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Following a significant downturn that saw Bitcoin (BTC) plunge to the $80,000 mark on November 21, the leading cryptocurrency has managed to stabilize above this critical threshold for several days.  This development has sparked speculation about whether this level represents a short-term bottom and if a new upward trend might follow. Potential Local Bottom For Bitcoin According to analysis from CryptoQuant analyst Carmelo Aleman, on-chain data indicates a market landscape characterized by institutional redistribution, structural weakness, and signs of a rebound that may hint at a local bottom. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces Less Than 50% Chance Of Hitting $100,000 By December 31, Says AI Model One of the observations made is that large whale investors have been actively distributing their holdings. The cohorts holding more than 10,000 BTC and those with 1,000 to 10,000 BTC appear to be primarily in a selling position.  Carmelo stated that this kind of behavior reflects ongoing profit-taking by institutions looking to reduce their risk exposure, which leads to an overall offloading of supply into the market. Retail investors have also been contributing to the distribution trend. Over the past 60 days, wallets holding between 0 to 1 BTC and 1 to 10 BTC have demonstrated net selling rather than accumulation, suggesting a lack of purchasing support from the retail sector. In contrast, mid-sized BTC holders—those in the 100 to 1,000 BTC range—appear to be acquiring steadily, while the 10 to 100 BTC group is showing consistent accumulation.  Hidden Bullish Divergence After this 11-day selling spree, signs of stabilization have emerged. Bitcoin has rebounded above $89,000 on late Monday, which may suggest the formation of a local bottom, although this has yet to be conclusively confirmed.  However, while momentum is positive, Aleman warned that the possibility of a trend reversal is heavily reliant on ongoing accumulation from crucial investor cohorts, notably mid-sized investors. While there are obvious rebounds and support from particular groups, the continued distribution of the 1,000 to 10,000 BTC cohort prevents definitive confirmation of a trend reversal.  Related Reading: Latest Crypto Crash Wipes $1 Billion Off Trump Family’s Wealth Other analysts, including Ash Crypto, have noted bullish indicators that further support this outlook. He highlighted that Bitcoin is experiencing a hidden bullish divergence on the weekly timeframe, suggesting that selling pressure is easing, momentum is stabilizing, and the weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) may soon reverse. If this hidden bullish divergence is confirmed, it typically precedes a strong continuation rally, according to the analyst, adding to the argument that BTC may be on the verge of a new upward trajectory. Bitcoin is currently trading at $87,150, 30% below its all-time high of $126,000. This momentum has caused the top cryptocurrency to erase all gains recorded in all time frames, including year-to-date, with a drop of roughly 9% during this period.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

In the dynamic and often volatile landscape of digital assets, Bitcoin’s position as the premier store of value in the digital asset space remains firmly intact, even as the broader crypto ecosystem evolves. Its unmatched network strength, fixed supply, and resilient global infrastructure continue to make it the benchmark against all digital assets. Unmatched Network Security Keeps Bitcoin In The Lead Bitcoin remains the largest and most secure store of value in the crypto ecosystem, with a market capitalization surpassing $1.7 trillion and increasingly unmatched institutional adoption. However, analyst Ted has noted on X that the BTC base layer was never built for decentralized finance (DeFi).  Related Reading: Historic Downturn: Bitcoin Nears Worst Weekly Performance In Over A Year Most of BTC’s capital sits idle and is unable to support the complex financial applications. This is where the BTCFi emerges, and it’s rising because it activates this dormant capital without forcing users or liquidity away from BTC’s security. Ted highlighted that Arch Network is a utility layer that enables the development of expressive rush in smart contracts directly to BTC for high performance. It offers real-time state management, true interoperability, and fast parallel execution, while remaining fully aligned with the BTC UTXO model. This ensures that all settlements and final state changes remain anchored directly to BTC for maximum security. The applications on ArchVM generate Zero-Knowledge (ZK) proofs for each batch of transactions, and BTC nodes verify those proofs on-chain; a design that enables fast trading, money lending, credit markets, and real-world asset (RWA) applications with the L1-level trust. Furthermore,  Ted describes the Arch Network as aiming to become a core piece of the infrastructure pillar for the emerging BTCFi ecosystem. Bitcoin Stabilizes As Market Volatility Cools Off The cryptocurrency market is now showing signs of stabilization, positioning Bitcoin for a potential resurgence. According to CryptosRus, last Friday, BTC appeared to have firmly bottomed just above the $82,000 level, a crucial development that analysts are pointing to as a potential renewed market strength. While the selling pressure is fading, these key developments could trigger a near-term bounce for BTC. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Recovery Loses Strength, Traders Watch $90K as Last Line of Defense Swissblock outlines a sharp risk-off signal, suggesting that the worst phase of capitulation may be over. The market might still experience a second weaker wave of selling pressure, which would mark the exhaustion of any remaining sellers, and shift the market towards the bulls. Fed rate cuts are surging, as the December cut probability is climbing back to 70%, fueling optimism for liquidity support. Furthermore, liquidity injection is possible, and market analysts are highlighting that the actions from the Fed could expand reserves, which have historically proven to be bullish for the crypto market. With selling pressure easing and policy tailwinds building, BTC’s climb may continue signaling a potential recovery. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

A recent claim that the Bitcoin price could surge to $220,000 in just 45 days has drawn sharp criticism from a financial strategist. The analyst frames such ambitious forecasts as unrealistic and highly speculative. Considering the recent decline in the BTC market, if the projection is taken at face value without supporting data, it overlooks ongoing market trends, macroeconomic conditions, and potential investor risks.  Strategist Labels $220,000 Bitcoin Price Forecast “Nonsense” South Korean scientist YoungHoon Kim, who holds the world’s highest reported IQ of 276, recently predicted that Bitcoin could more than double its current price and reach $220,000 within 45 days. Based on this forecast, the BTC price is expected to surge by over 151% from current levels below $87,500, potentially reaching a new all-time high by mid-January 2026.  Related Reading: Analyst Who Predicted Bitcoin Price Action With Chinese Astrology Shares When Prices Will Surge With Bitcoin down more than 31% from its ATH above $126,000, the bold forecast came as a surprise to many crypto members. The founder of Black Swan Capitalist, Versan Aljarrah, in particular, criticized the projection, calling it “nonsense.” He described it as an example of the speculative behavior that has long characterized the crypto space.  Aljarrah argued that predictions like Kim’s, which lack the visible support of a technical analysis, are what transform the crypto space into a “circus.” He highlighted that Bitcoin maxis will often go to extreme lengths to sustain the hype, promoting narratives that keep the speculative bubble alive even when market fundamentals raise caution. The Black Swan Capitalist founder also disclosed that Bitcoin has historically functioned more as a tool for predators and bad actors. His statements suggest that Kim’s forecast oversimplifies the complexities of the crypto market and distracts investors and traders from the fundamental structural factors driving Bitcoin’s price.   Bitcoin Price Continues To Falter Amidst Bullish Forecasts The Bitcoin market remains at a crossroads, with analysts forecasting sharp upward moves despite choppy price action. Despite predictions of a potential rally, BTC’s recent performance paints a more cautious picture, as its price has fallen by more than 20% over the past month, according to CoinMarketCap.  Related Reading: Why Bitwise Thinks Bitcoin Still Hits $200,000 In 2026 Crypto analyst Pepesso recently issued a bullish forecast, suggesting that Bitcoin may have hit its bottom and could potentially start a recovery toward levels between $126,000 and $160,000. However, broader market indicators, such as the Fear and Greed Index, point to extreme fear, suggesting investors remain highly uncertain about BTC’s near-term outlook.  Other analysts, like Gen Detector, have presented a more conservative outlook, predicting that Bitcoin could first stabilize around the $100,000 psychological level before its next bear wave begins. However, he has not ruled out the likelihood of further price corrections, highlighting the potential for BTC to revisit the $70,000 to $50,000 range before the next major bull run. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin’s three-year advance may be rolling over, according to Chartered Market Technician Tony Severino, who argues that BTC has now completed a “triple bearish divergence” on higher timeframes – a structure he characterises as the trend “dying under the hood” even as price printed fresh highs. Bitcoin Has Hit A Triple Bearish Divergence In a video published on November 24 and shared on X, Severino says he had to go beyond standard references to formalise the pattern. “I really never heard that statement before,” he admits of the term triple negative divergence. “There wasn’t a lot of information on Google […] I turned to AI, turned to ChatGPT.” His working definition: “three successive higher highs on price and three successive lower highs on the technical indicator.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Local Bottom To Fall Between These Two Levels – Analyst A standard bearish divergence occurs when price makes a higher high while an oscillator such as RSI, MACD or Stochastic posts a lower high, signalling trend exhaustion. Extending that to three peaks, Severino says, amplifies the warning: “A triple negative or triple bearish divergence is basically the market screaming, price is still drifting higher, but under the hood, this trend is dying.” Later he adds, “A single divergence is already a warning. A triple divergence is like yellow, orange, flashing red.” Severino maps this pattern onto Bitcoin’s bull cycle using the monthly chart, anchored around three key highs. The first, he argues, came around the spot ETF launch and aligned with a wave-three impulse in his Elliott Wave count. “This was our ETF launch and it was during our wave three impulse […] everybody’s excited. We had the ETF launch […] strong volume, strong momentum,” he says, calling it the cycle’s momentum peak. The second high broke that level but on weaker internals. “Second high breaks the old high. The indicator’s high is weaker. This represents fewer aggressive buyers. Early participants start taking profits. This was me. I started taking profit here,” he notes. In his interpretation, that push represented a fifth wave. The third high, marginally above prior peaks near $126,000, is where he sees exhaustion. “On the third high, price index is higher. Marginal new high […] I sold around $105k […] we went to $126k, so I left only a very small amount on the table to not get caught up in what comes after all this,” he says. The oscillator, however, made yet another lower high: “Buyers are exhausted at this point. Shorts are covering, late FOMO buyers push it just a little bit higher. Pros use this zone to offload positions or start shorting.” He argues that sentiment at the top was complacent rather than euphoric. “I don’t think we were euphoric here. I think we were euphoric at this one […] but we were very complacent this whole time […] everybody just was like, it’s going up forever.” Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Yet To Top In This Cycle? What aSOPR Suggests Crucially, Severino insists the divergence is a setup, not a standalone trigger: “You want confirmation before acting.” He points to several. First, a break of the rising trendline connecting the major swing lows: “Here is our trend line and we are below. There is our confirmation.” Second, loss of key moving averages such as the 20 and 50 EMA that had supported the uptrend. Third, a regime shift in weekly RSI: during the bull, it repeatedly bounced in the 40–50 zone, but now, he says, “falling below it is confirmation that the trend is now no longer holding.” On volume, he warns against reading the recent spike on a down candle as capitulation. While the FTX bottom showed extreme, climactic volume, the latest breakout in selling may instead be “the breakout and start of a trend” to the downside, he suggests, especially given the declining volume into Bitcoin’s final highs. How Low Can Bitcoin Go? For potential downside, Severino overlays Fibonacci levels on the full advance and references guidance that triple divergences often resolve toward the 0.5–0.618 retracement between $44,100 and $34,409. In Bitcoin’s case, he marks a wide lower zone where an A-B-C structure could terminate, estimating “about like 60 something percent, maybe even closer to 70” from the top – “very par for the course for a Bitcoin bear market,” in his words. More ominously, he hints at a “bigger version of this” on even higher timeframes, suggesting a larger triple divergence may be forming with the recent structure nested inside it. “This could not be so great for the higher time frames Bitcoin,” he says. Still, he repeatedly stresses uncertainty and risk management. “I can’t say that this signal is the end-all be-all […] it doesn’t guarantee anything,” he says. “I definitely don’t want you to be like, hey, Tony, well, I believe you 100%. Immediately, I’m going to sell my coins. No, it’s not financial advice […] It’s more about how you manage risk.” At press time, Bitcoin traded at $87,658. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The recent downturn in the crypto market, which saw total valuations plummet from an all-time high of nearly $4.3 trillion to below the $3 trillion mark, has severely impacted many investors.  Among those affected is the Trump family, whose wealth reportedly decreased by $1 billion over the past month, according to Bloomberg. Their current net worth now stands at approximately $6.7 billion, down from $7.7 billion in September. Trump Family’s Crypto Portfolio Takes Major Hits The family’s crypto portfolio has suffered significant losses as a result of recent market conditions, including President Trump’s official memecoin, TRUMP, Eric Trump’s Bitcoin (BTC) mining firm, American Bitcoin (ABTC), and Truth Social—all of which are Bitcoin-related. Related Reading: XRP Real Purpose: Documentation Shows Payment Utility Contrary To Viral Claims — Details One of the hardest-hit entities is Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), the parent company of Truth Social. Last week, shares of the firm dropped to a record low, resulting in an estimated $800 million decline in Trump’s stake since September.  The company has invested heavily in Bitcoin, spending roughly $2 billion on digital assets. Its stockpile of approximately 11,500 BTC, purchased when Bitcoin prices hovered around $115,000, now represents a significant downturn of about 25%. In addition, World Liberty Financial (WLFI), regarded as the Trump family’s principal crypto operation, has seen its value diminish rapidly. WLFI, which was once trading at $0.26, has now fallen to around $0.15 when writing. At its peak, the token’s total valuation reached about $6 billion, but it is now worth just over $4 billion. Despite the difficulties, a spokesperson for World Liberty Financial expressed optimism, stating that “Crypto is here to stay.” The spokesperson emphasized a long-term conviction in the technologies that support digital assets, suggesting that these innovations could transform financial services. Eric Trump Remains Optimistic Following his return to office in January, President Trump’s sons, Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., also began collaborating with Hut 8 Corp, a crypto company that supplies Bitcoin mining equipment.  In exchange, they secured a controlling interest in a newly formed organization called American Bitcoin Corp. Eric Trump reportedly holds about 7.5% of this new venture.  Related Reading: Attack On Cardano Founder Leads To Network Halt, What Really Happened? However, shares of Hut 8, which are traded on Nasdaq, have been cut by nearly half, wiping out over $300 million from Eric Trump’s wealth since September, with shares previously valued at $9.31. Amidst these financial challenges, Eric Trump conveyed a sense of optimism, suggesting that the recent market declines may present “a great buying opportunity.” He emphasized that those who purchase during downturns and embrace market volatility are likely to be the long-term winners in the cryptocurrency landscape. Currently, the market’s leading cryptocurrency has seen a 1.5% recovery on Monday toward $88,430, after reaching an 8-month low of $80,000 last Friday. This positions BTC nearly 30% below all-time highs of $126,000 reached back in October.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Crypto analyst Crypto Waterman, who predicted the Bitcoin price action with Chinese Astrology, has revealed when the flagship crypto will surge alongside altcoins. This comes as BTC looks to rebound from its recent crash to as low as $81,000.  Analyst Reveals When The Bitcoin Price Will Surge  In an X post, Crypto Waterman predicted that the Bitcoin price would surge from December 5 after it bottoms between November 28 and 29, when Mercury retrograde ends. He further remarked that there will be high swings up and down between November 29 and December 5, noting that the current market action is similar to mid-July 2021 in the previous cycle.  Related Reading: Analyst Who Sold Bitcoin At $102,000 Predicts Crash To $40,000, But There’s Something Else The crypto analyst stated that the Bitcoin price rise will happen from December 5 to December 18 for two weeks, with the relief rally sending BTC to between $100,000 and $110,000. Once that happens, he predicts a three-week dip from December 18 to January 6, which will push BTC down to between $90,000 and $100,000.  After the dip, Crypto Waterman predicts that the Bitcoin price will rise from December 6 to mid-February, hitting a new all-time high (ATH) during that period. He expects the flagship crypto to rally to between $140,000 and $145,000. Notably, the crypto analyst has so far accurately predicted the November BTC price action, which he claimed was with the help of Chinese astrology.  Based on this, the crypto analyst is confident that the Bitcoin price is about to have its final leg in this bull market cycle. He also expects altcoins to witness one final rally to the upside, predicting that altseason should happen between January and February. Crypto Waterman also revealed that he plans to exit most of his bags in mid-February or the beginning of March as the market enters the horse year.  ‘Too Early’ To Call For New ATH Crypto analyst Colin has indicated that it is too early to predict that the Bitcoin price could reach a new all-time high. This follows the recent BTC rebound from its lows of around $81,000 last week. The analyst explained that a bounce was inevitable after the flagship crypto was so oversold. However, he isn’t flipping macro bullish on expecting a new ATH too quickly.  Related Reading: Bitcoin To Suffer 40% Crash From All-Time High? Analyst Reveals ‘Final Target’ The analyst further remarked that such a bounce says nothing about new ATHs and that BTC must reclaim major key levels well above current levels to have a chance of reaching new ATHs. He added that he expects the Bitcoin price to reach $100,000 on this bounce, but that won’t mean that a new ATH is in sight.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $87,500, up almost 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin’s six-week collapse has erased over $40,000 from its price, yet—according to Jeff Park, CIO at ProCap BTC and Bitwise advisor—the more important story may lie not in spot markets but in volatility. In his November 22 Substack post “Where Does Bitcoin Go From Here?”, Park argues that “market structure has flipped sharply negative,” citing ETF outflows, the Coinbase discount, structural selling, and liquidations of over-levered longs. But beneath that surface stress, he says, “something in the structure of Bitcoin’s volatility markets is stirring again—something that looks more like the old Bitcoin, not the new one.” Sudden Twist In Bitcoin Skew Has Expert On High Alert For nearly two years, the consensus has been that the ETF era “tamed Bitcoin” and “crushed volatility.” Spot ETFs channeled institutional flows into volatility-muting structures, dampening the wild swings that once defined BTC. Yet Park notes that over the last 60 days, implied volatility (IV) has trended higher for the first time in 2025. Even more telling: IV kept rising while spot fell—an uncommon dynamic since ETFs launched. That, he says, “might be the first signal of a regime shift” back toward pre-ETF market behavior. Related Reading: Bitcoin Local Bottom To Fall Between These Two Levels – Analyst Historical context sharpens his point. Between 2021 and 2022, IV spiked repeatedly—156% during China’s mining ban, 114% in the Luna/UST collapse, and again in the 3AC and FTX crises. Since FTX, volatility “has never traded above 80%,” and vol-of-vol (the “velocity” of volatility itself) has remained below 100, a post-ETF pattern of subdued convexity. But the latest upward drift, Park argues, suggests that the “convex, breakaway vol behavior” that once defined Bitcoin could be re-emerging. That shift carries structural implications. During past crises, put skew widened sharply, reaching –25%. But Park highlights an opposite kind of stress test—January 2021—when call skew surged above +50% and triggered Bitcoin’s last “mega-gamma squeeze.” Dealers short call gamma were forced to buy spot into a rising market, pushing BTC from $20,000 to $40,000 in weeks. It was, he recalls, “the first time Deribit saw record retail flows as traders discovered the power of OTM calls.” Today’s skew data looks different but potentially telling. “The 30-day put skew is the lowest it has been all year,” Park writes, suggesting defensive premiums are elevated and “further volatility to the downside is not unwarranted.” Yet Deribit’s open interest shows a market still leaning bullish in notional terms. Related Reading: Only An Asteroid Can Sink MSTR’s Bitcoin Bet, CryptoQuant CEO Says As of November 22, the largest positions include roughly $1 billion in Dec 26 $85k puts, $950 million in $140k calls, and $720 million in $200k calls—more upside than downside exposure overall. Similarly, the largest IBIT options are “more calls than puts, and the range of strikes are more OTM than the puts.” Park’s broader thesis is that volatility itself may again become Bitcoin’s catalyst. He draws parallels to February–March 2024, when sustained ETF inflows and a steady vol bid preceded a dramatic melt-up. “Wall Street needs high volatility for Bitcoin to be interesting,” he writes, noting that institutional desks chase trend P&L into year-end, and “volatility is a reflexive machine.” Whether that machine is restarting remains uncertain. Park concludes that if spot continues to fall while IV climbs, “the case strengthens that a sharp upside reversal could materialize.” But if vol stalls or slips as price declines—“classic sticky-delta behavior”—then the drawdown may harden into “the early contours of a potential bear trend.” In essence, Park’s message is that Bitcoin’s most revealing signal isn’t price but structure. After two years of ETF-driven calm, volatility is moving again—and in Bitcoin’s history, when vol wakes up, price rarely stays still for long. At press time, BTC traded at $85,912. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

After days of intense bearish action, the price of Bitcoin appears to be entering a calmer state, as it recovers above the $86,000 level. The latest on-chain data shows that several investors tried to take some profit in the past week, providing a basis for the premier cryptocurrency registering a double-digit loss.  Bitcoin Exchange Inflow Spikes As Price Faces Downward Pressure  In a recent post on the social media platform X, crypto analyst Ali Martinez revealed that significant Bitcoin amounts were sent to centralized exchanges in the past week. Data from Santiment shows that about $20,000 BTC (worth nearly $2 billion) has been moved to these exchanges in the past seven days. Related Reading: Risks To Crypto Market Ahead Of Key MSCI Ruling: Will It Spark A New Bitcoin Sell-Off? The relevant indicator in this on-chain observation is the Exchange Inflow metric, which tracks the volume of an asset (in this case, Bitcoin) that flows to centralized exchanges within a specified period. This metric is often important because one of the prominent exchanges’ service offerings is selling. Hence, an increase in the Exchange Inflow metric suggests the potential offloading of an asset by investors. The resulting increased supply of this cryptocurrency in the open market often adds downward pressure on the coin’s price, especially if there is no corresponding increase in demand. In a separate post on X, CryptoQuant’s head of research, Julio Moreno, shared a data piece supporting the recent spike in exchange inflows. According to data highlighted by the crypto researcher, the Bitcoin exchange inflows stood at about 81,000 BTC (the highest level seen since mid-July) on Friday, November 21. Ultimately, this recent spike in exchange inflows explains the volatility experienced by the price of Bitcoin on Friday. The flagship cryptocurrency succumbed to significant bearish pressure, seeing its price fall to just above $80,000 as the weekend approached. As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $86,070, reflecting an over 2% jump in the past 24 hours. Bitcoin In Profit-Taking Phase: CryptoQuant CEO CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju revealed that Bitcoin is in a profit-taking phase, as evidenced by the rising exchange inflows. The crypto founder made this assertion based on the PnL Index Signal, which measures profit and loss levels using all wallets’ cost basis. With the current reading of the PnL Index Signal, Ju proclaimed that the classic cycle theory says that BTC is entering a bear market. According to the CryptoQuant CEO, only macro liquidity can override the profit-taking cycle—just as seen in 2020.  Hence, all eyes will be on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in December, especially with the falling expectations of an interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed).  Related Reading: XRP Price Has Surged 15% Anytime This Metric Appeared In The Past Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

According to the latest on-chain data, investors have been excessively betting on the Bitcoin price in recent weeks, leading to its overall struggles. Longs Vs Shorts Imbalance — How This Induced Price Crash In a November 22 post on social media platform X, Alphractal CEO and founder Joao Wedson revealed the underlying dynamics behind Bitcoin’s recent unchecked fall. In deciphering this downward trend, the crypto pundit evaluated the Estimated Long/Short Positions metric, which estimates how much of the Open Interest across exchanges is dedicated to long positions relative to short positions. Wedson reported that, across 19 exchanges, there are about 71,000 BTC positioned in longs, while a relatively smaller amount of BTC (27,900) is dedicated to shorts. While this observation does not include data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), the discrepancy between longs and shorts remains unusually large. Related Reading: Kiyosaki Dumps Bitcoin At $90K After Predicting A $250K Moonshot – Here’s Why This imbalance is significant because when there are clusters of long positions at similar price levels, the market tends to lean into a more fragile state. Moderate pullbacks beneath these clusters often lead to a cascade of forced liquidations (known as a long squeeze) — an event which could in turn push prices further south. Notably, Wedson pointed out that traders must have been convinced that $100,000 was Bitcoin’s price bottom — a speculation that soon became null after its failure. Afterwards, $90,000 came into focus, with another series of liquidations following suit. At the moment, $84,000 seems to be the price majority of Bitcoin’s speculative traders target as the new price bottom. These liquidation events that took place after the $100,000 and $90,000 supports were breached provided more buy-side liquidity for the Bitcoin price to topple. At the same time, most significant short positions have been closed off, making it difficult for a more defined price recovery to take place, as there is barely any sell-side liquidity to send the Bitcoin price to the upside. For Bitcoin to recover, Wedson explained that there needs to be a significant decrease in long positioning, while short exposure goes on the rise. Watch Out For $81,250 — Analyst In another post on X, technical analyst Ali Martinez noted that Bitcoin’s 2-year moving average, which stands at approximately $81,250, is an important landmark for the future trajectory of the flagship cryptocurrency. The analyst explained that historical failures of the 730-day SMA have often marked the beginnings of bear markets. Thus, in the scenario where the Bitcoin price slips past its current 2-year average price, we could be witnessing the start of a long bearish cycle As of press time, Bitcoin holds a valuation of $86,251, reflecting an over 3% price jump in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Only An Asteroid Can Sink MSTR’s Bitcoin Bet, CryptoQuant CEO Says Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is now sitting at one of its most critical junctures of the entire cycle. A rising-wedge breakdown has driven price straight into a key support zone just as BTC prints its first major post-ATH drawdown of over 33%, a level that has historically signaled prolonged weakness and heightened volatility. With technical pressure colliding with a historically significant threshold, the market now faces a decisive moment. Rising Wedge Break Sends Bitcoin Lower Into Key Support Zone Crypto analyst The Boss, in a recent breakdown of Bitcoin’s daily chart, highlighted the formation of a rising wedge pattern. As expected, Bitcoin has broken down from this wedge, sending the price sliding into what is considered a strong support zone. This level has historically acted as a turning point, making its current test a crucial moment for the market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Shows A Clear Momentum Reset — Is A Trend Reversal Coming? According to the analyst, this area could trigger a potential upward reaction, as buyers often step in when the price reaches such well-established support levels. However, the possibility of a rebound is not guaranteed. The structure must show early signs of strength before any meaningful recovery can be considered reliable.  Momentum indicators paint a cautious picture as they remain notably weak, showing no clear signal of bullish pressure returning to the market. At the same time, trading volume remains lower than necessary for a confident reversal, suggesting that buyers have yet to step in. Without stronger participation, any bounce may be shallow or short-lived. Due to these factors, the analyst emphasized that Bitcoin’s current level must be closely monitored. While a short-term reaction from support is possible, a failure to hold this zone would open the door to further downside and potentially expose deeper support areas.  BTC Hits 33% Drawdown Threshold: A Historically Significant Signal According to a recent update shared by Crypto Patel, Bitcoin has now recorded a 33% drawdown from its all-time high, marking a correction significant enough to grab the market’s full attention. This is more than a routine pullback; it represents a level of decline that has historically signaled deeper shifts in market sentiment. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces A Negative Correlation Trend And Still Holds Strong — Here’s Why Looking back through previous cycles, every instance where BTC retraced beyond 33% after a peak has been followed by prolonged periods of weakness, increased volatility, and continued downside pressure. These drawdowns often served as transitional phases, where momentum reset before the next major trend could establish itself.  The market now sits in a critical phase, with traders and analysts watching closely to see whether Bitcoin repeats its well-known historical behavior or breaks the cycle with a stronger-than-expected recovery. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

The cryptocurrency market has been under severe bearish pressure in the past week, with the price of Bitcoin falling below this year’s opening price. At the same time, other large-cap assets have struggled, registering double-digit losses over the past few days. In recent months, conversations have swirled around the death of the typical four-year cycle and a shift in the Bitcoin market structure, with the spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) providing fresh, consistent liquidity. However, the latest on-chain data shows that BTC ETF investors could be under pressure in the coming days. $79,300: The Pain Threshold For BTC ETF Buyers In a recent post on the CryptoQuant platform, IT Tech shared an insight into the current Bitcoin market dynamics and how it could affect the relatively new set of investors known as BTC ETF buyers. According to the on-chain analyst, these exchange-traded fund holders are “about to face their first real test.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Shows A Clear Momentum Reset — Is A Trend Reversal Coming? The relevant metric here is the Bitcoin US ETF Realized Price, which tracks the average purchase price of BTC held by United States-based exchange-traded funds. This indicator offers insights into the profitability of institutional investors and holders. IT Tech, however, made an interesting assertion, calling out the idea that ETF capital inflows are “Institutional Money.” The crypto analyst noted that most value added through US-based exchange-traded funds is mostly from retail investors buying through their brokerage accounts. As observed in the chart above, the Bitcoin US Exchange-Traded Funds Realized Price currently stands around $79,300. IT Tech said that the ETF buyers often feel “smart” when above the realized price, while they feel panic (as seen with most retail investors) when below their cost basis. According to the on-chain analyst, these ETF investors are not accustomed to Bitcoin price declines. Hence, this group of exchange-traded fund holders or “new retail,” who have not been tested before, could enter a phase of panic selling should they go underwater. Currently, the next significant support for the market leader is marked at around $82,000, where several spot investors have their cost basis. Ultimately, this evaluation makes $79,300 another crucial level to watch should the price of Bitcoin suffer further downturn.  Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $84,500, reflecting an over 2% decline in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, the flagship cryptocurrency is down by more than 11% in the past week. Related Reading: Who’s Selling? Here’s The Demographic Driving The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Dogecoin Price Crash Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

The crypto market is reeling once again after an intense wave of liquidations erased over $2 billion in leveraged positions within a single day. Related Reading: Ethereum Dead Cat Bounce Puts Price At $3,400, But What’s The Ultimate Target? With Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and other major assets plunging sharply, traders are bracing for what could be another turbulent stretch, especially with billions in options set to expire. ETH's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: ETHUSD on Tradingview Massive Liquidations Trigger Steep Sell-Off According to data from Coinglass, more than $2 billion in long and short positions were liquidated over the last 24 hours, marking one of the most severe unwinding events since October’s historic crash. Bitcoin (BTC) crashed as low as $82,000, while Ethereum (ETH) slid below $2,700. Traders holding long positions bore the brunt of the damage, with over $1.8 million in longs wiped out across major exchanges. The largest single liquidation order took place on Hyperliquid, where a massive BTC-USD position valued at $36.78 million was wiped out. Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin long liquidations alone have totaled approximately $966 million, while Ethereum long positions have similarly suffered around $407 million in losses. With no details revealed on the specific tokens or exchanges involved, the incident still sent shockwaves through the community, further fueling bearish sentiment. Options Expiry and Whale Moves Add to Market Pressure The sell-off comes ahead of a crucial $4.2 billion crypto options expiry, with more than 39,000 BTC options and 185,000 ETH options set to expire. Traders have leaned heavily into put positions, signaling expectations of further downside. For Bitcoin, the max pain point sits near $98,000, well above current prices, while Ethereum’s around $3,200. Meanwhile, whale behavior has added fuel to the fire. A mega BTC whale who has held Bitcoin since 2011 reportedly sold over 11,000 BTC, worth $1.3 billion, intensifying downward pressure. However, at the same time, other large holders accumulated over $65 million in spot BTC near the $85,000 level, hinting at strategic dip-buying even as volatility spikes. Fragile Liquidity Keeps Market on Edge The market’s instability can be traced back to October’s $19.5 billion liquidation event, which severely disrupted liquidity conditions. Market makers, still recovering from the shock, remain cautious, creating a fragile environment where even minor price swings can trigger cascading liquidations. Despite the chaos, signs of resilience emerged from infrastructure players like Solana and Fireblocks, which maintained high transaction speeds and network reliability during periods of unprecedented stress. Related Reading: Saylor’s Strategy Under Threat: Index Status At Risk With $8 Billion On The Line As macro uncertainty, ETF outflows, and whale behavior continue to shape sentiment, the crypto market remains firmly on edge, with traders watching closely to see whether this correction deepens or sets the stage for the next major recovery. Cover image from ChatGPT, ETHUSD chart from Tradingview

The dynamic landscape of the Bitcoin market is entering a full momentum reset, the kind that typically appears in the cooling phase between major trend cycles. After a period of decisive movements, the market now finds itself in a state where previous directional force has largely dissipated, allowing for a re-evaluation of its path. A Necessary Reset Before Bitcoin’s Next Big Push In an X post, Swissblock has mentioned that Bitcoin momentum is clearly in a reset phase, and the question now is how long until it flips. Historically, in late February to early April 2025, the bottom required roughly 7 weeks for a full momentum to reset. Moving further back to late June to late September 2024, the correction took close to 14 weeks for a full reset and consolidation before a clear trend emerged. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bear Market Confirmed? Expert Predicts Price Target Of $40,000 By Late 2026 Data shows that the current momentum reset has been underway for weeks, placing BTC right inside the window where past cycles have typically reached exhaustion. This zone historically marks the point where downside pressure weakens and the higher probability of a counter-trend move increases sharply. The crypto market is collapsing. An industry-leading commentary on the global capital markets, The Kobeissi Letter, revealed that on October 6th, just 45 days ago, Bitcoin touched an all-time high of $126,272, with the total crypto market capitalization reaching $2.5 trillion. However, everything changed on October 10th, when President Donald Trump threatened 100% tariffs on China, shifting the surface of the crypto market. This announcement triggered a chain reaction record of $19.2 billion in liquidations, the highest ever recorded in a single event, and BTC never truly recovered from the shock. Even when a trade deal between the US and China was reached on October 30th, the liquidation pressures only worsened. Since November 10th, BTC price action has moved into a literal straight line lower, with average daily liquidations approaching $1 billion.  Throughout this entire 45-day bear market, there has been an absence of bearish fundamental developments within the crypto space. Kobeissi concluded that this is a mechanical bear market driven by an excessive level of leverage and sporadic liquidations, claiming the market is efficient, and it will iron itself out. Will BTC Emerge Stronger From This Test? This current Bitcoin correction has now fallen perfectly in line with the previous major drawdowns of this cycle. A full-time crypto trader and investor, Daan Crypto Trades, highlighted that each of these corrections in the ongoing cycle has their own story, but this one is hitting the market the hardest. Related Reading: Bitcoin Is 80% Into The Bear Market, Analyst Reveals What Will Confirm It 100% Though the 10/10 liquidation event didn’t just hit BTC, it obliterated altcoins. For most of this brutal BTC correction, equities and metals were making fresh all-time highs, further triggering the bearish condition of the crypto landscape. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

CryptoQuant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju pushed back on a renewed wave of forced Bitcoin liquidation and bankruptcy chatter around Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy, MSTR), arguing that the bearish thesis misreads the company’s capital structure and shareholder incentives. In a Nov. 20, 2025 post on X, Ju wrote, “MSTR only goes bankrupt if an asteroid hits Earth,” adding that critics should “bring a single piece of evidence” before claiming Michael Saylor would be liquidated. The comments came as Bitcoin and high-beta crypto proxies retraced into late November, reviving legacy narratives that Strategy’s debt stack could compel BTC sales. Why Strategy Will Never Sell Bitcoin Ju’s central claim is that Strategy is not structurally set up like a margin trader. Addressing the most common fear—that convertible notes “missing” their conversion price forces liquidation—he stated: “Convertible debt not reaching the conversion price is not liquidation. It simply means the notes get repaid in cash […] Failing to convert is not a bankruptcy trigger. It is just normal debt maturity.” Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Bottom In? Fidelity Research Lead Weighs The Odds In his view, the repayment pathways are conventional corporate finance tools: refinancing, rolling into new notes, secured borrowing, or operating cash flow. That framing aligns with how convertibles function in practice; if equity is below strike at maturity, the embedded option expires and the instrument reverts to straight debt rather than a forced-sale event. He also grounded his argument in governance and identity. “Saylor would never sell Bitcoin unless shareholders want it,” Ju wrote, warning that “selling even a single BTC would destroy MSTR’s identity as a Bitcoin treasury company and trigger a death spiral for both Bitcoin and MSTR.” Strategy has repeatedly defined itself as a BTC-treasury vehicle, and its shareholder base largely bought into that mandate, making voluntary divestment politically and strategically improbable absent a radical shift in investor preference. Balance-sheet data underpins Ju’s confidence. Strategy reported 640,808 BTC as of Oct. 30, 2025, acquired for about $47.44 billion; subsequent filings cited major November additions taking holdings to roughly 649,870 BTC. Even after accounting for the growing convertible and preferred layers, the BTC treasury remains the dominant asset, meaning solvency stress would require an extreme, prolonged Bitcoin collapse rather than a cyclical drawdown. Related Reading: Why Bitwise Thinks Bitcoin Still Hits $200,000 In 2026 Ju did not claim the equity is risk-free. “This does not mean MSTR’s stock price will always stay high,” he wrote, but called the idea that Strategy would sell BTC to support the stock or face imminent bankruptcy “completely absurd.” He added that even at a price of $10,000 per coin, Strategy would face “a debt restructuring, nothing more.” On preferred shares, he acknowledged dividend obligations, noting payments have not been missed and can be covered via new share issuance—dilutive, but not a liquidation vector. Posting BTC as collateral, he said, would be a last resort because that would introduce real margin risk. In short, Ju’s rebuttal draws a hard line between volatility and insolvency: Strategy may trade like leveraged Bitcoin, but its liabilities do not mechanically force BTC sales. The “Saylor liquidation” narrative, he argues, is a Twitter myth unless the world ends—by asteroid. At press time, BTC traded at $82,050. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Recent data has revealed the demographics of sellers driving the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin crash. The Coinbase BTC premium index also continues to drop further in the red, which strengthens the case of where exactly the sell pressure is coming from. The Demographic Behind The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Dogecoin Price Crash In an X post, crypto pundit Crypto Rover noted that the U.S. session has been the weakest trading session so far this month. The pundit further shared an accompanying chart, which showed that BTC has suffered a loss of around 12% in the U.S. session since the start of November, also leading to the Ethereum and Dogecoin crash.  Related Reading: Why Are The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Dogecoin Prices Down Again? Meanwhile, the EU has had the second-weakest session after the U.S., with Bitcoin dropping around 12% in this session since the start of this month. The Asian session has been the least volatile, with BTC trading sideways, recording a drawdown of only about 2% since the start of November. Ethereum, Dogecoin, and altcoins have also been stable during the Asian trading session.  Crypto pundit Bossman also indicated that the U.S. was responsible for most of the sell pressure that is driving the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin crash. In an X post, he noted that every single American session is marked by relentless selling for hours. Meanwhile, the Asians wake up, buy it all back, and then the Americans wake up, and the selling begins again. Notably, the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices record increased volatility whenever the U.S. stock market opens, with market commentator Zerohedge attributing it to the ‘10 am slam’ by market algos. This indicates that institutional investors are heavily contributing to the market crash. This is evident in the significant outflows recorded by Bitcoin ETFs in recent times. These funds have recorded five daily net outflows over the last seven days, according to SoSoValue data. Coinbase BTC Premium Index In The Red CoinGlass data shows that the Coinbase Bitcoin premium index is in the red, further confirming that most of the sell pressure driving the BTC, Ethereum, and Dogecoin crash is coming from the U.S. Typically, a negative premium indicates that the BTC price on Coinbase is lower than the average global price, which signals weak demand from U.S. investors.  Related Reading: Analyst Who Predicted Bitcoin Price October Top Is Back With A New Prediction Crypto researcher Kyle Soska noted that Bitcoin and Ethereum are roughly 10 days into a derisking event by U.S.-based entities, likely a combination of ETF users and large private, ultra-high-net-worth individuals. He further remarked that this places the market near the end of the selling episode based on historical data.  Soska opined that the first of a near-term bottom would be a mean reversion of the Coinbase-Binance spot discount from its current level of around -$110 back to a more normal level range of around $40.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $85,000, down over 6% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

With Bitcoin trading around $85,000, Jeff Park, Partner and CIO at ProCap BTC, used his Nov. 20 conversation with Anthony Pompliano to argue that the drop may be valuable for reasons that have little to do with short-term “dip buying” and everything to do with narrative regime change. His central claim is that the classic halving-anchored rhythm is losing its foundation. Why The Bitcoin Crash Is Necessary “The four year cycle is almost definitively over,” Park said, because what it was “based off of historically, which is the halving, is just irrelevant from the additional marginal demand that comes from other channels that have opened up.” In his framing, the market is being pulled into a different cadence: “logically and fundamentally the four-year cycle should no longer exist and a new cycle should emerge that is more in sync with institutional risk capital appetite.” Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Bottom In? Fidelity Research Lead Weighs The Odds Park is careful not to treat that as a clean break, because beliefs still move prices. He stressed that a large legacy cohort continues to trade as if the four-year script is real. “There is still a big group of investors that believe it should exist,” he said, describing them as early adopters with “characteristics that almost feel like the occult where they have prophecies.” The key, in his view, is their supply control: “the biggest Bitcoin holders in wallets that are 10,000 [BTC] and plus in size still control a good chunk of the market […] they are still a third of the Bitcoin market.” That concentration makes the cycle potentially reflexive: “if a third of the Bitcoin holders believe the four-year cycle is true and they act like the four-year cycle is true, well then it doesn’t really matter because they’re the price setters […] these things can be self-fulfilling.” From there, Park pivots to why weakness into year-end could be constructive. He noted that Bitcoin is now “below year to date […] in 2025,” raising the prospect of a red close. In a deliberately sharp line, he joked that if 2025 ends negative, “that breaks the four-year cycle because now we have a red [yearly candle] and so it’s a three-year cycle.” Related Reading: Why Bitwise Thinks Bitcoin Still Hits $200,000 In 2026 The humor masks a strategic preference: “maybe we do need this red [candle] right now so we could have the ability to unleash the super cycle for Bitcoin to come without ever having to talk about the four-year cycle again.” Park framed a marginally green close as the worst of both worlds. “The last thing I want honestly is […] an up 5% year to 2025 where we close at like $98K or $99K or $100K and that counts as a green year,” he said, because then “the next year everyone’s going to talk about […] this is the down year now,” leaving 2026 under the “harrowing weight over your head that we’re actually going to have another down year.” Pompliano pressed the obvious counter-scenario: “Is there a world where it could just kind of rip right back […] and go to $140,000 or something?” Park didn’t rule it out. “It’s absolutely possible. Anything can happen,” he replied. But he summarized the trade-off starkly: “we either have to hope for […] that it either goes up a lot to make the year count or we just try to notch in a small loss here for the year so we can just wipe out the four-year cycle altogether.” For Park, Bitcoin at $85,000 is “good news” only insofar as it increases the odds of breaking a self-reinforcing calendar myth, clearing the way for a market driven less by halving folklore and more by institutional risk cycles. At press time, BTC traded at $84,469. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a slight rebound after reaching a near eight-month low of $87,500 on Wednesday. By Thursday, the leading crypto surged back toward $90,000. However, market expert Leshka warns that this brief increase may signal only the start of a new distribution phase for Bitcoin, as selling pressure continues to build. Possible Bottom Between $40,700 And $47,500 In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), Leshka assessed Bitcoin’s position on the weekly chart, identifying critical demand zones between $40,700 and $47,500 that could take shape throughout 2026.  She suggested that these levels might represent the bottom for Bitcoin during the anticipated bear market. If such forecasts materialize, this could indicate price drops of 47% to 54% from current values. Related Reading: CEO Cuts Cardano Founder’s Bitcoin Price Forecast, Warns Bear Market Just Starting Despite these potential lows, Leshka remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory. She mentioned that if these price targets are met, Bitcoin could rebound dramatically, reaching new all-time highs of around $150,000 by 2027. In the immediate time, however, bears appear to have the upper hand in the market. Analyst Ali Martinez recently noted that the TD Sequential indicator, which is designed to signal potential market reversals, has flashed a sell signal for Bitcoin.  Historically, this indicator has been a reliable predictor of price corrections, with past occurrences resulting in drops of 78% and 32%. A median correction based on these previous downturns would indicate a possible price target of $40,000, aligning with Leshka’s forecasts for Bitcoin. Analyst Predicts Temporary Rally For Bitcoin Technical analysis from Crypto Feras also contributes to this bearish sentiment. He pointed out that Bitcoin has breached its 50-day moving average (MA50) placed above $102,000, suggesting that a period of reflection is in order.  Feras indicated that the exponential moving averages (EMA89-99) could provide initial support at $88,500, typically facilitating a short-term “bearish retest” of the MA50 after a breakdown.  The analyst noted that this potential rally usually lasts for two to five weeks and may see both Bitcoin and altcoins behave positively, even though investors might misinterpret it as a return to a bull market. Related Reading: BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF Bleeds Over $500 Million In Its Biggest One-Day Outflow Additional support is noted at $84,000, which could be briefly retested. Feras suggested that this scenario might represent a final bear trap before a more prolonged downturn, a historical trend that could repeat itself. He also addressed the question of when the market might shift back into “bull mode.” According to Feras, Bitcoin will remain in a bear market as long as it trades below its weekly MA50.  Once Bitcoin reclaims this important moving average, discussions regarding a potential bull market or continuation of a bull trend could resume. Until that happens, he emphasized that it is premature to label Bitcoin’s current phase as anything but bearish. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

Ryan Rasmussen, Head of Research at Bitwise, used a Yahoo Finance appearance to restate Bitwise’s view that Bitcoin is headed to $200,000 in 2026, while simultaneously characterizing the current sell-off as a maturing-market shakeout rather than a trend break. Is The Bottom In For Bitcoin? He opened with a near-term assessment that “we’re closer to the bottom here today than we have been for the past few weeks,” linking the drawdown to sharply risk-off conditions and to ETF-era flow dynamics. In his framing, Bitcoin “really was a leader of this risk-off move starting in mid-October,” and he expects it to “be a leader to the upside once things start to turn around,” adding that the market feels nearer to that inflection than it did “a week or two weeks ago.” When asked whether spot Bitcoin ETFs have become a double-edged sword, Rasmussen agreed, describing a market that now has deeper liquidity but more cross-currents. “Bitcoin, in our view, is one of the biggest technological developments of the past 15 years,” he said, before explaining that institutionalization brings “new investors and adds more liquidity to the market,” yet also means “we’re seeing a lot more choppiness in times where risk-off moves happen.” He pointed to hedge funds rotating in and out via basis trades and emphasized that “you just have more market participants.” Over time, he expects that shift to damp volatility, but not in a straight line: “throughout that journey, we’re going to see some choppiness, and certainly over the past month, we’ve seen that.” Related Reading: Will Bitcoin Bottom At $56,000? CryptoQuant CEO Presents The Data Pressed on why volatility still looks elevated, Rasmussen separated short-horizon spikes from long-run trend. “If you look at the trend over the past 10 years, volatility has certainly been falling,” he said, but conceded that “over this short-term period, you do see spikes in volatility.” The composition of buyers is, in his view, changing in a stabilizing direction. “The buyers for Bitcoin that we’re seeing come into the market today are more long-term buyers than we’ve seen in the past,” he said, naming wealth managers and financial advisors who “are adding Bitcoin to model portfolios” and “rebalancing on a standard basis.” That institutional style of demand “should all reduce volatility, add more long-term demand,” though he also noted a counterweight: corporate treasury buying that was strong earlier in the year has faded. “The corporate treasuries that are purchasing Bitcoin were coming in in size earlier this year, and that’s really dried up,” he said, arguing that this demand pause is “in part due to this sell-off that we’ve seen in October.” Bitcoin Still Set for $200,000 By 2026 Rasmussen acknowledged the pain of lower prices for recent buyers, but insisted the medium-term path remains higher. “Lower prices are a gift and a curse, of course,” he said. “A lot of investors are feeling pain right now who bought Bitcoin above $100,000 or closer to the $125,000 mark, but we believe that Bitcoin’s going to end the year higher than it is today.” He reiterated that the short-term bottoming process is likely advanced, and then pivoted to his structural thesis: “Institutions are finally here.” He stressed that adoption is gradual rather than instantaneous: “That doesn’t mean that right away they deploy all of their capital.” Even so, he cited early signals such as endowment participation: “even Harvard, we saw with their recent filing, is buying Bitcoin in their endowment.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Capitulation Deepens Around $90K Level: Classic Late-Stage Fear Structure Emerging On macro, Rasmussen conceded an irony that an asset marketed as sovereign and untethered now reacts to central-bank expectations. Post-COVID, he said, Bitcoin has traded in a “fiscally-dominated environment where rate cuts and other macro elements do play more of a role,” and correlations to equities have “spike[d] or raise[d].” Still, he argued correlations are drifting back toward historical lows, and he emphasized Bitcoin’s tendency to do well in “low rate environments and risk on environments.” Regarding the December Fed meeting, he said “no cut in December is largely priced into the market,” and suggested investors have “already started to turn to 2026.” The price target itself was stated unambiguously. “So this year, we had a price target of $200,000. And I think it’s safe to say that come December, that’s not going to happen. But we do believe that in 2026, Bitcoin will hit $200,000,” Rasmussen said. He attributed that forecast to institutional inflows arriving “in waves,” spanning “wealth managers or endowments or pensions or corporations or governments,” which he believes are creating “a systemic imbalance of demand versus supply.” At press time, BTC traded at $91,205. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

FlowDesk flags sustained sell pressure from old wallets, QCP notes a sudden hawkish Fed repricing, and Deribit data shows downside positioning now dominating.

Crypto pundit Andrea has shared a 3-month scenario for Bitcoin that shows the flagship crypto could suffer a massive crash. This crash is expected to follow BTC’s rebound and an end-of-year rally to new highs.  Pundit Projects Bitcoin Crash To $60,000 After Rebound To New Highs In an X post, Andrea shared an accompanying chart showing that Bitcoin could eventually crash to $60,000, with the crash expected sometime in mid-2026. However, before then, the crypto pundit predicted that BTC could still rally to new highs despite its recent crash below the psychological $100,000 level.  Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin Price Keeps Crashing- Is $80,000 Next? Specifically, he revealed a potential three-month scenario for Bitcoin, stating that he expects an end-of-year rally to at least $115,000-$116,000. The crypto pundit added that if BTC can break that level, then it could push towards $135,000 and $140,000, which will mark new all-time highs (ATHs) for the flagship crypto.  However, Andrea stated that the peculiarity of this pump will be with a dropping BTC dominance, with altcoins outperforming the flagship crypto. This analysis comes amid Bitcoin’s most recent crash below $90,000, which marked a seven-month low for BTC. Notably, veteran trader Peter Brandt has predicted that this decline could extend further, with the flagship crypto dropping to as low as $58,000.  Brandt questioned whether Bitcoin’s sweeping reversal on November 11, followed by 8 days of lower highs and the completion of a massive broadening top, qualifies as a bear market. He added that the targets implied are $81,000 and $58,000. The veteran trader also remarked that those who claim they will be big buyers at $58,000 will be pukers by the time BTC reaches $60,000.  BTC Suffers A Breakdown Of The Megaphone Pattern Crypto analyst Colin revealed that Bitcoin has broken down from the megaphone pattern. He noted that without a quick recovery in the next day or two, this would suggest that BTC is entering a bear market. He opined that this bear market may be less intense due to diminishing returns and diminishing losses each cycle.  Related Reading: 4 Bitcoin Indicators That Led To Market Rallies In The Last 2 Years Have Returned The analyst reiterated that if the Bitcoin price can reclaim the 50-week moving average before the week is over, it could signal a bullish outlook for the flagship crypto. However, until then, he remarked that it is better to assume that a bear market or bigger correction is the most likely scenario. Colin also raised the possibility of BTC following the ISM (business cycle) higher in a big move next year, after this corrective period. If that happens, then the bear market may be short-lived.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $93,000, up almost 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin’s sell-off this week has reignited the question of whether the market has already printed a local bottom. Chris Kuiper, CFA, VP of Research at Fidelity Digital Assets, argues that several on-chain and sentiment gauges now resemble prior bull-market corrections, while stressing that nothing is certain. “I as well as anyone never knows for sure,” Kuiper wrote on X, “but one chart I do like to use to help gauge the probabilities is the short-term holder MVRV chart along with their cost basis.” Is The Bitcoin Bottom In? The Glassnode chart he shared tracks Bitcoin against the realized price of short-term holders (STHs) and their MVRV ratio – a measure of whether this cohort is in aggregate profit or loss. In previous uptrends, local lows have often occurred when STH MVRV dipped below 1, briefly putting recent buyers underwater before price recovered. Kuiper notes that the current drawdown has pushed STHs back into loss territory in a way that looks similar to earlier mid-cycle pullbacks. “If this indeed is a regular 20–30% drawdown within the current bull market, then the MVRV ratio is showing a similar valley as before, testing the mettle of short-term holders before resetting to move higher,” he wrote. Related Reading: Will Bitcoin Bottom At $56,000? CryptoQuant CEO Presents The Data His second reference point is the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index, which has swung from sustained “greed” and “extreme greed” back into “fear,” with episodes of “extreme fear.” According to Kuiper, the index “tends to hit extreme levels at these local tops and bottoms,” suggesting sentiment has reset after the recent euphoria. Currently, the index sits at 11. “This is not a prediction,” he cautioned, “but given the lack of negative fundamental news or changes (and in fact the opposite lately), this data tips my assessed probabilities in favor of this being a regular and healthy drawdown.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Dips Below $90,000—Yet Altcoins Remain Unscathed: Here’s Why Other analysts are more cautious. Bitwise senior research associate Max Shannon flagged “further possible downside re. correlation to equity markets, lower Dec rate cut prob., LTH continue selling in BTCs ‘IPO moment’.” Still, he added that “risk-return profiles [are] improving at these levels imo. Things are stretched and lots of contrarian indicators flashing green.” Crypto investor Richard Haas pointed to a deviation from earlier bull-market corrections, warning that “prior bull corrections never closed more than 10% below the 200ma cloud, and never let the 50dma curl down.” For now, Kuiper’s view is that on-chain stress among short-term holders and a sharp sentiment reset are consistent with a typical bull-market shakeout. Whether that marks a durable bottom or only a pause in further downside remains unresolved – and, as he emphasizes, ultimately comes down to probabilities, not certainties. At press time, BTC traded at $92,019. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Sentiment around Bitcoin has suffered a major hit in recent weeks after the price fell below $100,000. This has led to a series of bearish predictions for the cryptocurrency, as many analysts and investors alike believe that the crash is far from over. One analyst, who goes by Mr. Wall Street on the X (formerly Twitter) platform, has predicted a step decline, revealing how low the Bitcoin price will go and when the crash should be expected to be over. Bitcoin Headed below $60,000? In the post, Mr. Wall Street expressed that the Bitcoin price has already hit its cycle top, and as such, there is nowhere else to go but down. The chart points to possible price reversals for the cryptocurrency, but ultimately, all of these are expected to be short-lived and precede further crashes. Related Reading: Wondering Why The XRP Price Is Still Lagging Despite Record ETF Launch? Read This As the Bitcoin price struggles to reclaim $100,000, the crypto analyst warns that it is more likely to crash further, highlighting the $74,000-$82,000 level as the next major point of interest. This would mean that Bitcoin could see a more than 10% drop in price from this level. However, the analyst doesn’t stop there ,as it seems the Bitcoin price is headed into another stretch of bear market. The year is already rapidly coming to an end, and the crypto analyst expects the year 2026 to be even more bearish. By next year, Mr. Wall Street believes that the Bitcoin price could fall below $60,000, reaching as low as $54,000. The timeframe for this is set in the last quarter of 2026, but this would also mark the bottom. Given this, the analyst believes that the $54,000-$60,000 will be the best time to get into the asset to position for the next wave of upward movements. Head And Shoulders Pattern Supports Decline The bearish sentiment is echoed by others such as Leshka.eth, whose recent analysis also points to a possible drop in price. The analyst shows that Bitcoin completed a head and shoulders pattern, with the neckline firmly in place. Given this, the price has entered into a state of reset, and this reset is far from over. Related Reading: Forget XRP, DFDV Exec Predicts Solana Price Is Headed For $10,000 Interestingly, Leshka.eth also posits that the Bitcoin price will crash by over 40% from its all-time high prices. This was highlighted in an earlier post that predicts that BTC is headed for as low as $40,000. The timeline also suggests that this will happen sometime in 2026, before a bottom is established. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Cardano (ADA) founder Charles Hoskinson previously projected that the Bitcoin price could reach an impressive price of $250,000 as early as this year. This bold forecast, made in April, came at a time when Bitcoin was trading at $77,000 after achieving a record high of $109,000 in January.  Hoskinson’s Optimistic Bitcoin Price Forecast Hoskinson’s optimism was based on his belief that international negotiations, particularly between the US and China, would favor Bitcoin’s growth.  The Cardano founder suggested that easing tariffs would lead to a positive market reaction and bolster adoption, particularly with the anticipated passage of the GENIUS Act, which was signed into law by President Trump a few months later. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dips Below $90,000—Yet Altcoins Remain Unscathed: Here’s Why However, the current market realities have raised doubts about Hoskinson’s prediction. Since then, Bitcoin has experienced significant fluctuations, briefly regaining momentum to reach $126,000 mid-October, only to see the broader crypto market subsequently shed over $1 trillion in total market cap.  This downturn has largely been attributed to persistent selling pressure by concerned investors, and substantial outflows from the Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) sector, with nearly $2 billion sold over since October. As it stands, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $89,300, marking a nearly 30% decline from its recently achieved all-time highs. In light of this, Jacob King, CEO of Swandesk, publicly dismissed Hoskinson’s $250,000 price target, characterizing it as unrealistic.  Is Bitcoin In A New Bear Market Cycle? In a post on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), King stated that such lofty price predictions are “pulled out of thin air” and reflect a market still grappling with “delusions.” King elaborated on his viewpoint, suggesting that the industry is in the early stages of a new bear market cycle.  He is not alone in this assessment. Market expert Lark Davis recently noted that, based on the classic four-year Bitcoin price cycle, the cryptocurrency has officially entered bear market territory.  Davis commented that this scenario leaves two possibilities: either the established four-year cycle is no longer relevant, or the market has indeed shifted into a bearish phase. Given the current macroeconomic backdrop, he leans toward the latter interpretation. Related Reading: Kraken Achieves $20 Billion Valuation With $200 Million Investment From Citadel Additionally, others in the market have echoed these bearish sentiments. An analyst known as Mr. Wall Street has recently speculated that the Bitcoin price peaked at $126,000.  The analyst believes that this may mark the zenith for this cycle, predicting that the Bitcoin price could next face significant downward pressure, potentially slipping to a range between $74,000 and $82,000. He further forecasts a possible decline to levels between $54,000 and $60,000 by the fourth quarter of 2026. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

The discourse around the next wave of Bitcoin adoption won’t be fueled by ideology or belief, but will be driven by pure economic advantage. As the global financial system moves toward higher costs, weaker currencies, and increasing inefficiencies, BTC is emerging as the most compelling alternative because it works more effectively.  Economic Pressure Points That Will Accelerate Bitcoin Uptake In the rapidly evolving landscape of digital finance, the narrative surrounding Bitcoin’s future has often been intertwined with fervent ideological conviction. A media company, known as TFTC on X, has highlighted why BTC adoption won’t be driven by ideology, but rather by economics. Related Reading: Bitcoin Now Accepted By 4 Million Businesses, Thanks To Jack Dorsey Every merchant today is focused on handing over 2–3% of every transaction to payment processors and lives under the constant threat of chargebacks. Especially for small businesses, those costs and risks compound fast. However, BTC eliminates all of it with no processing fees, no chargebacks, just instant, final settlement straight into the merchant’s wallet. As Miles, a crypto enthusiast, consistently pointed out, the economic incentives are so overwhelmingly strong that adoption becomes inevitable. Merchants save thousands on fees, and they can pass those savings back to their customers through instant cashback rewards for using BTC.  This dynamic creates a self-reinforcing flywheel effect, allowing Merchants to lower their operational costs and increase their profit margins. At the same time, consumers would get tangible rewards and better value for their money by simply using BTC. Both sides will benefit immensely, while the BTC network will grow stronger. When the underlying math is this incredibly favorable, adoption is no longer a philosophical stance, but it’s an economic certainty. The Path To Reclaiming Bullish Momentum While the economic incentives will be responsible for Bitcoin’s next rally, analyst Rekt Capital has revealed a historical demand area, marked in orange, which has played a pivotal role in dictating BTC’s next major trend. The first time price tapped this zone, it produced a sharp +20% rebound before breaking down. After this breakdown, the BTC price moved to lower levels to absorb the remaining buy-side liquidity. Related Reading: Bitcoin In Bullish Confluence: Death Cross And Key Support Signal Upside Once BTC reclaimed the orange region as support, it triggered a +37% rally to new all-time highs. On the second retest, this same support zone showed signs of strength. Currently, BTC is finding support at this same historical demand area. What would happen next will be critical in determining whether this demand area will continue to strengthen or if signs of weakening will finally emerge. Furthermore, BTC will need to break the multi-week downtrend, marked in black on the chart, to relieve fear of fading support. A rebound from this demand area that fails to break the multi-week downtrend would only result in a yield of +10% move, which suggests that the support zone may be weakening. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin has spent the past several weeks trapped in a persistent decline, wiping hundreds of billions of dollars from its market value and reversing nearly a year’s worth of gains. The pullback has pushed the price far below its October all-time high of $126,000 and has dragged sentiment with it as traders search for answers.  A detailed breakdown shared by crypto analyst Tracy Shuchart offers the clearest picture yet of why this downturn has been so aggressive. Her analysis points to a failure not driven by a single factor but by several interconnected forces that broke simultaneously and created the conditions for a cascading crash. This presents the possibility of Bitcoin extending its crash to as low as $80,000. Breakdown Of The Macro Story That Sent Bitcoin To $126,000 According to Tracy Shuchart, Bitcoin’s climb from $40,000 to $126,000 was powered based on one dominant theory: a Federal Reserve easing cycle combined with a wave of institutional participation through spot ETFs.  Related Reading: 4 Bitcoin Indicators That Led To Market Rallies In The Last 2 Years Have Returned Traders priced in a supportive macro backdrop where rate cuts were all but guaranteed, liquidity would expand, and institutions would steadily absorb supply. However, once the Federal Reserve reversed course, the foundation of that theory collapsed. Expectations for December rate cuts fell from 90% to 40%. Real yields on short-term Treasuries stayed elevated above 5%, and the strong-dollar environment returned. With the macro assumption gone, Bitcoin’s valuation near all-time highs became difficult to justify.  Institutions that had accumulated through Spot ETFs quickly reduced exposure, producing more than $1.1 billion in outflows within days. This wasn’t panic selling but a systematic rebalancing by portfolio managers who no longer believed the macro thesis.  This change in macro expectations effectively removed the first layer of support that had been holding Bitcoin above six-figure levels. The second layer of the decline came from the behavior of long-term holders. Wallets that accumulated bitcoin between $40,000 and $80,000 began distributing aggressively once volatility returned. They offloaded roughly 815,000 Bitcoin in thirty days, locking in substantial profits.  Is $80,000 Next For Bitcoin? Shuchart’s argument is based on the notion that the ongoing decline persists because the market has now reached a point where natural buyers have vanished. Institutions are rebalancing away from risk, long-term holders are waiting for deeper discounts, and retail traders have retreated. Until there’s new demand, Bitcoin’s price will continue drifting lower. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Just Flashed A Death Cross, But It’s Not What You Think “Now the market is repricing based on reality: high real yields, no Fed easing, strong dollar environment,” the analyst said. For a bottom to form, three conditions must be met. Leverage must be completely flushed out of the system, long-term holders need to stop selling and begin accumulating again, and real capital must find the price attractive enough. As it stands, Bitcoin is still trading above the $90,000 price level. However, recent price action saw it briefly slip below that threshold on November 18, touching lows near $89,000 before recovering. That move shows that the downtrend is already probing for lower support in the $80,000 zone. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $91,080. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju has put a clear reference level on the current Bitcoin correction – but is adamant it should not be mistaken for a prediction. “Many people seem to be misunderstanding this, so let me clarify,” he wrote. “I am not saying $56K is the bottom. I am saying the realized price is 56K. If you follow the cycle theory, that level would be the bottom. But I think the cycle theory is broken, and the price could flip at any time depending on macro conditions and market sentiment.” Bitcoin Realized Price Sits at $56,000 His latest data briefing breaks the market into three layers: futures, spot, and on-chain. In the futures market, Ju says the average order size shows that futures whales have left and retail now dominates. Internal flow profile (IFP) data indicates BTC inflows from spot to futures exchanges have collapsed, ending the phase when large players were posting BTC as collateral to go long. Related Reading: Why Is Bitcoin Price Crashing? Arthur Hayes Isn’t Surprised At the same time, the Estimated Leverage Ratio remains high, and Binance deposit cost basis sits around $57,000, which “means traders already captured large gains from ETF and institutional flows.” Open interest is still above last year’s levels, while the aggregated funding rate is neutral, not fearful, suggesting leverage remains elevated but without a classic capitulation reset. Spot data points to fading institutional aggression. Ju notes the Coinbase Premium is at a nine-month low, which he attributes to ETF-driven institutional selling. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen net negative weekly flows for three straight weeks, and Strategy mNAV at 1.23 implies that “near-term capital raising seems difficult,” as many structured strategies are already sitting on substantial gains. On-chain metrics provide the context for the much-discussed $56,000 level. Ju observes that realized cap growth has stalled for three days, while market cap is growing more slowly than realized cap, a configuration he interprets as strong selling pressure as profitable coins move. CryptoQuant’s PnL Index flipped short on November 8, which Ju summarizes as whales taking profit. “If the cycle theory holds, the cycle bottom would be around $56K (realized price),” he says – and immediately distances himself from treating that as a hard rule in a structurally changing market. CryptoQuant CEO Rejects Classic Cycle Bottom Theory In a separate prediction segment, Ju turns to macro conditions. “Short-term conditions are weak: dollar liquidity is slow, funding markets are tight, and Bitcoin inflows have cooled,” he writes. However, he adds, “I do not expect Bitcoin inflows to stop or turn into sustained outflows over the next six months.” Related Reading: Bitcoin SSR Flashes Buy Signal: Rebound Incoming? In his view, a shift in the policy narrative could rapidly invert sentiment: “If rate cuts or any easy-money narrative appears, sentiment could flip and liquidity would rush back into ETFs.” Ju also sketches a longer-term structural thesis. He argues that stablecoin adoption and a wave of reverse ICOs by public companies could push traditional assets onto DEXs, enabling on-chain long and short trading in names like Tesla. In that world, on-chain analysis could evolve into labeling wallets like “Elon Musk’s ETH address to track Tesla coin onchain inflows and outflows.” He believes Bitcoin would benefit the most, while altcoins with weak narratives or no real performance would likely lose liquidity as capital concentrates in assets with clear utility or narrative strength. “I gave up predicting Bitcoin price,” Ju reminds followers, “but I haven’t given up analyzing data.” His $56,000 reference is best understood in that spirit: a data-driven anchor derived from realized price and cycle theory, not a promise that this drawdown will end neatly at that line. At press time, BTC traded at $91,659. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

With the Bitcoin price struggling recently, the expectations are that the crypto market is headed into another bear run. This is characterized by Bitcoin losing $100,000 after over four months, and has not been able to reclaim this major level. Meanwhile, sell-offs among whales have continued, putting billions of dollars worth of selling pressure on the cryptocurrency. As such, the probability that Bitcoin is going into a bear market has shot up considerably during this time. Analyst Warns Of Imminent Bitcoin Bear Market Crypto analyst Titan of Crypto has taken to the X (formerly Twitter) platform to share a warning with the broader crypto community. This warning was that the digital asset was more likely in a bear market compared to a bull market, giving an 80% score in favor of a bear market and only 20% in favor of a bull market. Related Reading: The ‘Insanely Bullish’ Dogecoin Setup That Will Trigger A 600% Rally To $1 This comes as there seems to be an erosion of the 4-year cycle that has characterized Bitcoin and the crypto market since its inception. The cycle expectations have deviated completely, especially as there has been no significant run for altcoins. Speaking on this cycle theory, the crypto analyst urges investors to look at the market with more nuance. This includes not following the market with blind optimism, but rather actually looking at the market for what it is and where it could be headed. The post shows the Bitcoin RSI and how it has looked before Bitcoin went into previous bear markets. Currently, there seems to be some similarity, but the crypto analyst believes that the direction will be determined next week. Titan of Crypto says that if the next week closes by November 24 looks the same, then it means that the bear market is here. Bear Market Indicators Triggered? In contrast to Titan’s stance, the Bull Market Peak Indicators tracked by the Coinglass website continue to show that the Bitcoin top is not in. This tracker consists of 30 indicators in total, showing if the Bitcoin top has been cracked in relation to historical performance, and none of them have been triggered. Related Reading: Ripple Exec Addresses Tax Issue On XRP Ledger, Where Does It Go? At the time of writing, the process bar sits just above 46% out of 100%, suggesting that it is not even halfway there to hitting the top. Thus, the indicators point toward a time to hold rather than sell, as the Bitcoin top has not been reached. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has also fallen to an Extreme Fear score of 10, which is the lowest the index has been since March 2025. Interestingly, when the index is in the red is usually when the market sees a possible reversal. However, it remains to be seen how buyers will respond to the market from here. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin has slipped into a critical danger zone as support levels continue to give way, putting the market on edge. Amid this decisive breakdown, the RSI is quietly flashing a bullish divergence, a subtle but meaningful early signal that momentum may be preparing to shift. The charts now paint a tense picture: bearish pressure remains dominant, but the first signs of a potential turnaround have appeared. Support Levels Crumble As Bitcoin Extends Its Downtrend According to an update shared by Crypto Candy on X, Bitcoin continues to break through support levels with little hesitation. The price held the $93,000–$95,000 zone for a brief period, but eventually failed to maintain that structure, triggering another move to the downside. The speed of each breakdown highlights how fragile market sentiment currently is. Related Reading: Bitcoin SSR Flashes Buy Signal: Rebound Incoming? With the most recent support now lost, Bitcoin has slipped to lower levels and remains under bearish pressure. If this momentum persists, Crypto Candy noted that the next area of interest lies between $86,000 and $87,500, a major support where buyers may attempt to slow or halt the decline. Should Bitcoin manage to hold within this $86,000–$87,500 range, a short-term reversal becomes possible. Even a modest bounce could provide temporary relief to the broader downtrend. However, such a reaction would still require confirmation before hinting at any sustainable shift in momentum. If that support fails to hold, Crypto Candy warns that the market could face another steep drop. A continued breakdown would reinforce the ongoing bearish narrative, opening the door for what he described as a “waterfall” scenario.  Bullish Divergence Emerges On The 4H Chart Crypto analyst Chad recently noted in an X post that Bitcoin is showing a notable bullish divergence between its price action and the RSI (Relative Strength Index) on the 4-hour chart. This divergence is a technical signal where the price makes a lower low.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Alert: This Indicator Signals SELL, Could History Repeat With A 67% Drop? Chad acknowledges that the price is clearly in a short-term downtrend and will need to reverse at some point. While he admits he doesn’t know the exact timing of the reversal, he emphasizes that the bullish divergence is the first positive sign that sellers are losing control and a structural shift may be near. To officially switch the short-term market structure back to bullish, Chad outlines a simple progression: the price needs to first make a higher high to break the current downtrend, and then confirm that break by establishing a higher low. This sequence is necessary to confirm that buyers have successfully taken over directional control of the price. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

In the turbulent and often unpredictable world of financial markets, asset correlations can dictate fortunes, creating either synergistic gains or painful downturns. Bitcoin is once again proving its resilience as it navigates a difficult period of negative market correlation. How Macro Pressure Failed To Break Bitcoin Market Structure Bitcoin is dealing with one of the most frustrating correlations in the market and is still surviving. CryptosRus has noted on X that BTC and Nasdaq are moving together, but BTC is reacting more to drops than to pumps. Wintermute pointed this out in their latest market report, and it’s exactly the type of pattern you normally see near macro bottoms, not near the top of a cycle. Related Reading: Why Is Bitcoin Price Crashing? Arthur Hayes Isn’t Surprised The incredible part of this trend is that BTC has already hit multiple all-time highs (ATHs) this year. BTC is still trading roughly 25% off the peak while carrying a correlation dynamic that shows how strongly it has been holding upward. It’s becoming increasingly clear that Bitcoin is on track to close the CME gap today, and the broader market context supports that move. The CIO and founder of MNFund and MNCapital, CryptoMichNL, has offered insight into crypto sentiment using the Fear and Greed Index, which shows an impression of the current state of the market comparable to previous occasions. This index is currently sitting at a 14 out of 100 level. The last time this level occurred was February 2025, right before BTC delivered a 20% decline in a month, and in June 2022, which marked a low during the Luna collapse. This shows exactly what the current market structure is, a pattern that doesn’t last long. CryptoMichNL concluded that it feels brutal when the broader crypto market and BTC are crashing simultaneously, but these phases do not last forever. That’s why patience is the most profitable strategy. Trend Reversal Strengthens As Price Moves Toward Support Zones Bitcoin is now moving directly into two major liquidity pockets, and these zones are likely to act as short-term support as the market searches for direction. An analyst known as Stockmoney Lizards has revealed that the BTC liquidation heatmap is signaling a heavy cluster of long liquidations between $80,000 and $90,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin Slides Deeper Into Red, Extending Decline Toward Key Support Zones At the same time, there is a CME true gap between the $92,000 and $92,500 region with no wicks. Meanwhile, BTC has already broken below the weekly supertrend and the weekly EMA50, confirming that momentum hasn’t flipped and BTC is still in a correction phase. Stockmoney Lizards noted that from here, the $90,000 is the natural bounce zone, and we will see if the bounce will manage to ignite a breakout to the upside, or if BTC can continue sliding toward the mid-$80,000 range. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

The Bitcoin price has spent the past few days struggling to recover from its sharp breakdown below $100,000, a move that rattled traders and briefly pushed the crypto market into one of its weakest phases in many months. Bitcoin’s price action has hovered in the mid-$90,000 range since the drop, but the past 24 hours have been highlighted by a break below $90,000.  In the middle of this bearish volatility, a new technical outlook from Tony “The Bull” Severino suggests that Bitcoin’s next move may be more bullish than the recent weakness implies. A Death Cross Forms During The Bitcoin Price Downtrend Tony’s analysis highlights the developing death cross on the daily timeframe, where the 50-day moving average is now bending down toward the 200-day moving average. The pattern is generally viewed as bearish, but the placement of the moving averages and the slope of the short-term line show something different unfolding on Bitcoin’s chart.  Related Reading: Here’s Why The Ethereum Price Is Crashing Again, Can It Breach $3,000? The green 50-day average has been gradually drifting lower after weeks of fading momentum, and the red 200-day average has begun flattening out from the long-term uptrend. As shown on the chart below, this death cross has formed around $110,000, and according to the analyst, Bitcoin might pump into this price level next week.  The reason a pump remains possible at this stage is tied directly to how moving averages behave. After the breakdown beneath $100,000, Bitcoin found support just below $92,000 and has since been forming a series of smaller-bodied candles that reflect the early stages of a potential reversal.  If buyers take control, a fast move toward the region between $103,000 and $110,000 becomes realistic. However, price action in the past 24 hours, which has seen Bitcoin break below $90,000, threatens this bullish outlook. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @TonyTheBullCMT On X The Path To $110,000 This Week For Bitcoin to reach $110,000 in the coming days, the market would need to replay a pattern seen several times in past cycles: a strong relief rally just before or immediately after a death cross forms.  These rallies happen because sentiment becomes overly pessimistic at the exact moment when shorts begin to pile in, leaving the price vulnerable to a sharp upside reaction. However, for that scenario to unfold now, Bitcoin would first need to push convincingly back above $90,000 and show that momentum is shifting away from the recent sell-off. Related Reading: This Analyst Called The Bitcoin Crash Below $20,000 In 2021, He’s Back With A Shocking Prediction For Solana Interestingly, other analysts have pointed to bullish primers for Bitcoin, despite the bearish price action. One such case is the Bitcoin SSR RSI, which was highlighted by a CryptoQuant community analyst called Maartunn, that shows rising stablecoin buying power relative to Bitcoin’s market cap. On the other hand, a bearish indicator has risen up with the SuperTrend indicator, which proposes a further 67% drop in the price of Bitcoin. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $89,760, down by 5.8% in the past 24 hours. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com