Bitcoin traders feel the sting of $160 million liquidations as BTC price returns to levels not seen since February.
Though Bitcoin might be shaky, dumping in the London session on April 30, IntoTheBlock data now shows that the market is, after all, solid. In a post on X, the blockchain analytics platform noted that Bitcoin is in a mid-bull cycle. Despite the price cool-off, potentially accelerated by whales exiting, most BTC holders still profit. 86% Of […]
A crypto analyst has predicted when Ethereum, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency, will bottom against Bitcoin, however, under certain conditions. Analyst Predicts ETH/BTC Bottom Timeline In a recent X (formerly Twitter) post, crypto analyst and founder of ITC Crypto, Benjamin Cowen, shared his forecast regarding the Ethereum to Bitcoin price ratio, projecting the timeline for when ETH/BTC would hit its lowest value in the current market cycle. Sharing insights on the market conditions, Cowen noted striking similarities between the present market’s dynamics and the one seen in 2019. He disclosed that ETH/BTC’s recent bounce mirrored the market’s behavior in 2019, two months before the Federal Reserve (FED) cut down rates. Cowen predicts that the ETH/BTC ratio will reach the lowest point in its price cycle when the FED makes a significant change in its monetary policy, often referred to as a “pivot.” The crypto expert expects this pivot to occur in a few months, ultimately suggesting that Ethereum would bottom against Bitcoin in the coming months. His analysis is also based on the assumption that macroeconomic conditions and the FED’s monetary policies can significantly impact the cryptocurrency market. Sharing a price chart of Ethereum against Bitcoin in another post, Cowen projected that the ETH/BTC ratio will head towards a range of 0.03 and 0.04 by summer. Commenting on his prediction of ETH/BTC’s bottom, a crypto community member expressed skepticism about the FED’s likelihood of cutting down rates while inflation was still high. Cowen responded that the absence of a rate cut further reinforced his beliefs that the ETH/BTC ratio has not yet reached its lowest point. He suggests that unless inflationary pressures are addressed, the ETH/BTC ratio may continue on its downward trend. Crypto Expert Calls Ethereum A Higher Risk Asset In another post, Cowen referred to Ethereum as a higher-risk asset and Bitcoin as a lower-risk asset. The crypto analyst’s forecast on Ethereum against Bitcoin is underpinned by his interpretation of capital migration dynamics, suggesting that higher-risk assets typically depreciate relative to lower-risk assets. He highlighted the uncertainty surrounding the future market movements of ETH/BTC following the halving event. Cowen predicted that if ETH/BTC witnesses a “relief rebound” after the halving, then he expects a rejection by the bull market support band, particularly in the context of weekly closing prices, estimated to range between $0.053 to $0.054. While acknowledging his past successes in predicting ETH/BTC price movements, Cowen highlighted that his predictions remain speculative, stating, “Just because I have been right so far about ETH/BTC does not mean I will continue being right.” ETH bulls fail to hold $3,000 | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Finbold, chart from Tradingview.com
American multinational investment bank and financial services company, Morgan Stanley has revealed intentions to add Spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) into a selection of its institutionally focused funds. This strategic move potentially reflects Morgan Stanley’s intent to expand into the digital asset space while also capitalizing on the growing interest in digital assets. Morgan […]
Bitcoin ETFs hitting Hong Kong excite markets overnight, but overall BTC price conditions remain precarious, analysts say.
Crypto analyst DonAlt has outlined a scenario where the Bitcoin price could drop to as low as the mid-$40,000. He further suggests that this price breakdown might be necessary for the continuation of BTC’s bull run. How Bitcoin Could Drop To As Low As $47,000 In an update to his Bitcoin analysis, DonAlt noted that Bitcoin had dropped back to around the $60,000 price range and could eventually break that support if it continues to be tested. From the accompanying chart he shared, the crypto analyst hinted that a price breakout below the $60,000 range would see Bitcoin drop to $52,000 or even further down to $47,000. Related Reading: XRP Price Prediction: Analyst Says Prepare For 700% Jump To $4, Here’s When Source: X Meanwhile, he added that this might be something even the bulls want, so there could be a washout below $60,000, which would shake off weak hands. DonAlt also seems to support a price breakout below the support area, as he shared his belief that there is currently complacency in the market. This is when crypto investors ignore the risks associated with Bitcoin, having seen price increases for an extended period. DonAlt said he would continue to hold this complacency belief until proven otherwise. For that to happen, he remarked that Bitcoin would need to reclaim $68,000 or drop below $60,000 and reclaim that support level again. Denis Baca, Head of Product at Zivoe Finance, also recently suggested that BTC could drop below $60,000 before it makes any parabolic move. This was a huge possibility, especially since Baca noted that the flagship crypto historically retests the support level of the 20-week SMA (small moving average) in May. He claimed this could cause Bitcoin to drop to $56,000. BTC Bulls Are Getting Overwhelmed By The Bears Bitcoin bulls look to be succumbing to the pressure from the bears. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez revealed in an X post that there has been a “noticeable dip in Bitcoin whale activity” since March 14. This suggests the current market downtrend could be diminishing their confidence, as these whales are always known to accumulate more during every price dip. Martinez added that a “surge in whale transactions could be the spark needed to boost” BTC’S price. Related Reading: Brace For Price Impact: Dogecoin Whales Move Massive 456 Million DOGE To Exchanges Meanwhile, CryptoQuant’s Head of Research, Julio Moreno, recently noted that Bitcoin’s price has remained tepid due to the slowdown in demand. He alluded to the Spot Bitcoin ETFs, which have seen their demand decline this month. Like Martinez mentioned, Moreno stated that there needs to be a “demand growth” for Bitcoin to experience another rally. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $62,300, down over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. BTC price trending at $62,200 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from Xataka, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin bulls may soon be back in business. According to Willy Woo, an on-chain analyst, market data shows that urgent “market sells” responsible for forcing the coin from all-time highs are now falling. This development may prop up prices, preventing further sell-offs. Bitcoin Selling Pressure Easing This preview is due to falling Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) data, an on-chain indicator that can also track market sentiment. Specifically, it tracks buying and selling aggression from market participants. Now that CVD is dropping, Woo says more BTC holders are likely willing to weather the storm. Their decision may directly support prices. Woo adds that BTC must reject selling pressure and end the current short-term weakness as things stand. As on-chain data shows, BTC should stay above $59,600. The CVD lie has historically separated bullish and bearish zones. Related Reading: Polygon In Peril: Will MATIC Bounce Back Or Stay Stuck In The Sub-$1 Doldrums? Based on this, BTC should remain above the $60,000 round number for the uptrend to be sustained. If not, and bears take over, pressing prices lower below the CVD level could signal the beginning of a new bear regime. Thus far, BTC is under immense selling pressure, shaving approximately 15% from all-time highs. The coin has support at around the $60,000 and $61,000 zone, moving inside a range. Resistance is at an all-time high of around $74,000 on the upper end. Based on this preview, any losses below $60,000, as Woo notes, would likely see BTC dump. The coin might drop to $53,000 in the short term, torching stop losses and fueling the sell-off. Will Hong Kong Spot ETF Launch Lift Prices? Whether BTC bulls will flow back depends mostly on institutional involvement in the days to come. Following the approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in January, prices spiked higher, breaking previous all-time highs. Institutional involvement has been vital. However, inflows have slowed down, especially in the last two weeks of April. Analysts are now looking at the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in Hong Kong on April 30. Related Reading: Ethereum Fees Dive: Will This Spark A Surge In Network Activity? In a recent interview, Zhu Haokang, the Head of Digital Asset Management in Hong Kong, is bullish. Haokang expects trading volume to eclipse those seen in the United States. The executive says the product is unique, allowing for a physical subscription that’s more attractive for BTC miners. Moreover, it is global, drawing interest from Singapore and the Middle East investors. Feature image from DALLE, chart from TradingView
Crypto expert Peter Brandt has boldly claimed that the Bitcoin top for this market cycle may already be in. He made this conclusion based on his “exponential decay” thesis, which he noted may actually be good for the Bitcoin ecosystem. Why Bitcoin’s Price Has Topped Brandt explained that historical data suggests that Bitcoin’s price has topped. He further alluded to an “exponential decay,” which he noted could be used to describe Bitcoin. Brandt’s exponential decay thesis is based on the fact that Bitcoin’s percentage gain has significantly reduced in every subsequent bull cycle. Related Reading: Ethereum Withdrawals From Exchanges Top 260,000 ETH – What This Means For Price For context, Bitcoin, according to the crypto expert, recorded a 122x increase from its market low to market high between 2015 and 2017. However, that was only 21.3% of Bitcoin’s price gain in the previous cycle (between 2011 and 2013). Source: X Brandt further noted that the same thing happened between 2018 and 2021. Despite a 22x increase from its market low to market high, Bitcoin only recorded 18% of the price increase it saw in the previous cycle. Having laid this premise, the crypto expert concluded that this market cycle shouldn’t be any different as Bitcoin will likely see about 20% of the price gain recorded in the previous cycle. Taking $15,473 as the market low for this cycle, he noted that 20% of the previous cycle’s gain would mean that the market high for this cycle was supposed to be $72,723, a price level that Bitcoin already hit on its way to a new all-time high (ATH) of $73,750. Meanwhile, the crypto expert acknowledged that Bitcoin historically records its most price gains after the Bitcoin halving, which just recently occurred. However, he added that the crypto community has to deal with the fact of the exponential decay, which has made him believe there is a 25% chance that Bitcoin has already topped this cycle.” Why The Exponential Decay Might Be Bullish For Bitcoin Brandt mentioned that Bitcoin would likely drop to the mid $30,000 or its 2021 lows if it has indeed topped. He, however, added that this decline could be the “most bullish thing that could happen from a long-term view.” Related Reading: Brace For Price Impact: Dogecoin Whales Move Massive 456 Million DOGE To Exchanges From a “classical charting point of view,” the crypto expert hinted that Bitcoin was still primed for major parabolic moves to the upside, even though it doesn’t happen now. Source: X He also shared an example of what Bitcoin’s chart could look like when this move happens with the crypto token rallying above $100,000. Brandt also alluded to Gold’s chart from August 2020 to March 2024 as an example of what Bitcoin’s price action could look like soon enough. Interestingly, he recently predicted that Bitcoin will soon be “King over Gold.” BTC price drops below $63,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from Forkast News, chart from Tradingview.com
While Bitcoin prices struggle for momentum and are caged inside a narrow range, on-chain data tells a different story. Taking to X, one analyst notes that whales, which are large crypto holders, are actively accumulating the world’s largest coin by market cap. Bitcoin Whales Accumulating Despite Weakness By the time this data was shared, Bitcoin whales held over 5.1 million BTC worth a staggering $331 billion. That there is still demand when the coin moves in a narrow range flies in the face of recent market weakness and skeptics betting on even more price dumps. Related Reading: After WIF, BONK, BODEN: Top Crypto Trader Now Buys These 2 Memecoins Currently, Bitcoin is inside a range, with caps at $73,800 and $60,000. Despite overall market confidence, the coin has failed to pull higher, breaking above $70,000 even after Halving on April 20. Even though prices are firm, the absence of follow-through after April 21 and 22 hints at weakness. From the BTCUSDT price chart, the coin could explode should it break above the middle BB. If the leg up is accompanied by positive fundamental events, momentum could push the coin to all-time highs. On the flip side, BTC is likely to slip even lower should sellers flow back. The sharp rejection of bulls on April 24 is bearish. As such, this might set a wave of lower lows in motion, taking the coin below April 2023 lows. Traders Panicked Sold, Register Huge Losses Parallel market data shows panic sellers on Binance and OKX, two major crypto exchanges by trading volumes, have dumped a combined 5,137 BTC at a loss over the past two weeks. As data shows, prices have been weaving lower during this time, with bulls failing to counter the dump, especially after two consecutive losses on April 12 and 13. Related Reading: DOGE Price Prediction – Dogecoin Below $0.14 Could Spark Larger Degree Drop Meanwhile, there have been sharp outflows from ARKB, the spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF). Data shows that ARKB sold 490 BTC, worth $31 million, on April 25. This is the third-largest single-day outflow in history. Recent price pressures on BTC coincide with a marked drop in spot ETF inflows in the second half of April. On April 25, Lookonchain data revealed that GBTC and all the nine spot ETF issuers decreased over 2,100 BTC worth roughly $135 million. Feature image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView
Despite BTC’s recent unimpressive price action, crypto analyst Doctor Profit has shared his bullish sentiment for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. The analyst further suggested that a parabolic move was imminent and that crypto investors should position themselves accordingly. Crypto Market Preparing For A “Third Industrial Revolution” Doctor Profit mentioned in an X (formerly Twitter) post that the crypto market “is preparing itself for the third Industrial Revolution,” thereby hinting at a trend reversal for Bitcoin and altcoins soon enough. “Be part of it, or regret for [a] lifetime,” the crypto analyst added as he warned crypto investors of missing this market rally. Related Reading: HBAR Prices Crashes 35% As BlackRock Denies Any Ties To Hedera In a previous X post, Doctor Profit gave an idea of what to expect from the crypto market (Bitcoin in particular) when it makes its next leg up. He stated that the flagship crypto will rise to $84,000 after it is done trading the sideway range between $60,000 and $72,000. In another X post, he claimed that the super cycle will start after Bitcoin hits $72,000. Meanwhile, Doctor Profit suggested that the price corrections experienced were normal and usually occur in each crypto cycle. He further remarked that the 10 to 20% price fluctuations weren’t big moves. His statement echoes the sentiment of Alex Thorn, Head of Research at Galaxy Digital, who previously warned that bull markets weren’t “straight lines up.” Bitcoin Is In The Re-Accumulation Period In a recent X (formerly Twitter) post, crypto analyst Rekt Capital confirmed that Bitcoin is currently in the Re-Accumulation phase, which occurs after the Bitcoin Halving. He further noted that the goal now “is for Bitcoin to move sideways to catch a breather, for the market to cool off after [a] fantastic Pre-Halving price performance. Related Reading: Why Is The Dogecoin Price Down Today? According to Rekt Capital, this Re-Accumulation period can last for multiple weeks “and even up to 150 days.” The analyst revealed that once this period is over, Bitcoin will experience a breakout from this sideways range, followed by a parabolic uptrend. This uptrend phase is said to last for over a year. However, with the probability of this being an accelerated market cycle, Rekt Capital remarked that the duration for this uptrend could be cut in half. Crypto analysts like Tom Dunleavy, Partner and Chief Investment Officer (CIO) at MV Capital, predict that the flagship crypto will rise as high as $100,000 when that time comes. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $64,360, up in the last 24 hours according to data from CoinMarketCap. BTC bears pull down price | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from Kapersky, chart from Tradingview.com
Bull flags are historically associated with more upside momentum, but Bitcoin price could still use a catalyst before rallying to new highs.
The Bitcoin price continues to fluctuate wildly after crashing from its all-time high price above $73,000. This has triggered a wave of bearish sentiment in the market, causing a large number of crypto traders to go short on the pioneer cryptocurrency. As a result, these bears lose, risking a large amount if the Bitcoin price resumes its bullish rally. Bears Will Lose $7.2 Billion If Bitcoin Reclaims All-Time High In a post shared on X (formerly Twitter), crypto analyst Ash Crypto revealed an interesting trend concerning Bitcoin that has been developing. The screenshot shared shows that a large number of short trades have been placed on BTC, with the expectation that the price could continue to fall. Related Reading: Analyst Singles Out VeChain And XRP For Parabolic Surge, Here Are The Targets Now, so far, these bulls look to be right as Bitcoin has failed to successfully clear $67,000. However, they stand to lose a lot of money if BTC is able to clear this resistance and resume upward. According to Ash Crypto, there is over $7.2 billion worth of BTC shorts which risk liquidation if Bitcoin were to reach a new all-time high price above $74,000. At the time, the Bitcoin price had recovered above $66,000, spurring a flurry of bearish activity in the market. However, these bears seem to have succeeded, as the BTC price has fallen below $64,000 at the time of writing. As a result, bears have been emboldened, with the expectation that the Bitcoin price will still from here. So far, the liquidation trends risks have continued to rise as the BTC price falls. Data from Coinglass shows that if Bitcoin were to recover above $44,000 and reach a new all-time high, bears stand to lose over $10 billion. Source: Coinglass BTC Bulls Are Not Giving Up Even though Bitcoin bears seem to be making bank with the price of Bitcoin falling, the bulls are far from done. Rather, they have been using this price decline as an opportunity to fill up their bags. This accumulation has been even more prominent among Bitcoin whales, who have picked up 1.4% of the total supply in the last month. On-chain data tracker Santiment reported that in the last four weeks, Bitcoin whales have added 266,000 BTC to their balance. The cohort responsible for this are those holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC, making them the mega whales. In total, they spent $17.8 billion on buying BTC in just one month. Related Reading: XRP Price Ready For 70% Breakout As Long-Term Consolidation Nears Its End As a result of this accumulation, these 1,000-10,000 BTC whales now hold 25.16% of all BTC in existence. Their numbers are also on the rise, with Santiment identifying this as the “Highest crowd bullish bias since all-time high week in early March.” For now, Bitcoin continues to struggle with the bears to hold the $63,000 support. Its price is down 4.05% in the last day to trade at $63,600, at the time of writing. BTC bears pull price down | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from Coinpedia, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin traders remain unfazed while BTC price action follows stocks downward on the back of surprise U.S. macro data.
Liquidation levels form an increasingly large cloud above BTC spot price as Bitcoin rests near $64,000.
Crypto analyst Bluntz Capital has predicted a strong price surge for Bitcoin in the coming days, and a new all-time high could be in the books. Bluntz dropped his two cents on Bitcoin’s trajectory on the social media platform X, amidst various price outlooks for the cryptocurrency in recent days. Bluntz is well known for […]
Bitcoin price is outperforming Tesla stock for the first time since 2019, though the EV giant still maintains a sizeable BTC stash.
A recent analysis paints a rosy picture of Bitcoin’s future, even with a conservative growth projection. Taking to X, Michael Sullivan predicts that the world’s most valuable coin could reach a staggering $245,000 within just five years if it maintains a mere 30% compound annual growth rate (CAGR). Bitcoin Projections: From Conservative To Exponential Growth The analysis explores various growth possibilities for Bitcoin. Assuming the coin’s growth rate significantly contracts in the coming years, growing at just 30% CAGR, Sullivan projects the coin to reach $245,000 by 2029. A decade later, it will be at $909,000; by 2039, each coin in circulation will be trading at a whopping $3.37 million. If, however, the CAGR rises to 40%, Bitcoin would be worth $10.3 million in 15 years and $1.9 million in 10 years. Related Reading: Market Expert Predicts New Paradigm For Bitcoin: ‘Days Under $100,000 Numbered’ Still, even at these mega valuations, Bitcoin has been soaring at unprecedented rates, outperforming all traditional finance assets since launching. To demonstrate, Bitcoin registered a CAGR of 73.7% over the past four years. Therefore, if this trend continues, Sullivan says BTC will smash above the $1 million level a year after halving in 2028. However, half a decade later, each coin will change hands at over $16.5 million. A look back at Bitcoin’s history makes it clear that the coin has been on a tear. Following this historical trend and making projections for the future, BTC could be far more valuable in the next five or ten years. There Are No Guarantees, Crypto Is Dynamic While these projections are undoubtedly exciting for Bitcoin holders, it’s crucial to remember that they are just projections. The crypto market, just like any other tradable asset, doesn’t move in straight lines. Related Reading: Shiba Inu Whales Move Over 3.19 Trillion SHIB, Where Are They Headed? As an illustration, after peaking at nearly $70,000 in 2021, prices crashed to as low as $15,600 the following year. In 2017, BTC rose to around $20,000 before tanking to below $4,000 a year later in 2018. This volatility and the dynamic market, influenced by new circumstances, don’t guarantee these lofty projections. Nonetheless, analysts remain optimistic of what lies ahead, especially after the historic Halving event on April 20. As traditional finance players join in, finding exposure in BTC through spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), prices might rise, even breaking above the all-time highs of around $74,000. Feature image from DALLE, chart from TradingView
Analysts expect Bitcoin price to test the $80,000 zone now that the halving is complete and BTC’s funding rate reset.
Bitcoin has a new countdown after the halving as the days of a sub-$100,000 BTC price are "numbered," new analysis suggests.
Crypto expert Michaël van de Poppe has provided insights into what to expect when the Bitcoin halving occurs on April 19. As part of his analysis, van de Poppe suggested that the attention might shift from Bitcoin once the event occurs. A Narrative Shift To Occur Post-Halving Van de Poppe mentioned in an X (formerly Twitter) post that narratives will change as the halving event approaches but failed to specify what the new narrative will be when this happens. However, in a previous X post, the crypto expert laid out some of his expectations for the crypto market going forward, which included what he expected the new narrative to be. Related Reading: XRP Whales Are On The Move Again, But Are They Bullish Or Bearish? According to Van de Poppe, the narrative will shift to Ethereum (ETH) and projects that are focused on Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Networks (DePIN) and Real World Assets (RWA). These sectors, along with Artificial Intelligence (AI) and meme coins, have been projected to be among the leading narratives in this bull run. Meanwhile, the crypto expert, who has so far continued to state that altcoins are greatly undervalued, expects these crypto tokens to bounce “in their Bitcoin pairs” once the hype around the halving is over. Furthermore, Van de Poppe mentioned that altcoins will show bullish strength from this second quarter until the summer after which a correction will come in the third quarter of the year. Before now, the crypto expert listed ten altcoins he believes could make the most price gains when the altcoin season begins in full force. These tokens include Chainlink (LINK), Celestia (TIA), Arbitrum (ARB), Polkadot (DOT), Cosmos (ATOM), DYDX (DYDX), WooNetwork (WOO), Sei (SEI), Skale Network (SKL), and Covalent (CQT). Expectations For Bitcoin In the short term, Van de Poppe expects Bitcoin to experience a relief bounce to around $70,000. However, he didn’t sound so bullish about the flagship crypto’s long-term trajectory, predicting that Bitcoin will face a period of consolidation that he doesn’t expect to change in the “coming months.” In another X post, he said, “It’s a waiting game on Bitcoin currently, as momentum is relatively gone.” He added that he expects Bitcoin to continue “the retracement and consolidation,” while altcoins will bounce up in their BTC pairs during this period. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Predicts Cardano Rally To $3 As Price Reaches ‘Ultimate Support Test’ This predicted consolidation period looks to be the re-accumulation phase in the stages of Bitcoin halving, which crypto analyst Rekt Capital once referred to. Elaborating on what this period is like, Rekt Capital stated back then that many investors get “shaken out in this stage due to boredom, impatience, and disappointment with lack of major results in their BTC investment in the immediate aftermath of the Halving.” Once this period is over, Bitcoin is expected to make its “parabolic uptrend,” a phase that Rekt Capital noted historically lasts just over a year. In line with this, it is worth noting that most of Bitcoin’s price gains usually come between six months to a year after the Bitcoin halving has occurred. BTC price shows bullish momentum ahead of halving | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from Yahoo Finance, chart from Tradingview.com
Analysts at Goldman Sachs, a leading global banking and investment management firm, have offered valuable insights into the anticipated effects of the forthcoming Bitcoin halving, on the price of the cryptocurrency. They emphasize that while the Bitcoin halving is a noteworthy event, other major factors will likely exert greater influence on Bitcoin’s future value. Bitcoin Halving To Play Lesser Role In BTC’s Outlook In a note to clients, Goldman Sach’s analysts have cautioned against reading too much into the past Bitcoin halving cycles and their impact on the cryptocurrency. Based on historical trends, the Bitcoin halving cycles tend to have a favorable effect on the value of Bitcoin, often triggering a bull run. The bank noted that whether the Bitcoin halving scheduled for April 20, becomes a “buy the rumor, sell the news event,” it would hold less significance for the cryptocurrency’s medium-term outlook. They argue that the future performance of the pioneer cryptocurrency would be more heavily influenced by the supply and demand dynamics within the current market. Additionally, the analysts highlighted that the growing interest and demand for Spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) combined with the self-reflexive nature of the crypto market would be the primary contributing factor to Bitcoin’s price action and future outlook. Sharing a similar perspective, analysts at CryptoQuant disclosed earlier in April that the 2024 Bitcoin halving was no longer a primary catalyst for Bitcoin’s bullish surge. They highlighted that factors such as increasing demand from large-scale investors and diminishing supply were now the key drivers of Bitcoin’s upward momentum. Analysts Warn Of Macroeconomic Influence On New Halving Cycle Analysts at Goldman Sachs have predicted that macroeconomic factors such as inflation could have a significant influence on the upcoming Bitcoin halving event. “Caution should be taken against extrapolating the past cycles and the impact of halving, given the respective prevailing macro conditions,” Goldman Sachs analysts noted. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Says Don’t Buy Altcoins Just Yet – Here’s Why Unlike previous halving cycles, the present economic conditions display high inflationary pressures and interest rates, which could cause the 2024 Bitcoin halving cycle to diverge from historical patterns. In other words, the analysts have suggested that for Bitcoin’s historical halving bull runs to occur, macro conditions need to be supportive of investor risk-taking. Currently, the United States faces challenges with high inflation, while interest rates stand above 5%. These conditions may exert pressure on Bitcoin’s market dynamics. However, despite the prevailing circumstances, many see the digital currency as a formidable inflation hedge and a beacon of hope against escalating inflationary pressures. BTC price at $62,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from CryptoSlate, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin has seen its price suffer from the tremendous selling pressure that has filled the market over the last few weeks. However, as investors hope for relief, it seems that the sellers are far from done, with one notable Bitcoin sell transaction in particular sending the market into a frenzy. Whale Dumps $1 Billion Worth Of Bitcoin Whale tracker Whale Alert took to X (formerly Twitter) to inform the crypto community of a large Bitcoin transaction that was participating in the sell-off. The transaction was carrying a total of 16,276 BTC which was worth around $1 billion at the time that the transaction was carried out. Related Reading: XRP Whales Are On The Move Again, But Are They Bullish Or Bearish? While large transactions are not out of the ordinary, their destination is often the determinant of whether it is a bearish or bullish transaction. In cases where the coins are headed away from centralized exchanges and into personal wallets, it can be bullish because this often means that the investors are consolidating their coins into personal private storage and don’t plan on selling. However, in cases where coins are being transferred to centralized exchanges, it can be very bearish since it often means that investors are looking to sell their coins. This was the case with the $1 billion Bitcoin transaction, as the 16,276 BTC were transferred to the Binance exchange. Naturally, the transaction caused a stir among investors who contemplated the impact that such a large sell-off could have on the price of the cryptocurrency. However, the origin of the transaction would be revealed soon after, and prices would stabilize as a result. Binance Says 16,276 BTC Transaction Was SAFU Fund Conversion In the early hours of Thursday, Binance, the largest crypto exchange in the world, took responsibility for the 16,276 BTC transaction that was sent to the exchange. The funds were reportedly from its emergency insurance fund known as the Secure Asset Fund for Users (SAFU) fund. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Says Don’t Buy Altcoins Just Yet – Here’s Why According to the announcement, the exchange is converting this insurance fund into stable coins to avoid fluctuations in price associated with Bitcoin. Binance explains that it maintains the balance of this fund at $1 billion, which represents an ample level that is enough to safeguard user funds on the exchange. As to why the exchange chose USDC as its stablecoin of choice, it said, “Making use of a trusted, audited, and transparent stablecoin for SAFU further enhances its reliability and ensures it remains stable at $1B.” The Bitcoin has since been converted to USDC, and the SAFU wallet maintains a balance of 1 billion USDC. BTC price stages another recovery | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from Bitcoin News, chart from Tradingview.com
As the US economy grapples with rising inflation expectations and scaled-back forecasts for Federal Reserve rate cuts, the Bitcoin market remains buoyant, according to a detailed analysis by Reflexivity Research. With the US CPI headline inflation projected to accelerate to 4.8% by the November 2024 elections, according to Bank of America, conditions are seemingly unfavorable for a loosening of monetary policy. Despite this, the cryptocurrency sector, particularly Bitcoin, appears insulated and optimistic. Bitcoin Unfazed By Delayed Rate Cuts? The bond market now anticipates only three Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, a significant reduction from the earlier forecast of six. The CME FedWatch tool indicates that the majority of market participants do not expect a rate cut to occur before the mid-September FOMC meeting. This adjustment reflects a recalibration of expectations regarding the Fed’s capacity to manage persistent inflation pressures. Amidst these macroeconomic shifts, Ritik Goyal, in a guest post for Reflexivity Research, presents a compelling analysis in his report titled “The Fed is Unable to Cause a Recession. Risk Assets are Yet to Realize This.” Related Reading: Pre-Halving Jitters: Bitcoin Price Briefly Slips Below $60,000 The report argues that, contrary to conventional wisdom, the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes have had unintended stimulative effects on the economy. Goyal elucidates three specific mechanisms through which this phenomenon operates: 1. Increased Government Interest Payments: “Rate hikes raised interest payments by the government to the private sector,” Goyal notes. As the Fed raises rates, it increases the interest burden on the government, which has borrowed extensively during the post-COVID period. With the federal debt-to-GDP ratio exceeding 120%, the doubled interest payments now effectively act as a stimulus, channeling approximately $1 trillion annually to the private sector 2. Direct Subsidy to Banking System: The Fed’s policy adjustments have also led to a redistribution of wealth within the financial system. “Rate hikes raised the Fed’s direct subsidy to the banking system,” states Goyal. This has occurred as the yield curve inversion resulted in the Fed incurring losses on its balance sheet, losses that directly benefit the banking sector, translating to an estimated $150 billion annual subsidy. Related Reading: Bitcoin Displays Bullish Adam And Eve Double Bottom: What It Means 3. Induced Housing Construction Boom: The rate hikes have paradoxically stimulated the housing market. “Rate hikes induced a housing construction boom,” according to Goyal. As higher rates discourage existing homeowners from selling, the only viable option to meet housing demand is new construction, a sector with one of the highest GDP multipliers. Goyal’s insights underline a critical misalignment in the Fed’s current approach against the backdrop of substantial fiscal interventions since the pandemic. “The traditional monetary policy framework is breaking down under the weight of fiscal dominance,” Goyal concludes, suggesting an environment that could favor non-traditional assets like Bitcoin. Echoing Goyal’s findings, crypto expert Will Clemente highlighted the broader implications for cryptocurrencies on X (formerly Twitter), stating, “With debt/GDP as high as it is, we’re in a backwards world where high rates mean interest payments on debt are stimmy checks for people that buy assets—~$1T will be paid out in 2024. Big picture is very constructive for the internet coins.” At press time, BTC traded at $61,173. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin price losses crucial support at $60,000 as inflows to the spot Bitcoin ETFs stagnate.
Cryptocurrency exchange and trading platform, Bybit has released a new report highlighting the impacts of the upcoming Bitcoin halving event on the supply dynamics of Bitcoin within exchanges in the crypto space. The crypto firm has provided valuable insights on how the halving event would enhance scarcity and considerably influence the price of BTC. Exchanges Set To Face Bitcoin Supply Crunch On Tuesday, April 16, Bybit published a new report, providing a detailed analysis of the Bitcoin halving event set to take place this month. The crypto firm disclosed that the Bitcoin reserves within the world’s crypto exchanges have been depleting at a rapid pace, leaving only nine months of BTC supply left on exchanges. Related Reading: Arbitrum’s Massive $107 Million Token Unlock Threatens To Send Price Below $1 For a clearer perspective, Bybit explains that with just two million Bitcoin left in its total supply, a daily influx of $500 million into Spot Bitcoin ETFs would result in approximately 7,142 BTC leaving exchanges daily. This suggests that it would take only nine months to completely consume all of the remaining BTC reserves on exchanges. Bybit has stated that a major contributor to this supply squeeze would be the upcoming Bitcoin halving event, which would reduce the cryptocurrency’s total supply by 50% by cutting Bitcoin miners’ rewards in half. The crypto exchange has also disclosed that after the halving event, the sell-side supply of BTC flowing into Centralized Exchanges (CEXs) will become grossly reduced. Additionally, Bitcoin’s “supply squeeze will ostensibly be worse.” BTC To Become “Twice As Rare As Gold” In its report, Bybit compared Bitcoin’s supply after the halving event with that of gold. The crypto exchange revealed that Bitcoin was steadily growing to become one of the safest investment choices, even for the most seasoned and sophisticated investors within the crypto space. According to the exchange, the Bitcoin halving event would significantly impact the cryptocurrency’s scarcity factor, making it an even rarer asset than gold. Basing this analysis on the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) ratio, Bybit disclosed that Bitcoin’s S2F ratio is around 56 currently, while gold’s ratio is 60. After the halving event this April, Bitcoin’s S2F ratio is projected to increase to 112. Related Reading: Arkham Releases Top 5 Crypto Rich List – You Won’t Believe How Much Is Inaccessible “Each Bitcoin halving sharpens the narrative of Bitcoin as not just a currency, but a scarce digital asset, akin to digital gold. This upcoming halving in 2024 will thrust BTC into an era of unprecedented scarcity, making it twice as rare as gold,” the Co-founder and CEO of Bybit, Ben Zhou stated. While highlighting the significance of Bitcoin’s rarity following the halving event, another report also disclosed that the price of Bitcoin would experience significant upward pressure post-halving. This suggests that BTC’S supply squeeze could potentially propel its price to new heights during this period. Furthermore, the report revealed that several crypto analysts predict that the post-halving increase in Bitcoin’s price would be less remarkable than the early pre-halving surge which saw the price of Bitcoin hitting new all-time highs of more than $73,000. BTC price drops below $63,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from Analytics Vidhya, chart from Tradingview.com
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Bitcoin Core has officially launched version 27.0, incorporating an array of enhancements and updates designed to bolster the functionality and security of the Bitcoin network. The update, which can be downloaded from the Bitcoin Core website and GitHub, includes notable changes in network protocols, security measures, and wallet operations. Bitcoin Core is the fundamental software […]
Despite the active on-chain accumulation, demand for Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States appears to have stagnated over the past four weeks, according to Ki Young Ju, the founder of CryptoQuant, an on-chain analytics platform. This assessment, the founder notes, is even when excluding ETF settlement transactions. Spot Bitcoin ETF Demand Slumps In The […]
Many analysts are looking at how the cryptocurrency’s inflation rate will compare to gold’s after the halving, expected on April 19.