In an interview with Yahoo Finance’s “Wealth,” Ric Edelman, founder of the Digital Assets Council of Financial Professionals and $291 billion asset manager Edelman Financial Services, provided a striking forecast for the Bitcoin price. Edelman argued that Bitcoin’s price could surge to $420,000, attributing this potential rise to a modest global asset allocation towards Bitcoin. Why Bitcoin Price Will Reach $420,000 During the interview, Edelman delved into the advantages of investing in Spot Bitcoin ETFs. He noted that these instruments make Bitcoin accessible in the same way as traditional ETFs, which are commonplace and familiar to investors using ordinary brokerage accounts. “They’re incredibly inexpensive, 20-25 basis points cheaper than going to say Coinbase or other crypto exchange and being in a brokerage account, you can rebalance, you can dollar cost average, you can tax loss harvest,” Edelman highlighted. This setup simplifies the investment process, making it akin to managing any other asset class, thus broadening its appeal to a wider audience. Related Reading: CPI Preview: Bitcoin Price Poised To Surge If Projections Hold True However, Edelman was also candid about the challenges and risks associated with Bitcoin. Despite the advantages offered by ETFs, the inherent nature of Bitcoin as a volatile and risky investment persists. “It’s still Bitcoin, which means it’s still very volatile, it’s still very risky. You could still lose everything,” he cautioned. Edelman pointed to ongoing regulatory uncertainty, potential lawsuits, and prevalent fraud as significant risks that investors need to manage cautiously. He also criticized the trend of investing due to fear of missing out (FOMO), labeling it as a poor investment rationale. Looking ahead, Edelman discussed the regulatory landscape, particularly concerning other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum. He noted that there are several applications pending for Ethereum ETFs, and while he anticipates initial rejections, approvals could follow by year’s end. Related Reading: Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Solana: Galaxy Digital CEO Predicts Next Market Movements “After you have the Bitcoin ETFs and the Ethereum ETFs, I’m not sure how quickly you’ll see anything else after that, but these two will kind of open the doors long term. Five years from now, there will be dozens, perhaps even hundreds of crypto ETFs,” Edelman speculated. This perspective underscores a significant shift towards mainstream acceptance and integration of cryptocurrencies into traditional financial products. Edelman’s prediction of Bitcoin reaching $420,000 is based on an assumption of global asset diversification. By his calculations, if all global asset holders allocated just 1% of their assets to Bitcoin, this would translate to a market cap of $7.4 trillion for Bitcoin alone. “It’s remarkably simple. If you take a look at the world’s global assets, the value of the stock market, globally, the bond market, the real estate market, the gold market, you just look at all the assets everybody in the world owns, it’s about $740 trillion,” he explained. Such an allocation would dramatically increase Bitcoin’s market cap, driving its price up significantly. Moreover, Edelman highlighted a shift in the perception of Bitcoin from a transactional currency to a store of value, similar to gold. “The use case of Bitcoin, although it’s strong for transmittal, is not the strongest argument. It’s now like gold, a store of value,” he stated. This perception shift has attracted more institutional investors, who view Bitcoin as a hedge or an alternative asset class, akin to other non-traditional investments like artwork or collectibles. At press time, BTC traded at $61,909. Featured image from Wealth Management, chart from TradingView.com
According to the candlestick arrangement in the daily chart, Bitcoin is moving inside a range. BTC is also down roughly 20% from the all-time high at spot rates. Though the series of lower lows posted in the past few trading days is bearish, one analyst is upbeat, expecting an encouraging recovery in the sessions ahead. This Indicator Flashes Green: Time For Bitcoin To Rally? Taking to X, the analyst notes that the 50-day Williams %R oscillator is turning from oversold territory, signaling that the bear run could end. Historically, the indicator has accurately signaled buying opportunities whenever it turns from oversold territory. The Williams %R oscillator is a crucial technical indicator chartists use to assess momentum and identify potential oversold or overbought conditions. When the indicator falls below -80, it suggests the asset being analyzed is oversold, potentially indicating a buying opportunity. Conversely, when it rises above +20, it may mean that the asset is overbought, prompting the trader to adjust their strategy accordingly. Related Reading: Newbie Bitcoin Whales Buying 200,000 BTC Per Week, Data Shows Since the beginning of 2023, the analyst observes that the 50-day Williams %R oscillator mapping Bitcoin prices has dipped into oversold territory on four occasions. Notably, each time the oscillator reversed from this zone, BTC prices rose in tandem. Now, with the Williams %R oscillator returning from the oversold territory roughly ten days ago, the analyst is optimistic. It returned from the oversold territory in January 2024, preceding the bull run in Q1 2024. If past performance is anything to go by, BTC is likely ready for a leg up. Considering the extended sideways movement and lower lows since prices peaked in mid-March 2024, this development will be a massive boost for the coin. Does BTC Stand A Chance After Extended Consolidation? The asset has become more dynamic since the approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Broader market conditions, such as regulatory changes, macroeconomic trends, and investor sentiment increasingly influence it. Subsequently, this dynamism can impact the accuracy of technical indicators like the Williams % R oscillator. This tool lags and doesn’t factor in events in real time. Therefore, while the oscillator has been reliable in the past, it may not necessarily accurately predict the future cycle. For this reason, the coming days and weeks will be crucial for Bitcoin. If the price breaks out of its current range upwards, it could lend credence to the bullish interpretation. Related Reading: Brace For Impact: Mt. Gox Set To Inject 142,000 BTC And 143,000 Bitcoin Cash Into The Market- Here’s When Currently, BTC is in a narrow range. According to the daily chart, support is at $56,500, and resistance is at $66,000. Feature image from DALLE, chart from TradingView
Crypto analyst Rekt Capital recently suggested that the worst might be over for Bitcoin. If so, the flagship crypto may be primed for a move to the upside, rising to as high as $100,000, which some other crypto analysts have predicted would be the case. Bitcoin Is Out Of The “Danger Zone” Rekt Capital mentioned […]
BTC price moves become increasingly erratic in the hours leading up to a slew of U.S. macroeconomic data prints after Bitcoin bulls fail to flip $63,000.
Bitcoin is moving sideways, posting drab price action, forcing participation to taper. But amid this consolidation and even fear of more losses, one analyst has shared data suggesting that long-term holders are accumulating at spot rates. Are We Back To 2021? Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Accumulating In a post on X, the analyst noted that this re-accumulating pace is picking up momentum, mirroring a welcomed trend that preceded the impressive 2021 bull run. Therefore, if long-term holders, or HODLers, accumulate, the probability of BTC rallying in the sessions ahead is elevated. Thus far, BTC has been trending above $60,000, up 10% from the May 2024 lows. For clarity, the data shared by the analyst uses Unspent Transaction Outputs (UTXOs) to classify long-term and short-term holders. Analyzing the age of UTXOs makes it easier to gauge the behavior of different investor groups. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts Injective (INJ) Breakout: $50 Price Range On The Horizon Usually, UTXOs older than 155 days have “diamond hands” or long-term holders. Meanwhile, those who hold BTC for less than 155 days are short-term holders or often classified as “weak” hands. They are usually traders or speculators interested in riding on price volatility, like in the first half of Q1 2024. When long-term holders stopped distributing BTC in 2021, prices rose sharply. By November 2021, the coin had peaked at around $70,000, lifting prices by nearly 1,500% from 2020 lows. It is unclear if BTC is ready for another 15X surge from spot rates, a move that would propel it to over $700,000. BTC Has Strong Support At $60,000, Analyst Urges Patience While the on-chain data paints a bullish picture, some analysts advocate caution. Taking to X, one analyst notes that Bitcoin has strong support at around the psychological $60,000 mark. The coin could stabilize if bulls soak in selling pressure and reject attempts for lower lows. However, if prices dump below $60,000, triggered by a news event, BTC may fall to as low as the $52,000 to $55,000 zone. Despite the potential for short-term volatility, the analyst encourages investors to maintain a long-term perspective. Accumulating Bitcoin at these levels and exercising patience could be a winning strategy, the analyst says. Related Reading: DOGE Price Prediction – Can Dogecoin Bulls Overcome This Hurdle? This preview would be especially true now that on-chain data shows that long-term holders are accumulating. Before then, traders should watch price action. The coin is moving sideways, finding rejection at $66,000. Even though prices are lower, the last day’s series of higher highs is encouraging and might spark demand. Feature image from DALLE, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has almost completed its prime BTC price drawdown phase after April’s halving, the latest analysis confirms.
Bitcoin price drops more than 2% in an hour, leading to $127 million in long liquidations.
Bitcoin traders are upping the stakes amid a tightly rangebound few days for BTC price action.
Crypto analyst Onchained recently provided valuable insights into an important metric that can be used to gauge the future trajectory of Bitcoin. The analyst suggested there was no cause to worry at the moment but highlighted what to watch out for to know the right time to exit the market. Bitcoin Short-Term Holders NUPL Turns Negative In a blog post, the analyst noted that the NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) for Bitcoin’s short-term holders recently turned negative. The analyst added that this signals fear among this category of investors, which is very much likely given Bitcoin’s current price action. The last time this trend occurred was shortly after the Spot Bitcoin ETFs were approved, with Bitcoin dropping from $49,000 to $38,000 following that occurrence. Related Reading: What Triggered The 6,350% Spike In XRP Long Liquidations Compared To Shorts? Source: CryptoQuant While the short-term holders’ NUPL turning red again suggests that a significant price decline may be on the horizon, the analyst remarked that this price level may simply represent a significant support line. The real cause for concern might be when the NUPL for mid-term holders also turns negative. “It could indicate widespread market fear and serve as a crucial risk management indicator for exiting the market,” the analyst claimed. It is worth noting that the short-term holder’s NUPL being negative means they are currently seeing an unrealized loss in their investments. This could trigger a wave of sell-offs among these investors, mainly because of fear that Bitcoin’s price could further dip. However, based on the analyst’s analysis, this might not significantly lower Bitcoin’s price. Instead, market speculators should be more worried about the PUNL of mid-term holders (those who have been holding Bitcoin for 3 to 6 months). The PUNL also turning negative will “suggest widespread pessimism or negative sentiment.” This could lead to massive selling pressure on Bitcoin’s price as this category of investors might also offload their holdings out of fear. The Worst May Already Be Over Crypto analyst Ali Martinez had previously shared a similar analysis to Onchained’s, noting that Bitcoin short-term holder’s (STH) realized price was at $59,800. The analyst warned back then that Bitcoin dropping below this level could trigger “notable Bitcoin price corrections.” Following his prediction, Bitcoin fell below $59,800, dropping to as low as $57,000. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Says Ethereum Price Will Drop To $2,500, Here’s Why However, the flagship crypto has since then recovered nicely above $60,000. Although Bitcoin is still showing signs of a bearish outlook, its quick recovery above $60,000 suggests that the worst might be over, and all the crypto token needs right now is a catalyst to spark a continuation of its bull run. Arthur Hayes, BitMEX’s co-founder and former CEO, also confirmed this belief, noting that Bitcoin has already found its local bottom. However, he predicted that Bitcoin will likely have a “range-bound price action between $60,000 and $70,000 until August.” BTC bulls push price above $63,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from Kiplinger, chart from Tradingview.com
Former President Donald Trump recently voiced strong support for Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, notably diverging from his previously skeptical stance. This significant pivot, prominently featured in a recent video circulating among crypto enthusiasts and investors, has spurred speculation about the potential implications for Bitcoin and other digital currencies as the US election approaches this November. How Trump Could Boost Bitcoin Price The comments made by Trump were discussed by analyst MacroScope on X. The analyst emphasized the importance of Trump’s statements: “By now, you’ve probably seen the video of Trump‘s strident and arguably stunning pro-crypto comments.” MacroScope suggested that the implications of Trump’s newfound support could be profound, particularly because a positive shift in policy from Washington, D.C., regarding cryptocurrencies has not been factored into current market prices. MacroScope further advised, “In terms of potential price impact on BTC, this should be watched very, very closely in coming months.” The statement reflects a broader sentiment within the financial community that political endorsements can lead to market movements, particularly when they suggest a shift in regulatory approaches. The analyst drew parallels to the market’s underestimation of the impact of the spot Bitcoin ETFs, indicating that a similar scenario might unfold if Trump’s supportive comments translate into formal policy changes. By now, you've probably seen the video of Trump's strident and arguably stunning pro-crypto comments. In terms of potential price impact on BTC, this should be watched very, very closely in coming months. It should go without saying that a constructive policy shift in DC is not… https://t.co/KL0RNqawZg — MacroScope (@MacroScope17) May 9, 2024 Meanwhile, the credibility of Trump’s promises is a critical factor in assessing the potential outcomes of his pro-crypto statements. While Trump is known for making ambitious promises to rally support, MacroScope noted, “Yes, he will promise anything in front of a crowd to get applause. But from various insider accounts, we also know that once he makes a high-profile promise, he’s acutely aware of the attention and approval it got, and he feels obligated to at least show the appearance of following through in terms of policy.” Related Reading: Latest Bitcoin Top Is Different From 2021 Peak, Analyst Explains Why This behavioral pattern suggests that Trump may continue to champion pro-Bitcoin and crypto policies, at least in appearance, to maintain the favor he has garnered from these statements. Moreover, the political discourse surrounding cryptocurrencies is intertwined with speculations about future leadership at the Federal Reserve. Former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh, who is viewed as a potential successor to Jerome Powell, has previously expressed a nuanced understanding of Bitcoin’s value, particularly in light of a weakening dollar. In a statement made in 2021, Warsh remarked, “It does make some sense to me,” referring to Bitcoin’s resilience during times of dollar depreciation. The potential appointment of Warsh could herald a more favorable regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies, aligning with Trump’s pro-crypto rhetoric. Analyzing Trump’s BTC Stance: Julian Fahrer’s Insights Julian Fahrer, co-founder and CEO of Apollo, also recently offered a nuanced analysis of Donald Trump’s relationship with Bitcoin and crypto, spanning from his presidency to his post-presidential activities. Fahrer’s perspective is crucial in dissecting Trump’s public statements against his administrative actions. During his presidency, Trump openly criticized Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, notably after Meta’s attempt to launch the Libra stablecoin in 2019. Trump famously stated, “I am not a fan of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, which are not money, and whose value is highly volatile and based on thin air. Unregulated Crypto Assets can facilitate unlawful behavior, including drug trade and other illegal activity.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Gets A ‘Monster’ Whale Boost With $1.2 Billion ETF Purchase Despite these comments, Trump’s appointments suggest a more complex position towards crypto. He appointed Hester ‘Crypto Mom’ Pierce to the SEC, known for her dissenting opinions in favor of Bitcoin and crypto, and Steve Mnuchin as Treasury Secretary, who viewed cryptocurrencies as a national security threat. This dichotomy shows that Trump’s administration maintained a somewhat ambiguous stance on crypto regulation, characterized by tightened KYC/AML rules by the Financial Action Task Force, alongside the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s approval of crypto futures products. Post-presidency, Trump’s attitude appears to have shifted significantly. His venture into Trump Digital Trading Cards and disclosure of owning $2.8 million in ETH in 2023 signal a newfound embrace of digital assets. This change could be attributed to strategic shifts or financial incentives. Furthermore, Trump’s recent interactions, including bringing pro-Bitcoin Vivek Ramaswamy into his circle and positive comments on Fox about Bitcoin, indicate a potential pivot towards a more crypto-friendly posture if he were to secure a second term. Fahrer aptly notes, “The bigger an enemy of Bitcoin and crypto the Democrats seem to be, the more Trump appears to be embracing it.” This analysis underscores the fluidity between Trump’s rhetoric and his policy actions regarding Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, with Fahrer concluding that Trump’s evolving stance could lead to a ‘full on Degen Don’ as the November election approaches. Notably, investment giant VanEck predicted at the beginning of the year that a Trump victory will propel the Bitcoin price to a new all-time high on November 9th and potentially reach $100,000 by December. At press time, BTC traded at $63,024. Featured image from BlockTrends, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin price data makes a strong argument for why the current price range is a buy-the-dip opportunity.
Bitcoin refuses to budge after the latest U.S. macro data, but a six-figure BTC price is waiting the wings, analysis claims.
Analysts forecast a Bitcoin run to $265,000, but it could take longer than investors expect.
The recent unimpressive price action of Bitcoin is playing out in the minds of institutional investors, with recent data highlighting their bearish sentiment. This has led to a wave of massive outflows from Bitcoin investment products, which could negatively impact the flagship crypto. Bitcoin Investment Products Record $284 Million Of Outflows CoinShares revealed in a blog post that Bitcoin investment funds recorded an outflow of $284 million last week. Most of these outflows are said to have come from the US Spot Bitcoin ETFs, which saw outflows of $156 million last week. CoinShares noted that last week was the first time these funds recorded such a measurable amount of outflows. Related Reading: Can Ethereum Reclaim $4,000? Fragile Fundamentals Threaten To Send ETH Crashing These US Spot Bitcoin ETFs indeed had a week to forget last week, as even BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) recorded its first day of outflows since launch, with almost $37 million exiting the fund. CoinShares suggested that the magnitude of outflows was likely due to Bitcoin dropping below $62,000, which they estimate is the average purchase price of these ETFs since launch. Therefore, they claim that Bitcoin’s decline may have triggered automatic sell orders. Before now, institutional investors had already shown mixed feelings towards these funds thanks to Bitcoin’s recent price action. As such, it makes sense that Bitcoin dropping below $60,000 made them panic sell instead of holding their positions. Despite this development, CoinShares noted that the Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong which launched last week, were a bright spot, recording $307 million in inflows in the first week of trading. The launch of these funds could prove timely, with Bitcoin needing a catalyst to continue its upward trend. Interestingly, CoinShares revealed that Bitcoin was the only crypto asset to record outflows. On its part, Ethereum broke its seven-week streak of recording outflows, with $30 million flowing into Ethereum investment products. Other altcoins like Avalanche, Cardano, and Polkadot also saw inflows. Spot Bitcoin ETFs Still Not In The Clear With Grayscale’s GBTC recording its first day of net inflows last week, there was the feeling that such development could spark a turnaround in the outflows that the Spot Bitcoin ETFs have been recording. However, that hasn’t been the case. On May 7, these funds recorded a net outflow of $15.7 million. Related Reading: Here’s How This Ethereum Whale Made $16 Million From A Single Trade GBTC was again the primary culprit, with the fund seeing a net outflow of $28.6 million. These outflows have continued to affect Bitcoin’s price negatively, given the amount of selling pressure it is piling on the flagship crypto. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $62,300, down over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. BTC price at $62,300 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from The Independent, chart from Tradingview.com
Mike McGlone, Senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, has made a rather pessimistic prediction for Bitcoin, emphasizing that the cryptocurrency’s potential rise to $150,00 was a long shot. The strategist has revealed factors that could make Bitcoin’s projected surge to $150,000 difficult, highlighting both macroeconomic trends and Bitcoin’s performance in 2024. Bitcoin Surge To $150,000 Unlikely In a recent interview with Scott Melker, the host of “The Wolf Of All Streets,” podcast, McGlone discussed Bitcoin’s price fundamentals and its possible rise to $150,000 in the 2024 bull cycle. Related Reading: Crypto Whale Spends $10.4 Million On PEPE, Do They Know Something You Don’t? Comparing Bitcoin with the stock market index, the S&P 500, the Bloomberg strategist disclosed that the cryptocurrency was currently showing “divergent weakness,” highlighting that Bitcoin’s performance against the S&P 500 in 2021 was greater compared to 2024. He also revealed that Bitcoin was displaying a similar weak performance to Gold, emphasizing current market conditions and the risk of short-term deflation in the financial market. The combination of these factors pushes McGlone to believe that Bitcoin’s short-term projected rise to $150,000 was unlikely. While the Bloomberg strategist made his foreboding prediction despite Bitcoin’s overperformance at the beginning of the year, McGlone still remains optimistic about the cryptocurrency’s price and fundamental value in the long term. Co-founder and CEO of CoinRoutes, Dave Weisberger, who was also in the podcast with McGlone, made a more optimistic prediction for Bitcoin. Basing his analysis on historical trends and patterns as far back as 2015, Weisberger forecasted that Bitcoin could rise to $200,000 this cycle. His forecast is also acknowledged by reformed hedge fund manager, James Lavish, who revealed in the podcast that Spot Bitcoin ETFs could become a potential driver for Bitcoin’s continuous growth. This is attributed to the massive impact Bitcoin ETFs had on the cryptocurrency’s price following its launch on January 11, 2024. After Spot Bitcoin ETFs were successfully released into the market, the price of Bitcoin skyrocketed to new all-time highs above $73,000. At the time of writing, the cryptocurrency is trading at $63,778, marking a 0.89% increase over the past seven days, according to CoinMarketCap. BTC Crash Presents Perfect Opportunity According to Lavish, if Bitcoin crashes down to the $30,000 to $40,000 range, it would present a “tremendous opportunity” for investors to acquire substantial value in a long-term asset that will essentially hold its value and continue to appreciate in the future. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Says Cardano Bloodbath Far From Over, Sets Bottom Price For ADA The reformed hedge fund manager revealed that Bitcoin’s short-term volatility and market unpredictability could produce long-term capture of value. This suggests that by strategically navigating through the price fluctuations of Bitcoin, investors could potentially capitalize on its volatility to accumulate wealth over time, which in turn could favorably impact the price of the cryptocurrency. BTC bears and bulls continue tug of war | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from ETF Stream, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin’s post-halving "danger zone" is over as Bitcoin establishes a firm footing above the $60,000 re-accumulation range, new analysis suggests.
Crypto analyst Ali Martinez has revealed that it may still be an excellent time to accumulate Bitcoin. This comes amidst the flagship crypto’s recent price recovery, with the crypto token skyrocketing above $64,000. Bitcoin Is Still In A “Prime Buy Zone” Martinez mentioned in an X (formerly Twitter) post that Bitcoin’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) 90-day ratio indicates that it is still in a “prime buy zone” despite its recent price surge from $57,000 to $64,000. The MVRV is a metric used to determine whether a crypto token is undervalued or overvalued. Related Reading: Cardano Comeback: Analyst Reveals Why It’s Time To Get Back Into ADA Source: X Based on Martinez’s findings, Bitcoin looks to be currently undervalued, which presents a good opportunity to accumulate the crypto token. The analyst’s revelation undoubtedly provides reassurance for those who failed to buy the dip and are looking for a perfect entry to invest in Bitcoin. Interestingly, Bitcoin whales didn’t waste time accumulating during Bitcoin’s recent decline, as Bitcoinist reported that these investors bought 47,500 BTC ($2.8 billion) between May 2 and 3. However, the MVRV ratio being at that level suggests that many of these whales are investors adding to their positions, meaning that significant buying pressure shouldn’t be expected anytime soon. Crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe also recently suggested that Bitcoin is still undervalued. He noted that the crypto token is back above $60,000, and retail isn’t here yet. He mentioned in another X post that these retail investors won’t return until the summer, which means that everyone currently positioning themselves is still early. BTC Almost Ready For Next Leg Up Crypto analyst Mikybull Crypto recently hinted that Bitcoin is almost ready for another parabolic rally. He stated that Bitcoin’s local bottom is in considering that the “next liquidity grab interest is above.” He added that Bitcoin will first “clear out the $67,000 level and consolidate in preparation for the $73,000 level. Related Reading: Fantom Revival: Crypto Analyst Predicts A Jump To $1.2 For FTM Price Source: X Meanwhile, the analyst revealed in another X post that Bitcoin has “finally experienced a MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence) bullish cross” on the daily chart, just like it did in January 2024, which led to the crypto token rising to as high as $73,000 in March. According to Mikybull Crypto, Bitcoin reclaiming above the 50-day Moving Average will “further confirm the bullish continuation.” For those looking to long Bitcoin, Mikybull Crypto remarked that the $64,000 range is an “ideal zone” to do so. He predicts that Bitcoin might clear out the CME gap between $62,580 and $64,105 before consolidating at around $64,000. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $65,300, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. BTC price falls from $65,000 to $63,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from The Independent, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin manages an impressive comeback from two-month lows, but how high can BTC price action go before speculators take over?
The current Bitcoin price behavior and its deviations from expected cyclical patterns remain a central theme of analysis. Crypto analyst Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) recently shared new insights on X concerning Bitcoin’s potential peak during the ongoing bull run, which is progressing at an atypical pace compared to historical data. When Will Bitcoin Peak This Cycle? In a detailed post, Rekt Capital pointed out that as of mid-March 2024, Bitcoin had not only reached new all-time highs but had done so approximately 260 days ahead of its traditional halving-induced cycles. This marked a significant acceleration. “When Bitcoin rallied to new All Time Highs in mid-March 2024, Bitcoin was accelerating in its cycle by 260 days compared to traditional Halving Cycles,” stated Rekt Capital. However, this rapid pace has not been sustained. Over the past two months, Bitcoin has been in a phase of consolidation, which has altered its trajectory. The acceleration advantage has decreased to about 210 days compared to previous cycles. This deceleration is a critical factor, as it could lead to a re-synchronization with the typical halving cycle. Typically, BTC peaks 518-546 days after a halving event. Related Reading: Bitcoin Relative Strength Jumps To 40%: 10x Research Reveals Next Steps From Here The analyst suggests shifting the predictive focus from just halving events to the periods after Bitcoin surpasses its previous all-time highs. Historically, BTC price tends to reach a bull market top within 266 to 315 days after breaking these thresholds. Given that this milestone was achieved again in mid-March 2024, the projected window for the next bull market peak could be set between late November 2024 and late January 2025. Nevertheless, a notable trend is the increasing duration for which Bitcoin maintains levels beyond its old highs. In 2013, this period lasted 268 days, in 2017 it extended to 280 days, and by 2021, it had increased to 315 days. This pattern suggests an incremental extension of approximately 14 to 35 days per cycle. “Historically, the amount of days that Bitcoin has spent beyond old All Time Highs has increased by approximately 14 days to 35 days,” explained Rekt Capital. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bottom In? Retracement From $73,800 Is Deeper And Took Longer To Form Adding these increments to the initial range of 266 to 315 days post-old highs, the peak could potentially extend to between 280 and 350 days post-breakout. This adjustment shifts the expected peak time frame to between mid-December 2024 and early March 2025. Potential Synchronization With Halving Cycles Despite the current accelerated cycle, there remains a possibility that further deceleration could align Bitcoin more closely with its halving cycle. In past cycles, such as those between 2015-2017 and 2019-2021, Bitcoin peaked at 518 and 546 days post-halving, respectively. If Bitcoin’s rate of acceleration continues to decrease, the cycle may eventually resynchronize, potentially delaying the peak to between mid-September and mid-October 2025. Rekt Capital elaborates, “But if Bitcoin continues to reduce its current acceleration in the cycle, it would resynchronize with traditional Halving cycles.” This could result in a peak more aligned with historical patterns, diverging from the current accelerated timeline. At press time, BTC traded at $64,262. Featured image created with DALL·E, chart from TradingView.com
Richard Byworth, Managing Partner at SyzCapital, has ignited rumors suggesting that Bitcoin ETFs listed in Hong Kong could soon be accessible to investors from mainland China. Byworth’s remarks on X, formerly known as Twitter, highlight the ongoing discussions about the possibility of the integration of these ETFs into the Stock Connect system. This integration could […]
Some analysts were frightened by the recent drop in Bitcoin prices. Though the coin is showing signs of strength, multiple leveraged longs were liquidated early this week. In a post on X, one analyst thinks Bitcoin might have just found support, bottoming up after the contraction this week, pushing it lower from the multi-week range established in mid-March through to the better part of April. Bitcoin Retracement Is Deeper And Took Longer: Bottom In? Expressing confidence, the analyst cited a historical pattern. Based on a price action assessment in the weekly chart, the analyst notes that whenever Bitcoin posts a deep retracement, there is usually a higher probability of the coin bottoming up and shaking off weakness. Related Reading: Bitcoin Update: $120 Million Futures Liquidated As Price Takes A Beating At the same time, prices tend to recover after a retracement that takes longer than expected. Building on their historical pattern observation, the analyst applied it to the current BTC situation. The trader said up to the current level, the retracement from an all-time high is deeper and also took longer than usual, spanning several weeks. As a result, the analyst projected a high likelihood that Bitcoin prices might have found a bottom. While confidence abounds, it is still challenging to pick bottoms. Bitcoin and crypto assets are volatile, with prices moving quickly in either direction. At spot rates, Bitcoin is trading above $60,000, reversing losses of May 1. Even though this might cement the analyst’s position, BTC remains within a bear breakout formation, defined by the wide-ranging, high-volume bear bar of April 30. Moreover, the coin is still boxed away from the April trade range, suggesting that weakness remains. Should there be a conclusive close above $62,000, the trend will likely shift in favor of bulls, reversing the losses of April 30. Related Reading: Why This Crypto Bull Run Might Not Live Up To The Past: Analyst Before then, aggressive traders might be unloading at higher prices, aligning with the current bearish formation. Market Forces Will Shape BTC Prices Despite the bearish outlook, most analysts are bullish, expecting a sharp price recovery. One of them took to X, suggesting that buyers will likely take charge if prices recover from spot rates and return to the horizontal range of March to April. The pace and direction at which prices move going forward lean on market factors. So far, spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) issuers are decreasing their holdings. At the same time, the United States Federal Reserve is tracking inflation and other metrics as they tune monetary policy. If inflation drops, the USD will likely strengthen, heaping more pressure on the world’s most valuable crypto. Feature image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin bulls welcome some BTC price relief while whales get busy accumulating nearly 50,000 BTC at the local lows.
Bitcoin price shows signs of a recovery, but analysts are uncertain whether the strongest part of the correction has passed.
Bitcoin bulls see signs of the worst being over as a BTC price bounce gathers pace toward $60,000.
MicroStrategy, the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, has officially launched a groundbreaking decentralized identity system named ‘MicroStrategy Orange’. This innovative solution was introduced by Michael Saylor, the company’s executive chairman, during their ‘Bitcoin For Corporations’ conference on May 1. MicroStrategy’s Bold Move Into Bitcoin-Powered DIDs MicroStrategy Orange is engineered to utilize the Bitcoin network’s robust […]
Co-founder and Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of Real Vision, Raoul Pal has shed light on the current market state and the future outlook of Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency. Despite the cryptocurrency witnessing declines of more than 15%, the financial expert has uncovered a significant pattern that indicates a potential bull flag following Bitcoin’s price correction. Crypto Expert Unveils “Banana Zone” Rally For Bitcoin In an X (formerly Twitter) post published on Tuesday, April 28, Pal shared a yearly chart depicting Bitcoin’s price movements from October 2023 to April 2024. At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price is trading below the $60,000 mark, at $59,185, marking monthly declines of 15.12% and weekly lows of 11.31%, according to CoinMarketCap. Related Reading: Ethereum Flashes Bullish Signals, Can It Rally 50% From Here? The crypto analyst has suggested that Bitcoin’s recent price correction was a temporary setback. He predicts that once the market fully refreshes, what he calls “the Banana zone” will kick in. He also described Bitcoin’s recent price declines as a “pause that refreshes.” The pause emphasizes the final days of the crypto spring, a period marked by renewed optimism after bearish markets. A prime illustration of this phase occurred when Bitcoin surged to new all-time highs, surpassing $73,000 in March, following its decline from 2022 to 2023. On the other hand, the Banana zone represents a phase characterized by intense market excitement and the possibility of significant price increases. However, Pal has described this distinctive period as “when the market begins to anoint the new big L1 or L2, which explodes even vs SOL.” The financial expert noted that once the Banana zone commences, it may pick up momentum towards the end of the year and continue well into 2025, potentially reaching peak mania. He also shared a historical pictorial analysis illustrating his Bitcoin predictions. In the chart, the price of Bitcoin witnessed a Banana zone rally from $1,000 to $5,000 between 2014 and 2016 and from $10,000 to $60,000 between 2019 and 2020. Basing his predictions on this unique historical pattern, Pal suggested that Bitcoin’s price action from 2022 to 2024, starting at $50,000 could potentially skyrocket to a new all-time high of $300,000. Crypto Summer Is The Start Of Altcoin Season Pal has predicted that after the crypto spring, a new season for cryptocurrencies will occur, termed “the crypto summer.” The financial expert has confirmed that this period will be the start of the altcoin season, highlighting that it is typically marked by an intense bubble in the crypto fall. Related Reading: Crypto Funds Mark 3rd Consecutive Weeks Of Outflows With $435 Million In Withdrawals During the crypto summer, Pal projects that Ethereum would begin to outperform Bitcoin while Solana would accelerate its outperformance of both Bitcoin and Ethereum. The financial CEO disclosed that the crypto summer and fall are often confusing, as cryptocurrencies tend to adopt a narrative and may get caught up in the prevailing euphoria. He predicts another two or more “nasty corrections” triggered by excessive leverage before the onset of the Banana zone. Additionally, Pal has indicated that three or four cryptocurrencies are set to lead the altcoin season, with one particular cryptocurrency emerging as the “Big new entrant,” much like Solana did during the previous cycle alongside Avalanche and Polygon. BTC crashes below $60,000 support | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from RBK, chart from Tradingview.com
On Wednesday, Bitcoin sharply declined, dropping below the crucial $60,000 support level. Despite this recent market downtrend, Bitcoin investors remain confident as they believe the flagship crypto can still reach new heights in this market cycle. Some say this might be what Bitcoin needs before making another parabolic run to the upside. Bitcoin’s Decline Is Nothing To Be Scared Of Raoul Pal, the CEO of Real Vision, reassured in an X (formerly Twitter) post that Bitcoin’s recent price decline was not unusual, stating it was “pretty ordinary stuff.” He also pointed out that this was Bitcoin’s fourth 20% correction in the past 12 months, underscoring how normal these price movements are. Related Reading: Crypto Funds Mark 3rd Consecutive Weeks Of Outflows With $435 Million In Withdrawals Source: X Alex Thorn, Head of Research at Galaxy Digital, had previously warned that price declines of such magnitude were to be expected, stating that “bull markets are not straight lines up.” He noted that the same thing happened in the 2021 and 2017 bull runs when Bitcoin experienced about 13 price drawdowns of over 10% or more. Meanwhile, crypto analyst Rekt Capital claimed in an X post that “this is exactly what the cycle needs to resynchronize with historical price norms and the traditional Halving Cycle.” He added, “The longer this goes on, the better.” In another X post, he reassured his followers that Bitcoin is getting closer to its final bottom with each passing day. Like Rekt Capital, crypto analyst Mikybull Crypto also sounded confident that Bitcoin’s recent decline was just a part of the bigger picture for its move to the upside. They claimed this would be the “final shakeout before up, only rally to a cycle top.” Thomas Fahrer, the CEO of Apollo, also shared his bullish sentiment towards Bitcoin, as he suggested that the crypto token’s volatility is what makes it a great investment. “Price might fall to $40K, but it might rise to $400K. That’s just how it is, and it’s a great bet. Bitcoin is still the best asymmetric opportunity in the market,” he wrote on X. Bitcoin Bull Run Is Far From Over Crypto analyst Ali Martinez suggested that Bitcoin’s bull run was far from over while comparing Bitcoin’s current price action to the last two halving events. According to him, Bitcoin consolidated for 189 and 87 days around the halving in 2016 and 2020, respectively, before the bull run resumed. Source: X He further noted that Bitcoin has only consolidated for 60 days this time around, meaning that the flagship crypto will continue its run eventually. In a subsequent X post, the analyst stated that Bitcoin might be 538 days away from hitting its next market top if it follows its trend from the previous two bull runs. Related Reading: Ethereum Flashes Bullish Signals, Can It Rally 50% From Here? Before now, Martinez mentioned that Bitcoin could rise to a new all-time high (ATH) of $92,190 if it breaches the resistance level of $69,150. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $59,600, down over 5% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. BTC price succumbs to bears | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from CriptoFacil, chart from Tradingview.com
The Bitcoin price has seen a massive downside this week going into the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. The digital asset’s price saw a sharp 8% drawdown, which sent its price below $57,000, its lowest point in two months. While this came as a surprise to many, one crypto analyst in particular was able to pinpoint […]
Bitcoin has finally broken below the $60,000 support level for the first time in two months. The world’s largest digital asset has largely been in a euphoria phase since the beginning of the year, particularly after the launch of Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US market. However, the current consolidation of the price of Bitcoin indicates the euphoria might be fading. According to a new report from Glassnode, an on-chain analytics firm, the euphoria surrounding Bitcoin, which has been active for the past 6.5 months, looks to be fading. At the same time, the BTC distribution has entered into the fear zone and investors are now heavily weighted towards selling. Selling Pressure Rises After reaching an all-time high of over $73,737 in March 2024, Bitcoin has declined by more than 18% as investors take profits. This drop in price has been accompanied by a rise in the percentage of addresses holding losses, indicating increased selling pressure. The percentage of addresses making a profit has fallen in tandem from over 99% to 86% at the time of writing. Related Reading: Ethereum Flashes Bullish Signals, Can It Rally 50% From Here? On-chain analytics platform Glassnode noted in its recent report the consolidation action. According to the Net Unrealized Profit & Loss (NUPL) metric, Bitcoin has been in a euphoria mode very early in this cycle when compared to past cycles. Notably, the NUPL crossed over 0.5 approximately 6.5 months before the just concluded halving amidst hype about Spot Bitcoin ETFs. This is in comparison to the 2021 market cycle, where the NUPL was triggered into a profit zone 8.5 months after the Bitcoin halving. This metric suggests the market is still in its euphoria phase for the last seven months but has cooled off significantly due to correction in the past two months. Interestingly, the report noted a “distinct uptick in net outflows” across all wallet sizes throughout April, indicating the current sentiment among traders. This means traders are now in a sell-side pressure across the board. Furthermore, a majority of short-term (one week to one month) holders have been posting losses on the 90-day +1sd level since March. Source: Glassnode What Does This Mean For Bitcoin? While the “fear” rating may worry investors, a pullback after such a steep price rise is considered healthy by most crypto analysts. Many long-term holders are still holding strong and are waiting for the halving effect to kick in. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $59,899 and is down by 5.35% in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Crypto Funds Mark 3rd Consecutive Weeks Of Outflows With $435 Million In Withdrawals Considering the current cost-basis for short-term holders (STH) is at $66,700, and their realized price is at $59,800, many more holders in this cohort have possibly entered into the loss zone. According to crypto analyst Ali Martinez, $59,800 is a key price level to watch, as history has shown Bitcoin tends to bounce over the STH realized price. BTC price falls to $57,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from CryptoSlate, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin is lingering near the $57,000 mark into FOMC, but is that the last the market will see when it comes to snap BTC price downside?