Following the Bitcoin price crash toward $60,000 in early February, the question on the lips of every investor is when the bleed will end. To this end, a number of analysts have shared their expectations and predictions for where the Bitcoin bottom might be. Some have posited that the worst is over, while others have suggested that there are still more crashes to come. Following the latter trend, crypto analyst Plan C has shared why they believe the Bitcoin price has finally reached a bottom. Bitcoin 80-90% Crash Not Possible This Time Around In previous cycles, when the Bitcoin market had gone from a bull run to a bear market, there have been varying degrees of crashes that were experienced before the bottom was established. Over the last few bear markets, these have been around 80-90% crashes, often spurred by major events surrounding the market. Following this trend, expectations remain that Bitcoin might also see a similar crash, which would mean that the bear market is far from over. However, crypto analyst Plan C has combated this idea, as he believes that bitcoin will not repeat the exact same trend seen before. Related Reading: XRP Price Turns Completely Bearish, But Is A Crash To $1 Still Possible? Instead of the 80-90% crash that is expected to put Bitcoin somewhere around the $25,000-$30,000 range, the analyst says that Bitcoin will only crash 50-60% this cycle. If this is correct, it would mean that Bitcoin is not far from registering a bottom at this point. Going by this, his forecast, this would put the Bitcoin price bottom somewhere between $50,000 and $63,000. Given that the BTC price had previously fallen below $63,000, it means that the bottom might be in, or close to it. Such a deviation would mean that Bitcoin would no longer be following the established 4-year cycle trend. This is not a new theory, as analysts in the past have suggested that the digital asset began deviating from the 4-year cycle when it hit a new all-time high back in early 2024, before the halving. This was triggered by institutional entry through Spot Bitcoin ETFs, bringing about a new wave of bull runs. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Lows: Analyst Says We’re Doomed If This Happen While predictions continue to fly around the crypto community and speculations about what price Bitcoin will bottom at, it remains a matter of time to see what eventually happens. For now, the bulls continue to put up a fight in a bid to send the price above $70,000 again. But sentiment remains firmly negative as the Fear & Greed Index continues to sit in Extreme Fear. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is trading near $67,000 after a volatile week that pushed it down to $64,000 following President Donald Trump’s 15 percent global tariff announcement and over $1 billion in liquidations. Analyst Willy Woo sees a possible bear market bottom near $45,000, with some warning of $30,000 if support fails. Meanwhile, Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan and …
At the Bitcoin for Corporations conference in Las Vegas, Morgan Stanley’s Head of Digital Asset Strategy, Amy Oldenburg, confirmed that the Wall Street bank plans to create its own Bitcoin custody and trading infrastructure for clients. The firm, which manages nearly $9 trillion in assets, is also exploring Bitcoin‑based yield and lending products as part of …
Bitcoin is finding near-term relief after a sharp rebound toward the $70,000 level, offering temporary optimism following weeks of sustained pressure. The move has improved short-term momentum and eased immediate downside risk. However, the broader market remains characterized by indecision, as many analysts argue that this advance may represent a relief rally within a larger corrective structure rather than the start of a renewed bull phase. Related Reading: Digital Gold Is Dead: The Institutional Architecture Binding Bitcoin To The Nasdaq In The 2026 Downturn According to analysis from XWIN Research Japan, while price has recovered meaningfully from recent lows, underlying derivatives data suggest caution. Open Interest has fallen significantly from prior cycle highs, reflecting an extensive deleveraging process across futures markets. Importantly, the recent price decline occurred alongside contracting Open Interest, indicating that forced liquidations and derivatives-driven position unwinds were primary drivers of the selloff rather than sustained spot distribution. Such resets can be constructive, as they reduce excessive leverage and stabilize funding conditions. Nonetheless, a cleaner derivatives landscape does not automatically translate into fresh structural demand. Without clear evidence of renewed capital inflows or expanding spot participation, the current rebound may remain vulnerable to renewed volatility. Muted Exchange Flows Suggest Stabilization, Not Yet Structural Strength Recent exchange flow data adds nuance to Bitcoin’s current recovery phase. Binance’s Fund Flow Ratio remains subdued near 0.012, indicating that inflows relative to total BTC reserves on the platform are limited. In practical terms, this suggests that immediate sell-side pressure has not intensified, even during the recent move toward the mid-$60K region. The absence of a spike in this metric implies that investors are not rushing to transfer coins to exchanges in panic, which typically accompanies more aggressive distribution phases. However, low inflows should not automatically be interpreted as accumulation. The medium-term trend in the ratio’s moving averages continues to drift downward, indicating that sustained structural demand has yet to reassert itself. Markets can stabilize without transitioning directly into expansion, particularly when liquidity conditions remain cautious. Additional context from derivatives positioning reinforces this ambiguity. With leverage still relatively compressed, upward price movements can disproportionately trigger short liquidations, generating rallies driven more by position unwinds than fresh capital deployment. This type of rebound often improves sentiment temporarily but may lack durability without stronger spot participation. Overall, Bitcoin appears to be transitioning from active selling toward stabilization. Confirmation of a genuine bullish reversal will likely require consistent inflows, improving liquidity, and clearer evidence of renewed investor demand. Related Reading: How Vitalik Buterin’s 11,422 ETH Liquidation Is Testing Ethereum’s Bear Market Absorption – Details Bitcoin Tests Support After Sharp Correction Bitcoin remains under pressure following a pronounced correction from its recent highs, with price currently stabilizing near the $68,000 region. The weekly structure shows a clear loss of upward momentum after rejection around the $110K–$120K zone, followed by a decisive breakdown below the 50-week and 100-week moving averages. This shift typically signals weakening intermediate trend strength rather than simple short-term volatility. Price is now hovering close to the 200-week moving average, historically a critical structural support during transitional market phases. Holding this level could help stabilize sentiment and potentially define a medium-term floor. However, a sustained breakdown below it would likely increase downside risk, as it would confirm deterioration in long-term trend structure. Related Reading: The $33 Billion Drain: Bitcoin Realized Cap Craters as Capital Abandons the Network for a Second Month Volume dynamics also warrant attention. The recent selloff occurred with elevated activity compared with preceding consolidation phases, suggesting that distribution — not merely thin liquidity — contributed to the decline. That said, volume has started to moderate as price consolidates, indicating reduced urgency among sellers. Bitcoin appears to be transitioning into a defensive consolidation phase. Recovery above the shorter moving averages would be required to restore bullish momentum, while failure to hold current support could extend the corrective cycle further. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
It started as an idea. Now it processes more lending volume than most people will ever see in a lifetime. Aave, the decentralized finance protocol that lets users borrow and deposit crypto without going through a traditional bank, has crossed $1 trillion in total cumulative lending — a milestone that has never been reached by any other protocol in the DeFi industry. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin The Poor Man’s Hedge Against Inflation? Coinbase CEO Thinks So From A 2017 Startup To A Trillion-Dollar Lending Machine Aave was not always called Aave. Its founder, Stani Kulechov, first launched the platform under the name ETHLend in November 2017 before rebranding it in September 2018. What began as a small peer-to-peer lending experiment on the Ethereum blockchain has grown into the dominant force in decentralized lending, with over $27 billion in total user funds currently secured on the platform. Aave crossed $1 trillion all-time loans. A first in DeFi history. pic.twitter.com/9zMKhtGq6R — Aave (@aave) February 25, 2026 Over the past 30 days alone, Aave generated more than $83 million in fees — nearly four times more than its nearest competitor, Morpho. Other well-known lending platforms including JustLend, SparkLend, Maple, and Compound Finance each hold over $1 billion in total value locked, but none come close to matching Aave’s scale. “A decade ago, DeFi and Aave didn’t exist. They were just ideas. Today, Aave stands as the backbone of onchain lending, powering a new financial system that is open, global, and unstoppable,” Kulechov said in a post on X following the announcement. His longer-term ambitions are even bigger. Kulechov has said he wants Aave to become the largest and most efficient liquidity network on the planet — one that banks, builders, and financial technology companies connect to by default. Big Finance Names Are Already At The Table Aave is no longer just for crypto enthusiasts. In August last year, Aave Labs launched a new product called Aave Horizon, a lending market built on Ethereum and designed specifically for traditional financial institutions. Related Reading: Peter Schiff Says Bitcoin Has Never Beaten Gold Since 2021 The idea is to allow established finance firms to borrow stablecoins using real-world assets as collateral. According to reports, VanEck, WisdomTree, and Securitize were among the first major institutions to participate in the offering — a sign that the gap between conventional finance and decentralized protocols is narrowing. Kulechov has also been vocal about what he sees as the next big opportunity for DeFi lending. Reports say he believes that tokenizing what he calls “abundance assets” — things like solar energy infrastructure, battery storage systems, and robotics used in labor — could open an entirely new category of collateral for decentralized lending. He expects those types of assets to be worth a combined $50 trillion by 2050. Featured image from BTCCard, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin price started a decent increase above $68,000. BTC is now consolidating above $66,250 and might aim for more gains above $68,800. Bitcoin started a fresh increase after it settled above the $67,200 support. The price is trading above $67,200 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a new bearish trend line forming with resistance at $68,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might dip again if it trades below the $66,500 and $66,250 levels. Bitcoin Price Dips To Support Bitcoin price managed to form a base above the $66,500 zone. BTC started a fresh increase and was able to surpass the $68,000 resistance zone. The price even rallied above the $68,800 resistance. Finally, the bears appeared near $70,000. A high was formed at $70,000, and the price recently corrected some gains. There was a move below the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $62,500 swing low to the $70,000 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $67,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $67,000, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $68,000 level. There is also a new bearish trend line forming with resistance at $68,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The first key resistance is near the $68,250 level. A close above the $68,250 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $69,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $70,000 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $70,500 and $71,200. Downside Continuation In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $68,000 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $67,000 level. The first major support is near the $66,250 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $62,500 swing low to the $70,000 high. The next support is now near the $65,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $65,000 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $63,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $67,000, followed by $66,500. Major Resistance Levels – $68,000 and $68,500.
SUI has repeatedly tested key support, but every breakdown attempt has been aggressively absorbed. Instead of accelerating lower, the price has stabilized and begun to compress, a classic sign of underlying demand. With volatility tightening and pressure building, the question now is whether this absorption phase is setting the stage for a powerful upside expansion. SUI Re-Enters the Spotlight at $0.9884 A fresh analysis from Altcoinpedia highlighted that SUI is trading around $0.9884, with accelerating ecosystem metrics bringing the high-performance network back into focus among traders and builders. Its strong transaction throughput remains a core advantage, allowing applications to scale efficiently without congestion while maintaining low latency for users. Related Reading: SUI Drops Below $1 Despite Launch of First U.S. Staking ETFs by Grayscale and Canary Developer activity continues to expand, with new DeFi protocols, gaming projects, and consumer applications launching to leverage SUI’s object-centric architecture. Liquidity across ecosystem-based decentralized exchanges has grown steadily, signaling meaningful participation rather than short-term speculation. At the same time, broader institutional access is creating regulated exposure pathways, while on-chain data shows increasing wallet growth and consistent network utilization, which are clear signs of genuine traction. The conversation around SUI is shifting from early potential to proven execution. Markets tend to reward ecosystems where technical performance aligns with usability, and that alignment is becoming increasingly visible. With price consolidating near zones that historically attract strategic accumulation, the overall structure appears constructive. As liquidity deepens, developer momentum strengthens, and institutional awareness expands, the foundation for a larger move continues to build. The key elements for expansion are in place, and with breakout energy forming, the broader market may soon begin to reflect that progress. Volatility Expansion, But Breakdowns Absorbed SUI’s price against Bitcoin tapped 0.00001351, and the reaction was immediate. According to crypto analyst Umair Crypto, volatility expanded sharply, yet every attempt to close below that level failed. Each breakdown was met with absorption, resulting in roughly 2 days and 8 hours of tight consolidation, with 14 consecutive candles holding right at support. That kind of behavior signals active defense, not randomness. Related Reading: SUI Slides Into Key Fib Support — Is the Downtrend Far From Over? Now, price is beginning to push higher, but confirmation is still required. The next major trigger comes from the BTC pair. Sustained closes above 0.00001372 would break the RSI trendline and signal a potential structural shift in momentum. If that breakout materializes, it could lead to the USDT pair reclaiming the 50 SMA, a recovery of the black box resistance zone, activation of an inverse head and shoulders pattern, and a measured move targeting approximately $0.96. Until the BTC pair decisively breaks structure, the USDT pair remains constrained, trading near range lows and below the 50 SMA. In this setup, the BTC pair dictates direction, and the USDT pair follows. Featured image from YouTube, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin spot trading activity has fallen to its weakest level of the year even as a fresh CryptoQuant signal suggests one important pocket of selling pressure may be starting to fade. Darkfost, a contributor at CryptoQuant, said February is on pace to finish as the month with the lowest Bitcoin spot volumes since the start of 2024. He tied that slowdown to a broader retreat in risk appetite as traders pull back from directional exposure and wait for firmer macro or technical confirmation. “February is on track to close as the month with the lowest Bitcoin spot trading volumes since the beginning of 2024. This comes alongside BTC’s price revisiting levels last seen in 2024 as well,” Darkfost wrote on X. “The current climate of uncertainty surrounding BTC has pushed investors toward a more defensive stance, resulting in a marked reduction in risk-taking.” Bitcoin Liquidity Keeps Thinning Out The scale of the slowdown is visible across the major venues. Darkfost said Binance still leads by a wide margin with nearly $75 billion in February spot volume, ahead of Gate.io at $25 billion and Bybit at $20 billion. Even so, that dominance has not insulated Binance from the broader contraction. Related Reading: Bitcoin Yet To See Meaningful Capital Return, Glassnode Says Since Bitcoin’s last all-time high in October, monthly spot volumes have been roughly cut in half across the largest exchanges, according to the post. Binance fell from $198 billion to $75 billion, Gate.io from $53 billion to $25 billion, and Bybit from $41 billion to $20 billion. Rather than an exchange-specific issue, Darkfost framed the move as a market-wide pullback in participation. He also linked the deterioration in liquidity to the aftermath of the Oct. 10 shock, when open interest dropped by more than 70,000 BTC, or roughly $8 billion, in a sharp reset of leveraged exposure. In his telling, that event did not just hit derivatives positioning. It appears to have accelerated a broader disengagement from crypto trading activity. “This phase of disengagement is directly reflected in the steady decline in spot trading volumes observed across major exchanges,” Darkfost wrote. “This dynamic points to a generalized trend affecting all major exchanges.” That matters because spot flows tend to carry more weight when traders are looking for evidence of durable demand rather than fast-moving leverage. A recovery built on stronger spot participation generally looks sturdier than one driven mainly by derivatives. Coinbase Pressure Shows Signs Of Easing Against that weak backdrop, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju pointed to a more constructive short-term signal: “Selling pressure on Coinbase is easing.” The chart shows the Coinbase Premium Index moving back into positive territory after spending most of the time in February below zero (with a few exceptions). By the latest reading on the chart, the premium had recovered to roughly 0.006 while Bitcoin traded near $68,300. This suggests the discount on Coinbase relative to offshore venues has narrowed, easing one sign of US-led sell pressure. Related Reading: 2 Bitcoin Price Levels Could Decide What Happens Next, Coinbase Says That does not contradict Darkfost’s broader caution. If anything, the two signals fit together. Spot liquidity remains thin and the market is still operating in a low-conviction environment, but one of the more closely watched measures of immediate selling intensity is no longer deteriorating. Darkfost was explicit about what would need to change for the picture to improve in a more meaningful way. “As it stands, this simultaneous contraction in spot volumes reflects a structurally cautious market phase, where participants prioritize capital preservation over directional exposure while awaiting clearer macroeconomic or technical signals. For a bullish recovery to materialize, or for a durable bottom to form, stronger spot volume support will be essential.” For now, that leaves Bitcoin in a familiar late-cycle holding pattern: sellers may be backing off on Coinbase, but without a broader return of spot demand, the market still lacks the depth that usually underpins a stronger move. At press time, Bitcoin traded at $68,153. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is now inching towards $70,000, but there is enough to worry about around $64,000. Crypto analyst Tara expressed concern that Bitcoin’s fifth wave may not be complete, with a prediction that further downside could still be ahead. In a recent post on X, the analyst noted that the current move could either be the start or the final stretch of a fifth wave decline, and there’s still a possibility of the Bitcoin price falling to as low as $52,000. Double Bottom Support At $59,900 And $60,500 Technical analysis done by crypto analyst Tara shows that Bitcoin has built a major support around the $59,900 to $60,500 range. This area is based on prior swing lows and a visible double bottom formation on the 4-hour candlestick price chart. It also coincides with deeper Fibonacci retracement levels projected from above $70,000. Related Reading: Elliot Wave Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Price Will Crash In Final Move, What’s The Target? According to the analyst, Bitcoin could see a strong reaction if the price were to fall to that region. A bounce from this support could drive the Bitcoin price back to $64,400, which would then be tested as resistance instead of support. However, such a rebound may only be temporary. If the macro fifth wave structure continues to play out, the market could still be setting up for one final push lower after that retest. According to Tara’s wave interpretation, this final push lower could extend to as low as $52,000. This level is not yet fixed and will be remeasured as price action develops, but it represents a possible completion zone for the broader fifth wave. It is important to note that Bitcoin actually managed to hold above $60,000 throughout February, so therefore, the outlook to $52,000 is a worst-case scenario. Interestingly, the Relative Strength Index indicator on the 4-hour timeframe is trending lower and approaching oversold territory. Tara advised traders to watch for bullish divergence on the RSI during the next drop. A bullish divergence on the RSI could be the first sign of the end of the corrective structure. Bitcoin Might Register Higher Support At $64,000 Over the past few weeks, the $64,000 region has stood out as a decisive pivot for Bitcoin, repeatedly flipping between support and resistance depending on the direction of price. In a separate update, Tara highlighted that Bitcoin recently backtested the macro 0.5 Fibonacci level at $64,400 as resistance before attempting to push higher. Related Reading: Here’s What’s Driving The Bitcoin Price Crash Toward $60,0000 Reclaiming $64,000 would be an important step toward reversing the current bearish macro trend. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $68,220, up 4% over the past 24 hours. Even so, there is still a risk of a pullback. A drop back below $64,000 would weaken the short-term recovery and could expose the prior swing low at $60,500. On the flip side, bullish momentum would be confirmed if Bitcoin breaks above $70,000. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com
On-chain analytics firm Santiment has highlighted how Ethereum is still undervalued on the MVRV, while Bitcoin and XRP have turned neutral. Profitability Has Shifted For Bitcoin, XRP, & Ethereum After The Price Jump In a new post on X, Santiment has talked about how the 30-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio has changed for some major digital assets following the market recovery that has occurred over the past day. The MVRV Ratio is a popular on-chain indicator that compares the market cap of an asset against its Realized Cap, a measure of the total amount of capital that investors have put into the network. Related Reading: Cardano Sharks & Whales Quietly Accumulate 819M ADA Amid Price Decline In short, what the MVRV Ratio tells us about is the profit-loss status of addresses on the blockchain as a whole. When the metric is above the 1 mark, it means investors are, on average, in a state of unrealized profit. On the other hand, the indicator being under this threshold suggests the dominance of losses. Here, the MVRV Ratio of the entire network isn’t of relevance, but that of a particular slice of it: the buyers from the past month. Below is the chart shared by Santiment that shows the trend in the cohort’s MVRV Ratio for the five top cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Cardano, and Chainlink. From the graph, it’s visible that the 30-day MVRV Ratio has risen for all five of these assets recently. This is a natural result of the price recovery that has taken place over the past day. Bitcoin has returned above $68,000, and Ethereum is back beyond $2,000. While prices across the market have surged, the MVRV Ratio isn’t reflecting a uniform situation. Bitcoin, XRP, and Chainlink are all inside the neutral zone with the metric sitting at -1.4%, -0.1%, and +3.3%, respectively (note that the 0% mark corresponds to the 1 level here). Meanwhile, Ethereum has seen its 30-day trader returns remain inside a zone that the analytics firm defines as corresponding to a “mildly undervalued” status, despite the fact that the coin’s price has surged 6% in the last 24 hours. Though with an MVRV Ratio of -5.5%, ETH is only just inside the area. On the other end of the spectrum is Cardano, which has observed the indicator fly to a value of +6.8%, entering into the “mildly overvalued” zone. Generally, the larger the investor profits get, the more likely they are to participate in profit-taking. Due to this reason, a high value on the MVRV Ratio can be a sign that a correction could be coming. Similarly, a low value suggests the presence of a high degree of market pain, which could result in a bottom formation. Related Reading: Bitcoin Yet To See Meaningful Capital Return, Glassnode Says “Buy and dollar cost average when a coin is in an ‘Undervalued’ zone,” explained Santiment. “Be cautious when a coin reaches an ‘Overvalued’ zone.” ETH Price Ethereum briefly broke above $2,100 during its surge, but the coin has since witnessed a minor retrace to $2,070. Featured image from Dall-E, chat from TradingView.com
The Trump-backed Bitcoin miner, American Bitcoin Corp. (NASDAQ: ABTC), has today revealed a 159% year-on-year (YoY) revenue upsurge in its Q4, 2025 earnings report. The company also saw a 22% quarter-on-quarter increase in revenue to $78.3 million, just 6 months after its debut on the US stock markets. The firm’s Bitcoin holdings have risen by …
Crypto analyst CasiTrades has warned that the XRP price structure has turned bearish, putting the altcoin at risk of a further decline. The analyst also suggested that the price could still crash below $1 as it looks to find a bottom. XRP Price Structure Shifts Bearish With Key Levels Below In an X post, CasiTrades stated that the XRP price structure has shifted bearish, with key levels below. She further revealed that price is starting to gather sell strength and that the trendline break is looking to form resistance. The analyst added that price is losing the B-wave low, shifting momentum toward supports. Related Reading: The Uncomfortable Truth About XRP That Shows How High Price Can Actually Go CasiTrades also stated that the $1.11 and $0.87 levels are the main downside targets, indicating that the XRP price could still crash below $1. Meanwhile, the local resistance is at $1.40, with the analyst noting that as long as the price stays below it, the market is likely headed lower. As such, she believes that current levels are still a no-trade zone. She urged market participants to wait for lower supports to be reached or a flip of the $1.65 macro resistance. It is worth noting that the XRP price has recently climbed above the $1.40 resistance and could invalidate the bearish structure if it breaks above the $1.65 macro resistance, as CasiTrades mentioned. This rally has come on the back of Bitcoin’s rally to around $70,000 following a drop to as low as $64,000 earlier in the week. CoinGlass data shows an increase in activity in the derivatives market amid the XRP price’s rally above $1.40. Trading volume has surged by over 33% to $6.20 billion, while open interest is up by over 6% to $2.39 billion. The long/short ratio is above 1, indicating that most traders are currently long on the altcoin. The Bottom Isn’t In Yet For XRP In an X post, crypto analyst TARA stated that she is not convinced that the bottom isn’t in for the XRP price. The analyst noted that an early indication that the bottom is in would be a break above the macro .618 level at $1.47. XRP is said to be testing that level as resistance right now, which TARA noted is a “super critical moment.” Related Reading: XRP Funding Levels Drop To Extreme Negative Levels, What This Means For Price The analyst suggested that for the bottom to be in for the XRP price, it would need a clean break above $1.88, with such confirmation still a long way away. However, she added that a break above the macro .618 support is a really good first step and a key level that it needs to hold if flipped. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.44, up over 6% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
A prominent market commentator has projected that the Bitcoin price could climb as high as $500,000, citing the reappearance of a long-observed moving average ribbon pattern on the monthly chart. The forecast, shared by Egrag Crypto on X, ties price structure to specific time windows in 2026 and 2028, arguing that technical alignment is outweighing short-term market narratives.pl Bitcoin Price Ribbon Setup Signals Expansion Phase At the center of the $500,000 prediction is the reformation of a multi-layer moving average ribbon on the one-month timeframe. The chart provided by the analyst shows the 33 EMA, 66 MA, 80 EMA, and 100 EMA compressing and beginning to expand in a configuration that has historically marked major cycle transitions. Related Reading: Pundit Gives Reasons Why XRP Price Will Hit $10 In 2026 This structure is not presented in isolation. In previous cycles, similar ribbon compressions were followed by decisive impulsive advances. The analyst points to an earlier period on the chart when the price consolidated within the ribbon before accelerating sharply upward, forming a pattern that now appears to be repeating. Because this setup mirrors prior cycle behavior, he characterizes it as a fractal, indicating structural similarity across different market phases. The ribbon’s position relative to current price action reinforces the broader thesis. Bitcoin remains structurally above the layered averages, a condition that in earlier cycles preceded sustained upside rather than distribution. When price reclaimed and held above this cluster in the past, expansion phases followed. Based on those historical expansion multiples, the analyst outlines an intermediate target near $150,000 and extends the upper boundary of the move toward $500,000. This framework deliberately shifts focus away from sentiment-driven fluctuations. Instead, the moving averages are treated as objective markers of where Bitcoin stands within its long-term cycle, forming the analytical foundation for the half-million-dollar projection. Timing Window Points To 2026 And Late 2028 Alignment Building on the structural case, the forecast also incorporates a defined timeline. The chart highlights October 2026 as a key waypoint, aligning with a potential continuation phase if the emerging ribbon fractal develops in line with historical precedent. Beyond that initial window, a second period is identified around the end of the third quarter or the beginning of the fourth quarter of 2028. The analyst references election cycles as a contextual factor, suggesting that macro narrative and technical structure could converge during that timeframe. Related Reading: The Multi-Year XRP Bull Market That Could Change Everything Forever The projected path on the chart reflects this staged process. Rather than a single vertical surge, it outlines a series of consolidations followed by accelerations, echoing previous cycles before peak expansion. By integrating price structure with calendar timing, the projection frames the $500,000 target as the culmination of a repeatable cyclical pattern. In this context, the ribbon fractal is positioned not as speculative optimism, but as the structural roadmap underpinning the analyst’s expectation of a potential surge toward half a million dollars. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Need to know what happened in crypto today? Here is the latest news on daily trends and events impacting Bitcoin price, blockchain, DeFi, NFTs, Web3 and crypto regulation.
Bitcoin’s rebound toward $70,000 over the last 24 hours has revived a familiar debate in crypto markets: whether Wall Street firms operating within the spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) ecosystem have gained too much influence over price discovery. The latest target is Jane Street, the quantitative trading firm that is both a major ETF intermediary and […]
The post Notice Bitcoin selling off at market open? Jane Street is taking the blame, but the data points elsewhere appeared first on CryptoSlate.
The idea that Jane Street is single-handedly the reason why Bitcoin is not trading at $150,000 is the wrong frame, according to ProCap CIO and Bitwise advisor Jeff Park. In a X thread February 25, Park argued that the real issue is not one firm, but a structural feature of the US spot Bitcoin ETF system that gives all authorized participants unusual flexibility in how they hedge and settle trades. Is Jane Street Suppressing Bitcoin? Park’s core point is that the market has turned a question about Jane Street into a question about the ETF plumbing itself. On IBIT alone, he noted, the authorized participant roster includes Jane Street Capital, JPMorgan, Macquarie, Virtu Americas, Goldman Sachs, Citadel Securities, Citigroup, UBS and ABN AMRO. In his telling, that matters because APs are not ordinary short sellers. “The question deserves a precise answer—and the most important thing to understand upfront is that it is not really a question about Jane Street,” Park wrote. “It is a question about a structural feature of the Bitcoin ETF architecture that applies equally to every Authorized Participant in the ecosystem.” He added that the role of those institutions is “genuinely misunderstood, even amongst seasoned industry veterans.” The mechanism Park focused on is the AP exemption under Regulation SHO. In standard short selling, traders generally need to locate shares before shorting and face borrowing costs that create pressure to close the trade. APs, Park argued, sit in a different category because their creation and redemption rights effectively let them manufacture ETF shares without those same frictions. Related Reading: Bitcoin Yet To See Meaningful Capital Return, Glassnode Says “The practical consequence is significant: any AP can manufacture shares at will—no borrow cost, no capital conventionally tied up against the short, and no hard deadline to close the position beyond what is commercially reasonable,” he wrote. “This is the grey window: a regulatory carve-out designed for orderly ETF market-making that is, structurally speaking, indistinguishable from a regulatory arbitrage with unmatched duration.” That framing is important because Park is not claiming APs can simply press Bitcoin lower forever. His argument is narrower and more structural. If an AP is short IBIT and chooses to hedge with CME Bitcoin futures rather than buying spot BTC, then the normal arbitrage pathway that would force spot purchases becomes weaker. In that setup, the hedge can remain economically tight enough for market-making purposes while bypassing immediate spot demand. “The critical implication: if the hedge is futures rather than spot, the spot was never bought,” Park wrote. “The gap cannot close via the natural arb mechanism because the natural arb buyer chose not to buy spot.” He also cautioned that the separation is not frictionless, since basis traders work to keep futures and spot aligned, but said the basis risk becomes more meaningful in periods of stress. The recent shift to in-kind creations and redemptions, in Park’s view, removes another constraint that previously pushed activity into the spot market. Under the earlier cash-only model, APs had to deliver cash, which the fund’s custodian then used to buy Bitcoin. That created what Park called a “structural governor” because spot buying was a mechanical byproduct of creations. In-kind transfers change that. APs can now source Bitcoin directly, at times and from counterparties of their choosing, including OTC desks and negotiated transactions that may minimize visible market impact. Related Reading: 2 Bitcoin Price Levels Could Decide What Happens Next, Coinbase Says Even so, Park stopped short of endorsing outright market suppression claims. “The short answer is that no AP explicitly suppresses Bitcoin price,” he wrote. “What the AP structure can suppress is the integrity of the price discovery mechanism itself. Those are not the same thing—but the second is arguably more consequential than the first.” Other Experts Agree Senior ETF Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence Eric Balchunas commented: “The bogeyman is gone.. That’s the vibe rn on CT and in the price action today. I get it too, that big daily dump [at 10am] seemed to kill every rally and everyone’s spirit. Is eliminating it enough for a sustained rebound? I guess we’ll find out.” That distinction drew pushback. Monad founder Keone Hon said the theory does not hold up because a short futures hedge implies someone else is short futures and, on average, must hedge elsewhere, preserving the market-wide delta balance. Dave Weisberger also argued the claim does not hold “over any substantial time frame,” noting that futures converge to spot at expiry. Park did not dispute the accounting identity. What he disputed was whether that identity settles the practical question of how long trades can persist inside the system’s regulatory carve-outs. “To be clear, I don’t subscribe to the conspiracy theory that APs suppress price,” he wrote. “The conspiracy theory that I subscribe to, if there is one to be had, is that with infinite duration at zero cost of carry, funny things can happen.” Leading on-chain analyst James “Checkmate” Check agreed: “Jane Street didn’t suppress the Bitcoin price folks. HODLers all did. It’s just not that hard, stop summoning your inner salty goldbug but blaming manipulators. People. Sold. A. Fucktonne. Of. Spot. Bitcoin.” At press time, Bitcoin traded at $67,883. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The company generated $185.2 million in annual revenue as it scaled its mining operations and accumulation efforts.
Bitcoin climbed to $69,550 on Wednesday, its highest point in over a week, after a sharp swing upward from around $62,350 in less than a day. The move came as US stock markets turned green again, giving investors across the board a reason to buy back in. Related Reading: Crypto’s Biggest Bull Run Could Come From The Most Unexpected Place: AI Bubble ETF Cash Returns After Five Weeks Of Outflows One of the clearest signs of renewed confidence came from the spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund market. Reports say US-listed Bitcoin ETFs pulled in $257.7 million in a single day on Tuesday — a notable turnaround after five straight weeks of withdrawals that had drained roughly close to $4 billion from those same funds. Fidelity drew approximately $83 million of that total. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust attracted close to $79 million. The return of institutional buying added fuel to a rally already building on the back of a calmer macro backdrop. The broader stock market’s recovery was partly tied to US President Donald Trump’s State of the Union address on Tuesday night, in which he described his first year in office as an economic success. He pointed to falling mortgage rates and a 1.7% drop in core inflation over the final three months of 2025. Markets took the speech as a sign that the policy chaos seen in recent months — particularly around tariffs and court battles — might be settling down. Spot Buyers, Not Speculators, Are Behind This Rally What makes this price move stand out is the data beneath the surface. Reports note that Bitcoin’s aggregated open interest — a measure of outstanding futures positions — has actually been declining even as prices climbed. It fell from above 240,000 BTC earlier in the week to around 235,167 BTC. That kind of drop suggests traders with borrowed money were closing out positions rather than opening new ones. Funding rates tell a similar story. They remain slightly negative at around -0.0037%, meaning short sellers are currently paying fees to traders betting on higher prices. That is an unusual setup during a strong rally, and it points to a market where aggressive speculation has been squeezed out rather than amplified. Related Reading: Bullish Signal? Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Turns Positive After Months In Red Ticking Upward The cumulative volume delta — which tracks whether buyers or sellers are more aggressive on spot markets — has been ticking upward, confirming that real purchasing activity is driving the move. According to market experts, options market dynamics are also playing a role. Dealers holding what is known as a positive gamma position tend to buy when prices dip and sell when prices rise, as part of routine hedging. That behavior acts as a natural shock absorber, smoothing out big swings and making explosive breakouts harder to sustain in either direction. Featured image from Yellow, chart from TradingView
Starknet plans to launch strkBTC, a bitcoin-based asset that enables shielded balances and transfers while preserving DeFi composability.
The bitcoin mining company now holds over 6,000 BTC, with roughly one-third acquired through mining and two-thirds through open-market purchases and strategic transactions.
Citi's integration of Bitcoin into traditional finance could accelerate institutional crypto adoption, enhancing financial system modernization.
The post Citi to integrate Bitcoin into traditional finance via bank-grade custody appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The Bitcoin price action over the last few months has been unpredictable. But one thing has been clear, and that is the fact that bears have remained firmly in control of the price action. From here, there are a number of ways that the Bitcoin price could play out, with most speculations pointing toward a possible recovery. However, there are levels that the Bitcoin price must maintain in order to actualize this recovery or risk losing ground to bears. Bitcoin Price Needs To Hold Above $60,000 Crypto Analyst Swallow Academy, in a recent analysis, showed that the $60,000 level has become one of the most important support points for the Bitcoin price. This is because this was the lowest point of the early February crash, suggesting that bears may want to retest it again. Related Reading: Dogecoin Vs. Shiba Inu: What Meme Coin Should You Buy For Most Returns In 2026? Given this, it has become imperative that bulls hold this in order to activate another recovery trend. In this case, if bulls are able to successfully defend the price and hold above $60,000, triggering a reclaim of buy-side volume, then a recovery will follow. The analyst predicts that such a recovery would see the Bitcoin price bounce back to the $70,000-$75,000 area. As a result, the major city of liquidity would be wiped out. After this, a downtrend would eventually begin, which would be the natural path for such a trend. However, in the case of bulls failing to hold $60,000 and buy-side pressure fails, then sell-side pressure is expected to rise. This scenario would see the Bitcoin price begin to dip faster than expected and trigger another crash trend, to push it toward new yearly lows. Related Reading: What To Expect For Ripple’s XRP If A Retail Run Were To Happen Swallow Academy’s analysis posits that a break of the local lows would result in another very deep move to lower lows. While this is not entirely bearish, as the price is expected to recover from lows, the chart shows that the Bitcoin price could dip below $44,000 before a local bottom is then established. Currently, Bitcoin bulls have mounted a notable defense above $62,000, suggesting that this is the next level to beat for bears. Alternatively, the previous cycle low lies at $61,354, and a break below this point would be the first time that Bitcoin has done this in history. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
As the crypto market extends its rebound, traders are now turning cautious ahead of a major derivatives event. Bitcoin options expiry tomorrow could act as a near-term catalyst for volatility, with billions in BTC and ETH contracts approaching settlement. While spot prices look strong for now, history shows that options expiry often brings sharp intraday …
Institutional interest in Strategy’s (formerly MicroStrategy) preferred securities is building at a time when the company’s common stock, MSTR, remains one of the market’s most-watched bearish trades tied to Bitcoin. The clearest signal came this week, when Prevalon Energy and Anchorage Digital said at Strategy World 2026 that they had each allocated part of their […]
The post Bitcoin proxy Strategy’s 11% yield is shifting the economics of a massive $5B MSTR short bet appeared first on CryptoSlate.
ETF inflows suggest institutional sentiment is stabilizing and shifting toward cautious accumulation, one analyst said.
The cryptocurrency market staged a broad recovery on Wednesday, led by a sharp rebound in the Bitcoin price that pushed the digital asset close to the $70,000 level once again. Bitcoin climbed roughly 8% on the day, approaching a price zone that has acted as firm resistance since it was lost earlier this month. The renewed strength was not limited to Bitcoin. Ethereum (ETH) advanced 12%, XRP gained 8%, and Solana (SOL) surged 13%, reflecting a wider return of risk appetite across digital assets. Bitcoin Price Nears $70K As Altcoins Outperform Market experts suggest the bounce may be driven largely by investors stepping in after an extended period of weakness. Caroline Mauron, co-founder of Orbit Markets, told Bloomberg that the upward move likely reflects dip-buying activity following the recent selloff. She added that a decisive move back above $70,000 for the Bitcoin price could alter the broader market narrative, potentially restoring confidence after weeks of pressure. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Be In A Price Slump—But Adoption Is In A Bull Market Recent trading patterns also suggest a change in investor positioning. Although demand for cryptocurrencies in the US has softened in recent weeks, it seems that capital is now rotating into altcoins, as evidenced by the gains made by ETH, XRP and SOL, which have outperformed Bitcoin in the last 24 hours. Daniel Reis-Faria, chief executive officer of ZeroStack, noted that Bitcoin increasingly trades within the context of the broader financial system. When liquidity conditions tighten, he said, volatility tends to increase. In that environment, assets such as Solana — which he described as generating “real yield” — may prove more resilient than tokens that were previously driven primarily by momentum. Still, some analysts caution against interpreting the rebound as a definitive turning point. Is Bitcoin Forming A New Bottom? Alex Kuptsikevich, chief market analyst at FxPro, drew comparisons to the market environment in 2022, when a steep decline was followed by months of sideways consolidation before a sustained recovery eventually took hold. He observed that after the 2022 Bitcoin price downturn, it took more than a year for the market to regain and surpass prior highs, suggesting patience may be required this time as well. Galaxy Digital’s head of research, Alex Thorn, offered a nuanced view in his latest Bitcoin price outlook. He argued that the most intense phase of downside pressure is likely already behind the market. Among the supportive signals he cited were Bitcoin trading near its 200-week moving average (MA) and realized price, historically important technical levels. Related Reading: Expert Forecasts $5 Trillions Pouring Into Crypto Post CLARITY Act Passage In addition, more than half of all Bitcoin in circulation is currently underwater, the relative strength index has reached levels often associated with capitulation, and several other on-chain indicators are flashing signs that a bottom may be forming. However, Thorn also warned that even if the worst of the decline has passed, further challenges could lie ahead for the Bitcoin price. He said that market bottoms typically take time to fully develop, and prolonged sideways movement remains a possibility. A downturn in equities could exert additional pressure on digital assets, and the broader market still appears to lack a strong catalyst to drive sustained upside momentum. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
A new theory has been making the rounds online: that Bitcoin is being deliberately pushed down every day at 10 a.m. Eastern Time. Some social media users have pointed fingers at Jane Street, claiming the firm used an algorithm to sell Bitcoin at the same time each morning, triggering retail liquidations, scooping up coins at …
Vitalik Buterin sold 17,196 ETH worth $35 million, surpassing his Jan. 30 'austerity' allocation of 16,384 ETH by 4.9%.
Bitcoin is approaching one of its most important technical levels in recent weeks as the price gravitates toward the $70,000 mark. After stabilizing above short-term support, the crypto market now faces a decisive test that could determine whether the current recovery develops into a sustained breakout or fades into another lower high within a broader …
On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has highlighted how accumulation from the large Bitcoin entities has remained relatively weak recently. Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score Has Been Struggling To Break 0.5 In a new post on X, Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Accumulation Trend Score for Bitcoin. This on-chain indicator tracks whether BTCinvestors are accumulating or distributing right now. The metric calculates its value by looking at the balance changes happening in the wallets of the investors. Additionally, it also accounts for the size of the wallets themselves. This second weighting factor means that larger entities have a stronger influence on the indicator. Related Reading: Bitcoin Nears Death Cross That Preceded Final Bear Market Legs When the value of the Accumulation Trend Score is greater than 0.5, it means large investors (or a large number of small entities) are accumulating. The closer the metric is to 1, the stronger this behavior is. On the other hand, the indicator being under 0.5 implies that distribution is the dominant behavior on the network. The extreme point on this side of the scale lies at 0. Now, here is the chart shared by Glassnode that shows how the Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score has changed over the course of the cycle: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin price crash in November saw the Accumulation Trend Score take on a dark purple color. Here, a light yellow shade on the indicator reflects a value close to zero, while a dark purple one to a value near 1. Thus, it would appear that the market reacted with a near-perfect accumulation behavior to the November price lows. While December saw continued accumulation, a shift occurred in January; the price recovery rally was met with distribution as the Accumulation Trend Score turned orange-yellow. The cryptocurrency’s price has plummeted since the onset of this selling pressure. The price crash has been met with some accumulation, but from the chart, it’s visible that the indicator’s color has still only been red. “The Accumulation Trend Score has struggled to push above 0.5 since early February,” noted the analytics firm. While the current value suggests aggressive distribution is no longer happening, it’s not necessarily a sign of a return of demand for Bitcoin, either. As Glassnode explained, the trend reflects “persistently weak accumulation, particularly among larger entities, signalling that meaningful capital has yet to step back in.” It now remains to be seen how long the current neutral market behavior will continue and which way the next shift will lean. Related Reading: Bitcoin Capitulation Persists As Short-Term Holders Realize $0.48B Daily Losses BTC Price Bitcoin slipped under the $63,000 level on Tuesday, but the market has rebounded since then as the cryptocurrency’s price has returned to $65,300. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com