Top market analyst Ali Martinez has shared on-chain data that tips Bitcoin to reach a $130,000 valuation, albeit on one condition. This bullish price prediction comes following a slight 2.6% price rebound over the past two days, pushing Bitcoin within the $118,000 price range. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Could Still Tumble Down To $109,000 — This Chart Pattern Suggests So $110K Emerges As Crucial Bitcoin Support Zone – Here’s Why In an X post on July 26, Ali Martinez postulates that Bitcoin may be on track for a significant leg higher based on recent data from the MVRV pricing bands by Glassnode. However, the premier cryptocurrency must avoid losing a certain support zone to prevent an invalidation of this bullish thesis. The MVRV bands, derived from Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratios, help visualize when Bitcoin is either overvalued or undervalued relative to its historical realized price. These bands function like Bollinger Bands but are grounded in on-chain fundamentals, tracking statistical deviations around the mean MVRV value. As of July 23, 2025, Bitcoin was trading at approximately $118,782, following a steady climb over recent weeks. According to the MVRV pricing model, the cryptocurrency was hovering just beneath the +1.0σ deviation band, marked at $130,756, representing the next major price resistance and target. Notably, the +1.0σ band is also interpreted as a key zone of extreme market optimism, often preceding local tops (+2.0σ) On the other hand, the model’s +0.5σ band sat at $109,858 below the current market prices, serving as a vital support threshold. Ali Marinez explains that Bitcoin must maintain its price level above this band to retain a high probability of continuation toward the +1.0σ level target based on historical patterns. However, a breakdown below $110,000 could signal a deeper correction, potentially down to the mean band at around $88,960, or lower toward $68,062 (-0.5σ). Related Reading: AVAX Ready For Range Breakout – Bulls Eye $36 Price Target Bitcoin Investors Take Profits With Rising Market Confidence According to more data from the MVRV model, the growing distance between BTC’s realized price, around $50,831, and its present market price reflects growing investor conviction. For context, the realized price represents the average cost basis of all coins in circulation, thereby indicating how deeply in profit the average Bitcoin holder is at the moment. At press time, the premier cryptocurrency trades at $118,178 following a 0.73% in the past day. However, the daily trading volume is significantly down by 53.39% and valued at $47.98 billion. According to price prediction site Coincodex, the Bitcoin market sentiment remains largely bullish, with the Fear & Greed Index nearing extreme greed at 72. Coincodex analysts project the leading cryptocurrency to maintain its current rebound, rising to $122,019 in five days and $141,075 in a month. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview
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The price of Bitcoin has continued to impress investors in 2025 despite doubts after the top crypto hit a six-figure valuation at the tail end of 2024. As a result, the expectations of an altcoin season have seemed like a pipe dream so far this year. Nevertheless, that is not to say the altcoin market has not seen outstanding performers in 2025 — one of them being TRON (TRX). According to data from CoinGecko, the price of TRX is up by about 25% year-to-date. TRX In Underperformance Zone Relative To BTC On Saturday, July 26, Alphractal CEO & founder Joao Wedson took to the social media platform X to analyze the dynamics between Bitcoin and TRON, two of the largest assets in the crypto market. According to the on-chain expert, the TRX token might outpace the premier cryptocurrency in the coming months. Related Reading: Ripple CEO Sounds Alarm: If You’re An XRP Investor, You Should See This This interesting prediction is based on the TRX Opportunity Score metric, which tracks when the TRON token is outperforming or underperforming Bitcoin. Typically, this metric combines various indicators, including the TRX/BTC ratio, daily returns, volatility, Beta, and correlation. According to Wedson, the current TRX Opportunity Score suggests a potential turning point for the TRON price relative to the price of Bitcoin. The on-chain analyst revealed that the altcoin has once again entered a zone of underperformance relative to BTC — a phenomenon that has preceded strong reversals in the past. Wedson explained that every time TRON dropped into the red or orange zones on the chart (indicating weakness), it often began strong relative upward trends and went on to outperform Bitcoin. “This pattern has repeated across several past cycles — and it seems to be forming once again,” the on-chain expert added. With TRON seemingly bound to outpace Bitcoin in the coming weeks, Wedson suggested that investors might want to consider rotating some capital from BTC into TRX. “It may be strategically interesting to consider rotating a small portion of BTC into TRX, aiming to front-run a possible TRX outperformance in the coming months,” the Alphractal CEO said. Bitcoin And TRON Price As of this writing, the price of BTC sits just beneath $118,100, reflecting an over 10% increase in the past month. In comparison, TRON is valued at around $0.3197, with an almost 18% price growth in the past 30 days. Related Reading: $4B Increase In Bitcoin Open Interest Fueled By Whale Transfers To Exchanges – Details Featured image from Gemini Imagen, chart from TradingView
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The Bitcoin market recorded a minor 0.67% price gain in the last 24 hours, amid a brief return to the $118,000 price territory. This modest price increase forms part of a rebound observed over the previous 48 hours, following a significant 4% price correction earlier last week. Looking ahead to the new week, renowned market analyst with X username KillaXBT has identified two potential price development scenarios for the premier cryptocurrency. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Holds Above $115,000 — Here’s Why This Level Is Significant Bitcoin Sees Bounce From Key Demand Zone, But What’s Next? In an X post on July 26, KillaXBT provides an in-depth technical analysis of the Bitcoin market to map out the asset’s potential price trajectory in this new week. The popular market expert duly notes that Bitcoin experienced a price bounce after dipping into a key demand zone around $115,000, which they also described as an ideal long entry region. As earlier stated, the crypto market leader has since climbed to $118,000 following this price rebound. However, KillaXBT notes there is an established CME Gap around $117,071, which is likely to serve as a price magnet in the short term. For context, CME gaps are price gaps on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Bitcoin futures chart that occur when Bitcoin’s price moves significantly on the spot market when CME markets are closed, typically over the weekend. In view of next week, KillaXBT explains scenario 1 in which the Bitcoin market opens on a bullish note. In this case, the analyst states investors should expect Bitcoin to eventually form a higher low, ideally through a sweep of liquidity around the $116,000 area. However, if Bitcoin bulls can effectively hold this price pocket, it would trigger fresh long setups with stop losses tucked below the prior week’s low. In scenario 2, KillaXBT paints a more aggressive situation in which Bitcoin performs a double sweep of last week’s wick low around $114,800, thereby effecting a ruthless liquidity grab before an upward reversal. However, the market expert favours the reality of scenario 1, following the earlier liquidity grab with the price dip to $115,000. Related Reading: XRP Produces Successful $3 Support Retest – But What Next? The Invalidation Risk Regardless of which scenario, KillaXBT has highlighted certain developments that could neutralize the prospects of a bullish reversal. In particular, the analyst explains that failure for the price to hold above the recent wick lows following a retest would force Bitcoin prices to deeper imbalance zones between $112,000 – $113,800. At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $117,900, reflecting a 0.21% gain in the last seven days. Featured image from Pexels, chart from Tradingview
Bitcoin has climbed 250% since BlackRock’s IBIT launch. But those massive green candles—spikes traders chase—could become a thing of the past. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s New Clock: How Wall Street Killed The Old Cycle, According To Expert According to Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas, the era of sudden jolts up or down may be ending. He says that spot ETFs and big companies piling in will smooth out those drawdowns. Spot ETF Approval Era Balchunas pointed out that IBIT just passed $100 billion in assets under management. Based on his view, that landmark tells you everything. Bitcoin traded between $116,000 and $120,000 after Galaxy Digital sold 80,000 coins. No panic sell‑off followed. Before ETFs, a sale like that could send prices tumbling by double‑digit percentages. Now, deep corrections look less likely. This guy gets it. We’ve been saying same thing. Since BlackRock filing Bitcoin is up like 250% with much less volatility and no vomit-inducing drawdowns. This has helped it attract even bigger fish and gives it fighting chance to be adopted as currency. Downside is prob no more… https://t.co/0ECd5XevcO — Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) July 26, 2025 In‑and‑out profit‑hunters once drove Bitcoin up or down by 20% or more in a day. But steady inflows from regulated products lure in large investors. Balchunas argues that fewer wild swings will make crypto more useful for buying coffee or paying bills. He believes this shift will help Bitcoin behave more like a real currency and not just a roller‑coaster asset. Institutional Steady Hands Based on reports from Citigroup, every $1 billion of ETF inflows can lift Bitcoin by about 3.6%. Using that math, Citi sees Bitcoin hitting $199,000 before December 31. That forecast depends on steady money flowing in. Big funds make big bets. And those bets tend to stick around longer than retail traders chasing quick gains. Citigroup notes that BlackRock’s IBIT became the fastest ETF to reach $100 billion. That matters because it shows how hungry big players are for crypto. If those trends keep up, Bitcoin could push past its current trading band. It may even test new highs without the classic “God candle” leaps that gave quick fortunes—and quick losses. Volatility Trade‑Offs Meanwhile, some analysts warn that early Bitcoin whales are taking profits and stepping aside. As institutions arrive, some old‑school traders will leave. That could shift volume to less regulated spots or exotic derivatives markets. In a calmer main market, risks may hide in side channels. Related Reading: Wall Street’s Bold Bet: Bitcoin Could Hit $200K By December, Banking Giant Says Lower volatility brings fewer heart‑stopping moments. It also means less of the adrenaline rush that attracts day‑traders. For some, that trade‑off is worth it. For others, the loss of big swings could drive them away. Calmer Waters Ahead? Overall, Bitcoin seems to be entering a new phase. Based on Balchunas’s take, those “God candles” won’t vanish overnight—but they’ll be rare. The push from spot ETFs and corporate treasuries aims to make price moves smoother. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView
According to Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, what used to be a near‑perfect four‑year Bitcoin pattern now looks less reliable. Supply cuts, rate moves and crash risks once drove big swings. Now, fresh forces are taking over. Related Reading: Wall Street’s Bold Bet: Bitcoin Could Hit $200K By December, Banking Giant Says Halving’s Impact Shrinks Every Cycle Hougan points out that each Bitcoin halving still cuts new coins by 50% but matters less over time. In early cycles, that shock fueled parabolic runs. Today, with a market cap in the hundreds of billions, the same supply cut is half as important every four years. Back in 2016 and 2020, prices jumped more than 150% around halving events. Now, moves hover under 50% in similar windows. Based on analysis from the Bitwise CIO, interest rates have been friendlier this time around. In 2018 and 2022, tightening by the US Federal Reserve coincided with brutal crypto drops that sent Bitcoin down 72% and 69% from peak to trough. Now, rates are easing or on pause, so crypto often trades up rather than down. Why is the four-year cycle dead? 1) The forces that have created prior four-year cycles are weaker: i) The halving is half as important every four years; ii) The interest rate cycle is positive for crypto, not negative (as it was in 2018 and 2022); iii) Blow-up risk is… https://t.co/F9ybjHEeB5 — Matt Hougan (@Matt_Hougan) July 25, 2025 Institutional Trends Outrun Old Rhythms Hougan highlights that ETFs are the new growth engine—and they run on a 5–10 year timeline. Spot Bitcoin ETFs launched in January 2024 and have since taken in over $10 billion in net inflows. That steady stream can’t be pinned to a single four‑year blip. Pensions and endowments are getting ready too. Many big investors only started talking crypto last year, and it takes quarters or years for them to clear internal hurdles. When they finally jump in, their billions could reshape markets far beyond retail waves. ????DID I HEAR SUPER CYCLE??? The four-year cycle is dead and adoption killed it.@Matt_Hougan says we’re going higher in 2026. Early profit takers will be left behind!!! Full break down with @JSeyff and @Matt_Hougan in comments???? pic.twitter.com/Ffn9penapN — Kyle Chassé / DD???? (@kyle_chasse) July 25, 2025 Regulation Gains Traction This Year According to Hougan, regulatory clarity began in January 2025 with new custody rules, tax guidelines and licensing regimes. Those steps cut systemic risk and pave the way for banks and asset managers to roll out crypto services on their platforms. Based on his analysis, the recent Genius Act—passed this month—opened doors on prime‑broker platforms. That means trading desks, clearing houses and research teams can invest billions in weeks and months. This kind of build‑out takes time, but it lasts. Related Reading: Crypto’s Golden Rule Just Got Broken, According To Analyst Treasury Firms Emerge As A Wild Card One fresh cyclical‑style risk Hougan flags is the rise of Treasury companies offering short‑term lending and yield products. If they grow too fast without proper checks, a blow‑up could still trigger a market sell‑off. It’s a new kind of hazard that didn’t exist in past cycles. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
As the August 1 deadline for a U.S.–Europe tariff deal approaches, talks between the Trump Administration and the European Union have reached a critical stage, and investors are hopeful that a deal will be reached in time to calm global markets. Investors hold their breath for a U.S.–Europe tariff deal The U.S. and EU are […]
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Bitcoin experienced heightened volatility on Friday, briefly dipping to a local low of around $114,700 before stabilizing within a tight consolidation range. The price remains capped below the psychological $120,000 mark, with bulls and bears locked in a tug-of-war that has intensified speculation across the market. Despite the pullback, Bitcoin is holding key support, suggesting resilience in the current bullish structure. Related Reading: TRON Drops Q2 Report: Revenue, USDT Dominance Lead Multi-Quarter Highs According to CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler, this week stands out as one of the most aggressive selling periods of the current bull cycle. Adler notes that only 12 weeks—about 7.3% of the entire cycle—have shown equal or greater selling pressure. This context highlights just how intense the recent market activity has been, with significant profit-taking from investors but no full breakdown in price. The combination of strong selling and price stability has introduced a high level of uncertainty. Market participants are watching closely for confirmation of either a deeper correction or a renewed push to break the $120K barrier. As the week closes, Bitcoin’s ability to maintain its consolidation range could determine the pace and direction of the next major move in this cycle. Bitcoin Holds Strong Amid Heavy Selling Adler highlighted that this week ranks among the top 7% of the most extreme in terms of selling volume during the current Bitcoin bull cycle. Despite the intense selling pressure, Bitcoin has shown notable resilience, recovering to $117,000 by week’s end. This rebound is seen as a positive signal, reflecting bullish strength in the face of aggressive distribution. While Bitcoin remains in a tight consolidation range, its dominance is starting to weaken relative to Ethereum and other major altcoins. This shift has caught the attention of analysts who now view this week as a pivotal moment. A continued decrease in Bitcoin dominance paired with growing strength in altcoins could mark the beginning of the long-anticipated altseason—a period where capital rotates from Bitcoin into alternative cryptocurrencies, driving strong gains across the sector. Still, Bitcoin’s recent recovery and consolidation above key support suggest that its bullish momentum may not be over. If buyers continue to defend the current range, BTC could be gearing up for another leg higher, putting pressure on shorts and reigniting market confidence. Related Reading: $4B Increase In Bitcoin Open Interest Fueled By Whale Transfers To Exchanges – Details BTC Retests Resistance After Strong Recovery Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading around $117,867 on the 4-hour chart after recovering sharply from the $115,724 support level. This area has proven to be a critical short-term demand zone, with bulls stepping in aggressively to defend it following a recent dip. The price is now pressing against the 100-period SMA ($117,822), attempting to reclaim this level as support. The structure of the chart shows BTC remains locked in a well-defined consolidation range between $115,724 and $122,077. This week’s retest of the lower boundary and subsequent bounce signals continued interest from buyers, despite strong selling pressure earlier in the week. Volume remains elevated, suggesting active market participation during the recent recovery. Related Reading: Ethereum Whales Accumulate Over $4.1B In ETH In Two Weeks – Details The key to watch now is whether BTC can flip the 100 SMA and hold above $118,000. If confirmed, the next major test will be the upper range resistance at $122,077. A clean breakout above this level could set the stage for new all-time highs. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Galaxy’s $9 billion BTC sale for a Satoshi-era investor prompted Scott Melker to suggest some early whales are losing faith, sparking intense debate on X.
Bitcoin is holding steady above $118,000 despite the recent ups and downs in the market. As of now, Bitcoin is trading at $118,274 and showing signs of strength after brushing off selling pressure and minor pullbacks earlier this week. This comes at a time when investors have been watching closely to see whether the crypto …
The crypto market is starting to go more mainstream, especially after the new GENIUS Act was passed last week. That news has helped push Bitcoin to even higher levels of dominance, meaning most of the money right now is flowing into Bitcoin rather than altcoins. But as investors start buying during the altcoin dip, popular …
The Bitcoin price has been quite indecisive in its action over the past week, jumping between the $117,000 and $120,000 consolidation zone in that period. The flagship cryptocurrency, however, came tumbling toward the $115,000 mark following massive coin movements toward centralized exchanges in the past day. Interestingly, a prominent market expert has put forward an even more bearish outlook for the Bitcoin price over the next few weeks. With this latest projection, the price of BTC seems to only be at the beginning of a downward spiral, which could worsen over the coming days. How BTC Price Could Be At Risk Of Extended Decline In a July 25 post on social media platform X, Chartered Market Technician (CMT) Aksel Kibar painted a bearish picture for the Bitcoin price after falling to $115,000 on Friday. According to the analyst, the flagship cryptocurrency could be on its way to around $109,000 in the coming days. Related Reading: This Australian Investment Manager Just Added Bitcoin To Its Treasury, Here’s How Much BTC They’ve Bought Kibar’s bearish stance revolves around the inverse head-and-shoulder pattern on the Bitcoin price chart on the weekly timeframe. The inverse head-and-shoulders pattern is a technical analysis formation characterized by three distinct price troughs, including a lower “head” set between two higher “shoulders.” Typically, the inverse pattern signals a possible bullish breakout and is validated when the price breaches the neckline — a trendline connecting the crests (swing highs) between the head. As shown in the chart below, the Bitcoin price has already broken through the neckline to reach a new all-time high. However, Kibar explained that the price breakout witnessed by Bitcoin might not be the textbook breakout typically expected in most inverse head-and-shoulders pattern scenarios. According to the market expert, most head-and-shoulder breakouts are followed by pullbacks and retests rather than straight rallies. Chart data provided by the analyst shows that, since May 2017, the Bitcoin price has witnessed a retest or pullback (type 2 continuation) more times than a straight rally (type 1 continuation) after a head-and-shoulder pattern breakout. This trend explains the rationale behind Kibar’s bearish projection for BTC in the next few days. If the price of Bitcoin does suffer a deeper correction as in the type 2 continuation, it is likely to return to the neckline — and around the $109,000 mark. A move like this would represent an over 5% decline from the current price point. Bitcoin Price At A Glance After a horrendous start to the day, the market leader seems to be recovering nicely from its recent fall to $115,000. As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $117,323, reflecting a mere 0.6% decline in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Bitcoin Pullback Remains Within Normal Volatility Range: Drawdown Analysis Shows No Signs Of Panic Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
After surging to a record high around $123,000 in the second week of July, the Bitcoin price action for the rest of the month has been largely choppy. However, the flagship cryptocurrency dropped to a level just above $115,000 on Friday, July 25. This abrupt decline came with the expected question in the market: Is the rally over? Here’s How $115,000 Could Be Critical To BTC’s Price In a recent post on the social media platform X, crypto pundit Burak Tamaç highlighted the relevance of the region below the $115,000 level for the price of BTC. This on-chain observation, which is based on the BTC Supply Distribution URPD, showed how the Bitcoin price could play out in the near future. Related Reading: Bitcoin Eyes Bounce off This Support Level In Reversal Campaign For $121,000 The Supply Distribution URPD metric tracks the amount of Bitcoin supply last moved or transferred at particular price levels. This metric is specifically useful in identifying potential support (demand) and resistance (supply) zones. Tamaç pointed out on X that there is a significant void in Bitcoin’s Unspent Transaction Output (UTXO) distribution just around the $110,000 and $115,000 bracket. What this means is that there have been relatively fewer significant transactions around this price region in the recent past. However, this UTXO gap sits above a price region ($90,000 to $110,000) thick with significant investor activity. Considering the level of activity within this zone, there is an increased likelihood of the premier cryptocurrency finding a support cushion just within the UTXO gap. In this context, the support is to be above the $110,000 price level. As mentioned earlier, after Bitcoin reached a new all-time-high price, the premier cryptocurrency entered a consolidatory phase, where it has moved mostly sideways in the second half of July. During this period of indecisive price action, it can be observed that the Bitcoin price has not gone below the $115,000 price. What this means is that the $110,000 and $115,000 zone is likely where a new UTXO support has been established. If Bitcoin prevails above this price level, we can expect to see continued bullish momentum. On the flip side, if the $110,000 — 115,000 support zone fails, the flagship cryptocurrency might experience a severe sell-off. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, Bitcoin is valued at about $118,050, reflecting an almost 2% jump in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Bitcoin Eyes Bounce off This Support Level In Reversal Campaign For $121,000 Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
Despite growing ownership rates, most Americans view cryptocurrency as a risky investment, with 64% of U.S. investors considering it "very risky."
The decision to invest in bitcoin was driven by the depreciation of fiat currencies, rising global financial uncertainty, and a desire to diversify its asset portfolio.
Bitcoin remains above $118,000 after achieving a $1 trillion realized market cap, a key milestone reflecting its growing role in the global financial system.
Providing fresh market insight on X, Cryptowzrd revealed that Chainlink ended the session on a bullish note, with signs pointing to further upside pressure. As LINKBTC gains momentum and Bitcoin’s dominance trend declines, the setup appears promising. Cryptowzrd noted he will be monitoring the intraday chart closely for the next scalp opportunity, particularly if LINK breaks above the intraday lower high trendline. Bitcoin Dominance Weakens: A Catalyst For Chainlink’s Surge According to Cryptowzrd, both LINK’s daily candle and the LINKBTC pair ended the day on a bullish note. This positive price action is drawing attention to the potential for further upside movement. Cryptowzrd emphasized that continued strength in LINKBTC, especially if fueled by ongoing weakness in Bitcoin Dominance, could help LINK gain significant bullish momentum from its current levels. Related Reading: Chainlink Sees Heavy Accumulation – Whales Add 8M LINK In One Month Looking ahead, the next major resistance target for LINK is set at $20. Cryptowzrd suggested that a firm hold above this level could act as a catalyst for a stronger rally toward higher resistance levels, possibly reaching $30 and beyond. The speed at which this move might unfold was another key point highlighted by Cryptowzrd. He expects that once LINK clears the $20 hurdle, the rally could accelerate rapidly, driven by increased bullish pressure and technical confirmation across multiple timeframes. While the outlook is bullish, Cryptowzrd also pointed out an important support zone to watch. The $16 level has been identified as the main daily support target. Holding above this area will be crucial to maintaining the current bullish structure and preventing any deeper pullbacks. Overall, Cryptowzrd’s analysis suggests that Chainlink is positioned for a potential breakout phase, with $20 acting as the immediate resistance to watch. If Bitcoin Dominance continues to weaken and LINKBTC remains strong, traders could see a swift and powerful rally unfold in the days ahead. Volatility Vs. Patience: Navigating LINK’s Weekend Setup Concluding his analysis, Cryptowzrd noted that LINK’s intraday chart experienced significant volatility in the last 24 hours, reflecting an uncertain short-term outlook. He expects this choppy price action to continue, but due to the lower trading activity typically seen over the weekend, his expectations remain rational. Related Reading: Chainlink Bullish Trigger: Why $16 Holds The Key To The Next Rally The key level to watch is $18.40, which serves as an intraday resistance target. According to Cryptowzrd, if Chainlink holds above this level, it could trigger a long setup aiming for a move toward $19.80 or higher in the near term. However, if LINK remains below $18.40, Cryptowzrd expects the price to stay range-bound with continued sideways movement over the weekend. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin faced renewed volatility after a minor pullback interrupted two weeks of tight consolidation just below its all-time high of $123,000. The price briefly dipped near the $115,000 support level but has already begun to recover, signaling that bullish momentum remains intact despite recent selling pressure. Market participants appear to be reacting calmly, with strong demand quickly absorbing the dip. Related Reading: Bitcoin Pullback Remains Within Normal Volatility Range: Drawdown Analysis Shows No Signs Of Panic According to fresh data from CryptoQuant, today’s price movement coincides with a significant increase in open interest across major exchanges. Binance, Bybit, and Gate all recorded sharp spikes in open interest within the last 24 hours, suggesting that traders are positioning aggressively. Notably, these exchanges were among the recipients of large Bitcoin transfers earlier in the day, likely tied to institutional or whale activity. This alignment of price recovery and rising open interest hints at a shift in sentiment. Short-term traders are re-entering the market, while bulls appear ready to defend key levels. As volatility picks up, Bitcoin’s ability to hold and reclaim recent support will determine whether it resumes its upward march or remains range-bound. The coming days could be critical for setting the tone of the next leg in Bitcoin’s price action. Rising Open Interest Signals Growing Volatility According to Julio Moreno, CryptoQuant’s head of research, over the last 24 hours, open interest surged by approximately $4 billion, indicating that leveraged positions—particularly shorts—have entered the market in large numbers. This spike coincided with significant Bitcoin transfers to major exchanges like Binance and Bybit, which received a substantial portion of today’s large-volume transactions. These developments suggest increased speculative activity as traders anticipate further price movement. The inflow of coins to exchanges, combined with rising open interest, typically signals upcoming volatility. Short sellers appear to be betting on continued downside, but with Bitcoin already recovering from its recent $115,000 dip, this could lead to a short squeeze if momentum shifts back in favor of the bulls. This market shift comes as Ethereum and altcoins show notable strength. Since May, Ethereum has consistently outperformed Bitcoin, aided by institutional accumulation and clearer regulatory signals in the US. As ETH leads the altcoin rally, investors are watching closely to see whether capital rotation from BTC into altcoins continues. Related Reading: Ethereum Whales Accumulate Over $4.1B In ETH In Two Weeks – Details Bitcoin Holds Key Support After Minor Pullback The daily Bitcoin chart shows that BTC remains in a bullish structure despite recent volatility. After briefly consolidating near the $122,000 resistance zone and reaching an all-time high just above that level, the price retraced toward the $115,700–$117,000 support band. This zone, marked by the horizontal yellow range, also aligns closely with the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), currently at $117,593.23, reinforcing its role as a strong technical support. The overall uptrend that started in early May remains intact, with higher highs and higher lows clearly visible on the chart. Notably, BTC continues to trade well above the 100-day (green) and 200-day (red) SMAs, which sit at $112,547.95 and $109,436.38, respectively. These levels serve as deeper support zones if selling pressure intensifies. Volume has increased slightly on red candles, indicating some sell pressure, but there is no sign of panic. As long as BTC holds above the $115,700 level, bulls maintain the advantage. A breakout above $122,000 would signal trend continuation and could open the path to new highs. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin’s quiet rally has captured the attention of Wall Street and beyond, but some voices from OG Bitcoiners like American HODL are predicting that what we’ve witnessed so far is just the calm before an explosive storm. The Bitcoin treasury bubble thesis The Bitcoin treasury bubble thesis is that, within just a few years, a […]
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El Salvador’s Bitcoin journey is facing fresh doubts. The government says it’s still buying BTC every day, but the IMF disagrees. This raises questions about how much Bitcoin is really helping and if the country’s original crypto vision is starting to fade. Locals Still Use BTC in Berlin In the mountain town of Berlin, El …
A $1-million Bitcoin would upend global finance, reshaping wealth, inflation, energy markets and the very role of fiat currencies.
The number of public companies holding at least 1,000 BTC has risen steadily in 2025, from 24 in Q1 to 30 in Q2, reaching 35 and counting in Q3. This growth signals increasing institutional adoption of Bitcoin as a treasury asset and store of value. These companies now collectively hold over $116 billion in BTC, …
Bitcoin has jumped more than 170% from its launch‑month price around $45,000 to about $123,000 earlier this month. Related Reading: Crypto’s Golden Rule Just Got Broken, According To Analyst Based on reports from Citi, the bank has laid out three scenarios for where the price might land by year‑end 2025. These range from a low of $64,000 in a weak market to a bull case of $199,000 if everything goes right. ETF Flows Take Center Stage In Bitcoin Uptrend According to Citi analysts, spot Bitcoin ETFs now explain over 40% of the recent price swings. Since their debut, US ETFs have snapped up about $54.66 billion worth of Bitcoin. That buying power helped drive BTC from roughly $45,000 to $123,000 in just a few months. The bank’s base case assumes another $15 billion in ETF inflows this year. At the ratio they’ve modeled—about $4 of price per $1 of flow—that would add around $63,000 to Bitcoin’s value. ???? Bitcoin Could Surge to $199K by Year-End, Says Citi Citigroup has released a new forecast projecting Bitcoin to reach $135,000 by the end of 2025 in its base-case scenario. The bullish case estimates a potential rise to $199,000, while the bearish outlook places the… pic.twitter.com/3Kp1o8OGsn — The Tradesman (@The_Tradesman1) July 26, 2025 User Growth Fuels Network Effects Based on figures from trading desks and on‑chain metrics, Citi expects a 20% rise in active Bitcoin users over the next year. That jump in adoption would support roughly $75,000 of price strength on its own. The idea is simple. More users mean more hands holding and trading Bitcoin. That activity tends to make prices less prone to sudden drops. Still, forecasts like this rest on the assumption that new users stick around rather than flipping coins for quick gains. Macroeconomic Factors Cut Forecast Slightly Citi’s model also factors in weaker performance in equities and gold, trimming the price by about $3,200. That adjustment reflects a view that if stock and metal markets struggle, Bitcoin won’t fully decouple from broader risk assets. At the same time, growing regulatory approval and deeper links between crypto and traditional finance should offer some support. ETF Demand Could Lift Bitcoin By $63,000 In the base‑case scenario, Citi adds the $63,000 from ETF flows to the $75,000 from user growth, then subtracts $3,200 for macro headwinds. That math lands the price at about $135,000 in 2025. That figure is only $12,000 above the recent peak of $123,000. It suggests Citi sees more upside but not a runaway rally—at least not in the base case. Related Reading: The US Is A Bitcoin Whale—Arkham Clarifies BTC Holdings After Brief Panic A Bull Case Of $199,000 Remains On The Table If ETFs keep pouring in far more than $15 billion and user growth exceeds 20%, Bitcoin could climb to $199,000 under Citi’s bull case. Conversely, a drop to $64,000 is possible if macro conditions sour sharply. Globally, ETFs now hold around 1.48 million BTC, worth over $170 billion—about 7% of the total supply. That level of institutional backing is unprecedented. It shifts Bitcoin’s fate more toward big‑money flows than pure retail hype. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin looks to be on the verge of a breakdown after rallying to $123,000 all-time highs earlier in the month. This reversal has taken the market by surprise, with the altcoin market, once again, bearing the brunt of the losses. Now, as the Bitcoin price reaches an important level, the questions of whether this is the start of a bear trend or if there will be a bounce in price have become more urgent. Bitcoin Trends Low After New Highs After the reversal back into the $117,000 levels, crypto analyst TehThomas has published an analysis outlining the current Bitcoin price trend and where it could be headed next. So far, the analyst explains that Bitcoin is still trading in a well-defined trend after being rejected from the upper resistance zone at $120,000 multiple times. However, there is still a lot of bite from its support levels below, which could be its saving grace. Related Reading: Cup And Saucer Pattern Says XRP Price Rally Is Not Done As the analyst explains, the fact that the support continues to hold shows that there is still a lot of buying going on for Bitcoin. This puts the support very tight around this area, but also makes it a dangerous territory for the bulls. It is possible that there is a sweep back to these lows, and Thomas explains that such a move would engineer sell-side liquidity. There is also a Fair Value Gap (FVG) at the $121,000 level, which continues to be defended. This is where most of the resistance has come from, pushing the price back below $118,000 multiple times already. Thus, this FVG is the next level to reclaim in the campaign for new highs. Bouncing Back From Lows If the sweep back toward the lows is completed, it is not entirely bearish for the Bitcoin price and could, in fact, be the move that helps to trigger the next wave of uptrend. The analyst explains that buyers would have to step back in at this level, with support sitting firmly at $116,000. This accumulation during consolidation would be inherently bullish. Related Reading: Tether Investments Extend Beyond Bitcoin Amid Record Profits — Details Looking back at the FVG, the analyst explains that it could act as a magnet if the price begins to rise again. Nevertheless, all of this depends on the Bitcoin price dipping back to support and then bouncing off again. The sweep of liquidity at the lows and the bounce would offer confirmation that the price is going to keep trending upward. However, there is still the possibility of a price breakdown from here. Thomas points to an invalidation of the bullish thesis if support at $116,000 fails to hold and there is no immediate recovery. “Bitcoin remains locked in a clear range, and until the breakout happens, the edges of that range offer the best trading opportunities,” the analyst explained. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
The IBCI index, which tracks Bitcoin’s market cycles, has entered the “distribution zone” for the first time in five months—a range often linked to market excitement and possible price tops. This is the third time it’s reached this zone during the current bull run, but only at its lower boundary (80%), well below major peaks …
Crypto markets used to move four-year cycles, driven by Bitcoin halving, interest rates, and major industry crashes. However, industry experts now note that these patterns have been fading and new forces are starting to shape the market. Is the 4-Year Cycle Breaking Down? Bitcoin recently broke above new all-time highs and surged past $123K. Bitcoin …
U.S. Senator Cynthia Lummis has called Bitcoin “freedom money,” praising it as a hedge against inflation and a tool for financial independence. Her remarks come amid growing interest in Bitcoin as a stable store of value, especially during times of economic turbulence. Bitcoin as a Lifeline in Tough Times Appearing on Fox Business, Senator Lummis …
Galaxy Digital Inc. (NASDAQ: GLXY), a financial investment firm focused on the crypto market, has announced the completion of the sale of one of the largest Bitcoin (BTC) troves in history. According to the announcement on Friday, July 25, Galaxy Digital finalized the sale of more than 80k BTC, worth over $9 billion based on …
Galaxy said the long-dormant wallet sold 80,000 BTC through the asset manager as part of the investor's estate planning.