THE LATEST CRYPTO NEWS

Bitcoin’s price has spent the past week hovering within a tight band and bouncing between $108,000 and $112,000 without any clear direction yet. There have been multiple rejections at the $112,000 price level and technical analysis shows pressure around the 200-day moving averages on the four-hour chart.  Notably, a technical analysis shared by crypto analyst Daan Crypto shows Bitcoin is at risk of a breakdown below $100,000, but bulls still have a chance to stage a recovery rally in the weeks ahead. Analyst Warns About Sweep Of Monthly Lows In his latest post on the social media platform X, Daan Crypto Trades noted that Bitcoin is currently indecisive, and its price action is leaning toward a sweep of the monthly lows. This movement is based on the 4-hour candlestick timeframe chart, which shows the Bitcoin price was recently rejected at the 200MA/EMA last week.  Related Reading: Looking For A Good Bitcoin Entry? Crypto Research Firm Reveals The Best Time To Buy BTC The 4-hour candlestick chart below shows Bitcoin has been trading in a defined range since August 25, with equal lows forming a weak base around $107,000 and liquidity sitting just beneath. This makes a stop-hunt sweep a possible next step. Such a move, the analyst explained, would likely open up a bearish case of panic across the market, which might eventually cause fears of Bitcoin collapsing under the $100,000 price level.  However, the analyst also identified the $103,000 to $105,000 price zone as the support level where buyers can step in. This area, according to him, would also be a logical entry point for swing long positions if the Bitcoin price indeed breaks down below $107,000. Conditions For A Bullish Recovery According to the analysis, Bitcoin bulls have a chance to prevent any breakdown below $100,000 by holding above $105,000 to $103,000. Despite laying out a bearish base case, Daan also described a roadmap for the bulls.  Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Warns 90% Bitcoin Price Crash Is Coming, Here’s When The first condition would be strength above $115,000, which would mark a break of August’s range low, which has turned into resistance in the first week of August. A break and close above $115,000 would invalidate any short-term bearish momentum.  Alternatively, he pointed to a quick liquidity grab below the monthly lows at $107,000, followed by a reclaim of the $107,000 and $112,000 levels, as the most bullish scenario. According to the analyst, this second setup could pave the way for a sustained one-to-two-month uptrend rally through October and November.  For now, the analyst said he is on the sidelines except for short-term scalps. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $111,733, up 0.7% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

In his latest daily technical outlook, Cryptowzrd highlighted that Bitcoin closed the day with a gravestone doji, while holding above a critical level. According to the analysis, more bullish candles are needed to sustain momentum and push the price toward the $120,000 resistance, especially as the market contends with ongoing fundamental pressures. Fundamentals Support Bitcoin Despite Weak NFP Print Cryptowzrd highlighted that the daily candle of Bitcoin closed indecisively, signaling uncertainty as the market evaluates its next move. Despite this indecision, BTC remains above the crucial $110,500 level, which continues to serve as a strong support zone. This level remains critical in determining whether bullish momentum can be sustained in the short term. Related Reading: Bitcoin Battles Key Support: Can September’s Dip Set The Stage For A Q4 Rally? The analyst noted that Bitcoin has maintained its bullish edge even in the face of a lower-than-expected NFP print, triggered by fundamental commentary. This development suggests that broader market sentiment is still supportive of BTC, and technical strength is being reinforced by macroeconomic factors. From a weekly perspective, traditional markets have closed on a bullish note, adding further support to Bitcoin’s potential upside. However, a series of consecutive bullish daily candles is needed to solidify confidence in a rally toward the $120,000 resistance level. Without this confirmation, the market could remain in a holding pattern, leaving room for volatility and short-term swings. On the downside, he cautioned that if Bitcoin breaks below the $110,500 level by mid-week, it could open the door for a deeper correction, potentially testing the $100,000 support zone. Such a move would shift market dynamics, increasing selling pressure and creating strategic opportunities for traders to position for short-term downside plays. Over the weekend, Cryptowzrd will be closely monitoring lower-time frame charts to identify actionable scalp opportunities while ensuring that the current position above $110,500 remains secure. Intraday Volatility Driven By NFP And Market Fundamentals Concluding his analysis, the analyst highlighted that the intraday chart of BTC has been volatile, influenced by recent fundamental commentary and the lower-than-expected NFP print. This volatility reflects the market’s uncertainty, as traders weigh both technical and macroeconomic factors. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Base Turns Neutral-Bearish As Flows Stay Weak He noted that a decisive move above $113,200 would signal stronger bullish momentum, potentially pushing Bitcoin higher and helping to secure the current position. Such a breakout signals that buyers are regaining control of the market. On the other hand, a drop below $110,400 could open the door for additional downside. For now, the analyst plans to wait patiently for the market to form a more mature trade setup before taking the next actionable position. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin (BTC) has recently reached a new weekly high above the $112,000 mark, signaling a potential new uptrend for the leading cryptocurrency. This movement may represent the final phase of the current cycle for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market.  Market analyst CryptoBirb has indicated that this uptrend could last for approximately 50 more days, emphasizing that Bitcoin is now 95% through its cycle, which has spanned 1,017 days since the lows of November 2022. 50 Days Until Possible Bitcoin Peak Historically, Bitcoin’s bull markets have peaked between 1,060 and 1,100 days after significant lows, suggesting a target timeframe for this cycle’s peak could fall between late October and mid-November 2025.  The analysis highlights the typical relationship between Bitcoin’s Halving events and subsequent price peaks. Since the last Halving in April 2024, 503 days have passed, with past data showing that price peaks usually occur 518 to 580 days following such events.  Related Reading: First US Dogecoin ETF Could Debut Next Week—How Will It Impact Price? As seen in the chart below, Bitcoin is currently 77% to 86% of the way through this timeline, entering what the analyst refers to as the “hot zone”—a period of heightened volatility and potential price movements. However, CryptoBirb cautions that historical trends indicate that after reaching a peak, Bitcoin typically experiences a significant decline, often dropping by 70% to 80% over a 370 to 410-day timeframe.  This bearish phase is projected for approximately the first and second quarter of 2026, with a historical probability of a bear market in that year reaching 100%. Before this potential downturn, the analyst expects a final surge, with about 50 days remaining before the market may peak. September, often recognized as a weaker month for Bitcoin, has shown an average decline of 6.17%. Although third quarter statistics can be mixed, with a median increase of 0.80%, the overall average tends to reflect a decline due to larger losses.  The typical seasonal pattern suggests that a poor September could be followed by stronger performance in October and November, with September 17 identified as a crucial date to watch by the analyst. Critical Support And Resistance Levels On the technical front, Key support levels are identified at the 50-week simple moving average (SMA) of $95,900 and the 200-week SMA at $52,300.  The daily chart reveals further technical insights, including a 200-day breakout point at $111,000 and a 200-day SMA at $101,000. CryptoBirb has identified local support between $107,700 and $108,700, while resistance sits at $113,000 to $114,100. Related Reading: XRP Price Could See 20% Bounce To $3.4 If This Trendline Holds Looking ahead, both short-term and long-term trading trailers are currently in a bearish mode. CryptoBirb asserts that if Bitcoin falls below the critical levels of $107,000 to $108,000, bearish sentiment could intensify, potentially leading to secondary corrections in the range of 20% to 30%.  Fortunately, cryptocurrency miners appear to be faring well, with the mining cost established at $95,400, suggesting a healthy market environment with minimal capitulation risk. Lastly, the analyst cautions against the potential for a market peak leading into the altcoin season in October and November. CryptoBirb suggests to mark calendars for October 22, as it could be a pivotal date in Bitcoin’s cycle. As of this writing, Bitcoin trades at $112,886, down nearly 11% from all-time high levels.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

In an interview with Dutch host Paul Buitink published on September 4, Henrik Zeberg, Head Economist at SwissBlock, set out a two-stage roadmap for Bitcoin and crypto: a final, powerful “melt-up” driven by liquidity and momentum, followed by a dot-com-style bust that he says will be catalyzed by a surging dollar and tightening financial conditions. “We do have the largest bubble ever,” Zeberg said, arguing that equities, crypto and real estate will first climb further before the cycle turns. “The music is still playing and you can still get a drink at the bar,” he quipped, extending his Titanic metaphor to explain why he believes sentiment and macro signals have not yet turned decisively negative. Bitcoin, Ethereum To Soar Before Dot-Com Style Crash Zeberg locates the current moment late in the business cycle but not at the point of breakdown. He points to the absence—so far—of classic pre-recession triggers in yields, credit spreads and initial jobless claims. “A crash doesn’t come out of thin air,” he said. “We simply don’t see those signals just yet.” With global liquidity improving at the margin and the Federal Reserve already “pivoting” in tone, he expects a sharp upside phase reminiscent of Japan’s 1989 finale: a rising angle that steepens into a near-vertical blow-off. At the index level, he pegs the S&P 500’s terminal run at roughly 7,500 to 8,200 from around 6,400 today. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Cut Back: Average Holdings At Lowest Since 2018 Crypto, in his view, will amplify the move. Zeberg expects Bitcoin to lurch first to “at least” $140,000, then top somewhere in the $165,000 to $175,000 range before the bust begins. He projects Ethereum near $17,000 on the assumption that the ETH/BTC ratio can stretch to about 0.12 in a late-cycle altcoin phase. He stressed the path would be abrupt rather than leisurely: “When things are moving in crypto and into the final phase of a bubble, it can be very, very fast.” The fulcrum of his thesis is the US dollar. Zeberg is watching closely for a DXY bottom and then a surge to 117–120—“the wrecking ball” that, in his telling, would hammer risk assets as global dollar demand spikes. “If we’re going to see somewhat of a crisis, all this debt will need to be settled in dollars,” he said, calling the greenback “still the cleanest shirt,” even if it is “getting quite nasty.” In that scenario, liquidity preference overwhelms risk appetite, credit tightens and deleveraging begins—especially outside the US, where dollar liabilities collide with local-currency cash flows. He argues that monetary easing cannot ultimately forestall a cyclical turn once the real economy rolls over. Rate cuts may initially goose markets—“You’re going to see it running up really fast”—but then “the more wise people in the market” will infer weakness rather than salvation. He thinks the Fed will start with 25 basis points this month, while leaving open the possibility of a larger shock move. Either way, he sees a relatively short deflationary bust—“six to nine months” in one formulation—followed by policy panic and, on the other side, a stagflationary phase in which “the tools of the Fed will become impotent.” He was caustic about the profession’s inflation priors, skewering what he called the “hubris” of micromanaging CPI to exactly 2% and ridiculing the decision to award Ben Bernanke a Nobel Prize for what he described as “reinventing money printing,” calling it “the most stupidest thing I’ve ever seen.” Zeberg’s commodity framework slots into that sequence. He expects gold to do its “finest duty” during a liquidity crunch—get sold to raise cash—before it reprises 2008’s pattern with a steep drawdown, then a powerful recovery. He cited the 2008 analog of a roughly 33–35% peak-to-trough decline in gold and as much as 60% in silver before the policy response set a new leg higher. Related Reading: Bitcoin Flashes Rare Buy Signal Not Seen Since $49,000 And $74,000 Bottoms Secularly, however, he projects gold “into the 2030s” at as much as $35,000 per ounce as negative real rates, balance-sheet expansion and an eventual “monetary reset” reprice money. That reset, in his vision, would anchor a new settlement system on gold and ledger-based rails—“a digital element to it,” but “not Bitcoin.” Strategy: The Largest Ponzi In The Market? On single-name risk, Zeberg delivered one of the interview’s most incendiary lines about Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin. “I think we have the largest open Ponzi game when it comes to MicroStrategy,” he said. “Everybody needs to pile into the stock, then he can take on some more debt and he buys more Bitcoin.” He tied the firm’s vulnerability to his macro template: if DXY heads to 120 and “the largest bubble in the world, the Nasdaq,” suffers an 85%-type drawdown, “Bitcoin is going to have a really, really bad period—and then that means MicroStrategy is going to have that.” He called the structure “the largest house of cards we have seen in a long time” and warned that an unwind would be “really, really bad for people who think they can just hold on to it.” The characterization was his alone; he did not present evidence beyond his cyclical and balance-sheet logic, and his remarks were framed within his broader melt-up-then-bust scenario. Beyond headline tokens, Zeberg argued that “99%” of crypto projects will ultimately fail, with only a handful emerging like the Amazons that survived the dot-com washout. He distinguished between speculative coins and blockchain projects that deliver real-world utility, while cautioning that “this rampant speculation” has been prolonged by an era of easy money. As for timing catalysts, Zeberg downplayed the idea of a single trigger and instead described an environment that “becomes toxic” as high rates, falling real income and climbing delinquencies pressure banks and corporates. He is monitoring front-end yields—which he says have begun to “break some levels”—credit spreads, and the dollar’s turn. He also noted that large-cap tech’s earnings concentration has “distorted” the market and that even quality small-cap tech is likely to be dragged lower in an indiscriminate unwind. The first stage, however, remains higher. “It’s a self-propelling cycle,” he said of the melt-up, powered by FOMO and the belief that “the Fed has got our back.” At press time, BTC traded at $111,528. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The recent Bitcoin (BTC) price correction has sent ripples through the broader cryptocurrency market, pushing many assets into the red. On Tuesday, Bitcoin fell below $110,000, marking a 12% decline from its all-time high. Experts are now warning that the situation could worsen as October approaches. Crypto Market’s Imminent Downturn Market analyst OxPepesso took to the social media platform X (formerly Twitter) to explain his decision to liquidate all his crypto holdings by October. He identified key factors based on historical patterns that influenced his decision. According to the analyst, many traders mistakenly believe that the upcoming altcoin season will last six to eight months. OxPepesso’s analysis indicates that altcoin season is anticipated to begin in late September to early October.  He notes that Bitcoin is losing its dominance, while the resurgence of memecoins and growing momentum in the Ethereum (ETH) ecosystem signal a shift in market dynamics.  Related Reading: Cardano Sentiment Crashes To 5-Month Low As ADA Defends Key Price Level Technical setups also appear to align with macroeconomic trends, suggesting that the market is nearing an “overheating phase.” He warns that following this peak, an “uncontrollable collapse” could occur, leading to significant losses for altcoins. The analyst also highlights the use of various indicators, such as the Extreme Oscillators, which measure market overheating or oversold conditions. Currently, this indicator sits at 1-2, suggesting that the market has not yet reached an overheated state, but the risk of a downturn looms. Another tool in OxPepesso’s analytical arsenal is the MVRV Bands, which assess the ratio of Bitcoin’s market value to its realized value. When this metric approaches its upper bands, it signals that the crypto market is becoming overheated, increasing the risk of a price drop.  Although today’s readings remain below critical levels, the analyst asserts that there are signs indicating the market is heading in that direction. This could potentially worsen the broader crypto market’s retracement as the October deadline approaches. Analyst Predicts Lower Bitcoin Prices The Pi Cycle Top indicator, which tracks the crossover of the 111-day and 350-day moving averages, is another focal point in OxPepesso’s analysis. Although the lines have not yet crossed, the chart below shows that the gap is closing rapidly, suggesting that a market top could be imminent.  Related Reading: XRP Millionaires Dump After Major Accumulation Trend, Will It Be A Red September? Additionally, Onchain Originals Price Models are being monitored, as they reflect investor behavior and establish Bitcoin’s value ranges, identifying support and overheating levels that indicate the current phase of the crypto cycle. In light of these indicators, OxPepesso notes that the current cycle is nearing its final phase. This sentiment is echoed by fellow market analyst Doctor Profit, who recently intensified his bearish stance.  Initially, he had projected that the market’s leading crypto could reach a new all-time high after hitting the $90,000 to $95,000 range. However, he now considers the possibility of lower price points, stating that he sees little to be bullish about. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

The Bitcoin price has soared to historic highs this year, but not everyone believes the rally will last. A new warning from a crypto analyst suggests that the world’s largest cryptocurrency could be on the verge of a dramatic price crash, with the possibility of erasing nearly all of its gains and tumbling back to levels not seen in years. Why A 90% Bitcoin Price Crash Could Be Ahead In a recent interview on the David Lin Report, a financial news channel on YouTube, Bloomberg Intelligence senior commodity strategist Mike McGlone issued a stark warning for Bitcoin holders. After years of accurately calling key price levels, including the surge to $100,000, McGlone now predicts that BTC could wipe out more than 90% of its gains, potentially falling back to $10,000 in this market cycle.   Related Reading: Pundit Calls Bitcoin Price Crash Below $93,000, Reveals Bear Targets From Here The Bloomberg strategist explained that Bitcoin’s climb to six figures on December 6 marked a major psychological threshold. According to him, that milestone was less a sign of long-term strength and more a signal that the market had overheated. He described the surge as a textbook example of “selling when there’s yelling,” meaning that investors often get caught up in the euphoria at the top.  Since Bitcoin crossed $100,000 on December 6, McGlone noted that gold has appreciated roughly 30%, while BTC has added only about 8%. Stock market benchmarks such as the S&P 500 have also posted modest returns in the same period, leaving digital assets struggling to show dominance.  McGlone highlighted the growing connection between Bitcoin and broader equity markets, noting that its 48-month correlation with the S&P 500 now stands at 0.6. He suggested that this pattern underscores Bitcoin’s transformation into a risk-on asset, moving in tandem with stock market performance rather than acting as an independent store of value.  Adding to his bearish stance, the Bloomberg strategist pointed out that volatility signals are shifting. In August, the Volatility Index (VIX) hit its lowest level of the year at around 14.2, while Bitcoin simultaneously reached new highs. By the end of the same month, volatility spiked again, suggesting that market sentiment may be changing. For McGlone, these signals indicate that investors should prepare for a potential correction phase, with gold likely to continue outperforming BTC and other speculative assets.  Analyst Says Bitcoin To $1 Million Is Unlikely  During the interview, Lin questioned whether Bitcoin could ever climb to $1 million, pointing to the same logic that took the asset naturally from $10,000 to $100,000. McGlone dismissed the idea, stressing that today’s market environment is fundamentally different and does not support such an outcome.  Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Price Bottom In? Here’s What Social Sentiment Says The Bloomberg strategist explained that when Bitcoin was trading near $10,000, market sentiment was profoundly negative, which created the ideal conditions for a long-term rally. By contrast, at a price above $100,000, the current market is crowded with long positions, making it harder for BTC to sustain upward momentum. In his view, the sheer weight of speculative exposure has left Bitcoin vulnerable to a potential retracement rather than setting the stage for exponential growth. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Matthew Mežinskis, the analyst behind Porkopolis Economics and co-host of the “crypto_voices” podcast, told Marty Bent on TFTC that Bitcoin’s late-cycle upside remains larger than most models imply, arguing that price action continues to track a long-standing “power trend” that has governed every prior boom. Anchoring his view in percentile “bands” around that trend, he contends the market can still deliver a two-to-three-times move into year-end, placing a $250,000 to $375,000 range in play. Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Still In Play? Mežinskis frames the thesis in stark, testable terms. “Bitcoin has traditionally during the booms very easily gotten above the 80th percentile each time,” he said, noting that the strongest phases in earlier cycles climbed “very easily” above the 90th as well. He defines the 80th percentile as roughly 1.3× the trend and the 90th as 2×. On his model, the end-2025 trend value sits near $125,000, which fixes the 80th-percentile validation line at about $170,000 and the 90th at $250,000. “If we don’t get above 170k by year end or into like the first couple months of next year then I would…rethink the idea of the four-year cycles,” he said, before stressing that “it hasn’t been invalidated yet.” Related Reading: Bitcoin In Trouble? Exchange Reserve Spikes To Highest In Months The centerpiece of his outlook is a simple rule-of-thumb extrapolation from those bands. “The 90th is 2x…so 2x is $250k,” he explained. He then extends the historical envelope to the mid-90s percentiles to size a more aggressive—but still precedent-based—target. “In 2021…it was a 96th percentile…the 2.8x—round it here—3x,” he said. “Totally base case, totally possible…would be 2 to 3x the trend…$250k to $375k Bitcoin.” Even as he embraces that range, he tempered expectations for a blow-off beyond it. “I would be very surprised if Bitcoin went above $350 or $375k by the end of the year, but I think it’s possible.” His framework is deliberately non-technical in the chartist sense. “We’re just looking at the power trend and where the price typically is over or under trend every four years,” he said. The model—represented by a “black line” he’s tracked since 2016—has, in his telling, proved more durable than the once-fashionable stock-to-flow approach: “It’s like the best trend line in all of finance…certainly better than the old stock-to-flow ratio.” The percentile overlays are frequency-based markers: the 90th denotes a level above which only 10 percent of observations sit, the 99th above only 1 percent. Historically, he observed, the most explosive cycles—2013 and 2017—briefly reached the 99th percentile, roughly 4.6× trend, a zone 2021 never touched. That “softer top” dynamic is consistent, he argues, with maturation: “As Bitcoin gets more adopted, these peaks do come down.” Pushing beyond the base case, Mežinskis addressed the outlier narratives circulating on social media. He acknowledged hearing projections in the “$444,000 in November” neighborhood and mapped them to his high-percentile bands: “400,000 is the 97th…[between] the 97th and 98th percentile, it’s pretty rare.” Those levels, at about 3½× trend, are—by definition—levels the market spends very little time above. Related Reading: Bitcoin Flashes Rare Buy Signal Not Seen Since $49,000 And $74,000 Bottoms None of this, he emphasized, is a timer. The framework “doesn’t tell you the time…we’re just assuming the four-year cycle.” If the cycle extends or compresses, the model won’t predict that path; it only sketches the altitude the market has historically achieved once a boom is underway. “If the market gets heated…if grandma’s getting excited this Thanksgiving…and giving her grandchildren money to buy Bitcoin, then perhaps it could happen again,” he quipped, before reiterating: “Absolutely possible that we have lower highs and even possible that we get out of the four-year cycle, but I’m still not seeing it based on the price action.” Mežinskis also flagged the hazards that often follow euphoria, warning that narrative shifts at elevated plateaus can coincide with leverage-driven fragility. Should Bitcoin treasury companies lever short-dated convertible debt to chase higher prices, a downturn could expose maturity and liquidity mismatches. “You could see absolutely a cascading [of] liquidations of these Bitcoin treasury companies,” he said, adding that reflexive waves can “go as high as the White House” in terms of policy attention if the cycle crescendos at scale. He was careful not to present that as a base case—“I’m not saying that it will”—so much as a reminder that what climbs on leverage can unwind through the same channel. The test he sets for the market over the next few months is crisp. A move above the 80th-percentile line—about $170,000 given his end-2025 trend—would keep the four-year template intact; a run into the 90th-percentile band would align with prior booms and mechanically prints a ~$250,000 spot price; an excursion toward the mid-90s percentiles would extend the tape to roughly $375,000, a level he calls the “max” he would expect this cycle—even if, as history shows, brief overshoots cannot be ruled out. For now, the structure that’s guided Bitcoin since 2016 “hasn’t been invalidated yet,” and until it is, Mežinskis’ message is unambiguously bullish: the bands are there, the tape has visited them before, and the upper ones still sit far above spot. At press time, BTC traded at $110,397. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Over the last few weeks, both Bitcoin and Ethereum have seen an interesting wave of price action with high volatility. Naturally, this volatility has spurred a wave of trading as crypto traders see this as a time of opportunity due to the fluctuations. The result of this has been a rapid rise in the open interest of both Bitcoin and Ethereum during this time. While this, on its own, is significant, looking at the previous performances, it could suggest where the Bitcoin and Ethereum prices are headed next. Bitcoin And Ethereum Open Interest Remain Very High Toward the end of the month of August, the Ethereum price began rising rapidly, fueled by large buys from Ethereum treasury companies such as Bitmine and SharpLink. This push would eventually see the Ethereum price reach a brand new all-time high, beating out its $4,800 peak from 2021 after climbing above $4,950. Related Reading: Shiba Inu Descending Channel Breakout Shows Where Price Is Headed Next In the same vein, the open interest had risen rapidly, and this metric, too, rose to new all-time highs. By August 23, amid the frenzy, the Ethereum open interest climbed above $70 billion for the first time in history, marking a major milestone. Since then, the Ethereum open interest has retraced. But it is still sitting above $55 billion at the time of this writing, suggesting that interest in the altcoin is still high. While the Bitcoin open interest did not hit new peaks in the month of August like Ethereum, it also remained at very high levels. Data from Coinglass shows that the Bitcoin open interest is still averaging at a high $80 billion, still close to the $86 billion all-time high that was recorded back in July. What The Open Interest At ATHs Could Mean Looking at previous performances when the Bitcoin and Ethereum open interest have been at all-time high levels, there is usually a period of consolidation that follows, especially as price retraces. This was seen after the first all-time highs of the year back in February, which was followed by a few months of consolidation. Related Reading: Ethereum price Crash To $4,081: Why The Bears Are In Charge Then again, the peaks in June were followed by short consolidations, which ended in July. And then, another consolidation before the open interest started to rebound in August. This shows that the period of consolidation is not always long, but at the end of it is always another rise in open interest that coincides with a rise in price. From here, if the Bitcoin and Ethereum open interest were to hit new peaks, it would probably mean that their prices are ready to hit new highs as well. Following the trend of the last few months, the open interest could start to pick up again toward the end of September, propelled forward by price recoveries. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin is once again testing a critical support zone, and speculation is whether September’s weakness will mark a turning point. With historical patterns often showing September dips followed by strong Q4 rallies, the market now faces a pivotal moment that could decide the next major move. Bitcoin Returns To The Bull Market Support Band In his latest update on X, Benjamin Cowen highlighted that Bitcoin recently touched the bull market support band just a few days before September officially began. This level has historically acted as an important pivot zone, where the bulls often attempt to hold the line and defend broader market structure. Maintaining strength above this band could play a vital role in preserving bullish sentiment. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Recovery Hopes Rise – Can Bulls Push It Past Resistance? He explained further that August established a local high, suggesting that September may be shaping up to form a local low. In his analysis, this type of alternating cycle between highs and lows is common in Bitcoin’s price behavior, especially during transitional phases of the market. Benjamin Cowen also pointed out that the beginning of September already saw Bitcoin trading lower than any level observed in August. This underlines how quickly market conditions can shift, with price action flipping from bullish in late summer to more cautious as the new month begins.  The analyst stated that the best-case scenario would be if Bitcoin’s monthly low had already been established on September 1st. If that is the case, bulls could regain confidence sooner rather than later, stabilizing price action around the bull market support band. Such development would enable a healthier market structure and potentially lay the groundwork for another leg higher as the month progresses. Historical Cycles Suggest Q4 Upside If Support Holds In his analysis, Benjamin Cowen explained that the ideal scenario for Bitcoin would be to hold steady at the 20-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) throughout September. He noted that in previous bull cycles, including 2013, 2017, 2020, and 2021, Bitcoin successfully maintained this level before climbing to new highs in Q4, making it a key historical pattern to watch. Related Reading: Bitcoin In Trouble? Exchange Reserve Spikes To Highest In Months Cowen further emphasized that if Bitcoin fails to sustain the 20W SMA, attention should shift to the 50W SMA, which has consistently served as a strong foundation during the ongoing bull market. This level remains a crucial safety net for maintaining broader bullish momentum, even if short-term weakness emerges. As of September 3, 2025, Bitcoin is trading around $111,053, up 0.83% over the past 24 hours, with an intraday high of $111,716 and a low of $108,505, showing moderate volatility. The 24-hour trading volume is approximately $73.2 billion, reflecting healthy market activity, while Bitcoin’s market capitalization stands at about $2.22 trillion, solidifying its position as the leading cryptocurrency. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a significant correction this week, retracing over 10% from its all-time highs above $124,000. Despite this downturn, many remain optimistic about the cryptocurrency’s potential for further gains in the coming months.  David Bailey, CEO of Bitcoin Magazine and a crypto advisor to President Donald Trump, has attributed the recent price fluctuations to the activities of large investors, commonly referred to as “whales.” Bitcoin Sell-Off Triggered By Whales? In a recent social media post on X (formerly known as Twitter), Bailey pointed out that two prominent whales are responsible for the recent sell-off, having reportedly liquidated 80,000 and 120,000 BTC, respectively.  Interestingly, NewsBTC reported last week that despite record inflows into Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and growing interest from public companies, Binance may be one of these whales orchestrating the sell-off.  DeFitracer suggested that Binance might be utilizing a market maker, Wintermute, to strategically execute trades, thereby creating a bearish trend that retail investors might follow. This strategy could allow Binance to profit from liquidations in the futures market. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Stuck In ‘Loading Phase’, What This Means For The Campaign For $5,000 Adding another layer to the current market dynamics, data analysis firm Arkham recently disclosed that a whale with over $5 billion in Bitcoin has begun purchasing Ethereum (ETH), moving $1.1 billion worth of BTC to a new wallet to facilitate these transactions. Although Bailey did not disclose the identities of the whales involved, he indicated that one is already “down,” while the other is halfway to a similar fate.  This could suggest that once these sell-offs conclude, the Bitcoin price could regain its momentum, potentially reaching Bailey’s target of $150,000 per coin, which would signify a substantial 36% increase from current price levels. Public Companies Now Hold Over 6% Of BTC’s Supply In addition to the alleged whale activity that has suppressed Bitcoin’s uptrend, the growing involvement of publicly traded companies in the cryptocurrency market is impacting its price stability. According to JPMorgan global market strategist Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, corporate treasuries now hold over 6% of Bitcoin’s total supply, acting as a form of private sector quantitative easing for the crypto markets.  The analyst noted that the surge in Bitcoin purchases by corporate treasuries has led to a decrease in the cryptocurrency’s volatility, which could ultimately make the asset more appealing to investors. Related Reading: WLFI Slides 15% After Launch As Trump Token Team Eyes Burn Strategy Panigirtzoglou highlighted that in July alone, public companies like Strategy (previously MicroStrategy), accounted for nearly two-thirds of Bitcoin purchases among major buyers, including exchange-traded funds and government entities.  He suggests that this influx of institutional investment may reshape the landscape of Bitcoin ownership and trading, as reduced volatility can enhance BTC’s attractiveness as an investment alternative, particularly in comparison to gold. As of this writing, the leading cryptocurrency is trading at $110,900. This represents a slight 2% surge in the last 24 hours and a 90% increase year-to-date. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Strategy, the largest Bitcoin (BTC) treasury company formerly known as MicroStrategy, has reinforced its vision to accumulate Bitcoin by acquiring nearly $450 million worth of the market’s leading cryptocurrency.  This move comes as the firm’s co-founder, Michael Saylor, remains optimistic about the digital asset’s long-term potential, even in the face of recent price corrections that have seen Bitcoin dip over 10% below its all-time highs. Strategy Continues Bitcoin Buying Spree In a recent update shared on X (formerly Twitter), Saylor revealed that Strategy acquired 6,048 Bitcoin for a total price of $449.3 million between August 26 and September 1, 2025.  This latest purchase adds to the firm’s substantial holdings, which now total 636,505 BTC, acquired at an average cost of approximately $73,765 per Bitcoin, amounting to an investment of around $46.95 billion. Related Reading: Dogecoin Bull Run Could Start On September 13, Analyst Predicts Saylor also highlighted that Strategy has achieved a Bitcoin yield of 25.7% year-to-date (YTD). Additionally, the firm provided updates on its at-the-market offering programs, which included the sale of various preferred shares and common stock, generating significant net proceeds.  This includes 199,509 shares of 8.00% Series A Perpetual Strike preferred stock for $19 million, 237,931 shares of 10.00% Series A Perpetual Strife preferred stock for $26.5 million, and 1,237,000 shares of MSTR for $425.3 million. The aggressive investment strategy employed by Saylor’s firm has inspired other public companies to explore similar avenues. Strategy has been a trailblazer in this space, being one of the first publicly traded companies to adopt Bitcoin as a primary treasury asset.  This growing trend is bolstered by favorable regulations and initiatives stemming from President Donald Trump’s administration, which have facilitated broader adoption of these assets, including altcoins like Ethereum (ETH), Binance Coin (BNB) and XRP.  Metaplanet Becomes Seventh-Largest BTC Holder A notable example of this investment shift by public companies is Metaplanet, often referred to as “Japan’s MicroStrategy.” The company has approved a plan to sell up to 550 million new shares overseas, aiming to raise approximately 130.3 billion yen ($884.41 million) to finance additional Bitcoin purchases.  Once a hotel operator, Metaplanet has pivoted to focus on cryptocurrencies, inspired by Saylor’s approach. Founder and CEO Simon Gerovich liquidated most of the company’s hotel assets, which had been struggling due to the COVID-19 pandemic, redirecting those funds into Bitcoin starting in April 2024. Related Reading: Is XRP A Meme Coin? Analyst Reveals How Whales Are Playing The Game Metaplanet’s strategy has proven effective, as it has become the seventh-largest holder of Bitcoin among public treasuries globally, according to BitcoinTreasuries.net data. The company recently announced on Monday the addition of 1,009 BTC to its total, bringing its holdings to 20,000. Its stock, MTPLF, has experienced a surge of about 740% YTD, currently valued at $5.82 per share.  Strategy’s stock, under the ticker symbol MSTR, is trading at $343 as of this writing, up 2.5% from Monday’s price. Meanwhile, Bitcoin trades at $111,630, up 2% in the last 24 hours. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin flashed a short-term “buy” signal that previously marked the $49,000 and $74,000 swing lows, according to on-chain analyst Frank (@FrankAFetter), a quant at Vibe Capital Management. “Officially got the Oversold print on the short-term holder MVRV bollinger bands,” he wrote on X, pointing to prior occurrences during the “Yen Carry Unwind” around $49,000 and the “Tariff Tantrum” near $74,000, adding a third instance “Today – $108k. The metric in focus blends the short-term holder market-value-to-realized-value (STH-MVRV) ratio with Bollinger Bands to capture when newer coins trade at statistically depressed valuations versus their cost basis. In the chart Frank shared, the STH-MVRV Bollinger oscillator probed the oversold threshold that previously aligned with local exhaustion of selling. Related Reading: Bitcoin Mirrors Historical Pullback Ranges – Healthy Correction Or Trouble Ahead? More Reasons To Be Bullish For Bitcoin On a companion panel, the STH-SOPR gauge—spent-output profit ratio for coins younger than roughly 155 days—remains below 1.0, signaling that recent buyers are realizing losses into the tape rather than profits. “Short-term holders (top buyers) are in pain & realizing losses,” Frank noted, emphasizing that “STH-SOPR is not high!” Positioning has also turned cleaner in derivatives. “Longs got ‘delevered’ every day last week—that’s seven straight days of magic blue dots,” he said, describing persistent long liquidations and balance-sheet shrinkage among leveraged bulls. He is now “watching for the flip: when they give up and start shorting with leverage (exactly at the wrong time), providing fuel for a potential relief squeeze.” Macro context may be additive, in his view. “Gold hit new highs last week. ‘Gold leads, bitcoin follows.’ The yellow metal often looks around corners, and it might be sniffing out the debasement trade headed into 2026 as the administration stokes the economy for mid-terms,” he wrote, suggesting a potential catch-up dynamic if Bitcoin lags the move in bullion. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whale Dumps Billions For ETH, But $5 Billion Selloff Still Looms Risk markers remain clearly defined. Frank pegs the short-term holder realized price—an aggregate cost basis for recent coins—at $108,800. “If BTC breaks down below the short-term holder cost basis of $108.8k, it may want to investigate demand at the 200-day moving average, which sits at $101k.” That layered support map frames the oversold print as a tactical signal inside a still-intact longer-term uptrend, but it also acknowledges that violations of STH cost basis can extend tests toward the cycle’s primary trend gauge. Taken together, the confluence of these signals presents a strong confluence, according to Frank. Whether history rhymes again will hinge on spot demand emerging above short-term cost basis and on whether any shift toward aggressive shorting provides the fuel for a squeeze. As Frank summarized, “If we are in a bull market—and I believe we are—this is the kind of behavior that typically sets the stage for the next leg higher.” At press time, BTC traded at $111,382. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

In a notable achievement, Metaplanet has made headlines by significantly expanding its Bitcoin treasury, reaching a total of 20,000 BTC. This aggressive accumulation strategy solidifies its position as one of the world’s leading corporate Bitcoin holders. Strengthening Its Long-Term Bitcoin Treasury Strategy Metaplanet, a publicly traded company based in Japan, has successfully transitioned from a hotel operator to a major Bitcoin powerhouse. The company recently purchased 1,009 BTC, which increased its total holdings to 20,000 BTC. This acquisition cements its position as the sixth-largest corporate Bitcoin holder, surpassing Riot Platforms.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Treasury Race Heats Up As Dutch Firm Shoots For $23-M Launch A crypto-oriented social media influencer known as Next100XGEMS has stated on X that what makes this achievement more significant is that the investment reflects more than just a financial play. However, it represents a fundamental shift in its core business strategy.  By dedicating a significant portion of its treasury to Bitcoin, Metaplanet demonstrates a profound level of institutional trust in the digital asset as a long-term strategic reserve, which marks a new era of institutional adoption. Metaplanet’s 21 million plan is a bold, long-term strategy to combat the decline in the value of the Japanese yen and rising inflation. The company aims to acquire a significant portion of the total 21 million Bitcoin supply, positioning itself as a hedge against currency debasement. This strategic use of BTC as a currency protection tool highlights its growing appeal as an alternative to traditional fiat currencies, a trend that is becoming increasingly popular globally. The remarkable 486.7% year-to-date yield from this investment showcases the immense potential and could serve as a model for businesses and organizations around the world, prompting them to reassess their own treasury management approaches. This development is expected to drive increased demand for Bitcoin, further fueling its price growth and solidifying its role in the emerging financial system. Institutional Flows Fuel Bullish Momentum As institutional demand for Bitcoin accelerates and market infrastructure strengthens, CryptoBusy has revealed that September has long been considered a historically weak month for Bitcoin. Data shows that the median return sits at -3.12% with 8 of the last 12 years ending in the red. However, 2025 is shaping up to be fundamentally different. Related Reading: $40M Bitcoin Treasury Launch Marks South Korea’s First Institutional Crypto Move The landscape has shifted significantly. ETFs are now live, institutional inflows are accelerating, and the US has openly embraced Bitcoin. These factors have transformed the usual bearish September narrative into a potentially bullish setup. Last year, September 2024 closed with a green candle at +7.29% despite the seasonal headwinds. With Bitcoin having already printed a new all-time high of $124,000 earlier in this cycle, the market is poised to see if 2025 will mark the first ETF-driven September Rally. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Ostium Labs argues that Bitcoin’s uptrend remains intact after August’s reversal, but it draws a bright red line at $98,000. In its September 1 Market Outlook, the firm writes: “Closing below $98k on this timeframe would turn weekly structure bearish,” adding that “above $98k weekly structure is still bullish and therefore we should anticipate the formation of a higher-low.” At publication time, Ostium referenced BTC around $108,017, with the August monthly candle settling “firmly red” after wicking through the record to roughly $124.5k and closing near prior resistance-turned-support around $108.2k. Key Bitcoin Price Levels To Watch Now On the monthly chart, Ostium sees no evidence of a 2021-style cyclical top. The note acknowledges some momentum divergence on RSI but stresses the absence of confirmation from the Awesome Oscillator: “AO has continued to point towards building momentum throughout the uptrend… I do not think this is even remotely similar to the 2021 top formation.” Related Reading: Bitcoin HODLers Spend 97,000 BTC—Biggest Move This Year The bear case strengthens only if September “closes below the 2025 open at $93.3k and therefore below local trendline support.” For the bullish path, the team wants September to find support “above the yearly open, but likely much higher around the July lows at $105k,” and “ideally” finish the month green “above the August open at $115k,” a configuration they say would “set us up for expansion beyond the highs in October.” Weekly structure, by Ostium’s read, “showed no exhaustion on the move higher” and has now reset toward 50 on RSI, a profile the firm says supports trend continuation. Should the market carve a higher low early in September and reclaim momentum, a weekly close “back above $112k leads to a retest of the August open and potentially $117.5k into FOMC with a retest of the highs before month-end.” The daily timeframe remains the near-term hurdle. Ostium characterizes the pullback as “orderly,” with supports flipped to resistance on the way down and “the key level… obviously the $112k prior all-time high,” which served as support in early August and then “reclaimed resistance” on last week’s leg lower. “A breakout and close above the trendline and back above $112k would look like the bottom is in,” they write. A failed probe—“wick above the trendline into $112k and reject”—would bias price toward “the June open at $104.5k, with the 200dMA below that at $101.3k being key demand.” In derivatives, CoinGlass liquidation heatmaps for Binance’s BTC/USDT pair over one week and one month show dense liquidation bands layered above the $114k cap and clustered below around the $120k region, while no significant levels are visible to the downside. With a macro-heavy week ahead— ISM prints, JOLTS, the Fed’s Beige Book, jobless claims, ADP, ISM Services, and Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls—Ostium lays out conditional tactical setups. For longs, they prefer evidence of exhaustion into support: trendline resistance respected, “today’s low” taken out via a liquidation wick into the June-open/200-day cluster, and bullish divergence forming there before bidding for a move back to the weekly open and the $112k retest. For shorts, they prefer a sharp early-week squeeze into $112k “with trend exhaustion… having not taken out today’s low around $107k,” fading the pop back into weekly lows with risk reduced if it unfolds ahead of NFP. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whale Dumps Billions For ETH, But $5 Billion Selloff Still Looms Ostium also surveys positioning, pointing to snapshots across Velo and CoinGlass, three-month annualized basis, and the mix between Bitcoin and altcoin open interest, as well as one-week and one-month liquidation maps. While it refrains from headline claims on those dashboards, the note’s technical levels line up with the most concentrated liquidation density visible in the attached heatmaps, where stacked interest remains perched near the $112k pivot overhead and layered through the $105k–$101k demand shelf. DXY As Tailwind For The BTC Price The report extends beyond Bitcoin. The dollar backdrop, in Ostium’s framework, remains a tailwind for BTC into year-end. With DXY around 97.2, the firm says the current sequence rhymes with past cyclical drawdowns and expects “DXY to break below 96 and push towards at least 94.6, but more likely 93,” where a bottoming formation could emerge above the 200-month moving average. The secular DXY bull case is not dismissed; rather, Ostium situates the present leg as the final cyclical downswing before a higher-low and multi-year recovery, contingent on policy outcomes. A decisive monthly reclaim of 100 would invalidate the near-term bearish DXY view. Across assets, the through-line of Ostium’s September map is clarity on thresholds. For Bitcoin, a weekly loss of $98,000 would be the first structural break of the cycle; a daily reclaim of $112,000 would strongly argue the local low is in; and a monthly hold above $105,000 with a close back over $115,000 would tee up fresh highs into October. At press time, BTC traded at $110,610. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The recent downturn in Bitcoin prices has raised eyebrows among market analysts, with one prominent figure warning that the leading cryptocurrency could face a significant decline toward the $90,000 mark in the coming months.  As Bitcoin opened the month officially dropping below critical support levels, the market’s reaction remains tepid, suggesting that many investors have yet to fully grasp the severity of the situation. BTC’s Last Line Of Defense In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), market analyst Doctor Profit highlighted key price levels associated with various holder groups: $115,600 for 1 million holders, $113,600 for 3 million holders, and approximately $107,000 for 6 million holders.  Related Reading: Ethereum Demand Stays Strong As Exchange Reserves Keep Falling – Details As Bitcoin traded below all these thresholds earlier on Monday, Doctor Profit pointed out that every recent buyer is currently facing unrealized losses. However, he cautioned against interpreting this lack of panic as a sign of stability.  According to him, “these investors haven’t tasted enough fear yet,” suggesting that market makers may continue to drive prices lower until a genuine capitulation occurs. The analyst emphasized that the $107,000 to $108,900 zone represents the last robust line of defense for Bitcoin. Should this level fail to hold, he predicts a swift movement toward the $90,000 to $95,000 range.  Currently, the market’s leading cryptocurrency has recovered above $109,000. It is trading above the last line of support, preventing the analyst’s scenario of an additional 17% price drop for Bitcoin toward its Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) gap placed just above $90,000. Tough September Ahead For Bitcoin  Doctor Profit also argued in his analysis that the current market sentiment is characterized by minimal fear and an unrealized loss of only 0.5%, especially when compared to the more significant corrections of 30% or more seen in historical bear markets.  He believes that the lack of panic among the cryptocurrency’s holders indicates that many are still too comfortable, which could set the stage for a more severe market correction. Related Reading: XRP Price Action Turns Bearish, Analyst Says Crash Below $1 Is Coming Further complicating matters, Doctor Profit noted the recent behavior of corporate insiders in the stock market, where over 200 alleged insider trades occurred, with not a single buy recorded.  If insiders are choosing to offload their stocks during a period of apparent strength, the analyst asserts that this activity could foreshadow similar selling pressure in the Bitcoin and broader cryptocurrency market. As market makers seek to capitalize on this development, Doctor Profit warns that these entities will likely apply pressure until a substantial portion of short-term traders are forced to sell at a loss.  Doctor Profit concludes by suggesting that the real pain for Bitcoin holders is still to come, predicting that September will be particularly unkind as the market shifts from denial to a more painful reality. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

On-chain analytics platform Santiment has weighed in on whether the Bitcoin price has reached its bottom, following its drop to the $108,000 range. The platform alluded to the current social sentiment, suggesting that a further drawdown may be looming.  Bitcoin Price Bottom Not Yet In Amid Spike In Social Dominance In a research report, Santiment indicated that the Bitcoin price bottom may not yet be in, considering the surge in the social dominance of ‘buy the dip’ mentions. The platform explained that a true bottom is often marked not by price but by a shift in social narrative from ‘buy the dip’ optimism to widespread fear. This creates a strong bearish case that discourages buying.  Related Reading: Analyst Warns Investors To Avoid Bitcoin At All Cost As Price Is Going Below $60,000 Santiment suggested that the Bitcoin price typically rebounds when the sentiment is bearish and when investors least expect an uptrend. However, for now, market participants are still getting “antsy and trying to find some entry spots now that prices have cooled down a bit, Santiment analyst Brian Quinlivan explained.  The analyst opined that the cooldown in the Bitcoin price so far is not a huge one, while noting that BTC has detached from the S&P 500. Quinlivan predicted that BTC and other crypto assets could play catch-up to the stock market when the crowd stops getting too optimistic about buying the dip. He added that the true ‘buy the dip’ opportunities happen when the crowd stops believing there is an opportunity.  In the research report, Santiment noted that the current ‘buy the dip’ chatter needs to be suddenly replaced by discussion of the narrative that supports the bearish case. In line with this, the platform advised market participants to pay close attention to the dominant social narrative. According to the report, when the conversation shifts from hopeful buying to widespread fear, it can be a stronger bottom signal than the Bitcoin price alone. Another Metric To Keep An Eye On The Santiment report indicated that BTC whale transfers are another key metric to watch for, as they can help determine if the Bitcoin price has reached its bottom. These whales, wallets holding 10 to 10,000 BTC, have not been selling off in any significant way despite the market dip.  Related Reading: MicroStrategy Successfully Claims 3% Of Bitcoin Supply, Here’s How Much It’s Now Worth According to Maksim, who joined Santiment analyst Brian on the podcast, whenever these wallets do decrease their holdings, it can lead to “postponed price suppression weeks thereafter.” Therefore, Santiment advised market participants to monitor the holdings of large Bitcoin wallets. A lack of selling from whales could indicate underlying strength, while a significant drop can be a warning of future price weakness.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $107,800, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

A long-dormant Bitcoin “OG” has been rotating billions of dollars’ worth of BTC into ETH over the past two weeks, executing the bulk of the trades on Hyperliquid and withdrawing large tranches of ETH to self-custody—before staking a significant portion on the Beacon Chain. Bitcoin OG Whale Still Rotates Into ETH On-chain sleuth “MLM” has chronicled the flows in real time. In the most recent 46-hour window, the address cluster associated with the trader sold 7,000 BTC (≈$759 million at reference prices used by MLM) and bought 171,791.84 ETH (≈$773 million). MLM added that 3,000 BTC remained in the actively used source address—likely earmarked for further rotation—while two older wallets still held a combined 46,816 BTC (≈$5.07 billion). Cumulatively across the past 11 days, MLM tallied 34,110 BTC sold (≈$3.7 billion) and 813,298.84 ETH purchased (≈$3.66 billion), using $108,400 per BTC and $4,500 per ETH as baseline pricing for comparability. The execution venue has become part of the story. Hyperliquid’s public explorer (HypurrScan) shows heavy activity at the Hyperliquid account cited by MLM, corresponding with phased BTC deposits and batched ETH withdrawals. “MoonOverlord”—a trader—downplayed the mystery around the venue choice: “idk why it’s bizarre? it’s a trade, he picked the best venue.” MLM replied that the oddity is not the platform but that “the identity of this person is unknown, and he decided to swap such a large amount of BTC to ETH, which is unusual for a ‘og’ bitcoin whale.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Risks Deeper Losses If $107,800 Line Fails To Hold – Details Arkham Intelligence independently flagged the same entity, writing: “THIS WHALE JUST BOUGHT $430M OF ETH – AND STILL HAS $650M LEFT TO BUY,” and identifying specific addresses on both chains. According to Arkham, the whale “has purchased over $3 BILLION of ETH in total and staked the majority of it,” with flows linking a BTC source wallet beginning “169q…” and an ETH receiver “0x6167…”. Those staking claims are now visible on-chain. On September 1, funding flows from 0x6167… led to a “Beacon Depositor” account that submitted a series of deposit transactions totaling 165,010 ETH to Ethereum’s staking contract, with dozens of 30,000 ETH-sized and 15,010 ETH-sized deposit calls posted within the same hour. The deposit contract view and the funding trail from 0x6167… corroborate that a substantial slice of the newly acquired ETH has moved directly into staking. On the Bitcoin side, the active source wallet “169q…” and two long-idle companion wallets “17MWd…” and “12Xqe…” anchor the cluster that MLM has been tracking since last week. Mempool records show recent inter-wallet activity and outputs from 169q… consistent with the staged deposits to Hyperliquid described in the thread. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Closes Below STH Realized Price For The 2nd Time In 2025 — Details The trader’s provenance is still speculative. MLM argues the entity is “presumably Asian,” noting that the original BTC was accumulated seven to eight years ago via Asia-linked platforms and miners—“HTX, OKX, ViaBTC (a mining pool), Bixin (a miner), and Binance.” But MLM cautioned readers not to over-interpret intent: “Of course, don’t take this prediction as financial advice, since it’s all speculation for now and we don’t know the intentions of this whale.” $5 Billion Selloff Still Looms While commentators are debating motives, the mechanics are clear: staged BTC funding to a single trading venue, piecemeal ETH fills to minimize slippage, rapid withdrawals to self-custody, and swift conversion of a large portion to staked ETH. The cadence of deposits and withdrawals—some clustered over weekends—also lines up with timing observations in MLM’s logs and Arkham’s updates. What remains uncertain is how much further the rotation will go. MLM’s running ledger suggested that at least several thousand BTC were still poised to move: “Additionally, there’s another combined 46.816 BTC ($5.07B) across these wallets: 17MWd [and] 12Xqeq. Of this, another 14.495 BTC ($1.57B) might get rotated based on previous activity, though it’s unclear what will happen with the remaining 32.321 BTC ($3.5B). At this point, it looks like he is rotating everything lol.” At press time, BTC traded at $109,621. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

After hitting a new all-time high last month, the Bitcoin price has since retraced by more than 10%, crashing below $110,000 once again. This bearish pressure has continued into the new month, with sell-offs being the order of the day, especially as investors move to secure their profits. Despite calls for a possible bottom, a crypto analyst has suggested that the Bitcoin crash is far from over. In fact, going by the analysis, the decline may just be starting as Bitcoin is expected to tumble further. Why A Crash To $93,000 Is Imminent In the analysis, crypto analyst MMBTtrader acknowledges the fact that the Bitcoin price is already under immense pressure. This is shown by the fact that the cryptocurrency has been rejected from $120,000 and has now fallen back to the next major support zone. Related Reading: Cardano Price To Rise 300% To $4? Analyst Reveals When So far, the $108,000 level has acted as a support, preventing further decline. However, with sellers still being in charge of the market, it is possible that this level does not hold for long. Looking at the broader picture, the crypto analyst calls for further price decline, and this could trigger a cascading effect. As the analyst explains, this is happening because the market needs some rest. There is also the trendline that began back in 2024, shown by the line in green, suggesting where the Bitcoin price could fall next. A retest of this trendline suggests that Bitcoin could dump back to $93,000, where the trendline makes its next contact. Naturally, the next retest of the trendline in this case would mean that it is hitting support. But there is also the fact that momentum doesn’t point to a possible Bitcoin price recovery. Even after hitting $93,000, the analyst expects a further breakdown and a move to as low as $70,000. Why Bitcoin Price Could Still Jump In the case of bulls being able to maintain support and triggering a bounce, the crypto analyst shows there is still a possibility of a price jump. Here, the price would have to reclaim the trendline above $117,000 to complete the upward continuation. Related Reading: Analyst Says XRP Price Is Yet To Hit Its First Bearish Target – Details A price jump from this support level could end in another 30% price increase, pushing the price above the $137,000 level. However, the analyst remains adamant that there is more possibility of a breakdown. “I am thinking of breakout to the downside and more dump after that like red arrows maybe now with higher possibility,” MMBTtrader stated. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Cryptowzrd, in a fresh update on Bitcoin’s daily technical outlook, noted that the market closed bearish, leaving room for further downside. A decisive close below the $110,500 support could mark a key shift, making lower levels worth watching.  Daily Candle Signals Bearish Pressure For Bitcoin Cryptowzrd expanded on his outlook by pointing out that Bitcoin’s daily candle closed bearish, with price now trading beneath the $110,500 support zone. This breakdown is significant and could invite further selling pressure in the sessions ahead if buyers fail to reclaim the level. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Rally Over? Analyst Forecasts Drop To $94,000 If This Level Doesn’t Hold He emphasized that holding below this support opens the door for a potential move toward the $100,000 mark. However, a strong bullish candle and a swift recovery could invalidate the bearish setup, restoring confidence for buyers. In the analysis, he also highlighted the performance of Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D), which closed indecisively while displaying weakness. This weakness in dominance is often viewed as a positive signal for altcoins, as it suggests capital is flowing away from Bitcoin and into alternative assets. Such a shift in market dominance reflects growing market confidence in altcoins. When Bitcoin dominance stalls or declines, it tends to fuel altcoin rallies, allowing traders to diversify into promising setups across the market. Finally, he noted that markets are heading into the monthly transition period, a time often associated with increased volatility and mixed sentiment. Going into the weekend, he emphasized the importance of staying rational and avoiding overextending in either direction, maintaining measured strategies while waiting for clearer confirmation signals. BTC Volatility Dominates Intraday Trading Cryptowzrd highlighted that today’s intraday chart displayed sharp volatility with a clear bearish tone, as Bitcoin slipped and is currently holding below the $110,400 intraday support. This level has now become critical, as losing it signals weakening buyer strength and raises the risk of further downside pressure.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Rally Over? CryptoQuant’s Bull Score Index Turns Bearish He explained that if Bitcoin retests $110,400 and fails to reclaim it, the level could flip into resistance. Such a scenario would likely trigger a short setup, with price action targeting the $105,500 support area or even extending lower if bearish momentum accelerates. This makes the $110,400 region a decisive battleground for traders closely watching intraday setups. On the other hand, Cryptowzrd pointed out that a strong reclaim and hold above $110,400 could shift momentum back in favor of the bulls, opening the door for further upside pressure. However, the crypto analyst emphasized that the market currently lacks clarity, and traders should exercise caution before rushing in. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

The Bitcoin price is once again under heavy pressure in the market. An analyst has warned that the coin shows strong bearish signs after being rejected at a resistance level. The price has now fallen to a critical support area, where buyers are trying to hold the line. According to the analyst, if the level fails, the price could drop even lower, raising doubts about whether the key levels will remain safe. Analyst Says Bitcoin Price Turned Bearish After $121,000 Rejection The analyst explained that the bearish trend began when Bitcoin strongly rejected the $121,000 resistance level. According to the analyst, that rejection forced the coin to break down from its earlier upward channel, which had guided the price during its last rally. Once this breakdown happened, the mood in the market shifted, and a new bearish phase took hold. Related Reading: VanEck CEO Reveals Which Altcoin Is “The Wall Street Token”, It’s Not XRP The analyst added that Bitcoin first moved within a downward channel, but even that structure could not hold. As selling pressure increased, the coin also broke below the support level of this channel. The downward move marked a shift in sentiment, as buyers could not keep the price stable. According to the analyst, Bitcoin’s fall may now follow a steep local trend line, which could cause the coin to decline faster. This kind of move shows that sellers are firmly in control for now. The analyst’s view is that the rejection at $121,000 was a turning point, and the coin has been unable to regain strength since then. For many traders, this level has become a clear resistance that won’t break again without strong demand. $109,700 Support Under Pressure, Analyst Targets $104,000 Next The analyst also pointed out that Bitcoin is now directly testing the key buyer zone at $109,700. The level acts as a horizontal support, and the analyst says that if it fails, the bearish case could only grow stronger. While there may be a short period of sideways movement or a minor retest of the nearby trend line, the analyst believes the dominant force in the market remains downward pressure. Related Reading: Bitcoin OG Who Told People To Buy BTC At $1 Reveals How High XRP Price Will Go In simple terms, the analyst expects the weight of selling to break the $109,700 level. If that happens, the path to $104,000 becomes the next logical target. The analyst explained that this lower zone could be the next support area where buyers might try to fight back. However, if $109,700 does not hold, the move to $104,000 could come quickly. Beyond that, the market will begin to ask a bigger question — can Bitcoin hold the critical $100,000 level? Traders are watching closely, because a break below that level would mark a significant shift in the broader trend. Featured image from DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The Bitcoin price has experienced a notable downturn, with the market’s largest cryptocurrency retracting 8% in the monthly time frame. This decline has sparked significant criticism on social media, particularly against the crypto exchange Binance, which some investors accuse of contributing to the current market slump. Binance Behind The Bitcoin Price Slump? Market analyst DeFitracer shared insights on social media site X (formerly Twitter), questioning why the market is experiencing a sell-off despite what he describes as an oversaturation of positive catalysts.  These include record inflows into crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) anticipated for next month. Yet, he points out, “we’re still dumping—why?” Related Reading: LINK Price Climbs Following Chainlink’s Deal With US Commerce Department, Eyes $30 According to DeFitracer, the ongoing sell-offs appear to be orchestrated by Binance, which he claims is using a third party, market maker Wintermute, to execute its trades.  This strategy, he argues, is designed to set a bearish trend that retail investors follow, ultimately benefiting Binance through profits from futures liquidations. In fact, 2024 saw $344 million liquidated in a single day on the exchange, and current market manipulations may yield similar results, he asserts. As of press time, the market’s leading cryptocurrency trades at $108,295, meaning a 12% retrace from all-time high (ATH) levels of $124,000 reached earlier in the month.  Three-Phase Reaction To Crypto Sell-Off DeFitracer also highlighted significant activity surrounding Solana (SOL). The analyst indicates that beyond Bitcoin, Binance has also been offloading SOL, potentially driven by an alleged desire to curb competition with its own token, Binance Coin (BNB), which currently has a market cap of $117 billion compared to SOL’s $102 billion.  The analyst also said in his analysis that this activity raises questions about where Binance is sourcing its Solana, as their proof-of-reserves only shows client funds, suggesting that customer assets might be at risk in these trading maneuvers. DeFitracer added that these movements echo the practices of collapsed exchanges like FTX, which similarly utilized client funds through its trading arm Alameda Research:  This is a terrible look for the exchange. User funds should stay safe – not be used for market games. FTX pulled the same move with client funds through Alameda Research. We all know how that ended Related Reading: Ethereum Could Suffer $5 Billion Sell Pressure As Exit Queue Crosses 1 Million ETH While the current market conditions may seem daunting, DeFitracer outlines a potential three-phase market reaction: an initial phase of panic leading to retail exits, followed by accumulation during the downturn, and finally, a sharp rebound.  He emphasizes that the upcoming rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve next month could significantly shift the market sentiment, recalling how similar cuts in 2021 triggered a massive bull run, propelling the Bitcoin price to new heights. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Eric Trump laid out a bluntly bullish, supply-and-demand case for why Bitcoin can reach $1 million, arguing that accelerating institutional access collides with Bitcoin’s fixed 21 million-coin cap, during a “Bitcoin Takes Over the World” session with David Bailey at the Bitcoin Asia conference in Hong Kong on August 29. Bitcoin’s Path To $1 Million Is ‘No Question’ “Everybody wants Bitcoin. Everybody is buying Bitcoin. And that’s uh that’s an incredible thing. And that’s why I’ve always said that I really believe that in the next several years, Bitcoin will hit a million dollars. There’s no question Bitcoin hits a million dollars,” Trump told the audience, adding that “every person who wants an asset class and you have a very limited supply… it doesn’t take a genius to figure out where that goes.” He urged long-term accumulation over timing: “Buy right now. Shut your eyes. Hold it for the next five years and you are going to do terrifically well.” Trump also recounted his private discussions with high-level investors in the lead-up to the conference: “When you’re in the room with certain people and and I had breakfast this morning with, you know, a couple of the most powerful people in the region and the hospitality space and you’re literally sitting there trying to explain to them what digital currency is, you realize how early we all are to this race […] I hear from people all the time, you know, should I get into cryptocurrency? Did I miss it? Am I too late? And I literally start laughing at them. I go, we haven’t even scratched the surface of what Bitcoin is going to be.” Related Reading: Bitcoin And The September Curse: Can This Time Be Different? Trump’s core thesis combined two pillars: finite issuance and broadening distribution rails. He repeatedly emphasized Bitcoin’s provable scarcity—“There’s only 21 million coins… It’s finite. And that’s what makes it so damn powerful”—while asserting that channels for ownership have widened to large pools of capital. “In America, people are buying it for their retirement plans for the first time… you’ve got trillions of dollars of liquidity that’s opening up,” he said, citing custody at “major financial institutions,” as well as uptake by “the biggest banks,” “the biggest families,” “Fortune 500 companies,” and “sovereign wealth funds.” According to Trump, those cohorts are long-term holders: “Those retirement accounts are not letting Bitcoin go. Those companies are not letting Bitcoin go. Those sovereign wealth funds are not letting Bitcoin go.” Pressed on what he is hearing in high-level rooms globally, Trump offered another anecdote—without naming the country—about a leader who “literally [takes] the entire energy supply of a major city in the middle of a winter and uses it to mine Bitcoin because that’s how much they believe in the asset.” He added, “You realize how early we all are […] more and more people are finding their inroads,” pointing to improving exchange usability and new consumer on-ramps. “We’re literally trying to get cryptocurrency to the masses,” he said about World Liberty Financial. Related Reading: Bitcoin Supply In Profit Hits Historical Threshold – Echoing Past Patterns Trump also highlighted his own commercial exposure to the sector. He described American Bitcoin as “one of the biggest Bitcoin mining companies on Earth,” claiming it produces “about 3% of the world’s Bitcoin every single day,” operates from “some of the cheapest energy in the world… in Texas,” and targets a “rough cost per… mining of Bitcoin… about $37,000,” with plans to list on Nasdaq “very soon.” Beyond mining, he praised his involvement with MetaPlanet alongside Simon Gerovich—whom he dubbed “the Michael Saylor of Asia”—saying the company had “single-handedly changed… the way [Japan and] a lot of Asia” view Bitcoin. The conversation returned repeatedly to Bitcoin’s evolving utility narrative. While calling Bitcoin “digital gold” and “the greatest store of value that’s arguably ever been created,” Trump argued its use cases are broadening: “Every single day they’re figuring out new ways to kind of stake it, to get yield on it, to use it for everyday purchases […] you’re taking this digital gold […] and you’re putting massive utility behind Bitcoin.” He framed volatility as an ally for long-term buyers—“Volatility is our friend”—and, with a wink to Michael Saylor’s famous extremism, quipped, “I know obviously he jokes when he says that, but he’s right. Buy it, hold it, and I think you’re going to do extremely well.” At press time, BTC traded at $110,149. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

JPMorgan has thrown fresh fuel on the most durable comparison in digital assets, arguing in a new research note that Bitcoin now screens “too cheap” versus gold as its volatility collapses to historic lows. How Undervalued Is Bitcoin? The bank’s cross-asset team says six-month BTC volatility has fallen from nearly 60% at the start of 2025 to roughly 30%—a series low—and that Bitcoin is now only about twice as volatile as gold, the narrowest gap on record. On the bank’s volatility-adjusted framework, that compression implies Bitcoin’s market value would need to rise about 13%—translating to roughly $126,000 per coin—to align with the roughly $5 trillion private investment market in gold, leaving BTC “undervalued by around $16,000” on this basis. Related Reading: Bitcoin And The September Curse: Can This Time Be Different? The framing matters. JPMorgan is not saying Bitcoin should be as large as the entire gold complex—jewelry, central-bank reserves and industrial uses included—but rather that on a risk-adjusted basis, given how much less volatile BTC has become relative to bullion, Bitcoin’s capitalization can justify a higher level than where it trades today if one benchmarks against gold’s private-investment slice of the market. The headline takeaway—“Bitcoin undervalued vs. gold as volatility falls”—was amplified by market-moving account Walter Bloomberg on X, underscoring the point that the valuation gap is a function of volatility as much as price. The bank’s analysts, led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, attribute part of the volatility collapse to an evolving holder base and market structure. They point to accelerating accumulation by corporate treasuries—which they estimate now hold more than 6% of circulating supply—and to index-related dynamics that are drawing passive capital into equities tied to Bitcoin exposure, both of which dampen day-to-day swings. The cause-and-effect is straightforward in their telling: a larger, more stable base of “sticky” holders lowers realized volatility, which in turn raises fair value on a volatility-normalized, gold-relative model. Gold Parity And Beyond The claim also drew a pointed reaction from industry commentators. “It’s only a matter of time until Bitcoin reaches parity with gold,” argued Joe Consorti, head of growth at Theya, calling JPMorgan’s note “a big admission.” Related Reading: Bitcoin & Ethereum Whale Populations Quietly Growing, On-Chain Data Reveals In his view, the longer-run destination is not parity on a risk-adjusted model but outright dominance: “At today’s market capitalization, Bitcoin would trade at $1.17 million per coin if it were equal to the size of gold.” He extends the thought experiment into a timeline, contending that if Bitcoin and gold simply maintain their five-year compound growth rates, parity arrives in the early 2030s. “If Bitcoin and gold simply keep growing at their current five-year compound annual growth rates, parity arrives in late 2031. That would mean a $53 trillion market cap for Bitcoin and a price north of $2.5 million per coin. Even under more conservative assumptions, the convergence still happens in the early 2030s. Because it’s not just about Bitcoin’s growth, it’s also about gold losing market share,” the analyst argues. JPMorgan just admitted bitcoin at $112k is undervalued versus gold. Bitcoin would be $1.17M if it was the size of gold today. When will bitcoin reach gold parity, and how much will it be worth? [B2YB @JoinHorizon_] pic.twitter.com/GvofTvKEef — Joe Consorti ⚡️ (@JoeConsorti) August 28, 2025 While these are Consorti’s projections, not JPMorgan’s, they sketch the more maximalist endpoint of the same relative-value logic. At press time, BTC traded at $111,061. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin is entering a phase of unusual calm, with price volatility dropping to some of its lowest levels in years. For many analysts, this reduced volatility is not a sign of weakness; rather, it’s a sign of strength. If this trend continues, the groundwork could be laid for a sustainable bull run fueled by Bitcoin’s growing reputation as a long-term store of value. Can Reduced Volatility Redefine Bitcoin’s Market Identity? Bitcoin is entering a new phase in its market evolution. As highlighted by CryptoRank_io on X, the world’s leading cryptocurrency has seen its volatility steadily decline in tandem with the growth of its market capitalization. This trend suggests that Bitcoin is maturing from a speculative, high-risk asset into a more stable, long-term investment vehicle. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breakdown in Motion – Bounce Trap Or Deeper Bear Market Warning? Such a shift toward stability could significantly impact how Bitcoin evolves in the years ahead, rather than the explosive, parabolic rallies and brutal corrections that have historically defined BTC’s price action. The lower volatility suggests that the next phase of growth may come in the form of steadier and more sustainable increases with shallower pullbacks. This is a crucial development for institutional investors and major funds. Traditional finance prefers assets with predictable risk profiles, and Bitcoin’s reduced volatility makes it far more attractive for large-scale allocation.  BTC’s market structure signals bearish sentiment despite rising open interest. According to Luca, the Bitcoin market is showing signs of tension. Since BTC topped out in mid-August, a clear divergence has emerged between Open Interest and Funding Rates. While Open Interest has been steadily climbing, indicating that more positions are being opened, Funding Rates have been trending lower. This setup suggests that bears are doubling down and loading up on short positions in anticipation of further downside. Traders seem to be betting that the latest move lower is just the beginning, especially as BTC heads into September, which is a historically weak month for Bitcoin. Luca noted that this aligns with his previous observations, suggesting that the market may continue to favor bearish positioning in the near term. Sideways Movement Highlights Bitcoin Stability Daan Crypto Trades also revealed that Bitcoin has largely been consolidating over the past few months, showing sideways price action compared to the Standard & Poor 500 (S&P 500). BTC is only up around 10% vs the 2021 all-time high in relation to stocks in 2021. Related Reading: Bitcoin 10% Off Its Highs—But Hidden On-Chain Data Tells a Different Story The trend highlights that the cryptocurrency has yet to replicate the dramatic gains seen in previous cycles. Daan points out that the S&P 500’s performance during this period has been significantly boosted by the surge in AI-related developments, which accelerated equity market gains. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

The crypto market is paying close attention after one of the most famous early Bitcoin voices shared a bold view on XRP. Davinci Jeremie, who gained notoriety for advising people to buy Bitcoin at just $1 back in 2013, has now issued a strong forecast for XRP, noting that the token’s chart displays a healthy structure and a bullish pattern.  Davinci Jeremie Maps XRP Price Path To $4.93 With Fibonacci Levels In his detailed breakdown, Jeremie focused on XRP’s recent movements and the structure forming on its chart. He pointed to a clear W-shaped pattern as a bullish signal. According to him, the market action that pushed XRP higher in recent weeks appeared to be organic, with genuine investor activity providing support rather than artificial manipulation. Related Reading: Pundit Says Bitcoin Price Crash Is Not Over, Why A Decline Below $100,000 Is Coming Jeremie explained that he used the Fibonacci extension levels to calculate possible price targets for XRP. He said the 1.618 level comes in at 4,555 Chilean pesos, but he believes the token could go slightly higher. His projection puts the token at 4,761 pesos, which converts to about $4.93. If this outlook materializes, XRP would not only maintain its current momentum but also surpass its previous all-time high of $3.65, which it met in July of this year. According to the analyst, XRP’s earlier moves in late 2024 appeared forced, with extreme jumps that raised doubts, but this newest action looks more natural and could carry further implications. He emphasized that the chart math and price behavior support the path to further bullish growth, while the token’s structure itself demonstrates clear strength. Bitcoin Maximalist Turns Bullish On XRP’s Market Structure What makes this analysis stand out even more is who it is coming from. Davinci Jeremie has long been regarded as a strong supporter of Bitcoin, often described as a Bitcoin maximalist. His early call for people to buy BTC when the price was at only $1 has given him lasting credibility in the cryptocurrency space. For that reason, his positive comments on XRP are being taken very seriously by many in the market. Related Reading: Rumored Ripple NDA Suggests Trump, BlackRock, And JP Morgan Are Working With XRP Ledger Jeremie emphasized that XRP’s moves from January to June formed a clean W formation on the weekly chart. He explained how the token reached a high of $ 3.40 in January, dropped to around $2.11 in April, rebounded to $2.60 in May, declined to near $2 in June, and then rallied strongly to surpass its January high. That sequence, he said, completed the pattern and opened the door for more gains. His change of tone shows that a strong market structure can override token bias. Even for someone who has close ties to Bitcoin, the health of XRP’s current chart was enough to spark a bullish outlook. Jeremie’s analysis suggests that more investors may start looking at XRP differently, seeing it as an asset with room to grow beyond old expectations.  Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin dominance is at a pivotal moment, testing key support levels that could determine market direction. A bounce from these zones may signal temporary stability, while a breakdown could trigger deeper declines and shift attention toward altcoins.  Market Structure Signals Growing Vulnerability According to @Crypto_TheBoss in a recent market update, Bitcoin dominance has slipped below the 60% support level, signaling a notable change in market dynamics. This breakdown points to a weakening grip for Bitcoin as capital flows begin to diversify into other areas of the crypto market. Moves like this often act as early signals of potential altcoin strength, as traders look beyond Bitcoin for opportunities. Related Reading: Altcoins Takeover Incoming? These On-Chain Metrics Signal An Imminent Market Shift The analyst noted that Bitcoin dominance has bounced from the 58% area, showing that some buying pressure emerged to defend the level. This bounce highlights temporary stability, but it does not yet confirm a recovery. Instead, it reflects a cautious response from the market, where buyers are attempting to prevent further declines while broader sentiment remains uncertain. Looking ahead, @Crypto_TheBoss explained that if the 58% level fails to hold, Fibonacci retracement zones could act as key areas of support. Losing this support would deepen the bearish outlook and likely accelerate capital rotation into altcoins, shifting momentum away from Bitcoin’s leadership in the market. Positive And Negative Technical Signals @Crypto_TheBoss went on to highlight that the bounce from support shows buyers stepped in and temporarily halted the downside pressure. This kind of reaction often reflects how market participants are still willing to defend critical levels, even when sentiment leans toward caution. By holding above support, Bitcoin dominance was able to avoid a deeper immediate drop, though uncertainty still lingers. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment On Binance Turns Bullish – But Is The Market Setting A Trap? The analyst further emphasized that Fibonacci levels are widely used in technical analysis as reliable support and resistance zones. For Bitcoin dominance, the Fibonacci structure provides a technical roadmap, guiding market participants on where the price may either stall, reverse, or accelerate if another leg lower unfolds. In a negative scenario, @Crypto_TheBoss cautioned that losing the 58% support could trigger stronger selling pressure, pushing dominance further down. A breakdown below this level would not only signal structural weakness but also reinforce the narrative of Bitcoin losing its edge in market control.  Such a scenario is often interpreted as a sign of capital rotation into altcoins. As Bitcoin dominance decreases, investor attention tends to shift toward alternative cryptocurrencies, sparking renewed activity and potentially driving sharp moves in the altcoin sector. This rotation could set the stage for fresh momentum in altcoins, particularly if Bitcoin struggles to quickly reclaim its lost ground. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin heads into the final days of August with choppy, two-way trade and a familiar seasonal question hanging over it: will September once again be a drag—or a reset into Q4 strength? As of Wednesday, August 28, BTC hovers near $112,900 after a stop-start month that has bulls and bears circling the same range rather than breaking conviction. Macro expectations, market positioning and Bitcoin’s own statistical quirks now converge in a narrow window before the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting, making the next few weeks unusually consequential. The Fed’s rate-setting FOMC convenes September 16–17, and futures markets currently price a high probability of a cut, though officials continue to emphasize data-dependence. Bitcoin’s September Seasonality Seasonality is the first prism through which traders are reading the tape. Daan Crypto Trades captured the prevailing mood on X, noting a “choppy August” and pointing to a historical oddity: “During BTC’s history it has never closed both August & September in the green.” He added a pragmatic caveat about why this matters at all: “Whether you believe in seasonality or not, the thing that matters is if a lot of others do. And if enough people do, it can work as a self-fulfilling prophecy.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Selloff: $2.2 Billion In BTC Floods Exchanges Independent datasets support the caution around September. CoinGlass-based compilations show that across the past 12 years, September has delivered an average negative return for BTC of roughly 3.8%, making it the worst month on the calendar. By contrast, Q4—and especially October and November—has historically outperformed on average, a profile that helps explain why traders often look to buy late-Q3 weakness. However, there is a silver lining. Across Bitcoin’s history, September has closed in the green on four occasions—most notably in 2015 and 2016, and again in recent years. In 2023, BTC gained 3.9%, followed by a 7.3% rise in 2024. Anthony Pompliano offered a broader framing this week, starting with the simple, if stubborn, statistics: “September is actually the only month of the year that historically is negative.” He attributes the late-summer doldrums in part to investor behavior—“Everyone is on vacation… not in front of their screens”—and in part to unresolved macro questions from traditional finance. “There’s a lot of uncertainty still,” he said, even as “Jerome Powell has come out and said that he’s going to likely cut rates in September.” While markets have swiftly moved to price that outcome after the Jackson Hole speech, Fed officials have been careful to say the decision remains data-driven; major brokerages nonetheless shifted their base cases to a September cut following Powell’s labor-market warnings. Pompliano’s second theme is about the path higher. A straight line from last November’s ~$69,000 to six-figure prices, he argued, would risk a “very big dump on the other side.” Instead, the market “wants… some sort of correction and resetting,” flushing leverage and “setting a foundation of the price.” He sketched a broad consolidation band—“call it $125,00 to maybe $110,000”—before buyers return. Why is Bitcoin’s price going down? The answer is simpler than you think. pic.twitter.com/lYqbqQJO9R — Anthony Pompliano ???? (@APompliano) August 27, 2025 That sequencing rhymes with the way many systematic funds and discretionary crypto desks treat September: as a month to reduce risk into thin liquidity, then rebuild as Q4 flows approach. It also resonates with Daan Crypto Trades’ tactical lens: “Probably any larger dip in the next 1–2 weeks is the one to bid for the EOY bounce/rally to new all time highs in my opinion. We will see.” All Eyes On The Fed Macro timing could be the deciding factor. The FOMC’s September 16–17 meeting is now the key waypoint, with rate futures implying an ~85–90% chance of a cut and some odds of a second move by year-end. Related Reading: Bitcoin MVRV Compression Signals Pause – Market Digests Recent Volatility Chair Powell signaled at Jackson Hole that labor-market risks have risen even as inflation risks linger, a balance that has pushed several Wall Street houses to bring forward their easing timelines. At the same time, senior Fed officials have stressed that every meeting is “live” and contingent on incoming data—an important caveat for risk assets that have already leaned into the dovish narrative. If a cut materializes, the question for BTC will be whether it validates the existing bid or merely meets expectations and fades. This week’s immediate focus will fall on Friday’s release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index—the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge of inflation. The July PCE data will be published on August 29, providing policymakers and markets alike with a crucial read on both headline and core consumer price pressures. From there, attention will pivot to the next major cluster of inflation releases landing just days before the September FOMC. On Thursday, September 11, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August. These will represent the final inflation checkpoints before the Fed convenes on September 16–17, meaning they could decisively shape the tone of the meeting. At press time, BTC traded at $113,049. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Falconedge, a newly established hedge fund advisory firm that emerged from Falcon Investment Management, has revealed a new strategy among publicly traded companies: to allocate nearly all of the proceeds from its upcoming initial public offering (IPO) to building a Bitcoin (BTC) treasury. Bitcoin-Focused IPO Strategy On Wednesday, the firm’s announcement disclosed that Falconedge’s leadership views Bitcoin not merely as a hedge against inflation but as a cornerstone asset for institutional treasury management. By emphasizing Bitcoin as a primary reserve asset, the firm aims to scale its cryptocurrency holdings significantly, thereby enhancing its balance sheet with BTC’s potential and institutional credibility.  Related Reading: Shiba Inu’s Shibarium Suffers Crash In Major Metric, Is SHIB Price At Risk? Roy Kashi, CEO of Falconedge, expressed enthusiasm about the firm’s launch in a press release statement. The executive said:  We’re proud to launch Falconedge as a next-generation platform that puts Bitcoin at the heart of institutional treasury strategy. This pre-IPO raise positions us to accelerate growth and deepen our impact in digital asset finance. Flaconedge would join a growing trend of public traded companies adopting similar investment options, mulling Strategy’s (MicroStrategy) approach with years accumulating Bitcoin and so far enjoying billionaire returns. Falconedge Completes Pre-IPO Fundraising The firm disclosed it has completed its pre-IPO fundraising and is gearing up for a public offering in September. Falconedge has indicated that the majority of the IPO proceeds will be allocated to Bitcoin accumulation, further solidifying Falconedge’s vision. Falconedge’s IPO is set to be one of the first to dedicate proceeds primarily to Bitcoin reserves, effectively positioning the firm as a hybrid entity that straddles the line between an advisory firm and a digital asset holding company.  USDT stablecoin issuer Circle has also been in the spotlight with its debut on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Its shares, traded under the ticker symbol CRCL, surged over 150% in the first days of its debut, highlighting the interest by investors in crypto-focused IPOs. Related Reading: Ethereum To $5,500 In Weeks, $12,000 By Year-End, Tom Lee Predicts Despite being newly formed, Falconedge benefits from the significant credibility and expertise inherited from Falcon Investment Management, a top player in United Kingdom-regulated crypto investing. The firm’s legacy includes launching one of the earliest regulated crypto funds in the UK in 2018, managing over $850 million in crypto assets at its peak, and successfully establishing a decentralized finance-focused fund that has performed well.  As of this writing, Bitcoin, the market’s leading cryptocurrency, is trading at $112,100 — nearly 10% below its record high of $124,000 earlier this month. This is in line with the broader correction in the market, which has seen digital asset prices retrace to key support levels. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Mihai Jacob, a well-known market watcher, says the Bitcoin price rally that followed Powell’s Friday speech may not be as strong as it first looked. The charts, he explains, continue to flash signs of weakness that should not be ignored. According to Jacob, the flagship cryptocurrency could still face another sharp decline, and a drop below $100,000 remains a real risk despite the short-term optimism. Powell’s Speech Gave Bitcoin Price A Lift, But Charts Tell A Different Story Jacob explains that in his earlier analysis, he noted the $110,000 zone as a key level for Bitcoin. As long as that level held, the broader bullish structure could technically stay intact. Powell’s speech gave a hint of a possible rate cut, and for a moment, the market reacted with excitement, and Bitcoin bounced just as traders wanted. Related Reading: Rumored Ripple NDA Suggests Trump, BlackRock, And JP Morgan Are Working With XRP Ledger But Jacob quickly asks the hard question: was that bounce real strength, or just wishful thinking? He advises trading what you see, not what you hope for. And what he sees now on the charts does not match the initial joy of the rally. Soon after the move, Bitcoin returned to the $ 112,000 support level, erasing most of the gains. For Jacob, this suggests that the market may have been reacting to temporary news rather than initiating a new wave of growth. He warns that the bounce looks more like a retest of broken levels than a fresh start to a bigger move. In other words, what seemed like a comeback may actually be a signal that Bitcoin remains weak. Instead of buyers taking control, the chart suggests sellers are still in charge, waiting to push the price lower again. Why A Drop Below $100,000 Remains Likely Looking at the bigger picture, Jacob points out that Bitcoin still trades below the trendline that has been in place since April, highlighting the shape of the price action, which suggests a possible head-and-shoulders pattern is forming around the $110,000 zone. While not perfectly shaped, it is still enough to make cautious traders uneasy about what may come next. Related Reading: Here’s What Powell’s Possible Rate Cuts Could Mean For The Shiba Inu Price For Jacob, the excitement that came from Powell’s speech was likely nothing more than “rate cut euphoria,” and he believes the market is sending a very different message from what headlines suggest. The idea that Bitcoin would simply return to the same support level, giving late buyers another easy opportunity, is, in his view, hard to believe. More likely, it was a “dead cat bounce,” a short-lived move before another fall. Jacob makes it clear that his current stance is neutral in terms of active positions, but his outlook leans bearish. Optimism may be tempting, but he insists that discipline requires traders to trust the charts, not their hopes. With Bitcoin still struggling under key levels, he sees the possibility of a decline below $100,000 as very real. Featured image from DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

As the Bitcoin (BTC) price momentum begins to wane, the market’s leading cryptocurrency has retraced to the $110,000 mark, raising concerns about a potential shift into a new bearish cycle.  CryptoBirb, a noted trader and analyst, suggested in a recent social media analysis that Bitcoin has only about 60 days of growth left, indicating that it is currently 93% into its cycle, which has lasted 1,007 days.  This analysis aligns with the ongoing Cycle Peak Countdown indicator, hinting at a critical juncture for the leading cryptocurrency as it approaches the conclusion of its current bullish phase. Potential Peak And Bear Market Timing In examining historical cycles, CryptoBirb highlights significant patterns that may inform future price movements. The analyst points out the duration of past cycles: from around 350 days in the early years to over 1,000 days in more recent cycles.  Presently, Bitcoin’s trajectory is  reportedly tracking toward approximately 1,060 to 1,100 days, placing it in the final 5-8% of this current bullish cycle, holding significant implications for the broader digital asset market as well. Related Reading: Pro-XRP Lawyer Blasts SEC Lead Counsel In Ripple Case Following Conclusion The Bitcoin Halving which took place last April is also a pivotal factor. Historical data reveals that previous Halvings have led to peaks in price approximately 492 days later, suggesting a target window between October 19 and November 20, 2025.  This timeline reinforces the notion that the market is merely 60 days away from a potential peak, with historical cycles indicating that the next significant bear market may not occur until 2026. CryptoBirb also outlines the patterns observed during past bear markets, noting that they typically last between 364 and 411 days, with average losses around 66%. If such a scenario plays out, the next bearish phase could see BTC retracing toward $37,000 once again.  Bitcoin Support And Resistance Levels August and September have historically been challenging months for Bitcoin, with average returns dipping significantly. However, October and November are traditionally among the strongest months, aligning perfectly with the anticipated cycle peak. Related Reading: Machine Learning Algorithm Predicts Ethereum Price Will Cross $9,000, Here’s When From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin’s current price sits just above key support levels, with the weekly chart indicating a mean-based support of $97,094 and a critical resistance level at $117,058. The analyst advised monitoring these key price levels closely in the coming weeks, as movements below $110,000 could signal a bearish trend. BTC is currently holding just above this support floor after increased volatility. Despite this, on-chain metrics remain relatively healthy, with mining costs around $97,124 and no immediate signs of capitulation. Although recent exchange-traded fund (ETF) flows have shown outflows, the overall market structure suggests a cautious optimism.  To conclude, CryptoBirb notes that while the current sentiment may be mixed, the convergence of cycle mathematics, Halving events, and historical seasonality suggests that the market could be gearing up for a significant finale in the fourth quarter.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com