a 120% climb after breaking out of a 2024 multi-month descending channel. Altcoins must reclaim the $300 billion resistance to break from this pattern. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

Following a lackluster performance in recent weeks, Bitcoin appears to be seeing a steady recovery with its price now approaching the $100,000 price mark. Particularly, so far, BTC has managed to regain some of the losses shedded in recent weeks with its price now hovering above $98,000, marking a 2.6% increase in the past 7 days. Alongside this price movement, new data have emerged highlighting significant activity among large holders on exchanges, suggesting a shift in market dynamics. Related Reading: Bitcoin Open Interest Climbs—Is a Market Breakout Around the Corner? Bitfinex Whales Show Increased Activity A CryptoQuant analyst known as Mignolet has recently shared a detailed outlook on exchange whales and their influence on the current price action in Bitcoin. Mignolet’s observations focus on leverage ratios across major trading platforms. According to his analysis, the “all exchange leverage ratio” is at an all-time high. This measure, which captures the amount of leverage being used on exchanges, reflects heightened activity that could precede significant price moves. Interestingly, while Binance has seen its leverage ratio drop back to levels last seen during last year’s consolidation phase, Bitfinex tells a different story. On Bitfinex, leverage ratios have surged sharply, aligning with a rise in open interest. Mignolet highlights that this activity points to a sudden increase in whale movements within the ongoing consolidation range. While these leverage ratios alone don’t guarantee a specific price direction, the sharp uptick on Bitfinex suggests a shift in market dynamics that bears watching. According to the CryptoQuant analyst, the question now is: What are these whales aiming for? Mignolet’s analysis stops short of providing a definitive answer, but it raises the possibility of a major price shift soon. With Bitcoin’s price holding steady above $98,000, the actions of these large-scale traders could influence whether the market breaks higher or retreats back into a more extended consolidation phase. Bitcoin Encounters Potential Strong Support Zone Meanwhile, Bitcoin has continued to inch closer to the six-digit price mark which it recently fell below in the previous week. Although the asset is still roughly an 8.7% decrease away from its all-time high (ATH) above $109,000 established in January, it has managed to see an uptick in price in the past few days. At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $98,091 marking a 1.2% increase in price over the past day. According to data from IntoTheBlock, the asset appears to be seeing a formation of a “massive demand zone just below the current price.” IntoTheBlock highlighted that should the market face further downward pressure around this area, the zone may act as strong support. A massive demand zone has formed just below the current price???? On-chain data indicates that 2.76 million addresses acquired a total of 2.1 million $BTC at an average price of 97.1k, highlighting significant buying interest at this level. If the market faces further downward… pic.twitter.com/ANm1kkXMtE — IntoTheBlock (@intotheblock) February 21, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s price remains below the $100,000 mark, trading at $98,000 at the time of writing. While this positions its daily performance in positive territory, the larger picture suggests continued bearish pressure. Over the past month, Bitcoin has declined by 6%, and its current price represents a 10% decrease from the all-time high above $109,000 recorded last month. This prolonged downturn has led market participants to closely examine on-chain metrics for clues about what might come next. Related Reading: Bears In Trouble? Bitcoin Liquidity Signals A Brutal Squeeze To $111,000 Short-Term Bitcoin Sellers Are Fading One key indicator, the Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH SOPR), has gained attention recently from a CryptoQuant Analyst. The analyst known as Burak Kesmeci in a recent upload on the QuickTae platform revealed that STH SOPR which measures whether short-term holders—those who have held their coins for less than 155 days—are selling at a profit or a loss appears to now be fading. A value above 1.00 indicates profit-taking, while a value below 1.00 suggests losses. In 2025 so far, this metric has shown that short-term holders have sold at a loss during three notable corrections. According to the analyst, on January 8, Bitcoin’s price dropped from $104K to $92K, driving STH SOPR down to 0.987. Similarly, on January 27, a correction from $106K to $102K pushed the ratio to 0.990, and on February 2, a plunge from $104K to $91K brought it to 0.984. Short-Term Holders and Future Market Sentiment Kesmeci revealed that Bitcoin appears to be consolidating between $94K and $97K, with STH SOPR at 0.998. This near-neutral level suggests that short-term holders are no longer selling at significant losses, indicating that the fear-driven selling seen earlier in the year may be subsiding. This shift is quite noteworthy because sentiment among short-term holders often plays a critical role in the market’s overall trajectory. When short-term holders start turning a profit, they are more likely to share positive experiences, potentially encouraging new investors to enter the market. This dynamic can help accelerate upward momentum, laying the groundwork for the next bullish phase. The recent stabilization of STH SOPR, along with Bitcoin’s steady price range, may set the stage for a stronger rally in the months ahead. However, while it is still early to determine the direction of the next major market move, the near-neutral STH SOPR suggests that selling pressure from short-term holders has overall diminished. This could pave the way for a more stable price environment, and if positive sentiment continues to grow, Bitcoin may see renewed interest and an eventual return to higher price levels. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has gradually been recovering with its price now hovering above $97,000 as of today—a noticeable increase from the $94,000 price mark seen earlier this week This upward movement comes as analysts highlight significant trends in the perpetual futures markets that may indicate a substantial shift on the horizon. Related Reading: Bitcoin Ready For ‘Take Off’—Analyst Reveals Key Signals Bitcoin’s Open Interest Points to Possible Market Shift One notable development is the increase in Bitcoin’s open interest—an indicator of the total number of outstanding perpetual futures contracts on centralized exchanges. According to ShayanBTC, a CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform contributor, Bitcoin’s open interest has been steadily rising despite recent market volatility. Shayan pointed out that this growth signals heightened activity within perpetual markets, which could lead to a decisive breakout in Bitcoin’s price. However, the direction of this move remains unclear as additional data is needed for a more precise forecast. Shayan noted: This increase suggests that more activity is flowing into the perpetual markets, and the dominant direction of these positions will ultimately determine Bitcoin’s next significant move. If this trend persists, the market will likely experience a major breakout in the mid-term. However, the direction of this move remains uncertain, as additional data is required to make an accurate prediction. Deep Learning Projections Offer Mixed Signals In a separate analysis, CryptoQuant’s analyst CryptoOnChain presented a data-driven projection of Bitcoin’s near-term price movements. By employing on-chain metrics and a deep learning model known as the Wave Net algorithm, CryptoOnChain estimated that Bitcoin’s price may fluctuate between $93,000 and $110,000 over the coming month. The chart below shows the prediction of Bitcoin’s price for the upcoming month using on-chain data and deep learning with the Wave Net algorithm. As observed, this prediction indicates a fluctuating pattern for the next month. #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading pic.twitter.com/4Ki8TYE8Ui — CryptoOnchain (@CryptoOnchain) February 19, 2025 Meanwhile, Bitcoin is still trading below $100,000 with a current trading price of $97,136, at the time of writing. While this market price has managed to put BTC’s daily performance in green, on a broader scale, BTC is still somewhat bearish. Over the past month, the asset has declined by 6.1% and its current trading price marks a 10.6% decrease away from its all-time high above $109,000 recorded last month. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Showing Early Signs Of Bullish Divergence? Analyst Explains According to a Crypto analyst known as RektCapital on X, Bitcoin price action so far is “performing the key technical steps to fully confirm the Bull Flag breakout to set itself up for trend continuation going forward.” #BTC The Bitcoin post-breakout retest of the Monthly Bull Flag is successful thus far Price is performing the key technical steps to fully confirm the Bull Flag breakout so as to set itself up for trend continuation going forward ~$96700 needs to hold$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/HXEsC7kN3p pic.twitter.com/OM6VCiUt5b — Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) February 20, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s price has gradually increased, climbing from $96,000 to nearly $97,000 as of today. Although still shy of the coveted $100,000 mark, the leading cryptocurrency shows signs of resilience. This recovery is unfolding against the backdrop of mixed market signals, prompting analysts to weigh the potential for continued bullish momentum versus the risk of a near-term pullback. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces Persistent Resistance at $100K, Analyst Eyes Next Step Bitcoin’s Market Momentum at a Crossroads One recent analysis from Onchain Edge, a contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, highlights Bitcoin’s current “critical decision zone.” Using two key indicators—the Taker Buy/Sell Ratio and the MVRV Ratio—Onchain Edge’s findings suggest a market that is not yet overvalued, though caution flags remain. While the overall on-chain data leans more positive, the contrasting signals highlight the precarious position of Bitcoin’s current rally. From a bullish perspective, the MVRV Ratio—an indicator that compares Bitcoin’s market value to its realized value—stands at 2.21, well below the levels that typically signal market tops (3.5–4.0). This suggests that Bitcoin’s current valuation is not overstretched, leaving room for further upside. Moreover, other indicators such as the Puell Multiple reinforce the notion that Bitcoin has not yet reached overbought conditions. According to the CryptoQuant analyst, if these macro indicators hold steady and buyers return in force, Bitcoin could continue its upward trajectory, potentially reclaiming six-figure territory before any substantial correction sets in. Possible Bearish Signals on the Horizon Despite these promising signs, the Taker Buy/Sell Ratio, which gauges market sentiment by comparing aggressive buy and sell orders, stands at 0.96—below the 0.98 threshold often associated with bullish strength. Onchain Edge reveals that historically, levels around this range have preceded market corrections, as was the case during peaks in March and November of 2021. Should Bitcoin fail to break above resistance, this ratio could hint at a short-term top. A sustained failure to climb past current levels may trigger a temporary pullback, providing a cooling-off period before any subsequent rally. As Bitcoin hovers near this pivotal price point, the market remains finely balanced between cautious optimism and potential downside risk. Onchain Edge concludes that maintaining a level above $95,000, combined with a resurgence in buying activity, could pave the way for a move to new highs. Related Reading: Bitcoin Meets Fiscal Reality: Fidelity’s Timmer Predicts What’s Next Conversely, a decline below critical support might lead to a healthy correction before the market regains upward momentum. While the bull cycle appears intact, the coming days may determine whether Bitcoin’s current rally has enough fuel to continue, or if a pause is on the horizon. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin entered the final stretch of its weekly cycle and could bottom soon, a well-followed trader said.

Weeks after hitting an all-time high above $109,000, Bitcoin’s price remains under pressure. It is currently trading below the $100,000 mark, an 11.4% decrease from its peak. The crypto asset’s recent trajectory has raised questions about its next move as it trades within a relatively tight range. According to CryptoQuant analyst Percival, Bitcoin is exhibiting a pattern that hints at upcoming significant market movements. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Late Longs Liquidated: Is a Breakout Finally on the Horizon? Potential Support Levels and Short-Term Indicators In a post titled “Bitcoin ready for either side,” Percival highlights the asset’s current “loading phase.” He explains that Bitcoin’s price dynamics have historically shown abrupt rises followed by prolonged periods of consolidation. The Choppiness Index—a measure used to determine whether the market is trending or consolidating—currently indicates instability, with daily and weekly readings at 62 and 72, respectively. Percival notes that this is a sign of impending volatility. Over the past 90 days, Bitcoin’s range has fluctuated within a band of roughly 16%, suggesting mounting pressure for a breakout. Percival outlines key price levels that could act as support if Bitcoin’s price declines further. The Short Term Holders Cost Base, located at $92,000, is the first significant support level. If that fails, the next support zone lies between $80,000 and $89,000, aligning with the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA). These levels could provide critical price floors as traders assess whether the current downtrend is nearing an end. The analyst also examines the short-term Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), a metric that helps gauge whether coins moving on-chain are being sold at a profit or loss. Currently sitting just below 1, the SOPR suggests the market is near equilibrium. Percival compares the current scenario to August 2023, when a similar setup preceded significant price movements. At that time, low volatility cleared out traders with positions in the wrong direction before a major rally ensued. Today’s conditions—marked by a test zone near 0.99—suggest that sudden price swings could trigger liquidations and short-term panic. Bitcoin Market Sentiment and Next Steps Overall, Percival points out that Bitcoin’s market structure often involves false moves before establishing a clear trend. Breakout traders positioned near the current levels could find their positions shaken out before a sustained directional move materializes. This pattern highlights the importance of caution, particularly for traders attempting to time the market’s next breakout. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is currently trading at $96,265 after seeing a 1% decrease in the past day. According to a renowned crypto analyst, Ali on X, the asset is likely to see a notable rebound in the near term based on its TD sequential indicator flashing a buy signal. After accurately timing the recent local top, the TD Sequential indicator is now flashing a buy signal on the #Bitcoin $BTC 4-hour chart, suggesting a potential price rebound! pic.twitter.com/3IzinRirxo — Ali (@ali_charts) February 17, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has shown some resilience after weeks of consistent price declines, recording a slight upward move in the past day. However, the recovery has not been sufficient to reverse the prevailing bearish sentiment, with the cryptocurrency still trading below the key psychological level of $100,000. Notably, according to a recent insight shared by a CryptoQuant analyst known as Crypto Dan, this latest uptick from Bitcoin might just be an early sign of stabilization. Related Reading: Bitcoin On The Brink Of A Massive Short Squeeze, Expert Warns Market Indicators Show Room for Growth In Crypto Dan’s latest analysis titled “Crypto Market – The Bull Cycle Isn’t Over Yet,” Dan discussed several indicators suggesting that the current market phase still has room for growth. Notably, he highlighted that Bitcoin’s valuation metrics remain below historical overvaluation levels, and other market conditions point to potential upside in the longer term. According to Dan, the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio, a metric that measures whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued relative to its historical performance, remains well below the peaks seen in prior bull cycles. This indicates that Bitcoin might still have substantial upward potential. #Bitcoin $BTC momentum has shifted, signaling a possible trend reversal! pic.twitter.com/vfxoJaIfkT — Ali (@ali_charts) February 13, 2025 Dan also noted that certain hallmark signs of a market top—such as a surge in new capital inflows typically associated with altcoin season—have yet to materialize, suggesting that the bull cycle may still be in progress. In addition, Dan pointed to recent macro-level developments, such as the approval of spot ETFs and the early stages of pro-Bitcoin policies under former President Trump’s administration. These factors, he argued, could help boost confidence in the cryptocurrency market, providing the foundation for a sustained recovery. Bitcoin Market Performance Bitcoin is currently trading for $95,999, at the time of writing following a drop of nearly 10% in the past two weeks. Although the asset has managed to see a slight uptick of 1% in the past day, it remains below the $100,000 price mark. At current market prices, BTC is roughly an 11.5% decrease away from its all-time high (ATH) above $109,000 recorded in January. Interestingly, despite the decline in BTC, its daily trading volume has seen an opposite trend. Particularly, over the past few days, this metric was able to see a noticeable surge increase from below $25 billion as of February 9 to now sitting above $37 billion, as of today. Related Reading: Bitcoin Funding Rate Turns Neutral On Top Exchanges: What Happened Last Time Aside from Dan’s BTC MVRV ratio’s bullish indication, other analysts have shared their technical perspective on Bitcoin disclosing that a major rally is on the horizon. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has faced persistent challenges in recent weeks, struggling to maintain a stable upward momentum. After recently slipping below $100,000, the cryptocurrency now hovers around the $95,000 mark, causing uncertainty among investors. Despite these setbacks, some analysts see signs that the market’s bull cycle may still have room to run. CryptoQuant contributor MAC_D recently examined the current state of Bitcoin’s realized market capitalization, offering insights into what might lie ahead for the asset. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Struggle Below $100K: Could These Market Signals Trigger the Next Rally? Bitcoin Realized Cap as a Bullish Indicator According to Mac’s analysis, Bitcoin’s realized market capitalization—calculated by summing the value of each Bitcoin based on its last recorded transaction price—has reached an all-time high, surpassing $857 billion. This increase occurred even as Bitcoin’s price experienced a downturn. Traditionally, a rising realized cap indicates that coins are being sold by long-term holders and absorbed by new investors. This redistribution cycle often reflects a healthy, ongoing bull market rather than the end of one. Mac noted that the proportion of long-term holders who have held Bitcoin for more than six months currently stands at 39.74%, compared to 15.66% during the previous market peak. This higher percentage suggests that long-term holders remain active, and the market has yet to reach its zenith. While the data indicates that the bull cycle continues, external factors such as trade tensions and inflation could still influence short-term corrections. However, Mac believes these macroeconomic elements won’t derail the market’s long-term upward trajectory. The analyst wrote: The increase in realized market cap and the decrease in long-term holder ratio indicate that the market is still in a bull cycle. However, investors should also consider macroeconomic factors such as trade tensions and inflation. While these factors may lead to short-term corrections and periods of price stability, the long-term upward trend is expected to persist. Retail Activity Shows Signs of Revival In addition to realized cap metrics, other market indicators also suggest potential positive developments. Another CryptoQuant analyst, caueconomy, highlighted retail investor behavior as a key factor to watch. While retail demand for Bitcoin has been muted over the past month—declining by just 2% compared to a steeper 20% drop in January—there are signs that this normalization period is ending. Historically, increases in retail activity have coincided with improved market sentiment and short-term price rallies. If retail participation resumes, it could strengthen Bitcoin’s market structure and contribute to a broader recovery. Although Bitcoin’s current consolidation phase has tempered its recent performance, these underlying metrics provide some optimism for investors. Related Reading: Bitcoin OTC Balances Decline, Raising Market Supply Questions The data suggests that both long-term and retail participants remain engaged, setting the stage for potential growth once the market regains momentum. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s recent performance has left the market in a state of uncertainty. Trading below the $100,000 mark for days now, the cryptocurrency seems to be grappling with a lack of upward momentum. Market participants seem to be questioning the forces holding back a more pronounced rally. Amid this challenging backdrop, some on-chain metrics and market indicators are beginning to offer potential insights into what might come next. Related Reading: Bitcoin OTC Balances Decline, Raising Market Supply Questions Bitcoin’s Taker Buy-Sell Ratio Indicates Potential Shift ShayanBTC, a contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, has offered an analysis centered on the taker buy-sell ratio. His insights suggest that a key metric in the futures market could signal a potential turn in Bitcoin’s momentum. The taker buy-sell ratio measures whether buyers or sellers are more aggressively placing market orders. When this metric trends above 1.0, it typically indicates stronger buying pressure, while a value below 1.0 suggests that sellers are dominating. According to Shayan, recent shifts in this ratio could have significant implications. In his latest post titled “Bitcoin Taker Buy-Sell Ratio Reversal: A Bullish Signal for Market Momentum?” Shayan highlighted a reversal in the metric’s 14-day moving average. Following a prolonged decline, the ratio has now begun to rise. “This shift suggests that buyers are regaining strength and could soon take control of the futures market,” he explained. If this upward trend continues, breaking past the critical 1.0 threshold, it could indicate that buying pressure is finally outpacing selling, potentially setting the stage for a renewed bullish rally. Whale Activity and Spot Exchange Trends Meanwhile, another significant factor in Bitcoin current market is the activity of Bitcoin whales. Grizzly, another CryptoQuant analyst, highlights that the Exchange Whale Ratio has reached a multi-year high. This metric measures the proportion of the top 10 inflows to spot exchanges relative to total inflows, and its recent upward trajectory highlights increased activity among large-scale investors. Historically, a decline in whale deposits on spot exchanges has often preceded a bullish Bitcoin rally. The reasoning is that when these major holders reduce their asset inflows, it can indicate diminished selling pressure. With the Exchange Whale Ratio remaining elevated, it is worth closely monitoring for any signs of a reversal. If whales begin withdrawing rather than depositing large amounts of Bitcoin, it could set the stage for broader market recovery and renewed confidence among smaller investors. Related Reading: Bitcoin Funding Rate Turns Neutral On Top Exchanges: What Happened Last Time At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades below $96,000 with a current price of $95,102. This trading price brings BTC down by 1.8% in the past and roughly a 12.6% decrease away from its peak above $109,000 established in January. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TrafdingView

Ethereum price action amid the broader crypto market bearish sentiment over recent weeks hasn’t been any different from the performance recorded in the past months. Over this period, Ethereum’s price has struggled to gain significant upward momentum, remaining in a prolonged consolidation phase. Amid this, a recent analysis by CryptoQuant contributor MAC_D has shed light on Ethereum’s current state and factors that may influence its future price trajectory. The analysis notes that Ethereum’s “ultrasound money” narrative—an idea tied to its post-Merge deflationary tokenomics—has faced challenges. Total supply has reached record highs, and the staking ratio has decreased by 1% since November. However, despite these supply-side hurdles, several demand-side factors suggest Ethereum might be positioned for long-term growth. Related Reading: Ethereum Outflows On Derivative Exchanges Hit Record Lows: What It Means for ETH Undervaluation, Holder Behavior, and Institutional Interest One other key insight from the analysis is that Ethereum appears undervalued based on its realized price. The realized price reflects the average acquisition cost of ETH holdings across all wallets, currently sitting at approximately $2,200. With the current market price around $2,600, the analyst calculates a market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio slightly above 1, indicating that ETH remains undervalued relative to historical norms. This level could act as a strong support base, potentially limiting further downside. Another factor supporting Ethereum’s potential upside is the behavior of long-term holders. The analysis highlights an increasing number of addresses that accumulate Ethereum without selling, akin to Bitcoin’s “permanent holders.” Although some larger investors have sold during recent downturns, their positions have been absorbed by these long-term holders, helping stabilize the market. This trend suggests that Ethereum’s investor base is maturing, with a growing segment committed to holding the asset through market volatility. Ethereum: A Major Rebound On The Horizon? Furthermore, the analyst points out that selling pressure in the futures market has eased. Data shows a notable reduction in market price trading volume on the sell side since Ethereum’s price near $4,000 in November last year. This decline in selling activity, even as prices fell, signals a relative influx of buying power, which could set the stage for a recovery if market conditions improve. Institutional participation is another encouraging factor. Major players, including BlackRock, Cumberland, and other prominent firms, have reportedly accumulated substantial amounts of ETH during the recent downturn. For example, BlackRock is said to have purchased over 100,000 ETH, valued at more than $270 million. Such significant institutional inflows not only boost demand but also lend credibility to Ethereum’s long-term investment thesis. Despite these positive indicators, the analysis acknowledges lingering challenges. The increase in total supply and the slight dip in the staking ratio could weigh on sentiment, particularly if macroeconomic conditions remain uncertain. Related Reading: Analyst Says You’ll Regret Not Buying Ethereum At These Prices, Here’s Where It’s Headed Moreover, Ethereum’s price movement may remain constrained in the short term as the broader market digests ongoing economic shifts. However, the combination of undervaluation, strong long-term holder participation, reduced selling pressure, and institutional accumulation paints a more optimistic medium- to long-term outlook. While Ethereum may continue to trade sideways in the near term, the factors outlined in the analysis suggest that it could be well-positioned for growth once broader market conditions stabilize. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Toncoin (TON), which once saw significant hype leading to consistent new highs, has struggled to regain upward momentum. After a series of steady declines in the past week, the asset’s price has now slipped below the $4 mark, leaving investors concerned about its near-term potential. This prolonged downtrend has caused speculation about whether TON might be approaching a crucial turning point that could result in a major reversal in price. Related Reading: Is Toncoin Set for a Comeback? Key Market Signals Point to a Possible Rebound TON’s NMR Hits Rock Bottom: A Golden Opportunity for Investors? Amid the bearish trend, Joao Wedson, a contributor on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake Platform, recently highlighted some intriguing insights. In a recent post, titled “TON Reaches NMR Lows: A Signal for Medium- to Long-Term Accumulation,” Wedson explained that the Normalized Metric Risk (NMR) for TON has hit its lowest levels yet. This indicator assesses the asset’s valuation by comparing its current price against weighted moving averages, including 50-day and 374-day averages. By factoring in logarithmic differences and time-weighted adjustments, the NMR offers a deeper perspective on TON’s market standing. Wedson’s analysis suggests that TON’s current low valuation phase could present a potential opportunity for investors. According to his findings, the NMR’s historic low levels indicate that the token might be undervalued. TON Reaches NMR Lows: A Signal for Medium to Long-Term Accumulation “This indicator, which evaluates the relationship between the current price and weighted moving averages… reveals that the TON token is in a historically low valuation phase.” – By @joao_wedson pic.twitter.com/P8ckhnSFck — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) February 11, 2025 For those who adopt a medium- to long-term investment horizon, this may be an opportune moment to begin accumulating TON, with the expectation that its price will appreciate over time. However, it’s worth noting that such a strategy is not without risks. While historically low valuation metrics may hint at future growth, the broader market conditions and TON’s overall adoption will play critical roles in determining whether this approach pays off. Toncoin Price Performance And Outlook Meanwhile, Toncoin is currently trading at $3.78—this market price marks not only a 1.1% decline for Toncoin in the past 24 hours but also adds to the prolonged bearish trend in TON in recent weeks marking a 22.5% drop in TON price over the past two weeks. Notably, so far, TON has fallen roughly 54% from its all-time high of $8.25 registered in January last year. Interestingly, despite this bearishness, another CryptoQuant analyst known as Darkfost has highlighted a bullish indicator for TON. Related Reading: Toncoin Stabilizes Above $5: Is Now The Time To Buy TON? According to Darkfost, TON’s risk appetite has soared, “signaling an influx of liquidity into the TON ecosystem.” ???? Risk Appetite Soars Among $TON Speculators ???? We are currently witnessing a historic high in risky investments, such as derivatives, options, and lending, on TonCoin. This suggests that speculative investors have increased their risk exposure to TON following the recent… pic.twitter.com/HCQ1va4VOV — Darkfost (@Darkfost_Coc) February 11, 2025   Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has experienced a challenging period recently, with its price consistently declining over the past several days. After failing to maintain its position above the six-figure mark, the leading cryptocurrency now trades below $97,000. At the time of writing, BTC trades at a price of $96,939, marking a 0.8% decline in the past day and a 10.9% decrease from its peak established in January. This downturn comes amid several underlying factors that are also related to on-chain developments. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Exchange Reserves Plunge—Are We On The Brink Of A Rebound? Bitcoin OTC Balances Decline: The Implications One notable trend has been recently highlighted by CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost, concerning the sharp decline in Bitcoin’s over-the-counter (OTC) desk balance. Notably, institutional players—such as hedge funds, governments, and large corporations—have traditionally relied on OTC desks to acquire Bitcoin without impacting the broader market. However, Darkfost points out that since September 2021, the OTC balance has dropped from approximately 480,000 BTC to just 146,000 BTC as of now. Bitcoin OTC Desk balance is declining sharply “In September 2021 the OTC desk balance was around 480k BTC and today it sits at 146k BTC left.” – By @Darkfost_Coc Read more ????https://t.co/RCNlSeauDT pic.twitter.com/S0P2jLu8ta — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) February 10, 2025 He notes that even after Bitcoin hit $100,000, the OTC desk balance continued to fall, reflecting steady demand. This declining balance raises questions about where these institutional buyers will source Bitcoin when the remaining OTC supply is depleted. The analyst added: When this balance will be fully empty, all buying will have to occur directly on exchanges, which could significantly impact BTC’s price. By looking at the sell side liquidity inventory, we can observe that US exchanges currently hold almost 1M BTC. Miners could also sell their BTC via OTC, but their current balance is around 117k BTC, and not all miners rely on OTC transactions. Miners and Hash Rate Trends Darkfost also highlights another key market factor: miner capitulation. Mining activity, measured through indicators like the Hash Ribbons, provides valuable insight into the health of Bitcoin’s network. The Hash Ribbons track hash rate fluctuations, and according to Darkfost, they have historically served as a reliable signal of market entry points. While this indicator has only failed once—during the COVID-19 market shock—its current flashing suggests that miners might be capitulating. According to Darkfost, when miners struggle, they may sell off reserves, further influencing market supply and demand dynamics. Miners are capitulating! “This indicator consistently highlights optimal entry zones, both for mid-term positioning and long-term accumulation. Each time Hash Ribbons has flashed in the past, a Bitcoin rally has followed.” – By @Darkfost_Coc Link ????https://t.co/s0mwgeKiOc pic.twitter.com/Xxuwx4HyRz — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) February 11, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is now experiencing a break from last week’s steady decline, which saw the asset drop as low as $94,000. As of today, BTC’s price has steadily climbed, hovering above $97,000 at the time of writing—a 1.3% gain in the past day. Amid this Bitcoin price performance, a CryptoQuant analyst known as Crypto Lion has identified a meaningful decline in leverage and open interest (OI) ratios since November 21, following the presidential election. What does this indicate for the Bitcoin market? Related Reading: Could Fear Fuel Bitcoin’s Comeback? Analyst Spots a Surprising Pattern Leverage Ratio Decrease And Its Implications In a recent QuickTake post titled “Leverage ratio decreased. Risk Off,” Crypto Lion explained that the leverage ratio of Bitcoin has fallen, along with the derivatives buy-sell ratio and the OI-to-market-cap ratio. This suggests a gradual unwinding of leverage as more Bitcoin leaves centralized exchanges (CEXs). The analyst also highlighted that much of this Bitcoin has shifted to Coinbase Prime or been used to back exchange-traded funds (ETFs), indicating a shift toward long-term holding and possibly a broader “risk-off” stance among large investors. The analyst particularly wrote: The large decrease in the leverage ratio means that OI is decreasing relative to the CEX BTC reserve. It is important to note that the CEX reserve has been declining for a long time and has been moved to the coinbase prime and bought to back ETFs. This means that risk-off may be more advanced than it appears. Bitcoin Exchange Outflows Reach 2022 Levels Adding to this narrative, another CryptoQuant analyst, Papi, reported a significant development in Bitcoin’s exchange dynamics. According to Papi, the largest net outflow of Bitcoin from exchanges since 2022 occurred last week, reducing the supply of Bitcoin on these platforms by 3%. The last time outflows reached a comparable scale was shortly after the collapse of FTX, a major exchange event that reshaped market sentiment. This latest exodus of Bitcoin from exchanges may signal growing confidence among institutional players and long-term holders. Despite recent price fluctuations, large buyers appear to be “stacking on dips,” as Papi noted. This behavior suggests that these entities anticipate future price appreciation and are accumulating while prices remain comparatively low. Related Reading: Bitcoin Indicator Signals Short-Term Holders Have Been Taking Profits – Is The Next Rally Near? The shift of funds off exchanges into private wallets or institutional custody often reflects a strategy of long-term holding rather than short-term trading, potentially providing a stable foundation for future market growth. Looking ahead, the reduced leverage ratios, coupled with significant outflows from exchanges, could point to a more cautious yet optimistic market sentiment. If these patterns continue, they may set the stage for a more sustained recovery in Bitcoin’s price and a shift toward healthier market conditions over time. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

The Bitcoin price appears to have settled within the $92,000 – $102,000 consolidation range, sparking discussions about the coin’s future trajectory. While it remains unclear whether the premier cryptocurrency has enough momentum to forge new all-time highs soon, it would take significant bearish pressure to pull down the BTC price. Nevertheless, the latest on-chain data shows a specific level that could be crucial to the Bitcoin price in the short term. Here’s How $96,000 Could Be Critical To BTC Price In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, an analyst with the pseudonym ShayanBTC explained how the realized price of a certain investor class could influence the Bitcoin price trajectory in the short-to-mid term. This analysis revolves around the Realized Price of Unspent Transaction Output (UTXO) age bands, which evaluate the holding pattern of different investor cohorts through different realized prices. The UTXO age bands metric measures the average price at which Bitcoin holders purchased their coins compared to how long they’ve held the assets. The relevant age band in ShayanBTC’s analysis is the 1-month to 3-month group, which offers insight into “short-term holders’ behavior and overall market sentiment.” Related Reading: Dogecoin Whales Desert Market: Number Of $100,000 Transactions Nosedives 70% According to the Quicktake analyst, the realized price of Bitcoin holders in this short-term investor cohort has historically served as critical support levels. Historically, the Bitcoin price has often found a cushion above this realized price, suggesting that investors are doubling down on their positions. Recent data from CryptoQuant shows that the Bitcoin price is currently holding above the realized price of the 1-3 month cohort. As of this writing, this UTXO age band’s average purchase price is around the $96,000 mark. ShayanBTC highlighted the importance of the Bitcoin price holding above $96,000 in maintaining the current bullish narrative. “Holding above this key level reinforces a bullish market sentiment, increasing the likelihood of an extended upward trend,” the Quicktake analyst noted. On the flip side, a breach beneath the crucial $96,000 support could trigger a shift in investor sentiment from confidence to fear. Ultimately, the failure of this crucial level could force some investors to distribute their coins, threatening the upward trajectory of the BTC price. Bitcoin Price Stays Above $96k As of this writing, Bitcoin is valued at around $96,500, reflecting no significant move in the past 24 hours. After starting the week above $100,000, the flagship cryptocurrency quickly fell toward $92,000 due to bearish pressure triggered by new US trade policies. According to CoinGecko data, the price of BTC is down by nearly 4% in the past week. Related Reading: 49,700 Dormant Bitcoin Just Moved—What’s Next For BTC’s Price? Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin price in recent days seems to have dimmed investor’s confidence in the asset for now with the community seeing less buzz as BTC sees fewer green days.  Regardless of this, some analysts are still eager to analyze BTC and its major metric to at least get a perspective on if there’s hope around the corner. An instance is a CryptoQuant analyst known under the pseudonym ‘Avocado Onchain’ who recently shared an insight on BTC focusing on Binance funding rates. Funding rates, which represent the cost of holding long or short positions in the futures market, can provide insight into market sentiment. A decrease in funding rates often suggests growing pessimism, as traders who previously held bullish positions are forced to cover their positions due to mounting losses. This shift in sentiment can have cascading effects, leading to mass liquidations and further price declines. Related Reading: Bitcoin Volatility ‘Relatively Low’ Despite Market Shakeouts – Analysts Eye This Crucial Level Binance’s Funding Rates And Potential for Rebound Avocado, has recently examined the implications of Binance’s funding rates in a post titled “Monitoring Binance Funding Rates: Will Bitcoin Rebound After Extreme Fear?” According to the analysis, a notable wave of long position liquidations occurred recently, leaving the market in a state of extreme fear. Funding rates on Binance, a platform known for its large retail investor base, have shown a pattern that may hint at future price movements. Historically, negative funding rates on Binance have been relatively rare, but when they do occur, they have often preceded significant price rebounds. Avocado suggests that this dynamic is linked to the behavior of retail traders, who dominate Binance’s trading volume. When these traders display heightened fear—manifested through negative funding rates—Bitcoin has tended to defy the prevailing sentiment and recover. The analyst also pointed out that during past bull markets, Bitcoin’s price has rebounded after hitting negative funding rates triggered by large-scale liquidations. This historical pattern could indicate that, while the current market environment appears grim, further declines in funding rates might signal a reversal. Essentially, if negative funding rates reappear on Binance, it may suggest that the market has reached a point of capitulation, often a precursor to a sustained recovery. Bitcoin Market Performance Meanwhile, Bitcoin has continued to face challenges in its upward momentum. Although the asset briefly rebounded to $100,000 earlier today following a mixed US jobs report, it quickly lost ground and was unable to sustain this recovery. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $98,226, reflecting a modest 1.8% gain in the past day. Interestingly, while Bitcoin’s price was higher at this time last week, today’s trading volume surpasses last week’s levels. Notably, so far, BTC’s daily trading volume climbed from $34 billion last Friday to over $55 billion today. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s price performance remains subdued, with the cryptocurrency trading above $97,000 at the time of writing—a roughly 6.5% decline over the past week. The crypto asset has yet to reclaim the $100,000 level it lost earlier this week, leaving market participants uncertain about the near-term direction. Amid this backdrop, one CryptoQuant contributor, known as caueconomy, provided an analysis of a significant development involving Bitcoin’s exchange withdrawals. Related Reading: Bitcoin Still In Bull Market, On-Chain Indicator Confirms Largest Exchange Withdrawals Since FTX Collapse In a recent post, caueconomy highlighted the largest volume of exchange withdrawals since the FTX collapse. According to the data, over 47,000 BTC were removed from exchange reserves. While some of these movements may be internal, they also indicate potential accumulation by a large market player or institutional entity. This trend of Bitcoin moving off exchanges typically signals a long-term bullish perspective, as fewer coins available for trading may lead to reduced sell-side pressure over time. However, the analyst clarified that this shift does not produce an immediate supply shock capable of impacting Bitcoin’s price in the short term. Instead, it points to a gradual accumulation phase that could provide support for future price appreciation. The largest volume of exchange withdrawals since the collapse of FTX “While these withdrawals do not reflect an immediate “supply shock” to the price of bitcoin… it still reveals a trend of accumulation by large players.” – By @caueconomy Full post ????https://t.co/ZjYBijDOZp pic.twitter.com/ZEWj95wtfD — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) February 7, 2025 Bitcoin Breakout On The Horizon? Meanwhile, another CryptoQuant analyst, Onatt, offered insights into potential breakout scenarios for Bitcoin. Onatt pointed to the strong buying interest captured in the Coinbase Premium Index, a measure that compares Bitcoin’s price on Coinbase to other exchanges. A positive premium often reflects heightened demand from institutional investors, suggesting that the market’s upward potential is intact. Onatt also noted the crossover of key moving averages—SMA14 and SMA60—indicating a possible build-up of bullish momentum. The analyst further highlighted Bitcoin’s increasing correlation with gold and the S&P 500, indicating that the cryptocurrency’s performance may align more closely with traditional risk assets. If the broader financial markets adopt a “risk-on” sentiment, Bitcoin could see an upward trend. Related Reading: Bitcoin Network Activity Slumps To One-Year Low – Is BTC Overpriced? Additionally, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s recent comments regarding the limited impact of employment data on inflation have helped stabilize market expectations. As long as economic data remains within forecasted ranges, positive sentiment toward Bitcoin and other risk assets may continue to grow. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is experiencing a challenging period, with its price remaining below the $100,000 mark after a significant drop earlier this week. Today, Bitcoin hovers just above $98,000, marking a nearly 10% decline from its all-time high of over $109,000 recorded last month. Interestingly, while BTC’s price has slowed, its exchange reserve has faced the same fate, with data showing a continuous decline from this metric. Related Reading: 49,700 Dormant Bitcoin Just Moved—What’s Next For BTC’s Price? Does This Suggest An Incoming Rebound For Bitcoin? ShayanBTC, one contributor to the CryptoQuant QuickTae platform, particularly pointed out this trend in a post titled “Bitcoin Exchange Reserves Plunge: Is Supply Shock Driving the Next Rally.” According to Shayan, there is a chance that this reserve plunge will become favorable for BTC in the near term. In the post, Shayan disclosed that exchange reserves—the amount of Bitcoin held on trading platforms—have steadily decreased. This trend often signals an accumulation phase by investors, as more market participants withdraw their BTC from exchanges to secure long-term holdings. This reduced circulating supply can create a “supply shock,” potentially driving higher prices in the coming weeks. “As shown in the chart, Bitcoin’s exchange reserves have been on an aggressive decline, signaling an accumulation phase by investors,” Shayan explained. The analyst added: Given that exchange reserves serve as a supply-side indicator, this persistent decline could contribute to further price appreciation in the coming weeks. Bitcoin Exchange Reserves Plunge “As shown in the chart, Bitcoin’s exchange reserves have been on an aggressive decline, signaling an accumulation phase by investors.” – By @ShayanBTC7 Full post ????https://t.co/xxyCDSg3Vw pic.twitter.com/ntVY7AuDpD — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) February 6, 2025 Coinbase Premium Reaches 0 Zone Besides the exchange reserves, another important metric worth looking at to get the full picture of BTC’s likely trajectory in the near term is the Coinbase premium index. This index measures the price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase, often a go-to platform for institutional investors, and other exchanges. A positive premium can indicate strong buying pressure on Coinbase, signaling institutional demand. The latest data shows that in recent days, the Coinbase Premium Index broke through the critical “0” resistance level with substantial volume, an occurrence that traders closely monitor. TraderOasis, another CryptoQuant analyst, highlighted that this breakout area also functions as a support/resistance level, making it a crucial point of interest. Related Reading: Key Indicator Signals DCA Opportunity Amid Bitcoin Buyer Momentum A sustained positive premium might indicate continued institutional accumulation, which could boost Bitcoin’s price recovery. Conversely, a failure to hold this level could suggest lingering bearish sentiment or a potential for further declines. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

According to a recent CryptoQuant Research post, Bitcoin (BTC) network activity has slumped to a 12-month low, with CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Network Activity Index currently at its lowest level since February 2024. Bitcoin Network Activity Drops As Market Consolidates Data from CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Network Activity Index shows that activity has declined by 15% from its peak in November 2024. As of February 5, the Index stands at 3,760, marking its lowest level in the past year. Related Reading: Bitcoin 4-Hour RSI Hits Oversold Zone – Is A BTC Rebound Near? The decline in network activity is primarily attributed to a sharp drop in the number of transactions on the Bitcoin network. From an all-time high (ATH) of 734,000 transactions in September 2024, the total daily transaction count has fallen by 53% to 346,000. According to CryptoQuant, this downturn in BTC network activity is largely driven by a decline in the use of the Runes Protocol for minting tokens on the blockchain. The post explains: This is evident in the total daily number of OP RETURN codes in Bitcoin transactions, which the RUNES protocol uses to write data about token mints and transfers on the network. When the RUNES protocol emerged in April 2024, the daily number of OP RETURN codes spiked to 802K. However, the number of OP RETURN code has plummeted since, with only 10K OP RETURN codes used. For the uninitiated, The Runes Protocol is a new token standard for BTC, designed to enable fungible token creation directly on the network without requiring off-chain data or complex smart contracts. It aims to be more efficient and scalable than previous Bitcoin tokenization methods like Ordinals and BRC-20. Further evidence of reduced network activity is visible in Bitcoin mempool traffic. The total number of pending transactions waiting to be confirmed in a Bitcoin block has plummeted by 99%, from 287,000 in December 2024 to just 3,000 as of February 5, 2025. Notably, this is the lowest level of mempool traffic since March 2022. Is BTC Overvalued At Current Price? The analysis suggests that, based on network activity, Bitcoin’s fair value currently falls between $48,000 and $95,000. This implies that BTC’s current market price of around $98,000 may be overvalued. Related Reading: Bitcoin Withstands DeepSeek Dip And FOMC Volatility – How Close Is A New ATH? However, another CryptoQuant contributor argues that the current Bitcoin price presents a strong buying opportunity for investors looking to dollar-cost average their holdings. Similarly, another analyst suggests that BTC’s recent market performance indicates it is in the distribution phase of the market cycle. Despite short-term concerns, the long-term outlook for BTC remains bullish. A Standard Chartered executive recently predicted that Bitcoin could reach $200,000 by the end of 2025. At press time, BTC trades at $97,914, down 0.1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum has continued to face headwinds, mirroring the broader downward trend in the global cryptocurrency market. The persistent market slump has made it challenging for ETH to sustain upward momentum, even as it attempts to recover from recent losses. Interestingly, it appears there might be some notable factors behind the scenes influencing Ethereum’s price movements, particularly the exchange netflows on derivative platforms. Related Reading: Ethereum Leverage Elevated Despite Long Squeeze, Glassnode Says Ethereum Faces Record Outflow: Implications Amr Taha, a contributor on the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform, recently offered insights into the Ethereum market’s ongoing dynamics. In a detailed post on the QuickTake platform, Taha noted that Ethereum’s netflow on derivative exchanges dropped below -300,000 ETH for the first time since August 2023. This significant shift, according to Taha, holds potential implications for price direction and market structure. Taha outlined several key factors to consider when assessing the impact of ETH outflows on pricing. First, when large amounts of ETH leave derivative exchanges, it often signals that traders are either closing leveraged positions or transferring funds to cold storage. This reduction in available supply can alleviate selling pressure, creating conditions that are favorable for a price increase—provided demand remains stable or grows. However, the nature of these outflows can lead to short-term market volatility. If the withdrawals are driven by the liquidation of leveraged long positions, the market may experience a temporary reset. While this can dampen buying demand in the short term, it often results in a healthier and more balanced market structure over time. Current Liquidity Stance And Key Metrics to Watch Additionally, Taha highlighted the significance of liquidity conditions in the broader financial system. Using a metric known as Fed Net Liquidity—which subtracts the Treasury General Account (TGA) and Reverse Repo (RRP) from the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet—he pointed out that rising liquidity levels often have a bullish effect on risk assets. Recently, the metric increased from 5.85 trillion to 5.95 trillion, suggesting more capital is available to flow into markets such as cryptocurrency. Historically, higher net liquidity correlates with increased asset prices, potentially benefiting Ethereum’s outlook. Furthermore, one of the more immediate indicators to monitor according to Taha is Ethereum’s liquidation map. Taha observed that certain price levels might force short positions into capitulation if ETH continues to climb. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Sets Its Sights on Higher Levels: Can Bulls Maintain Momentum? This could serve as a trigger for further upward movement if market conditions remain favorable. Additionally, the trajectory of net liquidity will remain an essential factor, as its direction often signals the broader sentiment toward risk assets. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin recent price movements have been nothing short of a rollercoaster ride. Earlier this week, BTC traded below $90,000 and quickly bounced back to above $100,000. As of today, the asset now hovers above $98,000. Amid this price performance, CryptoQuant contributor XBTManager has provided insights into an important on-chain metric, highlighting a notable shift in the 6-12 month spent output age bands. This activity sheds light on possible market dynamics and future price developments. Related Reading: Why Bitcoin’s Price Crash Could Be a Buying Opportunity for Big Players Analyzing Bitcoin’s Spent Output Age Bands The 6-12 month spent output age band reveals instances where long-held Bitcoin is moved, offering a glimpse into shifting market behavior. According to XBTManager, a significant amount—49,700 BTC—has recently been spent in this category today. Such substantial movement can often precede market volatility, as it may signal larger holders or dormant wallets re-entering active circulation. This sudden activity raises questions about how the market might react. Historically, large movements in older Bitcoin holdings can create temporary selling pressure. If these coins are sold, it can lead to short-term further price drops, potentially causing retail investors to panic. However, this downward trend can also set the stage for a rebound, with prices recovering as buyers absorb the new supply. The analyst wrote: A large portion of these Bitcoins is expected to be sold in the coming days, potentially creating selling pressure in the market. This could cause retail investors to panic and sell at lower prices. Subsequently, prices might be pushed back up, enabling these Bitcoins to be sold to retail investors at higher prices. Therefore, such movements can be seen as signs of market manipulation. Investors should remain cautious about potential market fluctuations in the coming days. Bitcoin Market Performance Meanwhile, Bitcoin continues to face selling pressure, with the asset unable to sustain a notable rebound or reclaim key levels. So far, Bitcoin has seen quite a plunge dropping roughly 10% from its all-time high above $109,000 registered in January. Related Reading: Bitcoin Traders Fearful For First Time Since October: Buying Signal? In the past week, the asset has also declined 3.5% bringing its price to trade at $98,485, at the time of writing down by 0.5% in the past day. This price decline in BTC has affected the broader crypto market significantly with over $3 billion liquidated in the crypto market in just the past few days. Interestingly, despite this negative price performance from BTC, the asset’s daily trading volume has however seen an opposite trend recording an increase from below $40 billion this time last week to sitting above $58 billion as of today. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin price performance over the past week has been marked by volatility and mixed signals for investors. After briefly rising above the $100,000 price mark on Tuesday, BTC has since fallen back and now hovers just above $99,000. The rebound that initially raised market sentiment appears to have been short-lived, as the cryptocurrency struggles to regain the upward momentum needed to break through higher resistance levels. Related Reading: Why Bitcoin’s Price Crash Could Be a Buying Opportunity for Big Players Bitcoin Smart DCA Flashes—What This Means While BTC faces these ups and downs, Darkfost, a contributor on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, highlighted a potential opportunity for investors employing a dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy. According to Darkfost, the Smart DCA indicator was recently triggered, suggesting that current price levels may be a “favorable” entry point for those looking to accumulate BTC over time. Darkfost explained that by comparing Bitcoin’s average price to its short-term realized price—ranging from one week to one month—this indicator aims to identify optimal zones for long-term accumulation. The analyst added: When executed properly, a DCA strategy can generate substantial returns in the short, mid, or long term, depending on the investor’s goals. However, this indicator should be used alongside other metrics and a broader market analysis for optimal accuracy and effectiveness. Signs of Bullish Momentum Emerge While short-term price fluctuations have rattled some investors, other analysts point to underlying trends that hint at bullish potential. Another CryptoQuant analyst, Onatt, observed that buyer activity is beginning to outweigh selling pressure. Related Reading: After The Bitcoin Crash: Will It Rise Or Drop Again? 5 Key Indicators Using data from Coinbase, Onatt noted a visible premium indicating strong demand for Bitcoin, even in the face of recent volatility. Furthermore, negative funding rates—driven by approximately $2 billion in long liquidations—suggest a market environment where buyers are taking advantage of discounted prices to position themselves for a potential upward movement. Onatt also explained: Bitcoin’s upward momentum remains likely as long as USDT dominance stays below 4.65%, signaling continued market confidence and potential for further recovery. Adding to this sentiment, analyst Ali identified a critical demand zone for Bitcoin between $96,475 and $99,360. According to Ali, as long as this range holds as a support level, the market outlook favors the bulls. A breakout above the $102,350 to $103,900 supply zone could further strengthen the bullish case, potentially setting the stage for a sustained recovery. #Bitcoin $BTC has reclaimed a critical demand zone between $96,475 and $99,360 as support. As long as this level holds, the odds favor the bulls; especially if the $102,350–$103,900 supply wall breaks. pic.twitter.com/FLpwRqYVuu — Ali (@ali_charts) February 4, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin market activity over the past day has been marked by turbulence, with its value falling to as low as $90,000 levels earlier today before rebounding to just above $94,000. Despite this partial recovery, the cryptocurrency remains down 5.8% over the past week and more than 13% below its all-time high of $109,000, reached in January. This recent price movement has led a CryptoQuant analyst to suggest that Bitcoin may be transitioning into a distribution cycle, a phase where price gains start to slow as supply shifts toward newer market participants. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Is Trading In This Bearish Flag — What’s The Downside Target? Bitcoin Transitioning From Accumulation to Distribution The analyst known as Oinonen, discussed the current state of Bitcoin’s market cycle in a recent post titled “Entering the Distribution Cycle.” Oinonen noted that after gaining 129.2% over the past year and surpassing $100,000, Bitcoin might be nearing a “cycle top.” He cited comments from Ki Young Ju, who suggested that the market is in the “early distribution phase” and could potentially see a few more quarters of growth, influenced by retail investors entering the market and broader promotional efforts. Applying Dow Theory to Bitcoin’s recent market patterns, Oinonen explained that the cryptocurrency’s market movements can be divided into accumulation and distribution phases. He pointed out that while 2022 represented a clear distribution cycle, Bitcoin transitioned into an accumulation cycle in 2023, which extended through 2024. Now, as 2025 unfolds, Bitcoin appears to be shifting back into a distribution phase. Despite this shift, Oinonen emphasized that the market still has the potential for further price discovery, citing relatively low funding rates and a lack of overleveraged conditions. Price Supports and Future Outlook Oinonen also cited Axel Adler Jr, another market observer, who shared similar sentiments, noting that Bitcoin’s current market environment is not overheated and retains the potential for additional growth under stable macroeconomic conditions. This view is supported by the ongoing institutional demand reflected in MicroStrategy’s recent Bitcoin purchases. The company has continued its pro-cyclical acquisition strategy, adding 10,107 bitcoins in early 2025 and bringing its total holdings to 471,107 BTC. Related Reading: Bitcoin Eyes $108K: Can Bulls Sustain Momentum Against Bearish Signals? This sustained institutional interest serves as a leading indicator of market confidence and highlights Bitcoin’s continued appeal as a long-term investment. Oinonen mentioned that as Bitcoin hovers near its “fair price” support level of $87,990—identified by its power-law fit—further developments should be watched out for. The analyst added: Despite the approaching distribution cycle, Bitcoin might still reach significantly higher spot price levels. Bitcoin’s funding rate is relatively low and comparable to summer 2024 levels. We’re far from an overleveraged market, and the structure supports further spot price discovery. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a significant drop, with its value plunging to $91,000 in the early hours of Monday. The decline follows unfavorable macroeconomic developments, including newly imposed US tariffs. This price movement has left investors and analysts closely scrutinizing the market for signs of a reversal or further downturn. According to a recent analysis by CryptoQuant analyst TraderOasis, Bitcoin’s decline below critical support levels has resulted in increased panic selling. Despite this, the Coinbase premium index indicates that institutional investors are continuing to accumulate BTC rather than offloading their holdings. This contrast between retail-driven selloffs and institutional accumulation suggests that larger players are using the current dip to boost their positions. Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Is Bullish But It’s Time For Caution Bitcoin Market Dynamics And Institutional Activity TraderOasis highlights several key market indicators that shed light on the current dynamics. Open interest—a measure of active trading positions—has dropped significantly, pointing to a wave of forced liquidations as leveraged traders exit their positions. Oasis wrote: A drop in funding rates suggests that market participants are taking short positions (betting on a price decrease) and that bearish sentiment is increasing. Notably, this ongoing pattern described by the analyst hints at a strategic accumulation phase by so-called “whales,” or large-scale investors. Oasis mentioned that while retail traders face stop-loss liquidations, these larger entities appear to be absorbing Bitcoin at discounted prices. This accumulation during periods of panic is not uncommon and often precedes a market recovery. Rising Liquidations and Signs of Recovery Another CryptoQuant analyst, Mignolet, echoed these observations, emphasizing the scale of recent long-position liquidations. The current liquidation volume is reportedly the highest since September 2023, with many traders caught off guard by the abrupt price drop. Mignolet compares this event to past market shocks, including the FTX collapse and the COVID-induced crash. The market has been cleaned out “BTC price drop shock has led to the largest liquidation of long positions in recent times… The market has been cleansed, and the open interest trend has finally broken down” – By @mignoletkr Link ????https://t.co/fYs10fAIo6 pic.twitter.com/27znZMRzqs — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) February 3, 2025 Related Reading: Crypto Traders Wrecked As Trump’s Tariffs Spark $2 Billion Liquidation Despite the significant liquidations, there are signs of optimism on the horizon. The Coinbase Premium Gap (CPG) data points to aggressive buying by institutional investors, who are capitalizing on the sudden influx of liquidity.  While the market remains volatile, this accumulation activity suggests that larger players anticipate a reversal soon. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

The price of Ethereum (ETH) has shown some significant change in the past day rising by 1.86%. However, according to trading data from CoinMarketCap, the popular altcoin has recorded negative growth since December 2024 despite some significant gains in the past month. Interestingly, underlying market activity points to a potential price breakout. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Spikes 5% In A Day—Will the Rally Continue? Ethereum Sees Strong Accumulation Activity Amid Price Dip Ever since touching the $4,000 price mark, Ethereum has slipped into a downtrend falling as low as $3,000. Amidst notable gains by Bitcoin in January, Ethereum continues to struggle hitting consistent lower lows during this period. However, a CryptoQuant market expert with the username Crypto Sunmoon has noted an increase in market buying volume amidst the current price dip indicating a bullish divergence in the ETH market. For context, a bullish divergence occurs when an asset’s price is making lower lows while a momentum indicator is making higher lows, thereby hinting at a potential reversal or upward movement. As for Ethereum, the increase in buying volume amid falling prices indicates a strong demand from buyers especially at the current price levels. This development further suggests a strong confidence in the asset’s profitability as investors expect buying pressure to surpass selling activity in the coming days. Based on historical data, Crypto Sunmoon predicts Ethereum may experience a price surge such as the one in May 2024 when a similar bullish divergence last occurred. During that month, ETH rose by over 21% suggesting the altcoin will likely return to $4,000 if the projected price breakout occurs, according to current market prices. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Forms Falling Wedge Pattern On 1-Day Chart That Suggests 20% Rally Is Coming ETH Long-Term Holders Signal Strong Market Confidence  In other news, IntoTheBlock reports that long-term holders of Ethereum currently boast an average holding time of 2.4 years showing massive confidence in Ethereum’s future value potential. However, Ethereum faces other issues including an absence of short-term participants which prevents ETH from experiencing significant levels of speculative trading that can drive up price appreciation. Furthermore, the rapid growth of layer 2 solutions such as Optimism, and layer 1 blockchains such as Solana are also tampering with the potential market demand and attention for Ethereum. At press time, ETH trades at $3,306 after a gain of 1.86% over the past day as earlier stated. Meanwhile, the asset’s daily trading volume has increased by 55.69% resulting in a value of $30.3 billion. On larger time frames, Ethereum is also up by 0.22% on its weekly chart but down by 2.27% on its monthly chart leaving much to desire for many short-term investors. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview

Bitcoin price has regained upward traction, trading back above $105,000 after a temporary dip below $104,000 earlier today. This 1.2% increase over the past hour reflects renewed optimism in the market. Amid this price performance, Crypto Dan, a CryptoQuant analyst has shared his analysis of on-chain data and market behaviors that may shape Bitcoin’s trajectory in the weeks and months ahead. Related Reading: Bitcoin Outflows Signal Bullish Strength As Demand Remains High At $100K – What This Means Bitcoin Bullish Market But Caution According to Dan, the amount of Bitcoin held for less than six months continues to show notable growth with each market cycle. This trend suggests that as Bitcoin’s appeal widens, new capital inflows—particularly from the expected introduction of Bitcoin spot ETFs—could further drive demand. Dan anticipates that both institutional and retail investors will ramp up their involvement as these ETFs gain traction by the first half of 2025. Additionally, while current indicators remain bullish, Crypto Dan warns that surging interest in Bitcoin and altcoins, paired with an influx of new investors, could signal that the current cycle may be nearing its peak. If Bitcoin pushes through its all-time high with significant momentum, and altcoins follow suit, it could trigger a wave of inflows that may mark the cycle’s final stages. Dan advises investors to start considering risk management strategies. The Crypto Market Remains Bullish… But It’s Time for Caution “If Bitcoin breaks through its all-time high with strong momentum and altcoins follow suit, triggering a wave of new investor inflows, it may indicate that the end of the cycle is approaching.” – By @DanCoinInvestor… pic.twitter.com/NvKB8Ly1DE — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) January 31, 2025 Diverging Inflows from Retail and Whales This cautionary note is reinforced by observations from another CryptoQuant analyst, Darkfost, who highlights a discrepancy in the behavior of retail investors and whales. According to recent Binance data, retail investors have significantly increased their BTC deposits over the past month, with inflows reaching approximately 6,000 BTC. In contrast, whale activity on Binance has dwindled, with their BTC inflows dropping to around 1,000 BTC—a fourfold decrease. Darkfost notes that retail investors often use exchanges to liquidate their holdings, whereas whales’ reduced inflows suggest they are holding onto their Bitcoin. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Enters Ascending Phase After Cup And Handle Formation At $105,000, Here’s The Next Target This contrasting behavior offers insights into broader market sentiment: retail participants appear eager to capitalize on short-term gains, while larger, more established investors maintain a more cautious stance. Historically, following whale behavior rather than retail trends has provided a more reliable signal for long-term market moves. Darkfost highlighted this noting: This is a perfect example of the contrasting behaviors between whales and retail traders and it is often considered a better choice to follow whales rather than retail investors Featured Image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView