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#bitcoin #crypto #bernstein #btc #bitcoin news #btcusd #quantum computers

Bitcoin’s quantum problem is still years away, but Bernstein says 1.7 million BTC sitting in early address types could be among the most exposed if the technology ever gets there. Related Reading: XRP Faces No Immediate Quantum Threat As Only 0.03% Supply Seen At Risk: Analyst That includes an estimated 1.1 million BTC tied to Satoshi Nakamoto, which would matter only if quantum machines become strong enough to break today’s encryption. Legacy Wallets In Focus Bernstein’s view is not that Bitcoin faces a near-term collapse. The firm’s analysts describe the issue as a “manageable upgrade cycle,” not an “existential risk,” and say the danger is concentrated in older wallets and addresses that reuse public keys. Newer wallet practices, including avoiding address reuse, lower exposure. The report also draws a line between wallet risk and mining risk. Bitcoin’s SHA-256 mining process is not seen as meaningfully vulnerable to quantum attacks, even if future machines become powerful enough to threaten some wallet signatures. Bernstein said the most exposed address types include pay-to-public-key, pay-to-multisig and pay-to-Taproot formats. ???? CRYPTO: BERNSTEIN RESEARCH SAYS BITCOIN HAS 3-5 YEARS TO PREPARE FOR QUANTUM COMPUTING THREAT Bernstein Research, the Societe Generale-owned brokerage, said quantum computing poses a credible but manageable threat to Bitcoin, estimating the industry has a three to five year… pic.twitter.com/6QFMObpXjn — BSCN (@BSCNews) April 8, 2026 A Longer Timeline Than Panic The firm pointed to recent research from Google as one reason the threat is being taken more seriously now. That work reduced the resources thought necessary to break modern encryption, but Bernstein still said building a machine capable of compromising Bitcoin remains years away because of major technical barriers and high costs. Its estimate gives the crypto industry about three to five years to prepare for post-quantum security upgrades. That timeline leaves room for the Bitcoin developer community to act through the normal upgrade process. Bernstein said open-source contributors and core developers would likely handle any move toward quantum-resistant standards, with changes proposed and adopted through consensus rather than by force. The report also leans on a broader industry view. Quantum experts generally give a 10-year timeline for cryptographically relevant quantum computers, or machines able to break today’s encryption, according to Bernstein’s chart. That gap is part of why the firm argues the issue is real but not urgent enough to trigger panic. Related Reading: South Korea Imposes 5-Minute Audit Rule On Crypto Platforms What Bitcoin Faces First For now, the pressure sits on old holdings, not the network as a whole. Bernstein said the risk is uneven, with older legacy wallets facing more exposure because public keys are already visible on-chain. By contrast, modern wallet use and better key practices reduce the chance of attack. The rough number Bernstein cited — about 1.7 million BTC in early P2PK addresses — shows why the topic keeps returning. Those coins would not be the first target of any quantum attack, but they are the clearest example of what could be at stake if hardware advances faster than the network’s response. For now, Bernstein’s message is that Bitcoin has time, though not endless time, to prepare. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news

The current downtrend has put the Bitcoin price in an increasingly difficult position as bears push back on every recovery. Even now, the price continues to struggle to maintain an uptrend, but it has not deterred bulls from predicting higher prices. The general consensus still remains that the Bitcoin price will cross $100,000 again and eventually reach new all-time highs. As these bullish predictions roll out, one analyst has given their opinion on how the cryptocurrency’s price will move from here. Bitcoin Could Rally To $90,000 First Before Crashing Pseudonymous crypto analyst Cyclop shared their expectations for the Bitcoin price on X following the initial rally at the start of the week. While bearish sentiment still abounds, the analyst does not believe that this would necessarily lead to the price crashing further from here. Related Reading: Why XRP Supply Crashing On Coinbase Is A Good Thing For The Price Instead, Cyclop says that the current bearish sentiment could end up pushing the price higher. The reason for this is the fact that investors are ready to buy lower. What this means is that there is still money to buy cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, and this is not how a bottom would play out. Given that bottoms happen when people have run out of money to buy, the analyst believes that there would be another run-up just to shake out investors. This initial run could send the Bitcoin price high toward the $90,000 level, but then the resulting dump would reset the market sentiment. It is only when something like this happens that the crypto analyst believes that the Bitcoin price will have hit a bottom. The squeeze higher and the dump could completely devastate sentiment, leaving room for the Bitcoin price to finally have a real rally. BTC Pushing The Road To $240,000 In a previous post, the crypto analyst had stated the major targets that they are looking at for the Bitcoin price. The first was $69,000, which the cryptocurrency had hit earlier in the week, marking a possible start to the rally that takes it back to six-figures. Related Reading: Ethereum Eyes Macro Bottom As Key Level Comes Into Focus: Analyst Next is a run-up to around $78,000, which is the upward squeeze the analyst spoke of. Then the next in line would be a massive crash that would take the Bitcoin price to new cycle lows at $42,000, and reset the sentiment. And finally, there would be the explosive rally, which the crypto analyst believes could see the bitcoin price reach $240,000. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

#bitcoin #crypto #btc #hashrate #iran #middle east war

The US, Russia and China together control over 65% of global Bitcoin hashrate, a reminder that mining power remains heavily concentrated even as local shocks push smaller markets up and down. Related Reading: Bitcoin Mood Sours To Levels Not Seen Since Late February In that mix, Iran has seen a sharp fall. Its hashrate dropped about 77% in the past quarter, to roughly 2 EH/s, after months of conflict and disruption. Iran’s Share Drops Fast According to a report from Hashrate Index, Iran lost about 7 EH/s quarter over quarter. The decline came during a period of rising tension with the US and Israel, with strikes and retaliation driving instability across the region. Even so, the pullback did not spread in the same way to nearby mining hubs. The United Arab Emirates and Oman were reported to have stayed stable. Source: Hashrate Index The report framed the change as a local hit rather than a network-wide threat. Global hashrate remained near 1,000 EH/s, which means the Bitcoin network kept working with little sign of strain. That is partly because no single region has enough mining power to threaten continuity on its own. When one place weakens, other places can absorb the load. Iran’s drop also comes with a large miner count behind it. The country is estimated to have about 427,000 active Bitcoin mining rigs. Those machines do not all run at the same efficiency, and many older units have been forced out as margins tighten. Price Pressure Hits Miners Everywhere The broader network has also been under pressure. The 30-day simple moving average for global hashrate fell from 1,066 EH/s in the first quarter to about 1,004 EH/s in the second quarter, a drop of 5.8%. The report linked that move to falling Bitcoin prices, not to energy costs or regulation. Bitcoin has fallen more than 45% from its record high of $126,000 set in October. That drop has pushed mining revenue lower and made hash prices hit record lows. At those levels, older machines with efficiency above 25 J/TH can run at a loss and get shut down. The report said about 252 EH/s of marginal capacity is now offline, with much of it tied to older hardware. Related Reading: Underdog Bitcoin Miner Bags $210,000 BTC In Stunning Block Discovery Redistribution, Not Collapse The story the numbers tell is simple. Mining does not stay fixed in one place for long. It moves toward cheaper power, better machines and higher margins. When those conditions fade, rigs are switched off or shipped elsewhere. That is what happened in this case, with Iran taking the biggest hit while the wider network kept moving. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news #golden cross #cw #ifp #bitcoin inter-exchange flow pulse

Bitcoin (BTC) could be preparing for another major bull rally as a Golden Cross has recently appeared on the cryptocurrency’s Inter-exchange Flow Pulse (IFP). A crypto analyst who explained the significance of this occurrence notes that the timeline of this Golden Cross aligns almost perfectly with past bull rallies. Based on this historical trend, the analyst suggests that the next two to three weeks are important for Bitcoin’s next move. Historical Golden Cross Pattern Signals Bitcoin Rally Crypto market expert CW has shared a new Bitcoin forecast that, if realized, could completely invalidate the widespread bearish outlook for the cryptocurrency. In his post on X, the analyst shares a chart displaying BTC’s Inter-exchange Flow Pulse, a key on-chain indicator that tracks the net flow of Bitcoin between exchanges.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Rainbow Chart Says Price Is Ranging Above $60,000 For A Reason, Here’s Why Usually, this indicator signals a bull market when it turns green and a bear market or correction when it turns red. This particular metric is often used to identify Bitcoin’s market position and has gained recognition for its strong track record of predicting major market turning points.  During his analysis, CW noted a recurring Golden Cross pattern that has appeared twice in Bitcoin’s history on the Inter-exchange Flow Pulse chart. The first time this crossover occurred was in 2019, and then it was subsequently repeated in 2023. In both cases, the analyst noted that the Golden Cross had foreshadowed the start of a massive bull rally that lasted for months.  However, the anticipated rally did not start immediately after the Golden Cross emerged. Instead, the broader market waited 30 to 40 days before the Bitcoin bull run began. Specifically, during the 2019 cycle, BTC consolidated for about 30 days after its Golden Cross before skyrocketing above $40,000 from a low price between $4,000 and $10,000. This bull rally had also extended into the 2021 bull market, where the cryptocurrency found a top of $69,000.  Subsequently, in 2023, the chart shows that Bitcoin crashed below $20,000 following the 2022 bear market. Shortly after, the same Golden Cross appeared again on the Inter-exchange Flow Pulse. Just 40 days later, Bitcoin climbed above $100,000, extending its bull run into 2025.  BTC Set For Explosive Run As New Golden Cross Emerges Fast forward to today, CW noted in his analysis that the market cycle is currently 33 days past its most recent Golden Cross on the Inter-exchange Flow Pulse. This places the Bitcoin price right within the historical 30-40 day window. As a result, if the pattern continues to hold, Bitcoin could be on the verge of another sustained bull rally.   Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Hasn’t Seen A True Bottoming Formation Yet, What This Means For Price With only a few days left in this window, the analyst warns that the next two to three weeks are critical, urging investors and traders to watch BTC’s price closely. Based on past trends, a confirmed breakout during this period could likely be the start of a bull run. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

#bitcoin #bitcoin price #btc #btcusd #btcusdt #xbtusd

Bitcoin price started a strong increase above the $70,500 zone. BTC is consolidating gains and might aim for more gains above the $71,650 zone. Bitcoin gained pace for a move above the $70,500 and $71,500 levels. The price is trading above $70,200 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a new bullish flag pattern forming with resistance at $71,650 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might extend gains if it stays above the $70,250 and $69,500 levels. Bitcoin Price Holds Support Bitcoin price managed to climb higher above the $69,500 resistance zone. BTC gained pace for a move above the $70,500 and $71,200 levels. The pair even rallied above the $72,200 level. A high was formed at $72,728, and the price started a downside correction. There was a move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $67,735 swing low to the $72,728 high. However, the bulls were active above $70,000. Bitcoin is now trading above $70,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $70,000, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $71,650 level. There is also a new bullish flag pattern forming with resistance at $71,650 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The first key resistance is near the $72,000 level. A close above the $72,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $72,800 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $73,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $74,000. More Losses In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $71,650 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $70,300 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $67,735 swing low to the $72,728 high. The first major support is near the $70,000 level. The next support is now near the $69,650 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $69,000 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $68,800, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now near the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $70,300, followed by $70,000. Major Resistance Levels – $71,650 and $72,800.

#bitcoin #btc #bitcoin shorts #bitcoin news #btcusdt #bitcoin liquidations #crypto liquidations #bitcoin surge #crypto shorts

Data shows the uplift that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have seen during the past day has induced a significant amount of liquidations in the derivatives market. Crypto Derivatives Market Has Witnessed Nearly $630 Million In Liquidations According to data from CoinGlass, a large amount of liquidations have occurred in the cryptocurrency derivatives sector. “Liquidation” here refers to the forceful closure that any open contract undergoes after it has amassed losses of a specific degree. Related Reading: Cardano Whale Count Climbs To 4-Month High Amid Steady Accumulation In the digital assets market, coins tend to be volatile and leverage usage can be high among traders, so events where mass liquidations take place at once aren’t a rare sight. One such squeeze has again occurred in the past day. Below is a table that breaks down the numbers relevant to the latest cryptocurrency market liquidations. In total, the cryptocurrency market has seen liquidations of about $627 million in the last 24 hours. This flush is a result of the sharp price action that Bitcoin and other assets have observed following the ceasefire between Iran and the United States. From the table, it’s apparent that liquidations have heavily leaned in the short direction, involving bearish bets of more than $473 million. The dominance of shorts isn’t surprising as price action has overall been toward the upside inside this window. In terms of the individual assets, Bitcoin has contributed the most toward the liquidation squeeze, with $276 million in positions involved. Like is usually the case, Ethereum has followed Bitcoin in second place with almost $121 million in liquidations. Out of the altcoins, Solana has witnessed the largest derivatives flush at $19 million. While the market has faced a large amount of liquidations, it would appear that speculative activity has been high enough to replace the lost positions. As highlighted by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in an X post, the Ethereum Open Interest has seen a sharp surge alongside its rally back above the $2,200 level. The Open Interest here is an indicator tracking the total number of derivatives market positions related to Ethereum that are currently open on all centralized exchanges. This metric jumped by more than 14% as ETH observed its breakout. Related Reading: XRP 1-Year MVRV Falls To -41%, Lowest Since FTX Crash In the past, rallies fueled by speculative activity have often tended to be unstable, as a sharp surge in the Open Interest can unwind with strong liquidations. From the chart, it’s visible that the price jump at the start of this week saw this pattern play out. Bitcoin Price Bitcoin briefly touched the $72,800 mark during the rally before retracing back to $71,600. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

#bitcoin #crypto #btc #bitcoin news #cryptoquant #btcusd

Bitcoin’s active address momentum has sunk to its weakest point since April 2018, even as a separate index tracking overall network health has crossed into what analysts call a bull phase for the first time in roughly a year. Related Reading: South Korea Imposes 5-Minute Audit Rule On Crypto Platforms A Market Driven By Fewer, More Committed Players The active addresses momentum metric dropped to -0.25 on April 6, according to CryptoQuant data. The figure tracks how fast the number of active addresses is changing, and a negative reading points to shrinking user participation. Low readings like this have persisted since July 2025 — a stretch that mirrors a similar period in 2024 that was followed by a 35% price drop. Crypto analyst Gaah, writing on CryptoQuant, says the numbers reflect the absence of short-term traders from the market. What remains, the analyst argues, is a base of long-term holders focused on steady buying rather than trading. Yet even as daily user activity contracts, wallets tied to long-term and retail-linked investors have been filling up. Data shows BTC held in accumulating address cohorts has reached 4.37 million coins as of Tuesday — more than double the roughly 2 million held by the same group in early 2024. Retail-linked addresses alone added approximately 857,000 BTC, while wallets that buy at regular intervals with few outflows grew their combined holdings to nearly 1.30 million BTC. All of this happened while Bitcoin’s price stayed below $70,000 for the entire first quarter of 2026. Exchange Inflows Slow To A Fraction Of Prior Cycles Coin movement through centralized exchanges has dropped sharply compared to earlier growth periods. During the 2023 to 2024 expansion, inflows from highly active addresses often ran between 1.2 million and 1.5 million BTC. Reports indicate recent figures average between 300,000 and 350,000 BTC — roughly a quarter of that pace. Less coin is cycling through trading platforms, and more is being held off-market in long-term storage. That shift is tightening the available supply. When fewer coins sit on exchanges ready to be sold, the liquid supply shrinks, and the market becomes more sensitive to any uptick in demand. Network Activity Index Crosses A Key Threshold The CryptoQuant Bitcoin network activity index climbed to 3,600 from 3,320 on March 22. The index pulls together transaction counts and broader throughput signals into a single reading. It crossed above its 365-day moving average for the first time since December 2024, a level CryptoQuant associates with a bull phase — the first such signal since April 2025. Related Reading: XRP Headed For A Price Shock, Japan’s Financial Heavyweight Says The split between the two metrics tells an unusual story. One index is flashing positive. The other is at an eight-year low. Reports suggest the current phase is being pushed along by accumulation rather than by widespread network use or new participants entering the market. Bitcoin was trading at $72,045 at the time of publication, up nearly 5% on the day. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news #descending trendline #crypflow

A crypto analyst known as CrypFlow has outlined what he believes will certify the true start of the next Bitcoin bull run. According to the analyst, the flip into a bullish run does not begin at the bottom but only after key technical confirmations appear on the chart. His analysis points to three conditions that must be met before this new cycle can be considered in play. Bitcoin is currently trading at $71,750, up by 4.3% in the past 24 hours. The past trading day has been highlighted by some bullish momentum, which even saw the Bitcoin price reach an intra-day high of $72,379, according to price data from CoinGecko.  Why CrypFlow Says The Bottom Is Not The Start However, when looking at the long-term price action, Bitcoin is still down by about 43% from its October 2025 peak of $126,000. Crypto market participants are divided as to whether the bottom is already in and the decline has ended and whether there is still more downside price action ahead.  Related Reading: Bitcoin PMI Says This Is Not A Peak, Here’s What It Is CrypFlow, on the other hand, separates the bottom from the start of a bull run. According to the analyst, the bottom is simply where price stops falling, but that does not mean the broader trend has reversed. What matters is confirmation that Bitcoin is no longer behaving like it is in a bear market. The chart shared by the analyst highlights how the 50-week SMA and the -14 wave trend level have repeatedly acted as dividing lines between bearish and bullish conditions. Back in 2021, Bitcoin’s cycle top was followed by a breakdown below both levels, which preceded the 2022 bear market. When transitioning out of the 2022 bear market, the recovery that followed did not immediately lead to a new bull run. Instead, the flip into bullish mood became clear only after Bitcoin broke its long-term downtrend and reclaimed both indicators. A similar structure is visible in the current cycle. Bitcoin has rejected its 2025 peak and is trading below a descending trendline, while the price is below the 50-week SMA. Furthermore, the wave trend indicator is still below the -14 threshold. As long as these conditions persist, then the Bitcoin price will still be in a corrective or bearish environment, even if there are short-term rallies. What Needs To Happen Before The Bull Run Starts According to the analyst, three conditions must be met before calling the start of a new bull cycle. First, Bitcoin must break above the descending trendline from its cycle top. Second, it must reclaim the -14 level on the wave trend indicator. Finally, the price must move back above the 50-week SMA. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices Could Keep Crashing This Week These signals worked together in the previous cycle for the transition into an extended rally. Until they appear again, any recovery in price will be unconfirmed. Keeping in mind that the 50 SMA is a lagging indicator, the goal is not to identify the bottom. It is to confirm the cycle has turned. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #donald trump #bitcoin news #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news #cme gap #ardi #max trades

The current consolidation of Bitcoin is showing signs of a deeper shift rather than a typical range-bound market. While price action appears relatively stable within a defined range, leverage behavior tells a very different story. Instead of a clear directional bias, the leverage delta has repeatedly flipped between positive and negative, indicating a lack of conviction among large market participants. How Bitcoin Market Structure Is Sending Mixed Signals There’s a critical shift unfolding in the current Bitcoin range, one that sets it apart from the previous consolidation phase. Analyst Ardi highlighted on X that in August and December, the leverage delta was one-sided. It remained consistently negative, showing that short leverage positioning dominated as the market trended downward. Meanwhile, the smart money knew the direction and positioned with conviction. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Still Favoring Short Positions Amid Sideways Price Action BTC has been in the right range since January, and the leverage delta has been flipping repeatedly between positive and negative. Ardi noted that this level of back-and-forth hasn’t been seen at any other point in a single consolidation period throughout the cycle. Such behaviour is not characteristic of a clean trend; instead, it occurs when the participant’s trading size genuinely lacks direction, causing them to continue repositioning.  One week they lean long, the next week they shift short. Even the current delta sits slightly negative at around 0.408, showing marginally short-side dominance, but the pattern is the story, not the current reading. In the past, when the previous range had a clear delta bias, the market followed its pattern. However, this range has no sustained bias, which means no individual with size has conviction. When the resolution of this range finally comes, it’s likely to be violent because no one is truly prepared for it. What A Daily Close Above Resistance Could Signal For BTC Bitcoin is approaching a critical inflection point following a sharp news-driven rally. According to a crypto trader known as Max Trades on X, after President Donald Trump announced the ceasefire deal, BTC price surged roughly 7%. This move has pushed BTC to test the top of its current range, an area that now represents a critical decision point for the market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Cools Off — Range Forms Around $70K Support Max explained that if BTC can secure a confirmed breakout with a daily close above the range highs, it could open the door for a continuation move toward the $76,000 level. However, failure to hold above this level, followed by acceptance below the resistance, would suggest that the BTC price remains stuck in its broader consolidation. Also, he cautions against placing too much confidence in the recent move rally, noting that news-driven pumps often get retraced quickly. With BTC still sitting at a strong resistance level and an unfilled CME gap lingering below around $67,000, there are still solid reasons to consider a bearish scenario. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

#bitcoin #btc price #btc #bitcoin news #satoshi nakamoto #adam back #btcusdt #crypto news #btc news #breaking news ticker #bitcoin creator #satoshi nakamoto news

Blockstream CEO, Adam Back, denied on Wednesday that he is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin (BTC), responding to a New York Times (NYT) investigation that pointed to him as the leading suspect.  The NYT report, by John Carreyrou, drew on a range of circumstantial evidence — including parallels in writing style, the use of British spellings, and overlapping cryptographic expertise — to argue that Back could be the person behind Bitcoin’s origin story.  Adam Back Rejects NYT Case In his post on social media platform X (previously Twitter), Back said plainly, “I’m not Satoshi,” and emphasized that his long-standing interest in cryptography and electronic cash predates Bitcoin by decades.  Back pushed back on the interpretation of evidence presented in the NYT story, suggesting that his frequent postings on ecash topics create a statistical bias.  Related Reading: Ethereum (ETH) Outlook: $2,500 Break Could Trigger Major Rally — Expert’s Price Scenarios He argued that because he was outspoken and prolific on relevant mailing lists, his comments appear often in historical archives; that visibility, he told Carreyrou, can create “confirmation bias” when researchers search for likely Satoshi candidates.  “Because I was talkative on the list, and known to have an active interest in ecash, there’s some confirmation bias in finding my comments frequently on ecash topics,” Back wrote, noting that other participants with similar expertise posted far less and so are less likely to surface in retrospective searches. Satoshi’s Mystery Is Healthy For Bitcoin Back also characterized much of the apparent overlap between his and Satoshi’s language as a coincidence or the product of a shared technical lexicon among cryptographers who had been wrestling with similar problems for years.  Related Reading: FDIC Advances Rulemaking For GENIUS Act: New Framework For Stablecoin Issuers Throughout his response, Back also maintained that he does not know Satoshi’s identity and suggested that this uncertainty is beneficial for Bitcoin.  “I also don’t know who Satoshi is, and I think it is good for Bitcoin that this is the case, as it helps Bitcoin be viewed as new asset class, the mathematically scarce digital commodity,” he wrote, framing the mystery as part of Bitcoin’s appeal and institutional development. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

#bitcoin #crypto #btc #btcusd #long-term holders

Bitcoin’s long-term holder supply change has moved back into positive territory over the past 30 days, as the coin reclaims the $71,000 level today. The data point is getting attention because only 29% of long-term holder supply is now sitting in loss, still well below the 44% to 53% levels seen at major cycle bottoms in 2015, 2018, and 2022. Related Reading: Strategy Signals Fresh Bitcoin Buy As Saylor Tweets ‘Back To Work’ Holding Behavior Returns To The Foreground According to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, the latest reading suggests that more Bitcoin is aging into long-term holder status than is being sold. The move is not a clean sign of fresh buying. It mainly reflects coins that were moved six months ago and then left untouched long enough to enter the long-term holder bucket. That matters because it points to a change in behavior, not just a price bounce. Bitcoin LTH Supply Turns Positive Again “This represents a positive shift in investor behavior, as it suggests that holding currently dominates over selling, even while Bitcoin continues to trade within its range.” – By @Darkfost_Coc pic.twitter.com/wVOIV8S47P — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) April 7, 2026 The metric had been deeply negative before. By the end of November 2025, the 30-day moving average had fallen to a little under 674,000 BTC. It has now recovered to just past 308,000 BTC. Darkfost said that in earlier market stretches, similar turns often came before price gains, though he also warned it is still too early to call it a lasting trend. Bitcoin’s latest price action has not helped the mood. The asset pushed above $70,000 on April 6, but the move did not hold. It was quickly pulled back, and the market has remained under pressure since then. The article ties that weakness to broader geopolitical stress and its effect on risk assets. Traders Still Watching For Confirmation The report also points out that weak demand remains part of the picture. Darkfost said the current rise in long-term holder supply does not necessarily mean active accumulation. It can happen when holders simply refuse to sell. That distinction matters, because a higher long-term holder reading alone does not guarantee stronger prices. Related Reading: Bitcoin Mood Sours To Levels Not Seen Since Late February Reports also compare the current setup with past cycle lows. Data shows long-term holder supply in loss reached over 50% in 2015, and around 45% and 44% in 2018 and 2022, respectively, before those bottoms formed. The current reading of 29% is still climbing, which suggests there may be room for further downside before a clear floor is established. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

#bitcoin #btc price #coinbase #binance #btc #bitcoin news #qcp capital #cryptoquant

Bitcoin climbed back above $71,000 after news of a conditional U.S.–Iran ceasefire tied to reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Bitcoin Bounces Back… For Now According to today’s QCP Market Colour, after the announcement of the ceasefire risk assets rallied, equities rose and oil cooled into the low-$90s. However, the report warns that all of this looks more like a temporary pause than a lasting resolution. Let’s not forget that, according to President Donald Trump himself, the ceasefire hinges on how Iran handles the Strait of Hormuz in the weeks ahead. ???? President Donald J. Trump makes a statement on Iran: pic.twitter.com/9mqTayL0Q3 — The White House (@WhiteHouse) April 7, 2026 The energy infrastructure attacks in Saudi Arabia show how fragile the de-escalation remains. Related Reading: Binance Deploys PRER Volatility Shield — Here’s How New Price Bands Could Hit Your Orders This rebound is supported by risk repricing, not conviction. According to the market colour, the macro picture remains uneven. U.S. payrolls rebounded, but softer labor data keeps the Fed juggling growth concerns and energy-driven inflation. The upcoming inflation report (CPI) due this week may determine if Bitcoin’s move back above $71,000 is sustainable or just a short‑lived bounce. Options data from QCP shows compressed front-end vols, but downside skew remains bid. Hedge demand is still strong. Notable call interest sits between $75K–$85K, while support lies around $60K–$65K, making $74K a key breakout level. Exchange Netflow Shows Why Bitcoin Is Still Defensive Despite the price bounce, on-chain data from CryptoQuant shows exchange reserves remain high, suggesting cautious sentiment rather than full accumulation. The report of Novaque Research from CryptoQuant explains that Binance is currently holding about 637.6K BTC in reserves, while Coinbase Advanced holds roughly 866.6K BTC. Both are still tracking well below their levels from earlier in 2025. Bitcoin exchange reserve on Coinbase. Source: CryptoQuant. The split between exchanges matters, according to the report. Coinbase is more closely tied to US institutional flows, whereas Binance better reflects global crypto‑native liquidity. Coinbase’s reserves have stayed tight and mostly sideways after a long downtrend, hinting that bigger players are not eager to bring coins back on‑exchange to sell. Binance’s balances have rebounded more visibly, but they still sit below previous highs and under the 50‑day average. Bitcoin exchange reserve on Binance. Source: CryptoQuant. These signals suggest positioning is cautious rather than capitulatory: holders are wary, but they are not behaving as if they must dump Bitcoin at any price. Exchange netflow supports that view, CryptoQuant believes. Overall exchange netflow is slightly negative at around -289.6 BTC, and since February there has been a consistent tilt toward outflows, only occasionally punctuated by sharp deposit spikes. In a genuine internal market break, the analysis explains, you would typically see persistent positive netflows as investors move coins onto platforms to sell into weakness. Instead, the data still shows Bitcoin being pulled off exchanges on many sessions. Bitcoin exchange netflow on all exchanges. Source: CryptoQuant. This does not automatically imply a bullish outcome, but it does highlight that Bitcoin continues to be supported by a holder base more inclined to remove supply than to keep recycling it back into the market. Related Reading: Crypto Trust Crisis — The “Kim Jong‑Un Test” Is Exposing Secret North Korean Moles Summing Up Bitcoin’s defensive setup mirrors institutional hesitation. Traders may be waiting for a clear macro or volatility shift before committing fresh capital. The short-term rally hinges on headlines, not fundamentals. Unless the ceasefire holds and inflation softens, Bitcoin could struggle to break $74K convincingly. For traders, this means tight ranges and tactical plays, not full-risk exposure, at least until the next macro signal. Bitcoin bounced back and reclaimed $72k earlier today. At the moment of writing, BTC trades for the low $71ks on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview. Cover image from Perplexity. BTCUSD chart from Tradingview.

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news

Bitcoin has been in a bearish trend that spilled over from 2025 into the year 2026. This has persisted from January, and throughout the first quarter of the year, the Bitcoin price has continued to decline as a result. This trend, however, seems to be nearing its end with the most recent move. According to one crypto analyst, there has been a deviation, which could end up being very important for the cryptocurrency to enter the next bull market. Bitcoin Rejection Trend Is Coming To An End Looking back at the performance of the Bitcoin price starting from January through the end of the first quarter of the year, crypto analyst CrypFlow highlights that there has been a constant bearish trend. This is characterized by the cryptocurrency encountering a rejection with each push upward, and then pushing back downward even lower. Related Reading: Why XRP Supply Crashing On Coinbase Is A Good Thing For The Price This was the case in January, and this was still the case last week following the price rejection. However, with the pump at the start of the week, Bitcoin is starting to move in another direction. Instead of a rejection and then a lower move, bulls are looking to sustain the uptrend. The initial move above $69,000 saw the Bitcoin price print a higher high for the first time, suggesting a change in direction. Not only did the higher high appear, but also, there has been a change in the momentum, which suggests strength on the part of bulls. As a result, there is the fact that the Bitcoin RSI is now reclaiming its moving average, which was lost earlier in the year. In addition to this, the Stochastic RSI printed a bullish cross at the start of the month. CrypFlow points out that this is a major difference because, back in January, the momentum had failed. But this time around, the momentum is getting stronger. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices Could Keep Crashing This Week Since the price moved lower when the momentum failed back in January, it is assumed that the price will move higher now that the momentum is holding up. This deviation might end up being what changes the narrative for the Bitcoin price this time around. “Which makes this the first real deviation from that pattern. If this holds, this could be the start of a short-term trend shift,” the analyst said. As for the Bitcoin price, the move above $69,000 is important because it is the previous cycle peak. Thus, this level could serve as a generational resistance level. Once broken with adequate momentum, it could signal a return of the bull market. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news

The US-Iran ceasefire, Bitcoin, and the entire crypto market have quickly become intertwined as easing geopolitical tensions sparked a sharp move across digital asset markets. As headlines shifted from threats of escalation to a temporary pause, traders reacted instantly—but whether this momentum can hold remains uncertain. Bitcoin Leads Crypto Market Rally Amid Ceasefire Relief Markets turned optimistic after US President Donald Trump signaled a two-week pause in military action, tied to conditions around the Strait of Hormuz. This marked a notable shift from his earlier warnings of large-scale destruction targeting Iranian infrastructure, which raised fears of prolonged conflict, especially as the deadline set for April 7 approached. Related Reading: XRP Price Will Trade At $1,000 If This Happens; Analyst However, as news of the conditional pause in hostilities emerged, Bitcoin moved decisively, climbing from the $66,000 region to above $69,000 within hours of the announcement. The earlier phase of the conflict had injected volatility into global markets. With the Strait of Hormuz—responsible for around 20% of global oil supply—under threat, investors had moved cautiously, rotating into defensive positions. Crypto initially saw choppy price action during this period, with Bitcoin briefly slipping below key support levels near $65,000 as fears of escalation intensified. However, the shift toward a two-week ceasefire and the prospect of negotiations in Islamabad quickly reversed that trend. Ethereum followed Bitcoin’s lead, rising roughly 4% to reclaim the $3,400 level, while assets like Solana and XRP posted gains between 5% and 8% during the same window. The total crypto market capitalization added tens of billions of dollars in value, signaling a broad-based recovery. This reaction highlights how closely crypto markets are now tied to macro developments. The reduction in immediate geopolitical risk removed a key overhang, allowing capital to flow back into higher-risk assets. The rally was not driven by internal crypto fundamentals alone, but by a sudden improvement in the external environment. Crypto Rally Faces Uncertainty As Ceasefire Conditions Remain Fragile Despite the strong rebound, the sustainability of this crypto rally remains uncertain due to the conditional nature of the ceasefire. The agreement hinges on unresolved issues, including access through the Strait of Hormuz and broader diplomatic negotiations, leaving room for renewed volatility. Related Reading: Ripple Makes A $13 Trillion Bet With This Move, And XRP Price Could Be Set To Explode The conflict, which has lasted over 40 days since late February, has already demonstrated how quickly sentiment can shift. Earlier threats of large-scale infrastructure strikes and warnings of severe retaliation had pushed markets into risk-off mode. That dynamic has not disappeared; it has only been temporarily paused. The broader concern is that the current rally is tied to a single catalyst: de-escalation. If negotiations stall or tensions rise again, the same macro forces that triggered this surge could quickly reverse it.  In essence, the market is reacting to reduced immediate risk rather than a permanent resolution. The crypto sector has gained from the shift in narrative, but its next move will depend on whether that narrative holds. As negotiations progress and deadlines evolve, traders will watch closely and adjust their positions accordingly. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

#ethereum #bitcoin #solana #btc #xrp #crypto funds #coinshares #cryptocurrency market news #xrpusdt #xrp etfs #james butterfil

Global crypto investment products bounced from the late-March sentiment downturn, with XRP funds and European investors stealing the spotlight from Bitcoin and US markets. Related Reading: Bitcoin Next Big Move In Mid-April? Analyst Explains Why ‘Decision Time’ Could Be Near XRP Inflows Fuel Crypto Funds Recovery According to the latest CoinShares report, global crypto funds recorded $224 million in inflows last week, a modest recovery from the late-March sentiment downturn, when investors pulled $414 million from the products amid worries about escalating tensions in the Iran conflict and the prospect of higher inflation. James Butterfill, CoinShares Head of Research, explained that despite the improvement in sentiment, momentum reversed at the end of the week due to stronger macro data and hawkish expectations, leading to minor outflows. “Stronger-than-expected retail sales data later in the week, alongside increasingly hawkish investor expectations and mixed geopolitical signals, led to minor outflows in the latter half of the week,” he wrote. In an unusual shift, Switzerland led activity last week, bringing $151.5 million into crypto funds, followed by Germany’s $27.7 million inflows. The US ranked third, recording only $27.5 million in inflows last week, while Canada saw $11.2 million. Moreover, funds based on XRP, the fifth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, saw the largest inflows of any asset. Per CoinShares data, XRP products recorded $119.6 million in inflows, its largest positive net flows since mid-December. This figure brought its Year-to-Date (YTD) inflows to $159 million, around 7% of the category’s Assets under Management (AuM). It’s worth noting that US-listed XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) registered their first red month since their November launch, with $31.1 million in outflows.   Despite the March setback, US XRP ETFs recorded positive net flows of $42.52 million in the first quarter of 2026, only behind Solana funds. Bitcoin Shows Mixed Signals, Ethereum Lags Global Bitcoin funds followed XRP and saw total inflows worth $107.3 million during the week, “improving on what has been a bad start to the month, [as] net outflows remain at US$145m for the month so far,” CoinShares added. Notably, short Bitcoin investment products recorded $16 million in inflows during this period, their largest performance since mid-November, which signals polarized opinions on the asset. Despite the muted US activity last week, US Bitcoin ETFs started this week with their largest single-day performance in over a month. According to SoSoValue data, the category saw $471.3 million in positive net flows on Monday, its highest inflows since February 25. As reported by NewsBTC, US Bitcoin funds ended the first quarter of 2026 by breaking out of a four-month negative streak, pulling in $1.32 billion in March, its first monthly gain of 2026. Following XRP and Bitcoin, Solana funds also saw inflows, totalling $34.9m last week. As CoinShares noted, the category’s steady inflows this year represent 10% of AuM. Related Reading: Crypto Trust Crisis — The “Kim Jong‑Un Test” Is Exposing Secret North Korean Moles In addition, the US-based Solana products ended March on a positive note, leading altcoin funds with inflows worth $45.44 million and $213.1 million in the monthly and quarterly timeframes, respectively. Nonetheless, Ethereum tells a different story, as funds continue to lag behind other major crypto assets. According to the report, Ethereum products saw $52.8 million in outflows last week, extending its negative streak as investors digest recent negative developments. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

#bitcoin #bitcoin price #btc #btcusd #btcusdt #xbtusd

Bitcoin price started a strong increase above the $70,000 zone. BTC is consolidating gains and might aim for more gains above the $71,500 zone. Bitcoin gained pace for a move above the $69,500 and $70,500 levels. The price is trading above $70,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a key declining channel with resistance at $68,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might extend gains if it stays above the $70,250 and $69,500 levels. Bitcoin Price Rallies 5% Bitcoin price managed to climb higher above the $68,800 resistance zone. BTC gained pace for a move above the $69,500 and $70,000 levels. Besides, there was a break above a key declining channel with resistance at $68,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair even rallied above the $72,000 level. A high was formed at $72,728, and the price started a downside correction. There was a move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $67,734 swing low to the $72,728 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $70,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $70,500, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $72,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $72,750 level. A close above the $72,750 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $73,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $74,000 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $75,000. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $72,750 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $70,800 level. The first major support is near the $70,250 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $67,734 swing low to the $72,728 high. The next support is now near the $69,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $68,800 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $67,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 60 level. Major Support Levels – $70,800, followed by $70,250. Major Resistance Levels – $72,000 and $72,750.

#bitcoin #btc price #crypto #bitcoin price #btc #crypto market #cryptocurrency #trump #bitcoin news #btcusdt #crypto news #btc news #breaking news ticker #president trump #us iran

Bitcoin (BTC) surged Tuesday evening after President Donald Trump announced a temporary ceasefire with Iran, a move that sent the largest cryptocurrency higher and sparked a broader market repricing. Following Trump’s announcement, Bitcoin jumped nearly 5% and traded around $72,174 at the time of writing. Crypto market capitalization climbed from roughly $2.3 trillion to about $2.43 trillion as investors poured back into risk assets, while oil prices tumbled on the de‑escalation in the Middle East. Ceasefire Sparks Bitcoin Demand In his post, Trump said he had agreed to suspend strikes on Iran for two weeks, conditional on Tehran’s commitment to “COMPLETE, IMMEDIATE, and SAFE OPENING of the Strait of Hormuz.”  The President added that he made the decision after conversations with Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir, who asked him to hold off on military action. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rainbow Chart Says Price Is Ranging Above $60,000 For A Reason, Here’s Why Market experts also pointed to additional, proximate drivers of the rally beyond the geopolitical news. On social media platform X, DeFi Tracer identified large buys by major exchanges and market-makers immediately after the ceasefire was announced.  According to the expert, Binance purchased 29,344 BTC, Coinbase bought 20,756 BTC, Kraken acquired 8,611 BTC, Wintermute bought 7,188 BTC, and Bybit picked up 5,191 BTC — transactions that together totaled about $4.5 billion in Bitcoin.  Can BTC Clear $74,000? Despite the recovery, similar to those witnessed last month, a sustained breakout that could propel Bitcoin prices to 2025 levels is not assured. Investors should now focus on the $74,000 level, as it has acted as a significant resistance barrier over the past two months.  Related Reading: Can An Altcoin Season Come Again? Why Bitcoin Price Can’t Fall Below $40,000 BTC’s short-term direction will depend on its ability to clear and maintain above that price. The current gains might not last long if the $74,000 barrier proves to be resilient and buying demand wanes. However, a clear break above it would strengthen the bullish outlook. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

#bitcoin #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin analysis #bitcoin futures #bitcoin news #btcusdt #bitcoin signal

Bitcoin is struggling to reclaim $70,000. The price chart is uninspiring. And beneath it, the participants with the longest time horizons and the strongest historical track record are buying more aggressively than they have in months. Related Reading: $82 Million In Ethereum Just Left FalconX: Discover Who Is Behind It A CryptoQuant report has identified a divergence that separates what the price is doing from what the market’s most conviction-driven participants are doing. Demand from accumulator addresses — wallets that historically only receive Bitcoin and never send it, representing the deepest form of long-term holding conviction — is rising sharply. The spot price, meanwhile, has not returned to its previous major high zone. These two data points are moving in opposite directions simultaneously. That divergence is the signal. When long-term wallets absorb supply aggressively while price remains suppressed, it suggests that the available sell-side supply is being quietly consumed by participants who are not concerned with where the price is today. They are positioning for where it will be later — and they are doing it faster than the current price action reflects. Bitcoin at $70,000 looks like resistance. The accumulator data describes it differently — as a price level where the most patient capital in the market has decided the risk is worth taking. The Signal Is Real. The Confirmation Is Not Yet. The report is precise about what the accumulator divergence means and — equally important — what it does not. A sharp rise in demand from long-term wallets while the price remains below its previous major high is a constructive development in market structure. It is not a breakout signal. It is the precondition for one, and the distinction between those two things is where most market participants make their most expensive mistakes. What makes the current reading meaningful is the direction of the demand. What makes it insufficient as a standalone signal is the absence of price confirmation. The report identifies the specific condition that elevates the accumulator signal from suggestive to convincing: the 30-day moving average of the metric must continue trending upward, and it must do so alongside price, establishing genuine acceptance at higher levels. One without the other is incomplete. Both together constitute a materially stronger case. The medium-term structural picture is improving. That is the honest assessment the data supports — not a new trend, not a confirmed breakout, but a foundation that is being quietly reinforced by the most patient capital in the market. Foundations do not guarantee buildings. They make them possible. Bitcoin’s accumulator data is lying one. The price has not yet been decided to build on it. Related Reading: Ethereum Trading on Binance Has Gone Quiet, Discover What Happens When That Changes Bitcoin Stalls Below Resistance as Range Structure Tightens Bitcoin is consolidating near $68,400, but the broader daily structure remains intact: this is a recovery within a downtrend, not a confirmed reversal. Price continues to trade below the 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages, all of which are trending downward and acting as dynamic resistance layers above. The February sell-off remains the defining structural break. Bitcoin lost the $90,000–$95,000 region and accelerated into a capitulation move toward $60,000, accompanied by a clear spike in volume. That event reset positioning and established the current trading range between approximately $62,000 and $72,000. Related Reading: Real Money Is Buying XRP. Leveraged Traders Are Still Shorting It. Discover What Usually Happens Next Since then, price action has tightened. The recent bounce toward $72,000 failed to hold, producing another lower high. Now, Bitcoin is compressing closer to the midpoint of the range, with volatility declining and volume normalizing. This type of contraction typically precedes expansion, but direction is not yet resolved. There is a structural detail worth noting: repeated failures near the 50-day moving average suggest sellers remain active on rallies. Until that level is reclaimed, upside attempts should be treated cautiously. A breakout above $72,000 would shift short-term momentum and open the path higher. A breakdown below $62,000 would likely trigger another wave of downside continuation. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #altcoin #bitcoin news #altcoin season #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news

Bitcoin has been holding above $65,000 for over a month now, and this price level is starting to carry more weight than it seems on the surface. The current structure is no longer just about short-term volatility, but a question about whether the market is building a base or setting up for one more lower move to as low as $40,000 before any real rally begins. Another question now is not just where Bitcoin goes next, but how its next move shapes the timeline for an altcoin season. Analyst Warns Of Bear Case That Could Delay Altcoin Season A recent technical analysis from a chartist highlights a less favorable path for Bitcoin, one that could push the price action into another extended leg down. Related Reading: Signal That Led To Last 2 Altcoin Seasons Has Returned, And Here’s How Bitcoin Fits In The analyst describes this setup as a bear case scenario, noting that it is not the expected outcome but still a realistic possibility. In this structure, Bitcoin’s price action first moves higher into a resistance zone around the $78,000 to $82,000 region, where a previous breakdown occurred in late January.  That optimism, however, could be short-lived. The projection shows price failing at that resistance and reversing sharply, leading to a deeper decline that sweeps previous lows and pushes the Bitcoin price below $40,000. According to the analyst, such a move would delay the formation of a macro bottom and push any meaningful altcoin season further out. There’s also a liquidity zone around a wick low in February. That wick is situated just above $60,000, where the Bitcoin price bottomed on February 6 before being quickly bought back up. The outlook is that this level still needs to be taken out cleanly before a sustained rally can begin. Without that sweep, upside moves will still be vulnerable to failure.  A quick bottom from current levels would allow capital to rotate sooner into altcoins. A delayed sweep to levels, on the other hand, will keep liquidity tied up in Bitcoin for longer and postpone that rotation. A Drop Below $40,000 Looks Unlikely Even with that bearish scenario on the table, the price structure of Bitcoin is still against a sustained breakdown below $40,000. According to the analyst, there is only about a 40% probability that this scenario plays out. Related Reading: The 8-Year Ethereum Convergence That Says An Altcoin Season Stronger Than 2021 Is Coming On-chain data is showing strong support layers well above the $40,000 price level. For instance, Bitcoin’s realized price is still around $54,000, and this would act as a support even if Bitcoin were to fall below $60,000 and into the $50,000 range. Speaking of support, the Bitcoin price has managed to hold above $63,000 since the early February crash, despite macro headwinds like the war in the Middle East, oil prices rising, and multiple predictions of a further bottom below $60,000 and even some below $50,000 over the past two months. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

#bitcoin #blockchain #crypto #btc #bitcoin miner #bitcoin news #blocks

A 33-day dry spell for solo Bitcoin miners ended last week when one small operator cracked a block that, statistically, should not have been cracked for decades. Related Reading: XRP Eyes $8.30 Target As Rare Chart Pattern Emerges From Prolonged Decline One Miner, One Block, One Very Long Shot The winning miner earned 3.139 BTC — worth roughly $210,000 — after successfully validating block 943,411 on April 3. The payout included the standard 3.125 BTC block subsidy and approximately 0.014 BTC in transaction fees. Data from mempool.space confirmed the transaction. The miner operated through CKPool, a platform built for independent operators who prefer to go it alone and keep most of what they earn. What made the win remarkable was the hardware behind it. The miner’s setup ran at just 230 terahashes per second. At the time, Bitcoin’s total network hashrate sat at approximately 1 zettahash per second. That put the miner’s share of global computing power at around 0.00002% — a slice so thin it barely registers. A solo Bitcoin miner with a small setup just hit the jackpot earning 3.139 BTC block rewards worth $210,000. His setup was so small, he should statistically win once every 76 years. pic.twitter.com/z7s1LxIhZT — Bitcoin Archive (@BitcoinArchive) April 6, 2026 CKPool developer Con Kolivas put the daily odds of success at roughly 1 in 28,000. Bitcoin Archive analyst Archie framed it differently: a miner at that power level should statistically win once every 76 years. This particular miner didn’t wait that long. Congratulations to miner bc1qtt7cr9cxykyp9g4hq47zf5lq9t97cxvq72lun3 with ~230TH for solving the 312th solo block at https://t.co/UWgBvLk5AE! A miner of this size has a 1 in ~28k chance per day of solving a block.https://t.co/dx3lUuDRbl pic.twitter.com/uiDOzZdHts — Dr -ck (@ckpooldev) April 2, 2026 A Pattern Of Unlikely Wins The April win marked the 312th solo block ever mined through CKPool, based on data from the Bennet solo-miner tracker. It snapped a 33-day gap since the previous solo success, recorded on February 28. But the result is far from an isolated case. Reports show a string of similar upsets over recent months. In December, a miner running at 270 TH/s walked away with more than $284,000. Before that, a setup running at just 6 TH/s — far smaller than the latest winner — pulled in around $265,000. A 200 TH/s rig scored approximately $350,000 back in September. Even rented computing power produced results: in late February, a miner reportedly spent about $75 on cloud hashrate and came away with close to $200,000 in rewards. Each of those wins carried odds steep enough to discourage most rational participants. And yet they kept happening. Related Reading: Bitcoin Mood Sours To Levels Not Seen Since Late February Big Miners Head In A Different Direction While independent operators occasionally pocket life-changing sums, large mining companies have been moving away from holding Bitcoin. Riot Platforms sold 3,778 BTC in the first quarter of 2026, generating roughly $289 million, while still holding 15,680 BTC at quarter’s end. MARA Holdings moved even faster, selling more than 15,000 BTC between early and late March to raise approximately $1.1 billion, using the proceeds to handle debt-related obligations. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #coinmarketcap #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news #colin #bear flag formation

Crypto analyst Kabuki has explained why the Bitcoin rainbow chart shows that the price range is above $60,000. The analyst noted that BTC is mirroring past cycles and suggested that a base may be forming soon for the leading crypto.  Bitcoin Rainbow Chart Shows Why Price Is Ranging In an X post, Kabuki said that Bitcoin is stuck between $65,000 and $68,000 for a reason and that this isn’t random but simply BTC repeating history. He noted that in 2017, a base formed, which led to a parabolic expansion. The same happened in 2021, which again led to a parabolic expansion.  Related Reading: Major Catalysts To Watch Out For That Could Send Bitcoin Price To $90,000 Kabuki stated that the same structure is playing out again for Bitcoin this time around and that this range is an accumulation phase before the breakout. His accompanying chart showed that the leading crypto is likely to rally as high as $400,000 in the next bull cycle, with a top likely in 2029. Meanwhile, the chart also confirmed that a bottom may be forming soon, with the current range a good buy zone.  However, Kabuki suggested that there is still the possibility of Bitcoin dropping to $42,000. In another X post, he said that BTC is perfectly following a descending channel pattern with the drop from its all-time high (ATH) around $125,000. The analyst predicted that the leading crypto could drop from $69,000 to $42,000 as this bearish pattern continues to play out. He added that lower highs plus more lower highs will lead to the last shakeout before the rally to $200,000.  BTC Back Inside The Bear Flag In an X post, crypto analyst Colin stated that Bitcoin is back inside the bear flag, providing optimism about a bullish reversal. However, he warned that the highest the market may see is a short-term BTC rally to $80,000 if the U.S.-Iran war actually ends. The analyst added that Bitcoin will have to prove itself by first breaking above the resistance levels immediately ahead.  Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices Could Keep Crashing This Week Colin reiterated that any short-term pump in Bitcoin will eventually be sold off and that the downtrend will resume in time. As such, he opined that any pump will be a chance to offload heavy positions rather than as a shot at new ATHs.  The analyst also agreed with another analyst’s view, noting that the broader trendline is looming despite Bitcoin’s return within the channel. The analyst stated that there will be a true change in structure only if BTC breaks this trendline. He added that this could happen at lower levels, but that it is hard to say this was the bottom range.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $68,700, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

#bitcoin #btc #bitcoin news #btcusdt #bitcoin profit-taking #bitcoin local top

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin network has seen a spike in profit transactions, something that has often led into local price tops in the past. Bitcoin Has Seen Its Highest Profit-To-Loss Transfer Ratio In 12 Weeks In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Santiment has talked about the latest trend in the ratio of profit and loss transactions taking place on the Bitcoin network. A transfer is categorized as a ‘profit’ one when the tokens involved in it had a last transaction price lower than the latest one. Similarly, transfers with coins of the opposite type fall into the ‘loss’ category. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sharks & Whales Capitulate: Realized Loss Exceeds $200M Below is the chart shared by Santiment that shows the ratio between the number of transactions falling in each group over the last few months. As is visible in the graph, the ratio has witnessed a rapid surge for the Bitcoin blockchain recently, indicating profit transactions have outpaced the loss ones. Currently, the metric has a value of 2.95, which means that traders are making nearly three profit-taking moves for every loss-taking transfer. This is the highest level for the indicator in about 12 weeks. In the chart, Santiment has highlighted past spikes in the metric. “Historically, this has been a short-term price top signal,” noted the analytics firm. Given this pattern, it now remains to be seen whether the latest surge in the ratio will also align with a local peak. In some other news, Bitcoin started the weekend with the most fearful social media sentiment in five weeks, as pointed out by Santiment in another X post. The indicator shown in the chart is the “Positive/Negative Sentiment,” tracking the ratio between bullish and bearish comments related to Bitcoin on the major social media platforms. This metric observed a drop to 0.81 on Saturday, corresponding to there being five negative posts for every four positive ones. The trend naturally suggests that all the market uncertainty like the Iran war and continued lackluster BTC price action induced FUD among retail traders on social media. Related Reading: Ethereum Drops Nearly 5% As Familiar Leverage Setup Plays Out While the market sentiment turned bearish, the analytics firm had noted in the post, “Remember that markets typically move the opposite direction of the crowd’s expectations.” Bitcoin has made some recovery to kickstart the new week, so it’s possible that this contrarian effect of the crowd mood may be what has once again affected the cryptocurrency’s trajectory. BTC Price Bitcoin has returned back to $69,200 following its recovery surge. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

#bitcoin #crypto #btc #santiment #btcusd #crypto sentiment

Bitcoin is sitting just below $70,000, but the sharper signal may be in the derivatives market: roughly $6 billion in short positions would be forced out if the price climbs to $72,500, according to data from Santiment. Related Reading: XRP Eyes $8.30 Target As Rare Chart Pattern Emerges From Prolonged Decline That comes as Bitcoin keeps testing the same ceiling again and again, with the market showing signs of strain rather than conviction. Sentiment Turns Sharply Sour Social chatter around Bitcoin has weakened fast. Data from Santiment shows the bullish-to-bearish ratio has slipped to 0.81 to 1.00, its lowest reading since February 28. ????️ According to social data across X, Reddit, Telegram, and other platforms, Bitcoin is seeing the highest ratio of bearish discussions (fear) since February 28th. With crypto’s #1 market cap sitting at $66.8K, FUD has crept back in with the community showing a key lack of… pic.twitter.com/Ym7SbUC22I — Santiment (@santimentfeed) April 4, 2026 The drop reflects a market that has grown tired of sideways trading and more nervous about what comes next. Bitcoin has spent much of 2026 moving without much follow-through, and that has worn down confidence across X, Reddit and Telegram. That shift matters because sentiment often bends before price does. The report points out that Bitcoin has repeatedly moved opposite the crowd when fear gets loud enough. Even with the mood turning darker, the coin has not broken down sharply. It has simply kept circling the same level. Bitcoin’s latest struggle is not a small one. It is making a seventh attempt since early February to break above $70,000. The price was around $69,550 at the time of publication, after briefly falling to $60,000 on February 5. The report also says Bitcoin remains about 45% below its record high of $126,080, set on October 6, 2025. Traders Watch The Liquidation Map The futures market adds another layer. Coinglass data cited in the report shows that short positions are heavily packed near $72,500, while about $2 billion in long positions sit closer to $65,000. That gap leaves the market leaning one way. If price pushes higher, some traders could be squeezed out fast, which may add fuel to the move. The report also ties part of the weakness to outside pressures. Geopolitical tension, including the US-Iran conflict, and uncertainty around the Clarity Act are both being framed as drag on sentiment. Those issues do not move Bitcoin on their own, but they can keep buyers cautious when the market is already stuck. Related Reading: Strategy Signals Fresh Bitcoin Buy As Saylor Tweets ‘Back To Work’ On-Chain Data Says The Market Has Not Fully Reset Longer-term signals are less comforting. CryptoQuant data cited in the report shows Bitcoin still trading above its realized price of $54,279. That figure is often treated as a rough dividing line between normal market conditions and deeper stress. The coin has usually had to fall below that level before a stronger accumulation phase takes hold. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

#bitcoin #btc #btcusdt #bitcoin bottom #crypto analyst #bitcoin correction #bitcoin mvrv pricing bands #bitcoin lth #bitcoin performance #bitcoin cvdd

As Bitcoin (BTC) attempts to reclaim a key resistance area, an analyst has suggested that the end of BTC’s two-month consolidation could be weeks away, potentially opening “generational opportunities” before the next bull run. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices Could Keep Crashing This Week Bitcoin Consolidation’s End May Be Weeks Away On Monday, Bitcoin jumped 5% from Sunday’s lows to a key area for the first time in April. Notably, the flagship cryptocurrency has been trading between $62,000-$74,000 over the past two months but has not reached the upper end of its range since late March. Now, BTC is retesting the $69,000-$70,000 resistance area, which could set the stage for a crucial short-term move. Market observer Ted Pillows stated that if the cryptocurrency reclaims this zone, a rally towards $72,000-$74,000 could happen. On the contrary, a rejection would likely see Bitcoin drop to the $65,000-$66,000 support zone, where price has held over the past month. In an X analysis, Ali Martinez noted that the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) shows the flagship cryptocurrency is “stuck in a ‘No-Trade Zone.’” Per the post, “the URPD shows exactly where every BTC last moved,” with a massive cluster of holders between $70,685-$63,111. “As long as we trade here, millions of holders are incentivized to defend their ‘buy-in,’ creating a natural floor,” he added. Nonetheless, analyst Max Crypto affirmed that BTC’s “decision time is very close,” suggesting that it could see its next big move unfold in the upcoming weeks, based on its previous price action. As he explained, the leading crypto has shown the same performance over the past year, consolidating for 8-15 weeks before the last four big moves. This time, Bitcoin has been moving sideways for 8 weeks, entering its 9th consolidation week on Monday. Based on its previous performance, the market watcher considers that “BTC’s next big move will most likely happen by mid-April, irrespective of US-Iran talks, and will probably be to the downside.” Where Is BTC’s Final Support Located? In his X post, Martinez also analyzed multiple patterns and on-chain metrics to map out BTC’s high-probability accumulation zones and potential bottom. Notably, he highlighted that Bitcoin is approaching its most significant support floor since 2017: an ascending trendline that has guarded its price for nine years, and every retest has preceded a parabolic expansion. This trendline currently sits around the $60,000 and $56,000 levels and could be “the potential launchpad for the next major bull cycle” if it holds. In addition, he outlined three metrics that could mark the “line in the sand” and the best buying opportunities for BTC: the Cumulative Value Days Destroyed (CVDD), the MVRV pricing bands, and the Long-Term Holder (LTH) Realized Price. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s 85% Crash Era Is Over: ‘It’s Now A Proven Technology’, Cathie Wood Says The CVDD, which “tracks when ‘Old Hands’ pass BTC to new buyers, creating a structural foundation for the entire market,” is currently around $47,960. Meanwhile, the MVRV 0.8 Band, located around $43,647, has historically marked the bottom and “the exact zone where BTC sellers exhaust themselves and the ‘Strong Hands’ take over the supply.” Lastly, Martinez noted that the LTH Realized Price, currently at $49,387, is often the final support. However, he added that if the price dips below this level, “it signals a final capitulation phase, especially if the -0.2 Std Dev band at $36,657 is hit” at what he deemed “Generational Buy” levels. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

#bitcoin #btc #bitcoin news #btcusdt #bitcoin cost-basis #bitcoin bear market

Bitcoin is still far from triggering the three signals that have historically appeared at the end of bear markets, according to analyst Willy Woo. Bitcoin Is Still Trading Far Below The Cost Basis Of Recent Investors In a new post on X, analyst Willy Woo has listed the three things that tend to happen at the end of bear markets. The first signal is the price breaking the cost basis of the short-term holders (STHs). The STHs refer to the investors who purchased their coins within the past 155 days. As such, the cost basis of this group represents the break-even level of the recent buyers of the cryptocurrency. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sharks & Whales Capitulate: Realized Loss Exceeds $200M As the below chart shared by Woo shows, Bitcoin fell under the STH cost basis during past bear markets and maintained there, suggesting that the new entrants remained underwater. As is visible in the graph, Bitcoin also slipped under the STH cost basis alongside the bearish shift in Q4 2025 and since then, it has stayed below this level, with the gap widening over time. Historically, the cryptocurrency’s price has broken back above the STH cost basis at the end of bear markets (as highlighted with circles in the chart). Another thing that has tended to follow this phase shift is fresh buying from investors. This second signal gives rise to the third one: a reversal of trend in the average acquisition level of the STHs. From the chart, it’s apparent that the STH cost basis shows a downtrend during bear markets. This is a natural result of coins changing hands at the lower bear market levels, pushing the average break-even level lower. As a transition away from a major bearish phase occurs, investors start buying at higher prices, causing the STH cost basis to see an upward reversal. Related Reading: Ethereum Drops Nearly 5% As Familiar Leverage Setup Plays Out Under the post, a user asked asked Woo to elaborate. To which, the analyst responded with: Given price is not even close to the cost basis of recent investors, and that cost basis is dropping each day… there’s no point in buying until a cross becomes imminent. Bear markets are about patience. At the moment, the Bitcoin STH cost basis is floating around $81,000, implying that the recent buyers are holding a net unrealized loss of more than 14%. It now remains to be seen how long it will be before the cryptocurrency will be able to find a break back above the level. BTC Price Bitcoin ended last week under the $67,000 level, but the digital asset has kicked back up to start Monday, with its price recovering to $69,500. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

#bitcoin #us #crypto #btc #digital currency #btcusd #iran #middle east war

West Texas Intermediate crude has hit $115 a barrel, gasoline prices in the US are up nearly 40% since late February, and Bitcoin is still trying to break through a wall it has failed to climb six times now. That is the world Bitcoin finds itself in on Monday as it briefly touched $69,550 — a modest 3.30% gain that nevertheless sent shockwaves through the derivatives market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stumbles Hard: The Worst Q1 In Years Raises Big Questions Short Sellers Take The Hardest Hit Over $276 million in leveraged positions were wiped out in 24 hours, hitting 80,200 traders across crypto derivatives platforms. The damage was not spread evenly. Bears took the brunt of it. According to CoinGlass data, short positions accounted for $188 million of the $210 million liquidated in just the 12-hour window around the price surge. Long liquidations, by comparison, came in at $24 million. Traders who had been betting on a continued decline were caught flat-footed as Bitcoin pushed back toward the $70,000 mark it has repeatedly failed to hold since early February. The asset remains well off its best levels. Bitcoin set an all-time high of $126,000 on October 6, 2025. At current prices, it is trading roughly 45% below that record — context that puts Monday’s rally in sharper perspective. A Squeeze Could Still Be Coming The positioning data tells an uneven story. Based on CoinGlass figures, more than $6 billion in short positions are stacked near $72,500. If Bitcoin pushes up to that level, those positions could be forced to close in rapid succession. On the downside, about $2 billion in long positions sit near $65,000 — a smaller but real risk if momentum fades. That gap between short and long exposure is what has some traders watching closely for a possible extended squeeze. Bitcoin has made six runs at $70,000 since slipping below it in early February. Each attempt has fallen short. Monday’s move is the latest test of that resistance, and it arrives against a backdrop that is anything but calm. Related Reading: Bitcoin ETFs Gaining Ground, Could Soon Surpass Gold—Analyst Energy Shock Adds Pressure On All Fronts A standoff over the Strait of Hormuz has been tightening its grip on global energy markets since late February. Iran has rejected ceasefire terms, insisting compensation for war-related damage must be addressed before the strait reopens. Oil prices have surged as a result. US gasoline costs are up sharply, and broader inflation fears have followed. US President Donald Trump has called for Iran to reopen the waterway, citing global trade concerns. Reports indicate he has also suggested a deal with Iran may be within reach, while warning of severe consequences if talks collapse — including potential US control over Iranian oil resources. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

#bitcoin #bitcoin price #btc #fomo #bitcoin news #altcoin season #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news #distribution phase #nehal

A crypto analyst has presented a new roadmap for Bitcoin (BTC), outlining his interpretation of past events and forecasting the market’s next possible moves in the coming months. The analyst also shared insights into the market’s psychology during key periods in the current cycle. While he reveals how to trade in this shaky environment, the analyst also projects that Bitcoin could hit a new all-time high of $215,000 soon. His overall analysis suggests that Bitcoin may still be in a bull market despite recent price crashes and analysts’ claim that it has entered its cyclical bear phase.  A Look At Bitcoin’s Past Cycle Moves In an X post on April 5, crypto market analyst Nehal shared his Bitcoin roadmap for 2026 and several strategies for trading and navigating this cycle. The analyst presented a psychology chart that captures investors’ sentiment stages for each month in a bull and bear market, highlighting how these emotions can drive trading decisions as the market moves.  Related Reading: Analyst Who Called Bitcoin Top Says Price Is Going To $200,000, But Should You Buy Now? Starting in February, Nehal described the month as a classic bear trap phase. He noted that during this period, Bitcoin’s price remained low as many investors remained in disbelief, doubting that any emerging rally would hold. At the same time, smart money quietly accumulated positions while others hesitated, seeing any small price bounce as fake. As March unfolded, the analyst noted that the market experienced a final shakeout. Here, weak hands were forced to sell their bags amid the downtrend, even as momentum began to shift upward. By the end of the month, the chart shows that optimism had grown among investors, who began to believe the rally was real, setting the stage for a broader bull run.  Now in April, Nehal believes that the long-anticipated altcoin season is taking hold, signaling a capital rotation from Bitcoin into other cryptocurrencies. The chart shows that during this period, thrill and FOMO are expected to dominate the market as investors take longer positions and confidence slowly peaks before BTC’s projected all-time high. What’s Next For The Market Looking ahead to May, Nehal has projected that Bitcoin could reach its next peak near $215,000, marking a more than 200% increase from its current price above $69,000. During this period, early holders may begin taking profits while late buyers rush in. The chart shows that euphoria would be at its highest at this stage as greed spreads and many traders, unfortunately, end up buying near the top.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price To $80,000: How The February Bullish Trend Can Push It 20% Higher In June, Nehal predicts that a bull trap will likely emerge, giving late buyers the illusion that the rally is continuing. His chart indicated that while prices may rebound briefly, anxiety will increase as leveraged positions face possible pressure. Essentially, Bitcoin traders who entered the market near the peak will probably start realizing losses, signaling the start of a downturn. Finally, during July and August, the market is expected to shift into a distribution phase that could lead to a bear market. Nehal’s chart shows that denial may fade at this time as investors place the blame on external factors. Around the same time, Bitcoin could finally hit its price bottom as late buyers likely sell their holdings and exit the market in frustration.  Concluding his analysis, Nehal emphasized the importance of trading smartly and maintaining liquidity. He also advised traders to prepare in advance and position themselves strategically, warning that failing to do so could result in major losses. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

#bitcoin #bitcoin price #btc #btcusd #btcusdt #xbtusd

Bitcoin price started a decent increase above the $68,800 zone. BTC is trimming gains and might revisit the $67,500 support zone. Bitcoin gained pace for a move above the $68,500 and $68,800 levels. The price is trading above $68,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $67,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might extend losses if it stays below the $69,250 and $69,500 levels. Bitcoin Price Trims Gains Bitcoin price managed to climb higher above the $68,000 resistance zone. BTC gained pace for a move above the $68,500 and $68,800 levels. The price even climbed above $70,000 but failed to remain in a positive zone. A high was formed at $70,463, and the price started a downside correction. There was a move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $65,688 swing low to the $70,463 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $68,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is also a bullish trend line forming with support at $67,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. If the price remains stable above $67,500, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $69,350 level. The first key resistance is near the $69,800 level. A close above the $69,800 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $70,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $71,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $72,000. More Losses In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $69,350 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $68,000 level. The first major support is near the $67,800 level. The next support is now near the $67,500 zone or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $65,688 swing low to the $70,463 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $66,800 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $65,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $68,000, followed by $67,500. Major Resistance Levels – $69,350 and $70,500.

#bitcoin #btc #bitcoin news #lookonchain #hyperliquid #james wynn

Notorious high‑leverage trader James Wynn has been liquidated yet again as Bitcoin ripped higher, marking his sixth wipeout in just two weeks. Wynn Bites The Bitcoin Dust…Again To no one’s surprise, James Wynn, the trader famous for turning extreme leverage into both spectacular wins and equally dramatic collapses, has fallen once more. In a post from today on the social network X, Lookonchain highlighted the on‑chain Hyperliquid wallet data that confirms the trader’s most recent forced position closure at around $68k. James Wynn(@JamesWynnReal) has been liquidated again due to the market rally. In just the past 2 weeks, he has been liquidated 6 times!https://t.co/Gk9K9GXeel pic.twitter.com/qICzgl6T3w — Lookonchain (@lookonchain) April 6, 2026 On‑chain data linked by Lookonchain and Hypurrscan shows this was his sixth forced closure over roughly two weeks. Every single attempt to fade the move higher ended in a full liquidation rather than a controlled stop. Research tracking his Hyperliquid wallet counts at least 194 historical liquidations before this streak, meaning these six are happening on top of an already brutal track record. On-chain wallet data confirming the liquidation. Source: Hypurrscan. A History Of Spectacular Collapses At his peak in 2025, Wynn’s public Hyperliquid account reportedly sat on more than $80 million dollars in profit after a string of oversized perp bets on Bitcoin and memecoins. Wynn was one of the earliest supporters of $PEPE, that went to reach billions in valuation. The turning point came with a now‑infamous 40x Bitcoin long that ballooned into roughly $1.2–1.25 dollars of notional size, with a liquidation level just a few thousand dollars below spot. Related Reading: Ripple Makes A $13 Trillion Bet With This Move, And XRP Price Could Be Set To Explode Instead of walking away, Wynn doubled down on the same playbook. In late May and early June, he followed with a streak that led to at least nine liquidations on a single wallet and cumulative losses approaching $22 million. By the time 2025 drew to a close, Wynn had been liquidated so often that entire articles and research notes treated him as a case study in what hyper‑leverage does to even big accounts. Bullish on $BTC? James Wynn(@JamesWynnReal) has closed his short and flipped long on $BTC. Aguila Trades(@AguilaTrades) is doubling down, increasing his long to 2,201 $BTC ($238M).https://t.co/FX6sISWuDPhttps://t.co/1Aq6gywbqf pic.twitter.com/HB61RN0Gnv — Lookonchain (@lookonchain) June 29, 2025 Now, since mid‑March 2026, Wynn has kept leaning into fresh high‑leverage Bitcoin shorts, typically cranking exposure up to around 40x with notional sizes between roughly $44k and 190k. The trader saw another complete wipeout hit his account on March 25, and by the end of the month three different 40x BTC shorts had all been blown out by relatively modest price bumps. With that kind of leverage, Bitcoin only had to nudge a few percent higher for each position to slam straight into its liquidation level. Why His Strategy Keeps Falling Wynn has become a symbol of the current environment of the crypto market: hyper‑volatile, over‑levered, and unforgiving to FOMO shorts and revenge trades. A live red-flag warning sign. You need to watch this whale! Over the past 2 days, he has deposited 8,200 $BTC($559M) into #Binance. Every time he deposits $BTC, the price drops. Yesterday, I warned when he made a deposit — and soon after, $BTC dropped over 3%.https://t.co/8D2y9MbfFn pic.twitter.com/IyjYXvW8sx — Lookonchain (@lookonchain) February 13, 2026 Each of Wynn’s new shorts has been opened into strength, with Bitcoin grinding higher and short positioning already crowded, making his entries perfect fuel for squeezes rather than smart contrarian trades. At 40x leverage, a move of about 2.5 percent against the position is enough to wipe him out completely, so every standard post‑ETF rally or short‑covering spike becomes a death sentence for his margin instead of an opportunity to add. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices Could Keep Crashing This Week Wynn’s six liquidations signal show how structurally dangerous it is to short a trending Bitcoin market with casino‑level leverage and no room for error. His chain of spectacular failures means his positions are now treated almost like a sentiment indicator. At the moment of writing, BTC trades for the highs $69k on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview. Cover image from Perplexity. BTCUSD chart from Tradingview.

#bitcoin #trading #us #btc #analysis #market #tradfi #featured #macro #iran

Bitcoin rose with the rest of the crypto market on Monday after President Donald Trump struck a mixed tone on a possible deal with Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, prompting a relief rally that lifted prices but left the broader market setup unresolved. According to CryptoSlate's data, the largest cryptocurrency briefly climbed above […]
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