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The Bitcoin price broke below $70,000 over the weekend, effectively erasing the gains from the previous week. This move puts the cryptocurrency in a perilous position as the bulls are now hard-pressed to find another major support or risk the decline going deeper from here. According to one analyst, Bitcoin bulls will have to reclaim and hold $69,000 with momentum in order to trigger another recovery trend. Why Bitcoin Bulls Must Hold $69,000 According to crypto analyst Tealstreet, the bulls will need to defend $69,000 to prevent the Bitcoin price from falling lower. The reason for this is the fact that the Bitcoin price has a chance of pushing upwards to the $73,000-$74,000 levels if this support is maintained. Following this, there is still the possibility of a final push toward $76,000-$77,000. Related Reading: Why The XRP Supply In The Billions Is Not A Problem On the flip side, there is a lot of bearish action to be seen if the bulls lose $69,000. This bearish move would trigger an at least 5% decline, with the crypto analyst putting the target somewhere between $64,000 and $66,000. While this decline may not exactly be as impactful as previous sharp declines, it could end up being negative for altcoins, which are already suffering. By Sunday, the Bitcoin price broke below $69,000, but the bulls were able to maintain the $68,000 level, holding quite close to the target. Nevertheless, this means that the bulls are now in a tight spot with the need to reclaim $69,000 or watch the trend play out. BTC Still Stuck In A Corrective Phase Another crypto analyst, HAMED_AZ, also published a post in support of the current Bitcoin bearishness, saying that the digital asset has actually entered a corrective phase. Due to this, the Bitcoin price is expected to move lower after an initial push toward the top of the ascending channel. Related Reading: The Bear Market Divergence That Shows What’s Really Going On With Bitcoin If the price is unable to break the resistance at the top of the channel, then the downtrend will continue, leading to an over 10% decline. This move will most likely send the Bitcoin price crashing below $60,000 for the first time in over a year. Alternatively, if the price is able to successfully test and break out of the channel resistance with momentum, then the downtrend could be broken completely. This scenario would lead to a push toward $80,000 and likely kickstart the next run. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin price started a sharp decline from well above $72,000. BTC is now consolidating and might extend losses unless there is a close above $70,000. Bitcoin started a sharp decline below $71,200 and $70,500. The price is trading below $70,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $69,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to decline if it stays below the $69,200 and $70,000 levels. Bitcoin Price Dips Further Bitcoin price started a sharp decline from well above $72,000. BTC declined below $71,200 and $70,000 to enter a short-term bearish zone. The bears even pushed the price below $69,500. There was a move toward $67,500. A low was formed at $67,343, and the pair is now consolidating losses. There was a minor upward move above $68,000, but the price stayed well below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $75,999 swing high to the $67,343 low. Bitcoin is now trading below $70,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $69,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. If the price remains stable above $68,000, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $69,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $69,200 level and the trend line. A close above the $69,200 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $70,000 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $71,650 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $75,999 swing high to the $67,343 low. The next barrier for the bulls could be $72,800. Downside Extension In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $70,000 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $68,000 level. The first major support is near the $67,250 level. The next support is now near the $66,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $65,000 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $63,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $68,000, followed by $67,250. Major Resistance Levels – $69,200 and $70,000.

The price of Bitcoin has continued to hover around the $70,000 level this weekend, establishing a choppy structure above this psychological level. According to the latest on-chain data, a significant buy alarm has gone off for BTC, indicating the potential start of a bull market. Has BTC Price Reached Its Cycle Bottom? On Saturday, March 21, popular market analyst Ali Martinez took to the social media platform X to sound a bullish alarm for Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. The crypto pundit posited that the market leader could be at the beginning of a period of extended upward movement. Related Reading: XRP Price Is Maintaining This Multi-Year Trendline, But A Crash Could Be Looming The rationale behind this bullish projection is the recent shift in the Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP) metric. The Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse is an on-chain indicator that measures BTC flows between spot and derivative exchanges using the Bitcoin exchange flow data. Changes in this on-chain metric are useful in determining whether investor sentiment in the Bitcoin market is bullish or bearish. Typically, the IFP indicator rises when significant amounts of BTC are being moved to derivative exchanges, suggesting a growing risk appetite and the potential imminence of a bullish period. The movement of the IFP (purple line) in relation to its 90-day moving average (broken lines) helps to identify price tops and bottoms while determining the potential long-term trend of the cryptocurrency. When the Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse crosses below its 90-day average, it signals a potential bear market and prolonged price downturn. As observed in the chart above, the IFP trended beneath the 90-day average early last year, suggesting that the current bear market started as far back as the first quarter of 2025. While the Bitcoin price initially ran up to a new all-time high above $126,000, the flagship cryptocurrency has since shaved off nearly 45% in value since the cycle peak. What’s more interesting, the price of Bitcoin appears to have hit its bottom, with the IFP crossing back above the 90-day average in recent weeks. As Martinez mentioned in his post on X, this crossover is a major buy signal that could suggest “big money is getting ready for a rally.” However, investors might want to approach the market with caution, especially considering that the IFP can sometimes be a leading indicator, meaning that the bullish effect on price might not reflect until later. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, BTC is valued at around $70,360, reflecting a 0.3% price increase in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Ethereum Exchange Inflows Signal Shift: Whales Reduce Selling Pressure Featured image by DALL-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin quietly gained ground while gold crumbled. That contrast has become one of the more telling stories to emerge from weeks of escalating conflict in the Middle East, as the two assets — long compared as competing stores of value — have moved in sharply opposite directions since the US and Israel launched strikes on Iran in late February. Related Reading: Bitcoin Gains Ground On Gold Even As Both Assets Slide Bitcoin Climbs As Gold Bleeds Since those first attacks, Bitcoin has risen more than 11% to around $70,650. Gold, meanwhile, has shed over 12% from its peak. Reports indicate the cryptocurrency has held up better than expected under the pressure of a widening war — a performance that has drawn attention in financial markets still trying to make sense of the conflict’s economic fallout. Gold’s losses accelerated this week. The metal dropped 3.4% on Friday alone, closing around $4,480 per ounce. For the full week of March 16-20, the decline reached 10% — the steepest weekly fall since 1983, according to data confirmed by TradingView. It surpassed even the sharp drop seen in late January, when gold shed hundreds of dollars in a matter of days and wiped out more than $2 trillion in market value within weeks of hitting $5,500 per ounce. That January plunge shocked investors. This one may have rattled them more. Fed Signals No Rate Cuts, Adding Pressure On Gold The Federal Reserve is adding to gold’s troubles. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said Wednesday that rising energy prices — driven in part by war-related disruptions in the Middle East — are expected to push inflation higher in the near term. Traders have responded by pulling back expectations for rate cuts in 2025. Rates are now widely expected to hold steady through the year. That shift matters for gold. When interest rates stay high, bonds and other yield-bearing instruments become more attractive by comparison. Gold pays no interest. It earns nothing while it sits. Reports note that this dynamic has weighed on demand from institutional investors who might otherwise hold the metal as a hedge. Related Reading: Crypto Adoption No Longer Optional, Survey Finds As 72% Of Finance Leaders Signal Commitment Trump Signals Possible Wind-Down Of Military Push The Iran conflict has also disrupted oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most critical shipping corridors. That disruption has stoked fears of a prolonged energy crunch, adding more uncertainty to global markets already on edge. US President Donald Trump said Friday he was considering pulling back from military operations in the region. At the same time, the US has deployed thousands of additional troops to the Middle East, and airstrikes have continued. The mixed signals have left markets guessing about what comes next. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Crypto analyst Ardi has pointed to a bear market divergence to explain what has been going on with Bitcoin’s price for a while now. His analysis comes just as BTC continues to struggle to hold above $70,000 amid the U.S.-Iran war and rising oil prices.  Analyst Explains What Is Happening With Bitcoin as Price Struggles In an X post, Ardi noted that this is the first time in this bear market that Bitcoin’s price and open interest have diverged on an intermediate timeframe. BTC has climbed over the last six weeks to a low of around $60,000 while its open interest has declined during the same period. He stated that this indicates the recent rally wasn’t driven by new buyers entering, but rather by a large part of it being shorts closing their positions.  Related Reading: How Low Can Bitcoin Price Go? Analyst Shares Worst-Case Scenario The analyst further remarked that traders who shorted the Bitcoin top like saw the drop to $60,000 and felt it was a good position to take profits. “They locked profit. They exited. That exit pressure pushed the price up,” he said. However, Ardi added that this development is not the same as fresh demand, which is sufficient for a reversal.  He said that open interest typically rises when the Bitcoin rally has real strength, as shorts close and longs open to replace them. Meanwhile, new capital enters, forming the foundation for the bullish reversal in BTC. Ardi declared that none of that has happened in this range, with trading activity one-sided even as the leading crypto climbed to as high as $75,000 last week.  Ardi said that the problem is that short covering has a ceiling, and once the last short has closed, the source of upward pressure is gone, leaving no other factor to sustain the move to the upside.  How It Could Play Out For BTC In The Near Term Crypto analyst Colin noted that Bitcoin has been tracking inside the channel of a bear flag since the February 6 low. In line with this, he opined that BTC will eventually break down and that it is not a question of if but when. The analyst also questioned how high the leading crypto will rise before it suffers this breakdown.  Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Price Is Showing Dangerous Weakness, Here’s Why Colin opined that the highest price Bitcoin might reach before this projected breakdown is around $80,000. He described this as the best-case scenario at this point and that BTC might not even reach this psychological level. However, the analyst also admitted that there are some outlier outcomes, like BTC rising above $80,000 if the U.S.-Iran war suddenly ends.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $70,700, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin is hovering near the $71,000 mark, consolidating after recent swings as the market digests key liquidity zones. While price remains contained, underlying technical signals suggest a larger move may be brewing, with both upside breakouts and downside sweeps on the horizon. A Bounce Back To $71,000 After Channel Support Holds Crypto analyst Columbus highlighted Bitcoin’s resilience following a successful bounce from its channel boundary support. This technical reaction has allowed the price to grind steadily higher, reclaiming the $71,000 level. While the explosive momentum has begun to decelerate after that first reaction, the overall market structure remains decidedly constructive for the bulls as long as this newly reclaimed territory is defended as support. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stalls Near $75K As Traders Move Coins To Exchanges According to the MMT Heatmap, the path toward further upside is clearly defined by a significant stack of liquidity resting just above the current price. A sustained push through the immediate overhead supply would effectively clear the way for a continuation move toward higher liquidity clusters concentrated around the $75,000 to $76,000 region. However, the analysis also cautions that the current level is a precarious battleground for the asset. Should Bitcoin fail to maintain its footing above this support region, the market would likely undergo another sweep into lower liquidity pockets to find sufficient buying interest before any meaningful attempt at higher expansion. Ultimately, the short-term outlook hinges on whether the current support holds or if the slowing momentum leads to a structural failure. For now, this area is key to determining if the market is preparing for a breakout toward the mid-70s or a temporary retreat. Bitcoin Consolidates Mid-Range After Recent Range Breakout BTC is consolidating in the mid-range, according to Lennaert Snyder’s post on X. The market recently experienced a range breakout, which effectively acted as a push-to-fill on Bitcoin, moving the price toward key liquidity zones.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Shows Early Trend Reversal Signs After Major Support Hold Snyder is already positioned short, but he is prepared to add to his position on the next weekly candle if the price pushes into the fair value gap (FVG) around $72,400. This level represents a potential trigger zone for further downside, aligning with his bearish strategy. He plans to short the bearish market structure break (MSB) when the conditions above are met, targeting the liquidity around the $65,580 low. While lower prices are possible, he intends to manage risk carefully and will be roughly 80% positioned at that level. For long positions, Snyder cautions that BTC is trading mid-range and is currently exhausted from the recent drop. Thus, he is waiting for significant liquidity to be mitigated at the range low or for higher time frame (HTF) levels to be gained before considering any new long entries. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

For the first time in nearly two months, the Bitcoin price had a sustained run above the psychological $70,000 level over the past week. However, the increased likelihood of potential interest rate hikes by the US Federal Reserve on Friday, March 20, seems to have elevated market apprehension. Interestingly, an on-chain evaluation suggests that the Bitcoin price was always destined for another round of downside movement — this time below the $50,000 level. Is BTC Price Preparing For Another Leg Down? In a Friday post on the X platform, crypto analyst Ali Martinez shared an on-chain insight into the potential bottom of the BTC price in the current bear cycle. According to the market pundit, the price of Bitcoin appears to be headed to the $43,000 level before starting the next bull cycle.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds At $69,000— Glassnode Data Shows What To Expect Through Late March This projection is based on the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) pricing bands, which show the different profitability levels of the premier cryptocurrency. These pricing bands also function as dynamic support and resistance levels, as they compare the current market price to the average realized value (average cost basis) of all investors. As shown in the chart above, MVRV pricing bands have proven, in past cycles, to be quite effective in predicting market tops and bottoms. Using the on-chain metric, Martinez has identified the 0.8 MVRV band as the potential bottom of the Bitcoin price in the ongoing bear market. Martinez revealed that over the past decade, the price of BTC has always rebounded from this 0.8 MVRV band, marking the start of a fresh bull cycle. The highlighted chart shows the flagship cryptocurrency bouncing back to a new high after hitting its cycle low — around this band in 2018, 2020, and 2022. According to data from Glassnode, the 0.8 MVRV band currently lies around the $43,647 region, putting the potential bottom of this cycle nearly 40% away from the current price. If history were to repeat itself, this on-chain evaluation suggests that the Bitcoin price could be at risk of further downside in the coming months. It is important to mention that while the 0.8 MVRV band is currently at $43,647, it is liable to change with further movements in price. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $70,477, reflecting a 0.6% increase in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Pundit Shares Everything To Understand About Bitcoin, ‘This Cycle IS Different’ Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin sharks and whales have seen their population grow during the last three months, despite the price witnessing an overall downtrend in this window. Bitcoin Sharks & Whales Saw A 3.9% Jump In Address Count Over Last 3 Months In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Santiment has discussed the latest trend in the Supply Distribution of the Bitcoin sharks and whales. The “Supply Distribution” here refers to an indicator that tells us, among other things, the number of wallets that belong to a given coin range. For example, the Supply Distribution of the 1 to 10 coins cohort measures the number of addresses that are holding between 1 and 10 tokens of the asset. In the context of the current topic, the range of interest is the 100+ BTC one (with the upper bound at infinity). At the current exchange rate, the cutoff for the range converts to $6.9 million. Thus, only the investors with a significant amount of capital would be able to qualify for it. Such holders are collectively known as the sharks and whales. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bearish Positioning Persists As Funding Rates Hold Negative Traders of this size can carry some degree of influence in the market, so their behavior can often be worth keeping an eye on. It doesn’t always correlate with the asset’s trajectory, but it can still contain information about the sentiment among the key hands. Now, here is the chart shared by Santiment that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Supply Distribution for the sharks and whales over the last few months: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin sharks and whales have seen their Supply Distribution go through a notable rise over the last few months, indicating the number of investors falling inside these groups has gone up. More specifically, sharks and whales have seen their combined count jump by 753 since December 19th, representing an increase of 3.9% over a three-month period. From the chart, it’s visible that this surge in the Supply Distribution of the 100+ BTC holders has come while the cryptocurrency’s spot price has gone through a downtrend. This means that instead of pulling back during the market decline, more big-money investors have joined the network. “This is just one of many bullish divergences showing in our on-chain data currently while short-term prices continue their volatility,” noted the analytics firm. Related Reading: Bitcoin Demand Heats Up: Coinbase Premium Green For 25 Straight Days The indicator has also climbed on the yearly scale, being up 2,148 addresses or 12% compared to March 19th, 2025. During this window, BTC went through a bull run, so large investors had a profitable opportunity to exit, but it seems that they chose to stick around instead. BTC Price Bitcoin has slipped under the $70,000 level following its latest pullback. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin (BTC) has settled back into the familiar consolidation band between roughly $65,000 and $74,000 after a short-lived attempt to clear higher resistance walls at around $76,000 earlier in the week failed.  Trading around $69,000 at the time of writing, on-chain analytics from Glassnode and market commentary from analysts suggest the market is likely to remain in an accumulation phase through the end of March, with several indicators pointing to lower near-term volatility but heightened defensive positioning. Rising Demand For Downside Protection Glassnode’s posts on X (formerly Twitter) highlight record-high positioning in derivatives markets: options open interest reached a new all-time high ahead of the current quarter’s expiry.  That elevated positioning may still reflect short-term hedging rather than directional conviction, and the firm noted that the picture of refreshed positioning and sentiment should become clearer after the March 27 expiry. Volatility metrics are showing signs of normalization. At-the-money implied volatility (1‑week ATM IV) has cooled from about 70% to 53%, and longer-dated maturities have fallen roughly 10 vols from recent highs. This drop in implied volatility indicates traders are expecting less dramatic price swings in the immediate term. Related Reading: AI Model Ranks Bitcoin, XRP, And ETH For 2026: Expected Returns And Price Targets Despite falling IV, skew measures have widened back toward the downside. After the failed breakout to $75,000, demand for downside protection reemerged, and 25‑delta skew moved into the 15–20% range. The renewed premium for put options reflects caution among participants who are seeking protection against a reversal. That caution shows up in flow dynamics. Glassnode reported that the put/call ratio flagged limited momentum to sustain a push above $75,000. On the way up, flows were dominated by put buying above $72,000—a classic sign that the market was fading the breakout—while the pullback was accompanied by a brief surge in call purchases.  In the most recent 24‑hour tape, put buys led the way with a 30.7% share of activity, and calls lagged at roughly 10%, underscoring a defensive tilt after the rejection at $75,000. Consolidation Rather Than Immediate Breakout Gamma positioning has also been adjusted. For the Q1 expiry, short gamma exposure around the 75,000 strike contracted from $3.9 billion to $2.4 billion in under two days, a $1.5 billion unwind as prices moved away from that level.  Lower gamma exposure reduces the need for dealers to dynamically hedge, which in turn can dampen directional flows and help explain part of the pullback. Relatedly, the volatility risk premium (VRP) has reset. Over the past week, short-gamma positions had been profitable because implied volatility exceeded realized volatility, but realized volatility increased during the selloff, compressing the VRP.  With VRP near equilibrium, option prices now look more fairly valued—another indicator that the market may be settling into a consolidation range rather than preparing for an immediate breakout. Bitcoin Nears Key Multi‑Year Support  When it comes to full price analysis, market expert Ali Martinez recently flagged a longer-term technical backdrop that may be constructive. He noted Bitcoin is approaching a multi-year trendline that has supported major advances in previous cycles.  Related Reading: BTQ Unveils First Bitcoin Upgrade Testnet Designed To Thwart Quantum Attacks The expert asserted that every touch of this foundational support over the past nine years has preceded significant rallies: the 2017 parabolic run, the 2020 rebound from the COVID crash, and the 2022 recovery after the FTX collapse.  That trendline now lives between roughly $60,000 and $56,000; if it holds, Martinez believes the area could become more than just a bounce zone and serve as a potential launchpad for the next sustained bull phase. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Whale wallets quietly shifted to buying mode over the past two weeks — even as the broader crypto market absorbed one of its worst single-day liquidation events in recent memory. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stalls Near $75K As Traders Move Coins To Exchanges A Massive Options Expiry Freezes The Price Friday’s settlement of Deribit’s March options contracts has effectively put Bitcoin on hold. The expiry involves 24,838 contracts with a combined notional value of $1.72 billion, and BTC has landed squarely at the $70,000 strike — the exact level known as “max pain,” where the greatest number of options contracts expire worthless. That pins price in a tight band. Traders expect it to hold between $69,000 and $71,000 until contracts settle later today. Max pain is not a coincidence. It describes the point where option sellers — typically institutional market makers — collect maximum losses from buyers. When open interest is concentrated enough, the market tends to drift toward that level as expiry approaches, and that appears to be exactly what happened this week. Bitcoin fell about 1.4% from midnight Thursday, landing at $70,000 by the time derivatives traders were watching closely. Longs Got Crushed While Shorts Walked Away The damage across the broader market was severe. Data shows 141,810 traders were liquidated over a 24-hour stretch, with total losses reaching $541 million. Long positions — bets that prices would rise — accounted for $443 million of that, or roughly 80% of the total. Short sellers, by contrast, lost only $97 million. Bitcoin led the wreckage at $191 million in liquidations. Ether followed at $165 million. The single largest loss was a $18 million ETH/USDT position on the Aster exchange, wiped out in one move. Open Interest, Futures Down The time breakdown tells the story clearly. The one-hour window showed relatively balanced liquidations at $18 million. But zoom out to four hours and the figure jumps to $126 million — and over 12 hours, it hit $300 million, almost entirely from leveraged buyers who got caught on the wrong side. Related Reading: Bitcoin Gains Ground On Gold Even As Both Assets Slide Futures open interest industry-wide fell 5.6% to close to $107 billion. Ether futures dropped 9% alongside a 6% decline in spot price, a combination that points to capital leaving the market outright, not just prices falling. Funding rates for Bitcoin, Ether, Solana, and BNB have all turned negative, a sign that short positions are back in demand across the board. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

A crypto analyst has broken down everything investors and traders need to know about the current Bitcoin (BTC) cycle. In his post, the pundit argued that the present cycle is different. He explained that the widely followed four-year cycle theory is fundamentally flawed, suggesting that a far more reliable framework exists for understanding where the market truly stands.  Market expert Sykodelic took to X on March 17, delivering a sharp critique of the four-year cycle theory. He argued that the widely cited model relies on nothing more than two historical data points and anchors itself purely in time rather than in any meaningful economic foundation. Whereas, he noted that the business cycle is supported by virtually every major market chart available, giving it substantially more analytical weight. Why This Bitcoin Cycle Operates By Different Rules Backing his thesis with a chart, Sykodelic laid out a sequence of market behavior he noted has played out consistently across cycles. According to him, Gold’s price rallies during periods of economic contraction and uncertainty, then peaks the moment the ISM Manufacturing Index returns to expansion territory.  Related Reading: Bitcoin To Rally 250% This Year? Crypto Founder’s Bullish Prediction Shows New ATHs Once certainty returns to the macro environment, risk assets enter their genuine bull phase, and Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) begins its characteristic end-of-cycle decline. Sykodelic stated that each of these fundamental chart indicators lines up. And this is because the market cycle is strictly governed by the business and economic cycle, which is inherently linked to liquidity and economic performance.  The analyst further argued that the reason the current business cycle feels so unusual and goes largely unnoticed is that no one has managed to read it correctly. He noted that most people are too focused on the Bitcoin chart and the four-year cycle theory to pay close attention to the actual business cycle.  Sykodelic attributed this to human psychology, pointing out that people naturally find it difficult to believe events that have not yet occurred. He said they would rather defend events that have already taken place. The analyst argued that this instinct is why many are likely to be caught off guard in the present market cycle.  What The Charts Are Actually Saying In his post, Sykodelic pointed to several observable conditions as direct evidence supporting his thesis. He shared the reason the current cycle is significantly weaker than previous ones and why most altcoins have failed to break higher despite gold experiencing a historic and unprecedented rally.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Just Flashed The Most Powerful Fractal In The Market, Here’s What To Expect According to the analyst, all of these trends stem from a common root cause: a prolonged contraction in the business cycle. He noted that this contraction suppressed the conditions necessary for a typical risk-asset explosion. Concluding his analysis, Sykodelic expressed the belief that the market is not heading lower, noting that bearishly positioned traders are still operating under a seemingly faulty four-year cycle framework. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

The Bitcoin price has broken below a legendary support level that had stood strong for 14 years, marking a major moment for the cryptocurrency. Market expert Crypto Tice has released a new analysis detailing the significance of this breach, warning of potential risks and a possible price shift. The recent downturn follows BTC’s latest surge after it cleared previous resistance levels, which pushed its price back toward the $75,000 region. Bitcoin Price Falls Below 14-Year Support Level Sharing a price chart clearly illustrating the 14-year support on X, Crypto Tice emphasized that this trendline was far more than just another technical level, underscoring its strong significance. He explained that this line has historically defined every major Bitcoin bull market, consistently separating periods of robust price growth from phases with sharp declines. Furthermore, he noted, it has never broken without triggering major consequences.  Related Reading: Pundit Who Predicted Ethereum Price Bottom Reveals What To Expect Next The analyst went on to highlight that Bitcoin’s recent break below the support signals that the market can no longer rely on the patterns that once guided investor behavior. Once a support level of this magnitude fails, market volatility typically spikes as traders reassess their positions and liquidity shifts in search of new equilibrium zones. He also observed that weaker hands are often forced out as more experienced investors take a patient stance, waiting for stability before making their next move.  Crypto Tice further explained that while Bitcoin could eventually reclaim the long-term trendline support, the market remains in risk-management mode until that happens. He warned that ignoring a broken macro-support is not a sign of conviction but a form of denial.  Moreover, history shows that overlooking these foundational levels often leads to sharp sell-offs and accelerated Bitcoin repricing. The analyst noted that this reinforces the need to respect these types of structural chart signals rather than merely holding for a price rebound.  While the overall implications of Crypto Tice’s analysis point to further declines and increased volatility in Bitcoin, some members of the crypto community view the latest trendline break differently. One market analyst argued that rather than a signal of imminent collapse, breaking a 14-year support mark is an evolution in Bitcoin’s market structure. He explained that when historic levels like this fail, it often reflects the exhaustion of old patterns, not the start of a recession. The analyst concluded that new frameworks tend to emerge from those that have broken.   Related Reading: XRP Trend Exhaustion Says Price Is About To Jump, Here’s The Target Bitcoin Sheds Over $5,000 With New Crash In just one day, the Bitcoin price has crashed, losing roughly $5,000 after its recent rebound above $75,000. CoinMarketCap data shows the decline is ongoing, with no immediate signs of stabilizing.  Notably, the latest decline has been driven primarily by a hawkish Federal Reserve (FED) outlook amid rising geopolitical tensions. Reports indicate that investor sentiment shifted sharply, turning risk-off following the latest FED warning. In addition, a surge in whale sell-offs and a wave of leveraged long liquidations have put significant pressure on the Bitcoin price.  Featured image created with Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

A global Asian food platform and digital asset firm’s holdings are worth more than twice what the entire company trades for on the stock market — a gap that has quietly widened as the firm keeps buying week after week. Related Reading: XRP Still In Danger Zone Without This Key Breakout: Analyst Reports show DDC Enterprise Limited‘s 2,383 BTC stash is valued at roughly $165 million. Its stock market cap sits at just $66 million. That spread is not a typo. The Bitcoin in DDC’s treasury is worth more than two and a half times the company’s publicly traded value. A Steady Drip Of Weekly Purchases DDC did not get here overnight. Since January 2026, the Hong Kong-based firm has added around 1,200 BTC to its holdings — more than doubling what it owned at the start of the year. Early in January, it was buying about 200 BTC per week. That pace slowed to roughly 100 BTC weekly through February. The latest purchase, announced March 19, adds another 200 BTC at an average price of $79,969 per coin. ???? Scoreboard Update NEW: 200 BTC TOTAL: 2383 BTC #Bitcoin #BTC #BTCTreasuries #DAT $DDC pic.twitter.com/WVclStdKMW — ddcbtc (@ddcbtc_) March 19, 2026 The company’s year-to-date BTC yield — a metric measuring Bitcoin growth per share — stands at close to 50%. It now ranks 32nd among publicly traded companies holding Bitcoin worldwide. CEO and founder Norma Chu has been direct about the strategy. “Every additional Bitcoin we add is a statement about where we think long-term value is heading,” she said in the announcement. Original Target Still Out Of Reach DDC set an ambitious goal of holding 10,000 BTC by the end of 2025. It didn’t come close. The company closed out last year with 1,183 BTC — well short of the mark. To fund purchases, DDC has relied on stock sales and equity raises rather than cash from its food operations. In mid-2025, it filed with the SEC to raise $528 million, most of it earmarked for Bitcoin buying. Bitcoin itself has had a rough stretch recently. The token dropped briefly to $68,800 during early trading Thursday before recovering to around $70,244 — a far cry from its all-time high of $126,000 reached in October 2025. DDC has continued buying through the slide. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stalls Near $75K As Traders Move Coins To Exchanges Company Eyes Long-Term Hold Through Market Swings Chu has described Bitcoin as one of the most valuable assets of the coming decades, one that complements rather than competes with the company’s food business. DDC operates as a global Asian food platform alongside its growing digital asset arm. The purchases are being watched. Corporate Bitcoin accumulation has picked up among smaller listed companies following the playbook made famous by larger holders. DDC is not in that league yet, but at its current rate, the gap between its crypto holdings and its stock price is becoming the more defining number. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

TradFi is taking another step into fully embracing bitcoin as an asset. Morgan Stanley is creating its own Bitcoin investment fund that will trade on the stock market like a regular exchange‑traded fund (ETF) share. To get it started, the lender is putting in about $1 million of its own money as seed capital. Related Reading: Legendary Bitcoin Trader Says HYPE Will Soar To $150, Here’s Why A TradFi Bitcoin Trust Morgan Stanley has filed another amended S‑1/A for the Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust (MSBT), confirming ticker MSBT on NYSE Arca. The bank outlined the ticker symbol in a new submission to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, revising the Bitcoin fund proposal it first filed in January. The Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust would be the first spot Bitcoin ETF not just distribute but directly issued by a major U.S. bank. It would also mark the first time that the seed basket cash will be used to acquire spot BTC before trading begins. We are talking about a 50,000‑share seed basket and roughly $1 million in initial capital. The trust is set to hold bitcoin via custodians (Coinbase Custody and BNY Mellon under the broader ETF plan), with assets stored primarily in cold storage, and shares reflecting the underlying BTC held. Once it launches, regular investors (especially Morgan Stanley clients) will be able to buy and sell MSBT through their normal brokerage accounts, getting regulated, brokerage‑account exposure to bitcoin’s price without touching self‑custody or spot exchanges directly. The trust will also to support both cash and in‑kind creations/redemptions, giving authorized participants (APs) flexibility, just like the main spot Bitcoin ETFs that launched in 2024 Trading And Risk Assessment However, it is worth noting custodians are not FDIC‑insured. This means that if something goes wrong (hack, theft, failure), you don’t have the government safety net that protects U.S. bank deposits up to a certain amount. Besides that, insurance is through private policies, and the ETF still faces market, regulatory and operational risk, especially in a crowded field dominated by BlackRock’s IBIT and other early movers. Related Reading: Hyperliquid Breaks Crypto Wall? Fiat On-Ramp Lets Anyone Trade With Bank Card Morgan Stanley already holds hundreds of millions in existing BTC ETFs and is building a broader crypto stack (Ethereum and Solana filings, trust‑bank application for custody, advisor access to BTC products). A bank‑issued MSBT product could normalize bitcoin exposure for traditional wealth‑management clients, strengthen the “Bitcoin as strategic asset” narrative, and extend the institutional ETF cycle. MSBT’s launch timeline, fee level and early inflows will be key sentiment catalysts. Strong demand could reinforce BTC’s ETF‑driven structural bid, while a lukewarm debut would signal saturation in the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF trade. At the moment of writing, BTC trades on the highs $70k. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview Cover image from Perplexity, BTCUSD chart from Tradingview

For six straight weeks, Bitcoin was losing the battle against gold. That streak has now reversed — and it has held for two weeks running, with Bitcoin up more than 4% against the precious metal this week alone. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stalls Near $75K As Traders Move Coins To Exchanges A Parallel Decline Reshapes The Debate The timing of that rebound is striking, given that both assets are deep in correction territory right now. Bitcoin dropped from a weekly high of $76,000 to below $70,000, a slide of roughly 8.7%. Gold fared no better, shedding 8.5% in the same period, pushing the price down to around $4,616 per ounce — well below the psychologically watched $5,000 mark. Gold has now posted two straight weeks of losses and is on pace for a third, its worst such run since last November. The back-to-back selloffs have reignited a long-running argument in crypto circles: when gold falls, does the money eventually find its way into Bitcoin? Benjamin Cowen, CEO of Into The Cryptoverse, says no. He has held that view since at least late January, when gold was still riding high and crypto bulls were counting on a rotation trade. He didn’t buy it then. He still doesn’t. Cowen’s Case, And What It’s Based On Cowen’s reasoning draws on something that already played out inside the crypto market. When Bitcoin ran up in prior cycles, many traders expected capital to eventually shift from BTC into smaller altcoins, sparking what the market calls “altcoin season.” According to Cowen, that rotation never really materialized in any meaningful way. He sees the gold-to-Bitcoin narrative following the same pattern. Back on January 28, as gold was trading near its all-time high of $5,597 — a level it hit on January 29 — Cowen posted publicly that no rotation from metals to crypto should be expected. One day after that post, gold dropped 4% and Bitcoin fell by the same amount, almost to the dollar. That co-movement drew attention at the time. The events of this week have brought the argument back to the surface. Not everyone agrees with him. A section of the market has long argued that precious metals and crypto serve different investor profiles, and that a pullback in one naturally redirects money toward the other. So far this cycle, that has not played out in the data. Related Reading: XRP Still In Danger Zone Without This Key Breakout: Analyst The BTC/Gold Ratio Tells A Different Story What complicates the “no rotation” argument is the BTC/gold ratio itself. Even as both assets fall in dollar terms, Bitcoin has been recovering ground relative to gold after bottoming near 12 ounces of gold per BTC earlier this month. It has since climbed back to around 15 ounces. That figure still sits well below the middle Bollinger Band at 18 and far below the upper band at 26, but the direction has shifted. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Data shows the Bitcoin perpetual futures market has seen a negative Funding Rate recently, suggesting a bearish sentiment is dominant. Bitcoin Perpetual Futures Traders Are Betting On The Short Direction As highlighted by Glassnode analyst Chris Beamish in an X post, the Bitcoin perpetual futures Funding Rate has been negative recently. The “Funding Rate” here refers to an indicator that measures the amount of periodic fee that traders on the various centralized derivatives exchanges are paying each other right now. Related Reading: Bitcoin Demand Heats Up: Coinbase Premium Green For 25 Straight Days When the value of the metric is positive, it means the long holders are paying a premium to the short ones in order to hold onto their positions. Such a trend implies a bullish sentiment is shared by the majority. On the other hand, the indicator being under the zero mark implies the shorts outweigh the longs and a bearish mentality is the dominant force in the perpetual futures market. Now, here is the chart shared by Beamish that shows the trend in the 3-day moving average (MA) of the Bitcoin Funding Rate over the past few months: As displayed in the above graph, the 3-day MA of the Bitcoin Funding Rate was positive earlier even as the cryptocurrency’s price went through a bearish shift. This suggests that perpetual futures traders were trying to bet on a market reversal back to a bullish trend. In March so far, BTC has found some stability and made some recovery, but from the chart, it’s visible that the market expectations have now flipped, with shorts instead dominating. This also didn’t change during BTC’s recent rally above $75,000. Generally, the side of the market that’s stronger is more vulnerable to mass liquidation events. As such, while the long investors were getting squeezed during the downtrend, it could be the short ones who might be at risk now. In some other news, Glassnode has revealed in its latest weekly report how a supply gap exists between the $72,000 and $82,000 levels on the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD). The URPD tells us about the total amount of supply that was last moved at the various price levels visited by Bitcoin in its history. From the chart, it’s apparent that this indicator shows a chasm near the recent price levels, implying not a lot of supply has cost basis there. Related Reading: Bitcoin Long-Term MVRV Remains In ‘Opportunity’ Zone: Data Generally, supply walls above the spot price act as resistance levels as investors exit at their break-even level fearing price pullbacks. Though, while there isn’t much in the way of this on-chain resistance until $82,000, BTC’s recent attempt to get through the range still ended up in failure. BTC Price Bitcoin has dropped back to the $70,400 level following its latest retrace. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

BTQ Technologies moved a key Bitcoin (BTC) security proposal from theory to practice on Thursday, releasing Bitcoin Quantum testnet v0.3.0 with the first working implementation of Bitcoin Improvement Proposal 360 (BIP 360).  The upgrade—aimed at making Bitcoin transactions resistant to future quantum-computing attacks—gives developers, miners, and researchers a live environment to test how quantum-resistant transactions would function on a running network. How Bitcoin Could Shield Keys From Quantum Attacks BIP 360, also known as Pay-to-Merkle-Root (P2MR), was merged into Bitcoin’s official BIP repository earlier this year but remains a draft proposal within the broader Bitcoin ecosystem.  BTQ’s testnet release delivers the first functional implementation of that proposal, enabling participants to create, fund, sign, and spend P2MR transactions and observe the full lifecycle from mempool acceptance through broadcast and confirmation.  Related Reading: Sen. Lummis Predicts Crypto Market Structure Markup In April, Senate Passage By Year-End The importance of BIP 360 stems from a long‑term cryptographic risk: in a future where quantum computers reach sufficient capability, exposed public keys on-chain—an outcome of Taproot’s key-path spend design—could be vulnerable to attacks leveraging Shor’s algorithm.  Taproot, activated on Bitcoin back in 2021, underpins many advanced features and scaling efforts for the protocol, but its reliance on on-chain public keys creates a potential attack surface in a quantum-enabled world.  P2MR addresses this by committing directly to the Merkle root of a script tree rather than relying on an internal key or tweak, preserving Taproot’s scripting flexibility while removing the key-path mechanism that could expose public keys. Devs Can Now Test Quantum‑Safe BTC Transactions BTQ’s Bitcoin Quantum testnet v0.3.0 implements full P2MR consensus rules, including SegWit version 2 outputs with bc1z (bech32m) address encoding, Merkle root commitment verification, and control block validation.  The release also enables all five Dilithium post‑quantum signature opcodes within the P2MR tapscript context, providing real quantum-resistant signature verification inside the script tree.  To support developer workflows, BTQ included end-to-end command-line wallet tooling and full RPC wallet support so users can perform the complete P2MR transaction flow on testnet. BTQ And CEO’s Warnings Olivier Roussy Newton, BTQ’s CEO and chairman, framed the launch as a practical advance for industry preparedness. “BIP 360 represents the Bitcoin community’s most significant step toward quantum resistance, and we’ve turned it from a proposal into running code,” he said.  The company further said the testnet’s live validation—covering address creation, funding, transaction construction, signing, mempool acceptance, broadcast, and confirmation—gives implementers and auditors the chance to observe how P2MR operates end to end.  It also signaled that BIP 360’s implementation is network-activated across Bitcoin Quantum’s testing environments, ensuring the feature is available to anyone participating in the testnet. Related Reading: XRP Price Projections Soar To $15-$30 On CLARITY Act Prospects And Bank Adoption However, the firm warned that waiting until a quantum-capable adversary emerges would be risky, and urged the industry to move beyond purely theoretical discussion. “The industry can’t afford to treat quantum resistance as a theoretical exercise,” Newton said, adding:  BIP 360 was a landmark proposal, and we’ve turned it into a landmark implementation. Every developer, researcher, and institution that wants to understand how quantum-safe Bitcoin actually works now has a live network to test against. At the time of writing, BTC was trading at $69,534, having recorded losses of 3% in the past 24 hours after testing the $76,000 resistance wall earlier this week.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin price started a sharp decline from well above $73,000. BTC is now consolidating and might aim for a fresh increase if it clears $72,400. Bitcoin started a sharp decline below $72,000 and $71,500. The price is trading below $72,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $71,550 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to rise if it clears the $71,500 and $72,400 levels. Bitcoin Price Starts Consolidation Bitcoin price started a sharp decline from well above $73,000. BTC declined below $72,500 and $72,000 to enter a short-term bearish zone. The bears even pushed the price below $71,200. There was a move toward $68,800. A low was formed at $68,782, and the pair is now consolidating losses. There was a minor upward move above $70,000. The price tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $75,998 swing high to the $68,782 low. Bitcoin is now trading below $72,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $71,550 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. If the price remains stable above $69,000, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $70,800 level. The first key resistance is near the $71,500 level and the trend line. A close above the $71,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $72,400 resistance or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $75,998 swing high to the $68,782 low. Any more gains might send the price toward the $73,250 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $74,000. Downside Extension In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $72,400 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $69,650 level. The first major support is near the $69,000 level. The next support is now near the $68,800 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $68,000 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $67,200, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $69,650, followed by $68,800. Major Resistance Levels – $71,500 and $72,400.

Data shows the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap has been positive for the past 25 days, a sign that could point toward returning demand from American institutional traders. Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Gap Has Been Climbing Recently In a new post on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap. This indicator measures the difference between the BTC price listed on Coinbase (USD pair) and that on Binance (USDT pair). When the value of this metric is above zero, it means the cryptocurrency is going for a higher price on Coinbase than on Binance. Such a trend implies the users of the former may be applying a higher amount of buying pressure (or a lower amount of selling pressure) as compared to that of the latter. On the other hand, the indicator being underwater suggests the Binance traders may be the ones participating in a higher amount of accumulation as they have pushed BTC to a higher rate relative to Coinbase. Now, here is the chart shared by Maartunn that shows the trend in the 30-hour moving average (MA) of the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, the 30-hour MA of the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap fell deep into the negative zone during the asset’s decline from its January high, suggesting selling on Coinbase may have been the driver behind the price drop. Coinbase users affecting the asset’s trajectory isn’t anything new for the market. In fact, since the start of 2024, there has tended to be some correlation between the Coinbase Premium Gap and BTC’s spot price. This may be because of the fact that the exchange is the main destination of institutional investors based in the United States. Even the spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) use the platform as their custodian. From the chart, it’s visible that while the metric was inside the red zone earlier in the year, a shift started to occur toward the end of February, with the indicator’s 30-hour MA value flipping into the positive region. Since then, it has steadily been going up inside the zone, indicating the cryptocurrency’s price on Coinbase has risen relative to the Binance market. “The Coinbase Premium Gap just logged 25 consecutive days in positive territory, the longest streak since October 2025,” noted the analyst. Bitcoin has shown some recovery alongside these green values, a potential sign that American institutional entities may once again be playing a role in the market. BTC Price Bitcoin surged above $75,000 earlier in the week, but the coin has since gone through a retrace as its price is now floating around $70,300. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, has reiterated his $250,000 year-end price target for Bitcoin. With Bitcoin trading around $70,100, that target would imply roughly 256.5% upside from current levels and a clean break above its previous peak at $126,000 from October 2025. Reiterating Bullish Predictions Arthur Hayes is one of the most outspoken bullish proponents for Bitcoin. He has, on multiple occasions, pointed to Bitcoin breaking above $200,000 among his long-term bullish expectations for the asset. That earlier stance has now been reaffirmed in a recent YouTube interview. Related Reading: Bitcoin Is Still Bearish And Price Is Headed Below $50,000; Analyst Given how Bitcoin’s price action has unfolded since those earlier calls, Hayes was pressed on whether his outlook had changed in a recent YouTube interview. Hayes was asked whether his Bitcoin prediction for 2026 has changed, and his response left little room for interpretation.  He stated that he would “go the same number,” repeating his $250,000 Bitcoin target by the end of the year. The consistency in his outlook shows that his conviction has not changed despite recent price fluctuations and the inability of Bitcoin’s correction to find a bottom. Although the $250,000 prediction did not come with a direct breakdown at that moment, Hayes has always given different reasons as to why he is bullish in other similar predictions. He has previously noted that a prolonged US-Iran conflict could force the Federal Reserve to print more money, which in turn would have a ripple effect in driving the Bitcoin price higher.  Can Bitcoin Reach $250,000 In 2026? At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $70,100 and now seems to have registered a bottom just above $61,000. Therefore, a move to $250,000 would push Bitcoin far above its previous high at $126,000 and establish a completely new price range. Related Reading: Bitcoin Just Flashed The Most Powerful Fractal In The Market, Here’s What To Expect Recent price action shows that Bitcoin has struggled to break out of its current consolidation, repeatedly moving within a broad $60,000 to $74,000 band without a decisive trend in either direction. A rally to $250,000 would require Bitcoin to first clear its current range and then reclaim higher price zones that were lost during the correction from its 2025 peak. Technical analysis suggests that once Bitcoin breaks through certain supply gaps above $76,000, then it could rally fast due to thinner resistance. Hayes had earlier projected a bigger Bitcoin target in the $500,000 to $750,000 range by the end of 2026, with his prediction based on escalating tensions in the Middle East. However, he has also noted a bit of caution for Bitcoin while speaking at another similar podcast interview. “If I had $1 to invest right now, would I be putting it into Bitcoin? No. I would wait,” Hayes said, stating he would only become a buyer when the Federal Reserve begins easing. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto asset products saw about $1.06 billion in net inflows last week, extending a three-week positive streak despite ongoing geopolitical stress and mixed macro data. Related Reading: Crypto Lobby Loses Key Illinois Race Yet Keeps $221M Firepower For Midterms Inside The Crypto Report New on-chain data from Banana Gun show about $19,200 in bot fees over the week of March 9–15, with ETH capturing roughly 50.5% and BSC around 36%, while Solana activity cooled sharply. Because Banana Gun is a multi-chain trading bot and DeFi execution layer used by active traders to route orders across Ethereum, Binace Chain, Solana and Base, its on-chain order flow effectively mirrors the ETF-driven rotation back into majors and “quality” chains whenever uncertainty spikes. After prior outflow periods and coincides with bitcoin holding up better than equities and gold during recent turbulence, bitcoin captured roughly 75% of those net inflows (around $793 million) as investors treated it as a relative safe haven, while Ethereum and Solana also logged smaller but positive flows. Weekly crypto asset flows. Source: Banana Gun Ethereum reclaimed about 50% dominance in one major on-chain trading venue’s fee mix, reflecting a clear rotation back into majors as speculative alt activity cooled. This rotation mirrors broader market flows, where BTC and ETH are again the primary liquidity magnets. Ethereum has seen meaningful inflows (around $315 million), helped by new staking-focused ETF products that are pulling flows closer to neutral year-to-date. Three straight weeks of inflows totaling roughly $2.2 billion signal renewed commitment from larger holders and ETF-driven capital, even as spot prices remain volatile. Retail Inflow In Comparison On the exchange side, on‑chain analytics from CryptoQuant show that retail inflows to Binance hit roughly $131.8 million in a single hour on March 11, the highest spike since January 2026. These sharp, clustered inflows from smaller wallets typically reflect funds being moved onto the exchange for active trading, often around key price inflection points. Binance Retail to Exchange Flow. Source: CryptoQuant While institutions keep buying exposure through ETFs, the $131.8 million retail inflow cluster into BSC underlines that shorter‑term traders are also stepping back in, either to chase momentum or lock in profits. Every notable retail inflow cluster in Q1 has appeared around sharp BTC moves, framing this as a classic liquidity and volatility signal rather than random noise. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stuck At $74K As US Fed Sets the Stage For Explosive Move Main Takeaway For Traders Taken together, ETF inflows, retail capital rushing into Binance, and on‑chain execution flows through tools such as Banana Gun all point to the same pattern: liquidity rotating back into BTC and ETH as traders position around volatility, not away from it. The fact that retail is still willing to send over $130 million to a single exchange in an hour, at the same time as institutional ETF flows remain firmly positive, suggests that crypto is entering a new phase of risk‑taking rather than a late‑cycle exhaustion spike. The signal mix is clear: persistent ETF inflows, ETH regaining on‑chain execution dominance, and aggressive retail inflow clusters to BSC are creating pockets of high liquidity where advanced routing tools and execution bots such as Banana Gun can help capture short‑term moves while majors remain the core of the trade. ETH’s trades around $2k on the daily chart. Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview Cover image from Banana Gun, ETHUSDT chart from Tradingview

Bitcoin is back at a point where the next move may carry more importance than an ordinary resistance test. The latest rebound has pulled the price back into a zone that could be the line between a continued recovery and another leg lower, especially as it is still early to judge whether the bounce from the yearly low has real strength behind it. Now, all eyes are on one specific zone that could either launch Bitcoin to a new all-time high or send it to another yearly low. A Roadmap Playing Out In Real Time The setup comes from a technical outlook shared by analyst Crypto Patel, who noted that Bitcoin has now entered its most important zone of 2026. The reaction inside the current order block will determine whether Bitcoin can continue building back to the upper resistance bands or slip into another breakdown sequence. That view is coming as Bitcoin broke above $75,000 again following weeks of trading below the level. Related Reading: XRP Trend Exhaustion Says Price Is About To Jump, Here’s The Target Crypto Patel’s prediction strategy is built around Bearish Order Block 1, a zone running from $74,567 to $79,289. According to his roadmap, Bitcoin already reclaimed $76,000 and pushed through the previous $74,000 resistance, confirming the bounce he had mapped from the $60,000 support area. The chart that accompanied his post presents this range as the first major test of the current rebound. Price is shown climbing out of a local low near $59,809 and moving straight into that overhead supply region.  A projected path on the chart suggests two very different outcomes from here. One path shows Bitcoin getting rejected in this first order block and rolling over into a break of structure that could drag price back to the range in the low-$50,000s. The other shows Bitcoin pushing through the zone, establishing a higher low, and then making a run into the next resistance cluster. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @CryptoPatel On X New All-Time High Within Reach If Structure Holds The bullish scenario for this technical analysis. Bitcoin needs to break through Bearish Order Block 1 and keep building. If that happens, then the next upside target is in Bearish Order Block 2, which is between $86,000 and $90,600.  Related Reading: Ex-UK Prime Minister Blasts Bitcoin, Here’s What He Said The analyst also placed a change-of-character level at about $97,900 and noted that a higher-timeframe close above that region would be bullish. That would mean Bitcoin is no longer just bouncing inside the structure. Bitcoin closed around $73,926 on March 17 and around $71,256 on March 18, which means the price action is still close enough to Patel’s first decision zone for every small move there to matter. The bearish case is just as straightforward and probably more immediate. A rejection inside the $74,567 to $79,289 band could send Bitcoin into a fresh yearly low. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin could be vulnerable to another sharp leg lower if a developing wedge pattern breaks down, according to market technician Aksel Kibar, whose latest chart work points to a possible move toward $52,500. The warning matters because Kibar is not framing this as a macro hot take or a sentiment call, but as a pure technical risk signal built around the same structure he flagged before Bitcoin’s earlier selloff. In one of his latest posts on X, Kibar wrote: “See my analysis at the time of the previous bearish wedge pattern. A similar pattern might be developing. Not a prediction. Breakdown of the lower boundary will be the signal for a possible move towards 52.5K.” That caveat is central to the setup. He is not saying Bitcoin must trade there. He is saying a confirmed loss of structure (currently around $66,000) would open that path on the chart. History Repeating For Bitcoin? Kibar paired that with a broader point about trade management rather than directional conviction. “If you got in with a chart signal, you should get out with the chart signal,” he wrote. In a follow-up, he added: “How can charting be used as a risk management tool? By moving to the sidelines when the time is not right, protects capital, frees it for other opportunities.” Read together, the message is less about calling a dramatic collapse than about respecting invalidation when a technical setup fails. Related Reading: Bitcoin Has Entered A Rare Zone Against Gold, Fidelity Says The backdrop is a call Kibar made on Jan. 19, when Bitcoin was consolidating beneath what he treats as its long-term trend filter, the 365-day EMA. At the time, with price trading inside a rising wedge and getting rejected near the upper boundary around $97,000, he wrote: “The consolidation below the long-term average. With cryptocurrencies I’m taking the 365 day EMA. With equities I take 200 day EMA as my year-long average trend filter. So far BTCUSD respected the year-long average. This is part of the chop and search for a base. The pattern can become a rising wedge, usually bearish in an attempt to test 73.7K-76.5K support area.” That support zone eventually came under pressure, and the chart he reposted now shows a deeper washout toward the $60,000 area before the latest rebound began tracing what he says may be a similar wedge. Related Reading: Bitcoin Long-Term MVRV Remains In ‘Opportunity’ Zone: Data Notably, Kibar is one of the most respected technical analysts on X. He is a Chartered Market Technician and founder of Tech Charts LLC, and before launching his own research firm he worked as a senior technical analyst and fund manager at National Bank of Abu Dhabi, as well as a portfolio manager at Abu Dhabi Investment Company. The CMT Association also lists him as a presenter and contributor. For Bitcoin traders, the immediate implication is straightforward. When Kibar speaks, the market tends to pay attention. As long as price remains inside the wedge or breaks out, bulls have little to worry about. But a break below $66,000 could open the door to another drawdown toward $52,000. At press time, BTC traded at $70,259. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The Bitcoin price broke above $75,000 earlier this week, marking the highest level for the pioneer cryptocurrency for over one month. But while this move has led to an improvement in the overall investor sentiment, it could end up being a trap. This is called out by analyst TheOnePct, who explained that the correct move could end up being part of a larger Flat correction that began years ago. In this case, it would only be a matter of time before the Bitcoin price falls again. Bitcoin Break Confirms Structural Weakness The analysis follows the Bitcoin price movement since 2021, expressing that this current move is still part of the correction that began almost five years ago after the 2021 bull market. Instead of marking the bottom for BTC, the crypto analyst explains that it is likely a B-wave of the Flat correction. Related Reading: Can Avalanche’s AVAX Rise From The Dead? The Zone That Could Change Everything The current price movements, the analyst suggests, are actually ‘structurally consistent’ with this Flat correction. One of the things that seems to correlate is the fact that the Bitcoin price has been seeing very aggressive declines. It coincides with the C-wave of a flat correction, which spells even more bad luck for the cryptocurrency. Another thing the analyst calls out is that the current C-wave looks to be terminal in nature. This simply means that the current trend is inherently corrective. As a result, it is likely that the price will reverse and fall further even after the correction. What To Expect Interpreting the decline of the Bitcoin price, the analyst says the trend suggests that Wave 1 has actually not bottomed. If that is the case, then the recovery into the $70,000s may only be temporary in nature. Not only this, but that the digital asset is likely forming a Diametric pattern. Related Reading: Shiba Inu’s 1,549% Spike: Can Bulls Take Control Again And Trigger An Explosive Rally? Going by this, the crypto analyst says that the Bitcoin price is likely moving through Wave F, which could end up being more complex in terms of the sideways movement. Eventually, though, this is expected to end in a decline, leading into Wave G. Wave G is more bearish than the previous wave, and as the price begins to move through, it is expected to fall below $60,000, bottoming somewhere around $55,000. “BTC has already shown clear structural weakness, and that weakness is likely to continue hunting the market for quite some time,” the analyst said. “Because of this, the market may remain in a bearish environment for longer than most expect.” Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

On-chain data shows the 365-day Bitcoin MVRV Ratio has recently been sitting deep inside the negative zone, implying long-term buyers are underwater. Bitcoin MVRV Ratio Suggests 1-Year Holders Still In Pain In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Santiment has talked about how the short-term and long-term Bitcoin returns have been looking from the perspective of the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio. This indicator keeps track of the ratio between the Market Cap of BTC and its Realized Cap. Related Reading: Bitcoin STH Profit-Taking Ramps Up As Price Breaks $74,000 The Market Cap here is simply the total value of the Bitcoin circulating supply at the current spot price. This metric can be considered as an estimate of the value that the investors as a whole are carrying in the present. The Realized Cap, in contrast, measures the value that the holders initially put into the cryptocurrency. It does so by summing up the last blockchain transaction price of each token in circulation. As the MVRV Ratio compares the two metrics, its value essentially tells us about the profit-loss status of the network. When the indicator is greater than 1, it means the investors as a whole are sitting on some net unrealized profit. On the other hand, it being under the threshold suggests the dominance of loss in the market. In the context of the current topic, the MVRV Ratio of the entire network isn’t of interest, but rather that of two segments of it: 30-day and 365-day buyers. Below is the chart shared by Santiment that shows the trend in the metric separately for the two Bitcoin cohorts. In the graph, the MVRV Ratio is displayed as a percentage, with the 1 level corresponding to the 0% mark. It would appear that the metric was sitting at +7.1% for the 30-day investors at the time that the analytics firm made the post, indicating a profitable status for the recent buyers. Generally, holders become more likely to sell the larger that their profits get, so it’s possible that these short-term traders could be tempted to take their gains of the rally. BTC has seen a notable pullback in the past day and it may be due to profit realization from these investors. While the new buyers have been in gains, the 1-year investors haven’t been so fortunate. As is visible in the chart, the MVRV Ratio of this cohort has been around -22.1% recently, which is inside a region that Santiment defines as pertaining to an “opportunity” zone. Related Reading: Cardano Chop Nearing End? Here’s The Key Resistance To Watch Given this dominance of losses among this cohort, Bitcoin may not be set up badly from a long-term perspective. It only remains to be seen, however, how the asset will develop in the coming months. BTC Price Bitcoin has plummeted to the $71,100 level following its price drop over the past day. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

A key price level is giving Bitcoin trouble — and on-chain data may explain why. Related Reading: XRP Moves Into ‘Scarce Zone’ As Exchange Supply Dries Up Realized Price Puts A Ceiling On The Rally The $75,000 mark is not just a round number for Bitcoin traders. It sits at the lower band of what analysts call the “traders’ on-chain Realized Price” — a metric that tracks the average price at which active market participants last moved their coins. According to CryptoQuant head of research Julio Moreno, that band has historically acted as a ceiling during bear markets, and it appears to be doing the same thing now. Bitcoin tested the $75,000 level three times on Coinbase in a single 24-hour stretch and was turned back each time. The rally itself has been real. Bitcoin climbed roughly 12% in March, touching a six-week high of around $76,000 on March 17. But momentum has stalled right where analysts warned it might. Large Deposits Flood Into Exchanges What makes the stall more significant is what’s happening behind the scenes. On March 16, hourly Bitcoin inflows to centralized exchanges surged to 6,100 BTC — the highest single-hour reading since February 20. Data shows that large deposits made up over 60% of that total, the biggest share since mid-October 2025. When traders move Bitcoin onto exchanges, it usually means one thing: they’re getting ready to sell. Moreno said that historically, spikes in large exchange deposits have been tied to rising selling pressure. The timing — right as Bitcoin ran into resistance — is hard to ignore. The question now is whether that selling pressure will be enough to push prices back down, or whether buyers will absorb it and push through the $75,000 wall. Fed Decision Adds To Market Uncertainty Broader financial conditions are adding another layer of complexity. The Federal Reserve is set to announce its rate decision Wednesday, and based on CME futures, traders are pricing in a 98.9% chance that rates stay where they are — with just a 1.1% chance of a hike. But holding rates steady may not be the most market-moving part of the announcement. Reports indicate the Federal Reserve could signal that no rate cuts are coming at all in 2026, citing ongoing inflation concerns and the fallout from the US-Iran war. That kind of guidance tends to weigh on risk assets. Related Reading: Another Bitcoin Buy Coming? Saylor Sparks Speculation With ‘Orange Dots’ Post The Harder Wall Still Lies Ahead Even if Bitcoin manages to clear $75,000 with enough conviction to hold, there is another obstacle waiting higher up. The full Realized Price — which reflects the average break-even level for active traders — currently sits near $84,700. That figure acted as resistance in both October and January. Clearing $75,000 would be a start. Getting to $84,700 would be a different challenge entirely. Featured image from West Coast Trial Lawyers, chart from TradingView

Strategy, formerly MicroStrategy, has crossed the 760,000 Bitcoin threshold with its latest purchase, bringing its total holdings to 761,068 BTC as of March 16, 2026. The market intelligence company continues to purchase BTC, despite broader market downtrends and ongoing volatility. Against this backdrop, AI analysis is now shedding light on how long it could take for Strategy to reach the 1 million BTC milestone, with different models projecting varying timelines.  Grok AI Predicts When Strategy Hits 1 Million BTC Strategy’s Bitcoin holdings have surpassed 761,000 BTC after its record weekly purchase of 22,3337 BTC for approximately $1.57 billion. The company’s aggressive accumulation strategy, led by CEO Michael Saylor, is accelerated by its ambition to grow its Bitcoin treasury as substantially as possible, with some analysts projecting it could reach a million BTC cap by the end of 2026.  Related Reading: Here’s How Much Saylor’s Strategy Makes Every Time Bitcoin Goes Up By $1,000 However, according to projections from Grok, the AI platform created by xAI and SpaceX founder Elon Musk, Strategy could realistically reach the one million BTC milestone as early as September 2026. Grok’s forecast is based on the company’s recent purchase velocity, which has increased significantly over the past few years.  In the three weeks leading up to mid-March, Strategy acquired between 3,015 and 22,337 BTC per week, averaging roughly 14,450 BTC. If the company can maintain this pace, Grok predicts that it could mathematically reach the one million BTC mark by early July this year.  However, maintaining such aggressive weekly acquisitions would require continuous capital raises exceeding $1 billion per week, which Grok notes is unlikely. The AI platform noted that the company currently needs an additional 238,932 BTC from its holdings to reach its official target.   A more sustainable pace, accounting for historical averages of roughly 2,500 BTC per week with the STRC preferred stock funding program, points to a more realistic timeline around September 2026. This projection takes into account market liquidity, sustainable fundraising, dilution concerns, market volatility, and other key factors.  ChatGPT Forecasts Strategy’s 1 Million Bitcoin Timeline ChatGPT AI projects a slightly more conservative scenario based on historical buying trends, capital capacity, and market conditions. According to the AI platform, Strategy would need approximately 5,550 BTC each week to hit 1 million BTC by December 2026, about 50-100% above its recent weekly averages.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Is Still Bearish And Price Is Headed Below $50,000; Analyst While this goal is ambitious, the AI suggests it could realistically be achieved by 2027. Its analysis indicates that if Strategy ramps up purchases through equity issuance and STRC funding, the 1 million BTC target could be recalibrated to late December 2026.  However, factors such as market liquidity, price volatility, and uneven weekly acquisitions make it more plausible that the goal could slip into early January 2027. The AI platform noted that delays beyond this window are unlikely, given the company’s historically strong commitment to BTC accumulation and its funding resources. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin is starting to show intriguing signals on the monthly time frame, with long-term data hinting at a potential shift in market structure. While short-term price action often captures attention, it is the higher-time-frame trends that typically define the broader market direction, and those signals are now starting to align in a way that looks increasingly significant. What The Monthly Candles Reveal About Market Direction The latest price action of Bitcoin suggests that the monthly low may already be in, with time-based statistics pointing to a strong probability of higher prices ahead. Market analyst Lennaert Snyder highlighted on X that, based on the past 10 years of BTC data, approximately 97.7% of monthly highs and lows are formed within the first 15 days of the month, suggesting the recent low is likely to hold for the rest of the month. Related Reading: Bitcoin Is Showing A Major Deviation From 2022, Analyst Says This Is A Different Foundation Snyder noted that around 80.7% of months go on to print a new P2 (Point 2) after the 17th day, based on the timing. These time-based statistics suggest that there is a higher chance that the BTC price will experience upward momentum this month. How Market Structure Holds While Timing Models Shift Bitcoin is showing a subtle shift in behavior as price has broken away from the established 14th pattern for the first time in the past 7 months, causing the market algorithms to shift over time. A crypto trader known as Killa on X claimed that it was possible to capitalize on all 5 occurrences of this setup during that period. Related Reading: Bitcoin Shows Early Trend Reversal Signs After Major Support Hold However, the current deviation represents only a single pivot from a time-based price structure, which on its own is not enough to invalidate the larger thesis. This simply alters how the price reacts around that specific pivot rather than changing the overall trend structure of the market. Killa emphasized that in this case, pivot helps identify periods where directional volatility is likely to increase, and this consistent pattern over the past 7 months has produced 5 high-quality opportunities. It is important to distinguish between time-based pivots and price structure. While pivots can fail or lose reliability over time, the underlying structural price behavior will ultimately remain a driver of the market direction. Looking ahead, attention is shifting to macro catalysts as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is approaching, and much of the narrative has already been priced in. Institutional players are already positioning ahead of the event. Currently, the price has pushed higher into it, and the recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data did not produce a local up, leaving open the possibility that the upcoming FOMC decision could act as the next inflection point. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Ethereum is outpacing Bitcoin as tensions involving the United States, Israel, and Iran continue to shape global markets. Data from CryptoSlate shows ETH has risen 18% against the dollar since the start of March, compared with a 13% gain for Bitcoin over the same period. The ETH/BTC ratio has also moved higher, rising 7.6% to […]
The post Ethereum is outperforming Bitcoin when it shouldn’t be — what’s driving it? appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Bitcoin (BTC) is hanging around $74k, still respecting the post‑shock range and struggling to clear recent highs. Bitcoin Range Holds Today’s QCP Market Colour reports that “the damage has been fairly contained”: the broader crypto market is soft compared with November–January, but continues to be under pressure, as other macro‑sensitive risk assets have fallen harder, although the pullback has been fairly limited in comparison. Dip‑buying interest appears near the lower end of the range, yet spot volumes are light and the tape feels macro‑led rather than crypto‑idiosyncratic. Related Reading: Crypto Payments Are Going Mainstream: Can Tourists Turn Into Daily Users In South Korea? In options, the tone remains firm but quietly defensive. Thirty‑day implied volatility is holding around the 50 handle, still sitting above realized, which keeps carry positive and makes short‑vol strategies attractive for sophisticated premium sellers. At the same time, the term structure is only mildly in contango (short‑dated options are cheaper than longer‑dated ones), signaling a market that is alert to risk but not trading in outright panic mode. Under the surface, skew tells a more cautious story. Thirty‑day risk reversals continue to price puts richer than calls, a sign that traders are willing to pay up for downside protection even with spot pinned near the top end of the range. Skew is not extreme: the fact that traders consistently favor puts over calls implies they mostly hold long bitcoin positions but are protecting themselves with hedges, instead of being outright, unhedged bulls. Further out the curve, a residual geopolitical premium remains embedded, reflecting ongoing concerns around oil, conflicts, and the broader stagflation narrative, QCP reports suggest. The Fed Takes Centre Stage Macro is firmly in the driver’s seat as markets head into one of the densest policy weeks of the year so far: The Fed takes the stage on Wednesday, followed in quick succession by the ECB, BoJ and BoE on Thursday, concentrating rates risk into a 48‑hour window. Higher oil near $100 is complicating the case for rate cuts with sticky inflation prints and higher energy costs just as growth and labor data soften, so markets have dialed back easing expectations. Oil trades at $95 on the daily chart. Source: OILUSD on Tradingview For crypto, that mix is a double‑edged sword. A less dovish rates path keeps real yields elevated and limits the upside impulse from the “liquidity trade” that powered earlier legs of the rally. At the same time, oil hovering near triple digits and lingering geopolitical tension are feeding a stagflationary tone across assets, blurring Bitcoin’s role between high‑beta risk and potential macro hedge. Related Reading: Crypto Rails Go Mainstream — Inside Mastercard’s Bold $1.8 Billion BVNK Acquisition What This Means For Traders The setup still looks like a range rather than a clean trend. Options show no panic, but richer puts underline ongoing demand for downside protection. Until policy guidance or geopolitics provide a clearer signal, BTC is likely to remain trapped in its range, trading as a macro‑sensitive asset rather than a purely crypto‑native story. In simpler words, BTC is no longer behaving as pure high‑beta tech, but it is not yet seeing consistent, gold‑style safe‑haven inflows either. That backdrop favors structured premium selling and disciplined range‑trading over chasing breakouts. At the moment of writing, BTC's price sits in the highs $72k. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview Cover image from Perplexity, OILUSD and BTCUSD charts from Tradingview