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The latest What Bitcoin Did episode, hosted by Danny Knowles, turns squarely to the question stalking one of the market’s hottest trades: can the boom in “Bitcoin treasury” companies withstand the next prolonged drawdown? Dylan LeClair, who helps lead the Bitcoin strategy at Tokyo-listed MetaPlanet, argues the answer rests less on ideology than on balance-sheet engineering, scale, and the willingness to endure volatility without blinking. “There’s sort of a ‘gradually then suddenly’ inflection point,” he said, describing how corporate exposure to Bitcoin has migrated from gimmick to boardroom agenda. The shift, in his view, is irreversible, but survival “is a constant fight with gravity” for firms that trade at premiums to their net asset value (NAV). Why Some Bitcoin Treasury Companies Won’t Survive The Bear Market LeClair’s thesis starts with market structure. Bitcoin is homogeneous collateral, but public equities are not. Liquidity, index inclusion, and the absolute size of a balance sheet produce a “winner-take-most dynamic,” he said. Even where two issuers have the same headline premium, the gravity of size changes the calculus: “Strategy is at a measly 1.8x premium, but the premium is like $50 billion of value,” he noted, contrasting that with the far smaller absolute premia attached to emerging players. Premiums compress mechanically as companies buy more Bitcoin or as the price rises, he added, which means maintaining a rich multiple demands ever-larger inflows of capital. Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin’s Final Leg Is Near – Time To Be ‘Cautiously Optimistic’? Pressed on what a bear market would do to those premia, LeClair separated cycle folklore from funding reality. He does not buy the inevitability of a 70% “pack it up for three years” drawdown as a base case, arguing the market now tends to reprice and then chop for extended periods. But he is unequivocal that a risk-off phase would punish sloppy balance sheets. “There will be pressure on MNAVs… Are you levered? With what sort of debt? Do you have secured debt where your Bitcoin’s encumbered? Do you have debt due in one year?” By contrast, he pointed to perpetual preferred equity—dividends but “no debt maturity ever”—as a structure that removes the most dangerous cliff: “With the prefs it’s like, no, we’re not selling actually ever.” For MetaPlanet, he framed risk management in deliberately dull terms: “We’re focused on staying… pristine, maintaining maximal flexibility.” He cited a “BTC rating” of roughly 16.5x—“we have 16 bucks of Bitcoin for every dollar of debt”—as intentional dry powder rather than under-optimization. The stress test, to him, is behavioral as much as financial: can management “eat the 70% bear market” if it comes? He expects casualties. “It’s naive to say that every company that adopts Bitcoin will be a success… there will be failures. There will be a bankruptcy… it’s a brutal, competitive world.” Where, then, is the moat? Not merely in being public, he argued, but in graduating from equity capital to the far deeper fixed-income markets. Convertibles provided early leverage—but at a cost he described with traderly bluntness. Convertible desks “woo you,” then short aggressively to hedge, “dampening the volatility” that many treasury companies actually want in their common stock. The more durable solution, he said, is permanent capital in the form of preferred equity. Here he credits Michael Saylor’s Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) with reaching “escape velocity,” pioneering a layered capital stack that now includes a new variable-rate preferred dubbed “Stretch” (ticker: STRC). Stretch is engineered to keep trading near $100 by adjusting its dividend and, if necessary, issuing new shares or calling them at $101—“a pretty genius feat of financial engineering,” in LeClair’s words, because it behaves like a cash-equivalent for investors without imposing maturity cliffs on the issuer. Strategy priced STRC in late July with an initial dividend framework and then closed a multi-billion-dollar offering, with the company describing the instrument as variable-rate, perpetual preferred stock designed to pay monthly and target trading near par. LeClair sees this as the practical realization of a long-standing ambition in crypto finance: a dollar-like instrument tied to Bitcoin collateral, without forcing asset sales in stress. Unlike algorithmic stablecoins that were vulnerable to redemptions spirals, Strategy’s preferreds are senior to common equity and massively over-collateralized by transparent Bitcoin holdings, he argued. External observers have reached similar high-level descriptions: Strategy’s own materials emphasize STRC’s variable dividend on a stated $100 amount, while coverage in financial media notes the offering’s explicit aim to hew to par and its place alongside earlier preferreds (Stride, Strike, Strife) in a capital stack backed by tens of billions in unencumbered Bitcoin. All of this feeds the consolidation logic LeClair expects in a downturn. Preferreds, he said, are both offensive and defensive. Offensively, they add dry powder to buy more BTC or even buy back common if MNAV compresses, reversing flow against short sellers “playing this spread game.” Defensively, they function as an “MNAV defense mechanism,” easing reliance on converts and the gamma-trading that “neuters volatility” in the common. If markets turn, he anticipates classic Wall Street behavior: opportunists will “clear off some debt, buy the Bitcoin at a discount.” MetaPlanet, he added, is not seeking to be a roll-up; the focus is “laser” on BTC itself. Related Reading: Bitcoin Heat Macro Phase Signals Market Sits Between Accumulation And Distribution Could Anyone Catch Strategy? LeClair is diplomatic on peers bringing large private Bitcoin pools public, calling it “overwhelmingly positive” for the asset. But his competitive assessment is stark: “I think Saylor’s reached escape velocity… a 600,000 Bitcoin lead is pretty insurmountable.” To contextualize that claim with public data, Strategy now reports roughly 629,000 BTC, giving it a commanding lead over other corporate holders. He adds that only a mega-cap with a decisive pivot—“if Mark Zuckerberg took the orange pill tomorrow”—could realistically challenge, which he deems unlikely given competing priorities like AI. LeClair is no maximalist about smooth sailing. Premiums will ebb. Funding windows will open and slam shut. Some firms, he warned, are “cosplaying as Bitcoiners” and may abandon discipline at the first whiff of pain. He was also frank about the sector’s self-selection bias: during the good times, new “treasury companies” appear by the week; the real filter arrives when prices fall and maturities near. “The times are good now… there will be a cycle. That’s what will separate the men from the boys,” he said. Survival, in his telling, comes down to a few non-negotiables: unencumbered collateral, long-dated or perpetual liabilities, and management that will not sell into downdrafts. Yet his broader message is that the game board has changed. Corporate adoption remains “early innings,” he said, because “the rest of the world actually simply doesn’t care” yet. The depth of the credit markets—and the emergence of Bitcoin-backed instruments palatable to those markets—may be what finally does the persuading. “If Bitcoin is going to eat the world… it has to get to all these different pools of capital.” Treasury companies that make that leap, he believes, can not only endure a bear market—they can use it to widen the gap. At press time, BTC traded at $118,100. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

In a post shared on TradingView, crypto analyst Xanrox argues that the current bullish cycle is nearly over, pointing to a potential downtrend that would see the Bitcoin price crash to $60,000. This analysis comes as Bitcoin is trading within a very quiet phase, prompting many crypto traders and crypto analysts to start reassessing its next direction. Xanrox Predicts Bitcoin Top At $122,000 And Crash To $60,000 The world’s largest cryptocurrency has been hovering just above the $118,000 price level for several days now, struggling to break decisively above this zone but also showing no major signs of a breakdown. Despite this consolidation, market sentiment remains upbeat.  Related Reading: This Indicator Has Perfectly Called Bitcoin Cycle Tops, Here’s What It’s Saying Now The crypto fear and greed index continues to flash “greed,” and most analysts still argue that Bitcoin is setting up for another leg upward. However, an interesting technical outlook challenges this bullish consensus and issues a crash warning. Notably, crypto analyst Xanrox identified a sell signal on the weekly candlestick timeframe chart after Bitcoin reached the 1.618 Fibonacci extension and touched the long-term 2017–2021–2025 trendline, with the latest touch of the trendline aligning to Bitcoin’s recent all-time high at $122,800.  According to him, the most recent touch of this trendline might be the top of the current cycle. Furthermore, he noted that the Elliott Wave structure has now completed Wave 5 of a rising wedge and a larger Wave 5 impulse move. As such, a corrective phase is about to start. What’s Next For Bitcoin? As shown in the chart below, the next major move could be at least a 50% decline, with Bitcoin dropping to around $60,000 by 2026. This projection is based on previous price action, where Bitcoin embarked on 84% and 77% price crashes after touching the trendline in 2017 and 2021, respectively. The technical setup also aligns with statistical data that shows August and September historically bring increased selling pressure. Xanrox noted that while traders can wait for further confirmation, such as a break below the 50-week moving average, he personally believes the top is already in. Large institutions and professional investors pay close attention to the 20, 50, 100, and 200-period moving averages. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short Squeeze Incoming As Market Makers Set Trap To Go Above $123,000 Xanrox’s outlook is a sharp contrast to the prevailing sentiment among crypto investors. Bitcoin’s current structure is still showing strength on higher timeframes, and several other analysts see the recent consolidation between $117,000 and $119,000 as a base for continuation toward $130,000 and beyond.  The lack of major sell-side volume, the firm hold above the $118,000 price level and the 50-week moving average, and bullish indicators across altcoins like Ethereum are on-chain signals that the Bitcoin price still has more room to run before it reaches a peak price this cycle. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin faced renewed selling pressure on Wednesday, falling 0.45% to $118,446.5 as traders braced for pivotal macroeconomic events. Related Reading: Bitcoin Heat Macro Phase Signals Market Sits Between Accumulation And Distribution This drop comes amid heightened caution ahead of the Federal Reserve’s July policy meeting and the looming implementation of steep U.S. tariffs on August 1. Despite a strong July performance, the flagship cryptocurrency remains under pressure due to profit-taking and broader market uncertainty. The decline follows a stretch of consolidation near the $120,000 level, a psychological resistance zone that prompted selling from long-term holders and institutions. Even Strategy’s historic $2.5 billion Bitcoin acquisition, adding 21,021 BTC, failed to spark a rally, suggesting investor fatigue and risk aversion are taking hold. BTC's price trends to the upside on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview Fed Decision and Tariff Jitters Weigh on Sentiment Investor focus remains fixed on the Federal Reserve’s rate decision, with expectations that the central bank will hold interest rates steady. However, analysts remain divided on the Fed’s longer-term stance amid calls for cuts by President Trump and signs of economic cooling. Market concerns are further amplified by impending U.S. tariffs ranging from 15% to 50%, set to take effect at the start of August. Although tariffs don’t directly impact crypto prices, they influence global sentiment and contribute to increased volatility across risk assets like Bitcoin. Meanwhile, the market is also awaiting a White House report that could outline the U.S. government’s Bitcoin holdings and clarify its stance on establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve. Altcoins Follow Bitcoin’s Retreat Bitcoin’s pullback echoed throughout the broader crypto market. Ethereum, the leading altcoin was one of the assets that made a dip, falling by over 2% to $3,781.5. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Could Rise To $9,000 This Cycle, Eyes Breakout Against Bitcoin This caused a ripple in the altcoin space with some of the major names recording similar drops: XRP fell 0.6% to $3.1290 Solana dropped 2.1% Cardano declined 1.6% Dogecoin slipped 2.2% $TRUMP coin shed 2.6% With volatility indicators tightening, analysts warn that a significant price move may be imminent as the market awaits the Fed’s outcome and macroeconomic clarity. Cover image from ChatGPT, chart from Tradingview

As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade within its local range, the cryptocurrency eyes a trend continuation, aiming to go on uncharted territory again. Despite the bullish setup, an analyst suggests that investors start to become more cautious as the weeks progress. Related Reading: Injective Targets $25 Amid Crucial Breakout Attempt – New Highs In Sight? Bitcoin Bull Flag To Determine Next Move Since the early July breakout, Bitcoin has been trading within a crucial price range, hitting its latest all-time high during this period. The flagship crypto has been hovering between $114,000-$120,000, retesting the local lows on Friday before recovering the range highs over the weekend. Amid this performance, market watcher Crypto Patel highlighted that BTC is trading inside a bull flag formation in the 4H chart, which could lead to an 8%-12% move once broken out. According to the analysis, if the cryptocurrency successfully breaks above the pattern’s descending resistance, near the $120,000 mark, its price could see a surge toward the $130,000 barrier for the first time. On the contrary, a rejection from this area could send Bitcoin toward the bull flag’s support, around $114,000, once more. The analyst warned that despite the key support’s strength, a breakdown below this level would invalidate the bullish pattern and risk a drop to the $100,000 level or below. In a Monday analysis, analyst Rekt Capital also discussed BTC’s bull flag in the weekly chart. He noted that Bitcoin closed last week above the bull flag top despite the Friday drop, “preparing and positioning itself for a confirmed breakout.” Therefore, the start-of-week pullback could be considered a volatile post-breakout retest if the cryptocurrency closes this week above $119,200. The analyst explained that “price has an entire week to do that; in fact, price could downside wick below the Bull Flag bottom to form a potential Diamond-Shaped candlestick formation in the downside wicks.” “It makes sense why price needs to dip,” he detailed, “it also makes sense for price to dip via the perspective of the newly formed Weekly CME Gap.” BTC’s Rally Running Out Of Time? As Daan Crypto Trades pointed out, BTC opened the week with a new CME Gap between $118,297 and $120,035, which was immediately closed on Monday, as the price retraced to the $117,000 mark. Notably, the flagship crypto has been closing its CME Gaps at the start of the week for the past five weeks, “building quite the streak at this point.” To the trader, “the longer this goes on, the more of a self-fulfilling prophecy it will become.” Rekt Capital also highlighted that Bitcoin has entered Week 4 of its second Price Discovery Uptrend, asserting that if BTC confirms a breakout from the weekly bullish flag, then “trend continuation in Price Discovery Uptrend 2 would be achieved.” Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Rally Might Be Running on Fumes, Analyst Warns of August Turning Point He warned that the second Uptrend could not last much longer. According to the analyst, the trend continuation could fail in the coming weeks, as the cryptocurrency transitions into the Weeks 5-7 of this phase. It’s worth noting that this cycle’s first Price Discovery uptrend lasted around 6-7 weeks before reaching the local top. As a result, he considers it “would be conservative thus to become increasingly cautious as time goes on,” starting to become “cautiously optimistic” from this week on. As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $117,161, a 2.1% decline in the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

Market expert Mark Moss has drawn the crypto community’s attention to an indicator that has perfectly nailed Bitcoin cycle tops. Based on this indicator, the expert revealed that the cycle top is unlikely to happen this year, as other analysts may have predicted.  Pi Cycle Top Indicator Reveals Next Bitcoin Cycle Top In an X post, Moss stated that the indicator is predicting a Bitcoin cycle top in the first quarter of 2027, not at the end of this year. He made this comment while describing the Pi Cycle Top indicator as the “Holy Grail” of Bitcoin indicators. The expert noted that the indicator nailed the Bitcoin cycle tops in 2013, 2017, and 2021.  Related Reading: Analyst Sounds Alarm For 50% Crash If Bitcoin Doesn’t Make A New ATH Soon Moss admitted that this latest cycle top prediction is hard to believe, as everyone is expecting Bitcoin to peak in the fourth quarter of this year. However, the Pi Cycle Top indicator suggests that the Bitcoin cycle top will occur in Q1 2027 and that the BTC price could reach $395,000 by then.  Crypto analyst Rekt Capital also recently alluded to the Pi Cycle Top indicator, noting how it was hinting at a possible cycle extension. He also confirmed that the indicator predicts a Bitcoin cycle top will occur in Q1 2027, with the flagship crypto possibly reaching $400,000. The analyst noted that, based on previous cycles, the Bitcoin cycle top is expected to happen in the fourth quarter of this year.  However, the recent BTC rallies have caused the Moving Averages (MA) to shift to higher prices. With these MAs shifting with every Bitcoin rally, Rekt Capital stated that it could take at least until mid-early 2026 before a Pi Cycle Top crossover occurs. However, the analyst advised that it is still important to be cautious about Q4 of this year and possibly develop an exit strategy in case the Bitcoin cycle peaks then.  The BTC 4-Year Cycle Is Over In a recent podcast, Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart and Bitwise Chief Investment Officer (CIO) Matt Hougan gave their opinions on whether the 4-year Bitcoin cycle is over. Seyffart stated that he expects the amplitude of these cycles to reduce as more institutional investors enter the BTC ecosystem.  Related Reading: The Final Bitcoin Act: Here’s What To Expect As BTC Trends Sideways Based on his statement, a Bitcoin cycle top might not happen as many expect, as the analyst predicts there won’t be massive drawdowns again with the flagship crypto maturing. On the other hand, the Bitwise CIO opined that the 4-year cycle for BTC is over.  He explained that the factors that drove this four-year cycle are now watered down. Meanwhile, there is a growing inflow into Bitcoin, which would continue to drive demand. In line with this, Hougan declared that 2026 will be an up year for Bitcoin.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $119,000, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

As the Bitcoin price hovers just 4% below its all-time high of $123,000, crypto analyst Doctor Profit has issued a new report that could spark increased bullish sentiment among investors, suggesting that a new rally could be on the horizon.  Bitcoin Price Poised For Growth After Major Trade Deal In a recent post on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), Doctor Profit highlighted a significant technical development for the Bitcoin price, noting that the cryptocurrency has recently broken through a diagonal resistance line on its monthly chart—a barrier that had proven insurmountable for several months. According to the analyst, the Bitcoin price faced repeated rejections at this crucial resistance level from November 2024 through February 2025.  However, this month marked a decisive breakout for the cryptocurrency, followed by a successful retest of the $114,000 level last Friday and a “strong bullish impulse” forming.  Related Reading: Memecoins, NFTs Get Called Out By Their Own Architect: ‘Zero Intrinsic Value’ Doctor Profit emphasized that this breakthrough signals a potential upward movement, asserting that the market is primed for the next leg up. He even predicts that the “bullish chart” will soon dominate discussions across social media. Adding to this optimism are recent developments surrounding a US-Europe trade deal announced on Monday by the White House. Doctor Profit noted that tariffs have been a lingering concern for both the Bitcoin price and the broader stock market, suppressing momentum.  However, the analyst asserts that the announcement of a new trade agreement—valued at $750 billion in US energy exports and $600 billion in EU investments—has alleviated some of that pressure.  Links Between M2 Money Supply And BTC’s Potential On a macroeconomic level, Doctor Profit highlighted the M2 money supply as a crucial factor influencing the Bitcoin price trajectory. Following a 25% expansion of M2 in 2020 due to pandemic-related measures, Bitcoin experienced an 800% rally.  Currently, M2 has increased by 2.3% since the beginning of 2025, despite ongoing quantitative tightening measures by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The analyst  believes that this indicates that the Fed may be poised to adopt more aggressive monetary policies in the near future. Related Reading: Ethereum Is About To Breakout Of Massive Consolidation Toward $5,000 Historical data suggests a correlation between increases in M2 and Bitcoin price movements, with the analyst estimating a potential upside of 30-35% for Bitcoin with every 1% increase in M2.  The most significant expansion has occurred in recent months, particularly between May and June 2025, when M2 saw a monthly increase of 0.63%.  Given Bitcoin’s typical lag in response to M2 changes—approximately 60 to 90 days—there is speculation that this could lead to a 15-17.5% rally in the coming weeks, positioning Bitcoin toward the $130,000 mark. Looking ahead, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is slated for Wednesday, with a strong expectation of no interest rate cuts. As of this writing, the market’s leading cryptocurrency trades at $117,569, up nearly 71% on a year-to-date (YTD) basis.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin (BTC) surged 28% in July, reaching highs near $123,200, fueled by growing institutional adoption and strategic accumulation. Tokyo-listed Metaplanet led the charge, purchasing 780 BTC worth $93 million, bringing its total holdings to 17,132 BTC valued at $1.7 billion. The firm aims to acquire 1% of Bitcoin’s total supply, 210,000 BTC, by 2027, signaling aggressive long-term confidence. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short Squeeze Incoming As Market Makers Set Trap To Go Above $123,000 Despite Bitcoin’s rally, Metaplanet’s stock fell 40% year-to-date due to valuation concerns and investor profit-taking. Nonetheless, this divergence reflects a broader shift, with Japanese firms increasingly adopting Bitcoin as a reserve asset. Analysts suggest that Metaplanet’s strategy could shape institutional treasury models in volatile macroeconomic conditions. Bitcoin's price trends to the upside on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview $111,500: Bitcoin’s New Strategic Buy Zone Technical analysts now view the $111,500 level as a key support zone, marking a significant resistance-turned-support flip. Markus Thielen of Matrixport highlights this level as a strategic entry point for investors. A confirmed bounce could propel BTC toward a breakout above $120,000, pushing a bullish momentum. Consequently, traders are advised to watch for strong volume confirmation around $111K, employing staggered entries and tight stop-losses. While dips below $112K may present buying opportunities, a sustained decline would require reassessment of risk. The level’s psychological significance aligns with historical resistance flips that often precede long-term rallies. Altcoin-Focused Funds Suffer as BTC Dominates While Bitcoin thrives, altcoin-heavy liquid crypto funds have seen dramatic losses. Asymmetric Capital’s Liquid Alpha Fund collapsed by 78% despite Bitcoin’s gains, due to overexposure to speculative altcoins and excessive leverage. Institutional capital is now favoring utility-driven, revenue-generating projects over memecoins. Experts like Rajiv Patel-O’Connor emphasize that future crypto investments must meet stricter criteria; liquidity, transparency, and token utility. Related Reading: Want Bitcoin Or Ether Exposure? Advisors Are Quietly Using Treasury Stocks—CEO As Bitcoin continues to cement its role as a digital reserve asset, the market is clearly pivoting toward sustainable fundamentals. Bottom Line Bitcoin’s rally, especially with the institutional momentum and technical bullish signals, marks a pivotal moment for crypto markets. The $111,500 zone could be a rare opportunity for savvy investors seeking structured entry amid broader altcoin turmoil. Cover image from ChatGPT, BTCUSD chart from Tradingview

A crypto analyst has issued a bold new forecast on the future trajectory of Bitcoin (BTC), claiming that the era of parabolic bull runs and painful bear markets is over. In its place, he envisions a slower, more institutionally driven path toward long-term growth. Looking ahead, the analyst believes that Bitcoin could reach $1,000,000 in the next decade.  Bitcoin Road To $1,000,000 Will Be Slow In an X social media post, Mitchell Askew, a crypto market expert and the Head of Research at Blockware, shared his long-term bullish outlook for Bitcoin, predicting that the flagship cryptocurrency is set to hit $1,000,000 within the next 10 years. However, he noted that this massive price surge won’t come from explosive bull runs previously seen in 2013 or 2017.  Related Reading: The Final Bitcoin Act: Here’s What To Expect As BTC Trends Sideways According to the analyst, Bitcoin has moved past the age of parabolic price surges followed by crushing drawdowns. Rather than repeating past cycles of 10,000% gains in a year trailed by a 75% crash, the flagship cryptocurrency is now exhibiting a much more controlled and less dramatic growth pattern. He believes that the cryptocurrency’s rise to $1,000,000 could unfold through a cycle of pumps followed by prolonged consolidations, making it a slow climb. This gradual growth style will likely discourage short-term speculators and casual investors, allowing only those with long-term conviction to benefit.  Askew’s bold BTC forecast and speculations about a slower growth trajectory are rooted in his belief that the cryptocurrency’s price action has fundamentally changed following the launch of Spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). The introduction of this investment product in early 2024 marked a turning point for BTC, transforming it into a more stable and institutionalized asset class.  Notably, since the approval of the Bitcoin ETF, the analyst asserts that the most significant drawdown the cryptocurrency has faced is about 30%—a stark contrast to the extreme volatility of the past. While Bitcoin remains volatile by traditional standards, the nature of its price swings has considerably shifted, pointing to broader stabilization in the market.  In this environment, private miners, particularly those affiliated with BlockwareTeam, are expected to benefit the most. By continuously mining at a lower cost and taking advantage of tax incentives like a 100% bonus depreciation on hardware, they stand to profit steadily as Bitcoin climbs higher. Askew believes that this evolution is not overly optimistic or bearish, but rather a logical progression as BTC matures into a mainstream financial asset with increasing institutional involvement.  Analyst Warns Against Unrealistic Short-Term Gains In his analysis, Askew noted that the expectation that Bitcoin could surge to $500,000 in just five months, or that identifying a precise cycle top will lead to easy profits, is now considered unrealistic. The analyst warned investors against overly bullish sentiment in the short term or relying on outdated cycle theories.  Related Reading: Hold On For Dear Life: This Bullish Bitcoin Metric Just Touched A 15-Year High He suggests that trying to time market tops based on past halving cycles may leave investors sidelined while Bitcoin continues its slow and steady climb throughout the Trump administration. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

After a tumultuous week, the Bitcoin price is starting to find its footing again, rising from major support around the $115,000 level. Currently, the pioneer cryptocurrency looks to be on the path of recovery and possibly moving toward new highs this week as momentum picks up. There is also the possibility of a coming short squeeze, as explained by crypto analyst Luca on X, using recent developments that show that the recent crash may have only been temporary. Bitcoin Shows Tendency To Cross $123,000 Again In an X post, Luca pointed to the Bitcoin market makers as the ones behind the recent price movements and that there was a reason for this. The initial move downward looked to be an attempt to flush out late longs as crypto traders tried to take advantage of the frenzy created by the new all-time highs. Related Reading: Ripple CEO Sounds Alarm: If You’re An XRP Investor, You Should See This Then a reversal moved into the works, catching shorters unaware and sweeping liquidity at support levels. This comes as bears were pulled into a false sense of security, believing that the price would continue to decline before being hit with the move back up above $118,000, triggering hundreds of millions of dollars in liquidations. All of this is happening at a time when things like the Bitcoin funding rate were falling. Coinglass data shows the Bitcoin OI-Weighted Funding Rate had fallen briefly below 0.01% on Sunday after reaching as high as 0.0167% earlier in the week on July 23. Luca further revealed that the Bitcoin Premium metric had also fallen back into the negative. Another interesting fact was the fact that the open interest had shot up when the Bitcoin price had declined. Then, once the price began to recover, the open interest began to rise once again, and Luca interprets this as short positions starting to get squeezed. If this squeeze continues, then the Bitcoin price could spike very quickly, taking out tens of thousands of short positions with it. Related Reading: Bitcoin Eyes Bounce off This Support Level In Reversal Campaign For $121,000 BTC Open Interest Tells A Story Of Exposure As the Bitcoin price has bounced between $115,000 and $120,000, the BTC open interest has barreled upwards in response. In fact, this metric sits at all-time high levels, shaking off the market uncertainty as crypto traders continue to open positions to bet on Bitcoin’s next move. The open interest had touched $87.89 billion back on July 15, and since then, it has averaged above $80 billion every day. Amid this, the Binance Long/Short ratio shows that shorters are currently dominating at 53.97% compared to 46.03% for long accounts. This lends credence to Luca’s expectations that the market could see a short squeeze to take out shorters and push the price to new all-time highs. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

The Bitcoin price has been quite indecisive in its action over the past week, jumping between the $117,000 and $120,000 consolidation zone in that period. The flagship cryptocurrency, however, came tumbling toward the $115,000 mark following massive coin movements toward centralized exchanges in the past day. Interestingly, a prominent market expert has put forward an even more bearish outlook for the Bitcoin price over the next few weeks. With this latest projection, the price of BTC seems to only be at the beginning of a downward spiral, which could worsen over the coming days. How BTC Price Could Be At Risk Of Extended Decline In a July 25 post on social media platform X, Chartered Market Technician (CMT) Aksel Kibar painted a bearish picture for the Bitcoin price after falling to $115,000 on Friday. According to the analyst, the flagship cryptocurrency could be on its way to around $109,000 in the coming days. Related Reading: This Australian Investment Manager Just Added Bitcoin To Its Treasury, Here’s How Much BTC They’ve Bought Kibar’s bearish stance revolves around the inverse head-and-shoulder pattern on the Bitcoin price chart on the weekly timeframe. The inverse head-and-shoulders pattern is a technical analysis formation characterized by three distinct price troughs, including a lower “head” set between two higher “shoulders.” Typically, the inverse pattern signals a possible bullish breakout and is validated when the price breaches the neckline — a trendline connecting the crests (swing highs) between the head. As shown in the chart below, the Bitcoin price has already broken through the neckline to reach a new all-time high. However, Kibar explained that the price breakout witnessed by Bitcoin might not be the textbook breakout typically expected in most inverse head-and-shoulders pattern scenarios. According to the market expert, most head-and-shoulder breakouts are followed by pullbacks and retests rather than straight rallies. Chart data provided by the analyst shows that, since May 2017, the Bitcoin price has witnessed a retest or pullback (type 2 continuation) more times than a straight rally (type 1 continuation) after a head-and-shoulder pattern breakout. This trend explains the rationale behind Kibar’s bearish projection for BTC in the next few days. If the price of Bitcoin does suffer a deeper correction as in the type 2 continuation, it is likely to return to the neckline — and around the $109,000 mark. A move like this would represent an over 5% decline from the current price point. Bitcoin Price At A Glance After a horrendous start to the day, the market leader seems to be recovering nicely from its recent fall to $115,000. As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $117,323, reflecting a mere 0.6% decline in the past 24 hours.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Pullback Remains Within Normal Volatility Range: Drawdown Analysis Shows No Signs Of Panic     Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

After surging to a record high around $123,000 in the second week of July, the Bitcoin price action for the rest of the month has been largely choppy. However, the flagship cryptocurrency dropped to a level just above $115,000 on Friday, July 25. This abrupt decline came with the expected question in the market: Is the rally over?  Here’s How $115,000 Could Be Critical To BTC’s Price In a recent post on the social media platform X, crypto pundit Burak Tamaç highlighted the relevance of the region below the $115,000 level for the price of BTC. This on-chain observation, which is based on the BTC Supply Distribution URPD, showed how the Bitcoin price could play out in the near future. Related Reading: Bitcoin Eyes Bounce off This Support Level In Reversal Campaign For $121,000 The Supply Distribution URPD metric tracks the amount of Bitcoin supply last moved or transferred at particular price levels. This metric is specifically useful in identifying potential support (demand) and resistance (supply) zones. Tamaç pointed out on X that there is a significant void in Bitcoin’s Unspent Transaction Output (UTXO) distribution just around the $110,000 and $115,000 bracket. What this means is that there have been relatively fewer significant transactions around this price region in the recent past. However, this UTXO gap sits above a price region ($90,000 to $110,000) thick with significant investor activity. Considering the level of activity within this zone, there is an increased likelihood of the premier cryptocurrency finding a support cushion just within the UTXO gap. In this context, the support is to be above the $110,000 price level. As mentioned earlier, after Bitcoin reached a new all-time-high price, the premier cryptocurrency entered a consolidatory phase, where it has moved mostly sideways in the second half of July. During this period of indecisive price action, it can be observed that the Bitcoin price has not gone below the $115,000 price.  What this means is that the $110,000 and $115,000 zone is likely where a new UTXO support has been established. If Bitcoin prevails above this price level, we can expect to see continued bullish momentum. On the flip side, if the $110,000 — 115,000 support zone fails, the flagship cryptocurrency might experience a severe sell-off. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, Bitcoin is valued at about $118,050, reflecting an almost 2% jump in the past 24 hours.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Eyes Bounce off This Support Level In Reversal Campaign For $121,000   Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has jumped more than 170% from its launch‑month price around $45,000 to about $123,000 earlier this month. Related Reading: Crypto’s Golden Rule Just Got Broken, According To Analyst Based on reports from Citi, the bank has laid out three scenarios for where the price might land by year‑end 2025. These range from a low of $64,000 in a weak market to a bull case of $199,000 if everything goes right. ETF Flows Take Center Stage In Bitcoin Uptrend According to Citi analysts, spot Bitcoin ETFs now explain over 40% of the recent price swings. Since their debut, US ETFs have snapped up about $54.66 billion worth of Bitcoin. That buying power helped drive BTC from roughly $45,000 to $123,000 in just a few months. The bank’s base case assumes another $15 billion in ETF inflows this year. At the ratio they’ve modeled—about $4 of price per $1 of flow—that would add around $63,000 to Bitcoin’s value. ???? Bitcoin Could Surge to $199K by Year-End, Says Citi Citigroup has released a new forecast projecting Bitcoin to reach $135,000 by the end of 2025 in its base-case scenario. The bullish case estimates a potential rise to $199,000, while the bearish outlook places the… pic.twitter.com/3Kp1o8OGsn — The Tradesman (@The_Tradesman1) July 26, 2025 User Growth Fuels Network Effects Based on figures from trading desks and on‑chain metrics, Citi expects a 20% rise in active Bitcoin users over the next year. That jump in adoption would support roughly $75,000 of price strength on its own. The idea is simple. More users mean more hands holding and trading Bitcoin. That activity tends to make prices less prone to sudden drops. Still, forecasts like this rest on the assumption that new users stick around rather than flipping coins for quick gains. Macroeconomic Factors Cut Forecast Slightly Citi’s model also factors in weaker performance in equities and gold, trimming the price by about $3,200. That adjustment reflects a view that if stock and metal markets struggle, Bitcoin won’t fully decouple from broader risk assets. At the same time, growing regulatory approval and deeper links between crypto and traditional finance should offer some support. ETF Demand Could Lift Bitcoin By $63,000 In the base‑case scenario, Citi adds the $63,000 from ETF flows to the $75,000 from user growth, then subtracts $3,200 for macro headwinds. That math lands the price at about $135,000 in 2025. That figure is only $12,000 above the recent peak of $123,000. It suggests Citi sees more upside but not a runaway rally—at least not in the base case. Related Reading: The US Is A Bitcoin Whale—Arkham Clarifies BTC Holdings After Brief Panic A Bull Case Of $199,000 Remains On The Table If ETFs keep pouring in far more than $15 billion and user growth exceeds 20%, Bitcoin could climb to $199,000 under Citi’s bull case. Conversely, a drop to $64,000 is possible if macro conditions sour sharply. Globally, ETFs now hold around 1.48 million BTC, worth over $170 billion—about 7% of the total supply. That level of institutional backing is unprecedented. It shifts Bitcoin’s fate more toward big‑money flows than pure retail hype. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin looks to be on the verge of a breakdown after rallying to $123,000 all-time highs earlier in the month. This reversal has taken the market by surprise, with the altcoin market, once again, bearing the brunt of the losses. Now, as the Bitcoin price reaches an important level, the questions of whether this is the start of a bear trend or if there will be a bounce in price have become more urgent. Bitcoin Trends Low After New Highs After the reversal back into the $117,000 levels, crypto analyst TehThomas has published an analysis outlining the current Bitcoin price trend and where it could be headed next. So far, the analyst explains that Bitcoin is still trading in a well-defined trend after being rejected from the upper resistance zone at $120,000 multiple times. However, there is still a lot of bite from its support levels below, which could be its saving grace. Related Reading: Cup And Saucer Pattern Says XRP Price Rally Is Not Done As the analyst explains, the fact that the support continues to hold shows that there is still a lot of buying going on for Bitcoin. This puts the support very tight around this area, but also makes it a dangerous territory for the bulls. It is possible that there is a sweep back to these lows, and Thomas explains that such a move would engineer sell-side liquidity. There is also a Fair Value Gap (FVG) at the $121,000 level, which continues to be defended. This is where most of the resistance has come from, pushing the price back below $118,000 multiple times already. Thus, this FVG is the next level to reclaim in the campaign for new highs. Bouncing Back From Lows If the sweep back toward the lows is completed, it is not entirely bearish for the Bitcoin price and could, in fact, be the move that helps to trigger the next wave of uptrend. The analyst explains that buyers would have to step back in at this level, with support sitting firmly at $116,000. This accumulation during consolidation would be inherently bullish. Related Reading: Tether Investments Extend Beyond Bitcoin Amid Record Profits — Details Looking back at the FVG, the analyst explains that it could act as a magnet if the price begins to rise again. Nevertheless, all of this depends on the Bitcoin price dipping back to support and then bouncing off again. The sweep of liquidity at the lows and the bounce would offer confirmation that the price is going to keep trending upward. However, there is still the possibility of a price breakdown from here. Thomas points to an invalidation of the bullish thesis if support at $116,000 fails to hold and there is no immediate recovery. “Bitcoin remains locked in a clear range, and until the breakout happens, the edges of that range offer the best trading opportunities,” the analyst explained. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

DigitalX Limited, an Australian digital Investment manager, has made headlines with a new Bitcoin (BTC) acquisition, signaling renewed institutional confidence in the market. The ASX-listed crypto fund manager has expanded its Bitcoin treasury by a whopping 74.7 BTC, marking a significant addition to its already existing holdings. DigitalX Buys 74.7 BTC In a recent X social media post on July 23, DigitalX confirmed the addition of 74.7 BTC to its treasury. The acquisition, completed at an average price of $117,293 per BTC, reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to its Bitcoin-led strategy. This latest purchase has raised the crypto fund manager’s total Bitcoin holdings to 499.8 BTC, valued at approximately $91.3 million.  Related Reading: Elon Musk’s SpaceX Moves Bitcoin Holdings For The First Time In 3 Years, Here’s Where It Went Notably, the company also announced and expanded on the details of this large-scale Bitcoin purchase in an official statement on Investorhub. Of its total 499.8 BTC holdings, 306.8 BTC are held directly by DigitalX, while the remaining 193 coins are held indirectly through 881,000 units in its ASX-listed Bitcoin ETF, BTXX.  The recent addition of 74.7 Bitcoin follows an earlier acquisition of 57.5 BTC disclosed by the company on July 18, 2025. These back-to-back purchases demonstrate a continued reallocation of DigitalX’s digital asset treasury toward Bitcoin. The firm’s total treasury, excluding cash, now exceeds $104.4 million. As part of its long-term crypto strategy, DigitalX’s targeted portfolio adjustment reinforces its role as a leading institutional-grade Bitcoin investment vehicle on the Australian Securities Exchange. The crypto fund manager highlights its latest acquisition as a key step in its ongoing effort to establish Bitcoin as its core treasury reserve asset.  Shareholder Focus Sharpens As Bitcoin Treasury Value Rises According to its official statement, DigitalX’s strategy goes beyond simply growing its BTC reserve. It also aims to enhance shareholder value through consistent and transparent reporting. The crypto fund manager now tracks its Bitcoin holdings per share in Satoshis (Sats), the smallest unit of BTC.  Related Reading: Hold On For Dear Life: This Bullish Bitcoin Metric Just Touched A 15-Year High As of the latest update, DigitalX’s BTC per share stands at 33.88 Sats, marking a 58% increase in its Bitcoin treasury value since June 30, 2025. This figure reflects the impact of recent acquisitions and provides a somewhat measurable benchmark for investors assessing exposure to the company’s considerable portfolio.  By prioritizing Bitcoin accumulation and optimizing its treasury structure, DigitalX continues to position itself as a prominent crypto-centric firm—one that views shareholder value as directly tied to the strength and growth of its BTC holdings. The company is also doubling down on its long-term vision of leveraging the flagship cryptocurrency as a strategic financial foundation.  Leigh Travers, former CEO and present Non-Executive Chairman of DigitalX, reaffirmed the company’s commitment to its digital asset goals, stating that it aims to steadily grow its BTC portfolio throughout the year and well into the future. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin’s summer melt-up has come to an abrupt halt. The benchmark cryptocurrency slipped from an intraday peak above $119,000 late Thursday to trade as low as $115,800 in European morning hours, its weakest print in a fortnight. The 2.7 percentage-point slide followed an unmistakable on-chain signal: Galaxy Digital quietly pushed more than 10,000 BTC—worth about $1.18 billion at the time—onto major exchanges in less than eight hours, according to wallet-tracking firm Lookonchain. Galaxy Digital Triggers Bitcoin Slide “Bitcoin sell-off still underway! Galaxy Digital deposited another 2,850 BTC ($330.44M) to exchanges,” Lookonchain warned on X in the early European morning hours, noting that the transfer originated from a Satoshi-era whale that re-awakened this month. Prior to that, the analytics account posted an alert: “Note that Galaxy Digital has deposited over 10,000 BTC ($1.18B) to exchanges in the past 8 hours!” Screenshots of Arkham Intelligence dashboards showed a series of multi-million-dollar transactions converging on Binance, Bybit and OKX. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rally Signal? Analyst Links Binance Spot Volume Surges To Price Upswings The flows are the latest chapter in a saga that began on 4 July, when an address dormant since 2011 started chopping an 80,009-BTC trove into 10,000-coin tranches. By 18 July the final 40,191 BTC—worth $4.8 billion—had landed at Galaxy, a move many analysts interpreted as a potential sale. That potential is now reality. On-chain data shows Galaxy sends Bitcoin to various crypto exchanges almost every minute to sell it. The BTC price is reacting with textbook symmetry: spot BTC slipped through $118,000 during the Asian session before knifing to $116,000 as London desks opened, wiping roughly $55 billion from bitcoin’s market value in just 4 hours. Galaxy Digital, run by billionaire Michael Novogratz, offered no public comment at the time of writing and has not filed any Form 8-K that might indicate a balance-sheet reshuffle. The firm’s most recent media appearance came on CNBC yesterday, where Novogratz repeated his view that Ether could “outperform” bitcoin over the next few months,” but did not hint at near-term selling. Related Reading: Are Traders Walking Into a Bitcoin Bull Trap at $118K? Here’s What the Data Shows While motives remain opaque, market spectators were quick to theorise. “Looks like the Bitcoin selloff is Galaxy Digital market dumping from a batch of 80K BTC. Could be because they were asked to for a client, something related to Saylor, or moving into Ethereum as Novogratz suggested ETH may move more than BTC in the next few months (today on CNBC). Not worried. They have about 27K left to sell (if they’re selling the full 80k), people buy, life goes on, it continues upwards,” the crypto-focused account Autism Capital posted via X. Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards commented via X: “At the same time that this OG whale is dropping 10K slugs into spot markets today, we have 30K of leveraged longs opening on the dip. Not a price prediction and changes nothing mid- to long-term, but this is not a great sign for the short-term price action. Even if all 80K BTC are nuked, if Treasury Company demand remains consistent, it will all be consumed in a couple weeks.” At press time, BTC traded at $115,476. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Jack Mallers, founder of Strike, argued in a video shared on X that a structurally higher Bitcoin price is emerging as a necessary component of US fiscal management, linking the growth of stablecoins to demand for US government debt. Framing the newly introduced GENIUS Act stablecoin legislation as “a seminal moment for digital assets and global dollar dominance,” Mallers said that while the bill “has nothing to do with Bitcoin directly,” it is indirectly significant because stablecoin expansion and Bitcoin appreciation are, in his view, intertwined. Bitcoin And Gold Must Rise To Avert US Fiscal Crisis Displaying a chart of Tether’s market capitalization alongside Bitcoin’s price, Mallers told viewers: “In the green, what you’re looking at is Tether, Market Cap. And in the orange, what you’re looking at is Bitcoin… The currency pair that does the most volume against this asset class is USDT, is Tether… If you want stablecoins to grow, Bitcoin grows.” He then connected that relationship to federal financing: stablecoin issuers, especially Tether, hold large amounts of US Treasuries; therefore, a larger stablecoin float would translate into incremental structural demand for US debt. Related Reading: Are Traders Walking Into a Bitcoin Bull Trap at $118K? Here’s What the Data Shows Mallers described the United States as fiscally “trapped,” asserting: “We know that the US cannot raise rates and they cannot cut spending. So we are trapped. The next logical step is we then need to devalue the dollar. It’s the only way out.” The policy question, he continued, is what assets the dollar should be allowed to depreciate against. “Do not debase the dollar against housing… Don’t debase the dollar against eggs… My recommendation, debase it against Bitcoin and gold.” Projecting a scenario in which Bitcoin reaches $500,000—“That’s 5x from here”—Mallers claimed such a move would force stablecoin capitalization to “5x,” producing “five times the amount of demand for US debt” at a moment when, he said, traditional foreign and domestic buyers are fatigued: “China doesn’t want your debt… Hedge funds don’t want your debt. Who’s the buyer of last resort? The Fed.” He likened the prospective alignment of Treasury financing needs, Federal Reserve balance-sheet expansion, and stablecoin reserve composition to a previous historical episode: “The last time the Fed and the US government got married… was to help finance around the world wars. And the Fed’s balance sheet grew 10 times… largely in… T-bills, the things that stablecoins buy.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Consolidates Below $120K as Exchange Activity Reflects Mixed Market Signals With US debt-to-GDP “at 130%,” Mallers argued, reduction in real terms requires monetary debasement channeled into politically acceptable asset inflation. He extended the narrative into politics, highlighting that “The president and his family just bought $2 billion worth of Bitcoin” and policy moves such as opening “US retirement market to crypto investments.” According to Mallers, positioning Bitcoin and gold inside retirement accounts will allow policymakers to “debase the dollar and get reelected,” because Bitcoin holders would not resist the erosion of purchasing power: “Debase the dollar all you want… I don’t care because I own Bitcoin.” He concluded by restating the mechanism he sees emerging from the bill: “Stablecoins are the new way to finance the government, but they grow as Bitcoin grows. One way to grow stablecoins is to grow Bitcoin… One way to solve the Fed and the Treasury’s problem of getting remarried is to grow Bitcoin. It could not be more obvious.” At press time, BTC traded at $118,055. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

As Bitcoin continues its upward momentum, technical analysts are pointing to the long-observed Power Law resistance band. While market sentiment remains bullish, the proximity to this structural ceiling raises the possibility of increased volatility and consolidation. Analyst Highlights Technical Headwinds Facing Bitcoin Rally Despite recent bullish momentum, Bitcoin has yet to break through a key resistance level on the long-term power law chart. According to Alphractal’s post on X, these trendlines have historically mapped support and resistance with impressive precision, while effectively guiding BTC price movements over the years. Related Reading: Are Traders Walking Into a Bitcoin Bull Trap at $118K? Here’s What the Data Shows To confirm a sustained bull run, BTC must decisively break above the $122,000 level, which is currently acting as the ceiling on the long-term model. The BTC Long-Term Power Law is a powerful yet underappreciated indicator in the crypto space that offers a unique perspective on the long-term price behavior. This model utilizes a logarithmic scale on both price and time. This format is rarely used in traditional markets but is particularly suited for assets with exponential growth trajectories, such as BTC. By applying linear regression to log-log data, it generates smooth predictive trend lines that help provide a macro perspective on price evolution. Bitcoin is unlikely to fall below $108,000 by the year 2033, says Joao_wedson, the creator of the Long-Term Power Law model. Such a move would violate the model historical trend. Furthermore, Alphractal notes that this tool is a must-watch for long-term investors aiming to position themselves strategically in the crypto market. Analyst Predicts Bitcoin’s Market Peak Within Six Months In an X post, analyst Colin Talks Crypto stated that it feels like Bitcoin might be roughly six months away from reaching the market top. Despite the ongoing price rally, he pointed out that sentiment remains surprisingly low, which is a key factor in his outlook.   Related Reading: Bitcoin Holders Still Reluctant To Sell – Supply Active Data Shows Room For Upside It will take time for retail to get excited, and sentiment indicators are near some of their lowest point, which suggests that BTC price could continue climbing before reaching the euphoric highs of a market top. The technical indicators are overwhelmingly bullish, which suggests that there is still room for the price to continue its ascent. The recent breakout on BTC Monthly Candle highlights sustained momentum, while the Crypto Bull & Bear Indicator (CBBI) remains relatively underheated. This suggests that the market is not yet overextended and could continue its upward trajectory. Additionally, the global M2 money supply continues its upward trajectory, while injecting liquidity into the financial system that can fuel asset price gains. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has reached new all-time highs, while reflecting positive investor confidence and risk appetite that often extends into the crypto markets. The Government and corporate BTC treasuries have barely even begun to take shape. Colin mentioned that the hype around institutional adoption is still on the horizon as we approach the market top. Featured image from iStock images, chart from tradingview.com

Elon Musk’s SpaceX has raised eyebrows in the crypto community, following the transfer of its Bitcoin holdings for the first time in three years. This has raised concerns about the possibility of the company looking to offload its coins.  Elon Musk’s SpaceX Transfers Bitcoin Holdings To A Fresh Address In an X post, onchain analytics platform Arkham Intelligence revealed that Elon Musk’s SpaceX just moved Bitcoin for the first time in three years. The company sent 1,300 BTC ($153 million) to a fresh address this morning. Arkham then questioned whether this transfer was simply a move to cycle custody wallets or a plan to sell.  Related Reading: The Final Bitcoin Act: Here’s What To Expect As BTC Trends Sideways SpaceX transferred the funds to an unknown wallet (bc1q8….phartf), which suggests that this move is just for custody purposes rather than to sell them. Notably, the last time Elon Musk’s company moved some of its Bitcoin holdings was to Coinbase, three years ago, which was more of an indication to sell than this recent transfer.  There is a possibility that Elon Musk’s SpaceX would have likely moved this $153 million to Coinbase again, rather than to a new address, if it intended to offload these coins. Arkham data shows that the coins in the fresh address remain untouched following the transfer. Meanwhile, it is worth noting that the company still holds 6,977 BTC ($827.41 million) in its recognized wallets. SpaceX first disclosed its Bitcoin holdings in 2021. This was around the same time that Elon Musk’s Tesla also announced it had purchased Bitcoin and was exploring the possibility of accepting BTC as a payment option. Arkham data shows that Tesla 11,509 BTC, worth around $1.37 billion.  Tesla hasn’t moved any of its coins in the last nine months. Meanwhile, the company also ranks as the 10th largest public Bitcoin treasury, according to BitcoinTreasuries’ data.  Musk’s Belief In Bitcoin Is Growing Elon Musk’s belief in Bitcoin’s potential as a hedge looks to be growing, which again makes it unlikely that SpaceX is looking to offload its coins with its recent transfer. Earlier this month, the world’s richest man confirmed that his America Party will embrace Bitcoin as “fiat is hopeless.” He made this comment amid the passing of the Big Beautiful Bill, which increases government spending and is bullish for BTC since it has a limited supply compared to the dollar.  Related Reading: Hold On For Dear Life: This Bullish Bitcoin Metric Just Touched A 15-Year High Elon Musk had also allegedly liked a comment made by a crypto community member about the world’s richest man possibly stacking Bitcoin, given the government’s impending money printing. This suggests that Musk may indeed be looking to invest heavily in Bitcoin. BTC maximalist Max Keiser also opined that Musk would soon be a maximalist himself.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $18,600, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

President Donald Trump has reignited crypto conversations online after sharing a viral video explaining Bitcoin during a U.S. Senate hearing. The clip, which features Director of Research at Coin Center, Peter Van Valkenburgh, offers a powerful defense of Bitcoin’s decentralized nature and its role as public financial infrastructure. What His Bitcoin Message Means As mentioned by MJTruthUltra’s post on X, President Donald Trump has shared a video of Peter Van Valkenburgh, Coin Center’s Director of Research, delivering a powerful and articulate explanation of Bitcoin during a US Senate hearing. Related Reading: Trump Media’s $2 Billion Bitcoin Buy Sparks Surge In Stock Price Speaking before the lawmakers, Van Valkenburgh described Bitcoin as the world’s first cryptocurrency, built on the first public blockchain network. He emphasized that Bitcoin allows anyone to send and receive value globally using just a computer and an internet connection without relying on trusted third parties like banks. He also highlights Bitcoin’s revolutionary nature as the first public digital payments infrastructure, compared to the internet information before money access. Unlike traditional financial systems, which rely on private banks to update ledgers and approve transactions, Bitcoin operates on a public blockchain that anyone can access, regardless of background or credit status. Van Valkenburgh stated that Bitcoin’s decentralized design directly addresses the inherent vulnerabilities of centralized systems, which often have single points of failure. These weaknesses have led to some of the most damaging security breaches in modern history. He points to high-profile incidents, such as the Equifax data breach, which exposed the personal information of 143 million Americans, the SWIFT network frauds, which totaled hundreds of millions, including cases involving North Korean hackers, and the $1.8 billion fraud at Punjab National Bank, which enabled internal exploitation of centralized trust. Van Valkenburgh also cites the 2016 Dyn botnet attack, which took down major websites. He extends these concerns to the Internet of Things, where hacks have compromised pacemakers, baby monitors, and even vehicles, all due to reliance on centralized control systems. He advocates for the development of more public digital infrastructure, like Bitcoin and Blockchain networks, to reduce reliance on powerful corporate intermediaries. These systems foster greater competition, resilience, and user empowerment by potentially replacing centralized chokepoints that are vulnerable to failure, censorship, and abuse. MicroStrategy Now Owns Over 600 Bitcoin While prominent figures in the financial and political landscape advocate for Bitcoin, institutional adoption continues to grow, with companies like Strategy purchasing the asset in large quantities. This rising interest from large-scale investors and businesses adds weight to BTC’s status as a reliable store of value. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holders Are Taking Profits—But Is the Top Still Far Away? BNB Swap revealed on X that Michael Saylor’s Strategy, the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, has again expanded its massive crypto and BTC treasury. The firm has acquired an additional 6,220 BTC, worth $739.8 million. This latest purchase pushes MicroStrategy’s total Bitcoin holdings to an astonishing 607,770 BTC, accumulated at an estimated cost basis of $43.6 billion. Featured image from iStock images, chart from tradingview.com

As the crypto market gears up for what many expect to be a major bull run in 2025, top analysts are beginning to share their most realistic price predictions for leading digital assets like Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Chainlink (LINK), Binance Coin (BNB), Aptos (APT), and others. Though their forecasts vary in optimism, there’s a shared consensus that significant gains are likely on the horizon.  Bitcoin, Ethereum, LINK, BNB And Aptos Price Forecast  As excitement builds around the next potential crypto bull run, well-known crypto analyst and YouTube host Altcoin Daily has released a fresh batch of “realistic” price predictions for major digital assets expected to perform strongly in 2025.  Related Reading: The Final Bitcoin Act: Here’s What To Expect As BTC Trends Sideways In the forecast posted on X social media, Bitcoin is expected to reach a peak of $150,000 during the next bull market. Currently trading at $117,629, the flagship cryptocurrency has pulled back from its recent all-time high above $123,000. To reach the projected $150,000 target, BTC would need to surge by roughly 27.52% from its current level.  Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, is also set for significant gains this cycle. Altcoin Daily forecasts that the altcoin is likely to hit $5,000 in 2025. Over the past few weeks, Ethereum has posted strong gains, overcoming key resistance and emerging from a prolonged consolidation phase. Now trading at $3,696, the top altcoin has surged by an impressive 61.45% over the past month. From this level, ETH would need to climb approximately 35.26% to reach a $5,000 peak. Weighing in on other major altcoins, Chainlink, the leading decentralized oracle provider, is expected to rise to $30, representing a potential surge of over 57% from its current price of $19.1. As for Binance Coin, Altcoin Daily anticipates a strong rally toward the $1,000 mark from BNB’s current price of $759.  For the final forecast, Altcoin Daily sets a $10 target for Aptos, a relatively newer Layer-1 blockchain. At the time of writing, the token is trading at $5.25, meaning it is expected to surge by approximately 90.5% to reach the expected peak.  Realistic Targets For 2025 Altcoin Season Offering a significantly more inclusive forecast, crypto analyst Domba.eth took to X to share realistic price targets for 19 major cryptocurrencies ahead of the anticipated 2025 altcoin season. In line with Altcoin Daily’s projection, Domba.eth forecasts a relatively similar peak range for BTC, ETH, and BNB. Related Reading: Altcoin Season Index Spikes Above 30, But Bitcoin Dominance Remains High, What Next? The analyst’s projection also extends to cryptocurrencies not covered by Altcoin Daily, including Solana, XRP, and Cardano. Notably, Solana is expected to rise between $300 and $500 during the upcoming altcoin season, suggesting a possible surge of 50% to 152% from its current price of $199.1.  XRP, which recently saw a sharp rally above $3.5, is forecasted to rise between $3.2 and $4.7, assuming positive sentiment remains strong and legal clarity improves. Meanwhile, Cardano is expected to reach a range of $1.2 to $2.1, representing a potential gain of roughly 38% to 141.4% from its present price of $0.87. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin is turning heads once again as it climbs steadily within a rising channel, teasing a potential explosive move. According to chart watchers, the current rally aligns with Wave (5) of an Elliott Wave structure, historically the phase that unleashes the most aggressive price action. With momentum building and institutional demand ramping up, could this be the final leg before Bitcoin launches toward uncharted territory? Rising Channel Holds Firm As Wave (5) Builds Steam In a recent update, market analyst LSplayQ pointed out that Bitcoin is steadily climbing within a clearly defined rising channel, with the price now trading close to $118,000. This structured upward movement signals strong market confidence, with buyers consistently stepping in at higher levels to support the trend. Related Reading: Hold On For Dear Life: This Bullish Bitcoin Metric Just Touched A 15-Year High The analysis ties this momentum to an unfolding Elliott Wave formation, where Wave (5) is currently in play. The previous waves have displayed a clean pattern of higher highs and higher lows—a signature of impulsive bullish behavior. This suggests that Bitcoin’s price action is not random but follows a predictable rhythm often seen during strong uptrends. With Wave (5) potentially in progress, LSplayQ believes that Bitcoin could soon challenge the upper boundary of its rising channel. If this plays out as expected, the next target zone could be around the $140,000 region, a level that aligns with the broader technical projection of this ongoing wave structure. A breakout above the rising channel could spark even more aggressive upside, while any signs of weakness near these resistance levels might indicate a short-term pullback. However, the bullish setup remains intact for now as Wave (5) continues to unfold with precision. Institutional Buys Push Forward, But Technicals Urge Patience With institutions like Strategy continuing to accumulate, LSplayQ suggests that Bitcoin still has room to push higher. The growing interest from large-scale investors adds weight to the ongoing bullish momentum, further fueling optimism for an extended rally. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Eyes $123K Explosion—Traders Brace for Breakout However, there are signs that the market may be nearing a temporary exhaustion point. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is edging toward overbought territory, hinting at a potential cooling-off period. This doesn’t necessarily signal the end of the trend but could open the door for a short-term correction. Should a pullback occur, traders will likely shift their focus to key support zones. According to LSplayQ, the $99,531 level stands out as a critical area where buyers may step in to defend the uptrend. Holding above that threshold could set the stage for the next leg upward once the consolidation phase concludes. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Ethereum is once again in the spotlight as institutional capital continues to flood into the market at an unprecedented pace. This surge in demand reflects institutional investors who are increasingly viewing ETH as a valuable asset. Ethereum Turns Heads As Inflows Accelerate According to Axel Gaubert’s post on X, ETH is pumping hard after $2.77 billion was added to BlackRock’s Ethereum ETF (ETHA). This signals immense institutional appetite for the asset and underscores growing confidence in Ethereum’s role as both a financial instrument and a foundational layer for decentralized applications. Related Reading: Crypto Founder Pushes Ethereum As ‘World Reserve Asset’ – Details Gaubert notes that the inflows reflect mainstream validation, but create questions around Satoshi’s philosophy. The core ideals of decentralization and independence from traditional finance are being tested as legacy institutions like BlackRock move in, and Ethereum is a very opinionated blockchain. The fact that BlackRock can now build on Ethereum and accumulate ETH at scale reflects Ethereum’s core philosophy, open access, programmable money, and institutional-grade architecture. Ethereum continues to make history as institutional interest surges to unprecedented levels. In the past week, spot Ethereum ETFs saw $2.18 billion in net inflows last week, which is the highest weekly inflow the products have ever recorded. This surge underscores the growing confidence institutional investors have in Ethereum’s long-term value, particularly as regulatory clarity improves and ETH cements its place as a core layer of infrastructure. Over 20% Weekly Gains Signal Strong Market Momentum As mentioned by Vincent on X, Ethereum has gained momentum, and trading between $3,100 and $3,600 at the time of the post, reflecting a 20% rally within a week. This surge is fueled by strong inflows into spot ETH ETFs and rising institutional demand, both of which are acting as major tailwinds for the asset. Related Reading: Ethereum Boom Or Bust? Daniel Yan Sounds Alarm On SBET The ETF data has confirmed rising interest, and shows over $2.1 billion flowed into spot ETFs last week. This surge marks one of the largest weekly inflows for ETH ETFs, reflecting a broader trend of capital rotation toward crypto contract platforms. BlackRock Ethereum Trust (ETHA) now holds an impressive $9.17 billion in assets, which is nearly half of all capital invested across Ethereum ETFs. Furthermore, the Regulatory developments are supportive. The recent GENIUS Act tightens Stablecoin oversight while reinforcing trust in ETH settlement infrastructure. This dual effect positions ETH as a more credible and robust network for institutional activity. ETH currently secures $76 billion in DeFi TVL and $128 billion in Stablecoin supply. On-chain signals show strength as Staking participation continues to rise, a sign of long-term confidence among holders. The futures open interest has reached a record of $51 billion. This reflects deep institutional engagement. Meanwhile, ETH supply is deflationary due to burns and staking. Finally, Vincent sees $4,000 ETH as the next resistance level and stated that May’s Pectra upgrade will improve smart accounts, staking UX, and L2 integration, which are bullish for utility and scalability. Featured image from iStock images, chart from tradingview.com

The percentage of Bitcoin’s long-term holders’ supply has reached a 15-year high, providing a bullish outlook for the flagship crypto. Asset manager Ark Invest highlighted this development in a recent report and explained what this could mean for BTC going forward.  Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Supply Hit 74% According to the Ark Invest report, the long-term holders’ supply has reached 74% of Bitcoin’s total supply, marking a 15-year high for this metric. The asset manager noted that this trend indicates growing market conviction in BTC’s role as a store of value or “digital gold.” These long-term holders refer to addresses that have held for 155 days or longer.  Related Reading: Michael Saylor Reveals The Only Thing ‘Better Than Bitcoin’ As MSTR Stock Outperforms This development comes at a time when Bitcoin is witnessing massive demand from institutional investors through the ETFs and treasury companies. These investors are considered better ‘diamond-hands’ than retail investors, which means that this metric could keep rising, with long-term holders gaining more control of BTC’s total supply.  This institutional buying has also driven the Bitcoin price to several all-time highs (ATHs) this year, with BTC reaching as high as $123,000 last week. The flagship crypto appears to still be in price discovery, as ETFs led by BlackRock and treasury companies, led by Saylor’s Strategy, continue to accumulate at an unprecedented pace.  Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest is ultra bullish on the Bitcoin price, predicting that it could reach $1.5 million by 2030. They expect BTC to reach this target due to the rising institutional investment and global recognition of Bitcoin’s ability to serve as a store of value. In a CNBC interview, Cathie Wood also doubled down on this prediction.  She explained that they expect BTC to take a significant share from gold or grow the store of value market. Wood added that institutions are still just testing the waters despite the massive accumulation so far. As such, she still expects a rise in adoption for these companies. Meanwhile, only about 1 million unmined Bitcoins are remaining.  Other Bullish Metrics For BTC The Ark Invest report also revealed that global liquidity per bitcoin reached a 12-year high. This metric reached this high with $5.7 million in global M2 supply per BTC in circulation. The asset manager remarked that this ratio could continue to rise given Bitcoin’s diminishing future supply growth and the continued expansion of global liquidity. Related Reading: This Analyst Predicted Bitcoin’s Rally To $120,000 Months Ago, Here’s The Rest Of The Forecast Meanwhile, in June, Bitcoin managed to hold above the support between $96,000 and $99,000 and is now well above these levels. $98,888, $96,278, and $71,393 are BTC’s short-term holder cost basis, 200-day moving average, and on-chain mean, respectively, which is why this development is bullish for the flagship crypto.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $19,100, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin has already shown a lot of strength in recent times, pushing as high as $123,000 before trailing back down toward $117,000. So far, it looks like the digital asset has hit a roadblock and is now possibly looking at a peak. But analyst Merlijn The Trader has explained that it is far from over for Bitcoin with more rallies to come. He reveals that the Bitcoin price is yet to stage its ‘final act’, which must happen before there are talks of a top. Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Is Still In Play After the Bitcoin price rallied to new all-time highs pre-halving, which had never happened before, there were talks that the 4-year cycle had been broken. For clarification, the 4-year cycle is tied to the Bitcoin halving events, which take place every four years, cutting block rewards for miners in half. Related Reading: Bitcoin Re-Enters Profit Zone As Greed Rises, But Rally To $200,000 Still Possible However, the reduction in block rewards is not the only interesting thing about the 4-year cycle, because each halving also ushers in a new bull market. This has been the case for the past three bull cycles, and Bitcoin is also expected to follow this. Historically, the market rallies for around a year after the halving, with the top being reached one year later. Going by this trend, the Bitcoin price and the crypto market at large are expected to keep rallying before topping later this year. Pointing to this 4-year cycle, the analyst forecasts another stretch of price increases. The chart shows that price often declines for one year and then rallies for three years, and so far, the Bitcoin price has only been rallying for two, leaving 2025 as another year for rallying. Additionally, Bitcoin is still a long way from levels that have previously marked the top of previous bull markets. Thus, there is still a while before it hits its peak in 2025. Besides, each bull cycle has seen Bitcoin rise 3x higher than its previous all-time highs, and it is year to hit even 2x higher than its previous $69,000 high. How High Can BTC Go? If the 4-year cycle is still in play, then it means that the Bitcoin price rally is far from done. In the analyst’s chart, he shows the possible top for Bitcoin based on past cycles, and BTC is still in the middle of the box. The top of this box puts the BTC price at around $200,000 before a top can be reached. Related Reading: XRP Hits New ATH, But $3.12 Retest Still In Play The analyst warns that Bitcoin is about to enter what he refers to as the “greenest stretch of them all”, pointing to another rally to all-time highs. If this forecast plays out, then Bitcoin is expected to see another 50% rally before the bull market is done. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

The crypto market was a story of two distinct halves, one of which saw the Bitcoin price soar to multiple all-time highs. After reaching its all-time high of around $122,800, the premier cryptocurrency has succumbed to a sobering wave of bearish pressure in the past few days. This recent wave of downward pressure was precipitated by the movement of a Satoshi-era whale on Thursday, July 17. However, the Bitcoin price never seemed likely to cross the $123,000 level, and a prominent on-chain expert on X has explained why. Is The Move To $143,000 Still Possible? In a recent post on the social media platform X, Alphractal CEO & founder Joao Wedson explained why the price of BTC failed to break the $123,000 level during its rally to a new all-time high in the past week. According to the crypto expert, this seeming loss of momentum could spell danger for the market leader in the short term. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sees Long-Term Holders Sell As Short-Term Buyers Step In – Sign Of Rally Exhaustion? The rationale behind this prediction is that the $123,000 region (or more precisely, $123,370) is the second Alpha Price level for the Bitcoin price. For context, the Alpha Price is a powerful on-chain indicator that uses several key metrics to estimate where the BTC price is likely to find support or resistance. In essence, the Alpha Price is a level that the price of Bitcoin needs to breach and stay above to enter the next significant phase of the bull cycle. “It begins by calculating the market’s age in days and uses that to derive the average market cap—essentially the historical valuation baseline,” Wedson added about the indicator. As shown in the chart above, the Alpha Price indicator has multiple threshold levels, which behave like pressure regions. These thresholds reflect zones where investor sentiment is likely to shift; lower levels act as supports because investors often buy to defend their positions, while upper levels signal increased selling pressure due to profit taking. Wedson noted that the Bitcoin price failing to breach the second Alpha Price level doesn’t imply that the market top is in. However, the $123,370 region is a clear resistance zone, and the BTC price might need to face some pullback before climbing to new highs. Wedson also mentioned that the Alpha Price level will update on Saturday, July 19, as it’s dynamically adjusted based on real-time on-chain transaction flows. Nevertheless, if the Bitcoin price does break this level, a move to above $143,000 could still be on the cards. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $117,610, reflecting an over 2% decline in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Whales? No, Newbies: Surge In New BTC Holders Fuels Market Rally—Study Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

A rumor is rapidly spreading among crypto investors that the US government may have quietly sold off nearly 170,000 BTC, leaving a fraction of its assumed holdings intact. The speculation began after the US Marshals Service, in response to a FOIA request, revealed that it currently holds only 28,988 BTC valued at approximately $3.4 billion.  Many crypto investors took this disclosure to mean that the federal government’s total Bitcoin reserves had declined from the long-assumed figure of around 200,000 BTC. The claim was amplified across the social media platform X, where even some public figures reacted to what appears to be a massive strategic sell-off by the US government. FOIA Request Misinterpreted The confusion of the US government selling the majority of its Bitcoin holdings appears to stem from misinterpretations of the specific holdings of the US Marshals Service with those of the entire federal government. The FOIA request that sparked the debate was submitted by journalist L0la L33tz, and it accurately reflects that the Marshals control just under 29,000 BTC. However, this only accounts for the Bitcoin under the custody of that particular agency. Related Reading: This Analyst Predicted Bitcoin’s Rally To $120,000 Months Ago, Here’s The Rest Of The Forecast On-chain data from blockchain analytics firm Arkham Intelligence provides a very different picture. According to Arkham, the US government as a whole still holds approximately 198,000 BTC, worth over $23.46 billion at the current price of Bitcoin. These coins are distributed across various federal agencies and are not limited to the Marshals’ holdings. Nevertheless, the misrepresentation took hold quickly.  Even US Senator Cynthia Lummis, who is a well-known advocate of Bitcoin, responded to the rumor, saying, “I’m alarmed by reports that the U.S. has sold off over 80% of its Bitcoin reserves, leaving just ~29,000 coins. If true, this is a total strategic blunder and sets the United States back years in the bitcoin race.” What If the US Quietly Sold 170,000 BTC? The repercussions on the broader crypto market would be immense if the US government had indeed sold off 170,000 BTC in secret. A sale of that scale would unleash massive selling pressure and cause a strong drop in the price of Bitcoin. This would erode confidence among investors in the wider crypto market and set off a chain reaction of liquidations across other cryptocurrencies. Such a move would not only cause technical breakdowns in price structure but also cancel out the possibility of governments around the world holding crypto as a form of strategic reserve. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance Just Got Rejected From TSDT Resistance That Triggered Last Altcoin Season — Details Moreover, such a dump would directly contradict the federal policy direction set earlier this year. In March, President Donald Trump signed an executive order instructing all federal agencies to transfer their Bitcoin and digital asset holdings to the US Treasury. The order formalized the creation of a Bitcoin reserve, which was meant to recognize the cryptocurrency as a national asset. In light of that policy, the notion that the US would quietly sell off the majority of its Bitcoin holdings seems highly improbable under the current Trump administration. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $118,360. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

After rising rapidly over the weekend to hit new all-time highs, the Bitcoin price seems to have hit a brick wall above $120,000, sparking a correction. While this is expected to be a short correction, a notable development involving an 8-year trendline that has marked the top of previous cycles has emerged. If this trendline resistance holds and Bitcoin fails to break it, then it could mean that the top is in, and what usually follows is a drawn-out bear market. 8-Year Trendline Suggests Bitcoin Top Is In Crypto analyst MartyBoots, in an analysis on TradingView, caught a test of a an 8-year trendline which began back in the 2017-2018 cycle, marking the top of multiple bull markets. This trendline continued into the next major bull market and in the 2020-2021 bull market, the trendline once again marked the cycle top, with Bitcoin peaking at $69,000. Related Reading: This Analyst Predicted Bitcoin’s Rally To $120,000 Months Ago, Here’s The Rest Of The Forecast Presently, the Bitcoin price has once again come in contact with this trendline, and the rejection from here does suggest that this trendline could be the real deal. After hitting above $123,000, Bitcoin was promptly pushed back downward from this level as sell-offs and profit-taking became the order of the day. For this trend to be complete, though, there are a number of things that would need to happen first. For example, the analyst explains that investors should watch for the weakly RSI divergence turning bullish. Additionally, a decline in volume and more rejection wicks for Bitcoin would be confirmation that the price has topped. Marty also explained that the price touching this trendline for a third time increases the odds of it actually playing out the same way it has in the past. If this trendline does mark the top once again, then it could signal the start of another bear market. As the analyst explains, a top marked by this trendline has in the past “triggered multi-month correction and Bear Markets.” Still A Chance For Bullish Continuation The test of this trendline does not necessarily mean that the Bitcoin price has to top at this level, because there is still a chance of bullish continuation. As the analyst explains, a decisive break above the trendline would turn this level into support and trigger further upside. Related Reading: Ethereum Forms ‘Pure Cup And Handle’ Pattern After Hitting $3,000, Analysts Set New Targets In addition to this, there is also a lot of buying pressure on the Bitcoin price despite the profit-taking. More importantly is the fact that very large orders await at the $114,000 level. This shows a lot of demand for BTC, something that could drive the price upward as the cost basis for investors remains on the rise. Nevertheless, the analyst advises caution at this level until there is a confirmation either way. “Risk-management alert: consider tightening stops, reducing leverage, or hedging until trendline fate is resolved,” Marty said in closing. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) has hit a critical turning point after getting sharply rejected from a TSDT resistance level that previously marked the start of a massive altcoin season. As the market reacts to this technical signal, analysts are closely watching for signs that a new altcoin season could be underway—one that could potentially mirror the explosive shift seen in 2021.  Bitcoin Dominance Chart Signals Repeat Of 2021 Altcoin Season A new crypto analysis by market expert Tony Severino, posted on X social media on July 15, reveals that Bitcoin Dominance has once again faced a sharp rejection from the crucial TSDT resistance area near 65%. This level represents a technical ceiling that previously triggered a complete rotation of capital from BTC to alternative cryptocurrencies, fueling the famous altcoin season in early 2021.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance Falls: 9 Factors To Watch For That Says The Altcoin Season Has Begun The analyst’s monthly chart shows Bitcoin Dominance steadily climbing from mid-2022, peaking at around 65% in July 2025 before being rejected. This behavior mirrors the price action observed in late 2020 to early 2021, when BTC.D also reached this zone, got rejected, and then plunged—triggering a full-blown altcoin rally.  Currently, Severino’s chart shows that Bitcoin Dominance sits at approximately 64.07%, just under the TDST resistance at 63.83%, with a notable candle forming after a strong uptrend. The analyst has indicated that if history repeats itself in this current cycle, it may result in a similar capital inflow into altcoins, possibly igniting the next altseason.  Furthermore, the chart outlines key technical thresholds, including the TDST resistance, a TDST risk around 57.11%, and TDST support down at 40.08%. A decline toward these lower levels would indicate a significant drop in BTC dominance and further reinforce a pro-altcoin environment.  Altcoin Supercycle Incoming Crypto analyst Merlijn The Trader has also shared insight on the possibility of an explosive altcoin season this bull cycle. The analyst stated on X that a historical pattern between the US Dollar Index (DXY) and Bitcoin Dominance appears to be repeating, signaling the beginning of a new altcoin supercycle.  Related Reading: Altcoin Season Index Spikes Above 30, But Bitcoin Dominance Remains High, What Next? According to his chart, three major DXY bull traps have been identified since 2016, each followed by a dramatic decline in BTC.D and a strong rally in the altcoin market. The first two DXY bull traps, which occurred around 2017 and 2020, both triggered significant breakdowns in BTC.D—plunging from over 90% to around 35% in 2018, and again in 2021. These breakdowns marked the start of powerful runs, now recognized by the analyst as altcoin supercycles.  The current market structure now suggests that the next leg lower could be imminent, with BTC.D beginning to trend downward again. If history repeats itself, this setup implies a weakening dollar, declining Bitcoin Dominance, and the potential for altcoins to outperform significantly in the coming months. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

A provocative post published on July 14 by long‑time Bitcoin advocate and “Taproot Wizard” Udi Wertheimer has ignited fresh debate over whether the cryptocurrency is on the cusp of what he calls a “generational run the likes of which we’ve never seen.” Bitcoin’s Generational Run Writing on X, Wertheimer contends that Bitcoin is emerging from a rare “rotation” in which early, price‑sensitive holders have surrendered their coins to newcomers—chiefly exchange‑traded‑fund investors, corporate treasuries and even nation‑states—who are largely indifferent to the unit price. “Many, if not most, of old big holders have rotated out of the asset,” he asserted, adding that once such rotations succeed, “what follows is a rally in multiples previously considered unimaginable.” Wertheimer frames his case through an exhaustive retrospective on Dogecoin’s 2019–2021 ascent, arguing that Bitcoin now occupies an analogous position. He recounts how an April 2019 tweet by Elon Musk (“dogecoin might be my favorite cryptocurrency”) triggered an initial 50 percent spike that lulled veteran traders into distributing their bags, only for TikTok‑driven retail inflows to drive the meme coin from roughly $0.0025 to nearly $1 within two years. “Crypto natives thought they knew it was a huge deal, but they underestimated it BY A LOT,” he wrote, describing the move as “the first dogecoin mindfuck,” followed by an even larger “second mindfuck” once legacy sellers exhausted their supply. Related Reading: Bitcoin Returns Under $117,000: Is Social Media FOMO To Blame? Transposing that template onto Bitcoin, Wertheimer insists that “the real move didn’t even start yet.” He claims that traditional capital‑market participants—embodied for him by BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin ETF (ticker: IBIT) and Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy—are blind to earlier cycle highs because they measure performance from the January 2024 ETF launch or in dollar‑notional terms, respectively. Referencing IBIT price surge from $30 to $70, Wertheimer says: “‘It’s only up $40! That’s nothing! Why not $700?’ […] They’re completely insensitive to the bitcoin price,” he adds of treasury‑based buyers, arguing that such entities simply “shove as many dollars as they can.” On price targets, Wertheimer is explicit: “I have a high degree of confidence that we’ll see $400k by the end of this year. This target might be too conservative.” He further predicts an additional order‑of‑magnitude revaluation once “the entire world starts to believe,” echoing Dogecoin’s second‑wave frenzy. “We’re just entering the first mindfuck,” he writes. Related Reading: Unraveling The Bitcoin Boom: Experts Decode Record $123,000 Surge The thread reserves particular ire for competing crypto assets. “Your altcoins are fucked,” Wertheimer declares, suggesting that short‑lived spurts of outperformance will not match the “sheer amount of capital flowing into bitcoin.” He singles out Ethereum as “the biggest loser of the cycle,” forecasting that MicroStrategy’s equity capitalisation could surpass Ether’s market value and arguing that persistent selling by “old bagholders” will cap any relative rally. “ETH/BTC will continue to print lower highs,” he predicts, adding that incoming treasury‑style buyers would need “years” to absorb legacy supply before Ethereum can stage a true breakout. In a direct call to action, Wertheimer tells readers that “you will actually be able to retire off of 1 bitcoin,” urging immediate accumulation and warning that waiting for price dips is futile now that “old holders are out.” He closes with a plea stark in its simplicity: “Wall Street is buying all of the bitcoins … please buy some bitcoin before there isn’t any left.” Wertheimer’s thesis hinges on the notion that seller‑exhaustion dynamics proven in a small‑cap meme coin can translate, mutatis mutandis, to Bitcoin’s vastly larger market. Whether that analogy holds will be tested in the months ahead; for now, his post has sharpened the fault line between long‑term Bitcoin maximalists and a broader crypto community still weighing the merits—and risks—of what he calls “the first mind‑fuck” of a potentially epoch‑defining rally. At press time, BTC traded at $118,686. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The altcoin season has remained elusive because Bitcoin has continued to dominate the market. Even now, the largest cryptocurrency by market cap is still in the lead and continues to determine the direction of the rest of the crypto market. However, there is a turn in the tide coming as more altcoins begin to play catch-up. In particular, the coins in the list of Top 100 altcoins by market cap look to be on the verge of ushering in the next altcoin season. Altcoin Season Index Fires Into The Green The Altcoin Season Index is an index that charts the performance of the Top 100 altcoins by market cap against the performance of Bitcoin to determine when the altcoin season is in full bloom. This index, which goes from 1-100, is ranked by how many top 100 altcoins are outperforming BTC over a 90-day period, and when this figure rises to the 75% mark, it often signals that the altcoin season has begun. Related Reading: Bitcoin Is Not Stopping At $123,000 — Technical Indicators Point To $140,000 Top Over the last few months, altcoins have performed quite terribly in comparison to Bitcoin, and this has led to the Altcoin Season Index dropping toward peak lows. The index hit a score of 12 back in June 2025, showing that only 12 altcoins had outperformed Bitcoin over the 90-day timeframe. During this time, the Bitcoin dominance also rose rapidly, reaching as high as 66%, and signaling that most of the attention was on BTC during this time. However, the month of July has come with good tidings for the altcoin market as the index has seen its score more than double from its June lows. According to data from CoinMarketCap, the Altcoin Season Index has now crossed a score of 30. It also shows that during this time, 32 coins have outperformed Bitcoin’s 40% increase in the last three months. Interestingly, the meme coins are once again leading the rally with the likes of PENGU and MemeCore rallying over 500% in the 90-day period. HyperLiquid’s HYPE has also performed quite well, with CoinMarketCap data showing it has risen more than 230% in 90 days. Bitcoin Dominance On The Verge Of Collapse? So far, the Bitcoin dominance has maintained its position in the 60th percentile, and this has remained so for the last 90 days. However, over the last two weeks, there has been enough decline in the dominance to spark a ray of hope among investors, and that is a 3% drop toward 63%. Related Reading: Prepare For ATHs: ‘XRP Train Has Left The Station – Analyst Going by historical performance, though, the Bitcoin dominance would need to drop much more than this for altcoin season to begin in full bloom. For example, back in 2017, the Bitcoin dominance crashed from above 95% to around 50% before the altcoin season began. Again, in 2017, the dominance fell from above 70% to around 41% before the altcoin season began. Going by this trend, the Bitcoin dominance would need to see a drop back into the 40% region, and possibly the 30% region, for the altcoin season to really take hold. But as long as the dominance remains high, then Bitcoin would continue to lead the market, and altcoins could continue to struggle. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView.com