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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Whale Transaction Count has witnessed a drawdown recently, a sign that big-money investors have reduced their activity. Bitcoin Whale Transaction Count Has Dropped To Lows In a new post on X, analytics firm Santiment has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin Whale Transaction Count. This indicator measures the daily total number of transfers occurring on the BTC network that involve a sum of more than $100,000. Related Reading: Dogecoin Supply Barrier: This Level Holds Cost Basis Of 28 Billion DOGE Transactions with such a large value are usually considered to be coming from the whale entities, so this metric’s value basically reflects the activity that the large hands are participating in. When the value of the Whale Transaction Count goes up, it means the number of moves being made by the whales is rising. Such a trend suggests big-money interest in the cryptocurrency may be climbing. On the other hand, the indicator witnessing a decline could imply the large entities are shifting their attention away from the asset, as they are making a fewer number of transfers. Now, here is the chart shared by Santiment that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Whale Transaction Count and its 7-day moving average (MA) over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Whale Transaction Count saw a notable spike during BTC’s price crash to start February, indicating whales became active. This isn’t anything unusual, as investors tend to make moves while the market is behaving in a volatile manner. As BTC has fallen into a phase of consolidation since this crash, however, the Whale Transaction Count has seen a rapid drop. The recent attempt at recovery also couldn’t ignite activity from the whales. Santiment noted: Bitcoin’s whale activity has become historically quiet as key stakeholders await clarity (literally) from the CLARITY Act, as well as long-term finality to the war. The Whale Transaction Count is currently sitting at 6,417, which is the lowest level for $100,000+ transfers since September 2023. In the same chart, the analytics firm has also attached the data for the transactions valued at more than $1 million. From this curve, it would appear that the massive transfers are down to 1,485, their lowest since October 2024. Related Reading: Ethereum Rebounds 6%, But Coinbase Demand Remains Weak Now, what could this trend mean for the market? Well, the answer to that question may not concretely lean in either the bullish or bearish direction. As Santiment explained: What it does signal is that smart money is in the same boat as smaller retail holders at the moment, and have been reluctant to make moves with so much policy and global uncertainty at play. BTC Price Bitcoin dropped back under $68,000 earlier, but the cryptocurrency has since seen a rebound as its price is now back at $70,800. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above $70,000. BTC is now consolidating above $70,200 and might aim for a steady increase if it clears $71,650. Bitcoin started a decent recovery wave above $69,800 and $70,200. The price is trading above $70,200 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $70,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another decline if it stays below the $71,000 and $71,650 levels. Bitcoin Price Faces Hurdles Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $69,5500 resistance level. BTC climbed above the $70,200 and $70,500 resistance levels. The price even spiked above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $75,998 swing high to the $67,342 low. The price even climbed toward the $72,000 zone before the bears took a stand and protected more gains. Bitcoin is now trading above $70,200 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is also a bullish trend line forming with support at $70,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. If the price remains stable above $70,200, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $71,200 level. The first key resistance is near the $71,650 level. A close above the $71,650 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $72,650 resistance or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $75,998 swing high to the $67,342 low. Any more gains might send the price toward the $73,200 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $73,500. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $71,650 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $70,400 level. The first major support is near the $70,000 level. The next support is now near the $69,200 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $68,800 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $67,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $70,000, followed by $69,200. Major Resistance Levels – $71,200 and $71,650.

Bitcoin remains locked in a tight range, leaving traders uncertain about its next major move. With strong resistance overhead and key support still holding below, the market is approaching a decisive moment. Whether BTC breaks out into a new rally or slips into another leg down will largely depend on how it reacts around these critical levels. A Slips Below Key Zone: Downside Pressure Builds According to Kamile Uray, Bitcoin is currently trading below the key blue box zone, suggesting that downside pressure may persist in the near term. Despite this, the 4-hour chart is beginning to show early signs of a potential recovery structure, with a small inverse head and shoulders (TOBO) forming. If this pattern activates, it could open the door for a move toward the $75,000 level. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds $70K – Is The High‑Beta Era Over? Beyond that, there is also the possibility of a larger cup and handle formation developing. A successful push toward $75,000 would help shape this structure, but confirmation would only come with a strong close above that level. If achieved, it could signal continuation to the upside, especially if Bitcoin breaks above the $79,354 level, marking the first higher high on the 4-hour timeframe. On the downside, several key support levels, such as $65,666, $62,433, and $60,000, will be closely monitored, as holding above these levels could provide a base for another upward move. However, a daily close below the $62,433–$60,000 range would increase bearish pressure, exposing deeper support levels around $55,230 and $47,256. Looking at the bigger picture, a move toward $98,200 followed by a daily close above it would confirm a higher high on the daily chart, strengthening the case for a continued uptrend. Caution is advised, however, if the price approaches the $107,000–$109,000 zone, where a potential bearish pattern could emerge. Failure to break above the previous high in that region may trigger another downward phase. Bitcoin Stuck In Range As Momentum Stalls Bitcoin is currently trading around $70,413, remaining stuck within the same tight range that has held price action in place for weeks. CyrilXBT pointed out that the $72,000–$76,000 zone continues to act as a strong ceiling, with every rally into that area being met by consistent selling pressure.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Stalls As Donald Trump’s Unpredictable Remarks Shake Market Confidence On the downside, the macro trendline near $64,000 has held on two separate occasions, providing the only meaningful support structure preventing a broader bearish shift. Still, confidence in a bullish continuation remains limited until Bitcoin can secure a convincing close above $75,000. With the EMA 200 at around $86,380, still far from being relevant at this stage, the market remains in a wait-and-see phase, with traders watching for a decisive move out of the range. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin’s miner supply picture remains tighter than in past cycles, but not tight enough to call it a true supply shock. New data from Axel Adler Jr.’s latest Bitcoin Morning Brief suggests miners still retain a meaningful over-the-counter reserve even as exchange-directed selling pressure stays elevated. Bitcoin Miners Flash Mixed Signal Adler’s core argument rests on two separate but related indicators. One tracks the 30-day moving average of BTC inflows from miners to exchanges, which serves as a direct proxy for realized selling pressure entering the market. The other measures the aggregate BTC balance held on OTC addresses associated with miners, offering a view into how much inventory can still be sold outside public order books. Taken together, the charts point to a market that is absorbing ongoing miner distribution, not one that has suddenly run out of hidden supply. As Adler put it, “For the market this is a mixed signal: the hidden OTC overhang is limited compared to past cycles, but tactical pressure in the market channel has not yet been removed.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds $70K – Is The High‑Beta Era Over? That distinction matters. A low OTC balance can be read as constructive because it implies miners have less sidelined inventory available for large off-exchange deals. But if the coins miners are currently producing are still being routed to exchanges at an elevated pace, immediate market pressure remains intact. The exchange inflow data is central to that argument. According to Adler, miner exchange inflows rose noticeably after Halving #4 relative to the early post-halving period, and the trend accelerated further from autumn 2025 onward. By 2026, the 30DMA remained in what he described as an elevated regime, indicating that “a significant portion of freshly mined supply is still being directed into the market, and current miner pressure cannot be considered removed.” Recent weeks have shown some moderation from the latest highs, but Adler does not view that as decisive. “In recent weeks the chart shows a local pullback from recent peaks,” he wrote. “But against the backdrop of strong growth over recent months, this does not yet look like a confirmed downward reversal – rather a pause within a still-elevated exchange inflow regime. To speak of a real reduction in miner pressure, a more sustained decline of the 30DMA from the current elevated zone is needed, not a short oscillation within it.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Miner Selling Pressure Drops To Near Three-Year Low The OTC side of the picture is more nuanced. Miner-linked OTC balances currently sit around 152.6K BTC, well below the historical peak near 595K BTC in 2018 and only modestly above the series low of roughly 146.9K BTC recorded in July 2025. By long-term standards, that does leave the OTC reserve compressed. Still, Adler explicitly pushes back on the idea that the reserve is effectively gone. “The current level is close to the lower bound of the historical range, but claiming the buffer is ‘almost entirely exhausted’ would be an overstatement: more than 150K BTC is still a significant volume,” he wrote. “In recent months the OTC balance has been oscillating within a relatively narrow range, and in February there was even a noticeable upward spike. This looks more like a regime of low but persisting reserve than a final phase of complete buffer depletion.” That framing is the key to the piece. The report does not argue that miner supply is abundant. It argues that the supply backdrop has become structurally tighter than in earlier cycles without yet crossing into outright scarcity. Miners have “substantially less OTC inventory than in past cycles,” Adler said, but the reserve “has not disappeared.” Instead, it “no longer looks large enough to create the same hidden supply overhang the market could see previously.” At press time, BTC traded at $   Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

A crypto analyst has issued a bold long-term forecast for Bitcoin, predicting that a capital rotation out of gold and into Bitcoin will drive the asset to $800,000. This prediction is coming at a time when gold’s recent decline has caught many financial investors off guard.  Biggest Gold To Bitcoin Rotation Is Coming Bitcoin has never lacked bold long-term projections, and over the years, some of the most optimistic forecasts have placed its future price well into six-figure territory and beyond. At different points in the cycle, these expectations have stretched as far as $1.5 million, especially during periods of institutional inflows into Spot Bitcoin ETFs.  Related Reading: How Is Bitcoin Price Following A 100-Year Pattern If It’s Only 16 Years Old? Expert Tells All However, that wave of extreme bullish sentiment has cooled in recent weeks, largely due to the cautious tone across the broader crypto market. Even so, that hasn’t stopped a few new high-end Bitcoin price projections from surfacing.  A crypto analyst known as DonaX₿τ on the social media platform X recently put forward one of the most aggressive long-term outlooks in recent weeks, with the prediction that the financial markets are on the verge of a historic transition from gold into Bitcoin. “Nobody is ready for the biggest Gold to Bitcoin rotation in history,” the analyst stated on X, adding a price target of $800,000 for Bitcoin. According to the analyst, the Bitcoin price will reach $800,000 sometime between 2029 and 2030. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $71,310, meaning that this price prediction places the target at more than a tenfold increase from the current price range. Why A Rotation From Gold To Bitcoin Is Being Considered Gold recently fell to its lowest level in 2026, reaching a low of $4,098 per ounce on Monday, March 23. This crash is a reversal from its earlier strength in early February, when Bitcoin was going through a simultaneous crash.  Related Reading: How Is Bitcoin Price Following A 100-Year Pattern If It’s Only 16 Years Old? Expert Tells All The move has come despite ongoing geopolitical developments, a backdrop that would typically support gold prices. Instead, the precious metal went through one of its most severe short-term declines in recent years. Bitcoin, on the other hand, has not followed gold lower. Although the Bitcoin price recently slipped below $70,000, it is back to trading above it and is now posting gains relative to gold. The premise behind the prediction by DonaX₿τ is based on this changing investor behavior. Gold is known for being a store of value during uncertainty, but recent market dynamics have shown that it is not always the case anymore. Bitcoin is now in the picture and is attracting institutional capital in ways like gold.  Therefore, a full rotation from gold into Bitcoin by investors is sure to have an aggressive bullish effect on the price of the leading cryptocurrency. An $800,000 target, however, would require a significant extension of the current cycle and a multi-year accumulation period. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin is holding above $70,000. The number looks resilient. The geography behind it tells a more cautious story. An Arab Chain report tracking real-time exchange pricing has identified a spread that cuts against the bullish surface reading: Bitcoin is currently trading at $70,747 on Binance and $70,533 on Coinbase — a gap of -$213.95, with the global exchange leading the American one. That difference, small in percentage terms, is significant in what it reveals about who is actually buying. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Divergence Signals Weak US Buying Pressure: Coinbase Premium Stays Negative The Coinbase-Binance spread is one of the oldest and most reliable demand gauges in crypto markets. When Coinbase trades at a premium, US investors — retail, institutional, and everything between — are bidding aggressively. When it trades at a discount, as it does now, the buying is being led elsewhere. Global markets are more active. American demand is softer. The engine that powered Bitcoin’s most sustained bull runs in previous cycles is, at this moment, idling. That does not make $70,000 a lie. It makes it a question. The price is real. The conviction behind it, at least from the market that has historically mattered most, has not yet shown up to confirm it. The Bitcoin Spread That Separates a Rally From a Trend The report draws a clear historical line. In previous bull market cycles, a positive Coinbase-Binance spread — American buyers paying a premium over global markets — consistently preceded Bitcoin’s most sustained upward moves. The mechanism is not complicated: US institutional capital is large, conviction-driven, and when it enters aggressively, it does not just lift the price. It anchors it. The current spread inverts that picture. At -$213.95, the gap is narrow but persistent, and persistence is what the report flags as the concern. A brief negative reading can reflect timing or arbitrage. A spread that holds negative while price consolidates above $70,000 reflects something more deliberate — caution among US participants, possible profit-taking, and a market leaning on global activity to hold a level that domestic demand is not yet defending. The report frames what follows as a binary outcome. If the spread remains negative, downward pressure builds — not from selling, but from the absence of the buying that matters most. If it flips positive, that crossing becomes the signal: US liquidity returning, institutional momentum resuming, and $70,000 transforming from a level being held into a floor being built. The market is in anticipation. The spread will break that silence first. Related Reading: Bitcoin Structure Has Changed: UTXO Data Challenges Traditional Cycle Narratives Bitcoin Consolidates Above $70K as Recovery Lacks Conviction Bitcoin is trading at $71,351, holding above the $70,000 psychological threshold after the sharp, high-volume breakdown that defined February’s price action. The daily chart tells a story of structural damage not yet repaired — a market that found a floor but has not found a direction. The trend picture is unambiguous. Price remains below both the 50-day MA and the 100-day MA, and both averages are still sloping downward, confirming that bearish momentum has not been neutralized. The 200-day MA continues its descent from the $96,000 region — a level so far above current price that it functions less as near-term resistance and more as a reminder of how much ground has been lost since October’s peak above $125,000. Related Reading: Bitmine Locks 68% of Ethereum Holdings As Staking Position Surpasses $6.75B The recent push toward $74,000–$75,000 was rejected. That rejection is meaningful. It establishes the 50-day MA as active resistance, not merely overhead supply, and suggests the current bounce is corrective rather than impulsive — a technical distinction that separates a relief rally from a genuine trend reversal. Volume confirms the skepticism. The heaviest bars on the chart belong to the selloff and the February capitulation wick to $59,000. Noticeably lighter volume carries the recovery as limited participation and absent conviction stall the trend. Bitcoin is compressed between $70,000 and $75,000. A decisive close above the latter is required to shift the structure. A loss of $70,000 reopens $65,000 without meaningful support in between. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Crypto analyst Crypto Patel has outlined a roadmap for how Bitcoin could rally to $300,000. The analyst also indicated that investors will have the opportunity to buy at lower levels, as he predicts BTC will first drop to $44,000.  Roadmap For The Bitcoin Rally To $300,000 In an X post, Crypto Patel laid out the roadmap for the Bitcoin rally to $300,000. First, he stated that BTC will bounce into the $89,300 to $98,000 range, which is the higher timeframe bearish order block. Once that happens, he predicts the leading crypto will face rejection from that zone, triggering the final leg down to $44,000, which is the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement.  Related Reading: How Is Bitcoin Price Following A 100-Year Pattern If It’s Only 16 Years Old? Expert Tells All The analyst noted that Bitcoin has so far followed his analysis, with the rising wedge breakdown and the dump to $60,000 occurring just as he predicted. Meanwhile, Crypto Patel stated that the drop is an opportunity to accumulate heavily ahead of the rally to the long-term target of $300,000.  Crypto Patel assured that the drop to $44,000 is not a crash but a gift, and that this level sets up healthy long-term growth. He reiterated that this is not a crash level but a reset level. He advised that market participants not to miss the opportunity if Bitcoin hits $44,000 or below. His accompanying chart showed that BTC could rally to $300,000 between 2027 and 2028.  This coincides with the period that could mark the start of the next bull run, with experts like Doctor Profit predicting that Bitcoin could bottom by year-end. An accumulation phase then begins, leading to a bullish reversal for the leading crypto.  Where BTC Is Likely To Bottom  Crypto analyst Colin said that the very bottom of the green band, currently at $42,000, could be a reasonable place to look for a Bitcoin cycle bottom. However, he noted that the band would move lower as the bear market progresses. As such, he believes that $35,000 could be a more reasonable place for the leading crypto to bottom.  Related Reading: If Bitcoin Price Doesn’t Hold Take And Hold $69,000 With Momentum, It Could Get Very Bad The analyst had earlier mentioned that Bitcoin is still likely in a bear market despite the recent rally. This came as he noted that BTC was trading in a bear flag since the February 6 low. He also stated that the leading crypto could find a local top around $79,000 before breaking down below the lower range of this bear flag. It is worth noting that BTC has broken above $70,000 amid reports that the U.S. and Iran could agree to a one-month ceasefire.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $71,200, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Strategy, the Michael Saylor-led company that has made Bitcoin accumulation its core business, bought $76.6 million worth of crypto last week, lifting its total holdings to 762,099 BTC — roughly 3.5% of the entire Bitcoin supply. Related Reading: Iran Rejects Peace Talk Claims, Leaving BTC Stuck At $70K Wall Street brokerage Bernstein used that move as a springboard to reaffirm one of the boldest price calls on the market: Bitcoin hitting $150,000 before the year is out. Institutional Money Is Moving Bernstein senior analyst Gautam Chhugani delivered the outlook in a note to clients Monday, saying BTC has found its price floor after months of decline. The call, if correct, would mean the drop to around $60,000 in early February was the lowest point in the current downturn — and that everything from here points upward. Bitcoin was trading past $71,000 at the time of the report, meaning the $150,000 target represents a more than 110% gain from current levels. Chhugani pointed to two forces he believes will push the price there: growing inflows into BTC spot exchange-traded funds and rising corporate demand. The numbers backing that claim are hard to ignore. Bitcoin spot ETFs pulled in $167 million in a single day this week — their first positive day in four sessions — and have attracted $1.6 billion in net inflows since March began. The market got a brief lift earlier in the week after reports that US President Donald Trump had ordered a five-day halt in strikes on Iran. Bitcoin climbed to $71,750 on Monday before easing back. Corporate Buyers Keep Piling In Beyond Strategy, institutional interest is broadening. Australia’s pension fund Hostplus announced plans to offer clients Bitcoin exposure through self-directed portfolios. Morgan Stanley, one of the biggest names in global banking, has updated its SEC filing for a US Bitcoin spot ETF, a sign the product could be closer to launching than previously expected. Bernstein described Strategy as a high-beta play on Bitcoin — meaning its stock tends to move sharply in the same direction as Bitcoin, only more so. Despite MSTR shares falling 50% from their all-time high, Chhugani set a price target of $450 for the stock, betting the company’s large Bitcoin balance sheet will pay off as prices recover. Not Everyone Agrees The Bottom Is In Bernstein’s optimism is not shared across the board. Veteran chart analyst Ali Martinez laid out a scenario where Bitcoin drops as far as $41,500 by mid-October 2026 before any meaningful recovery begins. Related Reading: XRP Ledger Signals Growth With $1M Unlock And Activity Surge Standard Chartered Bank has repeatedly warned that Bitcoin could revisit $50,000 first, citing weak economic conditions and limited demand. The bank also cut its own 2026 Bitcoin forecast from $150,000 to $100,000. The split between analysts reflects how uncertain this market remains. Bitcoin has never matched the scale of correction seen in past bear markets if the February low holds — that would make this one of the shallower pullbacks from an all-time high in the asset’s history. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

A crypto analyst who correctly predicted Bitcoin’s (BTC) cycle peak around $125,000 has released a new report detailing fresh projections for the world’s largest cryptocurrency. In the update, the analyst maintains a largely bearish outlook, pointing to weakening technical structure amid the ongoing bear market. He also outlines what investors and traders should expect in the coming weeks or months, while sharing his strategy for navigating continued downside pressure. Bitcoin And The Broader Market Bear Trend In an X post published at the start of the week, market expert Doctor Profit shared a Sunday report, explaining Bitcoin’s recent movements and outlining what the market should expect as bearish conditions persist. He noted that since September 2025, he has consistently shared his outlook on Bitcoin and how its price movements could unfold over the coming months. After successfully projecting Bitcoin’s $125,000 top in 2025, Doctor Profit revealed that he also anticipated the cryptocurrency’s decline to $100,000, which occurred a few weeks after his forecast. In addition, he predicted BTC’s price crash to $60,000, a move that also played out within weeks of his call.  Related Reading: Bitcoin PMI Cycle Is The Only Signal That Matters, Analyst Explains Why The analyst disclosed that he had also forecasted that Bitcoin would trade inside a sideways range between $57,000 and $87,000. True to his prediction, Bitcoin rallied to $76,000 last week before retreating sharply to $68,000 just a few days later. According to Doctor Profit, this movement represents one of many bullish traps he has repeatedly warned about, signaling a continued bear market trend.  Due to the risk of further downside pressure, Doctor Profit has shared his strategy moving forward. He revealed that he recently sold the BTC he purchased two weeks ago at around $68,000 and is currently holding a larger short position between $115,000 and $125,000. He also noted that he may add more shorts in the $79,000 to $84,000 region with a 5x leverage.  Beyond Bitcoin, the analyst noted that the entire financial market is in a “bear market scenario.” The analyst had highlighted major liquidity stress in the repo market as far back as September 2025, alongside rising risks tied to the FED’s standing repo facility. He further claimed that there is ongoing manipulation in the silver and gold markets, where futures prices have increasingly diverged from physical supply, which continues to decline.  In addition, Doctor Profit pointed out that, amid rising oil prices, AI-and data-related stocks appear heavily overbought. As a result, he has taken short positions across these sectors, as well as in Bitcoin, stocks, and indices in certain regions. He added that all of his shorts are presently in profit.  Still maintaining a negative outlook, Doctor Profit expects the current bear market to dominate most financial assets, with only a few staying strong. In his view, Bitcoin remains in a weak technical position and lacks clear directional strength, which helps explain its ongoing sideways price action.  Looking ahead, the analyst predicts that the next major move is likely another price correction. He explained that markets may attempt to push prices higher to capture liquidity above key levels before driving them much lower. At the same time, he added that they are also proceeding cautiously due to ongoing macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties that could pose significant risks.  What’s Next For The BTC Price In his report, Doctor Profit stated that he no longer holds any spot positions in Bitcoin, arguing that the next major downside move is only a matter of time. The analyst warned that the market could still experience fake outs before another decline. Overall, he maintains a strongly bearish outlook and expects Bitcoin to fall toward the third target highlighted on his chart between $50,000 and $40,000.  Related Reading: Breaking Down The $100 XRP Prophecy: Is There A Timeline? Doctor Profit also emphasized that last week’s FOMC meeting provided clearer insights into where the market is likely headed next. According to him, the next interest rate cut is now expected in December 2026, much later than the market had previously anticipated. With no rate cuts currently in place, the analyst believes market fear could spread as inflationary pressures remain elevated. Given these bearish headwinds, Doctor Profit has issued an official call for the coming weeks or months, projecting another major Bitcoin price crash similar to the one he made after the 2025 cycle top.  Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin’s latest stretch of sideways price action around $70,000 is being read by some traders as a sign that the cryptocurrency is finally settling down. However, technical analysis shows that the structure now forming on the daily chart might not actually be a recovery base at all but a distribution pattern before a new low that has already appeared once before during a bigger decline since late 2025. Bitcoin’s Distribution Mechanism Is Still The Same According to a crypto analyst that goes by the name Ardi on the social media platform X, Bitcoin’s distribution phases keep looking identical because the mechanism never really changes. This is in relation to Bitcoin’s current price action, which has been trading in a range between $63,000 and $72,000 since early February. Related Reading: Breaking Down The $100 XRP Prophecy: Is There A Timeline? The idea behind this technical analysis is that Bitcoin’s behavior in bearish phases tends to follow a recognizable sequence. Price moves into a range, traders begin to treat the consolidation as stability, liquidity builds above local highs, and then a brief breakout above the range pulls in optimism from many crypto traders.  However, that optimism does not always last. Once the price fails to hold above the range highs, the structure starts to weaken, and the next breakdown to the range support takes place. The chart attached to the analysis presents two nearly identical subsections. The first distribution range played out between roughly the mid-$80,000 region and the low-$90,000s between November 2025 and January 2026.  This move eventually concluded with Bitcoin pushing higher, touching highs around $96,000, failing to accept above the range, and then breaking down towards the lower end of the range. That decline led into a break below the low support level that eventually dragged the price to as low as $63,000 in early February. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @ArdiNSC On X Why A Move Below $50,000 Is Now On The Table A sweep of local highs above $76,000 in early March generated headlines about how the Bitcoin price is now recovering. However, the price ultimately failed to hold above the range and began rolling over again. As it stands, price action in the past few days has mostly been bearish candlesticks, which have caused the Bitcoin price to be pushing to the lower end of the current range again.  Related Reading: 4 Bitcoin Targets To Be On The Lookout For As Price Retests S/R Zone The most bearish part of the chart is the projected zone that follows the current range. Projecting the previous markdown in late January to the current price action would see the Bitcoin price break below the local $63,000 bottom.  Particularly, the chart projected a similar outcome, with the highlighted markdown box extending down to $50,000 and as low as $48,000. This projection follows similar outlooks from multiple analysts that have predicted Bitcoin might break below $50,000 before creating a new bottom. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin traders are again staring at a chart structure that resembles the setup that preceded the market’s roughly 30% drop from late January into early February. But several order-flow analysts argue the comparison is incomplete, because the underlying spot-book picture looks materially stronger this time. Will The 30% Bitcoin Crash Repeat? That debate picked up on March 24 after analyst Exitpump (@exitpumpBTC) posted a chart comparing the current range with the earlier breakdown zone. The visual similarity is hard to miss: in both cases, BTC traded inside a defined consolidation before slipping into the lower end of the structure. In the earlier episode from January 29 to February 5, that pattern gave way to a sharp -30% move into the low-$60,000s. In the current one, Bitcoin was trading around the $70,000 area, with price again sitting near a vulnerable-looking part of the range. Exitpump’s core argument is that the resemblance in price structure masks a key difference in liquidity. “I see people are comparing current spot to previous range and what many are missing here is that now aggregated spot orderbooks have way more passive demand than they had in the previous range,” he wrote. “Dump to low $60Ks is okay, acceptable, but not expecting bigger downtrend while such passive demand stays.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds $70K – Is The High‑Beta Era Over? That distinction matters because the chart he shared suggests the market is not entering this setup with the same thin bid support seen before the earlier flush. In his framing, the prior range featured fewer resting bids and more overhead asks. The current range, by contrast, shows thicker spot-book demand and relatively lighter sell-side pressure, implying that even if BTC revisits the lows, the path to a deeper trend breakdown may be less straightforward. Exitpump also pushed back on the idea that this type of deeper spot-book liquidity is easily manipulated. After one user asked whether spoofing is common in aggregated order-book data, he replied: “deeper depth spot orderbooks don’t spoof, those bids sit there for weeks or even months.” That is a consequential point in the context of the trade. If the demand visible in the book is genuine and sticky rather than tactical and fleeting, then the market may have a stronger absorption layer beneath price than it did during the January-February slide. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miner Selling Pressure Drops To Near Three-Year Low Still, the short-term flow picture is not cleanly bullish. In a separate post, Exitpump said the order books had “flipped bearish,” adding that “yesterday was better, but looks like momentum to the upside is fading away.” He also flagged positioning risk, saying open interest RSI was near an extreme and that “chances of longs unwind has increased.” Other market watchers pointed to the same deterioration from different angles. Maartunn (@JA_Maartun) noted that the Coinbase Premium Gap had turned negative again, a sign that Coinbase spot demand was lagging. Zord’s (@ZordXBT) read was more explicitly cautious: “Funding stays positive + Volume is down + Coinbase in deep red territory. Not going to lie, price wise the chart looks like it wants to continue but orderflow wise, things are looking like distribution.” He then laid out what would need to improve to make the move more convincing. “Maybe some more volume + Coinbase in green would be good. Funding slightly down will be cherry on the cake.” At press time, BTC traded at $71,482. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

One thing that has stood out about Bitcoin is how different the recent bull cycle was from other bull cycles. For example, even after the Bitcoin price surged to new all-time highs, the altcoins never followed, and therefore, there was no explosive altcoin season as many expected. Following this deviation, crypto analyst Swallow Academy has purported that the digital asset is likely to keep deviating, and that would mean that it has now entered another bear market cycle. Why Bitcoin Price Is Headed Below $30,000 The chart shared on the TradingView website by the crypto analyst points to the fact that the Bitcoin price has completed a Head and Shoulders pattern. The first shoulder had been formed at the start of the year 2025, and when the digital asset hit a new all-time high later in the year, then the head was formed. Related Reading: The Dogecoin Setup That Could Create New Crypto Millionaires Then, moving into 2026, when the price began a brutal reversal, a second shoulder was formed. Now, the crypto analyst admits that the second shoulder is a bit weak, but it is still a shoulder, and this has completed the pattern. The end of this pattern points to the fact that the Bitcoin price is weakening and could crash further. This structure actually points to much lower zones than most of the market is expecting. But the crypto analyst explains that even though some people say it’s extreme to say that the cryptocurrency has entered a bear market, the facts say otherwise. Since this cycle is not the same as other cycles, it is then logical to expect that the bear market will not play out the same. As before, the opposite of what the market expects usually happens, and since most investors are expecting Bitcoin not to fall below $40,000, it is likely that it will go much lower. In addition, the Bitcoin price had been struggling to hold support at $70,000, and if this support is lost, it could open the way for deeper declines. Related Reading: Altcoin Trading Volumes Hit Multi-Month Lows, Market Interest Waning Once the Bitcoin price begins to fall again, the crypto analyst puts the first stop at $52,300, where there is support. However, the analyst expects this level to eventually fail as well, and then the next stop for Bitcoin would be to bottom somewhere around $30,000. As Swallow Academy explains, this level would then be the most logical level to begin accumulating BTC. This is because Bitcoin recoveries are usually swift once the price hits a bottom and it begins to reverse again. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

In his 2026 annual shareholder letter, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink laid out an ambitious outlook for the firm’s presence in digital assets, forecasting that BlackRock’s crypto business — and the broader market — could be generating roughly $500 million in annual revenue within the next five years.  Tokenization Will ‘Update The Plumbing’ Of Finance As reported by Forbes, BlackRock has positioned itself as a market leader in Bitcoin (BTC), handling about 800,000 BTC worth approximately $55 billion for its clients through its iShares Bitcoin Trust exchange-traded fund (ETF).  Beyond Bitcoin exposure, BlackRock has expanded into tokenized funds: its USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund, known as BUIDL, became the world’s largest tokenized fund last year after surpassing $2 billion in assets under management (AuM). Related Reading: Circle (CRCL) Crashes Below $100 After Senate Revises Crypto Bill To Ban Stablecoin Rewards Fink singled out tokenized products and stablecoin operations as major pillars of the firm’s strategy, disclosing that BlackRock manages $65 billion of stablecoin reserves and nearly $80 billion of digital-asset exchange-traded products (ETPs).  Those figures, the executive said, reflect how BlackRock has moved quickly to establish institutional-quality offerings in the digital markets. Additionally, the CEO argued that tokenization has the potential to “update the plumbing of the financial system,” broadening access to investments in the same way the internet expanded commerce in the 1990s.  BlackRock CEO Warns US Risks Losing Crypto Lead Citing research from Juniper, Fink noted that about half the world’s population already carries a digital wallet on their phone, and suggested that those same wallets could one day be used to invest in diversified portfolios as easily as sending a payment. Fink painted tokenization as a generational opportunity and warned of strategic risk if the US falls behind. Last year, he urged faster adoption of digitization and tokenization, arguing that other nations could overtake the US if it lags.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Expert Predicts ‘Golden Entry Window’ For Next Bull Market In October 2026 At the same time, the BlackRock CEO pushed back on skeptics like Warren Buffett who dub Bitcoin “worthless,” characterizing the asset instead as one that people hold for reasons tied to insecurity.  “You own bitcoin because you’re frightened of your physical security. You own it because you’re frightened of your financial security,” he wrote in its shareholders letter, adding that a longer-term rationale for holding Bitcoin is protection against the debasement of financial assets driven by fiscal deficits. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $69,420, down 2% over the last 24 hours and down 7% over the last seven days, amid a broader market sell-off on Tuesday. This follows last week’s rejection at the $76,000 resistance level, which the cryptocurrency failed to surpass. Featured image from the Wall Street Journal, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above $69,200. BTC is now back above $70,000 and might aim for a steady increase if it clears $71,650. Bitcoin started a decent recovery wave above $69,500 and $70,000. The price is trading above $70,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish flag pattern forming with resistance at $70,700 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another decline if it stays below the $71,200 and $71,650 levels. Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $68,800 pivot level. BTC climbed above the $69,200 and $69,500 resistance levels. The bulls were able to push the price above the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $75,997 swing high to the $67,343 low. The price even climbed above $71,200 before the bears appeared near the $71,650 level. Bitcoin is now trading above $70,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $69,500, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $70,700 level. There is also a bullish flag pattern forming with resistance at $70,700 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The first key resistance is near the $71,650 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $75,997 swing high to the $67,343 low. A close above the $71,650 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $72,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $73,200 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $73,500. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $71,650 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $70,000 level. The first major support is near the $69,500 level. The next support is now near the $69,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $68,200 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $67,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $69,500, followed by $69,000. Major Resistance Levels – $70,700 and $71,650.

Bitcoin is trading above the $71,000 level as the market navigates heightened volatility, reflecting a phase of uncertainty following recent price swings. While short-term momentum remains unstable, underlying on-chain data suggests that the current market structure may differ significantly from previous cycles. Related Reading: Bitmine Locks 68% of Ethereum Holdings As Staking Position Surpasses $6.75B According to a CryptoQuant report, UTXO Age Bands data for 2025–2026 presents a pattern that contrasts sharply with historical bear markets. In both the 2018 and 2021 cycles, the share of Bitcoin held for six months or longer declined rapidly, signaling widespread distribution as long-term holders exited positions into weakness. In the current cycle, however, this dynamic is notably absent. Despite price pullbacks, the proportion of long-term held coins is not declining. Instead, it is holding steady or even gradually increasing. This suggests that a significant portion of capital in the market has no immediate intention to sell, even under volatile conditions. This behavior extends beyond traditional “HODLing.” It reflects a structural shift in market participants, where capital appears more patient and less reactive to short-term price fluctuations. As a result, the classic distribution mechanisms that defined previous downturns are not manifesting in the same way, challenging conventional interpretations of current market conditions. Institutional Flows Redefine Bitcoin’s Market Structure The report further explains that since the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, market behavior has undergone a structural shift. Institutional participation has diverged meaningfully from traditional retail patterns. ETF issuers hold acquired BTC in cold custody structures, meaning their selling decisions are largely disconnected from short-term price fluctuations. This creates a different supply dynamic compared to previous cycles, where retail-driven distribution played a more dominant role. In parallel, broader developments such as digital asset treasury (DAT) adoption and discussions around national strategic reserves are reinforcing this shift. These participants operate with fundamentally different time horizons and risk frameworks, raising the threshold at which they are willing to sell. At the same time, consistent ETF inflows continue to introduce new demand into the market, allowing price dips to be absorbed rather than amplified by excess supply. Within this context, the current cycle appears less like a confirmed bear market and more like a transitional phase between paradigms. The traditional four-year halving cycle is becoming less predictive as institutional capital reshapes market dynamics. Looking ahead, the planned launch of a bank-issued Bitcoin ETF by Morgan Stanley—with significantly larger capacity—further supports this thesis. On-chain data increasingly suggests not the start of a downtrend, but the continuation of a structurally evolving upcycle. Related Reading: Ethereum Whales Return to Profitability as Historical Bottom Signal Reappears Bitcoin Stabilizes Above $70K, but Trend Structure Remains Weak Bitcoin is currently trading just above the $71,000 level, attempting to stabilize after a sharp corrective move that began in early February. The chart shows a clear breakdown from prior highs near $95,000–$100,000, followed by a steep decline and a subsequent consolidation phase. From a structural perspective, BTC remains in a downtrend on the daily timeframe. Price continues to trade below the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, both of which are trending downward, indicating sustained bearish momentum. The 200-day moving average remains significantly above the current price, reinforcing longer-term trend weakness and acting as a key resistance zone. Related Reading: Ethereum Exchange Inflows Signal Shift: Whales Reduce Selling Pressure The recent price action suggests a range-bound recovery rather than a confirmed reversal. Bitcoin briefly pushed toward the $74,000 region but failed to maintain upward momentum, indicating limited buyer conviction. Volume analysis supports this, with the largest spikes occurring during the sell-off phase, while the recovery has been characterized by relatively muted participation. In the near term, the $70,000 level has flipped into a key pivot zone. Holding above it is critical for short-term stability, while resistance remains in the $73,000–$75,000 range. A break below $70K could expose the $65,000 region again, while a sustained reclaim of higher levels is required to shift momentum. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Crypto continues to show resilience with bitcoin (BTC) steadily trading around $70-$71k after briefly dropping below the $70k mark over the weekend, outperforming prior Middle East‑driven sell‑offs where thin liquidity exaggerated downside. Related Reading: Bitcoin PMI Cycle Is The Only Signal That Matters, Analyst Explains Why New QCP’s Market Colour argues that Trump’s failed push for Iran to reopen the Strait over the weekend set the scene for bitcoin’s start of the week. At first, risk assets slipped as traders braced for a spike in geopolitical danger, factoring in possible attacks on Iranian power facilities if the choke-point stayed shut. Once the deadline expired and Trump revealed that any strikes were being delayed due to “productive conversations”, the nerves calmed down a bit and crypto stabilized along with the rest of the risk complex. An Era Shift For Bitcoin? The kind of resilience BTC is showing may partly stem from reduced leverage in the market, but it could also hint at the very early beginnings of a new phase for BTC, where it no longer behaves like a straightforward peer to traditional risk assets. The QCP report also suggests that bitcoin could increasingly function as a “neutral escape valve”, amidst US national debt passing $39 trillion, all the stagflation chatter and a classic policy trap for central banks (can’t ease aggressively or inflation would run rampant, can’t tighten without the risk of a recession). Let’s not forget the core facts that could make bitcoin a neutral escape valve: BTC has a fixed supply cap of 21 million coins, while fiat can expand indefinitely as governments issue more debt and central banks monetize deficits. As US and global debt piles up, fiat increasingly depends on inflation, financial repression, or higher taxes to stay sustainable. However, BTC’s rules do not change with policy decisions. This is the basis on which investors see bitcoin as a neutral, permissionless asset that offers a way out of mounting fiat debt risk and potential currency debasement. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Will Not See A Proper Surge Until This Happens; Analyst Geopolitical Unrest Drags On Adding to all of this is the “yuan‑for‑passage” concept floated by Iran, which would effectively settle Hormuz access in Chinese yuan rather than USD, framing an incremental, still‑hypothetical step in de‑dollarization. Right now, the dollar is still firm and the US bond market continues to function, but repeated war scares and sanction risk keep re‑opening the conversation around neutral, permissionless settlement rails like bitcoin. With past QCP notes arguing that BTC is no longer a straightforward high‑beta play but also not yet a full safe haven, the asset now lives in the in‑between. As the war drags on and US debt climbs, each new shock becomes a live test of whether BTC behaves more like a growth stock, a commodity hedge, or something structurally new in portfolios. At the moment of writing, BTC's price sits just below the $70ks. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview Cover image from Perplexity, BTCUSD chart from Tradingview

Bitcoin’s price action is looking uncertain on the surface, but one crypto analyst believes the real story is playing out far from the charts that most traders are watching. According to crypto analyst Crypto Tice, all of that Bitcoin price noise obscures a single, quietly reliable signal that has accurately traced out every major Bitcoin cycle in history: the Purchasing Managers’ Index. In a post on X, Tice noted that the PMI cycle is the only one that matters, and right now, it is flashing. The PMI Cycle Has Defined Every Bitcoin Bottom The PMI is a monthly economic indicator that tracks business activity across manufacturing and services sectors. On the surface, this may seem disconnected from the crypto market. However, the analyst’s outlook on the PMI is grounded in historical repetition: Bitcoin tends to form its most important lows when PMI is contracting, not when optimism is high. Related Reading: Breaking Down The $100 XRP Prophecy: Is There A Timeline? During these contraction phases, liquidity quietly grows in the background. The crypto market appears weak, sentiment turns negative, and price action stalls or drifts lower. But this is the exact period where long-term accumulation has always taken place for Bitcoin.  As shown in the chart below, each major Bitcoin cycle shows green zones forming during periods of PMI contraction, followed by strong upward expansions once conditions change. These conditions are based on previous market bottoms, with examples being the accumulation ranges before the 2017 and 2021 rallies. Green-shaded zones labeled “scale out” periods consistently correspond with peak price phases across multiple cycles in 2013, 2017, and 2021. Red-shaded “scale in” zones, by contrast, highlight the accumulation floors. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @CryptoTice_ On X What The PMI Indicator Is Saying Now At the time of writing, the Purchasing Managers’ Index is sitting at a reading just above 48, which is bordering below the expansion signal reading of 50. What this means is that Bitcoin is currently sitting in the early phase of the PMI, which is the same structural zone that preceded each of the major rallies catalogued in the chart above.  Related Reading: 4 Bitcoin Targets To Be On The Lookout For As Price Retests S/R Zone The indicator on the chart is positioned in a red accumulation zone and is expected to resolve to the upside over the coming months. According to the analyst, Bitcoin is currently in the exact same zone that marked every major buy window in history. However, this current accumulation zone won’t be available much longer. Bitcoin is currently trading at $71,070 with a 3.8% increase in the past 24 hours. It has spent quite a bit of time trading around $70,000, which is giving more credit to the idea that it has already bottomed. Notably, some analysts have begun pointing to this possibility. However, Bitcoin is still dealing with investor fear sentiment. Bitcoin sentiment is now back in fear, just days after showing signs of recovery. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Over $44 million in short positions were wiped out on Binance in a single hour Monday — the largest one-hour short liquidation since February 6 — yet the price surge it helped trigger drew little enthusiasm from actual buyers. Related Reading: Shiba Inu Flirts With $0.0000052 Support As Exchange Supply Swells Futures Chaos, Not Fresh Money, Lifted BTC Bitcoin climbed to a weekly high of $71,801 on Binance during the US market session, pushed higher largely by forced closures of short positions rather than new capital entering the market. Aggregated open interest across Bitcoin futures fell by roughly 9,700 BTC — a 3.5% drop — over 13 hours while prices rose. When open interest falls during a rally, it typically means traders are exiting positions, not adding them. That’s not the signature of a confident bull run. The Coinbase premium, which tracks whether US buyers are paying above or below the global average price, stayed negative throughout the move. Reports indicate limited spot demand from US participants during the entire rally window. Binance Volumes Sink To Bear Market Levels The broader picture looks just as thin. According to crypto analyst Darkfost, March is on pace to record the lowest Binance spot volume since the third quarter of 2023 — around $52 billion, compared to $88 billion that September. That September figure itself came during a period widely characterized as a bear market. Exchange flow data tells a similar story: seven-day cumulative flows on Binance hit their lowest point since 2024, based on data reported by analyst Arab Chain. Coinbase flows held relatively steady by comparison, suggesting longer-term holders are maintaining activity while shorter-term traders pull back. The trigger for Monday’s price action was a news report that US President Donald Trump had paused plans for military strikes on Iran’s energy infrastructure, citing diplomatic progress. Iran’s foreign ministry quickly denied that any such talks had taken place. BTC still rallied on the headline. Whale Activity Flashes An Unusual Signal One data point stands apart from the rest. A market analyst identified a record spike in what’s called whale inflow momentum — a measure of how fast large amounts of Bitcoin are being moved onto exchanges. The current reading of 74 is higher than any point in the past 11 years. The last time it exceeded this level was in 2015, when it hit 124. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds As Gold Posts Worst Week Since 1983 Amid Iran War High whale inflows don’t automatically signal selling. But reports note the elevated pace points to aggressive capital rotation and hedging among large holders, which could make Bitcoin’s price more sensitive to short-term swings in the weeks ahead. For now, the rally stalled around the $71,000 to $72,000 range, with no clear indication that the demand needed to push meaningfully beyond it has arrived. Featured image from zoranm/Men’s Health, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has now spent four consecutive months under the $100,000 mark for the first time since it crossed the milestone back in 2024. This move signaled a return to the bear market, and the trend has persisted since then. Even now, sellers are more than likely still dominating the market, despite the market recovery. One crypto analyst notes an interesting trend concerning Bitcoin, suggesting that participation from smaller investors might be dying out. Retail Investors Are Gone, And Bitcoin Could Be In Trouble The recent Bitcoin downtrend has suggested a drying up of liquidity in the crypto market, and this is represented by the data showing a decline in participation from retail trades. In a chart shared by crypto analyst Crypto Tice, it showed that retail investment has plummeted since Bitcoin price hit its all-time high. Related Reading: Altcoin Trading Volumes Hit Multi-Month Lows, Market Interest Waning The analyst highlights that transactions below $10,000 specifically have accounted for the majority of the decline. This means that retail investors, or smaller investors who are not institutions, are no longer putting money into the digital asset at the rate at which they were before. This trend, the analyst explains, is a demand destruction and is often a predecessor of major Bitcoin bear markets in history. The trend has always been similar: first, retail leaves, and next, the volume begins dropping, and these are bear market signals. If the analyst is right, then it means that the Bitcoin decline is far from over. As the crypto analyst explained, the data is “screaming” right now that a bear market is coming. Crypto Tice warns that this is the time to be cautious and not the time for “blind optimism”. When Will The Bull Market Return? Bull markets are often driven by an influx of liquidity, triggering a buying spree, and this is no different. Naturally, retail investors play a huge role in this, meaning their absence from the market often spells doom. As the analyst explains, until these retail investors return, then the Bitcoin price recoveries are likely to remain capped, meaning it has limited upside in the meantime. Related Reading: Why The XRP Supply In The Billions Is Not A Problem Going by the shared chart, retail investment will have to rise above 10% again in order to trigger another sustained run. In the last year, the highest level has been 30% at the start of 2025, which was a precursor to the Bitcoin price hitting multiple all-time highs. Thus, a return to this level could trigger the next major run, possibly move $100,000. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin long-term holders have seen their supply go up recently, despite the unconvincing price action in the cryptocurrency. Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Supply Has Surged By 332,000 Over The Past Month As pointed out by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in an X post, the Bitcoin long-term holder supply has been following an uptrend recently. The “long-term holders” (LTHs) refer to the BTC investors who have been holding onto their coins for more than 155 days. Related Reading: Bitcoin Shark & Whale Wallets Jump Despite Bearish Price Action The LTHs make up for one of the two main divisions of the BTC market done on the basis of holding time; the other side, containing coins aged 155 days or less, is called the “short-term holders” (STHs). Statistically, the longer an investor keeps their coins dormant, the less likely they become to sell them in the future. As such, the STHs with their low holding time can be considered to include the weak hands of the market, while the LTHs can represent the stalwart diamonds. Now, here is the chart shared by Maartunn that shows the recent 30-day net position change trend in the supply of these two Bitcoin groups: As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin LTHs saw a negative monthly supply change during the second half of 2025, implying members of the cohort were breaking their dormancy, potentially to participate in selling. From the chart, it’s apparent that the selloff was the most intense during November, suggesting even the diamond hands of the network were reacting to the crash. The metric remained negative for the rest of the year, but in 2026, a shift has occurred; the LTH netflow has been positive since January and its value has only been climbing over time. Currently, it’s sitting at +332,600 BTC. Something to keep in mind is that while declines in the LTH supply can reflect distribution, the reverse isn’t true. This is because coins only become part of the LTH group after they have been held for a period of over 155 days. Thus, an increase in the LTH supply doesn’t mean that accumulation is happening in the present, but rather that it took place five months ago. Selling has no such delay attached as tokens see their age instantly reset back to zero as soon as they are involved in a network transaction. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bearish Positioning Persists As Funding Rates Hold Negative Nonetheless, a rise in the LTH supply is naturally still a useful signal, reflecting an increased tolerance for long-term holding among investors. Interestingly, the recent large 30-day inflow into the group has come while the market has gone through uncertainty owing to the war. As such, it would appear that a segment of the investors continue to believe in Bitcoin even in these circumstances. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $68,500, down more than 6% in the last week. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin price started a recovery wave from $68,000. BTC is now back above $70,000 and might struggle to continue higher in the near term. Bitcoin started a decent recovery wave above $69,500 and $70,000. The price is trading above $70,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $69,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another decline if it stays below the $71,500 and $72,000 levels. Bitcoin Price Attempts Recovery Bitcoin price found support near the $67,500 zone and recently started a recovery wave. BTC climbed above the $68,800 and $69,500 resistance levels. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $69,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The bulls were able to push the price above the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $75,999 swing high to the $67,343 low. However, the price faced resistance near the $71,500 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $75,999 swing high to the $67,343 low. Bitcoin is now trading above $70,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $70,000, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $71,650 level. The first key resistance is near the $72,000 level. A close above the $72,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $73,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $74,200 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $75,000. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $71,650 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $70,000 level. The first major support is near the $69,350 level. The next support is now near the $68,950 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $68,000 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $67,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $68,950, followed by $68,000. Major Resistance Levels – $71,650 and $72,000.

A crypto analyst who previously warned traders and investors that the recent Bitcoin (BTC) price surge could be a fluke has shared a new update. Confirming that his earlier prediction was accurate, the analyst now provides insight on where Bitcoin is really headed as it continues to navigate the ongoing bear market.  Where The Bitcoin Price Is Headed Next DeFi researcher and market analyst Sherlock has taken to X to share a fresh update on an analysis he published earlier last week. In this new report, Sherlock presented a rather foreboding Bitcoin price forecast, suggesting that the world’s largest cryptocurrency is heading toward new lows around $53,000 soon.  Related Reading: Pundit Shares Everything To Understand About Bitcoin, ‘This Cycle IS Different’ He emphasized that the $53,000 level was not a random bearish target but a point established after multiple data signals converged, which also corresponds to Bitcoin’s next weekly support level. According to Sherlock, Bitcoin’s record high last week near $76,000 was a deviation he had anticipated despite some traders hoping that the rebound could become a sustainable breakout.  The analyst noted that the weekly candle on the chart is expected to confirm this deviation trend if it closes below $72,500. Sherlock also drew parallels to a January price movement, when the Bitcoin price climbed to $94,500 before crashing by approximately 38%. Usually, in crypto market terms, this type of action is called a “fakeout,” which is when the price briefly breaches key resistance levels, enticing traders to enter positions, before rapidly reversing in the opposite direction.  Currently, the Bitcoin price is hovering around $68,100, more than 10% below its previous high of $76,000 set last week. The cryptocurrency suffered a sharp, unexpected collapse in a single day following reports of a hawkish stance by the US Federal Reserve (FED). After briefly dipping toward the $70,000 level that day, Bitcoin has continued on a downward trajectory.  Data from CoinMarketCap also indicate that BTC’s decline was further accelerated by a surge in geopolitical tensions, after US President Donald Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum to Iran, triggering a broader sell-off across risk assets.  A Look Back At BTC’s $76,000 Fluke In his previous analysis, Sherlock had cautioned traders not to get baited by short-term Bitcoin price spikes. He noted that during the last major deviation in January 2026, many traders went long, only to incur significant losses after Bitcoin’s price collapsed over the next five weeks.  Related Reading: Is This The Bitcoin Price Bottom Or A Fakeout? Analyst Reveals When You Shouldn’t Be Excited The analyst had warned that if Bitcoin fails to close above $74,500 on the weekly chart, its brief rebound would be nothing more than a deviation, not a true breakout. Sherlock added that, with the FOMC meeting last week and market consensus expecting another interest-rate pause, the outlook for Bitcoin is far from bullish. He described Bitcoin’s previous rebound as a trap, likely engineered to lure investors and traders into long positions prematurely. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

John Haar, managing director at Swan Private, says the policy response to COVID remains one of the clearest catalysts for Bitcoin adoption in recent years and argued that another large-scale round of money creation is likely a matter of when, not if. In an interview with Milk Road, Haar said the next “big print” may emerge within the next three to 24 months, driven by anything from war and banking stress to pension insolvency or AI-related labor disruption. The Next Big Print Favors Bitcoin Haar framed the argument less as a prediction of an imminent event and more as a recurring feature of the monetary system. He pointed to COVID-era stimulus and balance sheet expansion as a lived experience that changed how many investors thought about fiat risk and scarcity. “Like you said, two big prints kind of in most people’s adult lifetime, and the most recent one being COVID,” Haar said. “And I can just say, I saw firsthand how many people that affected people to say, whoa, that, you know, as all those things I said, they can just print money, stimulus checks, et cetera, et cetera. But I also, this is not just a theory, because I’ve seen it firsthand, hundreds of clients at SWAN who I’ve talked to.” Related Reading: If Bitcoin Price Doesn’t Hold Take And Hold $69,000 With Momentum, It Could Get Very Bad That direct client experience appeared central to his point. Haar said one of the first questions he asks new clients is about their “Bitcoin story,” and he described a recurring pattern among those who entered the asset after witnessing the monetary and fiscal response to the pandemic. In his telling, COVID did not merely validate a macro thesis for existing Bitcoin holders; it created a new cohort of buyers who saw policy discretion up close and drew their own conclusions. He tied that experience to a broader historical rhythm. Referencing Lawrence Lappard’s book The Big Print, Haar suggested that periodic bursts of money creation are not anomalies but episodes the system revisits “with some frequency.” He stopped well short of calling for an immediate repeat, however, and explicitly pushed back on near-term alarmism. “I’m not one of these people who’s saying it’s going to happen next month,” Haar said. “That’s usually too premature. You should typically fade those calls. But I do think it is a matter of time.” A notable part of Haar’s argument was psychological rather than purely macroeconomic. As the COVID shock recedes further into the rearview mirror, he said, investors risk slipping back into complacency. “As more years go by, this is just human nature,” he said, adding that people begin to forget “how crazy that monetary response was” and return to a kind of policy normalcy bias. In his view, that fading memory does not reduce the odds of another major intervention; it simply makes markets less mentally prepared for one. Related Reading: Bitcoin Shark & Whale Wallets Jump Despite Bearish Price Action He then laid out a range of possible triggers. A “large scale geopolitical war or military mobilization” was one, though he said current tensions do not yet qualify and would need to escalate much further. He also pointed to AI-driven labor displacement, state budget collapses, pension insolvency, renewed regional banking stress, a private credit crisis, structural entitlement expansion through programs such as Social Security, Medicaid, Medicare or student loan forgiveness, and major climate or natural disasters. The next big print is coming (bookmark this). Timeline: 3 to 24 months. The triggers: AI job displacement, state budget collapses, pension insolvency, regional bank crises, geopolitical war. “I believe that one of those things or multiple of those things will happen.” pic.twitter.com/1x1bgvl612 — Milk Road (@MilkRoad) March 22, 2026 “And then lastly, this has kind of been on the list for all of human history,” Haar said, “but if there’s some sort of major climate disaster or natural disaster, something like that could cause a big print. So I know I just threw a lot out there in the list, but I believe that one of those things or multiple of those things will happen at some point in the next, you know, three to 24 months.” At press time, BTC traded at $70,861. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Market expert Ali Martinez recently revealed on X (formerly Twitter) what he describes as “the secret to every major Bitcoin bull run since 2011,” saying October could offer one of the best entry points ahead of the next bull market.  Martinez shared an on‑chain fractal breakdown that points to a potential “final discount” in October of this year, where investors might find optimal buying opportunities before the next sustained uptrend. Bitcoin Could Bottom At $41,000-$45,000 In his social media post, Martinez suggests that Bitcoin is still operating within a four‑year rhythm that breaks down into a sequence of accumulation, markup, distribution, and a bear phase.  Within that larger cycle, he highlights two shorter subcycles and asserts the market is now moving into what he describes as the “final discount” period. Using that framework, Martinez puts a likely “golden entry” window between October 6 and October 16, 2026. Related Reading: Ethereum Bottom Signal? Analyst Maps Out Road To $10,000 Beyond timing, Martinez offered specific price bands for ideal buying opportunities. He identified entry points in the $41,500 to $45,000 range, which would represent declines of roughly 41% and 36%, respectively, from current trading levels of around $70,800. October Launchpad  Those potential retracements in the coming months imply that Bitcoin may still have substantial downside before the October window, according to his reading of past cycles. Related Reading: Dogecoin Could 200% Rally If This Floor Holds, Analyst Says However, Martinez framed the scenario as an actionable pattern rather than mere speculation: if the fractal holds, the October interval could serve as the launchpad that begins a fresh four‑year cycle and sets the stage for the next vertical price move.   The expert concluded his Monday social media post by saying the “countdown to the next Bitcoin vertical move has begun.” Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin’s recent price stagnation reflects a market grappling with uncertainty, and confidence being tested not just by economic forces but also by political influence. At the center of this tension is Donald Trump, whose unpredictable remarks on cryptocurrency policy have injected fresh volatility into an already sensitive market. How Bitcoin Struggles For Direction As Uncertainty Deepens The Bitcoin market is currently in a pause and indecision, with price action reflecting broader uncertainty. A crypto trader and investor, EliZ, pointed out on X that a significant factor contributing to this hesitation is the steady stream of unpredictable statements from US President Donald Trump. Related Reading: Bitcoin Monthly Timeframe Signals A Potential Market Shift Currently, BTC is in a clear stalemate below the $70,500 to $71,000 zone, where sellers are constantly stepping in to hold the price and prevent a bullish surge. At the same time, the $68,000 level is acting as support, but if decisively breached, it could open the door for a deeper decline. Adding to the complexity, the price is currently reacting around the 0.75 retracement level, which earlier triggered a sharp rally on the liquidity sweep. This movement suggests the market is actively searching for equilibrium without a clear direction. EliZ emphasized that patience remains the most strategic approach. Rather than forcing trades in an uncertain market, it is better to remain on the sidelines until a clear signal emerges.  The Bitcoin price is currently approaching the next key pivot, expected to happen on the 25th. An analyst known as LP on X has highlighted that, over the last 8 occurrences, 6 have resulted in local lows, while only 2 have formed highs, giving this pivot a clear tendency to mark local bottom. However, the context remains crucial. If BTC price trends upward into the pivot, the probability would shift toward forming a local high. On the other hand, if the price moves lower into the pivot, the odds will further favor a local low bottom forming. In essence, how the price develops into the pivot will be critical. On average, this pivot has produced moves of around 8-9%, highlighting it’s a significant level to watch. A Defining Moment For Bitcoin’s Market Structure Bitcoin is now undergoing a crucial retest of the 200-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA). However, given how unreliable the EMA has been as resistance in recent weeks, it is worth keeping a healthy dose of skepticism while BTC is attempting to reclaim the 200-week EMA and flip it into support, according to Rekt Capital. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Not Ready For Expansion Yet — Blockchain Firm Rekt argues that the new weekly close will determine whether the retest of the 200-week EMA will regain its historical significance or will continue to act as an uncertain barrier in the current cycle. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto analyst Celal has predicted that the Bitcoin price could hit a new all-time high (ATH) of $145,000. The analyst also provided a timeline for when the leading crypto could hit this milestone.  When The Bitcoin Price Could Hit $145,000 In an X post, Celal stated that the Bitcoin price will rally to $145,000 between October and November. His accompanying chart showed that this rally could happen as BTC’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) picks up and hits overbought, rising to 90. The chart also suggested that the leading crypto may already be forming a bottom as it eyes this rally to a new ATH.  Related Reading: The Bear Market Divergence That Shows What’s Really Going On With Bitcoin This Bitcoin price prediction comes as BTC continues to struggle to hold above the psychological $70,000 level. The leading crypto is under pressure due to the U.S.-Iran war, with U.S. President Donald Trump threatening to escalate things if Iran doesn’t open the Strait of Hormuz.  Crypto analyst Ali Martinez noted that it is currently a waiting game as the Bitcoin price is at a crossroads. He said that BTC is stuck in a “no-trade zone” and that right now, the area between $70,685 and $65,636 are the most important spot on the chart. The analyst further revealed that over 1.72 million BTC have been transacted around this range, meaning that “buyers and sellers are digging in their heels.” Martinez added that there won’t be a big move for the Bitcoin price until it either breaks above $70,685 or falls below $65,636. Crypto analyst Ardi stated that BTC is still in a bear market and that the rally over the past few weeks was because of short covering. As such, the leading crypto is still at risk of a larger decline.  The Economic Backdrop Is Bad For BTC Crypto analyst Colin stated that the economic backdrop is bad for the Bitcoin price, with oil prices rising and the Fed unlikely to lower rates anytime soon. He also noted that this is bad for BTC, considering that it is further up the risk curve than stocks. Based on this, Colin remarked that an eventual breakdown from the bear flag, which it has been trading inside since February. Related Reading: How Low Can Bitcoin Price Go? Analyst Shares Worst-Case Scenario As such, it is just a matter of how long the Bitcoin price holds on for at this point, the analyst said. He also noted that BTC has been in a bear market since October 5 and is only five months into it. Colin said that this means there is likely further downside since a typical bear market lasts for 12 months.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $68,800, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin is once again testing a critical level that could shape its next major move. With price action returning to a previously contested support and resistance zone, attention is now shifting toward a defined set of upside targets that could come into play if the level continues to hold. Bitcoin’s S/R Zone Retest Signals Strength In Market Structure According to market technician Johnathan Carter, Bitcoin’s weekly chart is currently revisiting a key zone that previously acted as resistance before being broken. That same level is now functioning as support, marking a classic support/resistance flip. Related Reading: Where Is Bitcoin Price Headed Next? This Level Will Decide Everything The chart he posted shows that Bitcoin’s price has pulled back into this zone after a strong upward expansion, with buyers stepping in to defend it. This reaction is not occurring randomly. The highlighted region, positioned around the mid-$60,000 range, aligns with a former breakout area, reinforcing its technical importance. The analyst’s observation centers on the idea that this retest is a structural confirmation. The ability of bulls to maintain price above this level suggests that the breakout remains valid and that the broader upward trend is intact. Further supporting this outlook is the large inverse head and shoulders pattern visible on the weekly timeframe. This formation reflects a transition from bearish to bullish control. The neckline of this pattern coincides closely with the current S/R zone, making the ongoing retest even more significant. After breaking above this neckline, Bitcoin advanced sharply before pulling back to retest it. The chart also illustrates a rounded retest structure, indicating a controlled pullback. This type of price action often points to accumulation, where buyers gradually regain control without allowing the price to break lower. Four Key Price Targets Come Into Focus With the support zone holding and the retest developing constructively, attention shifts to the next potential price objectives outlined by the analyst. The first level to monitor is $95,000, which represents a near-term resistance area based on recent price structure. A move into this region would confirm continuation from the current base. Beyond that, $125,000 stands as the next target, aligning with a previous consolidation range seen during Bitcoin’s earlier rally phase. Clearing this level would signal sustained bullish momentum. The third target is $150,000, a psychological and structural milestone that reflects an extension of the current trend. At this stage, market participation typically increases as momentum builds. Related Reading: XRP Trend Exhaustion Says Price Is About To Jump, Here’s The Target Finally, the long-term objective sits at $200,000. This level represents a full realization of the projected move following the inverse head and shoulders breakout, as illustrated by the trajectory on the chart. The current price behavior suggests that the market is in the process of confirming the breakout. With buyers actively defending the retested zone and no clear breakdown in structure, the bullish framework remains in place. As long as this support holds, the path toward higher levels remains open, keeping all four targets—$95,000, $125,000, $150,000, and $200,000—firmly in focus. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin miner selling pressure has fallen sharply, with BTC inflows from miners to Binance dropping to levels not seen since mid-2023. The shift matters because miner distribution is one of the market’s more persistent sources of structural sell-side pressure, and the latest data suggests that pressure has eased for now. In a post via X on Sunday, CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost said the monthly average of BTC inflows from miners to Binance has fallen to roughly 4,316 BTC. When the same activity is measured across all exchanges, the figure rises only slightly to 4,381 BTC, reinforcing the point that the slowdown is not limited to a single venue. Bitcoin Miner Selling Pressure Drops The reversal follows a brief spike earlier this year tied to extreme weather in the United States. According to Darkfost, miner inflows picked up during the ice storm that hit the country in late January and early February, when several large US-based mining pools were forced to scale back or temporarily suspend operations. That disruption, he argued, likely translated into heavier BTC sales as miners worked to cover ongoing expenses despite reduced output. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Not Ready For Expansion Yet — Blockchain Firm “It is important to recall that during this weather event, several large US based mining pools were forced to slow down or temporarily halt their operations,” Darkfost wrote. “Even when activity is reduced, however, fixed costs remain high, including electricity, infrastructure, and operational expenses. This situation likely pushed some miners to increase their BTC sales in order to maintain liquidity.” That dynamic now appears to have faded. “Since then, the trend has clearly reversed,” he added, describing current inflows as having fallen to “historically low levels.” He noted that a similarly weak reading for miner transfers to Binance was last seen on June 5, 2023. The broader implication is straightforward: miners are currently sending less BTC to exchanges, which in turn suggests they are selling less into the market. Darkfost framed that as a constructive development, writing that “the current decline in inflows suggests that miners have significantly reduced their BTC sales, which can be interpreted as a constructive signal for the market, as structural selling pressure from this cohort appears to be temporarily easing.” That does not mean the risk has disappeared. Darkfost estimates that miners still hold around 1.8 million BTC in reserves, a stockpile large enough to matter if market conditions change and distribution accelerates again. In other words, the absence of aggressive selling is supportive, but it is not the same as a supply overhang vanishing altogether. Related Reading: Bitcoin Risks Drop To $52,000, Veteran Analyst Aksel Kibar Says The miner data also arrives alongside signs that Bitcoin is still trying to rebuild a firmer base among short-term holders. In a separate post, Darkfost said the market has spent nearly a month attempting to stabilize above the cost basis of the youngest short-term holder cohort, the 1-week to 1-month group. That cohort’s estimated breakeven level sits at $68,200, making it the only short-term holder segment currently around flat. Further up the ladder, the pressure points are steeper. The 1-month to 3-month cohort has an estimated cost basis of $83,500, while the 3-month to 6-month group sits even higher at $96,900. Darkfost said the 1-month to 3-month level acted as resistance the last time price approached it, as many short-term holders used the move to exit, pushing the broader short-term holder segment back into unrealized loss. At press time, BTC traded at $68,553. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The Bitcoin price broke below $70,000 over the weekend, effectively erasing the gains from the previous week. This move puts the cryptocurrency in a perilous position as the bulls are now hard-pressed to find another major support or risk the decline going deeper from here. According to one analyst, Bitcoin bulls will have to reclaim and hold $69,000 with momentum in order to trigger another recovery trend. Why Bitcoin Bulls Must Hold $69,000 According to crypto analyst Tealstreet, the bulls will need to defend $69,000 to prevent the Bitcoin price from falling lower. The reason for this is the fact that the Bitcoin price has a chance of pushing upwards to the $73,000-$74,000 levels if this support is maintained. Following this, there is still the possibility of a final push toward $76,000-$77,000. Related Reading: Why The XRP Supply In The Billions Is Not A Problem On the flip side, there is a lot of bearish action to be seen if the bulls lose $69,000. This bearish move would trigger an at least 5% decline, with the crypto analyst putting the target somewhere between $64,000 and $66,000. While this decline may not exactly be as impactful as previous sharp declines, it could end up being negative for altcoins, which are already suffering. By Sunday, the Bitcoin price broke below $69,000, but the bulls were able to maintain the $68,000 level, holding quite close to the target. Nevertheless, this means that the bulls are now in a tight spot with the need to reclaim $69,000 or watch the trend play out. BTC Still Stuck In A Corrective Phase Another crypto analyst, HAMED_AZ, also published a post in support of the current Bitcoin bearishness, saying that the digital asset has actually entered a corrective phase. Due to this, the Bitcoin price is expected to move lower after an initial push toward the top of the ascending channel. Related Reading: The Bear Market Divergence That Shows What’s Really Going On With Bitcoin If the price is unable to break the resistance at the top of the channel, then the downtrend will continue, leading to an over 10% decline. This move will most likely send the Bitcoin price crashing below $60,000 for the first time in over a year. Alternatively, if the price is able to successfully test and break out of the channel resistance with momentum, then the downtrend could be broken completely. This scenario would lead to a push toward $80,000 and likely kickstart the next run. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin price started a sharp decline from well above $72,000. BTC is now consolidating and might extend losses unless there is a close above $70,000. Bitcoin started a sharp decline below $71,200 and $70,500. The price is trading below $70,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $69,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to decline if it stays below the $69,200 and $70,000 levels. Bitcoin Price Dips Further Bitcoin price started a sharp decline from well above $72,000. BTC declined below $71,200 and $70,000 to enter a short-term bearish zone. The bears even pushed the price below $69,500. There was a move toward $67,500. A low was formed at $67,343, and the pair is now consolidating losses. There was a minor upward move above $68,000, but the price stayed well below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $75,999 swing high to the $67,343 low. Bitcoin is now trading below $70,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $69,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. If the price remains stable above $68,000, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $69,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $69,200 level and the trend line. A close above the $69,200 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $70,000 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $71,650 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $75,999 swing high to the $67,343 low. The next barrier for the bulls could be $72,800. Downside Extension In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $70,000 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $68,000 level. The first major support is near the $67,250 level. The next support is now near the $66,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $65,000 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $63,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $68,000, followed by $67,250. Major Resistance Levels – $69,200 and $70,000.