The criminal built trust with her targets and solicited bitcoin investments under false pretenses, according to the DOJ.
Gold advocate and longtime Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff has taken direct aim at Michael Saylor’s most famous prediction, and the math he is using is simple enough to make Bitcoin bulls uncomfortable. In 2025, Saylor predicted Bitcoin would hit $1 million per coin if Strategy accumulated 5% of the total supply. Strategy currently owns 3.9%, …
Bitcoin price started a fresh decline from the $79,500 zone. BTC is consolidating and might struggle to stay above the $76,500 support. Bitcoin failed to stay above $78,500 and corrected gains. The price is trading below $78,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $77,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might extend losses if it stays below the $77,600 and $78,000 levels. Bitcoin Price Dips Again Bitcoin price failed to stay above the $78,500 resistance zone. BTC formed a top near $79,500 and started a fresh decline. There was a move below the $78,000 level. The price dipped below the $77,500 and $77,000 levels. A low was formed at $76,480 and the price is now consolidating losses. There was a minor increase above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $79,481 swing high to the $76,480 low. Bitcoin is now trading below $78,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $76,500, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $77,300 level. The first key resistance is near the $77,600 level. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $77,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. A close above the $77,600 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $78,000 resistance and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $79,481 swing high to the $76,480 low. Any more gains might send the price toward the $78,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $78,800. Downside Continuation In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $77,600 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $76,750 level. The first major support is near the $76,500 level. The next support is now near the $75,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $74,200 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $73,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $76,500, followed by $75,500. Major Resistance Levels – $77,600 and $78,000.
Data shows fear has faded among Bitcoin traders as the Fear & Greed Index has improved to the neutral territory for the first time since January. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Has Surged To A Value Of 47 The “Fear & Greed Index” is an indicator created by Alternative that tells us about the sentiment present among investors in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency markets. The index makes use of a numerical scale running from zero to hundred to represent the trader mentality. All values on this scale below 47 imply the presence of a fearful sentiment, while those above 53 correspond to greed in the market. The indicator being between these two cutoffs naturally suggests a net neutral sentiment. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment Warning: Social Media FOMO Spikes Again To calculate its score, the Fear & Greed Index incorporates the data of five metrics: volatility, trading volume, market cap dominance, social media sentiment, and Google Trends. Here’s how the current Bitcoin market sentiment looks based on these factors: As displayed above, the Fear & Greed Index has a value of 47 at the moment, which implies that the cryptocurrency traders as a whole share a neutral sentiment. This mentality is a new one for the market, as traders were quite fearful just earlier. From the chart below, it’s visible that the indicator has spent most of its time in 2026 sitting deep inside the fear region. Since the end of January, the market has not only been stuck inside the fear region, but it has actually been in its deepest trenches, inside a zone known as the extreme fear. This region, which corresponds to index levels of 25 and lower, is where FUD among investors is at its strongest. The recent wave of extreme fear in the digital asset sector was a consequence of the bearish action that the various assets have seen since Q4 2025. The latest market recovery, however, has finally broken this spell of extreme despair. With a value of 47, the Fear & Greed Index is currently at its highest level since January, when Bitcoin and other coins observed their first major relief rally of this bear market. Related Reading: Dogecoin Keeps Getting Capped At This Parallel Channel Level, Analyst Says Back then, the rally ended up fizzling out before long, so it only remains to be seen what the fate will be of the current surge. A key difference between the two rallies is that the latest one has arrived after the market has already spent an extended period in the extreme fear zone, which is where major bottoms have historically tended to form. As such, it’s possible that a low may already be behind for the cryptocurrency market, but only time will tell if that’s the case. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $77,800, up 3% over the past week. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
US Representative Nick Begich has announced plans to rebrand the Bitcoin Act as the American Reserves Modernization Act (ARMA) in the next few weeks. Speaking at the 2026 Bitcoin conference in Las Vegas, the Congressman said the move is intended to draw additional support from lawmakers for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve similar to that of …
Ethereum is beginning to mirror Bitcoin’s bullish momentum, steadily climbing as market confidence strengthens. After weeks of consolidation, price action is now pressing against a key resistance zone, signaling that a breakout could be near. With momentum building and structure turning increasingly bullish, a move is now coming into focus. Breakout Brewing: Why ETH’s Structure Signals Imminent Upside Michaël van de Poppe, in a recent market update, suggested that ETH is gearing up to follow Bitcoin’s upward path. The analyst, who has outlined his levels in Euros, highlighted a steady and controlled grind higher, with ETH now closing in on a crucial breakout level around €2,070 ($2,430). Related Reading: Ethereum Price Climbs Gradually, Can Bulls Break $2,400 Barrier? Price action has continued to test this resistance zone without a significant rejection. Such repeated attempts typically weaken a resistance level over time, as sell orders get absorbed and buyers gain confidence. With each retest, the likelihood of a breakout increases, pointing to a potential shift into a stronger bullish phase. Beyond the immediate barrier, he identified €2,350 ($2,759) and €2,900 ($3,400) as the next key resistance zones to watch. These levels could act as interim checkpoints, but the overall trend suggests that momentum may not stall easily at the first hurdle. A rejection around €2,350 would likely be considered a weak outcome, especially after nearly three months of consolidation below the current resistance band. Extended consolidation phases often lead to explosive moves, meaning a deeper push toward €2,900 (roughly $3,400) appears more consistent with the buildup seen on the charts. Momentum across the broader altcoin market could further accelerate if Bitcoin continues its climb toward the $84,000–$87,000 range. In that scenario, Ethereum could not only reach its projected euro-denominated targets but also set the stage for an even more aggressive upside phase. Ethereum “Movin’ On Up”: Momentum Builds Across Timeframes Donald Dean shared a bullish outlook on Ethereum, noting that both the daily and weekly charts are aligning for a strong upward move. His analysis highlights improving structure across timeframes, suggesting that ETH may be entering a phase of sustained momentum. Related Reading: Ethereum Signals Major Reversal – $2,900 Target Back In Focus On the daily chart, price is showing a clean move off a key volume shelf, with the next major pivot and target sitting around $2,970. This level could act as a launchpad for further upside if momentum continues to build. Based on Fibonacci projections, the 1.618 golden ratio points toward a significantly higher target near $6,941. From a weekly perspective, ETH is bouncing off strong support, with historical patterns indicating the potential for a 200% move, similar to previous cycles. The 1.618 extension on this timeframe comes in slightly higher at $7,332, placing both daily and weekly projections in close alignment around the $7,000 region, a confluence that strengthens the case for a major upside expansion. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
The eCash fork will act as a live test of Paul Sztorc’s long-running drivechains-sidechains vision for the bitcoin network.
The recently formed MARA Foundation said it will focus on the long-term health, resilience, and adoption of the Bitcoin protocol.
Is Bitcoin quietly evolving beyond finance into a tool of national defense? That question is gaining traction after comments from Samuel Paparo, the commander of the United States Indo-Pacific Command, reported that BTC may have significance beyond markets, hinting at a role in cyber defense, power projection, and strategic competition. Paparo pulled back the curtain on a quiet but potentially significant shift in how the technology is being evaluated at the highest levels of defense. Could Bitcoin Support The Future Of Military Readiness? In a recent X post, an analyst known as TFTC updated that the head of the United States Indo-Pacific Command revealed that the US military is actively running a Bitcoin node and testing the protocol’s cryptographic architecture for operational security. Related Reading: Why Bitcoin Still Acts Like A Risk Asset Despite Safe-Haven Claims Furthermore, Paparo reportedly framed BTC as a tool for securing and protecting networks, and suggested its relevance to power projection in the context of strategic competition with China. Not mining, not speculating, but running infrastructure. The same network once mocked as a haven for criminals is now considered critical to national security by the Department of Defense. Meanwhile, the US is estimated to hold roughly 328,000 BTC, while China is believed to control around 194,000 BTC. Whether BTC was intentional or incidental, the military is treating it as an asset in a geopolitical arms race. A Message That Shifted Bitcoin Narrative Away From Mystery It has been 15 years since Satoshi Nakamoto handed Bitcoin to the world. Alex Thorn, the head of firmwide research, has stated that Nakamoto sent what is widely believed to be his last confirmed communication. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sees Renewed Demand From US Institutional Players — What’s Changing? On April 26, 2011, Satoshi wrote to Bitcoin developer Gavin Andresen, urging him to shift the narrative away from the shadowy figure and toward emphasizing BTC as an open-source project and community contribution. In the days leading up to that message, Satoshi had already begun stepping back. In a message to developer Mike Hearn on April 20 and 23, Satoshi said he had moved on to other things, reassuring him that BTC was in good hands with Gavin and everyone. His last public post was earlier on December 12, 2010, in his 575th post on the Bitcointalk forum. The focus was on warning about a potential DoS attack, and signing off with the fact that there was still more work to do. Fifteen years later, the coins remain untouchable. Satoshi holds roughly 1.097 million BTC, currently worth an estimated $85 billion, still sitting untouched. In Alex’s view, when Satoshi said BTC was in good hands, he wasn’t only speaking to early developers; he was speaking to all of us, and we must carry that legacy forward. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin has climbed roughly 25% from its lows, touching $79,500, but analyst Gareth Soloway says the easy money from this move has already been made. The near-term target zone sits between $80,000 and $85,000. A push to $80,000 would represent just 3.5% upside from current levels. Even a stretch to $85,000 is only 8%. That …
A crypto analyst has warned against giving in to the FOMO and buying Bitcoin (BTC) at new highs. He noted that although the cryptocurrency could continue its upward move and even push past $80,000, this does not necessarily signal the end of the broader bear market. Instead, he argues that the move could be a strong distribution phase, leading to further declines. He also projects that Bitcoin could still experience a deeper correction, with a potential market bottom forming near $40,000. Analyst Warns Against Buying BTC At $85,000 @Sherlockwhale, a crypto market analyst on X, is sounding the alarm for traders who believe Bitcoin could glide smoothly past the $83,000-$88,000 price range without encountering resistance. According to him, this zone exhibits more sell pressure than any other level in BTC’s current chart structure. Related Reading: Analyst Who Called Bitcoin’s Top Correctly Now Predicting The Bottom The analyst based his view on a broader Fibonacci retracement structure drawn from Bitcoin’s past move between $97,000 and $60,000. He described this range as a full impulse wave to the downside, followed by a recovery phase where the price has been making higher rebounds but still facing sharp pullbacks. From this structure, @Sherlockwhales identified key upside levels on BTC’s chart at $83,435 (0.618 Fib), $84,647 (0.65 Fib), and $89,797 (0.786 Fib). He noted that this cluster forms a major untested resistance zone on Bitcoin’s weekly chart. According to him, untested resistance areas like these tend to attract heavier sell pressure because traders who bought at those levels are still underwater and may look to exit as the price returns toward breakeven. Further explaining, @Sherlockwhales stated that the average cost basis for all US Spot Bitcoin ETF holders is currently $87,830. This means that investors who bought the ETF over the past two years are still holding substantial unrealized losses, with BTC currently trading below their entry level. According to the analyst, this makes the $87,000 to $88,000 range an important psychological level for the market. He noted that if Bitcoin returns to this upper range, many ETF investors would reach breakeven for the first time in months. He added that this could trigger increased selling pressure, as investors who have been in pain since its ATH in October 2025 may choose to sell their coins to recover past losses. Similarly, @Sherlockwhales noted that the short-term holder cost basis currently sits around $80,100. He explained that whenever Bitcoin moved above this basis, it formed a local top because short-term holders took the opportunity to exit the market at a profit. The analyst emphasized that this pattern has already played out twice, each time leading to a sharp price breakdown. He now warns that if BTC experiences another upward rally toward $80,000, it could fuel another wave of selling pressure and potentially lead to a similar pullback. Analyst Predicts BTC Crash To $40,000 And Where To Buy Because @Sherlockwhales believes most underwater investors would sell their coins for a profit at upper resistance levels, he warns traders not to buy BTC around $85,000, suggesting it could be a bull trap. He predicts that the Bitcoin price could crash toward $40,000, possibly marking its final bottom before a new bull trend begins. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Wave Down To $40,000 Shows When The Bottom Will Begin Rather than buying at $85,000, the analyst urges investors to wait until October before entering the market. He noted that prices during this time window would present the most favorable long-term buying opportunity for traders. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
New institutional on-ramps, strong flows, and exhausted retail selling points to renewed asymmetric upside for bitcoin, Bernstein said.
Tether's MDK could democratize Bitcoin mining, fostering innovation and efficiency while reducing reliance on proprietary systems.
The post Tether launches Bitcoin mining framework to give operators unified control over their hardware stack appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Crypto analyst Crypto Paradise has warned that a Dogecoin trap is on the horizon, with the meme coin likely to suffer a crash soon. He pointed to a bearish pattern that signaled DOGE could drop to around $0.08 despite its recent reclaim of the $0.10 level. Analyst Warns Of Dogecoin Trap With A Crash Imminent In a TradingView analysis, Crypto Paradise predicted a potential sharp downside move for Dogecoin, although he noted that some market participants may just call it a healthy pullback. He revealed that the meme coin had formed a classic Volume Spread Analysis pattern, which began with a buying climax followed by a climactic action bar. Related Reading: Analyst Reveals Accumulation Level For Dogecoin Before It Rallies To $2 The analyst noted that this combination typically shows a distribution in which institutional investors use aggressive upward spikes to offload positions amid retail enthusiasm. Crypto Paradise added that when the crowd feels confident, smart money is already exiting their positions. Notably, his analysis comes amid Dogecoin’s brief reclaim of the psychological $0.10 level today, with the meme coin rallying as Bitcoin broke above $79,000. However, Crypto Paradise’s prediction indicates that DOGE is still likely to see another crash, which could send the meme coin to new lows. DOGE Could Drop To Around $0.08917 Crypto Paradise stated that if the bearish momentum in Dogecoin continues, the next major downside target is around $0.08917 and could be reached sooner than most expect. Commenting on the current price action, he noted that DOGE has swept the upper trigger line of the buying climax but has failed to sustain higher levels, with a candle breaking below the lower trigger line. Related Reading: The Dogecoin Breakout That Could Send Price Rallying 3,000% To $4 The analyst explained that this is a classic confirmation that supply is dominating. Meanwhile, from a structural perspective, he noted that Dogecoin has clearly respected the descending resistance trendline and has failed to break above it. Crypto Paradise remarked that this rejection is likely because of an ongoing structural weakness. At the same time, Crypto Paradise noted that market momentum has shifted to the downside and that the overall structure is bearish, further strengthening the bear case for Dogecoin. In line with this, the analyst declared that DOGE risks a move lower as long as the price remains within the 1-hour order block and fair value gap zone. The immediate minor support for Dogecoin is around $0.09290, which will act as the first downside magnet if selling pressure persists. On the other hand, Crypto Paradise stated that this bearish outlook could be invalidated if DOGE manages to break above the key resistance at $0.10338 with a strong momentum candle. At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $77,700, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Strategy purchased 3,273 Bitcoin worth about $255 million at an average price of $77,906 per coin. The company now holds 818,334 BTC bought for around $61.8 billion in total. Its average purchase price stands at $75,537 per Bitcoin. The company also reported a 9.6% Bitcoin yield so far in 2026. The latest purchase shows Strategy …
The firm's significant investment in Bitcoin underscores a growing trend of institutional adoption, potentially influencing market dynamics and volatility.
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Bitcoin is moving through another major reset following its 42% crash from its all-time high. However, what appears to be a sharp decline may actually be laying the foundation for the next phase of growth. A crypto expert believes the pullback is revealing underlying strength, pointing to a structure that remains intact despite short-term pressure. Bitcoin Cycles Show Why Crypto Market Crashes Can Be Healthy The recent decline in the total crypto market cap, which pushed it down by about 46% from its $4.22 trillion peak, reflects a pattern that has often appeared before major rallies. Crypto enthusiast @DamiDefi drew attention to this, noting that similar pullbacks have historically occurred at key turning points, often just before strong upward moves begin. Related Reading: Will Ethereum Reach $250,000 Before Bitcoin? Here’s What Needs To Happen This observation is supported by the chart he shared. It shows the market returning to the $2.25 trillion zone, a level that has consistently acted as support since 2021. As @DamiDefi highlighted, the latest retest followed the same structure, with buyers stepping in once again to defend the level and limit further downside. This consistent reaction around the same zone strengthens the idea that the market still rests on solid foundations. The data further suggests that funds are not exiting the market entirely but are instead moving between assets. During periods like this, capital often shifts quietly into areas that have been overlooked or undervalued. In this way, the correction does more than reduce prices. It allows the market to reset, reposition, and rebuild strength more gradually. This process plays a key role in creating a more stable base for future growth while reducing the chances of fragile, short-lived rallies. Bitcoin Faces Key Resistance As Recovery Builds With support holding firm, attention is now turning to the next challenge, which @DamiDefi identified in his analysis. The market is currently trading around $2.58 trillion, a level that previously acted as resistance in both 2021 and 2024. This makes it a critical point in the current structure. Related Reading: Why The PEPE Price Could Stage A 55X Rally To Reach New $0.0001 ATH For the recovery to continue, this resistance needs to turn into support. A strong monthly close above $2.58 trillion would signal that buyers are gaining control again. If that happens, the next target lies between $3.5 trillion and $3.85 trillion, a zone where price faced rejection during the 2025 highs. There are already signs of momentum building. The monthly candle is up about 10.90%, and there is still time left before it closes. This steady upward movement, combined with the strong support at $2.25 trillion, suggests that Bitcoin’s crash from its ATH may have helped reset the market, allowing the price to rebuild with stronger conviction. Looking at the full picture, the decline from Bitcoin’s ATH appears to fit into a familiar cycle. As @DamiDefi highlighted, large pullbacks like this have often come before major rallies. With key support holding and resistance now in focus, the current phase may not be a setback, but a necessary step in Bitcoin’s broader growth cycle. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Strategy’s preferred equity instrument, STRC, has been trading below its $100 par value — a detail that has quietly drawn attention from investors watching the company’s ability to keep funding its Bitcoin purchases. RR Saturn Steps In As Questions Mount The company behind the Bitcoin treasury strategy recently attracted fresh capital despite the uncertainty. Saturn, a STRC-backed yield provider, put $18 million into STRC, bringing its total investment to $33 million. The move came even as critics questioned whether demand for the instrument is strong enough to sustain Strategy’s aggressive acquisition pace. STRC offers holders a monthly payout with an annual return of 11.5%, and the funds raised through it go directly toward buying more Bitcoin. Still, the stock sitting below par has prompted questions. An account tracking STRC activity posted online over the weekend, estimating that the past week saw roughly zero Bitcoin purchased. “What will Monday’s 8-K confirm?” the post asked. The ₿eat Goes On. pic.twitter.com/tBDs2z0b4z — Michael Saylor (@saylor) April 26, 2026 That question may already have an answer in the works. Saylor Posts The Orange Dots — Again On Sunday, April 26, Michael Saylor posted on X with a simple message: “The Beat Goes On.” Attached was Strategy’s so-called “Orange Dots” chart, a visual record of every Bitcoin purchase the company has made. Based on past trends, the post is widely read as a signal that another acquisition announcement is coming. Strategy now holds more than 815,000 Bitcoin. Last Monday, the company added to that total with a $2.54 billion purchase, cementing its position as the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin in the world. No other publicly traded company comes close. The title of Saylor’s post — “The Beat Goes On” — captures the tone he has maintained for years: steady accumulation, public signaling, and near-total indifference to critics. BTC Schiff Calls It A ‘Ponzi’ Scheme Peter Schiff, one of Bitcoin’s most vocal long-term critics, has been especially focused on STRC lately. He has called it “the most obvious Ponzi that has ever existed” and warned that the math behind the product doesn’t hold up under scrutiny. The claim that Bitcoin only has to rise by 2% per year to cover the 11.5% yield on $STRC indefinitely assumes $MSTR stops issuing STRC. But Saylor is actually increasing issuance. The more STRC MSTR sells, the more BTC must rise to cover the yield. Also, if the price of STRC… — Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) April 25, 2026 His argument centers on the relationship between STRC issuance and Bitcoin’s price growth. According to Schiff, the claim that Bitcoin only needs to rise 2% annually to cover STRC’s 11.5% yield assumes the company stops issuing more STRC. RR If issuance grows, the required rate of Bitcoin appreciation rises with it. He also warned Saylor of potential lawsuits, saying the product’s marketing could be considered misleading. Schiff sees only one exit from what he calls a death spiral — canceling the dividend. But he says that move would itself trigger steep losses across STRC, Strategy’s stock, and Bitcoin prices. Strategy has not publicly responded to Schiff’s claims. Saylor, for his part, appears unmoved. The orange dots keep getting added to the chart. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView
Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards says Bitcoin may be positioned for a sharp upside repricing if the network shows tangible progress on post-quantum security. Speaking on Bitcoin Suisse AG’s podcast with Dominic Weibel and Luca Gnos, Edwards argued that Bitcoin’s recent underperformance, weak sentiment and institutional hesitation suggest quantum risk may already be partly reflected in the market. Edwards framed the current setup as one of the strongest Bitcoin opportunity zones in months, but with a major caveat. In his view, Bitcoin has “completely flipped the script” after a nine-month downtrend, showing relative strength against equities and gold even as geopolitical risk, oil-market concerns and macro uncertainty remain elevated. “Bitcoin, which has been in a massive downtrend for the last nine months completely flipped the script in the last two, three weeks,” Edwards said. “Those are very strong signals that you usually only get every couple of years in my experience.” Quantum Risk Is Now Central To Bitcoin The central variable, according to Edwards, is no longer the traditional four-year cycle, miner supply or even short-term macro volatility. It is whether Bitcoin can show credible movement toward quantum-resistant signatures before the perceived threat window tightens further. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sees Renewed Demand From US Institutional Players — What’s Changing? Edwards said he remains constructive on Bitcoin as an investment because the asset has already been heavily discounted. But he was blunt about the longer-term risk if Bitcoin Core contributors and the broader ecosystem continue to treat quantum security as a distant issue. “I’m constructive and optimistic from an investor point of view because we had such a big discount,” he said. “Today it’s fully priced in the risk and more so. For me that means it’s a good opportunity in the near term.” That opportunity, however, is conditional. Edwards said his concern is that Bitcoin’s current cryptographic assumptions could become a live market issue before the network has completed the long process of developing, agreeing on and rolling out post-quantum upgrades. “If we do nothing for two years, I probably won’t have any Bitcoin,” Edwards said. “There is a time limit to some of this stuff.” Edwards criticized what he sees as complacency among parts of the Bitcoin development community. While he acknowledged that some preparatory work has been done, including references to BIP 360, he argued that Bitcoin still lacks a concrete migration path for post-quantum signatures and for coins that may remain exposed. “Some of the biggest core developers recently said it’s not even our top 100 priorities,” Edwards said. “And I’m just like, how? For me this is the only priority that Bitcoin should have. Nothing else matters.” Related Reading: Peter Brandt Sees Bitcoin Hitting $300,000-$500,000 By Late 2029 He said the technical problem is solvable, but not trivial. Post-quantum signature schemes can be larger, raising questions about block space, throughput, wallet migration and the treatment of dormant coins. Edwards also highlighted the unresolved issue of lost coins, including older outputs that could become vulnerable if sufficiently powerful quantum computers arrive before a network-wide transition. His base case is not that Bitcoin fails. Rather, he expects growing pressure from institutions, Ethereum’s quantum-readiness work and Bitcoin-focused companies to eventually force progress. He described any clear signal from major Bitcoin Core contributors that quantum resistance is becoming a serious priority as a potential catalyst. “As soon as there’s any traction from implementing code to improve Bitcoin, I think we’ll reprice higher and this risk goes away,” Edwards said. “If we get traction on quantum, we could have a new all-time high very quickly, I think. If we don’t, we may not get one.” Bitcoin Metrics Signal Value Beyond quantum, Edwards said several Capriole metrics point to Bitcoin trading in a deep value zone. He cited Capriole’s energy value model, which he said placed Bitcoin’s fair value around $115,000, implying roughly a 43% discount at the time of the discussion. He also pointed to discounted readings across metrics such as dynamic range NVT, Yardstick, MVRV Z-score and miner-related indicators. Still, Edwards stressed that mining metrics matter less than they once did. In his framework, institutional demand from ETFs and treasury companies has become the dominant supply-demand force. He said institutional buying had recently turned positive again, while long-term holder supply was beginning to rise after a long period of selling. That combination, he argued, is consistent with seller exhaustion. It also helps explain why Bitcoin has held up despite weak sentiment. For the near term, Edwards pointed to $71,000 as a key level and said Bitcoin could move toward $80,000 to $82,000 if current strength holds. A weekly or monthly close below $71,000, he said, would challenge that setup. At press time, BTC traded at $77,629. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is heading into a rare macro window where the first reaction may age fast. The Federal Reserve is scheduled to conclude its April meeting on April 29, with the FOMC decision and press conference landing that afternoon. The next morning, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis is scheduled to release the first quarter GDP and […]
The post Why this week could reprice Bitcoin in 48 Hours: Fed first, GDP and PCE right after appeared first on CryptoSlate.
The crypto market starts the week with strength and renewed bullish momentum, led by the Bitcoin price hitting $79,000. Besides, the Ethereum price is also pushing higher, heading to $2,400. The total market cap climbed to $2.64 trillion and has settled around $2.60 trillion. However, the crypto market volume has increased from $96 billion to …
Bitcoin is currently trading around $79,126, up 2% in the last 24 hours and roughly 6% in the last week. BTC is slightly outperforming the broader crypto market as the level $80,000 comes back into focus. Analyst Michaël van de Poppe says Bitcoin is gaining strength again, but it’s now entering a phase where the …
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index rose to 47, returning to the 'Neutral' zone from around 12 in 'Extreme Fear' last month.
Bitcoin price started a fresh increase and cleared the $78,500 zone. BTC is consolidating and might aim for more gains above the $79,200 level. Bitcoin managed to stay above $76,000 and started a fresh increase. The price is trading above $78,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $78,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might extend gains if it stays above the $78,250 and $77,500 levels. Bitcoin Price Eyes More Gains Bitcoin price found support near $77,000 and started a fresh increase. BTC gained pace for a move above the $77,500 and $78,000 resistance levels. The bulls even pushed the price above $78,500. A high was formed at $79,480, and the price started a consolidation phase above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $77,145 swing low to the $79,480 high. The bulls are now active above $78,000. Bitcoin is now trading above $78,200 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is also a bullish trend line forming with support at $78,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. If the price remains stable above $78,200, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $79,200 level. The first key resistance is near the $79,500 level. A close above the $79,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $80,000 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $81,200 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $82,000. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $79,500 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $78,600 level. The first major support is near the $78,300 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $77,145 swing low to the $79,480 high and the trend line at $78,250. The next support is now near the $77,250 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $76,500 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $75,000, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $78,250, followed by $77,250. Major Resistance Levels – $79,500 and $80,000.
According to an on-chain analyst, Bitcoin has been witnessing a shift in investor behavior in one of its major markets, the United States. This shift in its market dynamics, according to the market pundit, might be key to sustaining the flagship cryptocurrency’s ongoing rally. Coinbase Premium Flips Positive Following Prolonged Weakness In the 25th April post on X, Darkfost highlighted that the US institutional and professional investors are back in the Bitcoin market, with the price seemingly poised to climb further. The relevant indicator here is the Hourly Coinbase Premium metric. Related Reading: The Ethereum Golden Triangle That Has Predicted Every Move Shows Where Price Is Headed For context, this metric tracks the hourly price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase and Binance to indicate whether institutional-driven demand is pushing prices higher, as opposed to retail-driven markets. Importantly, the version of the Coinbase Premium Index being analyzed is volume-weighted. This means that larger trades carry more influence in the calculation, helping to filter out market “noise.” Darkfost noted that the Coinbase Premium Index is moderately positive. However, what’s notable about the shift is that this trend towards the positive has been ongoing since the beginning of April — and, interestingly, it started after a prolonged period spent in negative territory. In essence, this shift suggests that Bitcoin is trading at a higher price on Coinbase than on Binance. By extension, this trend often signals stronger institutional involvement, as Coinbase is typically preferred by US-based institutions and professional investors. This is because, while Binance remains one of the largest cryptocurrency exchanges globally, it is generally seen as more accessible to retail traders. Coinbase, on the other hand, has a reputation for catering to institutional clients and for offering regulatory clarity and infrastructure for large-scale investors. As such, Coinbase price premiums are often viewed as a means to gauge institutional sentiment. Coinbase Premium Could Sustain BTC Bullish Momentum Darkfost further explained that this renewed buying pressure from US investors is coming at a critical time for the market. This is supported by historical data: rallies driven by institutional demand tend to be more stable than those driven mostly by retail speculation. However, since the Coinbase Premium Index has yet to fully switch to an uptrend, it is advisable to watch for clear signs rather than randomly get tangled in the fray. As such, Darkfost mentioned that, instead of merely Bitcoin’s price, he would also be watching for the index’s further upside. As of this writing, Bitcoin trades at $77,525, with CoinGecko data showing the premier cryptocurrency has barely moved on a daily basis. Related Reading: Bitcoin Traders Double Down On Bearish Bets Amid Consolidation – What This Means For Price Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
A Hong Kong-listed company wants to attract more than 10,000 BTC into a regulated asset management strategy, a target worth roughly $760 million at current prices. While the number itself is jaw-dropping, it's the strategy's structure that reveals the true scope of this plan. Hong Kong is trying to become a place where large pools […]
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Bitcoin has spent April staging a recovery from its March lows, briefly climbing back above $79,000. However, not everyone is convinced of the rebound, and some analysts believe the move is only a mid-bear-market rally before a deeper correction. One such analyst is one that previously predicted a coming peak in July 2025. Now, the same analyst is predicting how far the Bitcoin price still has to fall before it puts in a true bottom. Related Reading: Stablecoins Go Institutional As Morgan Stanley Rolls Out New Portfolio Analyst Uses Previous Top Model To Predict Bitcoin Bottom Crypto analyst Killa made a cycle-top prediction of $121,362 back in June 2025. This call was made months before Bitcoin reached its all-time high of $126,100 in October 2025 and it was off by only about 3.9%. Now, using the same analytical framework that generated that call, Killa has turned the model toward the downside. The principle behind the projection is that each successive Bitcoin market cycle produces a smaller multiple relative to the prior cycle’s bottom, reflecting the maturation of the asset. His data across five cycles shows the high-to-bottom multiple declining from 15.50x in the first cycle to 7.64x, then 6.26x, and then 4.47x in Cycle 4, where Bitcoin peaked at $69,800 before bottoming at $15,600. Applying the same rate of reduction, Killa projects the current cycle’s multiple at 3.25x, dividing the $126,100 cycle top to arrive at a base bottom target of $38,800. To account for the 5% variance that offset his top prediction, he added in two upside scenarios of $40,740 and $42,680. Even at the top of that range, Bitcoin would still be well below the $60,000 level that some market participants have cited as the correction bottom. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @KillaXBT On X At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $78,015, meaning a move to $42,680 would still require a drop of about 45%, while a further drop to $38,800 would be close to a 50% correction from current prices. Three Years Up, One Year Down Killa’s bottom projection finds support from a separate analysis by analyst CryptoBullet, who approached the question of a bottom from a symmetry standpoint. CryptoBullet’s weekly Bitcoin chart characterized the current cycle as a five-wave Elliott Wave advance beginning in late 2022, with Wave 5 completing around the $126,000 high in October 2025. The subsequent correction, labeled as a W-X-Y corrective structure in blue, projects a final Wave Y leg down below $50,000 to $45,000. Bitcoin Weekly Chart. Source: @CryptoBullet1 On X Related Reading: XRP Signals Imminent Breakout — Is A 10% Rally Coming? According to the analyst, three years of upward price action from the November 2022 bottom through the 2025 peak cannot reasonably be corrected in less than a year of decline. The current bear phase is shown extending into the second half of 2026 before the bottom structure can be completed. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Crypto education page XWIN Research Japan has revealed an ongoing divergence between Bitcoin spot demand and derivatives positioning. This divergence points to an evolving structure of the Bitcoin market, providing pivotal insights for long-term growth. Related Reading: The Ethereum Golden Triangle That Has Predicted Every Move Shows Where Price Is Headed Bitcoin Spot ETFs Record Steady Net Inflows Since February In a QuickTake post on CryptoQuant, educational institute XWIN Research Japan highlights that Spot Bitcoin’s ETF inflows have been quite strong since late February. According to a group of crypto experts, these ETFs have seen approximately $1 billion in net inflows per week, with nine consecutive days of positive returns at some point. Notably, this trend of positive ETF inflows extended into April, with the Bitcoin ETFs recording approximately $14.45 million in net inflows as of Friday. At the same time, the Ethereum ETFs saw about $23.38 million in net deposits. According to the crypto research group, this confirms that institutional demand is robust in the market, despite current uncertainties. XWIN Research Japan notes that readings from the Coinbase Premium Index have also remained in positive territory, further reinforcing the growing bullish pressure from institutional investors in the US. Seeing as this positive trend has also persisted since early April, the analytics group explains that it reflects a broader structural recovery. Related Reading: Bitcoin Traders Double Down On Bearish Bets Amid Consolidation – What This Means For Price Bearish Derivatives Sentiment Raises Short Squeeze Potential While institutions are actively accumulating Bitcoin, XWIN Research Japan notes that derivatives markets are actively preaching an opposing message. According to group’s analysis, funding rates remain negative, suggesting that Bitcoin traders are stacking positions in anticipation of downside moves. The crypto experts explain that this bearish sentiment could be due to “recency bias” and is intended to avoid further losses after recent volatility spikes. However, this could be dangerous for leveraged traders, as institutional demand continues to pick up. When this divergence between institutions and the derivatives market occurs, XWIN Research Japan notes that a typical short squeeze setup would emerge. If the Bitcoin price continues to rise due to institutional demand, leveraged shorts could be liquidated. As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $77,590, with CoinMarketCap data showing a measly 0.23% gain over the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, the daily trading volume has declined by 39.19% and is valued at $16.37 billion. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview
Demand for US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs has rebounded into its longest positive stretch of 2026, putting fund flows back at the center of Bitcoin’s latest test of the $80,000 area. SoSoValue data show the products drew net inflows for nine consecutive trading days through April 24, adding about $2.12 billion since April 14. The run […]
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Bitcoin prices are consolidating around the $77,000 mark, following a net 2.12% in the last week. The maiden cryptocurrency has registered significant positive traction in April, rising from around $67,000 to its current price level in the last three weeks. However, on-chain data indicates Bitcoin is yet to encounter the major resistance levels that could mark a change in market direction. Related Reading: The Ethereum Golden Triangle That Has Predicted Every Move Shows Where Price Is Headed Realized Price Bands Signal Heavy Resistance Ahead In an X post on April 25, Axel Adler Jr shares information on the key future barriers for Bitcoin if the premier cryptocurrency attempts to sustain its present rally. Using data from CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Realized Price Analysis, Adler Jr. states that BTC bulls face the Herculean task of overcoming price resistance at $82,000 and $91,000 in succession. For context, the data presented highlights $82,000 as the short-term realized price, i.e., the average price at which short-term holders who are investors who have held their BTC for less than 155 days bought Bitcoin. It is a key psychological and technical level in the market. When BTC is below the STH realized price, it suggests that most short-term holders, likely new entrants and reactive, are at a loss. Therefore, this cohort of investors is likely to exit the market as the price approaches this level, effectively creating a major resistance point. Meanwhile, the $91,000 level has been identified as the 3m–6m Realized Price, i.e., the average price at which veteran holders acquired Bitcoin. This cohort typically comprises more seasoned participants who have weathered volatility, are less reactive than newer entrants, and exhibit long-term conviction. However, when BTC trades below the 3m–6m realized price, it indicates that this group is largely in the red. Consequently, as the price approaches this level, part of these holders may look to exit at breakeven, inducing selling pressure that creates a key resistance zone. As Bitcoin bids to exit the bear market that began in October 2025, the premier cryptocurrency must overcome both resistance levels, which would signal renewed bullish conviction among both classes of investors. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Wave Down To $40,000 Shows When The Bottom Will Begin Bitcoin Price Predictions At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $78,028, representing a 0.66% gain over the last 24 hours. The leading cryptocurrency is up 12.29% on the monthly chart, largely driven by its bullish performance in April. Amid this rally, CoinCodex analysts are positive on Bitcoin’s prospects, with price targets of $83,262 over the next five days and $80,015 in a month. In the next three months, they predict Bitcoin should trade at $91,575, suggesting slow gains with consolidations in between if this rally persists. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview