THE LATEST CRYPTO NEWS

Bitcoin endured one of its sharpest selloffs of the year on Tuesday, knifing below the six-figure threshold and printing lows around the $99,000 area on major composites before rebounding. At press time, bitcoin (BTC) hovered near $101,700 after an intraday trough just above $99,000 on widely used benchmarks, marking a fall of roughly 6% day-over-day and the lowest print since June. The slide came as US equities limped into mid-week, with the Nasdaq up 20.9% year-to-date and the S&P 500 up 15.1% as of Tuesday’s close—gains that underscore how much bitcoin has lagged other risk assets during long stretches of 2025. That divergence, together with a growing body of ETF-flow data showing several straight sessions of net outflows from US spot bitcoin funds into early November, provided the macro backdrop for a fragile crypto tape. Independent tallies from Farside/SoSoValue and multiple outlets point to a roughly $1.3–$1.4 billion cumulative bleed over four trading days into November 3–4, led by BlackRock’s IBIT. Why Is Bitcoin Price Down? Into that context, Joe Consorti—Head of Growth at Horizon (Theya, YC)—argues the selloff is less a loss of conviction than a structural handoff of supply. In a video analysis posted late November 4 US time, he framed the day’s move as “one of its roughest days of the year, down more than 6 percent, falling to $99,000 for the first time since June,” adding that while equities would call that “the start of a bear market… for Bitcoin, though, this is typical of a bull market drawdown.” He noted that “we’ve already weathered two separate 30 percent drawdowns during this bull run,” and characterized the present action as “a transfer of Bitcoin’s ownership base from the old guard to the new guard.” Related Reading: CryptoQuant Head Reveals Reason Behind Bearish Bitcoin Trend Consorti anchored his thesis to a now-viral framework from macro investor Jordi Visser: bitcoin’s “silent IPO.” In Visser’s Substack essay—shared widely since the weekend—he posits that 2025’s rangebound price belies an orderly, IPO-like distribution as early-era holders access the deepest liquidity the asset has ever had through ETFs, institutional custodians and corporate balance sheets. “Early-stage investors… need liquidity. They need an exit. They need to diversify,” Visser wrote, arguing that methodical selling “results [in] a sideways grind that drives everyone crazy.” Consorti adopted the frame bluntly: “This isn’t panic selling, it’s the natural evolution of an asset that’s reached maturity… a transfer of ownership from concentrated hands to distributed ones.” Evidence for that churn has been visible on-chain. Multiple instances of Satoshi-era wallets and miner addresses reanimating this quarter—some after 14 years—have been documented, including July’s duo of 10,000-BTC wallets and late-October movement from a 4,000-BTC miner address. While not dispositive that coins are being market-sold, the pattern is consistent with supply redistributing from early concentrates to broader, regulated channels. Technically, Consorti cast the drop as part of “digestion,” not exhaustion. “The RSI tells us Bitcoin is at its most oversold level since April, when the last leg of the bull run began. Every drawdown this cycle, 30%, 35%, and now 20%, has built support rather than destroyed it.” He added a key conditional: “If we spend too much time below $100,000, that could suggest the distribution isn’t done… perhaps we’re in for a bull-market reversal into a bear market.” Macro, however, is intruding. The Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 bps on October 29 to a 3.75%–4.00% target range, but Chair Jerome Powell carefully pushed back on the idea of an automatic December cut, citing “strongly differing views” inside the FOMC and a “data fog” from the ongoing government shutdown. Markets promptly tempered their odds for further near-term easing. Consorti’s warning that bitcoin “is extremely correlated” to risk-asset drawdowns therefore looms large: if equities lurch meaningfully lower or funding stress reappears, crypto will feel it. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull Run: Over Or Just Paused? CryptoQuant CEO Presents The Data If Visser’s “silent IPO” is right, ETFs are both symptom and salve. They have delivered the two-sided depth to absorb legacy supply but also introduced a new, faster-moving cohort whose redemptions can amplify downdrafts. That dynamic showed up again this week in the four-day string of net outflows concentrated in IBIT, even as longer-term assets under management remain enormous by historical standards. Consorti’s conclusion was starkly patient, not euphoric. “For every seller looking to liquidate their position, there’s a new participant stepping in for the long haul… It’s slow, it’s uneven, and it’s psychologically draining, but once it’s finished, it unlocks the next leg higher. Because the marginal seller is gone, and what’s left is a base of holders who don’t need to sell.” Whether Tuesday’s pierce of the six-figure floor proves the climactic flush—or merely another chapter in a months-long ownership transfer—will hinge on how quickly price reclaims and bases above $100,000, how ETF flows stabilize, and whether the Fed’s path from here restores risk appetite or starves it. For now, the most important story in bitcoin may be happening under the surface, not on the chart. At press time, BTC traded at $101,865. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin dominance sits at 60% and has been testing a vital long-run support line. According to market veteran Michaël van de Poppe, that support — the 20-month MA, near 59% — is the signal traders should watch. Related Reading: ‘Good News’ Finally Arrives For SHIB Army As Team Unveils New Update He warned that a confirmed break under that level could flip the market’s favor toward altcoins. Short moves can happen. Big shifts follow. Bitcoin Dominance At A Crossroads Based on reports and chart reads, The 20-month MA has been touched several times recently. In September, Bitcoin dominance briefly slipped below 59% before bouncing back, a move that shows the index is being pushed and probed. Van de Poppe drew a parallel to late 2019, when a long run above that moving average eventually gave way and set the stage for a long altcoin run. He told followers it could be “party time” if the line is broken with conviction. The #Bitcoin dominance is still trending upwards, but on edge to be breaking south. Why? It’s mimicking Q4 2019. I’d want to see a break beneath the 20-Monthly MA. If that happens, that’s party time. pic.twitter.com/m21WnBhKuj — Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) November 4, 2025 Traders say this test matters because it is not just a small tug of war. It is a structural test that could change where money flows next. Momentum would likely shift. Market behavior could become more favorable to smaller coins. Historical Echoes From 2019 Back In September 2019, Bitcoin dominance peaked at 73% before the index began a steady slide. It tested the long moving average by February 2020, then in mid-2020 the structure changed and the drop continued until dominance hit 39% by December 2021. Reports point to that period as when many altcoins outperformed Bitcoin and saw large gains. Some analysts believe a repeat pattern is possible if the same technical threshold fails. Analyst Steve, from Crypto Crew University, flagged comparable chart shapes and resistance points that came before the major altcoin rallies of 2017 and 2021. He suggested the pattern might reappear, perhaps around 2026, meaning an altcoin upswing could arrive later rather than sooner. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Be This Week’s Big Story As Saylor Teases Fresh Buy What Traders Are Watching Several clear markers are being followed. The 20-month MA at 59.29% is one. A sustained close below that level would be the clearest technical trigger. Volume trends and how quickly dominance moves after a break will be watched closely. In addition, analysts will watch whether major Bitcoin flows — such as ETF activity, exchange balances, or large holder moves — change, because those can speed up or slow down an altcoin response. Featured image from Stronger by Science, chart from TradingView

In the last few weeks, the Ethereum price has performed poorly, thanks to the bearish pressure triggered by the Bitcoin price decline. After losing support above $4,000, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap is now showing more signs of a breakdown that could trigger a spiral. Multiple analysts have already shared where they see the Ethereum price going, and we take a look at two that look at both ends of the spectrum. A Recovery And Then A Crash Crypto analyst Melikatrader highlighted an important structure that the Ethereum price has formed recently, and that is a clear structure of recovery. This comes after the cryptocurrency completed a liquidity sweep around $3,700, which is referred to as a “Hunting.” Related Reading: Head And Shoulders Pattern Says Bitcoin Price Is Headed Below $100,000 Now, with the liquidity sweep completed at this level, the analyst believes that this creates a potential base that could see the Ethereum price correct upwards. Amid this, the altcoin has also seen some consolidation between $3,700 and $3,800, making this range an important area of interest. If bulls are able to claim and hold this level, then it could put Ethereum on the path of another uptrend. It would put an end to the accumulation trend and kickstart another bullish run. Such a run would send the Ethereum price into the next supply zone, which lies at $4,080-$4,180, before seeing any major downward correction. Despite expecting the price to climb, the crypto analyst also highlights the fact that Ethereum is still flashing a bearish market structure. With the ascending trendline on the move, the price is expected to hit resistance around $4,100. If bears are able to successfully reject the price from this level, then the Ethereum price is expected to crash back below $4,000. Analyst Calls The Top For Ethereum Price While many in the space believe the current downtrend is only temporary, crypto analyst CRYPTO Damus believes that this could actually be the cycle top. In the post on X, he compares the current trend to that of the 2018 and 2021 cycle tops using the weekly chart. Related Reading: Here’s What Happens To The Dogecoin Price After The Consolidation Phase Ends Damus points out that there are similarities between the previous cycle tops and that the Ethereum price is currently following a similar playbook. This comes after consistent green candles, followed by red candles on the weekly chart, ending in a bear market. The analyst explains that it is possible that this time could be different, given the deviations in the market cycles so far. However, if it is the same trend from the last two bull cycles, that would mean that the bull run is over for Ethereum, and investors should brace for a crash. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin’s price continues to face mounting pressure as it hovers near key support levels. With sellers pushing toward the $102,000 zone, BTC is now at a moment that may mark the final washout before a major rebound. The coming days could be decisive in determining whether Bitcoin finds its footing or continues its decline. Bitcoin Faces Pressure Below $108,000 As Bears Regain Control Crypto analyst Crypto Candy shared insights into Bitcoin’s latest price action, noting that the flagship cryptocurrency tried to hold the $107,000–$108,000 support zone but ultimately failed to do so, closing below that level. This development signals a potential shift in market dynamics, as the $107,000–$108,000 zone may now act as a strong resistance area.  Related Reading: Head And Shoulders Pattern Says Bitcoin Price Is Headed Below $100,000 Crypto Candy further explained that if the downward momentum continues, Bitcoin could retrace deeper toward the $99,000–$101,000 range, an area viewed as a critical support zone where fresh buying interest might emerge. A dip into this range could also help clear out weak positions and create healthier conditions for a long-term rebound. However, the analyst added that if Bitcoin manages to reclaim and hold above the $107,000–$108,000 zone, it would signal that bullish strength is returning to the market. Such a breakout could restore confidence among investors, paving the way for renewed upward momentum and possibly another push toward higher targets.  $102,000: The Ideal Flush Zone Before The Next Big Move In his latest BTC daily update, Super฿ro emphasized the critical role of the $102,000 support zone, describing it as an ideal area for the market to flush out remaining leveraged long positions. This kind of shakeout is often necessary to clear weak hands and set the stage for a more sustainable bullish continuation. Related Reading: Bitcoin At A ‘Do-Or-Die’ Level As Cycle Faces First Real Test: Analyst Super฿ro further noted that once this cleanup phase concludes, Bitcoin could see a sharp rebound, primarily fueled by a short squeeze from traders caught on the wrong side of the market. As shorts begin to close their positions, buying pressure could intensify, creating a rapid upward move that reclaims lost levels.  That said, the crypto analyst has warned that a break below the $101,000 level would not be ideal, as it might signal that market weakness is deeper than anticipated. Still, he maintains confidence in the broader picture, highlighting that high-timeframe (HTF) indicators remain supportive of a potential rebound. Presently, the price of BTC is hovering around $104,000, indicating a more than 3% decline over the last 24 hours. Meanwhile, its trading volume has picked up pace, rising by over 79% in the same time frame. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin might be currently trending downwards, but a full fundamental breakdown shows it is ready to return to $120,000, and it is only a matter of time.  According to an extensive fundamental analysis shared by Mr. Wall Street on X, the recent months of price stagnation and sudden drops are part of a larger accumulation phase dominated by institutional players. The overall setup, he argued, points clearly to Bitcoin’s eventual climb back above $120,000. Institutional Accumulation And Controlled Bitcoin Price Range The analyst’s first point is how Bitcoin has been trading within a 120-day range, oscillating between $107,000 and $123,000 to form what is a controlled consolidation range by institutions intended to push out weak retail investors. Mr. Wall Street noted that Bitcoin’s structure remains fundamentally bullish despite the prolonged sideways movement.  Related Reading: Donald Trump Makes Nice With China, But Why Are The Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices Still Crashing? Each attempt to break out above $120,000 strongly or below the $107,000 support has failed, a sign that large institutions are actively controlling liquidity within this narrow band. Every crash within this period, including the one caused by the Binance sell-off and Trump’s tariff war with China, was met by strong institutional bids near the $107,000 zone, even when Bitcoin went on a flash crash to $101,000.  Therefore, there is no technical or structural weakness that invalidates the bullish thesis. The imbalance to the upside, he added, is sufficient to push Bitcoin back to trading in the $120,000 and $123,000 range, which is the Value Area High. Mr. Wall Street also tied Bitcoin’s coming surge to changes within the Federal Reserve’s policies. He pointed out that despite claiming to end quantitative tightening, the Fed has quietly injected billions into the banking system through repo operations and mortgage-backed securities purchases. He highlighted a single Friday where $50.35 billion entered the system. According to him, this liquidity will ultimately find its way into risk assets, including Bitcoin, in a pattern similar to the 2019 monetary response that preceded crypto’s 2020 and 2021 bull run. Although he warned that a fabricated crash could precede the next liquidity wave, this will only strengthen Bitcoin’s long-term position for another move to $120,000 and possibly higher. Gold And Bitcoin In The Battle For The Real Store Of Value Mr. Wall Street also called attention to the psychological side of the current cycle, which has been highlighted by some investors gravitating towards gold. He argued that retail investors are being pushed to gold through manipulated narratives of stagflation and economic fear, while institutions quietly buy Bitcoin. “What’s ironic is that the same logic that drives people to buy gold should be making them buy Bitcoin instead,” he said.  Related Reading: Analyst Reveals What Traders Are Missing After The Bitcoin Price Spike To $116,000 The ongoing gold hype is to distract the public while institutions accumulate Bitcoin at discount levels. Once retail participants exit the crypto market entirely, then there is going to be a move upward that redefines Bitcoin’s price level.  As he concluded, the boring sideways phase is nearing its end, and the next aggressive move, one that could carry Bitcoin back above $120,000, is only a matter of time. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $104,200. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

CryptoQuant’s research head has pointed out how demand to absorb Bitcoin at higher prices has been low recently, potentially explaining the asset’s decline. Bitcoin Apparent Demand Metric Has Turned Red Recently In a new post on X, Julio Moreno, head of research at on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant, has looked at recent BTC market dynamics from a different angle. “Instead of looking at Bitcoin long-term holder distribution/spending, I like to look at the other side of the trade,” noted Moreno. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Maps Out Dream Ethereum Scenario To $8,000 Long-term holders here refer to the BTC investors who have been holding onto their coins for a period longer than 155 days. This cohort is considered to include the high-conviction “HODLers” of the market, so distribution from them is often something on-chain analysts watch out for. As CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has highlighted in a separate X post, Bitcoin long-term holders have participated in a significant amount of selling during the past month. This isn’t the signal Moreno focuses on, however. Instead, the CryptoQuant head checks for whether there is enough demand coming in to absorb the supply that the long-term holders are selling at higher prices. An indicator that can be useful for tracking this is the Apparent Demand, which compares the difference between BTC’s production and changes in its long-term inventory. “Production” is the amount that miners are issuing on the network every day, while the “inventory” is the supply that has been inactive for over a year. Now, here is the chart shared by Moreno that shows the trend in the 30-day and 1-year versions of the Bitcoin Apparent Demand over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Apparent Demand has been red on the 30-day during the last few weeks, implying a negative short-term demand for the cryptocurrency. “Is there enough demand to absorb the supply at higher prices?” asked the analyst. “Since a few weeks ago the answer is no, and that is why we see prices declining.” The story is a bit different when it comes to the 1-year Apparent Demand, which has actually seen some growth recently, but the pace of its rise has been slow, and its value is still below the 90-day simple moving average (SMA). Related Reading: Bitcoin At Key Retest: Bounce Or $98,000 Next? The last time Bitcoin saw an extended phase of negative 30-day Apparent Demand was during the bearish phase in the first half of the year. It now remains to be seen whether something similar will follow this time as well, or if demand will bounce back. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $103,900, down 9% over the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

In the dynamic and often opaque world of Bitcoin trading, institutional traders are operating with a fundamentally different playbook. These players are actively hunting for low-volume areas and under-traded levels, seeing them as strategic advantages for maximizing profit. Why Institutions Avoid The Crowd And Target The Gaps Bitcoin’s institutional traders and big players are actively hunting low-volume areas. These zones are thinly traded areas, which shows that there are fewer resting orders, making it easier to fill massive positions with less slippage. In an X post, a crypto analyst known as Killa has stated that throughout this entire rally, players have hunted Low Volume Nodes (LVNs), or in simpler terms, the volume areas are lows every single time. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breaks Down Again — Bearish Momentum Intensifies Across Crypto Market The reason for this accumulation is that if the BTC price is stalling, volume is increasing, and BTC is unable to follow through with bullish momentum, it shows that 75% of the time, the market is preparing to retrace to lower areas of demand. This is simple basic supply and demand dynamics playing out. However, there has been a major increase in volume around these highs, coupled with the multiple sweeps of liquidity above them. Despite what might seem like bullish tariff catalysts, the market has failed to push higher. If this combination happens, it could be a sign of distribution rather than re-accumulation of the trend. Furthermore, if BTC can’t decisively reclaim the $114,000 monthly open, then the next logical target points downwards to the Volume Area Low (VAL) below $100,000. Should BTC push below $100,000 and manage to reclaim the VAL, then this will be a deviation into expansion, which is a reclaim of the range. On the other hand, if BTC is unable to reclaim the VAL after testing below $100,000, it would point to a bear market towards $50,000 to $60,000 range. October Leverage Bloodbath Is Still Echoing A popular crypto news source, CryptosRus, has mentioned that Bloomberg has dropped a report that the October liquidation shocks are still haunting crypto. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is back near $107,000, but the reason is not new Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt (FUD) or macro pressure, but because traders are still shaken from the October wipeout. Related Reading: Are Bitcoin Investors Back In Accumulation Mode? On-Chain Data Says ‘Possibly’ The liquidation flushed billions in leverage, which is the biggest clean-out this market has seen in years. This drained confidence and completely sidelined buyers who still haven’t stepped back into the arena with conviction. Bloomberg says that the October shock absolutely repelled new demand, even as global risk assets continue to rally. Presently, the fundamentals for BTC are actually fine, but the sentiment is shell-shocked. According to CryptorRus, this is not a weakness, but it’s a recovery mode. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

On Tuesday, the Bitcoin price briefly dipped below the significant $100,000 threshold for the first time since June. Market expert Lark Davis summarized the facts behind the ongoing sell-off on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), describing the situation as “absolutely relentless.”  Bitcoin Price Set For Deeper Correction  Davis highlighted a range of factors contributing to the Bitcoin price downturn, including selling activity from exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and large-scale investors known as whales. He suggested that fear among investors is reaching a peak, indicating a phase of significant capitulation. Related Reading: Dogecoin Volume Spike To $2 Billion Might Be Bearish, Here’s Why Amid these developments, reports have emerged that the Bitcoin price is undergoing an Elliott Wave Correction. Analysts suggest that Wave (5) appears to be complete, and Wave (B) might have reached its peak.  This could set the stage for a deeper Wave (C) correction, potentially bringing the price down to the $70,000 to $75,000 range. This would mean an additional 30% decline ahead for the market’s leading crypto.  The unfolding Elliott Wave A-B-C structure indicates that there is strong support for the Bitcoin price in the “green box” seen in the chart above, which could serve as a potential reversal zone. However, the analyst caution that a substantial rally may follow the completion of the Wave (C) correction. Altcoins At Risk Further complicating the outlook, market analyst Ted Pillows emphasized that merely conducting quantitative tightening (QT) would not suffice to stabilize the market.  Referring to historical data from the third quarter of 2019, when the Federal Reserve (Fed) halted QT, Pillows noted that altcoins dropped significantly—by 40%—and did not find a bottom until the Fed initiated quantitative easing (QE). Related Reading: Bitcoin Remains ‘Fully Bearish’ Until This Price Level Is Reclaimed: Veteran Analyst He warned that the current situation would likely mirror that past experience, stating that unless new liquidity enters the market, alts will continue to set new lows. While a few may outperform, the majority are expected to decline further. As of writing, the Bitcoin price had recovered the $100,900 mark. However, losses of 6% and 12% were recorded in the last 24 hours and over the past seven days, respectively.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin’s technical structure remains decisively negative and will stay that way “until” a key resistance level is reclaimed, according to veteran analyst Josh Olszewicz in his latest video published today. Pointing to the Ichimoku Cloud and a stack of trend signals, Olszewicz said, “Below the cloud we’re bearish, above we’re bullish. We are currently below… [and] fully bearish on price and the expectation is lower lows.” The fulcrum, in his view, is a reclaim of roughly $115,000. “I don’t really have anything bullish to say here at all until we’re back above $115,000 on BTC and $4,200 on ETH,” he said, adding that Ethereum’s setup is comparatively less negative—trading “in the cloud,” with what he still characterizes as “certainly not a long entry signal.” For Bitcoin, he flagged a confluence of bearish cues: a bearish Chikou span on the weekly, moving-average crosses to the downside, and head-and-shoulders patterns both at larger and smaller scales. While he acknowledged a possible “falling channel” and even a broader “megaphone” that could complicate pattern reads, Olszewicz underscored directional risk in the near term: “If I were to randomly wake up and see price at $103k, $102k, that would not surprise me here,” even warning that “it’s possible we flirt with… below $100,000.” The deterioration in derivatives premia underscores that message, he argued. “If you look at the basis on CME we are making multi-month lows here… you go to ETH [and it’s] also making significant lows. So there’s certainly no froth in this market based on premiums.” Spot flow doesn’t help either: “On BTC we’ve still got people sending hundreds of millions to exchanges seemingly every day… my guess is they are [selling] because you don’t send coins to an exchange for fun.” Macro Headwinds For Bitcoin Beyond crypto-native signals, Olszewicz tied the setup to a macro regime shift that has turned unhelpful at the margins. He highlighted a still-ongoing US government shutdown as a potential kink in liquidity transmission—“maybe when the government comes back… the pipes start moving again”—and warned of rising near-term volatility around a data drought: “We do have ADP employment on Wednesday… very, very closely paid attention to because there is a data drought on employment numbers.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull Run: Over Or Just Paused? CryptoQuant CEO Presents The Data Since last week’s FOMC, he noted, rate-cut odds tightened materially “after Powell mentioned a comment about the fog. Got to slow down on the fog, he says,” with risk assets reacting poorly: “Equities didn’t like that… crypto certainly didn’t like that.” He also flagged the inflation now-casting mix as a swing factor. “Trueflation [is] ticking higher consistently… you don’t want to be in this position where we are cutting into rising inflation,” he cautioned, while contrasting that with the Fed’s nowcast, which “doesn’t look as dire.” A CPI headline beginning with a ‘3’ would be problematic in his view: “I suspect if we do get a three handle on headline CPI, markets aren’t going to like that.” Under the hood, he pointed to falling gasoline and used-car prints and easing rents as disinflationary, but called out sticky components like insurance. Liquidity optics remain mixed: the reverse repo facility has seen periodic end-month spikes yet is “running on fumes,” and, crucially, the long-observed link between global liquidity gauges and BTC “has not reconnected in any regard since May, June, July.” Dollar strength is an additional pressure point. “The dollar continues to look good, continues to push higher… and this chart looks phenomenal… a real problem” for Bitcoin if that uptrend persists, he said. In classic cross-asset contrast, he described the 60/40 US bonds/equity mix as technically constructive—“above the cloud, bullish TK cross, bullish cloud”—and noted that risk proxies like high-yield credit are diverging from the S&P 500, which he reads as consistent with crypto’s underperformance: “With BTC struggling, you see riskier parts of the market also pulling back to a greater degree than equities.” Equities Need To Remain Strong In equities, he argued there is “nothing to short” on the major indices right now—“SPY… looks great,” with the Nasdaq and semis echoing the same message—creating an awkward asymmetry for BTC: “If Bitcoin can’t find its way when the SPY and the Q’s look like this, we’re certainly in trouble because if this does reverse, that’s going to take BTC with it almost certainly.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Poised For A Bullish November: Key Catalysts That Can’t Be Ignored On crypto-equity linkages, Olszewicz observed that miners have outperformed for reasons outside of Bitcoin’s fundamentals: “If you look at the Bitcoin miners, those have been bullish. Why? Because of AI and not because of Bitcoin… anybody following that story has done very well this year.” He extended the caution to other high-beta tech themes—quantum names “look very tired… more and more like a head and shoulders”—while acknowledging individual standouts like Palantir, which he said is “breaking out of its own cup and handle,” even if near-term price action was choppy after hours. The broader market psychology, in his view, is shaped by cycle age and wealth preservation. “A thousand days from the bottom, more and more people are just saying, okay, this is enough… if they’re rich, they want to stay that way… it makes some sense to take a little bit off the table.” Until the technicals change, he sees no reason to force trades: “Honestly, not much, probably just sit around and collect some cash. Wait for those A-plus setups to emerge.” The trigger for a regime shift is unambiguous in his framework. As he put it at the outset, “Below the cloud we’re bearish… not a bullish expectation.” The condition for flipping that view is equally clear: “Back above $115,000 on BTC and 4,200 on ETH,” or, in this headline terms, reclaim the level—or remain “fully bearish.” At press time, BTC traded at $103,634. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The cryptocurrency market has been struck by another wave of red candles, plunging 4.1% in the past 24 hours. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin have all suffered notable declines, with all large market-cap cryptocurrencies falling below support levels that held last week.  The downturn gained momentum after claims surfaced on X suggesting that Wintermute, one of the industry’s largest market makers, was preparing to sue Binance over alleged issues linked to the October 10 crash. Rumors Of A Lawsuit Against Binance Add To Anxiety Market unease deepened after rumors circulated on X claiming that Wintermute, one of the industry’s leading market makers, was preparing to sue Binance over losses incurred during the October 10 crash. The speculation began when a user known as WhalePump Reborn claimed that Wintermute had lost hundreds of millions and was preparing legal action, describing the situation as “not going to be pretty.” Related Reading: XRP Price At $10,000-$50,000 Is Nonsense: Analyst Bashes Calls For Bitcoin-Like Prices This was followed by another detailed post from a popular X account known as StarPlatinum, which addressed rumors that Wintermute was pursuing legal action against Binance over what it called unfair ADL executions during the massive liquidation event in early October.  As noted by the post, Binance’s system overload during the crash led to automatic deleveraging (ADL) at extreme price points, causing an estimated $19 billion to $20 billion in liquidations in just 24 hours, the largest single-day wipeout in crypto history. Notably, Wintermute’s portfolio across Ethereum, Arbitrum, and Solana fell by about $65 million following the crash, though no on-chain patterns indicated forced liquidations or large withdrawals. Binance, for its part, had acknowledged system overloads at the time but denied any preferential treatment or technical fault that could have led to any unfair losses. Wintermute Founder Refutes Claims Of Lawsuit As panic spread through the market, Wintermute’s founder, Evgeny Gaevoy, took to X to dispel the rumors entirely. Quoting an earlier post from October 11, Gaevoy reiterated that Wintermute had never planned to sue Binance and saw no reason to do so in the future.  “We never had plans to sue Binance, nor see any reason to do it in future,” Gaevoy said on X. “I should probably ask to make a note of all the people spreading baseless rumors, but most of people believing these have goldfish memory capacity, so I wont,” he added. He also described the circulating claims as complete bullshit in a direct response to the WhalePump Reborn post.  Related Reading: Analyst Predicts The ‘Unthinkable’ For XRP – Here’s What It Is The Wintermute rumors are part of various factors that are causing the price of cryptocurrencies to crash. Another factor could be the Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinting that the central bank may not pursue additional rate cuts anytime soon. Adding to the selling pressure were outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs. According to data from Farside Investors, Spot Bitcoin ETFs started November with outflows on Monday, bringing the trend to four consecutive days of outflows. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $104,502, down by 2.8% in the past 24 hours. Ethereum is trading at $3,490, down 6.0% in 24 hours. Dogecoin is trading at $0.1618, down 6.8% in 24 hours. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Amid the bearish pressure that has rocked the market, the Bitcoin price continues to fluctuate around the $110,000 support, especially with selling pressure building up. This has led to predictions that the Bitcoin price is headed for another crash amid the weakness. One analysis that stands out comes from crypto analyst Toby Dawson, who pointed out the formation of a bearish Heads and Shoulders pattern that could trigger a cascade below $100,000. Head And Shoulders Pattern Points Downward In the analysis shared on the TradingView website, Dawson outlines the formation of the head and shoulders pattern. The first shoulder here, the left shoulder, was created at around $117,000, when the price was struggling back in the month of September. The subsequent recovery would then give rise to the formation of the head. Related Reading: Dogecoin RSI Returns To Pre-Launch Levels, Analyst Says Next Major Surge Is Close Next was the rapid Bitcoin price rise to a new all-time high above $126,000 before hitting resistance. This resistance at this level led to the formation of the head of the pattern, and, as expected, the price continued its downtrend following this. The most recent of these is the formation of the right shoulder, which was created in the rally toward $117,000 at the end of October. Once again, the Bitcoin price hit another major resistance, marking the completion of the head and shoulders pattern. With this formation, the crypto analyst points out the possibility that the Bitcoin price will see a major bounce. However, in the case of a breakdown, the expectation would be for the price to crash below the $100,000 and move toward $90,000. Bitcoin Price Crash Expectations Spread Another crypto analyst has also called out the possibility of the Bitcoin price crashing. This comes after the cryptocurrency made a new all-time high above $126,000, and the analyst points out that the digital asset has always seen a major price crash after reaching new peaks. Related Reading: Billions In Bitcoin And Ethereum Leave Exchanges: Is Selling Pressure Easing? From here, the focus is now on the 1-week 50 EMA and the support at $100,000. These two are serving as the last line of defense, and if they fail, then the analyst expects the Bitcoin price to go into free fall. As a result, the analyst warns that investors should get ready to exist as “Bitcoin is heading straight to hell!” Just like Dawson, the crypto analyst expects that Bitcoin will break below $100,000, but puts it even further. This time, it isn’t expected to actually stop above $90,000, but to reach deeper into the $80,000 territory before finding support. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

As the new month began, the Bitcoin price opened on a downward trend, slipping below its consolidation range amid rising uncertainty and bearish sentiment in the market. Nevertheless, analysts are identifying a collection of indicators suggesting that a bullish resurgence for the cryptocurrency could be on the horizon. What’s Fueling BTC’s Potential Surge This November? According to experts at The Bull Theory, November is poised to be the most bullish month of the year for Bitcoin, and the supporting numbers are quite compelling. Historically, November has been one of the strongest months not only for US equities but also for the Bitcoin price.  For stocks, it consistently ranks as a top-performing month, while Bitcoin has historically recorded some of its most significant rallies during this time, averaging gains between 40% and 42%. What sets this November apart, however, are the underlying factors at play. Related Reading: Solana Price Drops Below $180 Despite $199M ETF Inflows, What’s Behind the Decline? One of the primary catalysts identified by the analysts is the anticipated end of the US government shutdown, which is expected to conclude this month. While this may seem like a political issue, its financial implications are substantial.  They assert that the resumption of government spending means “billions of dollars” will start flowing back into contractors, projects, and public sectors. This return to fiscal spending acts as a mini liquidity injection into the economy.  Historically, such movements of money have had a positive effect on risk assets, including equities and cryptocurrencies, as capital begins to rotate from the real economy into the financial system. Another significant factor is the planned ramp-up of corporate buybacks. Within the next few weeks, many major companies are expected to restart their buyback programs.  This creates new demand in equities at a time when liquidity is improving, which historically has pushed stock indices higher. Given that cryptocurrencies often track global liquidity cycles, this corporate-driven demand could similarly benefit the crypto market. Bitcoin Price To Reach $160,000? Additionally, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has quietly re-entered the scene, as evidenced by a spike in daily overnight repo loans, which reached $29.4 billion—the highest level in nearly five years.  This significant borrowing indicates that banks are short on dollars and are relying heavily on the Fed. Such activity typically signals stress in the short-term funding market.  Related Reading: Pundit Elaborates On Ripple/SWIFT Theory That Will Send The XRP Price To $1,000 Historically, when repo activity surges, the Fed tends to inject liquidity to stabilize the situation. This influx of capital does not remain isolated within the banking system; it tends to flow through markets, lifting equities and eventually benefiting cryptocurrencies once confidence is restored. Moreover, the US Treasury’s General Account (TGA) balance has surged close to $1 trillion, sitting approximately $150 to $200 billion above normal levels. This capital is currently idle, but once government spending resumes following the shutdown, it is likely to begin circulating again.  If the Bitcoin price performance this November mirrors its historical averages, the analysts anticipate a potential rally of around 40%. Such an increase could see the Bitcoin price reaching the $150,000 to $160,000 range.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

November has kicked off on a negative note for crypto prices, with Bitcoin (BTC) briefly dipping toward $105,000 on Monday. This decline has sparked a renewed sense of bearish sentiment among investors, and experts caution that conditions could worsen in the coming days. November Deadline Approaches Market expert CryptoBirb recently expressed concerns on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), noting that the market is already ten days into a bearish cycle. According to CryptoBirb, diving into on-chain data, the more alarming the picture appears. Related Reading: Solana Price Drops Below $180 Despite $199M ETF Inflows, What’s Behind the Decline? CryptoBirb’s analysis begins with cycle peak data: it has been 1,078 days since the low in November 2022, which is 101.2% of the crypto cycle complete. Additionally, it has been 563 days since the last Halving, with 45 days remaining within the typical 518 to 580-day peak range.  Alarmingly, the anticipated rally leading to this peak has not materialized, and there are only 17 days left before the window for a peak closes on November 20. Missed breakouts during this time frame have signaled the end of previous bullish cycles. When comparing the current situation to the 2017 cycle, it is noted that Bitcoin reached its peak on December 17, 2017, 1,068 days after its low. With BTC now 1,078 days into the current cycle, the chances of a late top are diminishing with each passing day that the cryptocurrency remains below $113,000.  From a performance standpoint, Bitcoin is down 16% from its all-time high of $126,200 and has only gained 8.2% year-to-date. The market’s leading crypto has faced repeated rejections near the $113,000 to $114,000 range and is currently trading below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) of $109,882.  Historically, November typically sees an average gain of 17.5%, with positive performance in 10 out of the last 15 years. However, the expert points that when November begins in the red, it often indicates that the cycle is already shifting. Potential Bullish Factors Amid Ongoing Crypto Concerns Adding to this bearish sentiment, DeFi researcher DeFiIgnas has outlined several factors complicating the crypto market’s trajectory. These include what he calls “the speculative nature of the artificial intelligence (AI) bubble,” the failure of bullish news to invigorate crypto prices, uncertainty surrounding entities that collapsed after the October 10 crash, and the cyclical nature of the market.  Additionally, the selling activity from long-term holders and negative crypto exchange-traded funds (ETF) flows contribute to the prevailing concerns. Related Reading: XRP Bear Signal Triggered: Will The Top Altcoin Drop 70-80% From Here? Despite these challenges, DeFiIgnas also identified some potential bullish factors that could foster recovery instead of further declines.  These include easing liquidity and interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), a lack of euphoria in the crypto space, slow but steady institutional adoption, and the potential passage of a US crypto market structure bill.  Historically strong performance in the fourth quarter, stablecoin supply at all-time highs, and a recent US trade deal with China could also provide a counterbalance to the prevailing bearish sentiment. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin’s on-chain picture is flashing a rare combination: substantial profits across cohorts, rising realized capitalization, and record network hashrate—yet none of the price-accelerating euphoria that typically marks late-stage bull legs. That is the central takeaway from CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju’s latest thread, which parses holder cost bases, cohort profitability, leverage, and the evolving role of ETFs and corporate treasuries in setting the tape. Is The Bitcoin Bull Run Over? The headline number is startling on its face. “Bitcoin wallets’ avg cost basis is $55.9K, meaning holders are up ~93% on average,” Ju wrote, adding that realized capitalization climbed by roughly $8 billion this week, a clean read that “on-chain inflows remain strong.” Realized cap—an alternative valuation measure that sums coins at their last transacted price rather than today’s market price—has historically served as a lower-variance proxy for true money-at-work. Its continued rise typically implies that fresh cost basis is being set higher on chain, even when spot stalls. So why hasn’t price budged in tandem? Ju’s answer is straightforward: “Price hasn’t gone up because of selling pressure, not because demand was weak.” That framing is consistent with a market digesting gains while liquidity providers and profitable cohorts distribute into strength. It also helps explain the co-existence of healthy inflows with flat price action around the $110,000 handle that Ju cites as the current print. Related Reading: Bitcoin At Key Retest: Bounce Or $98,000 Next? Where the marginal demand is coming from—and where it has slowed—matters. According to Ju, “New inflows mostly come from ETFs and Bitcoin treasury companies, while CEX traders & miners are sitting on ~2x gains.” He broke out estimated cohort cost bases and mark-to-market performance as follows: “ETFs / Custodial Wallets: $112K (-1%), Binance Traders: $56K (+96%), Miners: $56K (+96%), Long-term Whales: $43K (+155%). Current Price: $110K.” If those estimates hold, short-horizon institutional buyers are hovering near breakeven, while long-tenured entities still carry deep embedded profits. That distribution dampens forced selling risk at the very top but also withholds the kind of fresh momentum that typically arrives when new buyers push decisively into the money. Valuation context helps. Ju notes that in pronounced bull phases, market cap tends to outrun realized cap, creating a widening “valuation multiplier.” “When the growth rate gap between market cap and realized cap widens, it shows a stronger valuation multiplier,” he wrote. “Roughly $1T in onchain inflows has created a $2T market cap. The gap seems moderate for now.” A moderate gap is a double-edged signal: not obviously frothy, but also not the kind of exuberant expansion that ends cycles. It complements Ju’s assessment of large-holder positioning: “Whales’ unrealized profits aren’t extreme.” That scenario admits two interpretations he spelled out explicitly: “Hype hasn’t arrived yet—we’re still far from euphoric sentiment.” Or, “This time is different—the market is too big for extreme profit ratios.” Related Reading: Bitcoin At A ‘Do-Or-Die’ Level As Cycle Faces First Real Test: Analyst Perpetuals and collateral flows round out the microstructure picture. Ju highlights a “sharp” drop in BTC moving from spot-focused venues to futures exchanges—an indication that “whales are no longer opening new long positions with BTC collateral as actively as before.” If the marginal long is no longer pledging coins, the market loses a mechanical source of bid intensity and convexity from collateralized positioning. Yet leverage itself has not reset: “Bitcoin perp leverage remains high despite the recent wipeout,” Ju writes, pointing to ratios such as BTC-USDT perpetual open interest relative to exchange USDT balances and to USDT market cap. In simple terms, conviction longs appear less collateral-heavy in BTC, but system-wide leverage, as proxied by perps, remains elevated versus two years ago. That combination can suppress clean trending behavior: fewer collateralized longs to chase upside, but enough leverage in the system to impose choppy liquidations. Hashrate and industrial supply trends complicate the narrative further. “Bitcoin hashrate keeps hitting new highs (~5.96M ASICs online). Public miners are expanding, not downsizing, which is a clear long-term bullish signal. The Bitcoin ‘money vessel’ keeps growing.” Rising hashrate plus expanding public miner fleets typically points to forward investment and confidence in long-run fee and subsidy economics. It does not, however, guarantee short-term price appreciation; if anything, it can expand miner treasury management needs, interacting with market liquidity in ways that are neutral-to-price absent fresh demand. New Demand Push Needed The demand side, in Ju’s read, is presently dominated by two channels: “Demand is now driven mostly by ETFs and Strategy, both slowing buys recently. If these two channels recover, market momentum likely returns.” That is a clean, falsifiable thesis: if primary institutional conduits re-accelerate, spot should regain buoyancy; if they remain tepid, realized cap can still grind higher on steady inflows while price chops as distribution absorbs them. Cohort profitability provides an additional boundary condition for scenarios. “Short-term whales (mostly ETFs) from the past 6 months are near break-even. Long-term whales are up ~53%,” Ju wrote. Historically, cycle tops have often coincided with extreme unrealized profit ratios for dominant cohorts, creating structural sell pressure when every marginal uptick unlocks significant gains. Ju is effectively saying we are not there. At the same time, he cautions that the market’s regime may have already decoupled from the textbook four-year cadence: “In the past, the market moved in a clear four-year cycle of accumulation and distribution between retail investors and whales. Now it’s harder to predict where and how much new liquidity will enter, making it unlikely for Bitcoin to follow the same cyclical pattern again.” Taken together, the thread sketches a market with three defining traits. First, fundamentals of “money in” look resilient: realized cap rising, holders broadly in profit, and network security hitting new highs. Second, microstructure is unspectacular and even a touch cautionary: fewer whales seeding BTC-collateralized longs, while system leverage remains high enough to destabilize clean moves. Third, the demand baton is concentrated in ETF and corporate treasury channels that have recently eased off—the very actors whose re-acceleration could reignite momentum. At press time, BTC traded at $107,609. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Recent on-chain data shows that a relevant class of Bitcoin investors known as long-term holders has continued to move out of their market positions. LTHs Actively Switching To Distribution  In a November 1st post on social media platform X, popular on-chain analyst Burak Kesmeci shared an insight into the prevalent structural bias among Bitcoin’s long-term holders. Kesmeci’s analysis hinges on the Long-Term Holder Net Position Change metric, which tracks the net buying or selling behavior of Bitcoin’s long-term investors over a period of 30 days. Related Reading: Bitcoin At A ‘Do-Or-Die’ Level As Cycle Faces First Real Test: Analyst A positive reading is usually interpreted as a sign that the LTHs are in a net accumulation phase, as there are more market participants within this investor class buying Bitcoin than those who are selling. On the flipside, when the Long-Term Holder Net Position Change metric is negative, it means that the LTHs are in a distribution phase. Kesmeci explained in his post that there has been an increasing amount of momentum towards the sell side of the metric. In the highlighted chart, around 400,000 BTC appears to have been sold off in the past 30 days. Interestingly, the LTHs don’t seem to be easing off on their sales — a behavior which stands equally as a source of concern.  In a case where Bitcoin’s long-term investors do desist from selling their holdings, Bitcoin could put in a local price bottom, as this typically indicates renewed interest and ‘smart money’ positioning for the next cycle. However, if this distribution momentum continues to grow, the premier cryptocurrency could continue towards the downside, as its long-term holders continue to inject more bearish pressure. LTH 2.2% Supply Drop Relatively Modest — Analyst In another X post, crypto pundit Darkfost shed light on the implications of Bitcoin’s LTH behavior shift. According to the analyst, the 2.2% “modest reduction” of Bitcoin LTH supply in October is not much to worry about, especially when compared to the levels seen in 2024.  As of March 2024, Bitcoin’s LTH supply dropped by approximately 5.05%. In December, there was an even higher decline of about 5.2%. Darkfost implied that the present distribution the market is seeing could therefore be a result of early profit taking, where the market could soon see a rebound of the Bitcoin price.  Nonetheless, the long-term holder net position’s trend is one that should be monitored, as a move back towards neutral readings could signal the start of an accumulation phase and subsequent price reversal to the upside. As of this writing, BTC is valued at approximately $110,750, with no significant movement in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Bitcoin Hidden Setup — Triangle Support, Inverse H&S Signal A Powerful Reversal Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

The price of Bitcoin closed the historically bullish month of October on a loss for the first time in seven years. While the month started in typical fashion—on a bullish tear, the intense downturn didn’t begin until October 10, when US President Donald Trump threatened new trade tariffs on China. Now, although the United States and China seem to have found a temporary truce, the cryptocurrency market has been unable to find similar relief. In fact, the latest on-chain data suggests that US investors are still less optimistic about the digital asset market, specifically Bitcoin. Negative Coinbase Gap Premium Coincides With Massive ETF Outflows  In a November 1st post on social media platform X, crypto analyst Maartunn revealed that the world’s largest cryptocurrency has seen extremely low demand in the United States in recent days. The relevant indicator here is the Coinbase Premium Gap, which has entered a deep red territory in the past few days. Related Reading: Bitmine Buys 44,036 Ethereum Worth $166M During Market Dip – Details This on-chain metric measures the difference between the Bitcoin price on the US-based Coinbase exchange (USD pair) and the global Binance exchange (USDT pair). A positive difference indicates that the flagship cryptocurrency has a higher value on Coinbase than on Binance. When the Coinbase Premium Gap is positive, it implies that US-based investors are purchasing Bitcoin aggressively. On the flip side, a negative Coinbase Premium Gap typically indicates heavy selling pressure for the market leader. According to data highlighted by Maartunn, this on-chain metric is back around -$80, reflecting significant selling pressure from the US institutional players. This reduced demand can be seen with the disappointing performance of the US-based spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in recent days. Data from SoSoValue shows the Bitcoin ETFs registered a total net outflow of more than $191 million on Friday. This marked the third consecutive day of negative outflows, having seen withdrawals of nearly $500 million each on Wednesday and Thursday. From a historical perspective, a negative Coinbase Premium Gap is often correlated with periods of sluggish or downward movement for the BTC price. Hence, with the current intense selling pressure from large US investors, it is difficult to see the premier cryptocurrency making a strong recovery in the coming days. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC sits just above $110,200, reflecting a measly 0.9% jump in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, the flagship cryptocurrency is down exactly 1% in the last seven days. Related Reading: Dogecoin Plunges To $0.18 As Whales Sell 440 Million DOGE Featured image by Dall-E, chart from TradingView

A new trend is taking shape across the crypto market with investors pulling large amounts of Bitcoin and Ethereum from centralized exchanges. Data from on-chain analytics platform Sentora, formerly known as IntoTheBlock, shows that exchange balances for both leading cryptocurrencies have dropped notably over the past week. Prices are holding steady without much bullish momentum, but these massive withdrawals may hint at a subtle change in investor sentiment going into November. Related Reading: Dogecoin Flashback: Mirror Move Hints At Record-Breaking Surge Bitcoin And Ethereum Witness Billions Of Outflows From Exchanges According to data from Sentora, Bitcoin recorded more than $2 billion in outflows from centralized exchanges over the course of the week. This is interesting, as it is one of the largest weekly movements of Bitcoin from exchanges so far this quarter. Furthermore, this trend is interesting because it is coming off an unfavorable month for the crypto industry in general, considering the crash that happened in the middle of the month.  The outflow numbers can be interpreted as a sign of confidence among whale addresses choosing long-term storage over trading. On-chain data from whale transaction tracker Lookonchain supports this trend, showing two newly created wallets withdrawing 2,000 BTC worth about $260 million from crypto exchange Binance toward the end of the week. Ethereum also witnessed a similar trend to Bitcoin. Data from Sentora shows that the leading altcoin saw major outflows during the week, coming to a total of about $600 million.  Bitcoin and Ethereum Weekly Key Metrics. Source: Sentora What Could This Signal For Bitcoin And Ethereum? The massive exchange outflows are somewhat confusing, considering the fact that both Bitcoin and Ethereum ended October with negative monthly closes and broke the long-running Uptober trend that has shaped the crypto market for years.  For six straight years, October had been one of Bitcoin’s most dependable bullish months that set the stage for strong year-end rallies. That streak has now ended with Bitcoin closing October 2025 about 4% below its monthly open, its first red October since 2018. Ethereum also followed a similar path and recorded a more notable monthly close of about 7.15% below its open. Data from Sentora, as shown above, points to reduced activity in these blockchains that suggests the required bullish activity may not be there yet. The total fees on the Bitcoin blockchain come out to be $2.03 million, an 8.6% reduction from the previous week. The Ethereum network also saw a 13.2% fall in fees, coming out to $5.05 million. Related Reading: Dogecoin Enters The Big Leagues — Stadium And Jerseys Get A Crypto Makeover Nonetheless, the outflows from exchanges are a bullish place to start. It eases selling pressure in the market, as fewer coins on exchanges mean fewer assets immediately available for sale. This, in turn, can tighten supply and gradually build a foundation for higher prices leading up to November. Whale traders might already be positioning themselves for the possibility of a bullish November. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

According to macro analyst Jordi Visser, dormant bitcoin is moving again and new buyers are stepping in. Visser spoke on Anthony Pompliano’s podcast and wrote about the trend on Substack, saying old holders are slowly selling while fresh investors pick up coins on dips. He compared what’s happening to an IPO (initial public offering), where early backers cash out and ownership spreads to a wider group. Related Reading: Dogecoin Enters The Big Leagues — Stadium And Jerseys Get A Crypto Makeover Price Action Has Been Flat And Frustrating Bitcoin traded between $109,000+ and $110,500+ over the last seven days, a range that has left traders impatient. Reports show the Crypto Fear & Greed Index returned “fear” readings since Wednesday and averaged fear during the prior week. Yet every pullback has been met by buyers, which suggests accumulation is taking place even as sentiment reads poorly. Network Signals Remain Strong Visser pointed to several industry signals as evidence that this is not a collapse. ETF approvals keep arriving, the bitcoin network hashrate has hit new highs, and stablecoin activity is growing. It was a busy week with many macro catalysts (Us-China, Fed, Mag7 earnings and Zelle/Stabledoins). Pomp and I go through it all and how the last two months look for assets. https://t.co/1mv6FCNYGF — Jordi Visser (@jvisserlabs) November 1, 2025 Those facts are being cited by analysts who argue the market is redistributing holdings rather than unraveling. In other words, supply is moving from long-idle wallets into hands that buy on weakness. What This Means For Volatility Based on Visser’s view, the current phase could continue for some time. He estimates an IPO-like cycle can last about six to 18 months in traditional markets, and while bitcoin moves faster, the process may still stretch toward the six-month mark on his timeline. When distribution finishes, one likely result is lower volatility, because ownership will be scattered across more participants instead of concentrated among early believers. No Loud Signal Expected To Mark The Shift Reports have disclosed that the change may not start with a big breakout or collapse. Instead, the market could simply stop grinding and begin a clearer move as distribution completes. That lack of a single trigger is frustrating for traders who want a clear sign, but it is familiar to anyone who has watched post-IPO stocks settle after lock-up expiries. Related Reading: Dogecoin Flashback: Mirror Move Hints At Record-Breaking Surge A Measured Take On The Market Visser’s interpretation is cautious rather than bullish hype. He does not promise a rapid rally. He points to steady on-chain activity and institutional interest as the backbone supporting his thesis. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

After the market-wide downturn on October 10, the Bitcoin price showed no definite direction for the rest of the historically bullish month. At the moment, the premier cryptocurrency is struggling to gather any significant momentum to the upside. However, recent on-chain evaluation suggests that this period of relative silence could represent a springboard for the cryptocurrency’s sustained upswing. Sender/Receiver Ratio Falls To One-Year Low  In a recent Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, pseudonymous analyst CryptoOnchain shared an interesting insight into Bitcoin’s future trajectory, leaning towards a bullish hypothesis in the report. The relevant on-chain indicator here is the Bitcoin Sender/Receiver Address Ratio, which compares the number of active sending (selling) addresses to receiving (buying) addresses. This metric acts as a means to gauge the prevalent market sentiment within a period of time.  Related Reading: Altcoin Season Loading: Bullish Factors That Point To A Massive Surge A high ratio (with a reading above 1) indicates that there are more sending addresses compared to the buying addresses. As a result, there is expectedly greater selling pressure in this market condition. On the other hand, a low ratio (a reading approaching 1 and levels below) reflects the preponderance of buying addresses.  CryptoOnchain reported that Bitcoin’s Sender/Receiver ratio on Binance has recently fallen to 1.34 — its lowest level in the past year. As previously explained, when this ratio falls to levels such as it currently reads, it usually indicates that there are more buying addresses relative to the amount of selling addresses in the market.  This shift in investor leanings typically signals an accumulation phase, where more investors are willing to acquire Bitcoin on exchanges.  Interestingly, the analyst also referenced historical evidence, explaining that periods where this shift in market sentiment occurred often preceded the establishment of local price bottoms. As of late 2024, the Sender/Receiver ratio fell to levels around 1.3, with significant upward movement following suit, and a similar pattern was seen in early 2023. According to CryptoOnchain, this current consolidation phase could signal that the market’s foundation is gaining strength. Thus, if history is anything to go by, Bitcoin’s price could see an immense upward boost in the days to come — one which could sponsor the world’s leading asset to see a fine amount of growth in the mid-term.  Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, Bitcoin is worth approximately $109,899, reflecting no significant movement in the past day. According to data from CoinGecko, the premier cryptocurrency is down by nearly 2% in the past seven days. Related Reading: Ethereum Support Band Under Pressure — Can Bulls Revive Momentum From $3,700? Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

On-chain data shows Bitcoin is currently retesting a historically significant level that has often decided the course of the cryptocurrency’s price. Bitcoin Is Retesting The 0.85 Supply Quantile In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has talked about how Bitcoin is retesting a level that has historically been a “make-or-break” one for the asset. Related Reading: Dogecoin Plunges To $0.18 As Whales Sell 440 Million DOGE The level in question is part of Glassnode’s “Supply Quantiles Cost Basis Model.” The model reflects price levels corresponding to important investor profitability thresholds. Below is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows how the levels of this model have changed over the last few years. Looks like BTC is currently trading around the middle band | Source: Glassnode on X As is visible in the graph, Bitcoin surged above the 0.95 quantile during the recent rally to the all-time high (ATH). This level corresponds to 95% of the supply being in profit. With the market downturn that has followed since, however, the cryptocurrency has slipped under the level. Recently, the asset has been making retests of the 0.85 quantile, situated at $109,000. BTC has already seen brief drops below this mark, but so far, it has managed to climb back above it each time. At present, the coin is trading right around the level, indicating that about 85% of the supply is carrying a net unrealized gain. In the past, Bitcoin’s interactions with this level have tended to carry consequences for its trajectory. “Holding it has sparked major rallies, but losing it often sees a slide toward the 0.75 band,” noted Glassnode. The 0.75 quantile is equivalent to $98,000 at the moment. It now remains to be seen whether BTC can hold above the 0.85 quantile, or if a retrace to this level is coming. In some other news, the latest decline in Bitcoin below $107,000 came alongside negative values on the Coinbase Premium Gap, as pointed out by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in an X post. The Coinbase Premium Gap measures the difference between the Bitcoin price listed on Coinbase (USD pair) and that on Binance (USDT pair). The metric basically tells us about how the behavior of the users on the former exchange differ from that of the latter platform. Related Reading: Bitcoin Struggles To Hold Key Support: Could $88,000 Be Next? As the below chart shows, the metric was at positive levels on Wednesday, but the indicator turned red on Thursday. The trend would imply that Coinbase traders, primarily made up of American institutional entities, sold the cryptocurrency at a higher intensity than Binance’s global whales during the Bitcoin drawdown. BTC Price Since the wave of selling on Coinbase, Bitcoin has witnessed some recovery back to the $109,500 level, reclaiming the 0.85 quantile once again. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com

As October comes to a close, Bitcoin (BTC) has disappointed many who had anticipated the month to be a strong one for the cryptocurrency, often referred to as “Uptober” due to its historically positive performance. Instead, Bitcoin finished the month down, creating a gap of approximately 13% from its all-time high.  Historical Trends Suggest Bitcoin Could Rebound Joel Kruger, a market strategist at LMAX Group, noted that while October was a letdown compared to historical trends, it’s essential to contextualize the price movements. He remarked, “Prices have held up well overall, especially after a September that actually bucked the usual weakness.” Related Reading: Coinbase, Strategy Mark Major Profit Surges In Q3: Unveiling The Numbers Notably, on the 6th of this month, the market’s leading cryptocurrency reached an all-time high just beyond $126,000. Additionally, the current downturn has failed to erase the year-to-date gains, with Bitcoin still recording a 55% uptrend during this period. However, according to a recent analysis by Fortune, this October marks the fourth-worst performance for Bitcoin since 2013 and the worst in the past seven years. Bitcoin’s performance lagged behind that of the S&P 500, which saw a gain of roughly 2.3% during the same period.  Despite this under performance, Kruger remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s potential recovery in the upcoming months. “Historically, Q4 has been one of the best periods for crypto performance,” he stated, expressing hope for a push toward record highs for both Bitcoin and Ethereum (ETH) as the year draws to a close. October Challenges The month proved challenging not only in terms of price but also due to significant market events. Adam McCarthy, a senior research analyst at digital market data provider Kaiko, observed that cryptocurrencies entered October tracking gold and stocks at near all-time highs. However, as uncertainty crept into the market, investors did not flow back into Bitcoin as anticipated.  In addition, October witnessed the largest liquidation event in cryptocurrency history, triggered by President Donald Trump’s announcement of a 100% tariff on Chinese imports, alongside threats of export controls on crucial software. Related Reading: dYdX Eyes US Market Entry: Decentralized Crypto Exchange Plans Year-End Debut, Reuters McCarthy commented on the impact of this liquidation, stating, “That washout on the 10th really reminded people that this asset class is very narrow.” He emphasized that even dominant cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum can experience sharp drawdowns, citing instances of 10% declines occurring in just 15 to 20 minutes. Amid these developments, concerns have been raised by several figures regarding the high valuations in equity markets. Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, recently warned of a heightened risk of a significant correction in the US stock market within the next six months to two years.  Jake Ostrovskis, head of trading at Wintermute’s over-the-counter desk, noted that participants in the market remain hesitant as they grapple with the implications of the largest liquidation event on record. He added that this caution persists amid ongoing speculation about vulnerabilities that might still exist within the financial system. When writing, BTC was trading at $109,688, losing its nearest support floor of $110,000.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin (BTC) tumbled below the $110,000 level in a sharp move that rattled markets and triggered a wave of short-term panic selling. The sudden decline followed an initial post-Fed volatility spike, as traders reacted to the US Federal Reserve’s 25bps rate cut and announcement of an impending end to quantitative tightening. With uncertainty still lingering, BTC briefly slipped into a risk-off spiral, testing investor conviction and flushing out leveraged positions in the process. Related Reading: $780M Worth of Ethereum Pulled From Exchanges – Biggest Withdrawal Spike in Weeks Despite the market turbulence, several analysts argue this move may represent a classic shakeout, rather than the beginning of a larger breakdown. Historically, Bitcoin has often seen sharp pullbacks immediately before renewed upside momentum, especially during early liquidity-expansion phases. For now, all eyes are on whether Bitcoin can stabilize and reclaim the $110K zone, a level that has repeatedly acted as a pivot throughout the past month. As markets digest the Fed’s decision, the focus turns to whether Bitcoin can wake up from this sudden sell-off and reclaim strength heading into November. PoC Becomes Critical Battleground as Market Signals Indecision According to top analyst On-chain Mind, Bitcoin’s current price structure is being defined by a major volume cluster centered around $117,000, which now serves as the Point of Control (PoC) in the local market profile. This level represents the price zone with the highest traded volume in the recent range — effectively the point where buyers and sellers have shown the strongest interest and where the market has spent considerable time balancing liquidity. In practical terms, the PoC functions as a fair value zone for market participants. When the price trades below it, bulls need to reclaim the level to regain trend strength; when the price trades above it, the zone tends to act as support. Today, BTC remains beneath the $117K PoC, signaling that the market has yet to re-establish bullish dominance after the recent shakeout. On-chain Mind notes that reclaiming $117K would likely trigger renewed momentum, opening the door for a retest of the $120K–$123K range. Until then, however, the structure remains indecisive, with price hovering in a neutral zone where neither bulls nor bears hold a clear advantage. This aligns with broader market behavior: reduced leverage, mixed sentiment, and trader caution following aggressive liquidations earlier in October. The market is digesting macro shifts, recalibrating position sizes, and waiting for a clearer signal. If Bitcoin can stabilize above recent support and begin rotating back toward the PoC, reclaiming $117K could mark the moment the next leg up begins. Related Reading: Bitcoin Records Over $300B Spot Volume In October – Investors Shift Away From Leverage Bitcoin Attempts Rebound Above $110K Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading near $110,180 on the 4-hour timeframe, attempting to stabilize after yesterday’s sharp drop. The price managed to reclaim the $110K level, suggesting buyers stepped in at intraday lows around $108,500, an important local demand zone that has repeatedly supported the price since mid-October. However, the recovery remains fragile, with BTC now approaching a cluster of short-term resistance levels. The 50-period EMA sits just above the current price, and the 100- and 200-period moving averages remain overhead, stacked bearishly. This alignment indicates that momentum has not fully shifted back to the bulls yet. To regain control, BTC must break above $112,000–$113,000, where multiple moving averages converge and prior support now acts as resistance. Clearing this zone would open the path toward the critical $117,500 Point of Control — the key level bulls need to reclaim to re-establish medium-term strength. Related Reading: Ethereum ICO Whale Awakens After 8 Years – 1,500 ETH Sent to Kraken After 8 Years If Bitcoin fails to hold $110K, support lies at $108,500, followed by the deeper liquidity zone around $106,000, where buyers strongly defended price during the October 10 flush. For now, BTC remains in a neutral recovery posture, trying to build a base while navigating overhead pressure from macro uncertainty and recent leverage unwinds. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

The crypto community has long referred to October as Uptober, a nickname earned through Bitcoin’s consistent history of strong monthly performances. The trend has been so reliable that the month became synonymous with price surges.  Bitcoin has always closed October in profit over the previous seven years, a record streak unmatched by any other month in its history. However, October 2025 appears to be challenging that reputation. As the month draws to an end, Bitcoin is roughly 4% below its monthly open, and October might finally end in red territory for the first time since 2018. Bitcoin Might Close October In Red Bitcoin’s price opened October at $114,079, and its sentiment was overwhelmingly bullish at the beginning of the month, carrying over a positive 5% monthly close in September. This bullish sentiment saw the leading cryptocurrency break above $126,000 for the first time before finally setting a new all-time high of $126,080 on October 6. The move strengthened hopes that Uptober would live up to its name once again.  Related Reading: Analyst Reveals What Traders Are Missing After The Bitcoin Price Spike To $116,000 However, the bullish momentum cooled off rapidly, with Bitcoin slipping below $120,000 very quickly. By the middle of the month, Bitcoin witnessed a flash crash that caused its price to fall as low as $101,000 in a quick move. As it stands, Bitcoin is now consolidating near $110,000 by late October, and it can only register a monthly close above this level. The last time Bitcoin closed October in the red was in 2018, when it closed at $6,303, which is about 4% below its October open of $6,958. That year was during the height of a prolonged bear cycle, when the crypto market was struggling to recover from the massive 2017 rally. Bitcoin’s price had already suffered consecutive down months, and October’s decline was followed by an even more brutal 36.4% crash in November, the steepest monthly loss in the cryptocurrency’s history. Could November Be Different This Time? The question now is whether Bitcoin might repeat this downtrend in November 2025. If history were to repeat itself, like it always does in the crypto market, a negative October close could precede another correction in November. However, the answer might not be as straightforward.  Related Reading: 100% Of Bitcoin Bull Market Peak Indicators Remain Untouched, Is There Still Room To Run? Unlike in 2018, Bitcoin’s current market structure is supported by several bullish fundamentals. Institutional interest through Spot Bitcoin ETFs, exchange outflows, and on-chain data shows that long-term holders are not selling aggressively. Even as the price is consolidating around $110,000, volatility is lower than during previous market tops, and this indicates a phase of cooling before another breakout.  Even if the month closes in red, the overall bullish trajectory of Bitcoin is intact. Bitcoin continues to hold its dominance and attract capital inflows. The only sure way Bitcoin might end November 2025 in red is if Spot Bitcoin ETFs perform very poorly throughout the month. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $109,700. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin is sitting on its first true make-or-break support of the cycle, and the market is now in what crypto analyst Dom (@traderview2) calls a “fork in the road.” His message is direct: if Bitcoin cannot stabilize and reclaim key levels quickly, the structure that has defined this entire run breaks for the first time — and he’s positioning for downside. “This is the last chance for Bitcoin to hold this level and to push higher,” he said in a live analysis stream on October 29. “If Bitcoin does not see its footing here over the next week or two, I think that this is going to break down. And I think that we’re going to see the mid to low $90,000s again.” Final Stand For Bitcoin’s Staircase Rally Dom’s base case is not a classic crypto winter. He does not expect an 80% wipeout. Instead, he’s warning that the next few days will decide if Bitcoin can defend the “staircase” structure that has held all cycle. If that breaks, he expects a controlled but persistent retrace — not a collapse, but not continuation either. “I don’t think that we’re going into a year and a half bear market like we always have,” he said. “Those are a thing of the past… unless the world goes into a terrible recession like Great Depression type thing.” The key line he’s watching for Bitcoin is roughly the $111,000–$114,000 region, which he referenced in the context of reclaimed resistance and VWAP levels. “If it doesn’t regain that in a quick timeframe, I think we need to get ready for a larger breakdown and that’s going to be sub $100K,” he said. His first target on breakdown is near $98,500, which lines up with what he called the 12-month rolling VWAP — “our bull market band this entire cycle.” Below that, he’s looking at whether buyers step in aggressively or not at all. That reaction, he says, will decide if $95,000 is a local wipeout and reset, or the start of something worse. The reason he considers this moment “do or die” is that, unlike earlier legs in the cycle, Bitcoin is no longer bouncing instantly from support. Throughout the advance, Dom says, Bitcoin followed a single clean pattern: break a major resistance, retest it once, and explode higher. “Any time that we cleared resistance, we held that as support,” he said. “It’s been a perfect pattern throughout the entire cycle.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Crash To $87,600 Looms If This Support Snaps, Warns Veteran Analyst That behavior has now changed. After the October 10 liquidation event and the brief strength around the Fed decision and China headlines, Bitcoin stalled. It broke above resistance, then just sat there for “four or five months,” failed to expand, and is now losing momentum at the exact same level buyers previously defended with urgency. “Somebody does not believe that this is a discount,” he said. “We’ve had so many bounces at the same price and buyers just aren’t interested. What’s going to get them interested? Logically lower prices.” This is classic auction theory for him. In strong uptrends, the first retest of a key level is bought instantly because participants see it as cheap. Now, he says, order flow shows hesitation, not urgency. That is how tops actually form in crypto: not one dramatic candle, but buyers refusing to defend the same level for the fifth time. He also pointed directly to shallow liquidity on major spot books. On Coinbase, he said, “these order books are empty… nobody’s saving us down here.” He described only thin passive bid interest near $100,000 — “that’s only 170 Bitcoin. That’s really not much” — and heavy active sell pressure on Binance. “People are actively market selling… and we don’t have anyone on the other side to absorb that pressure.” His conclusion: this is exactly the setup that precedes fast air-moves lower if a key level breaks. Related Reading: Bitcoin Records Over $300B Spot Volume In October – Investors Shift Away From Leverage That fragility is not hypothetical. Dom says the October 10 crash already proved how dependent crypto still is on a handful of market makers. “We basically slid through an empty order book,” he said. “It proves how fragile crypto really is… If their risk systems say, ‘Hey, we’re not going to quote this,’ markets are going to crash like they did.” No 80% Crash This Time Still, Dom is not in the “cycle is over forever” camp. He thinks the market has changed structurally and that most traders are still using a 2021 mental model in a 2025 market. He argues Bitcoin is now an institutional instrument, not a purely speculative retail instrument. “This right here has been a very steady staircasing kind of growth,” he said. “The difference… is that this was really pushed because of institutions. I think the institutions were the main driver behind this cycle… ETFs launched and we’ve kind of just staircased our way up.” That slow, controlled advance is why he rejects the idea that Bitcoin will repeat the classic -80% drawdown after topping. He calls the new flow “parked money” — capital from ETFs, corporate treasuries, allocators, and “financial advisors, 401k money,” that is not actively panic-selling every 5% move. “They’re not calling you every other day and saying, ‘Oh, you know, it’s down 5%. Let’s sell it,’” he said. He also pointed out that this cycle barely doubled the old all-time high instead of going vertical, and even printed new highs before the halving. In his view, if the upside blow-off was muted and institutional, the downside is likely to be muted and institutional. At press time, BTC traded at $110,280. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin mining is entering a new era in Japan, where it’s no longer viewed as an energy drain. The transformation is being spearheaded by Canaan (CAN), a forward-thinking initiative that integrates BTC mining into Japan’s renewable energy ecosystem to balance power demand and supply. This Is How Bitcoin Fits Into National Energy Policy In an X post, crypto analyst TheGentleTraveler has shed light on a significant and innovative development at the intersection of Bitcoin mining and energy infrastructure. CAN (Canaan Inc.) has announced a 4.5 MW smart BTC mining deployment set to power Japan’s energy grid. Related Reading: China’s Bitcoin Mining Isn’t Dead — It’s The World’s No. 3 Contributor According to TheGentleTraveler, CAN has secured a 4.5 MW contract in Japan to deploy its advanced Avalon A1566HA hydro-cooled mining servers for power-grid load balancing and energy-efficiency optimization. The project, which runs in collaboration with a major Japanese utility, will use Canaan’s smart-control chip capable of dynamically adjusting frequency, hashrate, and voltage in real time. This flexibility helps to stabilize the grid amidst rising AI and residential power demand. The GentleTraveler noted that this initiative reflects Canaan’s expanding strategic role, which combines BTC mining with renewable energy and AI infrastructure. Furthermore, it aligns seamlessly with Japan’s recent crypto-asset regulatory reforms. Canaan CEO Nangeng Zhang emphasized that this technology allows utilities to utilize BTC mining as a digital load balancer. Zhang confirmed that similar deployments have already been launched in the Netherlands, with further expansions planned for 2026. Despite this groundbreaking news, CAN’s stock is currently down – 7% after the announcement. This short-term dip is attributed to a combination of the general weakness in the broader BTC sector and the At-The-Market (ATM) announced by Canaan last Friday. How Bitcoin Miners Become Long-Term Investors A key observer in the Bitcoin landscape, GoMining, has stated that every block mined secures the network and strengthens BTC’s role in the modern economy. GoMining has highlighted several standout developments from the past week that collectively underscore this accelerating trend of institutional and sovereign adoption. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miner Selloff: BTC.com Pool Sent 186,000 BTC To Binance In October The expert first draws attention to the strategic actions of mining companies in the US, exemplified by American Bitcoin Corp boosting its reserves to 3,865 BTC. According to GoMining, this is proof that miners are not just securing the network; they are becoming long-term institutional holders. Meanwhile, France’s National Assembly has advanced a bill to create a national BTC reserve, a signal that sovereign adoption is moving from concept to policy. Furthermore, GoMining explains that the public companies now collectively hold over $117 billion in BTC, representing a substantial 38% increase in Q3 alone. Such a surge indicates a growing trend where corporate balance sheets are becoming part of BTC’s security layer. GoMining concluded that every hash is a vote for an open institutional future. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin has struggled to reclaim the short-term holder Realized Price, a key on-chain level. Here’s where the next major support line lies for the asset. Bitcoin Has Again Dipped Below STH Realized Price In its latest weekly report, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed about some key Realized Price levels for Bitcoin. The “Realized Price” here refers to an indicator that measures the cost basis of the average investor or address on the BTC network. Related Reading: XRP Indicator That Nailed Recent Reversals Has Flashed Again When the metric is trading above the asset’s price, it means the holders as a whole are sitting on a net unrealized profit. On the other hand, it being below the spot BTC value implies the dominance of loss on the blockchain. The Realized Price of the entire network is generally not useful, as often, the cryptocurrency’s price trades significantly over it. The reason behind this lies in the fact that a notable part of the asset’s supply has been dormant for years, possessing a cost basis far below today’s price. In fact, a chunk of this dormant supply will never return to circulation, as the wallets holding such tokens have had their keys become permanently inaccessible. To account for this, Glassnode came up with the “Active Realized Price,” a metric that only tracks the cost basis of the supply that can be considered economically active. Below is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows how the Realized Price and Active Realized Price of Bitcoin have changed since the last bull market. As is visible in the graph, Bitcoin last interacted with the Realized Price in 2023. Since finding a rebound at it back then, the coin has only moved away from the line. The cryptocurrency has been trading much closer to the Active Realized Price since breaking above it in late 2023, but even in its case, the gap is still notable. A version of the indicator that BTC regularly interacts with, however, is the third type listed on the chart: the short-term holder cost basis. Short-term holders (STHs) refer to the Bitcoin investors who purchased their coins within the past 155 days. This cohort represents the recent buyers, who can be reactive to changes in the market. The Realized Price of the group, which is often considered a divider between bullish and bearish trends, is currently located at $113,100. Bitcoin first fell below this mark during its crash earlier in the month, but the recovery surge took it back above the line. Though the latest retracement has once again brought the asset under it. “Over the past two weeks, Bitcoin has struggled to close a weekly candle above this key level, raising the risk of further weakness ahead,” noted Glassnode. The next on-chain support level is the Active Realized Price, currently valued at $88,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin Cost Basis Map Reveals Key War Zone Between Bulls & Bears It now remains to be seen whether BTC can recover above the STH Realized Price, or if a deeper correction is coming. BTC Price Bitcoin has fallen by nearly 3% during the past day, with its price coming down to the $109,900 level. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin (BTC) has seen heightened volatility following the US Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points and announce the official end of quantitative tightening (QT) by December 1st. The move marks a pivotal shift in US monetary policy as the central bank signals the beginning of a more supportive liquidity cycle after months of restrictive financial conditions. Traders reacted sharply across risk assets, with Bitcoin initially spiking before retracing as markets reassessed the implications of renewed liquidity and shifting economic expectations. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breaks Above STH Realized Price For The First Time In Weeks – What’s Next? Meanwhile, fresh data from CryptoQuant highlights a powerful underlying trend in the Bitcoin market. October has witnessed a meaningful surge in spot trading activity, particularly on Binance, where participation has climbed sharply. Across major centralized exchanges, Bitcoin spot volume surpassed $300 billion this month, with Binance alone accounting for $174 billion. This makes October the second-highest spot volume month of the year, underscoring renewed trader confidence and a shift toward direct Bitcoin exposure rather than leveraged speculation. This strengthening in spot market flows signals improving market structure and growing conviction among participants. With liquidity expected to increase heading into year-end, investors are positioning for what could be the next major phase in Bitcoin’s macro-driven cycle. Bitcoin Spot Market Strength Signals Healthier Market Structure According to top analyst Darkfost, the recent surge in Bitcoin spot volume underscores a growing wave of participation from both retail traders and institutional players, who have become increasingly active outside leveraged markets. This shift is most visible on Binance, which continues to dominate spot trading across centralized exchanges. Its deep liquidity, global retail base, and institutional pipelines remain unmatched, reinforcing its position as the primary venue for real Bitcoin demand. One key catalyst behind this pivot toward spot exposure was the historic liquidation event on October 10th—the largest in crypto history. The magnitude of that wipeout forced many traders to reassess risk. It became a clear reminder that excessive leverage can amplify losses far more quickly than it generates gains, especially in a market as volatile and structurally reflexive as Bitcoin. In response, market participants appear to have shifted toward a more conservative posture. Choosing to accumulate BTC directly rather than chase high-leverage positions. This trend is meaningful for Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory. A market driven primarily by spot flows instead of derivatives tends to be more stable, more sustainable, and less prone to sudden liquidation cascades. Elevated spot participation also signals genuine organic demand, rather than speculative interest reliant on borrowed capital. Historically, periods where spot volume leads have aligned with structural accumulation phases and strengthened market bottoms. This could be laying the foundation for durable bull cycles. If this rotation continues, Bitcoin may be entering a phase defined by healthier price discovery and stronger investor conviction. Supported by growing liquidity and improved market resilience. An encouraging backdrop as the macro environment shifts in favor of risk assets. Related Reading: Ethereum ICO Whale Awakens After 8 Years – 1,500 ETH Sent to Kraken After 8 Years Bitcoin Price Pulls Back Toward Key Support Zone Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near $110,800 after facing firm rejection at the $117,500 resistance level earlier this week. The 4-hour chart shows BTC rolling over from this supply zone and dropping below the 50-period moving average. Signaling weakening short-term momentum. Price is now testing a critical support range between $110,000 and $111,000, which previously acted as a key demand zone in mid-October. Below current levels, the 100-period (green) and 200-period (red) moving averages sit around $109,500–$108,500, forming a critical confluence of support. If Bitcoin can hold this region, it may reset and attempt another push higher once market volatility settles post-Fed. A decisive break below $108,000 would likely expose BTC to deeper downside. Opening the door to a move toward $105,000 or even $102,500. Related Reading: Tron Shows Bullish Divergence As Active Addresses Surge To 6.2M – Network Demand Explodes On the upside, bulls must reclaim the $113,500–$114,500 area to regain traction. A sustained move above this zone would put $117,500 back into focus. With a breakout, there is potential to fuel continuation toward the $120,000–$123,000 range. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin is sitting on a technical ledge that could decide whether price makes a new all-time high or unwinds sharply into the $80,000s, according to veteran trader Josh Olszewicz (CarpeNoctom). “BTC complex iHS brewing in the megaphone,” he posted on October 30, 2025, adding in a follow-up: “Also this brewing, not great.” The Bullish Case For Bitcoin Olszewicz is tracking two structures. The first, on the 6-hour timeframe, shows BTC trading inside a broadening “megaphone” pattern that has contained price since July. The megaphone is defined by rising dotted resistance lines above and falling dotted support lines below. The upper boundary extends through roughly $126,000 to $128,000. The lower boundary widens down toward $105,400 and $103,800. Within that range, Bitcoin put in a sharp spike above $126,000 in early October, then sold off violently, dropping below $106,000s with a wick toward roughly $102,000. That bounce failed to recover the prior range. Instead, price stalled under a horizontal resistance shelf around $116,000–$117,000. Olszewicz sketches a yellow projected path that implies a short-term bounce from just under $111,000 back towards $116,000. That path suggests attempted relief, not confirmed bullish continuation. Related Reading: Bitcoin Cost Basis Map Reveals Key War Zone Between Bulls & Bears Only if Bitcoin can reclaim the $116,000–$117,000 zone does a move toward the upper resistance band come back into play. In that scenario, price could extend toward $128,000, print a new all-time high, and potentially restart a broader recovery phase. The Bearish Case For Bitcoin The second chart is where the downside risk accelerates. On the 1-day timeframe, Olszewicz maps a head-and-shoulders top with a rising neckline. The left shoulder topped in the $118,000 area, the head reached roughly $126,200, and the right shoulder again failed near $116,000. The neckline is drawn as an ascending dotted support line that now sits in the $105,000–$106,000 zone. He highlights $107,316.81 as the key breakdown level. If that neckline breaks decisively, the chart applies a standard measured move. The distance from the head down to the neckline is projected lower. Olszewicz plots that extension into a teal target zone and marks intermediate and full objectives at $93,963.81 (the 1.618 extension) and $87,652.27 (the 2.0 extension). In other words, a clean daily breakdown through $107,316 opens a path first toward the mid-$90,000s and then toward roughly $87,600. Related Reading: November Preview: Will Bitcoin Break The Cycle Or Repeat It? Above spot, resistance remains layered. The 0.5 retracement of the prior impulse is labeled at $115,486, and the 1.0 retracement — effectively the previous swing high — is marked at $124,477. Structurally, Bitcoin is now boxed between supply in the $116,000 region and that neckline supports around $105,000–$106,000. Olszewicz’s message is that bulls may still be trying to form a “complex inverse head-and-shoulders in the megaphone,” but the active daily head-and-shoulders top is “not great.” A decisive loss of the neckline could confirm the bearish structure and put $93,963.81 and $87,652.27 on the table. At press time, BTC traded at $110,096. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Despite recent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday, Bitcoin’s price reacted unexpectedly, declining when many anticipated a rise. However, market analyst Crypto Birb has identified ten indicators suggesting a potential surge may be on the horizon. Bitcoin Price Holds Above Key Moving Averages At the time of the expert’s post, BTC traded at $112,000. He pointed that with exchange-traded funds (ETFs) gaining traction and market fear subsiding, the Bitcoin price appears to be consolidating before a significant upward movement, indicating that a breakout is imminent. Currently, the Bitcoin price trades comfortably above the 50-week simple moving average (SMA) of $102,934 and the 200-week SMA of $54,756. The correlation with the S&P 500 stands at -0.02, suggesting that Bitcoin’s movements are largely independent of broader equity market trends.  Related Reading: HYPE Nears All-Time High With HyperEVM Integration, Can Buybacks Sustain the Rally? On the daily chart, Bitcoin is supported by the 200-day SMA at $109,267 and a key trend line at $113,100. The relative strength index (RSI) is neutral at 50, while the average true range (ATR) has decreased to 3,495, indicating a calmer market environment.  In terms of short-term bias, the market shows balance but is not bullish yet. The CTF Trailer indicates a bearish mode with a stop at $115,623, while the higher time frame trailer reflects a bullish mode with a stop at $114,601.  Currently, Bitcoin’s trading range is between $110,000 and $117,800, and this compression indicates that an equilibrium is forming. The next significant movement is expected to occur once this range is broken. Calm Before The Storm? Sentiment within the market appears balanced, with the Fear & Greed Index sitting at 51, which reflects a neutral stance. Crypto Birb asserts that emotions have reset following last week’s spike in fear, creating a stable environment for sustainable price movements. Volatility is also cooling off, with a 50-day volatility of 3,080 and an ATR of 3,495. This contraction in trading range suggests that traders are reloading positions rather than capitulating, and history shows that periods of calm consolidation often precede volatility shocks. On the mining front, the economic landscape is looking favorable, with mining costs at $106,400 and a ratio of 0.94, indicating that miners remain moderately profitable after last week’s compression. Stable costs suggest no immediate pressure for forced selling, and network fundamentals remain solid. Looking at the October outlook, the month-to-date performance shows a minor decline of 0.53%, which is still an improvement over the typical historic October average of 19.78%. This suggests a healthy reset within an otherwise strong seasonal backdrop. A Potential 51% Surge Ahead?  The expert further highlighted that historically, the fourth quarter has been bullish for the Bitcoin price, with an average gain of 51.04% over the past 15 years, resulting in nine winning years. If the current structure holds, Q4 is poised to remain a high-probability accumulation zone. Related Reading: XRP At $1,000 Is Peanuts If Used To Clear US National Debt; Pundit Explains Lastly, data related to Ethereum ETFs indicates a quiet strength beneath the surface, with spot ETF volumes at $147 million and net inflows of $133.9 million. The total assets under management have reached $24.88 billion, and rising liquidity in altcoins complements the ongoing flows into Bitcoin, supporting a narrative of market rotation. At the time of writing, however, the Bitcoin price has retraced back towards $110,439. Yet, still inside its current consolidation range that could result in a new uptrend for the leading crypto.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

The Bitcoin market landscape continues to evolve rapidly, with new developments emerging overnight that are reshaping short-term sentiment and long-term investor positioning across spot and derivatives markets. Price action remains steady, while on-chain and institutional signals are shifting. What Happened With Bitcoin Over The Last 24 Hours? In an X post, a crypto analyst, Luca, has offered insights on Bitcoin’s recent market movement. Over the past 24 hours, several notable developments in the BTC space have occurred. While BTC price action has been moving lower, funding rates have also declined, a combination that suggests long positions are being flushed out of the market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Trades Sideways — Consolidation Above Support Could Fuel Next Upside However, Luca explains that the Open Interest (OI) has actually increased, pointing to something entirely different and signaling that bears are actively doubling down, not bulls getting liquidated. He believes that the recent drop isn’t driven by longs getting flushed, but by aggressive short positioning, as traders are trying to front-run a potential breakdown. Historically, this kind of setup often fuels the next major move up, as excessive short exposure creates the perfect conditions for a short squeeze. A full-time crypto trader and investor, Daan Crypto Trades, has also mentioned that the Bitcoin price action, funding rate, and open interest have barely changed this month. Meanwhile, BTC has remained flat in October, despite reaching its first new all-time highs, and then BTC pulled back up to 20% lower. Daan further highlighted that the neutrality of the funding rate has largely traded at its levels from the past two to three months, particularly dropping back to the level last seen in July, which is the only major change in the movement. This shows that leverage has been reduced, especially compared to when BTC was trading at similar prices in August and September. Bitcoin Derivatives Market Hit The Reset Button The Bitcoin funding flip is officially in, and it might be the signal the market has been waiting for. A popular crypto news source, CryptosRus, has revealed that a negative funding rate has just wiped the market clean. While leverage was flushed out, shorts got paid, and open interest cooled off. This is exactly the kind of deep reset the market needed, and now the sign of recovery is back in the green. Related Reading: Bitcoin Supply In Profit Rises To 83.6% – Market Momentum Building Again However, every time these funding rates flip from negative to positive after a deep reset, BTC starts building momentum again. BTC saw this same move in June and September, which is currently happening again. CryptosRus further noted that since October 22, the funding has been steadily climbing back above zero, but the BTC price has been consolidating. Such a combination feels like the calm before the next big move. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com