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The broader crypto market is currently navigating a phase of uncertainty, with concerns mounting over the possibility of a new bear market. A recent analysis by Barchart analyst Rob Isbitts highlights three significant signals suggesting that a deeper retreat in crypto prices may be on the horizon. Emerging Correlations Among Crypto Prices  The report points to notable trends observed in April of last year, when a 50% increase followed the launch of several spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs_. Specifically, BlackRock’s IBIT fund which boasts over $85 billion in assets under management, subsequently experienced a decline of approximately 25%.  Related Reading: Bear Market Alert: Top Expert Claims Bitcoin Price Fate Hangs On $101,700 Support Level A similar pattern was evident in the early months of this year, where fluctuations were mirrored in the market as increased outflows in these investment vehicles began to rise.  Currently, the Percentage Price Oscillator (PPO)—a key indicator used by Isbitts—signals increasing chances of a decline in Bitcoin’s price as the weeks progress. Ethereum (ETH) appears to be following a comparable trajectory. Isbitts notes that while Bitcoin remains the leading cryptocurrency, the correlation among various coins is strengthening over time. This heightened correlation implies that Ethereum may also experience declines in tandem with Bitcoin.  However, for cryptocurrencies that are further removed from the Bitcoin core, such as Solana (SOL), additional risks emerge. In these cases, not only does correlation impact prices, but a higher “beta” can lead to even steeper declines, reflecting increased volatility. For instance, when Bitcoin recently dropped about 15% from its peak, the futures -based Solana ETF (SOLZ), which has attracted over $220 million in assets in less than seven months, fell by double that percentage.  Has Gold Regained Its Safe Haven Status Against Bitcoin? A common thread among the charts shared by Isbitts, is the recent formation of lower lows, indicating a pressing need for a rebound. If this does not occur soon, the expert highlights that the likelihood of further declines in crypto prices increases.  The report also discusses a shift in the perception of gold, which has traditionally been viewed as an “anti-US dollar asset.” The expert asserts that as global central banks increase their gold reserves, the dynamics of the market may be changing.  Related Reading: Solana Co-Founder Ventures Into Perpetual DEX Development: What You Should Know Recently, gold has exhibited price movements akin to those seen in cryptos, suggesting a potential resurgence in its role as a safe haven. This shift has impacted crypto stocks and ETFs, with certain funds showing signs of vulnerability as indicated by the PPO nearing a one-year high. A longer-term analysis of Bitcoin by Isbitts illustrates its inherent volatility, yet it has consistently managed to achieve higher highs over time. While this trend may continue, the current market conditions suggest that any future rallies are likely to start from lower price levels.  As of this writing, however, Bitcoin, the market’s leading crypto, has regained the $112,900 mark, rising 3% in the last hour of Tuesday morning’s trading session.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Economist and former forex analyst Moonchaser is explaining why expectations of the XRP price reaching $100,000 are not realistic. According to Moonchaser, many XRP fans misunderstand how market value works by claiming that XRP has no market cap. The economist highlighted that XRP, like any other asset or cryptocurrency, is affected by supply, demand, and liquidity. Economist Explains The Reality Behind Price Reaching $100,000 Moonchaser, who studied economics and previously worked as a forex analyst, says that some people in the XRP community believe the token can reach extreme prices because they think it has “no market cap.” This idea, Moonchaser explains, is built on a misunderstanding of how currencies are valued and traded in real-world markets. In their view, economic principles apply equally to all assets, whether they are fiat money, commodities, or digital tokens. Related Reading: Dogecoin 3rd Cycle Explosion: Analyst Revels The Only Difference From Last Two Cycles Using the U.S. dollar as an example, Moonchaser notes that every currency has a measurable total value based on the amount in circulation and its global trade. The dollar’s value changes daily because of the balance between supply, demand, and liquidity. The same rule applies to the XRP price, which also trades across international markets and follows the same market laws. It means that XRP’s price is not free from limits and cannot simply rise endlessly based on belief or community hype. Moonchaser stresses that ignoring these realities creates unrealistic expectations within the XRP community. According to them, calling XRP a “currency” does not make it limitless in value; instead, XRP functions within the same market framework that governs all other financial assets. XRP Can’t Overtake Bitcoin Due To Market Structure In their post, Moonchaser further explains that market capitalization, which is price multiplied by circulating supply, applies to every form of tradable asset. Whether it’s fiat money, gold, or a digital coin, traders can always calculate the total market value. XRP is no exception to this rule. The economist points out that XRP has a measurable circulating supply and a price that moves through normal market discovery, where the balance between buyers and sellers directly determines its potential value, not wishful thinking. “Currency does not mean a capless asset,” Moonchaser says, reminding traders that every market has structure and limits. Related Reading: Why The Dogecoin Price Could Still Hit A 600% Rally To Send It Above $1.5 Moonchaser emphasizes that their comments do not spread fear or negativity toward XRP. Instead, they want XRP investors to understand the realistic economic structure behind its price movement. XRP’s market position depends on measurable data, not speculation about infinite growth. The economist concludes that this is not FUD—it is simply market reality based on economics. Through this explanation, Moonchaser helps the XRP community see that price growth depends on genuine demand and market behavior, not dreams of capless value. While XRP continues to be an essential player in digital finance, the idea of it reaching $100,000 or surpassing Bitcoin remains far from economic reality. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto analyst Captain Faibik has predicted that the Bitcoin price could crash to as low as $50,000, representing a 60% crash for the flagship crypto. The analyst explained why he has turned bearish on BTC, while declaring that the bull run is over.  Why The Bitcoin Price Could Crash To $50,000 In an X post, Captain Faibik shared an accompanying chart which showed that the Bitcoin price could crash to $50,000 from its current level. This came as the analyst stated that he is turning bearish on BTC for the mid-term. He further remarked that the bull run is over and that now late buyers are getting trapped.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Open Interest Hits Lowest Level In 2025, Is A Pump Or Crash Coming Next? Captain Faibik went on to note that the Bitcoin price is still moving inside the rising wedge, trading above the weekly MA50 while bulls remain in control for now. However, he warned that the structure is weakening and momentum is fading. Notably, the analyst had earlier mentioned a possible correction toward the $100,000 level, which remains a possibility with BTC trading close to this range.  The Bitcoin price has continued to show signs of weakness since hitting a new all-time high (ATH) above $126,000 earlier in the month. Rising trade tensions between the U.S. and China have contributed to the recent declines in BTC. The flagship crypto again dropped yesterday after Trump threatened to impose a 155% tariff on China if they do not reach a trade deal by November 1.  Meanwhile, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto also indicated that the Bitcoin price may be topping out. This came as the analyst revealed that a BTC monthly LMACD cross was happening. The analyst noted that historically, these crosses have marked the beginning of the bear phase or a major cycle top. However, he added that this is still not confirmed as the monthly candle hasn’t closed yet.  The BTC Top Is Not Yet In Crypto analyst CrediBULL Crypto recently asserted that the cycle top is not yet in and that the Bitcoin price will reach $150,000 before the cycle is over. He explained that the rate of ascent should increase at an increasing rate into the final 5th subwave, which will make the blow off top. The analyst added that this implies that all impulses moving forward will be more aggressive than the ones prior.  Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Price Is Ready To Surge: ‘We Would Already Be Below $108,000 If The Crash Wasn’t Over’ CrediBULL Crypto further stated that the Bitcoin price is currently in subwave 2 of the final 5th wave after completing the impulsive subwave 1, which took it from $74,000 to $112,000. He predicted that subwave 2 should bottom between the current level and $74,000, which is the higher timeframe invalidation.  Meanwhile, he explained that the measured move of the 1st subwave was $37,500. As such, a fair assumption is that the 3rd and 5th waves will be larger, which implies a minimum target of $150,000 for the Bitcoin price by the end of the cycle.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $107,600, down over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin (BTC) started the week recovering 6% from Friday’s drop and attempting to reclaim a crucial area that could set the stage for a trend continuation. However, some analysts have advised caution as BTC’s next leg up could be delayed until December. Related Reading: XRP DEX Volumes Surge As Price Plunges: Smart Money Accumulating? Bitcoin To Move Sideways Until December? After the end-of-week market downturn, Bitcoin has bounced to the $110,000 level and is attempting to turn this area into support again. Notably, the flagship crypto has been trading within the $108,000-$120,000 price range since July. Last week, BTC recorded its second drop below the range lows, falling to the $103,500 mark on Friday. Over the weekend, the cryptocurrency’s price stabilized and reclaimed the $106,000-$108,000 area. Now, Bitcoin has recovered 6.2% from the recent lows and could potentially target higher levels in the short term. Analyst Crypto Kaleo pointed out that BTC’s multi-year ascending trendline has held as support despite the recent retest and overall sentiment turning bearish, suggesting that investors should “be more bullish.” Similarly, Sjuul from AltCryptoGems highlighted that despite the current market sentiment, which shows the Fear and Greed index remains at fear levels, the flagship crypto is “still perfectly holding that flipped resistance level,” around $108,000, and is holding it as support. “Not sure if this is the place to turn bearish. Support is support, until it is not,” the analyst affirmed. Altcoin Sherpa also shared a positive outlook, emphasizing that BTC’s chart doesn’t look “that bad when you zoom out,” as it remains in the same multi-month price range and could challenge the $114,000-$115,000 area. Nonetheless, the analyst cautioned that it may be “too early to really call any sort of bullish reversal,” forecasting that the cryptocurrency will likely see “a ton of chop over the next 6-8 weeks, and we range between 100k-115k and hopefully have a nice December.” $114,000-$116,000 Area Remains Key Rekt Capital stated that as long as the price holds the current levels, it could move to the $114,000 area for a key trend continuation across its range and potentially revisit the highs. To achieve this, the analyst explained that Bitcoin must reclaim its 21-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) as support, which was lost after Sunday’s close below the $110,000 mark. The 21-week EMA has served as support during pullbacks since late Q2. He explained that the cycle has been one of downside deviations, with price weekly closing below key levels and positioning for a bearish retest before successfully reclaiming these levels as support and rallying higher. Based on this, “it’s not a given that price will reject from the 21-week EMA.” The analyst also shared an outlook for BTC’s range in the monthly timeframe, where it has been consolidating while upside wicking beyond the range high and downside wicking below the range low since July. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Moves: Can It Repeat The 36,000% Rally ‘Anomaly’ From Last Cycle? “As part of this consolidation, there is a potential Lower High developing which isn’t yet solidified; the upcoming Monthly Close will inform more about whether that indeed will become a resistance,” he detailed Rekt Capital concluded that a monthly close above the Lower High would invalidate the potential setup, and a close above the range high resistance would position Bitcoin for a range breakout, “especially if a November post-breakout retest of $116k into new support takes place.” As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $110,850, a 2% increase in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

The Bitcoin price showed some signs of recovery at the start of the week, trading above the $110,000 mark. This uptick follows two consecutive Fridays of major drops, igniting fears and uncertainty among investors. These concerns have been compounded by predictions from experts about a potential bear market on the horizon. Looming Bear Market Threat Market analyst Doctor Profit, known for his accurate forecasts regarding the recent Bitcoin price trajectory, has recently cast doubt on whether market makers will allow both retail and institutional investors to exit at more favorable prices after incurring losses.  Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Moves: Can It Repeat The 36,000% Rally ‘Anomaly’ From Last Cycle? In a social media post on X (previously Twitter), he suggested that the maximum bullish scenario for the Bitcoin price in the near-term could reach around $116,500, representing a 9% increase from its current levels.  However, he emphasizes that a drop below $101,700 would breach what he terms the “magic bull market line,” effectively confirming a bear market. Profit advises caution, predicting a significant move that could push the Bitcoin price below this critical threshold, signaling the end of the bull run. Adding to the bearish sentiment, the Bitcoin price is currently hovering below the short-term holder realized price of $112,500. This figure represents the average entry point for short-term traders and buyers, many of whom are now facing losses.  On-chain data compiled by the expert also indicates that these traders are likely to sell off their positions if the Bitcoin price dips between 5% and 10%, potentially intensifying short-term selling pressure. Challenging Times Ahead For Bitcoin Price Profit further elaborates on the market conditions, pointing out that current price movements are indicative of market makers liquidating both bullish and bearish positions.  “Nothing goes down in a straight line,” he notes, suggesting that while the market could be in a bear market, it is essential to remain aware of short-term fluctuations. He argues that high-leverage traders must be wiped out on both sides before the market experiences its next significant downward movement.  Related Reading: Is The Dogecoin Bull Run Over? Analyst Sees Echoes Of 2021 The expert also warns that every brief rally is designed to mislead bullish traders and liquidate late bearish positions. The market makers’ strategy appears to involve pushing Bitcoin toward the $116,500 region to eliminate late bears and generate sufficient liquidity for another downward price adjustment, potentially leading to new local lows.  Looking ahead, Doctor Profit predicts that such price movements will continue to recur in the coming weeks and months, creating a challenging environment for investors in the volatile digital asset market. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin price is attempting to recover above $108,000 and $108,500. BTC tested $111,800 and is currently trimming recent gains. Bitcoin started a fresh recovery wave above the $108,000 resistance level. The price is trading above $108,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line with support at $108,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it trades above the $110,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Trims Some Gains Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $105,500 resistance. BTC was able to surpass the $107,500 and $108,500 resistance levels. The bulls pushed the price above $110,500. There was a clear move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $115,975 swing high to the $103,582 low. However, the bulls struggled to keep the price above the $111,500 level. The price is slowly moving lower from the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $115,975 swing high to the $103,582 low. Besides, there is a bullish trend line with support at $108,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Bitcoin is now trading above $109,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $110,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $111,200 level. The next resistance could be $111,500. A close above the $111,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $112,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $113,200 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $115,000. Another Drop In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $110,000 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $108,800 level and the trend line. The first major support is near the $108,000 level. The next support is now near the $107,550 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $106,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $105,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the short term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $108,800, followed by $108,000. Major Resistance Levels – $110,500 and $111,500.

After the massive crash on October 10 – which saw Bitcoin (BTC) touch $102,000 before recovering some losses – some analysts now predict that the top cryptocurrency may be on the verge of another bullish rally as it enters the ‘disbelief phase.’ Bitcoin In Disbelief Phase – Trouble For Bears? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Darkfost, Bitcoin appears to be entering the disbelief phase, which increases the possibility of a rebound to the upside. The contributor emphasized the slightly negative funding rate to support their analysis. Related Reading: Bitcoin Cycle Score Turns Negative With Trend Below $106,780 – When Will The Correction End? For the uninitiated, the Bitcoin disbelief phase occurs when a new uptrend begins, but most investors remain skeptical after a recent correction, doubting that the recovery is real. During this phase, lingering bearish sentiment and short positions often act as fuel for a stronger rally once confidence returns. Darkfost stated that investors’ skepticism toward BTC returning to bullish mode can be gauged through BTC funding rates in the derivatives market. Funding rates remained negative at -0.004% on the exchange for six out of seven days over the past week, indicating traders are still slightly bearish. The likely reason behind traders’ short bias is the October 10 crypto market crash that led to a liquidation worth $19 billion. Since then, traders have consistently chosen to short the market instead of getting trapped in another price pullback. However, the longer BTC remains in the disbelief phase, the stronger the potential for an explosive upside move becomes. Darkfost added: If the current uptrend continues to establish itself, the growing pile of short positions against it could become a powerful fuel for the next leg higher. As these shorts get liquidated, it would drive prices upward, triggering a short squeeze. If a short squeeze happens, then BTC could quickly rally to major liquidity zones around $113,000 level, and even as high as $126,000 region, where significant short orders liquidations are clustered. The analyst shared two previous instance where such a pattern played out. In September 2024, BTC fell to $54,000 before surging to a new all-time high beyond $100,000. Similarly, in April 2025, the flagship digital asset rallied from $85,000 to $111,000, before climbing even higher to $123,000. To conclude, the Bitcoin market may be on the verge of another short squeeze, fueled by investors’ skepticism. BTC Investors Need To Be Cautious Although BTC is giving hints of a looming short squeeze, investors should still exercise some caution before entering the market in hopes of an instant turnaround in sentiment. For example, Bitcoin activity recently slumped below its 365-day average, raising fears of a loss of momentum. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Feels “Too Efficient” As Arbitrage Opportunities Vanish – What It Means For Price? That said, some crypto analysts forecast that BTC is likely done with the price correction and is set to surge in the coming days. At press time, BTC trades at $110,814, up 2.8% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Bitcoin is staging a modest rebound after several days of intense selling pressure and fear across the market. The leading cryptocurrency has struggled to establish stable support, with volatile swings making it difficult for traders to navigate. Despite the uncertainty, some market participants continue to move strategically — and one of the most well-known whales has just made a big return. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Rely on STH Realized Price Support Cluster: Loss Could Trigger $100K Retest The trader known as BitcoinOG (1011short) — who gained fame for earning over $197 million during last week’s flash crash — is back in action. On-chain data shows that he has deposited $30 million in USDC to Hyperliquid and opened a 10x short position on 700 BTC, worth roughly $75.5 million. This move has drawn the market’s attention, reigniting speculation about whether the whale anticipates another leg down for Bitcoin. While BTC is attempting to recover above the $110,000 mark, the presence of such a large short position highlights lingering bearish sentiment and a lack of conviction among traders. For now, bulls are fighting to stabilize price momentum, but with whales like 1011short back in the game, volatility is likely far from over — and the market may be in for another sharp move soon. Whale’s Short in Profit as Market Tension Rises According to Lookonchain, the whale known as BitcoinOG (1011short) currently holds an unrealized profit of about $880,000, or roughly 11%, on his latest $75.5 million short position opened on Hyperliquid. The trade, placed during Bitcoin’s rebound phase, has quickly gained traction as BTC struggles to sustain momentum above the $111,000 level. This move has sparked unease among investors and traders alike, many of whom view it as a potential warning sign that larger players may be positioning for renewed downside pressure. Still, analysts warn that this might not tell the full story. While the 1011short address has earned a reputation for precision — notably pocketing $197 million during the October 10 flash crash — the transparency of on-chain data has limits. It’s unclear how many positions this whale currently holds across other exchanges or what the exact strategy behind his trades may be. As such, reading his moves as a simple bearish bet could be an oversimplification. The next few days will be critical for Bitcoin’s trajectory. If the whale decides to scale his short further, it could intensify selling pressure and drag BTC toward key support levels. Conversely, if he closes out the position or pivots to longs, it might suggest a short-term market bottom. Either way, the setup points to heightened volatility ahead, with traders bracing for sharp price movements as the market digests this high-profile activity. Related Reading: BNB Active Addresses Hit Record 3.6 Million – Analyst Explains Network Growth Bitcoin Holds Weekly Support, but Resistance Looms Bitcoin is showing early signs of stabilization on the weekly chart, recovering from its October 10 flash crash low near $103,000 to trade around $111,200. The candle structure suggests that buyers are defending the 50-week moving average (blue line), which has acted as a reliable mid-cycle support throughout the current bull phase. However, the broader structure still shows Bitcoin consolidating below the $117,500 resistance — a level that has repeatedly capped rallies since mid-2025. Until BTC breaks above this zone with strong volume, the market remains trapped in a sideways range, with traders positioning cautiously amid high volatility and uncertain macro conditions. Related Reading: New Wallets Move Over $160M In Bitcoin From Binance And FalconX – Details Momentum indicators point to neutral-to-bearish sentiment, reflecting hesitation among bulls after weeks of heavy liquidations. Yet, the presence of higher lows on the weekly chart continues to support the long-term bullish structure, as long as BTC holds above $106,000–$107,000. If price manages to reclaim and close above $117,500, the path could open toward $125,000–$130,000, aligning with liquidity pockets from previous tops. Conversely, a weekly close below $106,000 would shift the outlook bearish, suggesting deeper corrections ahead. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

After finishing up its crash over the weekend, the Bitcoin price seems to be stabilizing as market sentiment starts to move positively once again. However, this has not done much to eliminate the bearish expectations that have erupted following the October 10 liquidation event. As opposed to the expectations that the Bitcoin price will see a recovery bounce that sends it to new all-time highs, crypto pundit MMBTrader has revealed what they call the ‘Whale Buy Zone’ to snap up some ‘cheap’ Bitcoin. Wait For The Bitcoin Price To Crash Below $90,000 Presently, the Bitcoin price is still trending above $100,000 and has held this psychological level even through the multiple crashes that have rocked the crypto market. This constitutes an over 10% crash from the $126,000 all-time high that was recorded back in early October. Related Reading: $536M In Sell Pressure: Why Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices Crashed Despite the decline below $108,000, crypto analyst MMBTrader tells investors that this may not be the best time to actually buy the cryptocurrency. Instead, they advise that investors wait to buy ‘cheap’ Bitcoin at the levels when the whales will be likely to start buying the cryptocurrency again. This whale buy zone is placed below $90,000 and could be as low as $87,000 before support is established. The reasoning behind this is that the Bitcoin price will be trending near the 0.38 and 0.5 Fibonacci levels, which is historically when the Bitcoin price corrections have usually ended. From here, the price is likely to start moving upward with all of the whale buying boosting its momentum. Newer traders entering the market are expected to actually panic and sell their tokens for a between 15% and 40% loss before exiting the market. Then, the Bitcoin price is likely to pump after these weak hands have exited, and the analyst expects that BTC will then put in a new all-time high around $130,000-$140,000. Once this happens, then the newer traders who exited are expecting to start FOMO buying again, with the cycle expected to repeat itself. At this point, investors who bought below $90,000 will be seeing a notable profit on their investments. Stay Sharp And Stick To A Strategy Amid all of this, the crypto analyst advises investors to stick to their strategy and strict risk management when trading cryptocurrencies. The Bitcoin price often moves based on market news, but it is hard to tell what direction each news would take the price in, and it is best to stick to the established strategy long before the news and to set stop loss and take profit levels. Related Reading: XRP Price To Crash 40%? Analyst Reveals Worst-Case Scenario MMBTrader also advises about panic buying and selling due to news. Instead, focus on having a good mindset regardless of how a trade goes. This is regardless of whether a trade ended in a win or a loss; it is important to maintain the right mindset. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin price is attempting to recover above $107,500 and $108,000. BTC could continue to move up if it clears the $109,500 resistance zone. Bitcoin started a fresh recovery wave above the $105,000 resistance level. The price is trading above $108,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $107,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it trades above the $109,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Eyes Recovery Bitcoin price failed to surpass the $110,000 resistance level and started a fresh decline. BTC dipped below the $108,000 and $106,500 support levels to enter a bearish zone. The price even dipped below $105,000. A low was formed at $103,583 and the price is correcting some losses. There was a move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $115,975 swing high to the $103,583 low. Besides, there was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $107,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Bitcoin is now trading above $108,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $109,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $110,000 level. The next resistance could be $111,250 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $115,975 swing high to the $103,583 low. A close above the $111,250 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $112,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $113,200 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $115,000. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $110,000 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $108,000 level. The first major support is near the $107,500 level. The next support is now near the $106,200 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $105,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $103,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the short term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $108,000, followed by $106,500. Major Resistance Levels – $109,500 and $111,250.

The price performance of Bitcoin over the past two weeks has been a major source of concern, as the coin’s value continues to drift away (about 15% down now) from its all-time high. As the flagship cryptocurrency slows down, the latest on-chain data suggests that a group of investors is exiting the market en masse. More Short-Term Holders Are Giving Up Their Holdings In an October 18 post on the X platform, on-chain analyst Darkfost revealed that a significant number of Bitcoin’s short-term investors have started to close their positions and realize their losses. Related Reading: Altcoins Selling Pressure Persists As Exchange Inflow Hits 2025 High — Details Darkfost’s analysis was hinged on the Net Realized Profit/Loss metric, which tracks the net amount (in USD) of profits or losses that are realized on-chain. This metric measures the net profit or loss on a daily basis, averaged, in this case, over seven days. It provides insight into whether more investors are selling at losses or with their heads still above water.. According to the crypto pundit, the realized losses of BTC investors have surged to an approximate level as high as $750 million per day, one of the highest levels this current cycle has seen. Interestingly, Darkfost explained that the magnitude of these capitulation events stands easily comparable to those seen during the 2024 summer correction. What’s worth noting about this capitulation phase is what may likely follow. According to the analyst, events like this usually precede local bottoms. What this means is that after short-term holders (known as the “weak hands”) have surrendered their holdings to the more-confident long-term holders (the “diamond hands”), the cryptocurrency stands a chance of seeing a price rebound — an expectation in congruence with historical trends. However, on the more cautious side, Darkfost offered a subtle warning that the dreary opposite could also be the case in a situation where the market stands at an early bearish phase.  Bitcoin Whales Might Be Accumulating Again Supporting the positive redistribution theory, a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform by Abramchart offers a glimmer of hope for Bitcoin market participants. Referencing the Inflows To Accumulation Addresses (Dynamic Cohort) metric, the analyst highlighted a significant inflow of more than 26,500 BTC into whale accumulation wallets.  When large amounts of Bitcoin — such as this magnitude — are moved, it usually signals an underlying institutional or whale accumulation, as coins are typically transferred from exchanges to these wallets for long-term holding.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Cycle Score Turns Negative With Trend Below $106,780 – When Will The Correction End? Following historical patterns, it is very likely that this accumulation event will precede a continued bullish expansion of the flagship cryptocurrency. As Abramchart explained, this trend all serves as a hint that smart money is “quietly buying the dip.” As of this writing, Bitcoin holds a valuation of about $106,870, with no significant movement seen over the past 24 hours. Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin price has continued to hover in the range of $106,000-$108,000 over the last 24 hours. The premier cryptocurrency is presently displaying some stability following another volatile trading week, which produced a 3.41% price loss. Notably, Bitcoin’s movement amid this corrective phase has triggered an interesting on-chain signal with bullish implications. Related Reading: Bitcoin May See Selloff If $100,000 Support Fails — Here’s Why Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Go Underwater, But Historical Data Reads Bullish Signs In an X post on October 18, popular market analyst, Ali Martinez, shares an important on-chain development. Amid the recent price decline, Martinez notes that Bitcoin slipped below its short-term holders’ (STH) realized price, creating an ideal situation for a market accumulation based on historical data. For context, the STH realized price represents the average acquisition price of coins held by short-term investors, i.e, wallets that have held BTC for less than 155 days. Typically, when the market price dips below this level, it indicates that new market entrants are underwater, signaling local capitulation and short-term fear in the market Based on the Glassnode data shared by Martinez, Bitcoin fell below its STH realized price on October 14 during its latest price correction. While such developments usually trigger temporary selling pressure, historical data show it has also become a cue for strategic buyers.  In particular, the price dip below the STH realized price appears to align with strong rebound points in the market. Notably, the chart above shows four prior instances (May 2023, November 2023, August 2024, and May 2025), where Bitcoin’s descent below the STH realized price was followed by substantial recoveries. Martinez explains that this price dip usually provides a good opportunity for market accumulation, thereby fueling future price rallies. Interestingly, the broader Bitcoin market remains dominated by long-term holders, who are potentially utilizing this price pocket to strengthen their holdings, thus maintaining the present bullish structure. Related Reading: More Pain Ahead? Bitcoin Trendline Breach Sparks Talk Of Corrective Wave In Play Bull Market Still On  In other news, a fellow market analyst with the username Titan of Crypto has recently stated that the Bitcoin bull market remains active amid bearish speculations following the latest price drops. Titan of Crypto has hinged their positive market insight on the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, which has acted as a pivotal level in determining price direction in the current market cycle  The analyst notes that as long as Bitcoin’s weekly candle holds above this level, the broader bull market continues to stay active. At press time, Bitcoin is valued at $106,800, reflecting a minor 0.40% decline in the past day. Meanwhile, daily trading volume is down by 61% and valued at $39.3 billion.  Featured image from Pexels, chart from Tradingview

Following the flash crash of last week, the Bitcoin price has once again sunk to similar depths, albeit in a more steady price correction. Notably, the leading cryptocurrency dipped below $105,000 on Friday as crypto liquidations rose to above $1.2 billion. However, underlying investor buying activity paints an encouraging picture of a potentially bullish rebound. Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Price Is Ready To Surge: ‘We Would Already Be Below $108,000 If The Crash Wasn’t Over’ Bitcoin Net Taker Volume Hits $309 Million Despite Price Fall In a QuickTake post on X, popular analyst Amr Taha shares an exchange activity update on the Bitcoin market amidst a significant price correction. The pundit reports a major uptick in buying pressure, which suggests investors may be quietly accumulating despite the present price weakness.  Notably, on-chain data shows that the Bitcoin crash to below $105,000 coincided with a spike in the net taker volume on Binance to around $309 million, marking its first positive zone since October 10. In trading terms, buy-taker volume represents orders that actively hit the ask, i.e.,  traders willing to buy immediately at market price rather than waiting for a better entry. The move indicates that, despite short-term volatility, there remains a deep undercurrent of bullish conviction among Bitcoin holders and traders. This high accumulation activity during a price demand usually precedes local bottom formations, as aggressive buyers absorb selling pressure, setting the stage for a parabolic price rebound.  Furthermore, while the taker volume surged, Amr Taha reports that the open interest (OI), which measures the total number of outstanding futures and perpetual contracts, failed to rise in tandem. This divergence suggests that trading activity is concentrated in the spot market rather than in leveraged derivatives, reinforcing the fact that investors are actively participating in the present market state.  In summary, the renowned crypto analyst views this exchange activity development as a potential bullish undercurrent. Taha explains that spot accumulation around key liquidity levels, such as the $105K zone, often serves as a foundation for future price recoveries once selling pressure subsides. Related Reading: BNB Active Addresses Hit Record 3.6 Million – Analyst Explains Network Growth Bitcoin Rebound Verified By Gold Price Surge In other news, a market analyst with the username Crypto Jebb echoes Bitcoin’s chances of a major price rebound. However, the expert anticipates the premier cryptocurrency may still see a further decline before eventually finding a bottom around $92,000.  In line with a growing notion, Jebb hinges his bullish thesis on a potential rotation of capital from the gold market to Bitcoin once the former hits a new market peak. Notably, gold is currently maintaining an impressive bullish momentum, having become the first asset to surpass a $30 trillion market capitalization value. Jebb predicts an eventual capital rotation when the gold market starts to correct, with potential inflows expected to push Bitcoin to around the $150,000 price mark in January. At press time, Bitcoin trades at $107,053, representing a 0.74% decline in the past day following a modest recovery effort. Featured image from Flickr, chart from Tradingview

Bitcoin’s weekly chart is at a pivotal point, with price action hovering around key structural levels. Traders are now questioning whether the current move marks the start of a deeper correction or just a healthy consolidation before the next leg up. Elliott Wave Signals Align With Developing Correction Elliott Waves Academy, in its latest analysis tracking Bitcoin’s expected wave path on the weekly timeframe, has raised a key question: has the corrective wave begun? The recent market structure indicates that the bullish leg has likely completed, and the price may now be transitioning into a corrective phase. A critical support level of the prior upward wave has been broken, hinting at a potential wave reversal in progress. Related Reading: Bitcoin On-Chain Activity Slumps Below 365-Day Average – Is Momentum Losing Steam? The evidence for this transition grows stronger when observing the break below the lower boundary of the diagonal pattern and the final price channel. Both of these structures previously acted as strong supports during Bitcoin’s impulsive climb, and their breakdown now suggests that market control is slowly shifting from buyers to sellers.  Currently, Bitcoin is trading beneath the lower boundary of the price channel, which has flipped into a key resistance zone. As long as the price remains below this zone, bearish sentiment could persist, keeping the market in a cautious state. Despite the weakness, there are signs that the downward sub-wave might be nearing completion. The structure suggests that a short-term upward corrective wave could emerge as the market attempts to stabilize and regain footing.  Expected Outlooks Sharing his expectations, Elliott Waves Academy noted that Bitcoin may continue to consolidate around its current levels as bulls attempt to defend their positions. Such a phase of sideways movement often reflects a period of indecision in the market, where both buyers and sellers are waiting for confirmation before committing to their next major moves.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Structure Points To Healthy Correction Before Next Wave Toward $150,000 However, the Academy cautioned that if signs of weakness begin to emerge near the current resistance zone, the market could face a potential reversal. This shift could trigger renewed bearish pressure, pushing Bitcoin into a deeper corrective leg.  According to the analysis, the correction could extend toward the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels of the previous upward wave. These Fibonacci zones often serve as key areas of support during corrective movements, and a decline into these ranges could provide a more stable foundation for a future bullish reversal.  Ultimately, monitoring price behavior around these crucial levels in the following days will be essential. Whether the market holds firm in consolidation or slips into a deeper retracement, the upcoming movements in these zones could set the tone for the next phase of Bitcoin’s long-term wave cycle. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

After a short-lived display of bullish momentum, where price returned as high as about $116,000 after the tariff-induced flash crash, Bitcoin’s price has maintained a sharp downward trend in the third week of October. More shockingly, on-chain data has surfaced that paints a pessimistic yet uncertain picture of the cryptocurrency’s future. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Falls To $103,000: Is This The End Of The Bull Run Or A Prequel To The Next Surge? $100,000 Emerges As Key Support Zone In a recent X post on Friday, CryptoQuant analyst Julio Moreno shared insights from his technical analysis of the Bitcoin price action. Moreno highlighted that Bitcoin’s most recent break beneath what was a price consolidation range of $120,000-$108,000 has caused a shift of attention towards $100,000 as the next critical level. The crypto analyst defended his report with the Bitcoin Trader On-chain Realized Price Bands metric, which measures the lower boundary of the average on-chain acquisition cost for Bitcoin short-term holders. Simply, this metric helps identify the price level that would act as support in cases where the price experiences corrective movement. From the chart shared above, $100.9k is currently the lower boundary of the average trader realized price, one that Moreno expects could serve as a support zone. Aside from technical analysis and on-chain activity, $100,000 is also a significant psychological price level, as it serves as the hallmark where Bitcoin enters a six-figure valuation. If the Bitcoin price were to fall to levels as low as $100,000, the strong psychological backing by market participants could translate to its price action. As a result, the flagship cryptocurrency could see temporary relief from the bearish pressure that it is currently under. Related Reading: Solana Meme Economy: The Culture That Drives Billions In Volume – Here’s How What Next For Bitcoin? As was previously mentioned, $100,000 stands as a significant level for the Bitcoin price, with psychology and technical analysis coming together to reinforce its importance. Derivable from Moreno’s post is the conjecture that if the $100,000 support were to hold, Bitcoin’s bullish sentiment among market participants could be renewed, thus setting the pace for the flagship cryptocurrency’s recovery towards its current all-time-high price.  On the other hand, the failure of this important price level could carry grave implications, especially for short-term holders. A break in this psychological support could trigger a sharp sentiment shift amongst Bitcoin market participants, causing them to sell their holdings to minimize losses or escape with some profits.  Interestingly, the 365-day Moving Average (MA) sits around the $100,000 psychological support. For context, the 365-day MA is a technical indicator that shows Bitcoin’s average closing price over the past year. By extension of its primary function, the indicator is used to gauge Bitcoin’s direction in the long term. If Bitcoin should therefore slip beneath its 365-day MA of $100,000, it could be a sign that the digital asset is about to assume a long-term bearish trajectory, a sign which might precede major price corrections. As of this writing, Bitcoin is worth approximately $107,400, showing a 7-day loss of more than 5% of its value. Featured image from Flickr, chart from Tradingview

After briefly taking on a structure suggesting an imminent recuperation from the October 10 market downturn, the Bitcoin price appears to be heading into the weekend with a clear bearish outlook. According to data from recent on-chain analysis, the world’s largest cryptocurrency still faces an even higher risk of increased bearish pressure, which may lead to a deeper correction over the next few weeks. Binance Records Daily High Of 40 BTC Inflows In an October 17 post on the social media platform X, pseudonymous on-chain analyst Darkfost revealed a shift in the behavior of market participants within Bitcoin’s oldest investor class. Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Price Is Ready To Surge: ‘We Would Already Be Below $108,000 If The Crash Wasn’t Over’ In the post on X, the analyst referenced results from the Binance Exchange Inflow — Spent Output Age Bands metric, which tracks the amount of Bitcoin sent to Binance, and the age of these coins being sent out. In this case, transactions from the long-term holders (based on their age) were tracked. Darkfost explained that the 7-day Moving Average (MA) of these BTC inflows on Binance has seen a rise to 40 BTC per day within just a short period of time. What’s more interesting is that the 7-day MA jumped from around 4 BTC per day to this local high. When compared to previous levels, a sudden rise to about 40 Bitcoins per day could be significant news for the world’s leading cryptocurrency. What This Means For Bitcoin Price Because Bitcoin’s long-term holders hold more than 80 percent of its total supply, their actions across exchanges tend to heavily affect price volatility. Darkfost further explained how recent LTH activity could affect market dynamics. Backed by historical occurrences, the analyst made it clear that increasing inflows of BTC to Binance also point to a potential increase in selling pressure; this is because transfers to exchanges are often associated with selling activity, as they act as mediums for quick sell-offs or profit-taking. Related Reading: Ethereum Correction Over? Binance Funding Rates Signal ETH Surging To $6,800 When long-term holders begin moving their holdings to exchanges, they are known to move them in large quantities, and evidently not without intent. Interestingly, the surge in Binance inflows preceded LTH profit taking — an event which ignited the most recent crash seen by the Bitcoin market, and the simultaneous reintegration into market supply of “ancient BTC.” From the chart shared by Darkfost, the inflow levels seem to be maintaining fairly good levels. While this might be good in the short term, the analyst advised that it would be best to watch out for its upward trend. “Should it continue to accelerate, it could indicate a shift in LTH positioning and potentially mark the beginning of a short-term distribution phase,” the analyst added. As of press time, Bitcoin is valued at approximately $107,085, reflecting an almost 2% decline in the past day. Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

The cryptocurrency Fear & Greed Index has plummeted into the extreme fear territory following the crash in Bitcoin and other assets. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Is Now Pointing At “Extreme Fear” The “Fear & Greed Index” is an indicator created by Alternative that uses the data of several factors to determine the net sentiment present among traders in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency markets. The factors in question include volatility, trading volume, market cap dominance, social media sentiment, and Google Trends. The index makes use of a scale running from 0-100 for representing the investor mentality. All values above 53 imply the traders are greedy, while those below 47 suggest a fearful market. Values lying between the two cutoffs correspond to a net neutral sentiment. Related Reading: Next Dogecoin Stop Could Be $0.33 If This Level Holds, Analyst Says Besides these three main sentiments, there are also two “extreme” zones called the extreme fear (below 25) and extreme greed (above 75). Currently, the market is in the former of the two. As displayed above, the Fear & Greed Index has a value of 22 at the moment, which is just inside the extreme fear zone. This is a deterioration compared to the last few days, when the indicator held normal fear values. The reason behind the slide into the extreme fear territory naturally lies in the bearish action that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have faced recently. In particular, the market has suffered a sharp move down during the past day. Last week also ended with a rapid drawdown in BTC and company, and then too sentiment took a large hit, with the index registering a low of 24. This previous turnaround in sentiment was also much more drastic than the latest one, as it took the metric from greed values all the way down into the extreme fear zone in a flash. Historically, the extreme sentiments have held much importance for Bitcoin and other digital assets, as major tops and bottoms have often occurred in these regions. The relationship has been an inverse one, however, meaning that extreme fear can result in a bottom, while extreme greed can lead to a top. Related Reading: Bitcoin Back Under $111,000 As Key Holders Shed 17,500 BTC The plunge into extreme fear earlier also paved the way to a bottom, although it proved to be only a temporary one. With the Fear & Greed Index back in the zone, it will be interesting to see how the Bitcoin price will develop in the coming days. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $105,600, down 13% over the last week. Featured image from Dall-E, Alternative.me, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to lose momentum, as the flagship cryptocurrency fell to $103,528 earlier today amid an increasingly uncertain global macroeconomic outlook. Fresh data from Binance suggests that BTC is currently undergoing a critical transition phase within its price cycle. Bitcoin Fall Continues – When Will Bloodbath End? According to a CryptoQuant QuickTake post by contributor Arab Chain, Bitcoin is currently undergoing an important transition phase within its market cycle. The Bitcoin Cycle Phase Score recently entered negative territory, in tandem with a decline in BTC’s price from $124,000 to around $107,000 within 24 hours. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Feels “Too Efficient” As Arbitrage Opportunities Vanish – What It Means For Price? The Cycle Phase Score combines market trend and short-term momentum (Z-Score) to show Bitcoin’s current phase. Positive values indicate upward momentum, while negative values signal short-term weakness or a correction. The decline in the Cycle Phase Score shows that the BTC market has lost some of its upward momentum that benefited it during the first two weeks of October. The transition to negative territory shows the start of a structural correction phase, following weeks of consecutive gains. The analyst explained that a trend_signal of -1 confirms that BTC’s price has tumbled below the 200-day moving average. It is likely to trade below this metric until it can decisively break through the $106,780 level. Similarly, a negative Z-score shows that Bitcoin’s price is trading significantly below its short-term average, further confirming the dominance of short-term selling pressure. Arab Chain added: Analytically, this movement can be viewed as a rebalancing phase within the ongoing cycle, rather than the start of a long-term downtrend. The current pullback follows a strong period of price expansion, which is often followed by a temporary pause in momentum before the main trend resumes. Arab Chain concluded by saying that if BTC’s price finds stability above $105,000 in the coming days, then the Cycle Phase Score indicator may re-enter the positive region again. Such a development could signal the end of the ongoing price correction phase. Will BTC Fall Below $100,000? As BTC trades close to the mid $100,000 level, fears are rising in the market that the digital asset may fall below the psychologically important $100,000 mark. Further, on-chain data is not particularly encouraging, as the Bitcoin network activity recently crashed below the 365-day average. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s On-Chain Roadmap Shows $111,000 – $143,000 As The Range To Watch In addition, crypto analyst CryptoBirb recently stated that the current BTC bull cycle is likely coming to an end. The analyst remarked that Bitcoin is almost 99.3% through its current cycle. That said, whale accumulation of BTC is showing no signs of slowing down. Companies added a total of 176,000 BTC to their treasuries during Q3 2025. At press time, BTC trades at $105,484, down 5.1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Bitcoin is once again under heavy pressure, sliding toward the $103,000 level as the broader crypto market undergoes a sharp downturn. After days of volatility and failed recovery attempts, BTC has lost key support, triggering renewed fear and accelerating sell-offs across altcoins. Most major assets are showing deep losses, with traders and investors now questioning whether the market has entered a deeper corrective phase. Related Reading: Paxos Mints 300 Trillion PYUSD By Error – Here’s What Happened According to top analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin’s main support zone lies between $106,000 and $107,000, a range defined by the Short-Term Holder (STH) 1M–3M Realized Price and the 200-day simple moving average (SMA 200D). This critical area represents a confluence of both on-chain and technical support levels where previous corrections have historically found equilibrium. However, the current momentum shows mounting weakness. As panic spreads and liquidity dries up, all eyes are now on the $106K–107K range — a decisive battleground that could define Bitcoin’s short-term trajectory and set the tone for the rest of the crypto market. Bitcoin’s Market Structure Faces a Crucial Test Adler highlights that a loss of the $106K level would likely trigger a move toward $100,000, where the yearly moving average (SMA 365D) currently aligns — a level that has historically acted as a springboard for major reversals during previous market cycles. Despite the growing fear, Adler notes that the macro structure remains bullish as long as the $100K base holds. This region represents long-term buyer interest, and defending it could reset overheated leverage and pave the way for a more stable recovery. However, Bitcoin is already trading below the $106K mark, raising concerns that the market could be preparing for a deeper test of this critical floor. Analysts across the space are now closely watching the daily candle closes, which will determine whether the move below support is merely a liquidity sweep or confirmation of a bearish continuation. If Bitcoin fails to reclaim the $107K level soon, a broader shift in sentiment could unfold — one that may prolong the consolidation phase and test investor conviction. In contrast, a strong rebound from the $100K zone would reinforce the argument that the correction is part of a healthy reset within an ongoing bull market. The coming days will therefore be decisive: either Bitcoin holds this base and rebuilds momentum, or it breaks lower, signaling that the current cycle’s most aggressive phase of volatility is far from over. Related Reading: New Wallets Move Over $160M In Bitcoin From Binance And FalconX – Details Bitcoin Tests Support Zone Amid Continued Weakness Bitcoin continues to slide, with the latest chart showing price action hovering around $106,000, now testing one of the most critical support zones in months. After failing to reclaim the $115,000 and $117,500 resistance levels earlier this week, BTC extended its losses, touching an intraday low near $103,500 before recovering slightly. The market remains tense as traders watch whether the 200-day moving average (SMA 200D) — currently around $107,500 — will hold. This level represents the Short-Term Holder (STH) realized price region and coincides with the area identified by analysts as a major structural base. A confirmed breakdown below it could open the door to a test of $100,000, where the yearly moving average (SMA 365D) aligns, serving as the next major support. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whale Closes $197M Short, But The Game Might Not Be Over Momentum indicators suggest that BTC is still under strong bearish pressure. The 50-day and 100-day moving averages are trending downward, indicating a loss of short-term momentum. Unless Bitcoin can close daily candles back above $107K, market sentiment is likely to remain cautious. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

As the week draws to a close, Bitcoin continues to show signs of resilience following its dramatic flash crash to the $101,000 price level last weekend. After days of intense volatility and heavy liquidations across the market, the world’s largest cryptocurrency has managed to stabilize above this level, even reaching as high as $113,400 during the week.  In this context, crypto analyst Tyrex shared a bullish outlook on X, stating that the worst of the downturn is behind and that Bitcoin could soon be gearing up for an upward surge back to $117,000. Bitcoin’s Price Action Reinforces Bottoming Thesis Tyrex believes Bitcoin’s repeated defense of the $108,000 to $105,000 zone is a strong indication that the market has already bottomed out. Throughout the week, price action remained around this critical area despite continued selling pressure. This means there is the presence of a firm support at this level.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Crash Below $100,000 Coming? Factors That Highlight Another Decline The analyst explained that if the correction were still unfolding, Bitcoin would have already slipped below $108,000. Instead, the consistent retest and hold of this range suggests exhaustion of the bearish trend and a setup for a rebound. Such resilience after major drawdowns has often preceded powerful recovery rallies in previous Bitcoin market cycles. According to Tyrex, Bitcoin’s current consolidation phase is forming a base for the next leg higher. He projected that the price could climb toward $117,000 in the coming sessions once short-term resistance levels are cleared. The broader technical structure still favors the bulls, with many traders viewing last weekend’s crash as a reset that flushed out excessive leverage rather than a signal of long-term weakness. Momentum indicators have also begun to flatten out, and we could see renewed buying interest from both retail and institutional traders into the next week. Altcoins To Benefit From Bitcoin’s Strength Tyrex also suggested that the broader crypto market will follow Bitcoin’s lead once it begins to move decisively upward. The majority of altcoins followed Bitcoin’s crash last weekend and plunged massively. Ethereum, Solana, and XRP all fell below support levels as market sentiment soured. Related Reading: Famous Economist Warns That The Bitcoin Price Recovery Is A Dead Cat Bounce, What This Means However, smaller assets are beginning to stabilize alongside Bitcoin, due to confidence among traders expecting the worst to be over. Tyrex warned investors not to misinterpret the ongoing sideways movement as a sign of further decline, noting that “the market already crashed, let it rest.” At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $105,300. Heading into the new weekend, Bitcoin’s ability to close the week above $105,000 could set the stage for a breakout to $111,000 and $117,000. If this scenario unfolds, Tyrex’s projection that the crash has concluded and a new uptrend is forming could soon prove accurate. However, failure to hold above $105,000 could lead to a further downtrend. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin price is struggling to settle above $112,500 and $113,000. BTC is now moving lower and might start another decline below $108,000. Bitcoin started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the $113,000 resistance level. The price is trading below $110,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $110,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $107,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Again Bitcoin price failed to surpass the $113,000 resistance level and started a fresh decline. BTC dipped below the $112,000 and $110,500 support levels to enter a bearish zone. The price even dipped below $108,000. A low was formed at $107,483 and the price is now consolidating losses below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $115,975 swing high to the $107,483 low. Bitcoin is now trading below $110,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $110,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $109,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $110,000 level. The next resistance could be $110,500 and the trend line. A close above the $110,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $111,800 resistance since it is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $115,975 swing high to the $107,483 low. Any more gains might send the price toward the $112,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $113,000. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $110,000 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $108,000 level. The first major support is near the $107,500 level. The next support is now near the $106,200 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $105,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $103,200, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the short term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $108,000, followed by $107,500. Major Resistance Levels – $110,000 and $110,500.

On October 20, 2025, the crypto market saw a major flash crash that sent Bitcoin down 20%, and altcoins suffered between 50% and 80% losses as a result. Reports from data trackers show that more than $19 billion in leveraged positions were liquidated as a result. This led to the largest liquidation event in the crypto industry up until that point, leading to comparisons and speculations that this could be a repeat of the infamous COVID-19 crash of 2020. What It Means For Bitcoin And Crypto If This Is A Repeat Of 2020 One of the key crypto players who has pointed out that the current cycle could be similar to that of 2020 is crypto analyst Rekt Fencer. Fencer took to X (formerly Twitter) to share with their over 330,000 followers, a side-by-side chart showing the 2020 performance compared to what is happening now in 2025. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Crash Below $100,000 Coming? Factors That Highlight Another Decline To put this in perspective, back in 2020, the crypto market suffered a flash crash where the Bitcoin price fell by more than 50%, and the altcoin market followed. This was a result of the COVID-19 lockdowns that were announced around the world in a bid to curb the spread of the virus. In response to the shutdowns, the stock market had crashed, taking Bitcoin and the crypto market down with it. This led to over $1.2 billion in daily liquidation, which at the time was the most significant liquidation in crypto history. However, this figure now pales in comparison to the over $19 billion in liquidations that were recorded last week. Despite the disparity in the liquidation volumes, crypto analyst Rekt Fencer believes that this could lead to a repeat of what happened after the COVID-19 crash. Back then, the bounce from the crash had been rapid. By 2021, one year later, the entire crypto market had risen to new all-time highs. Related Reading: Pattern That Led To Dogecoin Price 36,000% Surge In 2021 Has Emerged Again, Will History Repeat? Taking that performance and using it to map out the Bitcoin and crypto market performance after last week’s crash, it would mean that the market is ready for another bull run. It would also put the market at the bottom of the bull run, meaning that the Bitcoin price is far from its all-time high price. Rekt Fencer explains that “History is about to repeat itself” and “The real move starts when everyone thinks it’s over.” Thus, another explosive rally could be right on the horizon, if this isn’t the start of a bear run. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

On-chain data shows the short-term holder Bitcoin whales have recently increased their Realized Cap share to the highest level ever. Bitcoin Is Currently Being Dominated By New Capital In a new post on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has talked about the latest trend in the share of the Bitcoin whale Realized Cap held by the short-term holders. The Realized Cap here is an on-chain indicator that measures, in short, the total amount of capital that the BTC investors as a whole have put into the cryptocurrency. Changes in this metric reflect the incoming or outgoing of capital. Related Reading: Bitcoin Retests STH Cost Basis Again: Is This Where Support Flips? In the context of the current topic, the Realized Cap of only a portion of holders is of interest: the whales. These are the entities carrying more than 1,000 BTC (about $111.4 million) in their balance. Whales can be further broken down into cohorts on the basis of holding time. Whale-sized holders who bought their coins within the past 155 days are known as the short-term holder (STH) or new whales. Similarly, those who have a holding time higher than this cutoff are called the long-term holder (LTH) or old whales. Now, here is the chart shared by Maartunn that shows how the Bitcoin Realized Cap dominance of these two groups has changed over the past decade: As displayed in the above graph, new whales have rapidly gained ground in the Bitcoin Realized Cap recently and hit a dominance of 44%. The STH whales represent the big-money capital that has come into the coin over the last 155 days. Thus, it would appear that 44% of the capital stored on the BTC network is currently “fresh.” This is the largest share of the whale Realized Cap that the STHs alone have occupied in the cryptocurrency’s history. To put things into perspective, the 2021 bull run topped out at a value of 31%. The STH whales gain Realized Cap dominance through two means: a transfer of coins between members of the cohort at a higher price and selling from the LTH whales. LTH whales are the resolute hands of the market who hold out through volatile periods in wait for profitable exit opportunities. These smart-money investors usually ramp up their selling during bull runs and transfer their coins to new money coming into Bitcoin. As long as demand is high enough to absorb this distribution, the rally continues, but once capital inflows drop off, the asset hits a top. Related Reading: Bitcoin Crash Unlike LUNA & FTX Collapses, Says Glassnode: Here’s Why So far, the growth in the STH whale Realized Cap share has maintained, but it only remains to be seen how much room is still left. BTC Price Bitcoin has been struggling to recover since Friday’s crash as its price is still trading around $111,400. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

After a turbulent few days, Bitcoin (BTC) has resumed its downtrend, currently retracing toward $111,000. This marks a 12% decline from its recent peak of $126,000, which raises concerns among market experts who suggest that the bull run may be closer to its end than many investors believe. End Of Bitcoin Bull Cycle Within Nine Days? On October 14, market analyst CryptoBirb, took to social media platform X (formerly Twitter) to assert that the bullish cycle is nearing its conclusion, stating that it may end within the next nine days.  He referenced the Cycle Peak Countdown indicator, which suggests that Bitcoin is 99.3% through its current cycle, having lasted 1,058 days. According to CryptoBirb, this final stage is characterized by a “textbook shakeout of weak hands,” a common pattern observed before market peaks.  Related Reading: Tether Resolves Celsius Lawsuit With Major $300 Million Settlement Deal CryptoBirb emphasized that October 24 serves as a critical target date, just nine days away, and labeled the recent crash as “right on schedule.” He further explained that the market is deep within the peak zone, with 543 days elapsing since the last Bitcoin Halving, exceeding the historical peak window of 518 to 580 days.  The sentiment in the market also appears to have shifted dramatically, with the Fear & Greed Index plummeting from 71 to 38, indicating a reset from fear to euphoria. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) also dropped from 67 to 47, suggesting that this emotional washout may create an ideal launchpad for a final euphoric surge.  However, technical indicators show mixed signals: while the Average True Range (ATR) has expanded to 4,040, indicating higher volatility, the RSI’s position at 47 suggests a reset momentum.  What On-Chain Metrics Suggest Institutional investors have also begun to shift their strategies, as evidenced by recent Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) flows, which reversed from $627 million in inflows to $4.5 million in outflows.  Ethereum ETF outflows reached $174.9 million, indicating that smart money is taking profits before retail investors potentially fear of missing out (FOMO) in. CryptoBirb asserts that this behavior aligns with a classic distribution-to-accumulation transition. Related Reading: Hyperliquid Holders Left In The Dark: Monad Protocol Faces Scrutiny Over MON Airdrop On-chain metrics reflect a cooling market, with the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) dropping to 0.522 from 0.556, and the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) declining to 2.15 from 2.45. These profit-taking actions may be creating the necessary space for a final euphoric push.  When examining October’s performance, Bitcoin is down 2.09% month-to-date, contrasting sharply with its historical average of a 19.78% increase. This underperformance could actually be a bullish sign, suggesting that a significant move may still be on the horizon in the final weeks of the month. In summary, the current cycle appears to be 99.3% complete. It has already spent 25 days in the peak zone and experienced a reset in sentiment and institutional distribution, as well as weak performance in October. However, if the analyst’s thesis proves right, this blending could turn into a perfect storm for a final surge before entering a new crypto winter.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin price is struggling to settle above $113,500 and $114,000. BTC is now consolidating and might start another decline below $110,000. Bitcoin started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the $114,000 resistance level. The price is trading below $113,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $112,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $110,200 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Hurdles Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $112,500 resistance level. BTC recovered above the $112,800 and $113,000 resistance levels. The price climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $115,975 swing high to the $110,000 low. The bulls even pushed the price above the $113,500 resistance level. However, there are many hurdles on the upside. Bitcoin is now trading below $113,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $112,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $112,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $113,000 level. The next resistance could be $113,700 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $115,975 swing high to the $110,000 low. A close above the $113,700 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $114,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $115,250 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $115,500. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $113,000 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $110,200 level. The first major support is near the $110,000 level. The next support is now near the $109,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $108,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $107,200, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the short term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $110,200, followed by $110,000. Major Resistance Levels – $112,000 and $113,000.

Bitcoin continues to hover around the $112,500 level, with volatility persisting across the market following last week’s historic crash. According to on-chain data, short-term holders (STHs) remain under heavy pressure, showing clear signs of panic. The STH realized price, a metric that tracks the average cost basis of recent buyers, indicates that many traders are still reacting emotionally to price fluctuations. The latest liquidation event seems to have deeply impacted market sentiment — even a small pullback yesterday was enough to trigger another wave of panic selling. Related Reading: Bitcoin Handles $14B OI Drop As Spot Volume Surged To $44B: Controlled Reset? Yet, while some investors capitulate, others are seizing the opportunity. The famous Bitcoin OG whale, who gained widespread attention for shorting BTC and ETH right before the crash, has reportedly closed his position, locking in more than $197 million in profits. This move marks the end of one of the most successful short trades of the year. As Bitcoin stabilizes within a tight range, the market remains divided between fear-driven sellers and opportunistic players positioning for the next major move. The coming days could determine whether BTC finds stability or faces renewed selling pressure from nervous short-term holders. Bitcoin Whale Moves Cause Speculation Lookonchain has tracked a series of high-stakes moves from the trader known as BitcoinOG (1011short) — one of the most closely watched whales in the market right now. The trader reportedly closed all BTC short positions on Hyperliquid, securing more than $197 million in profit across two wallets after last week’s crash. Just hours later, the same wallet transferred $89 million USDC to Binance, immediately sparking speculation that the trader could be preparing to reopen short positions. Coincidentally, Bitcoin open interest on Binance surged by $510 million shortly after the deposit, adding fuel to theories that the whale may be behind the move. While no direct link has been confirmed, analysts are split on whether this signals another round of aggressive shorting or simply capital repositioning. Some suggest the whale may be betting on further downside after Bitcoin’s failure to hold above $115K, while others believe the funds could be used for market-neutral strategies like hedging or arbitrage. Still, the timing has left traders uneasy. The market remains fragile, and the whale’s actions — whether strategic or coincidental — could influence short-term sentiment as Bitcoin fights to defend support around the $110K region. Related Reading: Matrixport-Linked Wallets Pull 4,000 Bitcoin From Binance Within 20 Hours – Details BTC Consolidates Below Pivotal Level Bitcoin continues to face selling pressure as it trades around $112,500, hovering just above its short-term support zone. The daily chart shows that BTC remains trapped between the 50-day moving average (near $115,000) and the 200-day moving average (around $108,000), signaling an indecisive market. The repeated rejections near $117,500 — a level that acted as both support and resistance throughout the year — confirm it as a key supply zone. The recent bounce attempts have been weak, with volume thinning and momentum indicators suggesting consolidation rather than a strong reversal. Bulls are struggling to reclaim control after the sharp sell-off that briefly sent BTC to $103K, and failure to hold above $110K could expose the next lower liquidity pockets around $107K and $105K. Related Reading: Binance Stablecoin Supply Surges To Record $42B: Liquidity Flows Back Into Markets On the other hand, holding above this range would stabilize market sentiment, allowing BTC to rebuild a base for a potential retest of the $115K–$118K area. For now, price action remains cautious — range-bound and reactive to broader risk sentiment. Traders are watching for a breakout above $115K or a decisive drop below $110K to confirm the next major directional move in the aftermath of last week’s volatility. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin is facing a pivotal moment after last Friday’s flash crash briefly sent prices tumbling to the $103,000 level, shaking market confidence before a swift recovery. The leading cryptocurrency has since stabilized, consolidating below the $115,000 mark as traders and institutions reassess short-term momentum. While volatility has returned, on-chain and institutional data continue to show underlying strength in Bitcoin’s fundamentals. Related Reading: Bitcoin Handles $14B OI Drop As Spot Volume Surged To $44B: Controlled Reset? According to a new report from Bitwise, institutional demand remains robust — with 72 publicly known companies collectively holding more than 1 million BTC, valued at roughly $117 billion. This includes major corporate holders, ETFs, and investment funds that continue to view Bitcoin as a long-term strategic asset despite the market turbulence. This growing accumulation reinforces the idea that Bitcoin’s macro trend remains intact, driven by institutional adoption and long-term conviction. As the market digests recent volatility, the strength of these treasury positions could play a key role in stabilizing prices and setting the stage for Bitcoin’s next major move. Corporate Bitcoin Adoption Reaches Record Levels in Q3 The latest Bitwise report highlights a striking development in Bitcoin’s institutional landscape: 176,762 BTC were purchased during Q3 by publicly listed companies and funds. This steady growth in corporate treasuries underscores how Bitcoin continues to evolve from a speculative asset into a recognized component of the global financial ecosystem. At the forefront of this movement remains Strategy, which retains its position as the largest corporate holder with 640,031 BTC, equivalent to tens of billions in market value. The firm also added an impressive 40,000 BTC during the third quarter, demonstrating persistent conviction despite recent volatility. Other institutions and ETFs have followed suit, expanding their Bitcoin exposure as part of broader digital asset strategies aimed at hedging inflation, diversifying reserves, and participating in a new phase of global liquidity cycles. This expanding corporate adoption suggests that Bitcoin has entered a more mature and globally integrated phase. No longer seen solely as a speculative trade, it is increasingly recognized as a strategic asset within the balance sheets of financial institutions and multinational corporations. In essence, this trend reflects the institutionalization of Bitcoin—a movement that stabilizes demand, reinforces market confidence, and reduces the dominance of short-term retail speculation. As regulatory frameworks evolve and traditional finance converges with blockchain technology, Bitcoin’s presence in corporate treasuries could become as routine as holding cash or government bonds. Related Reading: Matrixport-Linked Wallets Pull 4,000 Bitcoin From Binance Within 20 Hours – Details Bitcoin Consolidates Below Key Resistance Amid Market Uncertainty Bitcoin continues to face pressure as it trades around $112,870, struggling to reclaim the critical $117,500 resistance zone highlighted in the chart. This level has acted as a key supply area over recent months, and each failed breakout attempt has reinforced it as a strong ceiling for the price. After the flash crash to $103,000 last week, BTC staged a moderate recovery but remains trapped between the 50-day moving average (blue) and the 200-day moving average (red)—a zone that often defines medium-term trend direction. Bulls have managed to protect the $110,000–$111,000 support area, but repeated tests of this range show weakening momentum and growing uncertainty. Related Reading: Binance Stablecoin Supply Surges To Record $42B: Liquidity Flows Back Into Markets The moving averages are currently flattening, suggesting market indecision. If Bitcoin fails to retake the $115,000–$117,500 range, further downside toward $108,000 or even $105,000 remains possible in the short term. Conversely, a successful daily close above $117,500 could confirm renewed bullish momentum and open the door for a move toward $122,000–$125,000. BTC appears to be in a consolidation phase, digesting recent volatility while traders wait for clearer direction. Institutional flows and on-chain signals will likely determine whether this zone becomes a base for recovery or the beginning of another leg lower. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

With the Bitcoin price seeing some recovery after crashing to $102,000, speculations now abound as to where the pioneer cryptocurrency could be headed next. So far, it has been a mixed bag, with some expecting a rally similar to the COVID rally to follow, and others believing that this is the start of the bear market. In the same vein, a pseudonymous crypto analyst has painted a clear picture of where they expect the Bitcoin price to go, depending on how it performs in relation to the midpoint level. What Happens If The Bitcoin Price Stay Above the Midpoint? Presently, the midpoint line is important to the performance of the Bitcoin price. This is because it lies firmly between the major support and resistance that were seen in the last few weeks. This puts the midpoint at around $111,994, marking the next decisive point for the cryptocurrency. Related Reading: XRP Open Interest Crashes 50% Over The Weekend, What Does This Mean For Price? As the crypto analyst explains, if the Bitcoin price is able to stay above the midpoint, then the next major resistance that it would need to beat lies at the 0.75 Fibonacci level. This translates to the $117,605 price level, making it the point where the bears could mount the most resistance, especially given the fact that this trend is bearish on the lower time frames. Nevertheless, staying above this midpoint would mean that the trend remains bullish and in favor of the buyers. Thus, it would send the trend for a rally confirmation, and potentially lead the charge toward the next bid for new all-time highs. “A V-shaped recovery and move straight to the highs would be max pain after such a brutal move down,” the analyst stated. Bears Could Still Reclaim Control While the Bitcoin price staying above the midpoint is still bullish, there are way more bearish implications if the price breaks down at this level. The analyst points out that losing the midpoint level would mean that the Bitcoin price was once again open to backfilling the wick. Related Reading: XRP About To Stage A Repeat Of 2017? Here’s What Happened Last Time There Was A Flash Crash This wick refers to the flash crash wick that was established last Friday, when the Bitcoin price fell to $102,000. The market continues to struggle to recover from the last crash, even with Bitcoin being above $110,000, and another breakdown toward $102,000 could be catastrophic for altcoins. In support of the bearish thesis, another crypto analyst also pointed out that the Bitcoin price is exhibiting signs of distribution. With this, it is possible that Bitcoin could form a reversal pattern and continue the price downtrend. From here, the analyst sees the price eventually crashing below $100,000 before finding support. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

After a remarkable start to ‘Uptober,’ Bitcoin (BTC) has recently seen significant volatility, retesting multiple crucial levels. As the price bounces from the $110,000 mark, some analysts have suggested that BTC’s rally won’t restart until a key area is reclaimed. Related Reading: Chinese Investment Bank Eyes $600 Million Raise For BNB Treasury Company Bitcoin Needs Key Reclaim For New Highs Over the past week, Bitcoin’s price has fluctuated between its range’s lower and upper boundaries, hitting both a new all-time high (ATH) of $126,000 and a three-month low of $102,000. Notably, the crypto market saw one of the largest liquidation events in history on Friday, which briefly sent BTC’s price below $107,500. The flagship crypto quickly bounced from the lows and reclaimed the $110,000 barrier as support over the weekend, attempting to reclaim the $116,000 level twice since Sunday. Analyst Ted Pillows noted that holding the crucial $110,000-$111,000 zone could set the stage for a bounce back to the high of its three-day range, but warned that losing this area could send the price to the $107,000 support before a reversal. Similarly, Daan Crypto Trades highlighted that despite the pullback, BTC’s range between $107,500-$124,000 has held and the key horizon levels have been respected, with “many large pivots and moves happening from these areas.” The trader suggested that Bitcoin will likely continue to “chop” within the range’s mid-zone, where most price action has occurred since Q3, until it reclaims and retests $117,000 as support. To achieve this reclaim, analyst Rekt Capital pointed out BTC must show continued stability around the $114,000 area as it has “historically preceded upside into at least $117.3k.” He noted that on the previous occasions when the price Daily Closed above this level, Bitcoin was able to rally to at least $117,300, even if the bounce eventually led to more downside action. Nonetheless, “for bullish bias, it’s important $117.3k doesn’t turn into a resistance on this current move and so Bitcoin will need to Daily Close above $117.3k to continue towards $120k over time,” the analyst warned. BTC’s Macro Structure Shows Strength Rekt Capital highlighted that BTC managed to maintain its macro bullish market structure, continuing to “print progressive Higher Lows despite the drastic downside, which is a sign of strong continued premium-buying behaviour on price pullbacks.” He also noted that Bitcoin has been consolidating within the $108,000-$116,000 levels in the monthly timeframe, upside wicking beyond the range high and downside wicking below the range low since July. The analyst suggested that the downside wicks could be a positive sign since “it signifies a liquidity grab at lower price levels that could add the necessary fuel to attempt a Macro Range breakout.” “As a matter of fact, Bitcoin has been upside wicking beyond the $116k Range High far more frequently in recent months compared to the downside wicking below the $108k Range Low, which is a testament to the Range Low’s role as a stable higher timeframe support,” he explained. Related Reading: Analyst Sends Message To XRP Investors: If You Don’t Do This, You’ll Get Wrecked Rekt Capital added that a downside wick below the range low was inevitable, as the price had not experienced such volatility in months. He concluded that holding the $114,000 support in the weekly timeframe is the key level for a new challenge of the Range Highs. As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $112,610, a 2.7% decline in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin has faced another retrace in the past day that has brought its price to the short-term holder cost basis, a level that has acted as support thus far. Bitcoin Is Making Yet Another Retest Of The STH Realized Price As explained by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in a new post on X, Bitcoin could be at the fourth step of the short-term holder (STH) Realized Price cycle. The “Realized Price” here refers to an indicator that measures the average cost basis of the investors on the BTC network. When the value of this metric is greater than the spot price, it means the overall market is carrying a net unrealized loss. On the other hand, it being below BTC’s value suggests the average holder is in the green. Related Reading: Bitcoin Crash Unlike LUNA & FTX Collapses, Says Glassnode: Here’s Why In the context of the current topic, the Realized Price of only a specific segment of investors is of interest: the STHs. These are the BTC holders who purchased their coins within the past 155 days. This group is considered to include the fickle-minded bunch of the sector, prone to making panic moves during volatile periods. Now, here is the chart shared by Maartunn that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Realized Price of the STHs over the last couple of months: As is visible in the above graph, Bitcoin has made a few retests of the STH Realized Price during the last few weeks and each time, the level has held so far. The reason behind the indicator acting as support lies in how investor psychology tends to work. As the analyst has broken down in the chart, STHs typically follow a five-step cycle during bullish phases. The first three steps involve some degree of buying from the group upon retests of their cost basis from above. These holders consider the retraces to their break-even level as dip-buying opportunities. By the fourth retest, however, they can become exhausted, and may decide to stop their accumulation. This is when the level stops providing support to the cryptocurrency. Related Reading: BNB Shoots Up 6%: Is This Just The Start Of A Run To $2,400? From the chart, it’s visible that the latest retrace in Bitcoin has once again brought its value near the STH Realized Price. Given that this is the fourth retest, Maartunn has noted that this could potentially be the fourth step in the STH cycle. It will now be interesting to see how the asset’s price develops in the coming days. A sustained move below the level may confirm a breakdown of support and lead to the fifth and final step of the STH cycle, where these investors start looking at their break-even level as an opportunity to exit the market instead, thus turning what was once support into resistance. BTC Price Bitcoin dropped to $110,000 earlier in the day, but the coin has since bounced back to $113,000. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com