THE LATEST CRYPTO NEWS

The market’s largest cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC), is once again nearing the $100,000 milestone, following a significant rally that has seen the cryptocurrency reach its highest price since late February.  After experiencing downward pressure attributed to Donald Trump’s tariff policies, which triggered a sell-off across both the stock and digital asset markets, Bitcoin’s resurgence showcases a renewed bullish appetite among investors. Bitcoin Rebounds With $3.2 Billion In ETF Inflows To close the first quarter of the year, Bitcoin faced a steep decline, dropping as much as 30% toward $74,000 after hitting a record high of approximately $109,000 on January 20, coinciding with Trump’s second inauguration as President of the United States.  However, the market has seen Bitcoin climb as much as 3.1% to reach a weekly high of $97,483, marking the highest level since February 21. The last time Bitcoin crossed the $100,000 threshold was on February 7.  Related Reading: Dogecoin Could Hit $1.42 This Cycle In Bull Case, Says 21Shares This upward movement comes amid a shift in market dynamics, particularly in the spot markets, where demand has increased. This suggests a transition towards momentum trading, rather than the previous trend driven primarily by macroeconomic factors such as inflation and tariffs. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tracking Bitcoin and Ethereum (ETH) have attracted significant inflows, with over $3.2 billion entering the market last week alone. Notably, BlackRock’s Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) recorded nearly $1.5 billion in inflows, marking its highest weekly intake for the year, according to data from Bloomberg. ETH Eyes Recovery Toward $2,000 Demand for upside options has also surged in the market, with call options at the $100,000 strike price exhibiting the most open interest across various expiration dates, according to Coinglass and data from the largest crypto options exchange, Deribit. “Market sentiment has broadly shifted in favor of momentum-based trades fueled by spot demand, as BTC breaches levels not seen since early February,” stated Chris Newhouse, director of research at Ergonia, a decentralized finance (DeFi) trading firm.  “BTC continues to shift between correlations with gold and equities, highlighting a more nuanced relationship with macroeconomic factors balanced by short-term momentum and spot demand,” Newhouse further told Bloomberg. Related Reading: XRP Price Macro Channel Breakout That Puts Targets At $17-$55 Ethereum, on the other hand, has shown a steady recovery over the past week, reinforcing its status as a key player in the decentralized finance sector and smart contract platforms, and regaining the foothold lost in the first quarter of the year. Improvements from Ethereum’s scalability upgrades, including the transition to Ethereum 2.0, have boosted performance and made the platform more attractive to developers and users. However, this has not translated into year-to-date gains for the second largest cryptocurrency compared to its peers, with losses of up to 36% over the period. Despite this, the price of ETH has seen a 14% surge in the fourteen day time frame, regaining the $1,800 level as a key support to boost the potential for further recovery towards $2,000. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

In a explainer video, Joe Burnett, Director of Market Research at the Bitcoin-native financial services firm Unchained, dissects what many retail traders still perceive as a paradox: how Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) can accumulate “tens of thousands of Bitcoins” without catapulting the spot price into a vertical climb. Burnett’s core argument is that Michael Saylor’s billion-dollar shopping sprees are not the direct injection of fresh demand they appear to be, but rather a sophisticated reallocation of existing exposure within the Bitcoin ecosystem. Why Is Bitcoin Not Skyrocketing? Burnett opens by reminding viewers that Bitcoin’s explosive move “from the $16,000 lows of 2022 to $95,000 today” has historically been accompanied by the awakening of dormant supply. He points to on-chain “hodl wave” data, noting that when price accelerates, “older coins start to move,” a signal that seasoned holders are willing to part with inventory into strength. Those coins, he says, “transfer…to new hands,” a cohort he defines broadly as “Strategy, ETF buyers, institutions, nation-states, and of course, more individuals.” Strategy sits squarely in that cohort, yet Burnett stresses that the software company’s trading style is calibrated to minimize market disturbance. “They use a disciplined, patient strategy, placing thousands or even millions of small buy orders over several days,” he says, quoting Saylor’s own public comments that the firm prefers letting “sellers come to them without bidding against themselves.” The tactic allows long-term, arguably less-price-sensitive holders to exchange coins for cash without triggering runaway order-book imbalances. Related Reading: Bitcoin To Explode To $210,000 This Year, Says Quant Powerhouse Presto The video’s analytical pivot arrives when Burnett introduces what he calls an “additional theory” on why Strategy’s purchases fail to ignite parabolic price action: the funding structure. He unpacks it with a simple but pointed analogy. “If you sell one Bitcoin on Kraken and buy one Bitcoin on Coinbase, what happens to the price? Nothing,” he states. “That’s an economically neutral trade.” According to Burnett, Strategy’s balance-sheet maneuvers replicate that neutrality on a corporate scale. When the firm raises cash by issuing new equity, “someone buys that stock instead of buying Bitcoin,” Burnett explains. Strategy then turns the equity proceeds into spot BTC. “Net effect? A shift in exposure. No net new demand.” The same mechanics, he argues, apply to the company’s convertible-note programs. Hedge funds that subscribe to the notes simultaneously hedge by short-selling MSTR shares, expanding float rather than siphoning dollars from unrelated asset classes. “In both cases… the dollars that flow into Bitcoin are first pulled out of a Bitcoin proxy, MSTR shares,” he says, underscoring the zero-sum nature of the flow. New Demand Is Needed Burnett likens the dynamic to the cash migration that followed the launch of US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds in early 2024. Billions poured into products from BlackRock and Fidelity, but “billions also flowed out of GBTC,” he notes, leaving aggregate demand for Bitcoin largely unchanged: “From A to B. Not new demand.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Demand Momentum Yet To Recover From Deep Negative Zone, Analyst Says What, then, would constitute price-moving capital? Burnett’s answer is unequivocal: money that “enters Bitcoin without exiting another Bitcoin proxy.” He cites hypotheticals ranging from Apple’s treasury to sovereign wealth funds, or individuals reallocating real-estate and bond holdings directly into BTC. Against that benchmark, Strategy’s transactions look more like intra-system plumbing than fresh inflows. None of this, Burnett emphasizes, should be read as criticism of Saylor. He calls the Strategy chairman “a world-class Bitcoin educator” whose accumulation strategy is “brilliant.” Yet the market impact, Burnett cautions, “is more nuanced than [it may] appear.” In fact, he suggests that the upcoming Saylor-branded STRF funds—which target fixed-income investors rather than equity buyers—could deliver the genuine outside capital that finally “sends the price of Bitcoin parabolic.” Until such exogenous demand materializes, the Bitcoin market is likely to keep absorbing Strategy’s billion-dollar bids with surprising calm. In Burnett’s words, “Saylor can buy a lot of Bitcoin without moving the price much because he’s buying from long-term wealthy holders and doing so in a way that minimizes short-term price impact.” For traders who expected fireworks each time the software company files a new 8-K, that explanation may prove as sobering as it is illuminating. At press time, BTC traded at $94,971. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The Bitcoin price seems to have hit an important make it or break it point that will determine the next course of action. While sellers seem to be running out, there is still enough pressure to keep the bulls at bay. This continuous beating down of the Bitcoin price, as well as its failure to make a notable break above resistance at $95,800 in the last few days, suggests there is more to be done. So, what happens when Bitcoin does make a definite breakout? Bitcoin Price Could Sweep Liquidity At $93,000 With the Bitcoin price being beaten down, there is the possibility that the cryptocurrency could fall a bit further before resuming its uptrend. This was explained by crypto analyst TehThomas on a TradingView post, mapping out the possible directions of Bitcoin, with both hinging on two major levels. Related Reading: XRP Mega Candle On The Horizon? Analyst Reiterates $27 Target The first of the major levels mentioned was the resistance at $95,400-$95,800 that has been holding back the Bitcoin price from its campaign for $100,000. The analyst explains that this has become an important level to beat, given the fact that it has rejected the price multiple times already. As a result, there has been the formation of a range just underneath this resistance level as bulls seem to be backing down. However, regardless of the loss in momentum, the crypto analyst explains that the broader trend structure is still the same. This means that the Bitcoin price is still bullish, especially with a higher timeframe ascending trend line and the formation of higher lows recently. The one roadblock faced by the Bitcoin price from here is the possibility of it falling to do a liquidity sweep at the $93,000-$93,800 levels. A successful sweep and a rebound from here would see adequate absorption of liquidity, which would be used to fuel a higher price rise. Thomas explains that “This zone is confluenced by the ascending trendline from previous swing lows, offering a clear area for a liquidity sweep.” Bullish Or Bearish Scenario Next? In terms of where the Bitcoin price is headed next, it comes down to the liquidity sweep and if resistance is broken. As Thomas explains, a drop to the $93,000-$93,800 level for liquidity is most likely at this point to sweep out late longs and introduce fresh liquidity into the market. “A dip into this level that still respects the trendline would maintain bullish structure despite violating the local higher low.” Related Reading: Ethereum Price Completes Structure Break As Buyers Take Control, Why A Surge Above $4,400 Is Possible On the flip side, if the Bitcoin price were to fall lower than $93,000, then the sweep could be unsuccessful. This would lead to a break in the bull structure and likely cause the price to collapse further. “In the worst case scenario possibly invalidating the breakout thesis temporarily.” Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

The North Carolina House has recently approved two significant bills that aim to transform the management of the state’s pension fund, allowing for a modernized investment strategy that includes cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC).  This legislative move comes in response to a $16 billion deficit in the pension system and a need for improved investment returns compared to other states. NC’s Investment Authority Could Allocate 5% Of Portfolio To Bitcoin House Bill 506 proposes the establishment of a five-member board, the North Carolina Investment Authority, which will oversee the state’s $127 billion investment portfolio. This board will be composed of the State Treasurer, who currently holds final authority over state investments, along with four other appointees.  The appointments will be made by key state leaders, including the Speaker of the House, the Senate President Pro Tem, and the governor. Each appointee must possess substantial expertise in investments and have a minimum of ten years of successful management experience in pensions, endowments, or similar fields. Related Reading: Bitcoin Raging Bull Indicator Turns Back On, But This Level Holds The Key In conjunction with this restructuring, House Bill 92 allows the Investment Authority to allocate up to 5% of the state’s portfolio to cryptocurrency and Bitcoin investments. This provision is designed to limit investments to mutual fund equivalents of cryptocurrencies rather than direct purchases of specific currencies, ensuring a more cautious approach to this volatile market. Supporters of the legislation, including State Treasurer Brad Briner, believe that diversifying investments into cryptocurrencies represents a proactive strategy to enhance the fund’s performance.  Democrats Raise Concerns Over Crypto Risks Briner, a Republican elected in November, has expressed a desire to modernize the investment approach, contrasting with the more conservative strategies employed by his predecessor, Dale Folwell. “We need to spread the allocation around,” said Rep. Keith Kidwell (R-Beaufort), emphasizing the importance of diversification in investment strategies. The bills are seen as a step toward utilizing emerging market opportunities to benefit state employees and retirees. However, the measures have drawn criticism from some Democrats who caution against the inherent risks associated with cryptocurrency investments. Rep. Maria Cervania (D-Wake) expressed her reservations, stating, “I still have a lot of questions about this investment strategy and the level of commitment we’re making to it.”  Related Reading: Code Wars: Cardano Claims The Crown From Ethereum In Core Development Concerns about the volatility of cryptocurrencies have prompted calls for a more cautious approach to integrating them into the pension fund. The legislation has sparked varied reactions outside the General Assembly.  Governor Josh Stein has voiced his support for the bills, endorsing the expansion of the Treasurer’s authority over state investments. Conversely, representatives from the State Employees Association of North Carolina have expressed opposition, highlighting potential risks for state workers’ pensions. Following their passage in the House—with House Bill 506 receiving a vote of 110-3 and House Bill 92 passing 71-44—both bills now advance to the Senate for further consideration.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

Sebastian Bea, president of Coinbase Asset Management, believes a technical change to the way Washington accounts for its gold could unlock enough budget-neutral capital for a strategic Bitcoin purchase approaching $100 billion—years ahead of market expectations. In a 40-minute appearance on The Scoop with Frank Chaparro released Wednesday, Bea framed the idea as hiding in plain sight. “Sometimes the ideas are so big that people either can’t hear them or don’t want to hear them,” he said at the top of the interview. “But they’ve got to listen to this one.” By statute, the 261.5 million-ounce US gold hoard is still recorded at $42.22 per ounce—a valuation fixed in 1973. At Wednesday’s spot price of roughly $3,303, the gap between book value and market value is almost $900 billion. “So today, because of law, the US government still values gold that it holds in Fort Knox at $42 and change,” Bea noted. “If they were to just mark that to market, that’s an incremental 900 to … I heard a billion to a trillion dollars.” From Mark-To-Market To Bitcoin Bea’s central contention is that Congress could pass a short bill amending 31 U.S.C. § 5117, re-strike higher-denomination gold certificates, and credit the revaluation gain to a sovereign-wealth-style account at Treasury in line with US president Donald Trump’s executive order for a strategic Bitcoin reserve—without adding to headline federal debt. Related Reading: Bitcoin To Explode To $210,000 This Year, Says Quant Powerhouse Presto “When the revaluation occurs, that creates a $900 billion mark-to-market gain, which the Treasury could then take […] in a budget-neutral manner to go and buy a variety of things. We think probably including Bitcoin,” he said. His arithmetic mirrors Senator Cynthia Lummis’ BITCOIN Act, introduced earlier this year, which directs Treasury to acquire one million BTC (around $100 billion at prevailing prices) over five years while remaining deficit neutral. Bea argued that a US purchase of that size—about 5.5% of Bitcoin’s $1.8 trillion market capitalization—would almost certainly prompt other states to respond. “It’s hard to see a situation where other governments don’t feel compelled in some way to measure up,” he said, adding that the dynamic could resemble the “competitive situation” in gold, where central banks bought a record 1,037 tonnes last year. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Net Taker Volume Turns Positive, New All-Time High Incoming? Central bank demand for gold is motivated by “the overall level of debt that they see and the concerns around the global economy,” Bea said. “So does it seem so crazy to maybe save in some Bitcoin at, say, a ninety-to-ten ratio, given the whole world is going online?” How Soon Is ‘Sooner Than Expected’? Bea would not commit to a precise timetable but told Chaparro that the legal change “could be this year.” He suggested the trigger could come from legislators seeking an offset for new outlays—or from Treasury itself if political momentum builds behind the Lummis bill. “As soon as you understand the pipes of how banks and how the government works,” he concluded, “you realize they can revalue gold and buy Bitcoin and still be budget neutral. And once that’s on the table, it’s really just a matter of political will.” At press time, BTC traded at $93,422. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin continues to show signs of resilience at the $95,000 region, pushing higher from recent lows and attempting to reclaim its bullish structure after a volatile April. The monthly candlestick for April on the CME Futures chart currently presents a strong bullish engulfing formation, which, if sustained into the weekly close, could provide the market with bullish momentum to close May with another bullish candle. The potential of this bullish close is enough to sway the sentiment among bearish proponents, according to crypto analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino. Raging Bull Tool Flashes Signal On CME Futures Bitcoin’s price action over the past two weeks has been positive and has seen an otherwise waning bullish sentiment slowly creeping back among crypto traders. Interestingly, this price action has even seen Bitcoin’s net taker volume turn positive for the first time in a while. Although the trend is still in its early stages, the renewed strength is already beginning to soften some of the more bearish outlooks, especially as key indicators start to turn. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Confirms Breakout To $106,000 As Technicals Align Tony “The Bull” Severino, a well-followed crypto analyst, recently revealed on social media platform X that his proprietary “Raging Bull” indicator has turned back on. However, this indicator has turned back on only on the Bitcoin CME Futures chart, not the spot BTC/USD chart.   The divergence between CME Futures and the spot chart, with only the former flashing this bullish signal, has added complexity to Bitcoin’s current outlook. The Raging Bull tool, which uses weekly price data, is designed to identify early stages of powerful upward movements. According to Severino, the appearance of this signal, despite his bearish stance, suggests a meaningful shift in market structure may be developing. However, he was quick to add that a confirmed weekly close is still necessary before any firm conclusions can be drawn.  Breaking Above This Level Is Key Examining the monthly chart shared by the analyst, the bullish engulfing candlestick is clearly visible following a sharp rebound from April’s lows below $83,000. Bitcoin began the month of April at around $83,000, but a swift downturn in the first few days pushed the price downward until it bottomed out at around $75,000. However, the current April candle not only erases March’s losses but also indicates increased interest in Bitcoin from institutional traders on the CME platform.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Following Analyst’s Prediction For Bullish Breakout, Here’s The Target Still, despite the encouraging candlestick formation, Bitcoin must decisively break above the $96,000 to $100,000 region, where previous uptrends have stalled. This level is acting as a ceiling that could determine whether the recent bullish momentum continues or stalls. A failure to close above this range, either on the weekly or monthly timeframe, could invalidate the Raging Bull signal.  Additionally, the Raging Bull indicator needs to turn back on the spot BTCUSD chart to confirm a strong bullish outlook. This can only be done if Bitcoin manages to break substantially above $96,000. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $94,934. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

The Bitcoin price has just printed a rare Golden Cross on the weekly chart — a technical signal that historically appears once every market cycle. This Golden Cross has previously preceded some of Bitcoin’s most explosive bull runs, and analysts are eyeing its return as a sign that the next bullish leg up could be near. A Golden Cross occurs when a shorter-term Moving Average (MA), usually the 50-week MA, crosses above a longer-term one, like the 20-week MA. In the crypto world, this technical formation is perceived as a significantly bullish indicator that often leads to a long-term trend reversal or the start of a new uptrend. While the signal alone doesn’t guarantee gains, Bitcoin’s price history suggests it’s one worth watching closely.  Bitcoin Price Flashes Super Rare Golden Cross According to ‘Merlijn The Trader’, a crypto analyst on X (formerly Twitter), the Bitcoin price has just flashed a Golden Cross, one that has only been seen three times in the past decade. Each time Bitcoin has printed this Golden Cross, it has undergone a parabolic move upwards.  Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Price Top In At $109,000 Already? What The MVRV Z-Score Says In 2016, Bitcoin recorded a massive surge of 139% after flashing a Golden Cross on its price chart. Similarly, in the 2017 bull cycle, the flagship cryptocurrency underwent another crossover, which led to an astonishing 2,200% increase, marking one of its most parabolic rallies and capturing the attention of the world.  In 2020, during the historic bull market that led to Bitcoin’s global exposure and dominance, the same Golden Cross pattern was formed. Following this, Bitcoin recorded a 1,190% rally, pushing its price to its then all-time high near $69,000 in 2021.  Now, in 2025, five years after the previous Golden Cross appearance, Bitcoin has once again printed this powerful signal and could be on the verge of another historic rally. The analyst’s price chart shows the crossover forming clearly, with many comparisons to the previous cycle setups  While the exact percentage price increase this time remains unknown, the consistency of the pattern has sparked the analyst’s prediction that Bitcoin may be gearing up for a powerful rally above $200,000.  Analyst Predicts BTC’s Next ATH Target In another similarly bullish Bitcoin price analysis, Crypto Caeser, an analyst on X, has projected that the flagship cryptocurrency will soon hit a new ATH this cycle. While many suggest that the Bitcoin price surge above $109,000 during US President Donald Trump’s inauguration was its market top, a significant portion of the community still expect a rally to a higher peak before a bear market.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Sees Highest Exchange Outflows In 2 Years, What This Means For Price Sharing a Bitcoin price chart that outlines its possible bullish trajectory, Crypto Caeser predicts that the flagship cryptocurrency could be heading to a “weak high” of $110,000. The analyst has pinpointed a key support zone around $90,000, emphasizing that this was the most optimal price level for maximum buying. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

In a live interview on CNBC’s Squawk Box on Monday, Peter Chung, Head of Research at quantitative trading firm Presto, reaffirmed his conviction that Bitcoin can reach $210,000 before the end of 2025, arguing that the asset is evolving into a macro-level refuge during moments of stress in the global financial system. Bitcoin Set To Go Parabolic “We have not changed our market outlook,” he began in the opening seconds of the interview. “Bitcoin target price remains $210,000, driven by institutional adoption and the global liquidity expansion.” He emphasized that the same framework underpins Presto’s valuation of Ether, adding: “For ETH our target price was based on the ETH-to-BTC ratio, which was 0.05. We still maintain that as well, reflecting the community’s efforts to address the value-leakage problem.” Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Net Taker Volume Turns Positive, New All-Time High Incoming? Chung pushed back on suggestions that the pullback earlier this year invalidates the model: “Granted, not everything turned out the way we expected so far this year—especially the macro outlook and the market reaction to it—but in hindsight it was actually a healthy correction that has paved the way for the further re-rating of Bitcoin as a mainstream asset.” Within Presto, he said, the dominant task this month has been “trying to figure out whether anything is broken in the market—be it confidence or some kind of global order—and how these assets are positioned in people’s portfolios.” Their conclusion: nothing systemic has fractured, leaving the secular drivers intact. The longest exchange came when the anchors asked why gold surged in April while Bitcoin initially lagged. Chung offered a granular taxonomy of Bitcoin’s behavior: “Bitcoin has two faces: digital gold and a risk-on asset. Most of the time Bitcoin behaves like a risk-on asset […]. But it’s during a crisis that Bitcoin behaves like gold […]. These moments are rare. They happen only when the market has doubts about the stability of the US-dollar-dominated financial system […] and that’s what we saw in the month of April.” Asked to identify the most statistically significant input behind the $210,000 figure, Chung pointed to what he called “global liquidity expansion,” a variable that Presto tracks through the balance-sheet trajectories of major central banks and large sovereign wealth funds. Although money-supply growth has slowed in the United States, it has re-accelerated in China and, more recently, in the euro area—a pattern that Presto believes will leak into crypto markets through cross-border flows. Related Reading: Bitcoin Trades At 40% Discount As ‘Triple Put’ Unfolds: Hedge Fund Founder He also underlined the role of institutional order-flow data, which the firm credits for spotting the 2024 rally. “The proportion of block trades above $10 million in Bitcoin perpetual futures,” he noted off-camera, “is back above 7 percent of total volume for the first time since November 2023.” Why $210,000 Is Not ‘Optimistic’ Although the round number draws headlines, Chung argued that $210,000 is conservative relative to historical adoption curves: “If you map Bitcoin’s network-effect data onto the monetisation path of the internet between 1994 and 2007, you arrive at levels far above $210,000. We chose that figure precisely because it balances tail-risk and liquidity constraints. It is not a moon-shot; it is the median outcome in our distribution.” Still, he conceded that the path is unlikely to be linear: “Our mission is not to be prophets of the exact week or month; our mission is to determine whether anything in the structural thesis—scarcity, decentralisation, adoption—has broken. So far, nothing is broken.” The anchors pressed him on what would force a downward revision. Chung named two red lines: A lasting collapse in real global M2, which would strangle risk capital and suppress the liquidity premium that pushes scarce digital assets higher, and a fatal consensus bug or governance failure inside the Bitcoin network—an event he stressed has “never happened in fifteen years” but that any quantitative risk model must include. Short of those, Presto sees the April correction as a “mid-cycle purge” that flushed overheated leverage ahead of the next leg. “Bitcoin is already trying to catch up,” Chung said, pointing to the rally off the mid-April lows. Whether that momentum propels the asset all the way to six-figure territory by New Year’s Eve will, in his words, “depend on whether investors choose to price geopolitical insurance now or after the next tremor.” At press time, BTC traded at $94,983. Featured image from YouTube, chart from TradingView.com

A recent forecast by financial services company Standard Chartered, indicates that the market’s leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC), would hit new record highs of almost $120,000 in the second quarter (Q2) of 2025.  By the end of 2025, the cryptocurrency might have risen to $200,000, a 65% gain from the Q2 aim and over 110% from its present price, according to this prediction, which implies a possible growth of around 25% from current levels.  Bitcoin Surge Amid Rising Term Premium  Analyst Geoff Kendrick emphasizes several key factors contributing to this optimistic view on Bitcoin’s price projection, pointing to the US Treasury term premium, which is currently at a 12-year high.  According to the analyst, the term premium refers to the additional yield that investors demand for holding longer-dated Treasury bonds compared to shorter-term ones, indicating broader market conditions that could favor Bitcoin as an investment. Related Reading: Dogecoin On Track For $10+ Explosion By October 2025, Says Crypto Pundit In addition to macroeconomic indicators, Kendrick highlights the behavior of major large-cap investors, known as “whales,” These BTC holders have been actively accumulating the asset, a trend that suggests growing confidence in its value.  For instance, Bitcoin proxy firm Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), founded by BTC bull Michael Saylor and currently the largest corporate holder of the cryptocurrency, has recently disclosed on Monday another round of weekly purchases. Potential Sideways Trading Ahead? Another noteworthy trend is the movement of funds into Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which Kendrick interprets as a safe-haven reallocation from traditional assets like gold.  In his view, this shift reflects a broader sentiment among investors who are increasingly looking at BTC as a viable alternative during uncertain economic times. As of Monday morning, Bitcoin was trading at approximately $95,300, remaining relatively flat for the year but up 51% compared to the same time last year.  Related Reading: Justin Sun Bets Big On JUST Token – Here’s Why He Sees 100x Potential Kendrick cautions that historical patterns in Bitcoin’s price action indicate that sharp increases are often followed by extended periods of sideways trading. Conversely, Seeking Alpha analyst Damir Tokic offers a more cautious perspective on Bitcoin’s future trajectory.  He notes that BTC could continue to decline alongside the Nasdaq 100 if the market selloff accelerates and investor sentiment deteriorates. However, he also acknowledges the potential for Bitcoin to solidify its position as a safe-haven asset, particularly if the US dollar continues to depreciate. When writing, BTC retraced below the $95,000 mark toward $94,560, still up 1.1% in the 24 hour time frame. Ethereum (ETH), however, has outperformed BTC’s price action with a nearly 14% surge in the weekly time frame, compared to Bitcoin’s 7.3% surge in the same time frame.  Other major altcoins like XRP and Solana (SOL), have also seen notable price recoveries, recording gains of 10% and 6% in the weekly time frame.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, is witnessing a notable resurgence, with its price nearing the $100,000 mark for the first time since February 2025.  This upward trend has been significantly supported by substantial inflows into Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), reflecting growing investor confidence and interest once again in the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin And Major Cryptos Bounce Back According to a recent report by Fortune, Bitcoin ETFs experienced their largest inflows since December, attracting more than $3 billion last week. The influx into these ETFs is often considered a barometer of market sentiment, indicating that investors are increasingly embracing Bitcoin as a viable asset class. The recent buying spree comes as Bitcoin has reversed its earlier downward trend, climbing from a low of $75,000 on April 7 to surpass $95,000 by April 28. Over the past week alone, Bitcoin has jumped approximately 8%, reaching a price of $95,500—levels not seen since February.  Related Reading: XRP To Hit $8, No Double Digits This Cycle — Warns Crypto Analyst Gadi Chait, head of investment at Xapo Bank, emphasized that this price movement is more than just a fluctuation; it signals a renewed willingness among investors to engage in the market.  Chait noted that a combination of robust institutional inflows through ETFs and strong bullish activity in options trading has paved the way for Bitcoin to potentially break the $100,000 threshold in the near future. The upswing in Bitcoin’s price is mirrored by a recovery in the broader cryptocurrency market. Other major cryptocurrencies have also posted gains in recent weeks, with Ethereum rising 11%, XRP increasing by 9%, and Solana up 8%.  This resurgence follows a turbulent period triggered by President Trump’s sweeping tariff policy announcement earlier this month, which initially led to a significant market downturn. Preferred Safe-Haven Asset Amid Equity Turmoil On April 2, the S&P 500 suffered a massive blow, wiping out $2.5 trillion in a single day as investors reacted to potential disruptions in supply chains and inflationary pressures. This uncertainty prompted many to flee from riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies, as they braced for the impact of the tariffs. However, the market began to stabilize after Trump authorized a 90-day pause on most tariffs, excluding those affecting China. This announcement led to a significant rebound in the S&P 500, marking its largest single-day increase since 2008, while Bitcoin rebounded by 9% on April 9.  Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Reveals XRP Price Crash In The Short-Term, Here’s The Target Since President Donald Trump’s tariff pause was announced, the S&P 500 has seen a modest increase of 1%, whereas Bitcoin has outperformed with a 14% gain. James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, noted a critical divergence in how investors are perceiving Bitcoin compared to traditional equities.  He explained that as equities face pressure from tariffs and declining corporate earnings, BTC is increasingly viewed as a safe-haven asset—detached from centralized entities such as governments or central banks. This shift in perception could be a pivotal factor driving Bitcoin’s recent performance. “While equities are weighed down by tariffs and declining corporate earnings prospects, Bitcoin remains unaffected and has actually benefited from investors seeking alternative safe-haven assets,” Butterfill stated. On Monday, BTC retraced toward $94,640, registering a 14% price surge in the monthly time frame.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Following the Bitcoin (BTC) price increase above $94,000, Tony Severino, a CMT-verified analyst, released a detailed technical analysis outlining a clear strategy for navigating the next major move. As the Heikin Ashi monthly candle flashes bearish signals, the analyst shares the ideal time to buy Bitcoin, warning investors of potential bear market traps.  Upper Bollinger Band Reveal Time To Buy Bitcoin Severino has provided an in-depth examination of the Bitcoin market, identifying precise conditions under which investors and traders, including himself, might consider re-entering based on key market indicators and price action. The analyst broke down a Bitcoin price chart featuring monthly candlesticks, Bollinger Bands, and historical comparisons. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Prediction: The Last Leg-Up That Confirms A Resounding Rally To $150,000 The chart highlights that in late 2021, after hitting its previous ATH, Bitcoin touched the Upper Bollinger Band but failed to close above it. At the time, this move was perceived as a classic non-confirmation, which ultimately led to a sharp reversal and brutal bear market in 2022.  Fast forward to today, Bitcoin is hovering above $94,000, with the Upper Bollinger Band positioned at $108,000. According to Severino, merely reaching this Upper Bollinger Band level, as it did in 2021, is not enough reason to buy Bitcoin in anticipation of a price increase. Instead, the analyst asserts that a full monthly close above $108,000 is needed to confirm a breakout and continuation of the bullish trend. The analyst also disclosed that he would consider buying Bitcoin once it closes sufficiently above this level. However, if the flagship cryptocurrency fails to close above the Upper Bollinger Band for a month, it could mirror the 2021 double top and fake breakout, potentially leading to another steep bear market this cycle.   Overall, Severino advises investors to closely watch Bitcoin’s price action around this key Bollinger Band. He stresses that capital preservation far outweighs succumbing to the Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO). With elevated risks and rising volatility, the analyst believes that clear confirmation signals are the only way to engage with the market safely.   BTC’s Heikin Ashi Candle Flips Bearish While Severino confirms the ideal time to buy BTC, the analyst also announced that the Bitcoin Heikin Ashi candles have turned bearish. The analyst shared a 12-week Heikin Ashi candlestick chart, which shows Bitcoin flashing early warning signs of a potential bear market. Related Reading: Analyst’s Bitcoin Price Prediction From March Plays Out, Here’s The Rest Of It The chart highlights a critical moment where Bitcoin’s Heikin Ashi candle turned red for the first time since its previous price peaks in 2014, 2018, and 2022. Historically, such a signal has marked the beginning of prolonged bear markets and deep price corrections.  Further strengthening the bearish outlook, Severino pointed out that the Fisher Transform, a technical indicator used to detect trend reversals, is exhibiting a bearish crossover, with the green Fisher line dropping below the red Trigger line. In previous cycles, whenever these two signals — the Heikin Ashi and Fisher Transform — aligned, Bitcoin experienced substantial declines that lasted for months, if not years. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto analyst Daniel has revealed that the Bitcoin price has confirmed its imminent breakout to $106,000. He explained how the technicals and fundamentals support this bullish prediction and currently align for this BTC rally to the $106,000 target.   Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Price Breakout To $106,000 In a TradingView post, Daniel stated that the Bitcoin price now appears poised to reach the next significant resistance zone around $106,000, which also aligns with a big resistance level. The analyst noted that the market is now following through with a solid bullish impulse, pushing past intermediate resistance and confirming the continuation of the ascending channel structure.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Bullish Confirmation: What Needs To Happen For Next Leg Up To $130,000 He further remarked that the Bitcoin price could reach this $106,000 target with buyers stepping in aggressively and the price respecting the bullish market structure. The flagship crypto has already displayed strong bullish momentum, having broken above $90,000 earlier this week and rallying to $95,000 for the first time in two months.  Daniel noted that this breakout occurred after a well-defined double bottom formed around the major support zone near $74,000. He added that the inability to create a new low and the sharp rejection from that zone confirmed strong buyer presence and marked a clear exhaustion of sellers.  Fundamentals Also Support This BTC Rally Daniel also explained that the fundamentals support this Bitcoin price rally to $106,000. He remarked that BTC is gaining strength due to several key macroeconomic shifts. These macro shifts include Donald Trump’s tariffs, which have brought about market uncertainty and led investors to seek alternatives outside the stock and bond markets.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Recovery At Stake If This Level Doesn’t Hold, Crash Could Erase Gains The analyst highlighted the fact that the Bitcoin price has thrived during such periods of instability, with investors viewing it as a hedge against the dollar’s instability. He added that global central banks continue tightening monetary policy, increasing fears of a recession. With inflation and recession fears on the rise, investors look poised to diversify their assets into assets like BTC with limited supply.  Daniel also affirmed that the deepening institutional interest is providing a strong foundation for the sustained Bitcoin price movement toward $106,000. He remarked that institutional adoption continues to climb, with spot market activity increasing and institutional funds seeing massive inflows.  The analyst reiterated that the convergence of powerful technical patterns, particularly the confirmed breakout and continuation within the ascending channel, suggests a likely continuation of the upward momentum for the Bitcoin price. The strong macro and institutional adoption also supports a sustained bullish momentum for BTC.  Daniel urged market participants to closely monitor confirmation signals, such as bullish volume surges, strong candle closures above the $90,000 breakout level, and continuation patterns forming on lower timeframes to validate the $106,000 target.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $94,660, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin has been on the rise again with positive sentiment returning after Donald Trump revealed plans to reduce tariffs on China. This suggests that an end to the tariff wars which began in January 2025 could be drawing to an end. Taking this as a sign, Bitcoin whales have begun to make moves once again. So far, they have bought almost 20,000 BTC, with BTC exchange outflows rising to levels not seen in over two years. Bitcoin Exchange Outflows Reach February 2023 Levels According to the on-chain data tracking platform CryptoQuant, more BTC has been flowing out of exchanges at levels that have not been seen in two years. This data was taken on a 100-day moving average basis and shows netflows are down significantly from not only 2025 and 2024, but dating as far back as 2023. Related Reading: Is The XRP Price Rally Over At $2.22? New Developments Suggest Major Pump Is Coming CryptoQuant’s data shows that Bitcoin net flows from all exchanges have crashed by more than 50% in the last year. Currently, it is sitting so low that the last time it was this low was back in January 2023, when the crypto market was just coming out of the impact of the FTX crypto exchange collapse. When net flows are this low, it suggests that Bitcoin investors are choosing to accumulate rather than sell. It points to withdrawals from exchanges into private storage, with investors holding onto their BTC in anticipation of higher prices before they begin to sell. “This essentially indicates the highest Bitcoin outflow from exchanges since that date,” CryptoQuant explained in the post. “A review of historical patterns suggests that this could imply re-accumulation of assets by investors.” BTC Whales Are Turning Bullish Again The recent Bitcoin price rise seems to be driven by bulls who had taken the reduced price to accumulate large amounts of BTC in a very short time. Santiment reported on this development, showing how the 11% Bitcoin price rise could have been driven by the buying activities of these large investors. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Recovery At Stake If This Level Doesn’t Hold, Crash Could Erase Gains The post shows that investors holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC had gone on a buying spree in the last week. In total, they added 19,255 more BTC to their balances in only seven days. This shows that whales had realized how undervalued the BTC price was and had seized the opportunity to secure profits quickly. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price was trending around $94,578, showing strong staying power from the bulls. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin should be valued as “an uncorrelated asset that benefits when the world gets messier,” BlackRock’s US Head of Equity ETFs Jay Jacobs told CNBC in an interview on Thursday. “Crypto over the long run is decoupled from US tech stocks,” Jacobs said, stressing that short-term market stress can mask the difference but that “the long-term correlation between US stocks and Bitcoin is more like two or three percent.” He argued that what pushes equities higher—“higher growth, higher certainty, lower geopolitical risk”—is the mirror image of the forces that move Bitcoin. “Bitcoin thrives when you have more uncertainty and are looking for something that’s going to behave differently, so fundamentally they should behave like an uncorrelated asset.” BTC was changing hands just under $94,000 during Jacobs’ appearance, extending a rally that has added roughly 150% since spot-ETF approvals early last year. Bitcoin Rises Because Of ‘Mega-Forces” Jacobs tied price behaviour directly to flows. “We would think over the long term, if this trajectory of greater uncertainty around the world continues, things like gold and Bitcoin should continue to go up.” He noted that investors are repositioning accordingly: “We’ve seen significant inflows into gold ETFs; we’ve seen significant inflows into Bitcoin, and this is all because people are looking for those assets that will behave differently.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Reclaims Key Levels – New ATHs May Be Closer Than Expected The biggest beneficiary has been BlackRock’s own iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), which on 23 April absorbed $643 million of net creations—its largest one-day haul since January—lifting the fund’s assets to roughly $54 billion. Jacobs framed the rush into hard assets as part of a longer geopolitical realignment. “If you look at central banks around the world, a continued movement towards diversification beyond just holding dollars is something that’s been happening for decades… the switch from just holding dollars to holding gold to looking at other types of assets like Bitcoin is a trend that’s been years in the making.” Central-bank gold purchases illustrate the shift: net buying topped 1,044 tonnes in 2024, the third consecutive year above the thousand-tonne mark, double the average of the previous decade. He linked those reserve moves to BlackRock’s 2023 “mega-forces” framework, which identified geopolitical fragmentation as a secular driver of returns. “That mega force is materialising in policies like reshoring in the United States and, I think, directly related to that fragmentation has been the rise of things like Bitcoin, as people see more destabilisation in geopolitics resulting in the need for more alternative assets.” Related Reading: Déjà Boom—Arthur Hayes Says Bitcoin’s 2022 Rally Setup Is Back BlackRock’s influence is difficult to overstate: the firm ended the first quarter with a record $11.6 trillion under management. By pairing that scale with a public thesis that Bitcoin’s fair price rises as uncertainty deepens, the asset-manager is effectively codifying a valuation model in which scarcity and sanction-resistance—not discounted cash flows—set the marginal price. As Jacobs put it, the market is “looking for alternatives—parts of the portfolio that are going to behave separately from stocks and bonds.” With IBIT now swallowing more BTC each day than miners can produce post-halving, his remarks may offer the clearest blueprint yet for how the world’s largest asset manager thinks about pricing the world’s largest cryptocurrency. At press time, BTC traded at $94,510. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

A new Bitcoin price prediction suggests that the flagship cryptocurrency needs just one more leg up to kickstart a powerful bullish move toward $150,000 and beyond. With Bitcoin getting ready to once again hit new all-time highs, technical formations suggest that this projected rally could be the final confirmation of a long-term breakout.   Bitcoin Price Roadmap To $150,000 ATH A new Bitcoin price analysis released by market expert CrediBull Crypto on X (formerly Twitter) predicts that BTC is gearing up for a massive surge to $150,000. The analyst shared a Bitcoin price chart, using Elliott Wave theory on the lower time frames to break down the roadmap to this new all-time high target.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Bullish Confirmation: What Needs To Happen For Next Leg Up To $130,000 Bitcoin is currently forming a 5-wave impulse move on the lower timeframe. The recent price action suggests that it has completed sub-waves i, ii, iii, iv, and v, collectively forming what appears to be Wave 1. Following this, the cryptocurrency experienced a collective pullback in Wave 2, which acted as support and now serves as a launchpad for the next major leg in Wave 3—the longest and most explosive wave in an impulse sequence.   If the next wave completes to the upside, it would strongly suggest that Bitcoin is not in a corrective pattern but rather an impulsive trend that could take it to a six-figure valuation once again.  CrediBull Crypto has highlighted $89,000 as a critical level for Bitcoin. He suggested that if the cryptocurrency drops below this price zone before pushing higher, the Elliott Wave structure would likely morph into a 3-legged corrective pattern rather than a 5-wave impulse. This move would imply that the projected rally is not the start of a macro breakout, and the market may have to wait longer for a confirmation.  On the other hand, holding above $89,000 and printing a higher high would complete the anticipated final leg up, validating the start of the large Wave 3 on higher time frames. This bullish scenario would support a strong accumulation strategy, where price declines could become opportunities to buy as Bitcoin targets $150,000 or more.  MVRV Golden Cross Signals BTC Bull Rally Bitcoin’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio has formed a Golden Cross with its 365-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), according to fresh data shared by crypto analyst Ali Martínez. The analyst has shared an optimistic outlook for Bitcoin, highlighting that this technical event could spark the next BTC bull rally.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Following Analyst’s Prediction For Bullish Breakout, Here’s The Target The Bitcoin chart, published via CryptoQuant, highlights the MVRV ratio surging above the long-term Moving Average. A rising MVRV ratio typically suggests that BTC holders are once again in profit, and sentiment is shifting from bearish to bullish. The last time this crossover occurred, Bitcoin saw a multi-month rally that pushed its price to new all-time highs. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin is changing hands at prices almost 40% below its modeled “energy value,” yet an unusual confluence of technical, fundamental and policy signals suggests the market may be turning, according to Charles Edwards, founder of the quantitative crypto hedge fund Capriole Investments. In his latest newsletter, Edwards argues that a newly-formed “Triple Put”—simultaneous backstops from the White House, the Federal Reserve and the US Treasury—has altered the risk profile for all risk assets just as on-chain and macro indicators for Bitcoin flip decisively higher. Bitcoin Flips Bullish Edwards begins with sentiment, describing it as “in the pits.” The American Association of Individual Investors’ bull–bear spread, he notes, is “as bearish as 2009 and the 2022 lows, and significantly worse than the 2020 Covid crash,” even though both Bitcoin and the S&P 500 have fallen less than fifteen percent from their recent peaks. The CNN Fear & Greed Index has registered its bleakest reading “in years,” while Capriole’s own Active Manager Sentiment gauge shows equity managers at near-record under-exposure. “Simply put, investors are panicking today,” he writes, warning that such extreme readings “typically coincide at the mid-late stage of a major price bottom.” The combination leaves what Edwards calls “blood (and fear) on the street,” echoing the Rothschild maxim he cites in full: “the time to buy is ‘when there’s blood on the streets, even if the blood is your own.’” Related Reading: Déjà Boom—Arthur Hayes Says Bitcoin’s 2022 Rally Setup Is Back Technically, Bitcoin staged a sharp reversal just days ago. A breakout candle to $94,000 reclaimed the entire $91,000–$100,000 range that had capped the market since February. Edwards classifies the move as a “significant range reclaim,” adding that “for Bitcoin, such bullish range reclaims rarely see price look back.” Unless the market delivers “a daily close under $91K,” he writes, “it’s hard to get a technical chart more bullish than this.” The breakout coincides with his firm’s machine-learning fundamentals model, the Bitcoin Macro Index, turning positive after months in neutral territory. The index blends more than seventy on-chain, macro-economic and equity-market variables; price is deliberately excluded to avoid feedback effects. Last week the model “reset to ‘fair value’ and then resumed a bullish trend,” a shift Edwards calls “a very promising fundamental data reading.” The ‘Triple Put’ Policy developments provide the third leg of the story. On April 2—the so-called “Liberation Day”—the United States imposed sweeping global tariffs, only to halve them and add a 90-day pause once equities sold off by roughly fifteen percent, the VIX jumped above 30, and credit spreads widened. Edwards describes the rapid reversal as the inaugural “Trump Put,” evidence that “if markets decline too much, Trump will step in, enact policy and backstop them.” One day earlier, on April 1, the Federal Reserve began slashing the pace of quantitative tightening by 95% (the “Fed Put”), effectively ending a four-year balance-sheet contraction; derivatives traders on the CME FedWatch tool now assign the base-case to three rate cuts before year-end. Related Reading: Bitcoin Surpasses Realized Price Of Recent Buyers — Rally Incoming Or Double Top? Meanwhile, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told reporters that the swoon in Treasuries was driven by deleveraging rather than foreign selling and that the department “had tools to mitigate the situation, including scaling up buybacks if necessary” (“Treasury Put”). Edwards concludes that “we now have three major financial market puts in place, all ready to backstop financial markets. Together the US President, Federal Reserve and US Treasury represent the Triple Put,” a volatility backstop unprecedented in its breadth. Is BTC Undervalued? Capriole’s own “Chart of the Week” underscores the valuation argument. The Bitcoin Energy Value—an in-house metric that prices the network using aggregate miner electricity consumption—surged above $130,000 for the first time this month. With the spot market trading near $94,000, Bitcoin therefore sits at an “almost 40% discount to fair value,” a depth of undervaluation that Edwards calls “quite rare” in the first year after a halving and “a very welcome sight.” Historically, the energy value has acted as a gravitational pull on price; gaps of this size have narrowed in every prior cycle. Edwards tempers the bullish picture with caveats. “Political and volatility risk remain, and new policy changes are the greatest risk to derailing markets at present,” he writes, adding that Capriole will watch for Bitcoin to defend $91,000 on a weekly close and for the Macro Index to remain in expansion. Yet his overall tone is unmistakably optimistic: “As it sits today, the outlook for Bitcoin is very bullish with confluence across technicals, fundamentals and sentiment,” he concludes. If the week ends above current levels, Edwards “suspect[s] we will be pushing new all-time highs on Bitcoin quite soon.” At press time, BTC traded at $93,723. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin’s ascent gathered fresh momentum on Tuesday, charging above the $94,000 mark and extending the gains to 26% since April 9. Three interlocking forces—geopolitics, strategic balance-sheet demand, and resurgent exchange-traded-fund flows—coalesced over the past 24 hours to ignite the rally. Why Is Bitcoin Up Today? The first spark came from Washington, where US President Donald Trump signaled a partial détente in his long-running tariff dispute with Beijing. Sitting behind the lectern at the White House, Trump declared that duties on Chinese imports “will come down substantially, but it won’t be zero,” before insisting he would “be very nice to China” so long as both sides reach a deal. Macro economist Alex Krüger distilled the president’s remarks in a widely circulated X post, noting that Trump had “just ticked most de-escalation / bullish boxes.” Among the verbatim phrases Krüger highlighted were: “Tariff on China will not be as high as 145%,” “It’ll come down substantially,” and, when asked whether he would “play hardball,” the president’s succinct “No.” Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Price Top In At $109,000 Already? What The MVRV Z-Score Says Equity indices responded immediately, but Bitcoin’s move was more dramatic, underscoring the market’s sensitivity to macro uncertainty—and to any sign that the Federal Reserve’s path could tilt more dovish should trade frictions ebb. While geopolitics set the tone, a second catalyst arrived from Wall Street: the prospect of a multibillion-dollar balance-sheet bid for Bitcoin spearheaded by the next generation of the Lutnick family. According to the Financial Times, Brandon Lutnick—the newly installed chair of Cantor Fitzgerald and son of Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick—is forming “Cantor Equity Partners” in concert with SoftBank, Tether, and Bitfinex. The consortium plans to seed a new entity, 21 Capital, with approximately $3 billion in Bitcoin. Tether intends to contribute $1.5 billion worth of the asset, SoftBank about $900 million, and Bitfinex roughly $600 million, the report said, cautioning that the numbers could still shift before a formal announcement expected in the coming weeks. On X, Texas Bitcoin Foundation board member Tuur Demeester framed the implications bluntly: “This announcement could explain why bitcoin is up 12% in the past week.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Rally Ahead? Analysts Say These Key Indicators Look Bullish The third leg of support arrived from the US spot Bitcoin ETF market, where inflows swung decisively back into positive territory. Data compiled across issuers show aggregate net inflows of $911.2 million on Tuesday—the most forceful daily total since January 17, when pre-inauguration optimism around Trump’s “crypto president” rhetoric produced $975.6 million. Fidelity’s FBTC absorbed $253.8 million, Ark Invest’s ARKB attracted $267.1 million, and BlackRock’s market-leading IBIT added $192.1 million, while the smaller Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) reversed weeks of redemptions with a $65.1 million intake. The turnaround began Monday, when the cohort drew $381 million—ending a multi-week stretch dominated by outflows—and gathered pace as Bitcoin cleared the $90,000 threshold. The two-day, $1.29 billion surge signals a material revival of institutional appetite. At press time, BTC traded at $94,212. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Crypto analyst Melika Trader has warned about a bearish pattern that could be forming for the Bitcoin price. Based on this, the analyst predicts that the largest crypto by market cap could crash to as low as $78,000.  Bitcoin Price Forming Head And Shoulders Pattern  In a TradingView post, Melika Trader revealed that the Bitcoin price is forming a complex head-and-shoulders pattern. He remarked that the left shoulder and double head had already formed while the right shoulder is currently forming, with BTC at risk of suffering a massive crash once this happens.  Related Reading: Analyst’s Bitcoin Price Prediction From March Plays Out, Here’s The Rest Of It As part of the expected move, Melika Trader suggested that the Bitcoin price could show a possible fake breakout above the resistance between $87,000 and $88,000. Once that happens, the analyst predicts that a strong drop will follow, with BTC dropping to as low as $78,000, which is the first support area.  The Bitcoin price has surged past the $90,000 mark on the back of the US Dollar dropping to new lows and has continued to reach new highs, leading to optimism that it could soon reclaim $100,000. There is the possibility that BTC could still rally to as high as $98,000 before any massive correction.   Crypto analyst Ali Martinez revealed that on-chain data shows that the next key area of resistance for the Bitcoin price is between $95,600 and $98,290. That range acts as a major supply wall, as 1.65 million addresses bought 1.09 million BTC around that area. Bitcoin’s next move will depend on whether these holders choose to hold or offload their coins as soon as it reclaims this range.  However, it is worth mentioning that crypto whales are actively accumulating BTC, which is bullish for the Bitcoin price. Martinez revealed that over 17,000 BTC have been withdrawn from exchanges in the past week.  BTC Eyeing Rally To A New All-Time High Crypto analyst Titan of Crypto has predicted that the Bitcoin price could soon rally to as high as $137,000, marking a new all-time high (ATH) for the leading crypto. He stated that BTC has finally broken out of a bull pennant, with two strong consecutive daily bullish candles, confirming this move. The analyst added that the projected target is $137,000 if this bull pennant is confirmed.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Following Analyst’s Prediction For Bullish Breakout, Here’s The Target Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto stated that a daily close above $93,000 will send a strong bullish signal, while raising the possibility of BTC rallying above $100,000. He claimed that any retracement fears will be eliminated if the leading crypto closes above $103,000.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $93,000, up over 5% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin spent Tuesday flirting with territory last seen in early March this year, printing an intraday peak of $90,532. The move extends BTC’s surge over the past two days, making it a 7.6% rallye since Sunday’s low. The rise unfolds amid the dollar plumbing three‑year lows, developments traders widely link to renewed trade‑war brinkmanship in Washington. The macro backdrop is unusually binary. On one side, Wall Street benchmarks are off roughly 16% from their February highs as investors digest President Donald Trump’s decision to impose—and then partially suspend—“reciprocal” tariffs on allies while ratcheting levies on Chinese goods to 145 %. Two weeks into the 90‑day pause, negotiators from Seoul, Tokyo, Brussels and Beijing still have no agreements in hand, and fresh talks convene in Washington later this week. “The consultation process may not be easy,” South Korea’s acting president Han Duck‑soo conceded ahead of his delegation’s departure. Why Is Bitcoin Up? Capital continues to migrate toward classic safe havens. Spot gold blasted through $3,400 an ounce on Monday—its fourth record in as many weeks—lifting the metal’s market value above $20 trillion for the first time. The yellow metal has added roughly $6 trillion in market cap year‑to‑date, three times Bitcoin’s value at its own January peak. Related Reading: Bitcoin Surges Above $87,000 In Sudden Move — Here’s The Catalyst Bitcoin’s latest leg higher has been greased by a burst of institutional demand. US spot‑Bitcoin ETFs absorbed a net $381 million on Monday, the largest single‑day haul since February and a sharp reversal from the net outflows that dogged the complex in March and early April. A lively debate is raging on X over what, exactly, is powering Bitcoin’s outperformance versus risk assets. Hedge‑fund manager Benn Eifert argues the answer is largely arithmetic: “Bitcoin is NASDAQ denominated in a basket of global currencies, not USD, and USD is collapsing.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Sees Several Bullish Signals But Short-Term Holders Still Struggle Macro commentator TXMC contests the popular narrative that an upswing in global money supply is the dominant driver. In a thread rebutting “Global M2” overlays, he agreed with Eifert: “This is quite an accurate way of thinking about BTC’s performance. And it’s the same reason people’s Global M2 models have appeared to be skyrocketing even though the M2 data is 1-2 months old- because they’re overreacting to currency moves and don’t understand their models.” Where Is BTC Headed Next? Short‑term traders are fixated on a narrow resistance shelf that has capped every rally since late February. Analyst Jelle calls the area the “main event,” adding: “Reclaim $92,000 and #Bitcoin sends higher. A lot higher.” On‑chain metrics paint a similar picture. Julio Moreno, head of research at CryptoQuant, notes that Bitcoin is pressing into the Traders’ Realised Price band at roughly $91k–$92k. “The trader’s Realized Price acts as support when market conditions are bullish (green area, bull score >= 60), and as resistance when market conditions are bearish (red area, bull score

After months of bullish momentum that pushed the Bitcoin price to an all-time high of over $109,000 earlier this year, analysts are now debating whether that surge marked the official market top. Strengthening this argument, a confluence of technical indicators suggests the market cycle may have already peaked—most notably, the behavior of the Market Value to Real Value (MVRV) Z-Score reinforces this view.  MVRV Z-Score Shows Bitcoin Price Has Topped A new technical analysis by crypto analyst Tony Severino, which combines MVRV Z-Score and monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI), is flashing warning signs that Bitcoin‘s market top may already be in.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Bullish Confirmation: What Needs To Happen For Next Leg Up To $130,000 Looking at the logarithmic price chart, Bitcoin’s MVRV Z-Score has broken below a long-standing uptrend support line. This pattern is significant, as the Z-Score has always respected the uptrend support lines during bull markets, with similar breaks only emerging after Bitcoin reaches an official market top. Notably, this isn’t the first time Bitcoin has displayed such a trend behavior. Similar support line breaks occurred before BTC’s market peaks during the 2017 and 2021 bull cycles. The bearish argument that Bitcoin may have already reached a price peak is further strengthened by the visual correlation between the Z-Score and Bitcoin’s monthly RSI, which is shown by a black line on the chart.  In past cycles, Bitcoin’s RSI fell below 70 twice, indicating fading momentum and weakening price action. Historically, such moves below the 70 level occur shortly after price tops, not before.  Even more compelling, the RSI-based Moving Average (MA), highlighted by the orange line on the chart, is now curling downwards. This subtle but strong signal has only appeared in past cycles after the market has already topped, serving as a confirmation rather than a prediction.  Taken together, these technical indicators and historical trends strongly suggest that Bitcoin’s $109,000 peak may have marked the top of this market cycle. In line with previous post-top bull market behavior, Bitcoin could now be on the verge of entering a prolonged bear market. This bearish outlook is reinforced by recent steep price corrections, reduced investor confidence, and a clear shift in market sentiment toward caution and uncertainty.  Bulls Attempt To Reverse Bitcoin Bearish Outlook In another of his most recent analyses of Bitcoin, Severino revealed that bulls appear to be pushing for a price recovery. The analyst acknowledged that his previously dominant bearish narrative of Bitcoin may soon see a significant shift if bulls can sustain momentum into April’s monthly close.  Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Open Interest Too High Or Can The BTC Price Still Rally? According to the presented chart, Bitcoin is now testing a key area of interest while simultaneously showing early bullish signs of reversing the bearish crossover on the monthly long-term Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Adding to the intrigue, the possible formation of a Morning Star candlestick pattern reinforces the possibility of a bullish reversal for Bitcoin.  Notably, similar chart setups occurred in 2022 and mid-2023, both of which marked major turning points for Bitcoin’s long-term outlook. If the cryptocurrency manages to close April with a complete Morning Star pattern, it could force a reevaluation of bearish expectations. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, the now Bitcoin proxy firm founded by Bitcoin (BTC) bull Michael Saylor, made headlines once again on Monday by acquiring an additional 6,556 BTC, bringing its total BTC holdings to an impressive 538,200 BTC.  This latest purchase, amounting to approximately $556 million at an average price of $84,785 per Bitcoin, comes amid increasing market volatility, mainly characterized by BTC’s inability to surpass the $90,000 mark since early March of this year.  Strategy’s Bitcoin Holdings Surge Since Saylor first championed Bitcoin as a reserve asset in 2020, the cryptocurrency has surged by approximately 987.94% from January 2020 to April 2025. This reflects the increasing acceptance of Bitcoin in the corporate world but also highlights Saylor’s foresight in recognizing its potential as a store of value. Related Reading: Dogecoin Stalls After 42 Days Of Flat Price Action — Is A Breakdown Coming? In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), Saylor confirmed that Strategy’s latest acquisition of 6,556 BTC was part of a broader strategy to capitalize on Bitcoin’s growth.  With a year-to-date BTC yield of 12.1% in 2025, the company’s commitment to Bitcoin is more than just an investment; it represents a strategic shift in how corporations view digital assets.  As of April 20, 2025, Strategy holds its BTC at an aggregate purchase price of around $36.47 billion, with each Bitcoin acquired at approximately $67,766. MSTR Stock Soars 163% In A Year Strategy’s stock, MSTR, trading at $317.20, has seen a modest day-over-day increase of 1.78%. With a total market cap of $84.7 billion and an enterprise value of $94.5 billion, the company’s valuation continues to benefit significantly from its Bitcoin strategy.  Notably, as Bitcoin prices have risen, the net asset value (NAV) of its Bitcoin holdings has climbed to $47.03 billion, reflecting a daily increase of $1.19 billion or 2.60%. Strategy’s bet on Bitcoin has also proven to be remarkably lucrative. Over the past year, MSTR stock has risen by approximately 163%, driven largely by the appreciating value of Bitcoin.  Related Reading: XRP Wyckoff Pattern Maps Bullish Run To $3.70 This Summer The fact that the Bitcoin method has yielded a total return of 2,400% is even more remarkable. This suggests that the first investments of those who saw the potential in Strategy’s Bitcoin strategy might see a return of over 24 times their initial investment. Nevertheless, as reported by NewsBTC, an accounting rule that requires digital assets to be evaluated at market prices would cause Strategy to record an unrealized loss of $5.9 billion for the first quarter of the year. As part of its aggressive acquisition strategy, which has included nine acquisitions during this period, the business allegedly spent $7.79 billion on Bitcoin in the same quarter. At the time of writing, BTC trades at $86,900, registering a 3.3% surge in the weekly time frame.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

A Bitcoin price prediction made exactly one month ago by popular crypto analyst Doctor Profit on social media platform X has unfolded with interesting accuracy. On March 21, Doctor Profit outlined a detailed price trajectory for Bitcoin, predicting specific price movements, resistance and support zones, and the influence of the M2 money supply. Fast forward to April 21, Bitcoin’s price movements have closely mirrored the analyst’s forecast, lending credibility to the remaining parts of his prediction. How Bitcoin Followed Doctor Profit’s March Forecast Doctor Profit’s analysis is based on Bitcoin’s response to changes in the M2 money supply, which he identified as a misunderstood indicator. He argued that although the market experienced an increase in liquidity starting in February, Bitcoin’s significant bullish rally from September 2024 onwards had already factored in this liquidity expansion, contrary to what most investors had expected. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price To Break $125,000 But Sell Everything In October, Analyst Warns Notably, Doctor Profit had previously highlighted a key technical level, the weekly EMA 50, also known as the Golden Line, at approximately $76,000. He expected a bounce from this level, projecting a move to the $87,000 to $88,000 region before another correction. Bitcoin followed this script almost exactly, crashing in the first few days of April before rebounding from around $76,000 on April 9. Now, Bitcoin has rallied back above $87,000, coinciding precisely with Doctor Profit’s prediction. Next Phase: Bitcoin Heading For Support Zone At $70,000 To $74,000 Now that Bitcoin has bounced and is trading above $87,000 again, Doctor Profit’s immediate next target is a potential crash towards $74,000 to $70,000, which is slightly below the highlighted Golden Line. According to the analyst, the market’s behavior at this support zone will be decisive. It is at this zone that the Bitcoin price will reveal its next major directional bias.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Enters Oversold Levels, Analyst Warns This Is Bearish, Not Bullish Doctor Profit laid out two clear scenarios based on Bitcoin’s reaction within the $74,000 to $70,000 price range. If Bitcoin experiences only a temporary wick into this range and manages a strong daily or weekly close back above the Golden Line, this would signal a reversal, and it would be prudent to close short positions and begin accumulating long positions. However, if Bitcoin closes below this crucial area, it could trigger a deeper bearish move, leading its price to significantly lower levels, possibly revisiting the $50,000 region under a worst-case Black Swan scenario. Notably, whichever bearish scenario plays out, it is expected to occur by April and likely into early May. Despite the current short-term bearish outlook, Doctor Profit maintained a bullish long-term view. He confidently predicted that the Bitcoin bull run would resume around May or June, eventually driving the price towards new all-time highs in the range of $120,000 to $140,000. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $87,526, up by 3.28% in the past 24 hours. The bearish outlook towards $74,000 would only be invalidated if Bitcoin successfully closes a weekly candle above the $100,000 level. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

The Bitcoin price spiked to $87,400 on April 21, its highest level since March 29. The intraday rally added more than $3,000 to the asset in less than 24 hours, erasing a substantial portion of April’s drawdown. While the single‑day appreciation of about 4% is not unprecedented for the notoriously volatile asset, the backdrop that accompanied Monday’s advance has market participants treating the move with extra significance. Why Is Bitcoin Up Today? The most immediate macro‑economic thread was the sell‑off in the US dollar after National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett told reporters on Friday that US President Donald Trump intends to replace Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. The dollar index (DXY) slipped to 98.182 on Monday, while capital rotated simultaneously into traditional safe‑haven gold. Spot gold climbed to a new high at $3,385 per ounce, extending its 2025 gain to 28%. In contrast, S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures traded about 0.5% lower. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Largest Holders Are Stacking Again — What It Means For The Market Observers seized on the divergence between Bitcoin and risk‑asset benchmarks. Financial author Mel Mattison wrote on X that he is “seeing more evidence tonight of BTC breaking its strong risk‑on/QQQ correlation,” recalling his January thesis that “this is the year BTC breaks that correlation and starts trading more in sympathy with gold.” Apollo founder Thomas Fahrer reached a similar conclusion: “Bitcoin is pumping while stock futures are trading down. It’s almost like the market is treating it like it’s an alternative financial system or something.” The Kobeissi Letter described the alignment between the two hard‑asset narratives as notable because “Gold has hit its 55th all‑time high in 12 months and Bitcoin is officially joining the run, now above $87,000.” In a follow‑up post, the macro newsletter argued that both assets are “telling us that a weaker US Dollar and more uncertainty are on the way,” crediting part of gold’s strength to President Trump’s publication of a “non‑tariff cheating” list from Sunday that targets currency manipulation, export subsidies and other forms of perceived economic aggression. Related Reading: Crypto Gurus Predict Bitcoin Boom ‘In Days’—But Expert Urges Caution The renewal of trade‑policy anxiety capped a three‑day Easter weekend that had failed, in the words of Kobeissi, to deliver “the trade deals the market priced‑in last week.” Trump’s ninety‑day “reciprocal tariff” pause still has seventy‑nine days remaining, and market sentiment appears increasingly sceptical that a sweeping accord will materialise in that window. Nonetheless, FOX Business correspondent Charles Gasparino reported on Sunday that a Wall Street executive “with ties to the Trump White House” believes Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is “close to announcing a significant trade deal, likely to be with Japan,” while cautioning that negotiations remain fluid. Bitcoin Price Breaks Out Against the macro backdrop, chart technicians pointed to an important structural break on the daily Bitcoin chart. Trader Scott Melker observed that the spot rate is now “breaking through descending resistance from the all‑time high” and must clear $88,804 to invalidate the series of lower highs and lower lows. The account @ChartingGuy highlighted $94,000—the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the entire drawdown—as the “minimum target on this rally,” adding that market behaviour at that level will determine whether the current impulse proves a mere relief bounce or the beginning of a more sustained advance. Meanwhile, crypto analyst IncomeSharks warned: “Nice to see the downtrend breakout but the timing is important. Sunday is not a day to celebrate a low volume pump while stock markets are closed. If you want to see a bullish moves lets see stocks open red tomorrow and keep this candle green. Then we can have fun.” At press time, BTC traded at $87,509. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The Bitcoin price continues to trend low and has failed to reclaim $90,000. The bears have dominated during the last few months, dragging Bitcoin down from above $100,000 to below $80,000, before the bounce to $83,000. Now, these developments have triggered doubts in the minds of investors as to whether the bull run might be over. However, there could still be some hope for the leading cryptocurrency that could see a restart of the bull market. Bitcoin Needs To Properly Clear $86,190 Crypto analyst RLinda on the TradingView website has explained that the Bitcoin price is beginning to show some positive signs after crashing over 20% from its all-time high price. However, even these positive trends are not enough to suggest that there is a break in the downtrend, especially as there are still major levels left for the cryptocurrency to reclaim before a proper breakout can be confirmed. Related Reading: Solana Price At Crossroads: $129 Support, $144 Resistance Set Stage For Next Big Move The Bitcoin price has shown some strength, especially since reclaiming the $80,000 level. This strength, the analyst said, is being driven by the localized growth in indices, as well as talks and expectations that the Fed might lower interest rates. All of this is coming in the middle of a brutal tariff war being fought between the United States and China that has been the main driver of the crashes that the crypto market has suffered. With the current recovery, the Bitcoin price is facing a critical level that could determine the next course of action. The main point is the $86,190 resistance, which the cryptocurrency must conquer, especially for bulls looking for confirmation of the recovery. As the crypto analyst explains, the BTC price is now moving beyond the resistance of the descending channel, with consolidation ahead of the $86,190 level. Therefore, if Bitcoin is able to properly clear this resistance, then further increases are on the horizon. Once beaten, the next major resistance then lies at $88,800. This suggests that there is still a long way for bulls to go before even reclaiming the $90,000 level once again. Downside Could Persist For Longer While hope lies above $86,190 for Bitcoin investors, there is still the possibility that the price falls further if the resistance is not cleared. If bears are able to beat back the price, then support levels begin to lie lower and lower. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Closes In On Major Trendline For Breakout To $1 From the present levels, the crypto analyst says the first support lies at $83,170. With this point beat, the next major support is below $80,000 at $78,170. This would send it back toward March 2025 lows. “But, regarding 88800 we will have to watch the price reaction,” RLinda said. “A sharp approach with the purpose of primary testing of the level may end in a false breakout and correction.” Chart from Tradingview.com

This Sunday, the market’s leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC), has once again crossed the $87,000 mark, following what analysts describe as a healthy correction that brought prices down to $74,000 earlier this month.  In a recent post on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), crypto analyst Doctor Profit provided a comprehensive analysis of the current price action, outlining what investors can expect moving forward. Expert Outlines Critical Price Levels For BTC Doctor Profit opened his analysis by revisiting the two potential outcomes he had outlined a month prior. The first scenario involved a healthy correction to the $70,000 to $74,000 range, which played out exactly as anticipated.  The second scenario was a more severe downturn, a “Black Swan” event, that could see Bitcoin dropping to the $50,000 to $60,000 range. Importantly, he identified a critical threshold—the “Golden Line”—currently situated at $77,000.  Related Reading: Solana Price Surges Toward $140 — Here’s The Resistance Level To Watch This level has proven resilient since the bull run began in early 2023, and as long as Bitcoin remains above it, Doctor Profit believes the potential for a crash scenario is off the table. The analyst noted that Bitcoin is currently facing challenges in breaking through the “Hammer Line,” a critical resistance level. Historically, whenever Bitcoin has approached this line, it has faced immediate rejection. However, with strong support at the Golden Line, Doctor Profit is prepared for two potential scenarios.  Bitcoin Potential Breakout Scenarios If Bitcoin can break above the Hammer Line, he plans to close his short position from $90,000 and maintain his spot position acquired at $77,000. Conversely, if Bitcoin dips back to the $77,000 level, he intends to purchase more, having already set limit orders to capitalize on this price point. Looking ahead, Doctor Profit predicted that Bitcoin would likely continue to trade sideways within the range of the Hammer Line and Golden Line, specifically between $77,000 and $85,200. However, with Sunday’s spike, the Golden Line has been broken for the moment, pending a consolidation above it. However, several bullish triggers remain on the horizon, including potential agreements between the US and China, possible Federal Reserve rate cuts, and an increase in M2 liquidity. Related Reading: Shiba Inu Sees $120 Million Weekly Surge—Whales Tighten Their Grip In the mid to long term, Doctor Profit believes Bitcoin is more likely to break out above the Hammer Line than to fall below the Golden Line. He cautioned against trading within the dangerous zone between these two critical levels, labeling it a “forbidden zone.”  A breakout above the Hammer Line would signal the end of the correction and a renewed ascent toward new all-time highs, while a breakdown below the Golden Line could indicate a significant shift in market sentiment and the onset of a deeper correction. While trading just above $87,200, BTC registers a nearly 4% surge in the weekly time frame.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

A swirl of bullish proclamations is ricocheting across X as macro‑minded influencers argue that a fresh expansion in “Global M2” money supply will trigger a near‑instant rally in Bitcoin—yet a veteran market analyst is warning that the data underpinning those calls is little more than a mirage. The latest wave of optimism was set in motion when Real Vision co‑founder Raoul Pal published an updated overlay of Bitcoin versus Global M2—an aggregate of every major country’s broad money supply converted to US‑dollar terms—and told followers, “It is time, give or take a few days.” Other accounts also shared similar charts. One asserted that Bitcoin “continues to mirror Global M2 with its classic 12‑week lag,” predicting “aggressive upside likely kicks off next week… $74.5 K looks like it was the bottom,” while other self-proclaimed crypto guru promised a new all‑time high “within weeks.” Bitcoin Vs. M2: Is A Price Explosion Really Coming? The viral charts drew immediate fire from TXMC (@TXMCtrades). In a lengthy thread he argued that computing a daily or even weekly Global M2 series is “goofy and frankly a scam” because “the United States is only updating M2 on a weekly basis and all others are monthly.” He continued: Related Reading: This Bitcoin Bear Confirmation Is Yet To Appear, Glassnode Reveals “You are looking at basically 30 out of 31 days of FX fluctuations with a static once‑monthly global aggregate multiplied behind it… China, USA, and Japan have even updated into March. The rest are still on February values during a time when the dollar has been tanking hard… You’re looking at an M2‑weighted inverse dollar exchange rate 95% of the time. Be better at math!” TXMC noted that China now accounts for roughly 46 percent of the putative Global M2 and is “the ONLY major country whose broad money supply is above its post‑covid peak in dollar terms,” a dynamic that “goes straight up” because Beijing is “trying to ease out of an ongoing multi‑year debt deflation.” By contrast, US M2 “is below its 2022 peak… and growing at the slowest pace since Bitcoin’s birth excluding 2022‑24 when it was negative y/y.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces Pressure As Report Flags Chinese Sell-Off Plans Beyond the cadence mismatch, he blasted the practice of applying “random #‑week offsets” to force a visual correlation between Global M2 and Bitcoin. “These charts are over‑fitted junk using extremely recent history as a thesis for why they should correlate,” he said, adding that while assets can be “directionally sympathetic on a monthly basis… the main critiques relate to presenting a daily/weekly metric using monthly data… AND using over‑fitted offsets of that data to try to forecast the future for a content audience.” The broadside prompted a rebuttal from YouTuber Colin Talks Crypto (@ColinTCrypto), who claimed that key central banks do in fact provide higher‑frequency figures. “China M2 updates daily—not monthly,” he wrote, attaching what he said were current charts through April 17 2025. “Japan’s M2 also updates daily… Since about half of your post relies on ‘China data being slow and outdated’… your post’s main argument weakens greatly at this point.” TXMC swiftly countered that assertion, insisting “there is no daily M2” and that any high‑frequency series is merely “a projection of a 1‑2 month old value using real‑time FX values.” The sudden April “pop” in Global M2, he maintained, is nothing more than the dollar’s sharp slide translated mechanically into larger dollar‑denominated money stocks. “Because Global M2 doesn’t actually exist, it is an abstraction of money that lives solely in a chart formula,” he wrote. “It treats all broad aggregates around the world as the same pool of eligible capital and introduces a heap of noise via foreign exchange rates… this is how the sausage is actually made and it’s not sexy.” At press time, BTC traded at $84,750. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Crypto analyst Quinten recently revealed that Bitcoin has entered oversold levels. However, analyst Dr. Cat has warned that, contrary to public opinion, this development is bearish, not bullish, for the flagship crypto.  In an X post, Dr. Cat stated that Bitcoin entering oversold levels is “super-bearish” and overbought levels are “super-bullish.” He explained that for the oscillator to reach oversold values, it means that the price action has been extremely bearish, indicating why investors are selling their holdings.  Why Bitcoin Entering Oversold Levels Is Bearish   The crypto analyst further remarked that Oscillators are range-bound indicators, so they can’t go beyond 0 and 100, as they are limited by their mathematical formulas. However, he added that the Bitcoin price can go lower or higher. Dr. Cat then alluded to Bitcoin’s bull markets, noting that all of them are in overbought territory on the weekly chart. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price To Break $125,000 But Sell Everything In October, Analyst Warns The analyst stated that if an investor buys an oversold condition on a lower timeframe when Bitcoin’s higher timeframe is bullish, this is a good move. However, he remarked that whoever advises buying a weekly oversold chart based on the claim that it is bullish because it is oversold has no idea what they are talking about. He remarked that many altcoins are oversold on the higher timeframe and can remain oversold as they approach zero, where the analyst claims they are eventually headed. Dr. Cat also explained that in a bull market, oversold conditions on the daily chart may mark higher lows on the weekly or monthly chart.  However, in a bear market, oversold conditions may persist or just lead to some consolidation before more downside. Dr. Cat then alluded to Quinten’s chart, which he said showed what daily oversold conditions led to one year earlier in different broader market conditions. The analyst cautioned that he wasn’t discussing whether Bitcoin is in a bull or bear market or where it is headed, but simply clarifying the misconception about oversold and overbought RSI.  BTC’s Supply Overwhelming Demand At The Moment In an X post, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju revealed that Bitcoin’s supply is currently greater than its demand at the moment, providing a bearish outlook for the flagship crypto. This supports the idea of BTC being in oversold conditions right now, with holders selling their coins rather than buying.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Forms This Bullish Pennant On Daily Chart That Could Trigger Rise To $137,000 Crypto analyst Ali Martinez recently revealed that whales have been taking profits during the recent Bitcoin rally, offloading over 29,000 BTC since April 9. It is worth mentioning that Ki Young Ju recently asserted that Bitcoin’s bull market is over, noting that the flagship crypto is witnessing significant selling pressure.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $84,600, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

As Bitcoin (BTC) attempts to stabilize above the crucial $80,000 support level, a new warning from market analyst Leviathan has raised concerns about an alleged strategy by China that could significantly impact the leading cryptocurrency.  China’s ‘Secret’ Bitcoin Strategy In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), Leviathan claimed that China plans to sell off its Bitcoin holdings, potentially driving the price down to $40,000. According to the analyst, this move is just the beginning of a broader scheme. Despite the Chinese government’s public stance against cryptocurrency trading, local authorities have found a workaround, he alleges. The expert asserts that they have been quietly cashing in on confiscated Bitcoin, which has led to an “underground fiscal strategy” that operates in “legal ambiguity.” Related Reading: TRUMP Memecoin Unlock Set To Release 40 Million Coins This Thursday Currently, Chinese authorities are reported to hold approximately 194,000 BTC, making them the second-largest government holder of Bitcoin, just behind the United States.  Leviathan highlights that while the Chinese government publicly denounces cryptocurrency, it simultaneously benefits financially from its underground sales.  Local governments are reportedly improvising their strategies, with some engaging private tech firms to liquidate the confiscated Bitcoin on offshore exchanges. Others, allegedly maintain a more “clandestine approach.”  The expert provides an example of a relatively unknown company in Shenzhen, Jiafenxiang, that has allegedly facilitated over $400 million in crypto sales on behalf of various city governments, converting the proceeds into yuan and transferring the funds back to local finance departments. Hong Kong Emerges As Potential Haven For China’s Confiscated BTC In 2023, China witnessed a record surge in crypto-related crimes, with over $59 billion tied to illegal activities and more than 3,000 money laundering cases prosecuted.  Amidst this backdrop, local governments are increasingly reliant on the revenue generated from fines and confiscations — a significant portion of which comes from liquidated cryptocurrencies.  However, the need for funds is at odds with the government’s public anti-crypto stance, forcing officials to offload coins abroad through intermediaries while hoping for minimal interference from Beijing. There have been discussions among judges, lawyers, and police about the need for a consistent national policy regarding seized cryptocurrencies. Some have proposed that the central bank take control over these assets, while others have suggested establishing a sovereign crypto fund.  Related Reading: Trump’s World Liberty Financial Teams Up With DWF Labs For $25M WLFI Token Investment Leviathan has pointed to Hong Kong, which, with its more favorable legal framework for cryptocurrencies, has emerged as a potential destination for China’s Bitcoin stockpile. This situation presents a unique challenge for China, as the contradiction between its public denouncement of cryptocurrencies and its private profit from them becomes increasingly apparent.  As the US moves toward legitimizing cryptocurrencies at the federal level, including discussions on strategic reserves under President Donald Trump and his ongoing support for crypto, China may find itself compelled to respond, the expert asserts. Ultimately, Leviathan said that the fate of China’s 194,000 Bitcoin holdings will not only shape national policies but could also send ripples across the global financial landscape.  At the time of writing, BTC trades at $84,800, registering a 5% surge in the weekly time frame.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin’s price action in recent weeks has been mostly highlighted by a trading range between $80,000 and $85,000, with a struggle to reclaim buying pressure. Despite the current lack of a strong bullish momentum, many crypto analysts are banking on a bullish continuation and a new Bitcoin price all-time high before the end of 2025. According to crypto analyst TradingShot, Bitcoin could be approaching the final leg of this bull cycle, predicting a peak above $125,000. However, this analysis comes with a caveat that an extended bear market might roll in by October 2025. Long-Term Bitcoin Cycles Hint At Imminent Peak TradingShot’s analysis, which was posted on the TradingView platform, is based on over a decade of symmetrical Bitcoin market behavior that shows both bull and bear cycles unfolding in consistent timeframes. According to TradingShot, the bull cycles dating back to 2015 have all lasted approximately 1,064 days, or 152 weeks, with each cycle topping out almost exactly three years after the previous bottom. On the other hand, bear cycles have consistently lasted for around one year, either from December to December or November to November. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Following Analyst’s Prediction For Bullish Breakout, Here’s The Target This historical symmetry is reflected in the chart below, which highlights three bull cycles followed by three bear periods, all forming a repeating pattern. The most recent bottom, recorded on November 7, 2022, marked the start of the current bull cycle. If this pattern holds, Bitcoin could reach its next peak in the week of October 6, 2025.  The bull cycle has led to Bitcoin breaking above $100,000 and now with an all-time high of $108,786, but like many others, the analyst predicted this peak will still be broken this year. This peak will likely mirror the explosive rallies that ended the 2017 and 2021 cycles and eventually surpass $125,000. Sell Everything In October 2025, Buy Back In October 2026 TradingShot’s primary advice is blunt but strategic: sell everything by October 2025. According to the analyst, this window could be the final opportunity to exit near the top before the next bear cycle takes hold. Counting 1064 days from the most recent bottom of $15,600 in November 07 2022, gives a time estimate for the next cycle top on October 6 2025. If history repeats itself, the subsequent bearish phase will likely last for 12 months and bottom out around October 12, 2026, before the next bull phase. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Stalls Below $85,000 Psychological Level, Why A Drop To $74,000 Is Possible This timing is not speculative; it’s based on a consistent one-year bearish phase across three full market cycles. Therefore, it would be better to sell before October 2025 and start accumulating by October 2026. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $84,500, up by 0.9% in the past 24 hours and 48% away from the predicted peak of $125,000. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin may be trapped beneath the gravitational pull of forced deleveraging, but macro strategist and Forward Guidance host Felix Jauvin insists that the clearing of risk books is no more than “the prelude to an incredible trade once the degrossing is over.” In a thread on X, Jauvin stitches together fiscal arithmetic, global liquidity metrics and the geopolitics of trade to argue that the next great impulse for BTC will arrive when capital flows that have underpinned US asset dominance reverse and re‑seed risk appetite abroad. Bitcoin Amid The Trump Chaos Jauvin begins by borrowing the empirical backbone of Michael Howell’s work. “Bitcoin is primarily driven by global liquidity,” he writes, citing Howell’s Granger‑causality tests that give liquidity an eleven‑week statistical lead on spot prices. Equity‑style beta “is a spurious correlation,” Jauvin argues, because US equities have merely been the channel through which global dollar liquidity has expressed itself since pandemic‑era deficits swelled Treasury issuance and household incomes at once. Putting numbers to the claim, he notes that the United States has “run a substantially higher fiscal deficit as % of GDP than any other country,” a gap that “mechanically leads to higher inflation, higher nominal GDP, and therefore higher top‑line revenue for corporations.” By extension, the S&P 500—and increasingly Bitcoin—have monopolised incremental risk capital. “Because of this dynamic, US equity markets have been the dominant marginal driver of risky asset growth, wealth effect, global liquidity, and therefore a vacuum for global capital to go where it’s treated best: the USA.” Related Reading: Bitcoin At $1 Million? BPI Says One US Move Could Make It Happen Jauvin’s inflection point is the Trump campaign’s declared ambition to compress the trade deficit and prod allies into heavier fiscal outlays for defence and infrastructure. “The Trump administration wants to lower trade deficits with other countries, which mechanically implies a decrease of US dollars flowing to foreign countries that will not be reinvested into US assets,” he writes. A paired objective is “a weaker dollar and stronger foreign currencies,” achieved as foreign central banks lift rates and investors repatriate funds to harvest that carry. He sees the genie already inching out of the bottle: “Trump’s shoot‑first, ask‑questions‑after approach to trade negotiations is leading the rest of the world to unshackle themselves from their meagre fiscal deficits … I believe nations will continue with this pursuit regardless.” If foreign governments embark on deficit‑financed rearmament and industrial policy, the marginal growth in global liquidity would migrate out of Washington and into Europe and Asia. “As the US continues to pivot from a global capital partner to a more protectionist one, holders of US‑dollar assets will begin to have to increase the risk premium associated with these previously pristine assets and have to mark them with a wider margin of safety.” Why Bitcoin, And Why After The Sell‑Off Jauvin frames the present turmoil as the necessary purgation of crowded positions: “The first trade is to sell US‑dollar assets that the entire world is overweight and avoid the degrossing that is ongoing.” Margin exhaustion forces funds to raise cash indiscriminately, pinning Bitcoin to tech beta for now. But, he insists, the second phase will favour assets unburdened by national accounts or tariff risk. “During rotational market days and non‑margin‑call days, we’ve started to see this dynamic take shape. DXY down, US equities underperforming ROW, gold soaring, and Bitcoin holding up surprisingly well.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces Pressure As Report Flags Chinese Sell-Off Plans Gold has already responded, he notes. Bitcoin, by contrast, “hasn’t kept up with gold’s outperformance” because its high‑beta reputation keeps systematic traders on the sidelines. That sets up the asymmetry: “For me, a risk‑seeking macro trader, Bitcoin feels like the cleanest trade after the trade here. You can’t tariff bitcoin, it doesn’t care about what border it resides in … and provides a clean exposure to global liquidity, not just American liquidity.” Crucially, Jauvin anticipates a visible break in the co‑movement with US tech once non‑US fiscal stimulus becomes the leading source of incremental liquidity. “I’m seeing the potential for the first time … for Bitcoin to decouple from US tech equities,” he writes, conceding that the idea has hurt many before but arguing that this time “we are seeing the potential for a meaningful change in capital flows that would make it durable.” If the thread’s logic holds, the present stress is the mandatory downstroke before a secular re‑rating. “This market regime is what Bitcoin was built for,” Jauvin concludes. “Once the degrossing dust settles, it will be the fastest horse out of the gate. Accelerate.” At press time, BTC traded at $84,766. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com