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Ethereum’s price has seen a moderate recovery over the past week, tracking closely with the broader crypto market’s positive momentum. At the time of writing, ETH is trading at $1,820, reflecting a 3.3% increase over the last seven days and a 2.5% gain in the past 24 hours. While the asset remains well below its all-time highs, this gradual rise suggests a potential shift in sentiment among investors. The latest on-chain insights from CryptoQuant point to a notable trend developing within Ethereum’s staking ecosystem. Related Reading: Ethereum ‘Insanely Undervalued’ As Accumulation Addresses Keep Stacking – Is A Rally Imminent? Post-Pectra Staking Activity Marks Sentiment Shift According to analyst Kripto Mevsimi, the post-Pectra upgrade period has been marked by a reversal in staking flows. After a brief pullback ahead of the network update, ETH holders appear to be returning to staking, with fresh inflows suggesting renewed interest and confidence in Ethereum’s long-term direction. Mevsimi’s analysis shows that between November 16 and February 15, before the Pectra upgrade was publicly announced, Ethereum’s total staked supply dropped by over 1 million ETH. This retreat likely reflected investor uncertainty surrounding the update and broader market conditions. However, from mid-February to mid-May, staked ETH has increased by approximately 627,000 ETH, signaling a return of staking activity following Pectra’s implementation. The upgrade itself introduced important validator improvements and flexibility enhancements, including EIP-7002, which some analysts believe may pave the way for institutional adoption or potential ETF alignment. The renewed staking trend, while not yet dramatic in scale, appears to indicate an early phase of repositioning within the Ethereum ecosystem. Mevsimi suggests that this could mark the beginning of institutional preparation or a broader reassessment of Ethereum’s staking value proposition. With regulatory clarity still developing and macroeconomic uncertainty in play, the future of this trend remains fluid. However, the behavioral pivot post-upgrade may reflect strengthening structural support for Ethereum as a network. Ethereum Fee Revenue Declines Despite Price Recovery While staking metrics suggest a shift toward renewed engagement, Ethereum’s on-chain activity presents a more cautious picture. In a separate update, CryptoQuant analyst Carmelo Alemán highlighted a steep drop in the network’s fee revenue. Data from the Ethereum: fees (Total) metric reveals that daily fees have plummeted from 5,646 ETH on November 13, 2024, to just 292 ETH by May 6, 2025—a 94.82% decline. This dramatic reduction in fee generation impacts validators directly, as it lowers rewards tied to securing the network. Alemán notes that the decline may also be linked to reduced demand for block space, fewer transactions, or increasing user migration to Layer 2 platforms such as Arbitrum, Optimism, or zkSync, where fees are typically much lower. Related Reading: Ethereum Spot Volume Declines While Long-Term Holders Continue Accumulating The contrast between rising staking activity and declining fee revenue highlights a complex environment in which investors appear confident in Ethereum’s long-term potential despite a near-term slowdown in on-chain engagement. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

#bitcoin #crypto #btc #crypto market #bitcoin market #bitcoin news #cryptoquant #btcusdt

Bitcoin is currently trading just under the $100,000 psychological threshold, maintaining a sideways trajectory in recent weeks. At the time of writing, the asset trades at $97,005, reflecting a modest 2.6% gain over the past seven days and a 3.3% increase in the last 24 hours. While volatility remains subdued, recent on-chain data highlights a steady rise in investor activity that could hint at future price movement. Related Reading: Bitcoin In The Middle Of A Decision Point, Analyst Says—Here’s Why Bitcoin Investor Confidence Reflected in On-Chain Metrics CryptoQuant contributor Carmelo Alemán has outlined an ongoing trend that points to sustained investor interest. In a recent QuickTake post, Alemán noted that Bitcoin’s Realized Cap, representing the aggregate value of coins based on their last movement, has reached an all-time high for the third consecutive week. The metric, calculated by multiplying each unspent transaction output (UTXO) by its purchase price, rose to $890.7 billion, indicating growing capital inflow into the asset. According to Alemán, the consistent climb in Bitcoin’s Realized Cap demonstrates a continuation of accumulation by both long-term and short-term holders. The increased capital invested in BTC over the past few weeks suggests that market participants are positioning themselves for a potential price breakout. This pattern of capital inflow may be laying the groundwork for a stronger bullish phase if sustained investment continues. Long-Term Holders (LTHs) and Short-Term Holders (STHs) appear to be increasing their stakes during this consolidation period. Alemán emphasized that the rising Realized Cap does more than reflect price, as it also captures market conviction. The metric signals a growing belief in Bitcoin’s longer-term value proposition when paired with steady accumulation trends. If historical patterns repeat, the market may be in the early stages of forming a new uptrend. Coinbase Premium Gap Signals Localized Pressure Despite the on-chain optimism, other indicators suggest reasons for caution. Another CryptoQuant analyst, Abramchart, recently highlighted the Coinbase Premium Gap as a sign of regional bearish sentiment. The gap, which was at -5.07 at the time of reporting, means Bitcoin is trading lower on Coinbase, an exchange largely dominated by US investors, compared to global platforms. This negative gap is often interpreted as an indicator of selling pressure from American participants. Abramchart noted that although the premium had previously recovered, the recent decline aligns with Bitcoin’s failure to push beyond the $97,000 level. Persistent negative values in the premium gap typically signal weak demand in the US market, which could act as a headwind to upward momentum. If the gap continues to trend downward, it may reinforce current price stagnation despite broader accumulation trends. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

#crypto #usdt #tron #altcoin #trx #crypto market #cryptoquant #tronusdt

TRON’s native token, TRX, has reflected the broader market’s recent sluggishness, with minimal movement over the past weeks. The token recorded a marginal 0.2% decline over the last seven days and is currently trading at approximately $0.2451, showing a 1.8% decrease in the last 24 hours. Despite this muted price activity, TRON’s network fundamentals suggest underlying stability and continued operational efficiency. Related Reading: Is It Time For Altcoin Season? Bitcoin Dominance Rises To Major Rejection Zone TRON Super Representative Signals Active Governance According to recent insights from CryptoQuant’s research team, TRON’s blockchain infrastructure has consistently produced 99.7% of its expected 28,800 blocks per day, demonstrating strong reliability. This performance contrasts with earlier years, particularly 2020 to 2021, when block production experienced greater volatility. The team attributes this improvement to the effectiveness of TRON’s Super Representative (SR) system and the maturation of its delegated proof-of-stake (DPoS) consensus mechanism. The report further highlights that the number of SRs has remained relatively stable, with 30 different SRs contributing in 2025 so far.  Of these, 24 SRs were responsible for just over 3.7% of total block production. Comparatively, there were 34 active SRs during the same period in 2020, with a similar share of block production.  However, the composition of these SRs has changed significantly. Roughly 68% of the SRs active in 2020 are no longer producing blocks today, replaced by newer participants. This dynamic rotation of block producers reflects decentralization and ongoing community participation in TRON’s governance structure. $1B in USDT Minted as Network Sees Increased Institutional Demand Alongside its stable network performance, TRON recently witnessed a major liquidity event. On May 5, 2025, Tether Treasury minted $1 billion worth of USDT on the TRON blockchain, continuing a pattern of large-scale stablecoin issuance on the network. CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha emphasized that these mints are not speculative but are backed by verified fiat deposits, typically from large-scale investment funds or over-the-counter (OTC) trading desks. The influx suggests significant institutional interest, with funds likely earmarked for crypto market activity. Related Reading: TRON Accumulation Phase Detected—Major Price Surge Coming Taha explained that TRON’s appeal lies in its cost-effective and fast transaction capabilities. These attributes make it an ideal network for executing large USDT transfers efficiently, especially in use cases like cross-border remittances, high-frequency trading, and arbitrage. The analyst also noted that TRON-based USDT is particularly popular in Asia, where access to traditional financial rails can be limited. As such, the $1 billion mint highlights TRON’s growing role as a hub for global crypto liquidity. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

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Ethereum (ETH) seems to have extended its period of price stagnation, trading at $1,770 at the time of writing. The asset has dropped by 3% over the past week and 1.6% in the past 24 hours, continuing its broader corrective trend after reaching a cycle high of $4,107 in December 2024. Although price movement has been limited, on-chain data suggests that certain underlying shifts could influence market behavior in the near term. Related Reading: Ethereum Breaks Massive Downtrend Price Structure – Momentum Shift? Ethereum Sees Plunge In Spot Volume CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost has reported that Ethereum’s spot volume is experiencing a consistent decline. His analysis focuses on a bubble chart that visualizes two dimensions: the size of each bubble represents spot volume, and its color indicates the volume change rate. According to the data, the bubbles have become progressively smaller and lighter in color, indicating that fewer trades are being conducted and that the pace of decline in volume is slowing. While declining spot volume may traditionally be viewed as a sign of reduced investor interest or weak momentum, Darkfost interprets it differently in the context of a market correction. He suggests that a decline in spot volume during a downtrend can act as a stabilizing force, potentially reducing the likelihood of sharp volatility spikes caused by large sell orders. Lower volume during a corrective phase could mean that sellers are exhausting their positions or stepping aside, creating conditions for price consolidation. This can ease the intensity of downward pressure and potentially pave the way for a more balanced market structure in the short term. However, Darkfost was cautious in his interpretation, noting that cooling volume doesn’t necessarily mean the market has bottomed out. Instead, it could simply mark a temporary pause in volatility before the next move. Long-Term Holders Increase Exposure Despite Unrealized Losses Meanwhile, in a separate update, CryptoQuant analyst Carmelo Alemán explored Ethereum’s long-term holder behavior and revealed that many ETH investors continue to accumulate, even while sitting in unrealized losses. Accumulation addresses, defined as wallets that consistently receive ETH without significant selling, are generally seen as strong hands with longer investment horizons. According to Alemán, March 10 marked a pivotal moment when the average realized price of accumulation addresses fell below ETH’s market price, pushing these wallets into negative territory. Related Reading: Ethereum Holders Stay Committed Despite Unrealized Losses – Signs Of An Incoming Rally? Despite this, the data shows that accumulating addresses have increased their balances by over 22% between March and early May, growing from 15.5 million ETH to 19 million ETH. This behavior reflects strong conviction and suggests that long-term holders believe Ethereum is undervalued at current prices. Historically, such accumulation during downturns has preceded upward price movements, as reduced supply on the market creates favorable conditions for a rally when demand returns. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

#crypto #tron #altcoin #crypto market #cryptoquant #trxusdt

Despite ongoing consolidation across the broader crypto market, Tron (TRX) has managed to maintain a steady upward trajectory. The token has recorded a 2.6% increase over the past two weeks and is currently trading at $0.2495, reflecting a 0.7% uptick in the last 24 hours. This relative strength comes at a time when several major altcoins are experiencing muted price action. Tron’s stability amid broader volatility has drawn the attention of market participants analyzing on-chain dynamics for insight into potential future moves. Related Reading: Tron And Bitcoin: Will A Block Reward Cut Boost TRX Price? Tron On-Chain Trends Suggest Network Consolidation According to a recent analysis by CryptoQuant contributor BorisVest, the Tron network is currently signaling an accumulation phase. In a report titled “Tron Network Signals Accumulation Phase Amid Decreased Activity,” the analyst outlines a number of on-chain indicators that support this conclusion. Most notably, the number of new wallets and transaction fees on the network has declined, pointing to a cooldown in network activity. However, rather than indicating weakness, BorisVest interprets this as a pause in active participation as the network consolidates. BorisVest notes that the Tron network experienced a spike in complex transactions and gas usage during its recent highs. However, both average and maximum gas usage have since fallen, suggesting a slowdown in usage intensity. Additionally, despite occasional price surges, the number of new wallet addresses has remained either flat or in decline. This trend implies limited retail or organic growth during the current market phase. Historically, such patterns of stagnation in user growth and fee activity have often preceded stronger market moves, according to the analyst. The decline in wallet creation and overall gas usage may signal a broader accumulation pattern across the Tron ecosystem. Fewer participants transacting on-chain and a lack of significant new user onboarding typically coincide with phases where existing holders increase their positions quietly. If historical cycles are any indication, this period of reduced activity could eventually give way to renewed momentum once investor confidence returns. USDT Activity Paints a Different Picture In contrast to the slowing activity suggested by wallet creation and gas fees, stablecoin usage on the Tron blockchain continues to show notable growth. CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost highlighted that the amount of Tether (USDT) circulating on Tron has reached a new all-time high, now surpassing $71 billion. This figure places Tron just behind Ethereum, which currently hosts around $75 billion in USDT. The increasing stablecoin supply indicates strong demand for value transfer and settlement use cases on the network. Related Reading: Altcoin Transaction King? TRON Hits 42% Share As USDT, DeFi Explode Darkfost also emphasized that Tron’s low transaction costs make it an attractive platform for stablecoin users. As more liquidity flows into the Tron ecosystem via USDT, the network’s role in decentralized finance (DeFi) continues to expand. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

#bitcoin #crypto #binance #btc #bitcoin analysis #crypto market #bitcoin market #bitcoin news #cryptoquant #btcusdt

Bitcoin’s recent recovery has encountered resistance as the asset remains range-bound between $93,000 and $97,000. After briefly climbing late last month, Bitcoin has struggled to maintain upward momentum since then. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at approximately $94,305, reflecting a modest 1.3% decline over the past day. While price action has slowed, activity on the backend of the market suggests underlying shifts in investor behavior. New on-chain data points to a significant decrease in Bitcoin reserves held on Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume. Related Reading: Bitcoin ATH Incoming? Analyst Flags Indicators That Preceded Every Major BTC Rally One of CryptoQuant’s contributors, Amr Taha, highlighted the development in a recent QuickTake post, signaling that over 51,000 BTC have been withdrawn from Binance wallets since mid-April. This drop from roughly 595,000 BTC to around 544,500 BTC could indicate a recalibration in investor strategy, with growing interest in long-term holding or redeployment of assets outside centralized platforms. What’s Driving the Bitcoin Outflows from Binance? According to Taha, multiple factors may be contributing to this steep decline in exchange-held reserves. One explanation involves institutional investors and long-term holders moving their Bitcoin into cold storage. This off-exchange behavior is typically interpreted as a signal of longer-term conviction, as these participants seek to secure assets while reducing the likelihood of short-term selling. Given the rise of custodial solutions and more institutional-grade wallets, this trend may reflect maturing market behavior. Another key factor could be the increasing use of Bitcoin within decentralized finance (DeFi) and cross-platform arbitrage strategies. Taha noted that entities may be withdrawing BTC to access yield opportunities or deploy capital in other blockchain ecosystems. Additionally, the recent positive flows into Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), especially between April 21 and May 1, where daily net inflows crossed the $2 billion mark on several occasions, may have encouraged larger players to accumulate and withdraw Bitcoin in anticipation of further price appreciation. Exchange Reserve Trends Offer Signals Amid Price Consolidation Though Bitcoin’s price has remained largely stagnant over the past week, the shift in exchange reserve data could carry significant implications for future price action. Historically, a decrease in exchange reserves, particularly from major venues like Binance, has been associated with supply tightening. As fewer coins are readily available for sale, reduced liquidity can amplify the impact of incoming demand, especially in bullish phases. Taha emphasized that while short-term market performance may appear indecisive, tracking reserve metrics offers important clues about underlying sentiment. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Trading Within Dense Supply Cluster — What Lies Beyond $100K? A consistent drawdown of BTC from exchange platforms often sets the stage for renewed price movement, especially when accompanied by institutional accumulation and long-term holding behavior. If these patterns persist, they may contribute to reduced sell-side pressure, enabling Bitcoin to challenge its next resistance zones, including the psychological $100,000 level. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

#ethereum #crypto #eth #crypto market #cryptoquant #ethusdt #ethereum analysis #ethereum market

Ethereum continues its recovery phase, with the asset now trading above $1,800 after gaining approximately 15.3% over the past two weeks. Despite concerns from investors and a drop in public enthusiasm, ETH seems to have shown resilience.. The asset’s latest movement reflects renewed buying interest, and some on-chain indicators are pointing to potentially bullish momentum ahead. One of those indicators involves the supply of ETH on exchanges. Related Reading: Whales Sell 262,000 Ethereum Amid Recent Price Surge – Smart Exit Or Profit-Taking? Declining Exchange Supply Signals Reduced Selling Pressure A recent analysis by Amr Taha, a contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, points to a significant decline in Ethereum’s Exchange Supply Ratio on Binance — a metric that tracks the amount of ETH held on the platform relative to its circulating supply. According to Taha, this ratio has now reached a multi-week low, signaling that more Ethereum is being pulled off Binance, potentially to cold storage or decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols. Taha explains that this decline in the exchange supply ratio historically indicates reduced sell-side pressure, as users often withdraw assets when they plan to hold or deploy them in alternative protocols rather than sell. The development is particularly notable on Binance, which remains the largest crypto exchange by volume and liquidity. As such, changes in its ETH reserves can often reflect broader market sentiment shifts. To illustrate this trend, Taha points to a similar case in April, when a sharp reduction in ETH’s exchange supply on Binance was followed by a price rally from below $1,700 to roughly $1,950, a 14% move within days. The analyst suggests the current pattern may be setting the stage for a similar development, especially given what’s happening on the derivatives side of the market. Ethereum Short Squeeze Setup Emerges Around $1,900–$2,000 Heatmaps tracking liquidations indicate the presence of a growing cluster of short positions between $1,900 and $2,000. According to Taha, this layer of aggressive short interest creates a zone of potential upward price movement if those positions are forced to close in a short squeeze. Particularly, if ETH climbs into that range, the resulting liquidations could amplify upward momentum. In this scenario, the cost to move ETH’s price higher decreases as the available supply on exchanges continues to decline. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Nears Launch Point — Can It Break Free This Time? Taha notes that the combination of falling exchange balances and rising short interest creates favorable conditions for what he describes as a “liquidity hunt” — a situation where price is pushed to trigger liquidations and capitalize on trapped positions. With ETH’s current price momentum and the reduction in sell-side resistance, the $1,900 to $2,000 range is increasingly becoming a focal point. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

#bitcoin #crypto #btc #bitcoin analysis #crypto market #bitcoin market #bitcoin news #cryptoquant #btcusdt

Bitcoin is inching closer to the $100,000 milestone, continuing a steady upward trend that has characterized its recent market behavior. As of the time of writing, the asset is trading at approximately $96,091, marking a 3.6% increase over the past week. This sustained climb follows a correction seen in early April and suggests that the broader market remains engaged, with momentum gradually building. As price action intensifies, analysts are increasingly focused on the indicators shaping short- to mid-term expectations. Among them is CryptoQuant contributor Axel Adler Jr., who recently shared new data indicating that Bitcoin’s on-chain momentum has entered what he calls the “start” rally zone, with a momentum ratio of approximately 0.8. This threshold is considered critical in assessing whether Bitcoin is likely to push higher or enter a period of consolidation. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment Nearly Back To Neutral—Green Sign For Rally? Three Scenarios Shaping the Road Ahead In a QuickTake post titled “Bitcoin is warming up – 3 scenarios that could shape the next rally,” Adler outlined a set of possibilities based on current network data and previous cycle patterns. He describes an “optimistic” case where the momentum ratio climbs above 1.0 and holds, indicating a potential rally toward the $150,000–$175,000 range. This scenario mirrors historical breakout phases observed in 2017 and 2021, where a decisive break in key metrics sparked extended bullish runs. The “base case,” as Adler frames it, assumes that the momentum ratio stabilizes between 0.8 and 1.0, keeping Bitcoin in a broad trading range between $90,000 and $110,000. In this instance, market participants hold their positions but remain cautious about increasing exposure. A more conservative view, the “pessimistic” scenario, would be triggered if the ratio drops toward 0.75. This would suggest that short-term holders may begin taking profits, potentially leading to a correction in the $70,000–$85,000 zone. Adler emphasized, however, that with a recent correction already priced in, the optimistic and base case outcomes appear more plausible at present. Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Activity Signals Accumulation A separate analysis from CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Dan suggests further support for a bullish outlook. Dan notes that Bitcoin’s current structure bears similarities to past accumulation phases observed earlier in 2024. He highlights that in both January and October, rising activity from short-term holders—those who keep their coins for between one day and one week—preceded significant rallies. This behavioral trend has returned in recent days, which, according to Dan, often signals that the market is positioning for a larger move. Related Reading: Traders Rush Into Bitcoin Options as Implied Volatility Drops, Is a Big Move Coming? These patterns have historically emerged just before major surges not only in Bitcoin but also in the altcoin space. If current activity mirrors past cycles, Bitcoin may be preparing to surpass the $100,000 mark and transition into a renewed uptrend. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

#bitcoin #crypto #btc #digital asset #cryptocurrency #bitcoin news #cryptoquant #btcusdt #bitcoin bull run #bitcoin accumulation #urpd

According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, Bitcoin (BTC) could be preparing for its next major move. Contributor Crypto Dan highlighted that BTC is currently forming an accumulation pattern similar to those observed in 2024 – patterns that were followed by significant rallies. Bitcoin Showing Signs Of Big Rally Bitcoin has surged over 13% in the past week, signaling renewed optimism in the digital assets market. This momentum comes amid easing global tariff-related tensions, which had previously created headwinds for risk-on assets.  Alongside Bitcoin’s rise, the total cryptocurrency market capitalization has increased substantially – from approximately $2.5 trillion on April 8 to over $3.1 trillion at the time of writing. Related Reading: Bitcoin Surpasses Realized Price Of Recent Buyers — Rally Incoming Or Double Top? Adding to the positive sentiment is BTC’s evolving technical structure. In a recent analysis, CryptoQuant contributor outlined how BTC is forming an accumulation pattern that preceded major price rallies in 2024. The contributor shared the following chart, stating that BTC’s current movement appears to be mirroring that from January and October 2024. On both the instances, BTC entered a significant uptrend that was powered by a sharp increase in the activity of short-term holders. By “short-term holders,” the analyst refers to investors who typically hold BTC for one day to one week. In previous cycles, a sudden increase in activity from this group was followed by strong rallies – not only in BTC, but also across major altcoins. The analyst explained: Notably, this indicator has historically moved ahead of major price surges, making it a reliable signal of accumulation. If this trend continues in the short term, Bitcoin may be on track to break above $100K and enter a strong upward phase. Meanwhile, prominent crypto analyst Ali Martinez identified $97,530 as the next major resistance level. Martinez emphasized that surpassing this price point could clear the path for Bitcoin to reach new all-time highs (ATH). Despite The Momentum, Concerns Persist Despite growing optimism, not all indicators support an immediate breakout. Some analysts caution that Bitcoin still faces obstacles. Notably, the 30-day Demand Momentum remains in negative territory – suggesting that recent bullish sentiment may not be fully sustainable yet. Related Reading: Bitcoin Battles Key Resistance Level – Is A Breakdown Imminent? Additionally, on-chain metrics reveal that a truly parabolic move could take more time. CryptoQuant contributor Carmelo Aleman observed that while BTC reserves on exchanges continue to decline, indicating long-term holder confidence, there may not yet be enough pressure to trigger a full-blown supply shock. That said, one positive signal is a recent sharp rebound in Bitcoin’s Apparent Demand, which could indicate the early stages of a trend reversal. As of press time, Bitcoin is trading at $96,370, up 1.9% over the last 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant, X, and Tradingview.com

#bitcoin #crypto #btc #bitcoin analysis #bitcoin news #cryptoquant #btcusdt #btc market

As the broader crypto asset market takes a breather following its recent rally beyond a $3 trillion market capitalization, traders are increasingly seeking leverage through options contracts on Bitcoin and Ethereum. This surge in derivatives activity comes as both BTC and ETH prices consolidate in a narrow trading range, with Bitcoin holding between $94,000 and $95,000 during the same period. Related Reading: Bitcoin To Explode To $210,000 This Year, Says Quant Powerhouse Presto The tight price action is reflected in falling implied volatility (IV) levels. Bitcoin’s 7-day IV dropped from 53% to 38% midweek, while the 30-day IV declined to 43%, down from 50%. Ethereum’s volatility metrics mirrored the trend, with 7-day and 30-day IV retreating from 74% to 61% and 69% to 63%, respectively. This declining volatility is creating what some analysts describe as a low-cost environment for leverage, prompting traders to take advantage of options pricing dynamics. Options Traders Favor Bullish Exposure Despite Diverging Sentiment Dr. Sean Dawson, head of research at Derive.xyz, noted a strong bias toward bullish positioning among options traders on the platform. Dawson said: A staggering 73% of all BTC options premiums are being used to buy calls, with Ethereum seeing an even higher percentage at 81.8%. According to Dawson, calls are outpacing puts by a 3:1 ratio for Bitcoin and 4:1 for Ethereum on Derive. However, he cautioned that Derive activity may not fully reflect sentiment across the broader market. Options data from Deribit, a major crypto derivatives exchange, indicated a more balanced positioning, with normalized delta skew suggesting mixed sentiment. While Derive users appear to be positioning for upward price movement, other venues reflect more hedged strategies. Still, Dawson maintained that in the absence of any major shocks, BTC and ETH could remain near current levels through the end of May.  Dawson wrote: In terms of price predictions, the outlook for BTC remains stable, but the likelihood of a downside is becoming more bullish. The chance of BTC settling above $110K by May 30 remains at 11%, while the likelihood of BTC dropping below $80K has decreased from 11% to 8%. For ETH, the chance of it settling above $2,300 by May 30 remains at 9%, with the chance of it falling below $1,600 has dropped from 24% to 21% in the last 24 hours. Bitcoin On-Chain Data Shows Strengthening Fundamentals In parallel to the derivatives market activity, on-chain indicators suggest strengthening investor confidence. A CryptoQuant analyst known as Yonsei Dent highlighted renewed momentum in Bitcoin’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio. As Bitcoin’s price recovered to $94,000, the MVRV ratio rose to 2.12, nearing its 365-day moving average of 2.15. According to Dent, this implies that holders are currently sitting on an average unrealized gain of approximately 112%, a level that has historically aligned with strong market positioning. Dent added that if the 30-day moving average of the MVRV crosses above the 365-day trend in what is known as a “golden cross,” it could act as a confirmation of resuming bullish momentum. Related Reading: Bitcoin Battles Key Resistance Level – Is A Breakdown Imminent? Such patterns have preceded significant rallies in previous cycles. However, Dent also emphasized the importance of continued observation of the MVRV trajectory to evaluate the sustainability of the trend. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin continues its gradual recovery, currently trading above the $94,000 level at the time of writing. This upward trend follows a recent correction that pushed prices down earlier this month. Despite the recent gains, Bitcoin remains about 12.7% below its all-time high set in January. While investors monitor price resistance levels around the psychological $100,000 mark, on-chain metrics are beginning to show significant changes in market behavior that may influence short- and mid-term sentiment. A key development recently highlighted is the rising proportion of the Bitcoin supply that is currently in profit. As the market edges closer to historic euphoria thresholds, some analysts suggest that while this trend may support continued bullish movement, it could also introduce volatility as market participants assess when to lock in gains. The shift in profitability levels is also being evaluated alongside other indicators such as leverage and RSI behavior, which are offering mixed signals. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Back In ‘Full Force’ For The Rally, Glassnode Reveals Bitcoin Supply in Profit Nears Euphoria Levels CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost shared a recent outlook on Bitcoin’s on-chain dynamics, emphasizing the behavior of the “supply in profit” metric. According to the analyst, the supply in profit, meaning the percentage of Bitcoin in circulation currently valued higher than its purchase price, has climbed back above 85%. This metric fell to around 75% during the last correction but has now recovered in line with the recent price rebound. Historically, supply in profit levels above 90% have coincided with euphoric phases in past market cycles. While this level has yet to be reached in the current cycle, the upward trajectory suggests it may be approaching. Darkfost noted that such phases often trigger accelerated price rallies, but also tend to precede short- to mid-term pullbacks. The analyst emphasized how far sentiment has shifted from recent lows: It’s also worth noting that during past cycles, the lowest supply in profit levels were around 45–50%, which corresponded to deep bear market conditions. Notably, in this context, monitoring this metric may be important for anticipating potential trend reversals or periods of elevated volatility. Leverage Ratio and RSI Indicate Reduced Market Aggression In a separate post, another CryptoQuant analyst, Crypto Lion, addressed the behavior of the leverage ratio in combination with relative strength index (RSI) data. The analyst referenced a custom metric developed by CryptoQuant that multiplies RSI by an open interest-to-reserve ratio. This approach is designed to assess speculative positioning across the market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Trades At 40% Discount As ‘Triple Put’ Unfolds: Hedge Fund Founder Crypto Lion observed that RSI swings are currently higher than they were during the 2021 summer period, though leverage dynamics suggest that the market is not currently as overheated. According to the post, the market appears to be slowly decoupling from aggressive leverage, potentially signaling a shift toward more organic spot-driven movement. The analyst concluded: I am concerned about what will happen after the next high, whether the original indicator was declining or not, which is not surprising. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin’s price has rebounded strongly over the past week, recovering from a low of $74,000 earlier this month to now trade above the $95,000 mark. This upward movement represents a 12% gain in the past seven days, signaling a potential shift in short-term market sentiment following a multi-week period of correction and volatility. Despite this upward trajectory, some underlying metrics suggest that investors remain cautious, especially within the derivatives market. Related Reading: Technical Indicators Suggest Bitcoin May Reach $120,000 In Q2, Says Standard Chartered Bitcoin Negative Funding Rates Return Amid Price Rally A CryptoQuant analyst known as ShayanBTC has pointed to a developing divergence between price action and funding rates, particularly on perpetual futures contracts. Funding rates serve as a measure of trader sentiment, showing whether long or short positions dominate. While the price of Bitcoin has climbed, Shayan revealed that recent funding rate behavior suggests that many participants are hedging against potential downside risks or actively reducing exposure at these levels. The divergence raises questions about whether the current rally will sustain or if a short-term retracement is likely before further continuation. Shayan highlighted that Bitcoin’s funding rates have turned negative again, even as the price pushed toward $95,000. This dynamic mirrors a trend observed during the prolonged correction between March and October 2024, when funding rates remained negative during intermittent rallies. Negative funding rates typically indicate a dominance of short positions or hedging behavior among traders in the derivatives market. The analyst suggests that this renewed divergence may reflect a lack of conviction in the rally, with participants preparing for a possible reversal at key resistance levels. Shayan also noted that the current structure shows similarities to previous periods where the market saw a temporary pullback before resuming upward movement. In this context, traders might be reducing risk exposure or engaging in distribution strategies by selling into strength. The presence of cautious positioning at a time of rising prices often signals market imbalance that could trigger a short-term correction. STH-Realized Price and Structural Considerations Meanwhile, BTC’s Short-Term Holder Realized Price (STH-RP) is also a metric worth assessing Bitcoin’s macro trend. The STH-RP reflects the average cost basis of coins held by recent market participants. Related Reading: Record-Breaking Week: Bitcoin Climbs Over $95,000 Amidst $3 Billion ETF Inflows According to on-chain data, sustainable bull markets often maintain price levels above the STH-RP. At present, Bitcoin remains near this threshold, and its ability to hold or break above it could shape near-term momentum. The analysis from Shayan concludes that while a pullback may occur in the short term, the retracements due to the divergence between rising prices and falling funding rates could strengthen the overall market structure if they result in healthier accumulation and shake out weak hands. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin gradual recovery continues, with the asset currently trading at $95,409 after posting a 1.7% gain over the past 24 hours. In the last two weeks, BTC has climbed nearly 15%, recovering steadily from its recent period of correction. While the momentum appears measured compared to past breakouts, the underlying market data suggests that structural shifts are underway that could influence the next major move. So far, several indicators are pointing toward improving sentiment, particularly within the derivatives market, which now dominates Bitcoin’s overall trading volume. Recent observations from analysts highlight a shift in the balance of trading activity, hinting that long positions are regaining strength over shorts. Meanwhile, updated cycle models suggest Bitcoin may still have room to extend its current trend, with structural similarities emerging between the present market and the 2017 cycle. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sees Highest Exchange Outflows In 2 Years, What This Means For Price Bitcoin Net Taker Volume Turns Positive, What Does It Signal? According to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, the 30-day moving average of Bitcoin’s Net Taker Volume has returned firmly to positive territory. Net Taker Volume is an indicator that compares the relative size of long and short positions in the derivatives market over a given period. A positive reading indicates that buying pressure (long positions) outweighs selling pressure (short positions), while a negative reading suggests the opposite. Darkfost noted that derivatives markets now account for roughly 90% of total Bitcoin trading volume, surpassing spot and exchange-traded (ETF) volumes. As a result, shifts in derivatives sentiment can often foreshadow broader price movements. The return of the Net Taker Volume into positive territory suggests that speculative participants are positioning for continued upside. This realignment in the derivatives market, if sustained, could act as a catalyst to reinforce Bitcoin’s recent gains and set the stage for further price discovery. Cycle Model Adjustments Point to Uptrend Continuation In a separate analysis, CryptoQuant analyst Mignolet provided insight into Bitcoin’s longer-term trend outlook. Using a refined cycle model based on market capitalization data, Mignolet suggested that traditional cycle indicators have been slow to reflect the latest recovery. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Sees Short-Term Dip — Bulls Plot Their Next Move To address this lag, adjustments were made to the model’s time series to detect earlier shifts in market behavior. Mignolet observed that what appeared to be a “bear market” zone under traditional models was, in reality, a buying opportunity within an ongoing upward cycle. The current market structure, according to Mignolet, resembles the later stages of the 2017 bull market rather than the early phases of a new downturn. If this parallel holds, Bitcoin could still have significant upside potential before entering a major correction phase. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin (BTC) continues to hover in the mid-$90,000 range, posting modest gains over the weekend following reports that China has exempted certain US-based products from a 125% tariff rate. However, the leading cryptocurrency now faces a critical resistance level that could determine its near-term price trajectory. What Do On-Chain Metrics Indicate? In a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, on-chain analyst BorisVest noted that BTC has entered a stagnation phase as short-term holders have begun realizing profits. The contributor warned that if this ongoing profit-taking is not fully absorbed, it could trigger a fresh wave of selling. Related Reading: Bitcoin Must Clear This Critical Cost Basis Level For Continued Upside, Analyst Says BorisVest also highlighted that BTC exchange reserves – which had been depleting at a significant rate until last week – are now starting to stabilize. As a result, enhanced selling pressure could emerge for the apex cryptocurrency. The analyst added that both BTC inflows and outflows on crypto exchanges are currently balanced, suggesting a neutral market state. Moreover, while short-term holders were previously selling at a loss, they have now entered profitable territory. The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) has risen to 1.04, indicating that investors who bought BTC at recent lows – possibly around $76,000 earlier this month – are now cashing out. For those unfamiliar, SOPR measures the profit or loss of Bitcoin transactions by comparing the price at which coins were originally acquired to the price at which they are now spent. A SOPR value above 1 signals that holders are selling at a profit, while a value below 1 indicates they are selling at a loss. Additionally, the current SOPR metric reveals increased selling activity with rising prices, suggesting that BTC whales and institutional investors are likely taking profits. The Net Realized Profit and Loss (NRPL) metric supports this view, having sharply rebounded from about $2 billion in realized losses to $3 billion in realized gains. Bitcoin Faces Critical Resistance – Can BTC Continue Its Rally? According to the post, Bitcoin now faces significant resistance at $96,000. If BTC manages to break through this level with strong volume and momentum, it could turn this resistance into a new support base and continue its rally. Related Reading: Bitcoin Following Gold’s Footsteps? Analyst Sets Mid-Term Target At $155,000 Conversely, a failure to decisively break through $96,000 could stall Bitcoin’s rally and potentially trigger a price pullback toward the $80,000 range. Therefore, monitoring BTC’s price behavior around this critical resistance level will be crucial. That said, Bitcoin’s apparent demand has recently shown a sharp momentum shift, reigniting hopes for a sustained rally that could lead to a new all-time high. At press time, BTC is trading at $93,972, up 0.3% over the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and Tradingview.com

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It was quite the coincidence that the cryptocurrency market jolted back to life after Easter Sunday, with Bitcoin leading the way with more than a double-digit gain. While the price of BTC continues to hold above the critical $94,000 level, the premier cryptocurrency seems to be losing some momentum. Unsurprisingly, investors appear to be increasingly confident in the promise of this recent rally, as significant amounts of BTC continue to make their way off major centralized exchanges over the past few days. Here’s how much investors have moved in the past few days. Over 35,000 BTC Move Out Of Coinbase And Binance In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, crypto analyst João Wedson revealed that Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, has seen increased activity over the past few days. The exchange netflow data shows that huge amounts of Bitcoin have been withdrawn from the platform in recent days. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sees 4th Dip in Funding Rates This Year — What Does This Mean For BTC? According to CryptoQuant data, a total of 27,750 BTC (worth $2.63 billion at current price) was moved out of Binance on Friday, April 25. This latest round of withdrawals represents the third-largest net outflow in the centralized exchange’s history. The movement of significant crypto amounts from exchanges, which offer services like selling to non-custodial wallets, suggests a potential shift in investor sentiment and strategy. Large exchange outflows often signal increased confidence of holders in the long-term potential of an asset. Wedson noted that the recent outflows do not guarantee a price rally for Bitcoin, but they do signal strong institutional activity, which is often a precursor for major volatility. Citing China’s crypto ban in 2021, the crypto analyst highlighted how massive exchange outflows didn’t prevent the dump. At the same time, Wedson mentioned that the continuous Bitcoin outflows over several days, like during the FTX collapse, preceded a price bottom and the eventual market recovery. Ultimately, the online pundit hinted at paying close attention to the overall trend of the exchange netflow rather than a single-day activity. Similarly, more than 7,000 BTC (worth approximately $66.5 million) have made their way out of the Coinbase exchange. According to the CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha, this negative exchange netflow could be an indicator of increased institutional activity, as Coinbase is known as the primary crypto vendor for US-based institutions. Taha said: These large outflows typically suggest accumulation by institutions or large investors, potentially signaling bullish sentiment. The analyst outlined that if the dwindling exchange reserves correlate with an increased spot demand or ETF inflows, a supply squeeze could be on the horizon, potentially pushing the price to the upside. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC sits just beneath $95,200, reflecting an almost 2% increase in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Is The XRP Price Rally Over At $2.22? New Developments Suggest Major Pump Is Coming Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

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The price of Bitcoin jumped by more than double digits over the past week, putting in one of its best performances so far in 2025. After struggling under $87,000 for the past two months, the flagship cryptocurrency has finally returned above the $90,000 level. It remains unclear whether the recent BTC price surge is a continuation signal for the bull cycle. However, the latest on-chain data suggests that the investor sentiment might be turning positive again, meaning that the Bitcoin bull run could truly be back on.  ‘ETF Printer Goes Brrr’ – Crypto Analyst In an April 25 post on the X platform, a crypto analyst with the pseudonym Maartunn shared an on-chain insight into the recent price rally experienced by the world’s largest cryptocurrency. According to the online pundit, the growing appetite of exchange-traded fund (ETF) investors in the past few days might have contributed to the Bitcoin bullish momentum. Related Reading: Litecoin Conviction Remains Strong: More Than 20% Of Supply Frozen Since 5+ Years The relevant indicator here is the Coinbase Premium Gap, which tracks the difference between the Bitcoin price on US-based Coinbase Pro (USD pair) and global Binance exchange (USDT pair). When this difference is positive, it implies BTC is trading at a higher price on Coinbase than on Binance.  Typically, a positive Coinbase Premium Gap indicates that US-based investors are purchasing Bitcoin aggressively, especially through ETF issuers that use Coinbase as a liquidity provider. According to data from CryptoQuant, this metric’s 30-hour moving average has stayed positive for more than 265 straight hours (approximately 11 days). Maartunn noted that this is the fifth-longest streak since the spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds started trading in January 2024. Typically, a consistently positive Coinbase Premium Gap suggests that US institutional players and large investors are willing to pay above-market prices for Bitcoin — specifically through regulated channels like ETFs or custodial platforms. This prolonged positive streak is historically correlated with positive price action and accumulation phases for the flagship cryptocurrency. Hence, the latest spike in the Coinbase Premium Gap could provide the adequate condition to sustain Bitcoin’s newly-found bullish momentum and perhaps catalyze the next significant breakout. Bitcoin Price At A Glance The price of Bitcoin has climbed above $95,000 for the first time since February, reflecting a 2% increase in the past 24 hours. According to CoinGecko data, the premier cryptocurrency has surged by more than 13% in the past seven days.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Holders Realizing $139 Million In Profit Per Hour This Rally, Report Says Featured image created by DALL.E, chart from TradingView

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Ethereum is gradually regaining momentum after a recent correction, now trading above $1,700, reflecting a 12.2% increase over the past week. This recovery has drawn attention from analysts, who seem to be looking into the asset’s movement for signs of sustained strength or renewed volatility. Despite this short-term rise, ETH remains approximately 63% below its all-time high of $4,878 reached in 2021, highlighting the broader downturn that has characterized the Ethereum market since late 2021. Related Reading: Ethereum Whales Just Accumulated 640K ETH, Is a Bigger Rally Coming? Ethereum Derivative Exchange Inflows Point to Potential Volatility Recent on-chain data and exchange flows suggest Ethereum’s price trajectory may be influenced by broader macro factors and strategic trading behavior. Among the latest observations is a notable surge in ETH sent to derivative exchanges, a metric often linked to increased speculative activity or changes in trader positioning. This trend, coupled with key political developments in the US, has raised new questions about what might be next for Ethereum and the wider crypto market. According to an analysis by Amr Taha, a contributor on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, Ethereum has recorded unusually large inflows to derivative exchanges in the past 48 hours, with one spike exceeding 80,000 ETH. Historically, such inflows are seen ahead of periods of increased volatility, as traders shift assets to leverage positions or hedge against expected price movements. While not a definitive predictor of direction, this behavior suggests rising expectations of short-term market activity. Taha’s analysis notes that the inflow coincided with a recent political statement from US President Donald Trump, who confirmed he has no intention of removing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. This announcement was interpreted by markets as a signal that the Fed will continue to operate independently, easing concerns about political interference in monetary policy. Taha notes that given how closely crypto markets respond to central bank tone and economic indicators, this development added a layer of macro stability to a market already reacting to technical signals. BTC Whale Activity and Derivatives Data Suggest Tactical Shifts While Ethereum-specific data remains the primary focus, Taha also highlighted key movements in Bitcoin markets that may have indirect effects on ETH. On April 23, over $600 million worth of BTC was transferred from whale wallets to exchanges, marking the largest single-day BTC inflow in several weeks. This came after a breakout in the BTC/GBP pair, which triggered significant short liquidations. According to Taha, the large BTC transfer may reflect a setup where late long entries could face downside risk if selling pressure intensifies. For Ethereum, this backdrop raises the possibility of a short-term retracement, especially if correlated selling occurs across major digital assets. Related Reading: Ethereum Flashes Bullish Golden Cross – Is A Major Rally On The Horizon? A buildup of long positions sitting just below current price levels, paired with newly added exchange supply, introduces liquidity zones that the market may test. As a result, both BTC and ETH could see increased volatility in the near term, driven by stop-loss hunts or profit-taking activity. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

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A new Bitcoin price prediction suggests that the flagship cryptocurrency needs just one more leg up to kickstart a powerful bullish move toward $150,000 and beyond. With Bitcoin getting ready to once again hit new all-time highs, technical formations suggest that this projected rally could be the final confirmation of a long-term breakout.   Bitcoin Price Roadmap To $150,000 ATH A new Bitcoin price analysis released by market expert CrediBull Crypto on X (formerly Twitter) predicts that BTC is gearing up for a massive surge to $150,000. The analyst shared a Bitcoin price chart, using Elliott Wave theory on the lower time frames to break down the roadmap to this new all-time high target.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Bullish Confirmation: What Needs To Happen For Next Leg Up To $130,000 Bitcoin is currently forming a 5-wave impulse move on the lower timeframe. The recent price action suggests that it has completed sub-waves i, ii, iii, iv, and v, collectively forming what appears to be Wave 1. Following this, the cryptocurrency experienced a collective pullback in Wave 2, which acted as support and now serves as a launchpad for the next major leg in Wave 3—the longest and most explosive wave in an impulse sequence.   If the next wave completes to the upside, it would strongly suggest that Bitcoin is not in a corrective pattern but rather an impulsive trend that could take it to a six-figure valuation once again.  CrediBull Crypto has highlighted $89,000 as a critical level for Bitcoin. He suggested that if the cryptocurrency drops below this price zone before pushing higher, the Elliott Wave structure would likely morph into a 3-legged corrective pattern rather than a 5-wave impulse. This move would imply that the projected rally is not the start of a macro breakout, and the market may have to wait longer for a confirmation.  On the other hand, holding above $89,000 and printing a higher high would complete the anticipated final leg up, validating the start of the large Wave 3 on higher time frames. This bullish scenario would support a strong accumulation strategy, where price declines could become opportunities to buy as Bitcoin targets $150,000 or more.  MVRV Golden Cross Signals BTC Bull Rally Bitcoin’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio has formed a Golden Cross with its 365-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), according to fresh data shared by crypto analyst Ali Martínez. The analyst has shared an optimistic outlook for Bitcoin, highlighting that this technical event could spark the next BTC bull rally.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Following Analyst’s Prediction For Bullish Breakout, Here’s The Target The Bitcoin chart, published via CryptoQuant, highlights the MVRV ratio surging above the long-term Moving Average. A rising MVRV ratio typically suggests that BTC holders are once again in profit, and sentiment is shifting from bearish to bullish. The last time this crossover occurred, Bitcoin saw a multi-month rally that pushed its price to new all-time highs. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

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Bitcoin has seen a modest decline in price after climbing above $94,000 earlier in the week. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $92,775, reflecting a 1.3% decrease over the past 24 hours. The move comes after a multi-day rally that saw Bitcoin gain nearly 10% since the beginning of the week, raising questions about whether the recent momentum is sustainable or a temporary uptick amid broader market uncertainty. While price action has stalled slightly, on-chain data and exchange behavior are beginning to shape a clearer narrative for Bitcoin’s short-term outlook. Related Reading: Bitcoin Explodes Above $94,000 — What’s Igniting The Fire? Shift in Exchange Flows Signals Accumulation and Reduced Selling Pressure According to a new analysis from CryptoQuant contributor Novaque Research, investor behavior on Binance, currently one of the largest retail-focused crypto exchanges, may offer valuable insight into what comes next for BTC, particularly regarding liquidity conditions, positioning, and potential short-term price squeezes. Novaque Research pointed to notable changes in exchange flow patterns that appear to coincide with Bitcoin’s recent price behavior. Between April 6 and April 10, Bitcoin inflows into Binance exceeded 15,000 BTC. During this same period, Bitcoin’s price hovered in the $85,000 to $87,000 range. The analysts interpret this as indicative of increased sell-side pressure, likely driven by short-term traders liquidating positions or preparing for tax-related obligations. In contrast, between April 19 and April 23, Binance experienced over 15,000 BTC in outflows as the price moved above $93,000. This activity suggests a shift toward accumulation, with investors moving assets into self-custody—a trend often viewed as bullish since it implies reduced short-term selling risk. Supporting this view, the Exchange Reserve metric shows a declining trend since April 18, while the Exchange Whale Ratio fell below 0.3 on April 23, suggesting that large-volume traders are stepping back, and the market is becoming more influenced by retail behavior. Bitcoin Short Squeeze Potential Emerges as Leverage and Whale Activity Decline Alongside changes in exchange flows, Novaque Research notes that the structure of Bitcoin’s leveraged positions has also evolved. According to the analysis, leveraged long positions were largely flushed out in the $82,000 to $88,000 range, indicating that many short-term traders exited during the recent price swings. At the same time, short positions remain concentrated just above the $92,000 level, which could make them vulnerable to a short squeeze if the market gains further upward momentum. Related Reading: Bitcoin Buyers Take Control on Binance, But Funding Rates Flash a Warning The report concludes that market conditions are now more balanced, with fewer large players influencing price direction and thinner liquidity zones above current levels.  The CryptoQuant contributor noted: With the market structure cleaned up and liquidity thin above present levels, any trigger (ETF flows, Fed pivot , EM weakness) may rapidly propel BTC above $98K-$100K. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

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Ethereum’s price has recently mirrored broader trends in the cryptocurrency market, rising to above $1,800 before retracing as part of a wider market correction. At the time of writing, ETH is trading at $1,754, showing a 3.3% decrease in the past 24 hours, while the total crypto market cap slipped by 3.6% during the same period. Although short-term price movements reflect shifting momentum, on-chain metrics signal deeper changes that may have broader implications for Ethereum’s network health and investor sentiment. Related Reading: Ethereum Adds 12% In 24 Hours – On-Chain Metrics Point To Modest Resistance Ahead Ethereum Long-Term Holders Accumulate as Inflows Hit Multi-Year Highs Recent data from CryptoQuant reveals that long-term Ethereum holders are increasing their activity. These wallets, known for never selling their ETH, have seen one of their highest inflows in recent years. This coincides with rising network activity, including a notable uptick in active addresses and transactional volume. Together, these developments suggest that behind the surface-level volatility, there may be a quiet phase of accumulation and user engagement building within the Ethereum ecosystem. CryptoQuant contributor OnChainSchool reports a significant development among Ethereum’s long-term holding addresses. In the last 48 hours, over 640,000 ETH flowed into wallets that have maintained a strict accumulation pattern without any recorded selling behavior. This marks the largest inflow to such wallets since 2018, suggesting that entities with a long-term outlook are increasing their exposure during the current price range. The behavior of these accumulation-only wallets is often viewed as a proxy for investor conviction, particularly among participants who are not influenced by short-term volatility. According to OnChainSchool, this activity during a period of price drawdown may reflect strategic positioning ahead of potential future developments. It’s also notable that these inflows come at a time when Ethereum fundamentals such as its transition to proof-of-stake, L2 adoption, and evolving staking mechanisms continue to advance. If sustained, this trend could help establish a support zone around current price levels. Network Activity Rises as Active Addresses See Double-Digit Growth Complementing the rise in long-term holder activity is a surge in Ethereum network usage. Another CryptoQuant analyst, Carmelo Alemán, highlights that the number of active Ethereum addresses grew by nearly 10% between April 20 and April 22, jumping from around 306,000 to over 336,000. This metric counts unique wallet addresses that were involved in transactions as either senders or receivers over a given period. While active addresses alone do not capture the full picture, Alemán notes that the metric should be viewed alongside others such as exchange volume, gas fees, transaction count, and Layer 2 activity. Related Reading: 77K Ethereum Moved to Derivatives—Is Another Price Crash Looming? The rise in address activity, especially when paired with a simultaneous price increase, is often taken as a sign of broader user engagement and growing application-layer demand. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin has reclaimed significant ground after a steep correction earlier this month, now trading above $93,000. The cryptocurrency is currently priced at $94,014, reflecting a 5% increase over the past 24 hours and more than 20% in gains over the last two weeks. This price level marks a renewed effort to recover from the recent drop that saw BTC reach as low as $74,000, placing attention on both market sentiment and underlying network behavior. With renewed interest in Bitcoin following last year’s Halving event, a CryptoQuant analyst has revealed interesting insights on BTC’s mining dynamics. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rockets To Monthly Highs As Open Interest Explodes By Over $3 Billion Post-Halving Emission Rates Deviate From Theoretical Output CryptoQuant contributor Carmelo Alemán has presented new insights into Bitcoin’s block issuance and total daily mining output, revealing a gap between theoretical assumptions and real-world data. His observations suggest that while Bitcoin’s block schedule is largely predictable, on-chain measurements may provide a more accurate view of post-Halving supply behavior. According to Bitcoin’s protocol, one block is expected to be mined every 10 minutes. Following the April Halving last year, the reward for each block was reduced from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. This would imply that approximately 144 blocks are produced daily, leading to an estimated 450 BTC entering circulation each day (3.125 BTC × 144 blocks). However, Alemán’s analysis indicates that the actual number of newly mined coins is often lower than this theoretical estimate. By using the “Bitcoin: Total Supply” metric from CryptoQuant with daily resolution, Alemán examined the actual change in circulating supply and found discrepancies between the expected output and on-chain reality. These variances may result from slower-than-average block times, network difficulty adjustments, or temporary congestion within the mining ecosystem. While the Bitcoin protocol maintains a ten-minute block target, real-world mining activity does not always align with that schedule precisely on a daily basis. Bitcoin On-Chain Metrics Offer Real-Time Supply Monitoring The significance of Alemán’s findings lies in their implication for how Bitcoin supply is tracked and understood by investors, miners, and analysts. Instead of relying solely on theoretical projections based on protocol rules, on-chain metrics provide a view of actual blockchain activity. These insights can help refine market models, particularly during transitional periods such as post-halving adjustments. The halving event, which reduced the block reward by 50%, is designed to limit Bitcoin’s inflation rate and enforce its fixed supply cap. However, Alemán’s data suggests that monitoring total supply growth through blockchain records offers a more granular understanding of how much BTC is entering circulation on a day-to-day basis. This can influence market supply-demand calculations and even miner profitability estimates. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin has finally reclaimed the psychologically $90,000 level once again following a recent period of significant correction that brought it to trade as low as $74,000 in recent weeks. So far, BTC has now steadily rebounded, rising by 13.1% in the past two weeks to currently trade at $90,279, marking a 3.3% increase in the past day. This price movement has coincided with notable changes in derivatives data and on-chain behavior. CryptoQuant analysts have particularly pointed to the rise in funding rates on Bitcoin futures, alongside diverging actions between long-term and short-term holders. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rally Ahead? Analysts Say These Key Indicators Look Bullish Bitcoin Funding Rate Reversal Suggests Further Upward Move CryptoQuant analyst known as ShayanBTC has drawn attention to the recent trend in Bitcoin futures funding rates, which have rebounded sharply following the market’s prior correction. According to his analysis, the simultaneous decline in both price and funding rates during the sell-off pointed to a reduction in speculative positioning. This pattern bears resemblance to conditions between March and September 2024—a period marked by sideways movement before a notable rally. Now that funding rates are rising again, it suggests that traders are becoming more aggressive in opening long positions. This shift may indicate growing confidence in continued upside potential. If this trend sustains, Shayan notes that Bitcoin could test the $93,000 resistance level, a key area to watch before any attempt to challenge its all-time highs. Funding rates are often viewed as sentiment indicators within the derivatives market, with positive rates reflecting increased demand for long exposure among traders. Long-Term Holders Accumulate as Short-Term Participants Exit A separate analysis from another CryptoQuant analyst, IT Tech, highlights a clear divergence in the behavior of different investor groups. Long-term holders (LTHs), defined as those holding BTC for more than 155 days, have resumed net accumulation for the first time since the last local market peak. This shift suggests that experienced participants are beginning to reposition, potentially in anticipation of a broader recovery. LTH activity is typically associated with strategic investment decisions rather than short-term trading. In contrast, short-term holders (STHs) continue to exit the market, with net position change data showing negative outflows. These movements are often driven by immediate price action and short-term volatility, and such capitulation has historically coincided with local market bottoms. The combination of renewed LTH accumulation and STH exits may point toward the early stages of a re-accumulation phase—a setup that has previously supported future upward momentum in Bitcoin’s price. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

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Altcoins led by ETH, DOGE, SUI followed BTC higher as Treasury Secretary Bessent's comments on U.S.-China trade boosted risk appetite.

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Bitcoin’s price action continues to draw attention as it briefly surpassed $87,000 in today’s trading session, marking a notable 3.3% increase over the past 24 hours. Though it has since slightly pulled back to around $86,815 at the time of writing, the asset’s gradual recovery since last week appears to be building a foundation for potential upward movement. Analysts now seem to be monitoring technical and on-chain trends as sentiment begins to lean toward a short-term bullish outlook. Particularly, on-chain data platform CryptoQuant has highlighted notable shifts in market behavior, including insights into funding rates, investor positioning, and psychological resistance levels. Despite the gains, not all investor groups are experiencing profits, with short-term holders still facing unrealized losses. Related Reading: What’s Next For Bitcoin After Crossing $87,000? Expert Discusses Possible Outcomes Several Bitcoin Bullish Signals Identified A recent analysis shared by CryptoQuant contributor EgyHash outlines several indicators suggesting that Bitcoin could be preparing for another upward leg. The analyst points out a significant $6 billion rise in open interest across derivatives markets over the past two weeks. Open interest measures the total value of outstanding futures contracts, and its growth typically reflects increased participation or confidence in the direction of price movement. This metric, coupled with a rise in funding rates, indicates an uptick in long-position interest among traders. Another key metric, exchange inflows, which track how much Bitcoin is being moved onto centralized exchanges, has declined notably during this same period. When fewer coins are sent to exchanges, it can imply reduced intent to sell, as holders typically deposit assets to liquidate them. This reduction in exchange inflow has been interpreted as a decrease in selling pressure, potentially supporting a more stable price environment in the short term. These on-chain metrics collectively hint at a market that may be gearing up for a continuation of its current trend, assuming external variables remain favorable. New Investors In Profit While Short-Term Holders Face Struggle While certain metrics lean bullish, a deeper look at investor categories reveals diverging outcomes. Another CryptoQuant analyst, Crazzyblockk, points out that Short-Term Holders (STHs), or those who purchased BTC within the last six months, remain in an unrealized loss position. Their average acquisition price stands at approximately $91,000, forming a key resistance level that may influence upcoming price movement. As long as Bitcoin trades below this level, latent sell pressure could persist, especially if upward momentum stalls. Conversely, new investors — defined as those who entered the market within the past month — have recently returned to profit. With a realized gain of 3.73%, this group is showing signs of renewed confidence, potentially contributing to near-term price support. Related Reading: Bitcoin Surges Above $87,000 In Sudden Move — Here’s The Catalyst However, according to the analyst, the current risk zone remains active until Bitcoin firmly closes above the $91,000 mark. Crazzyblockk wrote: Until BTC closes above the $91K threshold, Short-Term Holders remain in loss. This may sustain latent sell pressure, especially if price momentum weakens — reinforcing the importance of a decisive breakout above STH realized price to neutralize this overhang. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

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XRP has been trading under pressure in recent weeks, losing much of the momentum it built during its late 2024 to early 2025 rally. After reaching highs above $3.40, the asset has experienced an 18.3% decline over the past month, reflecting broader market softness. At the time of writing, XRP trades significantly below its peak at a price of $2.06, with subdued investor activity and falling market participation across both spot and derivatives markets. Related Reading: XRP Breakout Still Likely This April, Analyst Says $12+ In Play XRP On-Chain Activity Slows, But Price Remains Relatively Stable Amid XRP’s decline, a CryptoQuant analyst known as EgyHash has recently shared his analysis on the altcoin in a post titled, “XRP’s Market Paradox: With Ledger Activity Dipping 80%, Is a Rebound on the Horizon?” According to EgyHash, XRP’s on-chain and futures market data presents a mixed picture—declining activity but resilience in price. EgyHash noted that XRP Ledger activity has fallen sharply since December, with the percentage of active addresses down by 80%. Similar declines have been observed in the futures market, where open interest has dropped roughly 70% from its highs, and funding rates have occasionally turned negative. He added that the Estimated Leverage Ratio, which gauges average user leverage by comparing open interest to coin reserves, has also dropped significantly. Despite these indicators pointing to weakening momentum, the altcoin’s price has only declined about 35% from its peak. This is a milder correction compared to other assets such as Ethereum, which has fallen roughly 60% over the same period. Additionally, the altcoin’s Exchange Reserve has continued to decline, reaching levels last observed in July 2023. Lower reserves typically suggest that fewer tokens are available for immediate sale, a factor that can help support prices during market downturns. According to EgyHash, this trend, along with relatively stable pricing, could indicate growing long-term confidence in the asset. Institutional Developments Could Strengthen Market Sentiment While on-chain metrics remain a focus, institutional developments may also play a role in shaping XRP’s future trajectory. Hong Kong-based investment firm HashKey Capital recently announced the launch of the HashKey XRP Tracker Fund—the first XRP-focused investment vehicle in Asia. Backed by Ripple as the anchor investor, the fund is expected to transition into an exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the future. The initiative is designed to attract more institutional capital into the XRP ecosystem. HashKey Capital is launching Asia’s first XRP Tracker Fund—with @Ripple as an early investor. This marks a major step in expanding institutional access to XRP, the third-largest token by market cap. ???????? — HashKey Capital (@HashKey_Capital) April 18, 2025 HashKey Capital has also indicated that this collaboration with Ripple could lead to further projects, including tokenized investment products and decentralized finance (DeFi) solutions. Related Reading: XRP To $50? Technical Analyst Lays Out The Roadmap Vivien Wong, a partner at HashKey, emphasized the strategic value of integrating Ripple’s network with regulated investment infrastructure across Asia. Although the altcoin faces near-term pressure, long-term developments, including decreasing exchange reserves and rising institutional interest, may support its recovery as the broader market stabilizes. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

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Despite broader market interest, Bitcoin continues to hover near the $84,000 mark, showing limited upward momentum. At the time of writing, the asset is trading at $84,596, down 0.1% in the last 24 hours. This places BTC approximately 22% below its all-time high of over $109,000 set earlier this year. The price action follows a recovery from earlier lows but remains range-bound, suggesting hesitancy among investors as macroeconomic uncertainties persist. One of the emerging observations comes from CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Dan, who compared Bitcoin’s current behavior to past correction cycles. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment Still Close To Extreme Fear—Green Sign For Recovery? Speculation Eases, Setting the Stage for Potential Recovery In Dan’s recent QuickTake post titled “Cryptocurrency Market, Similar to the 2024 Correction Period,” Dan assessed the speculative dynamics of the market through the lens of short-term holder activity. His analysis suggests that the recent cooling-off period might mirror patterns observed during last year’s correction phase. According to Dan, one reliable gauge of market overheating is the percentage of Bitcoin supply held for one week to one month. When this metric rises, it often signals speculative enthusiasm, which can precede corrections. During previous bullish phases, such increases in short-term holdings were followed by pullbacks, marking peaks in investor exuberance. In the current cycle, Dan notes that this metric has once again reached a region previously associated with market bottoms—the same yellow box (on the chart shared) that aligned with the 2024 correction low. Based on this, he posits that speculative excesses have largely subsided, opening the door to renewed price growth if macroeconomic conditions continue to improve. However, he also emphasized that further consolidation may still occur before a broader trend shift materializes. Crypto Market, Similar to the 2024 Correction “Given that this ratio has now reached the yellow-box region, which was the bottom of the 2024 correction period, it seems likely that the current market will follow a similar path as the 2024 correction.” – By @DanCoinInvestor pic.twitter.com/YGNZxQnUXj — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) April 18, 2025 Bitcoin Whale Activity Suggests Imminent Volatility Complementing this analysis, CryptoQuant contributor Mignolet pointed out a notable shift in coin movement behavior. In a separate post, he observed that around 170,000 BTC recently moved from the 3–6 month holding cohort. This group typically includes mid-term holders, and substantial activity from them has historically preceded increased price volatility. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Futures Sentiment Weakens, Is The Ongoing Recovery Running Out of Steam? Mignolet illustrated his findings with data, noting that such movements have often signaled major price action, both upward and downward. Green box indicators on his chart marked rallies, while red boxes highlighted periods of decline. While the direction remains uncertain, he highlighted that the increased activity is an early warning sign that traders should be alert for a breakout or breakdown in the near future. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin’s recent price action has shown signs of stagnation, with the asset hovering around the $84,000 mark after rebounding above it earlier this week. As of the time of writing, BTC is trading at $84,449, down 0.7% in the past 24 hours. Despite recovering from previous corrections, the price has struggled to break through the current resistance level, signaling weak buying momentum and cautious sentiment among traders. Related Reading: Bitcoin At $1 Million? BPI Says One US Move Could Make It Happen Bitcoin STH-SOPR and Realized Price Indicate Capitulation The current phase of consolidation follows weeks of volatile swings driven by broader macroeconomic uncertainty and mixed signals across risk assets. While long-term holders remain steady, short-term participants in the market appear to be under pressure. Insights into the behavior of these short-term holders may offer valuable clues on the overall direction of the market and possible entry or exit points for investors. According to a recent analysis shared by CryptoQuant contributor CryptoMe, data from short-term holders (STHs) reveals key indicators that could help define Bitcoin’s current cycle. The first metric highlighted is the STH Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH-SOPR), which measures whether STHs are selling at a profit (above 1.0) or at a loss (below 1.0). Currently, this metric is below 1.0 based on a 14-day moving average, indicating that many STHs are offloading BTC at a loss—a signal often associated with capitulation phases. While this suggests bearish sentiment in the short term, CryptoMe points out that similar dips in STH-SOPR during past bull markets often presented accumulation opportunities. Historically, these periods of loss-taking by STHs have marked temporary bottoms, with prices rebounding shortly after as stronger hands absorb supply. Accumulation Opportunities and Strategy Outlook Another key metric shared is the STH Realized Price, currently around $92,000. This figure represents the average cost basis for coins held by short-term investors. When Bitcoin trades below this level, it can indicate undervaluation relative to recent buyer activity. In CryptoMe’s view, red zones (in the chart), periods when the spot price dips below the realized price, have often coincided with long-term accumulation zones during previous bullish phases. However, CryptoMe cautions that these indicators do not confirm a market bottom. Instead, they suggest that some investors are exiting positions under stress, creating potential buying opportunities for those with a long-term outlook. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces Pressure As Report Flags Chinese Sell-Off Plans Given the broader macroeconomic pressures, the analyst maintains a hedged strategy: accumulating in spot markets while maintaining short positions in derivatives to manage downside risk. He concludes by stating that if macroeconomic conditions improve and liquidity returns to the market, Bitcoin could resume its upward trajectory. Until then, the data suggests patience and risk management may be prudent for market participants awaiting a clearer trend reversal. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin appears to be entering a period of consolidation following a brief burst of upward momentum earlier this week. After reaching nearly $86,000, the cryptocurrency has retraced slightly and is trading around $84,650 at the time of writing. Despite the pullback, analysts continue to monitor on-chain data to assess whether renewed buying pressure could support a more sustained recovery. One of those analysts, CryptoQuant contributor Avocado Onchain, recently shared his insights in a post titled “Coinbase Premium Signals Signs of Recovery Amid Market Turmoil, While Korea Premium Index Remains Lagging.” Avocado noted that escalating trade tensions between the US and China have added volatility to global markets, including Bitcoin. As gold rallies in response to the risk-off environment, Bitcoin has managed to hold above a critical support level after undergoing a more than 30% correction. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment Still Close To Extreme Fear—Green Sign For Recovery? Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Tightens While Korea Lags According to Avocado, the Coinbase Premium, which measures the price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase and other major exchanges, has begun to show a constructive pattern. The analyst wrote: Since the beginning of the prolonged correction in March 2024, the Coinbase Premium has displayed a pattern of compressing highs and lows. This was followed by a sharp rise in buying activity on Coinbase, causing the premium to spike and Bitcoin’s price to surge. Currently, the premium is once again narrowing into a triangle pattern of lower highs and higher lows. Avocado interprets this as a potential precursor to renewed upside momentum in the market, similar to past cycles. “This pattern suggests that institutional and US-based demand is recovering, even as overall market conditions remain unstable,” he added. In contrast, the Korea Premium Index, which tracks the price spread between Korean exchanges and global averages, has shown a weaker profile. Avocado explained that this index trended lower throughout 2024 and only began to rise after Bitcoin had already started to rally, indicating delayed participation from Korean retail investors. This divergence between the two metrics highlights a shift in regional market leadership, with US investors currently taking a more proactive role. Highlighting the Role of Regional Indicators in Market Recovery In his analysis, Avocado concluded that although macroeconomic uncertainty continues to influence short-term movements, indicators like the Coinbase Premium are showing signs of healthy demand. He pointed to the ongoing formation of a support base near $84,000 as a positive development in market structure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces Pressure As Report Flags Chinese Sell-Off Plans “Although overall market conditions remain unstable, the upward trend in the Coinbase Premium’s lows indicates healthy demand,” he noted. “This bodes well for a potentially strong mid- to long-term recovery in Bitcoin’s price trajectory.” Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin’s upward momentum appears to be slowing down following a recovery phase earlier this week. After climbing close to $86,000, BTC has retraced slightly, hovering just above the $84,000 mark at the time of writing. The mild pullback comes after a 10% rise seen over the past seven days, which helped the asset recover from recent corrections triggered by macroeconomic pressures. While the price movement may suggest a healthy retracement or consolidation phase, market sentiment tells a more complex story. According to CryptoQuant contributor abramchart, futures sentiment has not mirrored the price surge, indicating caution among derivative traders. This divergence between price action and market sentiment could suggest growing uncertainty or a broader shift in investor behavior. Related Reading: Bitcoin At $1 Million? BPI Says One US Move Could Make It Happen Bitcoin Futures Sentiment Signals Cooling Conviction In his recent post titled “Weakening Futures Sentiment Signals Caution Amid Bitcoin Rally,” abramchart explained how sentiment indicators have not kept pace with BTC’s recent price movements. From November 2024 through early 2025, Bitcoin experienced strong gains, but the futures sentiment index peaked early and has since been declining steadily. Despite prices staying relatively high, the index now trends near the support zone around 0.4, suggesting increased bearish sentiment. The sentiment index’s resistance is historically around 0.8, with support near 0.2. According to abramchart, the index hovering closer to support may reflect ongoing profit-taking, growing macroeconomic uncertainty, or investor hesitation around regulatory developments. He also noted that Bitcoin’s average trading range between $70K and $80K suggests possible accumulation rather than strong directional conviction. If sentiment continues to linger at current levels, further consolidation or downside action may be expected in the absence of strong bullish catalysts. Weakening Futures Sentiment Signals “The chart shows that while Bitcoin reached significant highs, futures sentiment weakened, which can be a warning signal of potential retracement or at least a lack of strong bullish conviction.” – By @abramchart pic.twitter.com/zzSmUJsQ8Y — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) April 16, 2025 Binance Derivatives Show Bullish Signs Returning In contrast to the cautious sentiment observed in the broader futures market, activity on Binance derivatives is showing signs of renewed optimism. Another CryptoQuant analyst, Darkfost, highlighted a shift in the Binance taker buy/sell ratio—a metric used to measure which side, buyers or sellers, is dominating trading volume on the exchange’s derivatives platform. According to Darkfost, the 30-day exponential moving average of this ratio had remained below 1 for much of 2025, indicating sustained bearish sentiment. However, recent readings show a return to neutral territory, with bullish activity picking up. The ratio trending above 1 indicates buyer dominance, and current data suggests that long traders are becoming more active again. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Positioning Aggressively On Binance, Data Shows Although this doesn’t guarantee a market reversal, it may signal short-term momentum returning in favor of bulls, especially on trading venues like Binance that play a key role in crypto price discovery. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin has shown signs of stabilization following its earlier correction this month, which saw the asset fall to as low as $74,000. Over the past week, Bitcoin has rebounded strongly, gaining nearly 10%, and now trades above $84,000. This upward movement has reignited optimism among investors, though some analysts remain cautious about calling this a definitive trend reversal. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Last Drawdown To $74,000 A ‘Healthy Correction’ — Analyst Says Bull Cycle Is Still On Apparent Demand Shows Recovery, But Trend Reversal Uncertain According to recent on-chain data, the current recovery in BTC may be linked to improving demand indicators. However, it is suggested that the broader market structure still needs to confirm whether this bounce reflects a sustainable rally or is merely a temporary pause in the ongoing correction. CryptoQuant contributor Kripto Mevsimi particularly drew attention to Bitcoin’s Apparent Demand metric, specifically the 30-day sum, which has started to rebound from negative territory. This trend is being observed as a potential sign of changing market dynamics. However, Mevsimi warns against assuming this is the start of a new bullish cycle, drawing parallels to Bitcoin’s behavior during the latter part of the 2021 cycle. During that period, demand remained suppressed for an extended timeframe, even as prices temporarily recovered. Only after a long consolidation phase did the market experience a genuine structural shift. Mevsimi highlights that although momentum may be improving, more time and confirmation are necessary before a macro-level trend reversal can be confirmed. Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Selling Pressure Declines on Binance Another market signal worth watching comes from Binance, one of the largest crypto exchanges by trading volume. CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost reports that inflows of Bitcoin from short-term holders (STHs) to Binance have been steadily decreasing, suggesting a decline in immediate selling pressure. The data indicates that average realized prices for STHs currently hover around $92,800, meaning many recent sellers have exited at a loss. Darkfost notes that inflows from STHs dropped from approximately 17,000 BTC in November to around 9,000 BTC more recently. This downtrend in selling could provide some support for Bitcoin’s current price levels. Related Reading: Bitcoin Lags Gold As Wall Street Doubts Persist, Claims Expert Still, the analyst emphasizes the need for continued monitoring to determine if this reduction in selling pressure persists. The easing of short-term holder activity could reduce overhead resistance and contribute to market stability, but confirmation of accumulation or a broader bullish phase remains elusive. STH selling pressure declining on Binance???? Tracking $BTC inflows on Binance is a useful way to visualize potential selling pressure, as the platform handles significant trading volumes. Short Term Holders have been under considerable stress recently, with many even ending up… pic.twitter.com/lwOe45H7L3 — Darkfost (@Darkfost_Coc) April 13, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView