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XRP is approaching what market commentator Will Taylor describes as a critical technical inflection point, with a tightening descending wedge, oversold weekly momentum and a lopsided liquidation profile all pointing to a market that may be close to exhausting the downside. That is the core XRP takeaway in The Weekly Insight – Week 188, where Taylor argued that while crypto may still face one final flush lower, XRP is already trading in a zone that has historically aligned with major lows. XRP May Be Close To A Bottom Taylor framed the XRP setup against a broader macro backdrop that remains fragile but, in his view, not broken. In the same note, he argued the S&P 500 may still need to complete a deeper correction, volatility could rise further, and crypto altcoins may have “one more small dip” left before a more durable bottom forms. Even so, he suggested the market is already close enough to prior cyclical lows that downside from here may be limited relative to the potential upside. Related Reading: 3 Reasons XRP Rallies Stall — What Must Change For A Sustained Recovery For XRP specifically, the focus was on structure. Taylor said he has been tracking “a potential descending wedge or parallel channel” on the weekly chart, with the key question now being whether XRP still needs “one more pullback into the bottom of that channel” into the $1.10 region or whether it can begin breaking higher from current levels and reclaim support on the way up. He tied that pattern to momentum signals that, in his reading, are starting to look familiar. “This is on the weekly timeframe, and the weekly RSI has been touching the oversold area, just as it did at the absolute lows in 2022 during the bear market,” Taylor wrote. “So there are a few indicators here that are suggesting we are very close to the lows, if not already there.” That matters because Taylor is not presenting XRP as an isolated chart. In the newsletter, he argued the broader crypto market is already trading near levels that, on weekly RSI measures, have historically marked either outright bottoms or zones within roughly 10% to 15% of them. In that context, XRP’s wedge is being read less as a standalone pattern and more as part of a market-wide compression phase that could be nearing resolution. Related Reading: XRP Needs Higher Prices To Handle Bank-Scale Flows, Jake Claver Argues The more distinctive part of the XRP thesis came from liquidation data. Taylor wrote that if XRP were pushed higher toward $3.60, more than $320 million in short positions would be liquidated. By contrast, a move down toward $0.39 would liquidate roughly $130 million in longs. That imbalance, in his view, creates a cleaner incentive to run price upward rather than lower. “And if we pair this up with the amount of liquidity that we can see for XRP, cumulatively, if price is pushed up towards $3.60, we would liquidate over $320 million worth of shorts,” he wrote. “But if price is pushed down towards $0.39, it would only liquidate around $130 million worth of longs. So from a liquidity perspective, the opportunity for market makers and exchanges is clearly to the upside.” That argument leans on the idea that once the current period of macro stress passes, XRP’s positioning could amplify any recovery. Taylor added that open interest is “reinforcing that view,” suggesting leveraged participation has not yet undermined the bullish setup. The caveat is timing. Elsewhere in the newsletter, Taylor said he still expects one more modest dip across crypto before the market fully turns, and he linked the broader bottoming process to macro developments that could play out over the next four to six weeks. For XRP, that leaves two plausible paths: a final sweep toward the lower boundary of the wedge, or an earlier breakout that confirms the pattern without a deeper retest. At press time, XRP traded at $1.35. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP is under selling pressure. Weeks of consolidation below $1.50 have given way to a test of critical support. And quietly, an indicator that most traders are not watching has just flipped in a direction they should care about. Related Reading: Unknown Wallet Buys $107 Million In Ethereum – Purchase Pattern Points To Bitmine An Arab Chain report tracking risk-adjusted performance data on Binance has identified a shift that the price chart is not yet reflecting: XRP’s Sharpe Ratio has moved into positive territory at 0.0267, while the 30-day average return has climbed to 0.00063 — a modest but meaningful reading that marks the first sustained improvement in risk-adjusted returns following months of negative and near-zero readings. These are not large numbers. That is precisely the point. The Sharpe Ratio does not need to be high to be significant — it needs to be moving in the right direction after an extended period of moving in the wrong direction. For XRP, that directional shift is new, it is recent, and it is happening while the price is still under pressure. That divergence — between what the risk-adjusted data is signaling and what the spot market is doing — is where the most important market information tends to live. The price reflects the present. The indicator is measuring something further out. The Indicator Spent Four Months in the Red. March Changed That Arab Chain’s historical read of the data places the current positive reading in its proper context. From October through late December, the Sharpe Ratio remained in negative or near-zero territory — a sustained period in which XRP holders were bearing risk that their returns were not compensating them for. That is not a temporary fluctuation. That is a regime, and it lasted the better part of a quarter. The February capitulation marked the low point of that regime. When XRP’s price collapsed sharply in early February, the indicator registered its most negative reading of the entire period — the moment when risk was highest, and returns were most punishing simultaneously. What followed was not an immediate recovery but a gradual one: the Sharpe Ratio began climbing as price stabilized, and March delivered the decisive shift, with the 30-day average return rising enough to push the indicator into positive territory for the first time since the cycle began deteriorating. Arab Chain frames the forward scenario with appropriate precision. If the Sharpe Ratio continues climbing — if returns improve while volatility stays contained — the data supports a progressively more stable bullish setup. If it reverses into negative territory, the stress regime returns. The indicator has crossed. The price has not followed yet. One of them will move toward the other. Related Reading: $2.3 Billion Ethereum Has Left OKX And Binance This Quarter: The Sell-Side Supply Is Thinning The XRP Support That Was Holding Is Now Being Tested XRP is trading at $1.3365, down 1.79% on the day. The session opened at $1.3608, reached $1.3726, and has sold off to a session low of $1.3340 — a candle that opened, rejected immediately, and has spent the remainder of the day pressing toward levels not seen since the February capitulation floor. Today’s price action is not ambiguous. It is a breakdown attempt. The daily chart context makes today’s move consequential rather than routine. XRP has been in a confirmed downtrend since November 2025, producing a sequence of lower highs without exception — the January rally to $2.40, the post-capitulation bounce to $1.65, the March recovery attempt to $1.55, each one sold into at a lower level than the one before. The structure has not produced a single higher high in five months. Related Reading: Ethereum Staking Ratio Hits Record 31.4% As Exchange Supply Crashes To 2016 Lows All three moving averages are declining in sequence, and the price trades beneath all of them. The 50-day MA has crossed below the 100-day MA, confirming the death cross on the intermediate timeframe. The 200-day MA descends from approximately $2.20, so far above the current price that it offers no near-term reference point. The February capitulation wick to $1.15 is the last meaningful support on this chart. Today’s close at $1.3365 is pressing toward the lower boundary of the post-capitulation range. A daily close below $1.33 puts $1.15 back in play — not as a prediction, but as the next structural level the chart exposes if the current floor gives way. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP may be setting up for a large upside liquidation event even as price action remains fragile in the short term, according to Cryptoinsightuk analyst Will Taylor, who argued in a March 24 video that leverage positioning, funding data, and broader market structure still point to a higher move later in the cycle. Taylor’s core claim is not that XRP has bottomed cleanly or that downside risk has disappeared. It is that the balance of leverage, sentiment, and liquidity remains skewed in a way that could eventually force price higher, particularly if crypto gets a supportive macro or policy catalyst. Bullish XRP Liquidity Builds Above A large part of that thesis rests on liquidation maps. Looking at XRP, Taylor said there is “quite significant liquidity” below current levels in the near term, especially around $1.25 to $1.21. But he stressed that the more important picture appears on the higher-timeframe view, where the density of liquidation liquidity is far greater above the market than below it. Related Reading: XRP Price Will Not Move The Way People Think, Here’s A Better Pattern “Significant upside liquidity,” he said. “Again, look at the difference between the denseness of all this liquidity on the right compared to the left. Now, yes, there’s liquidity down towards a dollar, down towards 94 cent, but all the way up to and even including $3.59, there’s substantial liquidity for XRP.” He then put numbers on that imbalance. On the downside, Taylor pointed to roughly $20 million in short-term liquidity around $1.24. On the upside, he said the map shows around $300 million near $3.38 and another roughly $300 million near $3.60. That contrast, he argued, is one reason he continues to lean bullish despite the market’s weak tone. “It’s so much liquidity to the right-hand side,” Taylor said. “And I think that’s something people need to watch for here.” Taylor tied that setup to derivatives sentiment. He said XRP has already gone through eight consecutive weeks of negative aggregated funding, with the current week potentially becoming a ninth if it were to close negative. According to him, the only comparable stretch came at the 2022 bear-market low. Related Reading: Bitcoin, XRP Rallies Won’t Hold Until Oil Falls Toward $80, Expert Warns “We’ve had eight weeks of negative funding,” he said. “The only other time we’ve had that was here, which was the bottom of the bear market in 2022. So, I do think that people are underestimating sentimentally and structurally where we could be in crypto right now.” Still, Taylor did not present the case as a straight-line breakout. He repeatedly warned that XRP could continue compressing inside what he described as a descending wedge or bull-flag-type structure, and that a deeper flush remains possible before any larger move develops. “It doesn’t mean we have to go up here and break straight out to the upside,” he said. “This is also possible to happen… You could just chill and go down like that. But all this is compression of volatility. And when that compression of volatility gets realized, the moves more if we do that, if we go down to say like $1 by June, the move to the upside will be even more explosive than it would be if we move now.” He floated several possible catalysts, including progress on crypto legislation such as the Clarity Act, broader monetary easing from the Federal Reserve, or some other US policy move that could improve liquidity conditions. “I do think there’s going to be some sort of narrative that comes out that’s going to be quite positive for the markets,” he said. “I think the Clarity Act could be one of the things that we really start to lean on.” At press time, XRP traded at $1.42. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Brent crude slid nearly 12% on Monday to trade around $94, but market expert Sam Daodu warns that oil prices will need to fall further — toward the $85–$80 range — before potential rallies in Bitcoin (BTC) and XRP prices can be sustainable.  According to Daodu, energy prices remain the key link between the ongoing Middle East conflict and crypto market direction, and until they ease, inflation fears and interest-rate concerns will continue to cap risk assets. Bitcoin, XRP Retrace Amid Oil‑Fueled Rate Risks Bitcoin currently sits just above the psychologically important $70,000 level, while XRP is consolidating near $1.44. Both tokens have retraced modestly from last week’s highs, with Bitcoin down roughly 4% and XRP off about 5% on the weekly chart after encountering resistance higher up. Those pullbacks, Daodu says, are tied to the same macro forces that have pushed oil above $100 on repeated escalation headlines since the Strait of Hormuz closures began in late February. Daodu emphasizes that high oil prices sustain inflationary pressure and, crucially, keep the Federal Reserve (Fed) from easing policy.  Related Reading: Analyst Predicts When Bitcoin Price Will Hit $145,000 The Fed’s message on March 19 has pushed out expectations for easier monetary policy. When rate-cut prospects fade, capital rotates away from risk-on assets, and crypto, which still behaves like a high-risk asset, tends to suffer. The expert also highlighted structural reasons crypto markets have appeared particularly sensitive to geopolitical shocks. Because digital-asset markets are open around the clock, they absorb the initial wave of risk sentiment instantly, often before traditional markets open.  That 24/7 liquidity profile can lead to sharper moves in Bitcoin and XRP price following weekend or overnight headlines, as selling is concentrated into thinner markets, as Daodu noted in his report. Brent Near $80–$85 Could Unlock Lasting Gains  Despite these headwinds, Daodu notes there are constructive technical patterns beneath the surface. Bitcoin has formed higher lows on successive sell-offs since late February, suggesting buyers step in during each dip.  XRP, on the other hand, has maintained a roughly $1.35–$1.45 holding zone through recent escalations, reflecting resilience even as rallies fail to hold. Crucially, Daodu argues that oil is the variable most likely to break the current pattern of short-lived crypto rallies. He noted that if Brent retreats toward $80–$85 on signs of a ceasefire or diplomatic progress, inflation pressures should ease and the Fed could regain room to consider rate cuts.  Renewed expectations for easier policy would likely return risk capital to crypto markets and give Bitcoin and XRP the momentum they need to sustain gains.  Conversely, if energy prices remain north of $100, every positive catalyst will be counterbalanced by the same inflation-and-rates dynamic that has dominated price action since February. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miner Selling Pressure Drops To Near Three-Year Low Daodu also reminded that several bullish fundamentals that existed before the conflict have not disappeared: the SEC’s movement toward treating Bitcoin as a commodity, inflows into XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and forward progress on the CLARITY Act.  Those catalysts are still in place but, in his view, are on hold until broader macro conditions — led by a decline in oil — allow risk assets to reassert themselves. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com

XRP is pressing up against what analyst EGRAG CRYPTO describes as a pivotal resistance band, with a new chart arguing that the token is entering a decisive technical phase. In the analyst’s framework, the immediate question is whether an ascending triangle forming beneath “Zone 1” can trigger the next leg higher and whether that move could eventually reopen the path toward prior cycle highs. In a post on X, EGRAG framed the setup as “Ascending Triangle vs Zone 1 (Decision Time)” and tied the structure to a potential policy catalyst: the Clarity Act. The five-day XRP/USD chart shows price compressing beneath a blue resistance area around $1.65 to $1.70, while a rising lower trendline suggests buyers have continued stepping in on dips. The core of the thesis is straightforward. According to EGRAG, “The Chart is Saying the following: Ascending Triangle forming under Zone 1 ($1.65–$1.70). Higher lows = buyers stepping in. Resistance flat = liquidity sitting above. This is classic breakout fuel.” XRP’s Possible Path To The ATH That interpretation hinges on a familiar dynamic in market structure. An ascending triangle typically reflects repeated buying interest at progressively higher levels, even as sellers continue defending a fixed ceiling. In EGRAG’s read, that ceiling is Zone 1, and the tightening range beneath it is creating the pressure. Related Reading: XRP Liquidity Builds on Binance – What The 2.78B Reserve Spike Means EGRAG does not present the pattern as a guaranteed breakout. Instead, the post assigns explicit probabilities to both paths. “Break Above Zone 1: ~65%. Structure supports continuation. Momentum building with compression,” the analyst wrote. “Rejection / Fakeout: ~35%. If no catalyst → liquidity sweep first. If the Clarity Act is postponed, rejection becomes the likely scenario.” Notably, the post repeatedly points to the Clarity Act as the narrative catalyst that could “unlock” a break above Zone 1. In other words, the triangle may be storing pressure, but the release still depends on a macro or policy trigger strong enough to force price through overhead supply. Related Reading: XRP Flashes Rare Bottom Signals As Analyst Eyes Breakout Toward $14–$18 Even then, EGRAG argues that clearing Zone 1 would only be the first step. The post asks what it would take for XRP to reach “Zone 2,” marked at roughly $2.60 and above on the chart. The answer is more demanding than a single breakout candle. “Breaking Zone 1 is NOT enough,” EGRAG wrote. “To breach Zone 2 ($2.60+), we need institutional flows / ETF-style exposure, BTC stability or dominance drop, [and] sustained weekly closes above $1.85–$2.00.” For now, the analyst’s summary is more measured than euphoric: “Triangle = Pressure. Zone 1 = Trigger. Zone 2 = Expansion. Catalyst starts the move…..Liquidity finishes it.” That leaves XRP at an inflection point. If buyers can convert the current compression into a clean move through Zone 1, the conversation quickly shifts from pattern recognition to expansion targets. If not, EGRAG’s own framework suggests the market could sweep liquidity lower first, especially if Clarity Act fails to arrive on time. At press time, XRP traded at $1.44. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The XRP price slid 5% on Wednesday as a wider market pullback dragged most major tokens lower, knocking the altcoin back to roughly $1.43. Experts point to the same recurring forces behind the swing: persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a shortage of fresh, bullish catalysts.  Despite the near-term weakness, market observers remain upbeat about XRP’s longer-term prospects, centering their optimism on an anticipated policy development in Washington.  Potential Surge In Adoption And ETF Inflows Industry analysts widely believe that passage of the CLARITY Act — the proposed crypto market-structure bill in the US Congress — would materially improve XRP’s institutional outlook by formally classifying the token as a digital commodity.  That legal status would place XRP on a regulatory footing similar to Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) and, according to proponents, remove a major barrier to large-scale adoption by banks, asset managers, and payment providers. Related Reading: Citigroup Lowers 12-Month Bitcoin Price Forecast To $112,000, ETH To $3,175—Here’s The Reason In a new analysis, Sam Daodu of 24/7 Wall St. argued that the CLARITY Act is the single most important catalyst that could propel the XRP price past key resistance levels.  He noted that commodity designation would allow US banks to use XRP for cross-border settlement via Ripple’s payment rails without the looming uncertainty that a regulatory reclassification might later introduce.  That legal clarity, Daodu said, would unlock institutional confidence and encourage sizeable inflows into XRP investment products such as exchange-traded funds (ETFs). XRP Price Targets Lifted  Daodu also cited forecasts from Standard Chartered’s Geoffrey Kendrick, who previously set an $8 target for XRP in 2026, premised on the passage of the CLARITY Act. Kendrick’s model anticipates $4 billion to $8 billion in cumulative ETF inflows by year-end if the bill passes. Consensus among many analysts places the XRP price between $5 and $10 should the legislation clear Congress, with an $8 price implying a market capitalization near $490 billion — a level Daodu argues is plausible if banks adopt XRP for actual payment use rather than the token remaining a retail trading vehicle.  Daodu went further in outlining further upside scenarios: if the CLARITY Act were approved and Ripple’s application for a master account at the Federal Reserve were also successful by late 2026, some models project XRP could trade in a $15–$30 range under full bank adoption. Related Reading: This Week Could Be The Most Volatile For Bitcoin In 2026, Top Expert Warns The CLARITY Act passed the House in July 2025 by a 294–134 vote and moved through the Senate Agriculture Committee on January 29. However, the Senate Banking Committee has yet to schedule a new markup since January, and negotiators have not published a reconciled draft that satisfies both crypto and banking stakeholders.  However, on Wednesday, pro-crypto Senator Cynthia Lummis indicated renewed momentum when she said that the Banking Committee plans to mark up the bill in April, following the Easter recess. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP has reclaimed the $1.50 level as market activity accelerates and bullish momentum begins to build after weeks of consolidation. The move higher suggests that buyers are regaining control, with traders closely watching whether XRP can sustain this breakout and establish a stronger uptrend. Related Reading: Ethereum Whales Step In: $33M ETH Withdrawn From Exchanges In Hours Beyond price action, derivatives data is revealing a notable shift in market behavior. According to a recent CryptoQuant report, multiple indicators are now signaling activity levels not seen in weeks, pointing to a renewed wave of participation across XRP markets. In particular, the Multi-Exchange Open Interest Delta is showing clear signs of expansion. This metric tracks the net change in total open contracts across major derivatives platforms over a given period, offering insight into how traders are positioning. A positive Open Interest Delta indicates that new positions are being opened, reflecting growing participation and capital inflows into the market. Conversely, a negative reading suggests that traders are closing positions, which typically signals reduced activity or risk-off behavior. Recent data shows a sustained increase in open interest, suggesting that traders are actively entering the market rather than exiting. For analysts, this shift often signals rising conviction and increasing speculative interest, conditions that can support stronger price movements if accompanied by continued demand and favorable market structure. Open Interest Surge and Liquidations Drive XRP Breakout Dynamics The CryptoQuant report provides a broader perspective by tracking Open Interest Delta across six major derivatives exchanges, offering a comprehensive view of how traders are positioning in XRP. The data reveals two distinct waves of position building that preceded the recent breakout. On March 13, open interest increased by approximately $16 million, followed by a second surge on March 16, where an additional $18 million in positions were opened. This sequence is structurally important, as it shows that traders were actively building exposure before XRP broke above the $1.50 level, marking the asset’s first return to this price zone since February 15. At the same time, liquidation data highlights the impact of this positioning. XRP’s move above $1.50 forced significant liquidations on short positions, proving that the breakout caught many traders off guard. The prior increase in open interest played a key role in this dynamic. Higher leverage across the market meant that once the price moved against short positions, forced liquidations accelerated the move, adding momentum and volatility. This combination of pre-breakout positioning and post-breakout liquidations suggests that derivatives activity amplified XRP’s rally beyond spot demand, creating a feedback loop that intensified price action. Related Reading: XRP Liquidity Builds on Binance – What The 2.78B Reserve Spike Means XRP Reclaims $1.50 but Faces Structural Resistance The XRP 3-day chart shows the asset attempting to stabilize after a prolonged downtrend that began in late 2025. XRP is currently trading around $1.51, having recently reclaimed the $1.50 level, which now acts as a key short-term pivot for price direction. The broader structure remains corrective. XRP continues to trade below the 50-, 100-, and 200-period moving averages, all of which are trending downward. The market’s current alignment reflects ongoing pressure as sellers frequently meet price rallies with heavy supply at higher levels. Related Reading: Ethereum Futures Volume Outruns Spot 6-to-1 As Macro Stress Weighs On Crypto However, the recent rebound from the $1.10–$1.20 region is technically significant. That zone marked a capitulation low, supported by a noticeable increase in volume, suggesting strong buyer absorption. Since then, XRP has formed a base between $1.30 and $1.45, gradually building momentum before pushing higher. Reclaiming $1.50 indicates improving sentiment, but the asset now faces immediate resistance near $1.70, followed by a stronger barrier around $2.00, where previous consolidation and moving averages converge. Volume during the recovery remains moderate, signaling that the move is still developing rather than driven by aggressive inflows. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com   

XRP is in a compression phase rather than a breakdown, according to analyst EGRAG CRYPTO, who says the chart’s most important trigger now sits at $2.20. In a post published Friday, he argued that reclaiming that level would mark the point where the current structure turns decisively constructive again. EGRAG’s analysis is built around the monthly XRP chart and, specifically, the 21-period exponential moving average. “I keep repeating this: I don’t predict the future. I read charts, study cycles, and utilize on indicators,” he wrote, framing the setup less as a directional call than as a structural read of the market. “Right now the 21 EMA is the key.” What This Mean For XRP Price On his chart, that yellow 21 EMA has acted as the central trend reference through multiple XRP cycles. The latest monthly candles show price slipping below that line after a sharp rally, then moving into what he describes as a “descending compression / falling Channel.” He paired that with another key observation: “Price lost the 21 EMA,” “formed a descending compression / falling Channel,” and was “rejected from the $2.20 macro zone.” His conclusion from that combination was blunt: “This is not a crash structure.” Related Reading: XRP Bollinger Bands Are Squeezing—Volatility Incoming? That distinction is the core of the thesis. Rather than reading the recent decline as broad capitulation, EGRAG says the candle behavior points to a controlled retracement. “Look at the candles: shrinking bodies, weakening downward momentum, controlled retracement,” he wrote. “That’s seller exhaustion, not collapse.” The chart supports that reading visually. The candles on the right side of the structure are smaller than during the earlier impulse move, and the decline appears more contained than impulsive. The falling yellow guide lines drawn over the recent price action show a narrowing channel rather than a steep vertical unwind. In practical terms, the setup looks like compression into a decision point, not an outright structural failure. EGRAG then laid out two possible paths from here. The first is what he called a “Liquidity Sweep First,” meaning “a final shakeout toward $0.80-$1.00.” In his wording, that scenario would reflect a “wedge measured move & liquidity below,” suggesting XRP could still dip toward the lower part of the structure before any broader reversal attempt. Related Reading: XRP Accumulation Signal? Binance Withdrawals Jump, ETF Demand Grows The second path is the more immediate bullish alternative. “Fast Reclaim,” he wrote, would come “if XRP reclaims $1.65–$1.80,” at which point “the structure flips bullish again.” That reclaim zone matters because it would indicate that the compression has failed to produce follow-through to the downside and that buyers are regaining control before a deeper flush. Still, the chart’s most important level sits higher. EGRAG is explicit on that point: “The Level That Changes Everything $2.20: Reclaim that level and the expansion phase reactivates.” He followed that with the roadmap above it: “Next targets: $2.20 reclaim, $2.50 retest.” That makes $2.20 more than just a nearby resistance band. On this reading, it is the macro pivot separating a still-unresolved correction from a renewed expansion phase. The analyst had already identified it as the zone where XRP was previously rejected, so a move back above it would not just recover lost ground; it would invalidate the idea that the market remains trapped below a failed breakout area. For now, though, his message is that the market remains in waiting mode. “Until then…This is compression, not capitulation,” EGRAG wrote. “Structure > Noise.” At press time, XRP traded at $1.41. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The XRP price has experienced a modest 5% recovery in the last 24 hours, managing to reclaim the crucial support level at $1.40. However, it remains substantially below its all-time highs reached in 2025.  Despite this, technical analyst Egrag Crypto believes that this year could see the XRP price soaring to a price point as high as $42, meaning a potential gain of up to 2,900% from its current levels. XRP Price Cycles Egrag delineates his forecast by identifying four macro formations on the cryptocurrency’s monthly chart, each of which follows a similar cyclical pattern over the past decade.  These cycles demonstrate that the XRP price tends to undergo a period of compression into a tight range before breaking out and embarking on a significant rally, ultimately resetting before the next structure emerges. Related Reading: What’s Fueling Hyperliquid’s Surge? HYPE Outperforms Top 100 Cryptos In Latest Rally The first formation occurred in October 2014, when XRP rose from $0.0046 to $0.028 by December. Following this initial surge, the price consolidated within the range of $0.006 to $0.009 for nearly three years until early 2017.  The second formation initiated in March 2017, leading to a breakout that pushed the XRP price from under $0.01 to $0.40 by May of the same year, resulting in over 4,000% gains.  After another consolidation period through November 2017, XRP reached a peak of $3.31 in January 2018 before experiencing a prolonged decline that ultimately brought it down to around $0.17 by June 2020. The fourth formation began from the $0.17 low in June 2020, where XRP rallied to $1.96 by April 2021. After another extended period of consolidation around the $0.50 mark, XRP broke through a significant descending trendline in November 2024, which had been constraining its price since 2018.  This breakout propelled the XRP price to $3.65 by July 2025. The current price pullback to the $1.30–$1.40 range is effectively retesting that breakout level. If XRP continues along the same proportional trajectory as previous cycles, Egrag’s target of $42 could be within reach. Two Scenarios To Keep An Eye On It’s important to note that Egrag does not position $42 as the immediate target. Instead, he has laid out intermediate goals that are much lower—such as $4.50 if a breakout occurs, and potentially $10–$13 if the rally expands further.  But when averaging across all four macro scenarios, Egrag estimates that an XRP price around $11 would be plausible, suggesting a market cap of about $670 billion for the altcoin.  Related Reading: BitMine Acquires 60,000 ETH; Chair Discusses Outlook For Ethereum And Crypto Prices Lastly, Egrag presents a cautious perspective regarding the $42 target, outlining two potential scenarios moving forward. One possibility is that the bullish structure may fail, leading the XRP price into a deeper bear market.  Alternatively, Egrag leans toward the thought that the current drawdown is merely a retest within a new growth cycle. He emphasizes that this structural framework must remain intact for his projections to hold. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com

XRP has climbed back above the $1.40 mark this week, a level that previously acted as resistance, but analysts warn that the rally does not eliminate the risk of a deeper pullback.  The cryptocurrency’s most critical support zone at $1.30 remains under pressure, and broader market forces—particularly Bitcoin’s (BTC) price action—could determine what happens next. XRP Locked Between $1.30 Support And $1.50 Resistance In a recent report, analyst Sam Daodu described $1.30 as the most heavily tested support level for XRP so far in 2026. Since February, the token has repeatedly slipped into the low $1.30 range, only to find buyers stepping in before a decisive breakdown could occur.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Tops $73,000, Expert Explains Why The Rally Isn’t Over Yet According to Daodu, a key reason XRP has continued to defend this area is that it is slightly lower, around $1.27. On-chain cost basis data indicates that roughly 443 million XRP were accumulated at that price level.  As the market approaches this entry point, many of these holders have added to their positions, creating buying pressure that has consistently pushed the price back above $1.30.  For now, Daodu sees XRP trading within a clearly defined range, with $1.30 acting as the floor and $1.50 serving as resistance. The analyst said a meaningful shift in trend would require a breakout beyond one of those levels, and the direction of that move will likely depend on external catalysts. Bitcoin And Middle East Tensions As Key Threats Bitcoin stands out as the most significant variable. XRP and BTC are currently moving in close alignment, with a reported correlation of 0.84. Historically, XRP has tended to magnify Bitcoin’s price swings by roughly 1.8 times.  In practical terms, that means a 10% decline in Bitcoin could translate into an 18% drop for XRP. Daodu cautions that if Bitcoin were to fall below $60,000 again, XRP would likely follow, regardless of the token’s individual fundamentals or technical structure. Geopolitical factors are also contributing to market fragility. Rising tensions in the Middle East have already sparked risk-off sentiment across the crypto market in early March.  Should the situation worsen, Daodu said investors could reduce exposure to more speculative assets first, placing additional pressure on altcoins such as XRP. BTC As The Key To Break $1.50? On the upside, a sustained breakout above $1.50 would likely require more than just stability in Bitcoin. Historically, altcoins gain momentum when Bitcoin advances decisively, drawing fresh capital into the broader market.  Daodu posits that XRP is no exception; a strong upward move in BTC could provide the tailwind needed for the altcoin to attempt surpass higher resistance levels. Related Reading: Crypto Treasury Inflows Slide To October 2024 Levels—What Happened? Between $1.58 and $1.60 lies a substantial supply zone. Approximately 2 billion XRP were purchased at those levels, leaving many holders underwater for months.  As the price approaches that range, investors seeking to exit at breakeven could generate heavy selling pressure, the analyst reported. Clearing $1.50 would signal renewed strength, but absorbing supply closer to $1.60 may prove to be the more difficult challenge. At the time of writing, XRP was trading at $1.41, marking a 3% loss over the previous 24 hours.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP recorded a sharp rebound of roughly 5% as the broader crypto market experienced a brief wave of relief following weeks of persistent volatility. The move comes after a difficult February for digital assets, a period defined by escalating geopolitical tensions and a macroeconomic environment that has continued to deteriorate. Despite these pressures, several large-cap altcoins have demonstrated relative resilience, with XRP among the assets managing to stabilize near key technical levels. Related Reading: The Quiet Accumulation: 13,500 Bitcoin Leaving Binance Signals A Strategic Whale Pivot at $66,000 According to analysis shared by top analyst Darkfost, derivatives data reveal a particularly notable shift in market positioning. Funding rates for XRP on Binance have recently moved into deeply negative territory while the asset traded within a range between $1.35 and $1.50. Negative funding rates typically indicate that short positions dominate the derivatives market, meaning traders betting on further downside are paying a premium to maintain those positions. This dynamic highlights the extent of bearish sentiment currently surrounding the asset. Even after XRP has already undergone a significant correction of approximately 60% from previous highs, a large portion of derivatives traders continue to position on the short side. Extreme Negative Funding Rates Could Signal Short-Term Rebound Darkfost explains that this type of market configuration often functions as a contrarian signal within derivatives-driven environments. When market consensus becomes excessively aligned in a single direction, historical patterns show that price action frequently moves against the majority’s expectations. In the case of XRP, the deeply negative funding rates observed on Binance suggest that a large share of traders is currently positioned on the short side of the market. When this imbalance grows too pronounced, it can create the conditions for a short squeeze or a corrective rally, as traders betting on further downside are forced to close positions if the price begins to move upward. Historical data support this interpretation. Previous periods where XRP funding rates reached similarly extreme negative levels have often been followed by short-term rebounds. These moves tend to occur when the market becomes overcrowded with bearish positioning, leaving the price vulnerable to sharp upward adjustments once selling pressure begins to fade. While extreme funding conditions can indicate a temporary imbalance in positioning, they do not necessarily guarantee the beginning of a sustained bullish trend. Instead, this setup may represent a constructive signal for investors seeking potential entry zones or opportunities to gradually build exposure as market conditions stabilize. Related Reading: The $11,000 Deficit: Why the Record $8.9B Bitcoin ETF Drawdown Is Paralyzing Wall Street’s BTC Appetite XRP Trades Near Key Support After Prolonged Downtrend The chart shows XRP trading near $1.43 after an extended correction that has significantly altered its broader market structure. Since peaking above the $3.50 region in mid-2025, the asset has entered a clear downtrend characterized by lower highs and persistent selling pressure. This structural shift became more evident as XRP lost the support of its key moving averages, which now act as overhead resistance. Price is currently trading well below the 50-period and 100-period moving averages, while the 200-period average sits even higher near the $2 zone. This configuration reflects a market where bullish momentum has largely faded, with buyers struggling to reclaim higher levels. Each rebound attempt over recent months has failed to break through resistance, reinforcing the prevailing bearish structure. Related Reading: The Quiet Accumulation: 13,500 Bitcoin Leaving Binance Signals A Strategic Whale Pivot at $66,000 However, the chart also highlights the emergence of a consolidation phase between approximately $1.30 and $1.50. This range developed after a sharp capitulation move in early 2026, when XRP briefly dipped close to the $1.20 area before stabilizing. For XRP to shift toward a more constructive structure, the price would likely need to reclaim the $1.60–$1.80 region and break above its short-term moving averages. Otherwise, the current range could continue acting as a base while the market searches for direction. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP is on track to close its fifth consecutive month in negative territory, a rare stretch of sustained losses that has not been seen since late 2016. Despite holding at around $1.30, the token has declined nearly 30% in February alone, according to CoinGecko data, extending a broader five-month decline of roughly 50%. XRP Flashes Pre-Bull Run Pattern The last time XRP recorded five straight red monthly candles was between October 2016 and February 2017. During that period, the price slipped from $0.00885 to $0.00557, a decline of 37%, before finding a bottom near $0.0055 in March 2017. By May 2017, XRP had surged to $0.3988 — a gain of 7,000% in just two months.  After consolidating through the summer, the token climbed again, eventually reaching $3.31 in January 2018. From its March 2017 low, that marked a 60,000% increase. Related Reading: Ready For A 443% Dogecoin Move? The Meme Coin Just Touched A Historically Explosive Level With XRP now following a similar path, market analyst Sam Daodu examined the comparison in a new report released on Monday. Daodu noted that the current setup “rhymes” with the 2016–2017 structure: five consecutive months of declines, tightening price action, and signs that selling pressure may be exhausting itself. However, he cautioned that the market environment has changed dramatically since XRP was “a micro‑cap token. In 2017, XRP’s total market value was less than $300 million. Daodu pointed out that at that level, even a few hundred million dollars in new capital might raise the price by thousands of percentage points.  Today, XRP has a market capitalization of about $88 billion. According to the analyst, this scale makes a 60,000% surge virtually impossible under any realistic market conditions. 250% Rally Still In Play A comparable rally would imply a move to roughly $852 per token. With approximately 58 billion XRP in circulation, that would translate to a market capitalization exceeding $49 trillion — more than the combined value of all stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange.  Still, Daodu argues that while a repeat of the 2017 explosion is off the table, a meaningful recovery remains within reach if the bottoming pattern holds.  A return to XRP’s July 2025 high of $3.65 would represent a gain of about 157% from current levels. A move toward $5 — near the upper range of analyst forecasts for 2026 — would amount to a 252% increase. Related Reading: Bitcoin Buying Spree Nears Century Mark, Saylor Hints Even more conservative projections suggest room for upside. Standard Chartered recently reduced its XRP target by 65%, citing near‑term headwinds, but its revised forecast of $2.80 would still imply a roughly 97% rise from current trading prices. The key difference in this cycle, according to Daodu, lies in the source of demand. The explosive rally of 2017 was largely driven by retail speculation.  In contrast, any substantial gains this time would likely depend on institutional flows, including potential exchange‑traded fund (ETF) inflows, broader institutional adoption, and a recovery across the wider crypto market. While another 60,000% run is unrealistic, Daodu believes a 150% to 250% advance is achievable if momentum shifts and capital returns to the sector. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP has struggled to generate sustained demand in recent weeks as broader crypto market conditions remain fragile and selling pressure continues to dominate sentiment. Price action has reflected a lack of strong buying conviction, with several analysts warning that further downside cannot be ruled out if liquidity conditions fail to improve. While volatility has moderated compared with earlier corrective phases, momentum remains weak, leaving traders cautious about the near-term outlook. Related Reading: The Altcoin Exodus: Trading Volumes Halve As Capital Flees To Bitcoin $65,000 Fortress A recent CryptoQuant report highlights exchange reserve dynamics as a key framework for understanding current investor behavior. Monitoring the amount of XRP held on trading platforms can offer insight into whether market participants are preparing to sell or accumulate. Typically, a sharp rise in exchange reserves suggests investors are transferring assets onto exchanges, often signaling readiness to liquidate positions. Such movements can increase immediate market supply and contribute to short-term selling pressure. Conversely, declining reserves on exchanges tend to indicate withdrawals into private custody or long-term storage solutions. This behavior usually reflects stronger conviction among holders and reduced willingness to sell at prevailing price levels. As a result, reserve trends can help contextualize whether XRP’s current weakness stems from distribution activity or a broader repositioning phase within the market. XRP Exchange Outflows Signal Emerging Accumulation Trend The analysis indicates that this pattern is currently visible in XRP’s supply ratio on Binance, a metric that measures the share of the asset’s total circulating supply held on a specific exchange. Over the past ten days, the ratio has declined from 0.027 to 0.025, signaling a measurable reduction in XRP balances on the platform. In absolute terms, this translates to roughly 200 million XRP withdrawn from Binance during that period. Although exchange-level movements can sometimes reflect internal reallocations, major platforms such as Binance publicly disclose custody addresses, allowing analysts to differentiate operational reshuffling from user-driven withdrawals with reasonable precision. In this context, the scale and direction of the change point more convincingly point toward organic outflows rather than technical adjustments. Related Reading: Ethereum’s Leverage Reset Clears The Path For A Healthy Rebound – Analyst Such a decline in exchange-held supply often reflects a shift in investor positioning. XRP has corrected by approximately 40% since the start of the year, a magnitude that can attract longer-term participants seeking discounted entry points. When investors withdraw assets from exchanges, they typically reduce immediate sell-side liquidity and signal a preference for private custody over active trading. Taken together, the data suggest that a segment of market participants may be accumulating XRP at current levels, positioning for potential recovery rather than preparing for near-term distribution. XRP Price Struggles Below Key Moving Averages XRP remains under sustained pressure, with the weekly chart showing a clear downtrend following the rejection near the $3.30–$3.50 zone seen in mid-2025. Since that peak, price structure has shifted toward a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, typically associated with weakening momentum rather than consolidation. The latest candles suggest XRP is attempting to stabilize near the $1.40 region, but conviction remains limited. Technically, XRP is trading below the major moving averages visible on the chart, which now act as dynamic resistance. The shorter-term average has already rolled over, while the longer-term trend line continues to slope upward more slowly, reflecting the lagging nature of macro support. Sustained trading below these levels generally signals cautious sentiment and limited upside follow-through unless a decisive reclaim occurs. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Supply Moving To Strong Hands? Whale Data Suggest Structural Shift Volume patterns also indicate reduced participation compared with the impulsive rally phase. This decline often reflects fading speculative interest, although it can also precede a base-building period if selling pressure exhausts. From a structural perspective, the $1.30–$1.40 zone appears to function as immediate support, while the $1.80–$2.00 range likely represents the first significant resistance band. Until XRP reclaims higher levels with strong volume, the broader trend remains fragile and biased toward continued consolidation or downside risk. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Crypto sentiment has slid to what CryptoinsightUk founder Will Taylor describes as “historical lows,” and the damage is starting to show up in higher-timeframe indicators that rarely flash. In a Feb. 14 weekly note, Taylor argued the setup is shifting from “collapse” to late-stage drawdown and pointed to XRP priced in gold as one of the cleanest tells. Taylor framed the week as “another painful week in crypto,” but said the timing of the pessimism matters. On Bitcoin’s weekly chart, he wrote, BTC “has just hit oversold levels for only the third time in recent history,” adding that the prior two occurrences marked either the bear market low or “very close to it.” In his telling, extreme sentiment paired with a statistically rare signal leans toward exhaustion rather than fresh downside acceleration. The core of Taylor’s argument rests on positioning for a volatility expansion in Bitcoin dominance. He said Bollinger Bands on dominance are “extremely compressed,” a configuration he views as unstable: “Compression leads to expansion. And expansion leads to volatility. In simple terms, volatility is inbound.” Related Reading: Liquidity Or Liability? History’s Hard Lessons For The XRP Momentum Play Direction is the debate. Taylor’s base case is a downside break in dominance – eventually below 36% – which, if paired with a resilient or rising Bitcoin price, would imply not just new money entering crypto but rotation across the risk curve. He cited a prior episode as a template: in November 2024, when dominance fell by roughly 10 percentage points, “XRP saw a subsequent move of around 490%,” which he characterized as “a vertical expansion.” To corroborate the rotation setup, Taylor pointed to the OTHERS/BTC ratio: the market outside the top 10 relative to Bitcoin. On the monthly timeframe, he said RSI “has just crossed bullish,” and that the chart is “on the verge of printing” a second green monthly MACD volume candle after what he described as a bullish cross near the lows. The combined picture, he argued, is alignment: altcoins starting to regain relative strength as dominance volatility compresses. XRP Against Gold: A ‘Historic Zone’ Setup Taylor’s more specific claim centered on XRP priced in gold, a pairing he said is largely ignored despite being structurally informative. “When you look at XRP priced against gold, what you’ll notice is that we’ve pulled back into an extremely strong historical support region,” he wrote. “At the same time, on the monthly timeframe, the RSI has reached levels we have only ever seen once before. And that was just before the 2017 parabolic expansion.” From there, Taylor sketched a scenario rather than a prediction: if XRP holds that support and completes what he called a 4.236 Fibonacci extension “from this structure,” the move could be “around 20x against gold.” He stressed the usual caveat that relative performance doesn’t map cleanly to the dollar pair. “That does not automatically mean 20x against the dollar,” he wrote, noting gold itself could weaken, and “macro conditions could shift.” Related Reading: XRP Community Day Recap: The 7 Most Bullish Takeaways Still, he argued the relative signal is the point. In his framework, sustained outperformance versus gold suggests capital “aggressively rotating into risk,” a backdrop where altcoins tend to lead. Taylor added a second relative-strength angle: XRP versus Ethereum. He floated an Elliott Wave interpretation in which XRP may have completed wave one and wave two against ETH, setting up a potential wave three: “typically the most aggressive, most explosive leg.” While calling Elliott Wave “a framework, not a certainty,” he emphasized a momentum detail: monthly RSI holding above 50 through consolidation, which he viewed as consistent with continuation rather than breakdown. At press time, XRP traded at $ Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP continues to face persistent selling pressure, with price action showing limited momentum as broader crypto market conditions remain fragile. The token has struggled to establish a clear recovery trend, reflecting cautious investor sentiment and subdued speculative activity. While volatility has eased compared with previous sharp moves, the lack of strong buying conviction suggests the market remains in a consolidation phase rather than a confirmed rebound. Related Reading: Bitcoin BCMI Drops Toward Bear Market Territory: How Close Is BTC To A Real Buy Zone? A recent CryptoQuant report provides additional insight through analysis of XRP trading volume on Binance using a 30-day Z-Score framework. According to the data, XRP is currently trading near $1.37, with daily trading volume around 173 million XRP. The Z-Score hovering close to zero indicates that trading activity is broadly aligned with its recent historical average, without significant spikes or contractions. This equilibrium in volume typically reflects a balance between buyers and sellers, often emerging after periods of heightened volatility. Rather than signaling immediate bullish or bearish dominance, such conditions tend to accompany market stabilization or repositioning phases. In practical terms, the data suggest traders are reassessing exposure while awaiting clearer directional signals. Until a decisive increase in volume or sentiment emerges, XRP’s price dynamics may remain slow, with consolidation continuing to define the near-term market environment. XRP Volume Equilibrium Suggests Consolidation Before Next Major Move Historical comparisons in the CryptoQuant report suggest that XRP’s volume Z-Score has frequently acted as a leading indicator for major price movements. Periods marked by sharp spikes in the metric have often preceded significant directional moves, both upward and downward, as sudden increases in trading activity typically reflect shifts in market conviction. Conversely, when the Z-Score stabilizes near zero, the market tends to enter a consolidation phase in which buying and selling pressures remain broadly balanced before a new trend eventually develops. The current reading fits this latter pattern. With the Z-Score hovering close to neutral levels, XRP appears to be in a holding phase rather than building momentum for an immediate breakout. This environment generally corresponds with reduced volatility, slower price development, and cautious positioning among market participants. However, such equilibrium phases rarely persist indefinitely. A decisive increase in trading volume could quickly alter the landscape. A sustained move in the Z-Score above +2 would likely signal strengthening participation and potential bullish momentum, while a sharp drop below that threshold could indicate renewed defensive positioning and the risk of further corrective pressure. For now, volume behavior suggests preparation rather than resolution, with the next significant move likely dependent on whether participation expands or contracts. Related Reading: Ethereum Endures Historic Liquidation Week: Largest Sustained Liquidation Phase Since 2021 XRP Price Tests Key Support As Downtrend Structure Persists XRP continues to trade under sustained selling pressure, with the chart showing a clear deterioration in structure since late 2025. After failing to hold above the $2.00–$2.20 region, price action accelerated lower, pushing XRP toward the $1.30–$1.40 area, which now represents the nearest visible support zone. The recent decline appears sharp rather than gradual, suggesting reactive selling rather than orderly repositioning. From a trend perspective, XRP is trading below its major moving averages, which are now sloping downward. This alignment typically reflects a bearish medium-term structure, where rallies tend to encounter resistance rather than trigger sustained upside continuation. The inability to reclaim these averages reinforces the idea that momentum currently favors sellers. Related Reading: Bitcoin Realized Losses Hit Luna Crash Levels — But Price Context Points To A Different Market Phase Volume dynamics also deserve attention. The latest drop was accompanied by elevated activity compared with preceding consolidation phases, indicating active participation in the selloff rather than thin liquidity moves. Historically, such spikes can precede either capitulation lows or continued downside, making confirmation essential. Technically, a sustained recovery above the $1.80–$2.00 region would be needed to stabilize sentiment. Until then, the broader structure suggests caution, with consolidation or further downside remaining plausible scenarios while market confidence rebuilds. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP is down 58% from its all-time high, and two popular chart-focused accounts on X are framing the drawdown as a potential accumulation window rather than a trend break. How Low Will XRP Price Go? Crypto Patel (@CryptoPatel) told followers on Feb. 4 that XRP/USD has “entered our first accumulation zone at $1.50–$1.30.” In his post, he urged staggered entries rather than trying to time a single bottom. “Start buying slowly at these levels, no rush, just steady accumulation,” he wrote, positioning the move as capital-preservation after what he described as an earlier call highlighting a “bottom accumulation zone.” On the risk side, Patel tied his next decision point to the $1.30 level, suggesting a deeper set of bids if that floor breaks. “If XRP breaks below $1.30, place your entry bids between $0.90–$0.70,” he wrote. “But here’s the thing — if price hits that zone, it could be the best long-term accumulation opportunity for maximum profits.” Related Reading: XRP Enters ‘Washout Zone,’ Then Targets $30, Crypto Analyst Says He added that his “long-term target remains $10,” arguing that entry discipline matters more than headline targets: “Buying at $3 or $2? Not ideal in my view. If the target is $10, why not aim for entries at $1.50–$1 during hard dips for much bigger returns?” Patel also leaned on his prior public call as evidence of a repeatable framework. He said he shared an XRP setup at $0.50 in the last bear market and that XRP later rallied to $3.66, which he characterized as “over 600% profit.” XRP Bottom In March? A separate post from Charting Guy framed the selloff less as a new regime and more as a familiar cycle structure. “XRP repeating 2021, bottom in march roughly around $1.20 imo,” he wrote, adding: “maybe wick to $1 to scare the hoes. The bear market is almost over.” When asked directly by another user—“Bear market ends in march?”—Charting Guy replied: “yep.” In Charting Guy’s weekly XRP/USD chart, the roadmap is framed around a rising multi-year trendline and a Fibonacci ladder drawn across the move, with several of those Fib levels clustering right where he expects a March low. On the retracement side, the chart labels the key downside bands at roughly 0.618 ($0.915) and 0.702 ($1.2149), with additional levels below at 0.5 ($0.615) and 0.382 ($0.413). Charting Guy’s “bottom in March roughly around $1.20” lines up almost directly with the 0.702 Fib (~$1.215), while his “maybe wick to $1” comment points toward a deeper flush into the space between $1.00 and the 0.618 Fib (~$0.915). Related Reading: Analyst Predicts XRP Price Wil Target 450% Rally To $7 What makes that zone more than just a horizontal level on his layout is the trendline confluence. The green, rising trendline he’s drawn from the 2020–2022 base is shown catching price into early March (his vertical marker sits around Mon 02 Mar ’26), with the trendline effectively rising into the same $1.00–$1.20 neighborhood. In other words, his implied “March bottom” isn’t just a date call, it’s a confluence call: trendline support rising into the 0.702 retracement area, with room for a volatility wick closer to the 0.618 if the market tries to force capitulation. Above spot, the chart also shows the upside Fib extensions he’s using as reference points: 0.786 ($1.612), 0.888 ($2.274), and the prior swing reference around 1.0 ($3.317), with higher extensions marked at 1.236 ($7.349), 1.272 ($8.297), 1.414 ($13.389), and 1.618 ($26.630). At press time, XRP traded at $1.3888. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP has entered what Korean Certified Elliott Wave Analyst XForceGlobal (@XForceGlobal) calls a “washout” phase inside a broader Elliott Wave corrective structure, a zone he argues can set the stage for a renewed macro advance, with eventual cycle targets stretching into the $20–$30 region. In a Feb. 3 video breakdown, XForceGlobal said the recent pullback does not change his larger framework, but rather pushes XRP deeper into what he described as the “alternative” macro scenario: an expanded flat correction where a prior push to new highs becomes a “fake out” before a final leg lower attempts to flush late buyers. “Nothing new here, we’ve been talking about this for quite some time where we have 2 extreme points of interest,” he said. “The B Wave here creating a fake out point at the all time high, and then the current C Wave that we are also in that creates a fake out point below the market structure of this previous low here, that Wave A.” XRP May Needs A Final Dump Before $30 The core of his argument rests on a measured target for Wave C derived from the pivot points of Waves A and B, specifically the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, which he framed less as a mystical level and more as a behavioral marker where corrections turn emotional. In his telling, Wave A is the initial counter-trend move, Wave B is the “overconfidence phase,” and Wave C becomes the forced exit: stop losses, broken conviction, and liquidation pressure. Related Reading: Where’s XRP Price Headed As Exchange Reserves Plunge To 1.7 Billion? “Basically, it’s a trap and kind of a liquidation structure where Wave A is the first counter trend of the larger trend that we were expecting,” XForceGlobal said. “And then the B Wave is the overconfidence phase and then the C Wave becomes the reality check where everyone who bought the B Wave at the top is now wrong and exiting at the local bottoms because of their stop losses or they just lose confidence in the overall structure of the XRP.” He argued that because Wave C is driven by “emotion and not balance,” it tends to resolve as a five-wave decline rather than a three-wave correction, often terminating around the 161.8% extension as selling pressure exhausts. The key, he said, is not that the asset becomes “cheap,” but that sellers run out of ammunition and divergences begin to appear. “The markets will not reverse there because prices are really cheap,” he said. “It reverses because the sellers are exhausted at those levels and usually you’ll see sellers being really exhausted. You’ll start to see some bullish divergences occurring.” From a levels perspective, XForceGlobal described a volatile “free for all” zone where bulls and bears battle for a base, pointing to a range he labeled between roughly $1.50 down toward $1.08–$1.09. He suggested that, if the expanded flat thesis holds, that area could evolve into a buy zone, but only after the five-wave move down completes and a reversal sequence provides confirmation. Related Reading: XRP Market Structure “Very Similar” To April 2022, Glassnode Says Macro context remains central to his conviction. XForceGlobal pointed to XRP breaking out of a prior multi-year triangle and then rallying roughly 500% as evidence of an objective five-wave advance, followed by corrective structures consistent with an expanded flat setup: a non-impulsive pullback, a B-wave push to an extreme, then a new downside extreme below prior market structure. $XRP One of the most important #XRP videos to date! A complete 10-minute breakdown covering targets and invalidation levels. More importantly, I cover how to properly manage expectations in the midst of chaos using the macro structure, and why the overall trend remains bullish. pic.twitter.com/E2g9ga52N9 — XForceGlobal (@XForceGlobal) February 3, 2026 If XRP does complete the corrective leg and transitions into what he frames as a new impulsive cycle, with the classic wave three, wave four, wave five sequence, his roadmap opens higher targets over time. “We got a wave three in the making here, a wave four, and then a wave five that’s pending that could bring us up into that $20 to $25, $30 region that we’re looking for at a later stage,” he said. He also flagged $6 as a major level where he expects profit-taking and a reassessment, framing it as part of a broader risk-management approach rather than a single-shot price call. At press time, XRP traded at $1.5887. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

As XRP attempts to climb to higher levels, an analyst affirmed that the altcoin is “doing what it needs to do” to continue its bullish rally, highlighting multiple key structures in key timeframes. Related Reading: Dogecoin Foundation-Backed ETF Launches On Nasdaq As Analysts Call For Massive DOGE Rally XRP Enters Inflection Point After retesting the $1.90 area on Friday morning, XRP saw a 4.6% intraday bounce toward the mid-zone of its local range. Over the past five days, the cryptocurrency has been hovering in the $1.85-$2.00 price range, failing to hold the upper zone of this range. Market watcher ChartNerd pointed out a key reversal pattern that could signal a massive price expansion may be around the corner, noting that the altcoin is at a “critical inflection point” as it retests a macro support zone. He explained that a running flat ABC correction formation is “a sophisticated structure where the failure of the ‘C’ wave to breach previous lows signals underlying bullish strength.” XRP has been mirroring the same structure over the past 400 days, which would point “toward a structural breakout, marking the transition from a yearly long base into a new primary uptrend” if it resolves. As the chart shows, “the wave counts repeating toward the structure are evident in XRP’s price action,” and as long as the macro support holds, around the $1.80 area, the C wave “could be working in the bulls’ defense.” We could be just building a base above $1.80, marking the C wave in this running flat correction before the major breakout. ChartNerd added that there could be a scenario in which XRP deviates below its major support before a V-shape recovery. However, he warned that losing this area would not be healthy, detailing that the only way to invalidate the pattern would be for the price to close below the structure’s support, retest it as resistance, and drop to lower levels. XRP’s Price Defends Macro Support The analyst emphasized the importance of the $1.80 level, noting that XRP has been defending this territory for over a year and could lead to a new all-time high (ATH) rally. “This is a macro accumulation zone, and we evidently also have two major levels of descending resistance for XRP,” he detailed, highlighting that when the first multi-month descending resistance broke, the altcoin rallied to a new all-time high. It’s pretty simple: we have descending resistance on our heads at the moment, and we once had a point of contact on this resistance at the $2.40 high (…) So, at this moment in time, the simplicity tells us: break the descending resistance, and this is where XRP really starts gearing up for further expansion. Based on this, ChartNerd asserted that if the altcoin defends the $1.80 macro support, then a similar rally is likely. Similarly, he pointed to a bullish reversal structure building below the key $2.70 resistance on XRP’s chart. Related Reading: Bitcoin To $80,000? Analyst Warns Of Potential Free Fall As BTC Erases 2026 Gains Per the post, the cryptocurrency formed a three-month falling wedge pattern that was broken out of during the early January rally. Now, the price is retesting the pattern’s breakout level as support and could be preparing to climb toward the level it started forming. “So XRP just needs to defend the guard at $1.80, and this is where we could be looking for that sort of major expansion and looking to press back up to the target of $2.70,” before potentially challenging its pre-Q4 range, he concluded. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

XRP has given back all of its early‑year gains, sliding toward the $1.90. Despite the pullback, several on‑chain and market indicators are pointing to a possible breakout from current levels, driven largely by a sharp decline in XRP held on exchanges.  XRP Exchange Balances Slide To 1.5B Market analyst Sam Daodu notes that over the past months, a substantial portion of XRP has steadily moved off centralized trading platforms and into long‑term storage and institutional custody.  On‑chain figures indicate that XRP exchange balances dropped from roughly 4 billion tokens in early 2025 to about 1.5 billion by late December. This 57% decline represents the steepest annual reduction in XRP exchange supply on record. Related Reading: Binance Forms New Company In Greece, Moves Forward With MiCA Licensing Data from CryptoQuant reinforces this trend, showing shrinking XRP reserves on major trading platforms such as Binance, where balances continued to fall into early 2026. At the same time, wallet accumulation has increased, particularly among institutional custody accounts.  Daodu argues that with fewer tokens available on exchanges, buying pressure that previously moved XRP only marginally can now drive gains of 10% to 15% within days.  When combined with approximately $1.37 billion in XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows recorded since November 2025, Daodu believes the conditions favor a potential breakout toward the $4 to $5 range, rather than another rally that stalls below $3. Bullish, Base, And Bearish Scenarios Looking ahead, Daodu outlines three broad price paths for XRP, each tied to how exchange balances and ETF inflows evolve. In a bullish scenario, the altcoin could move into the $4 to $5 range if monthly ETF inflows average $300-$500 million and exchange balances fall below 1.5 billion tokens.  A more neutral outcome would see XRP trading between $2.50 and $3.50. This scenario assumes ETF inflows slow to roughly $50 million to $70 million per week and exchange balances continue to decline at a steadier pace.  Related Reading: Expert Analyzes XRP, Ethereum, And Solana: Predictions For The Next Altcoin Season The bearish case hinges on the possibility that the supply contraction thesis proves overstated. If rapid transfers refill exchange order books, escrow releases increase selling pressure, or ETF demand slows due to tighter macroeconomic conditions, XRP could lose support.  In that scenario, prices may fall below $2.00 and revisit the $1.60 level during periods of risk aversion. Prolonged uncertainty could see XRP trading between $1.50 and $2.00 for much of 2026, according to the analyst.  At the time of writing, the altcoin was trading at $1.94. This represented losses of 4% and 8% over seven and fourteen-day periods, respectively. This positions the fifth-largest cryptocurrency in terms of market cap 46% below the current all-time high of $3.64 reached back in July of last year. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Certified Elliott Wave analyst XForceGlobal (@XForceGlobal) told followers on X that “$5+ remains on the horizon,” arguing that the token’s past year of range-bound trading is validating an Elliott Wave “flat” correction that typically resolves with a sharp, final move before a continuation higher. In a 10-minute video shared alongside the post, the analyst framed XRP’s recent price action as the late stage of a flat pattern, an extended period where neither bulls nor bears can force a clean trend. “A flat occurs when the market fails to trend on both sides. They’re basically evenly matched,” he said. “And that’s not a sign of weakness, it’s a sign of balance.” XRP Traders ‘Exhausted’ As Breakout Nears XForceGlobal positioned the structure as a corrective phase within a larger bullish sequence, describing the market as forming a new floor rather than breaking down. “This is where the buyers and sellers enter a Mexican standoff with each other, creating a new price floor,” he said, adding that the sideways feel is the point: “They’re not designed to go anywhere, basically. And the markets naturally alternate between expansion and compression.” Related Reading: Santiment Says XRP Social Sentiment Hits ‘Extreme Fear’: Buy Signal? The analyst emphasized the psychological aspect of prolonged consolidation, arguing that flats tend to “eliminate even the leverage traders through time rather than price” by exhausting both sides. “By the time the flat actually resolves, which is very close, in my opinion, most traders are emotionally already exhausted,” he said. “Positioning has been pretty much neutralized, and the path for continuation, to me, becomes very clear.” In Elliott Wave terms, XForceGlobal described the flat as a three-part A-B-C structure, with waves A and B unfolding as corrective “three-wave” moves and wave C completing as an impulsive “five-wave” move. He argued that this final phase is the moment the market stops drifting and forces a resolution. “Wave C must be impulsive because it represents the resolution of the balance that we have for waves A and B,” he said. “It’s not the continuation of a larger structure to the downside.” He framed impulsiveness as behavioral rather than directional, attributing it to urgency and follow-through once one side “decisively gives up,” clearing out the range that built during the earlier legs. That distinction matters for positioning, because his base case anticipates one more decisive shakeout before a move higher. He said the market is currently in an “expanded flat” configuration where wave B pushed above the prior high, and he expects a break of local structure “once” before the market turns up. He highlighted $1.70 as a prior low that could be undercut as part of the process without invalidating the larger setup, so long as broader support holds. Related Reading: XRP Distribution Phase Continues, But Funding Rates Suggest Shorts Are Overextended XForceGlobal’s post leaned heavily on conviction built over time—“I didn’t spend 2,000+ days accumulating XRP for no reason!”—while also stressing that he has already taken some profit. In the transcript, he said he “personally took some profits around the $2.70 level” and would continue to “sell into strength.” On upside expectations, he called for higher levels “in this current cycle,” tying potential targets to the duration of the consolidation. “The longer that we distribute here, the higher the targets are going to be,” he said, adding that “a minimum of a $6 range all the way up to even the $14 range is my personal target.” He also flagged conditions that would change the trade management. If the market shows “red flags” and breaks further structure than he expects, he suggested that is where risk management should take priority. For XRP traders, the practical takeaway from his framework is timing and path, not direction: a final, forceful leg lower could still be consistent with a bullish continuation thesis while a deeper structural breakdown would challenge it. At press time, XRP traded at $1.91. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

A significant short squeeze may be on the horizon for XRP investors, potentially serving as the main catalyst for a rally that could push prices beyond the all-time high of $3.90.  Market analyst Bird made these predictions in a recent post on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), highlighting key observations from his analysis. Key Liquidity Zones For XRP Bird shared a chart that illustrates where leveraged positions—both long and short—are concentrated in the market. He explained that the colored bands on the chart indicate levels of liquidity, where the potential for forced buying or selling could occur due to stop-loss orders and liquidations.  Related Reading: Why The Dogecoin Price Could Outperform Bitcoin Again The analysis of the altcoin’s daily chart heatmap categorizes liquidity into two distinct zones: red, signifying deep liquidity, and lighter colors indicating less liquidity. From his observations, Bird noted that price movements away from low liquidity areas tend to occur rapidly. He explained this process: when prices approach zones with significant stop-loss clusters, they often trigger large sell-offs, wiping out long positions.  Price Targets $4.20 Following these movements, the price typically rotates back toward shorts, leading to additional liquidation events. Bird pointed out that on Sunday, a number of long XRP positions were liquidated.  Related Reading: 4 In 5 Hacked Crypto Projects Don’t Bounce Back, Expert Says Now, he sees a dense liquidity pocket forming around the $4.20 mark, primarily from short XRP positions. This situation incentivizes market makers to drive prices toward this liquidity to close out those trades, rather than moving away from it.  As a result, Bird expressed confidence that the current XRP price rally is far from over. He believes that a new all-time high is imminent, as the potential for a substantial short squeeze looms.  At the time of writing, the fifth-largest cryptocurrency on the market was trading at $2, having briefly dropped to $1.84 earlier on Monday.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP could be approaching an inflection point as a closely watched chart pattern tightens into its apex and broader “risk-on” signals in equities flash green, according to XRPL developer Bird (@Bird_XRPL). In a series of posts on X, Bird, the developer behind XRPL meme coin DROP, pointed to XRP’s hourly structure as setting up for a decisive move “before the end of the week,” arguing that a technical breakout could accelerate quickly toward a nearby upside objective. “Take a look at XRP on the hourly. A move is about to happen before the end of the week,” Bird wrote alongside a chart showing a contracting triangle with price compressing into the tip. “A measured move if we send upwards could push us straight to that $2.69 mark which finally gets us into ‘bull run’ mode.” Russell 2000 Breakout Puts XRP on Alert Beyond the short-term pattern, Bird anchored his thesis to US small caps, arguing that the Russell 2000’s behavior has historically mattered for XRP and the broader altcoin complex. Related Reading: XRP In A ‘Super Cycle’? SuperTrend Suggests Another Story “The Russell 2000 is about to close its highest weekly close in history. That matters ALOT for XRP,” Bird said. “Historically, XRP and altcoins have always tracked the Russell 2000 extremely closely. It’s the true risk on index for mid caps (not mega caps like the S&P or MAG7 where most capital has been parked).” Bird’s argument is that XRP still trades more like a mid-cap risk asset than a mega-cap “store of value” proxy, making the Russell’s breakout a useful macro tell for when speculative capital rotates back into higher beta exposures. He described the current backdrop as “capital rotating” and “risk … back on,” suggesting that the market may be entering a window where positioning can change quickly if narratives align. In a longer follow-up thread, Bird described XRP’s extended consolidation as increasingly out of sync with what he views as constructive macro conditions across risk assets. “We’re at a genuinely clinical moment for XRP. We’ve gone sideways for over a year, yet the Russell 2000 is now in full price discovery, other stock markets have been at all time highs for a long time, metals are elevated, and Bitcoin dominance is chopping at levels that historically dumps at,” he wrote. Related Reading: Ripple Builds XRP ‘Wall Street Kit’: Developer Claims ‘Billions Incoming’ Bird also pointed to a prior episode as a reference point: “In November ’24, the Russell turned green and XRP went parabolic roughly 10 days later,” he said, arguing that this time the Russell has gone further by reclaiming highs and holding strength across timeframes. In his view, the remaining constraint is rotation, not necessarily a sharp drawdown in metals or other assets, but simply a pause that allows risk appetite to re-price. On XRP and Ripple specific context, Bird said “acquisitions done, partnerships rolling out, NDAs lifting, legal clarity forming,” and argued that the market is nearing a point where “a single narrative, catalyst, or push can ignite XRP fast.” The key near-term test is whether the tightening technical structure resolves upward as Bird expects and whether cross-asset risk appetite continues to support alt beta. If both align, Bird’s framework suggests traders will be watching for a momentum break that could carry XRP toward the $2.69 objective and, in his view, potentially open the door to a faster path toward fresh cycle highs. At press time, XRP traded at $2.06. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Market expert Bird has recently issued a bold forecast for XRP, the fifth-largest cryptocurrency, suggesting that it could experience a major upside of 800% within this year. If this prediction holds true, XRP could reach a new all-time high of $18.40 per coin. Forecast Indicates XRP Might Rival Ethereum Bird’s forecast hinges on the XRP/BTC ratio, which he predicts will reach 1:5,000 by the end of 2026. This means that 5,000 XRP would be equivalent to 1 Bitcoin (BTC). Currently, the XRP/BTC ratio trades at approximately 0.00002235.  Related Reading: Crypto Market Bill Draft Criticized For Allowing Continued Developer Prosecution For Bird’s envisioned target to materialize, the ratio must increase to 0.0002 BTC per token, representing a substantial gain of around 794% from current levels. With a total supply of 100 billion coins, this price projection implies an overall valuation of approximately $1.84 trillion for XRP. Such a figure would place the cryptocurrency in close competition with Ethereum—and striking distance of Bitcoin’s market cap. Additional Price Scenarios For The Altcoin Market expert Sam Daodu also outlined alternative scenarios for XRP’s future performance. In a base case, where the altcoin garners continued institutional support but doesn’t close the gap with Bitcoin’s market capitalization, the price could range between $3 and $4.  This outcome would depend on exchange traded funds (ETFs) attracting a “few billion in assets” while Bitcoin’s dominance falls to the 40–50% range during a broader altcoin rotation. Related Reading: Zcash Foundation Investigation Closed: SEC Decision Sparks 12% Jump In ZEC Price Conversely, there exists a bear case where macroeconomic challenges or obstacles within the crypto ecosystem could hinder XRP’s price growth. Factors such as geopolitical instability could redirect capital back to Bitcoin and gold, while banks might opt for private ledgers and established stablecoins instead of adopting XRP.  Monthly escrow releases from Ripple of 1 billion coins, accompanied by a potential diminishing exchange-traded fund demand, might cap any potential upside action for the cryptocurrency, leaving it to trade around its current trading prices of $2. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

An XRP Ledger ecosystem developer behind the meme coin DROP is drawing attention after predicting a sharp shift in XRP’s relative value versus bitcoin this year, framing it as the start of a new “price discovery” phase for the token. Bird, who posts under @Bird_XRPL, wrote on X yesterday that “5,000 XRP will be worth 1 Bitcoin in 2026,” then clarified his math with a specific price path in mind. “I said I think 5,000 XRP will be worth 1 Bitcoin,” he added. “For example 5,000 * $27 (XRP) = $135K (BTC).” While the post reads like a headline-grabbing forecast, the structure of Bird’s claim is a ratio trade: XRP outperforming BTC enough that 5,000 XRP could purchase one bitcoin. By anchoring the example to $27 XRP and a $135,000 BTC, Bird effectively argued that the market’s next leg higher could involve a meaningful repricing of XRP’s utility narrative rather than a simple beta move to bitcoin. Related Reading: Get Ready For An XRP Price Explosion Once This Happens; Analyst XRP Entering ‘Price Discovery’ Phase The call arrived alongside a series of posts linking XRP’s setup to broader risk-asset conditions and upcoming US macro catalysts. Bird argued that “above $2.70 $XRP opens the path to all time highs and beyond,” presenting that level as a technical inflection point. “Take a breath. Stay present. Remember this moment,” he wrote. “This is the end of a 7–8 year suppression and the beginning of true price discovery.” Bird’s longer thesis, posted on Jan. 11, focused less on short-term trading and more on a personal allocation framework that treats XRP as a long-duration hold. “XRP should be considered as part of your life saving plans,” he wrote, contrasting bank deposit yields with inflation drag. Related Reading: Ripple Builds ‘Next Amazon’ With XRP At The Center, Says Crypto CEO “Most people keep their money in banks earning around 4–6% a year and feel comfortable doing so, but they rarely factor in inflation. Over time, the buying power of the US dollar and the British pound for example has fallen so much, meaning your money often grows on paper while quietly losing value in the real world.” He then positioned XRP as an alternative store of value tied to expanding usage rather than fiat purchasing power. “That’s where XRP comes in. XRP has spent years suppressed by legal uncertainty, yet during that time the technology continued to mature. Now we have clarity, and we can clearly see what’s being built,” Bird wrote, pointing to “cross border payments, institutional adoption, stablecoins like RLUSD, and real world assets being tokenised on chain.” Bird framed the trade-off as custody and counterparty risk versus upside participation. “That’s why I personally treat XRP as a long term savings vehicle rather than a short term trade,” he wrote. “You can self custody it, store it on a cold wallet, and remove reliance on banks altogether.” Bird also tied the timing of his forecast to what he described as a convergence of market structure and policy headlines. “It’s a massive week for XRP,” he wrote, citing CPI and PPI as volatility events and highlighting that the US market structure bill is scheduled to drop on Thursday. “The charts are aligning. The macro is aligned. If this pushes in our favour and we clear $2.70+, an all time high can come very fast for XRP people!” At press time, XRP traded at $2.06. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP may be setting up for a final, cleaner long entry if the broader market delivers one more volatility-driven pullback, according to CryptoinsightUK’s Will Taylor, who says his preferred “risk to reward” zone sits materially below current support. The thesis hinges on whether Bitcoin prints a double-bottom-style retest and drags major alts into deeper liquidity pockets before the next leg higher. In his Jan. 10 newsletter, Taylor framed early 2026 as a market caught between two plausible paths: a familiar pullback-and-recover structure that has defined prior Bitcoin dips, or a continuation higher that leaves would-be buyers watching price run away. “The question mark for me is whether we do get a wick below this ascending trend line into that double bottom area and then push higher,” he wrote, adding that the setup is crowded. “On the other side of this, it does make you think that everyone is probably looking at the same structure and waiting for something like this to play out.” Taylor said he had closed short-term trades during the week, not as a shift in his higher-timeframe view, but as a response to what he described as low-timeframe conditions and event risk. “Today we get the ruling on tariffs in the US. Is that going to provide some volatility?” he asked, pointing to a cluster of geopolitical headlines as potential catalysts that could either produce the pullback he’s watching for—or “deceive people… who are waiting for a pullback, and instead continue higher from here and leave those orders behind.” Related Reading: Spot XRP ETFs Hit Record Trading Volume In Past Week — Details Taylor’s shorter-term trade framework leans heavily on liquidity positioning, using Ethereum as a key tell for what Bitcoin might do next. He argued ETH “kind of favours the double bottom scenario” because “the amount of liquidity that has built up for ETH down to about $2,600” is heavier below than above on the hourly chart, an imbalance he views as a magnet if the market attempts to rally without first clearing that downside interest. One Last Buying Opportunity For XRP? That same logic carries into his XRP plan. Taylor said XRP has already “swept the highs of the range first,” forcing a decision point between holding a nearer support band—his “first blue box”—or fading into a deeper demand zone. “Now the discussion becomes whether we move into the first blue box as a weaker area of support and hold there… or whether we come back down into the deeper support zone around $1.90 to $1.82 and hold there,” he wrote. “That deeper area is my preferred risk to reward zone for placing long positions, and that is where I will be looking to get back into an XRP long and add to my position if we see that move specifically.” He added that the daily RSI on XRP was “close to crossing bearish,” presenting a technical backdrop that, in his view, supports the case for one more washout before trend continuation while stressing it does not alter his higher-timeframe bullish thesis. Related Reading: Ripple Builds ‘Next Amazon’ With XRP At The Center, Says Crypto CEO Taylor then pivoted to a more stimulative medium-term narrative, citing talk of “putting 200 billion into additional mortgage backed security purchases to cut mortgage rates,” along with suggestions of potential stimulus checks and the inflation sensitivity of oil prices. “Because of all of this, I think we’re going to see an epic rally. I don’t think people are really expecting the size or the scale of the move that could come,” Taylor wrote. “I believe we’re in the final shakeout period before the market really starts to march higher.” He said he remained “around 95% exposed to the market through spot positions,” framing the decision to close short-term trades as “a capital protection mechanism.” His minimum XRP price target is $3.40 and extends to $4.40 based on liquidity in the medium term. Long-term, he says that the argument for the $8-$12 range is still valid, as reported last week. Separate commentary in the newsletter from analyst @thecryptomann1 highlighted what “confirmation” would look like on Bitcoin: a reclaim of roughly $105,000, a push through, and a successful retest. He cited “a huge amount of volume around this region” and alignment with bull market support bands, arguing that regaining them would shift the read from “relief rally” to something more durable. He also pointed to USDT dominance sitting on a multi-year trend line but showing weakness, including being “trapped below the 20 EMA” with RSI “below 50” and rolling over conditions that, if they resolve lower, could align with a risk-on breakout in majors. At press time, XRP traded at $2.05. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP has jumped roughly 25% off its recent lows (at one point), and Cryptoinsightuk co-founder Will Taylor says the move has reopened the debate over whether XRP is starting a larger impulse that could ultimately point toward the $8–$12 zone or whether it’s a short-term squeeze that needs to cool first. Taylor said he’s “up in the air” on the immediate next step, even as he remains long. His hesitation is rooted in a simple conflict: the lower timeframes look stretched, but XRP has a track record of accelerating after momentum spikes rather than immediately mean-reverting. What The XRP Charts Tell Us On the hourly, Taylor noted XRP’s RSI has repeatedly hit overbought territory and “we’ve crossed bearish on the hour,” a short-term warning that often precedes pullbacks or sideways digestion. On the four-hour, he described RSI as “about as high as I’ve pretty much ever seen it,” and tried to contextualize what happened the last few times XRP got similarly overheated. In one prior episode, he said XRP pulled back briefly, then continued higher by “a further like 36%.” In another, he described a rally sequence where price consolidated and then ran again, adding “another 129%” into the next leg. Related Reading: Same XRP Setup That Led To Over 1,000% Increase In 2017 Is Playing Out Again That’s the core of his dilemma: overbought conditions can be a sell signal in many markets, but Taylor argues XRP’s strongest phases often begin with RSI entering overbought, not ending there. “When XRP’s daily RSI gets overbought, XRP rips in price a lot of the time,” he said, pushing back on the reflex to fade strength. On the daily chart, he highlighted what he sees as a constructive technical shift. XRP has closed above a short-term range that previously capped price for multiple days, and printed its “highest daily close in XRP since the 13th of November.” Taylor emphasized how quickly XRP cleared that ceiling this time: after multiple failed attempts in the prior weeks, “we break straight through.” XRP Price Targets From there, Taylor laid out the upside logic using historical RSI analogs. He said three previous daily overbought signals during the current cycle coincided with major extensions, citing moves of roughly 414% in one instance and 36% and 49% in others. He framed this as pattern recognition rather than prediction: “this is complete fact,” he said, referring to the historical relationship between daily RSI overbought and subsequent upside but he still translated those rough percentages into possible zones. A smaller continuation on the order of ~39% would, in his words, take XRP to around $3.13. A larger extension could revisit all-time highs near $3.66. The most aggressive interpretation, aligned with his broader wave thesis, would move XRP “up towards our goals of like $8 to $12 for this wave.” Related Reading: Only 1 Week Left As XRP RSI Breakout Sets Up $10 Path, Analyst Predicts Structurally, Taylor said the market is at a point where multiple Elliott Wave counts can be argued. He sketched competing interpretations: XRP may be working through an ABC-type move off the lows, may be approaching a fifth wave higher, or could still be in an extended third wave within a larger five-wave advance. “My honest answer is right now I don’t know,” he said. Even without committing to a wave count, Taylor said the “impulsive” character of the rally stands out. He pointed to “the length of these candles supported by volume” across exchanges, arguing the move looks different from earlier, more corrective price action. For him, the practical test is near-term continuation: he wants to see “some more really aggressive candles” over the next day or two to support the idea that XRP is leading a broader leg rather than squeezing and stalling. Liquidity is the other piece he’s watching. Taylor said XRP has “on the hourly taken most of our upside liquidity,” while flagging downside liquidity zones around $1.70 down to $1.66. He said in established trends he would “expect a continuation to the upside,” but those downside pools, combined with stretched RSI and nearby resistance on XRP’s relative pairs, keep him from treating the current level as a clean new entry. Taylor said these mixed signals are why he has considered reducing leverage on his XRP long, noting he is “90% spot.” His bottom line was simple: XRP has delivered “a fantastic aggressive move,” but the next few sessions matter. 29 minutes of $XRP TA. pic.twitter.com/aJ4yiC7Sdr — Cryptoinsightuk (@Cryptoinsightuk) January 6, 2026 If XRP keeps printing strong daily candles and the relative pairs start closing above resistance, his $8–$12 zone framing remains a live bull-case roadmap. If not, the same overbought signals and nearby liquidity pockets increase the odds that XRP first resets through consolidation or a retracement before any larger leg can develop. At press time, XRP traded at $2.25. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP is compressing on the weekly chart into a clearly defined post-breakout range, and analyst Maelius (@MaeliusCrypto)argues the next directional clue will come from the RSI, with a breakout “sometime in Q1” that he expects to coincide with higher prices and a push toward $10. Maelius’ chart is a 1W XRP/USD view (Bitstamp) with a 50-week EMA overlaid. The market’s most recent regime shift is clear: a sharp vertical expansion carried XRP from a long base into a higher trading band, followed by a multi-week consolidation inside a shaded range. Is XRP Set To Explode Within 1 Week? That range is anchored by two levels the chart emphasizes. The upper boundary aligns with the prior spike high near $3.33 (the 2018 peak), while the lower boundary sits just above $1.60. At the time of the screenshot, XRP is around $2.124 on the weekly close, placing price just below the 50-week EMA, the most immediate, high-visibility pivot in Maelius’ framing. The Elliott labeling casts the current chop as a corrective wave 4 after the impulsive advance. The message is less “trend is broken” and more “trend is pausing.” Maelius added that his “conservative count assumes there is only 1W left,” implying a relatively tight window for the market to resolve the consolidation and transition into wave 5 if momentum confirms. Related Reading: XRP Is Setting Up For Its ‘Next Explosive Move,’ Analysts Say: Here’s The Target The broader layout of the chart also invites a comparison to 2017: XRP’s first major run off a base, a long mid-cycle breather, and then a second, sharper leg into the ultimate high. In the comparison within the chart, XRP rallied roughly 7,400% in about three months in early 2017, consolidated from May through December, then surged again by roughly 1,500%. Today’s sequencing is presented as similar in shape, if not necessarily in magnitude: a strong first leg from roughly November 2024 through January 2025 (roughly +500%), followed by a year-long consolidation into January 2026. In that read, the next major leg higher could be approaching, potentially shallower than the first, with wave 5 serving as the “second push” analogue. Related Reading: Analyst Updates XRP Price Prediction: Why $16 Is Still On The Table The lower panel is a weekly RSI with a descending trendline capping recent peaks. That red down-sloping line is Maelius’ timing trigger: “RSI breaks out sometime in Q1. Price goes higher.” The implication is straightforward. In his framework, momentum needs to break its own compression before price can sustain the next expansion phase. Crucially, the chart also carries a higher-degree label that places the current wave 4 within a larger wave III, rather than portraying the next wave 5 as a terminal, cycle-ending move. That aligns with his response when asked whether $10 would be a quarterly “max”: “Sometime in Q1 we should get a breakout, not necessarily a top. Next wave should be towards 10$.” If the thesis is working, XRP would be expected to reclaim the 50-week EMA and reassert acceptance back toward the range highs near $3.33, with the RSI trendline break acting as the confirmation event Maelius is watching. If it fails, continued rejection at the EMA and a breakdown through the range floor above $1.60 would keep the wave-4 corrective phase in play and delay the wave-5 path he’s mapped. At press time, XRP traded at $2.37. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

In 2025, XRP emerged as the best-performing token among the top ten largest cryptocurrencies, outpacing gains from Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). As the first week of 2026 unfolds, XRP has continued this upward trend, recording a 17% surge over the past week that has propelled its price back above the key $2.20 threshold. Strong ETF Demand Pushes XRP Forward One of the prominent factors contributing to this surge is the strong performance of XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which became a standout in the market by attracting $483 million over the past weeks. In contrast, Bitcoin ETFs experienced a significant outflow of $1.09 billion, while Ethereum products faced a loss of $564 million.  XRP funds not only achieved $483 million in inflows during December but also maintained a steady influx for 30 consecutive trading days. This streak finally ended on December 26 with the first day of zero inflows.  Overall, since their launch in November, total inflows into XRP exchange-traded funds have amassed to $1.3 billion, marking the fastest adoption rate for any altcoin ETF to date. Related Reading: Bitcoin Reaches $93,000 Amid Renewed Optimism: What To Keep An Eye On This Week Looking ahead, reports suggest that the ETF landscape could be pivotal in shaping bullish scenarios for XRP. A potential filing by BlackRock for an XRP ETF could serve as a significant credibility boost, attracting conservative institutional investors to the space.  BlackRock’s own $40 billion Bitcoin ETF exemplifies the capacity to mobilize capital effectively through its Aladdin platform connections. Additionally, the scaling of Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin into banking and remittance services could generate ongoing demand for XRP as a critical bridge asset. There are also signs that the Federal Reserve could implement several rate cuts in 2026, which would lower the opportunity cost of investing in risk assets.  Under such conditions, it is alleged that the XRP price might break through its all-time high of $3.84, potentially escalating toward the $4.00 to $5.00 range by year-end. On The Cusp Of Major Gains? When it comes to price action, market analyst Dark Defender, active on the social media platform X (previously Twitter), recently highlighted XRP’s price action by providing a three-month time frame update.  The analyst noted that a newly initiated green candle in January exhibits a bullish Relative Strength Index (RSI). According to Dark Defender, surpassing the $2.22 level is crucial for XRP. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price On The Brink Of A 9,000% Rally To $10? What Historical Performance Shows He further suggested that XRP could be on the brink of a significant surge, similar to silver, and pointed to ambitious targets such as $6 and even as high as $20 in the future.  Achieving $6 would represent a notable 171% increase from current trading prices, while reaching the $20 mark would indicate a staggering 800% rise. While trading at $2.21 at the time of writing, the token is still facing $2.22 as the next major short-term resistance level, and is also trading at 40% below its all-time high. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP is approaching a decision point across the monthly and daily charts, with renowned crypto analysts The Great Mattsby (Matt Hughes) and Charting Guy (@ChartingGuy) framing the current structure as a volatility-compression setup that could resolve higher if key high-timeframe supports continue to hold. XRP Price Poised For ‘Explosive Move’ Mattsby’s core claim is that XRP has defended its long-term trend support and is now coiling for expansion. “XRP had a perfect bounce off the 20-month MA, while the upper and lower bands continue to contract—setting up for its next explosive move higher,” he wrote, adding: “It’s crazy how many people are bearish right at major high-time-frame support.” On the monthly chart, XRP is shown trading around $2.08629, sitting above the Bollinger basis near 1.89623, with the upper band labeled at $3.57705 and the lower band at $0.21541. The visual takeaway is the squeeze: the band envelope has tightened materially compared with prior periods, a condition Mattsby ties to “explosive” directional follow-through when it resolves. Related Reading: Jake Claver Doubles Down On $100 XRP Target After 2025 Miss The other important input on that panel is the 20-month moving average, which Mattsby highlights as the pivot. His October framing leans on historical rhyme: “XRP is repeating what it did back in 2017. Consolidate sideways for months until it touched the 20month MA. After that, it shot up to finish off the cycle.” In his view, the touch-and-hold dynamic is already in place this cycle, even if it’s “taking a little longer.” With the October 10 liquidation event, XRP pierced the 20-month moving average and has since consolidated above it. If that read holds, the most explicit upside reference on-chart is the monthly Bollinger upper band around $3.57705, a level that would represent a return to the top of the current volatility envelope rather than an open-ended projection. Wyckoff-Style Re-Accumulation Points To $8 Charting Guy’s daily chart overlays a Wyckoff-style roadmap and labels the sequence as a re-accumulation that transitions into markup. The yellow projection assumes XRP is still working through overhead supply, with the ~$2.08 area (marked by the blue horizontal line and aligned with the current print) acting as the immediate gatekeeper. In that framing, $2.08 is not a comfort-zone support level yet; it is a level XRP needs to reclaim decisively and then stay above on retests for the bullish sequence to keep validating. Related Reading: XRP Faces Strong Social Discontent—Is A 50% Bullish Reversal Just Around The Corner? A second constraint on the chart is the descending channel, the “creek” structure that defined the current downtrend. Charting Guy expects that XRP will rally towards the upper trendline resistance, followed by a controlled pullback labeled “test,” where price checks whether demand is real and whether sellers can still force acceptance back into the old range. If that test holds (another short-lived dip below $2.08 is fine), the roadmap then looks for an “LPS” (last point of support): a higher low that signals supply is being absorbed. Only after that does the yellow path call for “JATC” (jump across the creek), the clean breakout through the channel, followed by “SOS” (sign of strength) into the next major horizontal ceiling around ~$3.40. From there, the schematic expects another pause and “LPS” beneath that ~$3.40 zone, before the final markup leg accelerates into the ~$8 region. In short, the chart’s bullish outcome is conditional on sequential level-flips: first $2.08, then the channel, then ~$3.40 and finally $8. Until now, XRP is “following perfectly” the path, as the analyst noted via X. At press time, XRP traded at $2.13. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Despite a mixed performance throughout 2025, XRP has emerged as one of the standout performers in the cryptocurrency market. Currently trading slightly below $1.90, the fifth-largest cryptocurrency has retraced nearly 50% from its all-time highs achieved in July.  Nevertheless, Standard Chartered is optimistic about XRP’s future, forecasting a significant upward trend driven by anticipated inflows into spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and increased regulatory clarity. Spot XRP ETFs Could Drive $4-$8 Billion In Inflows  The bank predicts that the launch of spot XRP ETFs could bring in between $4 billion and $8 billion into XRP throughout 2026. Should these inflows materialize, the resulting demand—coupled with XRP’s relatively limited supply—could catalyze a sharp increase in the coin’s price.  Related Reading: US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: Key Catalyst For Potential Surge Toward $150,000 Next Year Analyst Geoffrey Kendrick has laid out an ambitious roadmap for XRP’s future, anticipating prices of $8.00 in 2026, and potentially reaching $12.50 by 2028. To put this into perspective, XRP’s current circulating supply is approximately 57 billion coins. Even modest inflows of a few billion dollars could create a meaningful supply shock in the market.  So far, XRP ETFs have gathered around $1.25 billion. To reach the $8 target, it would require annual flows to hit the range of $5 billion to $10 billion, similar to the initial enthusiasm surrounding Bitcoin ETFs. Regulatory Resolution As Key Catalyst  A parallel factor influencing XRP’s potential rise is the resolution of regulatory uncertainty surrounding the cryptocurrency. The US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) long-standing lawsuit against Ripple Labs has significantly impacted XRP’s narrative.  Yet, in August 2025, the SEC withdrew its appeal, resulting in Ripple agreeing to a $125 million settlement and affirming that XRP sales on secondary markets are not classified as securities transactions.  Related Reading: Bitcoin And Ethereum Influx: Strategy Grabs 1,200 BTC, Bitmine Immersion Ups ETH by 44,000 This resolution eliminates a substantial legal burden and is seen by Standard Chartered as a catalyst for increased adoption. With legal uncertainties removed, capital that had been sidelined could finally enter the market. However, for XRP to achieve a price of $8 by 2026, favorable economic conditions, including low interest rates and a risk-on attitude among investors, would be critical. Should macroeconomic challenges escalate, investors may shy away from altcoins. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com