According to CryptoQuant’s latest weekly report, Bitcoin (BTC) could target a price range between $145,000 and $249,000 in 2025. The report cites rising institutional capital inflows and favorable crypto regulations as key drivers of Bitcoin’s potential price appreciation. Bitcoin To Benefit From Increasing Institutional Flows Following a flash crash to $89,256 earlier this week, Bitcoin is now striving to reclaim the $100,000 price level. A recent report by CryptoQuant predicts that BTC could peak at $249,000 this year, supported by multiple favorable factors, including a pro-crypto stance from the Donald Trump administration in the US. Related Reading: Bitcoin Primed For A Major Rebound Following ‘Final Capitulation,’ Analyst Predicts The report suggests BTC will reach “at least” $145,000 in 2025, with the influx of fresh capital serving as the primary catalyst for this bullish momentum. Drawing from historical analysis of capital inflows during previous market cycles, the report estimates that $520 billion in new capital could enter Bitcoin markets this year. It states: In the context of a positive regulatory environment, accommodative monetary policy, and cyclical patterns, it is reasonable to expect capital will continue to flow into Bitcoin in 2025. The following chart illustrates Bitcoin’s realized market cap since 2015. For those unfamiliar, Bitcoin’s realized market capitalization represents the cumulative USD value of each BTC at the last point it moved on-chain. If the market follows historical patterns, then the $520 billion in fresh capital inflows to BTC could become a reality. This fresh capital injection could push BTC price to anywhere between $145,000 to $249,000, since the expansion in BTC’s realized capitalization has a more-than-proportional effect on the digital asset’s market value and price. The report highlights institutional investors – particularly addresses holding between 100 and 1,000 BTC – as the primary contributors to the market’s capital inflows. These addresses largely represent institutional-grade custodial services and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Notably, institutional participants increased their Bitcoin holdings by $127 billion in 2024, reflecting robust confidence in the cryptocurrency’s long-term potential. Additionally, the final year of Bitcoin’s four-year cycle is often associated with significant price surges for the asset. All Eyes On US Federal Reserve While many crypto analysts and market commentators maintain an optimistic outlook for Bitcoin in 2025, some express caution regarding the potential impact of the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) delayed interest rate cuts amid inflation concerns and subdued retail investor participation. Related Reading: Could Bitcoin Hit Its Peak In Summer 2025? Analysts Weigh In For instance, a recent report by 10x Research noted that delayed interest rate cuts by the Fed could dampen BTC’s bullish momentum. Further, data from CME FedWatch indicates a 97.3% probability that the Fed will leave the rates untouched during the Federal Open Market Committee meeting later this month. That said, asset manager Sygnum posits that BTC is likely to face demand shocks as more institutional investors embrace the emerging asset. At press time, BTC trades at $99,309, up 2.9% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
Binance Open Interest surged approximately $500 million just two hours after the CPI results “brought smiles to the faces of crypto investors,” says an analyst.
Bitcoin (BTC) has rebounded to trade above $99,000 following its significant dip earlier this week. While the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) news appears to have contributed to this quick recovery, it has also drawn attention from analysts, who are closely monitoring key metrics to understand the market’s next move. A CryptoQuant contributor known as Crypto Dan recently provided insights into Bitcoin’s current market behavior. Highlighting the Short-Term Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), Dan observed that the metric has shown a recurring pattern during correction phases. This pattern, he noted, typically dampens market optimism before a subsequent rebound. Despite the recent correction, signs point to the potential resumption of an upward cycle in the near future. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sharp Rebound Above $95K: Stop Hunting or Trend Reversal? Short-Term SOPR Analysis And What It Currently Suggests For BTC The SOPR metric measures the profitability of spent outputs relative to their realized value, providing insights into market participants’ behavior during price corrections. According to Crypto Dan, during corrections, the SOPR oscillates between red and green zones. The red zone signals increased profit-taking, often driven by whale activity, which can extend correction periods. Conversely, the green zone indicates reduced selling pressure, setting the stage for potential rebounds. Dan reveals that the SOPR currently shows a smaller volume of profit-taking compared to previous correction periods, such as the seven-month correction earlier in the year. This trend suggests that the recent correction, which has lasted over a month, may be shorter in duration. Dan speculates that Bitcoin could resume its upward trend within the first quarter of 2025. However, he cautioned that short-term volatility remains a risk, with the possibility of further sharp drops before a sustained reversal. The analyst wrote: However, in the short term, there may still be one or two sharp drops that push SOPR below the yellow dotted line, potentially crushing market participants’ hope for a rally before the market reverses upward. As such, aggressive short-term trades should be approached with caution. Bitcoin Market Performance And Outlook Meanwhile, Bitcoin appears to now be making its way back above the $100,000 mark as the asset currently trades at a price of $99,494, at the time of writing marking a 2.7% increase in the past day. This increase in Bitcoin’s price aside from being attributed to the underlying positive metrics on the BTC network can also be linked to the latest update on the US CPI. According to the latest reports, the US CPI rose by 0.4% in December—this news has resulted in the US Dollar seeing a notable plunge while other financial assets saw the opposite trend recording an uptick. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin (BTC) witnessed a sharp decline below $90,000 yesterday, sparking concerns about its near-term stability. However, the cryptocurrency has since rebounded, trading back above $96,000 at the time of writing. This rapid recovery has drawn the attention of market analysts who are examining the underlying trends driving Bitcoin’s price movements. Related Reading: Rebound Alert: US Bitcoin ETF Interest Picks Up Speed In 2025 Is Bitcoin’s Surge Above $96k A Stop Hunt? A CryptoQuant contributor, Mignolet, shared an analysis highlighting the recent price dynamics. According to the analyst, the recent drop in BTC to $89,000 and the current recovery was triggered by the breaking of a key short-term support level. Mignolet revealed that this pattern, referred to as “stop hunting,” occurs when price movements break support levels temporarily before recovering. Despite the recovery, Mignolet emphasizes that a true trend reversal would require stronger involvement from key market participants. Mignolet’s analysis points to significant selling activity among whale entities, as observed in Coinbase Premium Gap (CPG) data. Typically, buying whales step in to absorb such dips, creating notable market volatility. However, this time, such activity was absent, raising questions about the sustainability of the ongoing rebound. Additionally, Binance’s market-buy ratio data suggests that large-scale buyers on the exchange have not capitalized on the recent price movement, indicating cautious sentiment among key players. Further evidence disclosed by Mignolet comes from the exchange-traded fund (ETF) daily inflow and outflow data, which is yet to confirm any major shifts in market dynamics. While the daily candle pattern suggests a meaningful move, the lack of participation from whales could limit Bitcoin’s ability to sustain a long-term reversal. Mignolet also warned that market sentiment might shift too quickly to optimism without clear supporting data. The analyst noted: While the candle pattern signifies a meaningful move, the major players are not capitalizing on the opportunity. What concerns me more is that many people’s sentiment may quickly shift to a sense of relief too soon. Bitcoin Market Performance After seeing a notable plunge in price yesterday dropping below $90,000 and triggering a total liquidation of over $300 million in the crypto market, Bitcoin is finally seeing a noticeable reversal in its bearish trend. Particularly, over the past day, Bitcoin has increased by 5.6% bringing its price to trade at $96,351, at the time of writing. However, despite this increase, the asset is still roughly a 10.8% decrease away from its peak above $108,000 recorded last month. While Mignolet’s analysis suggested that Bitcoin bearishness might not be over yet, it is worth noting that the asset’s current recovery coincides with reduced selling activity from long-term holders. Related Reading: Could Bitcoin Hit Its Peak In Summer 2025? Analysts Weigh In In a separate analysis, CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost revealed that the net position change of long-term holders (LTHs) over the past 30 days remains negative but shows signs of improvement. From a low of -827,000 BTC on December 5, the figure has improved to -246,000 BTC. This reduction in selling pressure suggests that LTHs are less inclined to sell at current price levels as Bitcoin’s price declines. However, Darkfost noted that for bullish momentum to regain strength, LTHs would need to shift toward accumulation rather than reducing sales. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Heightened bearish conditions within the market have hindered Bitcoin‘s upward momentum, causing the digital asset to drop below the $90,000 price level. Despite the persistent volatility in the past few days, retail activity has shown a remarkable performance, reflecting growing optimism among these investors. A Rapid Increase In Bitcoin’s STH Realized Cap Recent reports from […]
Despite broader bearish trends in the cryptocurrency market, Tron (TRX) has demonstrated resilience with notable growth in key metrics. Recent analysis from CryptoQuant contributors sheds light on Tron’s expanding ecosystem and revenue surge, presenting a compelling case for its role in blockchain technology’s ongoing evolution. One major highlight is the substantial increase in Tron’s daily on-chain revenue. According to the data shared by the analyst, Crazzyblockk, this rise has been driven by the network’s enhanced gas fee revenue and higher transaction volumes. Additionally, Tron’s price movement appears to be now becoming interesting as it approaches critical support and resistance levels, which could dictate its near-term trajectory. Related Reading: TRON Reclaims Its Crown With 43% Dominance In Altcoin Transactions Daily Revenue Growth Reflects Network Utility Tron’s daily on-chain revenue has grown by 119% since January 1, 2024, a metric closely tied to rising gas usage and increased transaction activity on its blockchain, according to CryptoQuant analyst Crazzyblockk. This surge as disclosed by the analyst highlights Tron’s scalability in “processing high transaction volumes” while maintaining “cost efficiency.” The revenue growth also highlights the network’s expanding adoption within the decentralized finance (DeFi) and smart contract ecosystems. The network’s ability to generate substantial gas fee revenue serves as a benchmark for blockchain performance, with Tron’s figures signaling growing user engagement and utility. The analyst wrote: The year-to-date revenue expansion signals increasing user demand and network utility, further solidifying Tron’s position as a leading blockchain for high-speed, low-cost operations. Crazzyblockk also suggests that this trend reflects the network’s economic viability and its strengthening position among blockchains optimized for high-speed and low-cost operations. Additionally, this development is especially significant as blockchain networks compete to attract developers and investors with notable decentralized applications. The analyst concluded by noting: With this explosive momentum in daily revenue, Tron is setting a new standard for blockchain economic models. Investors, developers, and users alike should keep a close watch as this trend continues to reshape decentralized finance and smart contract adoption. Tron Approaches Key Level Meanwhile, from a technical perspective, Tron has reached a critical level near its 1-Year Moving Average (MA) plus two standard deviations, at approximately $0.25. Darkfost another CryptoQuant analyst warned that failing to hold this level could result in a decline to its 1-Year MA support of around $0.15. However, the analyst highlighted Tron’s ecosystem growth offers optimism for long-term investors. Related Reading: TRON Founder Justin Sun Expected to Meet Trump as Potential Web3 Advisor The network has seen notable activity, including a sharp increase in the USDT volume on its blockchain, which rose from $8 billion in early 2023 to $27 billion by late 2024. This growth points to strong adoption and an influx of capital into the Tron network. Additionally, metrics like the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicate that TRX was recently oversold, a condition that in the past has often preceded bullish momentum. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin market performance has faced a challenging start to the year, marked by a lesser upsurge and more bearish sentiment. Amid these fluctuations, insights from CryptoQuant analyst Avocado Onchain shed light on the current state of Bitcoin’s price movements and the factors influencing them. In a post titled “Bitcoin Price Correction: Short-Term Volatility Amid Long-Term Bullish Outlook,” Avocado analyzed key on-chain metrics, highlighting trends that may define Bitcoin’s immediate and future trajectory. Related Reading: Crypto Liquidations Near $690 Million As Bitcoin, Ethereum Crash On-Chain Metrics Hint At Bitcoin’s Next Move The analyst pointed out that the ongoing decline in Bitcoin’s price has been fueled by several factors, including uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve rate adjustments, cautious market behavior ahead of political transitions, and concerns over state-held Bitcoin sales, which historically emerge during correction periods. These elements have combined to push market sentiment toward bearish territory. However, Avocado emphasized that the short-term outlook does not necessarily overshadow Bitcoin’s long-term potential for recovery and growth. Avocado’s analysis utilized on-chain data to assess the possibility of additional price corrections. One of the primary indicators examined was the Taker Buy/Sell Ratio (30-day moving average), which revealed a dominance of sell-side activity. Following Bitcoin’s price surge in March 2024 and its recent all-time high, this ratio trended downward, signaling an overheated market. This pattern historically precedes periods of price decline, indicating potential for further corrections. Another metric, the Short-Term Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), which measures short-term investors’ profitability, has dropped below 1. This indicates that many short-term holders are selling at a loss, a behavior that has been observed during prior correction phases. Similarly, the Funding Rates (30-day moving average), a measure of market sentiment among leveraged traders, is trending downward. Negative funding rates often precede a bearish market shift but can also pave the way for eventual recovery once sentiment stabilizes. Avocado wrote: While this analysis focuses on short-term price movements, Bitcoin is likely to rebound in the long run and resume its upward trend after completing the correction phase. Investors should remain strategic, avoid reacting to short-term noise, and focus on the broader bullish trajectory. Related Reading: Bitcoin Is Forming A Symmetrical Triangle – Breakout Or Breakdown? Bitcoin Market Performance Meanwhile, Bitcoin has continued to demonstrate bearish movements especially with its price now trading for $92,317, at the time of writing down by 3.3% in the past day. One of the major factors that have contributed to the ongoing bearish sentiment in the Bitcoin market appears to be the resurfacing of the US government wanting to sell the seized BTC from Silk Road which now amounts to roughly $6.5 billion. The US Govt has been given the greenlight to liquidate 69,000 BTC ($6.5B) from Silk Road, an official confirmed to DB News today Interesting situation less than 2 weeks away from the new admin who vowed to not sell https://t.co/HqD1KnhJK3 pic.twitter.com/xn8ATSEL7H — db (@tier10k) January 9, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin journey in the new year continues to demonstrate less upward momentum, with its price recently dropping below the $95,000 price mark. Amid this movement, the market seems to be witnessing a notable trend among miners as they grapple with the effects of rising values and selling pressure. Insights from XBTManager, a CryptoQuant contributor, shed light on the challenges facing Bitcoin miners and the broader implications for the cryptocurrency market. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Rally In Q1 2025 Driven By US Fed’s Money Printing, Predicts Arthur Hayes Miners Feel the Pressure As Bitcoin Remains Below $100K In a post titled “The Strong Remain, the Weak Exit the Market,” XBTManager highlighted that Bitcoin’s appreciation has placed miners in a “precarious” position. The recent price surge above $100,000 initially brought substantial gains for miners, but subsequent corrections have intensified selling activity. According to the analysis, miners have entered a state where their positions are “extremely underpaid,” leading to significant financial strain. XBTManager wrote: Following a sharp pullback in Bitcoin’s price, it entered a correction phase and rose again to the 102k levels, only to trigger another wave of heavy selling. As Bitcoin climbed to 102k, miner positions, which were in a “fairly paid” state, transitioned to an “extremely underpaid” state as selling pressure intensified at that level. Notably, as weaker miners exit the market, those with greater resilience are expected to persist, potentially opening opportunities for investors. XBTManager’s outlook suggests that assuming the current bull market remains intact, the ongoing challenges for miners could present favorable conditions for strategic buying. MVRV Indicator Hints At Bitcoin’s Continued Growth Potential Another CryptoQuant contributor, CryptoOnchain, offered an additional perspective on Bitcoin’s market cycle. Analyzing the 100-day MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio, CryptoOnchain argued that Bitcoin has “yet to reach its peak” for this cycle. Historical data shows that the MVRV ratio reached a value of 3 during the market tops in the last two cycles. At present, this ratio stands at 2.14, indicating potential for further upward movement. 100-day moving average of MVRV: Bitcoin has not yet reached the top price of this cycle “MVRV metric reached the value of 3 at the market tops in the past two cycles, whereas it currently stands at 2.14… it can be said that Bitcoin is preparing to move towards the top price of… pic.twitter.com/YlNLQwgE3w — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) January 9, 2025 The MVRV metric, which helps identify market tops and bottoms, signals that Bitcoin may be preparing for another price surge in the coming months. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces Mixed Signals: Institutional Investors Accumulate Amid Retail Weakness If the pattern from previous cycles holds true, Bitcoin could be on track to approach a new peak before the current cycle concludes. CryptoOnchain particularly concluded by noting: Based on this, it can be said that Bitcoin is preparing to move towards the top price of this cycle, which is likely to occur in the coming months. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingvIEW
Recent declines in Bitcoin’s price have been followed by negative sentiment across several on-chain metrics that are crucial in determining its next trajectory. With key metrics witnessing a decrease, there are speculations that the flagship asset might see an extended drop in its price. Market Sentiment Shifting As Bitcoin Funding Rates Drops As the market […]
Bitcoin has experienced notable price volatility since the start of the year, with its performance showing mixed signals. Institutional investors, however, appear to have maintained their confidence in the asset despite recent market corrections. According to a recent analysis shared by CryptoQuant contributor caueconomy on the QuickTake platform, institutional players have been strategically accumulating Bitcoin, suggesting long-term confidence in the asset’s value trajectory. Related Reading: Bitcoin Is Forming A Symmetrical Triangle – Breakout Or Breakdown? Bitcoin Institutional Accumulation Signals Market Confidence caueconomy revealed that on December 21, investors sold approximately 79,000 BTC within a week, triggering a significant market correction of around 15%. This sell-off marked a local top and was followed by a phase of price consolidation. However, instead of exiting the market, large investors utilized the price dip to open Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP) positions, gradually accumulating Bitcoin just below the $95,000 mark. Over the past 30 days, institutional players have added more than 34,000 BTC to their portfolios, creating a layer of buying pressure that supports Bitcoin’s current recovery phase. Interestingly, the analyst pointed out that this trend has been consistent since June 2023, even during periods of rebalancing in institutional portfolios. While retail investor demand has hit a five-year low, institutional interest remains notably strong, indicating a divergence in market behavior between retail and institutional participants. This sustained accumulation suggests that large investors anticipate long-term value Increased Selling Pressure On Binance Sparks Market Concern While institutional accumulation has provided some support for Bitcoin’s price, another CryptoQuant contributor, Darkfost, highlighted growing selling pressure on Binance, one of the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchanges. In a separate analysis, Darkfost noted a sharp increase in hourly Net Taker Volume, which turned significantly negative, peaking at -$325 million — the highest figure recorded in 2025. This surge in selling pressure coincided with the release of unfavorable economic data from the ISM PMI and JOLTs Job Openings reports, which affected broader market sentiment across risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Related Reading: Bitcoin Signal That Took Price From $69,000 To $108,000 Appears Again The data triggered a wave of sell orders, causing Bitcoin’s price to face additional downward pressure. Darksfost suggested, noting: Monitoring this indicator, along with others, will be essential to determine whether fear is starting to dominate the markets over the long term or if it is merely temporary. Despite this intensified selling activity, Bitcoin has managed to maintain support above the $95,000 level. At the time of writing, the cryptocurrency is trading at $95,586, reflecting a 5.2% decline over the past 24 hours. The price remains significantly below Bitcoin’s all-time high of $108,000, recorded last month, marking an 11.8% drop from its peak. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
The cryptocurrency market has shown heightened activity in early 2025, with Toncoin (TON) emerging as one of the spotlighted assets following an analysis shared by a CryptoQuant analyst, Burak Kesmeci. According to recent data, the 90-day percent return metric for TON indicates the early stages of an uptrend, raising expectations of a sustained rally in the coming weeks. This trend has been observed historically, with similar metrics signaling substantial gains in past bull cycles. Related Reading: Toncoin Price Recovery Continues — Is The Dwindling Staking TVL Ratio Bullish? Historical Data Suggests Strong Price Potential Kesmeci disclosed that historical analysis reveals that TON has previously demonstrated notable performance following reversals in the 90-day percent return metric. For example, in August 2023, TON rose from $1.72, delivering a 65% gain over 70 days. Similarly, in February 2024, the asset surged by 258% in just 43 days after a similar metric reversal. The most recent example, recorded in November 2024, saw TON climb 32% within 11 days. These instances suggest that when the 90-day percent return metric crosses into positive territory, it often serves as a precursor to significant upward price movement. The current trend, which began just seven days ago, has sparked optimism among investors who are considering short-term accumulation strategies. Kesmeci reveals that if historical trends persist, TON could experience a median gain of 65% over the next 43 days. The analyst wrote: Currently, we observe that the “90-day percent return” metric for TON has entered a bull trend for the fourth time. It has been only 7 days since this reversal. Based on previous data: Expected duration: 43 days (median value) Potential percentage return: 65% (median value) These insights suggest that TON is likely to continue its upward trend in the short term. However, it is worth noting that market conditions and external factors, such as overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency sector, could influence the trajectory of this trend. Toncoin Market Performance Since the year began, Toncoin has been unable to make a significant movement towards the upside. Instead, the altcoin has continued to face consistent decline. Over the past two weeks, TON has now plunged by a double-digit performance of nearly 12%. This has brought the asset’s price to currently trade below $6 as of today marking a 7.5% decline in the past 24 hours. Interestingly, despite the consistent decline from TON in recent weeks, the asset’s daily trading volume has seen an opposite trend. Related Reading: Toncoin Consolidates: Could A Breakout Push TON Higher? Particularly, in the past 7 days, TON’s daily trading volume has moved from $200 million last Wednesday to now sitting at roughly 344 million as of today. Given the current trend in TON’s price, it is worth noting that this increase in TON’s trading volume might be from the continuous selling pressure in the TON market. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
The rapid advancements in quantum computing which sparked growing concerns within the cryptocurrency sector late last year, particularly regarding Bitcoin’s long-term resilience seem to have once again resurfaced. CryptoQuant, an on-chain data analytics platform, recently highlighted these risks in a series of posts on X titled “Quantum Computing is a Growing Risk for Bitcoin”. The discussion […]
Bitcoin (BTC) has seen bullish but unsteady price action in early 2025, with recent data highlighting shifting sentiment among US investors. After briefly crossing the $102,000 mark yesterday, the asset has struggled to maintain upward momentum, shedding most of its recent gains as it stands at just below $100,000. These developments coincide with critical insights from key on-chain metrics that offer a clearer view of Bitcoin’s short-term trajectory. Related Reading: Bitcoin Forms First Daily Death Cross On Dominance Chart In 4 Years, What To Expect Next Bitcoin’s Price Struggles Despite Positive Coinbase Premium Index Signal A CryptoQuant analyst known as Burak Kesmeci recently shared insights on the Coinbase Premium Index (CPI), which turned positive for the first time in 2025. The CPI measures the price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase and other global exchanges, serving as a crucial indicator of US investor sentiment. 3 days ago, Coinbase Premium Index crossed SMA14 for the 1st time in 26 days—Bitcoin is now up 4% to $102K. In Nov 2024, a similar move saw Bitcoin rally from $69K to $108K. U.S. buyers could be back in action. pic.twitter.com/XtAlHUzzvv — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) January 6, 2025 Alongside this positive shift, a notable 4,012 BTC outflow from Coinbase was recorded, signaling renewed buying interest among US-based investors. Historically, such patterns have been associated with a rise in buying pressure, often laying the groundwork for potential price surges. Despite these positive signals, Bitcoin’s price performance remains restrained. After briefly surpassing $102,000 on December 6, Bitcoin retreated and now trades below $100,000, reflecting a modest 3.3% decrease over the past 24 hours. This price mark from the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization puts it at approximately 8.9% below its all-time high of $108,135, achieved in December 2024. Bitcoin Faces Key Resistance Levels Notably, the current price action from BTC suggests that while buying pressure exists, it may not yet be sufficient to trigger another strong rally. According to cryptocurrency analyst Ali, Bitcoin maintains a critical support zone between $95,400 and $98,400, where over 1.77 million addresses collectively hold 1.53 million BTC. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Miner Sentiment Signals: Are We Nearing a Market Rebound? This support zone remains essential for stabilizing Bitcoin’s price amid market uncertainty. Conversely, resistance appears limited, with only 107,000 BTC supply positioned between $104,700 and $105,770. This relatively thin resistance could pave the way for upward movement if buying pressure intensifies. #Bitcoin sits well above an important support zone between $95,400 and $98,400, where 1.77 million addresses bought over 1.53 million $BTC. However, there isn’t significant resistance ahead, only a minimal supply wall of 107,000 #BTC between $104,700 and $105,770. pic.twitter.com/MEATFegTV2 — Ali (@ali_charts) January 7, 2025 Meanwhile, zooming out, analysts remain bullish overall on Bitcoin. Captain Faibik for instance has recently shared his outlook on BTC suggesting that the asset is still poised for a rally to $112,000. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
With a significant move at the start of the week, Bitcoin has revisited the pivotal $100,000 milestone once again. This move has triggered a wave of fresh optimism among crypto enthusiasts as several key metrics have also seen positive movements alongside the recent upswing. BTC’s Market Dynamics Undergoes A Shift Bitcoin’s market dynamics are showing […]
The cryptocurrency market, led by Bitcoin, has often followed a pattern of alternating growth and decline cycles, reflecting investor sentiment and market fundamentals. Since the beginning of the current bull cycle in January 2023, Bitcoin has demonstrated substantial gains in both price and market duration. Increased capital inflows from new investors have supported this growth and existing participants are reinvesting their profits. However, recent indicators suggest that the market may now be entering the latter stages of this cycle, raising questions about what lies ahead for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. Related Reading: MARA CEO Advocates “Invest And Forget” Approach To Bitcoin, Citing Strong Historical Performance Key Indicators Point to Cautious Optimism A significant metric supporting this observation is the percentage of Bitcoin traded within the past month based on realized market cap – UTXO, which currently sits at 36%, according to a recent analysis shared by a CryptoQuant analyst known as Crypto Dan. In the analysis, Dan reveals that while this figure remains lower than peak levels observed in previous bull cycles, its downward trajectory suggests that the market is “progressing toward its cycle peak.” Dan anticipates that this peak could occur sometime between Q1 and Q2 of 2025. However, rather than a single explosive surge, historical trends indicate that the ratio could experience sharp increases two to four more times before the cycle concludes. This pattern typically signals market overheating, followed by a subsequent correction or bear cycle. Dan further highlighted that while the market still holds potential for gains, a conservative approach to risk management is advisable. Historically, late-stage bull cycles have been marked by increased volatility, as profit-taking begins to influence market behavior. Dan wrote: Nevertheless, from a conservative standpoint and with risk management in mind, caution is advised. For this reason, I am planning to gradually sell my holdings. Another critical observation from on-chain data is the relationship between short-term traders and long-term holders. Historically, a sharp increase in short-term trading activity often precedes a market correction. Traders who entered the market during recent price rallies may begin to sell off their holdings, leading to temporary downward pressure on prices. Conversely, long-term holders often remain resilient during these periods, providing a stabilizing force in the market. Bitcoin Sees Recovery As The New Year Begins After weeks of struggling and remaining below $100,000 in the last month of 2024, Bitcoin appears to have now resumed its bullish momentum as the first month of 2025 commences. Although, BTC entered the new year with a price below $95,000. However, a few days later, the asset continued its upward momentum, reclaiming the $100,000 price mark to currently trade at a price of $101,624. At the time of writing, BTC recorded a 3.9% increase in the past day bringing its price closer to its recently established all-time high above $108,000 last month. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
After weeks of trading below the critical $100,000 mark, Bitcoin has started 2025 with renewed bullish momentum. The cryptocurrency, which had been struggling since last month, has shown signs of recovery, climbing back above the psychological $100,000 threshold earlier today for the first time in recent weeks. Bitcoin entered the year trading between $93,000 to $95,000 but has now regained momentum as its current trading price sits at $102,368. Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has surged by a 4.5% increase, bringing it closer to its all-time high of $108,000 achieved in late 2024. This upward movement has reignited optimism among both retail and institutional investors, with many closely watching key market indicators to understand whether Bitcoin can sustain this momentum or if another correction might be on the horizon. Related Reading: Bitcoin Forms First Daily Death Cross On Dominance Chart In 4 Years, What To Expect Next What Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Realized Price Indicates CryptoQuant analyst Yonsei Dent recently shared an analysis of Bitcoin’s price dynamics, highlighting the role of the Realized Price of Short-Term Holders (STH) as a key breakeven point. The Realized Price represents the average purchase price of Bitcoin by short-term holders, segmented into two critical bands: 1-week to 1-month (1W-1M) and 1-month to 3-month (1M-3M). Historically, the 1M-3M band has consistently acted as a medium-term support zone, while the 1W-1M band reflects short-term market sentiment. When the gap between these two bands widens, Bitcoin often experiences consolidation or corrective phases until they converge again. Currently, Bitcoin is encountering resistance at the 1W-1M band. However, the 1M-3M band continues to provide strong support, indicating a potential accumulation opportunity for medium-term investors. Yonsei Dent emphasized that monitoring the interaction between these two bands is essential for identifying market trends. As they move closer together, Bitcoin may experience a period of relative stability before determining its next significant price direction. Further Upward Momentum Expected? Another CryptoQuant analyst, Joohyun Ryu, provided insights into Bitcoin’s recent correction phase, noting that while the market exhibited signs of cooling, key indicators suggest a potential rebound. Metrics such as Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV), Adjusted Spent Output Profit Ratio (aSOPR), and Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) offer valuable context for assessing market sentiment. The MVRV ratio currently stands at 2.358, indicating that Bitcoin is trading at a moderate premium relative to its realized value. Similarly, the aSOPR metric, currently at 1.02, suggests that Bitcoin transactions are still yielding profits on average. Meanwhile, the NUPL value of 0.58 reflects a market sentiment that remains in a state of optimism despite recent price fluctuations. Ryu also highlighted the continued activity of short-term holders, noting their consistent market participation despite recent volatility. Related Reading: Analyst Identifies Bitcoin Key Support Levels Amid Rebound Challenge – Details This steady influx of new investors suggests growing confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value proposition. Historically, such behavior has preceded significant upward price movements, reinforcing the notion that the recent market cooling phase may set the stage for a potential breakout. Featured image Created With DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
The Bitcoin market continues to draw attention as key on-chain indicators reveal insights into miner sentiment and Bitcoin’s quarterly performance trends. A recent analysis by CryptoQuant analysts highlights how shifts in miner sentiment correlate with Bitcoin price movements, while year-end data paints a picture of Bitcoin’s overall market behavior in 2024. These insights are critical for investors looking to navigate Bitcoin’s market dynamics and anticipate potential trends in 2025. Related Reading: Can Bitcoin Price Reach A New All-Time High? This Golden Cross Suggests So The Role of Miner Sentiment In Market Dynamics Miner sentiment is often viewed as a crucial metric in predicting Bitcoin price movements. Historically, negative miner sentiment—typically observed through indicators like hashrate, difficulty, block count, and block rewards—has often signaled market bottoms or the early stages of recovery trends. Additionally, the relationship between miner sentiment and Bitcoin price movements has remained consistent across various market cycles. A CryptoQuant analyst known as datascope pointed out that periods of sharply negative miner sentiment, highlighted by significant drops in hashrate and increased block production difficulty, often precede substantial price recoveries. This phenomenon was evident during Bitcoin’s market cycles in 2017, 2018, and 2020, where negative miner sentiment coincided with market bottoms and subsequent rallies. In the context of the current market phase, the analyst observed heightened miner sentiment volatility, suggesting increased uncertainty and potential market corrections. However, the data also indicates that significant declines in miner sentiment often create strategic buying opportunities. Furthermore, with Bitcoin mining profitability becoming more challenging due to increasing difficulty levels, miner behavior is expected to play an even more prominent role in determining market sentiment in the coming months Bitcoin Year-End Performance Overview In addition to miner sentiment, Bitcoin’s overall market performance in the final quarter of 2024 offers important insights. According to another CryptoQuant analyst known as Crazzyblockk, Bitcoin’s market capitalization increased by 55%, while its realized capitalization rose by 28.9% during Q4 of 2024. Although these figures represent substantial growth, they fall slightly below the 58% market cap growth seen in Q1 2024. However, the realized cap growth in Q4 outpaced that of Q1, indicating stronger capital inflows into Bitcoin during the final months of the year. When compared to previous Bitcoin cycles, the gains in Q4 2024 were more measured than the sharp increases seen during earlier bull runs. Historically, during peak bullish phases, Bitcoin often recorded market cap growth nearing 100% and realized cap gains of 50-70%. Related Reading: $33.14 Billion At Risk If The Bitcoin Price Hits $72,462, Here’s Why Regardless the analyst mentioned that Q4 2024 can be considered to be “Bitcoin’s best quarter of the year.” Looking ahead to 2025, Crazzyblockk appears to remain cautiously optimistic about Bitcoin’s long-term growth potential. The analyst noted: While history does not always repeat itself, we can cautiously speculate that the bullish sentiment among Bitcoin holders leaves room for long-term growth in 2025. However, this does not rule out the possibility of short-term corrections along the way Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
The Bitcoin (BTC) market is currently experiencing significant shifts in supply dynamics, with notable activity between long-term holders (LTHs) and short-term holders (STHs). According to the latest analysis from CryptoQuant, historically, such transitions have often indicated local market tops or even cycle peaks, depending on the overall market environment and broader economic conditions. Presently, demand from short-term holders continues to play a critical role in supporting Bitcoin’s price stability amid ongoing market volatility. Related Reading: Bitcoin Remains Below $100,000: Is the Bull Market Over or Just Taking a Breather? Long-Term Holders Vs. Short-Term Buyers The analysis made by the CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost revealed that the short-term holders, particularly those who acquired Bitcoin in recent months, are actively influencing market sentiment. By analyzing the realized price data of various short-term acquisition periods, distinct support and resistance levels become apparent. These realized price levels include $41,000 for the general average realized price, $85,000 for short-term holders overall, $99,000 for holders within one week to one month, $81,000 for one to three months, and $60,000 for three to six months. These figures reflect key psychological and technical price points where market participants may make significant buy or sell decisions, according to Darkfost. The analyst revealed that the Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH SOPR) currently remains neutral at 1 after declining from Bitcoin’s last rally, which pushed its price to an all-time high of $108,000. The STH SOPR serves as a key metric to evaluate short-term holders’ profit-taking behavior. A neutral SOPR indicates that recent selling activity from short-term holders has not been significantly profitable, reducing the incentive for widespread sell-offs at current price levels. However, this neutral stance suggests potential headwinds for an immediate bullish recovery. The decline in STH SOPR points to diminishing realized profits, which could slow down upward momentum in the short term. Despite these challenges, short-term holders’ demand has managed to absorb much of the selling pressure from long-term holders, preventing sharp price declines. Darkfost wrote: In conclusion, the selling pressure from LTHs has so far been fairly well absorbed by the buying pressure from STHs. However, we note that the STH SOPR is declining, which could hinder an immediate bullish recovery. In the short term, a period of consolidation or even a deeper correction might occur. Bitcoin Market Performance And Outlook Meanwhile, Bitcoin is currently trading at a price of $97,357 after recording a slight increase of 1.1% in the past day. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Moves From 56 To 60-Day Cycle After Crash Below $100,000, What To Expect Next While this uptick has helped BTC regain positive momentum in recent weeks, it remains insufficient to propel the cryptocurrency back to the six-digit price mark or its all-time high above $108,000. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
A crypto analyst says the rise in the Coinbase Premium Index is due to “increasing seller pressure” in the US market, reaching levels not seen since January 2024.
Amid Bitcoin continuous correction in recent weeks, there has been a significant drop in BTC’s trading volume on Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange raising concerns about the implications for the market. A CryptoQuant analyst has highlighted in a report that both spot and futures trading volumes for the BTC/USDT pair have witnessed a sharp decline. This reduction in activity suggests weakened buying power and decreased liquidity, two critical elements in maintaining price stability in the cryptocurrency market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment Now Worst Since Mid-October: Reversal Signal? Trading Activity on Binance Signals Caution for Bitcoin Traders The analyst known as Crazzyblockk disclosed that the drop in trading volume is particularly important as centralized exchanges like Binance play a pivotal role in balancing supply and demand dynamics. A decline in trading activity typically indicates reduced demand, leaving the market more vulnerable to price swings. With fewer active buyers, any significant sell-off could trigger rapid price declines, amplifying volatility across the broader Bitcoin market. Crazzyblockk urges caution, advising traders to avoid impulsive decisions. The analyst wrote: Given the current market conditions, it is advisable to exercise extra caution and avoid making impulsive decisions. Even small shifts in buying or selling pressure could lead to significant volatility in the Bitcoin market. Adding to this concern is the observation that Binance’s taker buy-sell ratio has tilted toward sellers. This metric, which measures whether aggressive buyers (takers) are purchasing or selling more actively, suggests that sellers currently dominate market activity. Taker Buy-Sell Ratio Hints at Market Sentiment Shift The taker buy-sell ratio is an essential indicator for understanding market sentiment, especially on Binance, which handles a significant portion of global Bitcoin trading. Crazzyblockk has reported a noticeable shift in this ratio over recent weeks, with sellers becoming increasingly dominant. When sellers aggressively fill more orders than buyers, it signals bearish sentiment and raises the likelihood of continued downward price movement. This shift follows weeks of weak buyer activity, suggesting that bullish momentum has stalled. However, it remains unclear whether this pattern will persist or reverse in the coming days. Crazzyblockk noted: If this trend persists and the inclination remains toward sell contracts, a deeper market correction could be anticipated. However, a resurgence in buyer activity might stabilize prices and restore confidence among market participants. Despite these concerns, it is worth noting that the current situation can be seen as a potential buying opportunity, especially for long-term investors. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces Key Moment: Will $93,257 Support Hold Or Break Below? Historical patterns suggest that periods of low trading volume and bearish sentiment often precede major market rebounds. However, it is still advised to remain cautious and avoid speculative trading strategies in the current market environment. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
As Bitcoin continues to slowly decline in price, the asset appears to be moving closer to a key psychological level. With uncertainty surrounding the continuation of Bitcoin’s current trend, speculation remains divided on whether the crypto asset is preparing for another upward breakout or entering a phase of correction. Recent on-chain data suggests that specific metrics, such as the realized price for short-term holders, are providing essential insights into the market’s behavior and potential future direction. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Key SOPR Metric Holds Steady: Are Long-Term Holders Eyeing Higher Prices? Key Support Level Identified at $81,000 In an analysis recently uploaded on the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform, an analyst known as Shayan BTC revealed that the realized price metric, particularly for the 1-3 month UTXO (Unspent Transaction Output) age band, serves as a critical indicator for assessing investor sentiment among newer market participants. This metric represents the average purchase price of Bitcoin for those who acquired the asset within the last one to three months. A sustained price above this level typically signals bullish momentum, suggesting that recent buyers are confident in holding their positions despite prevailing market volatility. Conversely, if Bitcoin’s price drops below this level, it may indicate potential selling pressure as these short-term holders attempt to limit their losses. According to Shayan, the realized price for Bitcoin’s 1-3 month holder cohort currently stands at $81,000. This level is seen as a vital support zone, acting as a “psychological and technical defense” line for both short-term and long-term investors. Historically, when Bitcoin’s price remains above this threshold, it indicates a resilient market sentiment where recent buyers demonstrate confidence in the asset’s future price potential. On the flip side, a price drop below the $81,000 mark could lead to increased selling activity, primarily driven by short-term holders looking to exit their positions to minimize potential losses. Such a scenario would likely add downward pressure to the market, potentially triggering broader sell-offs. Bitcoin Market Performance Bitcoin has so far given investors a boring holiday season with its lackluster performance. Particularly ever since the past weeks towards the middle of December, Bitcoin has fallen below the $100,000 price mark and has remained below it with little to no upward movement. Over the past two weeks, Bitcoin has now dropped by 10.9%.2% as it remains below the $100,000 price mark. However, its past day performance has been quite interesting. Over this period, BTC has seen a sudden increase of 4% to a current trading price of $95,519, at the time of writing. Interestingly, despite this sudden surge, this price mark puts Bitcoin at a roughly 11.9% decrease away from its all-time high of $108,135 registered in the middle of December. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Amid the broader decline in the global crypto market, Ethereum emerged as one of the major cryptocurrencies that has been impacted significantly. Despite already being underperformed in the recent bull run, Ethereum has now experienced a notable correction, dropping to as low as below the $3,500 price level in recent weeks. While this price performance from ETH might have led investors to lose interest in Ethereum for now, recent data from the CryptoQuant platform suggests a possible turnaround, with key indicators pointing towards renewed market confidence. Related Reading: Is Ethereum Ready To Break Out? Key Indicators Suggest Strong Market Confidence Funding Rates Indicate Renewed Confidence Among Traders A CryptoQuant analyst, ShayanBTC, highlighted Ethereum’s futures market developments in a recent analysis titled “Ethereum Futures Market Signals Potential Rebound After $3K Correction.” The analysis from Shayan reveals that the futures funding rates, which act as a sentiment gauge for traders, have shown signs of stabilization after the price drop, hinting at a potential recovery. According to the analyst, Ethereum funding rates have shown an increase after the recent sharp correction, indicating a higher appetite among traders for long positions. Notably, funding rates are a mechanism in perpetual futures contracts where traders holding long positions pay short sellers, or vice versa, depending on market sentiment. When funding rates rise, it typically suggests that traders are leaning towards a bullish outlook. Shayan disclosed that the spike in funding rates implies increased demand for Ethereum at its current price level, signaling that traders expect a bounce-back from the $3,000 region. The analyst further explained that such behavior often precedes significant upward price movements, particularly when combined with a period of market consolidation. In his words: The recent spike in funding rates suggests an influx of buyers, which, if sustained, could drive a substantial bullish rebound. This renewed buying pressure has the potential to push Ethereum toward the crucial $4K resistance in the short to mid-term. Ethereum Market Performance After weeks of consistent decline, Ethereum currently trades at a price of $3,310, at the time of writing down by 1.5% in the past day. This market price marks a 32.2% decrease away from its all-time high (ATH) of $4,878, recorded in November 2021. Interestingly despite the drop in ETH’s price, the asset has still managed to see a slight increase in trading volume in the past day. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Guns For A Mid-High Timeframe Reversal Against Bitcoin In Bullish Q1 2025 Particularly, as of this time yesterday, ETH’s daily trading volume stood at a valuation below $15 billion, however, at the time of writing, the asset’s daily trading volume valuation sits at $20.6 billion. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Following the US elections in November, the crypto community has remained elated as pro-Bitcoin (BTC) and pro-crypto candidate Donald Trump emerged as the US President-elect. During the course of an extensive campaign, Trump voiced clear support for the crypto industry with promises of introducing favorable policies including a national bitcoin reserve if elected. With the Republican’s […]
The Toncoin price recovery has been one of the few bright spots in the cryptocurrency market over the past week. The climate of the broad market has been sluggish in the festive period, with the two largest assets Bitcoin and Ethereum struggling to make a mark. With the Toncoin price now approaching the $6 mark, it appears that the altcoin is now fully in its recovery phase. According to a pseudonymous analyst, a recent on-chain phenomenon suggests that the price rally for TON is only just beginning. What Happened Last Time TON Staking TVL Ratio Was At A Low Level? In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, an analyst with the pseudonym Joaowedson discussed the dynamics between the staking TVL ratio and Toncoin price. According to the analyst, there is a correlation between the amount locked on TON and price movements. Related Reading: Historical Data Shows What To Expect From Ethereum Price In Q1 2025 – It’s Very Bullish The Quicktake analyst highlighted a trend whereby investors withdraw their assets in order to explore trading opportunities whenever there is a price increase. This phenomenon has also been observed in the TON ecosystem, with the TVL metric dropping in recent weeks. Joaowedson noted that the staking TVL ratio has reached new lows, coinciding with what appears to be a bottom for the price of Toncoin. Ultimately, this suggests that the odds of an increase in the Toncoin price are higher. While the idea of reduced interest in staking leading to price growth seems counterintuitive, it can be justified by the increase in liquidity available for trading. The Quicktake analyst explained: When investors withdraw funds from staking, they often transfer them to exchanges for quick trades. This movement increases demand for the token, driving prices higher. From a historical perspective, a similar situation occurred in March 2024 when the staking TVL ratio shrunk significantly as the TON price soared to new highs. “Interestingly, as interest in staking diminished, funds started migrating to centralized exchanges (CEX) and decentralized exchanges (DEX) like Ston.FI and Dedust, boosting the TVL in those categories,” Joaowedson added. With investors more willing to make their assets available for trading, there is a higher likelihood of price increases due to growing demand. If this holds true, the Toncoin price could return to around its recent highs. Toncoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the Toncoin price stands at around $5.78, reflecting a 0.5% decline in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, the value of TON is up by more than 6% on the weekly timeframe. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Enters Correction Phase On Its Path To Explode Above $110,000 Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
The TRON blockchain has been making significant strides in the cryptocurrency market, recording a notable increase in network fees and transaction activity. Particularly, over the past year, the TRON network has consistently demonstrated growth across multiple key metrics, reflecting increased adoption and participation from larger players in the digital asset market. Related Reading: Inside Trump’s […]
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Toncoin (TON) appears to have now entered a notable phase in its market cycle, presenting potential opportunities for investors. A recent analysis by CryptoQuant analyst Joao Wedson highlights that TON has moved into a favorable risk zone for accumulation, as indicated by the Normalized Risk Metric (NMR). This metric evaluates an asset’s price risk relative to historical data, providing a clearer picture of whether the current price levels are suitable for investment or if caution is warranted. Related Reading: Toncoin Consolidates: Could A Breakout Push TON Higher? Toncoin Current Market Outlook The NMR uses moving averages such as the 50-day and 374-day simple moving averages (SMA) along with logarithmic differences in price data to determine risk exposure. A normalized score ranging between 0 and 1 indicates the level of risk, with values closer to zero suggesting a lower chance of price decline. According to Wedson, TON’s current placement in the green zone signals reduced risk, making it an appealing opportunity for investors seeking long-term exposure to the asset. The analysis further suggests that while the medium and long-term risk profiles appear favorable, there remains a possibility for TON’s price to revisit historically significant support zones, often referred to as the “blue zone” on price heatmaps. Historically, these levels have served as price floors and accumulation points for investors expecting future price appreciation. Open Interest Decline and Market Volatility Trends Another CryptoQuant analyst, Maartunn, has added further context to Toncoin’s current market stance. According to his observations, TON’s Open Interest (OI) in the futures market has decreased to $141 million, marking the lowest level observed in the past nine months. Open Interest refers to the total value of outstanding futures contracts and is a key indicator of market sentiment and participation. A decline in Open Interest generally signals reduced market activity and lower volatility. While this trend is specific to TON, it reflects a broader pattern across the cryptocurrency market as the year comes to a close. Historically, periods of low Open Interest are often followed by significant price movements, either upward or downward, once liquidity returns to the market. Related Reading: Toncoin’s 90-Day Returns Turn Positive: Is A Massive Rally On The Horizon? Lower Open Interest combined with Toncoin’s favorable risk metrics may suggest a period of price stability and reduced volatility. Risk-Adjusted Returns and Drawdowns: A Look at Unrealized Profits in TON “The Open Interest and Funding Rates chart complements this narrative by highlighting steady open interest levels, which demonstrate sustained participation in the TON ecosystem.” – By @ShivenMoodley More… pic.twitter.com/DIpNabROij — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) December 24, 2024 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView