Whales have bought around 270,000 Bitcoin in the past 30 days, marking the largest accumulation wave since 2013. At the same time, Bitcoin held on exchanges has dropped to about 2.21 million BTC, the lowest level since December 2017. Analysts say this shows strong accumulation by large holders while available selling supply shrinks. The trend …
Easing geopolitical tensions have strengthened bullish momentum, pushing Bitcoin price to test $76,000 for the first time in two months. At the same time, the Fear & Greed Index has climbed to a six-month high, signaling a shift in sentiment from fear toward neutral. As a result, BTC is now approaching a critical turning point, …
As Bitcoin (BTC) attempts to hold the $74,000-$75,000 area, an analyst suggested that the flagship crypto could see another 10% rally toward a key area, but warned that this level could be the ceiling. Related Reading: BNB Chain’s RWA Value Tops $3.5 Billion As Global Ecosystem Grows Bitcoin Double Bottom Breakout Targets Key Level In a Wednesday analysis, crypto analyst Rekt Capital shared an outlook for Bitcoin’s potential rally, as it holds the $73,000-$74,000 area as support for the first time in a month. The analyst highlighted that BTC’s price continues to move between its 2021 and 2024 all-time highs (ATHs), which have been a major resistance area since the early February correction. After the recent market rally, the flagship crypto retested the 2021 ATH as a new support level on the weekly timeframe, but ultimately rejected from the 2024 ATH during last week’s close. According to the analyst, if Bitcoin can weekly close above the 2024 ATH, located around $74,000, then the price could move into the high $70,000. “Until that confirmation, however, price will continue to be sandwiched between 2021 and 2024 old All Time Highs,” he added. Rekt Capital also noted that BTC has formed a double bottom pattern in the weekly timeframe, and is “now pressing beyond the resistance” of the formation. As he explained, the cryptocurrency would need a weekly close and a post-breakout retest of the top of the double bottom, around $72,810, to confirm a breakout. If it confirms a breakout from this formation, the price could rally toward the $81,000-$82,500 area in a Measured Move. Nonetheless, the analyst warned that, given the phase of the market cycle we are currently in, the price will likely develop a macro market structure that “will appear sufficiently bullish only to ultimately fail over time.” “The failure could occur by virtue of rejecting from the Double Bottom resistance, by failed post-breakout retest to register a fake-breakout, or by falling short of a Measured Move once the breakout is confirmed.” BTC Resembles 2014 Breakdown Rekt Capital also analyzed BTC’s historical behavior to assess the ongoing rally’s potential failure. The analyst noted that whenever Bitcoin has broken down from its macro triangle formation, the price usually retraces until it forms a bear market bottom. However, the way the cryptocurrency does that has differed from cycle to cycle, he detailed. In 2018 and 2022, the breakdown led to a very quick bearish acceleration toward the bear market bottom accumulation period. On the contrary, Bitcoin consolidated below the triangle base in 2014, retested it, and saw another leg down. This time, BTC’s performance resembles its 2014 breakdown, as it has been consolidating behind the triangle base after losing it in January. To the analyst, if the cryptocurrency continues to mirror its 2014 performance, the price could consolidate a bit longer, potentially rally to the base at $82,500, before rejecting. “Furthermore, Bitcoin tends to build major consolidation periods on breakdowns from Macro Triangles. In 2018 and 2022, these major consolidation periods developed at Bear Market bottoms,” Rekt Capital explained. Related Reading: Bitmine’s Ethereum Holdings Hits 4% Supply Milestone After 71,524 ETH Buy “Whereas in 2014, Bitcoin built two such periods: just beneath the Macro Triangle it broke down from, and then later at its respective Bear Market Bottom,” he continued. The analyst concluded that if history repeats, BTC’s current consolidation could precede additional downside, and another major consolidation period could develop during the bear market bottom. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is pushing into a technically important area, with price tightening against resistance and a larger move in either direction looking increasingly likely. BTC is trading around the $73,000–$74,000 range, showing a rough 5–6% short-term gain, signaling a steady recovery phase in the market. The setup looks constructive on the surface, but analysts who have …
A proposed court deal in the movie2k case could put another 57,000 Bitcoin within reach of the German state, reviving a supply-overhang story that the market thought had largely passed after Saxony’s 2024 Bitcoin liquidation. Local news MDR reported this week that the presiding judge has outlined a possible agreement that would let Saxony keep the €2.64 billion ($3.112 billion) already raised from last year’s Bitcoin sale and potentially obtain access to additional coins allegedly still controlled by the main defendant. German State Could Gain Access To 57,000 BTC The case centers on the former operators of the illegal streaming portal movie2k.to, now on trial. The lead defendant, 42, is charged in part with commercial money laundering, while a second defendant, 39, faces money-laundering and tax-evasion allegations. The original copyright offenses tied to roughly 220,000 unauthorized works are now time-barred, but the fight over the Bitcoin fortune remains very much alive. After the main defendant’s arrest in 2023, authorities received 49,858 BTC, which were later sold in June and July 2024 for about €2.64 billion. According to MDR’s reporting, the judge sketched the deal on Monday as a way to shorten proceedings rather than litigate every alleged money-laundering violation one by one. Under that outline, the main defendant would confess and receive a prison sentence of one to one-and-a-half years, suspended on probation, while the co-defendant would receive eight to 12 months, also suspended. The real market-moving clause is elsewhere: Saxony would be able to lawfully confiscate the 2024 sale proceeds, and the defendant would also hand over access to another 57,000 BTC (worth roughly $4.224 billion) that prosecutors believe he still controls. Related Reading: What Presidio Bitcoin Found About Quantum Computing: Threat Timeline And Next Steps The legal hinge is whether expired copyright counts still leave room for asset confiscation through the remaining charges and related forfeiture mechanisms. In remarks carried by MDR, court spokesperson Katrin Seidel framed it this way: “It is, in essence, about a large number of copyright violations. But those are time-barred. That means criminal law can no longer reach them.” She added that the money generated from those acts can still potentially be stripped away as criminal proceeds, which is one of the central issues in the case. The 57,000 BTC figure is not coming out of thin air. Prosecutors have argued that the main defendant originally acquired 136,000 BTC with proceeds from advertising and subscription traps linked to the site. After subtracting the nearly 50,000 BTC already transferred to authorities, additional amounts allegedly sold off, and 22,000 BTC and 5,000 BTC said to have been paid to associates, the state’s working assumption is that around 57,000 BTC remain. That estimate has been part of the prosecution narrative since the opening phase of the trial. Related Reading: Bitcoin Could Be Near A Bigger Breakout As Key Metrics Turn, Capriole Founder Says The defense has pushed back hard. In dpa-covered proceedings, lawyers described the indictment as “economically driven,” arguing that the case appears aimed above all at dividing up the defendants’ Bitcoin wealth and constructing a basis for state seizure. That tension matters because the proposal is not final, the defense has criticized its premise, and it remains unclear whether the main defendant would accept any deal that includes surrendering access to additional coins. For Bitcoin traders, the story is less about an immediate transfer than about the reappearance of a familiar risk: state-controlled supply that could eventually be sold into the market. Saxony’s last liquidation became a widely watched price event. If this deal advances and the 57,000 BTC are actually reachable, that overhang comes back into view. At press time, Bitcoin traded at $74,320. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Charles Hoskinson used a lengthy video address this week to deliver what he described as a long overdue reckoning for Bitcoin maximalists, centred on a quantum computing threat he says is no longer theoretical and a proposed fix he says does not actually work. As of March 1, 2026, over 34% of all Bitcoin has …
Bitcoin has faced strong rejection around the $76,000 resistance zone, signaling that bullish momentum is beginning to fade at higher levels. With selling pressure increasing and key support levels now in focus, the market is entering a critical phase where a breakdown could start to take shape if buyers fail to regain control. Rejection At $74,000–$76,000 Caps Bitcoin’s Momentum Bitcoin faced a firm rejection after pushing into the $74,000–$76,000 resistance zone, highlighting strong selling pressure at the top of the range. The inability to sustain momentum above this region suggests that bulls are struggling to take full control, leaving price vulnerable to short-term pullbacks. Related Reading: Why Every Bitcoin Macro Triangle Breakdown Has Led To A Retracement Phase According to analyst Kamile Uray, the $70,467 level on the 4-hour chart has now become a critical pivot point. As long as BTC continues to hold above this level, the structure remains supportive of further upside. If a breakout above resistance occurs with strong volume confirmation, Bitcoin could extend its rally toward the $79,000 level. Beyond that, $98,000 stands as the next major macro target to monitor. However, repeated rejection at resistance combined with a breakdown below $70,467 would weaken the structure and likely open the door for a move into the $68,000–$66,000 support region. On the daily timeframe, the $65,666 level remains a crucial foundation for the broader trend. Staying above it preserves the bullish outlook in the bigger picture, but a decisive close below this level would signal growing weakness. In that scenario, BTC could revisit support zones at $63,823, $62,433, and $60,000, with a daily close under $60,000 potentially confirming a more extended bearish phase. Bearish Engulfing Hints At Shift In Market Control In a recent BTC update on the 4-hour timeframe, analyst Minga revealed that the price is currently ranging above the previous weekly high on lower timeframes, indicating a period of consolidation after the recent upward push. While holding above this level suggests some underlying strength, the lack of follow-through highlights growing hesitation among buyers. Related Reading: Bitcoin Supply Map Reveals Key Support And Resistance Zones – Analyst On the 4H chart, Bitcoin pushed into the upper boundary of its rising channel but was met with a strong rejection. The move was followed by a bearish engulfing candle, a pattern that often signals a shift in momentum at key resistance zones. The first 4H candle of the new day attempted to reclaim upside momentum but ultimately closed as an inverted hammer. Such a formation typically reflects a potential continuation to the downside. Bears are gradually stepping in and building a stronger case for a pullback. A decisive break below the $73,700 level could accelerate the move toward the lower boundary of the rising wedge. If that structure breaks to the downside, Bitcoin could extend its decline toward the monthly open region around $65,000 over the coming weeks. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin price started a fresh surge and cleared the $74,500 zone. BTC is consolidating and might aim for more gains above the $75,000 level. Bitcoin managed to stay above $73,500 and started a fresh increase. The price is trading above $74,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a declining channel forming with resistance at $75,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might extend gains if it stays above the $73,650 and $73,300 levels. Bitcoin Price Aims for Steady Gains Bitcoin price found support near $73,000 and started a fresh increase. BTC gained pace for a move above the $73,500 and $73,650 resistance levels. The last swing high was formed at $76,088 before there was a downside correction. The price dipped below $74,000. It even spiked below the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $70,518 swing low to the $76,088 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $74,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is also a declining channel forming with resistance at $75,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. If the price remains stable above $73,650, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $75,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $75,500 level. A close above the $75,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $76,000 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $77,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $78,000. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $75,500 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $74,250 level. The first major support is near the $73,650 level. The next support is now near the $73,300 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $70,518 swing low to the $76,088 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $72,650 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $72,000, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $73,650, followed by $73,300. Major Resistance Levels – $75,000 and $76,000.
The idea of a hidden backdoor in Bitcoin strikes at the very heart of what the network claims to represent: decentralization, transparency, and trustless control. Over the years, a persistent theory has circulated, suggesting that before disappearing, Satoshi Nakamoto may have left behind an override key. This mechanism could theoretically influence or even control the network. The Mystery Behind Satoshi Nakamoto And The Bitcoin Origins In the early days of Bitcoin, Satoshi Nakamoto introduced the Alert Key and gave one developer the secret key that could override every BTC node. An analyst known as Sweep, the Co-Founder of GlydeGG, revealed on X that in 2010, after the infamous 184 billion bug coin that nearly collapsed the entire network, Satoshi Nakamoto introduced this key designed to help protect Bitcoin in emergencies. Related Reading: Adam Back Denies Being Bitcoin Creator In Response To NYT: ‘I Am Not Satoshi’ When a valid alert was received, BTC clients could enter a form of safe mode, warning users and, in certain cases, limiting normal operation to prevent further damage. Before stepping away, Satoshi transferred this powerful key to Gavin Andresen and also handed over the control of the code repository. Access to the key was reportedly limited to three people: Satoshi Nakamoto, Gavin Andresen, and Theymos. Between 2012 and 2014, the alert key was used 12 times to issue emergency upgrade notices. This decentralized currency with no central authority had a hidden override switch and was controlled by three individuals for six years. This mechanism remained in place until the release of BTC version 0.13.0 in 2016, when it was removed as the network matured and no longer required a centralized alert. Then, in 2018, developers published the key publicly, ensuring it could never be used again in any capacity. Sweep argues that even the most decentralized financial network in history has a hidden backdoor the entire time, and almost nobody knew about it. How Bitcoin Naturally Gravitates Toward Untapped Liquidity Zones Bitcoin’s price action is currently signaling that the rally is nearing exhaustion because the market has already achieved its primary objective on the upside. Crypto trader Max Trades on X has highlighted that the buyers have aggressively driven the price higher, sweeping through all the major liquidity clusters sitting above. With upside liquidity now largely cleared, the market naturally shifts its focus to where liquidity remains. Related Reading: Bitcoin Slides As Failed Diplomacy Sparks Wave Of Shorting Activity According to Max Trades, the first key area sits around $70,000, where a significant liquidity cluster aligns with a strong support level. Below that, another large cluster sits at the range low between $65,000 and $66,000. Even if the bullish trend continues, BTC would see a pullback around the current area and sweep the liquidity around the $70,000 zone. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin may be approaching another pivotal point in its long-term market cycle, according to a recent analysis shared by crypto analyst @CryptoTice on X. The analyst argues that a time-based signal that historically appeared at major market bottoms has triggered again, a development he suggests has previously preceded large upward expansions in price. A 14-Month Timing Pattern That Has Marked Bitcoin Bottoms The signal highlighted by CryptoTice centers on a recurring 14-month period that has historically followed Bitcoin’s most significant market downturns. In the chart attached to the analyst’s post, this timeframe appears repeatedly across several market cycles, each instance marked by a red segment labeled “14 Months” followed by a large green expansion box representing the next upward move. Related Reading: XRP Sentiment Is Sitting At Levels That Have Led To A Price Rally, But Is This Time Different? The pattern begins with the 2014 market cycle. After the prolonged decline that followed the 2013 peak, Bitcoin spent roughly fourteen months consolidating before establishing a durable bottom. According to the chart, the market then transitioned into a powerful rally that carried prices into the next major bull phase. A similar sequence appeared again after the 2018 bear market. The chart illustrates another fourteen-month stretch between the bottoming phase and the beginning of a major upward trend. Once that period concluded, Bitcoin entered the rally that eventually drove the market to new highs during the 2020–2021 cycle. The third example referenced in the chart occurs after the 2022 market downturn. Again, the timing window highlighted by the analyst spans approximately fourteen months before the market structure shifted upward. In each case, the chart visualizes a comparable structure: a defined time interval following a bear-market low, followed by a strong expansion phase. CryptoTice claims that the same timing alignment has now appeared again in 2026. Why Analysts Say This Bitcoin Signal Could Matter The analyst argues that the current cycle has now reached the same 14-month timing window that historically aligned with previous Bitcoin market bottoms. This timing condition alone does not confirm a rally. Instead, it acts as a structural prerequisite that has repeatedly appeared before major upward movements. Related Reading: It’s Too Early For A Bitcoin Price Bottom, Here’s What You Should Be Looking At The reasoning behind the signal focuses on broader market dynamics. According to the analysis, several underlying conditions have already unfolded during this period. Market risk has been repriced following previous volatility, excessive leverage within the system has been removed, and overall sentiment has cooled significantly compared to the peak of the previous cycle. When these factors combine with the historical timing structure, the analyst argues that the market environment begins to resemble previous transition points between bear phases and major bull markets. However, CryptoTice emphasizes that time alignment alone does not guarantee an immediate breakout. Instead, he frames the current moment as a potential opportunity window. If the historical pattern repeats as it did after 2014, 2018, and 2022, the analyst believes the market could once again be approaching the early stage of a major expansion cycle for Bitcoin. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto market analyst Marmot has sounded the alarm on the latest Bitcoin price surge, warning that the cryptocurrency’s rally above $70,000 is a “very, very bad” signal. He argues that Bitcoin has not flipped into bullish territory, urging investors and traders not to mistake the recent rebound as a sign of sustained recovery. Based on his technical analysis, Marmot believes that Bitcoin is yet to reach its true bottom, warning that the flagship cryptocurrency could still face another sharp decline. Why The Bitcoin Price Rebound Above $70,000 Is Bad Marmot has called Bitcoin’s price rebound above $74,000 a trap. In a post on X, he emphasized how dire the situation surrounding BTC is, suggesting that the market could be headed for a deeper pullback to new lows once the uptrend reverses. The analyst noted that Bitcoin’s pump above $72,000 was not without reason, highlighting that the bounce was a carefully designed whale trap to attract retail buyers before a broader sell-off. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Must Hold This Level Or Price Could Crash To $65,000 Again Marmot urged investors not to mistake this relief rally as the beginning of a new bull run. He noted that similar rallies have historically lured traders into poorly timed entries, only to be flushed out. The analyst also outlined why 90% of BTC traders typically get wiped out in November 2026, when previous bear market cycles bottomed. According to Marmot, during a bear market, Bitcoin often experiences bull traps, in which sudden price pumps create the illusion that the downtrend has ended. This move tends to fuel hope and trigger FOMO among investors, leading many to buy into the rebound. Once this happens, Bitcoin’s price reverses sharply to the downside, often falling back to levels it reached before the rally began, triggering heavy liquidations. The analyst emphasized that, beneath the recent price strength, global liquidity is drying up as institutions quietly exit the market to limit downside risk. With weaker demand and ongoing geopolitical tensions weighing heavily on market sentiment, Marmot believes Bitcoin’s bear market bottom is still very far away. Timeline And Target For Bitcoin’s Price Bottom In his chart analysis, Marmot referenced past cycles, noting that Bitcoin has historically experienced long drawdowns before forming a bottom. He pointed out that in 2012, Bitcoin traded sideways for up to 405 days before it hit a bottom. In the 2026 cycle, the cryptocurrency found a price floor after about 362 days, and finally, in 2020, the market declined for roughly 376 days before reaching a bottom. Related Reading: What The Bitcoin Relief Rally Above $71,000 Says About Where The Price Is Headed Based on this historical bear market pattern, Marmot estimates that Bitcoin’s capitulation phase in this cycle could occur between July and November 2026. His chart shows that BTC’s price could rise even higher above $78,000 before experiencing a final pullback below $54,000, where it may likely find its true bottom. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin (BTC) is pressing up against a major decision point after failing to break above the $76,000 resistance level. Following consecutive rejections in that area, the cryptocurrency has shifted into consolidation once again. Bitcoin Set For A ‘Final Push’ One of the latest bullish takes came on Wednesday from market analyst Ted Pillows, who recently suggested that Bitcoin has broken out of a broader 7-month downtrend. In his view, this shift is supported by a technical signal on the weekly chart: a weekly MACD bullish cross. Pillows argues that, together, these developments could trigger what he describes as a final push higher, with BTC potentially targeting the $77,000–$78,000 zone. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Breaks Higher: What The Market Data Says Could Happen Next Yet Pillows also included a warning that tempers the upside outlook. He said that after Bitcoin reaches that area, the cryptocurrency could fall to new yearly lows in the second quarter, without offering a specific price level for how low BTC might drop. In explaining why a bottom might form later, Pillows pointed to the macroeconomic backdrop. He believes the new Federal Reserve (Fed) chair will accelerate rate cuts and drive liquidity injections in the third quarter as mid-term elections approach. According to his scenario, that policy shift would help establish a market bottom for Bitcoin and could set the stage for a “V-shape” recovery, similar to what the market experienced during March 2020 and again in April 2025. Extreme Capitulation Scenario A separate technical post from analyst Ali Martinez focused more directly on timing and “capitulation” levels that could define the floor. Martinez highlighted the Long-Term Holder (LTH) Realized Price of approximately $49,387 as what he called the final line of defense for the cycle. Related Reading: What Presidio Bitcoin Found About Quantum Computing: Threat Timeline And Next Steps In his framework, if Bitcoin reaches that level and holds, it may prevent the market from sliding into a more severe outcome. However, Martinez also described an extreme scenario—what he referred to as a “black swan” event—where a further wick down could occur to the -0.2 Standard Deviation Band at $36,657. Martinez suggested that these two levels can be viewed as “Generational Entries,” meaning they could represent points where longer-term participants step in and where conditions begin to shift from capitulation toward recovery. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
BTC's recent rally is facing rising profit-taking risk, with several indicators showing growing signs of selling pressure, according to CQ.
Bitcoin is consolidating around the $74,000 level after a stretch of bullish price action that has brought buyers back into the market and renewed optimism around a broader recovery. While price momentum remains the focus for most traders, an important structural development is quietly unfolding on the supply side — one that could play a meaningful role in determining whether the current strength holds or fades. Related Reading: Ethereum Just Saw Its Strongest Institutional Demand Signal Since October: Find Out If It Lasts According to an Arab Chain report, the Miners’ Position Index has moved into negative territory, recording a reading of approximately -0.83. That reading reflects a clear shift in miner behavior: rather than transferring Bitcoin to exchanges in preparation for selling, miners are currently opting to hold. The result is a meaningful reduction in one of the market’s most consistent sources of structural selling pressure. The historical context makes the current reading more significant. When the MPI rises above 2, it has consistently signaled periods of elevated miner selling — and the chart shows that those spikes have coincided with price corrections. The current negative reading represents the opposite condition: miners are not adding to exchange supply, and the overhead pressure that those transfers typically create is largely absent from the market right now. For Bitcoin attempting to consolidate gains near $74,000, that matters. Rallies that develop without miner selling pressure tend to face fewer internal headwinds than those that must absorb simultaneous supply from the network’s largest producers. A Different Pattern From the Spikes The chart history behind the current MPI reading adds important context. Over the previous months, the index experienced several sharp spikes above the 2 level — and each one coincided with a period of price weakness for Bitcoin. That correlation was not subtle. When miners moved aggressively to exchanges, price followed downward. The pattern was consistent enough to function as a leading indicator of short-term selling pressure entering the market from one of its most structurally significant sources. The current phase looks different. Rather than spiking, the index is moving within a low, stable range — a behavioral shift that suggests miners have collectively stepped back from the distribution posture that defined those earlier episodes. At -0.83, the index is not just below the danger threshold. It is signaling that the miners who drove previous corrections are currently sitting on their coins rather than moving them toward exchanges. With Bitcoin trading near $74,000, the timing of that shift matters. A price attempting to consolidate at elevated levels is considerably more durable when the supply side is quiet than when it is actively adding overhead. The report frames the outlook carefully — continued stability in the MPI would support more balanced price action going forward, while any return toward the 2 threshold would warrant closer attention as a signal that miner behavior is shifting back toward distribution. For now, the pressure that caused previous corrections is absent. That is not a guarantee of further upside, but it removes one of the clearest historical triggers for downside. Related Reading: XRP Has Not Been This Illiquid Since 2021: The Setup Nobody Is Talking About Bitcoin Approaches Structural Inflection Point Bitcoin is attempting to reclaim the $74,000 level after a sharp February breakdown that reset market structure and flushed leverage. The selloff, marked by a high-volume capitulation wick into the low $60,000s, defined the current range and established a clear local bottom. Since then, the price has been forming a series of higher lows, indicating gradual buyer re-entry and stabilization. The recovery, however, is now testing a critical confluence zone. The $74,000–$75,000 region aligns with prior support turned resistance and sits directly beneath the declining 100-day moving average (green), while the 200-day (red) remains significantly higher, reinforcing the broader downtrend. Related Reading: Ethereum Profit-Loss Indicator Is Hovering Just Below Neutral – The Market Waits for A Catalyst Short-term momentum is improving. The 50-day moving average (blue) has turned upward and is supporting price from below, suggesting that the current move is structurally healthier than previous relief rallies. However, the lack of expansion in volume compared to the February capitulation implies that this is still a controlled recovery rather than aggressive accumulation. The key variable is acceptance above $75,000. A sustained break would shift the structure toward a continuation phase and open the path toward the $80,000 region. Failure to break cleanly would likely result in another rejection, reinforcing the current range between roughly $68,000 and $75,000. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum has already shown the way. While Bitcoin climbed roughly 5% in a single day, Ether moved more than 8% — outpacing it by a factor of nearly 1.4. That gap, according to one analyst, is a preview of what the broader crypto market could do if Bitcoin keeps climbing through the rest of April. Related Reading: ‘Extremely Good News’ – XRP DeFi Momentum Builds As SEC Softens Position On Interfaces A Specific Price Level Is Drawing Attention Michael Van de Poppe, founder of MN Fund and a widely followed market analyst, says Bitcoin has a clear path to the $80,000–$85,000 range before the month closes out. He made the call on X this week, pointing to a recovering global market as the main force behind the expected move. Bitcoin was trading around $74,500 at the time of his post, up more than 5% in 24 hours, with trading volume jumping over 90% over the same period. #Bitcoin aims to attack the highs and is consolidating around $75K. If it blasts through $75K with volume, we’ll be in for $80-85K this month, as that’s where the higher timeframe resistances are. Yesterday I’ve made an analysis with several scenarios that I’m looking for.… pic.twitter.com/zq47n6NhXk — Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) April 14, 2026 The $85,000 target would mark a return to price levels Bitcoin last visited in late January, when it slipped from around $89,000 down to $84,600. Getting back there would represent a gain of nearly 14% from where it stood when Van de Poppe made his call. One level matters more than the rest right now: $75,000. According to Van de Poppe, breaking through that resistance with strong volume behind it sets the stage for the run to $80,000–$85,000 — where heavier selling pressure from longer-term chart history tends to sit. Bitcoin had already pushed past $75,000 by the time the analysis circulated. Downside Support Gives The Bull Case A Floor Van de Poppe also outlined what could keep the bullish scenario alive even if prices pull back. Based on his analysis, as long as Bitcoin holds above $72,000, there is better than a 70% chance it trades above $80,000 before April ends. That support zone acts as a line in the sand. A drop below it would likely change the picture. Related Reading: Dollar’s Shrinking Value Adds Fuel To XRP Bull Case: Finance Expert The backdrop helping Bitcoin here is broader than crypto. Global markets have been stabilizing after weeks of pressure tied to geopolitical tensions, and Bitcoin has moved in step with that recovery. Altcoins Could Amplify The Move Van de Poppe’s bigger claim may be the one about altcoins. He sees them moving at two to three times Bitcoin’s rate — meaning if Bitcoin gains 10%, altcoins could rise 20% to 30% or more. Reports indicate that this pattern tends to follow a predictable path. Capital flows into Bitcoin first, then into large-cap coins, and eventually rotates into smaller altcoins. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView
Bitdeer's total hashrate under management grew to 78.1 EH/s, including its massive self-mining fleet and hosted machines.
Goldman Sachs, the $3.5 trillion banking giant, has filed to launch an actively managed exchange-traded fund (ETF) that uses covered calls to generate income from Bitcoin. The April 14 filing for the Goldman Sachs Bitcoin Premium Income ETF marks a strategic pivot for the investment bank, which previously had a hostile relationship with the flagship digital […]
The post New Goldman Sachs Bitcoin fund is built for advisers seeking yield, not traders chasing the next rally appeared first on CryptoSlate.
The US-Iran war continues to affect Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices, with volatility at high levels. However, risk-on sentiment also appears to be returning, with open interest rising as BTC rises to a new multi-month high. How The US-Iran War Affects The Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin Prices In an X post, crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe noted that the US-Iran war continues to drive market volatility. He further remarked that there won’t be a path forward where the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices will do well if this continues to be the consensus. However, he added that the U.S. economy is “sufficiently weak” and that the Fed has no choice but to start printing money again, which is a positive for these risk assets. Related Reading: Bitcoin Is Playing Out The Same Cycle Again On A Bigger Scale Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices have so far held up amid the US-Iran war, with BTC rallying to a multi-month high of $76,000 yesterday. This comes as market participants continue to price in an imminent end to the war despite the fragile two-week ceasefire. US President Donald Trump recently mentioned that another round of peace talks could happen within the next two days, which has also sparked bullish sentiments. Interestingly, risk-on sentiment has increased amid the US-Iran war, which is also contributing to the rally for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices. On-chain analytics platform Santiment noted that BTC and ETH’s rally to their highest levels since the start of February comes with increased optimism, as margin and leveraged positions are being created rapidly. Santiment revealed that Bitcoin’s open interest has surged 59% over seven weeks, while Ethereum’s has climbed 45% over the same period. The platform noted that this reflects growing trader conviction but also introduces higher risk as crowded leveraged trades can quickly unwind. They added that when open interest climbs alongside prices, markets often become more volatile, with sudden squeezes in either direction more likely. Analyst Warns That BTC Has Yet To Form A Bottom Crypto analyst Colin has warned that a bear market bottom has unlikely formed despite the rebound in the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices amid the US-Iran war. He noted that the $60,000 February bottom for BTC was only four months into a typical 12-month cycle, which is why he believes that the $60,000 price level isn’t the bear market bottom. Related Reading: Ethereum Is About To Go ‘Parabolic’ – Analyst Signals Golden Triangle Formation The analyst acknowledged that the bear market could be shorter this time around, but not by 2/3 of the normal bear cycle. He also noted that Bitcoin’s drop so far from its October 2025 peak is only 53%, compared to the 77% crashes recorded in prior cycles. In line with this, Colin said, “The $60k bottom is *statistically unlikely* to be the bottom.” Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Gareth Soloway, chief market strategist at Verified.com, laid out his latest price targets for Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP this week. He said that Bitcoin has formed a micro bullish breakout on shorter timeframes while the bigger macro pattern remains bearish. Soloway has maintained an $80,000 upside target since February, and the charts still support that …
More than 87% of Argentinians surveyed in a January Coinbase poll said they view crypto and blockchain technology as a way to strengthen their financial independence — a sign that the role of Bitcoin in the global economy may already be shifting well beyond what markets have priced in. Related Reading: ‘Extremely Good News’ – XRP DeFi Momentum Builds As SEC Softens Position On Interfaces Bitcoin’s Dual Role Draws New Attention Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, made that case publicly this week. He said Bitcoin could one day command a total addressable market larger than gold’s $34 trillion valuation — but only if it manages to function both as a store of value and as an actual working currency. That’s a bigger claim than what Bitcoin bulls have traditionally made. For years, the comparison to gold was the headline argument. Now, a war is adding a new layer to that conversation. https://t.co/jxIcOn1e23 — Matt Hougan (@Matt_Hougan) April 14, 2026 Iran has proposed allowing ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz to pay a toll in crypto. The plan, reported in recent days amid escalating conflict with the United States, is being watched closely by Bitcoin investors. To Hougan, it points to something larger. In a world where countries have turned financial systems into weapons, he wrote on social media, Bitcoin is emerging as an option that no single government controls. A $1 Million Price Target — And Possibly Higher Hougan previously put a number on his store-of-value thesis: if Bitcoin captures 17% of that market over the next decade, each coin could be worth $1 million. Based on his latest comments, that figure may need to be revised upward if Bitcoin begins functioning like a currency alongside its role as a savings vehicle. At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades around $74,150, with a total market cap of roughly $1.4 trillion. Gold, by comparison, sits at $4,854 per ounce, with an estimated market cap exceeding $33 trillion. Corporate treasuries have also been buying in. Data shows private and public companies collectively hold more than 1.5 million Bitcoin, valued at over $116 billion. Merchant Adoption Remains A Work In Progress Still, the currency side of the equation has ground to cover. A study by academic publisher Springer Nature found roughly 11,000 merchants worldwide currently accept Bitcoin as payment — a relatively modest number for an asset of its size. Related Reading: Dollar’s Shrinking Value Adds Fuel To XRP Bull Case: Finance Expert Adoption has been strongest in countries where local currencies have collapsed. Citizens in Turkey and Venezuela, like those in Argentina, have turned to Bitcoin to protect savings against persistent inflation. Whether Iran’s crypto toll proposal signals a turning point for Bitcoin as an international currency — or simply reflects one sanctioned nation finding a workaround — remains to be seen. What’s clear is that Bitwise believes the story is bigger than gold alone. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView
A new Bitcoin proposal outlines a phased plan to restrict and eventually render quantum-vulnerable funds unspendable.
Bitcoin may be approaching a more consequential upside move if current technical and on-chain trends hold, according to Capriole founder Charles Edwards, who argued in a new market note that a cluster of macro, sentiment and blockchain indicators has shifted in a more constructive direction despite a volatile geopolitical backdrop. Edwards framed the current environment as unusually difficult to navigate, with markets swinging between war fears, oil spikes and a fast-moving AI threat landscape. Even so, he said the underlying signal from Bitcoin and broader macro data is increasingly hard to ignore, particularly if BTC can sustain a monthly and weekly close above $71,500, a level he described as a critical threshold. Bitcoin Technicals And On-Chain Turn Bullish On price structure alone, Edwards said a close above $71,500 would mark Bitcoin’s strongest technical monthly finish in a year. On the daily chart, he described the recent move as even more encouraging, citing an engulfing advance and notable relative strength against other markets since the start of the Iran war. That relative performance matters in his framework because Bitcoin had largely traded like a risk asset over the prior nine months. Related Reading: What Presidio Bitcoin Found About Quantum Computing: Threat Timeline And Next Steps He paired that chart view with a series of on-chain signals that, in his view, resemble prior accumulation zones. Normalized dormancy is low, which he said suggests long-term holders are not distributing into weakness. He also pointed to renewed “restacking” by longer-dated holders, including a recent turn in the 2-year-plus cohort, and to deeply depressed SOPR readings, which historically have often coincided with stronger forward Bitcoin opportunities. Miners are sending a similar message, he argued. Edwards said the market remains in a deep miner capitulation phase, referencing Hash Ribbons, while miner sell pressure is also unusually subdued. He added that one of the most important charts in his stack now shows institutions as net buyers again, a backdrop he said has accompanied every major Bitcoin appreciation phase of the last five years when demand exceeded newly mined supply. Taken together, the message was straightforward: “Amongst this swathe of data (and more) it’s hard not to be bullish on Bitcoin above $71.5K.” Macro Fear Is Fading, But Not Gone Edwards also tied Bitcoin’s improving backdrop to traditional market gauges. He highlighted a recent VIX macro buy signal after volatility dropped from above 30 toward the 20 area, a CNN Fear & Greed reading back in buy territory, and what he called the biggest weekly jump in US liquidity since May 2025. In his telling, those shifts suggest markets are beginning to move past the sharpest phase of geopolitical panic. That matters because, in his reading, markets are increasingly treating the Iran conflict as a contained risk rather than a lasting macro shock. Oil has moved back below $100, the US-Iran ceasefire is in place, and Bitcoin has outperformed equities by 11% since the war began, according to Edwards. For an asset that had spent months in a broad downtrend, he sees that as a meaningful change in character. He went further, arguing that markets may now be entering what he called “volatility fatigue,” a phase in which investors begin discounting daily headline reversals and return to pricing liquidity, growth and fundamentals instead. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Ramp Up Accumulation: Holdings Hit 2-Month High Still, the note was not purely a bullish market call. Edwards spent substantial time on what he sees as a growing AI-driven security threat to crypto infrastructure, especially DeFi and complex smart contract systems. He argued that increasingly capable models will compress the time needed to discover and exploit vulnerabilities from months to minutes. His advice was blunt: “If you don’t have a really good reason to use complex DeFi protocols and smart contracts, you probably shouldn’t be as we enter this new AI realm. Think about it. Is it really worth the complexity of juicing out that extra few basis points to lend/borrow/bridge/stake/restake?” That caution sits alongside the bullish case rather than against it. Edwards’ broader argument is that the market is starting to reward opportunity over fear, but only for investors who remain disciplined on risk. “Let’s not overweight the problems in our head, but be prepared accordingly,” he wrote. “Long-term performance has historically rewarded those that position for the optimistic outcome, while concurrently managing risks, diligently monitoring the data and acting with strong conviction. In short, if the current move breaks down next week, and risk metrics start flashing, our systematic portfolio will pivot accordingly. Until then, things look great for Bitcoin and equites today.” At press time, BTC traded at $74,117. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The bitcoin 30-day average funding rate has been negative for 46 consecutive days, matching the duration of the 2022 bear market bottom.
TeraWulf shares slid in pre-market trading after upsizing its equity raise to $900 million to fund an AI data center campus.
While others argue that the Bitcoin price has already found its bottom and could be gearing up for a bullish reversal, one crypto analyst has rejected these claims, expecting further downside instead. According to Marmot, a crypto expert on X, Bitcoin has not yet reached its true price floor. He warns that the flagship cryptocurrency could crash below $45,000 before any sustainable recovery to the upside takes shape. Bitcoin Price Action Mirrors 2022 Bear Market In a recent X post, Marmot shared a bearish analysis of Bitcoin, comparing its current bear market to past cycles. The analyst noted that Bitcoin’s recent price action closely mirrors patterns seen in the 2022 bear market. Related Reading: What The Bitcoin Relief Rally Above $71,000 Says About Where The Price Is Headed Notably, Bitcoin has already fallen more than 40% from its all-time high above $126,000 in October 2025. Since that peak, the flagship cryptocurrency has trended downward, recording brief price rallies, which Marmot has described as “fake recoveries.” These upside moves temporarily lure investors into the market before prices reverse sharply downwards, leading to losses. To support his bearish outlook, Marmot has divided Bitcoin’s current bear market into three phases. The first phase was completed after the cryptocurrency crashed by over 54%, now trading at around above $74,000. According to him, the market is now in the second bear phase, a period characterized by repeated bull traps, fakeouts, and continued volatility designed to wipe out short-term investors. The most recent bull trap was observed after the US-Iran ceasefire announcement, which sent Bitcoin surging briefly above $73,000. However, this rally proved short-lived as the price quickly reversed toward $71,000 before rebounding again above $74,000 at the time of writing. As bear traps repeatedly wipe out more shorts and long positions get caught in successive bull traps, Marmot argues that Bitcoin is now entering the final phase of its bear market. He believes that this stage is where Bitcoin’s true bottom is most likely to form. Analyst Forecasts The “Real” Bitcoin Bottom In his chart, Marmot placed Bitcoin’s projected bottom below the $43,700 level. With the price currently hovering around $74,000, this implies a potential decline of over 40% and a drop of more than 65% from its all-time high. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Must Hold This Level Or Price Could Crash To $65,000 Again Before reaching that low, Marmot predicts that the market could experience one final crash to shake out the remaining market participants. His price chart shows that Bitcoin experienced a bear trap and a bull trap before ultimately bottoming during the 2022 cycle. Notably, the current cycle is almost perfectly repeating the same pattern, with BTC’s bull and bear trap already complete as the market gears up for its next bottom crash. The chart also shows that rather than a straight decline to the projected price floor, BTC could first drop to $45,500, stage a brief rebound, and then hit a bottom before recovering and climbing back above $45,000 as its new bullish phase begins. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin price started a fresh surge and cleared the $74,200 zone. BTC is consolidating and might aim for more gains above the $75,500 level. Bitcoin managed to stay above $73,200 and started a fresh increase. The price is trading above $74,200 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a declining channel forming with resistance at $75,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might extend gains if it stays above the $73,950 and $72,650 levels. Bitcoin Price Aims for More Upsides Bitcoin price found support near $71,200 and started a fresh increase. BTC gained pace for a move above the $72,500 and $73,200 resistance levels. The bulls even pushed the price above the key level at $75,000. A high was formed at $76,088, and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a minor decline below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $70,518 swing low to the $76,088 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $74,200 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is also a declining channel forming with resistance at $75,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. If the price remains stable above $74,000, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $74,800 level. The first key resistance is near the $75,200 level. A close above the $75,200 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $76,000 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $77,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $78,000. Downside Correction In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $75,200 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $73,950 level. The first major support is near the $73,300 level. The next support is now near the $72,650 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $70,518 swing low to the $76,088 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $72,000 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $71,850, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $73,950, followed by $72,650. Major Resistance Levels – $75,200 and $76,000.
Nikita Bier, the head of product at X, has announced the platform’s second financial tool, Cashtags, after X Money. The tool will cater to a multitude of traditional and cryptocurrency traders and investors who move billions based on the information obtained from the platform. The feature comes just hours after Bier teased it, saying crypto …
The Bitcoin price is bouncing back strongly amid growing hopes for a potential shift in the standoff between the US and Iran. So far, BTC has gained roughly 10% in the weekly time frame. This pushed the asset back toward the $76,000 area and briefly marked a nearly one-month high. The move appears to have been driven by improving sentiment around the conflict, even as tensions remain very real and the US simultaneously took action in the region. Regulatory Clarity Before A Bigger Push? The Bitcoin price rally followed claims by President Donald Trump that Iran had reached out to his administration about possible peace talks. At the same time, the US began a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Related Reading: XRP Could Face Big Moves Based On CLARITY Act Outcomes – 3 Key Price Scenarios Damien Loh, chief investment officer at Ericsenz Capital, told Bloomberg that Bitcoin is behaving like other risk assets during the move. In his view, the market interpreted Trump’s comments as a sign that the timeline for a deal may be getting extended and that another round of discussions is being pursued. Loh also added an important nuance: the Bitcoin price has been trading better than broader risk assets, but he suggested it may take additional regulatory clarity before the next leg up can truly take hold. Specifically, he pointed to the possibility that the Bitcoin price could remain range-bound until the US passes the long-awaited CLARITY Act, the industry’s market structure framework. Bitcoin Price Breakout Is Just Getting Started Market analyst Ali Martinez, citing data from his latest analysis, argued that the current push higher is not finished. Martinez said BTC has finally broken above a descending trendline on its 12-hour chart after roughly two months of consolidation inside a symmetrical triangle. He described this as a structural change—essentially signaling that the “coiling” phase is over. If the breakout holds, Martinez expects the Bitcoin price could move toward $80,000, which would mark the highest point since January 31 of this year. Martinez also pointed out that the bullish momentum is happening for more reasons than just the Iran–US news. He said Bitcoin miners have paused forced selling and have been hoarding more than $330 million in BTC over the past few weeks. Related Reading: Three-Way Bitcoin Outlook Tied To US–Iran War—Which Case Is Most Realistic? On the demand side, the analyst said there’s a noticeable increase in interest from US-based institutions. He referenced the Coinbase Premium metric as one piece of evidence, noting that it has flipped positive. In his framing, a positive Coinbase Premium suggests that regulated capital may be positioning aggressively ahead of what could be the next upward move. Even after the Bitcoin price initially surged toward $76,000, it later retraced slightly. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price was trading around $75,163, still close to a key level Martinez has highlighted. He set a target of $75,300, explaining that reaching this price point would liquidate roughly $80 million in short positions. Martinez said this could trigger what he described as a “cascading effect,” where forced buying from liquidations catches bearish traders off guard and allows BTC to continue moving higher. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin has approached $75,000 as on-chain data shows the whale-sized investors have pushed their supply to the highest point since mid-February. Bitcoin Whale Holdings Have Crossed 4.25 Million BTC In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Santiment has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin whale supply. “Whales” typically refer to investors holding between 1,000 and 10,000 tokens of the cryptocurrency. Related Reading: Huge XRP Bull Market Ahead? Analyst Flags ‘Ultimate’ Buy Zone At the current exchange rate, this range converts to $74.5 million at the lower end and $745 million at the upper end. Thus, the only holders who would qualify for the cohort would be those with a substantial amount of capital invested in the asset. Given their massive size, whale entities can hold some degree of influence in the market. As such, their behavior can often be worth keeping an eye on. Below is the chart shared by Santiment that shows the data for the combined supply held by investors of this size, which can act as a proxy for their behavior. From the graph, it’s visible that the Bitcoin whale supply witnessed a decline earlier, indicating large investors were participating in distribution. Since bottoming out in mid-March, however, the metric has seen an upward reversal. The uptrend accelerated during this weekend, with whale-sized wallets scooping up 27,652 BTC (worth more than $2 billion) on Sunday alone. The fresh accumulation has meant that the whale supply has returned to 4.25 million BTC, which is the highest value of the metric since mid-February. A Bitcoin rally back toward the $75,000 level has followed the whale expansion, so it’s possible that buying from these humongous investors helped provide fuel for the surge. Whale behavior could now be monitored as what this group will do next could further impact the cryptocurrency’s price. The recent trend has been one of accumulation, but it often doesn’t take much for the whales to flip. Back in February, these investors participated in significant buying initially, but then they quickly reversed course, taking their supply to a lower point than what they started buying at. Related Reading: XRP Social FUD Nears 2-Year High—Contrarian Signal Brewing? Bitcoin isn’t the only digital asset that has seen bullish action from the whale entities recently. As the analytics firm has highlighted in another X post, the Ethereum network has observed a rise in wallets holding at least 100,000 ETH (about $238.4 million). As displayed in the above chart, the large Ethereum holders have seen their population jump from 54 to 57 over the past week, indicating an influx of fresh big-money capital. “You can expect a level of correlation with price when this number grows, and there is strong justification that the #2 market cap can continue its rise,” explained Santiment. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $74,500, up 8% over the past week. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
On April 14, Goldman Sachs, the 7th-largest asset manager in the world with $3.65 trillion in Assets Under Supervision (AUM), filed for a Bitcoin ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Goldman Sachs seeks Bitcoin ETF approval Known as the Goldman Sachs Bitcoin Premium Income ETF, the product focuses on generating a stable …