Bitcoin’s quiet rally has captured the attention of Wall Street and beyond, but some voices from OG Bitcoiners like American HODL are predicting that what we’ve witnessed so far is just the calm before an explosive storm. The Bitcoin treasury bubble thesis The Bitcoin treasury bubble thesis is that, within just a few years, a […]
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Bitcoin looks to be on the verge of a breakdown after rallying to $123,000 all-time highs earlier in the month. This reversal has taken the market by surprise, with the altcoin market, once again, bearing the brunt of the losses. Now, as the Bitcoin price reaches an important level, the questions of whether this is the start of a bear trend or if there will be a bounce in price have become more urgent. Bitcoin Trends Low After New Highs After the reversal back into the $117,000 levels, crypto analyst TehThomas has published an analysis outlining the current Bitcoin price trend and where it could be headed next. So far, the analyst explains that Bitcoin is still trading in a well-defined trend after being rejected from the upper resistance zone at $120,000 multiple times. However, there is still a lot of bite from its support levels below, which could be its saving grace. Related Reading: Cup And Saucer Pattern Says XRP Price Rally Is Not Done As the analyst explains, the fact that the support continues to hold shows that there is still a lot of buying going on for Bitcoin. This puts the support very tight around this area, but also makes it a dangerous territory for the bulls. It is possible that there is a sweep back to these lows, and Thomas explains that such a move would engineer sell-side liquidity. There is also a Fair Value Gap (FVG) at the $121,000 level, which continues to be defended. This is where most of the resistance has come from, pushing the price back below $118,000 multiple times already. Thus, this FVG is the next level to reclaim in the campaign for new highs. Bouncing Back From Lows If the sweep back toward the lows is completed, it is not entirely bearish for the Bitcoin price and could, in fact, be the move that helps to trigger the next wave of uptrend. The analyst explains that buyers would have to step back in at this level, with support sitting firmly at $116,000. This accumulation during consolidation would be inherently bullish. Related Reading: Tether Investments Extend Beyond Bitcoin Amid Record Profits — Details Looking back at the FVG, the analyst explains that it could act as a magnet if the price begins to rise again. Nevertheless, all of this depends on the Bitcoin price dipping back to support and then bouncing off again. The sweep of liquidity at the lows and the bounce would offer confirmation that the price is going to keep trending upward. However, there is still the possibility of a price breakdown from here. Thomas points to an invalidation of the bullish thesis if support at $116,000 fails to hold and there is no immediate recovery. “Bitcoin remains locked in a clear range, and until the breakout happens, the edges of that range offer the best trading opportunities,” the analyst explained. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
Investor and “Rich Dad Poor Dad” author Robert Kiyosaki warned investors to beware of holding Bitcoin (BTC), gold and silver through exchange‑traded funds, saying those paper‑based instruments are no substitute for the real thing. Kiyosaki likened ETFs to having only a “picture of a gun” for self‑defense, useful in good times but useless in a […]
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A routine $10,000 prediction market on Polymarket covering Sunday’s NASCAR Cup Series race erupted into a dispute in UMA’s history after the oracle rejected an early settlement proposal, despite it being accurate. As reported by the X user known as Domer on July 24, the clash has revived questions about how UMA’s optimistic‑oracle process balances […]
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The cohort of publicly traded companies with holdings of at least 1,000 Bitcoin (BTC) has surged from 24 at the end of the first quarter to 35 as of July 25, representing a nearly 50% increase. According to new figures released by Chris Kuiper, vice president of research at Fidelity Digital Assets, the growth pushes […]
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Gemini co‑founder Tyler Winklevoss said JPMorgan froze the crypto exchange’s effort to regain banking services after he accused “banksters” of trying to strangle fintech and crypto firms. In a thread on July 25, Winklevoss claimed the bank told Gemini that his earlier tweet had prompted a pause in re‑onboarding, an effort underway since JPMorgan off‑boarded the company […]
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PENGU has climbed 151% in July, a rally driven by accumulation from public figures and whales, community momentum, viral marketing, and expanding liquidity. The token is currently trading at $0.036955, with a 1.6% daily correction as of press time. Nicolai Søndergaard, a research analyst at Nansen, stated that public figures have accumulated over the past […]
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Bitcoin’s long-standing four-year cycle, once a dominant framework for predicting price movements, is beginning to lose its influence, according to Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan. In a July 25 post on X, Hougan pointed out that the maturing nature of the crypto market, coupled with rising institutional involvement, is weakening the forces that historically shaped Bitcoin’s […]
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Galaxy Digital moved nearly 30,000 BTC — worth around $3.5 billion — to exchanges. SharpLink has named Joseph Chalom as its new co-CEO.
Bitcoin has fallen sharply over the past 24 hours, dipping nearly 3% to around $115,376, its lowest point in two weeks. According to CryptoSlate’s data, the decline follows a recent peak of around $119,291 on July 24, wiping out close to $4,000 in value during the past day. The sudden drop is likely tied to […]
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Bitcoin’s old four-year rhythm has been upended, according to CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju. He argued on Thursday that the crypto’s cycle is no longer in existence, driven out by big players stepping in. Related Reading: PEPE Sparks Google Frenzy With 300% Surge In Search Interest His latest comments follow a public rethink after he called a market top just a few months ago and got it wrong. Institutional Buyers Rewrite Rules Based on reports, Bitcoin Spot ETFs and corporate treasuries are changing the game. In the first half of the year, treasury companies bought twice as much BTC as the ETFs did. That shows how deep pockets can fill the gap when veteran whales move out. Short sells and panic dumps used to knock prices hard. Now, a growing pool of steady institutional demand comes in right behind those exits. It’s a shift that could reshape Bitcoin’s usual peaks and valleys. #Bitcoin cycle theory is dead. My predictions were based on it—buy when whales accumulate, sell when retail joins. But that pattern no longer holds. Last cycle, whales sold to retail. This time, old whales sell to new long-term whales. Institutional adoption is bigger than we… — Ki Young Ju (@ki_young_ju) July 24, 2025 Ki Young Ju first sounded the alarm in March, when Bitcoin hovered around $83,000. At that time, every on-chain metric pointed down. The bull score hit multi-year lows. BBMC indicators and the MVRV ratio flashed red warnings. Whale liquidations piled up, and many saw a bear market beginning. Market Indicators Flash Early Warnings Support levels stood strong after an April retest. Those same bears had to eat their words when Bitcoin bounced back. By May, prices broke past the January high and surged to $112,000. This month, BTC even hit $123,000 before taking a breather. That quick turnaround forced Young Ju to admit he was wrong—and to thank investors for showing him the mistake. He now says the old cycle theory no longer applies, since institutional players don’t follow the same playbook as retail buyers. Public companies like MicroStrategy (now Strategy) and other treasury-focused firms have become major holders. They treat Bitcoin as a reserve asset. Related Reading: The US Is A Bitcoin Whale—Arkham Clarifies BTC Holdings After Brief Panic ETFs Big Appetite Meanwhile, spot ETFs keep buying almost daily. That dual demand has built a solid floor under prices and given big whales less sway. Retail investors may still buy late and sell early. But now their moves are cushioned by far larger, long-term stakes. Experts See A New Phase Major voices in crypto echo this view. Michael Saylor has declared that the bear market era is no longer here. JAN3 chief executive officer Samson Mow and Binance CEO CZ even project that this cycle could take Bitcoin all the way to $1 million. Other big names in the industry, like ‘Rich Dad Poo Dad’ author Robert Kiyosaki, believe so as well. Those bullish calls come from people who back institutional growth over hype-driven swings. They see big money as a stabilizer rather than a speculator. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView
Meet Little Pepe ($LILPEPE), the pint-sized amphibian on a quest to revive the heroic spirit that first drew us into the meme coin universe, but he’s doing it his way. Forget old, slow, and expensive. Little Pepe is about to show everyone how it’s really done. The presale is hopping, already raking in over $12M! Little Pepe blends iconic meme humor with smart tech, forging a pathway to success. A New Reign Built on Speed Little Pepe ($LILPEPE) isn’t just floating on a lilypad on the blockchain; it’s dived right into its own riptide lane. This isn’t a slow, clunky legacy system. It’s a dedicated Layer 2 blockchain, built into Ethereum, but supercharged for real-world hustle. The site proudly shouts that the EVM-compatible powerhouse is built for speed and efficiency, offering fees even lower than Polygon. Say goodbye to soul-crushing gas fees and hello to warp speed transactions. For the builders out there, this is your new playground, all the developer tools you know and love, but now with lightning-fast results. And to sweeten the deal: zero percent transaction taxes, whether buying or selling! The community’s already buzzing, making enough noise to get Little Pepe ranked #7 in the best crypto presales of 2025 list. The Presale Phenomenon: Hopping Across the Lilypad Stages Little Pepe’s whole life is plotted out for him. His destiny is set, and he has no choice but to succeed. We’re now in the ‘pregnancy’ phase, as the roadmap calls it — in other words, the presale. This phase has flown through multiple stages with astonishing speed, with regular announcements on the presale’s official X channel. The token price has increased incrementally with each stage, rewarding those who jumped in early and proving the demand for this kind of coin. The momentum speaks to the project’s appeal and success in hitting major milestones, attracting both casual meme fans and serious crypto enthusiasts. The Royal Riches: A $777 Treasure Hunt for the Loyal To kick things off with a bang, the $LILPEPE crew is throwing a party fit for a king, complete with a colossal giveaway. There’s $777K in tokens up for grabs, with ten lucky champions each bagging $77K. Who couldn’t use a wee windfall like that? If you want to join the hunt, it’s simpler than catching flies on a summer’s day. Just invest $100 or more in the presale on its official page. Then complete a few quick tasks: follow its social media, share the good word, and tag your fellow meme enthusiasts. The more you spread the royal decree, the higher your chances of hitting the jackpot. The giveaway has already attracted over 30K entries, proving the excitement is real. Remember, the magic only happens on the official site. Don’t fall for lookalikes. No one from the Little Pepe court will ever ask for your sensitive information. Stay savvy and safe. Hop in and buy $LILPEPE for $0.0017 from its official presale site, then stay alert for the giveaway! The Epic Saga: A Story for Web3 Every generation needs a king, and every king needs a legendary tale. $LILPEPE’s is one for the Web3 books. It’s the story of old meme empires falling and a new sovereign rising, backed by robust code and a passionate crew. Its roadmap reads like a novel, from royal birthright, all the way up to the epic quest for a $1B market cap. Is Little Pepe the true king of the meme coins? Time will tell, but the whole idea was to build something fun, but lasting. It’s not enough to great technology, you need a narrative that connects with the meme coin market. Little Pepe revives the original pioneering spirit of the best meme coins but defends its claim with state-of-the-art blockchain architecture. A New Reign Begins Little Pepe ($LILPEPE) is big in ambition, bigger in tech, and propelled by a community growing faster than a toadstool after the rain. As the whitepaper shares, ‘$LILPEPE isn’t just hopping into the crypto scene, he’s kicking down the door with dank memes, zero taxes, and a lightning-fast Layer 2.’ With the presale roaring ahead and the colossal giveaway still open, this could be one of the most exciting meme launches we’ve seen in a while. However, here’s the word of caution from a wise old frog. The crypto swamp can be unpredictable, and things can change faster than a chameleon changes color. Before you leap, do your own research and understand your limits. Only invest what you can afford.
Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are recording a remarkable surge in investor interest, consistently outperforming their Bitcoin counterparts throughout the past week. SoSo Value data shows that spot ETH ETFs attracted $231.23 million in new capital on July 24, edging past the $226.61 million net inflows recorded by spot Bitcoin ETFs. When the timeline is extended […]
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Bitcoin continues to trade below its record high set earlier this month, hovering above the $119,000 mark. While price action over the past week has shown only a modest 0.3% gain, analysts suggest the market may be nearing a turning point. The sideways movement in price has not deterred the broader bullish outlook, but on-chain indicators now suggest caution may be warranted. One such indicator comes from CryptoQuant’s QuickTake contributor Arab Chain, who flagged potential overheating in Bitcoin’s current market structure. Related Reading: Bitcoin STH Realized Price Chart Reveals Key Defense Zones Amid Volatility Bitcoin Bullish Trend Persists, but Signs Point to Caution In a recent post, the analyst highlighted the behavior of the Bull and Bear Market Cycle Indicator, which now sits in a zone typically associated with strong bullish trends. However, its proximity to the so-called “overheated bull” range has raised concerns about a possible correction on the horizon. The indicator’s historical pattern suggests this zone often precedes a price cooldown, leading investors to consider profit-taking strategies. Arab Chain noted that despite the bullish structure, the indicator’s advance toward overheated territory could prompt speculators to close positions. “The proximity of overheated zones suggests that this is not the right time for a major purchase,” the analyst explained. The insight reflects the broader sentiment that market participants may opt for a wait-and-see approach, anticipating a more favorable re-entry after a correction. Additionally, while the 30-day to 365-day moving averages still support a continued uptrend, they may also signal that a short-term top is forming unless disrupted by new market catalysts. Retail Interest Remains Muted as Institutional Demand Grows Supporting this view, another CryptoQuant analyst, Burak Kesmeci, emphasized the role of institutional activity in driving the current cycle. Kesmeci explained that retail investors have reduced their exposure to Bitcoin since early 2023, while large investors have increased their holdings, particularly from early 2024 onward. “This time, the source of the Bitcoin rally is not retail — the big players are in the driver’s seat,” he wrote. This accumulation by high-volume wallets, likely linked to institutions or ETFs, highlights a shift from previous cycles dominated by retail behavior. Related Reading: Bitcoin Final Push? Wave (5) Could Deliver A Spectacular Breakout Kesmeci further pointed to Google Trends data showing that search interest in “Bitcoin” remains subdued compared to previous bull runs. The absence of widespread retail excitement contrasts with the intense public engagement seen during Bitcoin’s surge in 2021. According to Kesmeci, the quiet phase may indicate that retail has not yet entered the market en masse — a stage that historically signals the final leg of a bull cycle. “The crowd has not awakened yet,” he noted, adding that “smart money is currently on stage — and most people are still watching from the sidelines.” Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin continues to consolidate just below the $120,000 mark, exhibiting restrained momentum despite previous rallies that pushed it to all-time highs above $123,000. Over the past 24 hours, the cryptocurrency has fluctuated between a low of $117,422 and a high of $119,197, ultimately trading at $118,578 at the time of writing. While price movement has remained relatively stable, on-chain indicators suggest that broader market sentiment is still in a transitional phase, with neither excessive enthusiasm nor panic selling present among investors. Related Reading: Are Traders Walking Into a Bitcoin Bull Trap at $118K? Here’s What the Data Shows Bitcoin Market Signals Suggest Ongoing Expansion Phase A recent analysis by CryptoQuant contributor Gaah highlights a key development in the Index Bitcoin Cycle Indicators (IBCI), a composite tool used to track phases in Bitcoin’s market cycle. According to Gaah, the IBCI has returned to the “Distribution” zone, an area historically associated with the late stages of a bull market. However, this return is moderate, as the index has reached only 80% of the zone’s upper boundary, falling short of the full saturation levels typically observed at major market peaks. The IBCI’s moderate level indicates that Bitcoin is in an expansionary stage, but without the typical signs of overheating. Gaah noted that two critical components of the IBCI, the Puell Multiple and the Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH-SOPR), remain below their midpoint levels. This suggests that short-term speculation and aggressive profit-taking, often seen in late-stage bull markets, have not yet fully emerged in the current cycle. As a result, while caution may be warranted, the broader trend does not yet resemble a typical market top. The Puell Multiple, in particular, continues to hover near the “Discount” range, indicating that miner profitability remains moderate even with Bitcoin’s recent all-time high. This points to a valuation structure where network participants have not yet entered the excess phase that typically precedes a market correction. Gaah emphasized that the current state of the IBCI reflects underlying market strength supported by fundamentals, not speculative fervor. However, he also warned that the market is in a high-risk correction zone in the short term and should be monitored closely for shifts in retail behavior and miner activity. Short-Term Holders Offer Support Around Realized Price Adding to the discussion, another CryptoQuant analyst, Amr Taha, observed that Bitcoin has maintained price stability near the realized price of the UTXO Age Band for 1-day to 1-week holders, currently around $118,300. This metric is often interpreted as a dynamic support level that reflects the average cost basis for recent buyers. According to Taha, the absence of capitulation among newer holders implies that recent market entrants remain confident, reinforcing the current price range as a psychological and technical support zone. Related Reading: Bitcoin Hovers Below $120K as On-Chain Indicators Point to Slowing Demand Together, these insights suggest that while Bitcoin may face near-term volatility, broader indicators do not yet reflect an overheated market. Instead, current metrics imply a market that continues to expand at a measured pace, with room for potential upside if fundamentals remain intact. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
WOO X suffered an authorized breach on July 24, resulting in the theft of roughly $14 million in crypto. The exchange said it is investigating the “contained incident” and revealed that the breach resulted in unauthorized withdrawals from nine user accounts. The exchange has paused withdrawals as a precaution. It added in its statement that it […]
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The cryptocurrency derivatives market has suffered heavy liquidations as altcoins like XRP (XRP) and Dogecoin (DOGE) have plummeted. Crypto Has Seen Almost $1 Billion In Liquidations During The Past Day According to data from CoinGlass, the cryptocurrency derivatives sector has been shaken up by a wave of liquidations in the last 24 hours. “Liquidation” here refers to the forceful closure that any open contract undergoes when its losses exceed a certain percentage (as defined by the platform). Related Reading: When Will Ethereum Turn Overheated? Report Says Watch This Level Below is a table that breaks down the numbers related to the latest liquidations in the digital assets market: As displayed, the cryptocurrency sector has seen a whopping $967 million in derivatives contract liquidations over the past day. Out of these, an overwhelming majority of the positions involved were long ones. More specifically, users betting on a bullish outcome took a beating of around $829 million. These mass liquidations have come as assets across the market have witnessed some degree of bearish price action. The likes of XRP and Dogecoin are currently down about 10%. Interestingly, Bitcoin (BTC) hasn’t been affected by this latest sector-wide downturn, suggesting that the decline could be a result of investors rotating capital out of altcoins. Given BTC’s relatively flat action, it’s not surprising to see that the number one cryptocurrency hasn’t been leading in liquidations this time around. From the above heatmap, it’s visible that Ethereum (ETH) has topped the market with a derivatives flush of almost $200 million, while XRP has come second with liquidations of $115 million. Despite the fact that Bitcoin hasn’t actually moved much in the past day, users have still managed to rake up $84 million in liquidations. Solana (SOL) and Dogecoin wrap up the top 5 with figures sitting at $58 million and $56 million, respectively. The mass liquidation event from the past day may be a product of overheated conditions that had already been brewing in the sector. As on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has revealed in its latest weekly report, the Open Interest across the top altcoins has seen a significant increase since the start of July. The “Open Interest” here refers to an indicator that keeps track of the total amount of futures positions related to an asset that are currently open on all centralized exchanges. As shown in the chart, the metric’s combined value for Ethereum, Solana, XRP, and Dogecoin sat at $26 billion at the start of the month, but it has now grown to $44 billion. Related Reading: XRP Whales Move $759M In Token: What Are They Up To? Historically, an excess of leverage has often led to volatility for the market, so the latest squeeze could just be this effect in motion. XRP Price At the time of writing, XRP is floating around $3.17, down 4% in the last week. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, CoinGlass.com, chart from TradingView.com
A coalition of crypto, fintech, and retail trade groups has urged President Donald Trump to take a firm stance in defending the nation’s open banking framework, warning that legal challenges by major banks threaten consumer data rights and could derail the administration’s innovation agenda. In a July 23 letter, the Financial Technology Association, Blockchain Association, […]
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A growing majority of Gen Z crypto traders are turning to artificial intelligence (AI) to guide their strategies and it’s making them less prone to panic selling. According to a July 24 report from MEXC Research, which analyzed over 780,000 Gen Z trading accounts in the second quarter, found that 67% of users aged 18 […]
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TRON (TRX) has experienced a steady upward price movement alongside broader market gains. Over the past week, the asset has climbed over 5%, recently crossing the $0.31 mark and currently trading around $0.3132. This recent performance reflects growing interest in the TRX market, supported by on-chain signals suggesting continued buyer dominance. One of the more notable observations comes from on-chain analyst Maartunn, who shared his latest insights on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform. His focus centers on the Spot Taker CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) metric, a tool that tracks the net difference between market buys and sells. Related Reading: TRUMP Meme Coin Plants Flag On TRON Network—Details Spot Taker CVD Signals Buyer Dominance According to the analyst, the data currently points to sustained buying pressure, a potentially significant trend for TRX’s near-term trajectory. Maartunn’s post titled “TRON: Spot Taker CVD shows Taker Buy Dominant” explores how cumulative market order activity can provide context for TRX’s current momentum. He explains that Spot Taker CVD is calculated by summing the difference between market buy (taker buy) and market sell (taker sell) volumes over a 90-day period. When the CVD is rising and positive, it suggests a buyer-dominant phase, which often coincides with upward price action. “Currently, the indicator shows that Taker Buy Volume is dominant,” Maartunn wrote. He noted this trend tends to align with price increases, as it reflects more aggressive buying behavior in the market. This buying pressure, according to the analysis, is likely fueled by factors such as increased TRON network usage and recent ecosystem developments, including the debut of the first TRX Treasury Company and continued stablecoin activity on the chain. TRON Network Stability and User Participation Add Context While the CVD trend highlights the market’s appetite for TRX, other indicators help build a broader view. A separate post by CryptoQuant analyst CryptoOnchain highlighted improvements in the TRON network’s stability. According to on-chain data, the network is currently producing around 28,500 blocks per day, with minimal volatility, suggesting a more reliable infrastructure capable of handling high transaction volumes. These developments are supported by technical upgrades, including the Dynamic Energy Model (Proposal #84), enhanced staking yields that reach up to 7.31%, and professional security audits. TRON also recorded more than 780 million transactions in Q2 2025, representing a 37% increase year-over-year. Despite this heavy throughput, the network has maintained consistent block production. Related Reading: Tron DeFi Activity Expands: SunSwap Hits $3B+ Monthly Swaps In 2025 Taken together, the sustained taker buy dominance, strong technical performance, and growing user participation indicate that TRON is experiencing both market and infrastructure-driven momentum. If buying pressure continues and network trends hold, TRX could be positioned for further growth in the coming months. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
The TON Foundation and Kingsway Capital Partners are seeking to raise at least $400 million for a crypto treasury company that would hold Toncoin, according to a Bloomberg News report citing people familiar with the matter. The planned vehicle would use a private investment in public equity (PIPE) structure, in which a publicly traded company […]
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Strategy intends to expand its new preferred equity offering to $2 billion from $500 million, Bloomberg News reported on July 24. The upsized deal comes as the Michael Saylor-led firm leans further into purchasing additional Bitcoin (BTC) amid a powerful, ETF-driven market rally to new all-time highs. The company has created multiple share classes to […]
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BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) has strengthened its position as Ethereum’s largest publicly traded holder, with its total ETH portfolio now valued at over $2 billion. In a disclosure on July 24, the company announced that it currently holds 566,776 ETH, acquired at an average price of $3,643 per token. BitMine’s ETH stash now exceeds the […]
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Crypto markets awoke on Wednesday to the first meaningful bout of selling in more than a month, and Kev Capital TA did not sound surprised. In a late-night livestream, the analyst told viewers that Bitcoin’s failure to clear the “brick-wall” band between $120,000 and $123,000 had made an altcoin shake-out “the most obvious pullback spot ever,” capping four straight weeks of euphoric gains across Ethereum, Solana, Dogecoin, XRP and the rest of the sector. Crypto Bulls Crushed: Why Altcoins Ran Out Of Gas “Daily RSIs were at ninety on everything, including ETH, while Bitcoin was pinned under one-twenty,” he said. “That is a textbook sell wall. You don’t blast through that after running straight up for a month.” His chart of Total-2—the market-cap index that strips out Bitcoin—showed the gauge banging into the exact horizontal ceiling that had turned back altcoins in May, August and November 2021, again in December 2024, and once more in January this year. Each rebuff, he reminded the audience, had sparked corrections of 30-to-60 percent in the majors and far larger drawdowns in the speculative tail. Kev’s core message was that nothing in the current tape resembles a lasting top for the cycle. The move, he argued, is a pressure-release that clears excess leverage and restores “risk-free long exposure” for disciplined traders who skimmed profits on the way up. The fulcrum remains Bitcoin. Until the largest asset can establish weekly closes above the 1.0886 Fibonacci extension at $119,964, altcoins will “run out of gas.” He located initial Bitcoin support at $116,400, with deeper cushions at the $112–113k band and, in a worst-case flush, the $106.8k shelf. A break below the first of those levels “isn’t necessary” in his view, but he warned new entrants against treating a ten-percent dip in their favorite microcap as a buying opportunity: “If Total-2 drops another thirty percent, your altcoin is going down a lot more than ten.” Why, then, does he remain upbeat? Kev cited a confluence of on-chain and macro tailwinds that, in his back-testing, have never failed to resolve higher. Bitcoin’s weekly Hash Ribbons flashed a buy signal nine weeks ago and has advanced only eight percent since—far below the historical mean of thirty-eight to one-hundred-one percent that materialises two to nine weeks after the trigger. A second, still-pending buy signal is “coming within the next week or two,” stacking probabilistic odds in favour of a leg higher. Related Reading: Crypto Market’s Fate Hangs On The Last Days Of July At the same time, he noted, the Federal Reserve’s quantitative-tightening program is “barely selling anything on the balance sheet,” while Truth Inflation’s real-time gauge pins headline CPI at 2.0–2.1 percent. A spate of tariff de-escalations—including a tentative, across-the-board fifteen-percent cut in EU-US duties announced moments before he went live—suggests that inflation risks are skewing lower rather than higher. “As long as the macro stays quiet—low inflation, steady labour market, dovish policy projections—valuations can march north,” he argued, adding that upcoming earnings from Google, Tesla and the rest of Big Tech will feed directly into crypto multiples because “the guidance is correlated whether you like it or not.” Seasonality is the wild card. August and September are notoriously fickle for risk assets, a period he likened to “the biggest vacation month of the year and then back-to-school.” Yet he stressed that cyclicality alone cannot trump a supportive macro backdrop. Instead, he expects a period of choppy consolidation—anchored by Bitcoin’s tussle with $120k and the golden-pocket bounce in Bitcoin Dominance—before the market’s next sustained advance. “We are like the running back; the offensive line has opened the hole, but we haven’t burst through it yet,” he said. “If macro stays resilient, this is the year it finally happens.” His forward timeline therefore hinges on two visible catalysts: A decisive Bitcoin breakout above $123,000. When that prints on a multi-day close, he believes the four-year Total-2 ceiling will snap, unleashing capital rotation back into ETH and the broader alt market. “Everything leads back to Bitcoin,” he said. “Crack that wall and the catch-up trade reignites.” Related Reading: House Passes Major Bills During ‘Crypto Week,’ But Significant Changes May Take Time Second is the continuation of the benign macro mix through Q3. Should inflation hold near two percent and the Fed confirm an end-to-QT schedule in its September meeting, Kev projects the next Hash-Ribbons signal will “play out as violently bullish as the model has ever shown,” delivering what he calls the “last six-month window” of the cycle. Asked in chat “when this pullback will be over,” the analyst refused to pin a date on it. “I’m not looking at the clock,” he replied. “Time doesn’t matter; the levels do.” Still, his body language betrayed optimism: he plans no further sales, sees no need to add until volatility subsides, and—despite acknowledging August’s chop potential—spoke repeatedly about “riding what I have” into the final quarter of 2025. In other words, the cool-down now underway is less a bear-market omen than the mandatory breather before a potential breakout. Traders who missed the July run are advised to watch Bitcoin’s $116k and $112k buffers for signs of an exhaustion wick, monitor Bitcoin Dominance for a failure rally below sixty percent, and keep an eye on the next CPI print. If those dominoes fall in line, Kev Capital is confident the real fireworks—an altcoin surge that carries Total-2 into price discovery for the first time since 2021—will begin “sooner than most people think, and definitely while everyone’s still on summer holiday.” At press time, TOTAL2 stood at $1.44 trillion. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
According to Arkham Intelligence, the US government still holds more than 198,000 Bitcoin. That’s around $23.4 billion sitting in digital wallets across several agencies. Related Reading: PEPE Sparks Google Frenzy With 300% Surge In Search Interest A recent public spreadsheet showed just 28,988.356 BTC under the Marshals Service. But looking at FBI, IRS, DEA and Justice Department seizures makes the total jump far higher. Government Stash Spread Across Agencies Based on reports from the Marshals Service, 28,988.356 BTC—worth roughly $3.45 billion—has been under its control since July 15, 2025. Other agencies don’t share that data publicly. They manage coins from crime probes and prize auctions. Arkham gathered on‑chain data and linked addresses tied to each agency. When added, the total hits at least 198,012 BTC. DID THE US GOVERNMENT JUST SELL 170,000 BTC ($20 BILLION)? No. This Freedom of Information Request response from the US Marshals Service (USMS) cites them as holding 28,988 BTC ($3.4B), but other departments of the US Government also seize and hold Bitcoin, including the FBI,… https://t.co/8kpjwyKcT9 pic.twitter.com/uB7EejUCVz — Arkham (@arkham) July 23, 2025 In everyday terms, that means the US is a massive bitcoin “whale” that still owns about 198,000 BTC. It’s not just sitting at the Marshals Service. The rest is spread out in hidden pockets. Those coins haven’t moved in the last four months. Traders who saw only the Marshals number panicked. Senator Cynthia Lummis even warned it would be a “total strategic blunder” if the reserves really fell below 30,000 BTC. Arkham: The US Government currently holds at least 198,000 BTC ($23.5B) across multiple addresses held by different government arms. None of this has moved for 4 months. pic.twitter.com/nhWWeWqhmh — Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) July 24, 2025 Big Cases Make Up Most Holdings A huge chunk—114,599 BTC—came from the 2016 Bitfinex hack case against Ilya Lichtenstein and Heather Morgan. That haul alone counts for more than $13.65 billion. Silk Road‑related seizures add about 94,643 BTC. That breaks down into 51,680 BTC from James Zhong’s theft and 69,370 BTC linked to another hacker, sometimes called “Individual X.” Other cases help pad the total. Arkham spotted $81.25 million in BTC taken from Alameda Research’s Binance accounts after FTX collapsed. Another $79.50 million came from HashFlare scammers Sergei Potapenko and Ivan Turogin. Even small hits like 58.7 BTC from Ryan Farace’s case show up in the chain records. Sales Haven’t Touched Core Supply The US sold 9,861 BTC worth about $215 million in March 2023 from the Zhong case. In August 2024, another 10,000 BTC went for $594 million. Then in December 2024, 10,000 BTC sold for roughly $968 million. Despite that activity, the main piles from Bitfinex and Silk Road haven’t moved. Those coins still sit where seizing agencies left them. Related Reading: BREAKING – US Set To Reveal Key Crypto Report—A Make‑Or‑Break Moment For Bitcoin Without a single public ledger, each new FOIA release sparks fresh rumors. Some traders jumped at the Marshals figure and drove prices up or down on the news. But knowing the real 198,000 BTC figure could calm that. A master dashboard, updated in near real time, would help cut the drama when auctions roll around. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView
US crypto watchers are on edge. A new policy report is set to land before the month ends – and it could reshape how digital assets fit into the US government’s plans. Related Reading: PEPE Sparks Google Frenzy With 300% Surge In Search Interest Working Group Sets Release Date According to an X post by Bo Hines, the President’s Digital Asset Working Group wrapped up its 180‑day study and will publish the findings on July 30. Based on reports, the group was originally expected to unveil the report around July 22, following an executive order in January by US President Donald Trump. That order asked the team to sketch out how a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve might work. The report should spell out how much Bitcoin the US holds today. Those coins come from law enforcement seizures over recent years. Policy wonks and investors alike want to know whether the federal stash is just a data point or the start of a bigger reserve plan. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Insights Inside sources say the document will cover the nuts and bolts of setting up a national digital‑asset fund. It’s likely to recommend using existing seized coins first. Then it could suggest budget‑neutral methods—like moving assets from other funds—to buy more Bitcoin. There’s talk of tapping nearly 200,000 BTC that authorities have captured so far. Security, storage and audit rules will also get attention, since a reserve needs tight guards and clear accounting. The executive order hinted that the reserve would use only lawfully obtained coins. It didn’t detail how long the government must hold them before selling, but some drafts mention a 20‑year holding period for stability’s sake. If that sticks, it would mirror long‑term strategies used for gold and other strategic resources. Related Reading: PENGU Heats Up: Nearly $600M In Open Interest Sparks Rally Talk Congressional Moves On Crypto On the Hill, Congress isn’t sitting still. Trump recently signed the GENIUS Act, which lays out rules for banks, credit unions and trusted non‑banks to issue stablecoins. At the same time, the Senate Banking Committee just rolled out a crypto market structure bill. That proposal aims to decide who’s in charge—whether it’s the SEC or the CFTC—and how to protect everyday users. Beyond those measures, Senator Cynthia Lummis has reintroduced the BITCOIN Act. It would direct the Treasury to buy 1 million BTC over five years. Investors see a clear upside if both executive and legislative moves line up. More government buying could add heavy demand to Bitcoin’s market. Yet some experts warn that holding such a volatile asset on a government balance sheet carries its own risks, from price swings to security costs. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
PENGU is finally getting serious consideration this week, with indications of strength straight out of the derivatives market. Open interest has spiked to $591 million, while overall derivatives volume detonated to more than $4.43 billion. That’s a 35% jump in open interest and a massive 291% spike in volume, based on data from Coinglass. Related Reading: PEPE Sparks Google Frenzy With 300% Surge In Search Interest This kind of sharp increase in activity suggests traders are becoming more aggressive. Many are either betting on higher prices or preparing for big moves in both directions. For now, the momentum favors the bulls. Strong Price Holds Support As Traders Build Positions Price-wise, PENGU has been steady above $0.036 after reclaiming the key $0.033 level. It’s currently trading at $0.041. Its relative strength index is sitting at 64.04—well above neutral, but not yet in overbought territory. That’s a good sign for bulls hoping for more upside without triggering a correction too soon. Volume Spikes Add Fuel To Momentum Traders are now watching the $0.038 level closely. That’s just below the Fibonacci 1.618 extension, which sits at $0.03846. If PENGU manages to break above it, more traders could jump in, especially with the derivatives side already heating up. More than 38 million PENGU tokens were exchanged in the past 24 hours, underpinning the strength of the move. The bullish configuration is also aided by support levels near the 0.786 Fib, 0.618, and 0.5 regions. These are areas where buyers have intervened in the past, and they might do the same if prices retract. There are no signs of bearish divergence on the RSI, and each dip has been followed by quick recoveries. That keeps the overall trend in favor of the bulls. Related Reading: Too Pricey? Expert Says XRP Beats Bitcoin And Ethereum Right Now PENGU Open Interest Up Open interest increasing along with price generally indicates that traders are supporting the move with conviction. But this also makes the market more prone to sudden changes. With $591 million invested in open positions, even a minor pullback could cause a mass of exits. That’s the danger when too much money rushes in too fast. $PENGU break-out/retest pic.twitter.com/EVJaryQzzs — Muro (@MuroCrypto) July 22, 2025 Another Move Upward? PENGU Pudgy Penguins is making another move upward. Crypto analyst Muro’s latest 15-minute chart reveals a sharp push through the downward trendline that kept price in check throughout the prior day. That breakout—paired with a successful retest and bounce—typically marks a change in momentum, hinting that the bulls may be back in control. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade near its all-time high (ATH) of $123,218, concerns over rising exchange deposits are mounting. However, fresh on-chain data reveals a significant contrast between the current rally and previous ones – most notably, a decline in BTC deposits to exchanges. Bitcoin Flow Pulse Shows Low Exchange Activity According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, the Bitcoin Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP) indicator is exhibiting “interesting behavior” in mid-2025. Notably, large investors do not appear to be selling their holdings, despite BTC trading at record highs. Related Reading: Bitcoin Reserves On Exchanges Hit Highest Level Since June 25 – Is BTC In Danger? Typically, sophisticated investors begin profit-taking as an asset approaches ATH territory. However, that behavior appears to be largely absent this time. The lack of selling activity stands in contrast to the market peaks of 2017 and 2021. During both these instances, there were large BTC inflows to exchanges, which were closely followed by significant price corrections. Arab Chain shared the following chart highlighting the relationship between a rising IFP and Bitcoin’s price trajectory. The chart illustrates how price corrections followed rising IFP levels at the end of 2017 and again in 2021. In 2025, despite an IFP surge earlier in the year, the BTC market has since consolidated rather than corrected. For context, the IFP indicator tracks the volume of Bitcoin transferred between centralized exchanges, providing insights into investor sentiment and market conditions. A rising IFP typically suggests growing intent to sell or arbitrage, while a declining IFP indicates reduced exchange activity and stronger holder conviction. This year’s dynamic between IFP and BTC price suggests investors are choosing to hold Bitcoin, even as prices hover near record highs. Arab Chain noted that such behavior reinforces the bullish case. They said: This behavior indicates high confidence in the uptrend so far and partly explains why the price has continued to rise without any clear selling pressure. On the other hand, if the Bitcoin IFP indicator begins to rise, it indicates an intention to sell and an anticipated significant supply pressure. Therefore, a sudden rise in the indicator is a strong warning sign for speculators. BTC Miners Engaging In Profit-Taking While large investors remain largely inactive on the selling front, Bitcoin miners appear to be cashing in on the current rally. Miner outflows surged to 16,000 BTC on July 15 – the highest single-day level since April 7. Related Reading: No Mania Yet: Bitcoin ATH Lacks Hype, Suggesting Further Upside Potential As selling pressure builds, recent analysis by CryptoQuant contributor Chairman Lee highlights a key support level that BTC must defend to remain on track for the $180,000 year-end target. At press time, BTC trades at $117,529, down 1.4% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
The House is considering a proposal that would require the Department of Veterans Affairs to examine how distributed ledger technology, such as blockchain, can enhance the agency’s claims systems. The “Veterans Affairs Distributed Ledger Innovation Act of 2025” (H.R. 3455), introduced May 15 by Rep. Nancy Mace, passed its first checkpoint with a June 11 […]
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The FTX Recovery Trust has set Aug. 15 as the record date for its next distribution to creditors, with payments expected to begin around Sept. 30, according to a statement released on July 23. The window covers holders of allowed Class 5 Customer Entitlement Claims and Class 6 General Unsecured Claims under the confirmed plan, […]
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