Bitcoin has long been celebrated as the digital gold, a peer-to-peer electronic cash system, and a reliable store of value. Portal To Bitcoin (PTB) is being recognized as one of the most transformative innovations in the crypto space. By serving as a direct gateway to Bitcoin’s liquidity, PTB bridges gaps that have long limited adoption and accessibility. Why Portal To Bitcoin Is A True Revolution Investor in crypto and blockchain, BATMAN, has identified Portal To Bitcoin as a transformative force in the crypto landscape. PTB is a decentralized protocol that is fundamentally changing the BTC exposure dynamic. According to the BATMAN post on X, PTB is a game changer, and it’s the essential key to unlocking a new era for BTC and the broader decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem. Related Reading: Norway Sovereign Wealth Fund’s Indirect Bitcoin Exposure Reaches Over $860M The expert asserts that PTB allows seamless connection of Bitcoin to DeFi by providing a suite of products, making it more liquid and accessible than ever before. The protocol operates on a trust-minimized model, where there are no custodians, no wrapped tokens, only pure trust, and minimized access with Bitcoin. Meanwhile, this will enable every player to use their Bitcoin globally, without having to rely on gatekeepers or centralized entities. BATMAN concludes that this is what the ethos of BTC has always been about: permissions, trustless, and decentralized finance. Thus, any product that improves BTC utility in a way that respects its foundational principles should be welcomed. Diversification Beyond Land And Real Estate While the exposure to Bitcoin is being revolutionized around the world, financial analyst Gichuki Kahome has made a compelling case for including BTC in a diversified investment portfolio, specifically for Kenyan investors. Kahome advises allocating a 5-10% portion of a portfolio to BTC, viewing the flagship asset not as a speculative gamble but as a strategic long-term holding. Related Reading: Bitcoin Investors Are Back In The Market—Why A Momentum-Driven Rally May Be Near The advisor’s perspective is based on the idea that BTC offers low correlation with traditional investments such as land and real estate, making it an ideal tool for better diversification. Kahome noted that BTC has averaged an astonishing 82% annual return in the last 10 years. While performance is not a guarantee of future results, he anticipates that Bitcoin will continue to deliver strong returns, with an expected average of 30% per annum in the next decade. Furthermore, the expert has underscored Bitcoin’s financial prowess. According to the expert, BTC is a superior hedge against the weakening of fiat currencies, particularly mentioning the Kenyan Shilling (KES) and the US Dollar (USD). He further states that BTC is digital gold, and it is a better store of value than gold itself. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading in a sideways consolidation phase after hitting its all-time high near $124,000, with volatility keeping investors cautious. The price has been fluctuating in a relatively tight range, showing resilience but also failing to establish a clear directional trend. For many traders, this period feels like the calm before a potential breakout, as the market sits at what analysts describe as a pivotal setting. Related Reading: Bitcoin Consolidates Above $115K As Market Eyes Fed’s Sept 17 Policy Move While short-term traders navigate intraday moves, long-term investors are focusing on structural signals that could define Bitcoin’s next phase. Top analyst Maartunn recently highlighted a significant on-chain dynamic: dormant whale coins are increasingly moving, and these transfers appear closely connected to recent price swings. Historically, such movements have often preceded stronger market reactions, either reinforcing bullish momentum or triggering corrective phases. This alignment between dormant whale activity and price volatility is fueling speculation that a decisive move may be imminent. With Bitcoin consolidating near critical levels, the coming days could set the tone for whether BTC attempts another push toward its highs or corrects further. Dormant Bitcoin Movements Align With Fed Decision According to onchain analyst Maartunn, a remarkable event just unfolded: 7,547 BTC aged between 3–5 years have moved onchain. This is no small occurrence, as coins of this age bracket are often considered firmly in the hands of long-term holders. Their sudden activity has historically acted as a precursor to major market moves. Maartunn emphasizes that investors should carefully note how this metric has consistently aligned with sharp price reactions in recent months. In his analysis, Maartunn presents data showing that every time this specific group of dormant coins becomes active, the Bitcoin market reacts with significant volatility. These swings can be bullish or bearish, but the common denominator is that they rarely go unnoticed. Essentially, when whales who have held coins for several years begin moving them, it signals strategic repositioning that tends to ripple across the broader market. This latest movement coincides with one of the most pivotal macroeconomic events of the year—the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, scheduled for this week. The Fed’s choice, whether to cut rates by 25bps or 50bps, will dictate investor sentiment across all risk assets. For Bitcoin, the timing of dormant whale activity could amplify the impact of this decision, potentially setting the stage for a massive price swing in the days ahead. With BTC consolidating around $115K, the convergence of long-term whale moves and macroeconomic uncertainty underscores the fragility of the current market structure. Traders and investors alike are bracing for what could be the beginning of Bitcoin’s next decisive trend, fueled by both on-chain signals and global monetary policy. Related Reading: Bitcoin Spot Trading Volumes Decline To $322B: Market Shifts To HODL Mode Technical Analysis: Testing Resistance Levels The 4-hour chart shows Bitcoin consolidating around $115,555, with the price holding above both the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, currently at $114,341 and $112,378, respectively. This setup indicates short-term bullish momentum, as BTC managed to defend higher lows after its September rebound. The next major resistance lies near $116,000, where sellers are actively defending. A breakout above this zone could open the path toward the key $123,217 resistance, last tested in mid-August. However, repeated failures to clear $116K increase the risk of short-term exhaustion, especially with uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s Fed rate decision. Related Reading: Bitcoin Crawls Up On Weak Supply: 30D Momentum Reveals It Lacks Real Demand On the downside, support is established around the $114,000 region, which aligns with the 50-day SMA. Losing this level could push BTC back toward $112,000, where both the 100-day SMA and prior demand clusters converge. As long as BTC holds above $112K, the broader structure remains constructive. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin is trading above the $115,000 mark as markets brace for tomorrow’s critical decision from the US Federal Reserve. This week promises to be decisive, as the outcome of the Fed meeting will provide a clearer macroeconomic picture, shaping the outlook for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Related Reading: Bitcoin Consolidates Above $115K As Market Eyes Fed’s Sept 17 Policy Move Investors are widely expecting an interest rate cut, but uncertainty remains over the scale and pace of policy easing. A 25-basis-point cut could be seen as a measured pivot, signaling confidence in a controlled economic adjustment. In contrast, more aggressive action might spark concerns about deeper issues in the US economy, injecting fresh volatility into markets. Beyond rates, attention will also turn to any hints about quantitative easing policies, which many analysts believe could play a pivotal role in fueling liquidity flows into risk assets. For Bitcoin, the stakes are high. Despite recent volatility, the cryptocurrency has held key levels, supported by structural demand and growing institutional interest. According to top analyst Axel Adler, the Bitcoin Risk Index is currently at a low level, indicating a relatively calm environment with limited probability of sharp pullbacks or liquidations. This backdrop offers bulls a cushion, but the Fed’s decision could quickly shift the balance. Bitcoin Risk Index Signals Calm Before Fed Decision According to Axel Adler, the Bitcoin Risk Index offers a clear view of the market’s underlying stability. The higher the index, the more dangerous the configuration relative to the past three years, as it signals increased probability of rapid pullbacks or liquidations. Currently, the index sits at just 23%, a relatively low level that suggests the market environment is calm and the probability of sharp drops remains minimal. Adler points out that a similar setup unfolded between September and December 2023, when the index stayed subdued, allowing Bitcoin to gradually build strength. During that period, volatility was limited, and the calm conditions set the foundation for a continuation of the bullish trend. This historical parallel reinforces the idea that the current environment may be favorable for sustained growth if external shocks are avoided. Still, Adler notes that the immediate risk lies in macroeconomic uncertainty. With Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve set to announce their latest decision tomorrow, investors remain cautious. Adler even remarked that he hopes there won’t be any surprises from Powell, as unexpected moves could quickly disrupt the calm backdrop. As the market braces for volatility, many analysts believe Bitcoin could surge in the coming weeks. With risk indicators low, exchange supply tightening, and institutional demand resilient, conditions appear supportive for further upside once clarity from the Fed emerges. Related Reading: Bitcoin Spot Trading Volumes Decline To $322B: Market Shifts To HODL Mode Price Action Details: Holding Key Demand Bitcoin is trading at $115,739 after a steady recovery from early September lows, showing resilience as it approaches a decisive range. The chart highlights that BTC is holding above the 50-day (blue) and 200-day (red) moving averages, while pressing against the 100-day SMA (green), which sits near current levels at $114,417. This area is proving to be a pivotal battleground for bulls and bears alike. Despite intraday volatility, BTC has managed to stay above the critical $114,500–$115,000 support zone, showing demand from buyers whenever the price dips. The next significant resistance lies near $123,217, the previous peak and key psychological barrier that bulls must reclaim to confirm a breakout toward $125,000 and beyond. Related Reading: Three Whales Buy $205M Ethereum From FalconX: Institutional Flows Accelerate Momentum remains cautious but constructive. The higher lows formed since early September signal that buyers are gradually absorbing supply, even as the market faces macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of the Fed’s interest rate decision tomorrow. A dovish outcome could fuel further upside, while a hawkish surprise risks pulling BTC back toward $112,000. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
On-chain data shows inflows into Bitcoin have recently been so large that they outweigh the cumulative capital that entered BTC in its first 15 years. Bitcoin Realized Cap Shows Acceleration In Inflows Recently In a new post on X, CryptoQuant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju has shared the trend in the Realized Cap of Bitcoin over its entire history. The “Realized Cap” here refers to an on-chain indicator that measures, in short, the total amount of capital that the investors as a whole have put into the cryptocurrency. Related Reading: XRP Bearish Signal: Whales Offload $486 Million In Asset When the value of this metric rises, it means the investors are feeding a net amount of capital into the network. On the other hand, it going down suggests the cryptocurrency is facing outflows. Now, here is the chart shared by Young Ju that shows how the Realized Cap has developed over the history of Bitcoin: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Realized Cap saw an acceleration in 2024, implying capital started to enter into the digital asset at a faster rate. In the past year and a half, the metric has seen an explosive growth of $625 billion. Interestingly, between 2009 and 2024, the Realized Cap cumulatively grew by $435 billion. This means that not only have recent capital flows overtaken these inflows that occurred over a much longer timespan, they have actually gained a notable distance. The much sharper capital inflows are a reflection of how BTC is growing as an asset. A relatively modest amount of inflows may have been enough to double the asset’s value in the past, but today, a huge amount of capital is needed to move the needle. A new catalyst for growth this cycle has been in the form of the spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). These investment vehicles allow investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin without having to own any sats themselves. This has made these funds a popular way to invest for the traditional traders unfamiliar with cryptocurrency wallets and exchanges, and brought in previously untapped capital. In some other news, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has shared an update on how Bitcoin investor cohort behavior has recently looked from the lens of the Accumulation Trend Score. Related Reading: Analyst Sets Bold $1,314 Target For Solana After Cup-And-Handle Breakout This indicator tells us about whether the BTC holders are buying or selling right now. Below is the chart posted by Glassnode that shows the trend in the metric for the various investor groups. From the chart, it’s visible that the indicator is in the neutral-to-distribution region for all groups currently, a sign that the Bitcoin investors as a whole are in a phase of selling. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $115,400, up 3% over the last week. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
As investor anxiety grows over the possibility of a new bearish cycle, the case for Bitcoin (BTC) to resume its halted upward trajectory has gained significant traction among top market experts. Market analyst Ash Crypto recently highlighted several key factors, including demand and supply dynamics, a surge in US equities, and increasing inflows from exchange-traded funds (ETFs), suggesting that the current market conditions could favor Bitcoin’s resurgence. Market Makers Accused Of Manipulating Bitcoin Prices In a post on X (formerly Twitter), Ash pointed out that while US stocks are reaching new all-time highs, Bitcoin has struggled to break above the $117,000 mark, currently consolidating between $110,000 and $115,000. He argues that this situation is not indicative of weak demand, but rather the result of an alleged situation that is gaining strength among analysts: manipulation by market makers and exchanges. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Plunge Sparks Outrage: Binance Targeted For Alleged Market Manipulation The analyst further highlights that historical data show Bitcoin’s price movements were primarily driven by spot market activities. Buyers would purchase coins, absorbing supply and driving prices higher. However, today’s landscape is markedly different. Ash Crypto suggests that the introduction of futures and derivatives has transformed how Bitcoin is traded. He alleges that exchanges discovered that creating synthetic Bitcoin contracts is often more profitable than dealing in actual spot Bitcoin. The analyst notes that this shift allows undisclosed cryptocurrency exchanges to manipulate market movements using leverage and bypass the need for tangible Bitcoin. What Historical Patterns Suggest Ash pointed out that a situation indicative of this alleged manipulation was when Bitcoin recently touched $124,000, market makers and larger investors quickly shorted the asset through futures and exchange-traded funds. This triggered a wave of liquidations for bullish investors that predicted a new leg up, causing the price of Bitcoin to plummet to the $107,000 mark only two weeks ago. The analyst noted that although US equities are experiencing significant growth and liquidity is flooding into risk assets, Bitcoin is still caught in a cycle of manipulation that obscures its true value. Related Reading: The Big PEPE Price Breakout: Falling Wedge Pattern Points To 64% Rally In short, spot demand for Bitcoin continues to build, ETFs are steadily absorbing more coins, cryptocurrency exchange reserves are dwindling, and long-term holders are refraining from selling. However, Ash Crypto notes that the presence of futures and derivatives for the cryptocurrency creates an “illusion of weakness,” reportedly designed to shake out retail investors from current market levels. Despite the current challenges, he notes that the current bullish cycle remains intact. Historical patterns from 2017 and 2021 show that Bitcoin often experiences periods of suppression and sideways movement before exploding higher, suggesting a potential new price discovery phase ahead for BTC. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at around $114,969. It is still recording gains of nearly 3% and 6% in the seven- and fourteen-day time frames, respectively. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
After hitting a weekend high of $116,689 on September 15, Bitcoin (BTC) fell slightly, trading just above $114,000 at the time of writing. However, fresh data from Binance crypto exchange indicates that the Bitcoin Scarcity Index recently witnessed its first spike since June 2025. Bitcoin Scarcity Index Spikes, Will BTC Rally? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, the Bitcoin Scarcity Index witnessed its first spike yesterday since June 2025. The analyst referred to the latest exchange data from Binance to confirm the spike in Bitcoin Scarcity Index. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miners Shift Strategy: Accumulation Over Selling Signals Stronger Bull Cycle For the uninitiated, the Bitcoin Scarcity Index measures how limited the available supply of Bitcoin is on exchanges relative to immediate buying demand. A spike in the index usually indicates strong accumulation by large investors or institutions, signaling potential price pressure to the upside. In their analysis, Arab Chain remarked that the latest spike in the Bitcoin Scarcity Index means that either a large amount of BTC was withdrawn from Binance, or the volume of sell orders fell significantly on the exchange. As a result, the available supply of BTC on Binance suddenly became scarce. Notably, such movements are usually associated with the entry of large investors – such as whales or sharks – who hold substantial quantities of BTC. Arab Chain added: The index jumps when immediate buying power exceeds available supply, as if buyers are racing to acquire Bitcoin on the market This type of spike is often linked to positive news or sudden capital inflows. The same pattern occurred last June and persisted for several days, after which Bitcoin climbed to around $124,000. BTC may confirm the beginning of a strong accumulation phase and the continuation of the uptrend if the Bitcoin Scarcity Index remains positive for several consecutive days. However, if the index rises rapidly – followed by an equally quick descent – it may suggest speculative activity or order liquidations. Such a phase is often followed by a period of calm or a price correction. In recent months, the Bitcoin Scarcity Index has reached new all-time highs (ATH). The chart below shows the metric reaching as high as +6, before quickly falling toward neutral and even negative territory. Is BTC Losing Momentum? Arab Chain concluded by saying that the contrast between BTC’s high price, and the index’s quick move back to or below zero suggest that some strong buying momentum has started to decline. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds $112,000 Support As Binance Whale Activity Cools Off – What’s Ahead? That said, some positive signs persist. For example, the flagship cryptocurrency recently broke above the mid-term holder breakeven, hinting that a fresh rally to the upside may be on the horizon. From a technical perspective, BTC recently flashed the Golden Cross, a rare bullish signal that has crypto pundits forecasting a potential price appreciation of 100%. At press time, BTC trades at $114,601, down 0.9% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
Bitcoin price is correcting gains from $116,500. BTC is now consolidating and might start a fresh decline if it stays below the $116,500 resistance zone. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $115,000 zone. The price is trading below $115,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $115,350 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if it clears the $116,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Struggles To Continue Higher Bitcoin price started a fresh upward wave above the $113,500 zone. BTC managed to climb above the $114,500 and $115,000 resistance levels. The bulls were able to push the price above $116,000 and $116,200. The price traded as high as $116,743 and recently started a downside correction. There was a minor decline below the $116,000 zone. The price even dipped below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $110,815 swing low to the $116,743 high. Bitcoin is now trading below $115,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $115,350 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $115,350 level. The first key resistance is near the $116,150 level. The next resistance could be $116,750. A close above the $116,750 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $117,500 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $118,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $118,800. Downside Continuation In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $116,150 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $114,500 level. The first major support is near the $113,750 level or the 50% Fib level of the recent move from the $110,815 swing low to the $116,743 high. The next support is now near the $113,200 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $112,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $110,500, below which BTC might decline heavily. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $114,500, followed by $113,750. Major Resistance Levels – $116,150 and $116,750.
Bitcoin has been the undisputed leader of the crypto market, but the balance of power is starting to shift. Recent market moves indicate that Bitcoin’s dominance is slipping as altcoins surge into the spotlight, driven by institutional interest and network upgrades. While Bitcoin remains the anchor of the digital asset space, altcoins are carving out their own narratives, and investors are beginning to take notice. Bitcoin Consolidates While Altcoin Captures Momentum In an X post, full-time crypto trader and investor, Daan Crypto Trades, has been observing a significant trend in the crypto space. Bitcoin’s dominance (BTC.D) is still trending lower, which shows that altcoins are currently outperforming the market leader. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance Falls Below Critical Level For The First Time This Cycle, Altcoin Season Coming? Daan points to the possibility of a crazy end-of-cycle run for altcoins, which could see BTC dominance drop to the 48-49% level. He notes that this is a level where he would personally consider scaling out of his altcoin positions more aggressively. While Daan sees the potential for a short-term drop in Bitcoin’s dominance, he remains bullish on BTC and ETH for the long term. The expert emphasizes that these two assets will always be his main long-term holdings, and doesn’t expect them to lose a significant amount of market share over the next decade. However, their market share will likely increase over time, but that doesn’t mean traders get to play some nice volatility in between. Analyst Fabdarice has highlighted a compelling trend from 2025 on-chain data. Ethereum whale holdings are rising, while Bitcoin whale balances continue to trend down. This divergence mirrors the surge in institutional demand for ETH and the growing recognition that Ethereum is emerging as a credible store of value, not just a utility asset. For the first time, ETH and BTC are being treated as equals on the institutional playing field. Bitcoin remains the original reserve asset of crypto, but Ethereum’s dual role as both infrastructure and wealth preservation is reshaping investor behavior. The ETH/BTC Ratio As A Market Sentiment Indicator Popular crypto commentator CryptosRus has also provided a key insight into the current state of the market by highlighting the significant disparity between Ethereum’s and Bitcoin’s performance relative to each other. CryptosRus pointed out that the ETH and BTC ratio hit its all-time high of 0.148 on June 12, 2017, fueled by the ICO-mania bull run. Related Reading: Ethereum As The Default Crypto Backbone: The Real Reason Behind Tom Lee’s Pick However, the expert observes that in 2025, the ETH/BTC ratio averaged a mere 0.027, showing how much ground Ethereum has lost against Bitcoin over the years. Despite ETH’s role as the backbone of DeFi and its growing institutional presence, it has yet to repeat that level of relative dominance. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin has gained 7% since the start of September, showing renewed strength after weeks of uneven price action. Yet, the market is bracing for heightened volatility in the coming days as attention shifts to this Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting. Investors widely expect a rate cut, but the size of the move remains the key question shaping sentiment. Related Reading: Three Whales Buy $205M Ethereum From FalconX: Institutional Flows Accelerate If the Fed opts for a 25 basis point cut, many analysts see it as a measured and healthy pivot that could support risk assets, including Bitcoin, without sparking fears of deeper economic weakness. Such a move would likely reinforce confidence in a controlled transition toward easier monetary policy. On the other hand, a 50 basis point cut could send a very different signal. While it may initially provide liquidity relief, markets could interpret it as a sign of serious underlying fragility in the economy. That scenario risks triggering panic, especially if investors fear the Fed is reacting to problems worse than expected. Bitcoin Holds Key Levels Ahead Of Fed’s Decision According to top analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin is showing signs of resilience as it trades at the upper boundary of its channel near $116,400, supported by a sustained bullish momentum score of 0.8. This score, which reflects the balance of market forces, suggests that despite recent volatility, Bitcoin’s structural strength remains intact. Adler notes that the market is heavily driven by expectations of a rate cut, which has injected confidence into risk assets. The timing of this setup could not be more critical, with the Federal Reserve set to announce its interest rate decision on September 17, 2025, at 2:00 PM Eastern Time. Interestingly, while Bitcoin has held its ground at key resistance levels, altcoins have started to show strength independently for the first time in months. This decoupling suggests that capital rotation is taking place, with investors diversifying beyond Bitcoin. As liquidity expands, this dynamic could mark the start of a new market phase, where both Bitcoin and altcoins drive momentum instead of BTC alone. Related Reading: Bitcoin Crawls Up On Weak Supply: 30D Momentum Reveals It Lacks Real Demand Testing Key Resistance Levels Bitcoin is currently trading around $114,938, showing consolidation just below the $116,000 resistance zone. The chart highlights a notable rebound from early September lows near $110,000, with BTC climbing steadily back into its mid-range. Price is now attempting to hold gains above the 50-day moving average (blue line) and is hovering around the 100-day (green line) and 200-day (red line) moving averages, which are converging and creating a dense resistance cluster. This setup reflects a tense balance between bulls and bears. Bulls have managed to protect $110,000 and push BTC higher, signaling renewed strength. On the other hand, BTC has repeatedly failed to establish momentum above $116,000, a level that must be cleared decisively to target the major resistance near $123,217, marked on the chart as the next critical upside barrier. Related Reading: Dormant Bitcoin Waking Up: Over 600K BTC Moved Onchain In Weeks The current sideways structure suggests a drift phase, with traders waiting for catalysts such as the upcoming Fed rate decision. A successful breakout above $116,000 could reignite momentum toward $120,000 and beyond. However, failure to hold above the 50-day SMA risks a retest of $112,000 or even $110,000 support. For now, Bitcoin remains range-bound, but pressure is building for a directional move. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin is trading at a critical level after a quiet weekend, with bulls managing to defend key supports but struggling to generate fresh upside momentum. The market remains tense as investors await the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision scheduled for this Wednesday. A potential 25-basis-point cut is widely anticipated, which many see as a sign of a gradual pivot rather than an aggressive measure. Such a move could spark optimism across risk assets, including crypto, as it signals a more supportive monetary environment without triggering fears of economic distress. Related Reading: Three Whales Buy $205M Ethereum From FalconX: Institutional Flows Accelerate For Bitcoin, the focus is on whether it can sustain its position above critical price levels while macroeconomic factors shape broader sentiment. Data from CryptoQuant shows that BTC is increasingly shifting into “HODL mode,” with supply moving off exchanges and into long-term storage. This pattern suggests that conviction-driven holders are accumulating rather than selling, reducing available liquidity on the market. The combination of macro catalysts and strengthening onchain fundamentals sets the stage for a pivotal week. If Bitcoin holds its ground through the Fed’s announcement, the groundwork could be laid for renewed momentum once volatility surrounding the decision begins to fade. Bitcoin Spot Volumes Halve Bitcoin enters a decisive week with a striking shift in market behavior. Top analyst Axel Adler shared insights showing that in January 2025, spot trading volumes peaked at $636 billion, but by August, that figure had nearly halved to $322 billion. This sharp decline in trading activity on centralized exchanges (CEXs) underscores a market in transition, with participants moving away from active speculation and into what Adler describes as “HODL mode.” The drop in volumes reflects a broader cooling of short-term trading enthusiasm. Investors appear less inclined to chase rapid price moves, instead opting for long-term accumulation strategies. Exchange data supports this, showing consistent outflows as Bitcoin is withdrawn into private wallets and cold storage. Such behavior indicates a growing conviction that BTC’s value lies in its long-term potential rather than short-term trading gains. For Bitcoin, the combination of halving spot activity and mounting anticipation for the Fed’s move creates a tense equilibrium. On one hand, reduced selling pressure from sidelined traders supports price stability. On the other hand, thin liquidity raises the risk of sharper swings once volatility returns. As Bitcoin holds near critical levels, the coming days may determine whether this HODL-driven environment provides the foundation for resilience—or if macro forces spark a more dramatic revaluation across the crypto market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Crawls Up On Weak Supply: 30D Momentum Reveals It Lacks Real Demand Technical Details: Holding Key Demand Bitcoin is currently trading near $114,987, showing signs of consolidation after its recent bounce from early September lows around $110,000. The daily chart highlights that BTC has reclaimed both the 50-day SMA at $114,399 and the 100-day SMA at $112,681, strengthening the short-term bullish outlook. These moving averages now serve as immediate support levels, indicating that buyers are regaining momentum. The key resistance remains at $116,000–$117,000, where BTC has struggled to establish a sustained breakout. A successful close above this zone would clear the path toward retesting the cycle high at $123,217. This level has been a major barrier since July and will be the defining hurdle for bulls in the weeks ahead. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds 4% Above STH Cost Basis As Mature Bull Cycle Demands Discounts On the downside, support is around $112,500, aligning with the 100-day SMA. A break below this level could reopen the risk of a retest of $110,000, which has acted as a critical floor. The 200-day SMA at $102,652 remains the ultimate safety net in case of deeper corrections. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin price is showing positive signs above $115,000. BTC is now consolidating and might rise further if it clears the $116,500 resistance zone. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $115,000 zone. The price is trading near $115,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $116,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if it clears the $116,200 zone. Bitcoin Price Holds Gains Bitcoin price started a fresh upward wave above the $112,500 zone. BTC managed to climb above the $113,500 and $114,200 resistance levels. The bulls were able to push the price above $115,000 and $116,000. The price traded as high as $116,743 and recently started a consolidation phase. There was a minor decline below $116,000. The price even spiked below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $110,815 swing low to the $116,743 high. Bitcoin is now trading near $115,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $116,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $116,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $116,200 level. The next resistance could be $116,750. A close above the $116,750 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $117,500 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $118,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $118,800. Another Drop In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $116,200 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $114,900 level. The first major support is near the $113,750 level or the 50% Fib level of the recent move from the $110,815 swing low to the $116,743 high. The next support is now near the $113,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $112,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $110,500, below which BTC might decline sharply. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $115,000, followed by $113,750. Major Resistance Levels – $116,200 and $116,500.
The price of Bitcoin has struggled to capitalize on its recent bullish momentum, oscillating in and around the $116,000 level so far this weekend. This choppy price action has raised doubts about the flagship cryptocurrency’s potential to resume its bull run and reach a new all-time high price. A crypto expert on social media platform X has come forward with an interesting outlook for the Bitcoin price, stating that the market leader could be gearing up for its next explosive move. However, the on-chain analyst added that a certain condition must be met for BTC to resume its uptrend. A Break Above $118,000 Could Precede Price Explosion: Analyst In a September 13 post on X, Alphractal founder and CEO Joao Wedson revealed that the price of Bitcoin could be preparing for an extended rally over the next few weeks. The on-chain data expert shared that the premier cryptocurrency will need a convincing break above the $118,000 level to confirm the resumption of the bull run. Related Reading: Analyst Sets Bold $1,314 Target For Solana After Cup-And-Handle Breakout Wedson noted in his post that $117,000 is actually the price mark to watch out for, as it represents a zone of strong interest and indecision. Specifically, two on-chain indicators—the CVDD Channel and the Fibonacci-Adjusted Market Mean Price—have designated this price level as a point where the market is likely to slow down or form a local top. According to analytics platform Alphractal, the CVDD Channel is a metric that estimates historical price floors and risk zones based on the coin destruction data and Fibonacci envelopes. Meanwhile, the Fibonacci-Adjusted Market Mean Price combines the market mean price with Fibonacci bands to identify structural expansion and value zones. Wedson highlighted that both the CVDD Channel and the Fibonacci-Adjusted Market Mean Price have revealed “eerily accurate levels” of support and resistance throughout Bitcoin’s price history. Currently, these metrics are pointing to $117,000 as a level that could provide resistance to the upward movement of the Bitcoin price. In the end, Wedson concluded that this zone could be critical to the market leader’s next move to the upside. However, the Alphractal founder advised Bitcoin investors to wait for a clear, sustained breakout above $118,000 to confirm that bullish momentum is back. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $115,905, reflecting no significant change in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breaks Above Mid-Term Holder Breakeven – Is A Fresh Rally Brewing? Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin (BTC) has reached a critical turning point, successfully flipping a key horizontal support zone that previously acted as resistance. With momentum now building, the focus has shifted to the next major test: the $117,000 resistance level. A decisive move above this threshold would not only confirm the continuation of the current rally but also set the stage for a potential run toward new highs. Daily Support Flip Confirms Bullish Control Alpha Crypto Signal, in a recent market update, pointed out that BTC is showing renewed strength on the daily timeframe. The leading cryptocurrency successfully flipped a key horizontal zone into support, a move that highlights growing buyer dominance in the market. This structural shift is seen as a positive development for bulls, laying the groundwork for further upside momentum. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Flashes ‘Rarest Signal’ Ever, Is A 100% Rally Possible? With buyers firmly in control, Bitcoin’s price action is now being driven higher toward the previous swing high near $117,000. This level has emerged as the next significant hurdle for bulls, acting as a critical area where market sentiment could either extend the rally or spark profit-taking. The analysis further noted that if Bitcoin manages to push above $117,000, the level itself could turn into an attractive area for potential short setups. However, such a strategy carries risks, as the invalidation point would be a decisive breakout above BTC’s all-time high. Until then, $117,000 stands out as the key level of interest for market participants. How Bitcoin reacts in this zone will determine whether it consolidates, faces rejection, or surges higher. For traders, this level offers a critical point to evaluate possible entries, exits, and positioning as the next major move takes shape. Bitcoin Struggles To Secure A Hold Above $116,000 According to a recent post by Crypto VIP Signal, Bitcoin is continuing its upward trajectory. However, the cryptocurrency has not yet been able to firmly hold above the $116,000 level, which suggests that while the overall trend is bullish, buyers have yet to fully overcome this significant hurdle. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Recovery Hopes Rise – Can Bulls Push It Past Resistance? Crypto VIP Signal’s analysis notes that the entire market is looking positive, but a temporary slowdown can be expected. This is primarily attributed to a decline in trading volume, which is a common occurrence on weekends as activity from institutional traders and large investors often lessens. Given these conditions, Crypto VIP Signal predicts that Bitcoin will likely experience a period of sideways movement. The consolidation phase would allow the market to digest recent gains and build the necessary momentum to attempt another push past the $116,000 resistance. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin (BTC) has surged from around $108,000 on September 1 to above $115,000 at the time of writing – recording a gain of roughly 4% over the past two weeks. However, fresh on-chain data suggests that Bitcoin may be on the cusp of a fresh rally that could propel it to new all-time highs (ATH). Bitcoin Rises Above Mid-Term Holders’ Realized Price According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor ShayanMarkets, Bitcoin’s recent rebound from $107,000 to just above $114,000 has lifted the digital asset over the Realized Price of mid-term (3-6 months) holders. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miners Shift Strategy: Accumulation Over Selling Signals Stronger Bull Cycle For the uninitiated, the mid-term holders’ Realized Price is the average acquisition cost of Bitcoin held by wallets that last moved their coins within the past 3–6 months. It serves as a key pivot level, often acting as support or resistance that reflects sentiment and potential sell pressure from this cohort. Per analysis by ShayanMarkets, the mid-term holders’ Realized Price currently stands at around $114,000. Now that BTC has surged above this level, the likelihood of an immediate sell-off has reduced significantly. The analyst added: A firm breakout and hold above this level would confirm renewed confidence from mid-term holders, potentially serving as the launchpad for another bullish leg that could propel Bitcoin to new all-time highs. Conversely, failure to hold above $114K risks shifting sentiment back toward caution and opens the path to deeper corrective moves. A Bump On The Road For BTC Fellow CryptoQuant contributor Gaah brought attention to short-term holders’ (STH) Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), normalized with a 30-day moving average. The contributor noted that after four months of consistently operating above the break-even line, the indicator is now showing that STH are selling their holdings at a loss. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds $112,000 Support As Binance Whale Activity Cools Off – What’s Ahead? The STH selling their BTC at a loss indicates a “momentary loss of confidence” on the part of speculators, who are typically more sensitive to changes in price. Although BTC has jumped from $60,000 to as high as $125,000 over the past year, the SOPR STH has recorded descending peaks. In past cycles, a sharp surge in price was usually accompanied by peaks in the Extreme Greed region, suggesting strong retail participation. However, the current market cycle did not see any such dynamic at play, hinting that the rise in price was likely sustained by institutional investors. Gaah added that historically, market tops have only been confirmed when SOPR STH levels reached levels of extreme greed, a development that has not yet occurred in the current rally. As a result, the long-term trend remains firm, and the current realization of losses may just be a temporary healthy pullback. That said, some analysts caution that Bitcoin may already be very close to hitting its peak for this market cycle. Others predict that BTC may slump in September, before it resumes its bullish trajectory in Q4 2025. Still, some analysts forecast Bitcoin reaching as high as $150,000 by Christmas. At press time, BTC trades at $115,050, up 0.7% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
The Bitcoin price action has just delivered one of the rarest and most closely watched signals in technical analysis — the Golden Cross. Analysts suggest that this powerful setup could lay the groundwork for an explosive rally, with speculations pointing toward a potential surge of over 100%. Bitcoin Price Chart Flashes Golden Cross On Thursday, crypto analyst ‘Merlijn The Trader’ declared on X social media that Bitcoin has just flashed a Golden Cross, its rarest and most powerful technical signal. The analyst described this development as a historic moment that has only occurred three times since BTC’s inception. Each past occurrence has led to extraordinary price rallies, establishing the Golden Cross as a key signal that most traders and investors watch closely. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Bull Market Over? Pundit Warns Investors Of 30-Day Window To Take Profit Sharing a detailed price chart, Merlijn outlined Bitcoin’s trajectory after each prior Golden Cross, pointing to returns that have left an indelible mark on the cryptocurrency’s history and the market as a whole. In 2016, the appearance of a Golden Cross set the stage for a bull rally of roughly 264%, a move many saw as the opening act of BTC’s first major run into mainstream recognition. A year later, the signal reemerged in 2017, coinciding with Bitcoin’s meteoric rise of over 2,200%, culminating in the unprecedented high between $17,000 and $27,000. The third Golden Cross formation came in 2020, when BTC surged more than 1,190%, climbing from a low between $4,600 and $7,000 to roughly $69,000 by late 2021. Each instance not only marked a breakout rally but also achieved a new all-time high for the cryptocurrency. Now, in 2025, Bitcoin has reportedly triggered the Golden Cross signal for the fourth time in its history. Merlijn’s analysis highlights that this is not just a routine crossover but an ignition point. He noted that previous Golden Cross signals aligned with the start of Bitcoin’s most powerful bull phases. As a result, the current setup could prepare the cryptocurrency for another outsized rally to new ATHs. Based on historical data, even a conservative repeat of past percentage gains suggests Bitcoin could climb well beyond $200,000. A 100% rally from current levels above $115,000 could push the leading cryptocurrency well above $230,000. However, Merlijn’s chart points to an even greater move, projecting a potential surge to nearly $400,000. Bitcoin Bull Market Support Bands Hold Firm Crypto analyst Mags has also drawn attention to a different technical signal, reinforcing Bitcoin’s bullish case. According to him, BTC’s bull market support bands have acted as critical support zones in the past cycles, keeping the broader uptrend intact during temporary corrections. Related Reading: Here’s How High The Bitcoin Price Will Go If It Repeats The 2017 Cycle Throughout this cycle, each time Bitcoin’s price tested the bull market support band, it managed to hold and rebound strongly. The most recent test saw the cryptocurrency bounce cleanly off the band, suggesting buyers are stepping in at these levels to defend support. Mags added that this consistent support has created a foundation for further gains in BTC’s price, indicating that the market is not overextended. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin is once again gaining momentum, now trading above the $115,000 level after a modest surge yesterday. The move comes as markets price in growing expectations of a US Federal Reserve interest rate cut at its upcoming meeting next week. Risk assets, including crypto, have responded positively to the prospect of looser monetary policy, though the broader backdrop remains volatile. For Bitcoin, the challenge now lies in sustaining higher levels as bulls attempt to push further. While the reclaim of $115K signals strength, the path ahead is clouded with uncertainty as investors weigh macroeconomic risks alongside on-chain developments. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds 4% Above STH Cost Basis As Mature Bull Cycle Demands Discounts Adding perspective, top analyst Axel Adler shared data showing that Bitcoin’s 30-day momentum currently sits in the Impulse Cooling Zone. This indicator suggests that while short-term momentum has softened, the broader uptrend remains intact. Adler emphasizes that the trend is not broken, framing the current phase as a period of consolidation rather than a structural reversal. With volatility likely to remain elevated in the days leading up to the Fed’s decision, Bitcoin’s ability to hold above $115,000 could prove decisive. The combination of macro catalysts and onchain resilience may define the cryptocurrency’s next significant move. Bitcoin Market Drift: Momentum, Liquidity, and Demand According to Adler, Bitcoin’s current setup reflects a phase of sideways action rather than a structural breakdown. He notes that negative 30-day momentum, while the price holds in the upper range, typically signals step-by-step unloading. In other words, coins are changing hands gradually without triggering a full reversal in the trend. For a proper restart and renewed acceleration, Adler identifies a key marker: the 30-day momentum must not only return to positive territory but also ideally push above +10%. That would confirm a shift back into a strong impulse phase. Until then, Adler emphasizes that the market remains in drift mode, shaped by thin liquidity. With fewer participants actively trading, the price can still crawl upward, largely due to weak supply and localized buybacks. However, this kind of advance carries the risk of a rapid collapse, since any spike in selling pressure could quickly overwhelm shallow order books. Crucially, Adler stresses that real demand does not emerge at cycle highs. Instead, it forms during moments when Bitcoin trades at an obvious discount. Referencing his earlier work on Short-Term Holder (STH) Cost Basis versus Premium/Discount, he highlights that meaningful inflows only arrive when the market offers value. In a mature bull phase, where buyers are wary of chasing peaks, sustained rallies depend on these discounted entry points rather than speculative momentum alone. This perspective underscores the delicate balance in Bitcoin’s current landscape: still structurally strong, but highly sensitive to liquidity shocks. Related Reading: Dormant Bitcoin Waking Up: Over 600K BTC Moved Onchain In Weeks BTC Holds Strong Above Demand Bitcoin is currently trading around $115,142 after a strong recovery from the $110,000 zone earlier this month. The 12-hour chart shows BTC climbing steadily and now pressing against a key cluster of moving averages. The 100 SMA at $114,610 is being tested as resistance, while the 200 SMA at $112,267 has now flipped into support, strengthening the bullish case. The 50 SMA at $111,987 is also trending upward, suggesting a short-term momentum shift in favor of buyers. A successful close above $116,000 would mark a significant step forward for bulls, potentially opening the path to retest $118,000 and the critical resistance at $123,217. This level remains the major barrier before Bitcoin can attempt another push toward its all-time highs. Related Reading: Ethereum Network Activity Heats Up As Fees Hit $1.4M In 24H On the downside, immediate support rests near $114,000, followed by the $112,000 zone where the 200 SMA is positioned. Losing this level could weaken momentum and invite another round of selling pressure, with downside risks extending toward $110,000. The chart signals that Bitcoin has regained its footing after recent volatility. If bulls can hold above the moving averages and break through $116,000, the next leg higher may be underway, though resistance at $123K will be the true test. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin price is showing positive signs above $114,500. BTC is now consolidating and might rise further if it clears the $116,200 resistance zone. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $114,200 zone. The price is trading below $115,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $115,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if it clears the $116,200 zone. Bitcoin Price Gains Traction Bitcoin price started a fresh recovery wave from the $111,200 zone. BTC managed to climb above the $112,500 and $113,500 resistance levels. The bulls were able to push the price above $114,000 and $115,000. The price traded as high as $116,298 and recently started a consolidation phase. There was a minor decline below $115,800, but the price is still above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $110,815 swing low to the $116,298 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $114,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Besides, there is a bullish trend line forming with support at $115,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $116,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $116,200 level. The next resistance could be $116,800. A close above the $116,800 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $117,500 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $118,400 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $118,800. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $116,200 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $115,000 level and the trend line zone. The first major support is near the $113,550 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $110,815 swing low to the $116,298 high. The next support is now near the $113,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $112,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $110,500, below which BTC might decline sharply. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $115,000, followed by $113,500. Major Resistance Levels – $116,000 and $116,200.
The US Federal Reserve prepares to announce its latest decision on interest rates. This highly anticipated event has the potential to act as a powerful catalyst for the Bitcoin market, with many analysts and investors speculating that a rate cut could trigger a significant breakout. How A Rate Cut Could Unleash The Next Bitcoin Bull Run The global financial community is entering a crucial week. According to a post on X by crypto commentator Thomas Lauder, in 7 days, the US Federal Reserve will decide whether to cut dollar interest rates, a move that could have far-reaching effects on both traditional finance and crypto markets. Related Reading: $375,000 Bitcoin? Market Veteran Says It’s Closer Than You Think This rate cut could give a strong boost to the price of Bitcoin and other financial assets. Lauder explains that a Federal Reserve interest rate cut would have a direct impact on financial markets by lowering the cost of borrowing and injecting liquidity into the market, a dynamic that has historically benefited Bitcoin and other risk assets. The market’s anticipation is high, as evidenced by predictions on Polymarket, where 83% of bettors are forecasting a 25 basis point cut, and another 14% are betting on an even larger reduction. In the meantime, the market operators are positioning themselves ahead of the news. As a result, Lauder predicts that Bitcoin will experience days of high volatility leading up to the announcement. Why Companies Are Accumulating Bitcoin Relentlessly While the other analyst believes that the coming days will likely see high volatility for BTC as the Fed announces the interest rate cut, notable institutional accumulation is still ongoing. MikeWMunz has explained why certain companies are accumulating Bitcoin at a feverish pace even as their share prices stall. These companies are not weak in lettuce hands, and they are capable of delaying the dopamine hits for when it’s appropriate. Related Reading: Corporate Bitcoin Allocation Climbs As Companies Invest 22% Of Profits: Study However, many of these companies are set to be included in the largest indexes, ensuring they receive steady passive flows as Bitcoin executes its next parabolic move upward. MikeWMunz describes this as a lightning in a bottle, which is a perfect moment of strategy, market mechanics, and timing. Furthermore, he pointed out that the shortsighted views and lack of vision of many investors prevent them from understanding this inevitable outcome. The groundwork and foundation for a new financial era is being built right now, and the lack of patience and inability to see this bigger picture is what holds back many investors from realizing the full potential of this shift. “This does not apply to the leaders of these companies, who are pioneering the ships in their respective markets,” he mentioned.” Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin miners are shifting strategies as the BTC price rebounds back above $114,000 after declining from all-time highs. Instead of sticking to familiar patterns, mining firms are adjusting how they manage their holdings and operations, signaling a change in the status quo as market conditions slowly recover. Bitcoin Miners Shift From Selling To Accumulating A new analysis from CryptoQuant suggests that Bitcoin miners are breaking away from historic patterns as BTC hovers above $114,000. The data reveals a significant structural shift in miner strategies, with long-term accumulation taking precedence over aggressive sell-offs, even during price surges. Related Reading: Bitcoin Jackpot: Solo Bitcoin Miner Nets $360,000 To Beat 1 In 800 Odds The Miners’ Position Index (MPI) has historically been a crucial market sentiment indicator. CryptoQuant revealed that sharp spikes in MPI often occurred during two critical periods—pre-halving, when miners sold operations of their holdings to secure liquidity, and late bull markets, when they took advantage of retail-driven price momentum. However, the trend is markedly different in the current cycle. While some pre-halving selling has been recorded, the signature late-cycle liquidations are noticeably absent. According to CryptoQuant, this deviation suggests that external factors such as Spot ETF approvals from sovereign economies’ recognition of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve could be encouraging miners to hold onto their BTC rather than liquidate it. The resilience of the Bitcoin network itself represents another critical aspect of this shift. Mining difficulty has soared to unprecedented levels, with its trajectory following what analysts have dubbed the “Banana Zone.” Such sporadic growth not only underscores miners’ confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term potential but also reduces the likelihood of a miner-driven supply shock hitting the market. Transaction fees provide further confirmation of the recent changes in miner strategies. CryptoQuant notes that in previous cycles, spiking fees were usually precursors to overheated market conditions and inevitable downturns. Despite significant fee increases, Bitcoin’s price action has remained steady this time, showing a stepwise rally rather than a blow-off top. The pattern strongly supports the theory that miners are strategically accumulating BTC instead of releasing supply during short-term demand surges. Mining Difficulty Rises Despite BTC Price Volatility Even as miners adopt a longer-term strategy, Bitcoin’s mining difficulty continues to top the charts, climbing past 136 trillion earlier this week and marking a new all-time high. While this milestone highlights the network’s unmatched resilience, it comes during increased volatility in Bitcoin’s price action. Related Reading: Shakeout Pattern Says Bitcoin Price Is Not Done, Why It’s Headed Above $130,000 Notably, crypto analyst Matthew Hyland pointed out that Bitcoin’s monthly Bollinger Bands have reached their most extreme level in history, signaling an unprecedented surge in volatility across the market. In addition, over the past month, Bitcoin has dropped 4%, retreating from its ATH level above $124,000 to its current level of $114,000, according to CoinMarketCap. Although its 2.73% increase to $114,000 in the last week signals growing momentum, market analysts remain cautious about what lies ahead. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin has slipped more than 8% from its all-time high of $124,500, fueling bearish sentiment across the market. While this correction is relatively modest compared to previous drawdowns in the current cycle, the tone surrounding BTC has turned noticeably negative. Traders and investors appear cautious, with many questioning whether the market has the strength to stage another push higher in the short term. Related Reading: Ethereum Network Activity Heats Up As Fees Hit $1.4M In 24H Top analyst Axel Adler provided insights that add important context to the current landscape. According to Adler, Bitcoin is now trading with only a 4% markup above the average purchase price of Short-Term Holders (STHs). This minimal premium highlights how close BTC is to levels where recent buyers entered the market. Historically, such narrow margins suggest that confidence among short-term participants is fragile, as even slight downward moves could push many holders into losses. This dynamic helps explain why sentiment feels heavier than the actual size of the correction might justify. While long-term fundamentals remain intact, the short-term picture reflects a tense phase in which buyers are hesitant, and bears see an opportunity to press their advantage. For Bitcoin, holding above critical support may prove decisive in shaping the next move. Bitcoin, Fed Cuts, And The Need For Discounts According to Adler, the recent Federal Reserve rate cut provides a supportive backdrop for risk assets like Bitcoin. Lower rates traditionally boost liquidity, which tends to benefit equities and crypto alike. However, Adler cautions against assuming that monetary easing guarantees a smooth rally. He reminds investors that markets often behave with a “buy the rumor, sell the news” pattern, where initial optimism gives way to volatility as traders lock in profits. Adler emphasizes that the real demand for Bitcoin will only emerge if the market presents obvious discounts. Historically, sharp pullbacks have attracted sidelined buyers, fueling stronger rallies. At present, Bitcoin trades with a 15–20% markup relative to the average purchase price of Short-Term Holders. This is a danger zone, as data shows that at these levels, holders typically begin offloading coins, adding selling pressure. For comparison, at Bitcoin’s previous all-time high, the markup was only 13%. This dynamic highlights how different the current phase is from earlier in the cycle. In January 2023 and 2024, markups surged as high as 40%, yet investors continued buying, confident they could resell at higher prices in the future. Now, however, the bull cycle is far more mature. The appetite to chase highs has faded, with investors wary of getting trapped in positions that might remain underwater for years. For Bitcoin to reignite real demand, Adler argues, it will need to trade at more attractive levels that clearly signal value. In a mature market, buyers no longer blindly pile in at peaks—they wait for corrections. This shift underscores that sustained rallies require not just liquidity, but also meaningful discounts to entice fresh capital. Related Reading: Bitcoin Futures Pressure Score Hits 18%: Shorts Are Losing Momentum Price Action Details: Key Levels To Watch Bitcoin is trading at $114,042, showing renewed strength after rebounding from early September lows near $110,000. The 12-hour chart highlights that BTC is now pressing into resistance around the 100 SMA at $114,679, a level that has acted as a ceiling during recent attempts to rally. A decisive break and close above this moving average could confirm momentum and open the way toward $116,000, with the major resistance at $123,217 as the next target. The 50 SMA at $112,025 and the 200 SMA at $112,167 are now aligned as short-term support, suggesting that Bitcoin has built a solid base in the $112,000 zone. This cluster of support levels provides bulls with a strong defensive line to sustain momentum. If BTC holds above this area, the bias favors a continuation higher. Related Reading: Whales Are Buying Solana: Two Wallets Pull 376K Tokens From Binance However, the market is not without risk. Failure to break through the 100 SMA convincingly could trigger another period of sideways consolidation, or even a retest of $112,000. A deeper rejection may put $110,000 back in play. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin is trading at a critical level after several days of tight consolidation between $115,000 and $110,000. The price action reflects a tense standoff, with bulls working to regain ground while mounting selling pressure keeps gains in check. Despite the cautious mood, momentum appears to be leaning bullish, as buyers continue to defend key support zones and prepare for the next decisive move. Related Reading: Ethereum Network Activity Heats Up As Fees Hit $1.4M In 24H Adding weight to this outlook, top analyst Maartunn shared new insights showing that dormant Bitcoin coins are beginning to move onchain. This activity suggests that long-term holders, who typically sit through volatility, are repositioning themselves, marking a significant shift in market dynamics. Importantly, these flows also align with the broader trend of capital rotation between Bitcoin and Ethereum, a pattern that has gained traction throughout this cycle. Such behavior is often seen at key inflection points, where profit-taking and reallocations set the stage for the next phase of the market. For Bitcoin, the movement of dormant supply could indicate growing conviction that liquidity will continue to fuel upside. As BTC hovers within this narrow range, the interplay between long-term holders and shifting capital flows may decide whether the breakout resolves higher. Bitcoin Supply Awakens: What It Means for the Market According to analyst Maartunn, a remarkable 604,549 BTC aged between three and five years have moved onchain since March 9, 2025. This is not just a minor adjustment—it represents one of the largest shifts in long-term holder behavior in recent memory. Dormant coins of this age bracket typically belong to holders who have sat through multiple cycles, signaling deep conviction in Bitcoin’s long-term value. When these coins move, the market pays close attention. The reasons behind this sudden activity are still debated. Some analysts argue this is clear profit-taking behavior. After holding for several years, these investors may see the recent rally toward $115,000 as an opportune moment to secure gains. Large holders, sometimes referred to as whales, are known to time exits strategically, often around cycle peaks or when volatility increases. Their activity could explain some of the selling pressure observed in recent weeks. Others, however, interpret these moves differently. Rather than a sign of weakness, they see it as capital rotation—a reallocation from Bitcoin into Ethereum and select altcoins. This aligns with the broader trend of diversification as institutions and high-net-worth investors explore opportunities outside BTC. With Ethereum’s strong fee generation and rising adoption across DeFi and layer-2 ecosystems, such shifts could represent strategic positioning for the next growth wave. Regardless of the motive, the data confirms that long-term holders are actively reshaping the market landscape. Whether this results in temporary selling pressure or sparks a new phase of capital distribution across the crypto sector, one thing is clear: Bitcoin’s dormant supply is no longer idle, and its reawakening marks a critical development for this cycle. Related Reading: Bitcoin Futures Pressure Score Hits 18%: Shorts Are Losing Momentum Price Consolidates Below Key Resistance Bitcoin is currently trading around $113,897, showing signs of recovery after bouncing from lows near $110,000 earlier this month. The daily chart highlights a constructive rebound, with BTC now testing key resistance levels. The 50-day SMA at $114,587 sits just above the current price, acting as the first major hurdle for bulls to clear. A decisive break above this level could open the door toward $116,000 and eventually retest the cycle high at $123,217, marked as the major resistance zone. On the downside, the 100-day SMA at $112,204 is providing short-term support, while the 200-day SMA at $102,077 remains a crucial long-term floor. As long as BTC holds above $112,000, the bias leans toward continuation higher, with buyers steadily regaining confidence. Related Reading: Bitcoin CDD Indicator Signals LTH Distribution As Demand Offsets Pressure The structure suggests that Bitcoin is building momentum for another push, though overhead resistance remains heavy. If bulls fail to reclaim the 50-day SMA convincingly, price could slip back into the $112,000–$110,000 range, keeping consolidation in play. Holding current levels and breaking above the short-term moving averages would strengthen the bullish case, while rejection could prolong the sideways chop before any larger breakout attempt. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Elliott Management, the activist investment firm led by Paul Singer, has raised concerns regarding the cryptocurrency market, suggesting that it may be on the brink of an “inevitable collapse.” In a recent investor letter reported by Fortune, the firm attributed the inflation of this so-called “crypto bubble” to the perceived endorsement from the White House, particularly during President Donald Trump’s administration. Impending Crypto Collapse Ahead? The letter articulated fears that the US government’s backing of cryptocurrencies could undermine the dollar’s position as the world’s primary reserve currency. Related Reading: WLFI Price Dips 7% As Eric Trump Leaves World Liberty Treasury Company ALT5 Sigma Elliott Management highlighted that the dramatic rise in crypto prices, allegedly tied with Trump’s promotion of digital assets, poses risks not only to individual investors but also to the broader economy. The firm warned that the impending collapse of the alleged crypto bubble could have unforeseen repercussions, potentially destabilizing financial markets. Elliott’s letter pointed to what they call “speculative nature” of the current crypto market, where a surge of investment appears to be driven more by hype than by intrinsic value. The firm noted it had “never seen a market like this,” where investors are drawn to assets, particularly memecoins, that lack substantial backing. They assert that this “speculative fervor,” likened to the behavior of sports bettors, has attracted a wave of new investors hoping for continued price increases without a solid foundation. Concerns Mount Over US Dollar’s Future Elliott expressed particular concern about Trump’s vocal support during his campaign and his involvement in several crypto-related ventures have contributed to a perception of legitimacy surrounding the sector. Trump and his sons have been increasingly leaped into the digital asset sector with ventures such as World Liberty Financial (WLFI), American Bitcoin (ABTC) and the launch of the President’s official memecoin, TRUMP, which have sparked considerable criticism among Democrats. Elliott cautioned that such endorsements could marginalize the dollar, which the firm described as “profoundly dangerous.” The establishment of a national reserve for digital assets, as proposed by the Trump administration, further complicates this scenario, potentially diluting the dollar’s influence in the global economy. The letter also stressed the need for caution among investors, warning that many are placing their bets on a volatile market based on “speculative trends rather than sound financial principles.” Related Reading: Solana And XRP ETFs Smash New Records In Canada Despite the firm’s stark warning, cryptocurrency prices rebounded on Wednesday. The leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC), was trading at $113,450 when writing, after consolidating for days between $110,000 and $112,000. Furthermore, the recent passage of the GENIUS Act—the first crypto bill signed by President Trump—is expected to enhance the use of the US dollar as a complement to stablecoins, thereby updating the broader financial system. Wall Street giants Morgan Stanley, Citi, Bank of America, and JPMorgan Chase have all also expressed their willingness to enter the sector. This highlights the administration’s progress in developing a new framework that could mitigate risks while accelerating the adoption of digital assets. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) has declined more than 10% from its latest all-time high (ATH) of $124,128, recorded on Binance in August 2025. However, fresh on-chain data suggests that the cryptocurrency may be preparing for its next bullish wave, as miners are starting to show a structural shift in behavior. Bitcoin Miners Shift Strategy – New High Ahead? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Avocado_onchain, recent on-chain data hints at a structural shift in Bitcoin miner behavior. At the same time, various other metrics point toward increasing resilience in the Bitcoin network. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment On Binance Turns Bullish – But Is The Market Setting A Trap? The analyst brought attention to the Miners’ Position Index (MPI), a metric that has historically shown sharp increases in two scenarios – before a halving when miners strategically sell their holdings, and in late stages of a bull market when they dump their holdings on retail investors. For the uninitiated, the MPI measures the ratio of Bitcoin miners’ outflows – coins sent to exchanges – relative to their one-year moving average. A high MPI indicates that miners are selling more BTC than usual – signaling increased selling pressure – while a low MPI suggests miners are holding or accumulating. However, the current market cycle shows a different trend. While some pre-halving selling was evident, the late bull market sell-offs have been noticeably absent. According to Avocado_onchain, there could be two major reasons for the lack of sell-off. First, the approval and success of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) may have had some influence on holders. According to data from SoSoValue, the total net assets tied in spot BTC ETFs currently stand at $144.3 billion – representing 6.5% of BTC’s total market cap. The other potential reason for lukewarm sales of BTC at this stage of the market could be the digital asset’s rapidly rising adoption as a strategic reserve asset by major economies around the world. As a result, miners may be shifting from short-term gains to long-term accumulation. In addition, Bitcoin mining difficulty also recently reached a new ATH, as its growth curve developed a so-called “banana zone” of sharp increases. The surge in mining difficulty reflects rising participation in the Bitcoin network, in addition to strengthening its security. Opinion On BTC Is Split While the miners appear to be holding BTC for the long haul, some analysts predict that the top cryptocurrency may not be out of the woods yet. Crypto analyst Daan Crypto remarked that BTC may be heading below $100,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds $112,000 Support As Binance Whale Activity Cools Off – What’s Ahead? That said, other analysts are more optimistic about BTC’s prospects. In a recent analysis, fellow CryptoQuant contributor CoinCare stated that BTC may have another major leg up in the bull cycle. Meanwhile, Fundstrat’s Tom Lee forecasted that BTC may surge to $200,000 by the end of 2025. At press time, BTC trades at $114,139, up 1.5% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
Bitcoin price is attempting to recover above $112,500. BTC is now consolidating and might rise if it clears the $114,250 resistance zone. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $113,200 zone. The price is trading below $113,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $112,300 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if it clears the $114,250 zone. Bitcoin Price Eyes Recovery Bitcoin price started a fresh recovery wave from the $110,200 zone. BTC managed to climb above the $111,500 and $112,500 resistance levels. The bulls were able to push the price above $113,000 and $114,000. Besides, there was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $112,300 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair traded as high as $114,270 and recently started a consolidation phase. There was a minor decline below $114,000. The price tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $110,815 swing low to the $114,270 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $112,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $114,250 level. The first key resistance is near the $114,500 level. The next resistance could be $115,000. A close above the $115,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $115,500 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $116,200 level. The main target could be $118,000. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $114,250 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $113,500 level. The first major support is near the $112,500 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $110,815 swing low to the $114,270 high. The next support is now near the $112,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $111,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $110,500, below which BTC might decline sharply. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $112,500, followed by $112,000. Major Resistance Levels – $114,250 and $115,000.
Bitcoin’s latest bounce off a support level at $110,000 has coincided with a technical observation shared by crypto analyst CrypFlow, who highlighted a shakeout pattern that’s currently playing out, which has always preceded the strongest legs of Bitcoin’s bull runs. According to the analyst, the ongoing shakeout pattern setup may be laying the foundation for another rally that could take Bitcoin above its all-time high and beyond $130,000. The Anatomy Of Bitcoin’s Shakeout Pattern Bitcoin’s price action in the past 24 hours has been highlighted by intense volatility, opening the day just above $113,000 before dipping to $110,800 and quickly rebounding to now trading back above $112,000 at the time of writing. However, expanding the short-term price action into a longer one shows that Bitcoin is trying to break above a consolidation zone with a green weekly candle following a green close last week. Related Reading: Looking For A Good Bitcoin Entry? Crypto Research Firm Reveals The Best Time To Buy BTC Notably, technical analysis of the weekly candlestick timeframe chart from crypto analyst CrypFlow shows that this price action is part of a shakeout pattern that’s characteristic of Bitcoin. According to the analyst, Bitcoin never trends higher in a straight line. Instead, each expansion phase in its market cycle is preceded by two steps of a consolidation and a shakeout. Shakeouts were nothing more than quick downside wicks earlier in this cycle. More recently, however, the corrections have become deeper and longer with full-bodied weekly candlesticks that drove out many investors before the next expansion phase began. The chart below, which was shared by the analyst, shows this repeating pattern of shakeouts in purple circles and expansions in green boxes since the cycle bottom in 2022, with the latest dip in the last week of August slotting neatly into the same framework of a purple shakeout. Why Bitcoin Is Headed Above $130,000 As shown in the chart above, the most recent break below the consolidation box is somewhat shorter than the previous two. Now, Bitcoin is climbing back into its range, and if it follows its previous movements since 2022, it could now be at the cusp of a new uptrend. Related Reading: Fair Value Gap Suggests Bitcoin Price Is Going Higher, But Watch Out For This Crash At the time of writing, the stochastic RSI on the weekly chart has dipped to oversold levels and is on the verge of a bullish cross. If confirmed, this indicator could provide the momentum for Bitcoin’s next continuation of the step-like progression. In terms of a price prediction, the expansion phase highlighted in the analysis projects that Bitcoin may not only retest its current all-time high but also push into new price levels above $130,000. With Bitcoin currently trading around $112,200, reaching $130,000 would translate to a gain of roughly 15.8%. A surge to $130,000 would most likely lift Bitcoin’s support base closer to its current all-time high around $124,000 before the next consolidation and shakeout. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin is once again at a decisive moment after several days of tight consolidation around the $110K level. Bulls are making an effort to defend this critical support, while also eyeing the $113K resistance as the next key barrier. A breakout above it could provide the momentum needed for BTC to retest higher supply zones and reignite bullish sentiment. However, the market remains fragile, with volatility and fear weighing heavily on investor confidence. Related Reading: Bitcoin CDD Indicator Signals LTH Distribution As Demand Offsets Pressure Top analyst Axel Adler provided important context from the derivatives market. According to Adler, the Bitcoin Futures Pressure Score currently stands at 18%, which is considered low to moderate and closer to the neutral zone. This suggests that there is no overwhelming short pressure from leverage at this time. In practical terms, futures traders are not aggressively building short positions, nor are they significantly adding to long exposure. This balance reflects a cautious market environment where participants are waiting for a catalyst to determine direction. Until then, Bitcoin’s battle between $110K support and $113K resistance will remain the focal point, setting the stage for the next major move in either direction. Bitcoin Futures In Neutral Mode According to Adler, the current state of the futures market paints a picture of caution rather than conviction. With the Pressure Score at 18%, the indicator suggests a neutral environment where traders are neither aggressively building long positions nor stacking shorts. Adler explains that this lack of strong directional signals reflects an indecisive market, where participants are waiting for external catalysts before committing capital. The Pressure Score becomes particularly important in identifying potential downside risks. Adler notes that when the metric rises toward the 30–40% range, it indicates that shorts are being built up at an accelerated pace. In such cases, open interest increases faster than usual, creating conditions that often lead to sudden price dumps. For now, Bitcoin is not in that danger zone, but the market remains highly sensitive to shifts in sentiment. What adds to the current uncertainty is the weakening US labor market, which has fueled speculation about the Federal Reserve’s next policy moves. Any surprise in economic data or Fed guidance could easily tip the balance, triggering volatility across crypto markets. As investors digest these signals, Bitcoin is expected to trade with increased choppiness in the coming days, with bulls and bears closely monitoring the $110K–$113K range as the decisive battleground. Related Reading: Whales Are Buying Solana: Two Wallets Pull 376K Tokens From Binance Technical Insights: Trading Between Key Levels Bitcoin is currently trading around $112,196, showing a modest recovery after testing lows near $110,000. The chart highlights a consolidation phase, with BTC holding above the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) at $112,102, while the 50-day SMA sits higher at $114,650, acting as immediate resistance. A decisive close above this level could open the path for Bitcoin to retest $116,000 and potentially challenge the major resistance at $123,217, marked by the summer peak. On the downside, the 200-day SMA at $101,980 provides a strong layer of support. As long as BTC remains above this level, the broader bullish structure remains intact despite recent volatility. However, repeated failures to break above the 50-day SMA may invite further consolidation, with risks of a retest of the $108,000–$110,000 zone if selling pressure re-emerges. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Absorbs Supply In Batches: VDD Highlights Mature Bull Phase Bulls need to reclaim $114,650 to shift momentum toward the $120K region, while bears aim to defend resistance and push the price lower. The coming days are likely to determine whether Bitcoin resumes its broader uptrend or extends its correction. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
The Bitcoin bull cycles have always been similar in the fact that each one has always ended with the Bitcoin price multiples higher than the previous high. While the digital asset has hit new all-time highs this cycle, it is far from being multiples of the previous all-time high, and has yet to hit the 2x mark. However, with a lot of similarities popping up between this cycle and what was seen in 2017, there is still the possibility that the Bitcoin price will run higher from here. Bitcoin Price Mirroring 2021 Cycle Moves Crypto analyst Merlijn The Trader took to X (formerly Twitter) to share some similarities that they noticed between the current Bitcoin price trend and what was recorded back in 2017. Putting both charts side by side, the crypto analyst pointed out the ways in which the two cycles have performed similarly. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bear Case Says Price Is Headed Below $100,000, But Bulls Still Have A Chance, Here’s How One of the first things is how the bear market ended, which is highlighted by the red box in the shared charts. After some choppy movement, the bear market would come to an end with an initial breakout. This was followed by a short retracement, leading to the next step in the trend. The next box, the blue box, is the level of accumulation. This is where Bitcoin investors had loaded up their bags in anticipation of an upward move. Naturally, the accumulation lasted for a number of months before it was complete, and the breakout occurred. The third box is the green box, and the crypto analyst explains that this is the level that “launched portfolios.” Back in 2017, after the green box, the Bitcoin price rose rapidly and more than doubled by the time the rally was done, and with the current trend sitting in the green box, it carries some hefty bullish implications for the Bitcoin price. How High Can BTC Go From Here? Seeing how the Bitcoin price is mirroring the 2017 trend so far, it is likely to continue to play out in a similar way. From the green box, the price doubling like it did would mean that Bitcoin would end up crossing the $200,000 mark from here. Related Reading: XRP RSI Remains Bullish As Support Levels Hold, Price Eyes Break Above $3.6 The crypto analyst’s chart points toward the $220,000 mark, with some dips along the way that are expected to be eaten up quickly. The timeframe also seems similar, and if the trend holds, then this could play out in the next 3 months, leading into the year 2026. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
After retesting the range lows, Bitcoin (BTC) has closed the week above a key area, momentarily preventing a breakdown to lower levels. Some market watchers suggested that reclaiming the local range highs this week will set the stage for another leg up, but an analyst warned of potential volatility in the coming days. Related Reading: Worldcoin Jumps 42% Following Eightco’s Announcement Of First WLD Treasury Strategy Bitcoin Holds Crucial Weekly Support As the market moves sideways, Bitcoin has continued to trade within its local range between the $108,250-$111,140 levels since the start of the month. The cryptocurrency has shown mixed signals since the second half of August, failing to hold the crucial $109,000 level during the previous week. Analyst Rekt Capital asserted that BTC was showing “early signs of weakness,” and could see a bearish confirmation if it failed to hold this key level in the weekly timeframe. However, the flagship crypto surged to the range’s high over the past few days and closed the week at around $111,137, averting the potential breakdown in the short-term timeframe. “Bitcoin indeed didn’t fully confirm the breakdown; instead, price has reclaimed the $109k level as support and is now trying to rally higher in an effort to check if $114k has turned into new resistance after being lost as support a few weeks ago,” the analyst noted. According to Rekt Capital, BTC’s retest of this level as resistance will be down to an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern forming on the daily timeframe, which has the $113,000 area as the pattern’s neckline. A daily close above this level could set Bitcoin up for a potential post-breakout retest of this zone, fueling a rally toward the key weekly resistance level. Ali Martinez also affirmed that breaking pass $113,000 would set the cryptocurrency “on track for $116,000 and possibly $119,000.” The New Key Pivot Point For BTC Rekt Capital highlighted that a daily close above this level would “also confirm that the price is going to occupy the upper half of the Daily Bollinger Bands,” as the middle band sits around the $112,000 level. “Turning the mid-point (orange) of the BBands into support tends to set price up for a move to the very top of the Upper Band, which happens to be around the $116k level,” he explained, noting that the upper band coincides with the Monthly Range High resistance level. The market watcher detailed that BTC has been consolidating within the Macro Monthly Range at $107,200-$115,711, recently bouncing from the range lows. As a result, its price “is now ready to try and challenge the Range High over time.” Bitcoin must close the week above $114,000 to retest the macro range high and build a base for a potential third Price Discovery Uptrend. “It’s all about $114k going forward as a key pivot point for price,” he concluded. Related Reading: ‘Corporate’ Altcoin Season? Expert Shares How Crypto ETFs, Treasuries Could Change The Market Notably, BTC attempted to break out of a key area on Tuesday morning, hitting the $113,000 mark before retracing to $110,000. Nonetheless, Ted Pillows warned that the cryptocurrency could face some volatility in the coming days as US CPI data is coming on September 11. He underscored that the last 3 CPI data resulted in a 9%-11% price drop for BTC, with August seeing the largest dip in the past few months. A similar correction could drive Bitcoin’s price to the $100,000 barrier, not seen since June. As of this writing, BTC trades at $111,276, a 1% decline in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to defend the $112,000 support level following days of tepid price action, unable to give a clear indication about the potential direction of its next move. Latest exchange data from Binance shows a recent dip in whale activity, suggesting BTC likely avoided another massive sell-off. Bitcoin Defends $112,000 Against Whale Sell-Off According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, recent data from the Binance crypto exchange shows that there was a sudden spike in whale activity on the exchange on September 7, when the BTC: Exchange Whale Ratio surged to 0.55. Related Reading: Bitcoin Withdrawal Wave Points To Another Major Leg Up In The Bull Cycle, Analyst Says However, this surge was quickly followed by a decline in the metric, as the BTC: Exchange Whale Ratio tumbled to 0.28, on September 8. However, the price remained stable around $112,500, suggesting that whale movements were short-lived and did not lead to a sell-off in BTC. The CryptoQuant analyst remarked that the fall in whale pressure toward the end of the period is a positive short-term signal. In essence, the likelihood of a sharp price correction driven by whale sell-offs on Binance is now significantly reduced. Arab Chain added: The frequent whale fluctuations in late August and early September highlight that major players are still moving large volumes – meaning risks remain, and the market could be caught off guard by a sudden move if substantial exchange inflows are converted into market orders. However, the analyst cautioned that the relationship is not always absolute. Although the rise in the metric has often been associated with a fall in the price of BTC, not every spike has led to a clear decline in price. As seen in the above chart, there have been instances of whale activity surging beyond 0.5 for multiple days – accompanied by positive net inflows to exchanges. Arab Chain noted that such dynamics may lead to a failure to maintain the $112,000 level, and possibly trigger a drop to $108,000. Historical data for September shows that the beginning of the month is typically quiet in terms of whale pressure on Binance, except for the occasional quick jump. While this offers a safer environment for a gradual rise, it also gives whales a chance to exert pressure on the market, especially if the overall demand is weak. Is BTC Yet To Hit Its Peak? While BTC is currently trading roughly 10% below its latest all-time high (ATH) of $124,128, some crypto experts opine that the flagship cryptocurrency is yet to hit its peak for this market cycle. Related Reading: Fair Value Gap Suggests Bitcoin Price Is Going Higher, But Watch Out For This Crash In recent analysis, Bitcoin researcher Sminston predicted that BTC may top out anywhere between $200,000 – $290,000 sometime in 2026. At press time, BTC trades at $112,639, down 0.1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
Bitcoin price is struggling to recover above $112,000. BTC is now consolidating and might decline if there is a move below the $110,800 level. Bitcoin started a fresh decline from the $113,200 zone. The price is trading below $111,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $111,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another decline if it stays below the $112,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Remains At Risk Bitcoin price started a fresh recovery wave from the $110,100 zone. BTC managed to climb above the $110,800 and $111,500 resistance levels. The bulls were able to push the price above $112,500 and $113,000. However, the bears remained active near the $113,200 zone and prevented more gains. There was a fresh bearish reaction, and the price traded below $112,000. A low was formed at $110,820 and the price is now consolidating losses. Bitcoin is now trading below $111,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Besides, there is a bullish trend line forming with support at $111,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $111,700 level. The first key resistance is near the $112,000 level. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $113,200 swing high to the $110,820 low. The next resistance could be $112,300 or the 61.8% Fib level of the recent decline from the $113,200 swing high to the $110,820 low. A close above the $112,300 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $113,200 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $114,200 level. The main target could be $115,000. More Losses In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $112,300 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $111,000 level and the trend line. The first major support is near the $110,800 level. The next support is now near the $110,200 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $108,800 support in the near term. The main support sits at $107,500, below which BTC might decline sharply. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $111,000, followed by $110,200. Major Resistance Levels – $112,000 and $112,300.