A fresh XRP/BTC chart released on 12 June by the market technician known as Dr. Cat has injected new controversy into one of crypto’s most stubborn trading pairs. The analyst, posting to X, argues that despite a bruising six-week slide, conditions still favour an eventual breakout for XRP that would leave Bitcoin lagging. He assigns the scenario a formidable 70 percent probability. XRP Vs. Bitcoin: 70% Chance Of Breakout, But When? At the heart of Dr. Cat’s thesis is the 2,041-satoshi level, where three separate Ichimoku timeframes—monthly, bi-monthly and tri-monthly—intersect. “The price keeps eating support after support with no reaction from bulls at all as if supports don’t exist,” he concedes, but he stresses that this specific shelf is “the most important support.” Related Reading: XRP Could Crash To $1.55 Before Explosive Surge, Analyst Warns Candles on the attached one-month chart already hover fractionally below the line; a decisive monthly close beneath it, he warns, would flip the three-day structure fully bearish and scatter the pair into unpredictable, possibly chaotic ranges. Even so, the strategist insists history is on the side of XRP bulls. “Price has spent years performing very well and coiling up with higher lows for this attack now,” he writes, framing the past twelve quarters as a prolonged accumulation that has never surrendered its series of macro higher lows. That coiling, he believes, will allow XRP to mount at least a “minor … attack in August” toward the 3,000-satoshi region—roughly a 45 percent appreciation from current levels—and perhaps fuel a “much bigger attack” once the broader market cycle matures. Related Reading: XRP Price Forms Flag Pattern Above Accumulation Zone That Points To $5 Target The optimism is not unqualified. Dr. Cat calculates a 30 percent chance of a complete flop if 2,041 sats fails on a monthly-close basis. Under that bearish branch, the cross could slice toward 1,800 – 1,900 sats, attempt a feeble rebound, or continue a “slow bleed all the way down to the bottom of the range where it started the monster move.” In such a setback, he would not expect the long-anticipated “monster bullish move” until Q4 2025 at the earliest. For the moment, therefore, the market hangs on a single number. Hold above 2,041 and Dr. Cat sees a clear shot at outperforming Bitcoin—first modestly, then dramatically. Slip beneath it, and the road map dissolves into what he bluntly calls an “unpredictable/choppy” expanse. Either way, XRP traders now know exactly where the cycle’s pivot resides and precisely how thin the margin for error has become. At press time, XRP traded at $2.1287. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP has slipped above the descending trendline that had repelled every rally since February, yet derivatives positioning suggests the apparent breakout may still end with a shake-out, according to independent market technician CasiTrades. The four-hour Binance chart shows the token gravitating around $2.32, fractionally north of the wedge’s upper boundary, but only a heartbeat away from surrendering that gain if leverage forces unwind. XRP Crash Imminent? Casi frames the set-up in Elliott-wave terms, maintaining that the January–June advance completed a wave (1) at roughly $2.70 and then corrected to $2.02 at the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, thereby sketching wave (2) against the wedge’s base. The technician argues that the new thrust above resistance could mark the birth of wave (3), although funding dynamics cloud that bullish reading. “We’re just days away from the apex of XRP’s macro consolidation and price is hovering above support, while funding quietly climbs,” she wrote on X. “That’s a dangerous combo.” Eight-hour funding rates have already reached 0.01 percent. Casi insists that if they expand to 0.02 percent without a decisive price march, algorithms will hunt the liquidity pooling beneath 2.25 dollars. “As of this morning, funding rates are ticking up to 0.01 %/8h without any meaningful breakout attempt,” she explained. Related Reading: XRP Price Forms Flag Pattern Above Accumulation Zone That Points To $5 Target “If we start to reach 0.02 % or higher with no move, it signals a high probability of a liquidity sweep to the downside.” The technician warns that such a flush would drag XRP through the reclaimed breakout level and expose $2.01, $1.90 dollars and potentially $1.55. “That puts 2.01, 1.90 and even 1.55 in play if 2.25 fails,” she cautioned, adding that the capitulation itself “would likely generate the exact momentum needed for a powerful wave 3 breakout.” The momentum backdrop remains ambivalent. The fourteen-period RSI on the same chart hovers near 62.5 yet registers lower peaks while price edges upward, hinting at a bearish divergence that often accompanies volatility spikes. Still, the break above the black trendline cannot be ignored: if sellers fail to reclaim that line swiftly, Casi’s projection of wave (3) targets $3.77 via the classic 1.618 external Fibonacci extension, with a still larger-degree objective above $4.40 dollars later this summer. Related Reading: XRP Eyes $2.50 Decision Zone As Macro Wave Structure Takes Shape Casi summarises the juncture bluntly: “Volatility is nearly inevitable. Whether it’s one last dip or a significant breakout, the next move is likely to define the rest of the summer.” Traders therefore face a binary path. Either rising funding catalyses a liquidity sweep toward $1.55 dollars before catapulting XRP higher, or the token consolidates above $2.25 and turns the nascent breakout into a springboard toward $2.69 dollars, the barrier near $3.04 and, eventually, the 3.77-dollar wave (3) objective. At press time, XRP traded at $2.25. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
An extended technical review aired Tuesday on Sistine Research’s YouTube channel has placed XRP at the top of the current market hierarchy and mapped a price trajectory that—if historical analogues and present chart structure hold—could lift the token as high as $73 in a late-cycle blow-off. Speaking during the firm’s regular live-stream, analyst Forrest began by ranking assets that have rallied since the US election on 5 November 2024. “XRP is the number-one performing coin since the election, the strongest coin on my watch-list,” he said, displaying a four-hour relative-performance chart that compared crypto majors, select altcoins, metals and equities. The next-best performers—HBAR and XLM—were described as “beta” plays that historically accelerate only after XRP begins to trend. Can XRP Reach $73 This Cycle? Forrest’s thesis hinges on what he called a “seven-year flag and breakout” visible on XRP’s monthly time frame. The pattern comprises the long consolidation that followed the 2017 bull market and a second, five-month bull flag carved out this year. “Why would I not own a chart that looks like this?” he asked, noting the rarity of multi-cycle structures that break decisively to the upside without retracing the move. In his view, the next critical trigger sits above $3.00–3.30, where XRP’s prior all-time high was set in January 2018. Once breached, the analyst argues, momentum traders who “feel like they’ve missed it” will encounter a higher-time-frame market that is in fact just warming up: “Above three dollars I get even more bullish. The higher this goes, the more bullish it becomes—up to a point, of course.” Related Reading: XRP Eyes $2.50 Decision Zone As Macro Wave Structure Takes Shape Forrest offered a ladder of profit-taking zones: $7–10 — initial resistance where early longs may start trimming. $17–37 — an intermediate band calibrated from Fibonacci extensions and prior percentage moves. $73 — the “absolute” target, projected by measuring the full height of the 2017 breakout and extending it from the current flag’s pivot. He acknowledged that the $73 figure “sounds crazy” with XRP trading near $2.28 at the time of the stream but argued that similarly outsized moves materialised in past crypto supercycles. During the 2017 run, XRP advanced roughly 1,400% from its breakout flag; applying a comparable ratio to today’s structure yields Forrest’s upper bound. While the tone remained unambiguously bullish, the analyst did outline scenarios that would invalidate the thesis. A decisive breakdown below the present trading range—he cited the $1.80–1.90 area—could force a “round-trip” to the mid-$1 zone and delay the upward resolution. For now, however, he sees range-bound price action as constructive: “As long as we’re holding range, I’m not entertaining the deep retrace.” Related Reading: XRP Price: Analyst Says Expect Biblical Move Before Historic Crash – Here Are The Targets Forrest also distinguished between holding spot XRP—“a no-brainer”—and employing leverage, reminding viewers that structural targets are measured in months and that leveraged positions may not survive interim volatility. Sistine Research’s macro overlay remains resolutely pro-risk through the summer. The firm’s proprietary “Bitcoin Blueprint” identified the 7 June–21 June window as a historically bullish pocket. That seasonal tailwind, combined with the technical setup, underpins Forrest’s conviction that XRP will continue to outperform not only rival tokens but also traditional safe-haven assets such as gold and silver, which the firm nonetheless holds as portfolio hedges. Whether XRP can emulate its 2017 trajectory will depend on broader liquidity conditions, regulatory milestones in the ongoing SEC litigation, and the extent to which institutional flows diversify beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum. Yet the Sistine Research desk is positioned as though the heavy lifting is already under way: “It’s slowed down a little recently, but I expect this overall trend to continue.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.32. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Pseudonymous analyst CryptoInsightUK has warned that the next major move for XRP could be a trap. In a video published on June 8, the analyst outlined a scenario where XRP surges toward $2.30–$2.40 in the short term—only to reverse violently into a sharp liquidity flush before any sustainable breakout occurs. XRP Bull Trap Looming? “I think XRP goes to sub-$2.0. I really do,” he said, adding: “It could come and sweep the highs here… could come up to like what, $2.30, and then push us down. That would be more pain for everyone, ‘cause everyone’s going to think we’re going to the upside.” The setup he describes is based on market structure and liquidity dynamics, particularly the buildup of resting orders beneath XRP’s current range. “This here is a concern, a real concern for me,” he said, referring to the growing pool of liquidity below current prices. According to his internal models, such liquidity zones are statistically touched “80% of the time.” Related Reading: XRP Must Crash First—Then Comes The $10 Rally, Says Analyst “Someone’s trying to trick someone here,” he warned. “I’m cautious.” Despite his near-total XRP allocation—he states he’s “95%+, probably more like 98%” positioned in XRP—CryptoInsightUK emphasized that he’s not rooting for a correction. “I don’t want it to come down,” he said. “I’m just showing you what I see.” The analyst proposed multiple structural paths: one in which XRP immediately breaks out, and another where it briefly rallies to sweep local highs before flushing downward to form a bullish divergence. “We’re in a range right now,” he said. “Do we come up, sweep the highs, then take the lows and go?” He elaborated on the bullish divergence pattern he is watching, where price forms a lower low while the RSI (Relative Strength Index) prints a higher low—a setup he uses to identify bottoming structures. “That’s what I would like to see,” he explained. Broader Macro Conditions Still Supportive Despite the bearish tactical setup, the video struck an upbeat macro tone. Will cited four near-term catalysts: the Genius Act on stablecoin oversight, the imminent filing deadline in the SEC’s remedies phase against Ripple, the July decision window for a spot-XRP ETF proposal, and a renewed expectation of accommodative fiscal policy sparked by last week’s televised Trump-Musk dialogue. “What this really tells us is there’s going to be money printing,” he argued. “Assets all over are going to explode to the upside and, for the other specific reasons, XRP probably does even better.” Turning to Bitcoin, the analyst observed an ongoing decline in trading volume, suggesting indecision or exhaustion. “There’s been no volume. There’s been nothing,” he said of recent BTC price action. Related Reading: XRP Wave Structure Predicts Wild Fluctuations On Its Way To $4 ATH He highlighted a CME futures gap around $92,000–$93,000 and added that fixed range volume analysis points to a possible pullback zone at $96,000–$97,000. “It’s probably coming imminently, maybe this week,” he said of a potential correction, projecting a scenario where BTC dips into this range before resuming its upward trajectory. “Does this mean we squeeze to the upside or come down and take this low and put in that bullish divergence structure?” he asked, noting a similar divergence setup at $75,000 earlier this year. XRP Spot Activity Raises Red Flags In the final hour before the video, XRP had “squeezed up with some volume,” but the analyst urged caution. While open interest had risen sharply, funding remained green—suggesting net long positioning—and aggregate premium had turned red. “This indicates to me that even though there are still some shorts coming in, more longs than shorts have entered,” he said. He warned that this imbalance could cause a sharp move lower if the market fails to hold current levels. “If we do now come down and lose this low, expect a more aggressive, faster move to the downside,” he said, pointing to the risk of liquidating leveraged positions. XRP’s relative performance against ETH and BTC also came under review. While it had begun testing resistance zones, neither the XRP/ETH nor the XRP/BTC charts had decisively broken out. “We could still be in this range chopping about,” he cautioned. “Could lose strength until we start to see some confirmations to the upside.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.23. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto Insight UK has doubled down on a forecast that XRP must endure one last, violent shakeout before launching toward a long-awaited $10 milestone. In his latest video, the British analyst warned that “the most dense liquidity I’ve seen in a long time for XRP” still sits uncollected beneath current spot prices. Until that pool is swept, he argues, the market will not unlock the upside move he ultimately expects to carry the token into double-digit territory. XRP Needs One Last Flush “XRP didn’t come down as low as we wanted,” he told viewers. “It did hit the first key area of liquidity, but it didn’t take it all. That makes me think we’ve got continued downside.” In his own trading plan, the analyst has resting bids at roughly $2.01 and $1.95—a zone he believes will be tested once leveraged longs capitulate. Only after that “final flush,” he contends, can a rally toward $10 begin in earnest. The call comes amid broader cross-asset strength that has so far failed to translate into a sustained altcoin breakout. Silver is challenging decade-old highs near $36 an ounce, uranium contracts are pressing their recent peaks, and the Nasdaq Composite remains within sight of its all-time high. Yet despite what he calls “a broad-based commodities rally,” the analyst maintains that crypto still needs one more washout to clear residual excess. Related Reading: What Happens To The XRP Price If The 2017 Fractal Plays Out Again? Macro-political drama, he suggests, is only accelerating that process. He cited the public clash between Elon Musk and US president Donald Trump—sparked by Trump’s proposal for a four-trillion-dollar spending bill and Musk’s claim that Trump’s name appears in sealed Epstein files—as a narrative that briefly rattled risk markets. “If it brings the price to where I want it to go, fantastic,” he said dryly. “That’s all we’re looking at here.” On Ethereum he sees a similar dynamic. Open interest in ETH futures remains at all-time highs, a sign in his view that institutions are accumulating spot while shorting derivatives to hedge—a trade that could unwind violently should ETH pierce the $2,800 level. “When we get this squeeze to the upside,” he predicted, “we’ll see a fast move back toward all-time highs for ETH, probably toward $4,500 before you know it.” Related Reading: The Worst Case For XRP This Cycle? Just A Giga Rally To $19, Says Analyst Bitcoin, for its part, has already waded into the analyst’s preferred liquidity zone just above $100,000. Whether the flagship asset needs another dip, he said, is less important than what happens to its dominance. A brief surge in bitcoin market share toward 65.5% would, in his model, coincide with an XRP capitulation and set the stage for “crazy season,” his shorthand for a full-blown altcoin cycle. The hinge is XRP liquidity. Viewers were shown heat-map snapshots highlighting concentrated stop-loss orders beneath the May swing low. “People came long here after they thought, ‘Oh, the bottom’s in.’ That’s added to this liquidity below us,” he said. Until that layer is removed, he remains “80% sure” that price will probe lower—even though his own portfolio is almost entirely in spot XRP. “I’m on the side of wanting it to go,” he acknowledged. “If it goes up now, I’m happy. But I’d be highly surprised if we don’t get that push down.” Still, his end-point is unequivocally bullish. Once the liquidity has been harvested, he foresees a textbook bullish divergence on the daily relative-strength index—“lower low on price, higher low on RSI”—that would ignite what he calls the “next big push.” In that scenario, XRP would not merely revisit its 2021 peak near $3.80; it would overshoot to the analyst’s long-standing $10 target. “Let it send,” he concluded. At press time, XRP traded at $2.17. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP’s weekly structure has seldom looked as compressed as it does in the chart published this morning by independent analyst Maelius. The view pulls data from the BITSTAMP feed and applies a 50-period exponential moving average (EMA) in blue, currently tracking at roughly $1.78. This XRP Chart Screams 2017 Price is perched above that dynamic support zone at $2.25, adding 3.33% so far in the present weekly candle, and has spent the past four months knitting out what the analyst calls a “giga bull flag.” The flag is defined by a sequence of progressively lower weekly highs that stop just short of the $3.40 line and higher swing-lows that bottom near $1.61, creating a converging wedge whose lower edge and the rising EMA50 now coincide. Maelius overlays the 2017 XRP advance—scaled to the current log axis—to illustrate why the pattern matters. In the previous cycle the token erupted vertically once the flag was resolved, blasting from sub-dollar prices to a peak above $3.00 in a matter of weeks. Related Reading: XRP Sell-Off Rumors Swirl After Expert Questions Ripple’s War Chest The black schematic sketched on the right-hand margin recreates that move and projects it forward: once consolidation ends, the fractal implies a breakout first through the $4 shelf and ultimately into the double-digit territory. The label “XRP 2017” is pinned to the $19 mark, the level where the composite trace tops out on this overlay. Momentum data beneath the chart reinforce the comparison. The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) printed two pronounced peaks in the 2017 run, separated by a flat plateau; Maelius has marked those crests “1” and “2” on both the historical section and the current range. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Says XRP Community Should Pay Attention To June 4-6, Here’s Why The first modern-cycle surge sent RSI briefly into the high-80s earlier this year and has since cooled back toward the mid-40s, a zone the analyst shades “FLAT.” An arrow then extends toward the mid-90s, signalling that Maelius expects at least one more momentum pulse before the structure is exhausted. From a purely technical perspective the most immediate levels to watch are the upper flag boundary near $2.50 and the EMA-anchored support around $1.80. A weekly close above the former would complete the flag and open the way to the $4.40 and $6.00 horizontals visible on the price scale, while a decisive break below $1.80 would invalidate the pattern and leave the market leaning on the $1.30 cluster where the EMA turned higher last year. Crucially, the analyst frames his outlook in risk-aware terms: even the “worst-case” scenario he sketches still includes one final impulse wave. “Worst case is there is only 1 impulse left. Bearish, right?!” he writes. As always, traders will be looking for confirmation from volume and broader market sentiment before treating the fractal as more than an instructive historical rhyme, but the chart makes clear that a single weekly candle settling above the $2.50 handle could be all it takes to remind participants of how quickly XRP has moved in the past. At press time, XRP traded at $2.23. Featured image created with DALLE, chart from TradingView.com
The daily XRP chart has slipped back into a state of suspended animation just when bulls needed decisive follow-through, according to the Ichimoku-centric assessment shared by crypto strategist Dr Cat (@DoctorCatX). “I would be surprised to see $3, let alone ATH in June,” the analyst wrote after posting the chart, lamenting that “the window of opportunity was missed” for both the dollar and Bitcoin pairs. XRP Bulls Miss Their Shot The chart Dr Cat circulated shows XRP-USD grinding along the lower edge of the kumo around $2.14 after a failed attempt to reclaim the flat Kijun-sen that has flattened near $2.35. Price action pierced the cloud top in early May on robust volume, but follow-through stalled and the token has now printed two consecutive closes back inside the cloud. The Tenkan-sen has curled beneath the Kijun-sen, signalling waning short-term momentum, while the Chikou span (lagging line) is trapped in overlapping candles—classic signs of neutrality rather than outright weakness, yet miles away from the bullish alignment required for an explosive trend. Dr Cat argues that Ichimoku bull markets do not emerge spontaneously; they “take a lot of time and effort,” typically at least one full 26-period rotation, to rebuild after a failed attack. “If the window of opportunity is missed and these conditions are not utilized, it’s not a good sign,” he cautioned, adding that the most optimistic scenario now implies “at least 1 standard 26-candles cycle to retry.” On a daily chart that translates to roughly a month, leaving any breakout attempt realistically postponed to July or August and, if momentum continues to lag, potentially November. Related Reading: XRP Multi-Timeframe Breakdown: Here’s What Comes Next Lower-timeframe data paint a harsher picture. The analyst points to “consistent selling pressure on lower medium timeframes without any sign of strength,” noting that XRP/BTC has sunk to the 2041-satoshi monthly support and is failing to bounce. The 2041 level—the exact value where the cloud thins dramatically later in the year—has become the fulcrum for Dr Cat’s broader thesis: if it holds through summer, the token could launch a thinner-cloud break in November when “the XRPBTC kumo is very thin and easy to break.” The medium-term stakes are clear on the weekly template, where Dr Cat says “there is nothing bullish.” The weekly kumo is widening in front of price, while the Tenkan-Kijun bear cross remains unresolved. Because trend-following traders typically want to see candle bodies and the Chikou span clear both the cloud and historical price structure, the current setup offers few immediate catalysts. Even so, the monthly view retains a more constructive look on the USD pair—a reminder that secular strength is not altogether lost, merely dormant. In the near term, the analyst sees a real danger of cascading toward $1.89, a price zone that coincides with the flat bottom of April’s cloud twist and a visible shelf of historical volume accumulation. Should that level give way, the chart offers scant support until the $1.70 region where the March spike tail began. Related Reading: XRP Set To Explode—But Only After This Plunge, Analyst Says Despite the downbeat tone Dr Cat stops short of declaring a bear market. “The good news is that 3D is still NOT ready to trend bearish at all on the USD pair,” he wrote, underscoring that closing prices have not yet delivered a decisive shift below the three-day Kijun-sen. If the token can hold cloud support into July, another push toward the upper cloud boundary near $2.40 could materialise. Only a clean break above that level, accompanied by a bullish Tenkan-Kijun cross and a Chikou span that punches above historical price, would force a reassessment of the $3 ceiling before year-end. For now, however, the roadmap remains one of patience. “All in all, my most bullish case expectation for June is neutral price action below ATH,” Dr Cat reiterated, positioning November—when the cloud on the XRP/BTC pair narrows to its thinnest width in years—as the next credible launch window. Until then, traders eyeing a resurgence must watch that 2041-satoshi floor and be prepared for several more weeks of sideways drift—or a sudden downside probe toward $1.89—before the larger trend declares its verdict. At press time, XRP traded at $2.17. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Independent market technician EGRAG CRYPTO posted an updated weekly XRP/USD chart on X. The visual, built on Bitfinex data, frames the entire post-July 2024 advance by XRP as the flag-pole of a classic bull-flag continuation pattern and argues that the subsequent ten-week drift has traced out a near-textbook, downward-slanted consolidation channel whose upper and lower rails are highlighted in magenta. XRP Poised For Breakout “The success rate of breaking upwards is around 67–70 percent,” the analyst writes, citing bulk pattern-recognition studies that underpin the set-up’s statistical edge. XRP is trading near $2.30, a value marked on the chart by a blue dotted horizontal line intersecting the body of the flag. Related Reading: XRP To $12: Analyst Reveals What Could Trigger The Breakout Beneath that, a white line at $1.50 records the late-2024 breakout shelf that now functions as first higher-time-frame support, while a deeper red horizontal at roughly $0.60 flags the base from which the current cycle began. Threading up through the entire structure is a rising yellow moving average—visually consistent with the 20-week EMA (currently at $2.21)—underscoring what Egrag calls the market’s “still-positive long-term trend bias.” From that foundation the technician derives three measured-move objectives. “For long-term breakouts I prefer logarithmic charts, especially in crypto, because of its exponential growth over short periods,” he explained. On that basis a log-scale projection extrapolates the full height of the flag-pole and lands at $18.00. A linear projection, which treats each dollar of advance equally, prints a markedly lower $5.50. Taking what he describes as a “liquidity-adjusted average — my preferred method for crypto targets,” Egrag settles on $11.75. Related Reading: Analyst Shows 3-Cycle Ride For XRP Price To Reach $46 Because digital-asset order books remain relatively thin, the analyst overlays a variability band of fifteen to twenty percent, stretching the log target to roughly $20.70–$21.60, the average to $13.51–$14.10 and the linear to $6.33–$6.60. “I usually apply a 15–20 percent variability because crypto liquidity is still smaller compared to legacy markets, so targets can extend both ways,” he cautioned. A disclaimer printed directly on the graphic reiterates that the numbers and targets are “for simulation purposes only and not financial advice.” Even so, the roadmap is clear for Egrag: so long as XRP defends the mid-flag zone near $2.30 and, critically, the structural pivot at $1.50, the technician contends that an eventual breakout could vault the token into double-digit territory, with the headline log objective sitting just beneath the psychologically resonant $20 handle. At press time, XRP traded at $2.28, still hovering just below the upper trendline of the bull flag. A close above the resistance could accelerate the XRP price quickly towards the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels at $2.50 and $2.71 respectively. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The latest webcast from the market commentator known as Crypto Insight UK centres on a single contention: the technical and fundamental backdrop for XRP now mirrors the pre-euphoric set-ups that propelled the token from $0.50 to $2.70 in four weeks during 2021, and it could drive a surge “towards eight, nine, ten, eleven, twelve dollars in the very short term.” When Will XRP Hit $12? The analyst began with Bitcoin, because “Bitcoin price action correlates [with] the rest of the market, at least at the minute, before we start to see dominance breakdown.” Last week’s candle, he notes, was the highest weekly close ever recorded by the benchmark asset, yet—critically—the weekly relative-strength index has not entered the overbought zone. In prior cycles, the RSI’s passage into that territory “is when we start to get this mania push-up” that drags alt-coins with it. XRP’s own history is invoked as corroboration: “When we got the weekly into the overbought, that’s when we went from fifty-cent up to $2.70 in the space of like four weeks.” The analyst then drills into order-book heat-maps. Above Bitcoin price lies what he calls a “dense liquidity” cluster, most prominent around $130,000. A matching reservoir sits below, first at $100,000 and then at $93,000. “If we get a pull-back into this $100K level, I will start to heavily position in leverage in altcoins,” he tells viewers, adding that a deeper flush to $93,000 would see him “continue to add to my positions.” Related Reading: XRP Sees Wave Of Inflows: 70% Of Realized Cap Now New Money The market, he argues, is trapped in a self-reinforcing liquidity cycle: each test of overhead supply squeezes shorts, price consolidates, fresh liquidity builds at the new ceiling, and the pattern repeats until a catalyst—a macro loosening of money, a geopolitical shock, or a technical breakout—propels Bitcoin into the next tranche. A sustained move through $130,000, he contends, would likely be that catalyst and would “probably” mark the formal start of alt-season. XRP’s chart is examined through a similar lens. Price has pushed out of what he labels a Wyckoff accumulation range, broken structure to the upside, and is now “finding support on previous resistance” inside a broad bull-flag. On the weekly ratios—XRP/Bitcoin, XRP/Ether and XRP dominance—momentum is quietly inflecting: “We’re starting to get bullish divergences, which is where we see higher lows on the RSI and lower lows in price action … it’s telling us the sellers are running out of steam.” He identifies a descending trend-line capping the consolidation; once that line breaks, he anticipates “an aggressive move back to the upside for XRP.” XRP Price Catalysts The webcast’s second movement shifts from charts to narrative catalysts. Here the analyst reels off a series of developments he regards as unusually synchronous. Reece Merrick, Ripple’s managing director for the Middle East and Africa, has just unveiled a partnership with the Dubai Land Department that tokenises real-estate title deeds on the XRP Ledger, a choice the press release describes as grounded in the chain’s “decade-long reliability.” Related Reading: Analyst Shows 3-Cycle Ride For XRP Price To Reach $46 Ripple has closed its acquisition of Hidden Road, a prime brokerage whose name appears in DTCC documentation that references both XRP and XLM for cross-chain settlement. The firm, he reminds viewers, also holds “the full crypto payments license and settlement ability in Dubai.” Speculation that Ripple might purchase Circle—the issuer of USDC—for about $11 billion, though unconfirmed, is folded into the same bullish mosaic, as is the launch of Ripple’s own RLUSD stablecoin and talk of a looming XRP spot-ETF. Brad Garlinghouse himself, the analyst notes, chose ETFs as the single topic for last Thursday’s edition of Ripple’s “Crypto in a Minute,” having already mused on a podcast that an approval could arrive in July. In Washington, the analyst is watching for passage of the GENIUS stablecoin bill, timing he calls “very convenient” for RLUSD. Even the on-going SEC litigation—Judge Analisa Torres recently rejected the agency’s procedural bid to bring the penalty phase to a close—is framed not as a hindrance but as a potential upside catalyst once resolved. Taken together, he argues, these technical and narrative strands form a spring: “What I’m basically trying to set you up for here, guys, is a succession of positive narratives that will squeeze XRP’s price higher as we move into price discovery.” Yet his crescendo is tempered by disciplined risk management. He illustrates the peril of euphoria with hypothetical road-maps: Bitcoin might gallop to $150,000 or $170,000 and then recoil 18%; altcoins could shed twice that. Under one XRP scenario, an advance to $12 is followed by a 64% retracement to $4.50. “Take some money off the table,” he urges, because unrealised gains “aren’t good for anybody.” Profits banked at interim targets equip the trader both to enjoy further upside and to “reallocate if we get a pull-back.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.30. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
As Bitcoin extends its parabolic climb past $110,000, a closely followed crypto analyst is sounding the alarm for what could be XRP’s most explosive breakout in years. 470% XRP Rally Reloaded? In a market breakdown published on May 22, Cryptoinsightuk (@Cryptoinsightuk)—who has been tracking inverse correlations between the dollar index (DXY) and Bitcoin—told followers that XRP is approaching a critical moment in its historical pattern. Drawing on technical signals and liquidity metrics, the analyst argued that XRP could replicate its late 2020-style breakout, which saw a 470% rally in just 28 days. “Bitcoin is at all-time highs,” he said at the start of the video. “Now we need to lock in because where things could get really exciting is what’s next.” His focus quickly shifted to XRP, which he believes is tracing a setup eerily similar to a period that preceded its 5x surge. The analyst highlighted a “substantial break of the range” on XRP’s chart that historically has marked the start of altseason. “This is the area where XRP outperformed the market,” he noted, referring to a 28-day span starting November 5 during which XRP surged from $0.50 to over $2.70. Related Reading: XRP Price To See 64,000% Rally To $1,700? Analysts Reveal End Of Year Predictions He pointed out that XRP’s historical outperformance came immediately after Bitcoin made a clean break above resistance, and critically, during a sharp decline in Bitcoin dominance—a metric that tracks Bitcoin’s share of the total crypto market cap. “This was the drop that saw XRP move up from 50 cents to $2.70, and then continue to $3.30,” he said. “Now we’re watching for signs of that again.” According to the analysis, XRP’s bullish potential hinges on a few key technical signals aligning. First, he noted a possible bullish divergence forming on the RSI (Relative Strength Index) of the XRP/ETH and XRP/BTC pairs, which could suggest that bearish momentum is fading even as price pulls back. “It’s essentially showing that even though price is going lower, momentum is not there to the downside,” he explained. Related Reading: Massive XRP Selling Pressure Is Stalling Price Action, Analyst Warns The analyst also emphasized the importance of daily closes above certain resistance levels, particularly $2.43 and $2.60, to confirm the start of a renewed uptrend. “That would be a nice daily close… and then we’re targeting $2.60. If we break above that, we’re confirming a new higher high, higher low structure,” he said, adding that the next major resistance lies between $3.40 and $3.00—beyond which, price discovery could begin. Altcoin Season Incoming Beyond XRP, he warned that broader market dynamics also support a shift into altcoins. “What we’ve seen is more and more people trying to short local tops. That takes us higher,” he explained. He cited rising short positions above current price levels as evidence of “pain liquidity”—a squeeze dynamic that could force price action sharply upward. While the rally has begun with Bitcoin, he believes altcoins are poised to follow, with Ethereum already showing signs of rotation. “We want Bitcoin dominance to kind of hold while price moves up,” he said, “and then for liquidity to rotate into altcoins.” Still, Cryptoinsightuk urged caution. “It’s a day to be excited, not a day to rush into trades,” he said. “This is why I’ve been screaming all year to buy the dip,” he added, “whether in XRP, ENA or whatever you want. The setup is here.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.445. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP’s latest rally attempt has stalled just beneath a key volume-weighted average price (VWAP) level that traces back to the asset’s all-time high, according to a market update published on X earlier today by independent trader Dom (@traderview2). XRP Selling Pressure Is Capping Price Gains The 12-hour Binance chart shared by the analyst shows XRP/USDT changing hands at $2.4375 at 12:18 UTC-4, up 2.08 % on the session but still unable to reclaim what Dom labels the “ATH VWAP”—a long-term metric drawn from the April 2021 peak. A green band representing that average is currently drifting downward through ≈ $2.47, capping every intraday advance since mid-May. Beneath the price action, the seller’s footprint is unmistakable. “There’s simply been an overload of market selling and passive buyers have really tried their best to hold it up so far,” Dom wrote, citing proprietary order-flow statistics that record a net outflow of 240 million XRP across spot venues in the past week. Roughly 180 million of those units were allegedly dumped on Coinbase and South Korean exchange Upbit, while Binance has actually been decently flat, the post adds. Related Reading: Pundit Says XRP Price Will Stabilize At $1,000 And Become ‘Very Expensive’ The same chart plots two shorter-term anchored VWAPs that have become the coin’s last line of near-term support: a one-month rolling VWAP at $2.31, currently 5.22% below the session high (orange), and a three-month VWAP at $2.28, 6.40 % lower (cyan). XRP is “hanging on to the monthly and quarterly VWAP by a thread,” Dom warns. A decisive breach of those bands around $2.31–2.33 would leave the market “really just mid-range noise until … $2.20 is lost,” he adds, pointing to the December–February midpoint drawn on the left-hand volume profile. Related Reading: ‘What If XRP Is The Next Bitcoin?’ Says Dave Portnoy While Bitcoin has been “really just bouncing around” in a broad consolidation zone, the correlation has offered little relief to XRP bulls. Every minor rise in BTC has been met by fresh spot offers in XRP, underscoring what Dom calls the “very hard to see upward moves when we are seeing this type of market selling pressure.” For now, the technical chessboard is clear: reclaim the ATH VWAP and the path opens toward the late-March swing high above $3.00; lose $2.20 and the door swings the other way, toward the confluence of high-volume nodes stacked below $2.00. Until one of those barriers gives, the analyst concludes, XRP “has lost its pep in its step” and remains caught in a tug-of-war between relentless spot sellers and a thinning layer of passive bids. At press time, XRP traded at $2.36. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Independent market technician Dom (@traderview2) has drawn the crypto community’s eye to an unconventional but increasingly watched ratio: XRP priced in West Texas Intermediate crude. The Link Between XRP And USOIL In a two-hour TradingView screenshot posted on 14 May, the analyst shows the XRP/USOIL pair fading—twice—in the exact same resistance shelf that has capped price action since mid-December. “Last night we tapped the five-month range high again and price rejected perfectly,” he wrote, adding that “it’s amazing how much we are respecting this level as it gives a clear zone bulls need to fully regain for the next impulse higher.” Since December last year, the XRP price has been hammered down six times in the exact same resistance area. On May 13, Dom wrote: “ Could you ask for a cleaner range? This chart should be in a textbook… We know the importance of this range high. If it breaks, the probability $XRP goes to a new ATH goes up drastically. We know what happened right after BTC / USOIL hit it’s ATH 2 weeks ago, I would expect something similar here. Patience, this needs steam to breakout here.” Related Reading: XRP Surges Past Neckline—Analyst Projects Rally To $3.57 That ceiling is circumscribed on Dom’s chart by a charcoal-grey block from roughly 0.0418 to 0.0430. Each of the last two probes into the band—one during Asian trade on 12 May, the second during the New-York session on 14 May—produced sharp downside wicks. Momentum, moreover, is flowing against heavy sell pressure in the spot token. Citing on-chain order-flow analytics, Dom highlighted that “$210 million of XRP has been net-market-sold over the past seven days—despite this, XRP is up twenty percent.” He argues that such divergence implies absorption by professional liquidity providers rather than retail exuberance: “Market makers or whales are likely soaking up aggressive asks through passive limit bids. When that dynamic persists, it usually precedes an explosive upside once sellers exhaust themselves.” Community members quickly asked what a definitive breakout could portend for XRP priced in dollars. One follower, The Standard (@Xrpdemon589), pressed: “Would you say if it breaks it, it will have another parabolic move up breaking ATH?” Dom responded, “If we see a full breakout, historically yes, it’s only time until XRP/USD prints a new high.” Related Reading: XRP Price Prediction: $36 Is In The Cards As 3-Month Timeframe Turns Bullish? Crypto commentator Moon Lambo (@MoonLamboio) queried the intellectual basis for linking an energy-based ratio to the standalone token. Dom conceded no fundamental thesis is proven, but stressed the analytical utility: “I really just think it provides another perspective of price action when we peg it to something deeply woven into the economic system. I don’t think there is any specific relationship—rather, it’s useful to see things you wouldn’t otherwise see on the USD pair.” Technically, the map is binary. Dom reiterated that he has “alerts set for a full breakout” above 0.0418–0.0430; any two-hour close in that region would, in his view, constitute decisive range expansion and “give bulls the runway for the next impulse higher.” Should buyers instead relinquish the amber pivot at 0.0394, the door reopens to 0.0378 minor support, with a break there exposing the 0.0357 floor and negating the current series of higher lows. Until either boundary yields, XRP/USOIL remains in its five-month box, but the very act of watching the pair, Dom contends, sharpens traders’ macro lens. “BTC, USOIL, XRP—combining them is just another way to triangulate liquidity,” he wrote. “Sometimes the edge is simply seeing the same market from a slightly different angle.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.46. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Veteran wave technician “BigMike7335” (@Michael_EWpro) argues that the XRP token has just completed a textbook reversal on the daily chart. In a post that accompanied the chart shown below, the strategist quipped, “While you were busy being all excited about COIN being added to ES, XRP decided to breakout.” XRP Breakout Confirmed The annotated Bitstamp daily shows price clawing back to $2.5717, a 21% gain over the last seven sessions that decisively lifts the token through a six-month neckline sitting fractionally above $2.40. That horizontal barrier—coloured red on the chart—coincides with the top of a thin, downward-slanted Ichimoku cloud. Thursday’s close placed the candle not only above the Kumo but also above the 50-day EMA (orange), the 100-day EMA (aqua) and the 200-day SMA (dark blue), stacking the moving-average ribbon in a classic bullish configuration. The thrust completes an inverted head-and-shoulders that formed inside wave (iv) of a larger five-wave advance. The April swing low almost tagged the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the entire November-to-February impulse at $1.56732; wave “c” of that corrective leg created the pattern’s head, with symmetric shoulders in mid-March and early-May. Measured-move arithmetic from the formation’s $0.80 depth projects approximately $3.58—Big Mike boxes the target at $3.57638, exactly where the white arrow terminates on his chart and where the dashed vertical line identifies Wednesday, 18 June 2025 as a plausible time window. Related Reading: XRP Target Could Be $15 If This Pattern Is In Play, Analyst Says Market-profile data on the right flank strengthen the case: the heaviest volume node (green and tan bars) sits between $2.30 and $2.50, meaning the breakout thrust has already cleared the zone of greatest historical order flow. Above $2.80 the profile thins dramatically, implying scant overhead supply until the prior cycle’s upper channel rail near $3.00 and, ultimately, the $3.57 objective. Momentum gauges back the move. Daily RSI has reclaimed the 60-line and is rising briskly without yet entering overbought territory, while the stochastic oscillator has punched through its signal line and is accelerating toward the upper band—confirmation that impulse rather than mere short covering is at work. Related Reading: XRP Chart Hits Critical Level That ‘Opens The Sky,’ Analyst Warns Key risk markers remain below. Dashed support at $1.66027—the lower edge of the December–May broadening wedge—remains key; a failure to hold that level would invalidate the breakout thesis. Until then, the chart now offers bullish traders a classic post-neckline retest scenario, with the analyst eyeing $3.57 as the technical terminus of wave (v). For now, XRP bulls finally have a structure that justifies optimism—and, as Big Mike notes, they did it while the rest of the market was distracted by the inclusion of Coinbase (COIN) in the S&P 500 on Tuesday. At press time, XRP traded at $2.60. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP has gained significant momentum over the past several days, posting a sharp 24% rally since last week as bullish sentiment returns to the broader crypto market. With Bitcoin holding above $100K and Ethereum reclaiming the $2,200 mark, altcoins like XRP are beginning to show strength after months of subdued performance. Analysts are now calling for a potential breakout, emphasizing the importance of XRP reclaiming key resistance levels in the coming days to confirm a sustained move higher. Related Reading: Ethereum Recovery Gains Strength: Massive Comeback Above Key Support Fueling this optimism is new data from Glassnode revealing a dramatic surge in XRP Futures Open Interest. The metric has climbed over $1 billion in just one week, rising from $2.42 billion to $3.42 billion—a 41.6% increase. This spike suggests a growing wave of speculative interest and directional conviction among traders. As leverage builds, all eyes are on XRP’s next move to determine whether this momentum can evolve into a full-blown rally. The rise in open interest alongside price appreciation often points to sustained bullish intent, adding weight to calls for a continued surge. With volatility returning to the altcoin market, XRP could be gearing up for one of its most critical breakouts in months. XRP Leads With Strong Momentum And Rising Leverage XRP is emerging as one of the strongest performers in the market, displaying remarkable resilience during recent downtrends and now showing clear strength in the current bullish environment. After consolidating through volatile conditions, XRP has surged above the $2.50 level, firmly positioning itself as a leader among large-cap altcoins. The price action remains tight, with bulls continuing to test the $2.60 zone while bears are unable to push the price below the new support levels formed near $2.35. This price compression, combined with broader market optimism, suggests that XRP may be gearing up for a major move. With Bitcoin consolidating near its all-time highs and Ethereum testing crucial resistance zones, analysts are paying close attention to XRP’s trajectory. The altcoin market is heating up, and XRP’s technical structure hints at a bullish expansion phase if current levels are maintained or reclaimed with volume. Supporting this bullish outlook is recent data from Glassnode, showing that XRP Futures Open Interest has soared by over $1 billion in the past week. It jumped from $2.42 billion to $3.42 billion—a 41.6% increase—coinciding with a price rally from $2.14 to $2.48. This surge in leverage underscores growing speculative interest and strong directional conviction among traders. Elevated open interest, particularly when paired with upward price movement, often signals sustained momentum and institutional participation. With XRP firmly above key support and showing signs of renewed investor confidence, the next few sessions could be pivotal for determining whether XRP will finally break out into a new macro trend. Related Reading: Ethereum Hits Major Level After Biggest Weekly Candle In Years – What Comes Next? Price Action Signals Strength Amid Market Momentum XRP is showing strong bullish momentum as it continues to trend higher, currently trading around $2.55. The chart reveals a well-established uptrend, with XRP recently breaking above key resistance levels and holding above both the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA), currently at $2.13 and $2.02, respectively. This alignment of moving averages below the current price reinforces the bullish structure. Over the past two weeks, XRP has surged more than 24%, confirming higher lows and higher highs in the process. After briefly stalling at $2.60, the price is now consolidating with low volatility just below that level—indicating potential for another breakout if buying pressure resumes. Volume also picked up significantly during the initial leg of this move, signaling strong interest from market participants. Related Reading: Solana Rallies Into Pivotal Zone – $180 Level Could Define Next Move The next resistance level to watch is near $2.80, which marked a major rejection zone earlier in the year. On the downside, the $2.35 zone has now turned into strong support and would be a critical level for bulls to defend if momentum weakens. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
In a fresh update posted on X, market strategist Dom (@traderview2) argues that a single, well-defined technical line now holds the key to XRP’s next directional move. His six-hour TradingView chart shows the Binance XRP/USDT pair peaking at $2.48-2.50 overnight before stalling precisely at the volume-weighted average price anchored to the 2018 all-time high (the so-called “ATH VWAP”, plotted in green). Since late January that dynamically descending VWAP has capped every significant rally attempt and, on four separate occasions, triggered immediate, high-velocity rejections. The latest foray produced a brief spike to $2.4082 (session high) and a settling price of $2.3644, leaving a clear upper wick just beneath the VWAP. Dom calls the reaction “expected” given the pair’s very clean technical memory, but he also stresses that the market has already reclaimed a critical intermediate pivot: the quarterly VWAP at roughly $2.30. Related Reading: XRP Must Close Above These Price Levels To Invalidate Bearish Forecast – Analyst That level, the analyst notes, is now being “back-tested” intraday; a successful hold there would leave price wedged between converging support at $2.30 and resistance at the ATH VWAP near $2.48-2.50. A decisive close above the latter would, in Dom’s words, “open the sky for a larger breakout” by removing the final barrier that has contained XRP since its early-January high near $3.50. Massive XRP Breakout Coming? Order-flow data backs the bulls’ case. Dom has been tracking aggregated net flows by trade size and finds that tickets of 10,000–50,000 XRP and 50 000+ XRP have flipped firmly positive over the past three days, while smaller clips (100–1,000 and 1,000–10,000 XRP) have turned net-negative. “Little fish have sold the rip and bigger money has been behind it,” he wrote, adding that the dataset cannot distinguish between retail and institutional wallets but “very unlikely” points to exchange internalisation. Related Reading: Why Is XRP Up Today? Key Reasons Revealed Broader market context corroborates the sense of a maturing impulse. A separate CoinGlass heat-map of perpetual-swap annualised funding rates that Dom shared plots twenty-seven large-capitalisation altcoins from November through May. The graphic highlights two periods – late November to 9 December and the first weeks of May. The December cluster coincided with the “top of alts”, and he argues that the current cluster represents the most intense speculative pressure since that episode. “Strongest move in the altcoin market since November and funding looks like this… I said it last week and I’ll say it again. Hated rally,” Dom argues. Against that backdrop, the immediate technical roadmap remains binary. XRP must first defend the $2.30 quarterly VWAP, a level that has switched from resistance to support within the last forty-eight hours. Hold that shelf and traders will continue to probe the ATH VWAP ceiling. Lose it, and the path of least resistance swings back toward the mid-$2.00s congestion that defined most of April. But should bulls finally force acceptance above the descending VWAP – a feat they have not achieved once this year – the analyst sees little in the way of overhead supply until the mid-$2.70s, the lower boundary of the late-January distribution block. As Dom concludes, “Acceptance above ATH VWAP opens the sky for a larger breakout.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.46. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
In a single New-York trading day, XRP surged almost 10%, mirroring a ferocious bid across the entire digital-asset complex and closing Thursday, 8 May at its highest mark in roughly two weeks. Analysts trace the rally to a cocktail of macro relief, order-book mechanics and renewed alt-season positioning—factors that coincided in a narrow window and magnified one another. Why Is XRP Up Today? The initial spark came from macro headlines. News of a fresh trade accord between Washington and London tempered fears of escalating tariffs, while word of forthcoming minister-level talks between US and Chinese officials signalled a potential thaw in the world’s most consequential bilateral trade standoff. The calmer outlook flipped global-macro desks into a risk-on stance just as New York opened, and Bitcoin responded first, catapulting through the psychologically loaded $100,000 handle on a strong spot demand. The vertical move forced short sellers to buy back exposure; that “short squeeze,” by definition self-reinforcing, spilled rapidly into major altcoins and lifted XRP alongside the broader tape. Related Reading: VWAPs Don’t Lie—XRP Faces Judgment Day At Monthly Support On-chain flow data added a powerful regional twist. Crypto-market analyst Dom (@traderview2) noted that the South-Korean exchange Upbit—historically an XRP bellwether—flipped from net seller to aggressive accumulator in less than forty-eight hours. “Finally Upbit market changed their tune and are the strongest buyers over the last 24 hours,” he posted to X, specifying that Binance followed closely with a net 9 million XRP absorbed. “We are seeing the strongest taste of aggressive market buying that we have seen in over a week. Key is to see it continue.” The volte-face was striking because only 6 May the same commentator had tallied 220 million XRP in cumulative net sales on the KRW pair since 11 April—roughly $500 million of distribution. The reversal underscores how swiftly sentiment can shift when liquidity concentrates in a handful of regional venues. Technicians, meanwhile, drew attention to inter-market breadth. Bitcoin dominance, a gauge that measures the flagship token’s share of total crypto market capitalization, slipped from 65.38% to 64.43%—its sharpest single-day contraction in weeks and a classic tell that capital is rotating into altcoins. Related Reading: XRP Price Repeating History? 2017-Like Rally To Send Price To $10 Dom mapped the shift onto higher-time-frame structure, writing that “TOTAL, the total market cap of crypto, has just hit its uptrend it has held over the last 18 months […] This also coincides with the POC of the volume profile since late 2023.” Point of Control (POC) levels are where the largest amount of volume has historically traded; rebounds from such nodes often act as springboards. In a follow-up post he added, $TOTAL has regained its 2021 highs—yes, all you needed to do was bid the apex of support and the multi-year uptrend.” The same pivot is visible on XRP’s own chart. Dom highlighted that bulls “just breached the quarterly VWAP for the first time in 50 days… If it can hold as support, I am looking at the ATH VWAP as the next stop (US $2.47).” While that target lies some distance above Thursday’s closing price, the break of a multi-week volume-weighted average price is, in technician parlance, a changing-of-the-guard signal that often forces trend-following algorithms to flip long. At press time, XRP traded at $2.31. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is drifting back to the lower boundary of a five-month trading range, yet the higher-time-frame structure remains intact, according to a daily chart published on May 7 by analyst Dom (@traderview2). The chart covers late-December 2024 through the first week of May 2025 and shows XRP after breaking above a descending trend line that originates at the January 16 high near $3.40. XRP Is ‘Holding Strong’ Dom’s analysis hinges on a trio of anchored Volume-Weighted Average Prices, or VWAPs, which are plotted as adaptive bands on the chart. VWAP represents the average price of an asset over a specified period, weighted by trading volume; in essence it tells traders the level at which the bulk of transactions have occurred. Because large institutional desks often benchmark execution quality against VWAP, the line tends to act as dynamic support or resistance when price retests it. When the anchor point is shifted—from the start of the month, quarter or year, for example—each VWAP offers a lens on how supply-and-demand has evolved over that discrete window. Related Reading: Analyst Says These Factors Will Drive XRP Price To $1,000, But What Does Market Cap Say? The cyan line marks the quarterly anchored VWAP, currently situated at $2.2796, a level that rejected price last week and precipitated the ongoing pullback. The orange line denotes the monthly VWAP, now at $2.0574, and price is hovering just above it; Dom sketches a curved route suggesting that a constructive bounce here could propel XRP back toward the mid-$2.20s. Below, a green ribbon captures the yearly anchored VWAP at $1.8731, flanked by its standard-deviation envelopes at $1.7863 and $1.6996. The April 7 capitulation wick bottomed precisely into that yearly mean before snapping higher, underscoring its significance as a structural foothold. “The VWAPs continue to play perfect, local low was yearly VWAP, rejection last week was off quarterly VWAP and now we are heading to retest the monthly VWAP,” Dom states. The Key Support Zone Horizontal action is equally telling. Since early December the market has ranged between roughly $1.94 and $2.05, a zone highlighted on the chart by a grey rectangle and six green arrows flagging prior deflections. Dom characterises the present retreat as a “healthy retest” of that floor; only a decisive daily close below the band would tilt the bias decisively bearish. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Predicts How High XRP Could Soar If Bitcoin Hits $250,000 Until then, XRP is, in his words, “already strong” relative to other large-capitalisation altcoins that have broken comparable ranges, even though it is temporarily exhibiting weakness versus a surging Bitcoin dominance index. “XRP is still holding its range from Dec (no other large cap is anywhere near that) so it’s already been strong while others just bled. BTC.D is on a terror run and BTC is just dominating the flows,” Dom writes via X. Technicians will focus on two intersecting signposts over the coming sessions: whether bulls can defend the $2.00 handle and whether the monthly VWAP can again flip from resistance to short-term support. A failure at any of those checkpoints opens the door for a deeper voyage toward the yearly VWAP around $1.87, while a successful defense would reinforce the narrative that the larger consolidation remains merely a pause within a still-valid structural up-trend. “I am expecting a reaction off this range low, losing that would be where things turn bearish/murky, but for now, it’s a healthy chart,” Dom concludes. At press time, XRP traded at $2.20. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is trading at a pivotal level as the broader crypto market regains strength and bullish sentiment returns. While macro uncertainty and volatility persist, XRP has remained resilient, holding firmly above key demand zones. The asset is now attempting to reclaim higher supply levels, with bulls pushing for a breakout that could define its next major move. Related Reading: Ethereum Consolidates As Accumulation Trend Develops – New Bullish Phase Ahead? Top analyst Ali Martinez recently shared a technical view showing that XRP is currently trading within a very tight range. This period of consolidation has compressed volatility, setting the stage for a potential explosive move. According to Martinez, a decisive daily close outside this range could determine the direction of the next major trend—either a breakout toward previous highs or a drop toward lower support levels. For now, XRP appears to be leaning bullish as it tracks the momentum seen across other major cryptocurrencies. Traders are watching closely to see if XRP can reclaim the $0.70–$0.75 range, which could open the door to a broader rally. Until then, the current structure suggests that XRP is coiling for a breakout, and the next few sessions could be decisive in confirming the trend ahead. XRP Trades Above $2 As Market Awaits Breakout Or Breakdown XRP is trading above the $2 mark, holding strong amid rising volatility and uncertainty across the crypto market. While bulls are showing signs of strength, they continue to struggle with the $2.35 resistance level—a barrier that has capped recent upward momentum. At the same time, bears have been unable to push the price below current support levels, keeping XRP locked in a tight consolidation range. The broader market is heating up, with Bitcoin testing key resistance near all-time highs, creating an environment where altcoins like XRP could soon follow with significant moves. Analysts are closely watching this setup, with many calling for a bullish expansion phase if XRP can break through overhead resistance and confirm strength. Martinez has identified two critical levels that will likely define XRP’s short-term trend: $2 and $2.26. According to Martinez, a decisive daily close outside this range could set the tone for the next major trend move—either a breakout toward new highs or a breakdown into deeper consolidation. However, market risks remain. Ongoing geopolitical tensions between the US and China continue to influence risk sentiment, and traders remain cautious as these macro factors develop. Still, XRP’s price structure shows strength, and if bulls can overcome $2.35, the asset could gain serious momentum. For now, all eyes are on XRP as it coils near key levels. The next few days will be crucial in determining whether this consolidation resolves to the upside or signals another round of range-bound price action. Either way, a major move appears to be on the horizon. Related Reading: Cardano Struggles At Resistance – Expert Sees A Retest of Lower Support Levels Price Analysis: Technical Details XRP is currently trading at $2.14 after bouncing off recent lows near the $2.05 level. The 4-hour chart shows the price holding just above the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) at $2.11 and slightly below the 200-period exponential moving average (EMA) at $2.17. This positioning highlights a key zone of indecision, with bulls and bears locked in a tug-of-war around a major support and resistance confluence. The price structure remains neutral but constructive. After a failed attempt to push above the $2.30–$2.35 resistance range in late April, XRP has entered a phase of consolidation. Despite the pullback, bulls have defended the $2 psychological level multiple times, indicating strong demand in that area. Volume has remained steady, and XRP appears to be forming a higher low, which could serve as a launchpad for another attempt at the range highs. A breakout above the $2.26–$2.35 zone would likely confirm bullish continuation and open the path toward $2.50 and beyond. Related Reading: Ethereum Breaks Massive Downtrend Price Structure – Momentum Shift? However, a breakdown below $2.05 could invalidate the current setup and expose XRP to further downside. For now, XRP remains at a pivotal level, and the next 48 hours will be critical in determining its short-term direction. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
XRP is pressing into a confluence of Fibonacci supports that could decide whether the late-2024 rally extends or snaps, according to a one-hour chart shared on X by independent analyst CasiTrades. The token last changed hands at $2.0995 on Binance when the snapshot was published, down 0.16% on the session but hovering only a few cents above the 38.2% retracement of the late-April rally. XRP Is Building Momentum Explaining the significance of the current pullback, CasiTrades wrote, “Momentum is starting to pick up, and XRP is dropping to one of the most critical support tests we’ve seen in weeks.” The chart anchors its Fibonacci grid on the $2.3622 swing high set April 28 and the $1.6169 low printed April; 7 from that range, the 38.2% retracement lies at $2.0775, the 50% cutback at $1.9896, and the golden-ratio 61.8% level at $1.9016. CasiTrades highlights the 38.2–50% corridor from $2.078 to $2.00 as “the key support region”, adding: “This zone has acted as a pivot point in the past, and it’s where we could see the market start to turn if strength returns.” Related Reading: Major XRP Accumulation Alert: Wallets Holding Over 10,000 Coins Cross 300,000 Price action since the $2.36 high is mapped as a textbook A-B-C corrective pattern. Wave (A) carried XRP below the 23.6% retracement at $2.1863; wave (B) attempted to retest overhead supply but stalled just shy of the peak; and the active wave (C) is sketched by a magenta arrow pointing directly into the $2.00-to-$1.90 pocket. “We may still see one more flush or surprise drop targeting the major $1.90 before momentum shifts,” the analyst cautioned, noting that such moves tend to “move quickly, and by the time it’s obvious, the opportunity will probably be gone.” Internally, momentum is already hinting at exhaustion. The one-hour RSI has carved successive higher lows from the end of April through early May even as spot prices have edged lower, forming a clear bullish divergence accentuated by a rising black trend-line. The oscillator is drifting just under the 40 handle, suggesting selling pressure is losing force as price drills into support. “On the lower timeframes, RSI is showing signs of selling exhaustion, and the price action is beginning to compress, often a signal that a bigger move is on the horizon,” CasiTrades observed. Related Reading: Crypto Pundit Says XRP To $10 Is Just The Start Key Resistance Targets Above the market, Fibonacci levels from a broader swing create an orderly ladder of resistance. A crimson band near $2.2559 marks the 38.2% retracement of an earlier macro impulse and is flagged as “.382 major support” turned resistance until reclaimed. Beyond that, the 11.8 percent line crosses at $2.2743, with the prior peak at $2.36 capping the short-term range. “Off these supports, we’re looking for XRP to gain the strength to break past $2.25, $2.68, and beyond,” the analyst told followers, adding, “This is the time to be alert!” In the comment thread, traders debated whether Bitcoin and Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision could deliver the final leg lower. “I’m thinking so too… ideally support tests are met with extreme strength and an impressive recovery,” CasiTrades replied. When asked where he would initiate a long, he advocated a laddered approach: “Ideally you’d ladder, $2.08, $2.00, and $1.90—sub-waves are pointing to $2.00 as the highest probable pivot support.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.14. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
In a post on X, crypto analyst Dr Cat (@DoctorCatX) laid out a detailed road map for the XRP/BTC pair that hinges on both the thickness of the monthly Ichimoku cloud and Bitcoin’s eventual trajectory toward six-figure territory. The analyst’s working target is a test of 5,200 satoshis by June—a level that “must fight three obstacles at the same time: the quarterly Kijun Sen, a bearish TK cross with a decent gap between Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen, and the Chikou Span resistance,” he wrote. As a result, he assigns “around 90 percent” odds that the first assault on that level will fail to close a quarterly candle above the Kijun, noting that on a three-month chart “a few candles/tries” implies a time horizon “= a year and more.” How High Can XRP Price Go? The accompanying monthly chart, shows a fat kumo acting as near-term ceiling and forming “a close confluence to the 3M Kijun Sen.” One annotation highlights “one more resistance hard to break,” while another points out that by the fourth quarter the kumo is forecast to thin dramatically, giving any later attempt “more strength due to [a] widening TK gap.” Dr Cat sees two pathways once May trading is underway. If momentum carries through and the 5,200-satoshi zone is pierced during May–June, “we attack in May and June and get $4.5-$6 then reject at least initially (but it might be also rejecting for good).” That dollar translation, he clarified, assumes Bitcoin fluctuating between $90,000 and $120,000: “If BTC is at $90K this is roughly $4.5 and if it is at $120k this is roughly $6.” Related Reading: Crypto Pundit Says XRP To $10 Is Just The Start The second scenario involves the weekly chart slipping into range-bound behavior, triggering either “a complete flop” or “long consolidation (think months).” Prolonged coiling would shrink the gap between Tenkan and Kijun, erode the thickness of the monthly cloud and, crucially, dull the influence of the quarterly Kijun. “In this case,” he argued, “the chance for the moon target of 12K satoshi significantly increases.” Pushed on what that would mean in dollar terms, Dr Cat replied: “30 $ is the same, assuming BTC explodes much higher much later to $250K (probably even $270K), multiply this by 12K satoshi and you get $30.” The implication is that XRP’s upside ceiling is bound to Bitcoin’s own expansion. A parabolic run in BTC to a quarter-million dollars would effectively scale Dr Cat’s sats-denominated target into a $30 spot price for XRP—roughly a 5,000 percent rally from current levels. Related Reading: Crypto Pundit Debunks $100,000 XRP ‘Dark Pool’ Theory While the analyst’s framework leans heavily on traditional Ichimoku mechanics—cloud thickness, TK gaps and Chikou Span interaction—he repeatedly cautions that quarterly resistance levels do not yield easily. Even a successful penetration this summer would likely be followed by pullbacks before a sustainable break. Conversely, the comfort of an extended base-building phase could allow XRP to confront those same resistances “significantly easier” later in the year, when the cloud is paper-thin. For traders, the message is that timing and context may matter more than the raw number. Whether XRP first taps the $4-$6 window and retreats or spends months coiling below resistance, the analyst argues that the ultimate escape velocity to double-digit prices is conditional on Bitcoin’s march past its all-time high and toward the $250,000–$270,000 band. At press time, XRP traded at $2.10. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
In his latest video, the market commentator known as CryptoInsightUK laid out a multi-step argument for why XRP could “very realistically go to $10 plus this cycle — and potentially into the $20-to-$30 range.” The analyst combined macro-asset rotation, historical dominance patterns and a series of back-of-envelope calculations to contend that most investors are still underestimating the token’s upside. Why $10 Per XRP Is The Start The crypto pundit began with a brief look at Bitcoin liquidity, predicting that a build-up of short positions could generate “a very likely squeeze up to $103,000” before any near-term correction. But he quickly pivoted to the long-form case for altcoins — and XRP in particular — arguing that the broader environment of currency debasement has already lifted traditional hedges such as gold and equities well beyond their 2017 levels. “Gold was at $1,200 an ounce and is now at $3,200 […] the S&P was at 233 and is now at 566,” he said, emphasising that both assets “trend in the same direction, at least against the dollar.” Related Reading: Crypto Pundit Debunks $100,000 XRP ‘Dark Pool’ Theory That inflation in nominal asset values, he suggested, sets the stage for a capital rotation into crypto. “17% of twenty-two trillion,” he calculated — a hypothetical pullback in the gold market — “could easily add on to the crypto market cap […] and that would push Bitcoin up to $180,000 to 220,000.” The linchpin of his XRP thesis is the historical relationship between Bitcoin’s share of total crypto capitalisation (“Bitcoin dominance”) and XRP price performance. Displaying overlaid charts, he noted that in 2017 a 47% fall in dominance coincided with an “11x” rise in XRP, and that in 2021 a 46% fall aligned with a 600 percent gain despite the overhang of the Ripple vs. US Securities and Exchange Commission lawsuit. “XRP is one of the major gainers when Bitcoin dominance is falling,” he asserted, adding that a fresh 40% draw-down — merely a return to the lower boundary of the long-term range — would, on past ratios, imply an XRP move to roughly $16. A deeper slide toward 25% dominance would, by the same arithmetic, yield “that $36-to-$37 target.” Related Reading: XRP Poised For Final Flush Before Breakout, Predicts Crypto Analyst He repeatedly cautioned that his figures were illustrative rather than “definitively correct”, yet, he pushed back against objections that such price projections would require an impossibly large market capitalisation. Citing the tripling of gold’s market value since 2017 and a surge in US sovereign debt to $36 trillion, he argued that absolute numbers should not deter analysis: “Market cap shouldn’t stop you from making what a lot of people are calling outrageous claims to price.” CryptoInsightUK framed this stance as technical rather than narrative driven. His overlay of XRP dominance on Bitcoin dominance highlighted what he called a “very correlated inversely” pattern in which XRP rallies compress into short, explosive windows once Bitcoin’s share begins to ebb. “XRP does its moves really quickly,” he warned, urging viewers not to let “emotional bias” or dislike of the asset blind them to historical precedent. At press time, XRP traded at $2.13. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
In a video released on Thursday, crypto commentator Zach Rector dismantled a viral claim—popularized by influencer Jake Clover—that XRP tokens are secretly changing hands for $100,000 apiece inside clandestine “dark pools.” Rector’s rebuttal aims to calm newcomers spooked by the rumor and to re-center the discussion on verifiable market mechanics rather than conspiratorial price-suppression narratives. XRP OTC Deals Aren’t Market Manipulation Rector opens the broadcast by calling the thesis “a new round of misinformation and FUD,” stressing that “institutions are [not] going to get XRP at $100,000 on the private ledger. That’s not happening.” He explains that what social-media accounts now label “dark pools” are simply over-the-counter (OTC) desks—private bilateral venues that large holders have used for decades in equities, foreign exchange and, more recently, digital assets. “It’s nothing new or specific to XRP,” he says, adding that Ripple Labs has been off-loading part of its treasury via OTC since 2019 without depressing the open-market price. Indeed, XRP has “pumped tremendously since November,” Rector notes, even as Ripple distributed fresh supply to institutional counterparties. Much of Clover’s allegation hinges on the idea that a separate, private version of the XRP Ledger (XRPL) carries its own price—orders of magnitude above the public market’s. Rector calls that notion a fundamental misunderstanding of how Ripple’s enterprise tooling works. Central-bank or government pilots often ask for “private ledgers where they can keep messaging and transactions hidden from the public view,” he acknowledges, but those environments are permissioned sidechains or wrapped derivatives. “XRP only exists on the public XRP Ledger that we all use […]. Your XRP can never leave the XRP Ledger,” he states. If testers wanted to model a six-figure price for stress-testing purposes, “that’s not the real XRP, never was, never would be.” To underscore the point, Rector cites Ripple chief technology officer David Schwartz, who “has already addressed this” and clarified that “there are not two prices of XRP.” Rector also invokes examples from other enterprise-focused chains—XDC’s hybrid architecture and Constellation’s Department of Defense “Metagraph” deployment—to show that privacy partitions are standard practice, not evidence of hidden liquidity at surreal valuations. OTC Buyers Get A Discount While some retail traders fear that Wall Street would happily pay an astronomical premium behind closed doors, Rector argues the economics are inverted: “Why would an institution pay $10,000 per XRP on the private ledger […] when it’s available on the public market for $2?” OTC desks exist precisely so that whales can accumulate “without moving the market,” not to overpay. In fact, history shows that Ripple has often granted institutional partners a discount, not a markup—something revealed in discovery during the SEC vs. Ripple lawsuit. Rector reminds viewers that Ripple’s data set includes “over 1,700 NDAs” and that R3 once negotiated an option to buy five billion XRP “for a sub-penny” over three years, ultimately settling for a single billion when the broader partnership soured. None of those figures approach the six-figure fantasy. At press time, XRP traded at $2.21. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP opened the new month perched against a chart inflection that popular trader CasiTrades (@CasiTrades) describes as “one of the most important structural levels” for the token this cycle. In a post on X dated May 1, the analyst argued that the $2.25 zone—a former breakout pivot—has turned into the battleground on which the next decisive move will be forged. XRP Price Faces Crucial Back-Test “May begins with a critical back-test — XRP’s next move could [come] sooner than many realize!” CasiTrades wrote, framing the current pullback as a textbook retest of broken support turned resistance. According to the technician, failure to sustain bids above $2.25 last week triggered the formation of a three-wave corrective sequence. Sub-wave B appears to have ended with Wednesday’s brief return to $2.25, leaving what CasiTrades calls “a likely C-wave move toward $2.00” as the scenario to monitor. The analyst allows for a deeper intraday liquidity sweep, noting that “if that final leg plays out with momentum, there’s a strong chance we wick down to $1.90,” a price level that has not been visited since XRP’s breakout earlier this quarter. The $1.90 area coincides with both the 0.50 Fibonacci retracement of the entire advance off the correction lows and the 0.618 retracement of the most recent leg—two retracement depths that many technicians treat as high-probability reaction zones. Related Reading: XRP Price Suppressed By ‘Dark Pools,’ Crypto Pundit Claims Short-term momentum gauges are hinting that the corrective phase may be running out of steam. “On the lower time-frames, RSI is flashing exhaustion, which suggests this dip may be short-lived,” the post continues. CasiTrades therefore views the prospective flush as “the final touch of support before XRP flips $2.25 and it’s off to the races,” reiterating upside targets at $2.68, $3.00 and “beyond once we break out cleanly.” For now the bigger picture “remains unchanged,” the analyst concludes. “All signs point to one final flush before structure is ready to launch higher… Excited to see how May begins! Watching closely — not with hype, but pure technicals!” Related Reading: XRP Price Macro Channel Breakout That Puts Targets At $17-$55 Market participants will be watching the $2.00–$1.90 belt for evidence that buyers are indeed defending the midpoint of the recent rally. A convincing reclaim of $2.25, on the other hand, would validate CasiTrades’ thesis that only a “critical back-test” stood between XRP and the next leg toward multi-year highs. At press time, XRP traded at $2.21 and XRP is slowly grinding upwards from the crucial $2.00 support zone (red). Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The recent stagnation in XRP’s spot price may owe less to waning market interest than to a surge in off-exchange trading, according to crypto pundit and Digital Ascension Group managing director Jake Claver. In a 23-post thread published on X, the commentator argued that “dark pools are an invisible force … holding prices stable,” even as institutional demand accelerates. Claver’s thread—viewed more than 250,000 times within 48 hours—posits that private liquidity venues are absorbing large buy orders that would otherwise inflate the public order book. “So what’s a dark pool, exactly? Picture trying to buy $500 million worth of XRP without tipping off the market,” he wrote. “Dark pools are private spots where huge orders get filled off the main exchanges.” XRP Price Rigged? The pundit described the mechanism as a “double-edged sword.” In the near term, he contends, clandestine accumulation “hides bullish momentum and drags prices down,” leaving retail traders to conclude that the asset has lost steam. Over a longer horizon, however, the same process allegedly tightens circulating supply until, he warned, “the dam bursts.” Related Reading: XRP Price Takes a Breather — Can Bulls Bounce Back from Here? “Institutions are quietly draining liquidity from public exchanges,” Claver asserted, adding that hedge funds, family offices and even sovereign entities have begun using dark-pool facilities now offered by major exchanges such as Coinbase and Kraken, as well as emerging decentralized alternatives. Because transactions are reported only after execution, he argued, “smart money doesn’t leave a trail.” Claver suggested that XRP is a prime beneficiary of this covert activity. In his view, pending regulatory clarity and enterprise-level adoption could coincide with dwindling float, leading to an abrupt repricing. “At a certain point, demand on public exchanges will explode past supply — and that’s when the market will panic to reprice itself. Get ready for a potential 2×, 3×, even 5× sprint,” he wrote. Should the hidden bid exhaust available inventory, “the price gaps straight up … charts will look like someone flipped a switch.” Related Reading: XRP To Hit $8, No Double Digits This Cycle — Warns Crypto Analyst He underscored the psychological dimension of a prolonged flat tape: “These are the stretches where even the die-hard believers start doubting and walk away. But if you hang tight, you might just catch what comes next.” Comparing dark-pool activity to a “pressure cooker,” Claver added, “They bottle up all that buying pressure now, but eventually, the lid blows off.” Concluding his thread, he urged patience: “Stay locked in. When the dam breaks, you’ll be grateful you bought at 50 cents instead of scrambling to buy at $10.” Is There Proof? Market data do indicate muted volatility in XRP, which has traded in a narrow corridor around $2.00 for much of April despite a succession of positive fundamentals and news from Ripple. Whether dark-pool activity is the decisive variable, however, remains unverified; most over-the-counter (OTC) trading is reported only in aggregated form, and no public ledger tracks the size of institutional flows Claver describes. Claver offered no documentary evidence for the alleged scale of purchasing, and his analysis stops short of quantifying volumes. Nevertheless, his thread reinforces a familiar narrative in crypto markets: that price calm on the surface may belie deep currents of accumulation below. For retail spectators, the question is whether those unseen currents will indeed surface as the “vertical” move Claver envisions—or remain, like most dark-pool orders, permanently out of sight. At press time, XRP traded at $2.21. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP has emerged as one of the most resilient performers in the crypto space over recent months, showing relative strength even as broader market conditions remain shaky. After climbing steadily, XRP is now facing a critical test near the $2.10–$2.20 resistance zone — a level that could determine the asset’s next major move. Despite this hurdle, recent data points to strong underlying network activity that supports the bullish case. Related Reading: Solana Short-Term Indicator Signals Potential Risk – Reversal Or Pause? According to Glassnode, XRP network activity surged 67.50% in recent days, with the number of active addresses jumping from 27,352 to 40,366. This spike in activity suggests growing interest and participation on-chain, a key indicator often associated with sustained momentum. As investors closely monitor the broader market’s reaction to macroeconomic events, XRP stands out as a token that continues to draw attention based on both price performance and blockchain engagement. With bulls attempting to break through resistance, the coming days will be crucial for XRP’s trajectory. A successful breakout could ignite a fresh rally, while a rejection may invite short-term consolidation. Either way, XRP’s rising on-chain metrics indicate the asset remains firmly on investors’ radar. XRP Market Eyes Breakout As Active Addresses Surge XRP bulls are holding strong as the market braces for its next major move. After staying consistently above the $1.80 level, XRP now appears well-positioned to continue its upward momentum. Analysts are becoming increasingly optimistic, especially as the broader macroeconomic environment hints at eventual easing. Once tensions between global superpowers begin to cool and markets gain clarity, many believe a large surge across crypto assets, led by XRP, could follow. While sentiment grows more positive, some analysts warn of another leg down before a true breakout occurs. They suggest the market may need to establish a stronger demand base by dipping below current lows to shake out weak hands. This view contrasts with the more bullish narrative, but both sides agree: a major move is brewing. Adding to the bullish thesis, crypto analyst Ali Martinez shared key data from Glassnode showing a significant uptick in XRP network activity. Over the past few days, active addresses on the XRP Ledger jumped 67.50%, rising from 27,352 to 40,366. This spike signals heightened user engagement and increasing on-chain demand — often a precursor to notable price movement. With network activity accelerating and price structure holding firm, XRP may be nearing a critical inflection point. Related Reading: Ethereum Analyst Sets $3,000 Target As Price Action Signals Momentum – Details Price Faces Key Technical Test: Can Bulls Defend $2 Level? XRP is currently trading at $2.10, showing resilience near a critical support zone. However, a technical warning is flashing on the chart. The 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) is on the verge of crossing below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), a pattern that often signals weakening bullish momentum or potential market fatigue. This development places added pressure on bulls to defend the $1.95 support level. A breakdown below this point could lead to further downside and reset market sentiment. For now, holding above this zone remains crucial to maintain short-term bullish structure and avoid a larger retracement. On the upside, a decisive breakout above the $2.25 level would confirm renewed buying interest and mark the beginning of a recovery rally. Such a move could take XRP toward the upper boundary of its current range and reignite momentum across the broader altcoin market. Related Reading: Ethereum Enters Historic Buy Zone As Price Dips Below Key Level – Insights As XRP navigates this pivotal moment, traders are watching closely to see whether bulls can sustain the rally or if a deeper consolidation phase is coming. With network activity rising and investor interest holding strong, this price zone could determine the next major direction for XRP. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
The long‑running stalemate in the XRP price action may be entering its decisive phase, according to market technician CasiTrades (@CasiTrades). In a chart update shared on X, the analyst stresses that “XRP’s setup has not changed – but the clock is ticking,” underscoring that the token remains confined to the same structural range that has contained it since early April. Why The “Time Is Ticking” For XRP The one‑hour Binance chart published by CasiTrades prints XRP at $2.07. A failed rally earlier in the session stopped precisely at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the March‑to‑April downswing, labelled on the chart at $2.118. “XRP attempted a breakout alongside BTC but stalled at the 0.618 retracement, which is a common level for exhaustion. The rejection came fast, and now momentum is pulling us back toward support,” the analyst writes. Horizontal supply blocks in the $2.10–2.17 region reinforce that resistance. Below, successive bands of medium‑term support appear at the 0.5 retracement ($1.90) and at the deeper 0.618 level ($1.55), both highlighted in green and annotated as “major support.” Relative‑strength index data in the sub‑panel show a short‑term bearish divergence – price flat while the RSI slopes lower – hinting that the most recent advance may be tiring before reaching overbought territory. Related Reading: XRP Wyckoff Pattern Maps Bullish Run To $3.70 This Summer “Nothing about the bigger picture has changed. In fact, this just reinforces what I have been saying, we likely still need to sweep major supports like $1.90 or $1.55 before XRP is ready to break out. This should not continue to drag on… Momentum in crypto shifts quickly. We could tag those support levels and launch into Wave 3 very very soon,” Casi writes. She frames the entire structure as a classic Elliott Wave corrective pattern. A sharp three‑leg “ABC” decline from the early‑April peak ended in mid‑month, and the market has since been carving out what the analyst still regards as Wave 2 of a much larger impulsive sequence.“ XRP is still in Wave 2. Everything still supports a macro breakout. Until then, I am watching key levels and letting it play out,” he states. Related Reading: XRP Surpasses Ethereum In This Major Metric After Outperforming For 6 Months Responding to a follower who asked whether any excursion to $1.55 would occur swiftly, CasiTrades replied: “Yes I do think if it goes for $1.55 it would be a fast recovery. The purpose of it would be to break resistances above by using that recovery momentum.” She added that his personal strategy is to deploy remaining cash at $1.90 and manage risk with a stop once the first bounce materialises. The analyst’s conviction rests in part on Fibonacci time‑zone analysis first presented earlier this month. That framework – now in its third projected epoch – still allots room for a high‑velocity Wave 3 launch before April closes. “Momentum in crypto shifts quickly. We could tag those support levels and launch into Wave 3 very very soon!” she contends. Extension targets derived from standard Fibonacci multiples remain unchanged: $6.50 (1.618), $9.50 (2.618 and described as “most likely”), and “$12+” at the 3.618 extension. For now, however, XRP is stuck between an overhead wall at $2.24 – the 0.382 retracement and the high of the putative Wave ( C ) – and a floor clustered around $1.90. Until either side of that corridor is breached with decisive volume, CasiTrades says “nothing about the bigger picture has changed,” but warns that the window for an April resolution is narrowing: “This should not continue to drag on… We are still in Fib Time Zone 3 according to that analysis.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.07. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto analyst Charting Guy (@ChartingGuy), posting to X on April 20, has mapped the daily XRP/US Dollar chart on Bitstamp onto a textbook Wyckoff re‑accumulation schematic and argues that the pattern is now far enough advanced to imply a summer markup toward— and potentially beyond— the $3.70 region. “Wyckoff Pattern Ignites XRP Bull Case The chart spans the five‑month base that began with preliminary supply (PSY) in late November. A vertical surge carried price into a $2.68 Buying Climax (BC) in early December, immediately followed by an Automatic Reaction (AR) that washed back to roughly $1.90, anchoring the lower boundary of what would become the Phase A trading range. A Secondary Test (ST) in mid‑December revisited the $2.72 zone, completing Wyckoff’s initial “stop‑action” sequence. Phase B unfolded through January: demand rebuilt, producing an Up‑Thrust (UT) in Phase B that briefly pierced $3.40 in mid January before supply re‑asserted itself. From that peak XRP traced a descending, low‑angle channel—labelled the “Creek”—with progressively lower highs and lows into early April. Throughout this descent, Charting Guy’s overlay shows the familiar saw‑tooth of Wyckoff’s internal testing, suggesting weak‑hand distribution rather than true distributional topping. Related Reading: Ripple Takes Asia By Storm With New XRP Product, Here Are The Recent Developments On April 7 the market under‑cut range support, knifing to about $1.61, and immediately snapped back: the classic Spring of Phase C. A shallow Test of the spring followed near $2.00, satisfying Wyckoff’s requirement for bullish confirmation. From that point the analyst’s projected path turns higher. Phase D begins with what Wyckoff called Last Point of Support (LPS) between $2.35 and $2.55 in early May, followed by a steeper advance that drives through the February crest. This is followed by a Jump Across The Creek (JATC)—a decisive thrust through the descending channel top and horizontal resistance at roughly $2.70. The model then shows a price breakout above the mid-January high at $3.40 would constitute the Sign of Strength (SOS) around $3.40 in late May, completing the transition into Phase E. Afterwards, Charting Guy expects a second backing up into a first Last Point of Support (LPS) between $3.10 and $3.30 in mid-June, followed by an even steeper advance. Related Reading: XRP Is The ‘Strongest Chart In Crypto,’ Says Analyst In Phase E the schematic accelerates, taking XRP into the $3.70 area by early July—an objective that sits one tick above the $3.40 resistance band on the analyst’s price axis. With the spot rate at $2.12 at publication time, the roadmap implies a potential upside of close to 74% over the next two and a half months. However, Charting Guy cautions that “this doesn’t mean up‑only now—timing may be slightly off,” underscoring Wyckoff’s probabilistic nature. Nevertheless, the meticulous alignment of real‑world price action with the classical re‑accumulation phases—complete with labelled PSY, BC, AR, ST, UT, Spring, Test, LPS, JATC and SOS—adds weight to the bullish case. If the market respects those technical milestones, XRP could soon be working with prices not seen since the last cycle’s peaks. At press time, XRP traded at $2.11. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The price of XRP continues to coil just above the mid‑$2 region, but veteran market technician CasiTrades (@CasiTrades) believes the consolidation is the calm before a violent impulse higher. In a four‑hour chart published on X on 17 April, the analyst traces an Elliott Wave count showing the token finishing a textbook Wave 2 correction that began after December’s cycle high near the 0.118 Fibonacci band at $3.40. XRP Breakout In April Still Possible From the peak labelled (1), XRP has followed a sharp, three‑legged A–B–C pullback (drawn in gold). Leg A bottomed in February at $1.77. Leg B retraced to the 0.236 level at $2.99 before the current slide in Leg C, which has thus far defended the 0.618 retracement at $1.54. Below lies a thick liquidity pocket between the 0.618 and 0.65 retracements—$1.55 to $1.45—highlighted by a green box on the chart. CasiTrades describes that zone as “the most likely target” for any final sweep lower, but stresses that price “has shown solid support at the 0.5 retrace ($1.90). On the macro timeframe, not much has changed.” Related Reading: XRP Is The ‘Strongest Chart In Crypto,’ Says Analyst The chart also flags the 0.382 retracement at $2.24 with a red line—the final ceiling that must be reclaimed to confirm bullish reversal. “To break major resistance at $2.24 (the 0.382), we’ll likely need one final push off either $1.90 or $1.55. If XRP clears and holds $2.24, these lower levels become far less likely,” the analyst writes. The market has already printed a series of higher lows on the four‑hour Relative Strength Index while price carved lower lows, producing a clear bullish divergence that reinforces the idea that selling pressure is exhausting. CasiTrades argues that the macro structure remains intact: the decline of the past four months is Wave 2 inside a much larger five‑wave advance. “We are very close to ending this correction, whether the low is already in or we need one more support test, I still believe we’re about to enter macro Wave 3,” she notes. Under classical Elliott guidelines, one wave of every impulse must extend, and the analyst expects that role to fall to Wave 3. Using Fibonacci expansion from the Wave 1 impulse—the vertical purple projection—she derives upside objectives at the 1.618, 2.618 and 3.618 extensions: $6.50, $9.50 and “$12+” respectively. “One wave must extend in every impulse and most likely this will happen on Wave 3. This isn’t hype, this is textbook Fibonacci + Elliott Wave logic. Correction bottom is either here or very near. Once Wave 3 begins, it only takes weeks, not months,” she explains. Related Reading: Why XRP Could Beat Dogecoin, Solana In ETF Race And Trigger A Price Surge Sceptics questioned whether algorithmic manipulation might have invalidated traditional tools, but the analyst remains unmoved. “This price action has been frustrating, but I believe the market is largely driven by algos that to complete specific patterns, these patterns make money for their creator. Strong demand may be delaying the final push lower, but I still believe the market likely needs to test those support levels to grab liquidity before a breakout. We’re at a critical test right now. If buyers can push the price above $2.24, it could shift the algos instead of hunting lower, they may flip direction and chase momentum.” Time, she insists, is running out for bears. “We’re mid‑April now. If XRP tags that final support, even by the end of this week, and volume steps in, a breakout to new highs could very realistically kick off in late April and still satisfy the April breakout outlook.” As of press time XRP is trading near $2.16 on Binance, only a few percentage points below the critical $2.24 trigger. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto market analyst Dr Cat (@DoctorCatX) has declared XRP the strongest chart in the entire crypto space, citing Ichimoku Cloud dynamics that currently favor XRP over both Bitcoin and major altcoins such as Ethereum. XRP Is The ‘Strongest Chart’ In a weekly comparison of XRP/USD and BTC/USD, Dr Cat explains that XRP continues to exhibit full bullish structure within the Ichimoku framework. On the weekly chart, XRP is holding above the Kijun-Sen (base line), and the Tenkan-Sen (conversion line) remains above both price and Kijun, maintaining a textbook bullish configuration. The price, marked at $2.09688, has now consolidated for multiple weeks above the Kijun, with no significant violations. The Ichimoku cloud projected ahead — the Kumo — shows a sharply rising Senkō Span A, forming an upward-sloping top to the cloud that extends into May. Senkō Span B is positioned lower and flat, adding to the positive slope of the cloud. This forward structure typically reflects underlying trend strength. While precise values for these lines are not labelled on the chart, their shape and relative positioning confirm that the cloud is bullishly aligned, with Span A above Span B, and rising — a configuration often preceding strong continuation moves. Related Reading: XRP Dips To $1.97 – A Golden Opportunity Before The Next Rally? In contrast, the BTC/USD weekly chart presents a more fragile picture. While Bitcoin trades at $84,940, and remains above the Kumo, it has lost the Kijun-Sen, with price slipping below that critical baseline over the last two candles. Moreover, the Tenkan-Sen has crossed beneath the Kijun-Sen, forming a classic bearish crossover. Even if this crossover eventually proves to be a whipsaw, it is technically significant, as Dr Cat notes: “Even if a fake one, it’s a score point for bears that needs to be overcome.” Dr Cat summarizes the contrast across the majors as follows: “Plenty of altcoins are already in a bear market on the weekly, including ETH. BTC is struggling to fight back. But XRP bulls still have full control.” In response to users speculating on timelines, tops, and price targets — some calling for $0.80 retracements, others for new all-time highs imminently — the analyst replied: “By the end of May it should be pretty clear.” Related Reading: XRP To $15? Pundit Explains How ETFs Could Trigger Massive Rally Dr Cat has also reiterated his medium-term upside target of $4.50 for XRP, suggesting that the setup may culminate in a full-scale breakout attempt toward or beyond the all-time high near $3.84. That move, however, remains contingent on bulls maintaining their current technical advantage. XRP Sets New Record Against Ethereum Additional evidence of XRP’s rising strength comes from independent analyst Dom (@traderview2), who published a historical performance heatmap comparing XRP to ETH on a monthly basis. His data shows that XRP has now outperformed ETH for five consecutive months (entering the six month) — the longest such streak ever recorded. The outperformance began in November 2024, with XRP gaining +160.4% relative to ETH, followed by +18.5% in December, +47.3% in January, +4.3% in February, +19.6% in March, and +14.3% so far in April 2025. Prior to this run, the longest relative win streak had been four months (June–September 2024), making the current stretch a historical first. The cumulative arithmetic gain across this period exceeds +264%, showcasing a sustained capital rotation toward XRP not seen in prior cycles. While it remains to be seen whether the current strength translates into new highs, XRP’s chart structure is unmatched across major tokens on the weekly timeframe. With a clean bullish alignment, a rising cloud, and dominant relative performance, Dr Cat’s conclusion remains firmly grounded: “XRP bulls still have full control.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.09. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
As the XRP price climbs back above the crucial $2 mark, reflecting a 20% surge over the past week, market analysts are increasingly optimistic about the token’s recovery and potential for setting new all-time highs (ATHs). Expert analyst Maelius recently shared insights on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), suggesting that the current market dynamics support a bullish outlook for the XRP price. XRP Price Could Target $10 In Conservative Case Despite the recent price surge, some market participants remain skeptical about XRP’s trajectory. Maelius addressed these concerns, stating, “In a conservative case, I think XRP looks very bullish on higher time frames (HTFs).” Historically, XRP has shown a pattern of respecting the 50-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) during bull markets. Recently, the asset touched this EMA and rebounded, reinforcing the belief that it is on a positive trajectory. Related Reading: This Bitcoin Pullback Mirrors 2017’s Path To Parabolic Highs, Says Analyst In his social media update, Maelius outlined two scenarios for XRP’s future price movements: a conservative case and a more optimistic base case. In the conservative scenario, Maelius posits that XRP has completed its Wave 3 (W3) of a larger Elliott Wave cycle and is currently finalizing Wave 4. This suggests that XRP could expand into a final Wave 5, targeting $10. The expert assigns a 35% probability to this conservative case, highlighting that price and Relative Strength Index (RSI) behaviors indicate a potential base formation around current levels before reaching new highs later in the year. Maelius’s more optimistic scenario suggests that the top of Wave 3 may not have been reached yet. He points out that the accumulation phase for the XRP price has been longer than in previous cycles, indicating that the market may just be taking more time to develop. In this case, the final W5 could extend into the first or second quarter of the next year, with targets ranging from $15 to $20 or higher. Can Dominance Translate To Price Gains? In addition to the XRP pprice analysis, Maelius examined the token’s market dominance, which indicates the token’s share within the broader cryptocurrency market. The expert noted that while the token’s dominance has been preparing for a final upward move, this does not necessarily correlate with the XRP price reaching new highs. The dominance metric, seen in the image below shared by Maelious, suggests that while XRP might underperform relative to other altcoins, it still has the potential for significant price appreciation. Related Reading: Dogecoin Whales Buy 800 Million DOGE in 48 Hours – Smart Money Or Bull Trap? The 1-week RSI for the token’s dominance is currently in an uptrend and resting on horizontal support. If this support level fails, a diagonal support line could provide the next level of defense. Historically, XRP’s dominance has experienced two major impulses during previous cycles, each reaching notable resistance areas. However, Maelius cautions that the growing size of the market makes it increasingly challenging for any single asset to achieve the same peaks as in prior cycles. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com