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XRP is showing strong signs of a major breakout as momentum continues to build across multiple timeframes. With bullish signals aligning and key structures pointing higher, the market is beginning to price in the possibility of a much larger move, one that could push XRP toward the highly anticipated $10 level if the breakout fully unfolds. RSI Breakout Signals Strength After 1-Year Trendline Crypto analyst JD has pointed to a significant shift in momentum for XRP, noting that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has officially broken out of a major 1-year trendline on the 3-day chart. While this breakout typically signals the start of a sustained bullish phase, JD also urges caution regarding a potential Hidden Bearish Divergence. This technical setup suggests a complex tug-of-war between long-term momentum recovery and short-term price exhaustion that traders must navigate. Related Reading: SuperTrend Flips Bullish On XRP Daily Chart — But Key $1.55 Resistance Awaits A central component of this thesis is the presence of a Descending Broadening Wedge, a pattern known for its explosive volatility. JD explains that the lower the price dips within the wedge, the more substantial the eventual measured move will be upon a breakout. This counterintuitive logic suggests that current price weakness is merely building the necessary energy for a massive trend reversal. Looking ahead, JD expresses extreme conviction in the upside potential once the final resistance level is cleared, forecasting what he describes as a biblical move to the Green Box zone. If the breakout validates the measured move of the broadening wedge, XRP could see one of its most aggressive vertical expansions in years, rewarding those who held through the prolonged consolidation. XRP Holds Strong Breakout Against Bitcoin According to crypto analyst Javon Marks, XRP continues to hold a strong breakout against Bitcoin, signaling sustained relative strength in the current market cycle. This type of breakout, based on the current structure, XRP is expected to significantly outperform, with projections pointing toward a potential move exceeding 550%. Related Reading: XRP Eyes Breakout, But Failure At $1.53 Could Trigger Sell-Off Marks draws a clear comparison to the previous cycle, where XRP experienced a powerful rally after breaking out against Bitcoin. During that phase, the price surged from around $0.50 to above $3.30, demonstrating how quickly momentum can accelerate once relative strength takes hold. That historical move serves as a key reference point for what could unfold if the current setup continues to develop. With a similar structure now in place, the outlook suggests that XRP may be gearing up for another major expansion phase. If momentum continues to build and the breakout sustains, price could push toward the $10 region, or potentially even higher, marking a significant shift in XRP’s broader market position and reinforcing its bullish trajectory. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP has been consolidating since early February, building a base that has tested the patience of bulls who have been waiting for a decisive move to higher levels. The market has reached a pivotal moment — and a CryptoQuant report identifies a structural split in the data that changes how we should interpret the current consolidation. Related Reading: Retail Is Cashing Out On Ethereum, But The Selloff Is Being Absorbed. Discover Who Is Buying The report reveals a divergence that cuts through the surface noise. XRP’s spot market and futures market are currently telling contradictory stories. Across centralized exchanges, spot buying has been strengthening continuously — the All CEX Estimated Spot CVD has risen from $1.08 billion on April 2 to $1.39 billion by April 24, a $310 million increase in real, underlying demand over three weeks. Actual coins are changing hands, and the buyers are winning the order flow. The futures market on Binance is pointing in the opposite direction. Perpetual traders have remained on the bearish side throughout this period. Maintaining net short positioning that creates the appearance of a market lacking conviction. The analysis argues that appearance is misleading. The futures weakness does not reflect an absence of real demand — it reflects a derivatives reset, a clearing of leveraged long excess that was accumulated during previous rallies. Beneath that reset, spot buyers have been quietly absorbing supply the entire time. The divergence is the signal. Which side of it proves correct is the question the next directional move will answer. The Futures Market Is Not Bearish. It Is Being Cleaned. The scale of the futures divergence gives the current setup its structural definition. While spot CVD has climbed $310 million to the positive side, Binance Perpetual CVD has moved in the opposite direction with almost identical force — dropping from -$65 million on March 19 to approximately -$392 million by April 24, a deepening of net selling pressure by roughly $327 million. Two forces of nearly equal magnitude are pulling in opposite directions simultaneously. The perpetual data requires careful interpretation. Futures net selling of this scale can mean one of two things: genuine bearish conviction from informed participants, or a mechanical clearing of excess leverage from a market that had accumulated too many crowded longs. The liquidation data since April 18 clarifies which is happening. Long liquidations have dominated XRP’s derivatives activity — forced exits from overleveraged positions rather than deliberate short-side bets against the asset. That distinction changes everything. Each long liquidation removes a fragile position from the market and replaces it with a more stable price structure. The fresh short positioning that followed is contributing to funding rates normalizing toward neutral, which is precisely what a healthy derivatives reset looks like before a market attempts to move higher. What the CryptoQuant report describes is not a market under sustained bearish assault. It is a market conducting the internal cleanup that typically precedes the next directional leg. Spot buyers are absorbing supply on one side. Derivatives are flushing excess leverage on the other. When both processes complete, the structure that remains tends to be considerably more durable than the one that existed before the reset began. Related Reading: DeFi Just Lost $15 Billion in Three Days. Something Deeper Than a Hack Is Behind It XRP Holds Range Support as Market Compresses Toward Decision Point XRP continues to consolidate around the $1.40 level, with price action reflecting a prolonged equilibrium following the sharp February breakdown. The chart shows a clear shift from trending behavior to range-bound structure, with XRP holding between roughly $1.30 support and $1.50 resistance for several weeks. This compression phase suggests that both buyers and sellers are absorbing liquidity without establishing directional control. The recent bounce from the $1.30–$1.35 zone is technically relevant. That area has acted as a consistent demand region, with multiple tests holding despite broader market volatility. The formation of slightly higher lows since mid-March indicates early accumulation, though not yet strong enough to break the broader downtrend. Related Reading: Another $142M Staked – Bitmine Tightens Its Grip on Ethereum Supply Overhead, resistance remains well-defined. The 50-day and 100-day moving averages are both trending downward and converging near the $1.50–$1.60 region, creating a dynamic ceiling that has rejected recent upside attempts. Until XRP reclaims this zone, the structure remains neutral-to-bearish on higher timeframes. Volume has declined throughout the consolidation, reinforcing the idea of a market waiting for a catalyst. A breakout above $1.50 would likely trigger expansion toward $1.70. Failure to hold $1.30, however, would expose XRP to a deeper retrace toward the $1.10 region. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Odelia Torteman, the Director of Corporate Adoption at XRPL Commons, has revealed that BlackRock and Mastercard are showing interest in the XRP Ledger (XRPL). She also explained how the network is the right fit for these institutions as they look to move on-chain.  BlackRock and Mastercard Are Showing Interest In XRP XRP pundit Xaif shared a video in which Torteman confirmed that BlackRock and Mastercard were showing interest in the XRP Ledger, signaling that they could consider launching a product on the network. She also noted that the XRPL was designed from the beginning to support several use cases, which could align with these institutions’goals.  Related Reading: Ripple CEO Breaks Down How XRP Ledger DeFi Users Are Protected From Attacks Like KelpDAO Torteman further remarked that the XRP Ledger has pre-embedded features that support enterprise-grade use cases. She alluded to the pre-built AMM, DEX, and other features that developers are currently working on as part of the institutional DeFi roadmap, which could help onboard institutions such as BlackRock and Mastercard.  It is worth noting that the XRP Ledger recently added zero-knowledge (ZK) proof technology, which XRPL Commons announced in partnership with Boundless. XRPL Commons stated that on-chain privacy was the missing piece for institutional adoption, indicating that the network could now see greater adoption with the addition of on-chain privacy. BlackRock and Mastercard already have ties to the XRP ecosystem through their collaboration with Ripple. Last year, Ripple and Securitize, the issuer of BlackRock’s BUIDL fund, partnered to add RLUSD as a stablecoin off-ramp for the tokenized fund. Meanwhile, Ripple has collaborated with Mastercard for its Crypto Partner program. The firm revealed that the collaboration includes testing RLUSD on the XRPL to enable faster, regulated stablecoin settlement for Mastercard transactions.  Companies Set To Drive The Next Wave Of Adoption Xaif shared another video in which Ripple’s President Monica Long signaled that companies will drive the next wave of adoption for XRP and XRPL. She highlighted that her firm is already working with several partners who use its infrastructure for activities such as dollar clearing.  Related Reading: Ripple’s Tokenization Bet: Will XRP Price Explode As It Enters This Trillion-Dollar Industry? She also revealed that they are seeing more use cases for internal treasury management, with companies and banks looking for more efficient ways to move money across different entities in real time across the world. The Ripple president also opined that there is a significant use case with their Ripple Treasury product.  Notably, Ripple recently integrated XRP and RLUSD into the Ripple Treasury management system, enabling institutions to use these crypto assets in the same environment. Long highlighted how the focus for these institutions is to be able to manage payments efficiently, which is something crypto assets and stablecoins help with.  At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.42, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP is showing signs of on-chain stabilization despite trading below the average holder cost basis, according to data by Alphractal. The data points to a market still under pressure, but one where network activity, exchange supply and leverage conditions do not resemble a panic-driven breakdown. Alphractal’s asset overview places XRP’s spot price at $1.4343, below its realized price of $1.4862. That gap matters because realized price reflects the average on-chain acquisition cost across circulating XRP. With spot price below that level, the average holder is sitting on an unrealized loss. XRP On-Chain Data Points To Stabilization The firm’s AI analysis framed the setup through XRP’s MVRV ratio, which stands at 0.9613. “An MVRV below 1.0 means the market is valuing XRP below aggregate cost basis,” the analysis stated. “Historically, this zone reflects late bear-phase or deep consolidation conditions, not euphoric pricing.” That conclusion is reinforced by XRP’s NUPL reading, which sits at -0.0402 and places the asset in a “Fear” state. Net unrealized profit/loss slightly below zero suggests the network is marginally underwater, a zone where weaker holders may exit but longer-term accumulation often begins to appear. Alphractal described it as “a psychologically fragile zone,” but not yet a capitulation regime. Related Reading: 4-Figure XRP: How High Will The Price Be If Ripple Captures 50% Of SWIFT? The supply picture is also notable. XRP’s market capitalization stands at $88.33 billion, ranking it fourth among crypto assets in the dataset, with 61.57 billion XRP in circulating supply. Exchange reserves amount to 3.68 billion XRP, or $5.27 billion, equal to roughly 6% of circulating supply. For a top-five asset, that is structurally low. It suggests that a large share of XRP remains outside immediate trading venues, reducing available sell-side liquidity. Exchange reserves did rise 2.3% over seven days, indicating some short-term liquidity returning to exchanges, but Alphractal said the move is “not enough to suggest distribution dominance.” The strongest part of the report is network usage. Active addresses reached 48,946, rising 17.7% over one day and 40.8% over seven days. Daily transaction count stood at 2.81 million, while adjusted transaction value reached $29.58 billion per day. “XRP is showing a strong rebound in address activity, while transaction count and value are both rising weekly,” the analysis said. “This divergence — rising participation without aggressive price appreciation — typically reflects organic network usage rather than speculative churn.” Valuation and network-efficiency metrics also point to a market that is under pressure but not structurally broken. Alphractal described XRP’s NVT ratio as elevated but stabilizing, token velocity as moderate and VANV as neutral. In the firm’s reading, valuation relative to transferred value is not overheated, while velocity has not collapsed. Related Reading: XRP ETFs Post Longest Back-To-Back Gains Of 2026—Key Numbers Inside Derivatives positioning appears similarly contained. XRP open interest stands at $1.49 billion, equal to 1.69% of market cap. The long/short ratio is 2.34, while top trader sentiment is 2.05. Although positioning is tilted long, 24-hour liquidations are only $870,000, suggesting price action is not currently being driven by a broad leverage flush. Whale activity is less constructive. The whale-versus-retail delta is -0.81, indicating retail participation is exceeding whale aggression. Alphractal interpreted this as a sign that whales are not accumulating aggressively, though the data also does not point to heavy distribution. That supports the broader picture of range-bound accumulation rather than a decisive trend shift. The main constraint remains capital inflow. Alphractal’s Delta Growth Rate on a 365-day moving-average basis stands at -111.7, which the analysis said confirms weak new capital inflows over the past year. XRP, in this reading, is still being supported more by existing holders than fresh demand. The overall picture is therefore not one of full bullish confirmation. It is more specific: XRP is trading below cost basis, sentiment remains fearful and growth metrics are weak, but exchange supply is tight, leverage is controlled and network activity is recovering. At press time, XRP traded at $1.43. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP ETFs have shifted sharply after a shaky start to the year, and the change is evident in both flows and the market. Following a troubling first quarter, funds have recorded strong, sustained inflows that helped push the altcoin above the $1.40 level.  XRP ETFs Hit Best Week Of 2026 Market expert Sam Daodu, writing for 24/7 Wall St., reported that XRP ETFs brought in $55.39 million during the week ending April 17, which he described as the best weekly performance of 2026 to date. On April 20, the funds added another $3 million.  Just as important for sentiment, there have been no outflows since April 9. Daodu noted that this is the first stretch of uninterrupted, sustained buying XRP ETFs that they have put together throughout the year. Related Reading: Bitcoin Watch: All Eyes On $86,000—What Could Fuel The Next Bullish Breakout In the months leading up to April, XRP ETFs were bleeding assets. Their assets under management peaked above $1.5 billion in January, but that figure slipped below $950 million by March as outflows intensified.  This time around, Daodu emphasized that inflows have been steadier—arriving day after day rather than in sporadic bursts—suggesting a more durable shift in investor behavior. Within the competitive lineup of XRP products, the cumulative inflow lead still belongs to Canary Capital, which holds $421.86 million in net inflows across the suite. However, Daodu said that the lead has narrowed.  In April, Canary has logged zero net inflows on most trading days, while Bitwise and Franklin Templeton have been adding nearly every day. Bitwise’s cumulative inflows now stand at $419.17 million, leaving it just $2.69 million behind Canary and giving it a clear opportunity to take the top spot this week.  Franklin Templeton’s XRPZ trails in third place, consistently close behind Bitwise throughout the April run. In Daodu’s framing, Bitwise and Franklin have absorbed nearly all of April’s inflows, while the rest of the XRP ETF sector has been flat or negative. The Key Catalyst Missing  Daodu also pointed to a key catalyst that could determine whether this positive momentum continues. The likelihood of follow-through for XRP ETFs, according to the expert, is tied largely to US regulatory clarity—specifically, the CLARITY Act.  The bill is facing a tight May deadline after missing its April markup window. Senator Thom Tillis has urged Senate Banking Chair Tim Scott to delay the markup to May, and timing matters because the legislation would need to clear the committee before the Senate’s May 21 recess.  Related Reading: CEO Calls CLARITY Act ‘Horrible Bill,’ Warns Of Prolonged Crypto Bear Market Ahead If it doesn’t, Daodu suggested that the anticipated crypto market structure framework could be delayed indefinitely. The CLARITY Act is expected to permanently and officially classify XRP as a digital commodity.  That classification is not just a theoretical legal detail—it’s seen as the missing piece that could reduce uncertainty for institutions. A Coinbase survey cited in the report found that 65% of institutional investors are waiting for that exact type of clarity before committing meaningful capital to XRP. As of this writing, the altcoin is consolidating at around $1.43, having gained 2% and almost 8% over the last seven and fourteen days, respectively.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

The conversation around XRP’s long-term price potential has always gravitated toward one question: what happens when Ripple’s infrastructure meets global banking at scale?    That same line of thinking extends to scenarios where the XRP Ledger begins handling a significant share of SWIFT’s transaction flow. An XRP enthusiast called The Real Remi Relief, who is known for his ultra-bullish predictions for XRP, projected that the cryptocurrency would need to trade somewhere around $1,500 to $2,000 just to provide enough liquidity and keep slippage under control if this happens. 50% Of SWIFT Theory Produces A 4-Figure XRP Number Ripple’s ecosystem now has partnerships with around 300 institutions, mostly through its acquisition of Hidden Road in 2025. Furthermore, at least 30 of the 50-plus banks named in SWIFT’s new retail payments framework are already maintaining ties to Ripple’s network. Therefore, it is no longer theoretical that Ripple could absorb a notable chunk of SWIFT’s flows in the coming years.  Related Reading: Pundit Shows How XRP’s Performance Has Outpaced Hedge Funds Calculations on X by crypto commentator The Remi Relief are putting hard numbers to the scenario, and the figures land the XRP price in four-digit territory.  The model begins with SWIFT’s scale. SWIFT facilitates approximately $150 trillion in cross-border transactions annually. The Remi Relief’s framework applies a 50% capture scenario to that volume.  At that threshold, around $250 billion must be held in active XRP liquidity at any given moment to prevent slippage, which is a pricing disruption that occurs when large trades move through thin order books. The math produces a price in the range of $1,500 to $2,000 for each unit of XRP in order to prevent this. Scale the capture rate to 100% of SWIFT, and the projection doubles to anywhere between $3,000 and $4,000 per XRP.  The model works only if one accepts the starting assumption that XRP would actually be handling a huge portion of SWIFT flows in the first place.  Ripple Is Building For Institutions Ripple’s recent strategy shows why some investors think the long-term XRP case is becoming more serious. In April 2025, the company announced its $1.25 billion acquisition of Hidden Road, one of the biggest deals in the crypto industry, and later completed that transaction as part of its push to build institutional-grade financial infrastructure. Related Reading: Japan Is Going In On XRP, But Can This Drive The Price To $10? Following its acquisition of GTreasury in 2025, Ripple expanded its Treasury platform into SWIFT’s ecosystem. Ripple Treasury’s platform now gives corporates a choice between traditional SWIFT rails and blockchain-powered settlement in seconds using XRP or RLUSD. However, building institutional rails is very different from capturing half of SWIFT, as the network is also not standing still. The network said that it would add a blockchain-based shared ledger to its infrastructure stack, and by early 2026, it said more than 50 banks across 16 countries are working to create a design focused initially on 24/7 cross-border payments. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

As global payment systems face pressure to become faster, cheaper, and less dependent on legacy intermediaries, attention is returning to blockchain-based alternatives. While countries explore alternatives to traditional systems, digital assets are increasingly entering the conversation, and XRP is drawing attention. Recent reports around early testing in Russia have sparked fresh discussion about whether XRP could play a larger role in the future of international payments. Connections between Ripple’s technology and Russia have surfaced through a mix of central bank experimentation and academic research. SMQKE, a market commentator on X, has revealed that in 2018, the Bank of Russia conducted a test on the Ripple platform in its Novosibirsk innovation laboratory, evaluating its potential for cross-border settlements. This outcome suggests it could serve as the basis for such a system pending resolution of organizational, legal, and technical barriers. What Russia’s Early Tests Could Mean For XRP Adoption Beyond central bank trials, Ripple and XRP have also been highlighted in institutional circles. A report from JPMorgan Chase, reportedly shared exclusively with Mihail Turlakov at Sterbank of Russia, mentioned Ripple for its speed, low cost, and liquidity advantages. This positions it as a compelling digital asset for financial institutions at scale and a potential disruptor in global cross-border payments.   Related Reading: How XRP Ledger Positions Itself At The Center Of Institutional Capital Flows Academic interest further reinforces this narrative. A 2020 paper from Southern Federal University presented at the FETDE 2020 conference examined blockchain adoption in Russia, giving specific attention to XRP’s role as a bridge currency for payments. Meanwhile, the paper also referenced the spam protection tool on the Ripple network. Coverage from CoinDesk points to a deeper strategic shift at Ripple centered on vertical integration across the financial stack. BankXRP mentioned a series of 2025 acquisitions involving Hidden Road for prime brokerage with $3 trillion in annual clearing, GTreasury for treasury management with $13 trillion in payments volume, and Rail for stablecoin payments infrastructure. These moves create end-to-end control over custody, liquidity, and settlement. This enables Ripple to integrate its RLUSD stablecoin, which is designed to enable near-instant cross-border payments with fewer intermediaries than traditional correspondent banking systems. Furthermore, this approach positions Ripple as an institutional financial stack provider rather than just a payments or stablecoin company, as detailed in the CoinDesk Data report commissioned by Ripple. A New Institutional Execution Tool Arrives For XRP Coinbase is set to introduce a Trade at Settlement (TAS) feature for XRP futures on May 1, 2026, marking a major step forward for regulated institutional execution. Related Reading: A Collection Of Ripple Developments That Suggests XRP Is A Solid Buy BankXRP has also mentioned that this new TAS mechanism tool allows institutional participants to execute block trades at the official settlement price, rather than being exposed to unpredictable intraday volatility. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP is approaching a critical resistance zone as momentum builds toward a potential breakout. However, with price still struggling to clear the $1.53 level, the risk of rejection remains high. A failure at this key barrier could quickly shift sentiment and trigger a move lower, making the next reaction crucial for direction. Wave E Nears Completion As XRP Tests Key Resistance CasiTrades has highlighted that XRP is currently approaching a definitive stage in its market cycle, specifically moving toward the completion of Wave E within a larger consolidation pattern. Technical indicators across multiple subwave degrees are identifying the $1.53 level as the primary resistance hurdle. Related Reading: 4 Signs XRP Is Moving From Bearish to Bullish: Analyst The current forecast anticipates a series of upward moves into the $1.50 to $1.53 price range. This bullish remains technically valid as long as the price stays above the critical support of $1.39. A breach below this support would likely disrupt the current wave count and suggest a shift in momentum. Market observers are also keeping a close eye on Bitcoin’s performance, as its movement could influence XRP’s direction. If Bitcoin rallies into its own resistance zone near $79,000, it would likely provide the necessary tailwind for XRP to challenge the $1.50–$1.53 area. However, there is a risk of a wave failure where XRP falls just short of its target if Bitcoin reaches a local top. The price action shows a major test of resistance that will likely define XRP’s trajectory for the coming weeks. While a breakout would be significant, a rejection at these higher levels could lead to a sharp retracement to the $1.09 and $0.87 range. XRP Struggles To Reclaim $1.50 Resistance In a recent update, analyst Hov highlighted that XRP still hasn’t reclaimed the $1.50 level, a key resistance that continues to cap upside momentum. What makes this more notable is that several major cryptocurrencies have already pushed to new local highs, while XRP continues to lag.  Related Reading: XRP Locked In Range, But Here’s What Happening Underneath This relative weakness is beginning to raise concerns, suggesting that buyers have not yet fully stepped in with enough conviction to drive prices higher. From a structural perspective, XRP is currently forming a very clear triangle pattern. While this type of pattern often signals a buildup before a breakout, Hov cautions that overly obvious ones can sometimes lead to false expectations. The key trigger to watch now is a breakout above the ACE trendline. If confirmed, the next upside target sits around the $1.90 region, aligning with a possible wave 3 expansion from the lows. Beyond that, price action will need to be monitored closely to determine whether XRP can sustain a stronger bullish trend or if more consolidation lies ahead. Featured image from VectorStock, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto pundit UnknowDLT has revealed that Japan has provided regulatory clarity for XRP, classifying it as a financial instrument. This comes amid predictions about the altcoin’s trajectory, including a possible rally to $10.  Japan Classifies XRP Along With Stocks And Bonds In an X post, the pundit noted that Japan has reclassified crypto assets as financial instruments, meaning that XRP now has the same legal status as a stock or bond. He added that the country with the strictest crypto regulations in the world has just put XRP on par with traditional financial assets.  Related Reading: Massive XRP Adoption Trend Paints The Most Bullish Picture Yet Amid this development, XRP pundit XRP Update noted that Japan was one of Ripple’s earliest strongholds. The pundit noted that, through its partnership with SBI, the company launched On-Demand Liquidity (ODL), using XRP as a bridge asset to enable real-time cross-border payments and eliminate pre-funding.  Since then, XRP has continued to witness massive adoption in Japan. Crypto pundit Xaif recently noted that Japan is tokenizing payments on the XRP Ledger. Specifically, SBI and Tobu Top Tours have partnered to issue prepaid payment tokens on the XRP Ledger, which are tied to the 30 trillion yen market.  Furthermore, Japanese crypto firm Rakuten Wallet has listed XRP for its 44 million users. These users will be able to buy XRP with loyalty points and can spend them across the country. This is part of an integration that connects XRP to up to 5 million merchants in the country. As such, XRP continues to see massive adoption in the country amid the token’s reclassification as a financial instrument.  A Rally To $13 Still In Play For XRP Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has stated that an XRP rally to between $9 and $13 is still in play. He noted that market participants are focused on the descending triangle but are missing the bigger picture. He acknowledged that after 14 months of accumulation, the token formed this descending triangle and broke down as it statistically should.  Related Reading: XRP Is At A Critical Decision Point, But Can Price Still Rally To $2? However, Egrag Crypto said that this breakdown is not a trend failure but rather a liquidity sweep inside a macro uptrend. He added that the real structure is the Bifrost Bridge and that as long as XRP is rising in this macro channel, then the trend is intact. Also, the structure is bullish while the move is unfinished, signaling a further rally to the upside. The analyst stated that triangles are short-term patterns and that channels define cycles.  As such, Egrag Crypto is confident that XRP will still rally to as high as $13, with XRP still inside this macro channel. He added that a long accumulation translates to an explosive expansion.  At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.45, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP has been trying to carry its momentum higher after last week’s rally, but at the moment, it’s running into a familiar ceiling. The token is now hovering at the top of its consolidation band, trading in the roughly $1.3 to $1.4 area, yet buyers have not been able to push it through into a sustained breakout.  Even so, XRP’s daily MACD has flipped bullish for the first time since January, a shift that could signal improving momentum and a potential renewed leg up. According to market expert Sam Daodu, whether this reversal holds will depend on key developments over the next ten days. Several major macro and regulatory milestones will act as the near-term ‘trigger points’.  This Signal Has Big History Daodu notes that on XRP’s daily chart, the MACD line remained below the signal line for most of 2026. Attempts to flip bullish repeatedly failed until now. The difference this time, he says, is that the bullish change has managed to hold rather than reversing immediately. He also points out that when XRP has seen the MACD flip before, it hasn’t been a small event. The last time the same type of bullish signal held, XRP recorded its biggest move in months.  Related Reading: AAVE Price Plummets By 26%: $9 Billion Net Outflows Traced To Kelp DAO Hack Back in early January, the MACD flipped bullish, and the token rallied about 25% in one week. That move culminated in a peak around $2.40 on January 7, which Daodu describes as XRP’s strongest rally of the year at the time—and one that began with the same bullish momentum setup that’s reappearing now. Even with the momentum indicator turning, Daodu argues that XRP still needs two key catalysts to break out cleanly rather than merely oscillating inside the current range.  The first is regulatory progress tied to the CLARITY Act. Specifically, he says the CLARITY Act markup needs to happen before May, because institutional participation often depends on clearer regulatory visibility.  The second catalyst is geopolitical resolution—he expects the ceasefire in the war to be extended beyond April 22. Put together, those developments are important because they could unlock additional institutional demand that has been waiting for clarity. XRP Breakout Watch Daodu projects that if both of those factors fall into place, institutions waiting for regulatory cover could pour another $4 to $8 billion into XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs).  From a price-confirmation perspective, he adds that a daily close above $1.55 would validate the MACD flip and reinforce the idea that the current breakout attempt is more than a temporary spike.  If that confirmation arrives, the upside targets he references will point back towards $1.80. This would represent a 25% rally in the altcoin’s price from the current level of $1.43.  Related Reading: A Stark XRP Price Call: Why One Analyst Says It Could Be Under $1 By 2031 There is, however, a clearer path for the rally to stall. The fastest way for momentum to fade, in his view, is for the ceasefire to expire on April 22 without a new deal.  If fighting resumes, he expects oil prices to climb back above $100, which can quickly pressure risk assets. In that environment, the MACD could flip back to bearish. And if the CLARITY Act also stalls beyond May, he expects that XRP would likely give back the move it has built so far, potentially sliding to $1.30 or lower. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP may be entering a more constructive phase, according to a new thread via X from market analyst Ali Martinez (@alicharts), who argued on April 21 via X that the asset is showing a “structural trend shift from bearish to bullish.” The case rests on a mix of trend-following indicators, whale accumulation, exchange supply dynamics, and a tightening chart structure that could set up a larger move. 4 Signs XRP Is Turning Bullish Ali’s first signal is a change in the macro trend on the daily chart. In the thread, he said the SuperTrend indicator has now issued its first buy signal since January, a notable reversal after months of persistent sell pressure. He wrote: “On the daily chart, the SuperTrend indicator has flashed a buy signal for the first time since January. This flip suggests that selling pressure is waning down, and XRP could be gearing up for a trend reversal.” Related Reading: ‘The Short Version For Why I Hold XRP Through Everything’; Analyst Reveals That call builds on an earlier April 18 post in which Ali framed the signal as a potentially important inflection point. “For the first time since Jan. 17, the SuperTrend indicator has flipped bullish on the daily chart. After months of ‘sell’ pressure, we are officially seeing a buy signal that anticipates a major comeback in XRP’s trend. While the trend has shifted, the real test lies at $1.55,” he wrote. The second sign is positioning from large holders. Ali said on-chain data from Santiment shows whales accumulated roughly 360 million XRP over the past week. If that accumulation continues, it adds weight to the idea that the recent change in trend is being supported by capital rather than by a short-lived bounce. The third sign is the setup forming on lower time frames. Ali said XRP has been compressing into a symmetrical triangle, a structure he argued could foreshadow a 35% move once price breaks out decisively. In his telling, the pattern fits with the broader shift underway: macro conditions are improving, supply is being pulled off exchanges, and price is coiling into a tighter range. Related Reading: Is XRP Gearing Up For A 35% Move? This Pattern May Suggest So “As the macro trend flips and supply is pulled off exchanges, a symmetrical triangle has formed on the lower time frames. This pattern has compressed the price into a tight range, anticipating a 35% move once a breakout occurs,” he writes. The fourth sign is the clarity of the invalidation and breakout levels. He says a daily close above $1.55 would validate the breakout and open the way toward $1.90, describing that resistance as “the key level” that has capped upside recently. At the same time, he said the bullish outlook remains intact only as long as XRP holds the $1.30 support zone. Rather than calling for an immediate breakout, Ali is outlining a market that may be transitioning from defense to offense, with defined levels that would either confirm or weaken the thesis. A bullish SuperTrend flip, whale accumulation, a compressed triangle, and a nearby resistance test do not amount to proof on their own. Together, though, they form a coherent case that XRP may be moving out of a bearish regime and into an early bullish one. At press time, XRP traded at $1.4368. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

David Schwartz, the former Chief Technology Officer (CTO) of Ripple, has addressed recent concerns over DeFi bridge security, reassuring XRP Ledger (XRPL) users that the network is not exposed to attacks like those linked to the Kelp DAO exploit. He emphasized that vulnerability in cross-chain bridge systems largely depends on how they are designed and implemented, as well as on the level of reliance on external bridge infrastructure.  How XRP Users Remain Protected From Kelp DAO-Related Exploits In an X post on April 20, Schwartz provided context on how users in the XRP Ledger (XRPL) ecosystem are positioned differently from those exposed to cross-chain risks in Kelp DAO exploits. The discussion follows concerns in the DeFi space after Kelp DAO suffered a major security breach tied to vulnerabilities in its bridging infrastructure. This hack resulted in approximately $292 million in rsETH tokens being stolen from the protocol and immediately used as debt collateral on Aave, a lending protocol.  Related Reading: What’s Really Going On With Ripple’s XRP Ledger And Are Investors Coming Back? Schwartz noted that his past evaluations of DeFi bridging systems, including those considered for Ripple’s stablecoin RLUSD, were heavily focused on security design. According to his assessment, many of these systems already had strong mechanisms to prevent the type of fraudulent cross-chain message manipulation observed during the Kelp DAO attack. However, he noted that actual protection depends on whether projects fully activate those safeguards.  The ex-Ripple CTO also pointed to a recurring issue in DeFi infrastructures, where security features exist but are often practiced optionally. He noted that most bridge providers tend to promote their systems as “super safe,” while also emphasizing ease of use and fast deployment across different blockchains. In reality, some of these stronger security settings are left optional or disabled. As a result, Schwartz noted that many developers sometimes choose simpler configurations instead of fully enabling the full set of available security options. He added that, due to the trade-off between convenience and the costs of operational complexity, some teams avoid more robust setups. In his view, this creates a serious gap and can leave systems exposed to attacks that the underlying design was intended to prevent.  For XRP Ledger users, Schwartz noted that the blockchain’s reliance on bridge security systems is significantly reduced. As a result, exposure to vulnerabilities similar to the Kelp DAO incident is structurally limited.  How XRP Ledger Design Reduces Reliance On Bridge Systems Schwartz has noted a structural difference in how the XRP Ledger operates compared to many DeFi ecosystems that depend on external bridges. In systems like Kelp DAO’s rsETH setup, assets move across chains through third-party bridge protocols, which introduce additional points of failure if verification rules are not strictly enforced. Related Reading: Pundit Says This Chart Paints The Clearest Macro Picture For XRP In contrast, the XRP Ledger is designed with built-in transaction finality and does not rely on the same type of external cross-chain messaging infrastructure for its core functions. This significantly reduces the ledger’s exposure to security breaches and exploits that target tricking bridge validators or falsifying cross-chain instructions. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP is holding above $1.40 as the broader market navigates another uncertain stretch, with buyers and sellers locked in a standoff that has yet to resolve in either direction. The price has recovered to around $1.44, a level that feels more stable than where it was just weeks ago. But an Arab Chain report raises a question the price alone cannot answer — whether real demand is driving the recovery or something considerably more fragile is. Related Reading: XRP Just Settled $291 Million On-Chain, Almost Nothing Hit Binance: Find Out What’s Happening The issue sits in the order flow data. XRP’s Cumulative Volume Delta on Binance is registering approximately -7.18 million, meaning that across the recent trading period, sell orders have been consistently outpacing buy orders in aggregate volume. In markets, that kind of divergence between a rising price and negative order flow tends to mean one of two things. Either sellers are gradually exhausting themselves, and the price is finding its footing naturally, or the price is being propped up by a temporary reduction in selling pressure rather than any genuine surge in demand, and when that pressure returns, the recovery gives way. The distinction matters more than it might appear. A price held up by fewer sellers is a very different setup from a price driven higher by more buyers. One can sustain. The other tends not to. Progress, But Not Confirmation The Arab Chain report offers one genuinely constructive signal alongside the caution. The 30-day correlation between XRP’s price and its order flow has improved to approximately 0.61 — a reading that suggests the two are beginning to move in a more aligned relationship than they have in recent periods. When price and underlying liquidity dynamics start tracking each other more closely, it typically means the market is transitioning out of a disorderly phase and toward something more coherent. That alignment matters because the previous environment — where price moved in one direction while order flow told a contradictory story — is precisely the kind of setup that produces sharp reversals. The improving correlation suggests that the dynamic is gradually resolving, which is a more stable foundation for price action, even if it does not guarantee direction. Price is recovering, and correlation is improving, but sell orders continue to dominate the aggregate flow. The CVD has not flipped positive, and until it does, the recovery lacks the order-flow backing that would make it structurally convincing rather than technically tentative. What the data describes is a market in transition — better than it was, not yet where it needs to be. XRP at $1.44 is holding a level. Whether it builds on that level or retreats from it depends on whether the improving correlation eventually pulls the order flow into alignment with the price, or whether the persistent selling pressure reasserts itself first. Related Reading: Aave Is Trading Like 2022 Again: Danger Zone Or Entry Point? XRP Stabilizes After Prolonged Downtrend XRP is attempting to stabilize around the $1.40 level after an extended downtrend that began following its 2025 peak above $3.00. The chart shows a clear deterioration in structure over the past several months, with price consistently printing lower highs and lower lows, confirming sustained bearish control. The recent price action reflects a shift from decline to consolidation. Since February, XRP has been trading within a relatively tight range between roughly $1.30 and $1.50, indicating a temporary balance between buyers and sellers. This range formation suggests that the aggressive sell pressure seen during the breakdown phase has eased, but it has not been replaced by strong directional demand. Related Reading: XRP Volatility Just Hit A Multi-Year Low – Analysts Explain Something Is About To Change From a trend perspective, XRP remains below the 200-day moving average, which continues to slope downward and act as long-term resistance. The inability to reclaim this level reinforces that the broader trend has not yet reversed. Volume behavior supports this interpretation. After the sharp spike during the capitulation phase, volume has declined steadily, signaling reduced participation and a lack of conviction from both sides. For XRP to shift into a more constructive structure, it would need to break above the $1.50–$1.60 zone and sustain momentum. Until then, the current price action reflects stabilization within a broader bearish trend rather than a confirmed recovery. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

One analyst is arguing that XRP could fall below $1 within five years — a prediction that contrasts sharply with the token’s historical price action during previous bull and bear cycles.  The argument, however, rests on what the analyst says are catalysts that XRP supporters expected to push the price much higher, but which ultimately faded. Catalysts Have Come And Gone Motley Fool analyst Johnny Rice says several of the “big” events that bullish investors pointed to have already come and gone. In his view, those moments briefly lifted sentiment and price, but the token later slipped back toward levels that look closer to where it started rather than sustaining a long-term breakout.  Rice points first to the settlement between the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Ripple Labs, which provided significant clarity for the token. The resolution helped unlock momentum, but Rice says it wasn’t enough to create durable demand. Related Reading: Ethereum Just Saw Its Strongest Buy Pressure Since The 2022 Bear Market He also highlights the launch of spot XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs). In the early period, this helped drive a surge in interest—Rice notes that total investment hit about $1.6 billion. But he says that initial enthusiasm proved short-lived.  Rice’s assessment also frames XRP’s performance against recent price history. He notes that the altcoin is down more than 60% from its July high of around $3.65.  He adds that the token is also trading well below $2 before the SEC dropped its lawsuit, suggesting that even after the legal overhang was removed, the market did not sustain the kind of upside many bulls had forecast. XRP Outlook Under $1 Rice says one of the central narratives among bulls has been that financial institutions would need XRP to move value across borders. The argument is that banks’ cross-border activity could translate into stronger, ongoing demand for the token if adoption keeps expanding. The logic is that Ripple’s technology converts one currency into XRP—the bridge asset—then converts XRP into the destination currency. In that framework, broader bank adoption should translate into more XRP demand, and, ultimately, higher prices. Rice says that thesis has not clearly materialized in a way that supports the bullish price targets. He argues that even though adoption of Ripple’s payments platform continues to grow, the XRP price hasn’t followed in proportion.  The analyst describes this disconnect as something that has accelerated over the past year, and he explains why demand for cross-border payments may be weaker than many investors assumed. Related Reading: Remember Arbitrum? This Analyst Just Predicted That A 7,400% Rally Is Coming The central issue, in his view, is that Ripple’s stablecoin is “undercutting XRP” demand as the bridge asset. If banks have a more attractive alternative for use in cross-border transfers—specifically Ripple’s own stablecoin, RLUSD—then the “bridge through XRP” demand mechanism becomes less potent.  Rice’s point is not simply that Ripple’s business is doing better or worse, but that the source of real incremental demand for XRP may be eroding as RLUSD offers banks another option for bridging value. The analyst says he believes Ripple is building a thriving payments business and that five years from now it may continue expanding its footprint in the industry.  But his bottom-line forecast remains bearish: he expects XRP to end up below $1, far from the higher price targets often promoted around the idea of XRP becoming the key banking bridge asset. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Most crypto investors develop convictions through price charts and market cycles. XRP Bags, a widely followed XRP enthusiast on X, holds his through something else entirely, which is a documented paper trail connecting Ripple to nearly every major institution currently building a new financial system. In a post that has circulated across the XRP community, the analyst laid out a short version of why he has never wavered on XRP, regardless of market conditions. XRP Has A Seat On Every Table That Matters XRP Bags’ conviction on XRP is mostly due to its access. Ripple, he notes, was the only crypto company invited to the Federal Reserve’s payments task force, the only one featured by the World Bank’s Better Than Cash Alliance, and the first ISO 20022 member focused on distributed ledger technology.  Related Reading: Pundit Says This Chart Paints The Clearest Macro Picture For XRP In July 2025, the US Federal Reserve officially adopted ISO 20022 for its FedWire Funds Service, requiring all financial institutions using FedWire to send and receive messages in the new format.  Ripple had already positioned itself ahead of that transition. In 2020, it became the first blockchain company to join the ISO 20022 Standards Body and has since aligned its infrastructure, particularly RippleNet, to meet the standard’s requirements. The analyst also pointed to Ripple’s seats on the IMF’s fintech advisory board, the World Economic Forum, the Digital Dollar Project, the Digital Pound Foundation, and the Digital Euro Association as reasons why he keeps holding XRP through everything.  The mention of Ripple’s participation in the Federal Reserve’s Faster Payments Task Force is often cited within the XRP community as a key milestone. These partnerships were also noted at WEF 2026 in Davos, where Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse participated in discussions around blockchain, CBDCs, and cross-border payments. The Talent Strategy Behind Ripple XRP Bags is not relying on Ripple’s partnerships alone on its conviction, but also on the talent behind Ripple’s workings and who the company has chosen to hire.  Related Reading: Ripple CEO’s Comments Stir Up A Wave, Here’s What He Said Over time, Ripple has brought in individuals with backgrounds tied to regulators. The list he cited includes former US Treasury officials, former Federal Reserve attorneys, former SWIFT board members, former SEC chairs, former BlackRock digital asset executives, and former Obama and Clinton administration advisors.  According to the pundit, this list is composed of people who were chosen to build the new financial system before most people knew a new financial system was being built. He summed it up by asserting that “the people building the future already made their choice.” There’s no denying the fact that Ripple is positioning itself as a top contender in the future of finance. In 2025, Ripple engaged in an acquisition spree, spending nearly $4 billion in total ecosystem investments and strategic deals, including almost $3 billion on major acquisitions.  These moves are expected to strengthen the foundation of XRP’s long-term value. According to CEO Brad Garlinghouse, improving XRP utility is Ripple’s North Star, and some of its major acquisitions from last year have already surpassed internal projections.  Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

A crypto analyst has pointed out how a Symmetrical Triangle forming on the 12-hour XRP price could hint at a notable move ahead for the asset. XRP Is Potentially Moving Inside A Symmetrical Triangle In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has shared a technical analysis (TA) pattern that XRP has recently been consolidating inside. The pattern in question is a “Symmetrical Triangle,” which involves a consolidation channel that, as its name suggests, is shaped like a triangle. It involves two converging trendlines, with the upper one acting as a source of resistance and the lower one that of support. Related Reading: Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Turns Red: Bearish Signal? The main feature of a Symmetrical Triangle that sets it apart from other triangular channels is that its trendlines approach each other at a roughly equal and opposite angle. This means that as the asset travels inside this channel, its range shrinks down to a mid-point. Like with other TA patterns, breaks out of triangles also imply a possible continuation of trend in that direction. That is, a surge above the pattern can be a bullish sign, while a drop under it a bearish one. Now, here is the chart shared by Martinez that shows the Symmetrical Triangle that the 12-hour XRP price has been trading inside for the last couple of months: As displayed in the above graph, the 12-hour XRP price briefly retested the upper level of the Symmetrical Triangle last week, but the coin ended up getting rejected. Since then, it has declined toward the midway line of the triangle. From this position, it’s hard to say which trendline the cryptocurrency will retest next, but it’s possible that the next few retests could end in a breakout, based on the asset’s advance within the channel. It’s visible in the chart that XRP isn’t far from the apex of the triangle, meaning that its range within the triangle has significantly tightened. Generally, a tighter range implies a higher chance of a breakout. As for what kind of move a breakout from this Symmetrical Triangle can lead to, the analyst has highlighted a potential 35% target based on the height of the channel. It now remains to be seen which way the price will escape from this triangle and whether a move of a scale anything like this will follow. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rally Stalls As 60,000 BTC From STHs Hits Exchanges In some other news, XRP saw its SuperTrend flip bullish on the daily timeframe recently, as Martinez has pointed out in another X post. This is the first time since January that the indicator has given this signal. “After months of “sell” pressure, we are officially seeing a buy signal that anticipates a major comeback in XRP’s trend,” explained the analyst. XRP Price XRP surged to $1.50 on Friday, but the cryptocurrency has since declined back to the $1.41 mark. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

The possibility of the XRP price trading at $100 in 2026 is very bleak, but one crypto pundit believes this can be possible if some dominoes fall one after another. The pundit laid out a seven-point scenario under which XRP could reach $100 before the year is out, a price target that would require the cryptocurrency to gain over 6,900% from current levels and push its market capitalization past $6 trillion. The Domino Theory Behind A $100 XRP Call The forecast of XRP hitting $100 in 2026, which was posted on X by an analyst going by the handle Pumpius, raises the question of what needs to happen for that future to arrive this fast. The post was structured as a conditional argument, a chain of events that must all occur for the target to be achievable.  The $100 target as a scenario dependent on a near-perfect convergence of institutional and regulatory forces. First, Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity service must see explosive global uptake, with banks and payment giants routing trillions in cross-border volume through the XRP Ledger.  Related Reading: The Hidden FVG Zone That Says Ethereum Price Could Rally To $10,000 Second, XRP spot ETFs must see billions pouring in weekly to transform the asset into an institutional holding comparable to Bitcoin and Ethereum. Interestingly, Spot XRP ETFs have shown some life recently. XRP ETFs recorded $55.39 million in net inflows in the previous week, the highest weekly total since mid-January.  The third condition on Pumpius’ list is full regulatory clarity, the CLARITY Act passing, more jurisdictions classifying XRP as a non-security, and partnerships at SWIFT scale worldwide. The SEC and CFTC jointly classified XRP as a digital commodity in March 2026. The remaining legislative piece, the CLARITY Act, pending a vote expected in April 2026, would, if passed, remove any remaining legal confusion. Conditions four through seven cover a tokenization boom on the XRP Ledger, a supply shock caused by whale accumulation and reduced escrow releases, a Bitcoin-led bull market supercycle where the leading cryptocurrency smashes new all-time highs, and a multiplication of Ripple’s institutional partnerships from 300 to thousands. Where The Math Breaks Down Each condition in isolation is at least theoretically plausible. For a $100 XRP price to materialize in 2026, all seven must converge simultaneously and at a scale that the cryptocurrency has never come close to demonstrating.  Related Reading: Bitwise Research Shows How Much Loss Your Bitcoin Incurs Depending On How Long You Hold At that price, XRP’s valuation would climb into the multi-trillion-dollar range, surpassing the size of any crypto asset seen so far. The market cap arithmetic alone is daunting. At $100 per token, XRP’s market cap would need to exceed $6 trillion, which is almost three times the total crypto market cap as it stands today. Most data-based forecasts for 2026 are far more conservative. For instance, Changelly’s prediction puts XRP ending the year somewhere around $2.40. Standard Chartered’s Geoffrey Kendrick, one of the more bullish institutional voices on XRP, also recently trimmed his 2026 target for XRP from $8 to $2.80. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

A bold XRP price forecast is gaining traction among community members, as an analyst predicts the cryptocurrency’s next moves in the coming weeks. The expert has mapped out an aggressive roadmap tied to a sequence of upcoming events, including the launch of X Money, which he expects could potentially drive XRP’s price toward $10. The projections also point to a much larger breakout phase, fueled by highly anticipated developments that could redefine the digital asset’s market position.  Related Reading: Bitcoin, Ethereum Trading Expands As Charles Schwab Enters Crypto Market X Money Projected To Drive XRP Price To $10  Crypto market expert The Real Remi Relief has released an incredibly bullish outlook for XRP, sharing his personal playbook for the cryptocurrency in the next few weeks. His forecast, delivered on X, links several upcoming developments to major price increases, suggesting that each milestone could push XRP into dramatically higher trading ranges. In his post, the first catalyst The Real Remi Relief highlighted is the launch of X Money, a developing financial ecosystem associated with Elon Musk’s X social media platform. According to the analyst’s outlook, if the platform rolls out within the next one to two weeks and generates demand for crypto payment assets, the XRP price could skyrocket to a range between $5 and $10.  Notably, X Money has already become a major topic of discussion in broader fintech and crypto circles due to Musk’s long-term ambition to turn the platform into a full financial hub. While official launch details remain limited, recent updates on its features suggest that the system could allow users to facilitate crypto payments and enable transfers between creators, merchants, and users within the X app. These reports have naturally fueled speculation in the crypto space, especially around whether digital assets like XRP or Dogecoin could eventually be integrated into X Money. Although no confirmed link has been established between XRP and the payment platform, the cryptocurrency continues to appear in discussions due to its ability to deliver fast and low-cost cross-border settlements. Some analysts also suggest that the hype and infrastructure overlap from X Money could drive the XRP price higher.  Other Catalysts That Could Boost XRP’s Value  In his post, The Real Remi Relief highlighted a second catalyst, pointing to a macroeconomic event known as the Reserve Carry Trade (RCT). This event involves rising oil prices and ongoing tensions in the Middle East, which could pressure Japan to raise interest rates to support the yen.  If this happens, investors who had been borrowing cheap yen may be forced to redirect capital into liquid, high-potential assets like XRP. The analyst’s projection suggests that this shift in global capital could flow heavily into XRP, potentially triggering a price surge to $50-$150.  Related Reading: BREAKING – Bitcoin Breaks $78K As Iran Reopens Strait Of Hormuz Concluding his forecast, the market expert believes that the upcoming CLARITY Act could ignite a massive price surge for XRP. He has projected a parabolic move toward $1,200 and $1,700, effectively launching XRP’s market value into the quadruple-digit territory.  Featured image from X/@MarioNawfal, chart from TradingView

XRP has followed the broader rebound in crypto markets as geopolitical conditions appear to be easing. With the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and the possibility—however uncertain—of progress toward an end to the Iran–US conflict, risk appetite has improved.  In that environment, XRP has surged and briefly pushed toward the $1.51 level on Friday for the first time in almost a month, alongside a set of catalysts that could determine whether the rally gains real momentum—or quickly unwinds. The Timeline That Could Make Or Break XRP In his latest report, market expert Sam Daodu points out that while the near-term outlook for XRP looks promising, it hinges on three dates coming up in the next two weeks. The first factor is tied to the macro story itself: a possible extension of the Iran–US ceasefire. The closest deadline is April 22, when the Iran ceasefire is set to expire.  Daodu links the timing of this expiry directly to market risk, arguing that if tensions return and the conflict resumes, the broader crypto market would probably fall again—dragging XRP down with it. Related Reading: Could Bitcoin Hit $90,000 And Trigger A New Altcoin Rally? Expert Cites 6 Major Catalysts The second major date is tied to US regulation, and it is arguably the bigger one for XRP’s longer-term recovery: the CLARITY Act markup that the Senate Banking Committee is targeting for late April.  If the CLARITY Act is delayed beyond May, he suggests the bill would likely be shelved until 2027. In that scenario, the expert asserts XRP would lose its biggest remaining catalyst for 2026.  The third key date is the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on April 28–29. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is widely expected to hold interest rates at 3.50%–3.75%.  Daodu argues that, on its own, the meeting may not move XRP much. The bigger issue is what happens if geopolitical risk and regulatory momentum both disappoint at the same time.  If the Iran ceasefire collapses and the CLARITY Act stalls, a hawkish surprise from the Fed would likely worsen conditions. In other words, it is not just each event standing alone; it is the interaction between them that could shape the next phase of the market. Potential Outcomes For The Next Two Weeks Against that backdrop, Daodu offers three price scenarios for XRP, framing them around what happens with the ceasefire, the CLARITY Act, and the broader market over roughly the next two weeks.  In his bullish case, XRP could move into a range of $1.50 to $1.90. That would depend on the Senate Banking Committee scheduling the CLARITY Act markup before the end of April and on the Iran ceasefire being extended beyond April 22.  Daodu believes XRP could aim for the 200-day moving average near $1.90 by May. Still, he cautions that reaching that point would require sustained ETF inflows and continued strength in Bitcoin (BTC). Related Reading: Circle (CRCL) Sued Over $280M Drift Protocol Hack—What Plaintiffs Claim In a base-case outlook, Daodu forecasts XRP trading between $1.35 and $1.50. This scenario assumes the ceasefire extends past April 22, but the CLARITY Act markup is pushed to May.  In the bearish scenario, Daodu sees the altcoin potentially falling into a range of $1.15 to $1.30. This would be triggered if the war resumes after April 22 and oil prices spike above $100 again, which would likely pressure the entire crypto market.  In that case, Daodu says a move back below $1.30 becomes more likely. If Bitcoin also breaks down below $70,000 at the same time, XRP could retest the $1.15 support area.  At the time of writing, the altcoin is trading at around $1.49, still recording major gains of 10% and 13% over the seven- and fourteen-day periods, respectively.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP has reclaimed key price levels and is now testing resistance as the market builds toward what looks like a decisive move. The price is accelerating — from $1.41 at the time of the data snapshot to past $1.45 shortly after — and the momentum is drawing attention. But an XWIN Research Japan analysis is arguing that the force behind this move is different from what has driven XRP rallies in the past, and that difference is worth understanding. Related Reading: XRP Volatility Just Hit A Multi-Year Low – Analysts Explain Something Is About To Change The report identifies what it describes as a rare structural divergence. In most crypto markets, exchange speculation dominates. Trading volumes on centralized exchanges typically run 10x, 20x, sometimes 50x higher than actual on-chain utility. The assumption baked into most crypto price analysis is that speculation is the engine and real use is the passenger. For XRP, that ratio has compressed to 1.75. On-chain settlement volume stands at 291 million XRP. Aggregate speculative volume sits at 510 million. The gap between the casino and the infrastructure has nearly disappeared. And in the context of how crypto markets normally operate, that is genuinely unusual. What it suggests is that the price is not being pushed by traders chasing momentum. It is being pulled by adoption. The network is being used at a scale that is nearly matching the volume being traded around it — and according to the analysis, that changes everything about what the current price level means. The Network Is Active. The Exchanges Are Nearly Empty The supporting data behind the speculation-to-utility ratio removes any ambiguity about what is driving the current XRP move. Active addresses on the XRP Ledger reached 17,329 in the past 24 hours — a reading that broke above the weekly average and confirms that network participation is genuinely expanding, not just speculative volume inflating the numbers. Real accounts are conducting real transactions. Then there is the Binance inflow figure, which is the most striking data point in the entire report. While 291 million XRP settled on the blockchain — institutional remittances, OTC transactions, custody movements — only 1.36 million XRP entered Binance. In markets where exchange inflow typically tracks or exceeds on-chain activity, this ratio now almost inverts. The overwhelming majority of XRP moving through the network is going nowhere near the sell side. Related Reading: Ethereum Buyers Dominate Like It’s 2021 – Find Out What Happens Next That is the supply shock the analysis has been building toward. When coins are being used for legitimate settlement and custody rather than deposited on exchanges to be sold, the available liquid supply tightens with every transaction. Selling pressure cannot come from coins that never arrive at exchanges. The report’s conclusion is direct: at $1.41, the price has not yet caught up to what the on-chain data is describing. The adjustment, it argues, is still in its early stages — and the network is already doing the work that makes it inevitable. XRP Stabilizes Below Key Resistance XRP’s higher-timeframe structure shows a market still in a corrective phase, but beginning to stabilize after an extended decline. Following the mid-2025 peak above $3.50, the price entered a sustained downtrend defined by consistent lower highs and a breakdown below the 100-day and 200-day moving averages. That trend accelerated into early 2026, culminating in a sharp selloff that briefly pushed XRP toward the $1.20 region, accompanied by a spike in volume that suggests capitulation. Since then, the price has shifted into a consolidation range between roughly $1.30 and $1.50. This range is forming just below the 200-day moving average, which continues to slope downward and acts as a key macro resistance level. The 50-day moving average has flattened and is beginning to curl upward, reflecting improving short-term momentum, but without yet confirming a structural reversal. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miners Are Choosing To Hold At $74K: Changing The Supply Picture Volume has declined steadily following the capitulation event, indicating reduced participation and a market in wait-and-see mode. The repeated defense of the $1.30 area points to emerging demand, while the inability to break above $1.50 highlights persistent overhead supply. This compression typically precedes expansion. A confirmed break above $1.50–$1.60 would signal a shift toward recovery, while a loss of $1.30 would likely resume the broader downtrend. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Crypto analyst Mattsby has highlighted the best chart for market participants seeking the clearest macro picture for XRP. He also provided a bullish outlook for the altcoin, noting that a key resistance is now flipping into support.  This Chart Paints The Best Macro Picture For XRP In an X post, Mattsby urged market participants to zoom out to the 2-month chart and add the 20SMA if they want to see the clear, well-defined macro trend for XRP. He noted that history shows that XRP has bullish momentum and room to run higher whenever it is above the 20SMA. On the other hand, the altcoin could be preparing for a potentially long, painful consolidation before the next big leg, as long as it remains below this level.  The analyst noted that XRP has been trading this key moving average since November 2024 and that what was once resistance is now flipping into solid support. He explained that this is why he is staying bullish on the altcoin despite the current price action. Mattsby added that support is holding and that the macro trend is intact.  Crypto analyst Chart Nerd also provided a bullish outlook for XRP. In an X post, he stated that after months of sustained pressure, multiple timeframes suggest bullish relief is on the table for XRP.  He highlighted $1.54 and $1.87 as levels the altcoin could reclaim during this relief rally. He also noted that $1.560 is the immediate resistance that XRP could face on this rally to the upside. It is worth noting that XRP is already seeing a relief rally, bouncing alongside Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.  XRP Still Trapped Below A Key Resistance In an X post, crypto analyst CasiTrades warned that XRP remains trapped below resistance, noting the altcoin has been ranging below $1.6 for over 68 days. In line with this, she declared that nothing has changed on the macro plan for XRP. It is worth noting that the analyst is currently bearish, predicting further crashes for the altcoin.  Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Says It’s Time To Swap Bitcoin For XRP, Here’s Why CasiTrades stated that, at the moment, there is a wait for XRP to do one of two things. The first could be a move down to the macro support levels at $1.09 and $0.87. Meanwhile, the second could be a break and hold above $1.65, which will flip the market bullish. Until then, she noted that the current price action is just continued chop, with XRP stuck in a tight range between $1.28 and $1.39. The analyst added that she expects continuation toward the lower supports once XRP breaks below $1.28.  At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.43, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Sketchfab, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP is holding just above $1.40 as the broader market searches for direction, with buyers and sellers locked in a standoff that has produced little more than sideways price action in recent sessions. The price is not breaking down — but it is not breaking out either. And according to an Arab Chain report, the numbers behind that stillness are telling a story of their own. Related Reading: XRP Whale Flows Hit 2021 Levels: Is History Repeating? The 30-day Realized Volatility Index for XRP on Binance has dropped to approximately 0.42 — its lowest reading since 2024. In practical terms, the price swings that characterized XRP throughout 2025 have largely disappeared. The explosive moves in both directions that defined last year’s market, coinciding with surges in momentum and speculative activity, have given way to something much quieter. That shift did not happen overnight. As 2026 began, volatility started declining steadily, and it has continued falling to the point where XRP is now moving within one of its narrowest ranges in over a year. For traders watching the chart, that calm might feel like the market losing interest. But in crypto, compressed volatility rarely stays compressed. The question is not whether the quiet ends — it almost always does — but whether it ends with a move up or a move down, and what the setup looks like when it does. The Calm Before the Next Move When volatility compresses to multi-year lows, it rarely means the market has lost interest. More often, it means participants are waiting — holding positions, watching for a catalyst, and unwilling to commit capital aggressively in either direction until something gives them a reason to. That is the environment XRP appears to be navigating right now. The Arab Chain analysis describes the current decline in volatility as a reflection of temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers. Neither side is dominant. There is no sustained pressure driving price lower, but there is equally no surge in demand pushing it meaningfully higher. The result is the narrow, directionless range that has defined XRP’s price action in recent sessions — not a sign of strength or weakness, but a market holding its breath. That kind of consolidation phase is a familiar setup in crypto. It tends to precede larger moves precisely because the compression of volatility is finite. As the range narrows and trading activity thins out, the eventual catalyst — whether it comes from a macro development, a shift in sentiment, or a change in on-chain dynamics — hits a market with less resistance and tends to produce sharper price reactions than it would in a more active environment. XRP at $1.40, moving within a tight band with volatility at a two-year low, is a market in the waiting room. What it is waiting for is the part the data cannot yet answer. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miners Are Choosing To Hold At $74K: Changing The Supply Picture XRP Price Compresses Below Key Averages as Market Awaits Direction XRP’s price structure reflects a prolonged downtrend transitioning into compression rather than immediate recovery. After peaking above $3.00 in mid-2025, the asset established a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows, reinforced by the downward slope of the 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages. The sharp selloff in early February 2026, accompanied by a significant spike in volume, marked a capitulation event that reset positioning and forced weaker hands out of the market. Since that flush, price action has stabilized around the $1.30–$1.45 range, forming a tight consolidation base just above recent lows. This range-bound behavior is notable because it occurs beneath all major moving averages, indicating that the broader trend remains bearish despite short-term stability. However, the compression itself suggests a reduction in volatility and a temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miners Are Choosing To Hold At $74K: Changing The Supply Picture Volume has declined steadily following the February spike, reinforcing the idea that participation has dropped and the market is waiting for a catalyst. The repeated defense of the $1.30 area indicates emerging demand, but the lack of higher highs limits bullish confirmation. Structurally, this is a coiling phase. A break above $1.50 would signal early strength, while a loss of $1.30 would likely resume the broader downtrend. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP may appear stuck in a frustrating range, but beneath the surface, important signals are beginning to take shape. As prices compress and key levels hold, shifting momentum and developing patterns suggest that a larger move could be building just out of sight. 68 Days Of Consolidation: XRP Still Stuck Below Resistance XRP continues to navigate a period of significant stagnation, now marking its 68th consecutive day ranging below a primary resistance level. According to analyst CasiTrades, while the daily price action may feel volatile to some, the overarching macro perspective remains unchanged. The asset is currently caught in a prolonged phase of sideways movement, designed to test the patience of investors before a decisive trend is established. Related Reading: XRP Price Gains Strength, Is a Bigger Rally Brewing? Two potential macro scenarios currently dictate the path forward for XRP. To flip the market bullish, the asset needs to achieve a clean break and hold above the $1.65 level, which aligns with the .618 Fibonacci retracement. Conversely, if the market loses its current footing, the analyst is watching for a deeper correction into macro support zones located at $1.09 and $0.87, representing the .786 and .854 levels, respectively. On a more local timeframe, XRP is effectively trapped within a very tight corridor that is generating significant market chop. A floor of support defines this immediate range at $1.28 and a ceiling of resistance at $1.39.  A critical pivot point to watch is the $1.28 local support. CasiTrades suggests that if this level fails to hold, the market should expect a swift continuation toward the deeper macro supports mentioned previously. Until then, the current environment remains a test of discipline, with the analyst maintaining that the broader plan is simply waiting for the inevitable breakout. Bullish Divergence Indicates Momentum Shift In a recent XRP update, analyst JD highlighted the formation of a potential bullish divergence developing alongside a falling wedge pattern, two technical signals that often point toward a possible trend reversal. The structure suggests that despite the ongoing consolidation, underlying momentum may be quietly shifting in favor of the bulls. Related Reading: XRP Coil Nears Snap While Breakdown Confirms Bearish Momentum According to JD, a confirmed breakout from the falling wedge, particularly if supported by a surge in volume, could act as a strong catalyst for upside expansion. In that scenario, price is expected to move toward the updated green box target zone, where significant profit-taking is planned, similar to the move toward $3.37. On the flip side, if XRP breaks out and taps into the pink box zone, it could present a high-conviction accumulation opportunity. Such a move would likely be used to build larger positions, positioning for a potential breakout and sustained rally once the broader structure resolves. Featured image from Pxfuel, chart from Tradingview.com

As the global financial system moves toward greater efficiency, interoperability, and real-time settlement, the infrastructure behind domestic payments is undergoing a profound transformation. Governments and institutions are setting ambitious 2030 targets to modernize payment systems. In this evolving landscape, Ripple Payments is increasingly being positioned as a technology capable of supporting the next generation of domestic financial rails. Where Ripple Payments Is Already Being Implemented Ripple payments are positioned to support the domestic payment standards set by the G20 for 2030. A technical analyst known as ChartNerd on X has noted that the G20 overview for those standards requires cost, speed, efficiency, and access. Meanwhile, these are the same areas where Ripple technology and XRP are designed to thrive and deliver. Related Reading: Ripple Pushes XRP Global With Multi-Continent Expansion Drive By 2027, the G20 aims for 75% of cross-border transactions to be completed within one hour, while reducing the global average transaction cost to not more than one cent. At the same time, 90% 0f individuals worldwide are expected to have access to cross-border remittance payments, and at least with one service provider.  Transparency is also a major requirement. All payment providers must clearly disclose the total transaction costs, enable payment tracking, and specify the exact time to deliver funds. In 2025, both RippleNet and Stellar were recognized by the Faster Payments System (FPS) as innovative payment solutions. Pioneering Korea’s First Tokenized Government Bond Settlement Ripple and Kyobo Life Insurance are stepping in to pioneer Korea’s first tokenized government bond settlement. According to Chad Steingraber’s post, Kyobo Life and Ripple will actively assess the technical and regulatory feasibility of tokenized treasury settlement in Korea’s financial ecosystem. Related Reading: Ripple Makes A $13 Trillion Bet With This Move, And XRP Price Could Be Set To Explode At the core of this initiative is Ripple Custody, which will provide a secure, compliant foundation for holding, transferring, and settling tokenized assets. Instead of relying on fragmented and manual bond settlement processes, the partner introduces transparent on-chain execution. Over time, this infrastructure can integrate with broader capabilities across payments, liquidity, and treasury management. Steingraber emphasized that this initiative provides a clear blueprint for how regulated financial institutions can adopt digital asset infrastructure. Starting with custody, the model expands into tokenization and on-chain settlement. This partnership demonstrates how blockchain technology can fundamentally modernize government bond settlement in Korea. By settling transactions simultaneously, settlement cycles can move from the typical two-day settlement timeline to real-time execution, thereby limiting counterparty risk and improving capital efficiency. Additionally, Ripple will support Kyobo in exploring stablecoin-based payment rails, enabling 24/7 transaction capability within a compliant, regulated framework. Steingraber views this move as an alignment with Kyobo Life’s broader strategy to accelerate digital transformation and enhance operational efficiency through next-generation financial infrastructure. Featured image from Peakpx, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP is struggling to reclaim higher prices. The market is uncertain. Bitcoin is testing resistance. And the largest XRP holders on Binance have gone quieter than at any point in four years — which, in markets, is rarely a neutral condition. Related Reading: Ethereum Profit-Loss Indicator Is Hovering Just Below Neutral – The Market Waits for A Catalyst An Arab Chain report tracking large-holder behavior on Binance has identified a withdrawal pattern that stands out precisely because of how little of it there is. Whale outflows from the platform have dropped to approximately 1.08 billion XRP — the lowest reading since 2021. The large-scale XRP transfers that characterized previous periods of elevated activity have nearly stopped. The coins are staying on the exchange. The holders are not moving. That behavioral shift carries two possible interpretations, and the current data does not yet resolve which one is correct. The first is caution: major investors have adopted a wait-and-see posture, reducing activity while the market waits for clarity on Bitcoin’s resistance test and the broader macro direction. The second is anticipation: the same inactivity that typically precedes periods of renewed whale activity has settled over the market, and the stillness is a pause before the next decisive move rather than an absence of conviction. Four years of context says this silence does not last indefinitely. What breaks it — and which direction it breaks toward — is the question the current data is building toward. Price and Whales Are Moving in the Same Direction The analysis adds a dimension that sharpens the interpretation of the withdrawal decline. XRP trading near $1.33 while whale withdrawals sit at a four-year low is not a coincidence of timing — it is a synchronicity that speaks to the underlying dynamic. When large holders reduce their off-exchange activity during a period of price decline, it can mean one of two things: institutional interest is genuinely contracting alongside the price, or institutional holders are absorbing the decline without responding to it — waiting rather than exiting. The distinction between those two readings matters enormously for the forward outlook. Contraction suggests the withdrawal decline reflects reduced conviction from the participants who matter most. Absorption suggests it reflects patience — large holders watching the price fall without feeling the urgency to act in either direction. The report identifies the current phase as consistent with the second reading. The decline in whale withdrawals to a four-year low is named as a period of relative calm in the movements of major investors — the specific behavioral state that tends to appear before larger price movements rather than after them. Whales reduce activity when awaiting clarity, not when abandoning positions. The historical pattern the report references is precise: phases of suppressed whale activity are commonly observed before significant directional moves, with whale participation gradually returning as market conditions provide the catalyst that resolves the waiting posture. The withdrawal silence is not the absence of whale conviction. It is the expression of it, held in reserve until the market gives them a reason to act. Related Reading: XRP Has Not Been This Illiquid Since 2021: The Setup Nobody Is Talking About XRP Remains Compressed as Downtrend Loses Momentum XRP continues to trade near the $1.35 level, holding a narrow consolidation range after the sharp February capitulation. The chart reflects a clear shift from directional selling to sideways compression, with price fluctuating between approximately $1.25 and $1.45 over the past several weeks. Despite this stabilization, the broader structure remains bearish. XRP is still trading below the 50-day (blue), 100-day (green), and 200-day (red) moving averages, all trending downward. This alignment confirms that the primary trend has not reversed, and any upside attempts remain corrective within a larger downtrend. The 50-day average continues to act as immediate resistance, capping short-term rallies. Related Reading: Ethereum Profit-Loss Indicator Is Hovering Just Below Neutral – The Market Waits for A Catalyst Volume dynamics provide additional context. The February sell-off was accompanied by a significant spike in volume, suggesting forced liquidations and panic-driven selling. Since then, volume has declined steadily, indicating reduced participation and a lack of strong conviction from buyers. Structurally, XRP is forming a base, but without confirmation. The repeated defense of the $1.25–$1.30 zone shows demand is present, yet insufficient to drive a breakout. A move above $1.50 would be required to shift momentum, while a break below support could trigger another leg lower. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

One analyst on social media platform X has taken the optimism on XRP to an extreme, arguing that a $1,000 XRP price is no longer a stretch scenario but something that is almost certain within the next year. The claim arrives at an unusual moment. XRP has not had a green month since September 2025, and the cryptocurrency is currently trading around $1.35, down 63% from its $3.65 all-time high. Here’s Why XRP Will Reach $1,000 A crypto analyst known as Pumpius on X has outlined a powerful bull case for XRP, declaring it almost certain that the cryptocurrency’s price will reach $1,000 by 2027. The foundation of the analyst’s argument begins with a factor that has defined XRP’s recent trajectory, which is the resolution of its long-running legal battle with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.  Related Reading: It’s Too Early For A Bitcoin Price Bottom, Here’s What You Should Be Looking At According to Pumpius, the case closing in 2025 removed a barrier that had suppressed institutional participation for years, effectively repositioning XRP alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum as a compliant digital asset. On March 17, the SEC and the CTFC issued new guidance formally classifying XRP as a digital commodity, also ending the legal overhang that had persisted since 2020. Spot XRP exchange-traded funds arrived shortly after. Seven spot XRP ETFs are now live, holding combined assets under management around $1 billion. The early months were stronger; total assets under management in these ETFs peaked at $1.24 billion in January 2026. Outside regulatory clarity, the analyst pointed to continued expansion from Ripple as a major factor behind the bullish outlook. Over the past year, Ripple has leaned deeper into institutional finance, strengthening its positioning through acquisitions. Developments connected to RLUSD, Ripple’s stablecoin initiative, alongside growing activity on the XRP Ledger, were also presented as evidence that the network is growing past simple payments. Can XRP Realistically Reach $1,000 By 2027? According to Pumpius, macro winds are perfect for XRP to reach $1,000 by 2027. Pro-crypto rules, banks jumping in and altcoin season rotation all line up. Bitcoin ETFs showed the path. XRP brings efficiency plus real-world breakthroughs like DNA. Related Reading: Why A Bitcoin Price Breakdown To $50,000 Could Be Important For Long-Term Bullishness Speaking of DNA, this is in reference to the integration of DNA Protocol, which introduces zero-knowledge proof functionality to the XRP Ledger. The DNA Protocol lets people tokenize their own genetic data, KYC credentials and personal identity into private portable tokens. This functionality with billions of users could dramatically increase demand for the network if adopted at scale. This, in turn, would create utility that multiplies the cryptocurrency’s value.  Despite the conviction behind the forecast, reaching $1,000 from current price levels around $1.35 to $1,000 is a 74,000% increase, and this comes with many challenges. At a circulating supply of over 61.4 billion tokens, such a move would imply a market cap of $61.4 trillion, far exceeding the entire GDP of the United States. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Institutional demand for XRP is slowly creeping back in recent days. Inflows into Spot XRP ETFs in the US are picking up pace, even with price action still subdued under $1.4. Notably, the latest ETF data shows that a measurable portion of the token’s circulating supply is already being absorbed by these investment vehicles.  ETFs Now Hold A Measurable Slice Of XRP Supply March was a particularly difficult period for Spot XRP ETFs, with SoSoValue data showing $31.16 million in net outflows for the month. Total XRP assets under management dropped from a January peak of $1.65 billion to below $1 billion due to a combination of XRP’s price falling over 40% and actual investor redemptions. Related Reading: Pundit Says XRP Won’t Reach $10,000 The Way You Think, Here’s How It Will Happen However, Spot XRP ETFs have now returned to measurable inflows. According to data from SoSoValue, US-listed spot XRP ETFs attracted $9.1 million in net inflows on April 10. This is their strongest single-day intake since February 6, when $15.2 million flowed into the products, and is a sign of new capital entering the XRP ecosystem through institutional investors after months of suspension. Since launch, Spot XRP ETFs have received a cummulative $1.22 billion in net inflows. Therefore, the scale of XRP accumulation in these ETFs is no longer negligible. Data shows that as of April 14, seven spot XRP ETFs are trading in the United States, with the products collectively holding 771.7 million XRP tokens and a combined AUM of about $959.40 million. The funds now represent approximately 1.16% of XRP’s market capitalization. Why ETF Accumulation Matters For Price Structure ETF flows are increasingly becoming one of the most important variables in XRP’s market structure. Whenever inflows rise, ETFs must acquire XRP from the market, and this effectively makes them a consistent source of demand. Related Reading: Why XRP Price Is About To Stage The Breakout Of The Decade Furthermore, XRP tokens that go into ETFs are typically held for longer durations compared to retail trading activity. This, in turn, creates a supply sink that can influence price dynamics, especially if inflows continue. For context, exchange-held XRP dropped 45% from 3.95 billion to 2.6 billion over the course of 2025, the lowest level since 2018, leaving an already thin order book sensitive to an increase in demand. A Coinbase and EY-Parthenon survey of 351 institutional investors found that 25% plan to add XRP to their portfolios in 2026 and 18% already hold it, but 65% of those respondents identified regulatory clarity as the single biggest factor holding them back from increasing their crypto exposure. The passage of the CLARITY Act is currently the most important regulatory factor. Spot XRP ETFs could grow to about $5 billion in AUM if the legislation clears the Senate Banking Committee, which is targeting a markup vote in the second half of April. A hypothetical growth of these ETFs to $5 billion in AUM would lock about 2.5 billion tokens, more XRP than every crypto exchange combined holds at present. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto analyst Stephanie has stated that XRP is at a critical decision point, noting that the altcoin could still rally to $2. She also outlined the bearish scenario, in which XRP could still drop below the psychological $1 level.  How XRP Could Rally To $2 As Price Is At A Decision Point In an X post, Stephanie stated that XRP is a decision point, with a multi-timeframe breakdown forming. She noted tight consolidation, with pressure building on the 4-hour timeframe. Meanwhile, there is a descending wedge on the daily chart, while on the weekly, the price is sitting at major support with an RSI reset underway.  Related Reading: Why XRP Price Is About To Stage The Breakout Of The Decade The analyst stated that this is compression before expansion, which could trigger a bullish move. For the bullish trigger, XRP needs to break and hold $1.42, $1.45, and $1.60, which could then lead to a ‘fast’ rally to $2. However, there is also a bearish risk, as a liquidity sweep toward $1 and $0.90 could occur if XRP loses the range between $1.30 and $1.25.  Commenting on the current XRP price action, Stephanie noted that the altcoin has been stuck in chop for months. However, she said that this setup is tighter than before, signaling that a big move is on the horizon. As such, the analyst remarked that it is not a matter of if, but of when and in what direction the altcoin will go.  She alluded to the CLARITY Act, which she suggested could be a catalyst for XRP’s next move, as this week could prove pivotal for the crypto bill. Stephanie added that the market will not wait for the bill to pass before it reacts and that it could do so as soon as the bill’s markup is scheduled.  Now May Be A Good Entry Point On-chain analytics platform Santiment suggested that now may be a good low-risk entry point for those looking to invest in XRP. This came as the platform cited its weekly social data, which shows that FUD for XRP is at its third-highest level in the past two years. The altcoin notably rebounded at its first and second-highest points of this FUD over the last two years.  Related Reading: Crypto Expert Predicts A New XRP All-Time High Is In Sight As These 3 Technicals Align Santiment noted that, historically, when this level of bearish commentary replaces bullish comments, the probability of a relief rally increases significantly. They added that price moves in the opposite direction of the crowd’s expectations. As such, with retail investors currently bearish on XRP after a 63% price drop over the last 9 months, this may be the kind of signal that helps investors capitalize on their bearishness.  At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.36, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP is pushing against demand levels as the market finds some relief. The attempt is real. The market it is happening in has not been this thin since 2021 — and that changes what the push actually means. Related Reading: Ethereum Profit-Loss Indicator Is Hovering Just Below Neutral – The Market Waits for A Catalyst An Arab Chain report tracking XRP’s liquidity structure on Binance has identified a condition that reframes the current price action from both directions simultaneously. The liquidity index has fallen to approximately 0.053 — its lowest reading since 2021 — while the 30-day trading volume has contracted to approximately 3.77 billion XRP, one of the lowest levels recorded in recent years. The market is operating with a fraction of the participation that characterized XRP’s most active periods. That thinness is the context that makes the current relief attempt both fragile and potentially powerful. In a liquid market, the push above demand levels requires sustained, deep buying to hold. In a market this thin, the same move requires far less buying to succeed — because there is far less selling available to absorb. The order book that would normally resist a breakout has been depleted to a four-year low. XRP pushing above demand levels in a near-empty market is not the same as pushing above demand levels in a full one. The entry conditions are different. So is the potential outcome. The Price and the Liquidity Are Telling the Same Story. Neither Is Comfortable The Arab Chain analysis connects the liquidity reading to the price action in a way that is more precise than it initially appears. XRP trading near $1.33 with limited price movements is not a coincidence alongside the lowest liquidity reading since 2021 — it is a direct consequence of it. Thin markets produce narrow ranges. When fewer participants are present, and trading volumes are compressed, the forces required to move the price in either direction are reduced — but so is the market’s ability to sustain any move that does begin. The quiet is structural, not accidental. The report identifies this condition as reflective of a specific investor posture: caution combined with anticipation. Holders are not acting. They are watching. The market has reached a state of suspension where the absence of catalysts has produced the absence of activity — and the absence of activity has produced the absence of volatility. Each condition reinforces the others. What the report identifies as the defining characteristic of this phase is its temporary nature. Liquidity at four-year lows does not persist indefinitely. Markets in suspension eventually find a catalyst — macro clarity, a demand surge, a shift in institutional positioning — that breaks the equilibrium and ends the quiet. When that catalyst arrives in a market this thin, the response will not be gradual. The depth that would normally absorb and slow a directional move has been removed. What replaces quiet in a near-empty market is not noise. It is movement — and at current liquidity levels, the scale of that movement will be determined less by the size of the catalyst than by the absence of resistance to it. Related Reading: A Historic Ethereum Signal Just Fired – Discover What Happens Next XRP Pushes Higher Within a Weak Structure XRP is attempting a modest recovery, trading near $1.37 after weeks of compression following the February breakdown. The chart shows a clear transition from aggressive selling into a tight consolidation range between roughly $1.25 and $1.45. This range defines the current structure, with price repeatedly testing the upper boundary but failing to generate follow-through. Despite the recent push, the broader trend remains bearish. XRP continues to trade below the 50-day (blue), 100-day (green), and 200-day (red) moving averages, all trending downward. The 50-day average is now acting as immediate resistance, capping short-term upside attempts and reinforcing the presence of overhead supply. Related Reading: Ethereum Mirrors A 2023 Setup As Buyers Take Control Of Derivatives On Binance Volume dynamics provide important context. The February capitulation event, marked by a sharp spike in volume, suggests forced liquidations that likely cleared weak hands. Since then, volume has declined steadily, indicating reduced participation rather than strong accumulation. Structurally, XRP is showing signs of stabilization but not strength. The repeated inability to break above $1.45 highlights a lack of conviction from buyers. A confirmed shift in momentum would require a sustained move above $1.50, while a break below $1.25 would expose the market to another leg lower. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP sentiment among retail investors has declined to severe lows as fear and doubt continue to plague the market. The cryptocurrency has seen continuous declines in its price since reaching a high above $3 in 2025. This poor performance has triggered rapid sell-offs and weakened XRP’s market structure to the point that its short-term direction remains uncertain. Nevertheless, new reports suggest that XRP is now sitting at sentiment levels that previously preceded massive price rallies. If historical trends repeat perfectly, the cryptocurrency could be gearing up for a highly anticipated price reversal.  Sentiment Hit Levels Tied To Past Rallies In an X post on April 13, the market intelligence platform Santiment disclosed that XRP’s Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt (FUD) has reached its third-highest level in the past two years. Retail investors appear to be shifting away from the cryptocurrency as its price has continued to trend downward and consolidate at lower levels for months.  Related Reading: It’s Too Early For A Bitcoin Price Bottom, Here’s What You Should Be Looking At Interestingly, Santiment’s data shows that the rising fear and uncertainty over XRP’s price outlook may not be entirely negative. In the X post, Santiment noted that historically, when bullish comments about XRP get replaced by this high level of bearishness, the probability of a relief rally increases significantly. The market intelligence platform noted that the reason for this contradictory reaction is that prices tend to move in the opposite direction of the crowd’s expectations. The accompanying chart shows that in February 2025, XRP experienced similar levels of bearishness and then rebounded sharply. The same trend was observed in October 2025, before the cryptocurrency skyrocketed.  With most retail investors finally turning their backs on XRP after it crashed by more than 63% in nine months, Santiment reveals that this kind of signal could be capitalized on if investors wait longer. If historical trends play out as the market intelligence platform suggests, then XRP could be preparing for a major bullish reversal soon.  XRP Sparks Another Brief Rally XRP has experienced a brief bounce, climbing more than 3% in the last 24 hours and over 4% over the past seven days. However, this increase has been unable to drive its price back toward the $1.4 resistance level.  Related Reading: Why A Bitcoin Price Breakdown To $50,000 Could Be Important For Long-Term Bullishness Data from CoinMarketCap shows that the XRP price rose this week primarily due to a broader crypto rally led by Bitcoin. The surge in Bitcoin’s price was fueled by dovish signals from the Bank of Japan (BOJ) that slightly eased macro pressure on risk assets.   Aside from these developments, XRP currently lacks strong bullish catalysts to drive its price higher. The cryptocurrency’s weak structure, combined with ongoing geopolitical tensions, has been a major contributor to investors’ negative sentiment and growing panic.  Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com