Michael Saylor’s Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, has found itself significantly exposed to the ongoing downturn in the cryptocurrency market, which has seen more than $1 trillion in total market capitalization wiped out over the past month. As the largest public holder of Bitcoin, with over 650,000 coins, the company is now facing the real threat of being removed from major benchmark indices, which have been crucial for its visibility in mainstream portfolios. Analysts Predict Major Impact On Strategy According to a recent Bloomberg report, analysts at JPMorgan Chase have issued a warning that Saylor’s firm may lose its standing in key indices such as MSCI USA and the Nasdaq 100. Related Reading: CEO Cuts Cardano Founder’s Bitcoin Price Forecast, Warns Bear Market Just Starting The analysts assert that this could result in passive outflows estimated between $2.8 billion and $8.8 billion if MSCI proceeds with a decision expected by January 15. Passive funds connected to the company currently account for nearly $9 billion in market exposure, making any index exclusion a substantial blow. Strategy’s business model has relied on a cyclical strategy of selling stock to buy Bitcoin, capitalizing on price rallies, and repeating this process. At its zenith, Saylor’s company’s market capitalization far exceeded the value of its Bitcoin holdings. However, that premium has evaporated, and the company’s valuation now aligns closely with its crypto reserves—a stark indication that investor confidence is fading rapidly. “While active managers are not bound to adhere to index changes, exclusion from major indices would undoubtedly be viewed negatively by market participants,” noted JPMorgan analysts, led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou. Such a shift could affect liquidity, increase funding costs, and diminish overall investor appeal. MSCI Contemplates New Index Inclusion Rules In its ongoing consultations with stakeholders, MSCI indicated that some market players believe digital asset treasury firms (DATs) may function more like investment funds, which are ineligible for index inclusion. In accordance with these perspectives, MSCI has proposed excluding companies whose holdings in digital assets constitute 50% or more of their total assets from its global investment market indexes. Related Reading: BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF Bleeds Over $500 Million In Its Biggest One-Day Outflow Since peaking last November, Saylor’s firm has seen its shares (MSTR) decline by over 60%, causing a collapse in the premium that once attracted momentum and crypto-focused investors. Despite this slump, Saylor’s company remains up over 1,300% since he first began purchasing Bitcoin in August 2020, outperforming major equity indices throughout this period. The selloff has extended its reach into the company’s newer funding structures, as well. The prices of its perpetual preferred shares—an essential part of Saylor’s recent strategies—have seen sharp declines. Additionally, yields on securities issued in March have risen to 11.5%, up from a previous 10.5%. A recent euro-denominated preferred stock offering has already dropped below its discounted offering price in under two weeks. Michael Youngworth, head of global convertible bond strategy at Bank of America Global Research, remarked, “That premium has collapsed in recent weeks,” adding that the present situation makes capital raising increasingly challenging. Feature image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a slight rebound after reaching a near eight-month low of $87,500 on Wednesday. By Thursday, the leading crypto surged back toward $90,000. However, market expert Leshka warns that this brief increase may signal only the start of a new distribution phase for Bitcoin, as selling pressure continues to build. Possible Bottom Between $40,700 And $47,500 In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), Leshka assessed Bitcoin’s position on the weekly chart, identifying critical demand zones between $40,700 and $47,500 that could take shape throughout 2026. She suggested that these levels might represent the bottom for Bitcoin during the anticipated bear market. If such forecasts materialize, this could indicate price drops of 47% to 54% from current values. Related Reading: CEO Cuts Cardano Founder’s Bitcoin Price Forecast, Warns Bear Market Just Starting Despite these potential lows, Leshka remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory. She mentioned that if these price targets are met, Bitcoin could rebound dramatically, reaching new all-time highs of around $150,000 by 2027. In the immediate time, however, bears appear to have the upper hand in the market. Analyst Ali Martinez recently noted that the TD Sequential indicator, which is designed to signal potential market reversals, has flashed a sell signal for Bitcoin. Historically, this indicator has been a reliable predictor of price corrections, with past occurrences resulting in drops of 78% and 32%. A median correction based on these previous downturns would indicate a possible price target of $40,000, aligning with Leshka’s forecasts for Bitcoin. Analyst Predicts Temporary Rally For Bitcoin Technical analysis from Crypto Feras also contributes to this bearish sentiment. He pointed out that Bitcoin has breached its 50-day moving average (MA50) placed above $102,000, suggesting that a period of reflection is in order. Feras indicated that the exponential moving averages (EMA89-99) could provide initial support at $88,500, typically facilitating a short-term “bearish retest” of the MA50 after a breakdown. The analyst noted that this potential rally usually lasts for two to five weeks and may see both Bitcoin and altcoins behave positively, even though investors might misinterpret it as a return to a bull market. Related Reading: BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF Bleeds Over $500 Million In Its Biggest One-Day Outflow Additional support is noted at $84,000, which could be briefly retested. Feras suggested that this scenario might represent a final bear trap before a more prolonged downturn, a historical trend that could repeat itself. He also addressed the question of when the market might shift back into “bull mode.” According to Feras, Bitcoin will remain in a bear market as long as it trades below its weekly MA50. Once Bitcoin reclaims this important moving average, discussions regarding a potential bull market or continuation of a bull trend could resume. Until that happens, he emphasized that it is premature to label Bitcoin’s current phase as anything but bearish. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
World Liberty Financial (WLFI) said it is reallocating funds and confirming user identities after several wallets were compromised ahead of its platform launch. Related Reading: XRP Supply Shock Ahead? ETFs Could Consume It All, Analyst Predicts According to WLFI’s post on X, the company froze the affected addresses in September and has been verifying ownership before moving assets back to users who pass the checks. Wallet Breaches And Response Reports have disclosed that the breaches came from either phishing attacks or exposed seed phrases, not from WLFI’s own platform or smart contracts, the company said. WLFI described the problem as linked to third-party security failures and said only a “small subset” of users were hit — though it did not give exact figures on how many accounts or how much crypto was involved. 1/ Prior to WLFI’s launch, a relatively small subset of user wallets were compromised via phishing attacks or exposed seed phrases. Since then, we’ve tested new smart contract logic to safely reallocate user funds and verified users’ identity via KYC checks. Shortly, users who… — WLFI (@worldlibertyfi) November 19, 2025 On-chain data cited by analyst Emmett Gallic of Arkham shows WLFI executed an emergency action that burned 166.67 million WLFI tokens, a move valued at $22.14 million from a compromised address, and then shifted tokens to a recovery address. That firewall step appears intended to limit further loss while the company sorts ownership questions. World Liberty Fi executed an emergency function burning 166.667M $WLFI ($22.14M) from compromised address, reallocating to a recovery address. Function designed for two scenarios: An investor loses wallet access before vesting OR malicious account acquires WLFI via exploit pic.twitter.com/VSUDWhDPCR — Emmett Gallic (@emmettgallic) November 19, 2025 Regulatory Spotlight Grows The timing of the security disclosure has drawn extra attention. Based on reports, Senators Elizabeth Warren and Jack Reed asked the DOJ and Treasury to review alleged WLFI token sales tied to sanctioned parties. Their letter referenced a watchdog report from Accountable.US that linked transactions to the Lazarus Group — a North Korea-linked actor on sanctions lists — and to an Iranian crypto exchange. It remains unclear whether the wallet compromises are related to the transactions lawmakers flagged. Experts Question On-Chain Findings Security researchers have pushed back on some of the watchdog’s claims. Taylor Moynahan of MetaMask and Nick Bax of Ump.eth said the Accountable.US analysis misread certain on-chain activity. Another day in crypto with wild allegations. Today, it’s that a North Korea-linked address invested in WLFI. I do a some DPRK crypto research myself, so I decided to take a look at their findings. They’re bad and an innocent user is out $100k because of it???? pic.twitter.com/yJKEH04nup — Nick Bax.eth (@bax1337) November 18, 2025 Related Reading: With 42% Of XRP Holders Underwater, Analysts Say The Altcoin Could Crash Even Further Bax argued that the report mistakenly connected a wallet tied to an individual known as “Shryder” with DPRK-linked activity, which led to the freezing of roughly $95,000 in WLFI tokens. WLFI has responded by emphasizing user protection and compliance. The company said it prioritized freezing vulnerable wallets and verifying rightful owners before any transfers. It also announced tests of revised smart contract logic meant to reduce the chance of similar breaches in future rollouts. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView
Andrew Tate deposited $727,000 into Hyperliquid over the past year, took no withdrawals, and lost the entire stack through a relentless series of leveraged liquidations that culminated on Nov. 18, when his account hit zero. Per Arkham’s on-chain ledger, even the roughly $75,000 in referral commissions Tate earned from bringing traders onto the platform was […]
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An unnamed national bank has asked the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency for permission to hold crypto on its own balance sheet to support blockchain-based services. On Nov. 18, the OCC finally answered. In Interpretive Letter 1186, the agency confirmed that national banks may hold the native assets needed to pay blockchain “network […]
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Bitcoin fell below $90,000 this week for the first time in seven months, and big transfers have surged. Related Reading: XRP Supply Shock Ahead? ETFs Could Consume It All, Analyst Predicts According to Santiment, more than 102,000 transactions above $100,000 and roughly 29,000 transactions above $1 million were recorded over the recent stretch — a level that could make this the most active whale week of 2025. Whale Counts Climb As Small Holders Fall Back Based on Glassnode figures, the number of addresses holding at least 1,000 BTC rose to 1,384 from 1,354 about three weeks earlier, a 2.2% rise and the highest count in four months. At the same time, wallets with one BTC or less slipped to about 977,420 from 980,577 late in October, showing smaller holders are thinning out. Those two trends together have some market watchers reading a shift from panic selling toward larger buyers taking positions. ???? Bitcoin’s whales have gotten more and more active as prices have dumped over the past six weeks. So far this week, we have seen: ???? Over 102.9K Whale Transactions exceeding $100K ???? Over 29K Whale Transactions exceeding $1M ???? This week has a good chance of ending up as the… pic.twitter.com/oHsnMfEjgP — Santiment (@santimentfeed) November 19, 2025 Traders And Analysts See Two Things At Once Some traders argue the big transfers are plain buying. Others say the pattern looks like forced selling by leveraged accounts, followed by accumulation as the market finds a new base. One on-chain observer flagged repeated, time-bound selling that could be tied to liquidation events, a pattern that might end once available supply dries up or liquidations stop. Market Sentiment Has Turned Very Negative Sentiment gauges show fear is strong. Reports put the Crypto Fear & Greed Index near 11, a reading inside the “extreme fear” zone, and on-chain short-term holder measures have weakened, with the STH Realized Profit-Loss Ratio dipping below levels often seen around local lows. Taken together, those readings suggest many recent buyers are underwater and that capitulation has been intense. If large transfers recorded by Santiment were mostly outbound from exchanges, that would look like accumulation into cold storage or OTC custody and could reduce sell pressure. If those moves were inbound to exchange wallets, the same flows could point to distribution. Right now, the data show a mixture: big holders are increasing their counts while weaker hands exit, which can support a stabilizing bottom, but it also leaves room for short-term swings if another forced seller appears. Related Reading: With 42% Of XRP Holders Underwater, Analysts Say The Altcoin Could Crash Even Further Several market participants described the move as a “washout” that clears short-term froth. Others noted that news events — from major earnings to macro headlines — have amplified twitch trading and sudden swings, which can trigger both big transfers and sudden price drops. A handful of asset managers say they are seeing buying at discounted prices while retail participation cools. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView
Cardano (ADA) founder Charles Hoskinson previously projected that the Bitcoin price could reach an impressive price of $250,000 as early as this year. This bold forecast, made in April, came at a time when Bitcoin was trading at $77,000 after achieving a record high of $109,000 in January. Hoskinson’s Optimistic Bitcoin Price Forecast Hoskinson’s optimism was based on his belief that international negotiations, particularly between the US and China, would favor Bitcoin’s growth. The Cardano founder suggested that easing tariffs would lead to a positive market reaction and bolster adoption, particularly with the anticipated passage of the GENIUS Act, which was signed into law by President Trump a few months later. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dips Below $90,000—Yet Altcoins Remain Unscathed: Here’s Why However, the current market realities have raised doubts about Hoskinson’s prediction. Since then, Bitcoin has experienced significant fluctuations, briefly regaining momentum to reach $126,000 mid-October, only to see the broader crypto market subsequently shed over $1 trillion in total market cap. This downturn has largely been attributed to persistent selling pressure by concerned investors, and substantial outflows from the Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) sector, with nearly $2 billion sold over since October. As it stands, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $89,300, marking a nearly 30% decline from its recently achieved all-time highs. In light of this, Jacob King, CEO of Swandesk, publicly dismissed Hoskinson’s $250,000 price target, characterizing it as unrealistic. Is Bitcoin In A New Bear Market Cycle? In a post on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), King stated that such lofty price predictions are “pulled out of thin air” and reflect a market still grappling with “delusions.” King elaborated on his viewpoint, suggesting that the industry is in the early stages of a new bear market cycle. He is not alone in this assessment. Market expert Lark Davis recently noted that, based on the classic four-year Bitcoin price cycle, the cryptocurrency has officially entered bear market territory. Davis commented that this scenario leaves two possibilities: either the established four-year cycle is no longer relevant, or the market has indeed shifted into a bearish phase. Given the current macroeconomic backdrop, he leans toward the latter interpretation. Related Reading: Kraken Achieves $20 Billion Valuation With $200 Million Investment From Citadel Additionally, others in the market have echoed these bearish sentiments. An analyst known as Mr. Wall Street has recently speculated that the Bitcoin price peaked at $126,000. The analyst believes that this may mark the zenith for this cycle, predicting that the Bitcoin price could next face significant downward pressure, potentially slipping to a range between $74,000 and $82,000. He further forecasts a possible decline to levels between $54,000 and $60,000 by the fourth quarter of 2026. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
El Salvador executed its largest single-day Bitcoin (BTC) purchase since adopting the cryptocurrency in 2021, acquiring roughly 1,090 BTC worth approximately $100 million as prices slid below $90,000 on Nov. 18. President Nayib Bukele disclosed the transaction on X with a screenshot from the government’s Bitcoin dashboard showing total holdings had climbed to 7,474 BTC, […]
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A new projection from an XRP analyst is drawing fresh attention to how quickly spot ETFs could gobble up available tokens if heavy inflows persist. Related Reading: With 42% Of XRP Holders Underwater, Analysts Say The Altcoin Could Crash Even Further The numbers in the model are simple and large, and they force a straightforward question: what happens if steady ETF buying meets a limited public supply? ETF Flows Could Outrun Supply According to analyst Chad Steingraber, one XRP ETF might average $90 million in daily inflows. Multiplying that by 12 ETFs and the result is $1.08 billion each day. Based on his assumptions, if half of those flows create fresh demand for XRP, issuers would need to buy about $504 million worth — roughly 229 million XRP — in a single day. One Day Billion ETF Flow Scenario (assume current price) Single Fund Day Avg – $90Million x12 Funds Avg – $1.08Billion Day 50% Avg Net Share Creation – $504Million Required Acquisition – 229,090,909 XRP —> 1 Day For fun — what if one week: x5 Days – 1,145,454,545 XRP What if… https://t.co/wpdDD1q7bn — Chad Steingraber (@ChadSteingraber) November 19, 2025 Stretch that pace for a week and the total climbs to 1.14 billion XRP. A month pushes it to 4.58 billion XRP. After six months, the model reaches 27.49 billion XRP, which is nearly half of the roughly 60 billion XRP currently in circulation. According to the projection, a full year at those levels could theoretically absorb the entire public supply unless prices move higher and slow purchases. Early Fund Flows Show Demand But Not A Shock Reports show Canary Capital’s XRPC ETF opened with $245 million in day-one inflows, followed by $25.41 million and $8.32 million on the next two days, bringing the fund to $277 million in assets. Franklin Templeton’s EZRP is scheduled to launch on November 24 and market estimates put first-day demand between $150–$250 million. Five other issuers — Bitwise, Grayscale, 21Shares, Valkyrie, and CoinShares — are waiting in line. Community math that assumes seven ETFs has produced a $7.2 billion annual inflow figure. That is a lot of money. But, so far, the market reaction has been muted rather than explosive. Related Reading: The Final Dip? Bitcoin’s Days Under $90K May Be Over According to analysts, fund purchases don’t hit public exchanges right away. Trades settle on a certain cycle, and many issuers buy XRP over-the-counter. As a result, large amounts could be accumulated quietly before they show up in exchange order books or pressure the spot price. $XRP Lost the previous breakout level. Looks headed back to $1.50 area. pic.twitter.com/8VskyzrPXk — Nebraskangooner (@Nebraskangooner) November 17, 2025 Price Dynamics And Technical Risks XRP’s price has not marched upward in lockstep with ETF headlines. The token has hovered near $2.14 and slipped more than 14% since last week. Technical voices in the market are warning about downside. Analyst Nebraskangooner points to a failed breakout from a descending triangle and sets a target near $1.50 — roughly a 30% drop from a recent $2.15 trading level. The chart argument traces a rally to a yearly high of $3.66 in July, a late-October attempt to break higher, and a subsequent break below support around $2.2. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView
Nearly two years after the inception of the Bitcoin ETF sector in the United States, these funds are currently grappling with significant challenges, exacerbated by mounting concerns regarding a potential bear market in the coming months. This turmoil is exemplified by the BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT), which experienced its largest single-day withdrawal since launch, further contributing to the decline in Bitcoin’s price. Profit-Taking And Caution The recent outflows from BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF highlight the severity of the current selloff within the Bitcoin market, which has experienced a substantial correction below the crucial $100,000 mark following a record high reached in October. Related Reading: Kraken Achieves $20 Billion Valuation With $200 Million Investment From Citadel This downturn emphasizes the widespread pullback affecting various risk assets, while gold has notably remained resilient. Some analysts suggest that these developments indicate a trend of investors shifting their exposure from Bitcoin to gold. “The crypto market entered a hangover in August,” said Thomas Perfumo, Global Economist at Kraken, in a recent interview with Reuters, noting that much of the earlier demand for Bitcoin had been fueled by borrowed funds. He added, “Momentum seemingly peaked during the summer. But the truth is this hangover trend started months ago.” Analysts have also pointed to profit-taking behaviors among long-term holders and increasing caution among Bitcoin ETF funds and digital asset treasury (DAT) firms, which had previously ramped up their acquisitions throughout the year. Brian Vieten, a research analyst at Siebert Financial, stated that Bitcoin treasury companies had collectively purchased nearly $50 billion worth of Bitcoin over the past year. Recently, however, many of these firms have begun trading at a discount to their net asset value, which could dampen market expectations for new Bitcoin purchases in the near term. Bitcoin ETF Inflows Plummet This shift occurs amid rising concerns among heavyweight investors regarding inflated valuations across various asset classes. José Torres, a senior economist at Interactive Brokers, noted that “an ongoing lack of speculative spirits is weighing on Bitcoin.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Dips Below $90,000—Yet Altcoins Remain Unscathed: Here’s Why Despite managing over $73 billion in assets, IBIT has seen a decline of 19% in the current quarter. Data from SoSoValue indicates that spot Bitcoin ETF funds collectively have recorded $2.59 billion in outflows this month alone. Leading the pack is BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF, which has experienced $1.78 billion in outflows in November alone. The Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) ranks second, with nearly $540 million in outflows. The turbulence isn’t limited to Bitcoin; the Ethereum exchange-traded fund sector also faced outflows, totaling approximately $74.2 million yesterday, with BlackRock selling off $165.1 million. On a more positive note, Solana spot ETFs reported net inflows of $30.09 million on Tuesday, primarily driven by Bitwise’s BSOL. This marks a major streak of 15 consecutive days of inflows for Solana. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin slid below the $92,000 mark on Wednesday, trading at $91,500 at press time after a one-day drop of 5% that left the token down 17% in the last 30 days. Related Reading: With 42% Of XRP Holders Underwater, Analysts Say The Altcoin Could Crash Even Further Market players were rattled after a stretch of heavy swings that began with a peak early in October. According to market trackers, price pressure has pushed sentiment into deep fear as investors reassess risk. Winklevoss Sees Opportunity According to posts on X by Cameron Winklevoss, prices under $90,000 may not last long. “This is the last time you’ll ever be able to buy bitcoin below $90k!” he said. Cameron and his brother Tyler have long compared Bitcoin to modern gold and have suggested it could one day reach $1 million, a view that frames the current pullback as a buy window rather than a lasting setback. Some industry leaders echoed that view, calling the fall a chance for long-term buyers to accumulate. This is the last time you’ll ever be able to buy bitcoin below $90k! — Cameron Winklevoss (@cameron) November 18, 2025 October Shock Still Echoes Bitcoin’s recent slide followed a new high of $126,200 on October 6, 2025, and heavy liquidations four days later that erased close to $20 billion in leveraged positions. Analysts tracking market cycles say this pullback fits a common pattern after the April 2024 halving, with major peaks often arriving 400–600 days afterward. Reports from The Kobeissi Letter suggest much of the current weakness looks like a routine unwinding of margin positions rather than a collapse in underlying demand. Whales Are Accumulating According to Glassnode, wallets holding 1,000 BTC rose from 1,354 on October 27 to 1,384 on November 17, an increase of 2.5%. At the same time, smaller holders moved away; addresses with less than one BTC dropped from 980,577 to 977,420 in the same period. Markus Thielen of 10X Research said large holders have been buying while absorbing selling pressure. Some of the buying activity has been quietly taking place, and it is being watched closely by analysts. Related Reading: Kiyosaki Stands His Ground—No Selling, More Bitcoin Buys Ahead Fear And Market Flows Figures show that the Crypto Fear & Greed Index plunged to readings as low as 15, levels not seen since mid-2022. CryptoQuant analyst JA Maartun flagged the extreme fear reading, while other industry voices pointed to ETF outflows and geopolitical tensions as added stressors. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan described the current price as a “generational opportunity,” a phrase that sits alongside warnings about possible further downside. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView
Libra-linked wallets quietly pulled roughly $4 million from a failing memecoin and used part of their stash to pile into Solana, according to on-chain tracking and news reports. Related Reading: Crypto Carnage Continues — Tom Lee Exposes What’s Really Going On The move comes amid fraud probes and renewed scrutiny of the token’s launch, which earlier this year saw large withdrawals that rocked investor confidence and drew legal attention. Wallets Rotate Funds Into Solana Based on on-chain data, two addresses tied to the Libra project — labeled “Libra Deployer (Defcy)” and “Libra Wallet (61yKS)” — bought about $61.5 million worth of SOL at an average price near $135. Before these purchases, the same addresses reportedly held roughly $57 million in USDC, enabling a quick rotation from stablecoin holdings into a major Layer-1 token. Blockchain analysts flagged the activity after tracing a string of transfers that drained the last remaining liquidity from the token’s market. The withdrawals of nearly $4 million followed earlier large cash-outs tied to the coin’s creators that investigators say removed as much as $99 million from circulation at the token’s launch. That wave of exits and the token’s sudden collapse prompted several probes in Argentina and the US. What The Purchases Mean For Markets Market watchers said the swap into SOL is notable because it moves money from a controversial, politically linked memecoin into a mainstream crypto asset. Meanwhile, the political angle has not faded. The Libra token’s launch drew attention after Argentine President Javier Milei publicly promoted the coin and then tried to distance himself as losses mounted. The broader pattern of meme tokens tied to politicians has raised fresh worries about transparency and investor protection, with some lawmakers and regulators taking a closer look. Legal And Control Questions Remain Reports have asked who finally controls the wallets now and whether authorities can freeze the new SOL holdings. Fraud investigations are active, but on-chain moves show the addresses retained control long enough to shift assets across chains. Related Reading: From Dotcom To Crypto: Veteran Analyst Says The Bull Run Isn’t Over That gap between probe announcements and actual seizure powers has prompted calls for faster cross-border coordination in crypto enforcement. The episode adds to a string of high-profile memecoin blowups tied to public figures. Analysts say these events underline the danger for everyday investors who pile into tokens after a celebrity mention or viral hype. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView
The Bitcoin market is undergoing a significant transition, with traders aggressively positioning for a year-end close beneath the $90,000 threshold. This comes as the flagship digital asset briefly slid to a seven-month low of $89,970 on Nov. 18 before recovering to $91,526 as of press time. As a result, crypto traders’ sentiment has significantly shifted […]
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US-traded spot Bitcoin ETFs hemorrhaged $2.57 billion in net outflows through Nov. 17, the funds’ worst monthly drawdown since their January 2024 launch. In the same month, Bitcoin dropped 14.7% and briefly touched $89,253.78 on Nov. 17, its lowest level since April, before recovering to $93,426.16, up 1.3% in 24 hours. The outflow wave crested […]
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Mt. Gox-linked Bitcoin (BTC) wallets moved roughly 10,600 BTC on Nov. 17, breaking an eight-month silence that had lulled traders into forgetting the estate still controlled nearly $3 billion in legacy coins. The transaction routed about 10,608 BTC to a new, unlabeled address, with the remainder returning to a known Mt. Gox wallet. Timing turned […]
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Donald Trump has pushed the Federal Reserve back into the center of the crypto macro narrative, telling reporters he “already” knows who should succeed Jerome Powell and triggering a sharp repricing in real-money prediction markets in favor of Kevin Hassett. In remarks in the Oval Office, Trump said: “I think I already know my choice,” when asked about the next Fed chair. He added that he would “love to get the guy currently in there out right now, but people are holding me back,” a clear swipe at Powell without naming him. Trump also hinted at the shape of his shortlist, saying, “We have some surprising names and we have some standard names that everybody’s talking about. And we may go the standard way. It’s nice to every once in a while go politically correct.” That was enough to move markets. On Polymarket and Kalshi, contracts on “Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?” quickly converged around Hassett, with odds in the mid-40s to high-40s percent range. Jim Bianco summarized the shift by writing: “He wants Bessent but will take Hassett. The rest get to take selfies in the Oval Office.” In a follow-up, he noted that “Hassett (blue) is separating himself from the pack and is on the verge of being the first person to trade over 50%,” as prediction markets pushed his contract well clear of rivals. Kalshi’s own social media account underscored the move: “BREAKING: Trump thinks he ‘already knows’ who will be next Fed Chair. 47% chance it’s Kevin Hassett.” The pseudonymous trader Byzantine General zoomed out to the timeline, pointing out that “Powell’s term ends May next year,” and sketching out a Q2 scenario with “a FED chair that listens to Trump” and “tariff dividends for plebs,” before cautioning that “you never know with Trump of course, but man, there could be something cooking.” Related Reading: Crypto Market Wipes Out $1 Trillion Since October: Analyzing The Forces Behind The Crash What Hassett Could Mean For The Crypto Market For macro-oriented crypto traders, the key is the policy signal embedded in those probabilities. Hassett is widely perceived as more dovish than Powell and more aligned with Trump’s preference for easier financial conditions. That is why trader CRG (@MacroCRG), framed the moment as the arrival of a “New hand picked super dove as Fed chair coming soon.” Macro and crypto analyst Alex Krüger went further, arguing that the Fed-chair race is the real medium-term driver for risk assets once the current FOMC noise fades. “Here’s the next macro catalyst after the FOMC. A bullish catalyst the market is paying no heed to atm. It’s hard to peer into the horizon when stressed to the marrow about the present,” he wrote, adding that “the most bullish choices would be Hassett (likely), Rieder (possibly) and Zervos (unlikely).” Related Reading: Crypto Carnage Continues — Tom Lee Exposes What’s Really Going On The reason crypto traders care is straightforward: crypto assets trade as high-beta, liquidity-sensitive risk assets. A chair seen as more willing to cut rates faster, tolerate easier financial conditions or respond aggressively to equity and growth weakness is, in market logic, a structural tailwind for the long-run liquidity environment that underpins speculative flows into bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. At the same time, Trump’s open pressure on Powell and his readiness to talk about replacing the Fed chair in overtly political terms reinforce another strand of the crypto thesis. The more investors worry about the politicization of US monetary policy and the erosion of central-bank independence, the more compelling the “Bitcoin as hedge against political and institutional risk” narrative becomes for a subset of allocators. For now, nothing has changed at the Fed. Powell remains in office, and all that has moved is a set of probability distributions on prediction markets. But as those distributions shift toward Kevin Hassett, crypto traders are already treating the prospective hand-off as a latent, potentially significant bullish tailwind building in the background. At press time, the total crypto market cap was at $3.11 trillion. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The US-based cryptocurrency exchange Kraken recently secured a substantial $200 million investment from Citadel Securities, a global market maker. This investment values the exchange at an impressive $20 billion. Kraken’s Growth Backed By Citadel Securities Citadel Securities has expressed enthusiasm about supporting Kraken’s growth, emphasizing the firm’s role in shaping the future landscape of digital innovation within markets. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Alert: This Indicator Signals SELL, Could History Repeat With A 67% Drop? Jim Esposito, president of Citadel Securities, highlighted their commitment to collaborating with Kraken on risk management and market structure analysis, among other strategic initiatives. This capital infusion comes on the heels of a previous financing round back in September of this year, during which the digital asset platform successfully raised $600 million at a $15 billion valuation. Investors in this earlier round included Wall Street entities such as Jane Street, DRW, HSG (formerly known as Sequoia Capital China), Oppenheimer, Tribe Capital, and the family office of Arjun Sethi, who serves as the exchange’s co-CEO. IPO Plans Unhurried Despite Strong Figures Kraken’s fundraising efforts, totaling $800 million across its two recent financing rounds, have significantly strengthened the company’s financial position ahead of its planned initial public offering (IPO) in the upcoming year. Related Reading: Crypto Market Wipes Out $1 Trillion Since October: Analyzing The Forces Behind The Crash However, last week, Bitcoinist reported that Kraken has no plans to speed up its initial public offering, backed by robust financial figures. In a Yahoo Finance interview, Sethi stated, “We have enough capital on our balance sheet as a private company. We don’t race to the door as quickly as possible.” Arjun Sethi previously emphasized the importance of maintaining a prudent approach, ensuring that the company’s financial foundation remains robust and poised for sustainable growth. In the wake of the recent funding, Sethi stated: This investment represents long-term conviction in Kraken’s mission to build trusted, regulated infrastructure for the open financial system. Our focus has always been straightforward: to create a platform where anyone can trade any asset, anytime, anywhere. The exchange also disclosed substantial revenue growth in the third quarter of the year, reaching $648 million. Yet, its closest competitor, Coinbase—the largest exchange in the country—reported revenue growth of $1.9 billion. Kraken’s recent acquisitions, including its $1.5 billion purchase of the futures trading platform NinjaTrader, are further examples of the exchange’s strategic expansion efforts this year. Looking ahead, the exchange revealed in a blog post: We plan to enter new markets across Latin America, Asia Pacific and EMEA, while broadening our offerings beyond crypto to include additional asset classes, advanced trading tools and staking solutions, expanded payment services and enhanced institutional capabilities. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
On Tuesday, the market’s leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC), experienced a notable decline, dropping toward the $89,000 mark, its lowest price in seven months, resulting in over $1 billion in liquidations across the crypto market within the past 24 hours. However, despite this downturn, altcoins have exhibited significant stability when compared to the performance of BTC. Analysts from the Bull Theory have provided insights into why altcoins are holding strong during this period. Bitcoin Dominance Falls In a recent social media post on social media site X (previously Twitter), the analysts asserted that the recent decline in BTC’s value was not characterized by typical selling pressure; instead, it is seen as a result of structured institutional selling. This was reflected in negative flows from Coinbase and the manner in which the candlestick patterns formed. Following this structured selling, panic selling ensued as traders who were already facing losses began to exit their positions hastily. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Alert: This Indicator Signals SELL, Could History Repeat With A 67% Drop? This panic selling led to rapid declines in BTC’s price; however, altcoins, having already approached a state of seller exhaustion, did not experience significant drops. In previous scenarios where BTC has faced downturns, its dominance in the market typically surges as traders flock to Bitcoin for safety. Yet, the current situation is different. Bitcoin’s dominance remains below the 50-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and the market has recently seen a series of red candles. Such a decline in dominance while BTC is in a downward spiral is unusual, suggesting that altcoins are not being entirely abandoned by traders. Ethereum (ETH) has lost its 50-week EMA but is making attempts to reclaim it. Throughout this month, BTC and ETH have experienced nearly identical declines, yet ETH has shown quicker recovery patterns. The analysts highlighted that during previous cycles, whenever Ethereum holds its ground better than Bitcoin during similar downturns, altcoins tend to demonstrate strength as well. Altcoins Show Strength Amid BTC’s Decline The Bull Theory analysts also noted that many altcoin pairs against BTC have rebounded to levels seen before the significant crash that occurred on October 10th, with some even trading above those thresholds. This, according to their analysis, indicates a few key points: altcoins are outperforming BTC, the current pressure feels isolated rather than widespread, and the sell-off lacks broader implications across the market. Related Reading: Crypto Market Wipes Out $1 Trillion Since October: Analyzing The Forces Behind The Crash The Analysts suggest that this combination of factors is one of the strongest signals of a market bottom. When BTC is experiencing a downturn, dominance is declining, and alt/BTC pairs are on the rise, it often points to a capitulation phase for altcoins. As of this writing, Bitcoin has recovered above the $93,000 mark. However, the leading cryptocurrency has erased all of its year-to-date gains, while extending the gap to record levels by 26%. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
For years, quantum computing has served as cryptocurrency’s favorite doomsday scenario, a distant but existential threat that periodically resurfaces whenever a lab announces a qubit milestone. The narrative follows a predictable arc where researchers achieve some incremental breakthrough, social media erupts with “Bitcoin is dead” predictions, and the news cycle moves on. But Adam Back’s […]
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Bitwise’s Solana Staking ETF (BSOL) pulled in $56 million in volume on its launch day, while Canary Capital’s spot XRP ETF (XRPC) posted $58 million, the highest two volumes for any ETF launched in 2025. Yet, SOL traded near $205 one day before the ETF launch and slumped to $165 within a week, a 20% […]
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Stablecoins originated as crypto plumbing, tokens pegged to fiat currencies that enable traders to move in and out of volatile assets without relying on traditional banking systems. That narrow use case now sits on a market capitalization of more than $303 billion, up roughly 75% year-over-year, with Tether commanding about 56% of the market and […]
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According to on-chain data and market reports, XRP is under fresh selling pressure because a large share of holders are now showing losses. Related Reading: Kiyosaki Stands His Ground—No Selling, More Bitcoin Buys Ahead Glassnode reports that 41.5% of XRP supply — or close to 27 billion tokens — sits in loss, the lowest profitability level since November 2024 when XRP traded near $0.53. At today’s levels, about four times higher than that November figure, a big share of holders bought above current prices and are now exposed. Holder Concentration Raises Selling Risk Market analysts say this positioning has changed trader behavior. Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG Australia, disclosed that many wallets likely picked up XRP when it was above $3.00 during months including January, July, August, September, and early October. That means a sizable group is now holding paper losses after the 40%+ slide from the July $3.65 peak. The scale of unrealized losses can encourage some investors to exit if prices keep drifting lower, which would add selling pressure. The share of XRP supply in profit has fallen to 58.5%, the lowest since Nov 2024, when price was $0.53. Today, despite trading ~4× higher ($2.15), 41.5% of supply (~26.5B XRP) sits in loss — a clear sign of a top-heavy and structurally fragile market dominated by late buyers. ????… https://t.co/CBXPzDalxV pic.twitter.com/UpLNKV7LqD — glassnode (@glassnode) November 17, 2025 ETFs Could Bring Fresh Demand Or Little Impact Reports have disclosed a wave of exchange-traded funds tied to XRP that may alter flows. Canary Capital launched the first spot-XRP ETF on November 13 and posted the strongest first-day result for US ETFs in 2025. Franklin Templeton’s EZRP is scheduled to begin trading on November 18, with funds from Bitwise, 21Shares and CoinShares close behind. Traders hope these products will attract new money into XRP, but history shows initial demand can vary widely and depends on broader market liquidity and risk appetite. Key Foothold At the time of reporting, XRP trades around $2.19, down more than 10% in the last seven days. Analysts are watching the $2.16 area as a key foothold. ???? JUST IN: FRANKLIN TEMPLETON’S SPOT $XRP ETF (EZRP) LAUNCHES TOMORROW. BULLISH ???? pic.twitter.com/rmGN1rdVGI — Amonyx (@amonbuy) November 17, 2025 If that level is defended, a bounce toward the $2.35–$2.60 band could be possible. If it fails, further retracement towards lower levels is a realistic outcome, in particular with a large portion of holders underwater and stop orders possibly clustered beneath current support. On-Chain Signals Paint A Top-Heavy Picture According to data from blockchain trackers, the market looks “top-heavy,” meaning that many of those who entered recently paid high prices for their coins and are thus more vulnerable. That pattern often makes rallies less stable until profit-taking pressure eases or fresh buyers step in. Related Reading: From Dotcom To Crypto: Veteran Analyst Says The Bull Run Isn’t Over At the same time, activity on the XRP Ledger has been rising, and renewed clarity around rules for digital assets in some jurisdictions has helped sentiment a bit. In the near term, price action will likely correlate with ETF inflows and whether buyers can defend the $2.15 level. A clear break above $2.60 could relieve selling pressure, while a break below support might trigger further selling by holders trying to limit losses. For now, XRP is stuck in a battle between the pressure of unrealized losses and new potential flows of capital from ETFs. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin crossed a watershed moment in its monetary history on Nov. 17, surpassing 19.95 million mined coins and pushing the network past 95% of its immutable 21 million supply cap. This leaves the network with less than 1.05 million BTC to mine over the next 115 years. On the surface, the milestone appears to be […]
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Bitcoin slipped below $90,000 this week, a level it had not touched in seven months, according to data. Traders watched nervously as the flagship token moved around $90,700, leaving it roughly 25% beneath its recent all-time high of just over $126,000 reached on Oct. 6. Markets noted that a big liquidation event on Oct. 10 still echoes through trading desks. Related Reading: From Dotcom To Crypto: Veteran Analyst Says The Bull Run Isn’t Over Analysts See A Near-Term Bottom According to an interview on CNBC, BitMine chairman Tom Lee said the Oct. 10 liquidations and ongoing uncertainty about whether the US Federal Reserve will cut rates in December have kept pressure on crypto. He described signs of exhaustion among sellers and cited technical work suggesting a bottom could appear soon. Tom Lee and Matt Hougan both say crypto prices are getting close to forming a bottom. Source: YouTube Bitwise Asset Management chief investment officer Matt Hougan shared a similar line of thinking, calling current pricing a “generational opportunity” and urging longer-term investors to take notice. He added that traders are jittery about the economy, high AI valuations, and US President Donald Trump’s tariffs, which may have added to selling. Selling Fueled Mostly By Short-Term Holders According To XWIN Research, a review of on-chain measures showed short-term holders did much of the heavy lifting in the recent decline. The Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio fell below 1 on multiple occasions, which signals many short-term owners sold at a loss. XWIN also said coins younger than three months made up most of the spent volume during the worst of the drop. That pattern points to panic-driven exits by recent buyers rather than mass, late-cycle distribution by longtime holders. At the same time, metrics such as Coin Days Destroyed, Realized Profit, and Long-Term Holder Net Position Change registered increased distribution by long-term holders since September, but XWIN argued this behavior matches routine profit-taking during a bull run rather than blow-off top selling. Flow From ETFs And Whales Adds Pressure Reports have disclosed that exchange-traded fund outflows and large sales by whales also contributed to the weakness, while rising geopolitical tensions added a further layer of risk. Market participants described Bitcoin as an early mover that started to weaken before other risk assets, which some investors took as a warning signal for broader markets. Related Reading: Crypto Carnage Continues — Tom Lee Exposes What’s Really Going On Outlook Hinges On Stocks And Policy Lee expects a rebound if equities rally later this year, saying a stronger stock market would likely lift Bitcoin back to fresh highs before year-end. Hougan agreed that a recovery could come quickly and that the current window offers an attractive entry for investors planning to hold for 12 months or more. Yet traders remain split; a few see the recent data as clear exhaustion, while others warn macro events and policy decisions could push prices lower before confidence returns. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has just printed 10 out of 100, which is not typically seen during a bad week or a rough month, but only at huge stress moments, such as the March 2020 COVID crash, the post-FTX washout in late 2022, or the crash in February this year. At these levels, […]
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Since October 6, the crypto market has lost over $1.1 trillion in value. Analysts from The Bull Theory examined the underlying causes of this behavior and identified significant issues causing such poor performance in what was expected to be a bullish fourth quarter for the industry. Market Liquidity Stumbles Post-October 10 Sell-Off One of the primary factors cited is the severe damage inflicted on market liquidity following the dramatic sell-off on October 10, which resulted in more than $20 billion liquidated from traders in a matter of minutes. This particularly impacted altcoins, with many seeing losses of 70% to 80%. With liquidity diminished, the current market environment allows prices to fluctuate easily, meaning even minor sell-offs can lead to rapid price drops. The analysts noted that the liquidity has failed to recover since this initial dump, resulting in the order books for major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) becoming increasingly sparse. Related Reading: The ‘Insanely Bullish’ Dogecoin Setup That Will Trigger A 600% Rally To $1 The consequences of this thin liquidity are stark; a small volume of selling can generate significant downward price movements. This observation matches the reality of recent market activity, where price declines appear more pronounced than the actual selling volume. Another contributing factor to the downturn, as pointed out by market analyst Tom Lee, is the behavior of major market makers. According to Lee, the ongoing correction may stem from one or two large entities facing considerable losses. Layered upon these issues is the excessive leverage in the market. Despite the unprecedented liquidations, many traders have reportedly returned to the market with increased leverage. The Bull Theory analysts contend that this high leverage, coupled with thin markets, enables market makers to trigger substantial liquidations with minimal price movement, making the sell-offs appear more aggressive. Crypto Fear Index Hits Lowest Level In Over 3 Years Compounding these issues, market sentiment has been plagued by fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD). Current narratives circulating, such as speculation regarding Strategy (previously MicroStrategy) facing forced liquidations if Bitcoin falls below $74,000, further exacerbate panic. It is worth noting that during the 2020-2021 cycle, Strategy’s cost basis hovered around $30,000 to $32,000. Even when Bitcoin dipped to $16,000—almost 50% below their cost—the company did not sell any coins. The Fear Index has also plummeted to 10, a level not seen in over three and a half years. The analysts belive that such extreme fear suggests two potential scenarios: either the market has reached its bottom, or it is approaching it. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Ethereum Price Is Crashing Again, Can It Breach $3,000? In conjunction with these sentiment measures, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin has returned to levels comparable to those of January 2023, when Bitcoin was valued around $20,000. The analysts suggest that this signals a stretched market on the downside, particularly within altcoins, where speculative activity has diminished and retail interest is waning. Despite the current turmoil, the Bull Theory analysts find that fundamentally, little has changed within the crypto market. They highlighted that Bitcoin’s network remains robust, with increasing hashrate, ongoing institutional interest, and a supportive stance from the US government regarding regulated crypto. However, it remains to be seen what the eventual direction of the digital asset market will be, as neither negative nor bullish cycles follow straight lines. This suggests that despite the downtrend, a new recovery and future dips may occur, and vice versa. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was leading Monday’s crypto market drop, trading at $91,940—a 3% drop within 24 hours and a 13% drop within a week. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
The Bitcoin price has seen a significant pullback, retracing nearly 26% from its all-time highs, fueling speculation about the potential onset of a new bear market. Compounding this uncertainty, a fresh sell signal has emerged from one of the cryptocurrency’s key indicators, reminiscent of the past when similar signals led to a staggering 67% drop in value. Bitcoin Price Could Plunge To $31,000 Market expert Ali Martinez pointed out in a recent post on social media platform X (formerly Twitter) that the last time the SuperTrend indicator issued a sell signal for Bitcoin was in 2022. At that time, Bitcoin, which had reached an all-time high of $69,000, subsequently fell to around $17,000. Related Reading: Can Strategy Survive A 90% Bitcoin Crash? Saylor Says Yes While the market landscape has changed significantly since then—with the introduction of exchange-traded funds (ETFs), new digital asset treasuries (DATs), and increased institutional support spurred by pro-crypto regulations—the current situation mirrors some of those past concerns. As it stands, the Bitcoin price is trading just above $94,500. If the historical trend of a 67% retracement were to repeat in the next months, the price could potentially fall to around $31,185, which could be the potential bottom of the new bear market. Adding to the conversation, another analyst known as Mr. Wall Street suggested that the recent Bitcoin price peak might be at $126,000. He forecasted that the next major downward move could see BTC hit levels between $74,000 and $82,000, ultimately reaching a target between $54,000 and $60,000 by the fourth quarter of 2026. This perspective contributes to the notion that Bitcoin is likely confirmed in a bear market, which could result in a year-long decline marked by price fluctuations similar to those seen in previous bear cycles. A New Death Cross Emerges Further complicating the outlook, analyst Doctor Profit pointed out a significant technical signal: the Bitcoin price experienced a death cross for the first time since April 2025. This event, marked by the 50-day moving average (MA) crossing below the 200-day moving average, historically led to rallies of 25% to 60% in the following three months. However, Doctor Profit emphasized a crucial difference this time around: the death cross occurred while Bitcoin was trading 6% below the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA50). In the previous instances, such crosses happened while Bitcoin was positioned above the EMA50, suggesting a different market sentiment this time. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Ethereum Price Is Crashing Again, Can It Breach $3,000? The current bearish sentiment is intensified by negative trends in ETF sales and whale net volume, adding significant pressure to the Bitcoin price. With the average entry price for Bitcoin buyers over the past six months set at approximately $94,600, falling back toward or below this level could trigger fresh selling pressure. Historically, short-term traders tend to exit at breakeven or even at a slight loss, raising concerns about further declines. Doctor Profit concluded his analysis stating: This combination of ETF selling, whale selling, and a large cluster of sellers sitting at breakeven levels is a dangerous setup and adds to the bearish case. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
A sharp divergence emerged in the crypto ETF market this month. According to SoSo Value data, the new products tracking Solana and XRP are attracting significant capital, contrasting with a severe wave of outflows from established Bitcoin and Ethereum funds. The data shows that the newly launched altcoin ETFs have registered more than $500 million […]
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The global crypto market pulled back to about $3.23 trillion on Monday, down close to a percent from recent levels, and signs of weakness were visible across most top tokens. Related Reading: From Dotcom To Crypto: Veteran Analyst Says The Bull Run Isn’t Over According to market trackers, investor mood is chilled — the Fear and Greed Index sits at 18, labeled extreme fear — and the average Relative Strength Index for major coins hovers near 41, a reading that leans toward oversold conditions. Bitcoin was trading around $95,400 while Ethereum hovered near $3,155, with many large-cap assets showing only small daily moves. Tom Lee Issues Long-Term Take According to Tom Lee, BitMine chairman and an early Bitcoin bull at Fundstrat, the current pullback does not wipe out the potential for much larger gains down the road. Lee noted that Bitcoin rose roughly 100x from his first recommendation back in 2017, when the price was near $1,000, and he suggested Ethereum may be at the start of a similar long-term run. BitMine Chairman Tom Lee suggested that the recent crypto market weakness may be due to one or more market makers having a “hole” in their balance sheets, with “sharks” circling to trigger liquidations and push BTC lower. He emphasized that this is short-term pain and does not… — Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) November 16, 2025 He cautioned that investors who benefited from past rallies had to endure extreme drops — some as deep as 75% — and said present volatility could be the market “discounting a massive future.” Short-Term Signals Point To Oversold Conditions Market technicians and on-chain analysts are pointing to clear short-term stress. The Fear and Greed Index at 18 is one headline figure. Average RSI readings near 41 imply more selling than buying momentum right now. To me, the weakness in crypto has the all the signs – of a market maker (or two) with a major “hole” in their balance sheet Sharks circling to trigger a liquidation / dumping of prices $BTC Is this pain short-term? Yes Does this change the $ETH supercycle of Wall Street… pic.twitter.com/0jfkXYnfv9 — Thomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FSInsight.com (@fundstrat) November 15, 2025 Based on reports from CryptoQuant, Ether trading around $3,150 sits roughly $200 above the mean cost basis held by long-term accumulators — a level that could act as support if those holders remain patient. Bitcoin, by comparison, has pulled back about 20% from its recent peak, while Ethereum has fallen more than 30% from its high. Bitcoin is a volatile asset. We first recommended Bitcoin to Fundstrat clients in 2017 (1%-2% allocation) – Bitcoin 2017 ~$1,000 Since then (past 8.5 years), $BTC: – 6 declines > -50% – 3 declines > – 75% 2025, Bitcoin 100x from our first recommendation TAKEAWAY: To have… pic.twitter.com/xtIRGLdnWM — Thomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FSInsight.com (@fundstrat) November 16, 2025 Ether Holder Levels Close To Historic Peaks Ethereum’s path this year diverged from Bitcoin for a while: ETH topped out at $4,940 in August, while Bitcoin pushed to a peak above $126,000 in October. That gap left Ether lagging for months even as Bitcoin made fresh highs. Now, with ETH nearer to where long-term holders bought in, some analysts see a potential floor forming. Reports have disclosed that these accumulators have been “patiently stacking,” and their cost positions matter for near-term price action. Altcoins Show Little Momentum Smaller large-cap coins are holding weaker ground. XRP was trading near $2.20, BNB around $932 and Solana close to $138, with most of last week’s gains fading. Other popular tokens — Tron, Dogecoin, Cardano, Chainlink, Hyperliquid and Zcash — are under light selling pressure and low net movement, suggesting market-wide caution rather than a single-asset sell-off. Related Reading: Trump Drops 500% Tariff Shockwave, Crypto Trembles — Bitcoin Breakdown Ahead? Bigger Players, Liquidations And The Outlook Lee added that he expects signs of recovery and stability within six to eight weeks. He advised against using borrowed funds now, warning that forced sell-offs can accelerate losses. According to his remarks, aggressive positions designed to trigger liquidations by large firms can amplify price swings. He cautioned that some of the sharper moves may be tied to stress among big market makers. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
When Donald Trump entered the White House in January, crypto markets expected alignment between policy and price. The new administration delivered on some of its promises by providing regulatory clarity, friendlier oversight, and the strongest institutional welcome Bitcoin had ever received. As a result, spot ETFs surged in assets, corporate treasuries accumulated BTC, and industry […]
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