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XRP has struggled to generate sustained demand in recent weeks as broader crypto market conditions remain fragile and selling pressure continues to dominate sentiment. Price action has reflected a lack of strong buying conviction, with several analysts warning that further downside cannot be ruled out if liquidity conditions fail to improve. While volatility has moderated compared with earlier corrective phases, momentum remains weak, leaving traders cautious about the near-term outlook. Related Reading: The Altcoin Exodus: Trading Volumes Halve As Capital Flees To Bitcoin $65,000 Fortress A recent CryptoQuant report highlights exchange reserve dynamics as a key framework for understanding current investor behavior. Monitoring the amount of XRP held on trading platforms can offer insight into whether market participants are preparing to sell or accumulate. Typically, a sharp rise in exchange reserves suggests investors are transferring assets onto exchanges, often signaling readiness to liquidate positions. Such movements can increase immediate market supply and contribute to short-term selling pressure. Conversely, declining reserves on exchanges tend to indicate withdrawals into private custody or long-term storage solutions. This behavior usually reflects stronger conviction among holders and reduced willingness to sell at prevailing price levels. As a result, reserve trends can help contextualize whether XRP’s current weakness stems from distribution activity or a broader repositioning phase within the market. XRP Exchange Outflows Signal Emerging Accumulation Trend The analysis indicates that this pattern is currently visible in XRP’s supply ratio on Binance, a metric that measures the share of the asset’s total circulating supply held on a specific exchange. Over the past ten days, the ratio has declined from 0.027 to 0.025, signaling a measurable reduction in XRP balances on the platform. In absolute terms, this translates to roughly 200 million XRP withdrawn from Binance during that period. Although exchange-level movements can sometimes reflect internal reallocations, major platforms such as Binance publicly disclose custody addresses, allowing analysts to differentiate operational reshuffling from user-driven withdrawals with reasonable precision. In this context, the scale and direction of the change point more convincingly point toward organic outflows rather than technical adjustments. Related Reading: Ethereum’s Leverage Reset Clears The Path For A Healthy Rebound – Analyst Such a decline in exchange-held supply often reflects a shift in investor positioning. XRP has corrected by approximately 40% since the start of the year, a magnitude that can attract longer-term participants seeking discounted entry points. When investors withdraw assets from exchanges, they typically reduce immediate sell-side liquidity and signal a preference for private custody over active trading. Taken together, the data suggest that a segment of market participants may be accumulating XRP at current levels, positioning for potential recovery rather than preparing for near-term distribution. XRP Price Struggles Below Key Moving Averages XRP remains under sustained pressure, with the weekly chart showing a clear downtrend following the rejection near the $3.30–$3.50 zone seen in mid-2025. Since that peak, price structure has shifted toward a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, typically associated with weakening momentum rather than consolidation. The latest candles suggest XRP is attempting to stabilize near the $1.40 region, but conviction remains limited. Technically, XRP is trading below the major moving averages visible on the chart, which now act as dynamic resistance. The shorter-term average has already rolled over, while the longer-term trend line continues to slope upward more slowly, reflecting the lagging nature of macro support. Sustained trading below these levels generally signals cautious sentiment and limited upside follow-through unless a decisive reclaim occurs. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Supply Moving To Strong Hands? Whale Data Suggest Structural Shift Volume patterns also indicate reduced participation compared with the impulsive rally phase. This decline often reflects fading speculative interest, although it can also precede a base-building period if selling pressure exhausts. From a structural perspective, the $1.30–$1.40 zone appears to function as immediate support, while the $1.80–$2.00 range likely represents the first significant resistance band. Until XRP reclaims higher levels with strong volume, the broader trend remains fragile and biased toward continued consolidation or downside risk. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Crypto sentiment has slid to what CryptoinsightUk founder Will Taylor describes as “historical lows,” and the damage is starting to show up in higher-timeframe indicators that rarely flash. In a Feb. 14 weekly note, Taylor argued the setup is shifting from “collapse” to late-stage drawdown and pointed to XRP priced in gold as one of the cleanest tells. Taylor framed the week as “another painful week in crypto,” but said the timing of the pessimism matters. On Bitcoin’s weekly chart, he wrote, BTC “has just hit oversold levels for only the third time in recent history,” adding that the prior two occurrences marked either the bear market low or “very close to it.” In his telling, extreme sentiment paired with a statistically rare signal leans toward exhaustion rather than fresh downside acceleration. The core of Taylor’s argument rests on positioning for a volatility expansion in Bitcoin dominance. He said Bollinger Bands on dominance are “extremely compressed,” a configuration he views as unstable: “Compression leads to expansion. And expansion leads to volatility. In simple terms, volatility is inbound.” Related Reading: Liquidity Or Liability? History’s Hard Lessons For The XRP Momentum Play Direction is the debate. Taylor’s base case is a downside break in dominance – eventually below 36% – which, if paired with a resilient or rising Bitcoin price, would imply not just new money entering crypto but rotation across the risk curve. He cited a prior episode as a template: in November 2024, when dominance fell by roughly 10 percentage points, “XRP saw a subsequent move of around 490%,” which he characterized as “a vertical expansion.” To corroborate the rotation setup, Taylor pointed to the OTHERS/BTC ratio: the market outside the top 10 relative to Bitcoin. On the monthly timeframe, he said RSI “has just crossed bullish,” and that the chart is “on the verge of printing” a second green monthly MACD volume candle after what he described as a bullish cross near the lows. The combined picture, he argued, is alignment: altcoins starting to regain relative strength as dominance volatility compresses. XRP Against Gold: A ‘Historic Zone’ Setup Taylor’s more specific claim centered on XRP priced in gold, a pairing he said is largely ignored despite being structurally informative. “When you look at XRP priced against gold, what you’ll notice is that we’ve pulled back into an extremely strong historical support region,” he wrote. “At the same time, on the monthly timeframe, the RSI has reached levels we have only ever seen once before. And that was just before the 2017 parabolic expansion.” From there, Taylor sketched a scenario rather than a prediction: if XRP holds that support and completes what he called a 4.236 Fibonacci extension “from this structure,” the move could be “around 20x against gold.” He stressed the usual caveat that relative performance doesn’t map cleanly to the dollar pair. “That does not automatically mean 20x against the dollar,” he wrote, noting gold itself could weaken, and “macro conditions could shift.” Related Reading: XRP Community Day Recap: The 7 Most Bullish Takeaways Still, he argued the relative signal is the point. In his framework, sustained outperformance versus gold suggests capital “aggressively rotating into risk,” a backdrop where altcoins tend to lead. Taylor added a second relative-strength angle: XRP versus Ethereum. He floated an Elliott Wave interpretation in which XRP may have completed wave one and wave two against ETH, setting up a potential wave three: “typically the most aggressive, most explosive leg.” While calling Elliott Wave “a framework, not a certainty,” he emphasized a momentum detail: monthly RSI holding above 50 through consolidation, which he viewed as consistent with continuation rather than breakdown. At press time, XRP traded at $ Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP continues to face persistent selling pressure, with price action showing limited momentum as broader crypto market conditions remain fragile. The token has struggled to establish a clear recovery trend, reflecting cautious investor sentiment and subdued speculative activity. While volatility has eased compared with previous sharp moves, the lack of strong buying conviction suggests the market remains in a consolidation phase rather than a confirmed rebound. Related Reading: Bitcoin BCMI Drops Toward Bear Market Territory: How Close Is BTC To A Real Buy Zone? A recent CryptoQuant report provides additional insight through analysis of XRP trading volume on Binance using a 30-day Z-Score framework. According to the data, XRP is currently trading near $1.37, with daily trading volume around 173 million XRP. The Z-Score hovering close to zero indicates that trading activity is broadly aligned with its recent historical average, without significant spikes or contractions. This equilibrium in volume typically reflects a balance between buyers and sellers, often emerging after periods of heightened volatility. Rather than signaling immediate bullish or bearish dominance, such conditions tend to accompany market stabilization or repositioning phases. In practical terms, the data suggest traders are reassessing exposure while awaiting clearer directional signals. Until a decisive increase in volume or sentiment emerges, XRP’s price dynamics may remain slow, with consolidation continuing to define the near-term market environment. XRP Volume Equilibrium Suggests Consolidation Before Next Major Move Historical comparisons in the CryptoQuant report suggest that XRP’s volume Z-Score has frequently acted as a leading indicator for major price movements. Periods marked by sharp spikes in the metric have often preceded significant directional moves, both upward and downward, as sudden increases in trading activity typically reflect shifts in market conviction. Conversely, when the Z-Score stabilizes near zero, the market tends to enter a consolidation phase in which buying and selling pressures remain broadly balanced before a new trend eventually develops. The current reading fits this latter pattern. With the Z-Score hovering close to neutral levels, XRP appears to be in a holding phase rather than building momentum for an immediate breakout. This environment generally corresponds with reduced volatility, slower price development, and cautious positioning among market participants. However, such equilibrium phases rarely persist indefinitely. A decisive increase in trading volume could quickly alter the landscape. A sustained move in the Z-Score above +2 would likely signal strengthening participation and potential bullish momentum, while a sharp drop below that threshold could indicate renewed defensive positioning and the risk of further corrective pressure. For now, volume behavior suggests preparation rather than resolution, with the next significant move likely dependent on whether participation expands or contracts. Related Reading: Ethereum Endures Historic Liquidation Week: Largest Sustained Liquidation Phase Since 2021 XRP Price Tests Key Support As Downtrend Structure Persists XRP continues to trade under sustained selling pressure, with the chart showing a clear deterioration in structure since late 2025. After failing to hold above the $2.00–$2.20 region, price action accelerated lower, pushing XRP toward the $1.30–$1.40 area, which now represents the nearest visible support zone. The recent decline appears sharp rather than gradual, suggesting reactive selling rather than orderly repositioning. From a trend perspective, XRP is trading below its major moving averages, which are now sloping downward. This alignment typically reflects a bearish medium-term structure, where rallies tend to encounter resistance rather than trigger sustained upside continuation. The inability to reclaim these averages reinforces the idea that momentum currently favors sellers. Related Reading: Bitcoin Realized Losses Hit Luna Crash Levels — But Price Context Points To A Different Market Phase Volume dynamics also deserve attention. The latest drop was accompanied by elevated activity compared with preceding consolidation phases, indicating active participation in the selloff rather than thin liquidity moves. Historically, such spikes can precede either capitulation lows or continued downside, making confirmation essential. Technically, a sustained recovery above the $1.80–$2.00 region would be needed to stabilize sentiment. Until then, the broader structure suggests caution, with consolidation or further downside remaining plausible scenarios while market confidence rebuilds. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP is down 58% from its all-time high, and two popular chart-focused accounts on X are framing the drawdown as a potential accumulation window rather than a trend break. How Low Will XRP Price Go? Crypto Patel (@CryptoPatel) told followers on Feb. 4 that XRP/USD has “entered our first accumulation zone at $1.50–$1.30.” In his post, he urged staggered entries rather than trying to time a single bottom. “Start buying slowly at these levels, no rush, just steady accumulation,” he wrote, positioning the move as capital-preservation after what he described as an earlier call highlighting a “bottom accumulation zone.” On the risk side, Patel tied his next decision point to the $1.30 level, suggesting a deeper set of bids if that floor breaks. “If XRP breaks below $1.30, place your entry bids between $0.90–$0.70,” he wrote. “But here’s the thing — if price hits that zone, it could be the best long-term accumulation opportunity for maximum profits.” Related Reading: XRP Enters ‘Washout Zone,’ Then Targets $30, Crypto Analyst Says He added that his “long-term target remains $10,” arguing that entry discipline matters more than headline targets: “Buying at $3 or $2? Not ideal in my view. If the target is $10, why not aim for entries at $1.50–$1 during hard dips for much bigger returns?” Patel also leaned on his prior public call as evidence of a repeatable framework. He said he shared an XRP setup at $0.50 in the last bear market and that XRP later rallied to $3.66, which he characterized as “over 600% profit.” XRP Bottom In March? A separate post from Charting Guy framed the selloff less as a new regime and more as a familiar cycle structure. “XRP repeating 2021, bottom in march roughly around $1.20 imo,” he wrote, adding: “maybe wick to $1 to scare the hoes. The bear market is almost over.” When asked directly by another user—“Bear market ends in march?”—Charting Guy replied: “yep.” In Charting Guy’s weekly XRP/USD chart, the roadmap is framed around a rising multi-year trendline and a Fibonacci ladder drawn across the move, with several of those Fib levels clustering right where he expects a March low. On the retracement side, the chart labels the key downside bands at roughly 0.618 ($0.915) and 0.702 ($1.2149), with additional levels below at 0.5 ($0.615) and 0.382 ($0.413). Charting Guy’s “bottom in March roughly around $1.20” lines up almost directly with the 0.702 Fib (~$1.215), while his “maybe wick to $1” comment points toward a deeper flush into the space between $1.00 and the 0.618 Fib (~$0.915). Related Reading: Analyst Predicts XRP Price Wil Target 450% Rally To $7 What makes that zone more than just a horizontal level on his layout is the trendline confluence. The green, rising trendline he’s drawn from the 2020–2022 base is shown catching price into early March (his vertical marker sits around Mon 02 Mar ’26), with the trendline effectively rising into the same $1.00–$1.20 neighborhood. In other words, his implied “March bottom” isn’t just a date call, it’s a confluence call: trendline support rising into the 0.702 retracement area, with room for a volatility wick closer to the 0.618 if the market tries to force capitulation. Above spot, the chart also shows the upside Fib extensions he’s using as reference points: 0.786 ($1.612), 0.888 ($2.274), and the prior swing reference around 1.0 ($3.317), with higher extensions marked at 1.236 ($7.349), 1.272 ($8.297), 1.414 ($13.389), and 1.618 ($26.630). At press time, XRP traded at $1.3888. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP has entered what Korean Certified Elliott Wave Analyst XForceGlobal (@XForceGlobal) calls a “washout” phase inside a broader Elliott Wave corrective structure, a zone he argues can set the stage for a renewed macro advance, with eventual cycle targets stretching into the $20–$30 region. In a Feb. 3 video breakdown, XForceGlobal said the recent pullback does not change his larger framework, but rather pushes XRP deeper into what he described as the “alternative” macro scenario: an expanded flat correction where a prior push to new highs becomes a “fake out” before a final leg lower attempts to flush late buyers. “Nothing new here, we’ve been talking about this for quite some time where we have 2 extreme points of interest,” he said. “The B Wave here creating a fake out point at the all time high, and then the current C Wave that we are also in that creates a fake out point below the market structure of this previous low here, that Wave A.” XRP May Needs A Final Dump Before $30 The core of his argument rests on a measured target for Wave C derived from the pivot points of Waves A and B, specifically the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, which he framed less as a mystical level and more as a behavioral marker where corrections turn emotional. In his telling, Wave A is the initial counter-trend move, Wave B is the “overconfidence phase,” and Wave C becomes the forced exit: stop losses, broken conviction, and liquidation pressure. Related Reading: Where’s XRP Price Headed As Exchange Reserves Plunge To 1.7 Billion? “Basically, it’s a trap and kind of a liquidation structure where Wave A is the first counter trend of the larger trend that we were expecting,” XForceGlobal said. “And then the B Wave is the overconfidence phase and then the C Wave becomes the reality check where everyone who bought the B Wave at the top is now wrong and exiting at the local bottoms because of their stop losses or they just lose confidence in the overall structure of the XRP.” He argued that because Wave C is driven by “emotion and not balance,” it tends to resolve as a five-wave decline rather than a three-wave correction, often terminating around the 161.8% extension as selling pressure exhausts. The key, he said, is not that the asset becomes “cheap,” but that sellers run out of ammunition and divergences begin to appear. “The markets will not reverse there because prices are really cheap,” he said. “It reverses because the sellers are exhausted at those levels and usually you’ll see sellers being really exhausted. You’ll start to see some bullish divergences occurring.” From a levels perspective, XForceGlobal described a volatile “free for all” zone where bulls and bears battle for a base, pointing to a range he labeled between roughly $1.50 down toward $1.08–$1.09. He suggested that, if the expanded flat thesis holds, that area could evolve into a buy zone, but only after the five-wave move down completes and a reversal sequence provides confirmation. Related Reading: XRP Market Structure “Very Similar” To April 2022, Glassnode Says Macro context remains central to his conviction. XForceGlobal pointed to XRP breaking out of a prior multi-year triangle and then rallying roughly 500% as evidence of an objective five-wave advance, followed by corrective structures consistent with an expanded flat setup: a non-impulsive pullback, a B-wave push to an extreme, then a new downside extreme below prior market structure. $XRP One of the most important #XRP videos to date! A complete 10-minute breakdown covering targets and invalidation levels. More importantly, I cover how to properly manage expectations in the midst of chaos using the macro structure, and why the overall trend remains bullish. pic.twitter.com/E2g9ga52N9 — XForceGlobal (@XForceGlobal) February 3, 2026 If XRP does complete the corrective leg and transitions into what he frames as a new impulsive cycle, with the classic wave three, wave four, wave five sequence, his roadmap opens higher targets over time. “We got a wave three in the making here, a wave four, and then a wave five that’s pending that could bring us up into that $20 to $25, $30 region that we’re looking for at a later stage,” he said. He also flagged $6 as a major level where he expects profit-taking and a reassessment, framing it as part of a broader risk-management approach rather than a single-shot price call. At press time, XRP traded at $1.5887. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

As XRP attempts to climb to higher levels, an analyst affirmed that the altcoin is “doing what it needs to do” to continue its bullish rally, highlighting multiple key structures in key timeframes. Related Reading: Dogecoin Foundation-Backed ETF Launches On Nasdaq As Analysts Call For Massive DOGE Rally XRP Enters Inflection Point After retesting the $1.90 area on Friday morning, XRP saw a 4.6% intraday bounce toward the mid-zone of its local range. Over the past five days, the cryptocurrency has been hovering in the $1.85-$2.00 price range, failing to hold the upper zone of this range. Market watcher ChartNerd pointed out a key reversal pattern that could signal a massive price expansion may be around the corner, noting that the altcoin is at a “critical inflection point” as it retests a macro support zone. He explained that a running flat ABC correction formation is “a sophisticated structure where the failure of the ‘C’ wave to breach previous lows signals underlying bullish strength.” XRP has been mirroring the same structure over the past 400 days, which would point “toward a structural breakout, marking the transition from a yearly long base into a new primary uptrend” if it resolves. As the chart shows, “the wave counts repeating toward the structure are evident in XRP’s price action,” and as long as the macro support holds, around the $1.80 area, the C wave “could be working in the bulls’ defense.” We could be just building a base above $1.80, marking the C wave in this running flat correction before the major breakout. ChartNerd added that there could be a scenario in which XRP deviates below its major support before a V-shape recovery. However, he warned that losing this area would not be healthy, detailing that the only way to invalidate the pattern would be for the price to close below the structure’s support, retest it as resistance, and drop to lower levels. XRP’s Price Defends Macro Support The analyst emphasized the importance of the $1.80 level, noting that XRP has been defending this territory for over a year and could lead to a new all-time high (ATH) rally. “This is a macro accumulation zone, and we evidently also have two major levels of descending resistance for XRP,” he detailed, highlighting that when the first multi-month descending resistance broke, the altcoin rallied to a new all-time high. It’s pretty simple: we have descending resistance on our heads at the moment, and we once had a point of contact on this resistance at the $2.40 high (…) So, at this moment in time, the simplicity tells us: break the descending resistance, and this is where XRP really starts gearing up for further expansion. Based on this, ChartNerd asserted that if the altcoin defends the $1.80 macro support, then a similar rally is likely. Similarly, he pointed to a bullish reversal structure building below the key $2.70 resistance on XRP’s chart. Related Reading: Bitcoin To $80,000? Analyst Warns Of Potential Free Fall As BTC Erases 2026 Gains Per the post, the cryptocurrency formed a three-month falling wedge pattern that was broken out of during the early January rally. Now, the price is retesting the pattern’s breakout level as support and could be preparing to climb toward the level it started forming. “So XRP just needs to defend the guard at $1.80, and this is where we could be looking for that sort of major expansion and looking to press back up to the target of $2.70,” before potentially challenging its pre-Q4 range, he concluded. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

XRP has given back all of its early‑year gains, sliding toward the $1.90. Despite the pullback, several on‑chain and market indicators are pointing to a possible breakout from current levels, driven largely by a sharp decline in XRP held on exchanges.  XRP Exchange Balances Slide To 1.5B Market analyst Sam Daodu notes that over the past months, a substantial portion of XRP has steadily moved off centralized trading platforms and into long‑term storage and institutional custody.  On‑chain figures indicate that XRP exchange balances dropped from roughly 4 billion tokens in early 2025 to about 1.5 billion by late December. This 57% decline represents the steepest annual reduction in XRP exchange supply on record. Related Reading: Binance Forms New Company In Greece, Moves Forward With MiCA Licensing Data from CryptoQuant reinforces this trend, showing shrinking XRP reserves on major trading platforms such as Binance, where balances continued to fall into early 2026. At the same time, wallet accumulation has increased, particularly among institutional custody accounts.  Daodu argues that with fewer tokens available on exchanges, buying pressure that previously moved XRP only marginally can now drive gains of 10% to 15% within days.  When combined with approximately $1.37 billion in XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows recorded since November 2025, Daodu believes the conditions favor a potential breakout toward the $4 to $5 range, rather than another rally that stalls below $3. Bullish, Base, And Bearish Scenarios Looking ahead, Daodu outlines three broad price paths for XRP, each tied to how exchange balances and ETF inflows evolve. In a bullish scenario, the altcoin could move into the $4 to $5 range if monthly ETF inflows average $300-$500 million and exchange balances fall below 1.5 billion tokens.  A more neutral outcome would see XRP trading between $2.50 and $3.50. This scenario assumes ETF inflows slow to roughly $50 million to $70 million per week and exchange balances continue to decline at a steadier pace.  Related Reading: Expert Analyzes XRP, Ethereum, And Solana: Predictions For The Next Altcoin Season The bearish case hinges on the possibility that the supply contraction thesis proves overstated. If rapid transfers refill exchange order books, escrow releases increase selling pressure, or ETF demand slows due to tighter macroeconomic conditions, XRP could lose support.  In that scenario, prices may fall below $2.00 and revisit the $1.60 level during periods of risk aversion. Prolonged uncertainty could see XRP trading between $1.50 and $2.00 for much of 2026, according to the analyst.  At the time of writing, the altcoin was trading at $1.94. This represented losses of 4% and 8% over seven and fourteen-day periods, respectively. This positions the fifth-largest cryptocurrency in terms of market cap 46% below the current all-time high of $3.64 reached back in July of last year. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Certified Elliott Wave analyst XForceGlobal (@XForceGlobal) told followers on X that “$5+ remains on the horizon,” arguing that the token’s past year of range-bound trading is validating an Elliott Wave “flat” correction that typically resolves with a sharp, final move before a continuation higher. In a 10-minute video shared alongside the post, the analyst framed XRP’s recent price action as the late stage of a flat pattern, an extended period where neither bulls nor bears can force a clean trend. “A flat occurs when the market fails to trend on both sides. They’re basically evenly matched,” he said. “And that’s not a sign of weakness, it’s a sign of balance.” XRP Traders ‘Exhausted’ As Breakout Nears XForceGlobal positioned the structure as a corrective phase within a larger bullish sequence, describing the market as forming a new floor rather than breaking down. “This is where the buyers and sellers enter a Mexican standoff with each other, creating a new price floor,” he said, adding that the sideways feel is the point: “They’re not designed to go anywhere, basically. And the markets naturally alternate between expansion and compression.” Related Reading: Santiment Says XRP Social Sentiment Hits ‘Extreme Fear’: Buy Signal? The analyst emphasized the psychological aspect of prolonged consolidation, arguing that flats tend to “eliminate even the leverage traders through time rather than price” by exhausting both sides. “By the time the flat actually resolves, which is very close, in my opinion, most traders are emotionally already exhausted,” he said. “Positioning has been pretty much neutralized, and the path for continuation, to me, becomes very clear.” In Elliott Wave terms, XForceGlobal described the flat as a three-part A-B-C structure, with waves A and B unfolding as corrective “three-wave” moves and wave C completing as an impulsive “five-wave” move. He argued that this final phase is the moment the market stops drifting and forces a resolution. “Wave C must be impulsive because it represents the resolution of the balance that we have for waves A and B,” he said. “It’s not the continuation of a larger structure to the downside.” He framed impulsiveness as behavioral rather than directional, attributing it to urgency and follow-through once one side “decisively gives up,” clearing out the range that built during the earlier legs. That distinction matters for positioning, because his base case anticipates one more decisive shakeout before a move higher. He said the market is currently in an “expanded flat” configuration where wave B pushed above the prior high, and he expects a break of local structure “once” before the market turns up. He highlighted $1.70 as a prior low that could be undercut as part of the process without invalidating the larger setup, so long as broader support holds. Related Reading: XRP Distribution Phase Continues, But Funding Rates Suggest Shorts Are Overextended XForceGlobal’s post leaned heavily on conviction built over time—“I didn’t spend 2,000+ days accumulating XRP for no reason!”—while also stressing that he has already taken some profit. In the transcript, he said he “personally took some profits around the $2.70 level” and would continue to “sell into strength.” On upside expectations, he called for higher levels “in this current cycle,” tying potential targets to the duration of the consolidation. “The longer that we distribute here, the higher the targets are going to be,” he said, adding that “a minimum of a $6 range all the way up to even the $14 range is my personal target.” He also flagged conditions that would change the trade management. If the market shows “red flags” and breaks further structure than he expects, he suggested that is where risk management should take priority. For XRP traders, the practical takeaway from his framework is timing and path, not direction: a final, forceful leg lower could still be consistent with a bullish continuation thesis while a deeper structural breakdown would challenge it. At press time, XRP traded at $1.91. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

A significant short squeeze may be on the horizon for XRP investors, potentially serving as the main catalyst for a rally that could push prices beyond the all-time high of $3.90.  Market analyst Bird made these predictions in a recent post on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), highlighting key observations from his analysis. Key Liquidity Zones For XRP Bird shared a chart that illustrates where leveraged positions—both long and short—are concentrated in the market. He explained that the colored bands on the chart indicate levels of liquidity, where the potential for forced buying or selling could occur due to stop-loss orders and liquidations.  Related Reading: Why The Dogecoin Price Could Outperform Bitcoin Again The analysis of the altcoin’s daily chart heatmap categorizes liquidity into two distinct zones: red, signifying deep liquidity, and lighter colors indicating less liquidity. From his observations, Bird noted that price movements away from low liquidity areas tend to occur rapidly. He explained this process: when prices approach zones with significant stop-loss clusters, they often trigger large sell-offs, wiping out long positions.  Price Targets $4.20 Following these movements, the price typically rotates back toward shorts, leading to additional liquidation events. Bird pointed out that on Sunday, a number of long XRP positions were liquidated.  Related Reading: 4 In 5 Hacked Crypto Projects Don’t Bounce Back, Expert Says Now, he sees a dense liquidity pocket forming around the $4.20 mark, primarily from short XRP positions. This situation incentivizes market makers to drive prices toward this liquidity to close out those trades, rather than moving away from it.  As a result, Bird expressed confidence that the current XRP price rally is far from over. He believes that a new all-time high is imminent, as the potential for a substantial short squeeze looms.  At the time of writing, the fifth-largest cryptocurrency on the market was trading at $2, having briefly dropped to $1.84 earlier on Monday.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP could be approaching an inflection point as a closely watched chart pattern tightens into its apex and broader “risk-on” signals in equities flash green, according to XRPL developer Bird (@Bird_XRPL). In a series of posts on X, Bird, the developer behind XRPL meme coin DROP, pointed to XRP’s hourly structure as setting up for a decisive move “before the end of the week,” arguing that a technical breakout could accelerate quickly toward a nearby upside objective. “Take a look at XRP on the hourly. A move is about to happen before the end of the week,” Bird wrote alongside a chart showing a contracting triangle with price compressing into the tip. “A measured move if we send upwards could push us straight to that $2.69 mark which finally gets us into ‘bull run’ mode.” Russell 2000 Breakout Puts XRP on Alert Beyond the short-term pattern, Bird anchored his thesis to US small caps, arguing that the Russell 2000’s behavior has historically mattered for XRP and the broader altcoin complex. Related Reading: XRP In A ‘Super Cycle’? SuperTrend Suggests Another Story “The Russell 2000 is about to close its highest weekly close in history. That matters ALOT for XRP,” Bird said. “Historically, XRP and altcoins have always tracked the Russell 2000 extremely closely. It’s the true risk on index for mid caps (not mega caps like the S&P or MAG7 where most capital has been parked).” Bird’s argument is that XRP still trades more like a mid-cap risk asset than a mega-cap “store of value” proxy, making the Russell’s breakout a useful macro tell for when speculative capital rotates back into higher beta exposures. He described the current backdrop as “capital rotating” and “risk … back on,” suggesting that the market may be entering a window where positioning can change quickly if narratives align. In a longer follow-up thread, Bird described XRP’s extended consolidation as increasingly out of sync with what he views as constructive macro conditions across risk assets. “We’re at a genuinely clinical moment for XRP. We’ve gone sideways for over a year, yet the Russell 2000 is now in full price discovery, other stock markets have been at all time highs for a long time, metals are elevated, and Bitcoin dominance is chopping at levels that historically dumps at,” he wrote. Related Reading: Ripple Builds XRP ‘Wall Street Kit’: Developer Claims ‘Billions Incoming’ Bird also pointed to a prior episode as a reference point: “In November ’24, the Russell turned green and XRP went parabolic roughly 10 days later,” he said, arguing that this time the Russell has gone further by reclaiming highs and holding strength across timeframes. In his view, the remaining constraint is rotation, not necessarily a sharp drawdown in metals or other assets, but simply a pause that allows risk appetite to re-price. On XRP and Ripple specific context, Bird said “acquisitions done, partnerships rolling out, NDAs lifting, legal clarity forming,” and argued that the market is nearing a point where “a single narrative, catalyst, or push can ignite XRP fast.” The key near-term test is whether the tightening technical structure resolves upward as Bird expects and whether cross-asset risk appetite continues to support alt beta. If both align, Bird’s framework suggests traders will be watching for a momentum break that could carry XRP toward the $2.69 objective and, in his view, potentially open the door to a faster path toward fresh cycle highs. At press time, XRP traded at $2.06. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Market expert Bird has recently issued a bold forecast for XRP, the fifth-largest cryptocurrency, suggesting that it could experience a major upside of 800% within this year. If this prediction holds true, XRP could reach a new all-time high of $18.40 per coin. Forecast Indicates XRP Might Rival Ethereum Bird’s forecast hinges on the XRP/BTC ratio, which he predicts will reach 1:5,000 by the end of 2026. This means that 5,000 XRP would be equivalent to 1 Bitcoin (BTC). Currently, the XRP/BTC ratio trades at approximately 0.00002235.  Related Reading: Crypto Market Bill Draft Criticized For Allowing Continued Developer Prosecution For Bird’s envisioned target to materialize, the ratio must increase to 0.0002 BTC per token, representing a substantial gain of around 794% from current levels. With a total supply of 100 billion coins, this price projection implies an overall valuation of approximately $1.84 trillion for XRP. Such a figure would place the cryptocurrency in close competition with Ethereum—and striking distance of Bitcoin’s market cap. Additional Price Scenarios For The Altcoin Market expert Sam Daodu also outlined alternative scenarios for XRP’s future performance. In a base case, where the altcoin garners continued institutional support but doesn’t close the gap with Bitcoin’s market capitalization, the price could range between $3 and $4.  This outcome would depend on exchange traded funds (ETFs) attracting a “few billion in assets” while Bitcoin’s dominance falls to the 40–50% range during a broader altcoin rotation. Related Reading: Zcash Foundation Investigation Closed: SEC Decision Sparks 12% Jump In ZEC Price Conversely, there exists a bear case where macroeconomic challenges or obstacles within the crypto ecosystem could hinder XRP’s price growth. Factors such as geopolitical instability could redirect capital back to Bitcoin and gold, while banks might opt for private ledgers and established stablecoins instead of adopting XRP.  Monthly escrow releases from Ripple of 1 billion coins, accompanied by a potential diminishing exchange-traded fund demand, might cap any potential upside action for the cryptocurrency, leaving it to trade around its current trading prices of $2. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

An XRP Ledger ecosystem developer behind the meme coin DROP is drawing attention after predicting a sharp shift in XRP’s relative value versus bitcoin this year, framing it as the start of a new “price discovery” phase for the token. Bird, who posts under @Bird_XRPL, wrote on X yesterday that “5,000 XRP will be worth 1 Bitcoin in 2026,” then clarified his math with a specific price path in mind. “I said I think 5,000 XRP will be worth 1 Bitcoin,” he added. “For example 5,000 * $27 (XRP) = $135K (BTC).” While the post reads like a headline-grabbing forecast, the structure of Bird’s claim is a ratio trade: XRP outperforming BTC enough that 5,000 XRP could purchase one bitcoin. By anchoring the example to $27 XRP and a $135,000 BTC, Bird effectively argued that the market’s next leg higher could involve a meaningful repricing of XRP’s utility narrative rather than a simple beta move to bitcoin. Related Reading: Get Ready For An XRP Price Explosion Once This Happens; Analyst XRP Entering ‘Price Discovery’ Phase The call arrived alongside a series of posts linking XRP’s setup to broader risk-asset conditions and upcoming US macro catalysts. Bird argued that “above $2.70 $XRP opens the path to all time highs and beyond,” presenting that level as a technical inflection point. “Take a breath. Stay present. Remember this moment,” he wrote. “This is the end of a 7–8 year suppression and the beginning of true price discovery.” Bird’s longer thesis, posted on Jan. 11, focused less on short-term trading and more on a personal allocation framework that treats XRP as a long-duration hold. “XRP should be considered as part of your life saving plans,” he wrote, contrasting bank deposit yields with inflation drag. Related Reading: Ripple Builds ‘Next Amazon’ With XRP At The Center, Says Crypto CEO “Most people keep their money in banks earning around 4–6% a year and feel comfortable doing so, but they rarely factor in inflation. Over time, the buying power of the US dollar and the British pound for example has fallen so much, meaning your money often grows on paper while quietly losing value in the real world.” He then positioned XRP as an alternative store of value tied to expanding usage rather than fiat purchasing power. “That’s where XRP comes in. XRP has spent years suppressed by legal uncertainty, yet during that time the technology continued to mature. Now we have clarity, and we can clearly see what’s being built,” Bird wrote, pointing to “cross border payments, institutional adoption, stablecoins like RLUSD, and real world assets being tokenised on chain.” Bird framed the trade-off as custody and counterparty risk versus upside participation. “That’s why I personally treat XRP as a long term savings vehicle rather than a short term trade,” he wrote. “You can self custody it, store it on a cold wallet, and remove reliance on banks altogether.” Bird also tied the timing of his forecast to what he described as a convergence of market structure and policy headlines. “It’s a massive week for XRP,” he wrote, citing CPI and PPI as volatility events and highlighting that the US market structure bill is scheduled to drop on Thursday. “The charts are aligning. The macro is aligned. If this pushes in our favour and we clear $2.70+, an all time high can come very fast for XRP people!” At press time, XRP traded at $2.06. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP may be setting up for a final, cleaner long entry if the broader market delivers one more volatility-driven pullback, according to CryptoinsightUK’s Will Taylor, who says his preferred “risk to reward” zone sits materially below current support. The thesis hinges on whether Bitcoin prints a double-bottom-style retest and drags major alts into deeper liquidity pockets before the next leg higher. In his Jan. 10 newsletter, Taylor framed early 2026 as a market caught between two plausible paths: a familiar pullback-and-recover structure that has defined prior Bitcoin dips, or a continuation higher that leaves would-be buyers watching price run away. “The question mark for me is whether we do get a wick below this ascending trend line into that double bottom area and then push higher,” he wrote, adding that the setup is crowded. “On the other side of this, it does make you think that everyone is probably looking at the same structure and waiting for something like this to play out.” Taylor said he had closed short-term trades during the week, not as a shift in his higher-timeframe view, but as a response to what he described as low-timeframe conditions and event risk. “Today we get the ruling on tariffs in the US. Is that going to provide some volatility?” he asked, pointing to a cluster of geopolitical headlines as potential catalysts that could either produce the pullback he’s watching for—or “deceive people… who are waiting for a pullback, and instead continue higher from here and leave those orders behind.” Related Reading: Spot XRP ETFs Hit Record Trading Volume In Past Week — Details Taylor’s shorter-term trade framework leans heavily on liquidity positioning, using Ethereum as a key tell for what Bitcoin might do next. He argued ETH “kind of favours the double bottom scenario” because “the amount of liquidity that has built up for ETH down to about $2,600” is heavier below than above on the hourly chart, an imbalance he views as a magnet if the market attempts to rally without first clearing that downside interest. One Last Buying Opportunity For XRP? That same logic carries into his XRP plan. Taylor said XRP has already “swept the highs of the range first,” forcing a decision point between holding a nearer support band—his “first blue box”—or fading into a deeper demand zone. “Now the discussion becomes whether we move into the first blue box as a weaker area of support and hold there… or whether we come back down into the deeper support zone around $1.90 to $1.82 and hold there,” he wrote. “That deeper area is my preferred risk to reward zone for placing long positions, and that is where I will be looking to get back into an XRP long and add to my position if we see that move specifically.” He added that the daily RSI on XRP was “close to crossing bearish,” presenting a technical backdrop that, in his view, supports the case for one more washout before trend continuation while stressing it does not alter his higher-timeframe bullish thesis. Related Reading: Ripple Builds ‘Next Amazon’ With XRP At The Center, Says Crypto CEO Taylor then pivoted to a more stimulative medium-term narrative, citing talk of “putting 200 billion into additional mortgage backed security purchases to cut mortgage rates,” along with suggestions of potential stimulus checks and the inflation sensitivity of oil prices. “Because of all of this, I think we’re going to see an epic rally. I don’t think people are really expecting the size or the scale of the move that could come,” Taylor wrote. “I believe we’re in the final shakeout period before the market really starts to march higher.” He said he remained “around 95% exposed to the market through spot positions,” framing the decision to close short-term trades as “a capital protection mechanism.” His minimum XRP price target is $3.40 and extends to $4.40 based on liquidity in the medium term. Long-term, he says that the argument for the $8-$12 range is still valid, as reported last week. Separate commentary in the newsletter from analyst @thecryptomann1 highlighted what “confirmation” would look like on Bitcoin: a reclaim of roughly $105,000, a push through, and a successful retest. He cited “a huge amount of volume around this region” and alignment with bull market support bands, arguing that regaining them would shift the read from “relief rally” to something more durable. He also pointed to USDT dominance sitting on a multi-year trend line but showing weakness, including being “trapped below the 20 EMA” with RSI “below 50” and rolling over conditions that, if they resolve lower, could align with a risk-on breakout in majors. At press time, XRP traded at $2.05. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP has jumped roughly 25% off its recent lows (at one point), and Cryptoinsightuk co-founder Will Taylor says the move has reopened the debate over whether XRP is starting a larger impulse that could ultimately point toward the $8–$12 zone or whether it’s a short-term squeeze that needs to cool first. Taylor said he’s “up in the air” on the immediate next step, even as he remains long. His hesitation is rooted in a simple conflict: the lower timeframes look stretched, but XRP has a track record of accelerating after momentum spikes rather than immediately mean-reverting. What The XRP Charts Tell Us On the hourly, Taylor noted XRP’s RSI has repeatedly hit overbought territory and “we’ve crossed bearish on the hour,” a short-term warning that often precedes pullbacks or sideways digestion. On the four-hour, he described RSI as “about as high as I’ve pretty much ever seen it,” and tried to contextualize what happened the last few times XRP got similarly overheated. In one prior episode, he said XRP pulled back briefly, then continued higher by “a further like 36%.” In another, he described a rally sequence where price consolidated and then ran again, adding “another 129%” into the next leg. Related Reading: Same XRP Setup That Led To Over 1,000% Increase In 2017 Is Playing Out Again That’s the core of his dilemma: overbought conditions can be a sell signal in many markets, but Taylor argues XRP’s strongest phases often begin with RSI entering overbought, not ending there. “When XRP’s daily RSI gets overbought, XRP rips in price a lot of the time,” he said, pushing back on the reflex to fade strength. On the daily chart, he highlighted what he sees as a constructive technical shift. XRP has closed above a short-term range that previously capped price for multiple days, and printed its “highest daily close in XRP since the 13th of November.” Taylor emphasized how quickly XRP cleared that ceiling this time: after multiple failed attempts in the prior weeks, “we break straight through.” XRP Price Targets From there, Taylor laid out the upside logic using historical RSI analogs. He said three previous daily overbought signals during the current cycle coincided with major extensions, citing moves of roughly 414% in one instance and 36% and 49% in others. He framed this as pattern recognition rather than prediction: “this is complete fact,” he said, referring to the historical relationship between daily RSI overbought and subsequent upside but he still translated those rough percentages into possible zones. A smaller continuation on the order of ~39% would, in his words, take XRP to around $3.13. A larger extension could revisit all-time highs near $3.66. The most aggressive interpretation, aligned with his broader wave thesis, would move XRP “up towards our goals of like $8 to $12 for this wave.” Related Reading: Only 1 Week Left As XRP RSI Breakout Sets Up $10 Path, Analyst Predicts Structurally, Taylor said the market is at a point where multiple Elliott Wave counts can be argued. He sketched competing interpretations: XRP may be working through an ABC-type move off the lows, may be approaching a fifth wave higher, or could still be in an extended third wave within a larger five-wave advance. “My honest answer is right now I don’t know,” he said. Even without committing to a wave count, Taylor said the “impulsive” character of the rally stands out. He pointed to “the length of these candles supported by volume” across exchanges, arguing the move looks different from earlier, more corrective price action. For him, the practical test is near-term continuation: he wants to see “some more really aggressive candles” over the next day or two to support the idea that XRP is leading a broader leg rather than squeezing and stalling. Liquidity is the other piece he’s watching. Taylor said XRP has “on the hourly taken most of our upside liquidity,” while flagging downside liquidity zones around $1.70 down to $1.66. He said in established trends he would “expect a continuation to the upside,” but those downside pools, combined with stretched RSI and nearby resistance on XRP’s relative pairs, keep him from treating the current level as a clean new entry. Taylor said these mixed signals are why he has considered reducing leverage on his XRP long, noting he is “90% spot.” His bottom line was simple: XRP has delivered “a fantastic aggressive move,” but the next few sessions matter. 29 minutes of $XRP TA. pic.twitter.com/aJ4yiC7Sdr — Cryptoinsightuk (@Cryptoinsightuk) January 6, 2026 If XRP keeps printing strong daily candles and the relative pairs start closing above resistance, his $8–$12 zone framing remains a live bull-case roadmap. If not, the same overbought signals and nearby liquidity pockets increase the odds that XRP first resets through consolidation or a retracement before any larger leg can develop. At press time, XRP traded at $2.25. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP is compressing on the weekly chart into a clearly defined post-breakout range, and analyst Maelius (@MaeliusCrypto)argues the next directional clue will come from the RSI, with a breakout “sometime in Q1” that he expects to coincide with higher prices and a push toward $10. Maelius’ chart is a 1W XRP/USD view (Bitstamp) with a 50-week EMA overlaid. The market’s most recent regime shift is clear: a sharp vertical expansion carried XRP from a long base into a higher trading band, followed by a multi-week consolidation inside a shaded range. Is XRP Set To Explode Within 1 Week? That range is anchored by two levels the chart emphasizes. The upper boundary aligns with the prior spike high near $3.33 (the 2018 peak), while the lower boundary sits just above $1.60. At the time of the screenshot, XRP is around $2.124 on the weekly close, placing price just below the 50-week EMA, the most immediate, high-visibility pivot in Maelius’ framing. The Elliott labeling casts the current chop as a corrective wave 4 after the impulsive advance. The message is less “trend is broken” and more “trend is pausing.” Maelius added that his “conservative count assumes there is only 1W left,” implying a relatively tight window for the market to resolve the consolidation and transition into wave 5 if momentum confirms. Related Reading: XRP Is Setting Up For Its ‘Next Explosive Move,’ Analysts Say: Here’s The Target The broader layout of the chart also invites a comparison to 2017: XRP’s first major run off a base, a long mid-cycle breather, and then a second, sharper leg into the ultimate high. In the comparison within the chart, XRP rallied roughly 7,400% in about three months in early 2017, consolidated from May through December, then surged again by roughly 1,500%. Today’s sequencing is presented as similar in shape, if not necessarily in magnitude: a strong first leg from roughly November 2024 through January 2025 (roughly +500%), followed by a year-long consolidation into January 2026. In that read, the next major leg higher could be approaching, potentially shallower than the first, with wave 5 serving as the “second push” analogue. Related Reading: Analyst Updates XRP Price Prediction: Why $16 Is Still On The Table The lower panel is a weekly RSI with a descending trendline capping recent peaks. That red down-sloping line is Maelius’ timing trigger: “RSI breaks out sometime in Q1. Price goes higher.” The implication is straightforward. In his framework, momentum needs to break its own compression before price can sustain the next expansion phase. Crucially, the chart also carries a higher-degree label that places the current wave 4 within a larger wave III, rather than portraying the next wave 5 as a terminal, cycle-ending move. That aligns with his response when asked whether $10 would be a quarterly “max”: “Sometime in Q1 we should get a breakout, not necessarily a top. Next wave should be towards 10$.” If the thesis is working, XRP would be expected to reclaim the 50-week EMA and reassert acceptance back toward the range highs near $3.33, with the RSI trendline break acting as the confirmation event Maelius is watching. If it fails, continued rejection at the EMA and a breakdown through the range floor above $1.60 would keep the wave-4 corrective phase in play and delay the wave-5 path he’s mapped. At press time, XRP traded at $2.37. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

In 2025, XRP emerged as the best-performing token among the top ten largest cryptocurrencies, outpacing gains from Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). As the first week of 2026 unfolds, XRP has continued this upward trend, recording a 17% surge over the past week that has propelled its price back above the key $2.20 threshold. Strong ETF Demand Pushes XRP Forward One of the prominent factors contributing to this surge is the strong performance of XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which became a standout in the market by attracting $483 million over the past weeks. In contrast, Bitcoin ETFs experienced a significant outflow of $1.09 billion, while Ethereum products faced a loss of $564 million.  XRP funds not only achieved $483 million in inflows during December but also maintained a steady influx for 30 consecutive trading days. This streak finally ended on December 26 with the first day of zero inflows.  Overall, since their launch in November, total inflows into XRP exchange-traded funds have amassed to $1.3 billion, marking the fastest adoption rate for any altcoin ETF to date. Related Reading: Bitcoin Reaches $93,000 Amid Renewed Optimism: What To Keep An Eye On This Week Looking ahead, reports suggest that the ETF landscape could be pivotal in shaping bullish scenarios for XRP. A potential filing by BlackRock for an XRP ETF could serve as a significant credibility boost, attracting conservative institutional investors to the space.  BlackRock’s own $40 billion Bitcoin ETF exemplifies the capacity to mobilize capital effectively through its Aladdin platform connections. Additionally, the scaling of Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin into banking and remittance services could generate ongoing demand for XRP as a critical bridge asset. There are also signs that the Federal Reserve could implement several rate cuts in 2026, which would lower the opportunity cost of investing in risk assets.  Under such conditions, it is alleged that the XRP price might break through its all-time high of $3.84, potentially escalating toward the $4.00 to $5.00 range by year-end. On The Cusp Of Major Gains? When it comes to price action, market analyst Dark Defender, active on the social media platform X (previously Twitter), recently highlighted XRP’s price action by providing a three-month time frame update.  The analyst noted that a newly initiated green candle in January exhibits a bullish Relative Strength Index (RSI). According to Dark Defender, surpassing the $2.22 level is crucial for XRP. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price On The Brink Of A 9,000% Rally To $10? What Historical Performance Shows He further suggested that XRP could be on the brink of a significant surge, similar to silver, and pointed to ambitious targets such as $6 and even as high as $20 in the future.  Achieving $6 would represent a notable 171% increase from current trading prices, while reaching the $20 mark would indicate a staggering 800% rise. While trading at $2.21 at the time of writing, the token is still facing $2.22 as the next major short-term resistance level, and is also trading at 40% below its all-time high. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP is approaching a decision point across the monthly and daily charts, with renowned crypto analysts The Great Mattsby (Matt Hughes) and Charting Guy (@ChartingGuy) framing the current structure as a volatility-compression setup that could resolve higher if key high-timeframe supports continue to hold. XRP Price Poised For ‘Explosive Move’ Mattsby’s core claim is that XRP has defended its long-term trend support and is now coiling for expansion. “XRP had a perfect bounce off the 20-month MA, while the upper and lower bands continue to contract—setting up for its next explosive move higher,” he wrote, adding: “It’s crazy how many people are bearish right at major high-time-frame support.” On the monthly chart, XRP is shown trading around $2.08629, sitting above the Bollinger basis near 1.89623, with the upper band labeled at $3.57705 and the lower band at $0.21541. The visual takeaway is the squeeze: the band envelope has tightened materially compared with prior periods, a condition Mattsby ties to “explosive” directional follow-through when it resolves. Related Reading: Jake Claver Doubles Down On $100 XRP Target After 2025 Miss The other important input on that panel is the 20-month moving average, which Mattsby highlights as the pivot. His October framing leans on historical rhyme: “XRP is repeating what it did back in 2017. Consolidate sideways for months until it touched the 20month MA. After that, it shot up to finish off the cycle.” In his view, the touch-and-hold dynamic is already in place this cycle, even if it’s “taking a little longer.” With the October 10 liquidation event, XRP pierced the 20-month moving average and has since consolidated above it. If that read holds, the most explicit upside reference on-chart is the monthly Bollinger upper band around $3.57705, a level that would represent a return to the top of the current volatility envelope rather than an open-ended projection. Wyckoff-Style Re-Accumulation Points To $8 Charting Guy’s daily chart overlays a Wyckoff-style roadmap and labels the sequence as a re-accumulation that transitions into markup. The yellow projection assumes XRP is still working through overhead supply, with the ~$2.08 area (marked by the blue horizontal line and aligned with the current print) acting as the immediate gatekeeper. In that framing, $2.08 is not a comfort-zone support level yet; it is a level XRP needs to reclaim decisively and then stay above on retests for the bullish sequence to keep validating. Related Reading: XRP Faces Strong Social Discontent—Is A 50% Bullish Reversal Just Around The Corner? A second constraint on the chart is the descending channel, the “creek” structure that defined the current downtrend. Charting Guy expects that XRP will rally towards the upper trendline resistance, followed by a controlled pullback labeled “test,” where price checks whether demand is real and whether sellers can still force acceptance back into the old range. If that test holds (another short-lived dip below $2.08 is fine), the roadmap then looks for an “LPS” (last point of support): a higher low that signals supply is being absorbed. Only after that does the yellow path call for “JATC” (jump across the creek), the clean breakout through the channel, followed by “SOS” (sign of strength) into the next major horizontal ceiling around ~$3.40. From there, the schematic expects another pause and “LPS” beneath that ~$3.40 zone, before the final markup leg accelerates into the ~$8 region. In short, the chart’s bullish outcome is conditional on sequential level-flips: first $2.08, then the channel, then ~$3.40 and finally $8. Until now, XRP is “following perfectly” the path, as the analyst noted via X. At press time, XRP traded at $2.13. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Despite a mixed performance throughout 2025, XRP has emerged as one of the standout performers in the cryptocurrency market. Currently trading slightly below $1.90, the fifth-largest cryptocurrency has retraced nearly 50% from its all-time highs achieved in July.  Nevertheless, Standard Chartered is optimistic about XRP’s future, forecasting a significant upward trend driven by anticipated inflows into spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and increased regulatory clarity. Spot XRP ETFs Could Drive $4-$8 Billion In Inflows  The bank predicts that the launch of spot XRP ETFs could bring in between $4 billion and $8 billion into XRP throughout 2026. Should these inflows materialize, the resulting demand—coupled with XRP’s relatively limited supply—could catalyze a sharp increase in the coin’s price.  Related Reading: US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: Key Catalyst For Potential Surge Toward $150,000 Next Year Analyst Geoffrey Kendrick has laid out an ambitious roadmap for XRP’s future, anticipating prices of $8.00 in 2026, and potentially reaching $12.50 by 2028. To put this into perspective, XRP’s current circulating supply is approximately 57 billion coins. Even modest inflows of a few billion dollars could create a meaningful supply shock in the market.  So far, XRP ETFs have gathered around $1.25 billion. To reach the $8 target, it would require annual flows to hit the range of $5 billion to $10 billion, similar to the initial enthusiasm surrounding Bitcoin ETFs. Regulatory Resolution As Key Catalyst  A parallel factor influencing XRP’s potential rise is the resolution of regulatory uncertainty surrounding the cryptocurrency. The US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) long-standing lawsuit against Ripple Labs has significantly impacted XRP’s narrative.  Yet, in August 2025, the SEC withdrew its appeal, resulting in Ripple agreeing to a $125 million settlement and affirming that XRP sales on secondary markets are not classified as securities transactions.  Related Reading: Bitcoin And Ethereum Influx: Strategy Grabs 1,200 BTC, Bitmine Immersion Ups ETH by 44,000 This resolution eliminates a substantial legal burden and is seen by Standard Chartered as a catalyst for increased adoption. With legal uncertainties removed, capital that had been sidelined could finally enter the market. However, for XRP to achieve a price of $8 by 2026, favorable economic conditions, including low interest rates and a risk-on attitude among investors, would be critical. Should macroeconomic challenges escalate, investors may shy away from altcoins. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP could still reach $28 this cycle under a “non-base-case” scenario driven by an altcoin-heavy rotation, according to CryptoInsightUK analyst Will Taylor, who argued that XRP’s multi-year technical compression leaves room for an outsized move if market structure and sentiment align. In his Dec. 27 “Weekly Insight” newsletter, Taylor framed the call inside a broader thesis: that capital chasing breakouts in traditional markets could eventually rotate into crypto, amplifying returns given crypto’s smaller aggregate market cap. Within that setup, XRP is his “core position,” and the token he sees as a primary beneficiary if altcoins capture a larger share of the cycle’s upside. Can XRP Still Reach $28 This Cycle? Taylor’s XRP outlook is tied to his expectation that total crypto market cap can reach roughly $10 trillion this cycle, a level he characterized as consistent with prior cycle behavior. The more important variable, in his view, is where Bitcoin dominance lands if that scenario plays out. Related Reading: XRP Exchange Inflows Spike To End 2025: Will Price Decline Deepen? He wrote that dominance could fall into the “35.3 percent and 31.5 percent range,” which would imply Bitcoin at roughly a $3 trillion to $4 trillion market cap in that environment and “leave the door open for around six trillion dollars to flow into altcoins.” That’s the backdrop for his XRP targets: not a claim about XRP alone, but a wager on the size of the altcoin pie if the market turns risk-on. Taylor also pointed to a prior discussion with trader Credible Crypto as an example of how high-cycle targets can emerge when liquidity, positioning, and sentiment converge. “My pinned post on X is a conversation with Credible Crypto where he talks about how, for example, XRP could go to $26 if the stars align for a cycle like this,” Taylor wrote. “And right now, it genuinely feels like those stars are starting to align.” Taylor disclosed that XRP is the overwhelming majority of his portfolio, a disclosure he flagged as a potential bias. “As you guys know, I am around 90 percent XRP in my portfolio, so I definitely have some bias here,” he wrote, before laying out a profit-taking framework centered on a mid-cycle target zone. “I would not be too surprised to see XRP reach a minimum of eight to thirteen dollars,” Taylor wrote. “I have discussed many times that I would be taking a lot of profit in that range, with an outside maximum target of up to around twenty eight dollars.” Related Reading: XRP Supply Shock Incoming? Expert Reveals The Truth He tied the higher-end target to a technical read of XRP’s long consolidation and the possibility that an altcoin-led cycle could be larger than many investors expect. Taylor described the $28 level as derived from the “initial breakout from the 2017 to 2018 cycle,” while emphasizing he had deliberately “diminished expectations” versus modeling a more aggressive, multi-leg extension. Even so, his risk management plan is explicit about reducing exposure in the $8 to $13 band. “As I have said before, I plan to heavily de leverage between eight and thirteen dollars if we are offered that opportunity,” he wrote. “I will not be selling all of my bags, though, because I do think there is an outside chance that we push higher, potentially toward the twenty eight dollar area.” The Argument For XRP Taylor’s core claim is that XRP’s structure is different from many large-cap alts because it has, in his view, spent longer in “compression” and is now emerging from it. He argued XRP “has experienced longer compression than most altcoins, has broken out of an eight year trend, and has held previous seven year resistance as support.” He also suggested that a favorable US policy narrative could act as an accelerant in a euphoric phase, pointing to “the rhetoric around US companies,” the “US Clarity Act,” and Ripple “remaining based in the US” as factors that could make a higher-end outcome less implausible in a risk-on environment. Still, Taylor repeatedly stressed that the $28 figure is not his central expectation. “That being said, and I want to be very clear on this, this is not my primary target,” he wrote. “My primary target is and has been between eight and twelve dollars, potentially stretching to fifteen or sixteen dollars this cycle. The move toward twenty eight dollars is an outside scenario, not a base case.” At press time, XRP traded at $1.86. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP has slipped below a level that, for much of the past year, acted like a structural anchor for the chart: the $1.95 area. Crypto analyst Guy on the Earth (@guyontheearth) argued that XRP has now closed under that zone on a higher timeframe, calling out the two-week chart specifically. “For the first time in 13 months XRP has closed under this monthly support at $1.95 on the 2 week chart,” he wrote. “It’s the second time on the weekly this has happened with April tariffs being the first.” The 2-Weekly Close Is Crucial For XRP From there, his analysis went straight to the downside implication. “The technical target of this break down is 90c,” he added. “Do with this information what you have to. Everyone must make their own decisions at this time. The goal is getting back above $1.95.” The way he laid it out, $1.95 was not simply a mid-range price level but the lower boundary of a broader consolidation “rectangle.” Losing it, in that framework, opens the door to a measured move lower — with the reclaim of $1.95 as the key invalidation. Related Reading: XRP Price Forecasts For 2026 Unveiled By AI Simulation: Should Investors Remain Bullish? He also offered a risk-management approach for holders who are uncomfortable sitting through a potential continuation move. “If you are uncomfortable holding your bags with this breakdown – sell to reduce risk to where you feel comfortable,” he wrote. “Buy back on a close above $1.95 on the daily ( or a timeframe that you believe in) and your % loss of XRP is next to nothing. But should we go to 90c you are looking at a further 50% loss in capital.” For those treating the move as an opportunity rather than a warning sign, he mapped out incremental levels he views as potential buy zones on the way down. “Alternatively if you believe in XRP longer term and don’t like trading at all – keep buying on the way down,” he wrote. “Key levels are at $1.61, $1.42 and finally the 90c target and the 75c initial breakout.” Even in a bearish framing, he cautioned against assuming a straight-line cascade into every marked level. “We have went in a straight line down for weeks so it is unlikely that these targets would all be hit imminently,” he said. “$1.42 lowest this week if things get really ugly – not massively likely but possible with this breakdown and a big sell off in BTC to lower lows.” Related Reading: Here’s Why The XRP Price Keeps Crashing Not everyone agreed with the choice of timeframe used to call the breakdown. One account, XRP whale (@cryptoXRPwhale), pushed back on the premise: “2 week chart is not significant. You can’t choose a specific timeframe and say it’s a structure breakdown that fits your narrative… lol” Guy responded by reiterating that the level being referenced is higher-timeframe support, not a short-term marker. “Look at the chart. It held 13 months and now broke structure,” he wrote. “The lower boundary is monthly support. I’ve said all this.” There was also an attempt in the replies to flip the bearish target into a bullish setup. “Any price under $1 will be short-lived & sets $XRP up for a stronger push to the upside past ATH,” wrote Lawrence Bensen (@Lawrence_Bensen), referencing prior cycle lows and a reported wick below $1 on Binance earlier in the cycle. Guy acknowledged the point while keeping the technical math intact. “Yeah for sure – it has already been to 90c on Binance [on October 10],” he wrote. “I think we will recover before going as low as 90c – but that is the technical target of losing this consolidation.” His near-term bias, meanwhile, leaned toward caution largely on liquidity conditions rather than an absolute conviction that $0.90 must print. “My bias is that I find it hard to believe at Christmas people are going to throw heaps of money in this market,” he wrote. “Low liquidity has been an issue anyways and this week wont help. So the slow bleed continues.” At press time, XRP stood at $1.89. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP, currently the fifth-largest cryptocurrency in the market, has mirrored the overall performance of digital assets over the past months, experiencing a significant retracement of nearly 50% from its all-time high of $3.65 earlier this year.  Amid this volatility, a new artificial intelligence (AI) simulation model has produced price forecasts for the altcoin, offering investors a more detailed outlook for the coming year. XRP Price Predictions Market analyst Sam Daodu recently shared insights from a Monte Carlo simulation that explored XRP’s price trajectory in which 10,000 paths were generated to capture a comprehensive range of potential outcomes.  The results offer statistical data such as mean, median, and percentiles, illustrating a probability distribution rather than relying on a single forecast. Daodu reported that the simulation results reveal a spectrum of outcomes for XRP. The mean price across all 10,000 paths stands at approximately $2.78, indicating that, on average, the price is higher than its current levels.  Related Reading: Dogecoin Weekly Fractal Hints At A Bigger Move Brewing In contrast, the median price is $1.88, suggesting that half of the estimated outcomes fall below the $2 mark. This disparity between the mean and median highlights the skew in the distribution, where a few high projections inflate the average, while the median reflects where most scenarios likely land. To identify a more probable pricing range, Daodu considered the 25th and 75th percentiles, which represent the central 50% of outcomes. According to the simulation, 25% of scenarios estimate XRP’s price below $1.04, while 75% indicate a price below $3.40.  Notably, about 60% of scenarios position XRP’s price between $1.04 and $3.40 by the end of 2026, with an expected median hovering around $1.88. 10% Chance Of Dropping Below $0.59  The analysis also highlights the upper tail of the distribution, where the best-case outcomes sit. The 90th percentile indicates a price of about $5.90, meaning that roughly 10% of scenarios project end-of-year prices above this threshold.  The expert asserts that achieving new all-time highs near $6 would require several positive developments, including sustained institutional inflows through exchange-traded funds (ETFs) of over $50 million daily throughout 2026, increased actual usage of XRP for cross-border payments by banks, and persistent regulatory clarity without major setbacks.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Remains Stuck Inside This Range, But A Breakout Could Follow On the other hand, the simulation doesn’t shy away from discussing downside risks. The lower 10% of outcomes reveal a potential drop below $0.59, suggesting a worrying 10% probability that XRP could lose more than 70% of its current value by 2026.  Factors contributing to this bearish outlook could include regulatory setbacks, such as tougher restrictions on cryptocurrency custody or complications arising from recent settlements with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).  Additionally, Daodu believes that decreased investor confidence in the altcoin resulting from unmet expectations related to XRP’s utility adoption could further depress prices.  According to CoinGecko data, XRP is trading within the range expected to last till next year at $1.90, with a 2% drop in the 24-hour period. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Veteran chartist Peter Brandt is flagging what he calls a “potential double top” on XRP’s weekly chart, a classic reversal setup that, if confirmed, would argue for materially lower prices — even as other traders point to a washed-out weekly RSI reading that has historically aligned with prior bottom zones. Peter Brandt Flags XRP Double Top Pattern Brandt posted the chart to X on Dec. 17 and didn’t bother softening the message for XRP’s online faithful. “I know in advance that all you Riplosts $XRP will forever remind me of this post — ask me if I care,” he wrote, before adding: “This is a potential double top. Sure, it may fail, and I will deal with this if it does. But for now this has bearish implications. Love it or not — you need to deal with it.” The chart shows XRP-USDT on Binance in weekly bars, with two highs clustered around $3.40 and $3.66 and a clearly marked support shelf near $2.00. In classical chart terms, that $2 region functions as the neckline: lose it with follow-through, and the market is no longer in “pullback inside a range” territory — it’s in “failed structure” territory. Related Reading: XRP Price Falls To Critical Support Level, Is It Time To Panic? That distinction matters because double tops tend to be less about the second peak itself and more about what happens at the midpoint low between the two peaks. Brandt’s framing reflects that: the pattern is “potential” until either support holds and price reclaims prior levels, or the neckline breaks and the market accepts lower. In this case, Brandt’s chart is already showing XRP trading below the $2.00 line, with the most recent marker around $1.8859. That puts the focus squarely on whether the breakdown becomes a sustained weekly close-and-hold below support, or whether the move gets reversed quickly enough to treat it as a bear trap. Or Is The XRP Bottom In? Not everyone reading the same tape is leaning into the bearish conclusion. Trader Cryptollica posted a separate XRP/USD weekly chart (Bitstamp) on Dec. 15 highlighting the weekly RSI at roughly 33, accompanied by the comment: “$XRP WEEKLY RSI : 33 ????”. The chart highlights that, in the past five cases, similarly low readings in XRP’s weekly RSI have tended to occur around market bottoming zones. Brandt was receptive to the conditional logic — specifically, the idea that a failed double top can flip from bearish to bullish if the breakdown doesn’t stick. Responding, he wrote: “Yea, if this dbl top fails then this could become exciting. I agree. I am not championing a bear case — just showing charts for what they are.” Related Reading: Best XRP Buy Zone? Analyst Breaks Down The Key Levels That exchange captures the actual tension here. Momentum measures like RSI can identify stretched conditions and recurring historical zones, but they do not, on their own, invalidate a price-structure breakdown. Notably, Brandt did not provide a price target in his comment. But the chart he shared contains enough structure to infer the standard “textbook” projection many technicians would use. With peaks near $3.60 and a neckline near $2.00, the pattern height is about $1.60. The conventional measured move subtracts that height from the neckline after a break, implying a target in the neighborhood of $0.40 if the setup fully plays out. That is not a forecast, and it’s not a promise the market will cooperate — it’s simply the arithmetic implied by the pattern Brandt is pointing at. The more immediate question is whether XRP can reclaim the $2.00 area decisively enough to turn the breakdown into a failed move. If it can’t, the chart conversation shifts from “potential double top” to “confirmed break,” and the downside math stops being hypothetical in traders’ positioning models. At press time, XRP traded at $1.83. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Will Taylor, founder of CryptoinsightUK, frames XRP’s “best buy area” as a risk-to-reward question, not a certainty call. In his latest YouTube video from Dec. 17, he argues that XRP is trading back in the lower portion of a well-defined range, which is typically where entries make the most sense for range traders—because invalidation levels are clearer and upside targets are structurally defined. “We’re at the bottom of the range […] this area, the bottom of the range, and the bottom of the range has been quite wide,” Taylor said. “So, I’d say between like $2.01, then all the way down to about $1.60. This has been the best area to enter […] for the last […] basically year and a bit.” And his emphasis is that it’s attractive because the trade is measurable, not because it’s guaranteed. “Does this mean we can’t break down further? Does this mean we can’t lose support? No, that’s not what I’m saying at all,” he added. “But what I am saying is if you use range trading, if you want to know the best areas for risk-to-reward, we’re at them now.” Related Reading: XRP Liquidity Dries Up: Futures Buy Volume On Binance Falls from $5.8B to $250M On lower timeframes, Taylor said XRP has already swept much of the downside liquidity, leaving a smaller pocket below that could still get tagged. He pointed to ~$1.83 as the remaining area of interest. “XRP has taken most of this red liquidity to the downside. There’s a small pocket of liquidity below us still at $1.83,” he said. And crucially, that level is not academic for him — it’s tied to his own stop placement and whether the market is likely to wick lower before any sustained move up. “This is something that I’m considering […] as to whether to move my stop loss below this liquidity down at like say $1.79,” Taylor said. “My stop loss [is] $1.834 at the minute. Do I take it to say like $1.79 […] give us […] the bottom of this wick as potential support and that liquidity. That’s a potential discussion.” The Upside Trigger For XRP Taylor’s near-term bullish trigger is a reclaim of ~$2.07. His reasoning is positioning-driven: he thinks the market has built a meaningful amount of short exposure during the drawdown, and a move back above that level could force covering. Related Reading: XRP Falls Below $2 As $721 Million Profit-Take Hits Market “When you start to get a buildup of […] lower highs like this, all it takes is a bit of momentum to break us above,” he said. “So, say for XRP, if we start to get back above $2.07, you probably should see price squeeze to $2.58-$2.60 quite quickly […] as we squeeze out all of this […] open interest that’s been adding in as price has been coming down.” Taylor’s XRP view is nested inside a broader “crypto is mispriced” thesis. When comparing crypto’s market cap performance against a basket of traditional assets, he argues that crypto has decoupled sharply since the Oct. 10 crash, while sentiment has deteriorated. “Crypto has like decoupled from every other asset class […] crypto is about the only asset that has decoupled this hard,” he said. “I personally believe this is a deep value zone […] we’re clearly mispriced versus other assets.” He also repeatedly leaned on the idea that positioning is skewed: rising open interest into downside, negative premium, and funding flipping between positive and negative — conditions that can set up a squeeze if price starts reclaiming levels. “I think a lot of the market generally is setting up for a bit of a short squeeze to the upside,” Taylor said. “And I think that people are overly negative and […] the sentiment’s overly bearish compared to where the price is.” At press time, XRP traded at $1.92. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

As the week began, the XRP price experienced a 4% decline, bringing it nearly 50% below its all-time highs. However, analysts forecast significant gains for one of the market’s leading altcoins in January 2026, citing three major catalysts that could reshape its market outlook. A Major Step Towards Broader Access In a recent analysis, Sam Daodu, a market expert from 24/7 Wall St., emphasized the importance of Vanguard’s decision to approve trading of XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Daodu emphasized that the real significance lies in the facilitation of distribution; with Vanguard’s advisors able to allocate XRP exposure through regulated ETFs without additional cumbersome processes. He indicated that three interrelated factors are now at play: the influx of institutional capital through ETF investments, a reduction in supply, and the influence of Vanguard in altering the approach towards the asset. Related Reading: Bitcoin Pulls Back Under $89K, Michael Saylor Smells Opportunity Notably, the results of the token’s exchange-traded fund launch have already been notable, with XRP inflows hitting $1 billion within the first four weeks of trading, making it one of the fastest-growing crypto ETF launches to date.  Additionally, XRP’s market supply has contracted significantly, dropping by 45% from approximately 3.9 billion tokens at the beginning of 2025 to about 1.6 billion by December.  This contraction can be attributed to large holders refraining from distributing their tokens, leading to an accumulation in whale wallets and the removal of tokens from liquid markets due to ETF custody. This decreased supply implies that smaller inflows now carry greater influence. With only 1.6 billion tokens available on exchanges, investments of $20-30 million in daily ETF purchases can have a substantive impact on market supply.  A Key Driver For Price Appreciation  The Vanguard XRP ETF launch is particularly significant in this context, as it locks tokens into regulated custody vehicles that are less likely to be sold frequently.  Unlike tokens held on exchanges that can be quickly moved in and out, ETF custody tends to encourage a buy-and-hold strategy, fostering conditions for gradual price appreciation fueled by sustained institutional demand amid a diminishing available supply. Given that the decision to provide ETF access came late in the year, year-end trading typically focuses on maintaining existing allocations rather than creating new positions.  While the ETF adds credibility to XRP without causing immediate price pressure, its journey to a $3 valuation by January will depend on how swiftly advisory capital mobilizes, the durability of supply compression, and the overall stability of the markets. XRP Price Path To $3 Three potential scenarios present themselves for XRP’s future. The most optimistic scenario sees advisory capital moving quicker than typical, perhaps allowing advisors to integrate small XRP allocations during January’s rebalancing.  In this case, XRP ETF inflows could remain robust, ranging from $40-60 million daily, while the locked-up supply on exchanges supports a price increase that could see the XRP price surpass $2.25, aim for $2.60, and potentially test $3 by the end of January. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Compression Deepens as Analysts Debate if the Next Move Is a Rally or Breakdown The middle-ground perspective suggests a more conventional institutional timing. In this scenario, while the XRP ETF access will gain attention in December, actual allocations might ramp up gradually, leading to a daily influx of about $20-30 million instead of the earlier expected pace.  Here, the XRP price could establish higher lows and breach the $2.25 mark, facing resistance between $2.40 and $2.80. Price fluctuations would focus more on future adoption rather than immediate implications. According to Daodu’s conclusions, and given these circumstances, the XRP price reaching $3 could take until the first or second quarter of 2026 rather than being an immediate milestone.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

Crypto analyst Cryptollica published a new XRP/USD 2-week chart on December 8 via TradingView, arguing that the altcoin may be replaying the same structural pattern that preceded its explosive 2017 rally. With current price action pivoting around the key $1.95 level and technical targets projected as high as $9–$13. What Happens If XRP Repeats The 2017 Fractal? The analysis uses a long-range log chart from Binance, where the latest candle in the screenshot shows XRP trading around $2.0892. In this timeframe, the analyst divides XRP’s history into mirrored cycles: 2014–2017 on the left and 2021–2025 on the right, each broken into labeled segments “Part 1,” “Part 2” and “Part 3.” Related Reading: XRP Selloff: Whales Shed Coins Worth $1 Billion In A Week According to Cryptollica, “the cycle experienced by XRP between 2014 and 2017 is almost an identical copy of the current cycle spanning 2021 to 2025.” In both cases, Part 1 is described as an accumulation phase, with XRP suppressed below a dashed blue resistance band for an extended period while forming higher lows along a rising dotted trendline. The current Part 1, roughly 2022–2024, is said to have lasted substantially longer than in the earlier cycle. The analyst cites the rule that “the bigger the base, the higher in space,” arguing that this extended sideways structure signals a large build-up of potential energy. Part 2 is defined as the breakout and retest of that blue resistance band. Once XRP closes decisively above this zone and consolidates there, the chart treats the area as a new support and as confirmation that “the official end of the downtrend and the start of a bull market” has been registered. Cryptollica suggests XRP is now at the final stage of, or has just completed, this breakout phase on the 2-week timeframe. The pivotal reference point for the entire setup is the $1.95 level, drawn in green on the chart. “The $1.95 level, marked in green, is of vital importance,” the analyst writes, emphasizing the classic principle that “once resistance is broken, it turns into support.” In this framework, XRP “currently holding above this level (performing a successful retest) is the most crucial confirmation point for the continuation of the uptrend.” Related Reading: Pundit Highlights The Condition That Will Trigger A 2,300% XRP Rally To $50 If that confirmation holds, the analysis moves to Part 3, labeled the “Parabolic Rise – Discovery Phase.” In 2017, this segment corresponded to a near-vertical advance that pushed XRP into its all-time high zone. Cryptollica argues that XRP now stands “right on the precipice of this ‘vertical lift-off’ in the current cycle,” illustrated by a steep yellow arrow on the logarithmic chart. The first major objective is the region around the prior all-time high at roughly $3.30–$3.84. If the 2017 fractal “plays out precisely,” the post projects an “implied target” between $9.00 and $13.00. The analyst tempers this with several cautions. The crypto market is far larger than in 2017, and a move to $10+ would imply a “colossal market capitalization,” making a repeat of the exact 2017 multiple “mathematically more challenging,” even if “logic often takes a backseat in crypto mania.” The scenario also assumes supportive fundamentals, including the resolution of regulatory overhangs, potential XRP ETF developments and Ripple’s stablecoin strategy. Parabolic phases, Cryptollica warns, are typically accompanied by “sudden drops of 30–40%,” making them “the most dangerous territory for leveraged trading.” The analyst characterizes the overall outlook as “extremely positive (bullish)” as long as the $1.95 support holds, concluding that XRP is at the moment of “breaking its chains” and that, if broader market conditions remain constructive, “double-digit targets ($10+) for XRP are technically on the table.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.07. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Recent bullish predictions for the XRP price have emerged, hinting at a potential for new all-time highs (ATHs) by March 2026 for one of the market’s leading altcoins. XRP Price Projected To Reach New ATH By Q1 2026 According to projections from ChatGPT, XRP could reach approximately $4.40 by the first quarter of 2026, a notable increase of 120% from current levels around $2. In contrast to the AI forecast, some analysts believe that the XRP price has the potential for a stronger rally. They suggest that structural changes could allow XRP to exceed $5 and potentially approach $6 by 2026.  Several factors support their optimistic view. For instance, key aspects of the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) case against Ripple were resolved earlier this year, which they believe could encourage banks and payment providers to adopt XRP for cross-border transactions, fostering greater confidence in its utility. Related Reading: Bitcoin Reclaims $93,000: Could Altcoins Rebound Amid Predictions Of An Upcoming Bear Market? Additionally, Ripple’s ecosystem is expanding well beyond XRP. In December 2024, the company launched a dollar-pegged stablecoin known as RLUSD, which has already achieved a market cap exceeding $1 billion.  While RLUSD itself may not directly boost XRP’s price, it has the potential to attract more participants to Ripple’s network, thereby creating secondary demand for XRP as a bridging asset.  Analysts posit that a steady pipeline of RLUSD adoption could enhance Ripple’s revenue growth, consequently driving the XRP price higher. $2.60 Key For Momentum Shift Moreover, analysts point to the upcoming Bitcoin (BTC) Halving, expected in 2028, as a potential catalyst for a broad crypto market rally. The analysts assert that the XRP price has historically benefited from such cycles. From a technical standpoint, chart analysts see XRP setting up for a potential breakout. Price action has formed a base around the low $2 range, which could lay the groundwork for further recovery.  Related Reading: Ethereum Fusaka Upgrade Goes Live Today: Experts Predict Potential Supply Crunch Ahead According to the analysts, if bullish momentum can push the token above significant resistance levels around $2.60, it could change momentum indicators to a positive stance. Moreover, a sustained rally into the mid-$3 territory might then pave the way for XRP to reach the $4 to $5 range. When writing, the XRP price stands at $2.14, recording a 1.6% drop in the past 24 hours.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP is testing a key inflection zone above $2.00 as two independent frameworks from crypto analysts Dom (@traderview2) and Osemka (@Osemka8) converge on a potential reversal – with clearly defined levels at roughly $2.00, $2.22 and $2.50 marking the battlefield. XRP Price Consolidation Nears Its End On the higher-timeframe 2-day chart, Osemka frames the structure as a classic flat correction built on top of the 2021 high. “Here’s the range and levels to help you navigate it. We’re basing on top of 2021 high,” he writes, adding that “we’ve also never broken down after going sideways for this long, so I remain with my view of this being an accumulation range and a flat correction.” Related Reading: XRP Whale Wallets Collapse 20%, But Biggest Holders Hoard More Than Ever His chart shows XRP oscillating in a horizontal band whose floor aligns with the 2021 high, labeled as a “Reaccumulation” area. Price has repeatedly tagged this support and bounced, while midrange resistance in the low-to-mid $2 zone has capped multiple rallies. Above, a higher horizontal line marks the January spike, which Osemka treats as the cycle top. Internally, he maps an A–B–C corrective sequence. The B leg forms a dotted ascending channel, labeled as a 3-legged “abc” wave. “That dotted ascending range in the middle (3 legged abc wave in B) has me optimistic as that is a corrective move that is synonymous for a flat correction,” he explains. “Meaning the top was in January and this indeed is only a sideways correction.” The current C leg is contained within a downward “Corrective channel” pointing back toward the lower band. For Osemka, even a deeper test of support would not necessarily be bearish for the larger structure: “If we end up taking the lower end of the range with C leg it’ll remain to be seen. But if so, it’d be a great buying opportunity.” He also calls XRP “a perfect example on why I view BTC also as a flat correction with the top in January,” arguing that “while Bitcoin is messy, XRP is very clean.” Why Its Now Or Never For XRP Dom zooms in on the last six weeks of that broader range and focuses on the microstructure that could trigger a move back toward the upper band. “If you inverse the chart over the last 6 weeks, you’ll see a perfect 3 drive pattern, a very accurate reversal setup in crypto,” he writes. On the non-inverted chart, this corresponds to three downside pushes that fail to extend lower, followed by what he calls a higher low: “We can see a HL has finally formed which can hint at the first sign of a trend change developing.” His 8-hour chart highlights the monthly rolling VWAP as the key pivot. “Bulls needs to regain the monthly rVWAP around $2.22 and that would be the shift for a rally back towards ~$2.50,” Dom says. That ~$2.50 area aligns with higher VWAP clusters and the upper portion of Osemka’s range. Related Reading: XRP Price About $1,000 Is A Necessity, Analyst Claims Order-book and skew data back his view that conditions are ripe for a break if buyers step in. “Orderbooks are clear, if there was a time, it’s now for this trend to shift,” he notes, pointing to relatively clean liquidity overhead and a recovering skew after a washed-out short side. The downside is equally explicit: “If this setup fails, acceptance under $2 is next and the end of year is ugly.” That would mean a decisive loss of the long-defended support band built on the 2021 high and a deeper completion of the C leg in Osemka’s flat-correction structure. For now, XRP remains compressed between the $2.00 support, the $2.22 monthly rVWAP trigger and the ~$2.50 upside magnet, with the six-week 3-drive pattern and flat-correction range jointly defining one of the clearest technical inflection points on the XRP chart this year. At press time, XRP traded at $2.1798. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Crypto analyst Charting Guy (@ChartingGuy) is mapping out a sharply asymmetric setup for XRP, arguing that the token is locked in a textbook Wyckoff reaccumulation and is “still NOT bearish in the slightest” despite a year of range-bound trading. Why XRP Is Still Not Bearish His work is based on XRP/USD Bitstamp charts posted on X on 27 November 2025. On the weekly view, XRP trades around $2.23 after an 8–9% gain on the week, consolidating below the 2025 peak at approximately $3.317, which he marks as the 1.0 Fibonacci level. The retracement is drawn from the cycle low near $0.11400 up to that high, producing a ladder of levels that structure the entire thesis. Key Fibonacci levels include 0.5 at about $0.61495, 0.618 at $0.91531, 0.702 just above $1.20 and, crucially, 0.786 at $1.61246. A broad highlighted band covers the prior 2021 high zone and this 0.786 cluster, roughly from the mid-$1s into the low-$2s. Charting Guy describes this as XRP “building support on prior cycle high as well as top of golden pocket,” referring to the 0.618–0.786 retracement area. Related Reading: XRP Reserves On Binance Collapse To Record Lows: Investors Move Toward Long-Term Holding Above the 2025 high, he plots classic Fibonacci extensions: 1.272 at about $8.29661, 1.414 around $13.38940 and 1.618 near $26.63038. His immediate scenario, however, stops short of those levels, projecting a move toward roughly $7.50. XRP Price Roadmap For 2026 The detailed roadmap appears on a two-day XRP/USD chart overlaid with a Wyckoff schematic. The structure begins with a Preliminarily Supply (PSY) phase and a Buying Climax (BC) into the low-$3 zone, followed by a Secondary Test (ST) and an Automatic Reaction (AR) that defines the lower boundary of the range. Horizontal lines mark that floor near $1.61184, an intermediate band around $1.95, resistance at approximately $2.90 and the upper ceiling just above $3.30. During mid-2025, XRP prints an “UT Phase B” upthrust into that $3+ resistance before rolling into a downward-sloping channel. The upper boundary of this channel, labeled “CREEK,” connects a series of lower highs, while the lower boundary guides price back toward the $1.61–1.70 support. In the scenario path, XRP spikes down to test the blue horizontal at $1.61184. This move is annotated as the “SPRING” — Wyckoff’s final shakeout below range support. Price then rebounds to retake the $1.95 area, marked “TEST,” and establishes a higher low between roughly $2.00 and $2.20 as the first “LPS” (Last Point of Support). Related Reading: Analyst Predicts XRP Price Will Hit $100 Before Bitcoin Hits $1 Million From there, the schematic shows a decisive break of the descending “CREEK” trendline, the “JATC” or “Jump Across The Creek,” as XRP accelerates from around $2.20–2.30 through the $2.90 resistance. That breakout is followed by a “SOS” (Sign of Strength) above the former ceiling, with another LPS holding around the $2.90 region and confirming the flip of resistance into support. The right edge of the 2D chart then projects a steep markup phase. XRP rallies from roughly $3.00 to just above $7.50 before stalling, even though it remains below the 1.272 weekly extension at $8.29661. Alongside the charts, Charting Guy pushes back against bearish momentum narratives centered on the monthly RSI. He notes that the RSI peak occurred in January 2025 and “lost momentum ALL 2025 while XRP stayed sideways in a range and held its own,” calling this “a very textbook reaccumulation signal where indicators lose steam to reset and price stays stable.” The technical message is unambiguous: as long as the $1.61–1.70 band holds, Charting Guy views XRP’s extended consolidation as preparation, not distribution—anticipating a final flush below $1.70, followed by a Wyckoff-style breakout sequence toward approximately $7.50. At press time, XRP traded at $2.23. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP traders are once again arguing about upside targets after popular chartist Charting Guy reposted a bullish long-term setup and doubled down on his call that XRP can still reach $8 this cycle. “XRP still going to $8, idc,” he wrote on X in the early hours of Nov. 25, alongside a weekly XRP/USD chart from Bitstamp. XRP Price Still Has Room To Run At the time of the screenshot, XRP was trading around $2.25, up roughly 9.8% on the week, with the chart plotting an Elliott Wave structure from early 2023 into a projected peak in 2026. The analysis is built on a dense Fibonacci framework spanning from about $0.25 to a 1.272 extension at $8.29661, which anchors his upside target. The green wave count shows a classic five-wave impulse. Wave 1 launches from the post-bear-market base into the 0.618 Fibonacci level near $0.915, where the first leg tops out. Wave 2 then retraces for 51 weekly bars (357 days), bottoming just above the 0.382 retracement at $0.41315. Related Reading: XRP Real Purpose: Documentation Shows Payment Utility Contrary To Viral Claims — Details Wave 3 is drawn as a steep rally off that base, blasting through all mid-range Fibonacci bands and extending beyond the 1.0 level at $3.31700. In the replies, one user suggested the spike to around $3.65 had already completed the fifth wave; Charting Guy rejected that outright: “it wasn’t… was very clearly a B wave.” From that high, the chart records a year-long consolidation labelled as Wave 4, annotated as 50 weekly bars (350 days). Price fluctuates between roughly the mid-$2 area and above $3. The Wave-4 low holds above the 0.786 Fibonacci support at $1.61246, never revisiting the $1 region. From this consolidation, the projected Wave 5 shoots higher from around the $2–$2.30 zone—where XRP is currently trading—toward the 1.272 extension at $8.29661. The “5” marker sits at this level, and the projection shows only a modest pullback after touching the band, implying that this area is treated as the probable cycle cap. Related Reading: XRP Hits Exact Bull Target as Top Traders Celebrate Perfect Market Call The Fibonacci grid also frames the current battle zone. XRP’s price is oscillating around the 0.888 level at $2.27404, which lines up almost exactly with the latest weekly close, while the prior wave-3 region around $3.317 remains the next major resistance band on the chart. Not everyone is convinced. “Could still go under 1.50. Still,” wrote another user. Charting Guy’s response was curt: “no.” That stance matches the technical layout: in his count, the $1.61 area has already printed the Wave-4 low, and the structure does not include another trip below that support. Others pushed for higher numbers. “Was hoping for $20+,” one follower admitted. “could happen,” the analyst replied—before clarifying to another user that “$20 is not on track but still entirely possible.” His published chart, however, draws no path beyond the $8.29 extension, underlining that mid-single-digit territory remains his primary target for this cycle. At press time, XRP traded at $2.20. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP’s market momentum accelerated this week as the cryptocurrency hit a key bullish target identified by a prominent trader, reinforcing growing confidence across the community. Related Reading: Will The Low XRP Price Force Ripple To Dump Its Holdings? Exec Answers Community The surge comes amid a wave of institutional inflows, multiple ETF launches, expanding utility, and renewed optimism from analysts who believe XRP is entering a powerful new phase of market participation. XRP's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: XRPUSD on Tradingview Technical Breakout: Bull Flag Target Achieved A precise technical call from trader @kriptocumm caught the attention of XRP traders after the asset reached the exact bull flag target he outlined earlier in the week. KripTocuM’s analysis, shared on November 22, identified a textbook flag pattern with support at $1.8810 and a breakout requirement above $1.92. Using the pole height of roughly $1.37 added to the breakout point, he calculated a target of $2.1076. On November 24, XRP rallied past $2, coming within striking distance of the projected level, before stabilizing near $2.055. Trading volume jumped to $3.85 billion, reflecting heightened market participation and validating the breakout structure. Indicators remained tilted bullish, with RSI at 62 and a positive MACD crossover suggesting further upside potential. XRP ETF Momentum Pushes Institutional Demand Higher XRP’s move arrives during one of its strongest weeks of institutional interest to date. Franklin Templeton’s newly approved spot XRP ETF (XRPZ) debuted on the NYSE with projected first-day volumes of up to $30 million. The fund’s aggressive fee-waiver strategy, 0% on the first $5 billion until May 2026, has already drawn investor attention. Grayscale also launched its XRP Trust ETF (GXRP) with a temporary 0% fee, expanding access for traditional market participants seeking regulated exposure. Both products entered the market as XRP recorded $179.6 million in weekly inflows, sharply contrasting heavy outflows from Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. Analysts say this rotation signals a shift toward altcoins with clearer catalysts and strengthening fundamentals. Analysts See Expanding Utility and Long-Term Upside Growing utility narratives continue to enhance XRP’s appeal. CryptoSensei recently reiterated explosive price projections, conditional on supply constraints, while pointing to rising institutional adoption, expanding treasury use, and new stablecoin-related integrations as key pillars for long-term growth. Meanwhile, Ripple’s new Asian banking partnership and ongoing XRPL scalability upgrades are adding further confidence to XRP’s fundamental outlook. Related Reading: Dogecoin Just Replicated This Bullish Trend For The 3rd Time, Can Price Still Reach $1? With momentum building on both technical and institutional fronts, traders now look toward the next major resistance levels as the market gauges whether XRP can sustain its powerful new trend. Cover image from ChatGPT, XRPUSD on Tradingview