A crypto analyst, Zynx, on the X (formerly Twitter) platform, has shown where the Bitcoin price might be headed over the next few years using the Bitcoin Power Law. This law shows a steady upward trajectory, putting into perspective the performance of Bitcoin over a long period of time. Using this Power Law, the crypto analyst lays out the first prediction, and that is that the Bitcoin price will end up hitting $145,000 in 2026. This would mean that the digital asset would complete an over 100% rally in order to hit this target, suggesting that there is another bull run coming this year. As the years start to stretch out, so does the Bitcoin prediction go higher. For the year 2027, the analyst puts the price as high as $200,000, an almost 3x from the current levels at the time of writing. Then the next year, 2028, the Bitcoin price is expected to hit $265,000. Related Reading: Remember Arbitrum? This Analyst Just Predicted That A 7,400% Rally Is Coming The predictions do not end there, spreading out farther and the price rising drastically with each year. By 2029, the Bitcoin price is expected to have hit $350,000, and still, this is not the highest. This is because the next year of 2030 shows the Bitcoin price then touching $470,000. The last of the predictions shows when the Bitcoin price will hit $1,000,000 per coin and this is expected to happen in 2030. This would mean that the bitcoin price would rise by more than 1,400% in the next five years to rally above $1,000,000. One interesting thing about the analyst’s prediction is the fact that it expects the Bitcoin price to continue to rise year over year. This would leave little to no room for bear markets, with what could be described as a perpetual bull run if the price is to hit this target. Every so often I like to check what the Bitcoin Power Law predicts. Mid-year projections: 2026: ~$145,000 2027: ~$200,000 2028: ~$265,000 2029: ~$350,000 2030: ~$470,000 2033: ~$1,000,000 Current price = $75,200 We are in historically undervalued territory. ₿ullish. — Zynx (@ZynxBTC) April 20, 2026 The Bitcoin Power Law Explained The Bitcoin power law usually focuses on the long-term outlook of the cryptocurrency, often taking a more bullish route due to the length of time that it predicts over. Mostly, it uses historical performances to predict how high the Bitcoin price could go. It then plots this on a ‘Power line’ that shows the advancement of Bitcoin through the years. Related Reading: Analyst Says Ethereum Just Confirmed A ‘Turtle Soup’, Here’s What It Means Over time, the Power Law has pointed to the Bitcoin price crossing $100,000, which it eventually did, and as the price has risen, so has the Power Law forecasts. One website, Bitbo, plots the Power Law starting from 2011, and going by the trajectory, the price is much higher than it is now. This movement suggests that while the Bitcoin price may fluctuate in the short term, it continues to actually maintain an upward trajectory in the long term. It also means that the ‘outrageous’ predictions that analysts make all the time for the digital asset may very well be a matter of when, and not if. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) may be starting to shake off the worst part of the downturn that began in October last year, according to new research from Grayscale. The firm points to Feb. 5—when BTC traded around $63,000—as a “durable” market bottom. Potential Start Of A New Bitcoin Bull Market In Grayscale’s view, the rebound since that low has been meaningful. The firm’s Head of Research, Zach Pandl, said the BTC price bottomed at roughly $63,000 and has since climbed more than 20%, reaching about $76,000. That level, he noted, is slightly above the average cost basis for recent buyers, which matters because it can reduce the incentive to sell after a drop. In other words, if many holders are no longer underwater, selling pressure may ease at a time when buyers are trying to regain control. Related Reading: A Stark XRP Price Call: Why One Analyst Says It Could Be Under $1 By 2031 For Bitcoin transacted over the past one to three months, Grayscale says the realized price is about $74,000. That implies many newer buyers are already back near break-even. If BTC continues rising in the days ahead, more recent participants could shift into positive profit and loss, which Grayscale treats as a potential early sign of a bull-market transition. In that framework, the Feb. 5 low is not just a statistical low—it’s presented as the point where the market may have stabilized enough to start a new upward phase. $78,000 Still Holds The Key Adding to the bullish case, Bitcoin whales reportedly added about 45,000 BTC last week, the fastest weekly accumulation pace since July 2025. Long-term holders, meanwhile, have reportedly accumulated more than 1 million BTC over the past three months. Glassnode data also indicates that upward momentum has cooled somewhat. Even so, it still points to strong buyer interest, which could help cushion the market and reduce the odds of a sharp slide. At the same time, trading activity on centralized exchanges has risen, suggesting ongoing participation rather than a sudden exit. In the Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) sector, Glassnode points to several indicators improving, including an increase in the MVRV ratio alongside netflow. These signals are described as consistent with improved profitability expectations and stronger investor interest. Related Reading: AAVE Price Plummets By 26%: $9 Billion Net Outflows Traced To Kelp DAO Hack Combined with higher overall trading activity, the picture is presented as a cautiously optimistic shift in sentiment, especially for investors engaging with Bitcoin through regulated channels and traditional custody. Even with these supportive signs, Bitcoin isn’t free of near-term challenges. BTC has slightly retraced toward the $75,800 area at the time of writing, and it remains unclear whether it can break the closest resistance level near $78,000. That price point has capped stronger upside moves toward $80,000 since Jan. 30. The overall takeaway is that the market may be setting up for a larger move, but the next step likely depends on whether resistance can be cleared. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin climbed above $78,000 early Wednesday, with analysts citing short squeezes and strong ETF inflows as drivers of the move.
Bitcoin price surged to $78,000 on Wednesday, hitting a new monthly high as strong institutional buying and easing geopolitical tensions boosted investor sentiment. BTC price is 2.5% at $78,029, outperforming a largely flat S&P 500. According to Walter Bloomberg, Large Bitcoin holders bought around 45,000 BTC in the past week, with many of the purchases …
BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust recorded a $39.3 million net inflow on April 21, adding 521 BTC, as total Bitcoin spot ETF inflows reached $11.8 million for the day. The fund continues strong momentum with about $1.64 billion in inflows over 10 straight days and nearly $900 million in a recent week, showing steady institutional demand. …
Bitcoin miners dumped a record 40,000 BTC in the first quarter of this year — more than the entirety of 2025 combined and well above the 20,000 BTC sold in the panic following the Terra collapse in mid-2022. That number sits quietly beneath the surface of what otherwise looks like a recovering market. Related Reading: Strategy Raises $1.76B War Chest As Saylor Signals Bigger Bitcoin Buy Miners Signal Trouble Even As Prices Climb The sell-off came as mining difficulty dropped 2.4% to 135 trillion, while network hashrate climbed back from roughly 978 exahashes per second to 992 EH/s this month, according to data from Glassnode. When producers sell at record pace during a difficulty drop, it points to one thing: tight margins. The economics of mining haven’t recovered the way the price chart might suggest, and any sustained move above $80,000 would have to absorb continued selling from that same group. Bitcoin was trading at $76,827 on Tuesday noon, up 1.4% over 24 hours, as Iran confirmed it would send a delegation to Pakistan for a second round of ceasefire talks. Ether gained 1.18% to reach $2,311. XRP rose 1.2% to $1.42. Solana trailed the pack, up just 0.9% on the day and down 1% for the week. The broader market moved in the same direction. The MSCI All Country World Index added 0.1% after pausing on Monday, with Asian equities leading the charge and the regional tech index gaining 2.38%. Brent crude slipped 0.7% to $94.80 a barrel. Gold fell 0.6% to around $4,800. Silver dropped 1% to $78.89. Treasuries and the dollar were largely flat. A Deadline That Markets Can’t Ignore The two-week ceasefire between the US and Iran expires Wednesday evening, Washington time. US President Donald Trump said Monday he does not plan to extend it. Markets are now priced around that deadline. Three vessels attempted passage through the Strait of Hormuz early Tuesday, with American and Iranian blockades still active — the first real test of whether the waterway is clearing before any agreement is signed. Bitcoin has lagged equities throughout this stretch. The MSCI ACWI has been on an 11-day rally that stumbled only once since de-escalation began. Bitcoin, by contrast, spent that same period crawling back from below $75,000 to just above $76,000. ETF Demand Holds The Floor Spot bitcoin ETFs pulled in $996 million last week, according to SoSoValue. Ethereum spot ETFs brought in $276 million over the same period. That institutional buying has kept a floor under prices even as miners push supply into the market. Related Reading: Rave Token Crashes 95% As Manipulation Allegations Trigger Panic Research firm Kaiko said a clean break above $76,000 would open a path toward $85,000. Analysts at K33 flagged that same level as a potential short squeeze trigger. On the downside, a slide back below $75,000 — if Wednesday’s deadline passes without a deal — remains the key risk traders are watching. Bitcoin’s ceasefire rally gave the alpha crypto a lift. The miners are using it to sell. Until that changes, the rebound has a floor but no clear roof. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $75,000 zone. BTC is consolidating and might aim for more gains if it clears the $77,350 resistance zone. Bitcoin managed to form a base above $74,500 and started a recovery wave. The price is trading above $75,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a rising channel forming with resistance at $77,350 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might gain bullish momentum if it settles above the $77,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Regains Traction Bitcoin price remained supported above the $74,000 zone. BTC formed a base and settled above $74,500 to start a recovery wave. There was a move above the $75,000 and $75,500 levels. The bulls were able to push the price above the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $78,344 swing high to the $73,637 low. There is also a rising channel forming with resistance at $77,350 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Bitcoin is now trading above $75,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $75,000, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $77,250 level and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $78,344 swing high to the $73,637 low. The first key resistance is near the $77,350 level. A close above the $77,350 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $78,000 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $78,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $80,000. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $77,350 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $76,000 level. The first major support is near the $75,650 level. The next support is now near the $75,400 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $74,250 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $73,200, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $76,000, followed by $75,400. Major Resistance Levels – $77,250 and $78,000.
A return to all-time highs would put Shiba Inu near $0.000088 — a price level the token has not touched since 2021. That target is back in focus after an analyst flagged that SHIB is trading inside the same accumulation zone that previously sent the meme coin surging by four digits. Related Reading: Strategy Raises $1.76B War Chest As Saylor Signals Bigger Bitcoin Buy Analyst Pins Target At $0.000087 Crypto Patel, a market analyst, published a chart showing SHIB sitting inside what he calls “Support Zone (Accumulation Zone 1).” According to the analyst, buyers flooded this same zone twice before — once in 2021, which produced a 1,660% rally, and again in 2024, when the token climbed 746%. The current price, around $0.000006, sits above his key floor at $0.000004. If that floor holds and buying pressure builds, Patel projects the token could climb as high as $0.00008789 — a gain of roughly 1,364% from where it trades now. $SHIB Is Back At The Exact Zone That Pumped It 1660% & 746% Before…???? Will #SHIBAINU 20x This Alt Season? pic.twitter.com/7V7RMXWH9J — Crypto Patel (@CryptoPatel) April 18, 2026 The full bullish projection puts the move at 2,200%, though Patel himself raised doubts about whether that ceiling is reachable, even in a strong altcoin market. The token has spent years trying and failing to reclaim the heights it hit in 2021. That year marked both its all-time high and the last time it traded anywhere near the projected target. A Tightening Chart Pattern Adds To The Setup A descending resistance line has been pressing down on SHIB’s price over time, squeezing the range in which it trades. According to the analyst, that compression is approaching its end. When such patterns resolve, prices tend to move sharply in one direction. The question is which direction. On-chain data adds a layer of nuance. Reports indicate that SHIB’s exchange netflow turned negative recently, with a net outflow of 41.67 billion tokens. When more coins leave exchanges than enter, it often signals that holders are moving assets into personal wallets — a pattern associated with accumulation rather than selling. That said, over 81 trillion SHIB tokens remain on exchanges, a figure that dwarfs the recent outflow. Related Reading: Rave Token Crashes 95% As Manipulation Allegations Trigger Panic Bears Still Hold The Advantage On Longer Timeframes Not all analysts share Patel’s optimism. Separate reports note that SHIB remains caught in a pattern of lower highs, with resistance stacked between $0.0000073 and $0.0000079. A drop below current support could pull the price toward $0.0000051, according to those projections. The picture, for now, is split. The technical setup that Patel points to has delivered before. Whether history repeats depends on whether buyers show up in force at the levels that matter. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Anthony Scaramucci, the financier and SkyBridge Capital founder who briefly served as White House communications director, has made a bold case for Bitcoin’s long-term value. According to him, Bitcoin’s market cap is well on track to reach $21 trillion, and this is because of its fixed supply, its growing institutional footprint, and a monetary trust system built over 16 years without any central authority. But if Bitcoin were to reach a market cap of $21 trillion, how much would 1 BTC be worth? The $21 Trillion Logic Bitcoin has a fixed supply cap of 21 million BTC baked into its protocol and is immutable by design. This means there will never be more than 21 million Bitcoin in existence, and at a point, investors will be able to only own fractions of Bitcoin. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Could See Another Crash, But What Is The Long-Term Prognosis? According to Scaramucci, Bitcoin has checked every characteristic that has defined money throughout human history. Bitcoin’s edge is that its trust model is decentralized, its supply is fixed, and its network has now operated long enough to gain credibility with both retail and institutional investors. That is why there is a high possibility of its market cap reaching as high as $21 trillion. Scaramucci positions this as a ceiling still below gold’s total market capitalization, which currently stands at approximately $33 trillion according to data from CompaniesMarketCap. This gap is closable, and Bitcoin offers structural advantages in the process. “You can move it faster, you can store it more easily,” he said. “ On a fully diluted basis, the math lands exactly at a round figure for BTC. A $21 trillion market cap divided by Bitcoin’s maximum supply of 21 million coins gives a price of $1 million per BTC. At the time of writing, only 20,018,784 BTC have been mined, which means there are about 981,216 Bitcoin still left to be mined. That’s less than 5% of the total supply. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at about $76,534, which means a rise to $1 million will translate to a 1,200% increase from here. Wall Street Is Coming To Bitcoin Institutional inflow is the most important factor when it comes to the possibility of the Bitcoin price hitting extravagant price targets like $1 million. Notably, Scaramucci cited institutional momentum as evidence that the structural shift is already in progress. Related Reading: Analyst Sounds Bitcoin Warning: This Surge Above $78,000 Should Not Be Trusted Morgan Stanley launched its own Spot Bitcoin ETF on April 8, 2026, trading under the ticker MSBT on NYSE Arca, making it the first major US commercial bank to issue such a product directly. Goldman Sachs is also in the process of launching its Spot Bitcoin ETF, having submitted paperwork to the SEC for the Goldman Sachs Bitcoin Premium Income ETF. Therefore, the question of whether Bitcoin eventually reaches $1 million per coin and a $21 trillion market cap is ultimately a question about the pace and durability of institutional adoption. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Data shows the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index has recovered to its highest level since mid-January, a sign that belief is returning among crypto traders. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Has Hit A Value Of 33 The “Fear & Greed Index” is an indicator created by Alternative that measures the average sentiment present among traders in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency markets. To represent the investor mentality, it uses a scale running from 0-100. The value on the scale is calculated using the data of five factors: market cap dominance, volatility, trading volume, social media sentiment, and Google Trends. Related Reading: Bitcoin Recovery Still Looks Like A Bear Market Rally, Analyst Says When the indicator has a value greater than 53, it means the average trader sentiment is one of greed. On the other hand, the indicator being below 47 implies the dominance of fear. The values in between the two cutoffs correspond to a net neutral mentality. Here’s what the current market sentiment is like, according to the Fear & Greed Index: As is visible above, the indicator has a value of 33 right now, which suggests that the Bitcoin market sentiment is one of fear. This is actually an improvement compared to what the investor mentality was like just a few days ago. From the chart below, it’s apparent that the Fear & Greed Index had a value of 21 on April 17th. Such a low value falls inside a special zone known as the extreme fear. Formally, this region is defined as corresponding to a value of 25 or lower and represents the state of highest despair among investors. The market sentiment had deteriorated into this zone as a result of the bearish market trajectory since Q4 2025. In January, some relief had come for the market as the recovery surge induced a flicker of greed among investors, but things changed quickly as the price crash that followed took the Fear & Greed Index to its lowest levels of the cycle. Recently, Bitcoin has again been making an attempt at recovery, and market sentiment has responded with an improvement. The current value of 33 is the highest that the index has been since January 19th. While sentiment has improved from the extreme fear zone, it’s still inside fear, meaning that investors aren’t yet fully on board with the bullish momentum. If history is anything to go by, though, this fact may actually play into the asset’s benefit. Often, digital asset markets have tended to move in a way that goes contrary to the expectations of the majority. Related Reading: Is XRP Gearing Up For A 35% Move? This Pattern May Suggest So Since extreme fear is where investors are most sure of a bearish outcome, major bottoms have tended to form inside the region in the past. The same has been true for a similar region in the greed side of the scale, called the extreme greed (values above 75), which has facilitated top formations before. BTC Price Bitcoin’s recent rally has taken its price to the $76,600 mark. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
Strategy surpassed BlackRocks IBIT in Bitcoin holdings after buying 34,164 BTC for $2.54 billion, lifting its total stash to 815,061 BTC.
The post Strategy tops BlackRock’s IBIT in Bitcoin holdings after latest purchase appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Bitcoin is heading into one of the year's largest options expirations at the worst possible moment. CoinGlass data shows roughly $8.07 billion in notional open interest for Deribit's options expiring on April 24, split between 56,300 calls and 49,540 puts. While the ratio itself leans bullish, it's sitting against one of the most uncertain macro […]
The post Bitcoin braces for $8B options expiry as war, oil and the Fed threaten a volatility reset appeared first on CryptoSlate.
Strategy, the Michael Saylor-led company formerly known as MicroStrategy, has surpassed BlackRock’s flagship spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) to become the world’s largest institutional holder of Bitcoin. According to an April 20 regulatory filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Strategy acquired an additional 34,164 Bitcoin over the past week at an average price […]
The post Why Strategy’s multi billion dollar Bitcoin purchases are no longer bullish catalysts for the market appeared first on CryptoSlate.
Core Scientific plans a $3.3 billion private notes offering, with proceeds partly earmarked to repay credit facility borrowings.
Bitcoin isn’t breaking out. It’s stalling and dragging the entire altcoin market into a slow, frustrating freeze. While traders keep staring at sleepy charts or instance LINK stuck near $10, ALGO hovering around $0.15, SEI barely breathing at $0.05 and other altcoins are not doing any good either but the bigger story is unfolding quietly: …
Bitcoin enters the new trading week with a defined roadmap, as DeFi researcher and analyst, Sherlockwhale, identifies four specific price levels that could shape market direction. The framework is built on an extensive review of about 450 weeks of historical data, translating recent price action into a structured guide centered on how Bitcoin closes at the start and middle of the week. Bitcoin’s Weekly Structure Sets The Stage According to Sherlockwhale, Bitcoin ended last week near $76,000, reflecting a 7.2% increase from Monday’s opening price. While this suggests upward momentum, the internal structure of the weekly candle tells a more cautious story. Price climbed as high as $78,333 before pulling back, with a 1.79% drop on Saturday followed by only a modest recovery on Sunday. By the weekly close, Bitcoin had settled around 70% of its total range. Related Reading: Pundit Predicts XRP Price Will Hit $100 In 2026 If These Dominoes Fall This detail matters because a close at this level indicates that price remained in the upper portion of its range but failed to hold near its peak, leaving behind a visible rejection. Historical patterns analyzed by the analyst show that when Bitcoin breaks the previous week’s high but closes in this manner, the following week ends lower roughly 62% of the time. Within this context, four price levels—$79,800, $79,116, $74,480, and $69,861—become central to the outlook. The analyst presents them as decisive markers, with their relevance tied to how price behaves during key checkpoints, particularly Monday and Wednesday closes. The Four Bitcoin Price Levels That Define the Week On the upside, $79,800 stands out as a major threshold, positioned about 5% above the weekly open. Historical data cited by Sherlockwhale shows that when Monday closes above this level, the week finishes positive nearly 89.6% of the time, rising to 95.5% in data tracked since 2021. Just below it, $79,116, approximately 1% above the prior high of $78,333, serves as confirmation that Bitcoin is holding above resistance. Midweek performance further refines the outlook. If Bitcoin remains more than 3% above Monday’s open by Wednesday, historical records across 141 instances point to an 86% chance of a positive weekly close. When gains exceed 5% by that point, the probability increases to 91.4% based on 93 occurrences. Related Reading: The Hidden FVG Zone That Says Ethereum Price Could Rally To $10,000 On the downside, $74,480 becomes critical. A Monday close below this level, about 2% under the open, signals that the prior rally may have been a false move. If losses extend beyond 2% by Wednesday, the week ends in the red about 80% of the time, with recent data showing no exceptions in similar conditions. Finally, $69,861, just below the previous low of $70,567, represents a full sweep of the weekly range. Interestingly, history suggests that such moves often precede a rebound, with the remainder of the week turning positive in roughly 81.8% of cases. According to Sherlockwhale, these four levels form a structured lens through which the week’s price action can be interpreted. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Michael Saylor announced on Monday that Strategy had carried out another massive Bitcoin buy. The multi-billion-dollar Bitcoin purchase did not come as a surprise to the market, given that the company had already been raising more money to buy BTC leading up to the day. However, what is interesting is how much BTC the public company now holds and what it means in comparison to other counterparts with large holdings in the market. Strategy’s BTC Holdings Have Now Crossed 800,000 BTC With the most recent buy, where the company bought 34,164 BTC, it has now seen its Bitcoin holdings cross the 800,000 BTC mark for the first time. According to the announcement, this latest BTC buy had set the company back a whopping $2.54 billion with an average price of $74,395 per Bitcoin. Related Reading: Ethereum Flips Key Resistance, ETF Demand Returns, Analysts Eye Next Leg Higher This brought the company’s total holdings to 815,061 BTC, with the total purchase history coming out to $61.56 billion spent so far. This buy also brought down the company’s average buy price for its BTC holdings to $75,527, decreasing its total entry point. With the holdings now sitting above 815,000 BTC, though, this means that Strategy has actually surpassed BlackRock when it comes to BTC holdings. Previously, BlackRock had dominated the market as Spot Bitcoin ETFs gained popularity rapidly, and BlackRock’s holdings grew very fast. However, at the time of writing, the BlackRock IBIT total BTC holdings sit below 800,000, at 798,062, according to data from Bitbo. This is a small gap, but it shows how Strategy’s BTC buys have continued to balloon, going toe-to-toe with BlackRock, which is a company that handles over $12 trillion in assets. Will Michael Saylor Stop Buying Bitcoin? In the past, Michael Saylor has said that Strategy’s move to buy Bitcoin as a treasury asset was not a short-term plan, and this has been proven over the years. The company began buying Bitcoin back in 2020, and five years on, it is still buying BTC and remains the company with the largest BTC holdings in the world. Related Reading: Dogecoin Nears Key Turning Point As TCT Model Begins To Form In an interview with CNBC back in February, Saylor reiterated his stance on Bitcoin, explaining that the company does not plan to sell its Bitcoin holdings anytime soon. So far, the company has not made its exit plan, or if there is one, public yet. So for now, the focus remains on the company’s BTC buys rather than a possible sell. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
Greek maritime risk firm MARISKS warned shippers of fraudulent Hormuz transit demands paid in bitcoin or USDT, according to Reuters.
Bitcoin’s rebound from the February 6 low at $60,000 is showing early signs of structural improvement, but the move still looks more like a bear market rally than a confirmed breakout, according to CryptoQuant analyst Maartun. In an April 20 video, the analyst argued that while long-term holders are accumulating and strategic capital is entering the market, persistent selling from short-term holders and whales is still capping upside. Maartun framed the current setup as a question of market character rather than raw price performance. Bitcoin is trading around $75,000, roughly 24% above what he described as the bear market low, but he said that alone does not settle whether the market is turning higher in a durable way. “The real question isn’t how far the price has moved. It’s what kind of move this actually is,” he said. “Is this the start of a new trend or just another rally that gets sold into? And that distinction matters because misreading this phase is exactly how capital gets misallocated.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Miner Pain Reaches Critical Threshold — Impact On Price Bitcoin On-Chain Data Still Flashes Caution His core argument is that the foundation beneath the market has improved even if price has not yet confirmed it. Over the last 30 days, long-term holder supply has increased by about 354,000 BTC, a shift he described as “structural accumulation.” In Maartun’s reading, that signals coins are being absorbed and removed from active circulation by participants less sensitive to short-term volatility. “That’s not a small number. That’s structural accumulation,” he said. “Coins are being absorbed and taken out of active circulation. Long-term holders aren’t reacting to short-term volatility. So when their supply increases, it usually means the market is quietly building a stronger base.” That constructive backdrop, however, is only one side of the picture. Maartun said a large part of the recent price push appears to have come from a more tactical mix of strategic buying and speculative positioning. He highlighted a rapid capital raise by Strategy, which he said brought in about $2.66 billion in 48 hours, including $1.16 billion on April 13 and another $1.56 billion on April 14. He argued that such an aggressive capital injection would normally be expected to produce a stronger market response. When that does not happen, the implication is that substantial supply is meeting demand. On that front, Maartun pointed to two seller cohorts. The first is short-term holders, who have moved roughly 60,000 BTC to exchanges. Crucially, he said this is happening while SOPR remains below 1, meaning those holders are exiting at a loss rather than selling from a position of strength. “We’ve seen roughly 60,000 BTC move to exchanges from this group,” he said. “And importantly, this is happening while SOPR is below one, which means they’re selling at a loss. They bought higher and now they’re exiting into strength. That’s classic behavior in a bear market environment.” He did not present that flow as wholly bearish. Instead, he described it as part of a broader rotation in which weaker hands sell into bids provided by stronger buyers. Still, he said it is a feature more commonly associated with bear market rallies than with clean trend continuation. Related Reading: Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Turns Red: Bearish Signal? The second source of supply is whales. According to Maartun, wallets holding more than 100 BTC have been increasing exchange inflows, suggesting that distribution is picking up again at current levels. That matters because it creates a market where improving long-term structure coexists with active near-term selling pressure. Price action, in his view, reflects that tension. Bitcoin remains below the short-term holder realized price, which he placed around $83,000. Maartun described that level as a key pivot: in bull markets, price tends to hold above it, while in weaker phases it often acts as resistance. For now, Bitcoin is still trading underneath it, and he said the market has yet to produce a clean breakout through major overhead levels. The result is what Maartun called a “fairly balanced but not yet bullish picture.” Long-term holders are accumulating, strategic demand has appeared, and weaker participants are being flushed out. But short-term holders are still selling at a loss, whales are distributing into strength, and price has not reclaimed a key structural threshold. That leaves the market in a conditional state. If demand can continue absorbing supply and push Bitcoin back above the short-term holder realized price, the improving backdrop could begin to translate into a more durable uptrend. Until then, Maartun’s conclusion is more restrained: the internal structure is getting better, but the rally has not yet earned the benefit of the doubt. At press time, BTC traded at $75,088. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) purchased another $256 million worth of Bitcoin on April 21, continuing its aggressive accumulation strategy. The move follows recent buys of 3,672 BTC and 3,899 BTC earlier in the week. With total holdings now valued at over $61 billion at around $76,000 per Bitcoin, IBIT remains the largest spot Bitcoin …
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index climbed above 29 on Monday for the first time since January 29, pulling out of “extreme fear” and settling into plain “fear.” It is a small move on a scale, but in crypto markets, it signals a shift in mood that money tends to follow. Related Reading: XRP A Strong Buy Before 2027 Despite 27% Drop In 2026: Finance Advisory Firm Funds Flow Back In Crypto investment products drew $1.4 billion in fresh inflows last week, according to data from CoinShares — the second-largest weekly figure recorded since January. The gain built on the prior week’s $1.1 billion, stretching the inflow run to three straight weeks and $2.7 billion combined. Total assets under management across crypto exchange-traded products rose close to $155 billion, the highest mark since early February. Just weeks earlier, in March, that figure had fallen as low as $128 billion. CoinShares head of research James Butterfill pointed to a recovering appetite for risk, tied largely to ongoing US-Iran ceasefire talks. Bitcoin’s price added to the mood, briefly pushing toward $78,000 on Friday before pulling back. Bitcoin And Ether Lead, Altcoins Get Left Behind Bitcoin products captured the bulk of the action. Data shows inflows into Bitcoin ETPs reached $1.12 billion for the week, pushing year-to-date totals to $3 billion, with assets under management sitting at $123 billion. US spot Bitcoin ETFs alone accounted for roughly $1 billion of that weekly total. Ether had its strongest week since January, pulling in $328 million. That was enough to flip Ether ETPs into positive territory for the year, with year-to-date inflows now sitting at $197 million. Not everything moved in the same direction. XRP products bled $56 million in outflows, the largest among altcoins. Solana recorded smaller but still negative flows of $2.3 million. Short-Bitcoin products took in just $1.4 million, suggesting only a thin slice of investors are still betting against the market. Inflation Data Gets Brushed Aside Geographically, the US drove most of the action — $1.5 billion in inflows. Germany came in second at $28 million. Switzerland ran the other way, posting $138 million in outflows. Related Reading: Strategy Raises $1.76B War Chest As Saylor Signals Bigger Bitcoin Buy March CPI came in at 3.3% year over year, with core inflation at 2.6%. Based on reports from CoinShares, markets largely looked past the headline number, treating core inflation as contained and supply-driven rather than broad-based. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView
A CryptoQuant analyst has explained how the recent Bitcoin recovery has still looked like a bear market rally based on signals in on-chain metrics. Bitcoin Recovery Has Come Alongside A Rise In The LTH Supply In a new thread on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has discussed the recent recovery run that Bitcoin has witnessed. This surge has arrived after BTC stabilized into a consolidation range following its low at the start of February. Related Reading: Bitcoin Mining Network Collapsing Into AI At Record Pace, Analyst Warns On-chain data suggests that this bottoming process started alongside an uptick in the supply of the long-term holders (LTHs). The LTHs are defined as investors who have been holding onto their tokens since more than 155 days ago. As the below chart shows, the 30-day change in the supply of this Bitcoin cohort was negative between mid-2025 and January 2026, indicating that the diamond hands of the network were distributing their coins. Since the end of January, however, the metric has flipped negative, a sign that coins have been becoming a part of the LTH supply. Note that this metric has a 155-day delay attached between when buying occurred and when it reflects on the data since coins first have to be held for 155 days before they can be classified into the group. As such, the green netflow doesn’t imply accumulation that’s occurring in the present. What it does suggest, however, is that the market has seen the rise of HODLing conviction as BTC has settled into the consolidation phase. In the last month, 345,000 BTC has matured into the group. “That’s structural strength building under the surface,” noted Maartunn. While the latest price recovery has come alongside a surge in the Bitcoin LTH supply, it has also been met with selling pressure. The short-term holders (STHs), investors with a holding time of 155 days or lower, sent about 60,000 BTC to exchanges. Another metric shows that STHs have been transferring their Bitcoin at a loss recently, suggesting that they have still been exiting at a loss despite the recovery surge. Distribution has not just come from the STHs, but also the large entities holding more than 100 BTC in their wallets, who have seen their exchange inflows pick up. Related Reading: Bitcoin Recovery Fails To Lift Market Sentiment From Extreme Fear The selling pressure from these groups could be why the Bitcoin rally hasn’t been able to push higher despite the trend in the LTH supply and the accumulation from Strategy. “For now, this still looks like a bear market rally…” said Maartunn. “But a strong breakout could quickly shift the trend.” BTC Price Bitcoin surged above $78,000 last week, but the asset has since seen a setback as its price has dropped to $75,300. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin price started a recovery wave from the $73,650 zone. BTC is consolidating and might struggle to clear the $76,500 resistance zone. Bitcoin managed to form a base above $74,000 and started a recovery wave. The price is trading above $75,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $75,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might gain bullish momentum if it settles above the $76,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Aims Higher Bitcoin price extended losses below the $75,500 support zone. BTC even spiked below $74,000 before the bulls appeared. A low was formed at $73,637, and the price is now attempting to recover. There was a move above the $74,500 and $75,000 levels. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $75,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair even surpassed the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $78,344 swing high to the $73,637 low. Bitcoin is now trading above $75,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $75,000, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $76,500 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $78,344 swing high to the $73,637 low. The first key resistance is near the $77,250 level. A close above the $77,250 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $78,000 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $78,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $80,000. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $76,500 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $75,400 level. The first major support is near the $75,000 level. The next support is now near the $74,250 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $73,650 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $72,000, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now moving lower toward the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $75,000, followed by $74,250. Major Resistance Levels – $76,500 and $77,250.
The latest Bitcoin (BTC) price rebound above $78,000 has sparked renewed optimism across the market, as investor sentiment has flipped bullish. However, not all market watchers are convinced that the momentum will last. Crypto analyst Marmot is warning that the recent price surge may be masking deeper weakness underneath, urging investors and traders not to trust it. As bullish forecasts continue to spread across the market, Marmot believes traders may overlook signals that often precede sharp reversals and major shifts in market direction. Why Bitcoin’s Rally Above $78,000 Could Be A Trap Marmot has warned that Bitcoin’s recent price rally could be a major bull trap rather than a sustained breakout. According to him, the rebound resembles a classic distribution pattern designed to shake out retail traders before a sharp decline occurs. Related Reading: This Indicator Used To Predict Bitcoin Bottoms Is Flashing Below $50,000 In his post on X, the analyst cautioned investors and traders against trusting BTC’s bounce above $78,000, as market participants increasingly call for a price of $100,000 even as the cryptocurrency may still be in a bear market. He argued that Bitcoin’s real market move remains undetected and unknown to virtually 99% of traders despite growing bullish sentiment. Supporting his bearish forecast, Marmot highlighted two identical structures on a Bitcoin price chart, showing that the cryptocurrency had experienced a massive price surge between December 2025 and January 2026 after its all-time high above $126,000. At the time, BTC formed a triangle wedge pattern, where prices climbed to a range between $96,000 and $100,000 before a massive price crash to below $65,000 in February 2026. Marmot’s chart shows that the same pattern is now unfolding in real time. Bitcoin is currently grinding inside a consolidation triangle wedge between roughly $72,000 and $80,000 following its recent price spike. If historical patterns repeat, the analyst expects Bitcoin to experience another major correction, this time down to the $50,000 range. This would represent a more than 33.5% crash from levels above $75,200, at the time of writing. ETF Flows And Liquidity Add Pressure To BTC In his post, Marmot also pointed to several factors that continue to add more pressure on Bitcoin’s price and outlook. He pointed to Spot Bitcoin ETF activity, noting that they had recently recorded their largest outflows in months. He stated that approximately $300 million was withdrawn in a single day, with outflows also seen in Fidelity’s ETF. Related Reading: Iran Ceasefire Drives Bitcoin Above $75,000, But Can It Push BTC To $100,000? Moreover, while retail investors continue buying the dip, Marmot argued that institutions are selling into the strength. Rather than fully exiting the market, the analyst said that large players are rotating capital elsewhere, as part of a broader repositioning. Marmot also claimed that liquidity walls imposed by investment firms such as BlackRock are helping to hold prices up artificially. He noted that the reason is likely to create exit liquidity for smart money while demand from smaller traders remains active. While Marmot has acknowledged that a Bitcoin price crash may not happen immediately, he warned that once liquidity leaves the market, the cryptocurrency’s downside move could be fast and severe. As a result, he has urged traders not to buy near the top while funds are still rebalancing. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin is showing renewed strength after a sharp rebound, signaling that buyers are stepping back in at key levels. With momentum building and price pushing higher, attention is now shifting toward the $79,000 resistance zone, where a breakout could confirm continued upside and open the door for a stronger rally. Selling Pressure After Initial Reaction Bitcoin saw an immediate response to yesterday’s developments, facing notable selling pressure as the market processed the news. Analyst Kamile Uray highlights that while the initial reaction was bearish, the possibility for a continued rally remains on the table, provided the immediate low of $73,371 is successfully defended. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Gives Back Gains, But Structure Remains Bullish However, a 4-hour candle close below this mark would likely trigger a deeper correction toward the $68,720 level, which represents the critical 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the most recent upward wave. Holding this support provides the foundation for a fresh leg up. On the bullish side, a decisive close above $79,000 would signal a continuation of the broader uptrend toward much higher targets. Uray identifies a major resistance cluster between $98,000 and $107,000–$109,000. Should the price face a rejection at these elevated levels, traders should expect a return to the previous support zones, ranging from $73,371 to the $66,000 region. Examining the daily timeframe, the $65,666 level serves as a pivot point. As long as Bitcoin maintains its position above this threshold, the overall structure remains skewed toward a potential rise. A failure to hold the $65,666 level would shift the focus to lower support levels at $63,823, $62,433, and $60,000. The most critical warning comes at the $60,000 mark; a daily close below this psychological and technical barrier would likely extend the corrective phase significantly. Bitcoin Bounces Strongly As Week Kicks Off In his most recent update, analyst Michaël van de Poppe noted a relatively strong upward bounce for Bitcoin on Monday. This movement is particularly significant as it occurs during a period where markets typically trend toward a risk-off stance ahead of the weekly opening. The ability of Bitcoin to push higher against this cautious backdrop suggests underlying strength in current demand. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breakout Confirmed, But Is It Real Or A Bull Trap? A key factor in this analysis is the recent decoupling from traditional safe-haven assets. While Bitcoin has shown resilience and upward momentum, gold has trended downward. Looking at the weekly outlook, the presence of a price gap at the $77,300 level remains a primary focal point for traders. Given the strength of the recent bounce and the existing technical vacuum toward that higher level, Bitcoin is expected to fill this gap and achieve new highs before the current week concludes. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
While April has been one of the turbulent months for the crypto markets, it has been one of the stronger months for Bitcoin. The monthly returns of the star crypto have exceeded 10% for the first time in the past 10 months, mainly after undergoing 5 straight bearish months followed by a rebound in March. …
For over a decade, Bitcoin has been championed as a financial system beyond the reach of government institutions or elite influence. Its decentralization narrative, built on open-source code, distributed consensus, and a global network of participants, has made it a symbol of financial independence. However, fresh waves of speculation tied to the Epstein files are now challenging that perception, pushing the conversation into more uncomfortable territory. Who Actually Influences The Bitcoin Network In Practice? A narrative is spreading that the Jeffrey Epstein Files reveal that Israel hijacked control of the Bitcoin network over a decade ago. The Matrixbot revealed on X that Israel was paying salaries of 60% of BTC core developers and offered highly exclusive gifts behind the scenes. Related Reading: Bitcoin Pioneer Adam Back Addresses Mention In Epstein Files Furthermore, Epstein and Israel were also the major investors in Blockstream, a company that works with Tether and exerts significant influence over BTC. They can manipulate the BTC price by issuing unbacked Tether, controlling the network code because they hired most of the developers, and own a majority of the nodes. According to Matrixbot, this claim shows that Israel has direct access to the code and influence over the BTC. The idea of decentralization is clearly illusory, and it is deeply concerning that the network could be manipulated by a single state operating behind the scenes. Record Realized Losses Signal Extreme Market Stress In Bitcoin This bear cycle has driven Bitcoin into one of the largest aggressive realized losses in dollar regimes in its history. OnChainMind has noted that at the peak of the downturn, the network recorded nearly $1 billion per day in net realized losses. Data shows that the bulk of the early selling pressure originated from investors who had entered the market just 3 to 6 months ago, often referred to as weak hands. Related Reading: Bitcoin LTH Data Turns Cautious: Supply Rises, But SOPR Stays Below 1.0 Currently, a more resilient cohort of holders who held for 6 to 12 months is beginning to show signs of strain. Historically, when progressively stronger hands begin to capitulate, it signals a late-stage bear market dynamic. Crypto trader known as ctm_trader has also pointed out that Bitcoin has been grinding higher, with 7 out of the last 8 two-day candles closing green. This kind of non-stop upward price action is often difficult to sustain, leading to massive liquidations. The last time BTC printed a similar structure, the price pulled back nearly half the move within hours, triggering large-scale liquidations and wiping out millions. Now, the liquidity sitting below is even larger. At the same time, indicators are flashing an overbought market. As the recent price action and structure are bearish, and BTC just swept the recent highs, it raises the possibility that the market could be positioning for a larger move to the downside. Featured image from Peakpx, chart from Tradingview.com
The firm said it is exploring the potential to deploy bitcoin mining, but remains committed to progressing the site for UK energy security.
Michael Saylor’s Strategy has acquired 34,164 BTC for about $2.54B at an average price of $74,395 per Bitcoin. This latest purchase brings its total holdings to 815,061 BTC, accumulated for roughly $61.56B at an average cost of $75,527. The firm also reports a 9.5% BTC yield year-to-date in 2026. The move highlights Strategy’s continued aggressive …
This significant investment may influence Bitcoin's market dynamics, potentially impacting its volatility and institutional adoption trends.
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