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#bitcoin #btc price #crypto #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #btcusd #btcusdt #crypto news #btc news #crypto analyst #analyst

Bitcoin’s market cycles have often followed recognizable technical structures, and one analyst now believes those repeating structures may already be pointing toward the next major bottom. This is the foundational principle behind why Elliott Wave, Harmonic Patterns, and Wyckoff theory work: trade an asset long enough, and it begins to show a pattern memory. Right now, that memory is speaking. And it’s pointing to a Bitcoin price bottom below $40,000. Pattern Memory And Bitcoin’s Retracement History A chart shared by market commentator Lisa N Edwards outlined how Bitcoin’s retracement behavior could determine where the current cycle eventually stabilizes during the current downturn. The analysis revolves around the concept of pattern memory, the idea that assets with long trading histories tend to repeat certain behavioral patterns across cycles.  Related Reading: XRP Price At $100 Is ‘Inevitable’, Analyst Explains Why This Is Pattern memory shows that Bitcoin’s previous market cycles have consistently ended near specific Fibonacci retracement levels from the previous peak. These levels have always acted as areas where the Bitcoin price finally found a durable bottom before beginning a new bull phase. During the 2013 cycle, Bitcoin ultimately formed its bottom near the 0.86 Fibonacci retracement. The 2017 cycle followed a similar structure, once again reaching the 0.86 retracement low before a new accumulation phase began. However, the 2021 market cycle bottom occurred slightly higher, around the 0.786 retracement level. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @LisaNEdwards On X Bitcoin Pattern Memory: Where Is The Next Real Bottom? If October 2025 was the true cycle high for Bitcoin, as the monthly chart on the 1M timeframe suggests, then history gives us a roadmap for where price is likely headed before the next major bull run begins. Applying the same retracement framework to the current market cycle produces a range where Bitcoin may eventually bottom if history repeats. Mapping the current cycle’s Fibonacci retracement from the cycle low to the October 2025 high reveals three critical zones. The 0.618 sits at approximately $57,000-$58,000, which also aligns closely with the Weekly 200 Moving Average. However, this level alone may not represent the final low, based on how previous cycles behaved. Related Reading: XRP Price About To Enter ‘Face-Melting Phase’, And The Target Is $27 Instead, deeper retracement levels appear more consistent with historical patterns. This is where the 0.786 and 0.86 retacements come into play. The 0.786 retracement level sits near $39,000 and coincides with the monthly 100-moving average. Beneath that, the 0.86 retracement level falls around $31,000. Both levels have previously defined major cycle bottoms; therefore, Bitcoin’s next long-term low could be somewhere within the $39,000 to $31,000 range if the October 2025 peak proves to be the true cycle high. Some market commentators have floated lower downside targets, including projections that Bitcoin could revisit the $20,000 region. However, the pattern-memory analysis shows that such a drop would represent a complete breakdown of Bitcoin’s historical cycle behavior. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

#bitcoin #crypto #btc #cryptoquant #btcusd #long-term holders

Seventeen of the top 25 largest Bitcoin ETF holders added to their positions while ordinary investors were selling. That split tells a story that goes beyond a single month of on-chain data. Related Reading: Iran’s Crypto Market Shaken As Outflows Skyrocket 700% Smart Money Moves Against The Crowd Bitcoin exchange-traded funds pulled in $1.5 billion over five trading sessions, capping the stretch with a single-day inflow of $458 million — one of the strongest readings this quarter. Retail is leaving crypto at the fastest pace since October. During the same time, 17 of the top 25 largest Bitcoin ETF holders added more to their positions. Institutions now control roughly 12% of the total supply. This divergence shows they are here for a different reason… pic.twitter.com/ZiUFoG2WQZ — Zac Townsend (@ztownsend) March 3, 2026 That buying came as Bitcoin traded in the mid-$60,000 range, well off the October peak of $126,200 that triggered a broad retail exit. Data from analyst Zac Townsend shows retail traders have been dumping BTC at a fast clip since that high. Yet the biggest institutional players went the other direction, quietly stacking more. The gap between those two groups is stark. It reflects a split in confidence that analysts say often appears before major price moves — though the direction of any move is never guaranteed. ???? Over the past month, Long Term Holders added 212,000 BTC. pic.twitter.com/lr9Zfe4TtI — Maartunn (@JA_Maartun) March 3, 2026 Long-Term Holders Accumulate $14B Worth Of Bitcoin On-chain data tracked by CryptoQuant tells a similar story from a different angle. Bitcoin’s long-term holders — wallets that have sat on their coins for at least 150 days — added 212,000 BTC over the past 30 days. At current prices, that haul is worth more than $14 billion. CryptoQuant verified author J.A. Maartunn flagged the trend in a post Tuesday, pointing to the platform’s Long-Term Holder Net Position Change metric. The tool measures whether this class of holders is buying or selling over any given 30-day window. A reading above zero signals accumulation. Below zero means they’re distributing. For most of 2025, that metric sat in negative territory. Long-term holders were selling — heavily. Reports indicate the shift began as Bitcoin retested multi-year price lows and selling pressure started to ease. That’s when buyers in this category came back in force. Related Reading: Crypto’s Quietest Month In Nearly A Year — But Hackers Haven’t Gone Away What Comes Next Bitcoin dipped to around $60,000 on February 6, extending a roughly 15% pullback that shook out weaker hands and rattled short-term traders. The drop appears to have worked as a magnet for buyers with longer time horizons. Accumulation by large holders has historically been read as a bullish signal. When sustained buying from this group builds up, it tends to tighten available supply, which can set the stage for upward price pressure. Whether that dynamic plays out here depends on broader market conditions — macro sentiment, regulatory developments, and demand from new buyers all factor in. Featured image from Bitpanda, chart from TradingView

#policy #crypto #regulation #web3 #crypto ecosystems #u.s. policymaking

Prediction markets platform Polymarket has archived a contract on whether a nuclear weapon would be detonated this year.

#bitcoin #btc price #crypto #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #btcusd #btcusdt #crypto news #btc news #crypto analyst #analyst

Bitcoin’s current price trajectory has left a lot to be desired, with the most concern currently being for when the digital asset will hit a bottom. There have been countless predictions since the decline began, and yet, Bitcoin remains below $70,000. Nevertheless, it has not stopped the barrage of bottom calls and price predictions. One of these was shared by crypto analyst Crypto Patel, who took to using historical data and performance to track how low the BTC price will probably drop before reversing upward. Bitcoin Price Could Still Crash To $50,000 In the analysis , Crypto Patel pointed to previous bear markets and how far the Bitcoin price had crashed each time before recovering. The first of these was the 2018 bear market, when the Bitcoin price had crashed 85% after hitting an all-time high of $19,000. Once the crash was over and the bottom was established, though, the Bitcoin price would go on to record a 350% rally. Related Reading: Blood Moon Affecting Bitcoin Price? Why A Surge Above $100,000 Could Be Coming Next on the list was the 2019 crash that had triggered a 70% Bitcoin crash. This was a continuation of the bear market trend that had begun back in 2018, as profit-taking was the order of the day. However, just like before, this bleed would eventually end, and what followed was a 1,500% rally that would see the Bitcoin price reach new all-time highs. It eventually peaked at $69,000 in 2021 before crashing again. Following the 2021 bull market, the year 2022 would kickstart the next bear run for the digital asset. With the collapse of crypto giants such as Celsius and the FTX crypto exchange, the Bitcoin price witnessed a 78% crash. But once again, after hitting a bottom and accumulation ramped up, the BTC price would eventually rise 750% to cross $100,000 in the next few years, and eventually hit its most recent all-time high of $126,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin Fear Has Been This Low Only 2 Times In History, Here’s What Follows Each Time Using this trend, the crypto analyst outlines that it is possible that the Bitcoin price will drop further to $50,000, to complete a 50% price drop. However, despite the bearish prediction, Crypto Patel predicts that the BTC price is eventually headed for $220,000, which would be an over 300% increase from $50,000. Fully taking the historical performance into account, though, it shows that with each bear trend, the Bitcoin price has fallen an average of 70% each time. Using this, it is likely that the digital asset’s price will crash below $40,000, eventually finding support around $37,000, if history were to repeat itself. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

#crypto #cftc #crypto news #hyperliquid #cftc chair #hype news #hype price #hypeusdt #hyperliquid news #cftc crypto #mike selig #hyperliquid (hype)

The newly appointed Chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Mike Selig, has signaled that the United States is close to introducing a regulatory framework that would allow crypto perpetual futures to trade onshore.  The move, if finalized in the coming weeks as suggested, could reshape the digital asset derivatives market and potentially create a significant opportunity for Hyperliquid (HYPE), one of the fastest-growing platforms in the perpetuals segment. CFTC’s Plan To Bring Crypto Perps Back To The US Speaking Tuesday at the Milken Institute’s Future of Finance conference, Selig said the CFTC plans to establish rules for crypto perpetual futures contracts — instruments that allow traders to maintain leveraged exposure to digital assets indefinitely, without expiration dates.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Prints Fifth Straight Red Month; Previous Streak Was Followed By 300% Surge While these products have existed for years, they have largely operated on offshore exchanges in jurisdictions such as Asia, Europe and the Bahamas. According to Selig, the United States needs to “recapture” liquidity that migrated overseas under prior regulatory conditions. Selig framed the initiative as part of a broader modernization effort, describing “Project Crypto” as a historic interagency undertaking designed to update and future-proof financial regulations for emerging technologies.  “We’re working towards getting perpetual futures, true perpetual futures, not long-dated contracts, here in the U.S. within the next month or so,” Selig stated.  In addition to perpetual futures, Selig said regulators are examining how to accommodate decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols and blockchain-based systems within existing rules.  Hyperliquid Policy Center Backs Selig’s Push The potential approval of US-based crypto perpetual futures has drawn attention from Hyperliquid, a decentralized exchange (DEX) that has rapidly gained prominence in the global perps market.  Just two weeks ago, the Hyperliquid Policy Center (HPC) was established with a grant of 1 million HYPE tokens. The center’s mandate includes working directly with lawmakers and regulators to help shape clear rules for perpetual derivatives in decentralized markets. Following Selig’s remarks, the newly formed policy group publicly welcomed the regulatory direction. The HPC said it supports the Chair’s forward-looking stance and expressed readiness to assist in ensuring that decentralized perpetual derivatives markets can develop within the United States. Related Reading: BNB Chain Rolls Out Production-Ready AI Agent Tools With Live On-Chain Capabilities As previously reported by Bitcoinist, one of the center’s main objectives is to secure a defined legal structure for perpetual derivatives. Jake Chervinsky, who leads the Hyperliquid Policy Center, has argued that perpetual contracts offer practical advantages compared to traditional futures and options.  In his view, perps are simpler in design and provide more direct exposure to underlying crypto assets. However, without regulatory clarity, they have struggled to gain traction within the US market. Activity across perpetual platforms has surged since late 2025, with total monthly volume reaching $829 billion. Analysts expect that figure could climb further if US regulators approve domestic crypto perpetual futures trading under the CFTC’s new leadership. At the time of writing, Hyperliquid’s native token, HYPE, was trading at $31.77, having recorded losses of 2.4% over the previous 24 hours. Nevertheless, the token is one of the few to show gains over longer time frames, with year-to-date growth of 74%, according to CoinGecko data.   Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

#bitcoin #crypto #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #mara #btcusdt #crypto news #btc news #mara holdings

MARA Holdings, one of the largest Bitcoin (BTC) mining companies in the world, has signaled a major shift in strategy that could have significant implications for the broader BTC market.  In a recent filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the company disclosed an update to its treasury policy that would allow it to sell Bitcoin from its balance sheet — a notable departure from its long-standing commitment to holding the asset as a long-term investment. Bitcoin Miner MARA May Sell Reserves Under the new policy, MARA is no longer strictly committed to retaining all of the Bitcoin it mines. Instead, it has opened the door to potentially liquidating part or even all of its holdings if circumstances require it. MARA currently holds 53,822 BTC, making it the second-largest publicly traded corporate holder of Bitcoin, according to data from BitcoinTreasuries.net.  At current market prices, the company’s reserves are valued at approximately $3.59 billion. Only Michael Saylor’s Strategy — formerly known as MicroStrategy — holds more, with over 720,000 BTC. Related Reading: Bitcoin Prints Fifth Straight Red Month; Previous Streak Was Followed By 300% Surge In its filing, MARA acknowledged that prolonged weakness in Bitcoin’s price could materially affect its financial position. If the price remains depressed or declines further, the value of its holdings could fall significantly, weighing on its balance sheet and liquidity.  Because Bitcoin mining represents the company’s primary source of revenue, extended price declines could make it increasingly difficult to cover operational costs, meet debt obligations, or fund strategic initiatives. The company also pointed to upcoming financial obligations, including the potential need to repurchase outstanding convertible senior notes in 2027. Meeting such obligations would require substantial cash resources.  Under those circumstances — including liquidity pressures or adverse market conditions — MARA said it may decide to sell a portion or the entirety of its Bitcoin reserves. Potential ‘Supply Bomb’ Looms  Market analyst Shanaka Anslem offered a detailed breakdown of the company’s current challenges. According to Anslem, MARA’s production cost now stands at approximately $87,000 per Bitcoin, while the asset is trading around $66,690.  That gap means the company is effectively losing money on each block it mines. At the same time, hashprice — a key measure of mining profitability — has dropped to a record low of $35 per petahash. Anslem also highlighted MARA’s 2025 open-market purchases. During that year, the company acquired 4,267 BTC at an average price of $111,034 per coin. With current prices significantly lower, those purchases are now roughly 38% underwater.  Related Reading: CME Capitalizes On ADA, XLM, LINK In Crypto Strategy: Key Figures Exposed Looking ahead, Anslem suggested that blockchain data will provide critical clues about whether MARA’s policy shift translates into actual selling.  If the company’s wallets show no meaningful outflows over the next 90 days, he argued, the announcement may amount to little more than optional flexibility, and the perceived supply overhang could prove illusory.  However, if substantial transfers begin — particularly in a market environment characterized by a Fear and Greed Index reading of 15 and Bitcoin already down 22% year-to-date — the psychological and price impact could be significant. In that scenario, other miners with large treasuries might also come under scrutiny, creating what he described as a potential “supply bomb” effect. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

#bitcoin #us #crypto #israel #altcoin #middle east #elliptic #iran #war #nobitex

Hours after explosions were reported in Tehran, digital money began moving. Reports say cryptocurrency withdrawals from Iran’s largest exchange jumped sharply as news of US and Israeli airstrikes spread across the country. Related Reading: Crypto’s Quietest Month In Nearly A Year — But Hackers Haven’t Gone Away Blockchain data reviewed by analytics firms shows outflows rising about 700% in a short window, a spike that stood out against normal daily activity. Crypto Rush Follows Airstrikes According to blockchain tracking firm Elliptic, wallets linked to Nobitex, Iran’s biggest crypto trading platform, sent out far more funds than usual within minutes of the first strike. In less than an hour, transfers climbed into the millions of dollars. The surge was quick. It was also brief. The timing caught attention. Based on reports, the jump began almost immediately after confirmation of military action. Digital assets were shifted to external wallets and, in some cases, to overseas exchanges. For many Iranians who already face sanctions and banking limits, crypto has become one of the few ways to move value across borders. Nobitex has long operated in a gray zone shaped by sanctions and capital controls. Crypto use in the country has grown over the years as access to global finance tightened. During past waves of unrest, similar patterns were recorded, though not always at this scale. Internet Blackout Slows The Flow The rush did not last. Reports note that internet connectivity across Iran dropped by about 99% shortly after the strikes, limiting further transfers. With connections cut or heavily restricted, the stream of outgoing crypto transactions slowed to a trickle. TRM Labs, another blockchain analytics firm, said the spike may reflect short-term panic rather than an organized effort to move large pools of capital. A sharp move from a low base can look dramatic in percentage terms. Some transactions were completed before the blackout. Others appear to have stalled. Transfers can be initiated quickly, but they still depend on access to the internet and functioning platforms. When connectivity disappears, so does that option. Weakened Currency Iran’s economy has been under strain for years. Sanctions tied to its nuclear program and regional policies have limited trade and weakened the national currency. Crypto mining and trading, at times tolerated and at other times restricted, have offered an alternative path for some citizens and businesses. Related Reading: Wall Street Giant JPMorgan Sees Clarity Act Driving Second-Half Upside There has been no public sign that the spike altered broader crypto prices. Bitcoin and other major tokens reacted more to global risk sentiment than to activity inside Iran alone. Still, the 700% surge serves as another example of how quickly digital money can respond to geopolitical shocks. For a few tense hours, crypto became a lifeline for some users in Iran. Then the cables went dark, and the flow slowed. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from TradingView

#bitcoin #us #crypto #btc #israel #middle east #btcusd #iran #war

War is burning across the Middle East. Oil prices are climbing. Stock markets in Asia have taken a hit. And yet, Bitcoin is still standing above $66,000 — a fact that has caught the attention of analysts keeping a close eye on the market. Related Reading: Crypto’s Quietest Month In Nearly A Year — But Hackers Haven’t Gone Away Calm Where There Should Be Panic The group most closely watched during moments of market stress is what analysts call short-term holders — people who bought Bitcoin recently and are most likely to sell fast when things go wrong. Based on reports from on-chain data platform CryptoQuant, that group has stayed unusually quiet. When Bitcoin slipped into the $63,000 to $64,000 range on Feb. 28, exchange inflows from recent buyers barely moved. No major wave of selling followed. No spike in coins being rushed to exchanges at a loss. That was not the case earlier in February. Reports say that on Feb. 5-6, short-term holders sent 89,000 BTC to exchanges at a loss within a single 24-hour window. It was a clear panic event. Since then, those kinds of loss-driven transfers have been falling steadily — and the Iran escalation did not reverse that trend. CryptoQuant analyst Moreno, who tracked the data, says this matters because markets tend to find their footing once the most nervous sellers have already exited. If exchange inflows from short-term holders remain low, it could point to seller exhaustion and set the stage for a price recovery. A sudden jump in those inflows, however, would suggest the selling is not done. What History Says About War And Bitcoin This is not the first time Bitcoin has been tested by armed conflict. According to market analyst Ted Pillows, the pattern has played out twice before. When Russia launched its invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Bitcoin dropped — then surged 40%. When Israel struck Iran in June 2025, Bitcoin dipped again before gaining 25%. Feb 2022: Russia attacked Ukraine. ▫️ $BTC dumped first and then rallied 40%. June 2025: Israel attacked Iran. ▫️ Bitcoin dumped first and then rallied 25%. Feb 2026: US attacked Iran. Will a similar pattern follow again? pic.twitter.com/b8FLF4aR9p — Ted (@TedPillows) February 28, 2026 Now, following joint US-Israeli strikes on Iran in February 2026, Bitcoin has once again pulled back. Pillows is now asking whether that same rebound pattern could follow a third time. The current conflict is far larger than those earlier flashpoints. Reports say US-Israeli forces struck more than 2,000 targets across 131 Iranian cities and provinces, hitting nuclear sites, missile systems, and senior military figures, including Iran’s Supreme Leader. Related Reading: Wall Street Giant JPMorgan Sees Clarity Act Driving Second-Half Upside Bitcoin Price Action Iran fired back with missiles and drones aimed at Israel, US bases, and multiple Gulf states. The war has dragged in Lebanon, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the UAE, Cyprus, and a UK military base. Bitcoin has dropped 3.5% since Feb. 26, bringing its price to $65,540. It briefly touched $63,030 on Feb. 28 before climbing back above $65,000. Given the scale of what is happening on the ground, that kind of price movement is relatively contained. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

#crypto #bnb #bnb chain #cryptocurrency #bnb price #crypto news #bnbusdt #bnb news #bnb chain news #bnb chain ecosystem #bnb chain ai agents

As major tech firms from traditional finance focus on building closed artificial intelligence (AI) systems, the BNB Chain is now releasing production-ready “skills” designed specifically for autonomous AI agents, enabling them to operate directly on blockchain infrastructure rather than through centralized intermediaries. These newly deployed capabilities allow AI agents to access live on-chain data, execute real transactions, manage wallets independently, and establish permanent on-chain identities using the ERC-8004 standard, or “Trustless Agents.”  BNB Chain Advances Agent Economy With these Ethereum-standard tools, AI agents can implement automated trading strategies, rebalance portfolios, participate in decentralized governance, and conduct continuous data analysis.  In practice, this means agents can execute tasks such as swapping 100 USDT for BNB on PancakeSwap when a specific price threshold is reached — completing the transaction securely and autonomously, without human involvement.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Prints Fifth Straight Red Month; Previous Streak Was Followed By 300% Surge BNB Chain has increasingly become a preferred execution environment for this type of development. Several structural characteristics contribute to that momentum, including comparatively low transaction fees, faster block times, and access to deep liquidity. The introduction of agent-oriented standards such as ERC-8004 has further strengthened the network’s appeal by providing a framework for persistent, verifiable on-chain identities tailored to AI entities.  At the same time, ecosystem support and builder acceleration programs are encouraging teams to experiment and deploy agent-native applications. Agent-Focused Projects Grow The infrastructure is already operational across widely used AI development environments, including Cursor, Claude Desktop, OpenClaw, and other MCP-compatible platforms.  Initiatives such as OpenClaw have reportedly attracted more than 600 builders and supported over 200 projects centered on agent-focused infrastructure, reflecting growing developer interest in the concept. Related Reading: Bitcoin Slides Again as Iran War Jitters Hit BTC, Risk Assets Proponents describe the agent economy as a major emerging narrative within crypto. In this vision, autonomous agents operate around the clock, managing DeFi strategies, coordinating NFT launches, participating in DAO governance, providing automated customer support, and even conducting cross-chain arbitrage.  For AI developers, the shift represents a move from experimental prototypes to fully operational agents capable of handling real value on-chain. BNB Chain is actively supporting this transition by funding and accelerating ecosystem teams that are building and open-sourcing early versions of agent skills. At the time of writing, Binance Coin (BNB), crypto exchange Binance’s native token, is trading at $635. This represents a slight 1% drop for the cryptocurrency, which failed to surpass its nearest resistance wall at $640 on Monday.  According to CoinGecko data, such price action has left Binance Coin 53% below its all-time high of $1,369, reached last year, with further losses of 16% on the monthly time frame, mirroring the broader bearish conditions seen in the rest of the market.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

#crypto #ripple #xrp #xrp price #ripple news #xrp news #crypto news #xrpusd #xrpusdt #crypto analyst #analyst

Currently sitting under $1.5, the XRP price is projected to reach $100, representing a more than 6,500% increase. While this bullish forecast may seem ambitious given the cryptocurrency’s low price and slow growth over the years, analysts and market participants still believe a surge to $100 is inevitable. They base their outlooks on the expansion of the tokenization industry, predicting that such growth could become a catalyst for XRP, which recently entered this new and thriving market via its XRP Ledger (XRPL). Tokenization Growth To Fuel $100 XRP Price In a recent analysis report, market expert X Finance Bull made a compelling case for XRP’s future, predicting its price could ultimately soar above $100. This optimistic outlook is primarily based on the rapid growth anticipated in the tokenization sector, which the report estimates could leap from a current valuation of $20 billion to an astonishing $200 trillion.   Related Reading: CMT-Certified Expert Flags Bitcoin Buy Signal, Is It Time To Go All In On BTC? With XRP at the center of this multi-trillion–dollar growth, driven by the XRP Ledger, X Finance Bull believes that the estimated growth of the tokenization market could potentially fuel a price surge to $100. Further supporting his bullish forecast, the analyst shared a video featuring Bitwise Chief Investment Officer (CIO) Matt Hougan, who echoed similar optimistic projections for the tokenization industry.  Hougan highlighted his enthusiasm for the sector, drawing comparisons to traditional asset classes to underscore its potential scale. He noted that global stocks are valued at approximately $110 trillion, bonds at $140 trillion, real estate at $250 trillion, and ETFs at $30 trillion, suggesting that tokenization could ultimately tap markets of comparable size.  Based on the valuation and continued growth of these asset classes, Hougan projected that the overall tokenization market could grow by 10,000 times, with room to grow further in the future.  XRP’s Correlation With The Tokenization Sector XRP’s connection to the tokenization market is already being built through the XRP Ledger. As of 2026, XRPL hosts approximately $2.3 billion in tokenized Real-World Assets (RWAs), a figure that jumped sharply from $991 million at the start of the year. The over $1.3 billion added in just two months underscores the already accelerating pace of institutional adoption.  The XRPL is specifically designed to make tokenization accessible to financial institutions without the overhead of complex smart contracts. Its in-built features, including a native decentralized exchange (DEX), automated market makers (AMM), near-instant settlement, and low transaction costs, give it structural advantages over larger programmable networks like Ethereum.  Related Reading: 5 Monthly Red Candles: How XRP Is About To Create A Historical Losing Streak For asset managers and bankers seeking to issue and manage tokenized securities, these capabilities can significantly reduce developmental costs and operational risks. The Ledger is already being used to tokenize government debt, with recent reports revealing an increase in tokenized US Treasury holdings on the blockchain network.    X Finance Bull’s $100 thesis for XRP assumes that if the global tokenization market skyrockets to $200 trillion and XRPL captures a meaningful share of that settlement activity, the downstream demand for XRP, its native token, could increase substantially. Under such a scenario, sustained capital inflows and transaction volume across the network could drive the cryptocurrency to a much higher valuation.   Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

#bitcoin #btc price #crypto #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #btcusd #btcusdt #crypto news #btc news #crypto analyst #analyst

Bitcoin has returned to an extreme technical zone that has historically marked major cycle bottoms for the BTC price. According to crypto analyst @DurdenBTC, the Harmonic Oscillator has now printed its lowest possible reading, a level that previously preceded outsized one-year gains. The signal raises a direct question: Does history imply that Bitcoin is positioned to double from here? Bitcoin Harmonic Oscillator Signals BTC Price Could More Than Double A chart shared by the analyst highlights a striking signal for Bitcoin, showing the Harmonic Oscillator at -100, the lowest point on its long-term decaying price range, which spans from -100 to +100. This “Capitulation” zone marks periods when BTC trades far below its harmonic center and historical equilibrium, signaling extreme market pessimism. Related Reading: XRP Price About To Enter ‘Face-Melting Phase’, And The Target Is $27 Historically, every time the oscillator has hit this level—late 2011, early 2015, late 2018, March 2020, and late 2022—Bitcoin reached major cycle lows before entering strong upward trends. The chart quantifies this pattern, showing a median one-year return of +135% from the capitulation zone, with a 100% success rate across all recorded signals. For traders, this suggests that the BTC price could more than double over the next year if history repeats itself. The chart also contrasts other zones in the oscillator, illustrating the model’s cyclical reliability: the “Undervalued” zone historically produced +77% median returns, “Equilibrium” and “Overheated” zones delivered smaller gains, and the “Euphoria” band at the top often led to negative returns. In essence, the chart emphasizes that Bitcoin’s current capitulation reading may mark a rare opportunity for a major rally. By connecting extreme market lows with historically consistent gains, the oscillator provides traders a clear framework for anticipating BTC’s next potential cycle. Bearish Trend Model Meets A Generational Buy Signal Although the oscillator has a strong historical record, @DurdenBTC notes that his broader trend system currently leans bearish. This creates a tension between momentum-based trend signals and the oscillator, which indicates extreme undervaluation. The oscillator works on a damped harmonic model, where price moves around a rising long-term center line while volatility gradually compresses. Related Reading: XRP Daily Liquidity Is Pointing To A Rally To $4, Analyst Explains What’s Going On The chart shows Bitcoin trading below its harmonic center and fair value, with a negative deviation reinforcing the capitulation signal. A 90-day inset highlights a sharp drop to this lower boundary. Meanwhile, the two-year fair value estimate remains well above the current price, showing a significant gap between current levels and the modeled equilibrium. The oscillator also shows that cycle energy has reset to lower levels, similar to previous macro bottoms. Historically, these resets marked the shift from decline into accumulation phases. This does not mean price will immediately reverse, but statistically, readings like this have marked generational buying opportunities. While the analyst maintains a cautious stance aligned with the bearish trend, the -100 oscillator reading represents one of the most asymmetric setups in Bitcoin’s cycle history. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

#bitcoin #btc price #crypto #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #btcusd #btcusdt #crypto news #btc news #crypto analyst #analyst

After the Bitcoin price recovered from the flush to $63,000 over the last week, expectations are that the uptrend could continue. This has sparked predictions for the next rally and that the BTC price could move above $70,000 as a result of this. However, one analyst has thrown a wrench in this move, predicting that there could be another crash coming. This could lead to the final bottom, but suggests that much lower prices are coming first. The Ending Diagonal That Suggests Bitcoin Is Headed Downward EduwaveTrading posted an analysis on the TradingView website that paints a rather bearish picture for the Bitcoin price, at least in the short term. This prediction has to do with Bitcoin not reaching the previous swing low, and this could mean that there is another wave coming to help it hit that swing low. Related Reading: How High Will The Dogecoin Price Be If Bitcoin Reaches $200,000? As a result of the swing low not being hit, the crypto analyst suggests that Bitcoin could have dropped into an expanding ending diagonal pattern. This pattern, despite the recovery, points to another possible downward move. This move would be the start of a deeper downtrend that sends it to new yearly lows. The swing low target here lies just above $62,000 and could be a magnet for the price at this point. If the expanding ending diagonal pattern plays out, it means there is one more flush left. Once the swing low is broken, the analyst points out that Bitcoin could drop further below $59,000 before finding support again. Given this pattern, the crypto analyst suggests that investors may want to wait for this next flush to play out before doing anything. Only then would it be ‘safe’ to enter into Bitcoin, in order to avoid further losses. BTC Is Still Very Bearish Just like EduwaveTrading, another crypto analyst, Behdark, has predicted that Bitcoin will see another crash. This time around, the analyst points to the takeout on the downtrend lined the fact that the momentum has been dropping ahead, suggesting that Bitcoin is still very bearish. Related Reading: Are Institutions Killing Bitcoin And Ethereum? Here’s How They’ve Fared Since Companies Got Involved If the sellers continue to hold strong, then the crypto analyst sees Bitcoin falling toward $61,000, which coincides with the swing low that EduwaveTrading points out. Both of these analyses together say that it’s highly likely that the BTC price sees a strong move downward before establishing enough support to continue upward again. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

#bitcoin #btc price #crypto #bitcoin price #btc #crypto market #bitcoin news #btcusdt #crypto news #btc news #bitcoin chart #bitcoin technical analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) has wrapped up February with its fifth straight monthly loss, marking only the second time in its history that the leading cryptocurrency has printed five consecutive red candles on the monthly chart.  Upside Call Options Surge The latest decline saw Bitcoin fall to around $63,000 last Saturday, representing a roughly 15% drop for the month of February. However, the start of March has brought a modest rebound.  The asset opened the first week of the month at $68,600, posting gains of just over 3% as it attempts to reclaim the $70,000 level, which has continuously acted as a significant resistance barrier over the past several weeks. Related Reading: Dogecoin (DOGE) Slips Toward Critical Support, Breakdown Threat Emerges Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, market participants appear relatively composed. Markus Thielen, head of research at 10x Research, said traders do not anticipate the Iran conflict causing major economic disruption.  In a note to Bloomberg, Thielen said that demand for upside Bitcoin call options has increased in recent days, suggesting that some investors are positioning for a potential rally ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting. The current setup has also reignited historical comparisons. The last time Bitcoin experienced a similar string of red monthly candles was during the 2018–2019 bear market.  In that earlier cycle, the asset went on to print six consecutive monthly losses. What followed was a sharp reversal: five straight green candles and a 308% surge, with Bitcoin climbing from roughly $3,400 to $14,000. Market Watchers Split On Bitcoin Outlook Market expert Ash Crypto recently highlighted this pattern on social media, suggesting that if history were to repeat, Bitcoin could be approaching a cyclical bottom after its fifth red month.  A comparable 300% advance from current trading levels would imply a potential move toward $272,000. Such a projection, however, depends on whether the recent lows ultimately prove to be the final bottom of this correction. Related Reading: XRP Faces $650 Million Sell Risk As US-Iran Conflict Sparks Risk-Off Move Not all analysts are convinced that the downside is over. Technical analyst Virtual Bacon has outlined the possibility of further retracement before a sustained recovery can be expected.  He identified $65,000—previously an all-time high—as the first key level, noting that the price has already revisited that zone. For those who subscribe to the thesis that former highs often turn into support, he suggested that the opportunity may already be present. A deeper pullback, in his view, could bring Bitcoin toward $58,000, where the 200-week simple moving average (SMA) currently sits. Historically, that long-term indicator has played a critical role in defining market bottoms.  It helped contain the sharp selloff during the 2020 COVID-19 crash, marked the absolute low in 2018, and was tested multiple times in 2015 without ever closing below it every week.  Because of this track record, the 200-week moving average has been widely regarded as one of the most reliable long-term accumulation zones in Bitcoin’s history. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

#crypto #xrp #xrp price #xrp news #crypto news

US-Israeli strikes on Iran over the weekend have pushed geopolitical risk back to the center of crypto markets, but in CryptoInsightUK’s latest weekly note, the immediate takeaway for XRP is not simple downside. Founder Will Taylor argues that the first shock may be arriving at a moment when bearish positioning is already crowded, creating conditions where XRP could hold up better than Bitcoin and Ethereum if the market absorbs the news without fresh breakdowns. Writing in the Week 184 edition of The Weekly Insight, Taylor framed the conflict first as a volatility event. “There could be extreme volatility in the near term,” he wrote, adding that this was also the kind of backdrop where bottoms can form “on the onset of bad news.” He pushed the point further in a longer passage that gets to the core of his market view: “I am not saying number three is the definite outcome here. But I am saying, and I have said this for a while, that when people are overly invested emotionally in an event and are deeply worried about it, that is often where markets form bottoms. Especially if you do not see strong follow through to the downside.” Related Reading: XRP Faces $650 Million Sell Risk As US-Iran Conflict Sparks Risk-Off Move That distinction matters for XRP because Taylor is not arguing that war is bullish for crypto in itself. He is arguing that the market’s reaction function matters more than the headline. In his read, Bitcoin initially sold off on the news, but the move lacked the kind of follow-through that would usually confirm a deeper washout. He noted that liquidity still sat lower on Bitcoin, around $60,000, and said he would still prefer to see that level swept before calling for a more durable move higher. Ethereum, in his telling, looked similar. Taylor said there was still downside liquidity near $1,720, but stressed that the larger pools of low-timeframe liquidity were sitting above price rather than below it. That left room for another dip, but not necessarily for a structurally bearish reset. Why XRP Looks Different XRP is where his framework becomes more interesting. Taylor argued that XRP had already done some of the work Bitcoin and Ethereum were still waiting to do. “XRP had a spike to the upside about ten days ago that Bitcoin and Ethereum did not have. It showed relative strength there,” he wrote. “And now XRP has already moved down into the liquidity pools that Bitcoin and Ethereum are still waiting to touch. So in a way, XRP has already done what the others have not.” Related Reading: XRP Triangle Could Point To Support Between $0.60 And $0.90 He stopped well short of calling that confirmation, but the implication was clear. If the market was entering a fear-driven macro event and XRP had already traded into nearby liquidity while its larger peers had not, then XRP could be better positioned if the selling pressure fades instead of accelerating. Taylor said he had been discussing the possibility of XRP leading altcoins and “potentially leading the market generally,” with this low-timeframe setup offering at least a hint in that direction. Taylor’s broader thesis rests less on the war itself than on market structure. He continues to argue that Bitcoin still has significant daily liquidity above current levels and can make new all-time highs, while altcoins outperform on the way there. He tied that view to Bitcoin dominance, where he said Bollinger Bands were as tight as they had ever been on the weekly and extremely compressed on the monthly. If that volatility resolves lower, altcoins would be positioned to take share. That is also why he ended the note on XRP against Ethereum. Taylor said the XRP/ETH chart “has started a new trend to the upside” and may be the beginning of a larger impulsive move. His closing framework was blunt: if Bitcoin pushes to new highs, if dominance weakens, and if XRP continues to hold momentum against Ethereum, then “XRP could be setting up for an explosive move.” At press time, XRP traded at $1.3437. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

#bitcoin #crypto #stablecoins #digital currency #jpmorgan #advice #clarity act

The crypto industry has spent years asking Washington for clear rules. It may be getting closer to an answer. JPMorgan analysts are now predicting that the Clarity Act — a sweeping bill designed to set formal ground rules for how digital assets are regulated in the US — will be signed into law by the middle of this year. If this timeline holds, it could prove to be one of the biggest changes in crypto policy within the US. Related Reading: Bitcoin In The Line Of Fire: Price Dips To $63k As US, Israel Launch Strikes On Iran What The Clarity Act Actually Does At its heart, this is a bill about structure. The reality is that currently, there is a lack of a unified structure or framework regarding how crypto is classified or traded within the US. Different bodies have taken different stances on the issue, leaving businesses to wonder what is or isn’t allowed. The Clarity Act aims to fix that by establishing a clear set of rules that applies across the board — covering everything from how tokens are categorized to which regulatory bodies have authority over them. A JPMorgan Chase report says the U.S. CLARITY Act could pass by mid-year and serve as a second-half catalyst, bringing regulatory clarity, ending “regulation by enforcement,” boosting tokenization, and supporting institutional adoption. Key debates involve stablecoin yield… — Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) March 2, 2026 According to JPMorgan’s team of analysts, led by managing director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, the bill’s approval could act as a meaningful turning point for the broader crypto market. Reports say the bank believes the legislation may help push prices upward in the second half of 2026, even as sentiment across crypto markets remains negative right now. The bank’s view is that regulatory certainty, once delivered, tends to attract institutional money that has been sitting on the sidelines. But the bill is not there yet. Two unresolved disputes have kept it from moving forward. The first involves stablecoins — digital currencies pegged to traditional assets like the US dollar. Crypto firms want stablecoin holders to be able to earn rewards on their holdings, similar to interest. Banks are pushing back hard, arguing that offering those returns would pull customer deposits away from conventional financial institutions and undermine the broader banking system. A Political Fight Is Slowing Things Down The second obstacle is a bit more political in nature, as democratic lawmakers have been advocating for a clause to be included in the bill, which would prohibit senior government officials, including US President, Donald Trump, and his family, from owning any financial interest in crypto projects. The provision is widely seen as a direct reference to Trump, whose family has been linked to various crypto ventures. The White House has reportedly hosted several meetings to work through these disagreements, but no resolution has been reached. Related Reading: Crypto’s Quietest Month In Nearly A Year — But Hackers Haven’t Gone Away A March 1 deadline that had been floated as a possible target for progress came and went without any meaningful announcement. Reports note that industry observers had already signaled weeks in advance that the deadline was unlikely to produce results, and that turned out to be accurate. Negotiations are ongoing, though the pace has frustrated those who were hoping for a faster resolution. Featured image from Vecteezy, chart from TradingView

#crypto #ripple #xrp #xrp price #ripple news #xrp news #crypto news #xrpusd #xrpusdt #crypto analyst #analyst

Recent commentary from crypto analyst Egragcrypto has stirred fresh debate around the XRP price’s long-term trajectory. In a recent X post, the analyst pointed to a potential high-volatility phase ahead, suggesting that even a short-term drop could set the stage for a powerful rally. His chart outlines both risk and opportunity, framing the coming period as decisive for patient investors. The Meaning Behind The XRP Price ‘Face-Melting Phase’ According to Egragcrypto’s outlook, XRP may be approaching what he describes as a dramatic expansion phase. The analyst emphasized that this stage is unlikely to be comfortable for market participants. He framed the move as one that historically rewards traders who withstand early volatility rather than those seeking immediate confirmation. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Price Surge To $500,000 As Ribbon Fractal Emerges In his view, even if price follows the projected yellow downside path first, such weakness should not be seen purely as bearish. He characterized it as a potential accumulation window that could precede a much larger upside move to $27. He insists that the market may demand endurance before offering meaningful gains. This perspective aligns with his broader principle that strong returns in crypto markets often follow periods of stress. The analyst stressed that many investors underestimate this dynamic, implying that emotional discipline could become a key differentiator if the projected scenario unfolds. Within this framework, short-term pain is positioned as part of a larger bullish structure rather than a breakdown of the trend. Chart Structure Points To High-Volatility Setup The accompanying chart provides the technical backbone for the thesis. XRP is shown trading within a long-term rising structure formed after the major breakout that began around 2017–2018. More recently, price action has compressed inside a large triangular formation, with the upper boundary gradually descending and the lower boundary steadily rising. The chart highlights several critical zones. A purple “death zone” sits below the current price, while a clearly marked psychological by support area near the $1.30 region acts as the first key defense. Above, a psychology resistance band around the $3 range caps the recent advance and defines the upper barrier XRP must reclaim. Related Reading: Bitcoin Final Sell-Off Coming? Analyst Says It’s Time To ‘Buckle Up’ Notably, the yellow projected path shows a possible dip back toward support before any sustained breakout attempt. From there, the analyst maps an aggressive expansion phase that extends toward the $27 region. This level sits well above previous cycle highs, signaling the scale of the move being proposed. The structure suggests that XRP is at a decision point rather than already in breakout mode. Price recently pulled back after testing the upper resistance zone, reinforcing the analyst’s warning that volatility may increase before any major upside confirmation. Overall, the commentary and chart present a high-risk, high-reward outlook. The projected “face-melting phase” is not portrayed as imminent without turbulence, but as a potential outcome if key supports hold and the broader structure resolves upward. For now, the market appears to be entering the proving ground that the analyst believes will separate patient holders from reactive traders. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

#bitcoin #btc price #crypto #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #btcusd #btcusdt #crypto news #btc news #crypto expert #expert

An important long-term technical signal is still flashing bullish as Bitcoin approaches an important point on the higher timeframe charts. According to CMT-certified analyst Tony Severino, the monthly SuperTrend indicator for BTCUSD has held support and is yet to display an active sell signal, even with recent market dynamics leading to contention as to whether the cycle has flipped bearish. His chart highlighted an interesting development on the one-month timeframe, where the structure has not yet transitioned into a confirmed sell. Monthly SuperTrend Still In Buy Mode In his post on X, Severino focused on the Bitcoin BTCUSD 1M chart and noted that the SuperTrend indicator has held support and kept its active buy signal. The monthly timeframe is particularly significant because it filters out short-term noise and shows a clear view of the broader cycle. Related Reading: XRP Daily Liquidity Is Pointing To A Rally To $4, Analyst Explains What’s Going On The accompanying chart shows Bitcoin trading around $66,300, with the SuperTrend level sitting just above $66,400. However, the indicator is still printing green on the monthly timeframe, which means that the macro trend has not flipped bearish. A monthly close below the SuperTrend line is what has always confirmed a sell signal, and that has not happened. The visual structure in the chart also shows how previous bear markets were characterized by a clear transition from green to red on the SuperTrend. At present, that transition has not occurred. Instead, the Bitcoin price is consolidating around the SuperTrend support. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @TonySeverinoCMT On X Is The Bottom Close Or Is More Patience Needed? Severino added an important caveat. According to him, almost all bear markets initially hold at support for a month or three before eventually turning into a sell signal. That observation points out that simply holding support does not automatically invalidate bearish risk. Although the analyst acknowledged that bear markets can linger at support before failing, he noted that the bottom is usually close after such behavior.  Related Reading: 5 Monthly Red Candles: How XRP Is About To Create A Historical Losing Streak Bitcoin ended February 14.8% below its monthly open, but it has managed to hold above the SuperTrend. That said, a confirmed monthly breakdown below the SuperTrend would materially change the outlook. Until that happens, the indicator is demonstrating that Bitcoin is still in a bullish structure. Severino later shared another post discussing a separate analysis based on the quarterly Ichimoku indicator. In that analysis, he stated that historical evidence and data suggest Bitcoin could fall another 38% to 66% from current levels. A decline of that magnitude would imply a Bitcoin bear market bottom anywhere from $40,000 to $25,000. Severino followed up in another post with a comment saying, “Sell, says the SuperTrend.” At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $66,000, down by 1.6% in the past 24 hours. The monthly structure has not fully broken, but the warnings indicate that the cryptocurrency may not be out of danger just yet. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

#bitcoin #crypto #ai #bybit #phishing #hacking #peckshield

February was unusually quiet for crypto thieves. After months of eye-watering losses, the industry recorded just $26.5 million in total hack and scam-related damages last month — the smallest monthly figure in 11 months, according to blockchain security firm PeckShield. Related Reading: Bitcoin In The Line Of Fire: Price Dips To $63k As US, Israel Launch Strikes On Iran It’s a number that stands in sharp contrast to the carnage seen in early 2025, when a single breach wiped out $1.5 billion from crypto exchange Bybit. 2 Attacks Did Most Of The Damage Out of 15 recorded incidents in February, two attacks were behind much of the losses. The bigger of the two hit YieldBlox, a DAO-managed lending pool, on Feb. 21. Attackers manipulated token prices to drain $10 million from the protocol. That same day, decentralized identity platform IoTeX was also struck — clos to $9 million was taken through a private key exploit. Together, those two incidents alone made up over 70% of the month’s total losses. Compared to January, the drop is hard to ignore. Reports from PeckShield show that February’s $26.5 million total represents a 69% decline from the $86 million recorded just a month earlier. #PeckShieldAlert In Feb. 2026, the crypto space saw 15 main hacks totaling $26.5M, representing a 98.2% YoY decrease compared to Feb. 2025 ($1.5B, including the $1.4B #Bybit drain) and a notable 69.2% MoM decrease from Jan. 2026 ($86.01M in losses).#Top5 Hacks :… pic.twitter.com/Svp7SZWp5w — PeckShieldAlert (@PeckShieldAlert) March 1, 2026 Part of the explanation, according to a PeckShield spokesperson, is simply the absence of a headline-grabbing, billion-dollar breach. When no single attack dominates the numbers, the totals look far more manageable. Market conditions also played a role. Bitcoin dipped below $70,000 in early February, triggering a broad market correction that appeared to shift the focus away from protocol attacks. During turbulent stretches, traders and institutions are preoccupied with managing losses and moving liquidity. That kind of environment, reports suggest, tends to suppress exploit activity rather than encourage it. Crypto Security Standards Are Getting Stricter The improvement may not be entirely down to luck or timing. Analysts say that tighter risk controls, stronger vetting of counterparties, and better real-time monitoring across major platforms have all contributed to a more secure environment. Artificial intelligence is being credited as a rising force in the fight against vulnerabilities. Automated code checks, anomaly detection tools, and pre-deployment attack simulations are catching problems earlier — before they can be exploited. Experts say that if security standards keep pace with the rate of innovation, losses could continue to shrink through the rest of the year. Phishing Stays A Stubborn Threat Not everything is trending in the right direction. Phishing attacks — where criminals pose as trusted contacts or platforms to steal login credentials and private keys — remain a serious and ongoing problem. Related Reading: Say What You Want — XRP’s Chart Is Screaming $50 — Analyst Losses tied to wallet-draining phishing schemes fell sharply in 2025, dropping from $494 million down to $83 million. But the threat has not disappeared. According to PeckShield, bad actors are increasingly shifting their attention away from targeting code and toward targeting people. Tricking a user into handing over access is often easier than cracking a well-audited smart contract. The firm urged both institutions and large holders to rely on multi-signature cold storage solutions and to treat private key security as non-negotiable. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

#bitcoin #btc price #crypto #bitcoin price #btc #crypto market #cryptocurrency #bitcoin news #crypto adoption #cryptocurrency market #btcusd #btcusdt #crypto news #btc news

Bitcoin saw its price crash toward $60,000 last week, and naturally, investor sentiment took a plunge with it. Now, while the sentiment has been in a decline for the better part of five months, what stands out this time is how low the score on the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index has gotten. In fact, the sentiment surrounding the crypto market has dropped so low that it has gotten to a point that has only been hit twice in the history of Bitcoin. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Crashes To 9 Since hitting its all-time high of $126,000 back in August 2025, the sentiment has been ping-ponging, but now, it seems to have determined a direction. The trend has been mainly downward, and then last week, the index dropped to a low of 9. Related Reading: Analyst Says XRP’s $15 Target Has Still Not Changed – Here’s Why The Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index tracks the sentiment across the market using a number of factors, such as social sentiment and volume, among others. Thus, it gives a rather comprehensive view of how investors are feeling toward the market. The index ranges from 1-100, with 100-75 being Extreme Greed, 74-54 being Greed, 53-47 being Neutral, 46-26 being Fear, and 25-1 being Extreme Fear. Presently, the market is sitting in Extreme Fear, which means that investors are wary of getting into the market. More importantly, though, the last two times that the market sentiment was this low were the 2018-2019 bear market and then the FTX crypto exchange crash back in 2022. What’s interesting about these two different posts in history is what followed after the sentiment dropped this low. The initial reaction to this seems to be very similar, with a long accumulation trend following each time. Usually, this trend lasts for a few months, suggesting that the market is using this time to build up momentum. Related Reading: How High Will The Dogecoin Price Be If Bitcoin Reaches $200,000? However, like clockwork, there has been a steady upward move, meaning that sentiment this low could mark the end of the bear market. This then leads to the start of the bull market, and by the next year, the price is often hitting new all-time highs. Using this trend, it is likely that the Bitcoin price has hit or is close to hitting its bottom. In that case, a long period of accumulation could be the next course of action, and this could inevitably lead to the start of the next bull market. However, it is important to keep in mind that there have been points where Bitcoin has deviated from its set historical trend as new investors and macro factors begin to affect the financial markets. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

#bitcoin #crypto #btc #crypto market #cryptocurrency #bitcoin news #btcusd #crypto news

The past few days have seen shocking developments on the geopolitical front, with the United States and Israel launching coordinated strikes against Iran. The operation took place on Saturday, February 28, 2026, and because cryptocurrency markets trade around the clock, Bitcoin’s price action quickly reflected the shock. Bitcoin became the world’s real-time measure of fear, plunging, recovering, and leaving traders bracing for what comes next. Related Reading: Vitalik Buterin Lays Out A Plan To Make Ethereum 1,000 Times More Capable The Initial Shock: Bitcoin Tumbles Below $64,000 Bitcoin’s price action took a hit almost as soon as reports emerged that US and Israeli forces were conducting military operations inside Iran. Notably, Bitcoin plunged from a price of $65,572 to $63,176 in about an hour overnight following word of the strikes.  According to data from The Kobeissi Letter, over $100 million worth of leveraged Bitcoin longs were liquidated in just 15 minutes after the news broke out. The scale of the sell-off was significant: about $128 billion was wiped off the overall crypto market in a single hour as liquidations surged across global exchanges.  However, Bitcoin did not stay down for long after the initial plunge. The largest cryptocurrency started to stage a rebound as traders speculated on unfolding developments, including confirmation of the death of Iran’s supreme leader Ali Khamenei during the attacks. Early Asian trading saw BTC climb back above $67,000, regaining some ground as markets reevaluated the situation and eased momentary panic.  Bitcoin rose as much as 2.21% above $68,000 following the news of Khamenei’s death, with Coingecko data pointing to an intraday high of $68,043. Still, the recovery has been uneven, with price action reflecting ongoing uncertainty over how the geopolitical tensions will be resolved. At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price action has corrected a bit from this intraday high and is now trading at $66,310. What Comes Next: Analysts Warn The Rally May Be Fragile Despite the bounce, market analysts across social media platforms are recommending caution. The real price reaction will happen on Monday when US equity markets and Bitcoin ETFs reopen. As it stands, the attacks are not yet a contained event, with missiles still hitting Dubai and Iranian retaliation across the Gulf. There is also the risk of a full closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sell-Off Slows Down, But The Road To Recovery Is Long — Analyst Bitcoin is already currently down by almost 50% from its all-time peak of over $126,000 earlier in October 2024, unable to latch on to rallies in gold, silver, and other assets. All eyes will be on Monday’s market open, when the entire traditional investment niche starts to react to the full weight of the world’s most dramatic geopolitical escalation in years. Bitcoin is already in a fragile state, and because of that, a move to $60,000 could play out during the week if there’s any form of selling pressure. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

#bitcoin #crypto #spot bitcoin etf #etf #crypto market #cryptocurrency #crypto news

Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds have finally returned to positive territory after enduring five straight weeks of capital withdrawals. Flow data shows that the just-concluded week delivered a strong rebound in investor demand, although the late surge was not enough to fully repair the damage recorded earlier in February. Investors Pour $787 Million Into Spot Bitcoin ETFs According to data from SoSoValue, Spot Bitcoin ETFs posted a combined $787.31 million in net inflows during the week, which was the first green weekly print after five consecutive weeks of outflows. The turnaround was mostly facilitated by three straight days of positive flows on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday, which helped tip the balance back into positive territory. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sell-Off Slows Down, But The Road To Recovery Is Long — Analyst Last week’s numbers and the change in momentum show that institutional and ETF-based investors chose last week to step back into Bitcoin after an extended period of consecutive outflows. However, despite the strong weekly performance, the entire monthly net flow still ended in red due to the depth of withdrawals that occurred earlier in the month. As such, February ultimately closed with a total net outflow of $206.52 million from Spot Bitcoin ETFs. Spot Bitcoin Weekly Netflows. Source: SoSoValue The resilience of ETF holders was also highlighted by crypto pundit Nate Geraci on the social media platform X. He noted that investors in Spot Bitcoin ETFs have largely maintained conviction during recent Bitcoin downturns.  Geraci’s remarks described the recent withdrawals as modest in the broader context of the asset class’s overall growth. He pointed out that since Bitcoin reached its record high in early October, Spot Bitcoin ETFs have experienced about $6.5 billion in net outflows. However, he also noted that this figure is small relative to the $55 billion that the funds have attracted since their launch in January 2024. He also referenced the over $1 billion in inflows from Tuesday to Thursday, which is another example of how quickly sentiment can change. Spot Ethereum ETFs Follow The Recovery The rebound was not limited to Bitcoin-based funds. Spot Ethereum ETFs also recorded investor interest midweek, breaking what would have become a six-week streak of consecutive outflows. For the week, Spot Ethereum ETFs finished with a net inflow of $80.46 million. Although smaller in scale compared to Bitcoin’s figures, the inflow is the first broader stabilization in crypto ETF sentiment. Spot Ethereum Weekly Netflows. Source: SoSoValue Related Reading: Vitalik Buterin Lays Out A Plan To Make Ethereum 1,000 Times More Capable Taken together, the inflows into both Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs indicate that institutional appetite may be rebuilding after several weeks of consecutive withdrawals. Whether this is the beginning of a sustained recovery or a short-term relief bounce will also depend on broader market conditions and how current geopolitical tensions resolve in the weeks ahead. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

#crypto #xrp #altcoin #altcoins #digital currency #xrpusd

XRP has had a rough few months. After touching a high of roughly $3.66 in mid-2025, the token has since pulled back sharply, recently hovering around $1.30. That is a steep drop by any measure. Related Reading: Crypto Mixing Is Back — And Criminals Adapted Faster Than The Rules Did But one widely followed crypto commentator is not backing down from a bold long-term call — and his argument rests entirely on what he sees in the charts. A Chart That Points Higher, Way Higher The analyst, known on X as CryptoBull, posted a monthly XRP/USD chart showing what he described as a multi-year consolidation pattern followed by a fresh breakout attempt heading into 2026. His conclusion was blunt: a move to $50 looks like a “natural and normal” extension of the current structure. “No matter your feelings,” he wrote, “the chart says $50.” Based on reports, CryptoBull has been building this case for some time, and the $50 figure is not pulled out of thin air — it falls squarely within the $28 to $70 target band he had previously laid out using higher timeframe analysis. You can’t tell me that #XRP to $50 is not a very natural and normal looking chart. No matter your feelings, the chart says $50. pic.twitter.com/QHfBOPQ3hg — CryptoBull (@CryptoBull2020) February 14, 2026 At current prices, a run to $50 would mean gains of more than 3,500%. That is a big number. But CryptoBull has been consistent in pushing back against the even wilder figures that circulate in XRP circles. He has publicly rejected price targets of $1,000 or $10,000, calling them unsupported by any credible chart structure. By his own standards, $50 is the measured, reasonable call. For context, a $28 XRP price would put its total market value near $1.7 trillion. At $70, that figure climbs above $4 trillion. Extreme? Yes. But far more grounded than the multi-hundred-trillion valuations implied by some of the more outlandish targets floating around online. History As A Reference Point CryptoBull has also pointed to XRP’s own track record to support his thesis. Reports say he reminded his followers that XRP once surged 3,500% — climbing from $0.11 all the way to $3.65 in a single market cycle. Related Reading: Bitcoin In The Line Of Fire: Price Dips To $63k As US, Israel Launch Strikes On Iran Using that as a baseline, he suggested that a 2,000% expansion from current levels toward $28 is plausible in this cycle. A move to $50 would actually exceed that, coming in closer to the 3,500% range — roughly matching the scale of that earlier historic run. $XRP‘s measured move target above $15 goes unchanged! The breakout that took place in late 2024 hints at another 10X (>900% Increase) being possible to those price levels… pic.twitter.com/dbuZFcVCvj — JAVON⚡️MARKS (@JavonTM1) February 25, 2026 Other analysts have echoed a similarly constructive view. Javon Marks has maintained that his measured price target above $15 remains unchanged, citing the same late-2024 breakout structure that CryptoBull references. Korean Elliott Wave analyst XForceGlobal has also weighed in, saying XRP’s chart looks strong after the token revisited its previous all-time high zone and fully retraced toward the $1 area — a reset he believes can come before a powerful upward move. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

#bitcoin #crypto #xrp #altcoin

Crypto analyst Javon Marks remains bullish on XRP even after its recent price crash below $1.3. The analyst argued that the cryptocurrency’s long-term technical picture points to a potential surge well into the double-digit territory. According to Marks, XRP’s bullish roadmap toward $15 remains unchanged, underscoring his strong confidence in the altcoin’s ability to push past prevailing bearish trends. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sell-Off Slows Down, But The Road To Recovery Is Long — Analyst XRP Double-Digit Price Target Remains Unchanged Sharing his outlook on X, Marks told followers that XRP’s measured move target about $15 remains firmly intact, dismissing recent price weakness as a temporary setback within a much larger bullish structure. His accompanying chart spans over a decade of XRP’s price history, stretching from roughly 2014 through a projected timeline extending well into 2026.  Marks’ analysis highlights a recurring pattern that has played out across multiple market cycles. In each instance, XRP formed a descending triangle or wedge formation and then experienced a downturn below a key support level, which the analyst labeled a “false breakdown.” Following this, XRP launched into a powerful parabolic rally to new all-time highs.  This sequence of wedge formation and a subsequent false breakdown occurred notably in 2017 and again heading into 2021, each time producing extraordinary gains in the price of XRP. According to Marks, the breakout that materialized in late 2024, when XRP rose from around $0.55 to over $2.2, mirrors the jump in 2017 that preceded a final bull rally to $3.84 in 2018.  He argues that this development hints at another tenfold move in this cycle, representing a more than 900% increase in the XRP price. The chart also projects a peak target somewhere between $15 and $18, with a vertical measurement bar illustrating a potential surge of approximately 2,872.31%.  Analysts Stay Bullish On XRP As Whales Go Long Analysts’ confidence in the XRP price remains strong despite broader market volatility and recent price dips. Notably, market expert Steph is Crypto has identified a multi-year Cup and Handle pattern on its chart that could trigger a historic surge in XRP’s price.  According to the analyst, the upward trendline above the pattern points to a projected rally to the $4 level. This price zone is highlighted as a key resistance area, and a decisive move above it could push XRP to its next target above $30.  Interestingly, Steph’s bullish outlook for XRP comes as whales continue to go long on the cryptocurrency. Recent reports from market expert Xaif Crypto reveal that a whale opened a massive $3.34 million long position on XRP. He noted that the whale held $193,000 equity with a 104% margin, essentially going all in with no safety net.  Related Reading: Crypto Mixing Is Back — And Criminals Adapted Faster Than The Rules Did This move underscores the whale’s strong confidence in XRP’s bullish potential. However, Xaif Crypto has cautioned that if XRP drops to $1.37, then the whale could lose everything. It’s important to note that the XRP price has already declined below $1.3 and now sits near $1.28 at the time of writing.  Featured image from Vecteezy, chart from TradingView

#bitcoin #crypto #btc #btcusd

A recent evaluation has surfaced that reveals that Bitcoin’s long-term holders are slowly easing away from their deep profits, and that this could affect prices in either way, depending on further developments. Related Reading: The Distribution Trap: Why Bitcoin’s Reserve Growth Proves Sellers Still Hold The Tape Long-Term Holder Average Monthly SOPR Slips Under 1  In a recent QuickTake post on CryptoQuant, a pseudonymous on-chain analyst, Darkfost, reveals that Bitcoin’s long-term holders are entering a fragile phase in the current cycle. This post is based on readings obtained from the BTC: Long-Term Holders (LTH) SOPR metric, which tracks if coins moved by Long-Term Holders are done profitably, or at a loss. A SOPR value above 1 reflects that holders of this category are, on average, realizing profits, while a reading below 1 signals that these coins are being moved at a loss. According to Darkfost, the current readings from the SOPR metric have fallen under the critical 1 level, and currently sit around 0.98 This is a sign that Bitcoin’s LTHs, which are typically the strongest investor hands in the market, are beginning to realize losses on a monthly basis. Interestingly, the scenario is somewhat different on the annual timeframe. Related Reading: XRP Emerging As Safe Haven? CEO Points To Steady Inflows As BTC, ETH Struggle Annual LTH SOPR Still Positive, But Trend Is Falling — Analyst  Darkfost further highlights that, although the monthly timeframe leans towards the red zone, the annualized SOPR still sits well into positive territory, with readings at approximately 1.84. According to the analyst, this represents about 84% in average realized gains, by implication. However, the annualized profits have taken on a downward trend and have been slowly falling. Notably, the LTH SOPR has not gone higher than 3.4 on the charts throughout the current cycle, a value that is approximately half the readings seen in the previous cycle’s peak. Interestingly, this is also less than four times the peak of the two previous cycles, suggesting a less impulsive distribution among this investor cohort.   Furthermore, Darkfost conjures historical data, showing that bear markets have formed only after the SOPR dropped towards the 0.6 region, a level that correlates with average realized losses of approximately 40%. Hence, while the current reading on the metric is below 1 every month, it is still far from the zone representing capitulation. For now, the Long-term holders have entered what seems to be a transitional phase. In the scenario where Long-Term Holder realized profits continue to fade, selling pressure might in turn erode from this side. As of this writing, the Bitcoin price stands at a valuation of approximately $64,247, reflecting a loss of 4.85% over the past day. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview

#ethereum #bitcoin #crypto #staking #altcoins #vitalik buterin #strawmap

The number sounds almost too big to take seriously. Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin posted a detailed technical roadmap on February 27 outlining how the network could handle up to 1,000 times its current transaction capacity — without pricing out the smaller node operators who keep the system decentralized. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sell-Off Slows Down, But The Road To Recovery Is Long — Analyst The document, which Buterin informally calls the “Strawmap,” breaks the work into three problem areas: execution, data, and state. Near-Term Upgrades Come First The closest item on the list is an upcoming protocol upgrade called “Glamsterdam.” According to reports, one of its key changes introduces block-level access lists — a technical adjustment that allows different parts of a block to be processed simultaneously rather than one after another. Reports also say the upgrade improves how efficiently each 12-second block slot is used, making it safer to pack more transactions into every block without destabilizing the network. Now, scaling. There are two buckets here: short-term and long-term. Short term scaling I’ve written about elsewhere. Basically: * Block level access lists (coming in Glamsterdam) allow blocks to be verified in parallel. * ePBS (coming in Glamsterdam) has many features, of… — vitalik.eth (@VitalikButerin) February 27, 2026 Buterin acknowledged that these changes, combined with better client software, might be enough to reach a stable state on their own. If real usage stays low, he suggested the full 1,000x push could be shelved in favor of other priorities entirely. Zero-Knowledge Proofs Take Center Stage In Longer Plans The more ambitious part of the roadmap involves zero-knowledge Ethereum Virtual Machines, or ZK-EVMs. Rather than requiring every validator to re-run every transaction to confirm it is legitimate, ZK-EVMs allow validators to check cryptographic proofs instead — a far lighter task. According to reports, Buterin’s timeline calls for a small group of validators to begin using this method as early as 2026, with broader adoption potentially following in 2027. If that plays out, the network’s capacity ceiling could be raised significantly without forcing node operators to invest in more powerful hardware. Related Reading: Aave Crosses $1 Trillion In Loans — No Bank Required State Growth Gets Its Own Fix Reports say Buterin flagged state growth as a separate and underappreciated problem. Deploying a large smart contract adds data that every Ethereum node must store permanently — and that accumulated storage gradually raises the cost of running a node at all. His proposed fix tracks state creation gas independently, so it does not count against the regular transaction gas cap. Large contracts could still be deployed, but their pricing would reflect the real long-term storage cost. The 1,000x figure is a long-term ceiling, not a promise for next year. Each phase of the plan depends on the one before it working as intended. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

#bitcoin #trading #us #crypto #politics #market #featured #macro #iran

President Donald Trump has pulled the United States into military action against Iran, and the first consequence for crypto markets was another wave of selling rather than a rush into Bitcoin as a haven. According to CryptoSlate’s data, BTC price dumped around 7%, erasing some of its weeklong gains to trade as low as $63,000 […]
The post Bitcoin just dumped 7% after Trump hit Iran, and the real reason has nothing to do with crypto appeared first on CryptoSlate.

#bitcoin #us #crypto #btc #israel #middle east #bitcoin news #iran

The missiles started flying, and so did the sell orders. Within hours of the US and Israel launching coordinated strikes on Iran, Bitcoin had dropped as much as 3.8% to $63,038, Ethereum had fallen nearly 9%, and more than 152,000 traders had been liquidated across crypto markets. With traditional stock and bond markets closed for the weekend, digital assets absorbed the full force of the panic — alone. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sell-Off Slows Down, But The Road To Recovery Is Long — Analyst US And Israel Hit Iran’s Military And Nuclear Sites US President Donald Trump confirmed on Friday that the US had begun what he described as “major combat operations” against Iran, with strikes aimed at the country’s missile systems, naval assets, and nuclear infrastructure. Reports say Israel’s Defense Minister Israel Katz described the operation as a preemptive move, with both governments coordinating the assault. The scale and speed of the attack caught many off guard, and Iran’s response came quickly. The US is carrying out strikes on Iran, two US officials tell CNN. Follow live updates: https://t.co/pG6pfrPwlm pic.twitter.com/vPGeQ9ILHp — CNN (@CNN) February 28, 2026 According to reports, Iran launched waves of missiles and drones targeting not just Israel but American military installations across the Gulf region. A US base in Bahrain was reportedly struck. Qatar and the UAE said their defense systems intercepted projectiles flying over their territory. Explosions were heard in Dubai. Bahrain shut its airspace entirely. Iran’s semi-official Tasnim news agency declared that all US bases and interests across the region would be considered legitimate targets. The conflict, by Saturday morning, had spread well beyond Iranian and Israeli borders. Crypto Markets Take The Hit Traditional Markets Cannot Yet Feel Stocks, bonds, and commodities markets were closed. Crypto was not. Bitcoin trades around the clock, every day of the week, which made it the only major financial market available to absorb the weekend’s fear. The selling was fast and broad. Reports say roughly $128 billion in total market value was wiped across digital assets in the hours following the strike confirmation. Related Reading: Crypto Mixing Is Back — And Criminals Adapted Faster Than The Rules Did Bitcoin fell from around $66,000 to as low as $63,038 before settling near $64,000. Ethereum dropped below $1,850. XRP slid 8% to trade near $1.29. Solana, Dogecoin, Cardano, and Chainlink each recorded losses of between 8% and 12%. According to CoinGlass data, Bitcoin futures liquidations reached approximately $192 million, with futures trading volume surging to around $68.27 billion — a sign that derivatives markets were amplifying the move rather than spot sellers driving it alone. Total liquidations across all crypto assets hit $515 million within 24 hours. The Fear and Greed Index, a widely watched measure of market sentiment, fell to 14 — deep inside extreme fear territory. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView

#crypto #crypto market #crypto news #cryptocurrency market news #hype #hyperliquid #hype news #hype price #hypeusdt #hyperliquid news #hyperliquid (hype)

Hyperliquid (HYPE), one of the largest decentralized exchanges (DEXs) in the crypto sector, is preparing a significant upgrade that could reshape how new projects launch tokens on its platform.  The proposal, known as HIP-6, introduces a framework designed to enable permissionless, on-chain token launches without relying on the off‑chain capital-raising methods that many teams currently use. New Hyperliquid Proposal  Details of the proposal were shared on social media by James Evans of Reciprocal Ventures. According to Evans, HIP-6 establishes a permissionless token launch auction for new HIP-1 assets, specifically tailored for teams seeking to issue tokens directly on Hyperliquid.  The system adapts Uniswap’s continuous clearing auction model to function within Hyperliquid’s central limit order book (CLOB) environment, allowing token launches to occur natively within the exchange’s infrastructure. Related Reading: Jane Street Faces New Lawsuit: Trump Media Calls For Federal Investigation At present, while HIP-1 and HIP-2 already allow permissionless token deployment and automated liquidity provisioning, gaps remain in capital formation and price discovery.  Teams launching tokens on Hyperliquid often need to secure funding off chain, manually provide their own liquidity to seed HIP-2 pools, or release tokens into relatively thin order books.  These limitations have meant that, despite its technical strengths, Hyperliquid has not yet reached feature parity with other high-performance ecosystems and exchanges when it comes to initial token offerings.  HIP-6 is designed to close that gap, though participation will remain optional for projects. By integrating capital raising and liquidity seeding into a single on-chain flow, the proposal aims to simplify the process for founders.  Funds raised during the auction would be split automatically between the token deployer and liquidity provision through HIP-2, reducing operational friction and reliance on external arrangements. Auction Structure And Ecosystem Growth A core component of the proposal is its approach to price discovery. Instead of a one‑time auction vulnerable to timing strategies, HIP-6 uses a continuous clearing auction that unfolds over multiple blocks.  This structure is intended to determine a fair market price while minimizing the “sniping” and last‑minute bidding behavior often seen in traditional token launches. The upgrade also seeks to strengthen the broader ecosystem around Hyperliquid. By creating utility for aligned quote assets, HIP-6 could contribute to higher total value locked (TVL) in those assets and generate yield for the platform’s Assistance Fund.  Related Reading: Circle Tops Q4 Revenue Forecasts, Shares Surge 30% — Key Numbers Inside While HIP-6 addresses how new tokens raise funds and establish initial liquidity, it does not dictate how those tokens create long-term value or how their governance systems operate.  Mechanisms such as revenue sharing, buybacks, staking rewards, treasury oversight, or voting rights would remain up to individual projects.  Similarly, tokenholder protections—such as treasury lockups, on-chain transparency requirements, or vesting schedules affecting both buyers and team allocations—would need to be built on top of the HIP-6 framework. The proposal’s stated objective is to make the initial auction process as efficient and equitable as possible, leaving post-launch design choices to the creativity of the Hyperliquid community. At the time of writing, HYPE, the platform’s native token, was trading at $27.430, representing a 3% drop over the previous 24 hours.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

#crypto #altcoin #cryptocurrency #crypto crime #crypto news #crypto mixing

When US crypto regulators cracked down on Tornado Cash in 2022, the assumption was simple: shut down the tool, shut down the problem. It didn’t work out that way. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin The Poor Man’s Hedge Against Inflation? Coinbase CEO Thinks So New research from the Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance (CCAF) shows that coin mixer usage has climbed back toward pre-ban levels — and that the people most effectively pushed out by the sanctions were not the criminals, but ordinary users seeking financial privacy. Railgun Now Dominates A Recovering Market According to CCAF researchers Wenbin Wu and Keith Bear, total crypto mixer transactions reached approximately 32,000 in 2025 — a significant jump from roughly 21,000 in 2024 and 16,000 in 2023. Usage has been climbing steadily since the US Treasury lifted its sanctions against Tornado Cash on March 21, 2025. Railgun, a protocol that screens deposits against lists of flagged addresses, now handles 71% of all mixer transaction volume. Tornado Cash accounts for around 25% of 2025 transactions, while Privacy Pools holds the remaining 5%. Both Railgun and Privacy Pools attempt to filter out known bad actors before crypto funds enter the system. But reports from CCAF note a meaningful gap — blacklists are updated only as new exploits are discovered, leaving a window where funds from freshly flagged addresses can still pass through. Sanctions Scared Off Legitimate Users More Than Criminals The 2022 crackdown caused immediate disruption. Tornado Cash’s daily transactions collapsed by 97% within days. Across the broader mixer market, volume fell 45%. But the disruption was uneven. Wu told researchers that sanctions “primarily deterred compliant users while illicit actors adapted” — first by migrating to alternative platforms, then to cross-chain bridges and decentralized exchanges altogether. Deposit patterns tell the same story. Before 2022, centralized exchanges — which require identity verification — contributed meaningfully to mixer funding. After the ban, those deposits essentially vanished. By 2025, 95% of all crypto mixer funding came from unlabeled wallet addresses with no recorded entity ties, up from 76% in 2020. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sell-Off Slows Down, But The Road To Recovery Is Long — Analyst Most Transactions Now Happen Within 24 Hours Before the ban, most mixer activity occurred more than 24 hours after wallet creation. That pattern has flipped. Researchers say this faster behavior is “consistent with users seeking to avoid identification.” Still, a 2023 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis paper found that only around 30% of Tornado Cash traffic could be linked to illegitimate sources — a reminder that privacy tools serve lawful purposes too. The demand, from both camps, never went away. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

#crypto #binance #bnb #crypto market #cryptocurrency #bnb price #binance news #crypto news #us crypto regulation #bnbusdt #breaking news ticker #binance settlement

Cryptocurrency exchange Binance is once again facing mounting scrutiny in Washington, as lawmakers question whether the company is living up to the terms of its 2023 settlement with US authorities — an agreement that ultimately led to the resignation of its founder and former CEO, Changpeng Zhao (CZ). Democrats Urge DOJ And Treasury Investigation On Friday, journalist Eleanor Terrett of Crypto In America reported that eleven Democrats on the Senate Banking Committee, led by crypto-skeptic Elizabeth Warren, sent a letter to Attorney General Pam Bondi and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent urging their departments to examine Binance’s operations.  Related Reading: Jane Street Faces New Lawsuit: Trump Media Calls For Federal Investigation The lawmakers pointed to recent media reports alleging illicit finance activity on the platform, including transactions reportedly linked to Iran, and warned that such conduct could place Binance in violation of its 2023 settlement. In their letter, the senators also referenced Binance’s expanding business relationships with President Donald Trump’s crypto ventures, as well as Trump’s pardon of Zhao. They called for what they described as a “thorough, impartial” investigation into whether the exchange is adhering to its legal obligations. The latest pressure follows a separate inquiry launched earlier in the week. As previously reported by Bitcoinist, Democratic Senator Richard Blumenthal initiated a formal probe through the Senate’s Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations.  Binance Denies Sanctions Violations  In a letter dated February 24 and addressed to Binance co-CEO Richard Teng, Blumenthal cited reporting that suggested the exchange may have facilitated “large-scale violations” of US and international sanctions on Iran. Related Reading: Circle Tops Q4 Revenue Forecasts, Shares Surge 30% — Key Numbers Inside Blumenthal noted that Binance appeared to ignore warnings and recommendations aimed at reducing Iranian money laundering operations. He also referred to the same reports cited by the Senate banking committee Democrats, indicating that $1.7 billion in transactions to Iran may have passed through the platform. Binance has strongly denied the allegations. The company said it conducted an internal review and found “no evidence of violations of applicable sanctions laws.” The exchange also rejected claims that it had dismissed investigators for raising concerns related to sanctions compliance. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com