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Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has ignited a notable recovery in the broader cryptocurrency market, recording a 5% gain during Wednesday’s trading session to recover the $117,000 mark.  This momentum has positively impacted major altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH), XRP, Solana (SOL), and Binance Coin (BNB), which have seen average increases of around 3% in what may signal the onset of a new altcoin season. Crypto Prices Surge Amidst US Government Shutdown The surge in crypto prices coincided with political developments as the US Senate’s failure to pass a temporary funding bill resulted in a government shutdown shortly after midnight on Wednesday. Related Reading: Did Bitcoin Top? Top Trader Warns Of Brutal $98,000 Liquidity Sweep Such uncertainty often leads investors to seek alternatives to the US dollar, and cryptocurrencies are increasingly viewed as a hedge against economic instability. On Wednesday, the dollar remained stable against a basket of other currencies, further bolstering the appeal of digital assets. Historically, October has been a favorable month for Bitcoin, with the cryptocurrency finishing in positive territory 10 out of the past 12 years. Joel Kruger from LMAX Group also noted that Q4 has consistently been the strongest seasonal period for cryptocurrencies, adding to the bullish sentiment. However, not all analysts share the same optimistic outlook.  Extended Bull Cycle For Bitcoin? Ash Crypto expressed caution, suggesting that the current rally might be a precursor to a more significant downturn, predicting a potential drop that could see Bitcoin retrace to around $106,000 and Ethereum to near $3,800.  This anticipated correction, he argues, could liquidate overly optimistic positions, particularly among retail investors. He forecasts that this phase of uncertainty could persist until mid-October, potentially leading to a market rebound when bearish sentiment peaks. Related Reading: XRP Flips Green For First Time Since 2017, Pundit Predicts 500% Rally Conversely, Lark Davis has indicated a more bullish long-term perspective, suggesting that the current cycle may extend well into 2026 rather than peaking in the fourth quarter of the year as traditionally expected.  The general sentiment remains that if the market can navigate through the short-term fluctuations, a substantial rally could occur, potentially driving Bitcoin to prices between $150,000 and $180,000, with Ethereum reaching between $8,000 and $12,000.  According to Davis, such a scenario, in which could result in a major 53% and 200% for BTC and ETH respectively, could catalyze a significant altcoin season, with some assets potentially increasing in value by 10 to 50 times within just a few months. When writing, Bitcoin trades at $117,130, further posting gains of nearly 8% on the monthly time frame. This positions the market’s leading cryptocurrency just 5.7% below its all-time high, currently at $124,100, Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

The recent technical picture for Bitcoin presents a tug-of-war between short-term momentum and macro necessity. While the bulls are aggressively defending support and pushing toward the $117,000 resistance area, the yet-to-be-filled CME gap hangs over the market. This historical pattern suggests that although the price action is bullish, a mandatory downside move may be required to reset the chart before the target can truly be breached. Gap-Filling Before The Next Big Rally Ezy Bitcoin, in a recent short-term market outlook shared on X, explained that Bitcoin may need to close an existing gap before it can build momentum for its next major rally. However, such a move should not be seen as a weakness but rather as a healthy reset, one that could set the stage for a stronger push upward. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Bounces Higher – Clears Resistance, But Next Barrier Still Looms He referenced the Bitcoin CME Futures chart, where the CrossX indicator highlights unfilled gaps that often act like magnets for price action. Historically, Bitcoin has shown a tendency to revisit these areas before resuming its climb, making them a key part of the near-term structure. Over the last five months, Ezy Bitcoin has noted every single gap has been filled, while maintaining a flawless 100% success rate. This consistency adds weight to the likelihood of a short-term retracement before another rally begins, reinforcing his expectation that the pattern will hold. With that in mind, he concluded that a minor pullback could create a valuable opportunity to accumulate more Bitcoin. Rather than fearing a dip, traders and investors might see it as an entry point before the next strong upward move. Bitcoin Bulls Eye Recovery Momentum Despite Market Pressure According to the latest update from Crypto VIP Signal, Bitcoin demonstrated a rapid recovery after experiencing a sharp drop. The price briefly fell below the $113,000 mark but quickly managed to bounce back. This swift bounce from this level signals that buyers remain active and willing to step in at key zones, preventing any deeper correction for now.  Related Reading: Bitcoin’s $90,000 Level Holds Key To Preventing A New Bear Market, Top Analyst Says Currently, the price is moving upward again, and the immediate challenge is defined by a narrow resistance zone between $114,600 and $114,800. This range is acting as a local ceiling where selling pressure is likely to be concentrated. Overcoming this level is crucial for the continuation of the bullish move. Looking ahead, Crypto VIP Signal emphasized that a successful breakout above the $114,600–$114,800 resistance will open up the path to significantly higher targets between the $116,000 and $117,000 area. A move into this range would solidify the positive momentum and confirm that the recent drop was merely a brief shakeout, allowing the rally to continue. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto analyst Trader Mayne is cautioning that Bitcoin may be setting up for a sharper drawdown before resuming its broader uptrend into year-end, arguing that a “$98,000 weekly liquidity level” sits uncollected below price and could be targeted early in October. Two Price Scenarios For Bitcoin In a video analysis posted on September 30 titled “Did Bitcoin Just Top? The Signal Everyone’s Ignoring…,”Mayne outlined a two-track playbook: a tactical long on a lower-timeframe liquidity sweep that could precede a deeper correction, and, if that setup fails, a decisive flush that takes out $98,000 before a fourth-quarter continuation higher. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short-Term Holders At Cost Basis: SOPR At 1 Signals Market Equilibrium “TLDR — I think we are due for a larger correction soon, to take out the $98k weekly liquidity level,” Mayne wrote in his teaser via X, adding that “there may be a short term long set up that precedes that correction” and that he still expects higher prices in Q4, making “an early dump…a buying opp.”   On Bitcoin’s structure, Mayne said the market has respected his recent roadmap: a push up, a retest, and now a decision point defined by higher-timeframe “breaker” levels and intraweek lows. “We had the daily flip bullish on Bitcoin, right? We closed above the breaker,” he said, noting that while the monthly chart is also constructive, “the weekly chart is technically bearish.” With two higher timeframes leaning bullish against a soft weekly, he is looking to the four-hour chart to synchronize the next trade. “If the H4 is bullish, which it is, if I take a setup on some sort of liquidity run on the H4, that’s going to sync me back up with the daily at least.” Related Reading: Will October Crown Bitcoin Or Break It? Key Levels In Play The immediate trigger, in his view, is a sweep of local lows to tighten risk rather than “aping” into a broad retest with a wide invalidation. “I would like to see one of these H4 little liquidity pools here get run and then…that becomes my setup and my stop is tight. I have clear targets over here,” he explained. He highlighted “Monday’s low” as a relevant pivot that, if taken, could produce a mean-reversion long into a nearby daily bearish breaker and prior highs. “Maybe we even run this first, right? And then get the pullback. But either way, that’s what I’m looking for on Bitcoin here.” Mayne underscored that invalidation is non-negotiable. If price loses the intraweek baseline on a closing basis, he abandons longs and prepares for a larger washout. “If Bitcoin gets an H4 close below here…we’ll probably nuke to $98,000,” he said, tying the trigger to a failure back below Monday’s low and the range floor. In other words, the same liquidity dynamics he seeks to exploit for a tactical bounce could, if they break, accelerate the “$98k” clean-out he believes the weekly chart still “owes.” One Last Dip Before Q4 Fireworks He mapped the Ethereum structure as analogous, with the daily and 12-hour trends flipping constructive into a weekly order block, but with the same need for a precise entry via a low-timeframe liquidity grab. “ETH very similar, right? We had the daily flip bullish…we’ve got the breaker. It’s retesting this order block here,” he said. He described an H12/weekly combination where a “weekly SFP” and “structure break” are in motion, but stressed placement of the stop remains “tricky” unless a Monday-low sweep offers a cleaner trigger. “To me, ETH looks good here to fill in some of this…assuming we can get that setup,” he added. The conditional nature of the plan is central. Mayne is willing to attempt continuation longs into nearby resistance if and only if the market prints the sweep that tightens his invalidation. Failing that, he expects downside first. “If we don’t get this little setup to here, I think there’s a very strong chance that we’re going to, you know, at least do one of these, right? and nuke this liquidity here and then get the real move up,” he said. He reiterated the timeframe check: “If we get an H4 close below Monday’s low [near $111,000]…all bets are off and we might actually start the month of October down.” Despite the caution, the macro-tactical stance remains buy-the-dip for Q4. Mayne repeatedly framed any early-October weakness as an opportunity rather than the start of a cyclical top. “Ultimately, I’m of the mindset that…this dip that may come, whether it’s from right here or after a push higher…is a dip we want to buy ’cause we’re in the endgame here,” he said. “It’s October, November, December. We’re in Q4… I believe we trade higher in Q4.” At press time, BTC traded at $116,238. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Pavel Durov, the founder and CEO of Telegram, used a wide-ranging conversation on the Lex Fridman Podcast to make one of his clearest long-term calls on Bitcoin yet: “I believe it will come to a point when Bitcoin is worth $1 million.” The remarks appear on Fridman’s newly released episode with Durov. Why Bitcoin Will Reach $1 Million: Pavel Durov Pressed by Fridman on why he kept accumulating Bitcoin and whether he sees further upside, Durov traced his conviction to the asset’s earliest days and to its monetary design. “I was a big believer in Bitcoin since more or less the start of it,” he said, recalling that he bought “my first few thousand of Bitcoin in 2013,” around “$700 per Bitcoin,” and refused to sell even as the price later fell toward $300. Related Reading: Will October Crown Bitcoin Or Break It? Key Levels In Play “And my response to them was, I don’t care. I’m not going to sell it. I believe in this thing.” For Durov, the crux is Bitcoin’s censorship resistance and predictable issuance: “Nobody can confiscate your Bitcoin from you. Nobody can censor you for political reasons. This is the ultimate means of exchange… The governments keep printing money like no tomorrow. Nobody’s printing Bitcoin. There is a predictable inflation and then it stops at a certain point. Bitcoin is here to stay.” Durov also drew a sharp line between his personal finances and Telegram’s operating economics, saying Bitcoin appreciation has effectively financed his lifestyle, not profits from the company. “Telegram is a money losing operation for me personally. Bitcoin is something that allowed me to stay afloat,” he noted, adding that his long-term horizon on the asset has not changed since his early purchases more than a decade ago. The timing of Durov’s $1 million thesis is notable given Telegram’s expanding role at crypto’s consumer edge. The company has progressively integrated the TON ecosystem into its product and business model, committing to Toncoin-based ad payments and revenue sharing for channel owners and opening its advertising platform to a broad set of markets. That TON-denominated ad infrastructure has been credited with catalyzing user and developer activity across Telegram’s mini-app economy. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short-Term Holders At Cost Basis: SOPR At 1 Signals Mareket Equilibrium On the wallet side, Telegram’s crypto functionality—first rolled out internationally—extended to the United States in July 2025, with the TON community’s wallet mini-app enabling in-app transfers and payments. The US expansion followed what Telegram described as nine-figure global wallet activation metrics in 2024, underscoring the scale of a potential distribution channel for on-chain payments and games. As for the $1 million number itself, Durov anchored it in supply discipline and fiat debasement rather than in short-term market catalysts. His reasoning tracks with hard-cap arguments long advanced by Bitcoin’s most committed holders: issuance is programmatic and terminal, while fiscal and monetary expansion remains discretionary. JUST IN: Telegram CEO says he thinks Bitcoin will go to $1,000,000 ???? “The governments keeps printing money like no tomorrow. Nobody is printing bitcoin.” ???? pic.twitter.com/AiDwr7xVkQ — Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) September 30, 2025 Whether that macro narrative alone can deliver seven-figure prices is a market question; what Durov made clear is that his own positioning reflects a decade of conviction. “Just look at the trends,” he told Fridman. “Bitcoin is here to stay. All the fiat currencies remain to be seen.” At press time, Bitcoin traded at $114,372. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Tether, the issuer behind the leading stablecoin, USDT, has made headlines by acquiring $1 billion worth of Bitcoin—approximately 8,800 BTC—during the third quarter of this year.  While many investors have reacted positively to this significant investment, caution has emerged from industry experts like Jacob King, CEO of SwanDesk, who warns that this move may contribute to what he believes could be the “largest bubble in history.” Bitcoin’s True Value Could Be Below $1,000 In a recent post on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), King raised serious concerns about the Bitcoin market, claiming that 80-90% of the total buy volume is artificially inflated.  He argues that Tether essentially creates money “out of thin air,” injecting it into Bitcoin and thereby exacerbating the speculative environment. Despite the growing trend of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and institutional accumulation of Bitcoin as a treasury reserve, the cryptocurrency’s real value might be “far below $1,000.” Related Reading: Will October Crown Bitcoin Or Break It? Key Levels In Play This narrative has been ongoing for years, provoking varied responses within the community. One investor countered King’s assertion by asking why major institutional players, including sovereign ETFs and Fortune 500 companies, continue to invest in Bitcoin if such a large portion of the trading volume is deemed fake.  His argument suggests that either these institutions are misinformed or that the real bubble lies within traditional fiat currencies rather than cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. King refuted this notion, alleging that the idea of significant institutional investment in Bitcoin is largely “a myth.” He contended that most inflows into ETFs are driven by retail investors, not large institutions.  Skepticism Vs. Optimism Further amplifying his skepticism, King criticized Strategy (previously MicroStrategy), the largest publicly traded company holding over 600,000 BTC, describing it as a “leveraged Bitcoin casino.”  He alleged that the company’s co-founder, Michael Saylor, has a history of inflating numbers during the dot-com bubble, suggesting that the current situation is a repetition of “past mistakes.” Related Reading: Analyst Forecasts Dogecoin Price To See Face-Melting Rally: The Bullish Pattern That Suggests New Highs In contrast, other experts like Quinten Francois view Tether’s recent Bitcoin purchase through a more optimistic lens. Francois highlights the US government’s push for stablecoin adoption via the GENIUS Act, which mandates that stablecoin issuers be licensed, transparent, and fully backed by US Treasuries.  He argues that this regulatory framework could channel trillions in offshore Eurodollars into US bonds through stablecoins, effectively continuing quantitative easing but through these private entities rather than the Federal Reserve (Fed). At the time of writing, BTC is trading within the lower channel of its consolidation range at $113,200, with no clear indication of where prices will move next. According to CoinGecko data, the leading cryptocurrency is currently 8% below its all-time high.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to navigate a phase of consolidation, hovering just above $113,000, leaving investors uncertain about the BTC’s next move. This uncertainty has led one analyst, known for accurately predicting BTC’s trajectory during this cycle, to suggest that a new bear market may be closer than many investors anticipate. Bear Market Warning In a recent post on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), the analyst, who goes by the name Doctor Profit, expressed ongoing confidence in his bearish outlook. Since adopting a negative stance in August, he has maintained that Bitcoin is likely to reach the $90,000 to $94,000 range.  While he initially expected this target to be hit this month, he noted that the price has spent an average of 77% of the time below his short position entry point of $115,500. This has reinforced his belief in the validity of his analysis. Related Reading: Solana Gaining Ground On Ethereum: These Key Metrics Show Colossal Growth Doctor Profit emphasized that the critical test for BTC involves the $90,000 to $94,000 range. He predicts that not only will this level be tested, but there is a strong possibility that Bitcoin could break below it, effectively signaling the end of the current bull market.  While the probability of a bear market is alarmingly high, Doctor Profit insists that confirmation hinges on how Bitcoin reacts within this key price band. He clarified that reaching this target does not need to happen immediately, nor does a temporary bounce back to $116,000 or $117,000 invalidate his bearish thesis.  The analyst views any upward price movements, such as the mid-September surge to $117,800, as mere opportunities to enter short positions at more favorable levels, instead of being signals of a new bullish catalyst. 4 Key Indicators For The Bitcoin Price Analytics platform CryptoQuant has identified four critical indicators to watch based on on-chain data. Notably, Tether’s USDT market cap has seen a substantial increase of $10 billion over the past 60 days, signaling fresh liquidity entering the market, which is typically a positive sign during bullish phases. Moreover, the Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) RSI currently sits at 21, which indicates a “buy” signal. This metric assesses the buying power of stablecoins in relation to Bitcoin’s market cap.  Related Reading: Ethereum Founder Dumps Billions In These Meme Coins, Is This A Repeat Of Shiba Inu In 2021? Additionally, the number of accumulator addresses, which are wallets that have made multiple purchases of the leading cryptocurrency without selling, has reached an all-time high of 298,000 BTC. Conversely, the Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP), which tracks Bitcoin flows between spot and derivatives exchanges, is currently trending downward—an indicator commonly associated with bearish market conditions.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin enters the final day of the quarter in a tight coil of technicals and macro catalysts, with traders fixated on a handful of levels that will likely set the tone for October. Ostium Research’s week-ahead outlook frames the setup as a fading “window of weakness” into a potential Q4 tailwind, but only if the market navigates an event-heavy calendar without losing critical supports. As author Nik Patel puts it, “weekly momentum is still supportive of higher prices and I believe we are now emerging from the window of weakness I had marked out from Friday 20th Sept.” Key Bitcoin Levels Signal Explosive October Spot price action remains defined by last week’s rejection at the August open near $112,000 and a swift slide into the low-$108,000s before a rebound into Sunday’s close. On the weekly timeframe, momentum still tilts higher, but Patel warns that quarter-end, the October turn, and a dense run of data can stretch volatility. His base case is unambiguous: “I think any dip you get this week is one you want to look at as an opportunity for longs for the remainder of Q4,” he writes, adding that concerns about a cycle top in October are misplaced given “tailwinds into mid-Dec.” The mid-cycle risk marker sits around $99,000, with a longer-term invalidation tied to the 360-day moving average near $97,900. “Unless we lose $99k on a weekly close, nothing here looks mid-term bearish to me,” Patel states. Related Reading: Bitcoin Could Go To Zero, Hedge Fund CEO Warns On the daily chart, the market carved a higher low above roughly $107,000 after the $112,000 rejection, keeping the short-term structure constructive. Patel’s upside trigger is precise: “If we do now push higher off this low through the rest of this week to close back above the August open and trendline resistance up near $115.7k, I think it is very unlikely you see $107k–$108k retested in October.” Conversely, he stresses the downside waypoint in a volatility burst: “I think the lowest we see this week is the 200dMA at $104.6k on a major flush of the lows.” The tactical map he sketches gives bulls and bears something to do, sometimes within the same session. On the long side, he favors fading a stop-hunt under last week’s low or into the September open, “with invalidation on a close below the 360-day moving average, currently at $97.9k, below which we have not closed since March 2023.” If the market squeezes first, he outlines a switch-hitter approach: a sharper rally into the quarterly close that “takes out the $114k high into Oct 1st,” followed by a fade on bearish divergence aiming “for at least $110k, if not $108.5k into the weekend,” where he’s prepared to flip long again. Related Reading: Bitcoin Retail Demand Retreats: 30D Change Falls To Lowest Level Since July Macro complicates an otherwise orderly technical picture. Patel expects the dollar to overextend before rolling over, a sequence that would support risk later in Q4: last week’s post-FOMC dollar bid is “short-lived,” with DXY “99 as the highest I am expecting,” and a larger move toward 93 in Q4 if momentum breaks down beneath the September open. On equities, he anticipates “a little choppier” October than crypto but still frames dips as opportunities into year-end. Positioning and derivatives context backstop the directional view. Patel highlights snapshots across Velo and CoinGlass, three-month annualized basis, and Bitcoin versus altcoin open interest, then overlays expected one-week and one-month liquidation clusters to illustrate where forced flow could accelerate either path. The through-line remains that this week’s volatility is likely the prelude, not the postscript, to Q4. “The opportunity for those lows to be cleaned up should be over the next 5–7 days,” he notes. “If we run last week’s low and then reclaim on the lower timeframes, that could be the October low forming early.” In sum, Bitcoin’s near-term riddle is less about trend decay than the choreography of a shakeout. Above ~$112,000, buyers can press quickly toward the ~$115,700 pivot; beyond that, the all-time-highs narrative returns to center stage. Sweep the lows first and hold the $104,600–$107,000 shelf, and the market may be laying its October floor. Only a weekly close below $99,000 would meaningfully dent the Q4 bull case Patel maps out for readers this week. “You should not get bear-holed,” he writes. “As such, any dip between now and the weekend is where I am expecting the formation of an October low. At press time, BTC traded at $113,248. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

As he reflects on the choices he made in the past and how they have shaped his understanding of Bitcoin today, an early Bitcoin investor, Jeff Ross, is opening up about his journey in the crypto market and sharing a lesson he says still stays with him. After years of watching Bitcoin grow and evolve, he says one decision still stands out as his biggest mistake.  Jeff Ross Admits His Biggest Bitcoin Mistake Jeff Ross says his biggest mistake was selling all his Bitcoin years ago. Instead of holding Bitcoin, he decided to move it into a substantial and diversified basket of altcoins. He believed coins like Litecoin would rise and even called it the “silver to Bitcoin’s gold.”  Related Reading: XRP Price May Not See An Explosive Rally In October As Expected, Here’s Why At that time, Ross thought spreading his bets was the wise choice. Looking back now, that choice clearly proves to be the wrong move. He explains that giving up his Bitcoin for other coins has remained his biggest regret after years in the market. The memory of this mistake remains alive, and today Ross speaks openly about it so that others do not fall into the same trap. Ross says it was not until 2020 that he fully understood what Bitcoin meant. Before then, he had seen the cryptocurrency only as a means to trade and make quick gains.  Lessons Ross Shares With Bitcoiners Today Now, Jeff Ross uses his experience to send a message to other Bitcoiners. At first glance, fiat looks safe because it is widely accepted and backed by governments. However, Ross warns that the same money is quietly losing value every year due to inflation. What feels stable on the surface is, in reality, the “ultimate wealth-extracting unit,” a system that slowly drains people’s savings without them even noticing. Related Reading: Pundit Says Bitcoin Is Still In A Bull Market Despite Price Crash; Here’s Why According to Ross, Bitcoin fights this by protecting purchasing power and moving it away from fiat money. Moving value into this network, in his view, is the real strength of Bitcoin and the reason it stands apart from the countless digital tokens that come and go. Unlike fiat money, which loses purchasing power over time, Bitcoin removes value from government-backed currency and locks it into a transparent system where it remains safe and immutable. For Ross, Bitcoin could represent freedom, fairness, and the separation of money from state control. His personal story adds weight to these ideas and serves as a clear warning for other investors. By sharing how easily he once got caught up in the excitement of altcoins, Ross illustrates the temptation of short-term gains, as well as the often costly consequences that follow over time. The lesson he draws is that holding Bitcoin could be far more rewarding than chasing quick wins in today’s volatile markets.  Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

As the Bitcoin price has staged a rebound coming out of the weekend, the momentum has begun to skew bullish again, and expectations remain that the price will wax higher from here. Some predictions have placed the digital asset’s price lower. However, there are some who expect this to be the start of the next upward wave for Bitcoin. One of those is crypto analyst Arman Shabann, who shared an analysis of the Bitcoin price that seems to be playing out quite well. Why The Bitcoin Price Is Headed For Higher Levels In the analysis, Arman explained the current Bitcoin price trajectory as being bullish, especially with the formation of a clear ascending channel. The digital asset had been moving within this ascending channel, and this is seen in the recent upward push that the Bitcoin price went on. Related Reading: XRP Price Is About To Close A 3M Candle Above This Major Region, Here’s What It Means For Price So far, the cryptocurrency looks to be moving according to plan, after bouncing off support between $108,000 and $109,000. After this bounce, the analyst believes that the Dogecoin price has now entered what is known as a natural correction phase. At this level, the Bitcoin price is still trending along the midline, and this is where the next move could be determined. Now, there is still the possibility that the price continues to trend down and retests the support area just above the $105,000 region, as shown in the chart. However, in this case, the Bitcoin price would be preparing for another bounce if this level holds. Additionally, the analyst points out that this would be an ideal entry point if the price were to actually reach this level, given that it’s expected to actually rebound from this point. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Skirts Potential Demand Zone, What Happens If It Hits Right? For the bullish scenario, the Bitcoin price does need to hold the upper boundary of the channel to continue its uptrend. Once bulls take control, then the price is likely to continue upward, with the analyst predicting an over 30% move. Such a move would put the Bitcoin price as high as $156,000 before the rally is over. On the other hand, the bears still have the opportunity to actually reclaim control of the digital asset from here. This lies in breaking below the support level and shifting the momentum back into the negative territory. If the support at $105,000 does break, then the next possible target is the dynamic support just above the $100,000 area. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

The Bitcoin price opened Monday with a slight recovery, reclaiming the $113,000 mark after a dip that brought the price down to $109,000—a level that has proven to be significant support for the top cryptocurrency. Despite this temporary bounce, one expert warns of further challenges ahead for bullish investors. Warns Of Further Bitcoin Price Drops  In a recent post on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), Doctor Profit expressed confidence in his market analysis, indicating that BTC is on track to reach his projected target range between $90,000 to $94,000, meaning an additional 20% drop for the Bitcoin price.  He posited that the cryptocurrency is poised to move toward a new short-term downside target at approximately $106,000. According to his assessment, a minor bounce in this area could attract additional liquidity before the market potentially moves lower. Related Reading: Everyone’s Wrong About XRP: Here’s Why, Says Top Analyst Doctor Profit also paints a bleak picture of the broader economic landscape, highlighting troubling signs such as Japan’s 10-Year Bond Yield reaching its highest level since the Global Financial Crisis.  He notes that the repo-to-reserves ratio is approaching 99%, a metric that hints at funding stress and margin strain, leading to forced selling. While he acknowledges that a surge in liquidity from central banks could provide a bullish pivot, he remains skeptical given the current market conditions. The analyst also referenced a range of indicators and charts he has shared since August, emphasizing that many key market charts, including the Dow Jones, are at significant resistance levels, some of which have formed over a century.  He pointed out the record levels of alleged insider selling witnessed in recent weeks, alongside a surge in retail investor inflows, suggesting a disconnect between retail enthusiasm and the actions of larger players in the market. October Could Signal Recovery  In contrast to Doctor Profit’s cautious stance, market expert Timothy Peterson offers a more optimistic outlook for the Bitcoin price trajectory in the months to come. Peterson believes that October could bring a positive shift for Bitcoin, drawing on historical trends and current market dynamics.  Related Reading: Ethereum Outflows Hit Spot Exchanges Again: Bullish Signal Or Neutral Flows? As recently reported by NewsBTC, Peterson has outlined two potential bullish scenarios that he believes remain for the cryptocurrency: one forecasting a rise to as high as $240,000, while another more conservative estimate suggests a surge to $160,000. As the month of September draws to a close, Doctor Profit’s prediction that Bitcoin would trade below $100,000 could still play out. With only a 9% decline needed to breach the $100,000 threshold, the outlook remains uncertain. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Michael Saylor, the executive chairman of MicroStrategy, which recently rebranded to Strategy, has once again drawn attention to the company’s aggressive Bitcoin acquisition strategy by reviving and actively utilizing the public BTC Tracker. What Is The Bitcoin Tracker And Why Does It Matter Michael Saylor has once again released the Strategy Bitcoin tracker, a chart that the market has come to watch closely. According to the X post, the latest buy brings Strategy’s total Bitcoin treasury holdings to 639,835 BTC, which is approximately $70.01 billion. Related Reading: Michael Saylor Says Bitcoin Is Not Just An Asset; What Is It Then? CryptosRus has stated that the familiar orange dots continue their steady climb upward and to the right, a simple yet powerful indicator hinting that additional BTC buys may be on deck. Every time this chart comes out, the market leans in. Saylor’s conviction has transcended simple corporate policy to become a genuine market signal. An analyst known as BitBull has confirmed a crucial turning point for the Bitcoin market, highlighting that BTC Open Interest has fallen to its lowest level in a month, effectively wiping out all the leverage that had built up during September. BitBull views this deleveraging event as a positive and healthy development for the market. By purging excessive leverage, the market is now considered to be in a healthier state, which could set the stage for a reversal upward in BTC price. Why The Current Bitcoin Run Is Only The Beginning Market analyst Zynx has offered insights into the BTC market and future price targets, pointing out that the bull market is still in its early stages and has significant room to run. He stated that BTC needs to cross $151,000 just to equal its all-time high in Gold, which suggests a specific metric where BTC’s price, relative to the price of an ounce of gold, would match its previous peak ratio.   Related Reading: Bitcoin Daily RSI At Most Oversold Level Since April — Time To Buy? Historically, every cycle since the inception, BTC has more than doubled its price in Gold at a minimum, usually much more than that. However, the $300,000 target is looking increasingly realistic. While it is impossible to give a time frame, if history repeats, crossing the $151,000 all-time high within the next six months is expected. Furthermore, what makes this cycle fascinating is the macro overlay. Some analysts, such as EneaDenkt and others, are using the US Business Cycle Institute for Supply Management (ISM) as a key indicator for predicting the timing when BTC will peak. Zynx concluded by acknowledging that this is definitely a very interesting time for the BTC rally, and this cycle will definitely be like no other. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Charles Edwards, founder and CEO of Capriole Investments, has issued his starkest warning yet on quantum computing, arguing that Bitcoin must migrate to post-quantum signatures on an accelerated timeline or face existential risk later this decade. “We need to upgrade Bitcoin to be Quantum proof next year. 2026. Otherwise we are fucked,” Edwards wrote on X early Monday, escalating a series of posts in which he contends “Q-Day is this decade.” Could Bitcoin Crash To $0? Edwards’ thesis hinges on the rapid compression of resource estimates required to run Shor’s algorithm against Bitcoin’s elliptic-curve digital signatures (ECDSA/Schnorr on secp256k1). Pushing back at skeptics who “handwave Quantum as being 20+ years away,” he argued that only “~2,000 logical qubits” may be sufficient to break ECC-256 within a practical time window, placing a credible attack in “2–6 years.” In a separate exchange he framed the stakes bluntly: “Do you want $1M Bitcoin in 5 years, or $0?” Related Reading: Bitcoin To $200K? Galaxy Digital CEO Reveals The ‘Biggest Bull Catalyst’ Edwards’ timeline closely tracks a fresh line of research and industry messaging from Pierre-Luc Dallaire-Démers, founder of Pauli Group, a startup focused on quantum-resistant money. In an August research preprint and public thread, Dallaire-Démers and co-authors introduced graded ECDLP challenges on Bitcoin’s curve and, after translating logical circuits to physical costs across several error-corrected architectures, placed “cryptanalytically relevant” ECC-256 attacks in a “roughly 2027–2033” window—emphasizing wide error bars and sensitivity to hardware assumptions. Pauli Group summarized the upshot plainly: “The first attack on 256-bit ECC will plausibly happen between 2027–2033.” The firm also provocatively stated via X: “PQC BTC will go to $1M+ by 2030. ECC BTC won’t.” The core risk vector is well-established: once a Bitcoin address reveals its public key on-chain—by spending from it or by using legacy formats that expose the key outright—a sufficiently powerful quantum computer running Shor’s algorithm could, in principle, derive the private key quickly enough to steal funds. Security researchers and industry teams note that coins in already-exposed keys are the first in line, while coins still sitting behind hashed (unrevealed) public keys are safer until they move. Several analyses estimate that a non-trivial share of outstanding BTC resides in exposed-key outputs, including early “pay-to-pubkey” era coins often associated with Satoshi. Edwards leaned into that tail risk, claiming “Satoshi’s coins will be market dumped” absent a migration. Related Reading: Bitcoin On The Brink: Analyst Warns This Key Level Must Hold Not everyone agrees on the clock speed. Some conservative estimates still point to millions of error-corrected qubits for practical, fast ECDSA breaks, and standards bodies have published transition guidance that implicitly assumes a longer runway. In late 2024, material circulated in the NIST/PQ ecosystem sketched migrations away from vulnerable algorithms by roughly 2035—a horizon many security engineers view as realistic for broad IT systems, even if niche breakthroughs arrive sooner. The spread between the “thousands” versus “millions” of logical qubits camps reflects fast-evolving algorithmic optimizations, differing error-correction models, and varied assumptions about gate speeds and code distances. Notably, Edwards is taking the message to TOKEN2049 this week, where he is slated to present “DOUBLE THREAT: Quantum & the Treasury Bubble” on Wednesday, October 1 at 10:45 a.m. local time—positioning quantum compromise and a growing “Bitcoin Treasury Bubble” as the two dominant downside risks for BTC over the next cycle. At press time, BTC traded at $112,150. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

After what seemed like a strong start to September, the Bitcoin price is pretty much back where it began the month. With the historically bullish “Uptober” now in sight, investors are hoping that the premier cryptocurrency will be able to find some relief and perhaps enjoy some upward momentum in the coming weeks. However, the latest on-chain revelation suggests that the Bitcoin price is at risk of further downward pressure over the next few weeks. According to a prominent analyst on social media platform X, the market leader has fallen below a crucial level, which could trigger a further 10% price drawdown. BTC To Enter ‘Correction Process’ In Next 2-3 Months?    On-chain analyst Burak Kesmeci took to the X platform to share an update on the Bitcoin price in relation to the Short-Term Holder (STH)’s Realized Price. According to the crypto pundit, the BTC price has now broken beneath the STH Realized Price—around $111,500—for the fourth time this year. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull Run Is Over? These Signals Show Where The Market Is At For context, the Short-Term Holder Realized Price is a metric that estimates the average price at which Bitcoin short-term investors (holding for less than 115 days) purchased their coins. Because it represents the average cost basis of this relevant investor cohort, the STH Realized Price often acts as a dynamic support and resistance level. Kesmeci revealed that the Bitcoin price had previously fallen below the STH Realized Price three times so far during this bull run, which started in November 2022. According to the on-chain analyst, the market leader entered a consolidation phase when this happened the past three times. In the first incident of BTC slipping beneath STH Realized Price, the Bitcoin price witnessed an over 8% decline between August and October 2023. Meanwhile, the flagship cryptocurrency’s value declined by more than 13% between June 2024 and October 2024 in the second occurrence. Most recently, the market leader dipped almost 8% between February and April 2025 when the Bitcoin price fell below the STH Realized Price. Kesmeci highlighted that, on average, these consolidation phases lasted 77 days and each resulted in an almost 10% loss in BTC’s value. Kesmeci concluded that the Bitcoin price could enter a consolidation/correction phase if it does close the week and perhaps the month beneath the STH Realized Price around $111,500. And if history does repeat itself, investors could see the market lose as much as 10% over the next two to three months. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $109,538, reflecting no significant change in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Expert Prediction: Bitcoin Price Could Hit $200,000 By June 2026, Claiming 50% Probability Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

Market expert Tony Severino has raised some concerns with the current Bitcoin price action on the weekly chart. This comes as the flagship crypto trades below $110,000, with predictions that it could further drop below the psychological $100,000 level.  Bitcoin Price Forms Bearish Pattern On Weekly Chart Severino revealed in an X post that the Bitcoin price is potentially forming an Evening Star pattern on the weekly chart, something he is wary of. He noted that this pattern is forming right at the Bollinger Band basis line, at around $111,600, during the tightest BB squeeze in BTC’s history.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull Run Is Over? These Signals Show Where The Market Is At The market expert had earlier revealed that the Bitcoin price’s weekly Bollinger Bands are officially the tightest in the entire history of BTCUSD price action. Essentially, BTC is currently trading within a tight range, indicating low volatility. Severino’s accompanying chart shows that the upper BB is at around $122,000, the basis BB is at $111,600, while the lower BB is at $101,000.  Meanwhile, the Evening Star pattern suggests that the bears are taking control from the bulls, putting the Bitcoin price at risk of a further downtrend. With the Bollinger bands being this tight, Severino may be cautious of how this could lead to a BTC decline to the lower BB basis. Crypto analyst Bob Loukas confirmed that the bears are in control and indicated that BTC could still drop below $100,000.  He noted that the Bitcoin price is looking to print its Weekly Cycle Low, although he opined that BTC is holding up well despite the current downtrend. The analyst declared that a rally to $118,000 will confirm the start of a new cycle.  Until then, the bears will remain in control. His accompanying chart showed that the flagship crypto could risk dropping below $100,000 during this period when the bears are in control. However, in the long run, Loukas still expects the Bitcoin price to rally to as high as $140,000.  BTC Needs To Reclaim $116,300 Crypto analyst Ali Martinez also warned that the Bitcoin price needs to reclaim $116,300 or risk dropping as low as $94,334 based on the Pricing Bands. He had earlier stated that $107,200 is the crucial support for Bitcoin. The analyst claimed that a drop below that support level would put $100,000 or even $93,000 in play.  Related Reading: These Analysts Predicted The Bitcoin Price Crash And Their Forecasts Say It’s Not Over Meanwhile, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto noted that the Bitcoin price has broken below the trendline at $110,000. He remarked that confirmation is still needed and that the lagging span must follow to validate this bearish move. However, the analyst is one of those who doesn’t believe that BTC has topped, noting that the market is in a period of fear and that this has never marked the cycle top. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $109,600, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin’s market structure is showing signs of cycle alignment that could delay a true bottom until October. As technical signals converge, the focus shifts to whether this timing will mark a deeper continuation of the correction or the groundwork for a stronger rebound. Macro Picture Remains Bearish With $99,000 Target In a new insight shared on X, analyst TARA provided an update on Bitcoin’s price action, stating that “the fight continues” and that the internal “waves are such a mess right now.” The current situation reflects a highly complex market environment where the short-term and mid-term technical signals are contradictory: the immediate trend is categorized as bullish, while the medium-term outlook remains bearish. Related Reading: Bitcoin Loses $110,000 Support But Risk Signal Says Market Is Safe – Details The analyst noted that Bitcoin found support at a critical technical cluster defined by a 0.618 extension and a specific 0.854 support level, a confluence that indicates buyers stepped in decisively. TARA emphasizes the significance of this hold, stating that if Bitcoin had dropped any lower, it would have “invalidated any short-term bullish scenarios. Despite the short-term strength, Bitcoin has yet to test the resistance, which is now identified at $114,400. TARA points to this level as the immediate target if the price can successfully turn around and continue its current upward trajectory. However, TARA concludes with a strong reminder about the macro trend, which remains bearish, with the full target for this entire correction remaining at approximately $99,000. Time Cycles Point To Bearish TK Cross Formation Dr. Cat, in a recent update, explained that a renewal of the September 25th low at $108,652 after September 28th would be a critical signal for Bitcoin. Such a move would indicate a continuation of the bearish trend, suggesting that the market may not find a bottom before October 1st, with the possibility extending toward October 3rd (±2 days) based on the daily chart outlook. Related Reading: Countdown To ‘Bitcoin Bottom Day’: Why September 21 Could Change Everything If the low is revisited, it would likely cause the Kijun Sen to turn downward, setting up a valid bearish Tenkan-Kijun (TK) cross. Meanwhile, the Chikou Span (CS) is also positioned in a way that shows it is preparing for its own bearish cross, further reinforcing the possibility of continued downside pressure. Dr. Cat reminded followers of a prediction made roughly three weeks earlier, where the analyst stated that the market bottom should not be expected before October. That earlier analysis was grounded on the monthly chart. Now, the daily chart appears to be coming into alignment with the monthly outlook. If Bitcoin does in fact renew the September low within the stated timeframe, this would likely serve as the trigger confirming the bearish continuation. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin and Gold as stores of value often boil down to a single, critical distinction in the digital era of mobility. This portability transforms BTC from just a digital gold narrative into a living, breathing monetary network that gold can never match. According to mhar_leeck’s perspective on X, the true evolution of BTC lies in its capacity as a platform for innovation, to move, evolve, and even teach. Unlike gold, which stays locked away, this narrative confines the asset to a passive role. The Build on Bitcoin (BOB) layer 2 solution is presented as the crucial technology that enables this shift.  Build On Bitcoin Powering The Narrative Furthermore, by creating a new, more expressive layer on top of BTC, BOB turns the theory of a programmable BTC into a practical reality. This combination is often referred to as a hybrid L2, which allows builders to transition from simply reading about decentralized finance (DeFi) to experimenting, testing, and creating in real-time.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Poised To Rival Gold In Central Bank Vaults By 2030: Deutsche Bank The unlocking of BTC’s liquidity extends beyond its use in high-throughput applications. It is about unlocking a space for true innovation, where every project sparks, and momentum keeps building. Mhar_leeck noted that the most exciting next chapter for BTC is not about simply holding the asset, but about actively building on it. Crypto Sinan has also stated that he has been in BOB for a while now, and the ride has been nothing short of exciting. The promise of BTC actually working across DeFi with one click highlights the focus on user experience, and no wrapped tokens or shady bridges that introduce new trust assumptions. However, by bridging the liquidity of both BTC security and ETH-grade flexibility, BOB opens the door to a wide range of yield-generating opportunities. As a result of allowing native BTC moves to earn multichain yield without the risks of opaque wrapping solutions, and a growing community that feels like it is building the future in real-time. “If you still think BTC is only a static store of value, maybe BOB is the place where you will finally see the digital gold become productive gold.” Crypto Sinan mentioned. The Biggest Profit-Take In Bitcoin History Bitcoin continues to experience bearish action, impacting investors’ sentiment. Niels, the co-founder of Tedlabsio, has revealed that Bitcoin’s Long-Term Holders (LTHs) are cashing in a historic amount of coins than ever before.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Is Not Done Yet Despite Price Crash To $112,000, Here’s Why In this cycle, BTC Long-Term Holders have realized a record amount of profit, totaling an enormous 3.4 million BTC, larger than the profit realized in any previous bull run. However, in past cycles, sell pressure has barely dented the price structure, which signifies that despite seasoned investors taking record profits, the underlying demand is absorbing it all. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin (BTC) has entered a critical phase in its cycle, prompting analysts to debate whether the long-standing bull run is finally nearing its peak. With volatility tightening and historical cycle data indicating a potentially explosive breakout, market experts are closely watching the next few weeks for signals that reveal the market’s current position and future direction. Bitcoin Bull Run Cycle Nears Endgame  Market analyst, ‘CRYPTOBIRD’ has warned that the Bitcoin bull run could end within 30 days. In a thread on X social media, he noted that this current cycle has now reached 1,038 days since the November 2022 bottom, which is equivalent to 97.5% of a standard cycle. Historically, the final 2.5% of Bitcoin’s bull runs have delivered the most dramatic price surges, often catching both retail and institutional investors off guard.  Related Reading: These Analysts Predicted The Bitcoin Price Crash And Their Forecasts Say It’s Not Over Examining the cycle bottom-to-top chart, BTC’s current market structure aligns closely with that of past cycles, where it experienced its largest accelerations just before cycle completion. The black line representing the current 2022-2025 trajectory shows Bitcoin consolidating after strong gains, much like the 2016 and 2020 cycles before their peaks.  From a technical standpoint, the expert notes that BTC is trading in an unusually tight 5% range between $110,500 and $116,000, signaling heavy compression. However, the cryptocurrency recently broke down again and is now sitting slightly above $109,600.  CRYPTOBIRD highlights key levels: 200-week SMA at $53,111 acting as long-term macro support, the 50-week SMA near $99,000 as the bull market floor and the SPX correlation (-0.19). The analyst explained that short-term structures remain mixed, with High Time Frame (HTF) support at $111,296 still intact. However, compression has created conditions where any breakout could set the tone for the remainder of the year.  Furthermore, the Current Trend Framework (CTF) is at $114,916, signaling bearish periods. Presently, price is gravitating toward the 200-day BPRO at $112,250, and if Bitcoin can hold above it, bulls could remain in control. Halving Math Signals Final BTC Breakdown Continuing his analysis, CRYPTOBIRD emphasized that Bitcoin is now 523 days post-halving, placing it firmly within the historical “peak window” of 518-580 days after each halving event. Every previous major cycle top has occurred in this exact range, suggesting Bitcoin is entering the statistical sweet spot for its final move.  Related Reading: Strategist Publishes Bitcoin ‘Cheat Code’ As Factors That Led To Previous ATHs Return Adding to the setup is the market’s present volatility squeeze. Average True Range (ATR) has dropped to 2,250, its lowest reading of 2025, while 50-day volatility sits at 2,800. The analyst notes that such compressed volatility rarely lasts and typically precedes a violent breakout within two to four weeks.  Institutions also appear to be positioning accordingly, with Bitcoin ETF flows showing distribution. Sentiment indicators add another layer, as the Fear and Greed index stands at 44, indicating rising fear rather than euphoria. Meanwhile, RSI is neutral at 46, suggesting that momentum has cooled but not collapsed.  Despite September’s reputation as Bitcoin’s weakest month, CRYPTOBIRD notes that it gained 4.4% month-to-date, defying its historical 6.2% decline. This anomaly, combined with October, which is typically seen as a green month, could set the stage for a bullish Q4. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin has experienced a sharp price drop in recent days, but one well-followed crypto analyst remains undaunted. Popular chartist Egrag Crypto says Bitcoin is still in a bull market, even with the pullback. He believes what is happening now is only part of a larger repeating pattern that has played out since the end of 2022. According to him, this cycle is not over yet, and the market still has another strong upward move before an actual bear phase begins.  Bitcoin Holds Strong Above Key Levels Egrag Crypto explains that Bitcoin follows a clear pattern that has been in place since December 2022. First, the price surges upward, then it retests support, bounces back, corrects slightly, and makes a new local high.  Related Reading: XRP Holders Could Lose Millions Of Dollars In 10 Days, Here’s Why Right now, the most critical level to watch is $103,000. As long as Bitcoin does not fall below that level, Egrag says there is no real danger. Instead, he expects one more big pump to arrive before the cycle tops out. His personal target for this move is between $150,000 and $175,000. In his view, this would mark the last push of the current bull run before the market flips to its next bear phase. Egrag stresses that corrections along the way are normal and should not cause panic. He believes traders often get caught up in short-term drops without realizing that they are only part of a larger trend. Looking at the bigger picture, it is clear that the Bitcoin bull market still has room to run.  Market Parallels With Gold Suggest Bull Run Is Intact Egrag Crypto also draws a strong comparison between Bitcoin and gold. He points out that many analysts once thought gold had peaked at a technical target of $3,500. Instead, the price continued to rise due to what he calls a short squeeze. This sudden surge, he says, was meant to trap retail buyers into a “suckers rally.” Related Reading: Expert Reveals Why XRP Won’t Mirror Bitcoin’s Path And Why A Decoupling Is Imminent He notes that gold demand is currently so high that even shop owners with decades of experience say they have never seen business like this. To Egrag, this kind of hype is usually a warning that the cycle is near its top. He expects gold to eventually fall by $600 to $1,000 once Russia and Ukraine restore peace, a move that he believes would once again confirm the cyclical nature of the market. For Bitcoin, the same lesson applies. Despite loud voices calling the bull run over, Egrag insists that the cycle is still alive. He views the current downturn as merely a pause before another significant surge. He plans to invest around $30,000 in the following macro cycle and later rotate into strong altcoins. In his view, staying patient and respecting cycles is the most effective approach. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto analyst Kevin (Kev Capital TA) told viewers late on September 25 that Bitcoin’s pullback is tracking a familiar seasonal and structural script—and that the market’s next major impulse hinges on a clearly defined support range. “Hold $107k to $98K,” he said, calling the zone the fulcrum for the bull cycle’s next leg. “That’s it. It’s that simple.” Opening his stream amid a rush of bearish sentiment as BTC price dipped to $108,651, Kevin argued the drawdown should not surprise disciplined traders. He framed the current move in the context of months of caution dating back to early August, when he began highlighting weekly bearish divergences across Bitcoin, Ethereum and the total altcoin market (Total2), into what he described as four-plus-year resistance zones. “Everyone thinks these symmetrical triangle patterns after a move higher are continuation patterns,” he said, “but in reality, in the crypto market, very, very rarely do these break out to the upside.” He pointed to a progression of smaller impulse highs since late 2023 and reiterated that despite sharp rallies in select altcoins, the majors failed to clear “any major resistance levels.” Bitcoin Top In Until Proven Otherwise The anchor of Kevin’s case is confluence on higher time frames. On Bitcoin’s weekly chart, he outlined rising price highs against falling momentum—“simple strength and momentum indicators,” not signals by themselves but context that “has been dwindling for a very long time.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Funding Dynamics Shift As Binance Premium Signals Aggressive Longs Total2, he added, registered “a triple top on the weekly” beneath roughly $1.71–$1.74 trillion—“the all-be-all resistance level”—with weekly RSI and MACD rolling over. Stocks of momentum, in his read, are resetting precisely where they should amid historically thin late-summer liquidity. “Q3 is never a good quarter for crypto,” Kevin said. “August, September are terrible months. They always are.” Against that backdrop, he argued that USDT dominance remains the most reliable inter-market compass. “USDT dominance is the greatest chart ever. There is no better chart,” he said, walking through a macro descending triangle with a flat-bottom support near 3.9–3.7% and repeated rallies to a falling trendline that have mapped crypto cycle lows and highs for two years. Each approach to the flat bottom, he noted, has carved a W- or inverse-head-and-shoulders-style base in USDT.D while Bitcoin distributed near local tops; each rejection at the downtrend has coincided with crypto inflections. “You literally don’t need any chart in all of crypto,” he said. “All you need is Bitcoin and USDT dominance and you would have played this cycle absolutely perfectly.” From a tactical standpoint, Kevin flagged a three-month BTC liquidity “heat map” shelf near $106.8K and the 21-week EMA—the bull-market support band—near $109.2K as natural magnets, with the lower weekly Bollinger Band sitting around $101K. He stressed he doesn’t want to see “Bitcoin lose 106.8K” if the cycle remains intact, though a wick into that area to “swipe the liquidity” would be consistent with prior resets. He framed $98K as the line that should not break decisively. “There’s a whole lot of support in that range,” he said. “I’d be pretty shocked if Bitcoin wasn’t able to bounce in there somewhere.” All Eyes On Q4 Seasonality Kevin tied structural signals to an explicit macro checklist, arguing that lasting cycle tops and bottoms align with fundamental catalysts rather than charts alone. He cited 2021’s inflation spike and the onset of the Fed’s hiking cycle as the driver of that cycle’s 55–60% drawdown, the 2017 CME Bitcoin futures launch as a blow-off top catalyst, and the FTX collapse as the final capitulation in 2022 amid weekly bullish divergence. “There’s always a macro-related reason that correlates with the charts,” he said. By contrast, he sees no such cycle-ending macro trigger today: inflation gauges have been “very choppy” but contained; the Fed is widely expected to ease into year-end provided labor softens; and seasonality favors Q4. Related Reading: Bitcoin Days Away From Blowoff Or Cycle Top, Veteran Analyst Warns He underscored the near-term calendar—core PCE, CPI and labor data in the first half of October—as decisive for risk appetite. “Sometime in mid-October… we’ll start to have an idea of where this market is really going to go,” he said. “If we get to mid-October and Bitcoin’s holding key support… and we get good macroeconomic data, we get another rate cut… the probabilities favor that Bitcoin will [go higher]—and then you’re in Q4.” Volatility positioning, he added, argues for a sharp directional move once the reset completes. On the weekly Bollinger Band Width, Kevin said BTC has printed record-low readings three times this cycle—each in Q3—and each episode began with a downside break of 18–29% before surging to fresh highs. “There is a massive move coming for Bitcoin soon. It has not happened yet,” he said, noting spot volumes have declined since November while bands have tightened to historic extremes. A test of the lower weekly band near $101K “is possible,” but not required, in his view; the key is that the broader $107K–$98K corridor functions as a springboard. Kevin was equally explicit about invalidation and upside triggers. He labeled $125K “a major top for now” and said the market needs weekly and monthly closes above that level to confirm trend continuation. On dominance, he highlighted 59.0% and 60.28% as near-term resistance that could fuel a BTC-led phase if reclaimed; otherwise, he expects leadership to rotate back to altcoins once Bitcoin bases and USDT dominance prints a lower high. “Stop looking at the altcoins” until those inter-market signals flip, he advised, emphasizing patience, risk management and taking profits into resistance. His bottom line combines restraint with opportunism. “Hold $107k to 98K,” he repeated. “Go into October. Get through the first couple of weeks of macroeconomic data… Bitcoin will inevitably find a low on the back of that data and then eventually go higher.” But he warned that if macro arrives benign and “Bitcoin is still deteriorating,” traders should be ready to reassess the cycle thesis. Until then, Kevin’s message remains unapologetically unglamorous: respect the seasonal chop, track the inter-market tells, and let the higher-time-frame levels do the talking. “Being right is the best pat on the back you can get,” he said. “Not just saying things that get you a lot of clicks.” At press time, BTC traded at $109,607. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Despite recent fluctuations that saw the Bitcoin price retrace nearly 6% on a weekly basis, market expert Timothy Peterson remains bullish on the leading cryptocurrency’s future.  The expert, also a Bitcoin author and economist, predicts that there is at least a 50% chance that the Bitcoin price could reach a new all-time high of $200,000 by June 2026, a forecast he shared on social media platform X (formerly Twitter) on Thursday. Optimistic Projections For The Bitcoin Price Peterson’s optimistic outlook is grounded in his analysis of the Median Bitcoin Yearly Price Path chart, which suggests that October typically marks the beginning of a new upward trend for the Bitcoin price, extending through to June of the following year.  He elaborated that achieving the $200,000 target would require an average monthly return of approximately 7%, translating to an 120% annualized increase. Furthermore, he noted a 50% or greater likelihood of Bitcoin reaching a new all-time high by early November of this year. Related Reading: All-Time Highs For Gold, S&P500; Crypto Stands Alone In The Red – What’s The Root Cause? As seen in the chart below, Peterson outlined additionally, two potential bullish scenarios for Bitcoin’s trajectory. The most scenario points toward a surge to a new record of $240,000, while a more conservative estimate suggests a rise toward $160,000.  Regardless, these indicators he referenced imply that the remainder of the year and subsequent months of 2026, could be marked by significant price increases for the market’s leading cryptocurrency. However, the broader crypto market performance has not been without its challenges.  Investors Brace For Friday’s PCE Data On Thursday, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum (ETH), XRP, and Solana (SOL), experienced a downturn as investors shifted their focus to upcoming economic data, particularly following a sharp market correction earlier in the week.  Traders are particularly attentive to Friday’s personal consumption expenditure (PCE) data, the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) preferred measure of inflation, which could have implications for future interest rate decisions. When interest rates decrease, more stable investments such as bonds or equities tend to offer lower yields, encouraging investors to seek riskier assets like cryptocurrencies.  Related Reading: Ex-Binance CEO CZ Criticizes FT Report On YZi Labs, Calls It A ‘Negative Narrative’ Earlier in the week, a substantial sell-off occurred across the crypto market, marking the largest deleveraging event of the year. On Monday, many digital asset investors unwound bullish positions that had been established after the Fed’s recent quarter-point interest rate cut. Maja Vujinovic, CEO of Digital Assets at FG Nexus, commented on the situation, emphasizing that the recent liquidations stemmed from excessive leverage rather than failing market fundamentals. She noted, “Overheated funding post-Fed left traders exposed; once Bitcoin rolled over, forced unwinds hit ETH and altcoins hard.”  Despite the cautious sentiment prevailing in the crypto market this week, Vujinovic pointed out that historical trends suggest these “leverage washes” often pave the way for a healthier market foundation. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin is approaching a decisive inflection in its four-year cycle, with a euphoric “blowoff” advance likely to begin within days—or the market having already printed its peak at month 33—according to cycle analyst Bob Loukas. In a video published on September 24, 2025, Loukas told viewers he remains “heavily” inclined toward an imminent upside resolution into a cycle high during Q4, while outlining the risk markers that would instead confirm the top is already in. Bitcoin Blowoff Top Imminent Or Already In Loukas framed the present as the late stage of Bitcoin’s rising phase, noting that the advance from the bear-market low has been “a pretty consistent uptrend marked by these periods of outperformance that make up the majority of the gains in this cycle.” He argued that the current multi-month range resembles “one big foundation, one big solid block” built amid sustained distribution from long-term holders offset by persistent institutional demand. “We’ve seen a significant amount of whales selling… and that’s been kind of the pressure,” he said, adding that “significant buying support that we see from institutionals… has held the price in this range.” The central pillar of his bullish case is the absence of a terminal mania phase that has historically characterized cycle peaks. “What’s absent more importantly here is a blowoff to a high,” Loukas said. “In every cycle that we’ve had for Bitcoin into the four-year cycle high, we’ve had this three-month period… of euphoric buying and a significant price appreciation… and that leads to a peak.” With the market now around month 34 from the prior four-year-cycle low and seasonality turning favorable, he believes the conditions for that late surge are in place: “We really should be looking for a blowoff phase that is imminent, that is just about to begin in my opinion… We are at the most opportune time in the four-year cycle for such a move.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Will Soak Up Trillions From China And Russia, Billionaire Predicts Loukas placed the recent August high at month 33, a timing band that “pretty closely” echoes prior cycles and, in his words, makes a bearish interpretation “credible.” He stressed he is not ignoring the relative underperformance versus equities and the powerful rally in gold. From a purely structural standpoint, the move from the bear-market low to the month-33 high amounts to “a very healthy 700% rise,” and—under a diminishing-returns framework—could be a complete cycle in itself. “I give it an outside chance that it peaked on month 33… maybe 10% to 20%,” he said. Still, he argued that attempting to sidestep risk at this exact juncture is unwise “on the eve of a possible move up.” If the blowoff materializes, Loukas expects it to follow the established template of late-cycle weekly advances that compound rapidly over eight to fifteen weeks. He will not commit to a hard target, but he illustrated the magnitude with prior doubling moves. “A doubling from the lows here in the last few months—let’s call it $105k—gets us up to $210k… getting to the $200,000 level by December, although it sounds extremely optimistic… there is a pretty clear path to that possibility,” he said. He emphasized that execution should be guided by sentiment and overextension rather than round-number targets: “I think we want to be a little flexible… looking at how stretched this market can get.” Risk management was a major focus. Loukas flagged the 10-month moving average—“around about the $100,000 level”—as a late-cycle guardrail: “Closing a month out under the $100,000 is a major warning sign at this point.” He also marked the prior “big weekly cycle decline down at $75,000” as a line that “Bitcoin shouldn’t be anywhere near,” implying that a breach would be consistent with a bear market already underway. What To Expect Next On the upside, he wants confirmation via fresh all-time highs that establish clear invalidation below. “Ideally, what I want to see is a move back above the $120,000 level… if we get a move to new all-time highs, then that certainly would become my floor,” he said, adding that a subsequent reversal “back below the $105,000 level” after printing a new high would “indicate a change in trend and a likely top.” Related Reading: The ‘Once A Decade’ Bitcoin Moment No One Sees Coming Loukas also explored a third path: a more extended cycle that peaks in early 2026 with a shorter-than-usual bear phase. That scenario, he said, would probably not feature a classic blowoff and might advance in a “controlled rise” toward the $140,000–$160,000 area before consolidating and attempting a final push. Under that path, he would “play it week by week and month by month and give Bitcoin a chance to continue extending into Q1 of ’26 and beyond,” waiting for unmistakable euphoric conditions before distributing. While acknowledging that “everybody” is watching Q4 seasonality and four-year-cycle dynamics, Loukas cautioned against overthinking the consensus. “Historically… it ends up still unfolding in a similar way,” he said. For now, his base case is that the market is “on the cusp of a significant start to a final leg into the bull market high,” with a peak most likely in the 35–37-month window from the prior cycle low. If the market fails to deliver a sustained breakout and instead rolls over through his predefined levels, the analyst says he will treat that as confirmation that the cycle topped at month 33 and will pivot accordingly. “The point,” he concluded, “is we’re not trying to time an hourly or a daily or a weekly move. We’re in this [on] a four-year-cycle time frame.” The plan from here is simple, if not easy: “Stay humble… let the price action unfold… and try and capitalize on what I think will be the last move of this four-year cycle.” At press time, BTC traded at $111,740. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

After hitting its $124,000 all-time high back in July, the Bitcoin price has now moved back into a phase of struggling and consolidation. While many have called this out as only a temporary stop, expecting the Bitcoin price to continue its ascent once the decline is over, crypto analyst EXCAVO has taken a more bearish outlook. According to the analyst, the current market trend actually points to the end of the bull market and the beginning of the next bear market. Why The Bitcoin Price Will Crash In the analysis, EXCAVO outlined why they believe that the Bitcoin bear market was actually over. These were given as the classic signs of a top of the market, and there were three in total. The first of these is what the analyst referred to as “Universal Optimism.” This universal optimism simply points to the fact that everyone seems to be bullish at this point, in addition to seemingly bullish developments. EXCAVO points to the fact that governments are now accepting crypto and creating reserve funds as the reason universal optimism is a sign of the top. Related Reading: These Analysts Predicted The Bitcoin Price Crash And Their Forecasts Say It’s Not Over Next is that corporate buying has continued, especially for the likes of Bitcoin. Public companies such as Strategy have accumulated massive reserves of Bitcoin, with Ethereum treasuries not left out. These treasury companies have now bought tens of billions of dollars’ worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum. Last but not least, is that positive news around crypto is currently dominating the media. The analyst believes that with so much positive news and investors being reluctant to sell as they wait for higher prices, such as $200,000, $300,000, and $500,000, it is a signal that the Bitcoin price has topped. The Exit Strategy Playing into the idea that the Bitcoin price has topped and is headed into another bear market, the crypto analyst explained that they have sold everything. The plan is to wait until September 2026 before buying back in. According to the crypto analyst’s chart, they expect the Bitcoin price to fall below $61,000 at this time. Related Reading: XRP Burn Rate Suffers Drastic Crash To Near Zero, What’s Going On? The analyst also backs this up with the cycle theory, which says there are around 151 weeks of growth followed by 51 weeks of decline. Going by this, the growth phase is already completed, and between September 13 and October 6 is the beginning of the reversal zone that begins the bear market decline. Additionally, the crypto analyst also dismisses the idea of an altcoin season. Due to the large number of cryptocurrencies right now, sitting at over 1 million coins, EXCAVO says it is not possible for all coins to be pushed up at the same time, like it did in 2017. Rather, there will be selective pumps on altcoins that players are interested in. “I have not become a bear forever. I believe Bitcoin will hit $300,000. But not in the coming months,” the analyst stated. “It will be worth that in 2.5 years, after a healthy 50-60% correction from the peak.” Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

A closely watched crypto commentator known as plur daddy (@plur_daddy) has resurfaced with a macro thesis that places Bitcoin and gold at the center of an approaching policy inflection—arguing that President Donald Trump’s push to assert greater control over US monetary policy could catalyze a liquidity wave that undermines the dollar and forces institutional participation in alternative stores of value. The remarks arrive as global policymakers debate the use of Russia’s immobilized reserves to backstop new loans to Ukraine and as gold trades near record highs, sharpening the contours of a market regime in which Bitcoin increasingly trades as a function of liquidity and institutional credibility rather than a halving-linked “four-year cycle.” Trump’s Fed Takeover Could Supercharge Bitcoin “It’s been great being off Twitter… I continue to be long BTC and also significantly sized up my gold position in August. This is driven by my belief that Trump’s efforts to take control of the Fed represent a momentous catalyst, the kind that happens once a decade,” he wrote, adding: “Once he takes control, it is logical that he will not only cut rates, but engage in some form of yield curve control… The USD will get destroyed as a result.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Will Soak Up Trillions From China And Russia, Billionaire Predicts The post frames Bitcoin and gold as “more pure beneficiaries of an environment where liquidity is increasing and institutional credibility is undermined,” and contends that lingering fears about a halving-style market top are misplaced now that “BTC… has been captured by tradfi and is a more pure expression of liquidity conditions.” The policy backdrop he sketches has moved from hypothetical to contested reality in recent weeks. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell publicly rejected claims that the central bank is acting politically, even as investors parse appointments and public pressure from the White House. “Cheap shots,” he said of accusations about the Fed’s motives, defending the data-dependence of recent decisions. In parallel, global policymakers and market strategists have openly debated whether ongoing political intervention could force the Fed toward explicit yield-curve control to contain long-term borrowing costs—an approach not used in the US since the 1940s. In a follow-up thread, “plur daddy” outlined a pathway to lower mortgage rates via government-sponsored enterprises (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) buying more mortgage bonds, with capital requirement tweaks and derivatives used to manage duration. That proposal distinguishes itself from QE by shifting spreads through asset mix rather than expanding central-bank balance sheets directly. The argument aligns with the broader political incentives ahead of US midterms: “Markets are forward looking… They have a strong incentive to juice the economy and markets,” he wrote, while cautioning that direct stimulus would carry inflation risks. The liquidity lens extends to the Treasury General Account (TGA), which has been rebuilt rapidly into late Q3. Research desks had warned that an aggressive TGA refill into September could briefly drain market liquidity before easing, a pattern that crypto traders have long monitored given Bitcoin’s outsized sensitivity to changes in dollar system reserves and bills-versus-reserves mix. “BTC is hypersensitive to any shift in liquidity conditions, much more so than equities,” the post asserts, echoing analysis that mapped TGA dynamics to risk-asset performance. Another pillar of the thesis is Europe’s evolving stance on Russia’s frozen sovereign assets—roughly $300 billion immobilized after the 2022 invasion. Brussels is weighing a structure in which new loans to Kyiv are backed by those assets and only repaid if Russia pays reparations—an outcome the author argues “will never happen,” calling the mechanism a de facto seizure that “massively bolsters the raison d’être for crypto.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Dip-Buy Calls Spike: Why This Could Actually Be Bearish Market context has been sympathetic to the store-of-value leg of the argument. Gold has pierced new highs this month, with multiple banks projecting scenarios toward $3,700–$4,000 over the next several quarters if central-bank buying remains strong—and potentially higher if private investors accelerate hedging flows away from US dollar assets amid policy and geopolitical uncertainty. “It makes sense that BTC start moving [when] gold’s momentum slows down,” “plur daddy” added, positing a rotation once bullion’s advance stalls. The post has drawn quick agreement from notable traders. “Agree, I am trying to time this, I think < 6 months & > 90k,” wrote Ansem (blknoiz06), sketching a timeline that implies a Q1 2026 window for a new Bitcoin leg higher. Macro strategist Alex Krüger called it a “great post.” Forward Guidance podcast host Felix Jauvin added: “So very well said. Good to see you man.” The policy backdrop the expert sketches now features a Fed Board with a freshly confirmed Governor, Stephen I. Miran, who immediately dissented at the September FOMC for a larger cut and has been publicly arguing for materially faster easing in the dot plot. In parallel, the administration’s attempt to remove Governor Lisa Cook via lawsuit has put an unprecedented spotlight on the legal protections around Federal Reserve independence. Those developments—together with Europe’s evolving plan to leverage frozen Russian assets—are the concrete signposts of the “once-a-decade” moment described above. At press time, BTC traded at $113,121. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin’s price action is caught in uncertainty as messy subwave structures clash with a critical resistance at $113,000. While the market shows attempts at recovery, the unclear wave patterns leave traders divided on whether the next move will be a breakout or a deeper correction. Messy Subwaves Keep Bitcoin’s Next Move Clouded TARA, a crypto analyst, recently shared fresh insights on X regarding Bitcoin’s ongoing price action. According to the analyst, Bitcoin is currently in the middle of forming another wave down, but the subwave structure is still messy and unclear. This uncertainty makes it harder to predict the exact short-term direction, though the broader trend signals that further movement is likely. Related Reading: Bitcoin Advanced Sentiment Signals Bullish Edge As Traders Eye Fed Pivot She noted that BTC has already tested the resistance zone around $113,500, but the market still seems drawn toward lower targets. The rejection from that resistance highlights the weakness in immediate bullish momentum, leaving room for bears to reassert control.  TARA also emphasized that the $111,000 level remains a critical area to watch. This zone aligns closely with important Fibonacci retracement levels, particularly the .618 support fibs. As long as Bitcoin holds above this threshold, there’s still a chance for the bulls to regain momentum and avoid deeper downside pressure. However, if $111,000 is broken decisively, the analyst warned that Bitcoin would most likely extend its decline toward the next major Fibonacci level near $99,000. Such a move would shake out weak hands before the market establishes a more stable foundation for recovery. BTC Finds Support As Liquidity Grab Sparks Bounce Crypto VIP Signal, in a fresh update, noted that Bitcoin recently grabbed liquidity at a key support zone before bouncing higher. This liquidity sweep allowed the market to reset after testing lower levels, showing that buyers were quick to step in and defend the area. Such reactions often serve as early signs of strength, suggesting that Bitcoin still holds bullish potential as long as the support remains intact. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Drops To $115K After Rate-Cut Rally — But BTC Far From Capitulation Attention now turns to the $113,000–$113,300 resistance zone, which stands as the next major hurdle for price action. This level has acted as a tough ceiling in previous attempts, making it a critical zone to watch. According to the analyst, a decisive close above $113,300 could pave the way for BTC to target the $115,000 level in the short term. Such a breakout would not only reinforce bullish momentum but also strengthen the case for a continuation of the broader upward trend. In the meantime, speculations are whether Bitcoin can hold onto its rebound or if resistance will once again prove too strong to overcome. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

The crypto market has long moved in the shadow of Bitcoin, because for years, its rallies and sharp drops have pulled nearly every other digital asset such as XRP with it. However, according to Versan Aljarrah, co-founder of Black Swan Capitalist, the XRP token could break away from this cycle. According to him, XRP is on a different mission, one that goes beyond speculation and closer to real-world use. That role is why he says it will not mirror Bitcoin’s path, and why a decoupling is now on the horizon. Versan Aljarrah Reveals XRP’s Institutional Role Sets It Apart From Bitcoin Aljarrah stresses that XRP does not follow Bitcoin’s “digital gold” story. While Bitcoin serves as a store of value, XRP serves a very different purpose. In the X post, the expert refers to the cryptocurrency as a bridge asset for banks and financial institutions.  Related Reading: CEO Dismisses September Crash, Reveals Why The Bitcoin Price Is Headed For $150,000 In today’s financial world, cross-border payments can often be slow, expensive, and risky because of foreign-exchange issues. XRP addresses these problems by cutting out multiple intermediaries. According to Aljarrah, this practical utility places XRP closer to the daily operations of global finance, rather than the speculative trading behavior that defines Bitcoin.  Rather than acting like a typical cryptocurrency, XRP is evolving into core financial infrastructure. That transformation, according to Aljarrah, could move XRP far beyond a purely speculative asset and position it as part of the underlying system that connects currencies and payment networks worldwide. Why Regulatory Clarity And Adoption Drive XRP Toward Decoupling For years, one of the biggest obstacles facing XRP was legal uncertainty. Ripple Labs, the company associated with XRP, was embroiled in a lawsuit with the SEC. But that cloud has now lifted. Court rulings have made it clear that XRP sales on public exchanges are not securities transactions, and with the appeals dropped, the case is now closed.  With the court issue resolved, attention is shifting to growth, as developers are now adding new tools for institutions to the XRP ecosystem, including automated market making, stablecoin support, and updated token standards. Related Reading: Grayscale Files For New Dogecoin ETF Amid Approval Expectations, Is The Next Price Surge Coming? Banks, fintech companies, and payment providers are starting to test and integrate with XRP. At the same time, the XRP Ledger is growing stronger. Ripple has also launched RLUSD, a stablecoin, and is working on obtaining banking licenses worldwide. All these steps point toward a token that evolves into financial infrastructure rather than remaining a speculative play. Aljarrah notes that these changes mean XRP will no longer move like Bitcoin. Its price will not only depend on market speculation but also on its usage, the strength of regulations, and the growing demand for instant settlement.  For these reasons, he believes decoupling is certain. Over time, XRP will carve its own path as adoption spreads and its role in finance becomes more central. Featured image from DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Crypto analyst Stockmoney has assured that Bitcoin’s rally isn’t over despite the recent price crash to $112,000. The analyst explained how the cycle works, indicating that the crash is simply part of a broader move to the upside.  Bitcoin Rally Not Yet Done Despite Crash To $112,000 In an X post, Stockmoney stated that Bitcoin is not yet done, even amid the mass liquidation events. He indicated that the mass liquidation events were all part of the plan and not something that should catch market participants unaware. The analyst went on to explain how the BTC cycle playbook works.  Related Reading: Total Illiquid Bitcoin Has Reached 72% Of Supply, What Does This Mean For Price? First, he stated that the Bitcoin price pumps while whales take profits. Then, the price further pumps on low volume, with retail investors wanting to secure their gains. This leads to too many positions with paper gains and open futures positions, which Stockmoney explained equals a lack of liquidity. He noted that this happens after low-volume uptrends.  The analyst’s statement comes amid the Bitcoin price crash to around $112,000 this week from a high of around $117,000 last week. BTC had reached $117,000 last week following the Fed rate cut decision, with the U.S. central bank lowering interest rates by 25 basis points (bps). However, with the price crash, this has turned out to be a ‘sell the news’ event. Notably, the crypto market liquidations on September 22 marked the biggest liquidation event for long positions this year.  Stockmoney stated that liquidity must be freed before the Bitcoin price can go higher. He noted that the good side effect is that this is a profitable business model for market makers and that limits get filled as whales buy the dips. The analyst added that this cycle is a pattern that will keep recurring.  Analyst Says “Buy The Dip” In an X post, crypto analyst Ali Martinez urged market participants to buy the dip. This followed an earlier analysis in which he noted that Bitcoin had retraced to $112,000 as anticipated. He added that he was now watching for buying pressure to form the right shoulder before a breakout to $130,000, which will mark a new all-time high (ATH) for BTC.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Eyes Demand Zones In Higher Timeframes – Here’s The Target Crypto analyst Titan of Crypto noted that Bitcoin is currently retesting the Kijun around $112,600. He added that this level will be crucial to monitor as it could determine the next move for the flagship crypto. Meanwhile, he also suggested that this could be the final shakeoff before a liftoff to a new ATH for the BTC price.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $112,600, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Pantera Capital founder Dan Morehead believes a geopolitical shift in reserve management will push adversaries of the United States into Bitcoin at massive scale, calling it “inevitable” that China and Russia eventually hold “trillions of dollars” worth of the asset. Speaking on Blockworks’ Empire podcast released this week, the billionaire framed the prediction as part of a longer-term rotation in global reserve assets and a response to sanction risk embedded in dollar-denominated holdings. “I think it’ll take a decade or two,” Morehead said, adding that the first movers will likely include US-aligned Gulf states before “the big one” arrives with countries “antagonistic to the United States, like China or Russia.” Why Russia And China Will Adopt Bitcoin Morehead anchored his argument in the historical cadence of reserve transitions and the vulnerability of holding claims on a rival’s financial system. “You gotta remember, the reserve currency’s changed every 80 or 100 years… no one’s ever really lasted for more than, let’s call it 100, 110 years,” he said. While calling it “inconceivable that the dollar will be supplanted” overnight, he warned that countries with large US Treasury positions face concentrated political risk. Citing China’s portfolio, he argued: “It’s really pretty crazy to have your entire country’s life savings in an asset that your potential adversary could literally just cancel.” In his view, that calculus makes it “inevitable” that such countries “will have started to save in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies” within the next decade. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dip-Buy Calls Spike: Why This Could Actually Be Bearish The provocation lands amid measurable changes in how major economies hold US debt. Official Treasury data for July 2025 show China’s reported Treasury holdings at $730.7 billion, the lowest since 2008 and down markedly over the past decade, a decline often read as gradual diversification of reserves rather than abrupt abandonment. JUST IN: BILLIONAIRE DAN MOREHEAD JUST SAID IT’S “INEVITABLE” CHINA AND RUSSIA WILL HOLD TRILLIONS OF DOLLARS IN #BITCOIN NATION STATE GAME THEORY. IT’S HERE ???? pic.twitter.com/tOQO9tHYNi — The Bitcoin Historian (@pete_rizzo_) September 23, 2025 Japan remains the largest holder at roughly $1.15 trillion, with the United Kingdom near $900 billion. The broader pool of foreign-held Treasuries nonetheless hit a record in July. These figures illustrate that while the dollar system remains deep and liquid, China’s share is slipping at the margin—the exact dynamic Morehead argues could accelerate alternative reserve strategies over time. Morehead’s timeline also intersects with a flurry of policy proposals that, if enacted, would normalize sovereign Bitcoin exposure. In March, US President Donald Trump signed an executive order establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and a national digital asset stockpile. Wyoming legislators separately advanced a bill to permit limited Bitcoin investments—capped at 3%—within certain state funds, an incremental step toward institutional reserve management in digital assets at the state level. Related Reading: Bitcoin Falls Below $113,000, But This Indicator Says It’s Time To Buy Outside the US, Gulf governments are already experimenting at the edges of sovereign crypto exposure—another plank in Morehead’s thesis. The United Arab Emirates’ has launched state-backed mining initiatives and disclosures suggesting several thousand BTC accumulated on the balance sheet via those operations. Skeptics will note that moving “trillions” of dollars into Bitcoin would require not only policy shifts but also market structure capable of absorbing sustained sovereign demand without disorderly volatility. Liquidity depth has improved with US spot ETF adoption and growing derivatives markets, yet Bitcoin’s free float, custody frameworks, and cross-border payment rails still face periodic stress. Morehead, however, situates the thesis in a long arc rather than a short-term trade. “I don’t think it’s gonna happen overnight,” he said, emphasizing a horizon of “a decade or two” and a phased path in which US-aligned adopters pave the way for politically non-aligned states that prize censorship resistance and sanction insulation. For China and Russia specifically, the impetus would be as much strategic as financial. China’s willingness to chip away at Treasuries aligns with its broader push to diversify reserves into gold and other assets, while Russia’s post-2014 and 2022 sanctions experience has already driven a dramatic reconfiguration of its reserve composition. At press time, Bitcoin traded at $112,639. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The Bitcoin price crash began over the weekend and has since seen he digital asset break below the $112,000 support level. Interestingly, this crash was called by a couple of crypto analysts who had pointed out the weaknesses surrounding Bitcoin over this time. As their predictions begin to play out, this report takes a look at the complete forecasts, with most showing that the Bitcoin price crash is far from over and must proceed deeper before finding a bottom. Bitcoin Price Is Headed Below $100,000 Crypto analyst HAMED_AZ had previously pointed out that the Bitcoin price was moving within a descending channel. Since this was a bearish trend, it was expected that the Bitcoin price would begin to crash, and this was the case. There is also the fact that the Bitcoin price had broken its short-term ascending trendline. At the same time, it had also reached the upper boundary of the descending channel, meeting resistance at $117,000-$120,000. As the bears pushed back on the price, the fall had begun. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts XRP Price Will Definitely Reach $10,000, Gives Reasons Why It didn’t help that the resistance was sitting a the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, one of the factors that triggered the corrective move. As the short-term ascending trendline was broken, it empowered the bears to take control of the digital asset once again. Despite the already notable decline, the crypto analyst says that as long as the price stays below $118,000-$120,000, then the bearish pressure will continue. The possible target here is below $106,000, but the descending trendline points to a bottom as low as $96,000 in the worst-case scenario. Bears Are Still In Control Another pseudonymous crypto analyst on the TradingView website has also outlined why the Bitcoin price is bearish. The fact that the digital asset had broken below the ascending trendline, as well as the Ichimoku cloud, suggests that the momentum has turned bearish from here. Related Reading: Solana Faces Deadly Selling Pressure After 312,233 SOL Deposit Into Coinbase – Here’s The Value With the support of $113,00 already lost, the next targets are on the downside. Prices are expected to keep crashing as low as $108,000 before finding a bottom. However, there could be redemption on the horizon if the bulls are able to reclaim the support between $113,000 and $114,500. But a more definite close above $115,000 would completely invalidate the current bearish move. Meanwhile, crypto analysts like CrypFlow on X are more bullish after the decline. The analysis shows that the Bitcoin Bollinger Bands are being squeezed again. There is also a bullish Stochastic RSI cross and a momentum explosion. With all of these developments so close together, the analyst believes that it is only a setup for the Bitcoin price to rally higher. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Following a period of intense volatility and a significant price movement, Bitcoin’s market is now experiencing a predictable consolidation phase, characterized by what traders call intraday chop. This is not a sign of weakness but rather a natural and often necessary stage in any market cycle. A Necessary Foundation For The Next Move In an X post, a dedicated crypto enthusiast, Uniswap Gems, provided a clear-eyed view of Bitcoin’s current price action, stating that the market is in a predictable phase of intraday chop after a period of extreme volatility.  Related Reading: Countdown To ‘Bitcoin Bottom Day’: Why September 21 Could Change Everything Uniswap Gems noted that the recent huge, volatile move caught many traders off guard. As a result, the market is now in a period of consolidation. This chop is a sideways price movement within a tight range, which is often needed to establish a solid bottom after a sharp price swing. He cautions that this phase could last for the next 2 to 3 days, making it a difficult environment for those looking for quick directional trades. For a bullish trend to resume, BTC needs to flip $113,000 into a support level. If this happens, it could set the stage for a retest of the $115,000 range. However, if BTC fails to hold its current levels and makes new local lows, Uniswap Gems expects a more significant drop all the way down to sub $105,000, which would be a decisive move to the downside. Analyst Philakone, a crypto investor and day trader, has issued a stark reminder about the inherent volatility of BTC and historical price action in bear markets. His analysis focuses on the severe drawdowns that have consistently followed previous all-time highs. According to Philakone, BTC price has a historical tendency to drop between 75% to 85% from its peak during a bear market. This is a crucial point that he believes many people struggle to grasp, especially after a prolonged bull run. However, if BTC’s all-time high for the current cycle reaches $125,000, a 75% drop would bring the price down to a mere $30,000. Market Still Fragile Despite Heavy Liquidations Crypto trader known as KillaXBT has adopted a highly cautious stance on the BTC market. For the first time in a while, the expert is fading this BTC dip despite a massive liquidation event of 1.5 billion. His decision is based on a technical analysis of a key market indicator of the USDT dominance chart. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Retreats Lower Again – Is This Just a Healthy Dip? KillaXBT explains that the USDT.D (Tether Dominance) chart is showing concerning signals. If it breaks above its Equal Highs (EQHs), it could lead to a bigger drop in price. Due to this analysis, he has decided not to open any position in the market and is not looking for either long or short trades. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

The Bitcoin price is falling again this September, but SkyBridge CEO Anthony Scaramucci says there is no reason to call it a crash. He explained on a CNBC Squawk Box segment that the current weakness is part of a regular cycle that happens almost every year. According to the CEO, short-term fluctuations do not alter the broader picture for Bitcoin. For this reason, Scaramucci says he is keeping his bullish outlook and is not changing his prediction. Scaramucci Says Bitcoin Price September Weakness Is Seasonal Anthony Scaramucci says September has historically been a challenging month for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency businesses. In his words, “September lows are typical.” He explained that some of the selling comes from people clearing taxes, while others are simply taking profits after substantial gains from the last few months. Because of this, he does not see the current weakness in the Bitcoin price as a warning sign. Related Reading: Grayscale Files For New Dogecoin ETF Amid Approval Expectations, Is The Next Price Surge Coming? Scaramucci noted that the Bitcoin price has slipped by about three to four percent, but he described this move as “typical volatility.” According to him, the swings of this size are normal in the crypto market and should not discourage investors. He also reminded people that Bitcoin has been around for approximately 15 years and that September has often been a month of price dips. According to him, this is evidence that what is happening now is merely a repetition of the past. Instead of worrying about the drop, Scaramucci wants investors to understand that this is a seasonal pattern and not the start of a collapse. SkyBridge CEO Maintains $150,000 Bitcoin Target For 2025 Even with the September weakness, Scaramucci says the global investment firm remains committed to its prediction that the digital asset could reach $150,000 by the end of 2025.  The SkyBridge CEO remains confident in Bitcoin’s future, explaining that the cryptocurrency’s long-term trajectory continues to point toward significantly higher levels. He believes that strong buying typically occurs in the last two months of the year. Because of this, he thinks November and December will be good times for the market.  Related Reading: XRP Fractal Suggests Price Could Rise Over 100% To $7 In November Scaramucci also observed that the appetite for Bitcoin remains strong. In his view, many people are simply waiting for the right time to make a purchase, and once the seasonal weakness is over, he expects buyers to return in large numbers. The SkyBridge CEO further explained that the current slowdown does not change the bigger trend. He called it only a short break after months of positive moves. Scaramucci’s message is that the September dips do not mean disaster. According to him, the long-term direction remains certain, and the Bitcoin price is still on track for significant gains as the year progresses. Featured image from DALL.E, chart from Tradingview.com