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An interesting statement from Grant Cardone has led to a different kind of conversation. According to the popular American businessman, the Bitcoin price should be $280,000. His claim that Bitcoin should already be trading at $280,000 raises a deeper question: if that valuation were accurate today, what would it imply for the rest of the market? That question becomes even more interesting when applied to cryptocurrencies like Dogecoin and XRP, which tend to move in tandem to Bitcoin. Grant Cardone’s $280,000 Bitcoin Call And What It Implies The real estate mogul, who oversees about $5.3 billion in assets through his firm CardoneCapital, recently took to X to deliver a blunt verdict on the state of Bitcoin: “Bitcoin should be $280,000.” No chart attached, no lengthy thread. Just four words carrying the weight of a man who has put $70 million of his firm’s balance sheet behind Bitcoin. Related Reading: Bitcoin Distribution Mechanism Has Not Changed, All Roads Point To Crash Below $50,000 At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading far below that $280,000 price projection. To put this into perspective, Bitcoin is currently trading just below $70,000, at around $67,750, meaning Cardone’s projection implies a 4x revaluation. However, that kind of move doesn’t exist in isolation. When Bitcoin goes on such a move, the liquidity spills into altcoins, pushing them into price rallies of their own. What The XRP And Dogecoin’s Prices Could Look Like In That Scenario Dogecoin has always traded as a high-beta extension of Bitcoin. When Bitcoin trends upward, Dogecoin often amplifies that move, driven by retail momentum and speculative cycles. If Bitcoin were to move from roughly $70,000 to $280,000, maintaining current ratios alone would already imply a significant shift. At a 4x Bitcoin move, Dogecoin could theoretically follow into a similar multiple, placing it somewhere around the $0.35 to $0.40 range from current levels near $0.09. That is the conservative view based purely on correlation. However, Dogecoin rarely rallies only 4x in strong bull phases. In previous cycles, it has outperformed Bitcoin by a wide margin during peak momentum periods. If that dynamic repeats, a Bitcoin price at $280,000 could easily place Dogecoin closer to a new all-time high above $0.73 and probably even above $1. Related Reading: Breaking Down The $100 XRP Prophecy: Is There A Timeline? On the other hand, XRP is currently trading near $1.43. That puts the XRP/BTC ratio at approximately 0.00002. If Bitcoin were to re-rate to $280,000 while that ratio stays constant, XRP would be trading somewhere between $5.60 and $6.00. That alone would already see the XRP price trading at price peaks compared to the current range, which many long-term holders have been waiting for. XRP’s upside is always discussed in terms of utility and integration into cross-border payments. In a scenario where Bitcoin reaches $280,000, those utility conditions could amplify XRP’s role as a bridge asset and even cause the XRP price to break above double digits above $10. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

On-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant has pointed out how Bitcoin has tended to revisit or stay below the Realized Price in past bear markets. Currently, this level is located at $54,000. Bitcoin Hasn’t Gone Below Realized Price This Cycle In a new post on X, CryptoQuant has talked about what the Realized Price is telling us about Bitcoin right now. The “Realized Price” here refers to an on-chain indicator that keeps track of the cost basis or acquisition level of the average investor on the BTC network. When the spot price of the asset is trading above this metric, it means the addresses as a whole are in a state of net unrealized profit. On the other hand, BTC’s value being below the indicator suggests an underwater status for the overall network. Related Reading: Bittensor (TAO) Rallies 35%, But Social Sentiment Stays Mixed Now, here is the chart shared by CryptoQuant that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Realized Price over the history of the cryptocurrency: As displayed in the above graph, Bitcoin broke through the Realized Price at the end of the 2022 bear market and since then, the asset has maintained above this line. This suggests that investors have enjoyed net profits in this period. Recently, the cryptocurrency has faced some notable bearish momentum, but so far, it has managed to stay some distance above the Realized Price. Currently, the metric is situated at $54,000. From the chart, it’s visible that past bear markets generally saw Bitcoin spend time at or below this level. When the majority of the investors are in loss, selling pressure with the motive of profit-taking starts running out, so it may be why the asset historically found bottoms below the metric. While the holders as a whole are still in the green, a significant segment of the userbase is already underwater at the current price levels. As the below chart shows, the Realized Price of the short-term holders has been floating some distance above the spot price recently. The short-term holders refer to BTC investors who purchased their coins within the past 155 days, so their Realized Price tracks the average buying price of coins that moved over the last five months. With the spot price currently being under this level, it would appear that this group is in a state of loss. “Recent buyers are underwater, creating sell pressure on every bounce,” noted the analytics firm. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Go Silent: Large Transactions Plummet Strategy, the largest Bitcoin treasury company in the world, has also seen the asset drop under its cost basis with the recent bearish action. At present, the firm’s Realized Price is sitting around $75,600. “Right where the recent rally got rejected, the market is reacting to this level,” said CryptoQuant. BTC Price Bitcoin has continued to consolidate sideways recently as its price is trading around $68,400 right now. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin price failed to stay above $70,500 and declined further. BTC is now consolidating below $70,500 and might continue to move down. Bitcoin started a fresh decline from well above the $71,200 zone. The price is trading below $70,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $70,050 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another decline if it stays below the $70,000 and $70,500 levels. Bitcoin Price Dips Further Bitcoin price failed to continue higher above $72,000 and reacted to the downside. BTC trimmed gains and declined below the $71,200 support. The bears pushed the price below $70,500 and $70,000. The price tested the $68,000 zone. A low was formed at $68,115, and the price is now consolidating losses near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $71,985 swing high to the $68,115 low. Bitcoin is now trading below $70,200 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is also a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $70,050 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. If the price remains stable above $68,200, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $69,200 level. The first key resistance is near the $70,000 level and the trend line. A close above the $70,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $70,500 resistance or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $71,985 swing high to the $68,115 low. Any more gains might send the price toward the $71,200 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $72,000. More Losses In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $70,000 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $68,400 level. The first major support is near the $68,000 level. The next support is now near the $67,200 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $66,800 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $65,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $68,400, followed by $68,000. Major Resistance Levels – $70,000 and $70,500.

Bitcoin’s next move is one of the most debated questions in the market right now. One side sees the current price structure as a base for a push to new all-time highs, pointing to strength around $70,000 and repeated rebounds above this price level. Another camp believes the recent action is only a pause within a broader downtrend, with more range consolidation and lower levels still ahead before any real rally begins. That divide is exactly where expert analyst Tony Severino steps in with a very cautious outlook. According to the crypto trading expert, Bitcoin might not see a rally again until complacency is crushed. A Warning Against The Bullish Complacency Severino, who posts under the handle @tonythebullBTC on X, recently declared that “the 16-year Bitcoin expansion is over.” This is a statement that carries particular weight given his track record. He had previously anticipated that Bitcoin’s bull run would end in 2025 and projected that the corrective wave ushering in a bear market could extend as far as mid-2027.  Related Reading: Analyst Predicts Bitcoin To Gold Rotation That Will Send BTC Price To $800,000, But When? Severino’s latest comments directly challenge the idea that Bitcoin is simply gearing up for another rally. The comments were in response to a sarcastic post by another analyst. In his view, the widespread belief that the Bitcoin price will continue to rise indefinitely is misplaced.  Severino describes the current environment as one dominated by complacency, where investors have grown too comfortable buying dips without questioning the broader structure. According to him, it is because of people like this who think it will only go up forever. Destruction First, Then Growth The most important part of Severino’s outlook is not just that a downturn could happen, but that it is necessary. Only when that complacency is fully broken, he contends, can a new cycle begin on a stronger footing. Related Reading: Bitcoin Is Officially In A Bear Market And Is Headed Below $30,000, Analyst Warns “This destruction and reset is necessary for growth again. But not until complacency is crushed,” he said. “Complacency says: ‘Same asset, same behavior.’ Reality: Same asset, different environment = different outcome distribution,” he continued. This is not the first time Tony Severino has sounded the alarm of complacency for investors who are strongly bullish despite Bitcoin’s recent price struggles. Back in February, he pointed out that the Bitcoin price may have already reached a 16-year cyclical peak.  Notably, this 16-year cyclical peak concept has become a recurring theme in his broader outlook. That same idea resurfaced again in his latest remarks, where he noted the complacency among some investors. In another analysis, Severino predicted a somewhat -72% maximum drawdown from Bitcoin’s October 2025 peak price of $126,000. If that scenario plays out, it would place Bitcoin’s price in the region of $34,000 before a more sustainable bottom can form. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin (BTC) slipped below $69,000 on Thursday, erasing gains seen earlier in the week as MARA Holdings (MARA), the largest crypto mining company in the United States, disclosed a substantial liquidation of its BTC holdings to fund an expansion into artificial intelligence (AI) computing. MARA Shares Climb On Debt-Repurchase Plan In its disclosure covering March 4–25, MARA said it sold 15,133 BTC for roughly $1.1 billion. The sale reduced Marathon’s holdings by roughly 28% from the 53,822 BTC it held at the start of March, according to BitcoinTreasuries.net data. Related Reading: Ethereum (ETH) May Be Reversing Course, Says Top Analyst; Watch These Key Resistances The market reaction to the move was notable on both fronts. Bitcoin’s price retreated to approximately $68,997 at the time of writing — a decline that places the cryptocurrency more than 45% below its record highs near $126,000 set during last year’s rally.  Meanwhile, MARA stock rose almost 7% intraday, bringing the stock closer to the $9-per-share level as investors digested the company’s pivot toward AI and high-performance computing. The Bitcoin miner said the proceeds from the sale will be used to repurchase $1 billion in convertible bonds maturing in 2030 and 2031 through privately negotiated buyback agreements expected to close on March 30 and March 31.  Management framed the transaction as a strategic refinancing move that both strengthens the balance sheet and increases financial flexibility. MARA CEO Fred Thiel stated:  This transaction enhances financial flexibility and increases strategic optionality as we expand beyond pure-play bitcoin mining into digital energy and AI/[high-performance computing] infrastructure. Sale Sees Holdings Fall To 38,689 Bitcoin In a similar vein, MARA Holdings’ CEO emphasized the sale was a deliberate capital-allocation decision intended to position the company for long-term growth.  By retiring more than $1 billion of face-value debt at a discount, the company said it captured approximately $88 million in value that otherwise might have been lost, reduced potential shareholder dilution, and used its Bitcoin holdings to de-lever the balance sheet on terms favorable to the company. The sale follows changes MARA disclosed earlier this month in a Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The company revised its 2026 policy to permit the sale of Bitcoin held on its balance sheet during liquidity stress or market crises.  Related Reading: Crypto Bill Clash: Coinbase Rejects CLARITY Act Changes On Stablecoin Yields The filing warned that prolonged weakness in Bitcoin’s price could materially affect MARA Holdings’ financial health; sustained or further declines in BTC could significantly reduce the value of its holdings and weigh on liquidity and the balance sheet. MARA Holdings’ reduced stash is now valued at roughly $2.66 billion at current prices. BitcoinTreasuries.net shows the company has fallen to the third-largest public holder following the sale, overtaken by Twenty One Capital, which now holds 43,514 coins.  The industry leader remains Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), which has maintained an aggressive acquisition strategy on a weekly basis and now holds 762,099 Bitcoin. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin may be moving closer to the kind of long-term support zone that has characterized major bottoms in past cycles, but one technical analyst believes the market has not reached that moment just yet.  An interesting technical analysis points to Bitcoin’s weekly moving averages as the clearest guide for where this decline could finally exhaust itself. That setup shows that the current price action may be narrowing to form a bottom, even though one more leg lower below $60,000 could still come first. Bitcoin Has Already Entered A Late-Stage Correction Bitcoin has been in an extended downtrend since October 2025, down by almost 50% from its all-time high above $126,000. As it stands, the Bitcoin price now hovering around $70,000, and a growing body of technical evidence shows the price action is trading at an accumulation zone, but the bottom may not yet be in. Related Reading: Analyst Who Predicted Bitcoin $125,000 Top Reveals What To Expect Next According to a weekly chart analysis shared by @thescalpingpro on X, Bitcoin is converging on two long-term moving averages that have defined every major cycle bottom since 2018, and the final leg down could still take price below $60,000 before a floor is established. Technical analysis shows that the 200-week moving average and the 300-week moving averages are the structural backbone of Bitcoin’s macro price history. Back in the 2018 bear market, Bitcoin found its floor precisely at the 200 WMA, which was the end of an 84% drawdown from the prior cycle peak. The March 2020 COVID crash, brief as it was, sent the Bitcoin price straight through the 200 WMA and into the 300 WMA before reversing sharply. Then in 2022, during the FTX crash and the collapse of the crypto credit market, Bitcoin again bottomed in the vicinity of the 300 WMA. This completed a pattern that has now repeated across three different market cycles during three entirely different macroeconomic conditions. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @thescalpingpro On X Where Does Bitcoin Need To Go? At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $69,820, down by 1.8% in the past 24 hours. However, Bitcoin is still trading above both moving averages but has not meaningfully tested either. The 200 WMA is currently sitting at $59,268, while the 300 WMA is positioned at $51,805. These two levels now define the high-probability accumulation range that could be identified as the bottom zone for the current correction. Related Reading: Bitcoin Distribution Mechanism Has Not Changed, All Roads Point To Crash Below $50,000 The red support box drawn on the right side of the chart above shows exactly that possibility. The price may still dip into the upper end of the support band around the 200-week moving average or, in a more intense selloff, slide toward the 300-week moving average around $51,800. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

The Bitcoin price topped slightly above $126,000 back in October 2026 and is now down by over 40% since then. This move that has sent the cryptocurrency’s price below the $70,000 level multiple times since then, marking a possible entrance into the bear market. What is interesting about this move, though, is the fact that none of the 30 indicators that have previously been used to possibly predict the Bitcoin market peak has been hit. Bitcoin Bull Market Peak Indicators Remain Untriggered On the Coinglass website, there is an aggregation of 30 Bitcoin Bull Market Peak Indicators that track how far along the cryptocurrency is in the cycle. The process of these indicators are then used to map the probability of whether the Bitcoin price has hit its peak yet or not. Related Reading: XRP Price Will Not Move The Way People Think, Here’s A Better Pattern According to the website, not despite the Bitcoin price falling, not even one of these indicators have actually been hit so far. Some of the Indicators are farther along than others, where the likes the Bitcoin Long Term Holder Supply is over 91% along to hit its peak. However, the indicator has still not been triggered. Long-term holders have trimmed their supply, but there is still enough BTC held by them to show that they expect higher prices. Another interesting one is that the Bitcoin Dominance is yet to hit a peak. The indicator shows it is 89.8% alone, but with the dominance above 65%, it still puts Bitcoin well in charge of the market. This bleeds into the Altcoin Season Index, as the market is yet to have a proper altcoin season, which often happens toward the end of a bull market. All of the 30 indicators have progressed by varying degrees, but with none of them being hit yet, the Buy-Sell indicator continue to points to this being a time to hold instead of sell. Why Is The BTC Price Crashing? So far, Bitcoin seems to have deviated from the traditional indicators and has begun responding to macroeconomic factors more and more. This is no surprise given the entrance of companies into the digital asset through not only direct buying, but massive exposure for institutional players through Spot Exchange-Traded Products. Related Reading: Ethereum Whales Are Making Money Again, But Will They Hold Or Sell? The most recent development that has adversely affected the Bitcoin price has been the budding US-Iran war, as the scuffle over oil continues. Bitcoin has managed to bounce back from the previous crashes. But with sentiment still firmly in the Extreme Fear territory, it might take a while before the market sees another major rally compared to 2024-2025. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Whale Transaction Count has witnessed a drawdown recently, a sign that big-money investors have reduced their activity. Bitcoin Whale Transaction Count Has Dropped To Lows In a new post on X, analytics firm Santiment has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin Whale Transaction Count. This indicator measures the daily total number of transfers occurring on the BTC network that involve a sum of more than $100,000. Related Reading: Dogecoin Supply Barrier: This Level Holds Cost Basis Of 28 Billion DOGE Transactions with such a large value are usually considered to be coming from the whale entities, so this metric’s value basically reflects the activity that the large hands are participating in. When the value of the Whale Transaction Count goes up, it means the number of moves being made by the whales is rising. Such a trend suggests big-money interest in the cryptocurrency may be climbing. On the other hand, the indicator witnessing a decline could imply the large entities are shifting their attention away from the asset, as they are making a fewer number of transfers. Now, here is the chart shared by Santiment that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Whale Transaction Count and its 7-day moving average (MA) over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Whale Transaction Count saw a notable spike during BTC’s price crash to start February, indicating whales became active. This isn’t anything unusual, as investors tend to make moves while the market is behaving in a volatile manner. As BTC has fallen into a phase of consolidation since this crash, however, the Whale Transaction Count has seen a rapid drop. The recent attempt at recovery also couldn’t ignite activity from the whales. Santiment noted: Bitcoin’s whale activity has become historically quiet as key stakeholders await clarity (literally) from the CLARITY Act, as well as long-term finality to the war. The Whale Transaction Count is currently sitting at 6,417, which is the lowest level for $100,000+ transfers since September 2023. In the same chart, the analytics firm has also attached the data for the transactions valued at more than $1 million. From this curve, it would appear that the massive transfers are down to 1,485, their lowest since October 2024. Related Reading: Ethereum Rebounds 6%, But Coinbase Demand Remains Weak Now, what could this trend mean for the market? Well, the answer to that question may not concretely lean in either the bullish or bearish direction. As Santiment explained: What it does signal is that smart money is in the same boat as smaller retail holders at the moment, and have been reluctant to make moves with so much policy and global uncertainty at play. BTC Price Bitcoin dropped back under $68,000 earlier, but the cryptocurrency has since seen a rebound as its price is now back at $70,800. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above $70,000. BTC is now consolidating above $70,200 and might aim for a steady increase if it clears $71,650. Bitcoin started a decent recovery wave above $69,800 and $70,200. The price is trading above $70,200 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $70,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another decline if it stays below the $71,000 and $71,650 levels. Bitcoin Price Faces Hurdles Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $69,5500 resistance level. BTC climbed above the $70,200 and $70,500 resistance levels. The price even spiked above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $75,998 swing high to the $67,342 low. The price even climbed toward the $72,000 zone before the bears took a stand and protected more gains. Bitcoin is now trading above $70,200 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is also a bullish trend line forming with support at $70,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. If the price remains stable above $70,200, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $71,200 level. The first key resistance is near the $71,650 level. A close above the $71,650 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $72,650 resistance or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $75,998 swing high to the $67,342 low. Any more gains might send the price toward the $73,200 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $73,500. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $71,650 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $70,400 level. The first major support is near the $70,000 level. The next support is now near the $69,200 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $68,800 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $67,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $70,000, followed by $69,200. Major Resistance Levels – $71,200 and $71,650.

Bitcoin remains locked in a tight range, leaving traders uncertain about its next major move. With strong resistance overhead and key support still holding below, the market is approaching a decisive moment. Whether BTC breaks out into a new rally or slips into another leg down will largely depend on how it reacts around these critical levels. A Slips Below Key Zone: Downside Pressure Builds According to Kamile Uray, Bitcoin is currently trading below the key blue box zone, suggesting that downside pressure may persist in the near term. Despite this, the 4-hour chart is beginning to show early signs of a potential recovery structure, with a small inverse head and shoulders (TOBO) forming. If this pattern activates, it could open the door for a move toward the $75,000 level. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds $70K – Is The High‑Beta Era Over? Beyond that, there is also the possibility of a larger cup and handle formation developing. A successful push toward $75,000 would help shape this structure, but confirmation would only come with a strong close above that level. If achieved, it could signal continuation to the upside, especially if Bitcoin breaks above the $79,354 level, marking the first higher high on the 4-hour timeframe. On the downside, several key support levels, such as $65,666, $62,433, and $60,000, will be closely monitored, as holding above these levels could provide a base for another upward move. However, a daily close below the $62,433–$60,000 range would increase bearish pressure, exposing deeper support levels around $55,230 and $47,256. Looking at the bigger picture, a move toward $98,200 followed by a daily close above it would confirm a higher high on the daily chart, strengthening the case for a continued uptrend. Caution is advised, however, if the price approaches the $107,000–$109,000 zone, where a potential bearish pattern could emerge. Failure to break above the previous high in that region may trigger another downward phase. Bitcoin Stuck In Range As Momentum Stalls Bitcoin is currently trading around $70,413, remaining stuck within the same tight range that has held price action in place for weeks. CyrilXBT pointed out that the $72,000–$76,000 zone continues to act as a strong ceiling, with every rally into that area being met by consistent selling pressure.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Stalls As Donald Trump’s Unpredictable Remarks Shake Market Confidence On the downside, the macro trendline near $64,000 has held on two separate occasions, providing the only meaningful support structure preventing a broader bearish shift. Still, confidence in a bullish continuation remains limited until Bitcoin can secure a convincing close above $75,000. With the EMA 200 at around $86,380, still far from being relevant at this stage, the market remains in a wait-and-see phase, with traders watching for a decisive move out of the range. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

A crypto analyst has issued a bold long-term forecast for Bitcoin, predicting that a capital rotation out of gold and into Bitcoin will drive the asset to $800,000. This prediction is coming at a time when gold’s recent decline has caught many financial investors off guard.  Biggest Gold To Bitcoin Rotation Is Coming Bitcoin has never lacked bold long-term projections, and over the years, some of the most optimistic forecasts have placed its future price well into six-figure territory and beyond. At different points in the cycle, these expectations have stretched as far as $1.5 million, especially during periods of institutional inflows into Spot Bitcoin ETFs.  Related Reading: How Is Bitcoin Price Following A 100-Year Pattern If It’s Only 16 Years Old? Expert Tells All However, that wave of extreme bullish sentiment has cooled in recent weeks, largely due to the cautious tone across the broader crypto market. Even so, that hasn’t stopped a few new high-end Bitcoin price projections from surfacing.  A crypto analyst known as DonaX₿τ on the social media platform X recently put forward one of the most aggressive long-term outlooks in recent weeks, with the prediction that the financial markets are on the verge of a historic transition from gold into Bitcoin. “Nobody is ready for the biggest Gold to Bitcoin rotation in history,” the analyst stated on X, adding a price target of $800,000 for Bitcoin. According to the analyst, the Bitcoin price will reach $800,000 sometime between 2029 and 2030. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $71,310, meaning that this price prediction places the target at more than a tenfold increase from the current price range. Why A Rotation From Gold To Bitcoin Is Being Considered Gold recently fell to its lowest level in 2026, reaching a low of $4,098 per ounce on Monday, March 23. This crash is a reversal from its earlier strength in early February, when Bitcoin was going through a simultaneous crash.  Related Reading: How Is Bitcoin Price Following A 100-Year Pattern If It’s Only 16 Years Old? Expert Tells All The move has come despite ongoing geopolitical developments, a backdrop that would typically support gold prices. Instead, the precious metal went through one of its most severe short-term declines in recent years. Bitcoin, on the other hand, has not followed gold lower. Although the Bitcoin price recently slipped below $70,000, it is back to trading above it and is now posting gains relative to gold. The premise behind the prediction by DonaX₿τ is based on this changing investor behavior. Gold is known for being a store of value during uncertainty, but recent market dynamics have shown that it is not always the case anymore. Bitcoin is now in the picture and is attracting institutional capital in ways like gold.  Therefore, a full rotation from gold into Bitcoin by investors is sure to have an aggressive bullish effect on the price of the leading cryptocurrency. An $800,000 target, however, would require a significant extension of the current cycle and a multi-year accumulation period. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin is holding above $70,000. The number looks resilient. The geography behind it tells a more cautious story. An Arab Chain report tracking real-time exchange pricing has identified a spread that cuts against the bullish surface reading: Bitcoin is currently trading at $70,747 on Binance and $70,533 on Coinbase — a gap of -$213.95, with the global exchange leading the American one. That difference, small in percentage terms, is significant in what it reveals about who is actually buying. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Divergence Signals Weak US Buying Pressure: Coinbase Premium Stays Negative The Coinbase-Binance spread is one of the oldest and most reliable demand gauges in crypto markets. When Coinbase trades at a premium, US investors — retail, institutional, and everything between — are bidding aggressively. When it trades at a discount, as it does now, the buying is being led elsewhere. Global markets are more active. American demand is softer. The engine that powered Bitcoin’s most sustained bull runs in previous cycles is, at this moment, idling. That does not make $70,000 a lie. It makes it a question. The price is real. The conviction behind it, at least from the market that has historically mattered most, has not yet shown up to confirm it. The Bitcoin Spread That Separates a Rally From a Trend The report draws a clear historical line. In previous bull market cycles, a positive Coinbase-Binance spread — American buyers paying a premium over global markets — consistently preceded Bitcoin’s most sustained upward moves. The mechanism is not complicated: US institutional capital is large, conviction-driven, and when it enters aggressively, it does not just lift the price. It anchors it. The current spread inverts that picture. At -$213.95, the gap is narrow but persistent, and persistence is what the report flags as the concern. A brief negative reading can reflect timing or arbitrage. A spread that holds negative while price consolidates above $70,000 reflects something more deliberate — caution among US participants, possible profit-taking, and a market leaning on global activity to hold a level that domestic demand is not yet defending. The report frames what follows as a binary outcome. If the spread remains negative, downward pressure builds — not from selling, but from the absence of the buying that matters most. If it flips positive, that crossing becomes the signal: US liquidity returning, institutional momentum resuming, and $70,000 transforming from a level being held into a floor being built. The market is in anticipation. The spread will break that silence first. Related Reading: Bitcoin Structure Has Changed: UTXO Data Challenges Traditional Cycle Narratives Bitcoin Consolidates Above $70K as Recovery Lacks Conviction Bitcoin is trading at $71,351, holding above the $70,000 psychological threshold after the sharp, high-volume breakdown that defined February’s price action. The daily chart tells a story of structural damage not yet repaired — a market that found a floor but has not found a direction. The trend picture is unambiguous. Price remains below both the 50-day MA and the 100-day MA, and both averages are still sloping downward, confirming that bearish momentum has not been neutralized. The 200-day MA continues its descent from the $96,000 region — a level so far above current price that it functions less as near-term resistance and more as a reminder of how much ground has been lost since October’s peak above $125,000. Related Reading: Bitmine Locks 68% of Ethereum Holdings As Staking Position Surpasses $6.75B The recent push toward $74,000–$75,000 was rejected. That rejection is meaningful. It establishes the 50-day MA as active resistance, not merely overhead supply, and suggests the current bounce is corrective rather than impulsive — a technical distinction that separates a relief rally from a genuine trend reversal. Volume confirms the skepticism. The heaviest bars on the chart belong to the selloff and the February capitulation wick to $59,000. Noticeably lighter volume carries the recovery as limited participation and absent conviction stall the trend. Bitcoin is compressed between $70,000 and $75,000. A decisive close above the latter is required to shift the structure. A loss of $70,000 reopens $65,000 without meaningful support in between. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Crypto analyst Crypto Patel has outlined a roadmap for how Bitcoin could rally to $300,000. The analyst also indicated that investors will have the opportunity to buy at lower levels, as he predicts BTC will first drop to $44,000.  Roadmap For The Bitcoin Rally To $300,000 In an X post, Crypto Patel laid out the roadmap for the Bitcoin rally to $300,000. First, he stated that BTC will bounce into the $89,300 to $98,000 range, which is the higher timeframe bearish order block. Once that happens, he predicts the leading crypto will face rejection from that zone, triggering the final leg down to $44,000, which is the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement.  Related Reading: How Is Bitcoin Price Following A 100-Year Pattern If It’s Only 16 Years Old? Expert Tells All The analyst noted that Bitcoin has so far followed his analysis, with the rising wedge breakdown and the dump to $60,000 occurring just as he predicted. Meanwhile, Crypto Patel stated that the drop is an opportunity to accumulate heavily ahead of the rally to the long-term target of $300,000.  Crypto Patel assured that the drop to $44,000 is not a crash but a gift, and that this level sets up healthy long-term growth. He reiterated that this is not a crash level but a reset level. He advised that market participants not to miss the opportunity if Bitcoin hits $44,000 or below. His accompanying chart showed that BTC could rally to $300,000 between 2027 and 2028.  This coincides with the period that could mark the start of the next bull run, with experts like Doctor Profit predicting that Bitcoin could bottom by year-end. An accumulation phase then begins, leading to a bullish reversal for the leading crypto.  Where BTC Is Likely To Bottom  Crypto analyst Colin said that the very bottom of the green band, currently at $42,000, could be a reasonable place to look for a Bitcoin cycle bottom. However, he noted that the band would move lower as the bear market progresses. As such, he believes that $35,000 could be a more reasonable place for the leading crypto to bottom.  Related Reading: If Bitcoin Price Doesn’t Hold Take And Hold $69,000 With Momentum, It Could Get Very Bad The analyst had earlier mentioned that Bitcoin is still likely in a bear market despite the recent rally. This came as he noted that BTC was trading in a bear flag since the February 6 low. He also stated that the leading crypto could find a local top around $79,000 before breaking down below the lower range of this bear flag. It is worth noting that BTC has broken above $70,000 amid reports that the U.S. and Iran could agree to a one-month ceasefire.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $71,200, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

A crypto analyst who correctly predicted Bitcoin’s (BTC) cycle peak around $125,000 has released a new report detailing fresh projections for the world’s largest cryptocurrency. In the update, the analyst maintains a largely bearish outlook, pointing to weakening technical structure amid the ongoing bear market. He also outlines what investors and traders should expect in the coming weeks or months, while sharing his strategy for navigating continued downside pressure. Bitcoin And The Broader Market Bear Trend In an X post published at the start of the week, market expert Doctor Profit shared a Sunday report, explaining Bitcoin’s recent movements and outlining what the market should expect as bearish conditions persist. He noted that since September 2025, he has consistently shared his outlook on Bitcoin and how its price movements could unfold over the coming months. After successfully projecting Bitcoin’s $125,000 top in 2025, Doctor Profit revealed that he also anticipated the cryptocurrency’s decline to $100,000, which occurred a few weeks after his forecast. In addition, he predicted BTC’s price crash to $60,000, a move that also played out within weeks of his call.  Related Reading: Bitcoin PMI Cycle Is The Only Signal That Matters, Analyst Explains Why The analyst disclosed that he had also forecasted that Bitcoin would trade inside a sideways range between $57,000 and $87,000. True to his prediction, Bitcoin rallied to $76,000 last week before retreating sharply to $68,000 just a few days later. According to Doctor Profit, this movement represents one of many bullish traps he has repeatedly warned about, signaling a continued bear market trend.  Due to the risk of further downside pressure, Doctor Profit has shared his strategy moving forward. He revealed that he recently sold the BTC he purchased two weeks ago at around $68,000 and is currently holding a larger short position between $115,000 and $125,000. He also noted that he may add more shorts in the $79,000 to $84,000 region with a 5x leverage.  Beyond Bitcoin, the analyst noted that the entire financial market is in a “bear market scenario.” The analyst had highlighted major liquidity stress in the repo market as far back as September 2025, alongside rising risks tied to the FED’s standing repo facility. He further claimed that there is ongoing manipulation in the silver and gold markets, where futures prices have increasingly diverged from physical supply, which continues to decline.  In addition, Doctor Profit pointed out that, amid rising oil prices, AI-and data-related stocks appear heavily overbought. As a result, he has taken short positions across these sectors, as well as in Bitcoin, stocks, and indices in certain regions. He added that all of his shorts are presently in profit.  Still maintaining a negative outlook, Doctor Profit expects the current bear market to dominate most financial assets, with only a few staying strong. In his view, Bitcoin remains in a weak technical position and lacks clear directional strength, which helps explain its ongoing sideways price action.  Looking ahead, the analyst predicts that the next major move is likely another price correction. He explained that markets may attempt to push prices higher to capture liquidity above key levels before driving them much lower. At the same time, he added that they are also proceeding cautiously due to ongoing macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties that could pose significant risks.  What’s Next For The BTC Price In his report, Doctor Profit stated that he no longer holds any spot positions in Bitcoin, arguing that the next major downside move is only a matter of time. The analyst warned that the market could still experience fake outs before another decline. Overall, he maintains a strongly bearish outlook and expects Bitcoin to fall toward the third target highlighted on his chart between $50,000 and $40,000.  Related Reading: Breaking Down The $100 XRP Prophecy: Is There A Timeline? Doctor Profit also emphasized that last week’s FOMC meeting provided clearer insights into where the market is likely headed next. According to him, the next interest rate cut is now expected in December 2026, much later than the market had previously anticipated. With no rate cuts currently in place, the analyst believes market fear could spread as inflationary pressures remain elevated. Given these bearish headwinds, Doctor Profit has issued an official call for the coming weeks or months, projecting another major Bitcoin price crash similar to the one he made after the 2025 cycle top.  Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin’s latest stretch of sideways price action around $70,000 is being read by some traders as a sign that the cryptocurrency is finally settling down. However, technical analysis shows that the structure now forming on the daily chart might not actually be a recovery base at all but a distribution pattern before a new low that has already appeared once before during a bigger decline since late 2025. Bitcoin’s Distribution Mechanism Is Still The Same According to a crypto analyst that goes by the name Ardi on the social media platform X, Bitcoin’s distribution phases keep looking identical because the mechanism never really changes. This is in relation to Bitcoin’s current price action, which has been trading in a range between $63,000 and $72,000 since early February. Related Reading: Breaking Down The $100 XRP Prophecy: Is There A Timeline? The idea behind this technical analysis is that Bitcoin’s behavior in bearish phases tends to follow a recognizable sequence. Price moves into a range, traders begin to treat the consolidation as stability, liquidity builds above local highs, and then a brief breakout above the range pulls in optimism from many crypto traders.  However, that optimism does not always last. Once the price fails to hold above the range highs, the structure starts to weaken, and the next breakdown to the range support takes place. The chart attached to the analysis presents two nearly identical subsections. The first distribution range played out between roughly the mid-$80,000 region and the low-$90,000s between November 2025 and January 2026.  This move eventually concluded with Bitcoin pushing higher, touching highs around $96,000, failing to accept above the range, and then breaking down towards the lower end of the range. That decline led into a break below the low support level that eventually dragged the price to as low as $63,000 in early February. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @ArdiNSC On X Why A Move Below $50,000 Is Now On The Table A sweep of local highs above $76,000 in early March generated headlines about how the Bitcoin price is now recovering. However, the price ultimately failed to hold above the range and began rolling over again. As it stands, price action in the past few days has mostly been bearish candlesticks, which have caused the Bitcoin price to be pushing to the lower end of the current range again.  Related Reading: 4 Bitcoin Targets To Be On The Lookout For As Price Retests S/R Zone The most bearish part of the chart is the projected zone that follows the current range. Projecting the previous markdown in late January to the current price action would see the Bitcoin price break below the local $63,000 bottom.  Particularly, the chart projected a similar outcome, with the highlighted markdown box extending down to $50,000 and as low as $48,000. This projection follows similar outlooks from multiple analysts that have predicted Bitcoin might break below $50,000 before creating a new bottom. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

One thing that has stood out about Bitcoin is how different the recent bull cycle was from other bull cycles. For example, even after the Bitcoin price surged to new all-time highs, the altcoins never followed, and therefore, there was no explosive altcoin season as many expected. Following this deviation, crypto analyst Swallow Academy has purported that the digital asset is likely to keep deviating, and that would mean that it has now entered another bear market cycle. Why Bitcoin Price Is Headed Below $30,000 The chart shared on the TradingView website by the crypto analyst points to the fact that the Bitcoin price has completed a Head and Shoulders pattern. The first shoulder had been formed at the start of the year 2025, and when the digital asset hit a new all-time high later in the year, then the head was formed. Related Reading: The Dogecoin Setup That Could Create New Crypto Millionaires Then, moving into 2026, when the price began a brutal reversal, a second shoulder was formed. Now, the crypto analyst admits that the second shoulder is a bit weak, but it is still a shoulder, and this has completed the pattern. The end of this pattern points to the fact that the Bitcoin price is weakening and could crash further. This structure actually points to much lower zones than most of the market is expecting. But the crypto analyst explains that even though some people say it’s extreme to say that the cryptocurrency has entered a bear market, the facts say otherwise. Since this cycle is not the same as other cycles, it is then logical to expect that the bear market will not play out the same. As before, the opposite of what the market expects usually happens, and since most investors are expecting Bitcoin not to fall below $40,000, it is likely that it will go much lower. In addition, the Bitcoin price had been struggling to hold support at $70,000, and if this support is lost, it could open the way for deeper declines. Related Reading: Altcoin Trading Volumes Hit Multi-Month Lows, Market Interest Waning Once the Bitcoin price begins to fall again, the crypto analyst puts the first stop at $52,300, where there is support. However, the analyst expects this level to eventually fail as well, and then the next stop for Bitcoin would be to bottom somewhere around $30,000. As Swallow Academy explains, this level would then be the most logical level to begin accumulating BTC. This is because Bitcoin recoveries are usually swift once the price hits a bottom and it begins to reverse again. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

In his 2026 annual shareholder letter, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink laid out an ambitious outlook for the firm’s presence in digital assets, forecasting that BlackRock’s crypto business — and the broader market — could be generating roughly $500 million in annual revenue within the next five years.  Tokenization Will ‘Update The Plumbing’ Of Finance As reported by Forbes, BlackRock has positioned itself as a market leader in Bitcoin (BTC), handling about 800,000 BTC worth approximately $55 billion for its clients through its iShares Bitcoin Trust exchange-traded fund (ETF).  Beyond Bitcoin exposure, BlackRock has expanded into tokenized funds: its USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund, known as BUIDL, became the world’s largest tokenized fund last year after surpassing $2 billion in assets under management (AuM). Related Reading: Circle (CRCL) Crashes Below $100 After Senate Revises Crypto Bill To Ban Stablecoin Rewards Fink singled out tokenized products and stablecoin operations as major pillars of the firm’s strategy, disclosing that BlackRock manages $65 billion of stablecoin reserves and nearly $80 billion of digital-asset exchange-traded products (ETPs).  Those figures, the executive said, reflect how BlackRock has moved quickly to establish institutional-quality offerings in the digital markets. Additionally, the CEO argued that tokenization has the potential to “update the plumbing of the financial system,” broadening access to investments in the same way the internet expanded commerce in the 1990s.  BlackRock CEO Warns US Risks Losing Crypto Lead Citing research from Juniper, Fink noted that about half the world’s population already carries a digital wallet on their phone, and suggested that those same wallets could one day be used to invest in diversified portfolios as easily as sending a payment. Fink painted tokenization as a generational opportunity and warned of strategic risk if the US falls behind. Last year, he urged faster adoption of digitization and tokenization, arguing that other nations could overtake the US if it lags.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Expert Predicts ‘Golden Entry Window’ For Next Bull Market In October 2026 At the same time, the BlackRock CEO pushed back on skeptics like Warren Buffett who dub Bitcoin “worthless,” characterizing the asset instead as one that people hold for reasons tied to insecurity.  “You own bitcoin because you’re frightened of your physical security. You own it because you’re frightened of your financial security,” he wrote in its shareholders letter, adding that a longer-term rationale for holding Bitcoin is protection against the debasement of financial assets driven by fiscal deficits. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $69,420, down 2% over the last 24 hours and down 7% over the last seven days, amid a broader market sell-off on Tuesday. This follows last week’s rejection at the $76,000 resistance level, which the cryptocurrency failed to surpass. Featured image from the Wall Street Journal, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above $69,200. BTC is now back above $70,000 and might aim for a steady increase if it clears $71,650. Bitcoin started a decent recovery wave above $69,500 and $70,000. The price is trading above $70,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish flag pattern forming with resistance at $70,700 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another decline if it stays below the $71,200 and $71,650 levels. Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $68,800 pivot level. BTC climbed above the $69,200 and $69,500 resistance levels. The bulls were able to push the price above the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $75,997 swing high to the $67,343 low. The price even climbed above $71,200 before the bears appeared near the $71,650 level. Bitcoin is now trading above $70,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $69,500, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $70,700 level. There is also a bullish flag pattern forming with resistance at $70,700 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The first key resistance is near the $71,650 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $75,997 swing high to the $67,343 low. A close above the $71,650 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $72,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $73,200 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $73,500. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $71,650 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $70,000 level. The first major support is near the $69,500 level. The next support is now near the $69,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $68,200 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $67,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $69,500, followed by $69,000. Major Resistance Levels – $70,700 and $71,650.

Bitcoin is trading above the $71,000 level as the market navigates heightened volatility, reflecting a phase of uncertainty following recent price swings. While short-term momentum remains unstable, underlying on-chain data suggests that the current market structure may differ significantly from previous cycles. Related Reading: Bitmine Locks 68% of Ethereum Holdings As Staking Position Surpasses $6.75B According to a CryptoQuant report, UTXO Age Bands data for 2025–2026 presents a pattern that contrasts sharply with historical bear markets. In both the 2018 and 2021 cycles, the share of Bitcoin held for six months or longer declined rapidly, signaling widespread distribution as long-term holders exited positions into weakness. In the current cycle, however, this dynamic is notably absent. Despite price pullbacks, the proportion of long-term held coins is not declining. Instead, it is holding steady or even gradually increasing. This suggests that a significant portion of capital in the market has no immediate intention to sell, even under volatile conditions. This behavior extends beyond traditional “HODLing.” It reflects a structural shift in market participants, where capital appears more patient and less reactive to short-term price fluctuations. As a result, the classic distribution mechanisms that defined previous downturns are not manifesting in the same way, challenging conventional interpretations of current market conditions. Institutional Flows Redefine Bitcoin’s Market Structure The report further explains that since the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, market behavior has undergone a structural shift. Institutional participation has diverged meaningfully from traditional retail patterns. ETF issuers hold acquired BTC in cold custody structures, meaning their selling decisions are largely disconnected from short-term price fluctuations. This creates a different supply dynamic compared to previous cycles, where retail-driven distribution played a more dominant role. In parallel, broader developments such as digital asset treasury (DAT) adoption and discussions around national strategic reserves are reinforcing this shift. These participants operate with fundamentally different time horizons and risk frameworks, raising the threshold at which they are willing to sell. At the same time, consistent ETF inflows continue to introduce new demand into the market, allowing price dips to be absorbed rather than amplified by excess supply. Within this context, the current cycle appears less like a confirmed bear market and more like a transitional phase between paradigms. The traditional four-year halving cycle is becoming less predictive as institutional capital reshapes market dynamics. Looking ahead, the planned launch of a bank-issued Bitcoin ETF by Morgan Stanley—with significantly larger capacity—further supports this thesis. On-chain data increasingly suggests not the start of a downtrend, but the continuation of a structurally evolving upcycle. Related Reading: Ethereum Whales Return to Profitability as Historical Bottom Signal Reappears Bitcoin Stabilizes Above $70K, but Trend Structure Remains Weak Bitcoin is currently trading just above the $71,000 level, attempting to stabilize after a sharp corrective move that began in early February. The chart shows a clear breakdown from prior highs near $95,000–$100,000, followed by a steep decline and a subsequent consolidation phase. From a structural perspective, BTC remains in a downtrend on the daily timeframe. Price continues to trade below the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, both of which are trending downward, indicating sustained bearish momentum. The 200-day moving average remains significantly above the current price, reinforcing longer-term trend weakness and acting as a key resistance zone. Related Reading: Ethereum Exchange Inflows Signal Shift: Whales Reduce Selling Pressure The recent price action suggests a range-bound recovery rather than a confirmed reversal. Bitcoin briefly pushed toward the $74,000 region but failed to maintain upward momentum, indicating limited buyer conviction. Volume analysis supports this, with the largest spikes occurring during the sell-off phase, while the recovery has been characterized by relatively muted participation. In the near term, the $70,000 level has flipped into a key pivot zone. Holding above it is critical for short-term stability, while resistance remains in the $73,000–$75,000 range. A break below $70K could expose the $65,000 region again, while a sustained reclaim of higher levels is required to shift momentum. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin’s price action is looking uncertain on the surface, but one crypto analyst believes the real story is playing out far from the charts that most traders are watching. According to crypto analyst Crypto Tice, all of that Bitcoin price noise obscures a single, quietly reliable signal that has accurately traced out every major Bitcoin cycle in history: the Purchasing Managers’ Index. In a post on X, Tice noted that the PMI cycle is the only one that matters, and right now, it is flashing. The PMI Cycle Has Defined Every Bitcoin Bottom The PMI is a monthly economic indicator that tracks business activity across manufacturing and services sectors. On the surface, this may seem disconnected from the crypto market. However, the analyst’s outlook on the PMI is grounded in historical repetition: Bitcoin tends to form its most important lows when PMI is contracting, not when optimism is high. Related Reading: Breaking Down The $100 XRP Prophecy: Is There A Timeline? During these contraction phases, liquidity quietly grows in the background. The crypto market appears weak, sentiment turns negative, and price action stalls or drifts lower. But this is the exact period where long-term accumulation has always taken place for Bitcoin.  As shown in the chart below, each major Bitcoin cycle shows green zones forming during periods of PMI contraction, followed by strong upward expansions once conditions change. These conditions are based on previous market bottoms, with examples being the accumulation ranges before the 2017 and 2021 rallies. Green-shaded zones labeled “scale out” periods consistently correspond with peak price phases across multiple cycles in 2013, 2017, and 2021. Red-shaded “scale in” zones, by contrast, highlight the accumulation floors. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @CryptoTice_ On X What The PMI Indicator Is Saying Now At the time of writing, the Purchasing Managers’ Index is sitting at a reading just above 48, which is bordering below the expansion signal reading of 50. What this means is that Bitcoin is currently sitting in the early phase of the PMI, which is the same structural zone that preceded each of the major rallies catalogued in the chart above.  Related Reading: 4 Bitcoin Targets To Be On The Lookout For As Price Retests S/R Zone The indicator on the chart is positioned in a red accumulation zone and is expected to resolve to the upside over the coming months. According to the analyst, Bitcoin is currently in the exact same zone that marked every major buy window in history. However, this current accumulation zone won’t be available much longer. Bitcoin is currently trading at $71,070 with a 3.8% increase in the past 24 hours. It has spent quite a bit of time trading around $70,000, which is giving more credit to the idea that it has already bottomed. Notably, some analysts have begun pointing to this possibility. However, Bitcoin is still dealing with investor fear sentiment. Bitcoin sentiment is now back in fear, just days after showing signs of recovery. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin has now spent four consecutive months under the $100,000 mark for the first time since it crossed the milestone back in 2024. This move signaled a return to the bear market, and the trend has persisted since then. Even now, sellers are more than likely still dominating the market, despite the market recovery. One crypto analyst notes an interesting trend concerning Bitcoin, suggesting that participation from smaller investors might be dying out. Retail Investors Are Gone, And Bitcoin Could Be In Trouble The recent Bitcoin downtrend has suggested a drying up of liquidity in the crypto market, and this is represented by the data showing a decline in participation from retail trades. In a chart shared by crypto analyst Crypto Tice, it showed that retail investment has plummeted since Bitcoin price hit its all-time high. Related Reading: Altcoin Trading Volumes Hit Multi-Month Lows, Market Interest Waning The analyst highlights that transactions below $10,000 specifically have accounted for the majority of the decline. This means that retail investors, or smaller investors who are not institutions, are no longer putting money into the digital asset at the rate at which they were before. This trend, the analyst explains, is a demand destruction and is often a predecessor of major Bitcoin bear markets in history. The trend has always been similar: first, retail leaves, and next, the volume begins dropping, and these are bear market signals. If the analyst is right, then it means that the Bitcoin decline is far from over. As the crypto analyst explained, the data is “screaming” right now that a bear market is coming. Crypto Tice warns that this is the time to be cautious and not the time for “blind optimism”. When Will The Bull Market Return? Bull markets are often driven by an influx of liquidity, triggering a buying spree, and this is no different. Naturally, retail investors play a huge role in this, meaning their absence from the market often spells doom. As the analyst explains, until these retail investors return, then the Bitcoin price recoveries are likely to remain capped, meaning it has limited upside in the meantime. Related Reading: Why The XRP Supply In The Billions Is Not A Problem Going by the shared chart, retail investment will have to rise above 10% again in order to trigger another sustained run. In the last year, the highest level has been 30% at the start of 2025, which was a precursor to the Bitcoin price hitting multiple all-time highs. Thus, a return to this level could trigger the next major run, possibly move $100,000. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy and led by Michael Saylor, disclosed a new Bitcoin (BTC) acquisition on Monday while simultaneously unveiling an ambitious capital-raising program designed to push its holdings toward a 1 million‑coin milestone by the end of 2026. Strategy Reports Weekly Buy Amid Consolidation In its routine Monday filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Strategy reported spending $76.5 million to add 1,031 BTC to its treasury.  The purchase came as Bitcoin traded back within the consolidation band it has occupied for roughly two months, between about $60,000 and $72,000, after a failed attempt to break through and consolidate key resistance at $76,000 last week.  The move continues the public company’s weekly pattern of disclosing its purchases. Over the past few years, it has become the largest corporate holder of digital assets after beginning to rapidly acquire Bitcoin in 2021. Related Reading: Ethereum Bottom Signal? Analyst Maps Out Road To $10,000 Data compiled by Bitcointreasuries.net shows Strategy holds 762,099 BTC as of March 23. At the time of publication, that stake was valued at nearly $57.7 billion, based on an average entry price of $75,694 per coin.  Beyond that recent trade, Strategy also amended its corporate authorizations to support a much larger campaign to amass the market’s leading cryptocurrency.  The company disclosed plans to raise up to $42 billion in new capital, split evenly between as much as $21 billion of Class A common stock (MSTR) and $21 billion of Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Stretch Preferred Stock (STRC), which would give Strategy substantial purchasing power to accelerate its Bitcoin accumulation goal. 600,000 More Bitcoin By Year‑End? At current prices near $70,500, the $42 billion program could theoretically fund the purchase of roughly 595,000 additional Bitcoin, which would not only meet but materially exceed the company’s stated 1 million‑coin aspiration by year‑end.  If executed in full, the raise would push Strategy’s total holdings to more than 1.35 million BTC—surpassing even its ambitious public targets—and represent about 6.42% of BTC’s 21 million fixed supply, according to Bitcointreasuries.net. Related Reading: 4 Bitcoin Targets To Be On The Lookout For As Price Retests S/R Zone CEO Phong Le highlighted the symbolism of the $42 billion figure in a post on X (formerly Twitter), quoting The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy: “42 is the Answer to the Ultimate Question of Life, the Universe, and Everything.” Le noted the neatness of the 21 + 21 split, which mirrors Bitcoin’s 21 million supply cap. Simultaneously, the cryptocurrency rebounded by almost 3% on Monday, beginning the day on the same optimistic note as the start of last week’s advance. However, short-term losses currently outweigh profits for BTC, as CoinGecko data show a 4% decline over the past week.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin long-term holders have seen their supply go up recently, despite the unconvincing price action in the cryptocurrency. Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Supply Has Surged By 332,000 Over The Past Month As pointed out by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in an X post, the Bitcoin long-term holder supply has been following an uptrend recently. The “long-term holders” (LTHs) refer to the BTC investors who have been holding onto their coins for more than 155 days. Related Reading: Bitcoin Shark & Whale Wallets Jump Despite Bearish Price Action The LTHs make up for one of the two main divisions of the BTC market done on the basis of holding time; the other side, containing coins aged 155 days or less, is called the “short-term holders” (STHs). Statistically, the longer an investor keeps their coins dormant, the less likely they become to sell them in the future. As such, the STHs with their low holding time can be considered to include the weak hands of the market, while the LTHs can represent the stalwart diamonds. Now, here is the chart shared by Maartunn that shows the recent 30-day net position change trend in the supply of these two Bitcoin groups: As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin LTHs saw a negative monthly supply change during the second half of 2025, implying members of the cohort were breaking their dormancy, potentially to participate in selling. From the chart, it’s apparent that the selloff was the most intense during November, suggesting even the diamond hands of the network were reacting to the crash. The metric remained negative for the rest of the year, but in 2026, a shift has occurred; the LTH netflow has been positive since January and its value has only been climbing over time. Currently, it’s sitting at +332,600 BTC. Something to keep in mind is that while declines in the LTH supply can reflect distribution, the reverse isn’t true. This is because coins only become part of the LTH group after they have been held for a period of over 155 days. Thus, an increase in the LTH supply doesn’t mean that accumulation is happening in the present, but rather that it took place five months ago. Selling has no such delay attached as tokens see their age instantly reset back to zero as soon as they are involved in a network transaction. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bearish Positioning Persists As Funding Rates Hold Negative Nonetheless, a rise in the LTH supply is naturally still a useful signal, reflecting an increased tolerance for long-term holding among investors. Interestingly, the recent large 30-day inflow into the group has come while the market has gone through uncertainty owing to the war. As such, it would appear that a segment of the investors continue to believe in Bitcoin even in these circumstances. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $68,500, down more than 6% in the last week. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin price started a recovery wave from $68,000. BTC is now back above $70,000 and might struggle to continue higher in the near term. Bitcoin started a decent recovery wave above $69,500 and $70,000. The price is trading above $70,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $69,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another decline if it stays below the $71,500 and $72,000 levels. Bitcoin Price Attempts Recovery Bitcoin price found support near the $67,500 zone and recently started a recovery wave. BTC climbed above the $68,800 and $69,500 resistance levels. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $69,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The bulls were able to push the price above the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $75,999 swing high to the $67,343 low. However, the price faced resistance near the $71,500 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $75,999 swing high to the $67,343 low. Bitcoin is now trading above $70,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $70,000, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $71,650 level. The first key resistance is near the $72,000 level. A close above the $72,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $73,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $74,200 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $75,000. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $71,650 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $70,000 level. The first major support is near the $69,350 level. The next support is now near the $68,950 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $68,000 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $67,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $68,950, followed by $68,000. Major Resistance Levels – $71,650 and $72,000.

A crypto analyst who previously warned traders and investors that the recent Bitcoin (BTC) price surge could be a fluke has shared a new update. Confirming that his earlier prediction was accurate, the analyst now provides insight on where Bitcoin is really headed as it continues to navigate the ongoing bear market.  Where The Bitcoin Price Is Headed Next DeFi researcher and market analyst Sherlock has taken to X to share a fresh update on an analysis he published earlier last week. In this new report, Sherlock presented a rather foreboding Bitcoin price forecast, suggesting that the world’s largest cryptocurrency is heading toward new lows around $53,000 soon.  Related Reading: Pundit Shares Everything To Understand About Bitcoin, ‘This Cycle IS Different’ He emphasized that the $53,000 level was not a random bearish target but a point established after multiple data signals converged, which also corresponds to Bitcoin’s next weekly support level. According to Sherlock, Bitcoin’s record high last week near $76,000 was a deviation he had anticipated despite some traders hoping that the rebound could become a sustainable breakout.  The analyst noted that the weekly candle on the chart is expected to confirm this deviation trend if it closes below $72,500. Sherlock also drew parallels to a January price movement, when the Bitcoin price climbed to $94,500 before crashing by approximately 38%. Usually, in crypto market terms, this type of action is called a “fakeout,” which is when the price briefly breaches key resistance levels, enticing traders to enter positions, before rapidly reversing in the opposite direction.  Currently, the Bitcoin price is hovering around $68,100, more than 10% below its previous high of $76,000 set last week. The cryptocurrency suffered a sharp, unexpected collapse in a single day following reports of a hawkish stance by the US Federal Reserve (FED). After briefly dipping toward the $70,000 level that day, Bitcoin has continued on a downward trajectory.  Data from CoinMarketCap also indicate that BTC’s decline was further accelerated by a surge in geopolitical tensions, after US President Donald Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum to Iran, triggering a broader sell-off across risk assets.  A Look Back At BTC’s $76,000 Fluke In his previous analysis, Sherlock had cautioned traders not to get baited by short-term Bitcoin price spikes. He noted that during the last major deviation in January 2026, many traders went long, only to incur significant losses after Bitcoin’s price collapsed over the next five weeks.  Related Reading: Is This The Bitcoin Price Bottom Or A Fakeout? Analyst Reveals When You Shouldn’t Be Excited The analyst had warned that if Bitcoin fails to close above $74,500 on the weekly chart, its brief rebound would be nothing more than a deviation, not a true breakout. Sherlock added that, with the FOMC meeting last week and market consensus expecting another interest-rate pause, the outlook for Bitcoin is far from bullish. He described Bitcoin’s previous rebound as a trap, likely engineered to lure investors and traders into long positions prematurely. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

Market expert Ali Martinez recently revealed on X (formerly Twitter) what he describes as “the secret to every major Bitcoin bull run since 2011,” saying October could offer one of the best entry points ahead of the next bull market.  Martinez shared an on‑chain fractal breakdown that points to a potential “final discount” in October of this year, where investors might find optimal buying opportunities before the next sustained uptrend. Bitcoin Could Bottom At $41,000-$45,000 In his social media post, Martinez suggests that Bitcoin is still operating within a four‑year rhythm that breaks down into a sequence of accumulation, markup, distribution, and a bear phase.  Within that larger cycle, he highlights two shorter subcycles and asserts the market is now moving into what he describes as the “final discount” period. Using that framework, Martinez puts a likely “golden entry” window between October 6 and October 16, 2026. Related Reading: Ethereum Bottom Signal? Analyst Maps Out Road To $10,000 Beyond timing, Martinez offered specific price bands for ideal buying opportunities. He identified entry points in the $41,500 to $45,000 range, which would represent declines of roughly 41% and 36%, respectively, from current trading levels of around $70,800. October Launchpad  Those potential retracements in the coming months imply that Bitcoin may still have substantial downside before the October window, according to his reading of past cycles. Related Reading: Dogecoin Could 200% Rally If This Floor Holds, Analyst Says However, Martinez framed the scenario as an actionable pattern rather than mere speculation: if the fractal holds, the October interval could serve as the launchpad that begins a fresh four‑year cycle and sets the stage for the next vertical price move.   The expert concluded his Monday social media post by saying the “countdown to the next Bitcoin vertical move has begun.” Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin’s recent price stagnation reflects a market grappling with uncertainty, and confidence being tested not just by economic forces but also by political influence. At the center of this tension is Donald Trump, whose unpredictable remarks on cryptocurrency policy have injected fresh volatility into an already sensitive market. How Bitcoin Struggles For Direction As Uncertainty Deepens The Bitcoin market is currently in a pause and indecision, with price action reflecting broader uncertainty. A crypto trader and investor, EliZ, pointed out on X that a significant factor contributing to this hesitation is the steady stream of unpredictable statements from US President Donald Trump. Related Reading: Bitcoin Monthly Timeframe Signals A Potential Market Shift Currently, BTC is in a clear stalemate below the $70,500 to $71,000 zone, where sellers are constantly stepping in to hold the price and prevent a bullish surge. At the same time, the $68,000 level is acting as support, but if decisively breached, it could open the door for a deeper decline. Adding to the complexity, the price is currently reacting around the 0.75 retracement level, which earlier triggered a sharp rally on the liquidity sweep. This movement suggests the market is actively searching for equilibrium without a clear direction. EliZ emphasized that patience remains the most strategic approach. Rather than forcing trades in an uncertain market, it is better to remain on the sidelines until a clear signal emerges.  The Bitcoin price is currently approaching the next key pivot, expected to happen on the 25th. An analyst known as LP on X has highlighted that, over the last 8 occurrences, 6 have resulted in local lows, while only 2 have formed highs, giving this pivot a clear tendency to mark local bottom. However, the context remains crucial. If BTC price trends upward into the pivot, the probability would shift toward forming a local high. On the other hand, if the price moves lower into the pivot, the odds will further favor a local low bottom forming. In essence, how the price develops into the pivot will be critical. On average, this pivot has produced moves of around 8-9%, highlighting it’s a significant level to watch. A Defining Moment For Bitcoin’s Market Structure Bitcoin is now undergoing a crucial retest of the 200-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA). However, given how unreliable the EMA has been as resistance in recent weeks, it is worth keeping a healthy dose of skepticism while BTC is attempting to reclaim the 200-week EMA and flip it into support, according to Rekt Capital. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Not Ready For Expansion Yet — Blockchain Firm Rekt argues that the new weekly close will determine whether the retest of the 200-week EMA will regain its historical significance or will continue to act as an uncertain barrier in the current cycle. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto analyst Celal has predicted that the Bitcoin price could hit a new all-time high (ATH) of $145,000. The analyst also provided a timeline for when the leading crypto could hit this milestone.  When The Bitcoin Price Could Hit $145,000 In an X post, Celal stated that the Bitcoin price will rally to $145,000 between October and November. His accompanying chart showed that this rally could happen as BTC’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) picks up and hits overbought, rising to 90. The chart also suggested that the leading crypto may already be forming a bottom as it eyes this rally to a new ATH.  Related Reading: The Bear Market Divergence That Shows What’s Really Going On With Bitcoin This Bitcoin price prediction comes as BTC continues to struggle to hold above the psychological $70,000 level. The leading crypto is under pressure due to the U.S.-Iran war, with U.S. President Donald Trump threatening to escalate things if Iran doesn’t open the Strait of Hormuz.  Crypto analyst Ali Martinez noted that it is currently a waiting game as the Bitcoin price is at a crossroads. He said that BTC is stuck in a “no-trade zone” and that right now, the area between $70,685 and $65,636 are the most important spot on the chart. The analyst further revealed that over 1.72 million BTC have been transacted around this range, meaning that “buyers and sellers are digging in their heels.” Martinez added that there won’t be a big move for the Bitcoin price until it either breaks above $70,685 or falls below $65,636. Crypto analyst Ardi stated that BTC is still in a bear market and that the rally over the past few weeks was because of short covering. As such, the leading crypto is still at risk of a larger decline.  The Economic Backdrop Is Bad For BTC Crypto analyst Colin stated that the economic backdrop is bad for the Bitcoin price, with oil prices rising and the Fed unlikely to lower rates anytime soon. He also noted that this is bad for BTC, considering that it is further up the risk curve than stocks. Based on this, Colin remarked that an eventual breakdown from the bear flag, which it has been trading inside since February. Related Reading: How Low Can Bitcoin Price Go? Analyst Shares Worst-Case Scenario As such, it is just a matter of how long the Bitcoin price holds on for at this point, the analyst said. He also noted that BTC has been in a bear market since October 5 and is only five months into it. Colin said that this means there is likely further downside since a typical bear market lasts for 12 months.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $68,800, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin is once again testing a critical level that could shape its next major move. With price action returning to a previously contested support and resistance zone, attention is now shifting toward a defined set of upside targets that could come into play if the level continues to hold. Bitcoin’s S/R Zone Retest Signals Strength In Market Structure According to market technician Johnathan Carter, Bitcoin’s weekly chart is currently revisiting a key zone that previously acted as resistance before being broken. That same level is now functioning as support, marking a classic support/resistance flip. Related Reading: Where Is Bitcoin Price Headed Next? This Level Will Decide Everything The chart he posted shows that Bitcoin’s price has pulled back into this zone after a strong upward expansion, with buyers stepping in to defend it. This reaction is not occurring randomly. The highlighted region, positioned around the mid-$60,000 range, aligns with a former breakout area, reinforcing its technical importance. The analyst’s observation centers on the idea that this retest is a structural confirmation. The ability of bulls to maintain price above this level suggests that the breakout remains valid and that the broader upward trend is intact. Further supporting this outlook is the large inverse head and shoulders pattern visible on the weekly timeframe. This formation reflects a transition from bearish to bullish control. The neckline of this pattern coincides closely with the current S/R zone, making the ongoing retest even more significant. After breaking above this neckline, Bitcoin advanced sharply before pulling back to retest it. The chart also illustrates a rounded retest structure, indicating a controlled pullback. This type of price action often points to accumulation, where buyers gradually regain control without allowing the price to break lower. Four Key Price Targets Come Into Focus With the support zone holding and the retest developing constructively, attention shifts to the next potential price objectives outlined by the analyst. The first level to monitor is $95,000, which represents a near-term resistance area based on recent price structure. A move into this region would confirm continuation from the current base. Beyond that, $125,000 stands as the next target, aligning with a previous consolidation range seen during Bitcoin’s earlier rally phase. Clearing this level would signal sustained bullish momentum. The third target is $150,000, a psychological and structural milestone that reflects an extension of the current trend. At this stage, market participation typically increases as momentum builds. Related Reading: XRP Trend Exhaustion Says Price Is About To Jump, Here’s The Target Finally, the long-term objective sits at $200,000. This level represents a full realization of the projected move following the inverse head and shoulders breakout, as illustrated by the trajectory on the chart. The current price behavior suggests that the market is in the process of confirming the breakout. With buyers actively defending the retested zone and no clear breakdown in structure, the bullish framework remains in place. As long as this support holds, the path toward higher levels remains open, keeping all four targets—$95,000, $125,000, $150,000, and $200,000—firmly in focus. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

The Bitcoin price broke below $70,000 over the weekend, effectively erasing the gains from the previous week. This move puts the cryptocurrency in a perilous position as the bulls are now hard-pressed to find another major support or risk the decline going deeper from here. According to one analyst, Bitcoin bulls will have to reclaim and hold $69,000 with momentum in order to trigger another recovery trend. Why Bitcoin Bulls Must Hold $69,000 According to crypto analyst Tealstreet, the bulls will need to defend $69,000 to prevent the Bitcoin price from falling lower. The reason for this is the fact that the Bitcoin price has a chance of pushing upwards to the $73,000-$74,000 levels if this support is maintained. Following this, there is still the possibility of a final push toward $76,000-$77,000. Related Reading: Why The XRP Supply In The Billions Is Not A Problem On the flip side, there is a lot of bearish action to be seen if the bulls lose $69,000. This bearish move would trigger an at least 5% decline, with the crypto analyst putting the target somewhere between $64,000 and $66,000. While this decline may not exactly be as impactful as previous sharp declines, it could end up being negative for altcoins, which are already suffering. By Sunday, the Bitcoin price broke below $69,000, but the bulls were able to maintain the $68,000 level, holding quite close to the target. Nevertheless, this means that the bulls are now in a tight spot with the need to reclaim $69,000 or watch the trend play out. BTC Still Stuck In A Corrective Phase Another crypto analyst, HAMED_AZ, also published a post in support of the current Bitcoin bearishness, saying that the digital asset has actually entered a corrective phase. Due to this, the Bitcoin price is expected to move lower after an initial push toward the top of the ascending channel. Related Reading: The Bear Market Divergence That Shows What’s Really Going On With Bitcoin If the price is unable to break the resistance at the top of the channel, then the downtrend will continue, leading to an over 10% decline. This move will most likely send the Bitcoin price crashing below $60,000 for the first time in over a year. Alternatively, if the price is able to successfully test and break out of the channel resistance with momentum, then the downtrend could be broken completely. This scenario would lead to a push toward $80,000 and likely kickstart the next run. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com