As the week began, the XRP price experienced a 4% decline, bringing it nearly 50% below its all-time highs. However, analysts forecast significant gains for one of the market’s leading altcoins in January 2026, citing three major catalysts that could reshape its market outlook. A Major Step Towards Broader Access In a recent analysis, Sam Daodu, a market expert from 24/7 Wall St., emphasized the importance of Vanguard’s decision to approve trading of XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Daodu emphasized that the real significance lies in the facilitation of distribution; with Vanguard’s advisors able to allocate XRP exposure through regulated ETFs without additional cumbersome processes. He indicated that three interrelated factors are now at play: the influx of institutional capital through ETF investments, a reduction in supply, and the influence of Vanguard in altering the approach towards the asset. Related Reading: Bitcoin Pulls Back Under $89K, Michael Saylor Smells Opportunity Notably, the results of the token’s exchange-traded fund launch have already been notable, with XRP inflows hitting $1 billion within the first four weeks of trading, making it one of the fastest-growing crypto ETF launches to date. Additionally, XRP’s market supply has contracted significantly, dropping by 45% from approximately 3.9 billion tokens at the beginning of 2025 to about 1.6 billion by December. This contraction can be attributed to large holders refraining from distributing their tokens, leading to an accumulation in whale wallets and the removal of tokens from liquid markets due to ETF custody. This decreased supply implies that smaller inflows now carry greater influence. With only 1.6 billion tokens available on exchanges, investments of $20-30 million in daily ETF purchases can have a substantive impact on market supply. A Key Driver For Price Appreciation The Vanguard XRP ETF launch is particularly significant in this context, as it locks tokens into regulated custody vehicles that are less likely to be sold frequently. Unlike tokens held on exchanges that can be quickly moved in and out, ETF custody tends to encourage a buy-and-hold strategy, fostering conditions for gradual price appreciation fueled by sustained institutional demand amid a diminishing available supply. Given that the decision to provide ETF access came late in the year, year-end trading typically focuses on maintaining existing allocations rather than creating new positions. While the ETF adds credibility to XRP without causing immediate price pressure, its journey to a $3 valuation by January will depend on how swiftly advisory capital mobilizes, the durability of supply compression, and the overall stability of the markets. XRP Price Path To $3 Three potential scenarios present themselves for XRP’s future. The most optimistic scenario sees advisory capital moving quicker than typical, perhaps allowing advisors to integrate small XRP allocations during January’s rebalancing. In this case, XRP ETF inflows could remain robust, ranging from $40-60 million daily, while the locked-up supply on exchanges supports a price increase that could see the XRP price surpass $2.25, aim for $2.60, and potentially test $3 by the end of January. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Compression Deepens as Analysts Debate if the Next Move Is a Rally or Breakdown The middle-ground perspective suggests a more conventional institutional timing. In this scenario, while the XRP ETF access will gain attention in December, actual allocations might ramp up gradually, leading to a daily influx of about $20-30 million instead of the earlier expected pace. Here, the XRP price could establish higher lows and breach the $2.25 mark, facing resistance between $2.40 and $2.80. Price fluctuations would focus more on future adoption rather than immediate implications. According to Daodu’s conclusions, and given these circumstances, the XRP price reaching $3 could take until the first or second quarter of 2026 rather than being an immediate milestone. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto analyst Cryptollica published a new XRP/USD 2-week chart on December 8 via TradingView, arguing that the altcoin may be replaying the same structural pattern that preceded its explosive 2017 rally. With current price action pivoting around the key $1.95 level and technical targets projected as high as $9–$13. What Happens If XRP Repeats The 2017 Fractal? The analysis uses a long-range log chart from Binance, where the latest candle in the screenshot shows XRP trading around $2.0892. In this timeframe, the analyst divides XRP’s history into mirrored cycles: 2014–2017 on the left and 2021–2025 on the right, each broken into labeled segments “Part 1,” “Part 2” and “Part 3.” Related Reading: XRP Selloff: Whales Shed Coins Worth $1 Billion In A Week According to Cryptollica, “the cycle experienced by XRP between 2014 and 2017 is almost an identical copy of the current cycle spanning 2021 to 2025.” In both cases, Part 1 is described as an accumulation phase, with XRP suppressed below a dashed blue resistance band for an extended period while forming higher lows along a rising dotted trendline. The current Part 1, roughly 2022–2024, is said to have lasted substantially longer than in the earlier cycle. The analyst cites the rule that “the bigger the base, the higher in space,” arguing that this extended sideways structure signals a large build-up of potential energy. Part 2 is defined as the breakout and retest of that blue resistance band. Once XRP closes decisively above this zone and consolidates there, the chart treats the area as a new support and as confirmation that “the official end of the downtrend and the start of a bull market” has been registered. Cryptollica suggests XRP is now at the final stage of, or has just completed, this breakout phase on the 2-week timeframe. The pivotal reference point for the entire setup is the $1.95 level, drawn in green on the chart. “The $1.95 level, marked in green, is of vital importance,” the analyst writes, emphasizing the classic principle that “once resistance is broken, it turns into support.” In this framework, XRP “currently holding above this level (performing a successful retest) is the most crucial confirmation point for the continuation of the uptrend.” Related Reading: Pundit Highlights The Condition That Will Trigger A 2,300% XRP Rally To $50 If that confirmation holds, the analysis moves to Part 3, labeled the “Parabolic Rise – Discovery Phase.” In 2017, this segment corresponded to a near-vertical advance that pushed XRP into its all-time high zone. Cryptollica argues that XRP now stands “right on the precipice of this ‘vertical lift-off’ in the current cycle,” illustrated by a steep yellow arrow on the logarithmic chart. The first major objective is the region around the prior all-time high at roughly $3.30–$3.84. If the 2017 fractal “plays out precisely,” the post projects an “implied target” between $9.00 and $13.00. The analyst tempers this with several cautions. The crypto market is far larger than in 2017, and a move to $10+ would imply a “colossal market capitalization,” making a repeat of the exact 2017 multiple “mathematically more challenging,” even if “logic often takes a backseat in crypto mania.” The scenario also assumes supportive fundamentals, including the resolution of regulatory overhangs, potential XRP ETF developments and Ripple’s stablecoin strategy. Parabolic phases, Cryptollica warns, are typically accompanied by “sudden drops of 30–40%,” making them “the most dangerous territory for leveraged trading.” The analyst characterizes the overall outlook as “extremely positive (bullish)” as long as the $1.95 support holds, concluding that XRP is at the moment of “breaking its chains” and that, if broader market conditions remain constructive, “double-digit targets ($10+) for XRP are technically on the table.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.07. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Recent bullish predictions for the XRP price have emerged, hinting at a potential for new all-time highs (ATHs) by March 2026 for one of the market’s leading altcoins. XRP Price Projected To Reach New ATH By Q1 2026 According to projections from ChatGPT, XRP could reach approximately $4.40 by the first quarter of 2026, a notable increase of 120% from current levels around $2. In contrast to the AI forecast, some analysts believe that the XRP price has the potential for a stronger rally. They suggest that structural changes could allow XRP to exceed $5 and potentially approach $6 by 2026. Several factors support their optimistic view. For instance, key aspects of the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) case against Ripple were resolved earlier this year, which they believe could encourage banks and payment providers to adopt XRP for cross-border transactions, fostering greater confidence in its utility. Related Reading: Bitcoin Reclaims $93,000: Could Altcoins Rebound Amid Predictions Of An Upcoming Bear Market? Additionally, Ripple’s ecosystem is expanding well beyond XRP. In December 2024, the company launched a dollar-pegged stablecoin known as RLUSD, which has already achieved a market cap exceeding $1 billion. While RLUSD itself may not directly boost XRP’s price, it has the potential to attract more participants to Ripple’s network, thereby creating secondary demand for XRP as a bridging asset. Analysts posit that a steady pipeline of RLUSD adoption could enhance Ripple’s revenue growth, consequently driving the XRP price higher. $2.60 Key For Momentum Shift Moreover, analysts point to the upcoming Bitcoin (BTC) Halving, expected in 2028, as a potential catalyst for a broad crypto market rally. The analysts assert that the XRP price has historically benefited from such cycles. From a technical standpoint, chart analysts see XRP setting up for a potential breakout. Price action has formed a base around the low $2 range, which could lay the groundwork for further recovery. Related Reading: Ethereum Fusaka Upgrade Goes Live Today: Experts Predict Potential Supply Crunch Ahead According to the analysts, if bullish momentum can push the token above significant resistance levels around $2.60, it could change momentum indicators to a positive stance. Moreover, a sustained rally into the mid-$3 territory might then pave the way for XRP to reach the $4 to $5 range. When writing, the XRP price stands at $2.14, recording a 1.6% drop in the past 24 hours. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is testing a key inflection zone above $2.00 as two independent frameworks from crypto analysts Dom (@traderview2) and Osemka (@Osemka8) converge on a potential reversal – with clearly defined levels at roughly $2.00, $2.22 and $2.50 marking the battlefield. XRP Price Consolidation Nears Its End On the higher-timeframe 2-day chart, Osemka frames the structure as a classic flat correction built on top of the 2021 high. “Here’s the range and levels to help you navigate it. We’re basing on top of 2021 high,” he writes, adding that “we’ve also never broken down after going sideways for this long, so I remain with my view of this being an accumulation range and a flat correction.” Related Reading: XRP Whale Wallets Collapse 20%, But Biggest Holders Hoard More Than Ever His chart shows XRP oscillating in a horizontal band whose floor aligns with the 2021 high, labeled as a “Reaccumulation” area. Price has repeatedly tagged this support and bounced, while midrange resistance in the low-to-mid $2 zone has capped multiple rallies. Above, a higher horizontal line marks the January spike, which Osemka treats as the cycle top. Internally, he maps an A–B–C corrective sequence. The B leg forms a dotted ascending channel, labeled as a 3-legged “abc” wave. “That dotted ascending range in the middle (3 legged abc wave in B) has me optimistic as that is a corrective move that is synonymous for a flat correction,” he explains. “Meaning the top was in January and this indeed is only a sideways correction.” The current C leg is contained within a downward “Corrective channel” pointing back toward the lower band. For Osemka, even a deeper test of support would not necessarily be bearish for the larger structure: “If we end up taking the lower end of the range with C leg it’ll remain to be seen. But if so, it’d be a great buying opportunity.” He also calls XRP “a perfect example on why I view BTC also as a flat correction with the top in January,” arguing that “while Bitcoin is messy, XRP is very clean.” Why Its Now Or Never For XRP Dom zooms in on the last six weeks of that broader range and focuses on the microstructure that could trigger a move back toward the upper band. “If you inverse the chart over the last 6 weeks, you’ll see a perfect 3 drive pattern, a very accurate reversal setup in crypto,” he writes. On the non-inverted chart, this corresponds to three downside pushes that fail to extend lower, followed by what he calls a higher low: “We can see a HL has finally formed which can hint at the first sign of a trend change developing.” His 8-hour chart highlights the monthly rolling VWAP as the key pivot. “Bulls needs to regain the monthly rVWAP around $2.22 and that would be the shift for a rally back towards ~$2.50,” Dom says. That ~$2.50 area aligns with higher VWAP clusters and the upper portion of Osemka’s range. Related Reading: XRP Price About $1,000 Is A Necessity, Analyst Claims Order-book and skew data back his view that conditions are ripe for a break if buyers step in. “Orderbooks are clear, if there was a time, it’s now for this trend to shift,” he notes, pointing to relatively clean liquidity overhead and a recovering skew after a washed-out short side. The downside is equally explicit: “If this setup fails, acceptance under $2 is next and the end of year is ugly.” That would mean a decisive loss of the long-defended support band built on the 2021 high and a deeper completion of the C leg in Osemka’s flat-correction structure. For now, XRP remains compressed between the $2.00 support, the $2.22 monthly rVWAP trigger and the ~$2.50 upside magnet, with the six-week 3-drive pattern and flat-correction range jointly defining one of the clearest technical inflection points on the XRP chart this year. At press time, XRP traded at $2.1798. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto analyst Charting Guy (@ChartingGuy) is mapping out a sharply asymmetric setup for XRP, arguing that the token is locked in a textbook Wyckoff reaccumulation and is “still NOT bearish in the slightest” despite a year of range-bound trading. Why XRP Is Still Not Bearish His work is based on XRP/USD Bitstamp charts posted on X on 27 November 2025. On the weekly view, XRP trades around $2.23 after an 8–9% gain on the week, consolidating below the 2025 peak at approximately $3.317, which he marks as the 1.0 Fibonacci level. The retracement is drawn from the cycle low near $0.11400 up to that high, producing a ladder of levels that structure the entire thesis. Key Fibonacci levels include 0.5 at about $0.61495, 0.618 at $0.91531, 0.702 just above $1.20 and, crucially, 0.786 at $1.61246. A broad highlighted band covers the prior 2021 high zone and this 0.786 cluster, roughly from the mid-$1s into the low-$2s. Charting Guy describes this as XRP “building support on prior cycle high as well as top of golden pocket,” referring to the 0.618–0.786 retracement area. Related Reading: XRP Reserves On Binance Collapse To Record Lows: Investors Move Toward Long-Term Holding Above the 2025 high, he plots classic Fibonacci extensions: 1.272 at about $8.29661, 1.414 around $13.38940 and 1.618 near $26.63038. His immediate scenario, however, stops short of those levels, projecting a move toward roughly $7.50. XRP Price Roadmap For 2026 The detailed roadmap appears on a two-day XRP/USD chart overlaid with a Wyckoff schematic. The structure begins with a Preliminarily Supply (PSY) phase and a Buying Climax (BC) into the low-$3 zone, followed by a Secondary Test (ST) and an Automatic Reaction (AR) that defines the lower boundary of the range. Horizontal lines mark that floor near $1.61184, an intermediate band around $1.95, resistance at approximately $2.90 and the upper ceiling just above $3.30. During mid-2025, XRP prints an “UT Phase B” upthrust into that $3+ resistance before rolling into a downward-sloping channel. The upper boundary of this channel, labeled “CREEK,” connects a series of lower highs, while the lower boundary guides price back toward the $1.61–1.70 support. In the scenario path, XRP spikes down to test the blue horizontal at $1.61184. This move is annotated as the “SPRING” — Wyckoff’s final shakeout below range support. Price then rebounds to retake the $1.95 area, marked “TEST,” and establishes a higher low between roughly $2.00 and $2.20 as the first “LPS” (Last Point of Support). Related Reading: Analyst Predicts XRP Price Will Hit $100 Before Bitcoin Hits $1 Million From there, the schematic shows a decisive break of the descending “CREEK” trendline, the “JATC” or “Jump Across The Creek,” as XRP accelerates from around $2.20–2.30 through the $2.90 resistance. That breakout is followed by a “SOS” (Sign of Strength) above the former ceiling, with another LPS holding around the $2.90 region and confirming the flip of resistance into support. The right edge of the 2D chart then projects a steep markup phase. XRP rallies from roughly $3.00 to just above $7.50 before stalling, even though it remains below the 1.272 weekly extension at $8.29661. Alongside the charts, Charting Guy pushes back against bearish momentum narratives centered on the monthly RSI. He notes that the RSI peak occurred in January 2025 and “lost momentum ALL 2025 while XRP stayed sideways in a range and held its own,” calling this “a very textbook reaccumulation signal where indicators lose steam to reset and price stays stable.” The technical message is unambiguous: as long as the $1.61–1.70 band holds, Charting Guy views XRP’s extended consolidation as preparation, not distribution—anticipating a final flush below $1.70, followed by a Wyckoff-style breakout sequence toward approximately $7.50. At press time, XRP traded at $2.23. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP traders are once again arguing about upside targets after popular chartist Charting Guy reposted a bullish long-term setup and doubled down on his call that XRP can still reach $8 this cycle. “XRP still going to $8, idc,” he wrote on X in the early hours of Nov. 25, alongside a weekly XRP/USD chart from Bitstamp. XRP Price Still Has Room To Run At the time of the screenshot, XRP was trading around $2.25, up roughly 9.8% on the week, with the chart plotting an Elliott Wave structure from early 2023 into a projected peak in 2026. The analysis is built on a dense Fibonacci framework spanning from about $0.25 to a 1.272 extension at $8.29661, which anchors his upside target. The green wave count shows a classic five-wave impulse. Wave 1 launches from the post-bear-market base into the 0.618 Fibonacci level near $0.915, where the first leg tops out. Wave 2 then retraces for 51 weekly bars (357 days), bottoming just above the 0.382 retracement at $0.41315. Related Reading: XRP Real Purpose: Documentation Shows Payment Utility Contrary To Viral Claims — Details Wave 3 is drawn as a steep rally off that base, blasting through all mid-range Fibonacci bands and extending beyond the 1.0 level at $3.31700. In the replies, one user suggested the spike to around $3.65 had already completed the fifth wave; Charting Guy rejected that outright: “it wasn’t… was very clearly a B wave.” From that high, the chart records a year-long consolidation labelled as Wave 4, annotated as 50 weekly bars (350 days). Price fluctuates between roughly the mid-$2 area and above $3. The Wave-4 low holds above the 0.786 Fibonacci support at $1.61246, never revisiting the $1 region. From this consolidation, the projected Wave 5 shoots higher from around the $2–$2.30 zone—where XRP is currently trading—toward the 1.272 extension at $8.29661. The “5” marker sits at this level, and the projection shows only a modest pullback after touching the band, implying that this area is treated as the probable cycle cap. Related Reading: XRP Hits Exact Bull Target as Top Traders Celebrate Perfect Market Call The Fibonacci grid also frames the current battle zone. XRP’s price is oscillating around the 0.888 level at $2.27404, which lines up almost exactly with the latest weekly close, while the prior wave-3 region around $3.317 remains the next major resistance band on the chart. Not everyone is convinced. “Could still go under 1.50. Still,” wrote another user. Charting Guy’s response was curt: “no.” That stance matches the technical layout: in his count, the $1.61 area has already printed the Wave-4 low, and the structure does not include another trip below that support. Others pushed for higher numbers. “Was hoping for $20+,” one follower admitted. “could happen,” the analyst replied—before clarifying to another user that “$20 is not on track but still entirely possible.” His published chart, however, draws no path beyond the $8.29 extension, underlining that mid-single-digit territory remains his primary target for this cycle. At press time, XRP traded at $2.20. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP’s market momentum accelerated this week as the cryptocurrency hit a key bullish target identified by a prominent trader, reinforcing growing confidence across the community. Related Reading: Will The Low XRP Price Force Ripple To Dump Its Holdings? Exec Answers Community The surge comes amid a wave of institutional inflows, multiple ETF launches, expanding utility, and renewed optimism from analysts who believe XRP is entering a powerful new phase of market participation. XRP's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: XRPUSD on Tradingview Technical Breakout: Bull Flag Target Achieved A precise technical call from trader @kriptocumm caught the attention of XRP traders after the asset reached the exact bull flag target he outlined earlier in the week. KripTocuM’s analysis, shared on November 22, identified a textbook flag pattern with support at $1.8810 and a breakout requirement above $1.92. Using the pole height of roughly $1.37 added to the breakout point, he calculated a target of $2.1076. On November 24, XRP rallied past $2, coming within striking distance of the projected level, before stabilizing near $2.055. Trading volume jumped to $3.85 billion, reflecting heightened market participation and validating the breakout structure. Indicators remained tilted bullish, with RSI at 62 and a positive MACD crossover suggesting further upside potential. XRP ETF Momentum Pushes Institutional Demand Higher XRP’s move arrives during one of its strongest weeks of institutional interest to date. Franklin Templeton’s newly approved spot XRP ETF (XRPZ) debuted on the NYSE with projected first-day volumes of up to $30 million. The fund’s aggressive fee-waiver strategy, 0% on the first $5 billion until May 2026, has already drawn investor attention. Grayscale also launched its XRP Trust ETF (GXRP) with a temporary 0% fee, expanding access for traditional market participants seeking regulated exposure. Both products entered the market as XRP recorded $179.6 million in weekly inflows, sharply contrasting heavy outflows from Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. Analysts say this rotation signals a shift toward altcoins with clearer catalysts and strengthening fundamentals. Analysts See Expanding Utility and Long-Term Upside Growing utility narratives continue to enhance XRP’s appeal. CryptoSensei recently reiterated explosive price projections, conditional on supply constraints, while pointing to rising institutional adoption, expanding treasury use, and new stablecoin-related integrations as key pillars for long-term growth. Meanwhile, Ripple’s new Asian banking partnership and ongoing XRPL scalability upgrades are adding further confidence to XRP’s fundamental outlook. Related Reading: Dogecoin Just Replicated This Bullish Trend For The 3rd Time, Can Price Still Reach $1? With momentum building on both technical and institutional fronts, traders now look toward the next major resistance levels as the market gauges whether XRP can sustain its powerful new trend. Cover image from ChatGPT, XRPUSD on Tradingview
Crypto analyst Will Taylor, founder of Cryptoinsightuk, says talk of an XRP bear market is premature, arguing that the token’s higher-time-frame structure and liquidity profile remain bullish despite extreme volatility and record liquidations. Is The XRP Bear Market Here? In a video published on 19 November, Taylor acknowledged the “doom and gloom” dominating crypto sentiment but insisted that, from a technical standpoint, “nothing’s really changed” for XRP. His core claim is that XRP is still trading above a reclaimed multi-year resistance level that now acts as structural support. “We have spent over a year above our 7-year resistance holding it as support,” he said, calling this setup “almost unprecedented for XRP and for any asset.” As long as that zone holds, he rejects the idea that the market has rolled into a confirmed long-term downtrend. “Until that support is lost […] you can’t convince me that we’re bearish. I just don’t believe that.” Taylor uses Bitcoin as the macro anchor for the XRP thesis. He described the current BTC drawdown as a standard bull-market correction, noting that price is now sitting around a 30% pullback from the highs, similar to prior mid-cycle moves. He pointed out that the daily RSI is oversold and that the three-day RSI is at levels last seen near the $25,000 lows. “If we’re referring back to when momentum has felt this bad, it’s literally cycle lows,” he argued, while stressing that this does not guarantee an immediate reversal. Related Reading: XRP Supply In Profit Falls to 58.5% – Lowest Since 2024 Despite Higher Price Against that backdrop, he characterizes XRP as simply ranging above long-term support. On the daily chart, he said XRP is “holding its range pretty well,” with price near the lower end of that structure. He framed the area around roughly $2 as historically attractive from a risk-reward perspective: “Bottom of the range is where people are scared, where sentiment’s low. These are the areas that are pretty decent.” The liquidity map is central to his view. On lower time frames, Taylor sees some liquidity beneath recent lows, around $2.05–2.03, which could be swept without breaking the broader range. However, he stressed that the overwhelming concentration of resting liquidity lies far above spot. In the daily, he claimed that for XRP “the densest area of liquidity by an absolute long shot is above us […] dense all the way up to $4.20, $4.30 in dollars.” He argued that this distribution matters because market makers and exchanges maximize revenue where positions are opened and closed, not at stagnant prices. “They make money when contracts are opened and closed. They don’t give a [expletive] whether the price goes up or down,” he said. In his view, that means price statistically gravitates toward the most crowded liquidity pockets: “You have to play the four out of five chance that it is going to go into the dense area of liquidity.” Related Reading: Famous Trader Bets $27 Million That The XRP Price Will Crash XRP Vs. The Rest Of Crypto Taylor also pointed to relative-value signals. Against Ethereum, XRP recently closed a weekly candle above the 0.000071 level, which he said “has trapped us down since August.” Versus Bitcoin, he highlighted that XRP has been “holding the range lows” and has finally logged a weekly close above a resistance cluster that capped price since early October. XRP dominance, he added, has broken out of a downtrend and closed back above a recent cluster, although he wants “one or two more weeks” of continuation to confirm a bullish cross. He underscored that this structure has held despite the October 10, “the largest liquidation event in history of crypto.” While the FTX collapse saw about $2 billion in leveraged positions liquidated, the October 10 move liquidated roughly $20 billion and still failed to push XRP into a sustained breakdown.The sharp wick lower was “instantly bought back to the upside,” and the range was reclaimed soon after. “Things like XRP are looking super bullish here,” he concluded. “I think XRP is going to blow the doors off people’s expectations.” For now, Taylor maintains that an XRP bear market would require a decisive loss of the long-term support zone and a very different liquidity and dominance picture. Until those conditions appear, he says, “there isn’t a factual argument” for a confirmed bear market—only predictions. At press time, XRP traded at $2.11. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The crypto market is buzzing after the launch of the first U.S. spot XRP ETFs, a development that has injected fresh institutional energy into the asset. Related Reading: Famous Trader Bets $27 Million That The XRP Price Will Crash With multiple high-performing firms entering the race, including Canary Capital, Franklin Templeton, and Grayscale, a bold question is resurfacing across the industry: Can XRP realistically challenge Ethereum for the No. 2 spot in the global cryptocurrency rankings? XRP's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: XRPUSD on Tradingview XRP ETFs Ignite Institutional Momentum The launch of XRP ETFs in November 2025 marked a historic moment for the asset. Canary Capital’s XRPC debuted with over $58 million in first-day volume, the strongest ETF opening among hundreds launched this year. Franklin Templeton has now filed its Form 8-A to list the Franklin XRP ETF on NYSE Arca, signaling that another major player is just days away from going live. This influx of institutional interest mirrors the early phases of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF rollouts, characterized by short-term volatility followed by broader adoption. Though XRP’s price consolidated around the $2.12–$2.17 zone after the initial spike, analysts argue that ETF inflows operate with settlement lags through OTC desks. In other words, the actual impact on market price may not be realized until later. Can XRP Truly Compete With Ethereum’s Dominance? Despite XRP’s explosive year, marked by record utility, rising XRPL adoption, and Ripple’s $500 million strategic investment, the asset still faces a steep climb if it hopes to overtake Ethereum. Ethereum remains firmly in second place with a $373 billion market cap, supported by a massive ecosystem of decentralized applications, smart contracts, and tokenized assets. XRP, currently around $129 billion, operates on a network optimized for payments rather than programmable applications. Analysts note that while XRP’s institutional use cases are deepening, particularly in cross-border settlement, tokenization, and banking infrastructure, the lack of a native smart-contract layer limits its ability to mirror Ethereum’s developer-driven demand. For now, experts say that overtaking Ethereum is unlikely in the short to medium term. But with expanding utility, ETF-driven accumulation, and growing adoption in Japan, the U.S., and global banks, XRP’s market cap could still climb substantially. Price Outlook: Volatility Now, Bigger Moves Later From a technical standpoint, XRP is sitting at a critical support zone near $2.12, repeatedly testing the 0.382 Fibonacci level. Selling pressure remains present, with capital outflows and lower highs on the chart. Yet open interest has surged from $1 billion to over $6 billion since October, signaling strong trader engagement. Related Reading: Analyst Says You’re Looking At XRP The Wrong Way, Here’s What It Actually Does Long-term forecasts from analysts remain optimistic, with some projecting possible runs toward $6–$25 if ETF inflows intensify and liquidity tightens. As November and December usher in multiple ETF listings, XRP’s next major move will likely be shaped by how quickly institutional allocations scale. Cover image from ChatGPT, XRPUSD chart from Tradingview
Canary Capital’s XRP ETF made a historic debut on Thursday, surpassing its competitors by hitting $58 million in trading volume on its first day, setting a record for the most traded ETF launch this year. This milestone was lauded by Bloomberg expert Eric Balchunas on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), underlining the remarkable success of the XRP ETF in the market. The launch of the first XRP ETF in the United States earlier today had a notable impact on the XRP price, propelling it towards the crucial $2.5 level. However, subsequent market movements saw a 4% retracement, bringing the token’s current trading price to $2.3. XRP ETF Potential Canary Capital’s CEO, Steven McClur, recently expressed confidence in the potential of an XRP ETF, suggesting that it could outperform the achievements of Solana (SOL). He highlighted XRP’s strong liquidity and global utility, foreseeing substantial institutional investment influx in the near future. The XRP ETF by Canary Capital has indeed outperformed Bitwise’s Solana Staking exchange-traded fund, with a trading volume of $57 million, falling just short of Canary’s fund by a mere million-dollar difference. Related Reading: Who’s Selling Bitcoin? Fidelity Research Boss Breaks It Down Analysts predict that the approval of asset managers like Franklin Templeton, Bitwise, and Grayscale in the upcoming days of November could attract significant institutional investments ranging from $4 to $8 billion, potentially leading to a substantial price surge due to the low liquidity in the market. As a result, market analysts foresee a bullish rally for XRP, hinting that the token may be approaching the end of consolidation. They suggest long-term price targets ranging from $10 to $37. If these bullish scenarios materialize, these surges could result in new all-time highs and significant potential gains, with projections of 334% and a staggering 1,500%, respectively, from current trading levels. XRP Price Could See 150% Increase To $6 by 2030 In addition to the significant ETF debut by Canary Capital, industry experts like Dark Defender have shared key technical analyses that could complement the performance of the XRP ETF market. Notably, Dark Defender highlighted signals on the weekly time frame indicating a potential surge for XRP, with resistance at $2.85, support at $2.22, and targets projected at $18.22 and $36.76. Related Reading: Dormant Bitcoin Giant Stirs, Unloads 12,000 BTC In Surprise Move Geoffrey Kendrick at Standard Chartered anticipates substantial gains in the forthcoming years, largely attributed to the potential of spot XRP ETFs. He has set a target price of $12.50 for 2028, implying annual returns of 73%. Analysts at the Motley Fool have also weighed in, drawing parallels to Bitcoin’s (BTC) price appreciation following the SEC approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, projecting a 150% increase to $6 for XRP by 2030. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is printing its most constructive long-term structure on record, according to independent chartist “The Great Mattsby” (@matthughes13), who points to the three-month Ichimoku system and a year-long base forming above its key quarterly averages. XRP Is In The Strongest Bull Run Ever On the latest 3-month XRP/USD chart from Bitstamp, the in-progress candle shows price around $2.31, with the Ichimoku conversion line and baseline tracking just beneath spot. The analyst highlights that XRP “has never built a base above the 3 month conversion or baseline in its history and it’s doing it now for the past year” (posted Nov. 8, 2025). That observation is notable because, in prior cycles, quarterly closes consistently failed to hold above those Ichimoku reference lines after rallies, whereas the current cycle has seen price stabilize on top of them for multiple quarters in a row. The present quarterly candle remains open, but the configuration—price above both the 3-month conversion and baseline—visually underscores the claim of an ongoing macro bull trend. And there’s a more bullish structure for XRP. XRP has been oscillating between the 0.886 Fibonacci retracement at $2.25877 and its 2018 cycle all-time high at $3.31700. Since early December last year, price repeatedly defended the $2.25877 band as support while failing to secure acceptance above the $3.31700 ceiling on the weekly chart, creating a horizontal range capped by the former peak. Related Reading: XRP Eyes $5.5, But The Best Entry Is Still Ahead: Analyst “To put things in perspective, XRP has been consolidating between the 0.886 Fibonacci level and its 2018 all-time high (2.25877–3.317). It’s building a strong base above the 0.886 Fib,” Mattsby wrote on Oct. 12, adding that this structure keeps XRP in what he calls a “#Palantiring candidate” posture. Although that remark is four weeks old, the argument remains intact on the posted chart: the 0.886 area continues to function as the pivotal shelf. XRP Price Targets Beyond the prior-cycle high, the same weekly framework maps out upside extension levels that would logically come into play only if $3.31700 is reclaimed and held. Those include the 1.272 extension around $8.29661, the 1.414 near $13.38940, and the 1.618 up at $26.63038. Related Reading: XRP Price To Reach $1,000 By End Of 2025? Rumor Mills Are On Fire With BlackRock Speculations Closer to price, the stacked retracement supports below $2.25877 are clearly demarcated at $1.61246 (0.786), $1.12487 (0.702), $0.91531 (0.618), $0.61495 (0.500), $0.41315 (0.382), and $0.25257 (0.236), delineating the ladder of demand zones that governed XRP’s multi-year range prior to the latest advance. Taken together, the two timeframes tell a coherent story. On the high-timeframe Ichimoku view, XRP is maintaining altitude above its 3-month conversion and baseline for the first sustained period in its history—an objective sign of trend strength. On the weekly, price action has compressed into a well-defined band between $2.26 and $3.32, with repeated mean-reversions indicating accumulation rather than distribution while the market tests overhead supply at the 2018 high. As long as the 0.886 retracement at $2.25877 continues to hold on closing bases, the consolidation thesis laid out by The Great Mattsby—and the characterization of this as XRP’s strongest macro bull trend to date on Ichimoku terms—remains technically valid. At press time, XRP traded at $2.56. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is holding firm on the weekly time frame despite the latest market-wide drawdown, according to an Elliott Wave roadmap shared by crypto technician Hov (@HovWaves). On Hov’s Bitstamp-based 1W chart, the current candle sits near $2.22 with three days and several hours left to close, and the structure remains nested inside a higher-time-frame impulse that he counts as wave iii completed, wave iv in progress, and a prospective wave v aiming materially higher. Is The XRP Bottom In? The key reference band for pullbacks is defined by Fibonacci retracements measured from the latest vertical advance. Hov plots the 0.236 retracement at $2.094, the 0.382 at $1.548, the 0.5 at $1.213, and the 0.618 at $0.950. The price has broken down to the 0.236 neighborhood, probing a turquoise demand box that overlaps the 0.382 ($1.548) on the lower edge. That zone also contains the October 10 liquidity event wick he highlights around $1.58. In his accompanying note, Hov stresses that the last rise from that low has only formed three waves to date, leaving room for “one more small low on the micro before it’s all said and done,” while adding, “I don’t think it takes out the 1.58 low” and that, because of the wick, “we’re likely to see a truncation on this move.” Related Reading: XRP Holds The Line As Bulls Eye $3.40 — Can 20-Month EMA Power Next Breakout? The upside map hinges on two resistance landmarks. First is a boxed supply region overhead that caps out just below a labeled swing marker at “0 (3.41159),” effectively framing $3.41 as the final pivot from the prior leg. More important for confirmation, Hov marks “HTF close above $2.94 is the key.” That $2.94 weekly close is his validation level that would reassert the impulsive trend and unlock a measured extension to his first target. That target is explicit on the chart: the next leg’s objective aligns with the −0.236 extension printed at $5.558. A curved projection path from the current area arcs through the retracement box and then accelerates vertically toward the target, annotated with a circled “V” at the terminal portion of the move and a higher-degree “3” on the scale, consistent with an impulse termination at or near the extension. Related Reading: 84% Of XRP Sell Pressure Comes From Korea As $2 Looms, Analyst Warns Context from the left side of the chart shows how structurally important the base has been. A broad turquoise accumulation band anchored around the $0.43 handle (labeled “1 (0.43128)”) held price throughout 2023–2024, preceding the breakout that staged the current impulse. Above that, a second, higher turquoise band spans the 2021 reaction zone and now acts as the battleground for the present consolidation beneath $3.41. A visible-range profile overlay inside the consolidation rectangle shows the heaviest traded activity toward the left ridge of the range, underscoring why weekly closes above $2.94 would be decisive. Hov’s bottom line on X mirrors the chart. “XRP holding up exceptionally well on this market wide sell off,” he wrote, noting the coin remains “still up 40% off our level (threaded).” While he allows for a final marginal low—without undercutting $1.58—his roadmap retains a “first target” near $5.5, with the caveat that a “HTF close above $2.94 is the key.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.18. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Over the past month, the XRP price has experienced a significant decline, with its price dropping by 23% amid mounting selling pressure following the crypto market crash on October 10. Some analysts are now suggesting that the altcoin’s correction is not yet complete. A Retest Of Key Fibonacci Level On The Horizon Market expert Casi Trades recently shared insights on social media site X (formerly Twitter), indicating that enthusiasm surrounding the recent partnership announcement with Mastercard may have been premature. During the Ripple Swell 2025 event in New York, the company unveiled a new collaboration with Mastercard, WebBank, and crypto exchange Gemini to test its RLUSD stablecoin as a means of settling credit card transactions. Related Reading: Weakness In Major Cryptos: What Key Technical Metrics Indicate For Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Solana The announcement initially propelled the XRP price toward the $2.41 mark. However, this surge was short-lived, and the price quickly retraced. It maintained its trajectory below the previous Fibonacci Wave 1 low, as seen in the chart below. Casi Trades noted that this price rejection reinforces the belief that the Wave 3 low at $2.05 has not been adequately tested. She anticipates that the XRP price will likely trend downward toward this Fibonacci level to complete the subwave 5 of Wave 3. Additionally, the relative strength index (RSI) supports this bearish outlook, indicating a divergence at the recent price high and suggesting a retest of the lower trendline is imminent. XRP Price Poised For An Explosive 2,155% Increase? Despite the current bearish sentiment, some analysts maintain bullish projections for the XRP price. Egrag Crypto recently remarked that the ongoing price formation resembles a range rather than a straightforward ascending wedge or rectangle. Based on measured moves, projections suggest that the altcoin could reach a new all-time high around $10. If this is indeed Macro Wave 2, the anticipated Wave 3 could be 1.618 times the length of Wave 1, potentially placing targets between $14 and $25. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Needs To Reclaim This Key Level To Prevent Drop To $1,700 Moreover, the analyst pointed out the growing speculation that XRP will revisit its $0.77 wick on Binance. However, Egrag countered these discussions, noting that the altcoin could also reach the $50 “wick” observed on the Gemini crypto exchange. While some believe the Binance wick to $0.77 must be filled, Egrag argues that ignoring the potential for XRP to hit $50 is a mistake, especially if market symmetry comes into play. The analyst concluded his thesis by stating that this cycle could see the XRP price reaching that $50 level as the market undergoes its “final blow-off phase.” This would imply a major 2,155% uptrend ahead for the altcoin’s price. When writing, XRP trades at $2.22, still recording gains of 318% year-to-date, according to CoinGecko data. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP’s latest downswing has dragged price into a cluster of long-term volume and mean-reversion levels, with one prominent market technician flagging Korea as the epicenter of near-term spot selling. XRP Faces Crucial Support In charts shared over the past 24 hours, trader Dom (@traderview2) said XRP has “reached the 12M rVWAP for the first time this year,” adding that it “really isn’t a level we want to be trading under for awhile.” He warned that if bulls lose that 12-month rolling VWAP, “we are looking at the range low of $2 as the next area of interest,” whereas a swift recovery would require “$2.50 [to] regain to get out of danger area.” Dom also pointed to order-book composition: “Spot orderbooks are skewed towards bids right now which is positive, but snapping the local low will likely send us back to $2 where the rest of the bids sit.” Dom’s VWAP-suite chart places spot price pressing directly into the 12-month rolling VWAP ribbon after failing to sustain above the prior distribution shelf, a configuration that often separates trending from mean-reverting phases. Testing this line for the first time this year is notable because multi-month rVWAPs act as dynamic fair-value proxies; sustained closes below them historically coincide with further probing of high-volume nodes beneath. Related Reading: Rare Chart Formation That Led To An 87% XRP Price Crash Has Resurfaced Korea Dictates The XRP Price Move Once Again The geographic concentration of selling has amplified the risk of a deeper tag of that range. Dom said the bulk of the spot pressure was exchange-specific: “They do NOT look happy over there in Korean… 84% of all the spot sell pressure over the last 2 days has came from Upbit.” A cumulative volume delta (CVD) breakdown by exchange corroborates the outsized role of the Korean venue, with Upbit’s CVD line deeply negative while Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, Kraken and Bitstamp hover comparatively flat near the zero line. In practical terms, that mix indicates real-coin distribution flowed predominantly through the KRW corridor even as other USD- and USDT-based venues showed less aggressive net selling. Related Reading: XRP Price At $10,000-$50,000 Is Nonsense: Analyst Bashes Calls For Bitcoin-Like Prices A separate high-timeframe chart from IncomeSharks frames the downside magnet with simple clarity. The analyst posted a daily XRP/USD view with a broad demand zone centered just under $2.00 and commented: “XRP — If you missed it under $2 you’ll probably have a chance to bid it again.” The chart highlights how the late-summer impulse failed to retake overhead resistance and how subsequent lower highs left a clean air pocket toward the December–March value area that begins around the psychologically dense $2.00 handle. The analyst expects a retracement as low as $1.80-$1.70 if the psychological important $2 mark doesn’t hold. At press time, XRP traded at $2.21. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto analyst Osemka is drawing a direct structural comparison between XRP’s current consolidation and the final base gold printed before its breakout to fresh highs. According to his charts, XRP/USD on the two-day timeframe is trading in what he characterizes as a reaccumulation range rather than a topping pattern. Will XRP Follow Gold’s Pattern? The structure is labeled in classic Elliott Wave A-B-C form, with the C leg ending in what he calls a “Spring.” The October 10 crash marks the Wyckoff terms the final violent liquidation wick that clears late longs and forces capitulation before the next markup phase. The XRP chart shows price capped by a horizontal resistance band near the local top marked “B,” with that B high sitting above $3.40 and extending toward roughly $3.66 at the peak. After that move, XRP retraced into a sideway band where Osemka labels internal subdivisions “a,” “b,” and “c,” implying a corrective internal chop inside the broader range. The lower boundary of the range is drawn in the $1.62 area. This lower boundary is simultaneously labeled “A” and described as the base of Reaccumulation, implying that buyers repeatedly defended that zone. The subsequent rally back toward the upper boundary defined the “B” top. What followed was a final flush into “C,” which he explicitly tags “Spring,” with the wick piercing below prior support and then snapping back above $2.20–$2.30 and into the ~$2.58 region shown on the chart. Related Reading: Why This Analyst Is More Bullish On XRP Over Ethereum For The Short-Term The message is that the C wave was fast, deep, and terminal. He calls it “a sharp ending in the C wave,” adding that this is “very common.” In classical Elliott interpretation, an A-B-C corrective move that ends with an aggressive C spike often resolves with trend continuation in the direction of the original impulse. In his wording, the surge established the impulse, and everything since has been digestion, not distribution. He argues that “it is hard to see this range as anything less than a long reaccumulation after November’s surge.” Notably, Osemka places XRP’s pattern next to gold’s weekly chart during its own multi-quarter sideways phase. Gold’s structure is annotated almost identically: an “A” low anchored around roughly $1,680–$1,700 per ounce, a mid-range chop labeled “a / b / c,” a “B” high pressing into the $2,050–$2,100 ceiling, and finally a “C” leg that undercut that same $1,700 floor before reversing. Related Reading: Is XRP Headed For A 16% Drop? Signal Flashes Familiar Warning When gold finally pushed through the long-capped $2,100 area in July 2024 and broke into sustained new all-time highs near $2,480, that break acted like a trigger: safe-haven demand, Fed rate-cut expectations and central bank buying drove an almost uninterrupted vertical phase in the metal, and over the following months gold kept taking out round numbers — $2,500, $3,000, $4,000 and beyond — ultimately stretching more than 80% higher from that $2,100 breakout zone to reach about $4,381 per ounce at the peak. By placing XRP and gold side by side, using the same lettering, same boundary logic, and the same “Spring” terminology, Osemka is presenting XRP as sitting at the equivalent moment gold occupied just before its parabolic run. “This one is for the XRP community, where I see some gurus preaching for the end of the cycle. Bros, it is hard to see this range as anything less than a long reaccumulation after November’s surge. In Elliott wave terms: an ABC with a sharp ending in the C wave. Very common. Last shakeout or Spring. There is basically no difference to this reaccumulation example on Gold years ago. Thank me later,” the analyst concluded. At press time, XRP traded at $2.49. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto analyst Ali Martinez has cautioned that XRP may be approaching another downswing after the Tom DeMark (TD) Sequential flashed a fresh sell signal on the daily timeframe. In a new video and transcript shared alongside a TradingView chart of the Binance XRP/USDT perpetual contract, Martinez said, “XRP could be bound for a correction. The TD Sequential Indicator on the daily chart has been remarkably accurate in calling XRP’s trend reversals over the past three months, and it has just flashed another sell signal.” Is XRP Poised For A 16%+ Drawdown? Martinez anchored the call in a sequence of recent TD prints that he argues lined up with notable reversals. “On July 22nd, a sell signal resulted in a 24% correction. On August 8th, a sell signal led to a 17% pullback. On August 23rd, a sell signal resulted in a 13% drop. On September 15th, another sell signal preceded a 13% dip. On September 27th, a buy signal resulted in a 12% rebound. On October 22nd, a buy signal led to a 14% surge. Now, the TD Sequential Indicator just flashed a sell signal, suggesting that a pullback may be underway.” The above chart depicts the daily candles for the XRP/USDT perpetual on Binance with TD markers annotated at the cited swing points. It shows drawdowns and rebounds close to the magnitudes Martinez lists, with boxes highlighting approximate moves of about −23.9%, −17.75%, −12.34% and −12.89% following earlier sell counts, and rebounds of roughly +12.26% and +14.25% after the late-September and late-October buy signals. Related Reading: XRP Volatility Incoming? Ripple CEO Prepares Investors For What’s Next The latest candle is labeled with a new “9” sell tag near the $2.64 area shown on the chart, underscoring the analyst’s warning that the next impulse could skew lower if the pattern persists. TD Sequential signals are timing tools, not directional guarantees, and their effectiveness is typically judged ex-post by how consistently they appear near exhaustion points. Martinez’s argument is empirical and narrowly scoped to the recent three-month sample visible on his chart, where the recorded signals coincided with local peaks and troughs to a notable degree. Related Reading: XRP Final Test: Will Wave 4 End With One More Shakeout Before Liftoff? The present setup therefore pivots on whether XRP respects the latest sell print as it did in July, August, and mid-September, or whether the market breaks that cadence as it occasionally does in trending environments. Martinez is not projecting targets or durations beyond the historical analogues he enumerates, and the only explicit inference he draws is that another corrective phase is statistically plausible given the recent behavior of the TD signals on the daily chart. Based on the four most recent TD sell signals (−24%, −17%, −13%, −13%), the average drawdown is ~16.75%, which—applied to the chart’s current price around $2.64—would imply potential downside toward roughly $2.20 if the pattern repeats. At press time, XRP traded at $2.64. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Credible Crypto, a widely followed market technician with 479,900 followers on X, turned decisively upbeat on XRP in an October 15 video, arguing that the token’s high-time-frame structure “still looks absolutely freaking fantastic” despite “the most devastating and most significant liquidation event in the history of crypto.” He framed last Friday’s cross-market crash—“around 10 times more than the FTX collapse”—as a bottom-forming anomaly and said XRP’s key support held on closing bases, keeping his double-digit price outlook intact. XRP Targets Double-Digits The analyst’s core claim is straightforward: the violent wick to fresh lows across many venues did not invalidate XRP’s high-time-frame uptrend. He points to a monthly demand band at roughly $2.00–$2.40, noting that even after the flash-liquidity cascade “we did not get any 4-hourly closes below $2.30,” and that the deeper prints to $1.17 on some exchanges were byproducts of forced liquidations rather than organic selling. “Ultimately on the high time frames once again it looks fantastic,” he said, adding that XRP’s prior five-wave advance began at ~$0.49; as long as price holds above the origin of that impulse, he views the recent selloff as a mid-cycle correction, not a cycle top. In his words: “This is not the end of the bull run for XRP… we have much higher to go.” Related Reading: Why This Pundit Believes It’s “Game Over” For XRP Following The Crash He lays out clear tactical markers. On the USD pair, the first meaningful supply band sits around $2.70–$3.11; acceptance above that region would suggest the next impulse has begun. On relative pairs, he highlights a now-familiar horizontal he calls “Gandalf’s grave” on XRP/BTC—a prior multi-touch resistance that recently flipped to support and was respected on hourly closes even during the crash. The path forward, in his telling, splits into two equally plausible tracks. In the first, Bitcoin runs hot toward $130–$150k in a parabolic extension while XRP chops sideways; that rotational dynamic would push XRP/BTC lower toward a deeper, high-time-frame demand zone even as XRP/USD holds a higher base above ~$1.90–$2.30. In the second, XRP stabilizes here and rips sooner, with XRP/BTC launching directly and “the minimum move… a 50% move up against Bitcoin,” which would place XRP/USD at new all-time highs. He cautions that a drift lower on XRP/BTC would be a feature, not a bug: “If you’re not fully loaded on XRP, that is when you should get fully loaded,” he said. Crucially, Credible Crypto ties the XRP roadmap to Ethereum’s next leg. He argues ETH showed “one of the cleanest impulsive movements” in years—a full five-wave advance from ~$2,000 to ~$4,700—then sketched two scenarios. In scenario one (the more aggressive), that $2,000–$4,700 move is wave one of a much larger sequence to $10,000+, with the current drawdown constituting wave two before a $5k–$6k expansion leg. Related Reading: $26 XRP Price Target Remains Technically Valid, Says Expert In scenario two (less aggressive), ETH is missing a final wave-five push to new highs just above $5k, and then would undergo a broader, deeper wave-two correction. He even provides a hard invalidation for scenario two: if ETH fell to ~$2,700–$2,800, the overlap with wave-one territory would scrap it, implicitly favoring scenario one. Either way, he says, “sub-$2,000 Ethereum is likely gone for the rest of the cycle.” Why does this matter for XRP? Because if ETH makes a clean run to and through $5k first, XRP/ETH likely bleeds into a deeper green demand band before reversing—timing that would map to XRP/USD basing while the ETH leg completes. He sees that as constructive signal, not weakness: a final dip in XRP/ETH toward higher-time-frame demand would “tell us when we may be seeing good risk-reward opportunity for long trades on XRPUSD,” and the longer the base, “the greater the expansion.” Credible Crypto’s playbook for confirmation is explicit. On XRP/USD, watch for an impulsive five-wave thrust off the lows and for clean acceptance above $2.70–$3.11. On XRP/BTC, either a swift reversal from the “Gandalf’s grave” retest or a controlled bleed into a deeper, pre-identified demand block that would time a stronger USD-denominated breakout later. On XRP/ETH, a drift to the green demand area would likely coincide with ETH’s final push past $5k, after which he expects the cross to reverse hard in XRP’s favor. At press time, XRP traded at $2.42. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The XRP monthly chart remains structurally constructive despite last week’s sharp pullback, according to independent technician Charting Guy (@ChartingGuy), who argues the asset is “NOT bearish in the slightest.” His latest one-month XRP/USD chart on Bitstamp, captured Oct. 14, shows price defending a major Fibonacci support cluster while repeatedly probing resistance at the prior all-time high. XRP Bull Run To $26 Still Possible? On the current monthly candle, XRP is trading at $2.4477 with 17 days and 10 hours left in the period after printing an open at $2.8467, high at $3.1037, and low at $1.5800, down 14.0% month-to-date. The rejection zone is precise: a horizontal line marks the 1.000 Fibonacci retracement at $3.3170, which aligns with the 2018 cycle peak and has capped the last several tops in 2025. Just below, the chart includes a 0.888 retracement band (approximately $2.96) that has acted as near-term resistance during this three-month range between roughly $2.10–$3.30. Under price, confluence is building at the former breakout shelf from the 2021 surge. A lime-green box highlights the $1.60–$1.80 area, overlapping directly with the 0.786 retracement at $1.6125 and the top of the 2021 congestion. This band caught last week’s deep wick to $1.58 and, in prior months, has served as a staging area for rebounds. The next staircase of support below is marked by the 0.702 at $1.2149, the 0.618 at $0.9153, and the 0.500 at $0.6149, delineating a clear hierarchy should the market see further volatility. Related Reading: XRP Open Interest Crashes 50% Over The Weekend, What Does This Mean For Price? The bullish extension framework in Charting Guy’s layout is unambiguous. Above the all-time high at $3.3170, the chart plots successive Fibonacci expansion targets at 1.272 = $8.2961, 1.414 = $13.3894, and 1.618 = $26.6304. Those levels map a classic measured-move pathway for a trend continuation once price achieves a decisive, high-timeframe close through the prior peak. In other words, the cycle roadmap remains intact so long as the monthly structure continues to hold above the 0.786 stack and eventually flips the ATH into support. Market Structure Remains Supportive The analyst couples that chart with a broader market read. “So many [are] caught up in day-to-day price action,” he posted on X, adding that TOTAL2, TOTAL3, and top altcoins (ETH, XRP, SOL) each “have ONE more key fib to get over… their prior ATH. Once that happens with strength, altseason really gets going. BTC.D tanks & shitcoins finally catch a bid.” In his XRP view, that “one more key fib” is the $3.3170 threshold. Related Reading: XRP Could Swing To $1.19 Or $20 After Order-Book Collapse, Analyst Warns Technically, the setup is binary and well-defined on the monthly timeframe: continued defense of $1.60–$1.80 keeps the uptrend’s higher-low structure intact, while a sustained break and close above $3.3170 would confirm the next leg toward the extension grid at $8.30, $13.39, and—at the cycle’s ambitious outer bound—the 1.618 marker near $26.63. For now, XRP remains range-bound beneath ATH but supported by the same zone that powered its last breakout, exactly as Charting Guy’s chart depicts. At press time, XRP traded at $2.4655. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
In the chaotic aftermath of last week’s market-wide wipeout, one granular forensic stands out: order-book depth on major venues thinned to “air,” letting relatively modest market orders rip through price levels with almost no resistance. The phenomenon, captured by independent market analyst Dom (@traderview2) on X, is now central to a stark takeaway for XRP: under the same microstructure conditions, price can mechanically gap as easily to $1.19 as to $20. It is not a forecast; it’s a statement about how quotes, liquidity, and matching engines behave under stress. XRP Price May Gap To $1.19 Or $20 Dom’s post reconstructing the XRP leg of the move uses Binance Futures’ order-book depth to illustrate the dynamic. “XRP orderbook depth on Binance Futures during the crash. Prime example of ‘liquidity evaporation’,” he wrote, noting that for more than two hours pre-cascade, there was roughly “$50–60M in liquidity within 5% of price on both sides. Stable, deep book.” The hour everything broke was different. “Look closely right before 21:00 during that first leg down, nearly 20M USD market sold (shorts entering/longs liquidated). Bid side (blue) goes from $50M to near zero… At this point, XRP is near $2.50 while all liquidity under it is basically gone, air.” Minutes later, with “more sells… trickling into a basically air pocketed book,” price slid from “$2.50 to $1.19. Nobody replenished the book. MMs either pulled or just walked away to protect. These markets really are more fragile than most think,” he wrote. Related Reading: XRP About To Stage A Repeat Of 2017? Here’s What Happened Last Time There Was A Flash Crash The same thread and follow-ups widened the lens to cross-venue behavior. Dom highlighted a striking divergence on the Dogecoin tape: “DOGE nuked to $0.09 on Binance, OKX, Bybit and Kraken… Coinbase was trading over 40% higher. Their market makers were either running a completely different playbook or protecting the books. That divergence wasn’t random and someone kept the floor intact.” The implication is not that aggressive buyers or sellers “controlled the move,” but that quote providers—market-making algorithms with the discretion to pull or reprice quotes—dictated where executable liquidity actually existed as prices gapped. Related Reading: Is The XRP Bottom In? Pundit Claims ‘Sellers Are Exhausted’ That framing also addresses a common post-mortem question from traders staring at cumulative volume delta (CVD) prints that went vertical even as prices fell: net buy pressure can rise while price still drops if the best offers are yanked and re-quoted lower in milliseconds, forcing buyers to chase a descending ask. As Dom put it in a separate explainer on DOGE, “Liquidity was pulled and repriced lower in milliseconds, over and over again. Doesn’t matter how much you buy. The closest ask keeps sliding down faster than you can hit it… Price doesn’t fall because of ‘selling’—it falls because the ground itself keeps disappearing. […] My analysis so far supports the case this was happening with many coins…” The logic is symmetric: when quote liquidity vanishes above price, upside gaps can be as mechanically abrupt as downside air-pockets—hence Dom’s answer to whether a $2 to $10 or even $20 spike could happen “on the way up”: “Technically speaking, yes.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.46. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto commentator Zach Rector argues that XRP’s months-long malaise is nearing a turning point, contending that selling pressure has largely run its course and that a fresh wave of institutional demand is lining up on the other side of the ledger. “XRP sellers are exhausted,” Rector said in a video analysis published late on October 9, adding that “the downside action and the consolidation that we’ve seen over the past few months is coming to an end and the suits are now getting ready to sell it with slideshow presentations.” Reasons To Be Bullish On XRP Rector’s central thesis is that structurally constrained float and prospective exchange-traded products could catalyze a supply squeeze. He framed the timeline around a US government shutdown, asserting that approval activity would not resume until after a reopening: “ETFs are set to go live for XRP as soon as the government shutdown ends. No, I am not anticipating the SEC to approve the ETFs while the government is shut down.” He characterized the post-shutdown period as a potential “tidal wave of XRP, crypto, and other related ETFs,” while acknowledging that the precise sequencing depends on regulators returning to normal operations. Related Reading: XRP Could Retest Triangle Support At $2.72, Analyst Warns Pointing to what he sees as a template in other assets, Rector highlighted a recent trading episode he attributed to BlackRock’s Ethereum ETF. In his telling, “Jane Street… spark[ed] a massive momentum ignition selloff just in time for BlackRock’s ETF to buy the most Ether in 2 months,” with $437 million of inflows arriving on a day of heavy price weakness. “While they’re hitting the sell button, panicking… the investors at BlackRock are saying, ‘Thank you very much,’” he said. He extrapolated from this to XRP, claiming “the suits have the champagne on ice cuz they know that they’re about to go break records with the XRP ETFs.” Beyond the ETFs, Rector emphasized on-chain and DeFi dynamics that he believes reduce liquid supply. He cited activity around Flare’s FXRP mechanism, describing wallet flows and escrowed balances as visible on public ledgers: “So far, Flare has already locked up almost $60 million worth of XRP. That’s equivalent to about 20 million XRP.” Rector broadened his supply-tightening thesis to digital asset treasury (DAT) companies, asserting they had “already actually acquired 10% of the overall Ethereum supply” and were now “coming for XRP.” XRP Momentum Builds He also alluded to tokenization and payments initiatives he associates with Ripple and the XRP Ledger, asserting that “they really are going to tokenize on the XRP Ledger” and bring “flows of liquidity that are valued in the trillions of dollars” onto the network. As evidence of institutional momentum, he pointed to European and Middle Eastern developments. Citing a post from VanEck’s Matthew Sigel, he said “Luxembourg becomes the first EU sovereign wealth fund to buy Bitcoin with a 1% position via ETF,” and noted recent meetings between Ripple executives and Luxembourg’s finance minister. He also referenced Ripple’s expansion in the Middle East, including Bahrain, as reinforcing an institutional pipeline. Related Reading: XRP Bull Run Reloaded: Analyst Says Momentum Mirrors 2017’s Explosive Rally On market structure, Rector said the recent intraday push lower found support above a level he is monitoring. “I zoomed out… to when we last back tested $2.70 just to show you… support,” he said, noting a visit to “about 2.77… people are front running that $2.70 level… we’re up to $2.81.” For investors worried that a peak is already in, he pushed back: “Was that the end of the XRP bull run? Did I just miss the top at 3.66? Absolutely not… imagine thinking that now’s the time to sell when Wall Street’s about to start selling it for you.” Rector’s explicit forward targets were sweeping. He said newcomers could “still… triple it up at least by next year,” and that a “10x” remained plausible under his “$20 to $30 base case,” characterizing “double-digit XRP” as “easily done.” Throughout, he tied the outlook to a cluster of catalysts—“ETFs, digital asset treasury companies, and institutional adoption”—and to what he regards as a steady constriction of tradable float via DeFi lockups. “That’s what leads to a supply shock,” he said. “This party’s just getting started.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.815. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The XRP price has been struggling to break through the $3 resistance level, which has proved to be a formidable barrier for the token over the past two months. However, recent news of Ripple’s expansion into the Kingdom of Bahrain has sparked renewed optimism among investors, fueling new bullish predictions for the altcoin. Ripple’s New Partnership With BFB On Thursday, Ripple announced a strategic partnership with Bahrain Fintech Bay (BFB), the largest fintech incubator in the Kingdom. This collaboration aims to enhance Bahrain’s digital assets ecosystem by supporting the development of proofs-of-concept and pilot projects relevant to the local fintech landscape. The partnership will also showcase various solutions in areas like blockchain technology, cross-border payments, stablecoins, and tokenization. Ripple and BFB plan to lead educational initiatives and participate in local events to foster innovation and build industry partnerships. Related Reading: $200 Million Rescue Plan: TRUMP Meme Coin Fights For Survival Reece Merrick, Ripple’s Managing Director for the Middle East and Africa, expressed enthusiasm for working with BFB to establish a robust local blockchain industry and to offer Ripple’s digital assets custody solution and its stablecoin, RLUSD, to financial institutions in Bahrain. Suzy Al Zeerah, Chief Operating Officer at BFB, echoed this sentiment, highlighting the partnership’s potential to bridge global innovators with Bahrain’s local ecosystem and to drive fintech innovation in the region. 4 Anticipated Catalysts For The XRP Price Looking ahead, analysts from The Motley Fool have pointed out that the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is expected to make a decision on the recent influx of XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) by October or November, which could significantly attract both retail and institutional investors. In July, Ripple applied for a US bank charter, a move that could also enhance the utility of XRP as a bridge currency. The analysts also highlighted the introduction of Ripple USD, which may appeal to international users looking to hedge against hyperinflation while lacking access to US dollars. Related Reading: Why The Bitcoin Price Might Never Drop Below $100,000 Again The anticipated rollout of sidechains to support Ethereum-based smart contracts on the XRP Ledger could also position Ripple as a more attractive option for developers. Speculation suggests that Ripple may make announcements regarding these sidechains at its upcoming Swell event in New York in early November. The Motley Fool’s analysts also believe the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) potential reduction of benchmark rates in 2025 and 2026 could catalyze a “crypto summer.” Such conditions might drive the XRP price upward, with eyes on the $4, which could mean a 42% rally in the coming months. When writing, the XRP price trades at approximately $2.81, resulting in a major gap of 23% between current trading prices and the altcoin’s all-time high set at $3.65. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Cubic Analytics founder Caleb Franzen says XRP is entering a decisive phase after months of compression, with the price structure implying a path toward the $6–$11 zone so long as the market defends what he calls the key risk line at $2.68. XRP Price Targets In a wide-ranging discussion on the Thinking Crypto podcast with host Tony Edward, Franzen stressed that his conclusions are grounded in “price, structure, and statistical signals” rather than narrative. “It’s the chart itself. It’s the structure itself,” he said. “So long as we stay above $2.68, we’re going much higher.” Franzen’s XRP view comes out of the same template he applies across digital assets: identify trend integrity, map the impulse-consolidation rhythm, and translate it into a ladder of Fibonacci extension targets on a logarithmic scale. In XRP’s case, he argues the market traced higher highs and then “tightened up” into a controlled series of lower highs—what he calls a classic volatility coil that “allows price to reset… for the next leg higher.” Related Reading: Social Media Turns Bearish On XRP: Is This A Buy Signal? He then anchors objective targets to that structure: using the most recent consolidation leg, he cites the 161.8% extension near roughly $4.40 and the 261.8% extension around $6. From the larger Q1 swing—Q1 highs to Q1 lows—he adds a second band of objectives at approximately $5.40 and $11.55. The message, in his words: “Those are the price targets that you have to be aware of if you’re holding and investing in XRP… so long as we stay above $2.68.” Risk management is central to how Franzen frames the trade. Rather than a maximalist forecast, he sets a clear invalidation level and treats it as a mechanical decision point. “If we fall below $2.68, you can get stopped out. You can reduce some of your exposure. You can slow down your DCA,” he said. “It’s okay to be wrong. It’s just not okay to stay wrong.” The Macro Angle Although the podcast also covered Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana, Franzen’s macro and cross-asset framework is meant to contextualize, not overshadow, the XRP setup. He repeatedly described himself as “time agnostic,” declining to pin outcomes to a specific month or quarter and insisting that the tape, not the calendar, dictates probability. “I’ve been sharing [cycle] targets since the middle of 2023,” he noted, adding that the prudent path is to keep raising targets within an uptrend while letting invalidation handle the rest. That stance is informed by what he characterizes as resilient, supportive macro conditions—good enough for risk assets to trend without demanding a weak US dollar as a crutch. He pointed to strong real activity data and improving earnings assumptions as evidence that risk appetite is not being forced; it’s developing naturally. Related Reading: XRP Ready For $9 Blast — ‘Break $3.10 And It’s Game Over,’ Says Analyst Among the specific markers he flagged: Q2 real GDP growth at 3.8% with expectations of roughly 3.9% for Q3; prime-age unemployment near historic lows at about 3.8%; labor force participation rising; and both real and nominal wage growth, with wages around 4.1% year over year. In credit, he underscored tight spreads and high-yield corporates printing multi-year highs—“and if we adjust them for the dividend yield, they’re trading at all-time highs”—a combination that, in his experience, does not occur when markets are bracing for imminent stress. “As we’re looking at the weight of the evidence here, everything is coming together,” he said. “Higher highs and higher lows, increasing risk appetite, decent macro conditions, the Fed is cutting interest rates… We have to continue to have an upward bias.” That macro lens matters for XRP, he argues, because it reinforces the primacy of structure over story. He criticized a common assumption that crypto rallies must coincide with a falling dollar, highlighting that the US Dollar Index (DXY) has been roughly flat since mid-April while Bitcoin—and, by extension, broader crypto beta—advanced materially. He also described a composite lens that prices Bitcoin against a basket of global currencies (effectively offsetting BTC/USD by DXY) and said that index is making fresh all-time highs too, reflecting “weak global fiat currencies, not necessarily just a weak dollar.” The implication for XRP: if the broader liquidity and risk backdrop continues to reward trend persistence, then the technical coil and extension ladder have a cleaner runway. At press time, XRP traded at $2.8593. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is pressing against a structurally important ceiling at roughly $3.10, and a clean breach could open the way to $9, according to crypto analyst The Great Mattsby (@matthughes13). In a video analysis published on October 5, the analyst anchors his outlook in multi-cycle Fibonacci extensions, Ichimoku trend support and long-term moving averages, arguing the market is staging an unusually strong basing pattern at historically elevated levels. XRP On The Verge Of A $9 Explosion At the core of Mattsby’s framework is a Fibonacci extension suite calibrated from the December 2013 top to the July 2014 bottom. He highlights the 2.272 extension—around $3.09986—as the decisive resistance that has repeatedly capped monthly closes. Related Reading: XRP On-Chain Activity Signals Imminent Sell-Off — What’s Happening? “XRP is still battling… this $3.10 zone. This is the 2.272 Fibonacci extension level… we’ve never seen a monthly candle close above that 309986,” he said, noting that the same extension grid “was the exact 2018 top,” while “extensions below the 1.272 was the bottom in April 2020.” On his read, the confluence lends credibility to the next extension target: “The next level is $9… So essentially, it’s only a matter of time.” Trend metrics, he argues, have supported the advance without breaking structure. On the monthly timeframe, XRP has “been maintaining and riding [the Ichimoku] conversion line as a support ever since it broke out in November of last year.” He identifies that conversion line near $2.63 and emphasizes that “it has never closed any kind of monthly candle below it.” Related Reading: ‘This Is the Time’—XRP Could Rally 400% As Key Signals Flash Green, Analyst Says On the weekly chart, he points to the 50-week simple moving average—now near $2.37—as still “catching up to price,” one of the few large-cap altcoin charts, in his view, that “has never even touched the 50-week moving average since it broke out.” That gap, he suggests, explains the rhythm of ongoing consolidation while preserving an underlying uptrend. XRP Has Never Done This Before The market structure, Mattsby contends, is constructive: a breakout, retest and series of higher highs and higher lows at elevated levels. On the highest-level view, he frames the price action as a regime shift from resistance to support across cycles. “This is the previous resistance zone… 2021 it was the top. 2017–2018 it was the top—not including the wicks. But now this box we are actually just flipping it to support, building a base on top of it,” he said. He called that flip “the most bullish thing ever on any chart,” adding, “This has never happened for XRP.” Mattsby repeatedly returns to the same trigger: a decisive monthly close through the $3.10 area. “We should be excited because once this $3.10 gets broken, it’s going to go higher, right? It’s going to go to probably $9, maybe even higher, maybe $13, maybe more,” he said. While he allows for “more weeks of consolidation” and even a liquidity sweep into the “$2.80s, $2.70s,” he argues those moves would be noise within a larger uptrend defined by compression against the $3.10 lid and the stair-step advance of trend supports. “It’s not if, it is when. Because this is a super bullish chart,” he said, urging viewers to “Watch $3.10… Once that breaks, the true excitement can begin.” In practice, the roadmap he lays out is simple: protect the long-term trend markers while the 50-week average closes the distance, keep monthly structure above the Ichimoku conversion line near $2.63, and respect the historical importance of the $3.10 extension. A monthly close through that level would, in his framework, confirm the next Fibonacci waypoint at $9. “One of these weeks we might be able to see a bullish engulfing candle just breaking through multiple levels and just continuing higher,” he said. Until then, he characterizes the price action as a high-level base “building… for almost a whole year,” an atypically strong setup for XRP across its multi-cycle history. At press time, XRP traded at $2.99. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
In line with the broader cryptocurrency market’s recent upswing, the XRP price has captured attention with one of its largest weekly candles of the year, soaring over 14% in the past week and pushing the altcoin just above the $3 mark. This performance positions XRP just 15% shy of its all-time high, making it one of the standout performers in the crypto space, trailing only Ethereum (ETH), Binance Coin (BNB), and Solana (SOL), which saw price increases of 16%, 23%, and 21%, respectively over the same time frame. XRP Price Analysis Back in July of this year, the XRP price reached its peak of $3.66, but subsequent market corrections saw the token drop to as low as $2.70. Since then, attempts to recover have faced challenges, particularly with a key resistance level at $3.10 that has thwarted upward movements since August. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Forecast: Expert Predicts Final Impulse Wave Targeting $18,000 This struggle has led to the formation of a falling wedge pattern on XRP’s daily chart, signaling a potential shift as selling pressure wanes and buying interest rises. Market expert Lark Davis recently shared his insights on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), suggesting that if the XRP price can maintain momentum, it could target around $4, indicating a potential rally of approximately 33%. However, this bullish outlook hinges on XRP’s ability to consolidate above the $3 threshold, which would serve as confirmation of a breakout from the bullish pattern and pave the way for further price recoveries. Will ETF Approvals Propel Prices Higher? Contrasting Davis’ optimistic view, market analyst Ali Martinez expressed skepticism, arguing that while a breakout may occur, it might only lead to a price target of $3.60, essentially retesting previous highs rather than achieving new records. Despite differing opinions, the general sentiment leans towards potential upside, bolstered by the anticipation of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that may soon gain approval from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for investing in XRP. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Nears Record Levels, Predictions Point To $140,000 By Early 2026 Leading analyst Crypto King highlighted the involvement of prominent names in the industry, with fund sizes ranging from $200 million to $1.5 trillion. He posited that the approval of even a single ETF could usher in a wave of institutional investment into XRP, significantly affecting its price trajectory. While the prospect of institutional money entering the XRP market is enticing, it remains to be seen whether these funds will have a substantial impact on the XRP price, particularly given the precedent set by similar investments in Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum in 2024 following their own regulatory approvals. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP may be entering its most consequential window of the cycle, according to crypto analyst Cryptoinsightuk, who argues a cluster of momentum, liquidity, and structure signals now favors a powerful advance—potentially extending into triple-digit percentage gains if key levels fall in sequence. “This is the time,” he said in a video published today, adding that the three-day relative strength index (RSI) and cross-asset ratio charts are lining up in a way that historically preceded outsized upside for XRP. The analyst begins with a quick framing of Bitcoin, noting that the market sits at a psychologically charged inflection just below all-time highs. He characterizes this zone as the “best risk-reward area to take a short,” not as a trend call but as a hedge for portfolios given proximity to prior peaks and well-defined invalidation. “I’m bullish, but I am cautious at $106,000,” he reiterated, referring to a visible liquidity pocket that he continues to flag as a magnet for price probes. He emphasizes his stance has been consistent: fully exposed on spot, cautious on leverage near resistance, and mindful of how quickly sentiment can flip when price revisits extremes. XRP Price Could Rip 400% XRP is the focus. On lower time frames, he sees open interest rebuilding and liquidity clustering overhead—most notably around the $3.40–$3.45 region—with thinner, newer pools below near $2.66 and $2.55. In his read, this is typical when an upside move begins to organize: resting liquidity accumulates above recent highs while late shorts leave footprints below. Related Reading: XRP Price Crash To $2.33 Is Still Possible In This Scenario, Here’s Why On the daily, he identifies additional liquidity density around $2.11–$2.40, but stresses that the stack above is far larger, with a notable band between roughly $4.02 and $4.25 and intermediate reference points near $4.10. “The times when we’ve had big dense areas of liquidity like this… we run into that area, we struggled in it, and then boom—when we do break out higher, we’ve ripped,” he said. He points back to the earlier breakout from the $0.50s, where a similar pattern of layered overhead liquidity resolved into a multi-week melt-up. The near-term momentum tell, in his view, is the three-day RSI crossing up from below 50—something he says closes today and has historically mattered for XRP. He logged three recent instances. The first preceded the move from roughly $0.50 to $2.70, a run he pegs at approximately 400% from mid-range to peak. The second produced a smaller, but still notable, ~27% advance. The third, in late June, was followed by a ~68% climb. “The minimum push… was 27%,” he said, arguing that even a conservative replay would take XRP “just above this high that we’ve recently set,” while the upper bound of historical outcomes opens the door to far higher prints. “If we do madness… 470% would take us to $17 right now. Bring your emotions back in check,” he cautioned, underscoring that these are scenario brackets, not guarantees. Different Price Scenarios From there, he moves into structure. On the daily chart he sketches a still-valid five-wave advance, with the present upswing acting as wave three of a larger third. Using Fibonacci extensions anchored to the last impulsive leg, his 4.236 projection lands around the $6.50–$6.80 zone, with one read producing ~$6.79 and another shorter-range draw yielding about $4.78. Related Reading: Ex-Ripple Dev Explains Why XRP Is 10x The Value Of LINK He notes that prior extensions overshot by roughly 20%, which—if repeated—would imply a spike toward the “$8.20 region” before a sharper corrective reset and a subsequent fifth-wave push. To unlock those paths, he wants to see a series of higher-time-frame closes reclaiming major retracement thresholds: “A daily close above $3.20 would be great. If we start closing above $3.36–$3.43, we’re on for that $6.80 price target, especially if we can get the close above $3.65.” Market-wide context could help. XRP dominance has broken its range and is building what he calls a bull-flag pattern on the three-day. The last confirmed three-day RSI bullish cross in XRP dominance marked the start of major upside phases; another cross now would, in his words, be “the time. Meanwhile, Bitcoin dominance is flirting with a bearish rollover on the daily, complete with divergences near resistance. A renewed bleed in BTC dominance would mechanically free up relative performance for large-cap alts; in his ideal scenario, Bitcoin grinds higher toward or through the highs while XRP “just runs faster.” At press time, XRP traded at $3.0246. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Top crypto commentator CryptoinsightUK argues that market consensus has misread the setup for XRP and altcoins, contending that sentiment, liquidity positioning, and cross-asset relationships point to an imminent phase in which XRP could outperform even a resurgent ETH. In his latest Weekly Insight (Week 161, Sept. 27, 2025), the analyst opens with a blunt reset of stance: “I am bullish.” He acknowledges the psychological toll of recent chop and public pushback—“I am getting pushback from all sides for staying bullish… But I also do not really care”—yet he frames the current drawdown as the kind of fear-laced inflection that historically precedes a trend resumption higher. Why Is Everyone Wrong About XRP? The note situates the call against a noisy backdrop. He cites well-followed traders who either called a top or de-risked into weakness, and the victory laps of dominance-maxi voices after a bounce in Bitcoin dominance. The riposte is data-driven: sentiment gauges near “fear” readings of 40 or below, a zone that has repeatedly coincided with local lows or pre-reversal conditions. While he concedes that “we could see a slight further correction,” the weight of evidence, he argues, skews to upside. Related Reading: Demand For XRP On CME Explodes As Reports Show Over $18 Billion A key pillar is liquidity mapping. On Bitcoin, he highlights sizeable resting liquidity around $106,000—a pool that has persisted since mid-July and remains uncollected despite spot advances as high as $123,000. “I would expect this 106k area of liquidity to be taken, maybe even down to 104k with a wick,” he writes, emphasizing that a tag into that zone would not invalidate the higher-timeframe bull structure. Crucially, he says, the “largest amount of liquidity ever” sits above price, implying that if a major top were in, “market makers… would [not] allow that much liquidity to remain untouched.” By contrast, lower-side liquidity down around $70,000 is drying up, suggesting reduced gravitational pull to the downside as stale longs and shorts have been flushed or realized. That skew, he says, is even more pronounced across majors and large-cap alts. On daily time frames for ETH, Cardano, XRP, and SUI, “significant liquidity” has rebuilt above spot, while “minor” pockets remain below—an asymmetry that makes precise dip-buy levels hard to pre-declare yet keeps the “ultimate outcome” biased to a leg higher. The timing cue rests on two oscillators that often mark rotation windows: ETH is now as oversold on the 4-hour as it was at the exact cycle bottom around $1,400—a setup not seen again during its run toward $5,000—while Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) has reached overbought on the 4-hour. “The last three times this happened, it marked either a local high, the exact high, or came just before a larger drawdown in Bitcoin Dominance,” he notes. Related Reading: Technical Convergence Puts XRP Profit Target Between $8.43 And $13.58 On the weekly, he expects the structural outcome to be an acceleration lower in dominance later in the cycle, and he leaves open whether that moment is now. The mosaic—ETH deeply oversold, BTC.D heavily overbought, liquidity stacked above alts—supports his conclusion that “very soon it is likely to be the altcoin show.” Within that rotation, XRP vs. ETH is his sharpest edge. On the 4-hour XRP/ETH chart, he sees a local bottom structure—“a series of lows, higher lows, and higher highs”—with a trigger level at 0.00071 ETH per XRP: “We are looking for closes above the 0.00071 level, and the larger the timeframe of the close above that level, the greater the likelihood of reversal.” On the weekly XRP/ETH, he sketches two Elliott-wave roadmaps: a conservative five-wave path back to the prior highs against ETH, and a higher-beta alternative that starts from the candle structure shift and implies “exponential growth” in relative terms this cycle. The combined thesis is explicit: “ETH looks poised to perform well… [and] XRP looks ready to outperform ETH on top of that. Use your imagination for what could happen if those two things play out together.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.86. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto analyst Bobby A has published a four-panel roadmap that ties together Bitcoin dominance, US small-caps, XRP’s monthly price structure, and XRP’s total market capitalization. The overlapping signals, he argues, identify a well-defined take-profit band for XRP between roughly $8.43 and $13.58. “Four charts to rule them all,” he wrote, adding that the market is “clearly positioning itself for higher prices.” Four Charts Signal XRP $8.43–$13.58 Peak On the XRP/USD monthly chart, Bobby plots a multi-month consolidation which is built above “Base Camp 1” and, more recently, above “Base Camp 2.” The structure sits on top of a series of higher lows marked on the chart, with the consolidation developing after price reclaimed long-term moving-average clusters and the upper Bollinger band expanded. The Fibonacci extension grid anchored to the prior cycle shows 1.618 at approximately $5.26, 2.618 at about $8.43, 3.618 near $11.66, and 4.236 at roughly $13.58. Bobby labels the $8.43–$13.58 span as the “Take Profit Zone,” aligning it with the 2.618–4.236 extensions that capped previous euphoric runs on the same timeframe. Beneath the candles, the monthly momentum suite is turning higher: the RSI sits in a positive regime “preparing to initiate one final move toward overbought territory,” while stochastic and MACD lines have curled up from mid-range, consistent with trend continuation rather than exhaustion. Related Reading: XRP Supply Shock Incoming As Axelar And Flare Target 8 Billion Tokens That price-based roadmap is cross-checked against XRP’s total market capitalization on the weekly timeframe. Here, Bobby highlights “price acceptance above the 2018 peak surrounded by skepticism and uncertainty” and annotates “over 300 days consolidating above 2018 highs.” The Fibonacci projection on market cap places the 1.618 extension near ~$210.7 billion, with a boxed “Take Profit Zone” parked just below the ultimate extension band and an overhead dashed guide around ~$13.00 that visually rhymes with the 4.236 price extension on the USD chart. The message of this pane is less about day-to-day candles and more about location: a lengthy basing and re-accumulation phase above a historic ceiling, which converts that ceiling into support and sets up measured-move targets. Macro risk appetite is addressed in the third panel via the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) on the monthly chart. “IWM 1M is firing on all cylinders, and new ATHs are inbound regardless of any short-term noise,” Bobby writes. The chart shows a strong bullish candle reclaiming the 0.786–0.886 retracement area and pressing back into the prior range top around $244–$252. Upside Fibonacci targets are mapped at 1.272 ~$267.1, 1.414 ~$278.9, and 1.618 ~$296.8. The RSI, stochastic oscillator, and MACD on this timeframe are all pointed higher, with Bobby calling the breakout candle “very telling,” the kind of multi-indicator alignment he says “occurs only a few times per decade.” The implication is that a risk-on tone in US small-caps historically pairs well with liquidity rotating into higher-beta crypto segments. Related Reading: Analyst Highlights 2 Scenarios That Sends XRP Price To $9.6 And $33 The final piece is Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) on the weekly chart. Bobby’s retracement panel measures the advance from ~38.9% to ~66.1% share and now shows BTC.D slipping beneath the 23.6% line (~59.7%) and hovering near the 38.2% (~55.5%). Notably, the BTC.D slipped below an ascending channel. Based on that, he draws a downward arrow toward the 50% level (~52.3%) and then into the 61.8% retracement (~49.1%), with a target rectangle in the mid-to-low-40s bracketed by the 78.6% (~45.9%) and 88.6% (~43.2%) levels. “BTC.D will inevitably initiate a move toward the mid to low 40% zone,” he writes. A decline in dominance of that magnitude typically coincides with capital rotating from Bitcoin into large-cap altcoins—precisely the regime in which XRP has historically captured outsized relative performance. At press time, XRP traded at $2.84. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Technical analyst ALLINCRYPTO has reiterated a high-beta roadmap for XRP, arguing that chart structure and pattern symmetry could propel the token to roughly $19.20 within the next six months—while specifying a precise model target of $19.27. XRP Explosion Ahead? In a September 21 video address, he framed the move as a classic continuation sequence following a run at all-time highs and a corrective “falling wedge” that has now been retraced. “I think something like this is what you’re going to see once again… this actually could take you to that $19.27 mark,” he said, adding that his “price prediction remains the same.” The crux of the thesis is historical rhyme and pattern logic. “Just like 2017, we ran into an all-time high… and essentially, we are pulling back in and around it,” the analyst said, describing the pullback as a falling wedge—a structure he classifies as continuation when it appears in an uptrend. “The falling wedge has been completed. You have run or retraced the entire wedge… Since we engulfed that and made a target, we have now been pulling back once more, again, in the form of a falling wedge.” In his view, this sets up an “engulfment of the entire pullback… and then leads to continuation.” Related Reading: Next XRP ‘Monster Leg’ Will Start No Earlier Than 2026: Analyst He also points to a potential cup-and-handle spanning the current cycle, cautioning that its measured-move objective would sit “significantly higher than $19.27,” but that his public focus is the nearer six-month path. “It’s a reliable pattern. It’s really a story of trend continuation,” he said, emphasizing that when assets “break into new all-time highs, typically they continue and will actually reach that target.” The timeline he outlines runs roughly through late March 2026. The $19.27 waypoint is not new for ALLINCRYPTO. He has repeatedly telegraphed that objective across social channels in recent weeks, tying it to a multi-leg advance after consolidation at prior highs. “XRP’s chart [is] setting up for a next leg, which, over time, may be set to reach a price target of $19.27,” he wrote in one post amplifying the thesis to his followers. In earlier messaging, he framed the scenario as “price discovery” into the $19s if resistance continues to resolve. ???? ???? A look at $XRP‘s recent movements and where we could expect to see the token going, closer towards our long-term price target of $19.20 pic.twitter.com/wEEM4CFPLs — ALLINCRYPTO (@RealAllinCrypto) September 21, 2025 At publication time on September 22, XRP trades near $2.80, implying that the analyst’s six-month objective would require on the order of a 6–7x advance from the current spot. The pair’s short-term context remains choppy after a multi-week range at the round-number handle. Related Reading: Pundit Predicts XRP Price Crash Below $3, Here’s Why Pattern mechanics are central to the call. In classical terms, a falling-wedge retrace that completes to its origin and then resolves upward often precedes trend continuation, while a cup-and-handle breakout seeks to clear prior highs on expanding participation. The analyst’s near-dated map therefore hinges on two confirmations: maintaining the recent uptrend structure after the wedge retrace and securing a decisive breakout “once again” through resistance to re-enter price discovery. “We have spoken about how potentially this could be a major cup and handle,” he said. “We haven’t given you the price prediction on the back end of that… [but] I actually think that XRP… stands a pretty good chance of getting to the original price prediction that we gave of $19.27.” Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
An XRP/BTC long-term chart shared by pseudonymous market technician Dr Cat (@DoctorCatX) points to a delayed—but potentially explosive—upswing for XRP versus Bitcoin, with the analyst arguing that “the next monster leg up” cannot begin before early 2026 if key Ichimoku conditions are to be satisfied on the highest time frames. Posting a two-month (2M) XRP/BTC chart with Ichimoku overlays and date markers for September/October, November/December and January/February, Dr Cat framed the setup around the position of the Chikou Span (CS) relative to price candles and the Tenkan-sen. “Based on the 2M chart I expect the next monster leg up to start no earlier than 2026,” he wrote. “Because the logical time for CS to get free above the candles is Jan/Feb 2026 on an open basis and March 2026 on a close basis, respectively.” XRP/BTC Breakout Window Opens Only In 2026 In Ichimoku methodology, the CS—price shifted back 26 periods—clearing above historical candles and the Tenkan-sen (conversion line) is used to confirm the transition from equilibrium to trending conditions. That threshold, in Dr Cat’s view, hinges on XRP/BTC defending roughly 2,442 sats (0.00002442 BTC). “As you see, the price needs to hold 2442 so that CS is both above the candles and Tenkan Sen,” he said. Related Reading: Facts Vs. Hype: Analyst Examines XRP Supply Shock Theory Should that condition be met, the analyst sees the market “logically” targeting the next major resistance band first around ~7,000 sats, with an extended 2026 objective in a 7,000–12,000 sats corridor on the highest time frames. “If that happens, solely looking at the 2M timeframe the logical thing is to attack the next resistance at ~7K,” he wrote, before adding: “Otherwise on highest timeframes everything still looks excellent and points to 7K–12K in 2026, until further notice.” The roadmap is not without nearer-term risks. Dr Cat flagged a developing signal on the weekly Ichimoku cloud: “One more thing to keep an eye on till then: the weekly chart. Which, if doesn’t renew the yearly high by November/December will get a bearish kumo twist. Which still may not be the end of the world but still deserves attention. So one more evaluation is needed at late 2025 I guess.” A bearish kumo twist—when Senkou Span A crosses below Senkou Span B—can foreshadow a medium-term loss of momentum or a period of consolidation before trend resumption. The discussion quickly turned to the real-world impact of the satoshi-denominated targets. When asked what ~7,000 sats might mean in dollar terms, the analyst cautioned that the conversion floats with Bitcoin’s price but offered a rough yardstick for today’s market. “In current BTC prices are roughly $7.8,” he replied. The figure is illustrative rather than predictive: XRP’s USD price at any future XRP/BTC level will depend on BTC’s own USD value at that time. The posted chart—which annotates the likely windows for CS clearance as “Jan/Feb open CS free” and “March close” following interim checkpoints in September/October and November/December—underscores the time-based nature of the call. On multi-month Ichimoku settings, the lagging span has to “work off” past price structure before a clean upside trend confirmation is possible; forcing the move earlier would, in this framework, risk a rejection back into the cloud or beneath the Tenkan-sen. Contextually, XRP/BTC has been basing in a broad range since early 2024 after a multi-year downtrend from the 2021 peak, with intermittent upside probes failing to reclaim the more consequential resistances that sit thousands of sats higher. The 2,442-sats area Dr Cat highlights aligns with the need to keep the lagging span above both contemporaneous price and the conversion line, a condition that tends to reduce whipsaws on very high time frames. Related Reading: Analyst Sounds Major XRP Warning: Last Chance To Get In As Accumulation Balloons Whether the market ultimately delivers the 7,000–12,000 sats advance in 2026 will, by this read, depend on two things: XRP/BTC’s ability to hold above the ~2,442-sats pivot as the calendar turns through early 2026, and the weekly chart avoiding or quickly invalidating a bearish kumo twist if new yearly highs are not set before November/December. “If that happens… the logical thing is to attack the next resistance at ~7K,” Dr Cat concludes, while stressing that the weekly cloud still “deserves attention.” As with any Ichimoku-driven thesis, the emphasis is on alignment across time frames and the interaction of price with the system’s five lines—Tenkan-sen, Kijun-sen, Senkou Spans A and B (the “kumo” cloud), and the Chikou Span. Dr Cat’s thread leans on the lagging span mechanics to explain why an earlier “monster leg” is statistically less likely, and why the second half of 2025 will be a critical checkpoint before any 2026 trend attempt. For now, the takeaway is a timeline rather than an imminent trigger: the analyst’s base case defers any outsized XRP outperformance versus Bitcoin until after the CS clears historical overhead in early 2026, with interim monitoring of the weekly cloud into year-end. As he summed up, “On highest timeframes everything still looks excellent… until further notice.” At press time, XRP traded at $3.119. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP has finally broken above a major resistance zone, igniting fresh bullish momentum across the market. Related Reading: Dogecoin Bulls Eye $0.54 ‘Final Boss’ Breakout, Says Top Analyst After weeks of consolidation, the token closed above the $3.03–$3.08 range, a level that had capped gains for months. This decisive breakout has shifted sentiment, with traders now eyeing higher targets as momentum indicators flash green. XRP Market Performance Analysis The XRP Technical charts confirm the bullish setup. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has crossed into favorable territory, hovering around 58, a level that historically precedes strong rallies. Volume has also spiked, reflecting growing buyer confidence. Analysts say this confluence of price action and momentum signals could pave the way for XRP’s next big move. Immediate resistance sits at $3.30, with further upside targets at $3.65 and $4.20. On the downside, support is clustered between $2.72 and $3.00, levels bulls must defend to keep the trend intact. XRP's price trends to the upside, but records a decline on short timeframes. Source: XRPUSD on Tradingview ETF Speculation Adds Fuel, But Doubts Remain Adding to the buzz is renewed speculation around a potential XRP ETF. Supporters argue that Ripple’s partial legal clarity and XRP’s utility in cross-border payments make it a prime ETF candidate. An approval, they say, could unlock institutional inflows and trigger a powerful demand surge. However, skeptics caution that XRP’s regulatory status remains murky in several jurisdictions. Unlike Bitcoin and Ethereum, XRP’s classification is still contested, raising doubts over whether an ETF is likely in the near future. Even if approval comes, some analysts argue that XRP’s utility-focused design may limit its appeal as a traditional investment vehicle. For now, ETF chatter remains speculative, but it has injected optimism into the XRP community as the token tests key levels. Whale Selling and Short-Term Pullbacks Despite the bullish setup, on-chain data shows that whales have offloaded over 160 million XRP in recent weeks. Historically, such large-scale selling reflects profit-taking and risk management by institutional players. Yet, XRP’s ability to stabilize around $3 despite this pressure signals strong retail demand. Short-term pullbacks have also been noted, with traders highlighting key support between $2.87 and $2.95. Analysts suggest these dips could provide entry points for bulls aiming for the next breakout above $3.30. Related Reading: The Big PEPE Price Breakout: Falling Wedge Pattern Points To 64% Rally Overall, XRP’s resilience, improving technicals, and growing adoption narratives suggest the token is gearing up for its comeback. The coming days will determine whether bulls have the strength to extend this breakout into a sustained rally. Cover image from ChatGPT, XRPUSD chart from Tradingview