Bitcoin price recaptures the $62,000 level as investor grow increasingly concerned about the fiscal health of the US
Goldman Sachs CFO Denis Coleman believes the Federal Reserve’s recent 50 basis point interest rate cut positions the U.S. for a soft landing. He expressed optimism that the move will ease capital costs and boost market confidence heading into 2025. While inflation levels are decreasing and unemployment remains stable, some experts, including JPMorgan CEO Jamie …
Given the renewed upward performance of the entire cryptocurrency market following the recent Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut, Bitcoin is witnessing a wave of bullish predictions from crypto experts, with some forecasting that BTC’s final surge for this cycle has officially set in. Bitcoin Might Be Poised For The Last Great Rally Crypto expert […]
Bitcoin’s price has surged to $61,000 following a significant move by the U.S. Federal Reserve to slash interest rates by 50 basis points. This marks the first interest rate cut in four years, an aggressive start to its first easing campaign. Fed Plans Another Rate Cut by December The U.S. Federal Reserve reduced its benchmark …
A rate cut could add to inflation and strengthen the Japanese yen, crashing markets, Hayes explained.
Bitcoin price wobbles near $58,000 as uncertainty over the Fed’s monetary policy decision looms and traders eyeball weak economic data in China.
With the Federal Reserve’s rate cut only a few days away, a crypto expert has shed light on the aftermath of Bitcoin‘s performance once the interest rate is decreased, particularly on September 18, which has been a major discussion within the general community. Bitcoin’s Short-Term Panic Is A “High Probability” In a cautionary post on […]
"Rarely has the market gone into the Fed meeting with maximum uncertainty (halfway between 25bps and 50bps)," Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex
Seasoned crypto trader Doctor Profit, a popular analyst on X, has shared his bold predictions regarding the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting on September 18. According to Doctor Profit, the market is split between a 0.25% and a 0.50% interest rate cut, but he firmly believes the Fed will opt for the latter. Here’s why and …
Bitcoin must hold above the $50,000 mark until the Sept. 18 Federal Reserve meeting to avoid more downside.
A stock market recovery, investors' anticipation of upcoming US inflation data and risks to the US dollar dominance are fuelling Bitcoin’s recent price gains.
Bitcoin traders expect BTC to rally if the Fed rolls out a 0.50% rate cut, but hedging these bullish positions is also necessary. Here is how it's done.
Many analysts say a drop in spot Bitcoin ETF demand is the primary reason for BTC’s price weakness, but there’s more to it than that.
The US Federal Reserve is expected to begin lowering its benchmark interest rate in September.
Bitcoin bulls charge into key BTC price resistance as the US Federal Reserve gives a clear signal regarding interest rate cuts.
For the first time since 2020, the Federal Reserve finally seems to be on track to cut U.S. interest rates in September. The US Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell is widely expected to use a keynote speech at a major central banking conference on Friday to indicate support for a rate cut ahead of next …
As the cryptocurrency market turns optimistic, a crypto analyst has predicted that Shiba Inu (SHIB) is about to undergo a bullish breakout. However, he emphasizes that in order to validate the meme coin’s upward trajectory, it must first overcome a significant resistance level. Shiba Inu Poised For Gains In Upcoming Weeks Ronimus Prime, a trader […]
Fear of a global economic recession continues to drive investors away from risk-on assets like Bitcoin.
Customers Bank, one of the last of crypto friendly American banks has been warned by the Fed. The Federal Reserve, which controls the U.S. money system, has taken action against the bank because they’re not happy with how the bank handles risks and fights against money laundering .This is a big deal, especially because Customers …
For the crypto and broader financial market, FOMC day is upon us once again today. And analysts agree that today’s meeting will be one of the most important in recent years. Kurt S. Altrichter, a financial advisor and founder of Ivory Hill, even describes today’s FOMC meeting as the “most important of your life.” In a new post on X, Altrichter explains why. FOMC Preview Central to today’s FOMC meeting is the Federal Reserve’s potential indication of a September rate cut. According to Altrichter, the financial markets are almost unanimously anticipating this move, with Fed fund futures indicating a near-certain likelihood of such an outcome. “Market expectation is a strong signal for a September rate cut,” Altrichter points out, marking today’s update as a pivotal moment for financial markets. The key question for today is: “How strongly does the Fed signal a September rate cut?” the expert explains. Investors are directed to pay close attention to the FOMC’s statement at 2:00 pm ET, especially the third paragraph, which could subtly signal the Fed’s confidence in reaching its inflation targets. Related Reading: XRP Price Poised For ‘Ultimate Breakout’ With $18 Price Target: Crypto Analyst Altrichter advises, “Look at the 3rd paragraph for this key sentence: The Committee does not expect it will be appropriate to reduce the target range until it has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2 percent.” Any modification in this wording would be a clear signal that the Fed is nearing its inflation control goals, potentially paving the way for rate adjustments. Altrichter outlines several potential outcomes from the meeting, each associated with specific market reactions. In a dovish scenario, the Fed signals a rate cut for September. Then, Altrichter expects a broad market rally, especially in sectors less sensitive to interest rates. “Yields and the dollar should fall modestly with a modest rally in commodities,” Altrichter predicts, suggesting significant movements in standard and sector-specific indexes. In a hawkish scenario, there will be no change in the forward guidance by the US central bank. If the Fed maintains its current stance without hinting at future cuts, the markets might experience a downturn. “Look out below and expect a sharp decline. SPX should fall by 1-2%,” he warns, noting that tech and growth sectors might relatively outperform due to their appeal during higher yield periods. How Will Bitcoin And Crypto React? The potential adjustments in US monetary policy bear direct consequences for the Bitcoin and crypto markets. Crypto, often viewed as alternative investments, reacts sensitively to shifts in monetary policy, particularly regarding interest rates. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull Cycle Likely To Go On Till Mid-2025: CryptoQuant CEO If the dovish scenario materializes, this could make Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies more appealing. A signal of lower future rates could drive increased investment into the crypto market, potentially leading to price increases as investors seek higher returns in alternative assets. Conversely, should the Fed signal reluctance to cut rates, indicating a stronger economic outlook or concerns about inflation, this could strengthen the US dollar and increase yields on traditional financial instruments. Such an environment might lead to a pullback in the crypto markets, as the comparative advantage of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies diminishes against strengthening traditional yields. Max Schwartzman, CEO of Because Bitcoin Inc, commented via X: “FOMC is [today] & its incredibly important as we get into the end of this fed cycle… Here is how the last 11 meetings have gone for Bitcoin…” Thus, today’s FOMC meeting is a watershed moment for financial markets globally, with significant implications for both traditional and crypto markets. As Altrichter succinctly puts it, “A Sept Fed rate cut has driven the 2024 bull market. Tomorrow’s meeting will either reinforce that tailwind or refute it. If the Fed signals a cut, the rally continues. No signal: markets could get ugly.” At press time, BTC traded at $66,462. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com
The Bitcoin bull market is in full swing, as proved by the BTC futures premium reaching a five-week high.
The Bitcoin bull market is in full swing, as proved by the BTC futures premium reaching a five-week high.
As Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency asset continues to garner support from leading figures in the industry, Chris Wood, the Chief strategist at Jefferies in a daring statement that might change people’s perceptions of digital currencies has suggested that the potential collapse of the United States Dollar Paper Standard could significantly benefit BTC holders in the […]
Bitcoin bulls run out of steam yet again as BTC price action returns to its pre-CPI position.
Traders are seemingly going risk-off ahead of a U.S. CPI print and a Fed monetary policy meeting, with Bitcoin falling to a weekly low.
Bitcoin flirted with $70,200 on June 3, but traders fear excessive leverage might be a double-edged sword.
Bitcoin price shows strength as investors expect the Fed to resume printing, but a handful of global macroeconomic headwinds are still in play.
As the US economy grapples with rising inflation expectations and scaled-back forecasts for Federal Reserve rate cuts, the Bitcoin market remains buoyant, according to a detailed analysis by Reflexivity Research. With the US CPI headline inflation projected to accelerate to 4.8% by the November 2024 elections, according to Bank of America, conditions are seemingly unfavorable for a loosening of monetary policy. Despite this, the cryptocurrency sector, particularly Bitcoin, appears insulated and optimistic. Bitcoin Unfazed By Delayed Rate Cuts? The bond market now anticipates only three Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, a significant reduction from the earlier forecast of six. The CME FedWatch tool indicates that the majority of market participants do not expect a rate cut to occur before the mid-September FOMC meeting. This adjustment reflects a recalibration of expectations regarding the Fed’s capacity to manage persistent inflation pressures. Amidst these macroeconomic shifts, Ritik Goyal, in a guest post for Reflexivity Research, presents a compelling analysis in his report titled “The Fed is Unable to Cause a Recession. Risk Assets are Yet to Realize This.” Related Reading: Pre-Halving Jitters: Bitcoin Price Briefly Slips Below $60,000 The report argues that, contrary to conventional wisdom, the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes have had unintended stimulative effects on the economy. Goyal elucidates three specific mechanisms through which this phenomenon operates: 1. Increased Government Interest Payments: “Rate hikes raised interest payments by the government to the private sector,” Goyal notes. As the Fed raises rates, it increases the interest burden on the government, which has borrowed extensively during the post-COVID period. With the federal debt-to-GDP ratio exceeding 120%, the doubled interest payments now effectively act as a stimulus, channeling approximately $1 trillion annually to the private sector 2. Direct Subsidy to Banking System: The Fed’s policy adjustments have also led to a redistribution of wealth within the financial system. “Rate hikes raised the Fed’s direct subsidy to the banking system,” states Goyal. This has occurred as the yield curve inversion resulted in the Fed incurring losses on its balance sheet, losses that directly benefit the banking sector, translating to an estimated $150 billion annual subsidy. Related Reading: Bitcoin Displays Bullish Adam And Eve Double Bottom: What It Means 3. Induced Housing Construction Boom: The rate hikes have paradoxically stimulated the housing market. “Rate hikes induced a housing construction boom,” according to Goyal. As higher rates discourage existing homeowners from selling, the only viable option to meet housing demand is new construction, a sector with one of the highest GDP multipliers. Goyal’s insights underline a critical misalignment in the Fed’s current approach against the backdrop of substantial fiscal interventions since the pandemic. “The traditional monetary policy framework is breaking down under the weight of fiscal dominance,” Goyal concludes, suggesting an environment that could favor non-traditional assets like Bitcoin. Echoing Goyal’s findings, crypto expert Will Clemente highlighted the broader implications for cryptocurrencies on X (formerly Twitter), stating, “With debt/GDP as high as it is, we’re in a backwards world where high rates mean interest payments on debt are stimmy checks for people that buy assets—~$1T will be paid out in 2024. Big picture is very constructive for the internet coins.” At press time, BTC traded at $61,173. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com
Reduced leverage use in Bitcoin futures greatly reduces the odds of cascading liquidations in the case of a BTC price pullback.
A crypto analyst on X is confident that Bitcoin has bottomed and is poised for major gains in the sessions ahead. Interestingly, the bullish outlook hinges on the Bitcoin market cap retesting all-time highs at press time. Will BTC Rally? Market Dynamics Changing So far, the Bitcoin price is around 2021 highs in USD terms but recently broke all-time highs, peaking at around $73,800. This fluctuation is also reflected in its market cap. It currently stands at $1.25 trillion, down 5% in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Bitcoin Spot ETFs See 4 Consecutive Days Of Outflows, Here’s What Happened Last Time Notably, it is at the same price level as in 2021, when Bitcoin prices peaked, recording new all-time highs. While optimism abounds and the trader expects more sharp price expansions in the days ahead, it is not immediately clear whether the coin will rip higher, aligning with this forecast. Bitcoin is volatile and has remained so despite changing market dynamics. At the same time, unlike in the past, Bitcoin prices are driven not only by retail forces but by institutions. These institutions are regulated by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which also approved the spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF). This Bitcoin derivative product has been the primary driving force in the past ten weeks. This is from looking at how prices have evolved since its approval in mid-January 2024. However, since BlackRock and Fidelity are regulated by the United States SEC, unlike retailers, they cannot act as they wish. Considering the millions and billions of dollars at play, their comments or assessments on the coin, now and in the future, can greatly impact sentiment. Sentiment Is Dented, BTC Facing Headwinds Sentiment has been dented when writing. Even with the United States Federal Reserve (Fed) ‘s decision to hold rates at 5.5%, the highest in 2023, lifting prices, there has been no solid follow-through in price action. The coin remains steady below $70,000. Whether prices will rally over the weekend remains to be seen. However, for now, there are some headwinds to consider. Related Reading: XRP Set For Rapid Rally, Target At $5 In The Short Term First, there has been a slowdown in inflows to spot BTC ETFs. At the same time, outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) have increased. Second, after rallying sharply from October 2023, a cool-off before halving might see the coin trend lower. Feature image from DALLE, chart from TradingView