Bitcoin fell sharply in recent days, and veteran holders barely blinked while many newer investors showed clear signs of panic. Related Reading: Bitcoin Creator Somehow Becomes ‘Poor’ By Losing $41 Billion Without Saying A Word According to crypto commentator Anthony Pompliano, drops of 30% or more are part of Bitcoin’s history — they have happened 21 times over the last decade and tend to occur about once every one and a half years. Reports have disclosed that recent selling has pushed the token to lows around $82,000 during US trading. “So Bitcoiners are used to this,” Pompliano said. “Now, who’s not used to this are the people who are coming from Wall Street. They’re not used to this type of volatility.” Veterans Expect The Swings Pompliano said people who have owned Bitcoin for years treat big swings as normal. He argued that volatility helped create the huge gains seen so far: Bitcoin has risen about 240x over the past decade. He added that a 70% compound annual growth rate over that period is not likely to continue, but that even lower long-term returns — in the 20–35% range — would still beat stocks. “I would be worried if Bitcoin’s volatility drops to zero,” he said, explaining why price swings can be a sign of an active market rather than a flaw. US Markets And Liquidity Strains Played A Role Matthew Sigel, head of digital assets research at VanEck, said the sell-off was mainly a US-session event. He linked the fall to tighter US liquidity and wider credit spreads, which made traders less willing to hold risky positions. Sigel also noted that big spending plans tied to artificial intelligence were colliding with a fragile funding market, creating extra pressure. Around year-end, other market participants face bonus decisions and portfolio reviews, which may add to selling pressure. Volatility Is Climbing Again Analysts at Bitwise and other firms reported that Bitcoin’s volatility has risen in the past two months and was creeping back up to about 60 as of Monday. Jeff Park of Bitwise pointed out that higher volatility can move prices sharply in either direction. Based on reports, Pompliano and others said that volatility is needed for the asset to make large gains over time, and that calm markets would actually be a warning sign for some investors. ETFs Brought More Money — And More Flows Out The arrival of Bitcoin ETFs has made it easier for big brokers’ clients to get exposure without holding coins directly. Still, data from Morningstar’s Bryan Armour shows roughly $4.7 billion left crypto-related ETFs in November. Armour added that while some funds saw outflows, ETFs tied to smaller tokens such as Solana and XRP drew investments during the same period. Related Reading: Kiyosaki Dumps Bitcoin At $90K After Predicting A $250K Moonshot – Here’s Why What Comes Next Is Unclear Experts said predicting the next move is almost impossible because crypto markets remain highly volatile. Based on current signs, more swings are likely. For now, Bitcoin’s history of deep pullbacks, the fresh presence of institutional players, and changing liquidity in US markets are all factors traders will watch closely as the year closes. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView
On Nov. 24, security firm Aikido detected a second wave of the Shai-Hulud self-replicating npm worm, compromising 492 packages with a combined 132 million monthly downloads. The attack struck major ecosystems, including AsyncAPI, PostHog, Postman, Zapier, and ENS, exploiting the final weeks before npm’s Dec. 9 deadline to revoke legacy authentication tokens. Aikido’s triage queue […]
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Bitcoin (BTC) is undergoing one of the most challenging periods of the year, with prices retracting nearly 30% from its all-time high of $126,000 reached last month. This decline has raised concerns about a potential bear market, fueling fears within the cryptocurrency community and among BTC investors. Despite this, a new AI-driven simulation by Bitcoin analyst Timothy Peterson offers a more tempered outlook. In a post on X (formerly Twitter), Peterson indicated that while the situation remains complicated, the simulation suggests that the bottom might have already been reached or could occur within the week. Bitcoin Predicted To Experience Slow Recovery In his analysis, Peterson predicts a slow recovery for the Bitcoin price leading up to the year’s end, though he projects less than a 50% chance that Bitcoin will reclaim the $100,000 mark by December 31. Related Reading: CEO Reveals Ripple’s XRP Is Driving A JPMorgan Competitor, Is SWIFT Next? The model presented suggests a nuanced scenario where there is at least a 15% chance that Bitcoin could close lower at approximately $84,500 and an 85% chance of finishing higher. However, it is crucial to note that these estimates are based on seasonal averages and do not account for anticipated changes in the broader economic situation, to which BTC has shown vulnerability throughout the year. Historically, Bitcoin has shown a pattern where significant price movements are often followed by periods of consolidation. If this trend holds, Bitcoin may stabilize within a new range between $84,000 and $90,000, with the $80,000 level serving as a crucial support point for short-term price action. Fed’s December Rate Path According to recent reports, one factor contributing to Bitcoin’s current struggles is the sentiment among investors, particularly those who purchased when prices hovered around $90,000. Related Reading: Attack On Cardano Founder Leads To Network Halt, What Really Happened? With the cryptocurrency now trading below this threshold, approximately at $88,900 when writing, many investors may be hesitant to buy in again, especially if they are facing margin calls due to borrowed funds. The upcoming days could prove pivotal for the broader cryptocurrency market as delayed economic data is set to be released ahead of Thanksgiving. Barron’s reports that if the data strengthens the narrative for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to reduce interest rates in December, it could provide a boost to Bitcoin and its peers. Conversely, if the Fed opts to maintain interest rates, it might trigger further sell-offs in the crypto sector. Victoria Scholar, head of investment at Interactive Investor, emphasizes the importance of the $80,000 technical support level for Bitcoin. She stated that a breach below this level could further embolden bearish sentiments, adding additional downward pressure on prices. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
The recent downturn in the crypto market, which saw total valuations plummet from an all-time high of nearly $4.3 trillion to below the $3 trillion mark, has severely impacted many investors. Among those affected is the Trump family, whose wealth reportedly decreased by $1 billion over the past month, according to Bloomberg. Their current net worth now stands at approximately $6.7 billion, down from $7.7 billion in September. Trump Family’s Crypto Portfolio Takes Major Hits The family’s crypto portfolio has suffered significant losses as a result of recent market conditions, including President Trump’s official memecoin, TRUMP, Eric Trump’s Bitcoin (BTC) mining firm, American Bitcoin (ABTC), and Truth Social—all of which are Bitcoin-related. Related Reading: XRP Real Purpose: Documentation Shows Payment Utility Contrary To Viral Claims — Details One of the hardest-hit entities is Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), the parent company of Truth Social. Last week, shares of the firm dropped to a record low, resulting in an estimated $800 million decline in Trump’s stake since September. The company has invested heavily in Bitcoin, spending roughly $2 billion on digital assets. Its stockpile of approximately 11,500 BTC, purchased when Bitcoin prices hovered around $115,000, now represents a significant downturn of about 25%. In addition, World Liberty Financial (WLFI), regarded as the Trump family’s principal crypto operation, has seen its value diminish rapidly. WLFI, which was once trading at $0.26, has now fallen to around $0.15 when writing. At its peak, the token’s total valuation reached about $6 billion, but it is now worth just over $4 billion. Despite the difficulties, a spokesperson for World Liberty Financial expressed optimism, stating that “Crypto is here to stay.” The spokesperson emphasized a long-term conviction in the technologies that support digital assets, suggesting that these innovations could transform financial services. Eric Trump Remains Optimistic Following his return to office in January, President Trump’s sons, Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., also began collaborating with Hut 8 Corp, a crypto company that supplies Bitcoin mining equipment. In exchange, they secured a controlling interest in a newly formed organization called American Bitcoin Corp. Eric Trump reportedly holds about 7.5% of this new venture. Related Reading: Attack On Cardano Founder Leads To Network Halt, What Really Happened? However, shares of Hut 8, which are traded on Nasdaq, have been cut by nearly half, wiping out over $300 million from Eric Trump’s wealth since September, with shares previously valued at $9.31. Amidst these financial challenges, Eric Trump conveyed a sense of optimism, suggesting that the recent market declines may present “a great buying opportunity.” He emphasized that those who purchase during downturns and embrace market volatility are likely to be the long-term winners in the cryptocurrency landscape. Currently, the market’s leading cryptocurrency has seen a 1.5% recovery on Monday toward $88,430, after reaching an 8-month low of $80,000 last Friday. This positions BTC nearly 30% below all-time highs of $126,000 reached back in October. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto markets are confronting a fast-moving repricing of US monetary policy expectations, and macro trader Alex Krüger argues that even after last week’s sharp dovish turn, futures curves still fail to discount what a Trump-aligned Federal Reserve leadership could look like. Fed Cut Mispricing Sets Up Crypto Repricing Event In a post on X, Krüger shared a CME-derived table of implied policy rates for late-stage 2026 and framed it as the market’s baseline for the post-Powell transition. The table shows an expected fed funds rate of 3.47% for the April 29, 2026 FOMC meeting (347 bps), drifting to 3.29% for June 17, 2026 (329 bps), to 3.10% for September 16, 2026 (310 bps), and to 2.99% for December 9, 2026 (299 bps). In other words, the curve prices roughly 48 basis points of easing between late April and early December 2026 about two quarter-point cuts across that span—implying a relatively gradual descent toward just under 3%. Krüger’s core claim is that this path is inconsistent with the policy preferences he associates with the Trump camp, and therefore inconsistent with an “ultra dovish” chair appointment. He situates the April 2026 meeting as the last one under Jerome Powell’s chairmanship, whose four-year term ends in mid-May 2026, and then treats the June 2026 meeting as the first under a new chair. Related Reading: Crypto Crash Is A Forced Crypto Seller Unwind, Glassnode Co-Founders Claim Against that transition, Krüger points to Fed Governor Stephen Miran—whom he casts as a proxy for Trump-world monetary instincts—as advocating a much faster return to neutral. In Krüger’s telling, Miran has argued that the “appropriate fed funds rate” is “roughly 2% to 2.5%,” has linked this year’s tighter stance to a rise in the neutral rate, and has characterized his divergence from colleagues as centered on “speed of cuts,” not destination. Krüger also highlights Miran’s preference for “50 bps cuts” over 25-bp steps as the way to get policy back to neutral. On Krüger’s arithmetic, a futures curve that delivers only about 50 bps of easing from the first post-Powell meeting in June 2026 through December 2026 is not a curve that has truly priced a Trump-era chair willing to front-load larger moves. Related Reading: Crypto Funds Face Third Consecutive Weekly Losses, Totaling $3 Billion In Outflows Put simply, he sees the market as still anchored to a Powell-style glide path, even while political risk is skewing toward more abrupt easing. “The Trump camp wants faster and bigger cuts, many of them. The Fed only cutting 50bps between the new Fed Chair’s FOMC in June and December 2026 falls short. That’s why I sustain an ultra dovish Fed Chair appointed by Trump is not priced in,” Krüger concludes. December Rate Cut Seems Likely The timing of Krüger’s warning matters because the front end has already undergone a dramatic swing. Last week, traders sharply increased the probability of another cut at the Fed’s December meeting after New York Fed President John Williams said rates could fall “in the near term,” a remark that pushed implied odds of a quarter-point December move into the mid-70% range on CME FedWatch, up from roughly 40% the day before. In parallel, Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius reiterated a baseline in which the Fed cuts in December, then again in March and June 2026, taking the policy band down to roughly 3.00%–3.25%.” We expect another Fed cut in December, followed by two more moves in March and June 2026 that take the funds rate to 3-3.25%,” said Hatzius. GOLDMAN SEES DOWNSIDE RISKS FOR ECONOMY NEXT YEAR Goldman Sachs economists expect the Fed to cut rates in December, followed by a few more cuts in 2025, bringing rates just above 3%. Chief economist Jan Hatzius warns the economy could slow more than expected, requiring… — *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) November 24, 2025 His path is modestly more dovish than what the curve had discounted earlier in the month, but it still resembles the gradualism embedded in Krüger’s CME table: sequential 25-bp steps, aiming for an early-2026 rate around the low-3% area rather than a rapid drop toward the low-2s. For the crypto markets, the dispute is less about whether cuts are coming than about the speed and terminal rate. Crypto is structurally levered to shifts in dollar liquidity and real-rate expectations; what Krüger is flagging is a scenario where the curve’s “destination” and, especially, its pacing remain too conservative relative to a potential political reorientation of the Fed. If traders are right that the Williams-sparked repricing is the beginning of a slower, data-dependent easing cycle, then current crypto asset valuations already incorporate the relevant macro impulse. If Krüger is right, the curve is still missing a regime change in reaction function—one in which larger front-loaded cuts compress cash yields faster than expected, steepen risk-on positioning, and force another round of cross-asset duration and liquidity repricing. That gap between a Powell-era slope and a Trump-era shock path is what he means when he says an ultra-dovish chair “is not priced in” for crypto markets. At press time, the total crypto market cap was at $2.92 trillion. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin’s drop has knocked a huge chunk off the estimated wealth tied to its mysterious creator. Prices fell more than 30% from an October peak near $126,000 to around $85,500, and that slump has cut the value of the coins believed to belong to Satoshi Nakamoto by roughly $41 billion. Related Reading: Kiyosaki Dumps Bitcoin At $90K After Predicting A $250K Moonshot – Here’s Why Satoshi’s On-Chain Holdings Under Scrutiny According to on-chain analysts, about 1.1 million BTC are attributed to Satoshi by patterns seen in early mining. Reports have disclosed that this total was worth about $138 billion at Bitcoin’s October high. Based on current prices, those holdings are now estimated at close to $96 billion. That places the pseudonymous owner below US billionaire Bill Gates, who is estimated at about $104 billion. These figures are estimates, and the methods used to tie addresses to the creator are debated. Early Mining Pattern Still Contested Arkham Intelligence and other blockchain researchers point to the so-called Patoshi Pattern as the key evidence linking many early blocks to one actor. The pattern is a technical signature in the way early blocks were mined. It is not proof of identity. Some experts say the pattern strongly suggests a single miner was responsible for many of the earliest coins. Source: Arkham Others caution that assumptions about ownership must be treated carefully. The wallets in question have been largely inactive for years. That inactivity makes the idea of liquidating such a stake more theoretical than practical. Market Volatility Highlights Paper Wealth Risk A lesson here is simple. When most of a fortune is in one asset, swings in price move the headline number a lot. The $41 billion drop is a paper loss. No sale was reported. The funds remain where they have been for years. Still, the change in valuation has pushed Satoshi down in hypothetical rich lists compiled by observers and crypto outlets. Wealth trackers that require verified identities, like Forbes, do not include Satoshi because the ownership and identity are not confirmed. Long-Term Questions Remain Based on reports, the discussion also revived talk about what dormant crypto holdings mean for public measures of wealth. Some commentators raised more speculative concerns, such as future technical threats that could affect custody of private keys. Those scenarios are distant and uncertain, and they remain a matter for technical debate rather than immediate reality. Related Reading: $2 Billion Gone In Minutes: Bitcoin Slide Shakes Crypto World What This Means For The Market Traders watching Bitcoin see how much headline numbers can swing. A 30% move in a few weeks changes math dramatically. Investors who focus on stable, diversified holdings might view this as another reminder of crypto’s big swings. For now, Satoshi Nakamoto remains silent, as always, despite his/her massive loss; and the coins attributed to the enigmatic crypto creator sit largely untouched — and their paper value will rise or fall with Bitcoin’s next moves. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin’s recent price swings have picked up pace, and market watchers say that option markets may again be calling the shots. Over the past two months volatility has climbed, shifting how traders and investors respond to big moves in BTC. Related Reading: $2 Billion Gone In Minutes: Bitcoin Slide Shakes Crypto World Volatility Numbers Reignite Focus According to Jeff Park, implied volatility had stayed below 80% since US Bitcoin ETFs were approved, But it is now creeping back toward about 60%. That rise matters because option flows can amplify moves — both up and down — when traders reposition quickly. Park pointed to January 2021 as a clear example, when an options-driven surge helped push Bitcoin to a cycle high of $69,000 in November of that year. In other words, swings driven by derivatives are capable of producing outsized trends. Price Drops And Clearing Of Positions Bitcoin tumbled below $85,000 on Thursday, a move that helped trigger liquidations and heightened selling pressure. Reports have disclosed that some losses are tied to highly leveraged positions being forced closed, while other activity appears to come from long-term holders taking profits. Analysts at Bitfinex called much of the action “actical rebalancing,” saying it does not break long-term adoption or fundamentals. Binance CEO Richard Teng is reported to have noted that volatility levels are similar across many asset types right now. Derivatives And Short-Term Shocks Options positioning can make price action sharper because large contracts push traders to hedge or cover quickly, and hedging activity often shows up as rapid moves in the spot market. This mechanism was important in the 2021 run and may be at work again as implied volatility climbs. Traders who watch the volatility surface say early signs of option-driven behavior are visible, even if the current readings are nowhere near the extremes seen in prior cycles. Fed Betting Adds A Macro Twist Meanwhile, according to the CME FedWatch tool, the market now sees a 71% chance of a 25-basis point cut in December, up from about 30–40% earlier this week. Comments from New York Fed President John Williams helped shift those odds by suggesting policy could move toward neutral, while other Fed officials were quoted by Reuters as taking more cautious stances. A rate cut, if it happens, could give risk assets some lift; a no-show might keep volatility elevated. Related Reading: Kiyosaki Dumps Bitcoin At $90K After Predicting A $250K Moonshot – Here’s Why Markets Watch December For Clues Traders are watching December closely for signals that could either calm markets or add fuel to them. Short-Term swings will likely persist until traders see clearer direction from both macro policy and option desks. Some players will wait for volatility to settle; others will trade around it. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
According to NYDIG research, the same money that pushed Bitcoin up into October’s peak is now pulling it down, and the pull looks structural rather than just emotional selling. Related Reading: Dogecoin Goes Wall Street: Grayscale Confirms Nov. 24 ETF Launch The firm’s head of research says a large liquidation in early October flipped spot ETF flows, pushed digital asset treasury (DAT) premiums lower, and coincided with a drop in stablecoin supply — a mix that points to liquidity leaving the system. ETF And Treasury Reversals Reports have disclosed that spot Bitcoin ETFs, once steady buyers, shifted from steady inflows into a meaningful headwind, while DAT premiums compressed across the market and stablecoin balances ticked down. That combination reduced the steady pool of buy-side demand that had been supporting prices. The change is what NYDIG and other market watchers call a break in the feedback loop that previously amplified gains. Bitcoin Dominance Creeps Higher As Risk Assets Unwind According to crypto market data, Bitcoin’s share of the total crypto market climbed back above 60% in early November before settling around 58% as of Monday, a sign that traders are moving out of smaller, more speculative coins and into the largest, most liquid asset. That shift often happens when money tightens: capital consolidates into the biggest name as smaller positions are cut. DATs Show Cooling Demand, But No Broken Balance Sheets Based on NYDIG’s note, the DAT sector has not shown signs of insolvency. Issuers still face modest obligations and many structures allow payments to be suspended if needed. In short: demand has cooled significantly, but the frameworks that underpin many of these funds haven’t collapsed. That means the current stress is on flows and liquidity rather than on solvency. CME Gap Targeted Then A Possible Bounce Crypto analysts are watching technical levels for short-term direction. Michael van de Poppe flagged a CME gap at $85,200 as a likely downside magnet after a recent roughly 10% rise from lows, and suggested Bitcoin could then retest between $90,000 and $96,000 to form a new base. Traders watch these gaps because futures markets close over weekends while spot markets do not, creating price gaps that often get revisited. Related Reading: Kiyosaki Dumps Bitcoin At $90K After Predicting A $250K Moonshot – Here’s Why Good bounce of #Bitcoin. Nearly up 10% since the lows. CME gap at $85.2K, so probably we’ll have a casual red Monday towards that level, before we go back up to $90-96K and find a new base. — Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) November 23, 2025 Prepare For Choppy Markets Ahead Investors should note two separate ideas at once. Based on reports, the long-term story for Bitcoin — growing institutional interest and broader adoption — remains on the table. At the same time, the short-term cycle driven by flows, concentrated ETF activity, and reflexive buying has shifted. That points to an uneven path forward, with more volatile moves likely until buy-side engines reappear or fresh liquidity returns. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has tumbled more than 30% from its all-time high of $126k and is trading around $85,500 after briefly falling to $82K, according to market reports. Traders warn that recent moves by long-term holders are changing how the market reacts to stress. Liquidity has thinned, and that makes price swings larger than usual. Related Reading: Dogecoin Goes Wall Street: Grayscale Confirms Nov. 24 ETF Launch Schiff Issues A Stark Warning According to gold investor Peter Schiff, Bitcoin is “finally having its IPO moment.” He said that when veteran holders turn into sellers, supply at the top of the market rises and future selloffs can become deeper. “This much Bitcoin moving from strong to weak hands not only increases the float, but also means future selloffs will be bigger,” Schiff said on Saturday. His view has been repeated by bearish voices for years, but this time the comment lands against clear on-chain moves and big ETF outflows. Traders note that when confident, long-term holders prune positions near local peaks; when many do it at once, price action often becomes more violent. Some argue that after all these years Bitcoin is finally having its IPO moment now that there’s enough liquidity for the OGs to cash out. I agree, but this much Bitcoin moving from strong to weak hands not only increases the float, but also means future selloffs will be bigger. — Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) November 22, 2025 Whale Moves And Major Sales Based on reports, whales and early wallets moved over 400,000 BTC in October, activity linked with large selling pressure. One early investor, Owen Gunden, reportedly liquidated his entire 11,000 BTC stake across October and November. High-profile retail figures also sold: Robert Kiyosaki announced a sale worth roughly $2.25 million, saying he bought when BTC was about $6,000 and sold near $90,000, and that he plans to redeploy proceeds into income businesses. Analysts at Bitfinex point to two key drivers of the recent drop: long-term holder sales and leveraged liquidations in derivatives markets. When margin positions unwind, prices can cascade lower before the market finds support. ETF Flows And Retail Sentiment According to Bloomberg and fund filings, investors pulled nearly $1 billion from Bitcoin ETFs in a single session, the second-largest daily outflow among the group of 12 funds. BlackRock’s IBIT led with $355 million, while Grayscale’s GBTC and Fidelity’s FBTC each saw about $200 million leave. Over the past month, ETF products have recorded roughly $4 billion in net outflows. Citi Research figures cited by market watchers place every $1 billion withdrawn at roughly a 3.4% negative swing in Bitcoin’s price. Still, there was a counter-move: reports show ETFs posted $238 million of inflows yesterday, underlining how flows can reverse quickly. Related Reading: Kiyosaki Dumps Bitcoin At $90K After Predicting A $250K Moonshot – Here’s Why Schiff’s warning shows that Bitcoin can still be shaken when big holders sell. Even with some institutions buying, moving coins from long-term owners to casual investors could make future price drops bigger and faster. People watching the market will likely pay close attention to what these veteran holders do, because their actions could decide how steep the next crash might be. Featured image from Born Free Foundation, chart from TradingView
The playbook was simple enough to work once: dress as delivery drivers, knock on the door, force entry at gunpoint, and extract private keys under threat. In June 2024, three men executed that script at a residential address in the UK and walked away with more than $4.3 million in cryptocurrency. Five months later, Sheffield […]
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Bitcoin is trading in a fragile state after slipping below $90,000 and now in the mid-$80,000s. This price action has caused some analysts to grapple with the possibility that the next major rally may be further away than many expect. A recent technical outlook from prominent crypto analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino adds weight to this concern. His analysis focuses on the 6-week LMACD momentum indicator, which has just crossed bearish for the first time in years. Related Reading: Dogecoin Goes Wall Street: Grayscale Confirms Nov. 24 ETF Launch Momentum Turns Against Bitcoin On The 6-Week LMACD The technical outlook highlights a strong warning from Severino, who argues that Bitcoin is nowhere close to staging the kind of explosive recovery many are waiting for. Severino’s message revolves around momentum, which he says is now firmly pointed downward. The momentum is cited using the recent crossover on the 6-week LMACD, which is known for its decisive crossovers that confirm long-term trend changes. The 6-week LMACD is a lagging signal, meaning that by the time it flips bearish, Bitcoin is already well into a downturn. The chart confirms this with multiple examples: Bitcoin entered extended red phases lasting 812 days, 861 days, and 686 days following previous bearish crossovers. Because the signal lags price action, Bitcoin typically bottoms long after the crossover occurs. Severino noted that bear-market lows always appear between 250 and 365 days after the bearish flip, not within a few weeks. Therefore, traders expecting a bottom only 40 days after the new signal are ignoring how consistently slow this indicator behaves. The chart also highlights how severe each downturn becomes once the LMACD flips bearish. Previous cycles saw drawdowns of roughly 69% to 75% from the moment the cross happened, even though Bitcoin had already fallen significantly before the indicator flashed. Please pay attention to this post if you want to understand why Bitcoin is highly unlikely to suddenly spring back into a bull run One word: Momentum The 6-week LMACD has some of the cleanest crossovers representing pivotal trend change confirmation points. The signal lags,… pic.twitter.com/mq9uR2Fqec — Tony “The Bull” Severino, CMT (@TonyTheBullCMT) November 22, 2025 A Possible Long Road Before Any Significant Recovery Although the LMACD signal just crossed bearish, the current crossover is still unconfirmed for another 15 days, and the resemblance to past cycles is something to keep in mind. Severino noted that he is not predicting the end of Bitcoin’s long-term prospects, but he is urging traders to stop expecting rapid upside. Past behavior does not guarantee the same outcomes, and there is no certainty that Bitcoin will drop another 70% from here like previous cycles. Related Reading: Kiyosaki Dumps Bitcoin At $90K After Predicting A $250K Moonshot – Here’s Why The 6-week LMACD is a high-timeframe signal, and the shifts it captures reflect deep structural trends rather than short-term fluctuations. This means Bitcoin could still be months away from its true cycle bottom. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $85,670, down by 11% and 23% in the past seven and 30 days, respectively. Severino’s analysis means that the Bitcoin price could spend a prolonged period hovering around these levels or experience a further decline before any meaningful recovery into a new bull phase begins. Featured image from See The Wild, chart from TradingView
In 2019, Rodolfo Novak sent a Bitcoin transaction from Toronto to Michigan without internet or satellite. He used a ham radio, the 40-meter band, and the ionosphere as his relay. Nick Szabo called it “Bitcoin sent over national border without internet or satellite, just nature’s ionosphere.” The transaction was tiny, the setup finicky, and the […]
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XRP’s price action in November has dragged it below $2, but technical analysis suggests that the breakdown might not be over. A new technical outlook from crypto analyst CasiTrades suggests that the XRP price is entering the final stages of its corrective structure. The analyst believes the current movements are part of a clean Elliott Wave formation that is approaching its final wave to as low as $2.65 before a major bullish reversal takes place. Related Reading: Dogecoin Goes Wall Street: Grayscale Confirms Nov. 24 ETF Launch XRP Breaks Below Fibonacci Levels As Wave Structure Unfolds XRP’s volatility has intensified in recent days as the cryptocurrency continues to unwind into new November lows. Price action across the major exchanges shows a steady decline beneath retracement levels that have pushed XRP into deeper corrective territory. CasiTrades noted that XRP’s drop beneath the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement on Coinbase was the move that confirmed further downside. According to the analyst, she had already warned that a failure of this level would open the door to a wave of selling toward the extended Wave 3 support at roughly $1.84. XRP reached that target with precision, while Binance’s chart tagged its own macro .5 level around $1.88. The current bounce back above $1.9 might be looking like a reversal but is actually a subwave 4 relief move. This means XRP is temporarily recovering from deeply oversold conditions, yet the core market structure still points to one more leg lower before the trend shifts. Based on the Fibonacci map and wave count, the technical outlook is for XRP to retest familiar resistance levels around $2.00 or $2.09 before the final decline begins. ???? Get Ready! XRP Likely to test the Macro .618! ???? XRP has officially broken below its .5 retracement on Coinbase, and just like I said in my last update, if that level fails, the next target will be the extended Wave 3 support around $1.84. We’ve now reached that perfectly and… pic.twitter.com/tSQdVAlpdY — CasiTrades ???? (@CasiTrades) November 21, 2025 $1.65 As The Final Level To Complete Correction The most important area in CasiTrades’ outlook is the macro 0.618 support, located close to $1.65. This level aligns across both Coinbase and Binance and sits at the heart of the analyst’s projection for where Wave 5 of the correction should land. The chart above shows a descending wedge meeting the macro support, along with an RSI trend that has continued building a bullish divergence. These signals suggest that momentum is flattening. However, CasiTrades believes that XRP dipping into the $1.65 region would mark the moment the correction concludes. Related Reading: Kiyosaki Dumps Bitcoin At $90K After Predicting A $250K Moonshot – Here’s Why The analyst also pointed out that Bitcoin’s chart is moving in harmony with XRP’s structure. At the time of writing, Bitcoin has approached its own macro 0.382 retracement but has not fully reached it yet. The expectation is that XRP’s final leg to $1.65 will occur simultaneously with Bitcoin sliding to a clean $80,000 touch. CasiTrades projects Bitcoin entering its Wave 5 advance into new all-time highs shortly after touching its support. If that scenario plays out, both assets would complete their macro supports at the same moment, setting the stage for a synchronized bullish reversal. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.02. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView
Grayscale Investments will list spot ETFs for Dogecoin and XRP on the NYSE Arca on November 24, 2025, offering a new way for everyday investors to buy those coins through regular brokerages. Related Reading: Kiyosaki Dumps Bitcoin At $90K After Predicting A $250K Moonshot – Here’s Why According to exchange notices and regulatory filings, the funds will trade under the tickers GDOG for Dogecoin and GXRP for XRP. The listings convert Grayscale’s existing private-placement trusts into publicly traded products. Grayscale Moves To List Dogecoin And XRP Reports have disclosed that both ETFs received approval to be listed, and the paperwork was filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. The move brings spot exposure to two smaller, but widely followed, cryptocurrencies into a mainstream vehicle. For many investors, that means access without directly managing wallets or private keys. Grayscale Dogecoin ETF $GDOG approved for listing on NYSE, scheduled to begin trading Monday. Their XRP spot is also launching on Monday. $GLNK coming soon as well, week after I think pic.twitter.com/c6nKUeDrtI — Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) November 21, 2025 Market Activity Up Ahead Of Launch Trading activity in related derivatives climbed in the lead up to the announcement. Dogecoin derivatives volume increased by more than 30% to roughly $7.22 billion, based on exchange data. XRP derivatives surged as well, jumping about 51% to around $12.74 billion. Based on reports, these spikes reflect traders positioning for potential price swings around the ETF debut. Spot ETFs do not promise higher prices, but they do change who can buy the assets. Brokers, retirement plans, and funds that avoid direct crypto custody may now step in. That could affect liquidity in both the tokens and their markets. At the same time, the overall crypto market has seen pressure; reports say the launches come during a roughly six-week downturn. DOGE market cap currently at $21.4 billion. Chart: TradingView Questions Remain Over Demand And Flows Product fees, custody details, and how the trusts convert into ETF shares will shape investor appetite. Past launches of crypto ETFs showed brisk early flows for some products, while others saw muted interest. What matters for prices is not only listings, but inflows and outflows once trading begins. Related Reading: $2 Billion Gone In Minutes: Bitcoin Slide Shakes Crypto World Investors and analysts are likely to watch the first days of trading for clues. High volume and tight spreads would suggest strong demand. Low turnover or wide spreads could signal tepid interest. Based on reports, market participants will also monitor whether the ETFs draw the same sort of speculative trading that has driven derivatives volume in recent days. The listing of both GDOG and GXRP on the same date marks a notable step for mainstream crypto products. According to exchange filings, the funds are structured as spot ETFs that hold the underlying tokens via custodians. While that does not remove price risk, it does make buying these assets simpler for a broad group of investors. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView
XRP has entered a new phase in its growth as Spot XRP ETFs begin trading across the United States. The excitement surrounding institutional access to XRP has grown quickly in recent weeks, especially as filings and inflow reports hint at rising interest from funds preparing to scale their exposure. A market commentator known as Chad Steingraber presented a projection showing just how intense ETF accumulation could become if issuers adopt an acquisition strategy similar to what was seen in Bitcoin ETFs. The estimates outline an aggressive period of accumulation that could reduce XRP’s available supply far faster than many expect, and here are the numbers. Related Reading: Trump’s WLFI Moves To Contain Wallet Breach While Federal Inquiry Looms A Breakdown Of Steingraber’s Projection Steingraber’s first scenario examines a modest but steady accumulation model where 12 Spot XRP ETF issuers acquire an average of 3million XRP per day. His projection is based on focusing on the average rather than trying to predict which fund accumulates the most, because the combined impact is what ultimately matters for XRP’s market price. Under this setup, daily inflows would reach up to 36 million XRP. Over a standard five-day trading week, that accumulation would climb to 160 million XRP. Over the course of a month, the amount absorbed by ETFs would increase to 720 million XRP. By the end of a full year, this single projection implies that as much as 8.64 billion XRP could be removed from public circulation and locked into ETFs. Of course, these numbers only take into account the possibility of consecutive net inflow days and no net outflow days. Although these figures are hypothetical, the pace aligns with the early patterns seen in Bitcoin ETFs, where strong averages across issuers created a sustained demand for Bitcoin. A More Aggressive Scenario Based On Recent Activity In another post, Steingraber offered a more forceful accumulation model using the activity of Bitwise’s Spot XRP ETF as a benchmark. Data shows that the Bitwise XRP ETF received inflows of about 5.82 million XRP in its first trading day. In this second scenario, the projected daily acquisition rate is doubled to about 6 million XRP per issuer. If 12 funds follow this pattern, the combined accumulation could hit 72 million XRP every day. Extending the same five-day cycle, the weekly total would rise toward 360 million XRP, while monthly totals would reach approximately 1.44 billion XRP. Over a full year, this more aggressive model ends with 17.28 billion XRP absorbed into ETF products. “The entire XRP public supply will be gone UNLESS THE PRICE GOES ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH,” Steingraber said. Related Reading: $2 Billion Gone In Minutes: Bitcoin Slide Shakes Crypto World The projections serve as a wake-up call on how quickly XRP’s supply ecosystem might change once ETF inflows stabilize and larger issuers like Grayscale, Bitwise, Canary, CoinShares, Franklin, 21Shares and WisdomTree get in on the action. However, BlackRock, which oversees the largest Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, is yet to make any move on a Spot XRP ETF. The company had confirmed in August that it has no immediate plans to file for one. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
Oracle did what every legacy tech giant dreams of. In September, it announced a $300 billion cloud deal wrapped around OpenAI, the hottest name in software, and watched its stock rip higher. Two months later, the market gave its verdict. Oracle has shed more than $300 billion in market value, trading below its pre-AI announcement […]
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Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) is currently navigating the most complex regime in its four-year history as a corporate Bitcoin treasury. The company, which transformed itself from a steady enterprise software provider into the world’s largest corporate holder of BTC, is facing a convergence of headwinds that threaten the structural mechanics of its valuation. For years, the […]
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The price of Bitcoin has continued to struggle in the final quarter of the year, recently slipping beneath the 2025 starting point. According to the latest on-chain data, investors are currently sitting on deep unrealized losses, which suggests more pain for the market. STHs Sit On Heavy Losses Through Market Crash In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, online crypto pundit Crazzyblockk revealed that specific classes of Bitcoin investors are holding through worrying amounts of losses. This evaluation is based on the Age-Band Unrealized PnL Distribution metric, which shows the amount of profit or loss different classes of Bitcoin holders (sorted by age of coins held) are yet to realize. Related Reading: Saylor’s Strategy Under Threat: Index Status At Risk With $8 Billion On The Line According to Crazzyblockk, Bitcoin’s latest investors, who have held between a day and a week, are facing significant unrealized losses. Meanwhile, recent funders with a slightly broader maturity bracket (1-day to 1-month) are not exempt from the current market heat. Additionally, short-term holders who have been involved for up to six months are also experiencing significant drawdowns, as the Bitcoin price stands far beneath their cost basis. In the Quicktake post, Crazzyblockk highlighted that when investor groups face these high amounts of unrealized losses, any price recovery stands as a source of exit liquidity. This is because crypto investors tend to exit the market under minimal losses, or at breakeven. As a result, the classic ‘Support Becoming Resistance’ phenomenon would continue to play out, as these investors keep exiting just beneath or at their cost basis. However, the verdict is not totally grim for the Bitcoin price, as the analyst explained. While the BTC market evidently leans towards a bearish structure, short-term holder behavior will play an important role in determining its direction in the coming days. Crazyyblockk explained, based on historical data, that if the short-term investors avoid capitulating at roughly 20 – 30% unrealized losses, the flagship cryptocurrency could avoid the deep reset associated with a full-blown bear market. On the flip side, a series of capitulation events among this investor cohort could cause a deep extension of Bitcoin’s crash, as these exits add more momentum to the already existing bearish pressure. And until this investor group is fully wiped out of the market, the price of Bitcoin could continue the current descent. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, Bitcoin is valued at around $84,530, reflecting a 4% decline in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, the premier cryptocurrency is down by more than 11% in the past week. Related Reading: Bitcoin Shows A Clear Momentum Reset — Is A Trend Reversal Coming? Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
CME FedWatch now implies better than 70% odds that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points at its Dec. 9-10 meeting, dropping the target range from 3.75%-4.00% to 3.50%-3.75%. That marks a dramatic intraday reversal on Nov. 21, when New York Fed President John Williams told reporters the Fed can still trim […]
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Robert Kiyosaki has moved a chunk of his Bitcoin into businesses that pay him now. Reports have disclosed he sold roughly $2.25 million worth of Bitcoin, cashing out after years of saying he was bullish on the cryptocurrency. Related Reading: $2 Billion Gone In Minutes: Bitcoin Slide Shakes Crypto World He did not say he was exiting crypto; instead, he described the shift as turning paper gains into steady income. Taking Profits For Cash Flow According to his post on X, Kiyosaki said he first bought the coins when Bitcoin traded around $6,000. He sold the recent batch at about $90,000 per coin. He recently predicted that Bitcoin will hit a $250k price tag. He told followers the proceeds will be used to buy two surgery centers and a billboard advertising business. The ‘Rich Dad Poor Dad’ author says he expects those businesses to produce about $27,500/month in tax-free income by early next year. That income, he said, will be used to buy more crypto over time. PRACTICING WHAT I TEACH: I sold $2.25 million in Bitcoin for approximately $90,000. I purchased the Bitcoin for $6,000 a coin years ago. With the cash from Bitcoin I am purchasing two surgery centers and investing in a Bill Board business. I estimate my $2.25 million… — Robert Kiyosaki (@theRealKiyosaki) November 21, 2025 Market Context And Timing Bitcoin’s price has been volatile. The coin briefly fell into the low $80,000 range during the same period Kiyosaki made the sale public. Traders have been watching big names for clues about sentiment. Kiyosaki’s move came as some investors were taking profits and others were buying dips. His message was simple: turn gains into income now, then use that income to accumulate later. Why This Matters To Investors Reports have disclosed Kiyosaki still expects higher prices over the long run. He has made bullish targets in the past, and he has said he still believes in crypto’s upside. Yet selling part of a holding while keeping the rest sends two signals at once: confidence in future gains and a preference for predictable cash flow today. For some investors, that dual message will seem cautious. For others, it looks like smart money management. Business Details And Tax Notes Kiyosaki described the new purchases as income vehicles. The claim that the monthly return will be tax-free depends on how those businesses are structured and where they are held. Tax rules vary by country and by the legal form of the business. That means the “tax-free” outcome he mentioned may not be the same for every buyer or investor. Related Reading: Trump’s WLFI Moves To Contain Wallet Breach While Federal Inquiry Looms A Measured Reaction Some market watchers saw the move as a routine rebalancing. Others took it as a headline that could influence sentiment in the short run. Whether a sale of this size by a public figure will change the price permanently is unclear. Prices are driven by many factors: macro data, regulatory signals, whale moves, and investor mood. Kiyosaki did not abandon his bullish stance. He turned a part of his crypto gains into assets that, he says, will pay him regularly and help him buy more crypto later. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView
Recent commentary from the Kobeissi Letter has underscored a troubling trend in the capital markets: crypto-focused funds have encountered substantial outflows, with a notable $2 billion exiting last week alone. This marks the most significant withdrawal since February and extends a concerning streak, bringing total outflows to $3.2 billion over the last three weeks. Bitcoin And Ethereum Face Massive Withdrawals Leading these outflows is the market’s leading crypto, Bitcoin (BTC), which experienced a massive $1.4 billion in withdrawals, while the second largest cryptocurrency, Ethereum (ETH), followed closely with $689 million. As a result of these dynamics, the average daily outflows as a percentage of assets under management (AuM) have reached unprecedented levels. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bear Market Confirmed? Expert Predicts Price Target Of $40,000 By Late 2026 The cumulative impact of these outflows, coupled with declining prices, has led to a 27% reduction in total assets under management, now standing at $191 billion, a situation that the Kobeissi Letter has termed a “structural decline.” Market sentiment remains largely negative, particularly for Bitcoin, with expert Lark Davis examining current trends through the lens of key moving averages. Davis pointed out that as long as Bitcoin trades below the 50-week exponential moving average (EMA), currently placed just above the $10,000 mark, it remains in a bear market. He questioned whether the current downturn signifies a “big bear,” hinting at skepticism regarding recovery prospects, or a “mini bear,” reminiscent of April’s decline where Bitcoin, despite losing the 200-day EMA, did not breach the 50-week EMA. Davis proposed three possible scenarios for the coming weeks. The first posits a drastic descent into “goblin town” without recovery, which he considers unlikely given current oversold conditions. The second scenario involves a short-term rally that tests the 50-week EMA, potentially luring investors back before a sharp downturn. The third scenario, which Davis leans towards, suggests that Bitcoin could reclaim the 50-week EMA by year-end, fueled by easing macroeconomic conditions, including interest rates and market valuations. Crypto Market Turmoil Intensifies Compounding these market concerns is the precarious situation of Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, headed by Bitcoin advocate Michael Saylor. Jacob King, CEO of SwanDesk, remarked that should Bitcoin fall a few more percentage points, specifically below Strategy’s average buy at just below $80,000, the firm would find itself in a precarious position with its Bitcoin holdings. King fears that forced liquidations could occur again for crypto investors, which could drive Bitcoin prices down toward $10,000 or lower due to increased selling pressure. Related Reading: Saylor’s Strategy Under Threat: Index Status At Risk With $8 Billion On The Line King’s commentary reflects a broader skepticism regarding the sustainability of the crypto market’s structure. He criticized the investment strategies surrounding Bitcoin as being propped up by “unsustainable fraud and hopium.” Highlighting past statements by Saylor, King recalled when Saylor encouraged extreme measures—such as taking out double mortgages and selling personal assets—to invest in Bitcoin, asserting that the current market turmoil should come as no surprise. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $84,700, over 30% below all-time high levels of $126,000 reached earlier in October. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
In what could soon be recognized as the worst-performing week since November 2022, the market’s leading crypto, Bitcoin (BTC), experienced a significant downturn on Friday, plummeting to an eight-month low of $80,000. Market analysts suggest that this downturn began in earnest on October 10, when the market first exhibited signs of a downward trajectory. That day was marked by a brutal liquidation event, erasing nearly $21 billion within minutes and triggering a series of flash crashes that have since perpetuated fears throughout the industry. Digital Asset Treasuries At Risk? Ran Neuner, the founder of Crypto Banter, believes he has uncovered the reasons behind the crash that commenced on October 10 and why the market has struggled to regain its footing since then. Related Reading: Saylor’s Strategy Under Threat: Index Status At Risk With $8 Billion On The Line According to Neuner, two primary players known as Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs), including firms like Strategy (MSTR) and others, have been significant buyers driving this market cycle. The objective for these firms is straightforward: to become large enough to gain entry into major indices. Once included, passive index trackers are compelled to purchase large quantities of their stocks, thereby enabling these companies to grow even larger and secure placements in additional indices, thus perpetuating a self-reinforcing cycle. On October 10, MSCI, the world’s second-largest index company, announced a critical evaluation. They are questioning whether companies that primarily hold crypto assets should be classified as either “companies” or “funds.” If these firms are categorized as funds, they would no longer qualify for inclusion in passive indexing. This is crucial because funds follow a cyclical pattern: they acquire assets, grow larger, and become eligible for additional indices, further boosting their asset base. A ruling on this matter is anticipated on January 15, 2026. Should it favor the classification of these companies as funds, Neuner asserts that firms like Strategy could face automatic removal from all indices. Such a decision would compel pension funds and other passive index holders to divest from these companies, effectively diminishing one of their primary reasons for existence. The Future Of Crypto Hinges On Upcoming Ruling Given that DATs have underpinned the current market cycle through substantial purchasing pressure, investors apparently recognized the implications of the October 10 announcement right away and adjusted their positions accordingly. This pivotal date now appears anything but coincidental; it marked a realization among informed market participants regarding significant risks to both cryptocurrencies and the existing market structure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bear Market Confirmed? Expert Predicts Price Target Of $40,000 By Late 2026 Looking ahead, the expert predicts that the market could continue to decline until the end of December. If the forthcoming announcement from MSCI is unfavorable, Neuner believes that a substantial sell-off may ensue as investors prepare for the potential exclusion from indices. Conversely, if the ruling is positive, Neuner asserts that it could signal a renewed bull market for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. As of this writing, Bitcoin has slightly recovered to $84,880. However, the market’s leading cryptocurrency is trading 32% below its all-time high of $126,000, which was reached at the beginning of October—just four days before the major crash. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
According to exchange and on-chain data, global crypto markets plunged Friday as prices slid and forced a widespread sell-off. Bitcoin fell under $83,000, while Ethereum traded below $2,800. The breakdown sent roughly $2 billion of positions into liquidation, knocking confidence and prompting quick losses across major tokens. Related Reading: XRP Supply Shock Ahead? ETFs Could Consume It All, Analyst Predicts Heavy Liquidations Rock Traders Reports show more than 390,000 accounts were wiped out during the move. One single BTCUSD order on Hyperliquid stood out at $37 million, a sign of how fierce the selling became. Bitcoin bore the brunt: about $962 million of BTC positions were erased within 24 hours, with long bets making up nearly $931 million of that total. These figures underline how concentrated the damage was among those betting on higher prices. Long Positions Versus Shorts Long liquidations across the market approached $1.78 billion, while short liquidations were much smaller at close to $130 million. A rapid shift followed a strong US jobs report, which removed odds of a December rate cut and triggered roughly $450 million in liquidations in just two hours. That macro surprise appears to have fed directly into traders’ risk management systems. Options Expiry Raises Stakes Derivatives activity added pressure as more than $4.2 billion of crypto options were due to expire that day. Over 39,000 BTC options, valued near $3.4 billion, were on the docket. The longer-term put-call ratio sat at 0.52, but heavy recent put buying pushed the 24-hour ratio up to 1.36, signaling a burst of hedging. The so-called max pain level for Bitcoin was around $98,000, well above where spot trades were happening. Ether options also featured prominently, with more than 185,000 contracts worth close to $525 million set to lapse. ETH’s 24-hour put-call moved to 1.01 from 0.72, and the options market’s max pain rested near $3,200, above spot prices near $2,800. Altcoins Felt The Impact The rout spread fast. Solana dropped 11% to about $126, while XRP slid more than 8% to roughly $1.91. Other tokens that fell in the wave included ASTER, HYPE, TNSR, DOGE, and ZEC. Selling was broad, showing that the move was not limited to one market or sector. #PeckShieldAlert Following $ETH‘s drop below $2,900, a whale (0x3ee3…42a6) was liquidated on their long $wstETH position. The position, which involved borrowing $USDC against $wstETH collateral, saw a total liquidation of $6.52M. pic.twitter.com/mv30VuXFfn — PeckShieldAlert (@PeckShieldAlert) November 21, 2025 Whale Losses Highlight Risk On-chain monitors flagged big losses among sizable holders. PeckShieldAlert reported individual ETH liquidations in the range of almost $3 million to $6.50 million. This Anti-CZ Whale just got liquidated in the market crash! He was once a legend with nearly $100M in profit — now his profits have dropped to $30.4M.https://t.co/UR55h4gK7l pic.twitter.com/5Tnp9UVEae — Lookonchain (@lookonchain) November 21, 2025 Related Reading: Trump’s WLFI Moves To Contain Wallet Breach While Federal Inquiry Looms Lookonchain tracked a high-profile account, Machi, whose total paper losses topped $20 million and whose balance was reported at just $15,530 after the hits. Another large account, labeled the “Anti-CZ Whale,” also saw profits plunge on Hyperliquid. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
The crypto market is reeling once again after an intense wave of liquidations erased over $2 billion in leveraged positions within a single day. Related Reading: Ethereum Dead Cat Bounce Puts Price At $3,400, But What’s The Ultimate Target? With Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and other major assets plunging sharply, traders are bracing for what could be another turbulent stretch, especially with billions in options set to expire. ETH's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: ETHUSD on Tradingview Massive Liquidations Trigger Steep Sell-Off According to data from Coinglass, more than $2 billion in long and short positions were liquidated over the last 24 hours, marking one of the most severe unwinding events since October’s historic crash. Bitcoin (BTC) crashed as low as $82,000, while Ethereum (ETH) slid below $2,700. Traders holding long positions bore the brunt of the damage, with over $1.8 million in longs wiped out across major exchanges. The largest single liquidation order took place on Hyperliquid, where a massive BTC-USD position valued at $36.78 million was wiped out. Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin long liquidations alone have totaled approximately $966 million, while Ethereum long positions have similarly suffered around $407 million in losses. With no details revealed on the specific tokens or exchanges involved, the incident still sent shockwaves through the community, further fueling bearish sentiment. Options Expiry and Whale Moves Add to Market Pressure The sell-off comes ahead of a crucial $4.2 billion crypto options expiry, with more than 39,000 BTC options and 185,000 ETH options set to expire. Traders have leaned heavily into put positions, signaling expectations of further downside. For Bitcoin, the max pain point sits near $98,000, well above current prices, while Ethereum’s around $3,200. Meanwhile, whale behavior has added fuel to the fire. A mega BTC whale who has held Bitcoin since 2011 reportedly sold over 11,000 BTC, worth $1.3 billion, intensifying downward pressure. However, at the same time, other large holders accumulated over $65 million in spot BTC near the $85,000 level, hinting at strategic dip-buying even as volatility spikes. Fragile Liquidity Keeps Market on Edge The market’s instability can be traced back to October’s $19.5 billion liquidation event, which severely disrupted liquidity conditions. Market makers, still recovering from the shock, remain cautious, creating a fragile environment where even minor price swings can trigger cascading liquidations. Despite the chaos, signs of resilience emerged from infrastructure players like Solana and Fireblocks, which maintained high transaction speeds and network reliability during periods of unprecedented stress. Related Reading: Saylor’s Strategy Under Threat: Index Status At Risk With $8 Billion On The Line As macro uncertainty, ETF outflows, and whale behavior continue to shape sentiment, the crypto market remains firmly on edge, with traders watching closely to see whether this correction deepens or sets the stage for the next major recovery. Cover image from ChatGPT, ETHUSD chart from Tradingview
Glassnode co-founders Jan Happel and Yann Allemann, who publish under the @Negentropic handle on X, argue that the current crypto crash is being driven not by a broad narrative turn, but by a single, systematic source of sell pressure whose footprint is most visible in Bitcoin and is spilling into the wider complex. Their core assertion is categorical: “What’s happening in Bitcoin right now isn’t a narrative shift: it’s a mechanical unwind.” In that framing, the tape is reflecting the forced exit of one participant rather than an organic repricing of crypto risk. Why Is The Crypto Market Crashing? Negentropic’s thesis starts with momentum indicators behaving in ways they say are inconsistent with “natural markets.” They note that “the 1D MACD just printed a new all-time low… yet price is only down ~33% from the highs,” and add, “This doesn’t happen in natural markets. You only get this when someone is dumping in a straight line.” They pair that observation with capitulation-like oscillators that are not accompanied by the usual macro or leverage shock. As they put it, RSI is near capitulation, “but there’s no macro stress, no credit shock, no leverage detonation, no ETF outflows.” The mismatch matters to their conclusion: “It’s extreme momentum without a catalyst: classic signature of mechanical selling.” Related Reading: Crypto Traders See Bullish Tailwind: Hassett Jumps In Fed Chair Odds They then contrast today’s setup with prior episodes where MACD and RSI reached similar extremes. In those historical cases, Negentropic says, “Price was down 60%, derivatives were blowing out, funding was deeply negative.” By contrast, their read of the present is that confirming stress isn’t there. “ETFs remain net positive, their cost basis is still intact,” they write, and they emphasize that “long-term holders are removing supply aggressively.” They also point to cross-crypto resilience: “Solana ETF inflows are steady, altcoins are holding up relatively well vs btc & eth,” and “eth is holding stronger than btc.” For Negentropic, those relative-strength signals are the tell that this is not a systemwide risk-off event. “If this were real sentiment, all of that would be breaking. It isn’t,” they conclude. Flow regularity is the other pillar of the Glassnode co-founders’ case. They describe a pattern that they say has repeated since October 10: “Same timestamps, same venue-specific thinness, same lack of reflexive bids.” The implication is mechanical intent rather than discretionary trading. “It’s a schedule, not a market,” they write, claiming “21 days of consistent toxic flow.” That sequence, in their view, aligns with “one explanation”: “a liquidity provider or fund was structurally damaged on October 10th,” and “the entity tied to that failure has been reducing risk in a forced, rules-based manner.” Independent tape watchers are describing a remarkably similar cadence. Front Runners (@frontrunnersx) reports that a large seller on Binance has been hitting the market with clock-like consistency. Over “two weeks straight,” they say, the entity “hit the sell button exactly at 9:30 EST, every US market open, without fail.” They add that “kind of consistency usually points to a sophisticated actor operating under specific mandates or time windows,” and that it looks “less like random flow and more like a single entity (or a tightly-coordinated group).” Macro analyst Alex Krüger expands on how that could manifest across venues. He suggests the seller could be “dumping during US hours via a broker or OTC desk that employs smart order routing or hedging strategies across multiple venues.” In his view, the dominance of Binance prints doesn’t require Binance to be the origin. “Most volume naturally” would flow there, he argues, “since it’s where the bulk of the liquidity resides.” Related Reading: Crypto Market Wipes Out $1 Trillion Since October: Analyzing The Forces Behind The Crash Krüger also highlights venue asymmetries that fit a routed-flow story: he has seen “relatively little spot selling routed via Coinbase this week,” while noting “extraordinary levels of spot selling via Bitfinex.” Will The Crypto Crash Be Short-Lived? Delphi Ventures founding partner Tommy Shaughnessy focuses on the urgency implied by the pace. If the flow has been present since 10/10, he writes, “the speed at which they’re selling BTC is pretty crazy.” He interprets that as compulsion rather than strategy: “Means they are price insensitive and need to exit, fast.” Shaughnessy characterizes the move as “violent,” but adds a key qualifier consistent with Negentropic’s finite-seller framing: it’s likely “short lived because it’s not orderly.” If there is a body from 10/10 the speed at which they’re selling $BTC is pretty crazy Means they are price insensitive and need to exit, fast. (Someone had that chart of all red candles for days) Violent but means it’s hopefully short lived because it’s not orderly https://t.co/kaJAKh5Z4M — Tommy (@Shaughnessy119) November 21, 2025 Multicoin Capital founder Tushar Jain likewise describes what he sees as forced liquidation behavior. “It feels like a big forced seller is in the market,” he writes, adding, “We are seeing systematic selling during specific hours.” Jain explicitly ties this to the same October window Negentropic flags, calling it “probably a consequence of 10/10 liquidations,” and says it’s “hard to imagine this scale of forced selling continues for much longer.” He also situates the moment within a longer unwind process, recalling a lesson from prior cycles: “it takes some time for all the bankruptcies to reveal themselves after a big liquidation flush like this,” because “shops are running around trying to figure out what their exposure to insolvent counterparties is.” It feels like a big forced seller is in the market. We are seeing systematic selling during specific hours. Probably a consequence of 10/10 liquidations. Hard to imagine this scale of forced selling continues for much longer. https://t.co/JO6kRmJUUb — Tushar Jain (@tushar_jain) November 19, 2025 Taken together, the sources are presenting a coherent, internally consistent read: crypto’s downside is being dominated by a single, time-boxed, price-insensitive seller whose execution pattern is systematic enough to warp momentum indicators and intraday structure. Negentropic’s bottom line is not merely descriptive but interpretive: “This is not capitulation. This is not a trend break.” It is, instead, “a constrained unwinding through a fractured market.” And because mechanical sellers end when inventory or mandate ends, the Glassnode co-founders argue that when it does, “the rebound will likely be far sharper than the decline that preceded it.” At press time, the total crypto market cap was at $2.83 trillion. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Digital wallets won the payments war. By mid-2025, around 65% of US adults used them, accounting for 39% of e-commerce and 16% of in-store transactions. Apple Pay and PayPal are boring infrastructure now, the default way millions move money without thinking about it. Web3 wallets are not. A September Mercuryo and Protocol Theory study of […]
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Vector’s tech will plug into Coinbase’s DEX integration, while Tensor Labs shifts its NFT marketplace and TNSR token to Tensor Foundation.
According to CryptoQuant data, Bitcoin has moved into what analysts are calling the most bearish phase of the last two years, sending prices down sharply and weighing on the broader crypto market. Related Reading: XRP Supply Shock Ahead? ETFs Could Consume It All, Analyst Predicts The coin slid from a peak above $126,000 on Oct. 6 to $83,790, a drop of around 34% that erased roughly $715 billion in market value. Bull Conditions Have Weakened Rapidly Reports have disclosed that CryptoQuant’s Bull Score Index fell to 20 out of 100 last week, driven by weak spot buying, negative price momentum, and a slowdown in stablecoin liquidity. Bitcoin also closed below its 365-day moving average, a long-run trendline that had held during earlier pullbacks in the current cycle that began in January 2023. Based on these signs, CryptoQuant views the market as clearly more bearish than it was in prior corrections. Trading desks and corporate treasuries have shifted behavior. Treasury companies that once supported prices have seen market values drop by 70% to more than 90% in recent months, limiting their ability to issue shares and buy more Bitcoin. Reports show Michael Saylor’s Strategy bought 8,178 BTC earlier this week but has slowed purchases as its stock market cap fell closer to the value of its holdings. ETF flows have also turned negative, with outflows totaling close to $3 billion so far this month, a dynamic that can force some institutions to sell spot holdings if spread trades are unwound. Technical Levels And Short-Term Signals Based on on-chain indicators, there are mixed signals for buyers. Glassnode reported the Mayer Multiple moving toward the bottom of its long-term range, which often signals a value-driven phase where buyers re-enter. Bitcoin’s Mayer Multiple has retraced toward the lower bound of its long-term range, signalling a slowdown in momentum. Historically, such compressions have aligned with value-driven phases where price consolidates and demand begins to step in. ????https://t.co/QWQCUxgUoA pic.twitter.com/qufyp0opnr — glassnode (@glassnode) November 20, 2025 Some technical traders see oversold readings on daily and weekly RSI, a setup that could allow a bounce. Some analysts expect at least a short-term recovery, with price tests above $100,000 possible if buying returns. Still, the breakdown under the 365-day average changes the picture. CryptoQuant suggested resistance near $102,600 could prove heavy, and the support band between $90,000 and $92,000 will be closely watched. Historically, Bitcoin has produced rallies of 40% to 50% inside broader downtrends, so rapid reversals are not out of the question even in a bearish phase. Market Shock And Macro Factors Based on reports, the sharp sell-off that triggered the recent crash began on October 10 when a large leverage flush-out forced many positions to close. Market makers reduced liquidity and selling pressure intensified. A software fault tied to the Athena USDE stablecoin on Binance briefly pushed its peg to $0.65, triggering automated liquidations across platforms and accelerating losses. Related Reading: Trump’s WLFI Moves To Contain Wallet Breach While Federal Inquiry Looms Macro worries, including tighter liquidity and political uncertainty, added pressure and sent more traders to the exits. Some observers have linked parts of the 2024 and 2025 rallies to specific events. In 2024, US President Donald Trump’s election was one factor cited for pushing BTC above $100,000, and in 2025, a wave of corporate treasuries bought Bitcoin, helping lift prices above $120,000 in summer months. According to CryptoQuant, those catalysts have largely played out, and any new triggers may be priced in already. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
BlackRock registered the iShares Staked Ethereum Trust in Delaware on Nov. 19, opening a path toward the firm’s first staked Ethereum ETF in the US. The state-level trust registration does not constitute a formal Securities Act of 1933 application. Still, it positions BlackRock to launch a yield-bearing ETH product once the SEC permits staking inside […]
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The United States could generate up to $14 trillion in cumulative value if 1% of federal taxes are paid in Bitcoin over the next two decades, according to new modeling from Bitcoin Policy Institute presented alongside Rep. Warren Davidson’s Bitcoin for America Act. The bill, introduced on Nov. 20, would allow taxpayers to settle federal […]
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