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The Bitcoin price has surged back above $69,000 after experiencing a major decline last week. While the price appears to be rebounding from the downtrend, a market analyst has warned that the BTC could still face another price crash. After projecting its decline from above $100,000, the analyst now forecasts a price plunge to $29,000, likely marking Bitcoin’s final bottom. Bitcoin Price Faces Possible Crash To $29,000 Market expert LavaXBT has shared two possible scenarios for Bitcoin’s next move. However, the analyst appears to be leaning more bearish, projecting that BTC could fall again, hitting levels not seen in years. In his “macro update,” shared on X, the analyst predicts that Bitcoin could first decline to $45,000 before plunging toward a possible price floor around $29,000, as shown on the chart. Related Reading: XRP Analyst Reveals Why The Altcoin Is Set To Hit $27 LavaXBT noted that his previous thesis for the first quarter of 2026 did not play out as expected, despite most technical indicators aligning. He attributed this deviation to a lack of trading volume and the ongoing geopolitical tensions affecting the market. Recently, financial markets have been experiencing significant volatility as investors’ fear grow amid the US-Iran war. While Bitcoin appears resilient, the conflict and reduced confidence could still put significant pressure on its price.  Given the analyst’s bearish outlook, he plans to short Bitcoin if its price jumps back up to $73,000, $78,000, and possibly $80,000. He emphasized that the current environment is not ideal for trading, given Bitcoin’s low volume and how unpredictable its price action has become.  Also, LavaXBT believes that a decline in Bitcoin could affect the broader altcoin market. He predicts that if BTC crashes to $29,000, then altcoins will likely fall harder. He also expects most altcoins to return to their 2022 crash prices or drop even lower.  As a result, the analyst has warned against buying altcoins at random levels. Rather, he suggests that traders and investors should wait for Bitcoin to hit strong support levels before considering accumulating altcoins. He highlighted the importance of patience, noting that he would wait and focus on higher opportunities as the Bitcoin price navigates the current bear market.  Related Reading: Pundit Predicts How Long It Will Take For The XRP Price To Reach $20 Analyst Highlights BTC’s Possible Upside While he projects that Bitcoin could fall to $29,000, which is a more than 58% decline below its current price of over $69,000, LavaXBT has also outlined the potential for a strong upside. In his price chart, the analyst noted that the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching an all-time high in this cycle would only increase when it reclaimed the swing high around $93,000. Once Bitcoin exceeds this resistance zone, LavaXBT noted that the cryptocurrency must close above $120,000 before it can confirm its uptrend and establish higher highs.  If this happens, he believes the target for the next macro upswing is around $160,000, exceeding BTC’s current all-time high of $126,000 by roughly 27%.  Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto analyst LP has declared that Bitcoin hasn’t seen a true bottoming formation yet, despite the price looking to form strong support at current levels. This comes as BTC looks to reclaim the psychological $70,000 amid talks of a ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran.  Bitcoin Is Still At Risk As The Price Is Yet To Form A Bottom In an X post, LP stated that Bitcoin hasn’t shown a true bottoming formation and suggested that the leading crypto isn’t yet close to a bottom. He alluded to previous bear cycles, noting that bottoms were formed after multiple sweeps of the lows, which forced capitulation before BTC made a reversal.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Breakdown To $45,000: The Levels To Watch Out For Next Steps However, the analyst noted that this time has been different, with Bitcoin consistently sweeping the highs, making it difficult to enter short positions while leaving the lows exposed and building liquidity below. He declared that it is likely a matter of time before price targets lower wicks, which can then lead to a proper bottoming process ahead of the next bull cycle.  LP stated that when that breakdown eventually happens, market participants need to watch the price action closely. He remarked that a true bottom is likely forming when price starts repeatedly sweeping the lows, making it psychologically difficult to enter longs. It is worth noting that Bitcoin has been on a recovery since the February 6 lows and has yet to form a new low.  Bitcoin’s recovery has come amid the U.S.-Iran war, with the leading crypto holding strong above key support levels despite escalating tensions. BTC is now looking to reclaim the psychological $70,000 level amid reports that the U.S. and Iran are working on a 45-day ceasefire to end the war.  A Decline To $63,000 Still On The Cards In another X post, LP stated that it is only a matter of time before the $63,000 level gets swept. He noted that price remains range-bound and that both sides will continue to get chopped, but that the target remains clear. As such, the analyst advised that the best approach is to enter at the extremes of the range. “Even with a bearish HTF bias, 63–62K stands out as a solid area for hedge longs against the short from 73K,” he added.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price To $80,000: How The February Bullish Trend Can Push It 20% Higher Commenting on the lower time frame, LP noted that high-leverage short clusters have been cleared, while larger clusters remain overhead, extending to the $75,000 level. Meanwhile, to the downside, he stated that long liquidation clusters are building around $66,000, adding liquidity below. Overall, the analyst revealed that liquidity remains more concentrated to the upside, but that as long as the price remains range-bound, both sides are likely to be cleared.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $69,100, up over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

With Bitcoin trading near $69,000, Strategy is sitting on an unrealized loss on its large cryptocurrency holdings, yet the company’s founder shows no sign of pulling back. Related Reading: Bitcoin ETFs Gaining Ground, Could Soon Surpass Gold—Analyst Saylor’s Orange Dot Returns Michael Saylor posted what followers recognized immediately: the orange dot chart his company uses to signal a fresh round of Bitcoin buying. The post, shared on X over the weekend, came with a simple caption — “back to work” — after Strategy sat out the previous week without making a single purchase. The company is expected to confirm the exact amount acquired when it releases its weekly disclosure on Monday. Strategy, which rebranded from MicroStrategy, now holds 762,099 Bitcoin. At current prices, those coins are worth just close to $51 billion. The company paid an average of $75,699 per coin, meaning the current market price leaves it underwater by about 11%. ₿ack to Work. pic.twitter.com/mbZTWiNUct — Michael Saylor (@saylor) April 5, 2026 Dilution Risk Shadows The Bitcoin Bet To keep buying, Strategy relies on selling shares — both common stock and preferred shares — to raise cash. Reports indicate the company still has billions of dollars in at-the-money share offerings available. One preferred share program, known as STRC, recently pulled in enough funds to purchase more than 1,800 Bitcoin on its own. But the math is getting harder to ignore. Strategy’s net asset value premium has slipped below 1, which means the market is no longer valuing the stock above the worth of the Bitcoin it actually holds. When that premium disappears, the case for buying the stock instead of Bitcoin directly becomes harder to make. Continued share sales chip away at existing shareholders by increasing the total number of shares in circulation. If Bitcoin were to climb back to its record high of $126,300, the company’s current stash would be worth more than $96 billion — a number that makes the dilution argument easier to stomach for believers in the trade. Related Reading: XRP Eyes $8.30 Target As Rare Chart Pattern Emerges From Prolonged Decline Stock Chart Flashes Warning Signs The technical picture for MSTR is grim by most standard measures. The stock traded at $120 at the end of last week, down from an all-time high of $542. It has broken below a key support level at $2320 — a floor it held as recently as March of last year. A death cross has formed on the chart, with the 50-day moving average crossing beneath the 200-day moving average. The stock has also stayed below its Supertrend indicator since August, a pattern that signals a sustained downward trend under conventional technical analysis. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin and Ethereum prices are still trending low coming out of the weekend, and there is the possibility that this could continue this new week. A number of developments have hit the crypto market recently that could deepen the already negative sentiment surrounding the crypto industry. Thus, with Bitcoin and Ethereum being the foremost digital assets in the space, they could be hit first by the wave of negative news coming out of the market. US-Iran War Is Far From Over: Bitcoin, Ethereum Prices Could Crash Back in February 2026, the United States had attacked Iranian military forces, leading to what is now known as the US-Iran war. Since then, tensions have remained high, the financial markets have suffered greatly as a result, and risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum have not been left out. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment Hits 5-Week Fear Level – Is A Reversal Coming? In the month that followed the initial attack, there had been talks of a ceasefire. However, President Donald Trump, in his latest address, completely dashed the hopes of a ceasefire. According to a report from SoSoValue, this has now pushed things toward escalation, rather than a resolution. With President Trump dismissing the need for global oil and leaving the Strait of Hormuz to be guarded by other nations, oil prices are expected to ramp up higher during this time. In addition, there is the expectation of interest rate hikes, and this could negatively affect the Bitcoin and Ethereum prices during this time. Crypto Market Hit By Another Hack With the move into the bear market and Bitcoin and Ethereum prices crashing, attacks on the crypto market seemed to have slowed down. That is, until now, when news of the DRIFT Protocol hack broke during the weekend. According to reports, the Solana protocol had been targeted by North Korean threat actors, who eventually succeeded. In jus 12 minutes, these bad actors were able to infiltrate the protocols wallets and make away with $285 million, with the attack attributed to the Lazarus Group. Naturally, the movement of liquidity out of the market remains a major concern given that Bitcoin and Ethereum are already suffering from low liquidity. The DRIFT token also crashed 40% once the news broke, leaving the market in a state of shock. On-chain sleuth ZachXBT also took to X to call out Circle for failing to act while the USDC from the DRIFT attack was being moved across over 100 transactions. The funds have since been moved from Solana to Ethereum, leaving users wondering as to what is being done to protect against these threat actors. Related Reading: Why XRP Supply Crashing On Coinbase Is A Good Thing For The Price Sentiment Falls Toward Record Levels Another factor that could drive down the Bitcoin and Ethereum prices is the fact that investors are still very wary of putting money into the market. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is currently sitting in the Extreme Fear territory, which marks a time of low liquidity and participation in the market. If sentiment does not begin to improve and liquidity does not flow back into the market, then the Bitcoin and Ethereum prices could continue to decline. This could trigger a cascading event where investors panic-sell in order to reduce losses, thereby leading to a steep decline. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin price started a decent increase above the $68,000 zone. BTC is now showing positive signs and might gain further if it clears $69,250. Bitcoin gained pace for a move above the $67,500 and $68,000 levels. The price is trading above $68,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $67,650 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another decline if it stays below the $69,250 and $69,500 levels. Bitcoin Price Gains Traction Bitcoin price managed to climb higher above the $67,250 resistance zone. BTC gained pace for a move above the $67,500 and $68,000 levels. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $67,650 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair even climbed above $69,000. A high is formed at $69,256, and the price is now consolidating above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $65,688 swing low to the $69,256 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $68,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $68,500, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $69,250 level. The first key resistance is near the $69,500 level. A close above the $69,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $70,000 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $71,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $72,000. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $69,250 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $68,800 level. The first major support is near the $68,500 level. The next support is now near the $67,500 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $65,688 swing low to the $69,256 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $67,000 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $66,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $68,500, followed by $68,000. Major Resistance Levels – $69,250 and $69,500.

Bitcoin is entering the new week under a cloud of doubt, with social sentiment tilting to fear just as price action continues to stall below $66,800. Data from Santiment shows a noticeable change in crowd behavior, hinting that the market’s mood may be reaching an inflection point. Sentiment extremes have often corresponded with turning points in previous cycles, but the current backdrop of price action is somewhat confusing. Related Reading: XRP Eyes $8.30 Target As Rare Chart Pattern Emerges From Prolonged Decline FUD Returns With Bitcoin Stalling At $66,800 On-chain analytics platform Santiment pointed out a notable change in crowd psychology on Saturday, reporting that bearish discussions across X, Reddit, Telegram, and other major platforms have increased to their highest ratio relative to bullish commentary since February 28th.  Bitcoin was trading at $66,800 at the time of the data snapshot, within what Santiment’s sentiment model designates as the FUD Zone. This is a threshold where negative commentary structurally overwhelms positive discourse. The ratio stood at just 0.81 bullish comments for every 1.00 bearish comment, marking the most pessimistic social reading in five weeks. A review of Santiment’s chart shows the spread between bullish and bearish commentary widening materially through the final days of March and into the first weekend of April. Bitcoin Sentiment Chart. Source: @santimentfeed On X Santiment attributed the deteriorating sentiment in part to an extended period of stagnancy across the broader cryptocurrency market throughout 2026, a year that has so far frustrated bulls who anticipated a reversal of 2025’s year-end bearish momentum.  Bitcoin spent much of the first quarter trading bearish, and the lack of a meaningful breakout appears to be wearing on retail participants. Furthermore, Bitcoin ended Q1 2026 with a negative 22.1% close. Peak FUD Could Be The Setup Bulls Are Waiting For This sentiment deterioration has been characterized by the Bitcoin price action relatively compressed below $70,000, with repeated attempts to reclaim higher levels in late March and early April being met with rejection.  However, the very depth of current pessimism is being read by Santiment as a constructive signal. The firm’s commentary leaned contrarian, noting that markets have historically tended to move in the opposite direction of prevailing crowd expectations. According to the on-chain analytics platform, a high level of FUD like this is a good sign that things can turn positive sooner rather than later. There are also external uncertainties playing a role in how the sentiment surrounding Bitcoin has turned out. Geopolitical tensions and regulatory discussions, including those surrounding the proposed CLARITY Act, are causing hesitation among participants.  Related Reading: Standard Chartered Sees Bitcoin Exploding To $500K By 2030 These factors are feeding into the broader what-if environment, and they are limiting the ability of Bitcoin’s investors to keep their optimism. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $66,650, down by 0.5% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin's price is still trading far above the depths of past bear markets, and that distance is now making the current moment feel pretty disorienting. Under the surface, a huge share of the market is already back in pain. On-chain data show that by early April, roughly 46% of Bitcoin's supply was being held at […]
The post Why $60,000 decides whether Bitcoin’s recent strength cracks as nearly half the market slips into loss appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Bitcoin is showing signs of hesitation at the $66,000 level, with price action slipping into a tight, choppy range. Momentum on the upside continues to fade, and each attempt to push higher is met with weaker follow-through. Beneath the surface, liquidity remains stacked, suggesting the market may be quietly positioning for a move lower rather than gearing up for a breakout. BTC Stuck At $66,000 As Structure Remains Unchanged Providing a BTC update alongside the MMT heatmap, Columbus explained that the overall market structure remains largely unchanged, with price continuing to chop around the $66,000 region. Despite the sideways movement, a subtle shift is becoming evident; upside reactions are losing strength. Each push higher is not only weaker but also shorter in duration, a pattern that often precedes a larger expansion phase once the market has decided on a direction. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Rebounds, But Weak Momentum Caps Further Gains He further emphasized that the liquidity resting below current price levels remains untouched. The longer Bitcoin hovers just above these zones without decisively clearing them, the more likely it will be drawn downward to tap into that liquidity.  Although the possibility of an upward move still exists, price action suggests buyers are stepping back, allowing the market to lose ground gradually. The lack of strong demand at this stage speaks volumes about the current sentiment. Should this pattern continue, the next move may not come as a sudden, aggressive drop but rather as a slow and steady drift lower. In that scenario, Bitcoin could gradually slide into deeper liquidity pockets, paving the way for a more sustained downside move. Sideways Action Signals Brewing Volatility According to Cryptorphic, BTC price action over the past day has remained largely sideways, suggesting a consolidation phase as the market quietly builds toward its next directional move. Rather than showing clear momentum, the price continues to hover within a tight range, reflecting indecision among market participants. Related Reading: The Last Time Bitcoin Sentiment Was This Bad Was 2022, But There Was A Silver Lining He noted that Bitcoin is still holding the lower support of its current structure, but signs of weakness are beginning to emerge. The repeated tests at this level without a strong bounce raise concerns that support may be weakening, leaving the market vulnerable to a shift in direction. A breakdown from this zone could trigger a sharp move to the downside, especially if liquidity below begins to get targeted. Such a move would likely trigger momentum, as the lack of strong buying interest at support could accelerate the decline. Given the importance of this level, close attention is needed. How price reacts here will be critical in determining the next move, whether it leads to a temporary hold or confirms a deeper breakdown. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Adoption of Bitcoin and Ethereum is poised to take a significant step forward as Charles Schwab introduces direct trading for both assets on its platform. As one of the largest financial institutions in the world, managing trillions in client assets, Schwab’s entry into the crypto space represents a major bridge between traditional finance and digital assets. What Schwab’s Move Means For Bitcoin And Ethereum Liquidity A $12 trillion asset, Charles Schwab, is preparing to launch direct Bitcoin and Ethereum trading for users. Crypto commentator Leolanza revealed on X that the development highlights a broader trend that traditional financial platforms are making it easier for everyday investors to buy crypto through the same systems they already use for stocks and ETFs.  Related Reading: Markets On Edge: $16.4B In Bitcoin And Ethereum Options Expire Set To Today By enabling crypto trading directly within a familiar brokerage platform, Schwab is reducing friction and expanding access for more capital to flow into both BTC and ETH. The intersection between quantum computing and crypto is drawing closer, as a new blockchain has been launched specifically to resist quantum attacks. Crypto trader MANDO CT has noted that while this may sound futuristic, the risk being addressed is increasingly viewed as legitimate within the industry. Today, leading networks such as Bitcoin and Ethereum rely on encryption that is highly secure under current technological limits, but could be vulnerable in the future if a significant breakthrough in quantum computing advancements occurs. While the risk still feels distant to most investors, the groundwork to address it is already being laid. Mando CT pointed out that narratives in crypto rarely wait for full clarity until the risk becomes obvious. Instead, they tend to build gradually before reaching a tipping point. Similar to how Artificial Intelligence evolved from early signals into a dominant global trend, quantum-resistant technology could follow the same trajectory. Transforming Blockchain Into A Developer Ecosystem The evolution of blockchain technology is the progression of ideas built upon the foundations laid by Bitcoin. Analyst Dave highlighted that BTC introduced the world to a decentralized, censorship-resistant digital money that operates outside traditional financial systems. It established the core principles of sound money and financial sovereignty. Related Reading: Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices Are Struggling Again, And Here’s What’s Behind It Building on that foundation, ETH learned from BTC by adding smart contracts, enabling developers to create platforms for decentralized applications and unlocking new possibilities in programmable finance and digital assets. Cardano took these ideas further by focusing on a rigorous research-driven approach and scalability, and combining BTC’s security with ETH’s flexibility.  Dave highlights its focus on sustainability, decentralized ecosystem governance by its community, scarcity, and reliability. However, a solid foundation with integrated upgradeability is not just for enterprises, but is capable of government adoption. Featured image from Pexels, chart from Tradingview.com

The Bitcoin price recently broke down to $66,000, and a bearish retest of $69,000 has now been confirmed, two conditions that technical analysis shows are prerequisites for a move to $45,000. With both boxes checked, the path of least resistance is pointing to a considerably lower move, and the levels ahead will determine how this move plays out. Lower Highs Keep Stacking Up, Showing Bears In Control Bitcoin’s latest price movements were analyzed through a bearish roadmap outlined by crypto analyst Crypto Patel, as the market struggles to regain strength after losing key levels. The current price is taking shape as a more structured decline, with the price reacting to breaks of structures and bearish zones. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Is Only Halfway To The Bottom And Will Crash Below $40,000, Here’s Why The architecture of Bitcoin’s price action since the October 2025 all-time high shows that the cryptocurrency has printed a relentless sequence of lower highs and lower lows, with each attempted recovery meeting renewed selling pressure. The transition from higher highs into consistent lower highs and lower lows has already taken place, which is the change in control from buyers to sellers.  Technical analysis of this price action identifies two key resistance zones that have already proven their relevance. The first, Bearish Order Block 1, is in the $76,000 to $79,000 range and was the zone where Bitcoin’s most recent rally attempt in March ran out of steam, producing another lower high on the daily timeframe. Above that, Bearish Order Block 2 extends across the $88,000 to $92,000 region. Furthermore, two conditions that Crypto Patel noted as prerequisites for bearish continuation have now been met. The $66,000 breakdown has been confirmed, and the subsequent retest of $69,000 as resistance in the first few days of April. Next Move To $45,000 And What Could Change It Now that bearish continuation is the most likely scenario as long as Bitcoin is trading below $69,000, this framework puts the downside target at $45,000. That level would represent a decline of about 64% from the October 2025 all-time high of $126,080. This is severe in nominal terms, but not without precedent in Bitcoin’s price history. Prior bear markets have routinely seen Bitcoin retrace between 50% and 80% from cycle peaks before establishing a durable bottom. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Price Is Headed To $121,000 In 2 Months, But There’s A Problem The nearest major structural reference below the current price is the $59,809 Break of Structure level from February’s cycle low. This is the first significant floor before the deeper crash scenario. There is, however, a price level that would force a reassessment of the bearish thesis. Crypto Patel places invalidation at $72,000. A reclaim of $72,000, which is only about 7.5% above the current price, would undermine the bearish continuation scenario. It would also show that buyers have regained sufficient control to challenge the dominant downtrend structure. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

In July 2025, Genius Group announced it was targeting a Bitcoin treasury of 10,000 BTC, framing it as a statement of deep strategic conviction. This week, however, the company sold its last 84 BTC to pay off $8.5 million in debt and declared its treasury empty. The 18-month gap between those two moments is a […]
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Crypto analyst Doctor Profit, who called the Bitcoin top, has predicted that BTC could still rally to $200,000, marking a new all-time high (ATH) for the leading crypto. However, the analyst suggested now isn’t a good time to buy as BTC is still likely to drop lower.  Bitcoin Still Going To Rally To $200,000 But Will Drop Lower First In an X post, Doctor Profit indicated that Bitcoin would rally to $200,000, but that now is not a good time to buy, as BTC is likely to drop further, presenting a better buying opportunity. He explained that someone who buys at the current price would get fewer coins than someone who waits for BTC to drop to around $40,000.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price To $80,000: How The February Bullish Trend Can Push It 20% Higher The analyst criticized those who might argue that buying today is the same as buying at any other time, since there is an expectation that Bitcoin will still rally to $200,000. He described this as “absolutely dangerous thinking.” Doctor Profit suggested that the focus should be on maximizing profit, since someone who buys at a lower price will make more money than someone using a DCA strategy.  Also, Doctor Profit suggested that there is no point in timing the bottom and that it was better to set buy orders within a range. He stated that his buy orders will most likely be between $40,000 and $50,000. The analyst added that it is not a good decision to set buy orders above $60,000 or even close to $70,000. He recently reiterated that Bitcoin was still in a bear market, though he noted there could be a short-term relief rally to above $80,000.  The Signal Says It’s Not Yet Time To Buy BTC Crypto analyst CrypFlow pointed to the 2-month Stochastic RSI bullish cross, noting that it has consistently marked the best buying opportunities in every cycle. He noted that the pattern isn’t there yet and hasn’t made the cross, signaling that it is not yet time to buy Bitcoin. Typically, the momentum resets below 20, sentiment turns negative, and then the bullish cross confirms the shift.  This cross is said to have marked the start of the bull run in the 2015, 2019, and 2023 cycles. At the moment, the stochastic RSI is resetting again, and the setup is building, but the signal hasn’t triggered. The analyst added that he isn’t trying to time the bottom but that he will build exposure slowly and add more on weakness. However, the real confirmation comes with this bullish cross.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Is Only Halfway To The Bottom And Will Crash Below $40,000, Here’s Why At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $66,800, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

As Bitcoin (BTC) holds the crucial $65,000 to $66,000 area, Ark Invest CEO and CIO Cathie Wood has discussed the flagship crypto’s current downturn, affirming that the era of severe pullbacks is over. Related Reading: $285M Bug Or Human Error? Solana-Based Drift Protocol Suffers Largest Exploit Of 2026 50% Bitcoin Correction Could Be A ‘Real Victory’ In a recent interview on CNBC’s Squawk Box, Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood affirmed that Bitcoin has matured over the last few years, citing broader adoption and growing institutional demand for the flagship crypto. Wood said that Bitcoin is a “proven technology” and a “proven monetary system,” adding that the industry is “seeing now is the institutionalization of this new asset class that has had a very low correlation with other asset classes.” Therefore, “the 85%, 95% collapses associated with a very new technology, that’s done.” To the CEO, the ongoing market correction, which has reduced Bitcoin’s value by nearly half from its October peak, could be viewed as a “real victory” rather than a sign of weakness for the Bitcoin community, as it would mark a significant decline from its historical crashes during previous bear markets. Last year, Wood trimmed her Bitcoin prediction for 2030 from $1.5 million to $1.2 million. However, she has reiterated her view that Bitcoin will serve as a store of value and global settlement system. She previously asserted that growing institutional adoption will be a powerful driver for long-term value for the flagship crypto, adding that it has only begun. “Institutions really have just dipped their toes into this space. We have just started, so we have a long way to go,” she stated. Analysts Say BTC Bottom Is Much Lower Despite Wood’s outlook, other market analysts have forecasted much lower targets for BTC’s bottom. Recently, Bloomberg senior strategist Mike McGlone suggested that a “bursting crypto bubble” scenario is looming for the leading cryptocurrency. As reported by NewsBTC, McGlone affirmed that Bitcoin could drop as low as $10,000 this year, noting that this level was a common trading price before 2020-2021 and “the first-born crypto’s most traded price since 2017.” Market watcher Crypto Jelle recently pointed out that the cryptocurrency’s bear market lows have historically formed below the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement levels, which could place BTC’s bottom below the $57,000 area. Meanwhile, analyst Ali Martinez said that BTC’s final correction before the next bull run could send the price 40%-50% down toward the $30,000-$40,000 area, based on its historical performance. The analyst explained that the crossover between BTC’s 50 and 200 Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) has historically signaled the bottom of every major cycle over the past twelve years. Related Reading: Bitcoin ETFs Break Four-Month Negative Streak With $1.32B Inflows While ETH, XRP Funds Bleed As he detailed, the crossover has consistently marked the start of the final leg down before the next bull market, with the price declining another 50% when the 50- and 200-SMAs crossed in previous cycles. Notably, Bitcoin has seen a 52% correction from its October 2025 peak, and the SMAs crossed over on February 27, which could suggest that another major correction is due, if history repeats. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

Gold shed billions in March. Bitcoin quietly pulled in more than a billion. Flows Tell A Diverging Story US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds attracted $1.32 billion in net inflows last month, even as US-based gold ETFs bled $2.92 billion in net outflows over the same period. The gap caught the attention of Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart, who said the trend reflects something bigger than a monthly blip — it points to Bitcoin’s growing appeal as a multi-purpose portfolio asset. Related Reading: Standard Chartered Sees Bitcoin Exploding To $500K By 2030 “There are just more use cases of why somebody would put a Bitcoin ETF in a portfolio,” Seyffart said on the Coin Stories podcast, published to YouTube on Friday. Gold’s rough March was punctuated by a single brutal day. On March 4, GLD — the largest US gold-backed ETF — recorded a $3 billion outflow, its steepest single-day withdrawal in over two years. Data from the Bank for International Settlements, cited in mid-March reports, showed Wall Street had been accelerating its gold selling over the prior four months, even as retail buyers were scooping up the metal at triple the pace seen six months earlier. Bitcoin Plays Multiple Roles, Gold Plays One Seyffart’s argument rests on a simple contrast. Gold is widely seen as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement — and not much else. Bitcoin, according to the analyst, gets used differently by different investors. Some buy it as a store of value, similar to gold. Others treat it as a growth asset or a way to bet on liquidity conditions. Still others hold it as a form of digital property or capital. “It can be hot sauce in a portfolio,” Seyffart said, describing how Bitcoin’s volatility and return potential can juice overall performance for investors willing to carry the risk. Based on that reasoning, Seyffart said his outlook is straightforward: Bitcoin ETFs will eventually surpass gold ETFs in total assets under management. US gold ETFs currently hold far more in AUM than their Bitcoin counterparts, so that would represent a significant shift in where big money parks itself. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stumbles Hard: The Worst Q1 In Years Raises Big Questions Both Assets Have Fallen In Tandem Contrasting ETF flows haven’t stopped Bitcoin and gold from falling in tandem. Bitcoin was trading at $66,889 at the time of the original report, off 7.35% over the prior 30 days. Gold was at $4,674, down 8.20% over the same stretch. According to Chris Kuiper, gold and Bitcoin have a history of alternating leadership. With gold outperforming in 2025, Kuiper said it would not be surprising if Bitcoin stepped up next. Whether that rotation plays out remains to be seen. But March’s fund flow data suggests at least some investors are already making their move. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

On-chain data shows the large Bitcoin holders have been participating in a notable amount of loss realization recently, a sign of capitulation. Bitcoin Sharks & Whales See High Values On Realized Loss Metric In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin Realized Loss for the sharks and whales. The “Realized Loss” here refers to an indicator that measures, as its name suggests, the total amount of loss that BTC holders are realizing through their transactions. Related Reading: Ethereum Drops Nearly 5% As Familiar Leverage Setup Plays Out In the context of the current topic, the version of the metric that’s of relevance is the one tracking the transfers related to two specific investor cohorts: the sharks and whales. These groups cover the 100 to 1,000 BTC and 1,000 to 10,000 BTC ranges, respectively. As such, the only investors who would qualify for the sharks and whales would be the big-money hands. Recently, the market as a whole has seen some pain as bearish momentum has dominated the sector, leading to loss-taking selloffs among investors. The sharks and whales haven’t been any different in behavior, as the chart for their Realized Loss shows. As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin sharks and whales have observed the 7-day simple moving average (SMA) of their combined Realized Loss sit at significant levels recently. From the chart, it’s visible that the loss realization spiked to particularly high levels following the price crashes in November and February, indicating a pronounced degree of market pain surrounding the events. Today, the 7-day SMA of the Bitcoin Realized Loss for the sharks and whales has a value greater than $200 million per day. “Typical capitulation behaviour from larger entities,” noted the analytics firm. Historically, major capitulation phases have tended to pave the way for bottoms as coins tend to transfer from weak hands to more resolute entities during such events. It now remains to be seen whether the loss taking from big-money investors has been extreme enough for a bottom yet. In some other news, Bitcoin has nearly arrived at the halfway point to the next Halving, as Glassnode has highlighted in another X post. Halvings are events that permanently slash in half BTC’s block subsidy, the compensation that miners receive for adding the next block to the chain. Related Reading: Dogecoin Bollinger Bands Tighten—Big Move Brewing? Halvings occur about every four years, with the next such event currently estimated to occur in April 2028. Bitcoin will reach the halfway point to this event at block 945,000. At the moment, the chain is at block 943,495. How BTC's block height has grown over its history | Source: Glassnode on X BTC Price Bitcoin has continued to consolidate recently as its price is trading around $67,000. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum could outpace Bitcoin by a wide margin over the next four years — at least according to one of the most bullish forecasts to come out of traditional banking. That is the view from Geoff Kendrick, Global Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered, who laid out the projection in a recent podcast appearance. Ethereum’s Potential Gain Towers Over Bitcoin’s While Bitcoin grabs the bigger headline number, the math actually favors Ethereum. Kendrick’s base case puts Bitcoin at $500,000 by 2030 — roughly 7.5 times its current price of $66,400. Ethereum, sitting at $2,034, would need to hit $40,000 to meet his target. That works out to about 20 times its current value. In other words, Ethereum holders would see nearly three times the relative return compared to Bitcoin investors, if the forecast holds. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stumbles Hard: The Worst Q1 In Years Raises Big Questions Kendrick flagged the ETH/BTC ratio as one indicator to watch. That ratio currently sits at around 0.03. His outlook has it climbing to 0.04 in the near term, a signal that Ethereum would be gaining ground on Bitcoin in relative terms. He also offered a more immediate checkpoint: if Bitcoin gets back to $100,000 by the end of 2026, Ethereum should be trading near $4,000. That would represent gains of roughly 50% for Bitcoin and 95% for Ethereum from where both assets currently stand. Global Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered: “I’ve got $500K Bitcoin by 2030 and $40K Ethereum by 2030 – a massive outperformance.” That’s ~20x on $ETH from here. pic.twitter.com/p7dFwPrTzG — Milk Road (@MilkRoad) April 1, 2026 Banks Are Choosing Ethereum First One reason why Kendrick believes in the bullishness of Ethereum is that the financial sector has been joining the blockchain revolution. From Kendrick’s point of view, large asset management firms and banks usually begin their blockchain ventures by developing products based on Ethereum since it has a reputation for safety and reliability. For instance, BlackRock started creating blockchain products using Ethereum first before venturing into other blockchain networks. This pattern, Kendrick argues, gives Ethereum a durable edge. As more institutions follow the same playbook, demand for the network could build steadily through the end of the decade. He described this as the “first phase” of real-world adoption playing out primarily on Ethereum, even if activity eventually spreads to competing blockchains. Related Reading: XRP Could Soon Enter Arizona’s Treasury — Here’s What’s Happening Network Usage Seen As A Price Driver Beyond institutional adoption, Kendrick pointed to raw network activity as a key factor in his price outlook. Rising transaction fees on Ethereum-based applications are seen as a gauge of demand. As stablecoins, decentralized finance, and tokenized real-world assets continue to grow on the network, that increased usage could push the token’s value higher. The forecast was shared during an interview on the Milk Road podcast with host John Gillen. Standard Chartered has not publicly released a formal research note tied to these specific figures, but Kendrick’s comments drew wide attention across the crypto community following the appearance. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is often celebrated as a decentralized network, with mining power distributed globally to ensure security and neutrality. However, a closer look at mining activity suggests that this decentralization may not be as evenly distributed as it appears. While individual theories can participate in mining, the majority of the network’s hash power is concentrated among a relatively small number of large mining pools and geographic regions. Why Bitcoin’s Mining Distribution Deserves A Closer Look Bitcoin mining is not as globally decentralized as many assume. Analyst Lucky revealed on X that while the network is technically permissionless, a significant share of its hashpower is still concentrated in a few regions. Related Reading: Bitcoin Mining Nationalized? US Senators Float Bold New Reserve-Backed Bill Furthermore, estimates suggest that roughly 68% BTC mining power is distributed across three major countries: the United States, China, and Russia. This concentration is not coincidental but driven by fundamental factors such as infrastructure, energy access, and regulatory dynamics. Currently, the US has emerged as a leader due to the rise of institutional-scale mining operations, strong access to capital markets, and relatively stable regulatory clarity in states like Texas. Despite the official bans, China continues to contribute to global hashpower through underground or relocated mining operations, often supported by inexpensive hydro and coal energy.  Meanwhile, Russia benefits from abundant low-cost electricity and colder regions where cooling costs are minimal. This dynamic highlights an important reality where BTC decentralization exists, but its mining ecosystem is shaped by real-world power, policy, and energy economics. Ultimately, following the distribution of hashpower offers a clearer picture of where BTC influence within the network truly resides. How New Tariffs Could Pressure Bitcoin And Risk Assets US President Donald Trump is back in focus with a new wave of tariff plans, proposing a 25% levy on the full value of goods that use imported steel and aluminum. An investor known as Sjuul AltCryptoGems on X has outlined that during earlier tariff announcements of Trump, Bitcoin and the broader crypto market dropped hard.  Meanwhile, this time, uncertainty is already elevated due to the war. Sjuul pointed out that if these policies escalate into a full-scale conflict, it could amplify volatility across financial markets. During the period, the Bitcoin whales were actively placing resistance in the market, and making it clear that the price would not break above the $70,000 level as the US trading session advanced. According to Crypto Seth, as news surrounding tensions involving Iran emerged, BTC whales appeared to use the event as a catalyst to push the market lower, triggering a wave of liquidations.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Still Favoring Short Positions Amid Sideways Price Action In total, 185,806 traders were liquidated, with losses reaching approximately $406,52 million. Crypto Seth noted that this wasn’t random volatility but a calculated move, where 100x Degen longs were caught offside. At the same time, data shows that short leverage is building above the $69,000 level, as indicated by heatmap activity. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto analyst Jordan has predicted that the Bitcoin price could rally to $80,000 in the short term. The analyst pointed to a February bullish trend that could spark this rally for the leading crypto.  Bitcoin Price Eyes Rally To $80,000 Based On This Trend In an X post, Jordan predicted that the Bitcoin price could rally to $80,000, citing a bullish trend that began in February. This was around when BTC formed a new local low of $60,000. Since then, the leading crypto has rebounded to as high as $76,000. The analyst noted that BTC has bounced every time the price has tested support in the lower $60,000 range.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Is Only Halfway To The Bottom And Will Crash Below $40,000, Here’s Why Jordan said that if the Bitcoin price can hold this level, then there could be a momentum push towards the $80,000 to $84,000 CME gap. He added that it is interesting that the price has remained above key support levels despite the U.S.-Iran war. Crypto analyst Doctor Profit also indicated that BTC could rally above $80,000 in the short term.  In an X post, he stated that he will look to enter new shorts between $79,000 and $84,000 if the Bitcoin price revisits that zone. He further remarked that he sees a high medium probability that BTC will reach this zone. However, he added that, given the geopolitical situation with the war in Iran, he doesn’t think the risk-reward is worth it to go long in hopes that BTC will rally above $80,000.  Doctor Profit also reiterated that the Bitcoin price is in a bear market and that the price hasn’t bottomed yet. As such, he believes that placing short orders between $79,000 and $84,000 is a much safer bet with targets below $50,000.  Not Yet Time To Buy BTC Crypto analyst CrypFlow stated that this is not yet the time to buy BTC, as the Bitcoin price has not yet bottomed. He noted that the 2-month stochastic RSI bullish cross is one signal that has consistently marked the best buying opportunities every cycle. The analyst explained that under this pattern, momentum resets below 20, sentiment turns negative, and a bullish cross later confirms the shift.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Headed To $120,000? Why This Analyst Thinks It’s A Good Time To Buy CrypFlow further remarked that the cross marked the start of the bull run in the 2015, 2019, and 2023 cycles. However, that cross has yet to happen this time around. He noted that the stochastic RSI is resetting again and that the setup is building, but that the signal hasn’t triggered, signaling that the Bitcoin price could still drop lower.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $66,800, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin (BTC) faces a stark downside risk that could send prices below the previous bear market lows, according to a new analysis from blockchain data firm CryptoQuant.  The firm warns that a confluence of geopolitical shocks, macroeconomic repricing, and fragile derivatives positioning could push the largest cryptocurrency as low as $10,000 in a worst‑case scenario — far beneath the last bear‑market trough near $15,000. Political Shock From Trump Speech CryptoQuant’s note comes against the backdrop of a substantial pullback from Bitcoin’s record highs. After peaking at roughly $126,000 last October, Bitcoin has retraced about 45% and has entered a months‑long consolidation range between $66,000 and $70,000.  Related Reading: New Bitcoin Crash Ahead? Bloomberg Strategist Forecasts Return To $10,000 – Here’s Why The firm highlights recent political developments as an immediate catalyst for the downside potential. CryptoQuant points to President Donald Trump’s April 1 speech on Iran as a market‑moving event that abruptly reset expectations.  By signaling the possibility of intensified military action within the coming weeks, the speech undermined hopes for de‑escalation and prompted a broad risk‑off reaction.  In CryptoQuant’s view, this was not merely a geopolitical scare — it forced a repricing of macro conditions that matter to risk assets like Bitcoin.  As oil prices rise, inflationary pressures can return; a firmer dollar tightens dollar liquidity globally. CryptoQuant notes rising volatility — with the VIX near 25 — and widening Treasury spreads, both of which are symptomatic of deteriorating liquidity. Three Possible Bitcoin Outcomes  CryptoQuant lays out a range of possible outcomes. In a moderate stress event, the firm estimates Bitcoin could fall from the $70,000 area to roughly $50,000 — a 25–30% decline.  If Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) outflows continue and spot demand remains soft, the medium‑term downside expands substantially, with prices potentially sliding into the $30,000–$20,000 range, representing declines of 60–70% from current levels.  Related Reading: ICBA Opposes OCC’s Conditional Nod For Coinbase National Trust Bank Charter In the extreme scenario — for example, a prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz or a sustained major conflict — global liquidity could seize up more completely.  CryptoQuant suggests that in such circumstances, equities could plunge more than 30% and oil could spike to $150–$200 per barrel, conditions that could drive Bitcoin toward the $10,000 mark, an 85% drop from current trading prices. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Long-term Bitcoin holders are selling at a loss — and the numbers show it’s becoming a pattern, not an anomaly. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stumbles Hard: The Worst Q1 In Years Raises Big Questions US Buyers Stay On The Sidelines Bitcoin’s Coinbase Premium Index has stayed negative in recent weeks, a sign that American investors have largely pulled back from the market. According to CryptoQuant, the gap between BTC pricing on Coinbase and Binance reflects a broader reluctance among US buyers to step back in at current levels. That hesitation is showing up across multiple data points, from exchange flows to investment product performance. Global Bitcoin investment funds recorded more than $190 million in net outflows during the week ending March 27. Spot Bitcoin ETFs, which drew heavy institutional interest during their launch period, are now sitting below water for many of their holders. Data shows the average cost basis for US spot Bitcoin ETF investors sits at $83,400 — well above where the price is trading today. Bitcoin was changing hands at around $66,820 when this report was made, roughly 47% below its all-time high of $126,000, which was set in October 2025. The price is also 24% below its yearly open of $87,600, after BTC closed 2025 in the red. Nearly 9 Million BTC Held At A Loss Close to 9 million Bitcoin — more than 40% of the total circulating supply — are currently held by investors who paid more than the current price, according to on-chain data from Glassnode. The combined unrealized loss on that supply comes to roughly $598 billion. Glassnode drew a comparison to conditions last seen in the second quarter of 2022, one of Bitcoin’s most painful stretches in recent memory. Back then, around 3 million BTC had to change hands before the market found its footing again. Based on reports from Glassnode’s latest Week On-chain newsletter, resolving a supply overhang of this size has historically meant coins moving from sellers taking losses to new buyers willing to enter at lower prices. Demand, for now, is not keeping up. Capriole Investments’ Bitcoin Apparent Demand metric logged a reading of -1,623 BTC on Thursday. That figure has stayed negative since mid-December 2025. CryptoQuant described the situation as broad market distribution, driven by continued selling from retail participants. Related Reading: XRP Could Soon Enter Arizona’s Treasury — Here’s What’s Happening Long-Term Holders Begin To Crack Perhaps the sharpest signal in the data involves investors who have held Bitcoin for more than 155 days. This group, typically seen as the most committed segment of the market, is now selling at a loss at an elevated rate. Glassnode reported that realized losses among long-term holders have climbed to $200 million — a level the firm described as confirmation of active capitulation. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

Bloomberg senior strategist Mike McGlone has renewed a stark prediction for Bitcoin (BTC), arguing that the market’s leading cryptocurrency could resume a prolonged decline that takes it back toward $10,000.  Why McGlone Sees Bitcoin Heading Back To $10K In a Thursday post on social media platform X (previously Twitter), McGlone framed the $10,000 level as a long-standing reference point for Bitcoin: it was a common trading price before the 2020–21 rally and has been among the most frequently traded levels since futures began trading in 2017. McGlone’s view, which he describes as a “bursting crypto bubble” scenario, is a minority stance among market analysts who predict a Bitcoin bottom this year as low as $38,000 in the worst scenario—much higher than the Bloomberg strategist’s price point.  Related Reading: What April Could Mean For XRP: Past Patterns And Key Price Catalysts To Watch If Bitcoin were to fall from its current trading price to $10,000, the move would represent a roughly 92% drop, taking into account the retrace already seen from its all-time high of $126,000. That would be materially lower than the previous bear-market trough around $15,000. The idea that Bitcoin could revert toward $10,000 clashes with a common pattern observed in prior post‑Halving cycles. Historically, corrections following Halving rallies have produced higher lows compared with prior cycles.  In that framework, a return to $10,000 would mark an unusually deep reversal well below the low of the last bear market. Still, McGlone contends that significant structural and behavioral shifts around the 2020–21 era mean the market could be reverting to an older norm centered on the $10,000 price point. Market Worries Mount Beyond long-term projections, Bitcoin is now range-bound with limited directional confidence. The leading cryptocurrency was trading at $66,938 at the time of writing, down around 2.5% in the previous 24 hours.  Analysts point to heightened geopolitical tension as a near-term catalyst for risk-off moves: President Trump’s recent remarks suggesting intensification of strikes against Iran have reduced hopes for a swift de‑escalation, pressuring risk assets and prompting a pullback in crypto markets.  “Trump’s latest comments on the war with Iran triggered a sharp sell-off amid a lack of de-escalation signs,” Alex Kuptsikevich, chief market analyst at FxPro, told Bloomberg, noting Bitcoin’s consolidation between roughly $66,000 and $69,000. Related Reading: National Trust Bank Bid: Citadel Securities-Backed Crypto Exchange Enters The Fray In addition, CryptoQuant data indicate that large holders — often referred to as whales — have moved from accumulation to net selling over the past year, a trend traders say helps explain the subdued price action.  “Onchain data confirms what price action has been telegraphing: there’s zero conviction,” Jasper De Maere, a trader at Wintermute, commented. Institutional flows have not been supportive either. Net inflows to US-listed spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) turned negative on Wednesday, with investors withdrawing about $174 million from those vehicles, contributing to the retracement. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin ended the first quarter of 2026 at $68,200 after falling 22% over the period, its weakest opening three months since 2018. The slide erased an early push higher that had briefly carried the cryptocurrency close to $95,000 before the market turned lower. Related Reading: XRP Could Soon Enter Arizona’s Treasury — Here’s What’s Happening A Sharp Turn After A Strong Start The quarter did not begin quietly. Bitcoin opened the year at a little past $87,000 and moved higher in the early stretch, showing enough strength to reach nearly $95,000. That momentum did not last. The price later sank to about $60,000 on February 6, marking a fast shift in tone after a strong start to the year. From there, the market kept swinging. Bitcoin managed a brief rebound to around $70,000 later in February, but the recovery faded. Selling pressure returned as tension in the Middle East spread through risk markets, and Bitcoin slipped again, touching about $63,000 before the quarter ended. Coinglass data used in the report shows how unusual the quarter was when set against recent history. Bitcoin fell nearly 50% in the first quarter of 2018, then posted smaller swings in the years that followed. Source: Coinglass It gained 8% in 2019, lost 10% in 2020, surged over 100% in 2021, slipped 1.40% in 2022, and then rebounded with gains of 70% in 2023 and 65% in 2024. The pattern broke again in 2025 with an 11% decline before this year’s deeper drop. Geopolitical Stress Kept Traders On Edge The latest decline was tied in the report to rising unrest in the MidEast. That pressure did not stay confined to one trading session. It lingered through March and helped push Bitcoin into a choppy finish for the quarter, with rapid price changes making it harder for the market to settle. The report also pointed to fresh selling at the start of the second quarter. After US President Donald Trump signaled a tougher stance and warned of further military action in the weeks ahead, Bitcoin fell 3% in 24 hours to $66,700. Ethereum, BNB, and XRP also traded lower by about 3% to 4% as the broader crypto market softened. Related Reading: Bitcoin Ends 5-Month Losing Run — Real Reversal Or Just April Fool’s Hype? April Brings A Different Seasonal Pattern Despite the weak finish to March, the report noted April has often been a better month for Bitcoin. Coinglass data cited in the report shows an average April gain of 11.90% and a median return of 5% over the years, which has kept some traders looking for a rebound even after the rough quarter. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin price started a fresh decline from the $69,250 zone. BTC is now struggling to stay above $66,000 and might extend losses in the near term. Bitcoin failed to settle above $68,000 and started a fresh decline. The price is trading below $67,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $67,450 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another decline if it stays below the $67,500 and $67,800 levels. Bitcoin Price Dips Again Bitcoin price failed to stay above the $68,800 zone and started a fresh decline. BTC traded below $68,200 and $68,000 to enter a bearish zone. The bears even pushed the price below $67,000. A low was formed at $65,688, and the price is now consolidating losses below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $69,250 swing high to the $65,688 low. Bitcoin is now trading below $67,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $65,500, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $67,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $67,500 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $69,250 swing high to the $65,688 low. There is also a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $67,450 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. A close above the $67,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $68,000 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $68,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $68,800. More Losses In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $67,500 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $66,000 level. The first major support is near the $65,500 level. The next support is now near the $65,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $64,200 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $63,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $66,000, followed by $65,500. Major Resistance Levels – $67,500 and $68,000.

The ongoing tensions in the Middle East continue to put immense pressure on Bitcoin and other risk assets. As investor sentiments turn increasingly cautious, analysts are weighing the potential impact of rising oil prices on Bitcoin. The overall outlook is not looking good, with projections suggesting further downside for the leading cryptocurrency. A clearer path to recovery may only appear if regional tensions ease.  Surging Oil Prices Could See Bitcoin Crash Harder Market analysts have shared their thoughts and concerns with The Block about the ongoing US-Iran war and its impact on financial and crypto markets. Rachel Lucas, a crypto analyst at BTC Markets, has emphasized that the Bitcoin price continues to fluctuate amid new developments in the Middle East conflict. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin Price Is Crashing, And Why It Could Continue Lucas noted that Bitcoin has had a volatile week, rising to $72,000 as investors hoped for a diplomatic resolution to the ongoing war. He noted that these gains were quickly reversed as optimism faded and concerns over oil supply resurfaced. This, in turn, triggered a “classic risk-off unwind,” in which investors pulled back from risky assets like Bitcoin and moved to safer investments amid fear.  The analyst also explained that the current situation in the Strait of Hormuz is fueling concerns about inflation. These fears make it unlikely that the Federal Reserve will lower rates anytime soon, limiting opportunities for economic relief. Consequently, uncertainty and tighter financial conditions are adding further pressure on the crypto market, contributing to the recent decline across major assets.  Expressing similar concerns, market expert Jeff Mei has taken a bearish stance on Bitcoin amid persistent tensions in the Middle East. The analyst stated that oil prices will likely remain elevated, which could slow economic growth in the months ahead. According to Mei, the combination of rising energy costs and weaker economic conditions means that crypto prices still have lots of room to decline. He projected that Bitcoin could even face another price crash to $60,000 before any sustained recovery.  Notably, most bearish forecasts for Bitcoin clustered around the $60,000 level, suggesting that experts may see this as Bitcoin’s final price bottom. Analysts at Bernstein have also confirmed this price floor ahead of its $150,000 projected surge in the next bull cycle.  Retail Investors Remain “Fearful” Lucas has also emphasized that retail investors are currently showing signs of fear, with many either hedging their positions or waiting on the sidelines for the market to stabilize and show clear direction. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index reflects this hesitation, as broader market sentiment stays neutral.  Related Reading: The Last Time Bitcoin Sentiment Was This Bad Was 2022, But There Was A Silver Lining At the same time, the crypto Fear and Greed Index shows that the entire market is in extreme fear territory. Major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin have continued to decline, further eroding investors’ confidence. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto analyst Minga has predicted that the Bitcoin price could rally past $120,000 to a new all-time high (ATH) of $190,000 in the next bull cycle. The analyst also indicated that now is a good time to buy as BTC approaches a bottom.  Analyst Gives Buy Signal as Bitcoin Price Approaches Bottom In an X post, Minga said that the Bitcoin price is approaching a macro bottom and that this is the phase of the cycle where every dip becomes an opportunity to buy and accumulate long-term holdings. The analyst opined that BTC may tap the $58,900 to $54,500 region at a minimum this cycle, and that this area has been a point of interest (POI) for spot buying. Related Reading: The Bitcoin Bleed Is Almost Over, But Will Price Reach $40,000 Before Bouncing? Minga revealed that he still expects a potential move down to $37,000 for the Bitcoin price in a max-pain scenario. However, he noted that the idea behind spot buying is not to go all in at once, but to build positions gradually over time. The analyst had also described a potential drop to $37,000 as a generational bottom, signaling that this is an area to go all in in preparation for the next bull cycle.  Meanwhile, the analyst stated that he will be looking at $194,742 as a potential area to start taking profits and offload a significant portion of his spot holdings. A potential rally to $194,742 would mark a new all-time high (ATH) for the Bitcoin price, surpassing its current ATH of $126,000.  Minga also noted that the plans to take profits at this level are just a plan and that his final decision will be based on how the Bitcoin price behaves when it reaches those levels. The Strategic Buy Zone For BTC In an X post, crypto analyst Ali Martinez revealed two primary accumulation zones based on historical 40%-50% resets in past bear markets that occur after the crossover between the 50 and 200 Simple Moving Averages (SMAs). The first target is $40,000, representing a standard 30% reset from current levels.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price At $59,000 Is The Line In The Sand, Here’s What You Should Know The second accumulation target is $30,000, representing a 50% decline from current Bitcoin price levels. Martinez stated that this setup has historically aligned with the last major downside before a generational macro bottom forms.  The analyst noted that BTC has already seen a 52% correction and is currently 30 days into the 3-day SMA cross. As such, he remarked that if history rhymes, then BTC is likely entering the final accumulation window of this cycle within the next three to six days.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $66,400, down over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

The XRP price reaching $20 may take several years, according to a market pundit who recently outlined a long-range roadmap for the digital asset. His projection places the milestone near the end of the decade while suggesting the current market phase could still present opportunities before the next major expansion begins. XRP Price Path To $20 By 2030 Outlined In Multi-Year Forecast Crypto analyst ChartNerd recently argued that a $20 target for XRP by 2030 closely aligns with his broader outlook for the asset. In a post shared on March 28, he explained that while the market may still be navigating a bearish stretch, the period leading into 2026 could represent an accumulation phase before a stronger multi-year rally unfolds. Related Reading: The Bitcoin Bottom: Pundit Reveals The 5 Phases To Know When The Bleed Has Ended His projection outlines a gradual climb toward the $20 milestone within the decade. According to the model, XRP could trade between $2.65 and $4.87 in 2025, with an average estimate of $3.16. The following year marks the first significant step higher. For 2026, the forecast places the asset within a range of $4.94 to $6.18, with an average price of $5.53. The analyst suggested this period could provide market participants with an opportunity before a larger upward move begins. Momentum is projected to build further in the years that follow. By 2027, XRP is expected to reach between $6.23 and $8.71, averaging roughly $7.16. The following year could push the asset into consistent double-digit territory, with projections for 2028 ranging from $8.78 to $12.84. The trajectory accelerates closer to the end of the decade. For 2029, the forecast places XRP between $13.06 and $16.76, suggesting the asset may approach the final stage before reaching the long-discussed $20 mark. The key year in the model is 2030. At that point, projections place the minimum value near $16.86, the average at $18.34, and the upper range slightly above $20 at $20.03. This timeline forms the basis for the analyst’s view that the $20 level is achievable but most likely several years away. The long-term outlook extends even further. Projections indicate XRP could climb to an average of $38.16 by 2035, around $63.86 by 2040, and potentially exceed $115 on average by 2050 if adoption and market expansion continue over multiple cycles. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sell-Offs Are Ramping Up As Price Struggles, But Where Is All That BTC Going To? Pundit’s Earlier Commentary Reinforces Long-Term Targets The analyst had earlier shared a chart suggesting the XRP price could reach about $27 by 2030. The chart uses a time-based Fibonacci model comparing XRP’s previous cycle with the current one. During the 2014–2018 cycle, the asset moved through several Fibonacci extension levels before completing its major rally. Applying the same structure to the current market cycle highlights possible targets near $8 and $13, with a higher extension around $27. The chart and the analyst’s recent projections indicate that reaching $20 may take several years, while the broader cycle could potentially extend even higher if the pattern continues to play out. Featured image from DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Crude oil climbed back above $100 a barrel and Bitcoin slipped as US President Donald Trump used a White House address to say the military campaign in Iran was close to wrapping up, while also warning that more strikes could come in the next two to three weeks. Related Reading: Bitcoin Ends 5-Month Losing Run — Real Reversal Or Just April Fool’s Hype? Markets Move First Bitcoin fell about 2% during the speech, and the price was later reported at $66,400, down from where it started the address. Oil moved the other way, with crude rising to $103.55 a barrel after easing earlier in the week. The reaction fits a familiar pattern. As conflict risk rises in the Middle East, traders often move away from assets seen as risky and into markets tied more directly to energy and supply shocks. In this case, crypto and oil were moving in opposite directions almost in real time. Trump told viewers that the US military was close to completing what he called its main goals. He also said Iran’s nuclear, naval and drone capabilities had been badly damaged, along with missile and weapons production sites. The speech did not calm markets for long. Oil had already been under pressure earlier in the week after Trump suggested the fighting could wind down within weeks, but the latest remarks pushed prices back up and revived concern that the conflict may last longer than hoped. Ceasefire Talk Meets New Threats Trump also said talks were continuing, but he paired that message with a harder line. According to the address, the US is demanding that Iran give up its nuclear program, open commercial shipping routes, and stop backing regional proxy groups. Iran’s demands were far broader. Reports note that Tehran is seeking a permanent end to the war, compensation for damage, and an end to the US military presence in the region. That gap between the two sides left little room for confidence. The White House speech suggested progress, but the warning of fresh strikes over the next few weeks kept the pressure on traders and helped explain why both oil and crypto moved sharply during the address. Related Reading: Bitcoin ETFs Pull In $56B As CEO Pitches Crypto Over Gold Strait Of Hormuz Remains In Focus The conflict has already rattled energy markets before. Tensions intensified in February after US and Israeli strikes on Iran, and Iran answered by blocking the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for global oil shipments. Trump said the blockade would lift naturally once the conflict ends, arguing that Iran would need to sell oil to rebuild its economy. He also said gas prices would come back down and stock prices would rise again. Featured image from jiss.org.il, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s recent price structure has not been easy to sit through. The price action has spent months moving sideways to lower, printing a series of bearish monthly closes since October that have placed the crypto sentiment in fear. That kind of slow pressure tends to feel worse than sharp sell-offs. According to a crypto analyst, instead of treating the recent stretch as a warning sign of more declines to come, history shows that the Bitcoin price is much closer to a turning point than most participants realize. The 2018 Parallel: Six Red Candles, Then A 4x Move “With the ongoing panic, buying makes more sense here,” the analyst wrote, adding that Bitcoin could reach another all-time high following this move. The chart evidence they cite stretches back to late 2018 to early 2019, the only other time Bitcoin printed six straight red monthly candles. Related Reading: The Bitcoin Bottom: Pundit Reveals The 5 Phases To Know When The Bleed Has Ended This period between 2018 and 2019 is one of the most instructive chapters in Bitcoin’s price history, and what happened next reshaped the entire cycle.  From August 2018 through January 2019, Bitcoin closed six consecutive red monthly candles in a descent that took the price from about $7,700 all the way down to approximately $3,500. Sentiment had fully deteriorated, retail participants had largely capitulated, and to the average observer, the price action looked broken.  However, that was not the case. Those six months actually forced out weaker hands, absorbed persistent sell pressure, and quietly built the base for what came next. By May 2019, Bitcoin had surged to nearly $10,500, more than a 3x gain from its cycle lows. By June, it was pressing $13,000, representing more than a 4x return from the lows of that six-candle decline. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @ourcryptotalk On X A Familiar Pattern In A Very Different Market Bitcoin’s current price action, while not identical, shares some of those characteristics. The current price play out looks much like that 2018/2019 sequence in structure, but the context is also more constructive.  Bitcoin’s consecutive red monthly candles since October 2025 brought the price from a peak above $126,000 down to lows below $70,000, which is a controlled pullback of over 45% from the high. Painful by conventional standards, but measured in the context of Bitcoin’s historical drawdowns. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sell-Offs Are Ramping Up As Price Struggles, But Where Is All That BTC Going To? As noted by the analyst, the candles are red, but they’re not impulsive. There’s no panic structure, just steady selling pressure that’s been absorbed over time. However, while retail sentiment has deteriorated across the multi-month decline, institutional buyers have been moving in the opposite direction. Strategy, the world’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder, has accumulated over 122,000 BTC during this period. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @ourcryptotalk On X If the 2019 recovery template applies at any comparable scale, a 3x to 4x move from recent lows would place Bitcoin somewhere between $180,000 and $250,000 in the months ahead. Even a more conservative 2x recovery from the $67,000 range would put the Bitcoin price trading at new all-time highs above $130,000 in the coming months. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin had initially lost the $100,000 level back in November 2025, and since then, the cryptocurrency has continued to trend below this psychological level, showing very little chance of breaking above it soon. Nevertheless, bullish sentiment has not completely died among investors in the digital asset as analysts predict that the Bitcoin price will overtake $100,000. But the main point of contention has been the timing of when this move would happen. Bitcoin Is Gearing Up For A Rise According to crypto analyst Master Ananda, the Bitcoin price is currently gearing up for another major rally that could send the price above $100,000 again. The analysis focuses on the longer timeframe as the analyst says it’s time to actually zoom out. Related Reading: Ripple CEO Talked About A $13 Trillion Opportunity, But Will XRP Investors Benefit From It? The Bitcoin price had begun the week with a green streak after suffering days of consecutive downturns. This turn into the green territory has reignited positive sentiment toward the cryptocurrency, suggesting that the bearish trend could be coming to an end. As the analyst explains, the Bitcoin price has been seeing steady upward growth, which suggests a move toward bullish bias. The price had also made two attempts to break out in the month of March. However, there has been a problem where the $74,500 level has served as a roadblock. Nevertheless, this has not deterred bulls as the crypto analyst is predicting another attempt to break this resistance level. According to Master Ananda, the third time will be the charm, and the price will break higher. After this level, the resistance at $79,000 swims into view. But even at this level, the crypto analyst expected the Bitcoin price to beat. This move will also be propelled by short liquidations and Fear of Missing Out (FOMO). The former will be a strong motivator since buys will have to be made to settle the liquidated short positions. As the buys become higher, so will the price. Related Reading: The Last Time Bitcoin Sentiment Was This Bad Was 2022, But There Was A Silver Lining The latter of the two bullish factors, FOMO, plays into the former, where the rising price will trigger more participation from investors. This is because as the price moves, there are more likely to be panic-buys as investors do not want to miss out on further movement. This contributes to the buying pressure, pushing the price up further. As for the target of this move, the analyst expects the bitcoin price to actually cross $121,000 before peaking. The timeframe for this is set for sometime in May, according to the shared chart, which would make this move only two months in the marking. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

While Ethereum (ETH) and XRP Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) ended March in negative territory, Bitcoin (BTC) funds recorded their best monthly performance of the year despite weak market sentiment and geopolitical tensions. Related Reading: Analyst Forecasts More Pain For XRP In Q2 – How Much Lower Can It Go? Bitcoin ETFs End Negative Spell Bitcoin ended the first quarter of 2026 by breaking out of a five-month negative streak, closing with a positive performance for the first time since September 2025. The flagship crypto has been in a downtrend over the past six months, retracing over 50% from its October all-time high of $126,000. As its price closes the month in green, US spot BTC-based ETFs have also ended a multi-month negative spell on Tuesday. According to SoSoValue data, the funds pulled in $1.32 billion in March, registering their first monthly gain in 2026. The category has been registering outflows since November, with cumulative outflows of around $6.3 billion until February. Nate Geraci, co-founder of the ETF Institute, previously highlighted that spot Bitcoin ETF investors have “largely displayed diamond hands” despite the ongoing market correction and negative sentiment. As reported by NewsBTC, Geraci argued that the funds’ cumulative outflows since the October 10 crash were insignificant compared to the $56 billion in cumulative total net inflows the category has experienced since its January 2024 debut. Despite the positive monthly close, BTC ETFs ended a four-week inflow streak after investors pulled out $296.18 million from the investment products. Additionally, the funds ended Q1 on a negative note, as March inflows couldn’t offset the $1.81 billion redemptions from January and February. Therefore, spot Bitcoin ETFs closed the first quarter of 2026 with $496 million in outflows, their second-worst quarterly performance after Q4 2025’s $1.15 billion cumulative outflows. Solana Leads Altcoin ETFs Performance Similar to Bitcoin, Solana (SOL) ETFs closed March on a positive note and led altcoin-based funds, with inflows worth $45.44 million. This performance brought SOL investment products’ quarterly inflows to $213.1 million. Notably, the category has not seen monthly outflows since its launch in October 2025, printing six consecutive months of inflows. Following this performance, Solana ETFs are near the $1 billion milestone, currently having cumulative net inflows of $979.3 million. Nonetheless, Ethereum funds tell a different story, closing the month with $46 million in outflows. Unlike Bitcoin, the second-largest cryptocurrency extended its negative streak to five months, recording total outflows worth $3.21 billion since November. In addition, ETH investment products saw $769 million outflows in Q1. CoinShares recent report noted that Ethereum led all assets in outflows last week, shedding over $200 million for the second straight week, which may signal that institutional demand for the second-largest cryptocurrency has been slowing. Related Reading: Bitcoin ‘Absolute Bottom’ Next? Analyst Says BTC’s Final Shakeout Is Near Meanwhile, XRP funds recorded their first monthly outflows after investors pulled $31.3 million from the ETFs. The category has recorded a remarkable performance since launching in November, with over $1.24 billion in inflows in the first four months. It’s worth noting that despite the March setback, XRP ETFs saw positive net flows worth $42.52 million during the first quarter of 2026, only behind Solana funds. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com