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In one of the most striking moments of this cycle, gold has lost trillions in market capitalization, a drawdown larger than the entire value of Bitcoin itself. The metal that once symbolized stability is now showing cracks, while BTC, the asset branded as volatile, has remained remarkably resilient. What It Means For Bitcoin Next Market Cycle For decades, gold has been hailed as the ultimate safe-haven, and it has been rock-solid. However, a seasoned financial analyst, Tom Tucker, has revealed on X that Gold, the world’s oldest store of value, has lost $2.5 trillion in market value, which is more than the entire Bitcoin market capitalization.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Supercycle? Jeff Park Says Gold’s $1 Trillion Gains Could Spark It Meanwhile, the crypto Fear and Greed Index is flashing extreme fear, signaling that sentiment across digital assets is near panic levels. Tom Tucker warns that traders should stay cautious, as BTC could follow the gold path. CryptoMichNL, the CIO and Founder of MNFund and MNCapital, has observed that gold has printed a harsh move, as it corrected by more than 8% in a single day. At the same time, Bitcoin moved up massively, but later gave back most of its gains. According to CryptoMichNL, this turbulence in gold is not a lasting trend. The volatility of gold is extremely high, which is a direct consequence of its status as a massive outlier with an incredible parabolic run over recent months. If gold has indeed topped out, that would open the door for capital rotation towards other assets. However, a soft Consumer Price Index (CPI) print on the horizon should trigger the potential rate cuts and the end of the US government shutdown. Otherwise, BTC’s consolidation might start running as risk-on appetite. Why Bitcoin Will Extend Above Its Recent Consolidation Historically, Gold has seen sharp drawdowns. Senior Analyst at CoinDesk and Advisor at Coinsilium Group and ForzaBitcoin, James Van Straten, explained that the last significant gold correction took place in August 2020. On August 6, gold hit an all-time high of $2,035, only to drop 5% on August 11, and then enter a 20% correction that lasted roughly seven months.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Has Taken Gold’s Role In Today’s World, Eric Trump Says During that same period, Bitcoin was consolidating below $10,000 before surging to new highs that year, a move largely fueled by COVID-19-era stimulus, which acted as a powerful accelerant. Fast forward to today, James Van Straten believes that as BTC’s current phase is consolidating above $100,000, it may extend mid-cycle. This is due to strong parallels that gold has once again entered a significant correction, crypto liquidation events, the specter of a US government shutdown, looming rate cuts, and AI-driven capex expenditure, which continues to shape market sentiment and liquidity dynamics. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

The Bitcoin supply in profit has seen a sharp decline amid the latest crypto market crash. This has raised concerns that BTC could suffer a further crash, as holders who are in the red may move to offload their coins.  Bitcoin Supply In Profit Drops Amid Market Crash On-chain analytics platform Glassnode revealed in a report that the Bitcoin supply in profit has historically dropped to around 85%, with 15% of the supply sitting at a loss. This has occurred whenever the BTC price breaks down from a new all-time high (ATH) and trades around the short-term holders’ cost basis, as is happening now.  Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Supercycle Still In Play? Wave 3 Tells A Story Of A Surge Glassnode noted that this marks a pivotal phase for Bitcoin, as this is where the market tests the conviction of investors who had bought near recent highs. This pattern is said to be playing out for the third time in this current cycle. The on-chain analytics platform warned that if BTC fails to recover above the $113,100 range, a deeper contraction could send a larger share of the Bitcoin supply into loss.  Glassnode further stated that this deeper contraction could amplify the stress among recent Bitcoin buyers, which could set the stage for a broader capitulation across the market. The platform also alluded to the Supply Quantile Cost Basis to explain why it is essential for BTC to reclaim the short-term holders’ cost basis above $113,000.  Bitcoin is said to be struggling to hold above the 0.85 quantile at $108,600. Failure to hold this has historically indicated structural market weakness and often preceded deeper corrections toward the 0.75 quantile, which now aligns near $97,500. This puts BTC at risk of dropping below $100,000 for the first time since May.  A Longer Consolidation Phase May Be Necessary Glassnode stated that from a macro perspective, the repeated demand exhaustion suggests that Bitcoin may require a longer consolidation phase to rebuild strength. This exhaustion is said to be clearer with the Long-Term Holder Spend Volume. These long-term holders have increased their spending with the 30D-SMA rising from the 10,000 BTC baseline to over 22,000 BTC daily since the market peak in July.  Related Reading: Is Bitcoin About To See A Repeat Of 2020-2021? What Happened After The Last Flash Crash Glassnode noted that such persistent distribution indicates profit-taking from seasoned investors, which has contributed to the current Bitcoin weakness. Bitcoin OGs have continued to offload their coins at an unprecedented rate, putting significant selling pressure on BTC. Onchain Lens recently revealed that a particular whale moved 3,003 BTC to Binance, likely in a bid to sell, while also shorting BTC with a position worth $227 million. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $108,800, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin hovered near the mid-$100,000s on Thursday, Oct. 23, as Standard Chartered’s global head of digital assets research Geoffrey Kendrick warned that a move below $100,000 by this weekend “seems inevitable”—while adding that any break could be fleeting the last last time bitcoin is ever below six figures. The remarks, delivered in a mid-week client note and shared by The Block, frame a tactical pullback inside a still-intact macro bull thesis the bank has championed for months. Last-Ever Bitcoin Dip Under $100,000 Ahead Kendrick’s message juxtaposes near-term caution with longer-term conviction. In the same research cycle where Standard Chartered reiterated a target of $200,000 by year-end—hinging on ETF demand, corporate treasury uptake, and a friendlier policy backdrop—the strategist has now flagged an air-pocket toward sub-$100,000 as the market digests October’s sell-off and a tepid bounce. “A decline below $100,000 now appears ‘inevitable,’” Kendrick said on Wednesday, while stressing that any dip should be short-lived and likely the “last-ever chance to buy BTC for less than six figures.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Cycle Top Still Not In, Suggests NVT Golden Cross The recalibration follows an early-October swing that saw bitcoin fail to hold above its recent local high—Kendrick cited the Oct. 10 risk-off break and the absence of a strong reflex rally—shifting the bank’s focus to where the market bottoms rather than whether it immediately resumes trend. In the latest note, Kendrick pointed to a handful of signposts for a base-building phase, including monitoring capital rotation between gold and bitcoin and the trajectory of US dollar liquidity and quantitative tightening. He also observed that bitcoin has respected its 50-week moving average since early 2023, a level he views as an important longer-duration line in the sand. The near-term crosscurrents complicate, but do not upend, Standard Chartered’s cycle map. As recently as July 2, the bank told clients it expected the largest dollar rally on record in the second half of 2025, with bitcoin at $200,000 by Dec. 31. That framing—ETF inflows, corporate balance-sheet adoption, and regulatory normalization as the dominant drivers—remains the core of Kendrick’s upside case, even as he concedes that a brief trip under $100,000 is now probable. “The decline could mark the last time to ever buy BTC for six figures,” the latest dispatch emphasized. Related Reading: Bitcoin Could Crash 50%, Pushing MSTR ‘Underwater,’ Legendary Trader Warns Market context is aligned with the cautionary near-term tone. Over the past two weeks, bitcoin has shed roughly ten percent, with spot trading today around $108,000 as liquidity thins into the weekend and macro sensitivity to policy headlines remains elevated. What matters from here is whether the confirmation signals Kendrick highlighted begin to line up. A decisive improvement in dollar liquidity conditions, sustained evidence of rotation back into bitcoin at the expense of gold, and preservation of higher-timeframe trend structures would validate the “last time below $100,000” claim. Absent those, a deeper retracement cannot be ruled out, but that scenario would represent a deviation from the bank’s published roadmap rather than its base case. For now, Standard Chartered’s message is unambiguous: brace for a dip under six figures, but treat it—quoting Kendrick directly—as “the last-ever chance to buy BTC for less than six figures,” provided the medium-term catalysts reassert. At press time, BTC traded at $109,953. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

According to comments from the creator of the stock-to-flow model, the familiar four-year cycle tied to Bitcoin halvings may no longer be a sure guide for traders. Related Reading: You Want $1K XRP? You’ll Need Iron Nerves — Or ‘Mental Illness’, Analyst Says The analyst — known as PlanB — warned that using just three past cycles to predict future tops is risky, and he said the next peak is not guaranteed to fall 18 months after the last halving in October. Cycle Timing May Vary Widely PlanB told followers that the top could arrive in 2026, or 2027, or even 2028, and that he is more focused on Bitcoin’s average price level than on a single high or low. Reports have disclosed that some market participants believe $126,000 was the peak and expect BTC to slide below $100,000 next year. PlanB called that view “a big misunderstanding,” arguing that three cycles do not form a strong statistical pattern. Bears think $126k was the top, and btc will fall below $100k, and 2026 will be a bear market mainly because … the 4 year cycle!? IMO that is a BIG misunderstanding. Yes, there is a 4y halving cycle that doubles S2F-ratio, and 6 months before until 18 months after a halving was… pic.twitter.com/tehnZ4rRab — PlanB (@100trillionUSD) October 20, 2025 Spot Versus Paper Liquidity According to some experts, the last bull run’s top was driven largely by short-term liquidity in paper derivative markets. Based on reports, they see less of that paper-driven liquidity this cycle, while longer-term spot buying has held up so far. That shift could mean the next major move in price will come from different places than before. Trader Sentiment Shifts With Price Moves Reports show Bitcoin briefly fell below $103,000 last week, sparking worries that a bear market had started. Analysts noted that sentiment changed quickly — traders were hoping for a bounce so they could exit at a decent level. Recent action has been bouncy. Bitcoin dropped more than 3% over a few hours on Tuesday morning Asian trading, slipping to about $107,000 before finding support near $108,000. No Clear Phase Transition Yet PlanB said he has not seen a clear “phase transition” for Bitcoin in this cycle. That means either the big institutional-driven jump is still ahead, or the market has moved toward a steadier price regime shaped by funds, mandates, and rebalancing. Both possibilities, he argued, could be positive for Bitcoin over time because they imply different forms of lasting demand. Related Reading: The XRP Shockwave Will Hit When No One’s Watching—Analyst Short-term volatility has kept traders on edge. Even when price recovers, the mood can flip fast. Based on reports, crypto markets still need stronger fundamentals or sustained flows to calm nerves and push prices higher for a longer stretch. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView

Veteran chartist Peter Brandt ignited a fresh technical debate on X after publishing two annotated charts—one of today’s Bitcoin daily bars, the other of Chicago Board of Trade soybeans from 1977—arguing that the cryptocurrency may be carving out a broadening top akin to the historical commodity pattern that preceded a 50% collapse. “In 1977 Soybeans formed a broadening top and then declined 50% in value,” Brandt wrote. “Bitcoin today is forming a similar pattern. A 50% decline in $BTC will put MSTR underwater. Whether I am right or wrong, you have to admit this old guy has the gonads to make big calls.” What This Means For Bitcoin Price Brandt’s side-by-side comparative overlay is central to his thesis. The soybean chart marks an “Ascending Megaphone” that resolved sharply lower, while his current Bitcoin chart shows an expanding range bounded by rising upper and lower trendlines with a highlighted “sell zone” near the mid-range around $114,800. While the upper boundary sits just above $125,000, the lower trendline now tracks a descending band around $102,000–$100,000. Related Reading: CryptoQuant’s Moreno Eyes Bitcoin At $195,000 If This Happens The BTC panel also includes short-term moving averages (8-period and 18-period) and a modestly elevated ADX reading, capturing a market that has been volatile within a widening corridor rather than trending cleanly. On Brandt’s rendering, recent bounces have stalled beneath a horizontal resistance band, consistent with the “sell zone” annotation. The post triggered immediate pushback from pattern specialists, most notably Francis Hunt (TheMarketSniper), who argued that the similarity is superficial because the direction of the megaphone matters. “If you have #HVFmethod you would notice whilst the broadening structures look the same. The Soybeans was an Ascending Megaphone on a bull trend => Bearish. Bitcoin is a Descending structure on a bull trend, eventually => Bullish. Place a splitter between each for net gradient.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Price 60% Crash To $50,000 Coming? Why All Roads Point To A Decline Brandt, who has a long record of public calls across FX, commodities, and crypto, framed his view as a live hypothesis rather than a certainty, adding an important nuance a few hours later: “I am a Bayesian. I deal in possibilities, not probabilities and certainly not certainties. At any given time I have binary TA and macro narratives playing in my head — $250k Bitcoin or $60k Bitcoin. I consider all possibilities and look for asymmetrical bets in either direction.” He also acknowledged the alternative read from Hunt: “I’ll be first to admit you could be right. I am willing to go with it in either direction. If BTC goes up I want to be long, if it goes down I want to be short.” At the heart of Brandt’s warning is second-order exposure: Strategy (MSTR), the business-intelligence firm that has accumulated the world’s largest Bitcoin treasury, would, in his words, be “underwater” if BTC fell by half from current levels. The firm’s average acquisition price is currently about $74,010 per BTC (inclusive of fees and expenses), based on the company’s latest disclosure this week putting total holdings at 640,418 BTC for roughly $47.4 billion. At press time, BTC traded at $107,998. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Following a significant rally, the valuation of gold has begun to decline. Meanwhile, Bitcoin (BTC) appears to be experiencing a slight capital rotation towards it, as evidenced by Tuesday’s price performance, which led to a recovery of the $112,000 mark. In this context, asset manager Bitwise has released a new report that outlines promising price prospects for the market’s leading cryptocurrency, despite the challenges it has faced over the past few weeks. How Gold’s Rise Fuels Bitcoin Opportunities Authored by Andre Dragosch, Max Shannon, and Aayush Tripathi from Bitwise Europe’s research and analysis department, the report highlights that crypto prices have been underperforming compared to traditional assets, largely due to a bearish market sentiment triggered by renewed weaknesses in US regional bank stocks.  The report emphasizes the fluctuating relative performance of Bitcoin against gold, which tends to vary with changes in cross-asset risk appetite. A renewed risk-on environment could potentially reaffirm Bitcoin’s leadership in performance over gold.  Related Reading: Bear Market Alert: Top Expert Claims Bitcoin Price Fate Hangs On $101,700 Support Level A key catalyst for Bitcoin’s recovery over the coming months could stem from this capital rotation. Gold has experienced a meteoric rise this year, driven by expectations of easier monetary policy and growing concerns regarding US fiscal debt.  According to Bitwise, even a modest capital rotation of just 3% to 4% from gold to Bitcoin could significantly impact the cryptocurrency’s price, potentially doubling its value, as seen in the chart below. Interestingly, a 5% shift in investments from gold to Bitcoin could increase its price by over 126%, propelling it to $242,391. This is based on a baseline price of $107,240, which is Bitcoin’s price at the time of Bitwise’s publication. Why Is $118,000 Key For BTC’s Outlook? Historical patterns suggest that Bitcoin’s performance leadership may reassert itself during a risk-on phase. This potential shift is not merely speculative; the report points out that a similar trend occurred in 2020, when Bitcoin began its ascent to new all-time highs in October, coinciding with a stall in gold’s rally that began in July. The analysts believe this performance pattern could repeat itself, particularly if gold’s rally pauses. They highlight that sustaining gold’s rally typically requires a significantly larger capital influx compared to Bitcoin, which could create headwinds for gold’s continued performance. Related Reading: Solana Co-Founder Ventures Into Perpetual DEX Development: What You Should Know Lastly, on-chain analysis reveals a robust liquidity cluster between $93,000 and $118,000, forming a critical boundary between bull and bear market conditions. The report suggests that a decisive move above the upper end of this range at $118,000 could result in a new price rally.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin’s weekly chart shows promising signs of strength as the RSI continues to climb, hinting at the potential for further upside. However, the battle isn’t over yet. With price hovering near the critical $107,000 support, bulls must defend this level to prevent deeper downside pressure. RSI And Price Alignment: A Textbook Case Of Momentum Confirmation In a recent market update, EGRAG CRYPTO questioned whether the bulls and bears are even analyzing the same chart, as the current macro weekly structure of Bitcoin shows no signs of bearishness. The broader setup remains firmly bullish, suggesting that the ongoing price movements are part of a healthy uptrend. Related Reading: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Eyes $114,000 Retest Amid Bounce, But Analyst Suggests Caution The analyst emphasized that when Bitcoin’s price and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) rise simultaneously on the weekly timeframe, it serves as a confirmation of momentum rather than a warning sign. This alignment often signals strong buying interest and market conviction, supporting the argument for continued bullish pressure in the near to mid-term. EGRAG CRYPTO further highlighted that the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ribbon remains supportive, reinforcing the trend’s strength. In the expert’s view, the current setup is a clear indication of macro confirmation, not mere market noise. Such alignment between indicators typically precedes significant continuation phases, showing that the trend remains well-structured and sustainable. However, the expert added a note of caution, stating that traders should only be wary if the RSI climbs into overbought territory above 70, which could suggest a temporary cooldown. For now, with RSI hovering around 50, Bitcoin still has plenty of room to run. This leaves the market with a strong technical foundation and considerable potential for further upside momentum. Bitcoin Faces Rejection At $111,000: Bulls Lose Grip On Momentum According to Crypto VIP Signal’s latest analysis, Bitcoin is currently facing challenges after failing to sustain its upward momentum above $111,000. The rejection from this point suggests that selling pressure remains strong, keeping bullish momentum temporarily in check. Related Reading: Bitcoin On-Chain Activity Slumps Below 365-Day Average – Is Momentum Losing Steam? Crypto VIP explained that Bitcoin is now retesting the $107,000 support zone, a critical area that could determine the next possible move. Holding this level is essential to prevent a deeper pullback, as it has served as a key foundation during previous consolidation phases. However, a decisive break below the $107,000 support would likely trigger additional selling pressure, potentially extending the ongoing correction. Monitoring this level closely now appears important, since a bounce from here could reignite bullish sentiment, while a breakdown might expose Bitcoin to further downside risks in the short term. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

The concept of a price battleground in Bitcoin markets refers to a critical price range where the forces of buying and selling pressure are in a fierce and decisive contest. This is where the outcome is expected to determine BTC’s overall direction and confirm a continuation of a bull market or bear market correction. Why This Zone Will Define Bitcoin’s Next Expansion Phase In an X post, an institutional-grade reporter, Bitcoin Vector, has highlighted that BTC has entered its decisive battleground between $110,000 and $115,000, which could determine the trajectory of the entire cycle. In the past week, spot demand, which is the engine of sustained rallies, was notably weak and capped by the escalating US-China trade tensions. Related Reading: Bitcoin Enters ‘Disbelief Phase’ – Could Short Sellers Face The Next Squeeze? As those tensions eased, that spot demand showed signs of returning, allowing BTC to claw its way back above the critical $110,000 level. Despite recovery back into the battleground, momentum remains negative and flat. Without sustained inflow and spot demand, the bullish structure could fade fast, leaving BTC exposed to another pullback. However, if demand holds and momentum turns up, BTC advances deeper into the battleground. A failure to maintain this range and BTC may risk retreating again and raising the white flag. A full-time crypto trader, Sykodelic, has also offered a highly optimistic prediction that Bitcoin will be back to an All-Time High (ATH) by the end of the month. The market is still in uncertainty and fear, where BTC thrives for its next leg higher. This is the stage of the cycle where disbelief dominates. As a result, traders convince themselves the rally is over, and that’s when BTC starts to move again. By the time BTC approaches its previous highs, traders will finally believe again, which often happens when another long flush clears out late entrants. Technically, BTC price is moving back above the 4-hour 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). Each time, Bitcoin successfully retests this level as support, the price continues to expand higher. “I think the worst is behind us,” Sykodelic noted. The Supply Battle That Shapes The Next Cycle The current Bitcoin market is in a supply tug-of-war between two powerful forces. According to the ambassador of MGBX_EN, BitBull, long-term holders (LTHs) have been constantly offloading their coins, while institutions are aggressively absorbing the supply through Spot ETFs and Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs).  Related Reading: Bitcoin Profit-Taking Hits $2.25 Billion Following Market Crash — What Could This Mean? Meanwhile, the treasury holdings have quietly surpassed $120 billion, with BTC still dominating the stack. Spot ETFs alone have absorbed tens of thousands of coins this quarter, proving that institutional demand remains strong. However, LTHs are still selling faster than ETFs, and DATs can absorb. Historically, when this kind of accelerated LTH distribution occurs, BTC tends to lose short-term momentum.  This is not a bearish setup, but it does imply that the upside remains temporarily capped until the selling pressure fades. Thus, institutions are buying the strength, not the bottoms. Ultimately, the next major breakout hinges on when long-term holders stop distributing and return to accumulation mode. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Economist and former forex analyst Moonchaser is explaining why expectations of the XRP price reaching $100,000 are not realistic. According to Moonchaser, many XRP fans misunderstand how market value works by claiming that XRP has no market cap. The economist highlighted that XRP, like any other asset or cryptocurrency, is affected by supply, demand, and liquidity. Economist Explains The Reality Behind Price Reaching $100,000 Moonchaser, who studied economics and previously worked as a forex analyst, says that some people in the XRP community believe the token can reach extreme prices because they think it has “no market cap.” This idea, Moonchaser explains, is built on a misunderstanding of how currencies are valued and traded in real-world markets. In their view, economic principles apply equally to all assets, whether they are fiat money, commodities, or digital tokens. Related Reading: Dogecoin 3rd Cycle Explosion: Analyst Revels The Only Difference From Last Two Cycles Using the U.S. dollar as an example, Moonchaser notes that every currency has a measurable total value based on the amount in circulation and its global trade. The dollar’s value changes daily because of the balance between supply, demand, and liquidity. The same rule applies to the XRP price, which also trades across international markets and follows the same market laws. It means that XRP’s price is not free from limits and cannot simply rise endlessly based on belief or community hype. Moonchaser stresses that ignoring these realities creates unrealistic expectations within the XRP community. According to them, calling XRP a “currency” does not make it limitless in value; instead, XRP functions within the same market framework that governs all other financial assets. XRP Can’t Overtake Bitcoin Due To Market Structure In their post, Moonchaser further explains that market capitalization, which is price multiplied by circulating supply, applies to every form of tradable asset. Whether it’s fiat money, gold, or a digital coin, traders can always calculate the total market value. XRP is no exception to this rule. The economist points out that XRP has a measurable circulating supply and a price that moves through normal market discovery, where the balance between buyers and sellers directly determines its potential value, not wishful thinking. “Currency does not mean a capless asset,” Moonchaser says, reminding traders that every market has structure and limits. Related Reading: Why The Dogecoin Price Could Still Hit A 600% Rally To Send It Above $1.5 Moonchaser emphasizes that their comments do not spread fear or negativity toward XRP. Instead, they want XRP investors to understand the realistic economic structure behind its price movement. XRP’s market position depends on measurable data, not speculation about infinite growth. The economist concludes that this is not FUD—it is simply market reality based on economics. Through this explanation, Moonchaser helps the XRP community see that price growth depends on genuine demand and market behavior, not dreams of capless value. While XRP continues to be an essential player in digital finance, the idea of it reaching $100,000 or surpassing Bitcoin remains far from economic reality. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto analyst Captain Faibik has predicted that the Bitcoin price could crash to as low as $50,000, representing a 60% crash for the flagship crypto. The analyst explained why he has turned bearish on BTC, while declaring that the bull run is over.  Why The Bitcoin Price Could Crash To $50,000 In an X post, Captain Faibik shared an accompanying chart which showed that the Bitcoin price could crash to $50,000 from its current level. This came as the analyst stated that he is turning bearish on BTC for the mid-term. He further remarked that the bull run is over and that now late buyers are getting trapped.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Open Interest Hits Lowest Level In 2025, Is A Pump Or Crash Coming Next? Captain Faibik went on to note that the Bitcoin price is still moving inside the rising wedge, trading above the weekly MA50 while bulls remain in control for now. However, he warned that the structure is weakening and momentum is fading. Notably, the analyst had earlier mentioned a possible correction toward the $100,000 level, which remains a possibility with BTC trading close to this range.  The Bitcoin price has continued to show signs of weakness since hitting a new all-time high (ATH) above $126,000 earlier in the month. Rising trade tensions between the U.S. and China have contributed to the recent declines in BTC. The flagship crypto again dropped yesterday after Trump threatened to impose a 155% tariff on China if they do not reach a trade deal by November 1.  Meanwhile, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto also indicated that the Bitcoin price may be topping out. This came as the analyst revealed that a BTC monthly LMACD cross was happening. The analyst noted that historically, these crosses have marked the beginning of the bear phase or a major cycle top. However, he added that this is still not confirmed as the monthly candle hasn’t closed yet.  The BTC Top Is Not Yet In Crypto analyst CrediBULL Crypto recently asserted that the cycle top is not yet in and that the Bitcoin price will reach $150,000 before the cycle is over. He explained that the rate of ascent should increase at an increasing rate into the final 5th subwave, which will make the blow off top. The analyst added that this implies that all impulses moving forward will be more aggressive than the ones prior.  Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Price Is Ready To Surge: ‘We Would Already Be Below $108,000 If The Crash Wasn’t Over’ CrediBULL Crypto further stated that the Bitcoin price is currently in subwave 2 of the final 5th wave after completing the impulsive subwave 1, which took it from $74,000 to $112,000. He predicted that subwave 2 should bottom between the current level and $74,000, which is the higher timeframe invalidation.  Meanwhile, he explained that the measured move of the 1st subwave was $37,500. As such, a fair assumption is that the 3rd and 5th waves will be larger, which implies a minimum target of $150,000 for the Bitcoin price by the end of the cycle.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $107,600, down over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin’s violent futures deleveraging earlier this month reset market positioning but did not break the broader bull trend, according to Julio Moreno, Head of Research at CryptoQuant. Speaking on the Milk Road podcast on October 20, Moreno argued that the path to fresh highs remains open if spot demand stabilizes and the macro overhang from US–China tariff negotiations clears. The key inflection he’s watching is Bitcoin reclaiming its on-chain traders’ realized price near $115,000. “The resistance will be around $115K,” he said. “If the price goes above that… the range that we could expect is $150–$195K. To the downside… it’s around like $100K.” Bitcoin Bull Run Is Reset Moreno characterized the October 10 deleveraging as the largest dollar liquidation in the history of Bitcoin and Ethereum perpetuals, with roughly $20 billion in open interest wiped out in a single day as total OI fell from an all-time high near $78 billion to around $58 billion, later hovering closer to $56 billion. He noted that in unit terms the event was “a little bit short of the FTX liquidations,” but emphasized that the dollar magnitude reflected today’s larger derivatives base, not a structural break. The relative resilience of spot price—Bitcoin “only got to… $110,000” that day, after a wick to “103,000” two days prior—underscored, in his view, that demand and the cycle’s price floor sit well above prior cycles even amid forced unwinds. “It doesn’t put you in a bearish market,” Moreno said, adding that buyers still absorbed supply quickly enough to avert a trend break. Related Reading: Bitcoin Enters ‘Disbelief Phase’ – Could Short Sellers Face The Next Squeeze? CryptoQuant’s composite “bull score” of ten on-chain indicators had already rolled over before the crash, dropping from roughly 80 to 40 by October 6 as momentum cooled and spot demand began to contract. After the liquidation, the score slid toward 20, which Moreno described as “on the bearish side right now.” He stressed that on-chain metrics are not price predictors so much as risk gauges: “It’s going to signal to you the risks… when all these metrics… converge into telling you there’s increasing risks, then it’s when you have to be more careful.” Several datapoints pointed to a market that was stretched into the shock. Total crypto open interest set a record near $78 billion just before the event, a classic over-leverage tell. Profit-taking surged above $3 billion in early October as spot neared the prior all-time high in the $124K–$126K zone, fitting CryptoQuant’s “profit–pause–push” framework in which aggressive realization precedes cooling. Moreno also highlighted that spot demand flipped from growth to contraction around October 6—days before tariff headlines and the liquidation—helping explain why the risk backdrop was deteriorating even without the macro spark. “We were starting to see some high profit taking… not only because of the macro events,” he said. Who’s Selling, Who’s Buying Bitcoin? The compositional flow of coins during the drawdown supports the view of a rotation rather than a structural buyer strike. Moreno said “OG” whales and early miners—an aggregate cohort he estimates hold roughly 600,000 BTC excluding Satoshi—resumed distribution as prices pushed past $100K, a recurring dynamic in every cycle as supply migrates to new hands. Institutional demand, by contrast, remained steady. Related Reading: Bear Market Alert: Top Expert Claims Bitcoin Price Fate Hangs On $101,700 Support Level Because ETF custodial wallets often bucket between 100 and 1,000 BTC per address for security, CryptoQuant tracks that “dolphins” cohort as a proxy. “That cohort… is still buying,” Moreno said, adding that whales increased their accumulation “during this correction,” with year-over-year holdings expanding “above trend.” Liquidity conditions corroborate the bid: stablecoin market caps, led by USDT, continued to expand through the drawdown, a pattern he would not expect “if we are… in a bear market.” Altcoins were far more fragile around the shock. Transactions sending altcoins to exchanges spiked to year-to-date highs during the liquidation, signaling a scramble for exits across low-liquidity names. Moreno cautioned that this cycle has been notably selective across sectors rather than a blanket “alt season,” and reiterated a theme that has become more obvious in 2025: robust protocol activity and fee generation no longer translate mechanically into token outperformance without explicit economic linkage. “Even if the protocol is doing well doesn’t necessarily mean that the token is going to do well,” he said. What To Expect From Q4 And 2026 Macro remains the wild card for Q4. Moreno believes rate-cut expectations are largely embedded—“the market already… has priced what the Fed will do”—and that only an unexpectedly large cut would be a fresh positive catalyst. By contrast, the US–China tariff trajectory is front-and-center. “If we get that out of the way then… a really positive Q4 can resume,” he said, noting that tariff headlines were the proximate trigger for October’s deleveraging and were also behind a sharper demand contraction back in March–May. Until clarity returns and spot demand re-accelerates, he expects chop around well-defined levels. That leaves Bitcoin boxed between a tactical resistance and a psychological floor. Moreno pegs the traders’ on-chain realized price near $115,000 as first resistance and the $100,000 area—where short-term holders sit on roughly a 10% unrealized loss—as the downside line where forced selling typically abates in bull markets. A decisive reclaim of $115K would, in his model, validate a run toward $150,000–$195,000. “We’re not that far… from the previous all-time high,” he said, adding that new highs in Q4 are plausible if the tariff overhang resolves. As for the cycle peak, he leans against an extended mania deep into 2026 or 2027, citing CryptoQuant’s diminishing-intensity bull readout even as price has risen. “I would not expect… more than Q1 2026,” he said, with the caveat that timing tops remains guesswork. “Probably we all are going to be wrong.” At press time, BTC traded at $108,187. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

After finishing up its crash over the weekend, the Bitcoin price seems to be stabilizing as market sentiment starts to move positively once again. However, this has not done much to eliminate the bearish expectations that have erupted following the October 10 liquidation event. As opposed to the expectations that the Bitcoin price will see a recovery bounce that sends it to new all-time highs, crypto pundit MMBTrader has revealed what they call the ‘Whale Buy Zone’ to snap up some ‘cheap’ Bitcoin. Wait For The Bitcoin Price To Crash Below $90,000 Presently, the Bitcoin price is still trending above $100,000 and has held this psychological level even through the multiple crashes that have rocked the crypto market. This constitutes an over 10% crash from the $126,000 all-time high that was recorded back in early October. Related Reading: $536M In Sell Pressure: Why Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices Crashed Despite the decline below $108,000, crypto analyst MMBTrader tells investors that this may not be the best time to actually buy the cryptocurrency. Instead, they advise that investors wait to buy ‘cheap’ Bitcoin at the levels when the whales will be likely to start buying the cryptocurrency again. This whale buy zone is placed below $90,000 and could be as low as $87,000 before support is established. The reasoning behind this is that the Bitcoin price will be trending near the 0.38 and 0.5 Fibonacci levels, which is historically when the Bitcoin price corrections have usually ended. From here, the price is likely to start moving upward with all of the whale buying boosting its momentum. Newer traders entering the market are expected to actually panic and sell their tokens for a between 15% and 40% loss before exiting the market. Then, the Bitcoin price is likely to pump after these weak hands have exited, and the analyst expects that BTC will then put in a new all-time high around $130,000-$140,000. Once this happens, then the newer traders who exited are expecting to start FOMO buying again, with the cycle expected to repeat itself. At this point, investors who bought below $90,000 will be seeing a notable profit on their investments. Stay Sharp And Stick To A Strategy Amid all of this, the crypto analyst advises investors to stick to their strategy and strict risk management when trading cryptocurrencies. The Bitcoin price often moves based on market news, but it is hard to tell what direction each news would take the price in, and it is best to stick to the established strategy long before the news and to set stop loss and take profit levels. Related Reading: XRP Price To Crash 40%? Analyst Reveals Worst-Case Scenario MMBTrader also advises about panic buying and selling due to news. Instead, focus on having a good mindset regardless of how a trade goes. This is regardless of whether a trade ended in a win or a loss; it is important to maintain the right mindset. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin is trading around $107,000 after its recent flash crash, maintaining stability to prevent further decline but is yet to return to trading above $110,000. Notably, popular crypto analyst Titan of Crypto shared a detailed Gaussian Channel analysis on X that points to Bitcoin’s macro bull structure remaining intact despite short-term volatility. His post, which was accompanied by a Bitcoin price chart, shows how Bitcoin’s position relative to the Gaussian Channel offers a clear view of the ongoing cycle. Related Reading: Michael Saylor Issues Rally Cry To Bitcoin Army: “Starve The Bears!” Bull Market Intact Above Gaussian Channel Titan of Crypto noted that Bitcoin’s placement above the Gaussian Channel represents strength in the long-term trend. As shown in the weekly candlestick price chart below, the green channel corresponds to bullish phases, while red regions represent bearish downturns, a prime example being the 2022 bear market.  At the time of writing, the upper band is positioned around $101,300 and trending upward. Therefore, Bitcoin’s price action around $107,000 means that it is yet to break into the Gaussian channel and its overall market structure is still solid. From this, it can be inferred that Bitcoin’s current pullback from the October 6 all-time high above $126,000 is only a temporary pause within a larger bull market. Bitcoin Gaussian Channel. Source: Titan of Crypto on X However, although the Gaussian Channel reading looks favorable, Titan of Crypto noted that the indicator should not be treated as a trading trigger. “It’s not a buy signal, it’s a macro context indicator,” he stated. Being above the Gaussian Channel doesn’t necessarily equate to buying more. It simply means the bull market structure is still intact.  The Gaussian Channel works best when combined with other indicators such as trading volume, moving averages, and on-chain accumulation trends to confirm directional momentum. Coinbase Premium Gap Turns Red Speaking of other indicators, on-chain data from CryptoQuant shows that the Coinbase Premium Gap, a metric comparing Bitcoin’s price on Coinbase versus other exchanges, has turned red. As shown in the chart below, Coinbase’s Premium Gap went on a sharp decline from positive premium levels above +60 earlier in the week to as low as -40 when the Bitcoin price fell to $101,000. Bitcoin: Coinbase Premium Gap Interestingly, the Coinbase Premium Gap has increased to around -10 at the time of writing, meaning US investors are starting to turn bullish again. This can be seen as a bullish signal, as similar dips in US demand were recorded between March and April before the Bitcoin price eventually rallied more than 60% to reach new all-time highs. Related Reading: Bitcoin Plunges To $105k As Investors Shift To Gold After Crypto Carnage However, a red Coinbase Premium Gap alone is not decisive. It should be interpreted alongside other data points, including ETF inflows, trading volume, liquidity, and derivatives funding rates. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $107,120. Featured image from Vecteezy, chart from TradingView

The price performance of Bitcoin over the past two weeks has been a major source of concern, as the coin’s value continues to drift away (about 15% down now) from its all-time high. As the flagship cryptocurrency slows down, the latest on-chain data suggests that a group of investors is exiting the market en masse. More Short-Term Holders Are Giving Up Their Holdings In an October 18 post on the X platform, on-chain analyst Darkfost revealed that a significant number of Bitcoin’s short-term investors have started to close their positions and realize their losses. Related Reading: Altcoins Selling Pressure Persists As Exchange Inflow Hits 2025 High — Details Darkfost’s analysis was hinged on the Net Realized Profit/Loss metric, which tracks the net amount (in USD) of profits or losses that are realized on-chain. This metric measures the net profit or loss on a daily basis, averaged, in this case, over seven days. It provides insight into whether more investors are selling at losses or with their heads still above water.. According to the crypto pundit, the realized losses of BTC investors have surged to an approximate level as high as $750 million per day, one of the highest levels this current cycle has seen. Interestingly, Darkfost explained that the magnitude of these capitulation events stands easily comparable to those seen during the 2024 summer correction. What’s worth noting about this capitulation phase is what may likely follow. According to the analyst, events like this usually precede local bottoms. What this means is that after short-term holders (known as the “weak hands”) have surrendered their holdings to the more-confident long-term holders (the “diamond hands”), the cryptocurrency stands a chance of seeing a price rebound — an expectation in congruence with historical trends. However, on the more cautious side, Darkfost offered a subtle warning that the dreary opposite could also be the case in a situation where the market stands at an early bearish phase.  Bitcoin Whales Might Be Accumulating Again Supporting the positive redistribution theory, a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform by Abramchart offers a glimmer of hope for Bitcoin market participants. Referencing the Inflows To Accumulation Addresses (Dynamic Cohort) metric, the analyst highlighted a significant inflow of more than 26,500 BTC into whale accumulation wallets.  When large amounts of Bitcoin — such as this magnitude — are moved, it usually signals an underlying institutional or whale accumulation, as coins are typically transferred from exchanges to these wallets for long-term holding.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Cycle Score Turns Negative With Trend Below $106,780 – When Will The Correction End? Following historical patterns, it is very likely that this accumulation event will precede a continued bullish expansion of the flagship cryptocurrency. As Abramchart explained, this trend all serves as a hint that smart money is “quietly buying the dip.” As of this writing, Bitcoin holds a valuation of about $106,870, with no significant movement seen over the past 24 hours. Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s weekly chart is at a pivotal point, with price action hovering around key structural levels. Traders are now questioning whether the current move marks the start of a deeper correction or just a healthy consolidation before the next leg up. Elliott Wave Signals Align With Developing Correction Elliott Waves Academy, in its latest analysis tracking Bitcoin’s expected wave path on the weekly timeframe, has raised a key question: has the corrective wave begun? The recent market structure indicates that the bullish leg has likely completed, and the price may now be transitioning into a corrective phase. A critical support level of the prior upward wave has been broken, hinting at a potential wave reversal in progress. Related Reading: Bitcoin On-Chain Activity Slumps Below 365-Day Average – Is Momentum Losing Steam? The evidence for this transition grows stronger when observing the break below the lower boundary of the diagonal pattern and the final price channel. Both of these structures previously acted as strong supports during Bitcoin’s impulsive climb, and their breakdown now suggests that market control is slowly shifting from buyers to sellers.  Currently, Bitcoin is trading beneath the lower boundary of the price channel, which has flipped into a key resistance zone. As long as the price remains below this zone, bearish sentiment could persist, keeping the market in a cautious state. Despite the weakness, there are signs that the downward sub-wave might be nearing completion. The structure suggests that a short-term upward corrective wave could emerge as the market attempts to stabilize and regain footing.  Expected Outlooks Sharing his expectations, Elliott Waves Academy noted that Bitcoin may continue to consolidate around its current levels as bulls attempt to defend their positions. Such a phase of sideways movement often reflects a period of indecision in the market, where both buyers and sellers are waiting for confirmation before committing to their next major moves.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Structure Points To Healthy Correction Before Next Wave Toward $150,000 However, the Academy cautioned that if signs of weakness begin to emerge near the current resistance zone, the market could face a potential reversal. This shift could trigger renewed bearish pressure, pushing Bitcoin into a deeper corrective leg.  According to the analysis, the correction could extend toward the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels of the previous upward wave. These Fibonacci zones often serve as key areas of support during corrective movements, and a decline into these ranges could provide a more stable foundation for a future bullish reversal.  Ultimately, monitoring price behavior around these crucial levels in the following days will be essential. Whether the market holds firm in consolidation or slips into a deeper retracement, the upcoming movements in these zones could set the tone for the next phase of Bitcoin’s long-term wave cycle. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

After briefly taking on a structure suggesting an imminent recuperation from the October 10 market downturn, the Bitcoin price appears to be heading into the weekend with a clear bearish outlook. According to data from recent on-chain analysis, the world’s largest cryptocurrency still faces an even higher risk of increased bearish pressure, which may lead to a deeper correction over the next few weeks. Binance Records Daily High Of 40 BTC Inflows In an October 17 post on the social media platform X, pseudonymous on-chain analyst Darkfost revealed a shift in the behavior of market participants within Bitcoin’s oldest investor class. Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Price Is Ready To Surge: ‘We Would Already Be Below $108,000 If The Crash Wasn’t Over’ In the post on X, the analyst referenced results from the Binance Exchange Inflow — Spent Output Age Bands metric, which tracks the amount of Bitcoin sent to Binance, and the age of these coins being sent out. In this case, transactions from the long-term holders (based on their age) were tracked. Darkfost explained that the 7-day Moving Average (MA) of these BTC inflows on Binance has seen a rise to 40 BTC per day within just a short period of time. What’s more interesting is that the 7-day MA jumped from around 4 BTC per day to this local high. When compared to previous levels, a sudden rise to about 40 Bitcoins per day could be significant news for the world’s leading cryptocurrency. What This Means For Bitcoin Price Because Bitcoin’s long-term holders hold more than 80 percent of its total supply, their actions across exchanges tend to heavily affect price volatility. Darkfost further explained how recent LTH activity could affect market dynamics. Backed by historical occurrences, the analyst made it clear that increasing inflows of BTC to Binance also point to a potential increase in selling pressure; this is because transfers to exchanges are often associated with selling activity, as they act as mediums for quick sell-offs or profit-taking. Related Reading: Ethereum Correction Over? Binance Funding Rates Signal ETH Surging To $6,800 When long-term holders begin moving their holdings to exchanges, they are known to move them in large quantities, and evidently not without intent. Interestingly, the surge in Binance inflows preceded LTH profit taking — an event which ignited the most recent crash seen by the Bitcoin market, and the simultaneous reintegration into market supply of “ancient BTC.” From the chart shared by Darkfost, the inflow levels seem to be maintaining fairly good levels. While this might be good in the short term, the analyst advised that it would be best to watch out for its upward trend. “Should it continue to accelerate, it could indicate a shift in LTH positioning and potentially mark the beginning of a short-term distribution phase,” the analyst added. As of press time, Bitcoin is valued at approximately $107,085, reflecting an almost 2% decline in the past day. Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

As the week draws to a close, Bitcoin continues to show signs of resilience following its dramatic flash crash to the $101,000 price level last weekend. After days of intense volatility and heavy liquidations across the market, the world’s largest cryptocurrency has managed to stabilize above this level, even reaching as high as $113,400 during the week.  In this context, crypto analyst Tyrex shared a bullish outlook on X, stating that the worst of the downturn is behind and that Bitcoin could soon be gearing up for an upward surge back to $117,000. Bitcoin’s Price Action Reinforces Bottoming Thesis Tyrex believes Bitcoin’s repeated defense of the $108,000 to $105,000 zone is a strong indication that the market has already bottomed out. Throughout the week, price action remained around this critical area despite continued selling pressure. This means there is the presence of a firm support at this level.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Crash Below $100,000 Coming? Factors That Highlight Another Decline The analyst explained that if the correction were still unfolding, Bitcoin would have already slipped below $108,000. Instead, the consistent retest and hold of this range suggests exhaustion of the bearish trend and a setup for a rebound. Such resilience after major drawdowns has often preceded powerful recovery rallies in previous Bitcoin market cycles. According to Tyrex, Bitcoin’s current consolidation phase is forming a base for the next leg higher. He projected that the price could climb toward $117,000 in the coming sessions once short-term resistance levels are cleared. The broader technical structure still favors the bulls, with many traders viewing last weekend’s crash as a reset that flushed out excessive leverage rather than a signal of long-term weakness. Momentum indicators have also begun to flatten out, and we could see renewed buying interest from both retail and institutional traders into the next week. Altcoins To Benefit From Bitcoin’s Strength Tyrex also suggested that the broader crypto market will follow Bitcoin’s lead once it begins to move decisively upward. The majority of altcoins followed Bitcoin’s crash last weekend and plunged massively. Ethereum, Solana, and XRP all fell below support levels as market sentiment soured. Related Reading: Famous Economist Warns That The Bitcoin Price Recovery Is A Dead Cat Bounce, What This Means However, smaller assets are beginning to stabilize alongside Bitcoin, due to confidence among traders expecting the worst to be over. Tyrex warned investors not to misinterpret the ongoing sideways movement as a sign of further decline, noting that “the market already crashed, let it rest.” At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $105,300. Heading into the new weekend, Bitcoin’s ability to close the week above $105,000 could set the stage for a breakout to $111,000 and $117,000. If this scenario unfolds, Tyrex’s projection that the crash has concluded and a new uptrend is forming could soon prove accurate. However, failure to hold above $105,000 could lead to a further downtrend. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

On Friday, the Bitcoin price experienced another flash crash, dipping toward $103,000 from $109,300. While not as alarming as the sharp decline seen on October 10, this latest downturn has ignited fresh speculation regarding the cryptocurrency’s future trajectory.  A Temporary Setback? Comparisons are being made to past market crash events, such as the COVID crash in 2020 and the downturn in May 2021. However, market expert VirtualBacon emphasizes that the current situation is fundamentally different.  The expert noted that in 2020, a widespread collapse affected various assets, including stocks, gold, and Bitcoin. By 2021, Bitcoin was already in a downtrend. In contrast, today, while the Bitcoin price has faced challenges, stocks and gold are holding steady or even rising.  He believes that the recent struggles in the crypto market appear to stem from a unique credit event rather than a broader macroeconomic meltdown, as excessive leverage was wiped out in the process. Related Reading: October 10th Crypto Crash: Expert Foresees New Wave Of Lawsuits Against ‘Manipulators’ Despite the recent volatility, VirtualBacon highlights that Bitcoin’s underlying structure remains healthy. The cryptocurrency recently touched the 20-week moving average and bounced back. Moreover, the 50-week simple moving average, which resides around $102,000, has yet to be breached, even amidst this latest drop.  According to VirtualBacon’s analysis, until the Bitcoin price closes below the $100,000 mark, this downturn should be viewed as a correction within an ongoing bull market rather than a definitive top. Is The Bitcoin Price Poised For A Recovery? Seasonality also plays a role in these trends: October typically sees chop, with altcoins lagging behind Bitcoin, while November and December are often characterized by altcoin rallies.  Despite the recent flush, VirtualBacon asserted that the market dynamics have not fundamentally changed; it may have even accelerated a reset in sentiment, clearing out leverage to return to cycle lows.  Meanwhile, macroeconomic factors are quietly turning bullish. Recent forecasts indicate that two rate cuts are now priced in at 96% for the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings on October 28-29 and December 9-10.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Slips Below $108,000: Peter Schiff Anticipates ‘Brutal’ Bear Market, CZ Responds VirtualBacon outlines a clear plan moving forward: Bitcoin is expected to consolidate between $110,000 and $125,000. A break above the $125,000 to $130,000 range could signal the start of a new altcoin season. Contrastingly, some experts, such as Doctor Profit, express a more pessimistic outlook for the Bitcoin price. He has consistently argued that the crypto prices are merely in the early stages of a bear market, which often begins with a series of false pumps followed by sharp declines, a pattern that aligns with the events of last week.  It remains to be seen which direction the Bitcoin price will take next. For now, the cryptocurrency has recovered slightly from Friday’s drop to around $106,620. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

On October 20, 2025, the crypto market saw a major flash crash that sent Bitcoin down 20%, and altcoins suffered between 50% and 80% losses as a result. Reports from data trackers show that more than $19 billion in leveraged positions were liquidated as a result. This led to the largest liquidation event in the crypto industry up until that point, leading to comparisons and speculations that this could be a repeat of the infamous COVID-19 crash of 2020. What It Means For Bitcoin And Crypto If This Is A Repeat Of 2020 One of the key crypto players who has pointed out that the current cycle could be similar to that of 2020 is crypto analyst Rekt Fencer. Fencer took to X (formerly Twitter) to share with their over 330,000 followers, a side-by-side chart showing the 2020 performance compared to what is happening now in 2025. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Crash Below $100,000 Coming? Factors That Highlight Another Decline To put this in perspective, back in 2020, the crypto market suffered a flash crash where the Bitcoin price fell by more than 50%, and the altcoin market followed. This was a result of the COVID-19 lockdowns that were announced around the world in a bid to curb the spread of the virus. In response to the shutdowns, the stock market had crashed, taking Bitcoin and the crypto market down with it. This led to over $1.2 billion in daily liquidation, which at the time was the most significant liquidation in crypto history. However, this figure now pales in comparison to the over $19 billion in liquidations that were recorded last week. Despite the disparity in the liquidation volumes, crypto analyst Rekt Fencer believes that this could lead to a repeat of what happened after the COVID-19 crash. Back then, the bounce from the crash had been rapid. By 2021, one year later, the entire crypto market had risen to new all-time highs. Related Reading: Pattern That Led To Dogecoin Price 36,000% Surge In 2021 Has Emerged Again, Will History Repeat? Taking that performance and using it to map out the Bitcoin and crypto market performance after last week’s crash, it would mean that the market is ready for another bull run. It would also put the market at the bottom of the bull run, meaning that the Bitcoin price is far from its all-time high price. Rekt Fencer explains that “History is about to repeat itself” and “The real move starts when everyone thinks it’s over.” Thus, another explosive rally could be right on the horizon, if this isn’t the start of a bear run. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

After a turbulent few days, Bitcoin (BTC) has resumed its downtrend, currently retracing toward $111,000. This marks a 12% decline from its recent peak of $126,000, which raises concerns among market experts who suggest that the bull run may be closer to its end than many investors believe. End Of Bitcoin Bull Cycle Within Nine Days? On October 14, market analyst CryptoBirb, took to social media platform X (formerly Twitter) to assert that the bullish cycle is nearing its conclusion, stating that it may end within the next nine days.  He referenced the Cycle Peak Countdown indicator, which suggests that Bitcoin is 99.3% through its current cycle, having lasted 1,058 days. According to CryptoBirb, this final stage is characterized by a “textbook shakeout of weak hands,” a common pattern observed before market peaks.  Related Reading: Tether Resolves Celsius Lawsuit With Major $300 Million Settlement Deal CryptoBirb emphasized that October 24 serves as a critical target date, just nine days away, and labeled the recent crash as “right on schedule.” He further explained that the market is deep within the peak zone, with 543 days elapsing since the last Bitcoin Halving, exceeding the historical peak window of 518 to 580 days.  The sentiment in the market also appears to have shifted dramatically, with the Fear & Greed Index plummeting from 71 to 38, indicating a reset from fear to euphoria. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) also dropped from 67 to 47, suggesting that this emotional washout may create an ideal launchpad for a final euphoric surge.  However, technical indicators show mixed signals: while the Average True Range (ATR) has expanded to 4,040, indicating higher volatility, the RSI’s position at 47 suggests a reset momentum.  What On-Chain Metrics Suggest Institutional investors have also begun to shift their strategies, as evidenced by recent Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) flows, which reversed from $627 million in inflows to $4.5 million in outflows.  Ethereum ETF outflows reached $174.9 million, indicating that smart money is taking profits before retail investors potentially fear of missing out (FOMO) in. CryptoBirb asserts that this behavior aligns with a classic distribution-to-accumulation transition. Related Reading: Hyperliquid Holders Left In The Dark: Monad Protocol Faces Scrutiny Over MON Airdrop On-chain metrics reflect a cooling market, with the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) dropping to 0.522 from 0.556, and the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) declining to 2.15 from 2.45. These profit-taking actions may be creating the necessary space for a final euphoric push.  When examining October’s performance, Bitcoin is down 2.09% month-to-date, contrasting sharply with its historical average of a 19.78% increase. This underperformance could actually be a bullish sign, suggesting that a significant move may still be on the horizon in the final weeks of the month. In summary, the current cycle appears to be 99.3% complete. It has already spent 25 days in the peak zone and experienced a reset in sentiment and institutional distribution, as well as weak performance in October. However, if the analyst’s thesis proves right, this blending could turn into a perfect storm for a final surge before entering a new crypto winter.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

With the Bitcoin price seeing some recovery after crashing to $102,000, speculations now abound as to where the pioneer cryptocurrency could be headed next. So far, it has been a mixed bag, with some expecting a rally similar to the COVID rally to follow, and others believing that this is the start of the bear market. In the same vein, a pseudonymous crypto analyst has painted a clear picture of where they expect the Bitcoin price to go, depending on how it performs in relation to the midpoint level. What Happens If The Bitcoin Price Stay Above the Midpoint? Presently, the midpoint line is important to the performance of the Bitcoin price. This is because it lies firmly between the major support and resistance that were seen in the last few weeks. This puts the midpoint at around $111,994, marking the next decisive point for the cryptocurrency. Related Reading: XRP Open Interest Crashes 50% Over The Weekend, What Does This Mean For Price? As the crypto analyst explains, if the Bitcoin price is able to stay above the midpoint, then the next major resistance that it would need to beat lies at the 0.75 Fibonacci level. This translates to the $117,605 price level, making it the point where the bears could mount the most resistance, especially given the fact that this trend is bearish on the lower time frames. Nevertheless, staying above this midpoint would mean that the trend remains bullish and in favor of the buyers. Thus, it would send the trend for a rally confirmation, and potentially lead the charge toward the next bid for new all-time highs. “A V-shaped recovery and move straight to the highs would be max pain after such a brutal move down,” the analyst stated. Bears Could Still Reclaim Control While the Bitcoin price staying above the midpoint is still bullish, there are way more bearish implications if the price breaks down at this level. The analyst points out that losing the midpoint level would mean that the Bitcoin price was once again open to backfilling the wick. Related Reading: XRP About To Stage A Repeat Of 2017? Here’s What Happened Last Time There Was A Flash Crash This wick refers to the flash crash wick that was established last Friday, when the Bitcoin price fell to $102,000. The market continues to struggle to recover from the last crash, even with Bitcoin being above $110,000, and another breakdown toward $102,000 could be catastrophic for altcoins. In support of the bearish thesis, another crypto analyst also pointed out that the Bitcoin price is exhibiting signs of distribution. With this, it is possible that Bitcoin could form a reversal pattern and continue the price downtrend. From here, the analyst sees the price eventually crashing below $100,000 before finding support. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

After beginning the week above the critical $115,000 mark, Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader cryptocurrency market initially showed signs of recovery. However, BTC has resumed its downward trajectory, experiencing a 4% decline over the past 24 hours. This downturn has had a cascading effect on other altcoins, particularly Ethereum (ETH) and XRP. BTC, ETH, XRP’s Plunge Explained With the Bitcoin drop, Ethereum recorded a 5% drop, once again losing the pivotal $4,000 support level, while XRP has suffered even greater losses, plummeting by 7% during the same timeframe. This decline has pushed XRP closer to $2.40 as of Tuesday, highlighting the volatility affecting altcoins in the current market environment. Related Reading: Hyperliquid Vs Binance: Founders Clash Over Liquidation Transparency According to Bloomberg, this recent Bitcoin and crypto slide can be attributed to geopolitical tensions, specifically China’s imposition of restrictions on the American units of Hanwha Ocean Co., one of South Korea’s largest shipbuilders.  This action is seen as a retaliatory measure against US sanctions targeting the Chinese shipping sector. Bitcoin and the crypto market were already reeling from a brutal selloff that began on October 10, which resulted in approximately $19 billion worth of leveraged positions being liquidated.  This selloff, which saw the Bitcoin price drop toward $102,000 last Friday, was triggered by US President Donald Trump’s threats of increased tariffs on China in response to new export controls. Three Scenarios For Bitcoin Market analysts are closely monitoring Bitcoin’s performance, noting that a drop below the $110,000 threshold could initiate a test of the $104,000 to $108,000 liquidity band, according to Timothy Misir, head of research at digital-assets analytics platform BRN.  “The market now enters a consolidation phase, characterized by renewed caution, selective risk-taking, and a more measured rebuilding of confidence across both spot and derivatives markets,” commented analytics firm Glassnode. Furthermore, market expert Doctor Profit has outlined three potential scenarios for Bitcoin’s trajectory over the short, mid, and long term on social media platform X (formerly Twitter).  Related Reading: Dogecoin Foundation’s House Of Doge Announces NASDAQ Listing In the short term, covering the current month, the Bitcoin outlook is neutral. Although a slightly bullish sentiment was noted yesterday, it has reverted to neutral as new data emerges, emphasizing the need for more information to make a conclusive decision.   For the mid-term outlook, spanning one to three months, the sentiment is bearish. The expert indicates that the market has recently entered the early stages of a bear phase. While there may be instances of dead cat bounces, he suggests that the overall direction for the mid-term appears to be downward. Looking further ahead, in the long term (three to twelve months), the analysis remains extremely bearish for Bitcoin and crypto as the macroeconomic environment indicates an impending global economic upheaval, which many believe is closer than it appears.  When writing, Bitcoin trades just above its key support for the short-term at $110,300.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Ostium Labs’ Market Outlook #55 argues that Bitcoin’s higher-timeframe bull structure survived last week’s volatility and now points “back to the highs,” provided spot holds above $107,000. “Whilst we trade above $107k, I think the next move is back to the highs, with $112k likely to act as local support,” the note states, adding that the firm still expects price to trade into “that confluence of overhead resistance at $133k by month-end.” The team frames last week’s deleveraging as the “great reset,” contending that the largest liquidation event in crypto history removed excess leverage without breaking weekly structure. On the weekly chart, no major support was lost and the wick down to roughly $107,000 was reclaimed into a $115,000 close, which Ostium reads as confirmation that momentum remains bullish on higher timeframes. Invalidation is precise: “A weekly close below last week’s low is now the obvious invalidation… close through $107k… and we have a more pressing concern, where we undoubtedly then trade into $99k.” On the daily, Ostium notes a classic sweep-and-reversal sequence. Price twice tagged the prior range high near $126.3k, failed to hold above $123.8k, and then “collapsed,” ultimately wicking into the 200-day moving average—an area the desk had flagged as a likely terminal level for any early-October capitulation. The view from here is unambiguous: “Anyone expecting sub-$100k will remain sidelined for a long time—if you didn’t get it on the largest liquidation event in crypto history, I don’t think you’re getting it until we enter a bear market.” Tactical invalidation on this timeframe is a daily close below the 200-DMA, which would put the 360-DMA near $100,000 in play and constitute Ostium’s “line in the sand for a full-blown flip into bear market territory.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Weekly Preview: Trump’s Tariff Playbook Is Back — Here’s How To Trade It Path dependency matters for the upside call. Ostium expects prior highs around $112,000 to act as support and form a higher low, with “acceptance back above ~$116k” setting a rotation to the top of the range at $123.8k and then “price discovery beyond that.” The desk’s near-term timing is surprisingly punchy: “Gun to my head I think we trade $125k by early next week and $133k by month-end.” For traders, the preferred long setup is early-week weakness into $110k–$112k to establish a higher low, using a daily close below $107k (hard stop $105k) as risk, and targeting at least $121k with scope for much higher. A counter-trend short, by contrast, would require a grind up into the $121k confluence, a rejection and daily close back below $118k, and then a fade into the $110k–$112k zone—only if the higher-low hasn’t already formed. Positioning evidence, in Ostium’s view, buttresses the reset-then-extend thesis. The firm highlights obliterated open interest, Binance Net Longs back to “Liberation Day” lows, compressed three-month annualized basis, and fresh liquidation maps for one-week and one-month horizons—all consistent with a cleaner tape for trend continuation. The calendar this week is dense but navigable: a speech-heavy week (Powell, Bailey, Lagarde), the NY Empire State Manufacturing print, the Philadelphia Fed survey, and US Industrial Production. Ostium’s framework treats these events as potential catalysts rather than trend definers; so long as $107,000 holds and $112,000 functions as a springboard, the structural bias remains higher toward $133,000. At the core of the thesis is a binary investor psychology after the purge. “These sorts of events mark turning points: either you are now cemented in your belief that… the bear market has begun… or you are cemented in your belief that the leverage washout gives us the runway for higher for longer prices into Q1 next year,” Ostium writes. The desk is firmly in the latter camp, reiterating that Bitcoin “looks more bullish today than it did at the beginning of last week.” Briefly beyond Bitcoin, Ostium’s cross-asset read tilts supportive for the crypto beta complex if near-term conditions align. For Ethereum, weekly structure “looks nothing like a top,” with a decisive close above trendline resistance and $4,400 expected to trigger an all-time-high breakout; the team believes “ETH trades through $4,950 within 10 days… toward $5,750 in November,” and sees the Q4 low as likely in. Related Reading: Bitcoin Direction Still Unclear: Analyst Says Watch These Key Charts On ETH/BTC, the desk calls last week’s flush into 0.0319 a higher-low and anticipates ETH outperformance into year-end, contingent on reclaiming 0.0375 and eventually breaking the trendline—a dynamic that, if realized, could cap BTC dominance without undermining Bitcoin’s own trend. The DXY rally is viewed as late-stage: resistance near 100 and a looming rollover would reduce macro headwinds for risk assets. For US equities, Ostium still expects “higher for longer,” eyeing fresh SPX highs by month-end and a strong November as buyback blackouts end and earnings season progresses; improving equity breadth tends to coincide with constructive crypto flows. Finally, in “OTHERS,” the altcoin index printed a historic wick to the 360-week MA before reclaiming support; with derivatives positioning “utterly decimated,” Ostium now expects a higher local low, a November reclaim of the yearly open near $335bn, and, if confirmed, a push toward cycle and ATH resistance—conditions that usually track with a healthier, less fragile Bitcoin uptrend. Taken together, the desk’s message is consistent across timeframes and assets: the reset did its job, the invalidation is clear at $107,000, $112,000 should be the pivot, and the upside waypoint is $133,000, with the macro calendar more likely to modulate the path than to derail the destination. As Ostium summarizes, “Whilst we trade above $107k… the next move is back to the highs.” At press time, BTC traded at $111,509. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin heads into the new week with a clean catalyst: the White House’s tariff brinkmanship with China and a market structure that just absorbed the largest crypto liquidation on record. Markets have marched through the tariff cycle almost beat-for-beat, and as of Monday we are squarely at Step 8 of The Kobeissi Letter’s template: the post-open reassurance from Treasury. The sequence since late week ties cleanly to the blueprint Kobeissi published after “10 months analyzing EVERY single tariff development,” which it summarized as an “EXACT playbook for investors.” Bitcoin Weekly Preview In their words: “1) Trump puts out cryptic post… 2) Trump announces large tariff rate (50%+) and markets crash… 4) After the market closes on Friday, President Trump doubles down… 5) On Saturday, the target… responds… 6) On Sunday… Trump posts an announcement saying he is working on a solution… 7) Futures open… higher Sunday… 8) After the Monday open, Treasury Secretary Bessent appears on live TV and reassures investors… 9–10) over the next 2–4 weeks, officials tease a deal, then announce one, and stocks hit a record high. 11) Repeat.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Apparent Demand Turns Negative — What This Means For Price The Friday crash is the fulcrum. After President Donald Trump threatened to impose a 100% tariff on Chinese imports by November 1, risk assets lurched lower into the US close, with the S&P 500 off 2.7% and the Nasdaq down 3.6% on the day; Bitcoin and the entire crypto suffered the largest single-day liquidation in its history, with roughly $19 billion in positions wiped out across venues. The trigger, size, and timing map precisely to Step 2’s “announce large tariff rate… and markets crash to shake out weak positions,” followed by Step 3’s failed bounce and fresh lows as forced selling cascaded through perps and basis. The weekend then advanced the script. Between late Friday and Saturday, the White House and Beijing traded barbs — the “double down” and counter-response embedded in Steps 4 and 5. Coverage detailed the 100%-tariff threat and China’s vow of “corresponding measures,” underscoring that the policy shock was real rather than rhetorical. On Sunday, Trump abruptly eased his tone, writing on Truth Social: “Don’t worry about China, it will all be fine! Highly respected President Xi just had a bad moment. He doesn’t want Depression for his country, and neither do I. The U.S.A. wants to help China, not hurt it!!! Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Rally Still Looks Intact, CryptoQuant Says: Here’s Why Futures duly bounced Sunday evening, consistent with Step 6’s “working on a solution” message and Step 7’s gap-higher open. “Bitcoin extends gains to +5% on the day and reclaims $115,000. Ethereum is now up +11% on the day and is 4% away from pre-liquidation levels seen on October 10th,” the analyst added via X on late Sunday. Today, the Bitcoin and financial markets will be watching the administration’s communications cadence shifting from escalation to stabilization, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent doing the media rounds to frame risks, policy intent, and the negotiation path. Notably, this is not unprecedented: Bessent has repeatedly used live TV to pour oil on troubled waters during tariff flare-ups, a pattern documented across months of interviews and official transcripts, and consistent with Kobeissi’s “after the Monday open… [Bessent] appears on live TV and reassures investors.” The point for traders is not the theatrics; it is the systematic sequence of message-induced flows that tends to follow. The bottom line for this week is to let the tariff playbook dictate the rhythm. As The Kobeissi Letter put it, 2025 is a market where “Headlines and posts are now able to move trillions of dollars of market cap in a matter of minutes,” and where “the ability to remain objective and capitalize on emotional swings in the market is alpha in 2025.” Bitcoin’s structural bull drivers didn’t vanish in Friday’s flush, but the path from here will be written by policy posts. At press time, Bitcoin traded at $113,9979 Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Top crypto analyst Capo has indicated that the Bitcoin price crash is not over. This comes amid a rebound in the flagship crypto, which has climbed from the lows recorded during the recent crypto market crash.  Analyst Predicts 30% Drop For The Bitcoin Price In his latest market update, Capo predicted that the Bitcoin price could still drop another 30%. This came as he noted that the flagship crypto remains above $100,000, far from the $60,000 to $70,000 range that would align with a complete market correction. He added that until then, the downside potential remains significant.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Short-Term Prediction: Why The Price Will Cross $140,000 By The End Of October This market update comes amid the crypto market crash last Friday, when Bitcoin fell to as low as $104,000 following Trump’s announcement of a 100% tariff on China. $19 billion was wiped out from the crypto market, marking the largest liquidation event ever. Capo opined that the event was likely the ‘pre-Black Swan event’ and the first phase of something larger.  The analyst noted that altcoins have already seen historic capitulation, but that several major coins still haven’t fully flushed. Capo asserted that the wicks should eventually be filled and that lower levels may still be ahead for the Bitcoin price and the broader crypto market. Meanwhile, he mentioned that a brief consolidation over the weekend was likely but that more downside should follow this week as the global markets open.  The Bitcoin price bounced over the weekend, reaching as high as $116,000, as long positions piled up again following the wipeout. Crypto analyst The King Fisher highlighted upside liquidity of up to $118,000, noting that “weekends are for BTC range liquidations fishing.” It is worth mentioning that BTC had also rebounded thanks to Trump’s statement on Sunday, in which he allayed fears of a full-blown trade war with China.  Bull Market Is Not Done Yet Crypto analyst Titan of Crypto assured that the bull market is not yet, indicating more upside for the Bitcoin price. The analyst explained that the bull market starts when BTC reclaims its 50 SMA and that the bear market starts when it loses it. The flagship crypto also achieved a weekly candle close above $112,000, which confirmed Titan of Crypto’s thesis.  Meanwhile, crypto analyst Jelle noted that the Bitcoin price is back at the $115,000 resistance area. He further remarked that a successful reclaim of this level could send the flagship crypto to a new all-time high (ATH). BTC had hit a new all-time high above $126,000 before last week’s crash, which erased its October gains.  Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Dogecoin Prices Are Crashing At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $115,100, up over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Following the massive crash that Bitcoin and the entire crypto market suffered over the weekend, the Fear & Greed Index has been pushed down to its lowest level in the last six months. This index, which measures the market sentiment and shows on a scale how investors are feeling about the crypto market, has now fallen back into the Extreme Fear territory. The number on the scale now shows the lowest level it has been since the market crash back in April 2025. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Sees Major Crash The Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index uses a number of factors to determine how investors are feeling about the market. It takes into account things like volatility, social sentiment aggregated across different social media platforms, market volume and momentum, and market dominance to come to a figure. Related Reading: Crypto Crash: $19.5 Billion Wiped Out In Record-Breaking Liquidation Event The data is aggregated, which puts it on a scale of 1-100, with 1-25 being Extreme Fear, 26-46 being Fear, 47-54 being Neutral, 55-75 representing Greed, and 76-100 representing Extreme Greed. Each of these shows either bullishness, bearishness, or nonchalance in the market. The most recent data shows that the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index crashed to 24 on Sunday. This puts the index firmly in Extreme Fear territory, suggesting that investors are extremely cautious at this point. It also shows a reluctance to enter into any positions at this time. This is the result of the massive liquidation event that happened last Friday, with crypto traders losing over $19 billion in one day. Thus, it is no surprise that fear has gripped the market. However, this would also present a unique opportunity in the market. Buy When The Market Is Bleeding One of the oldest sayings in the financial world is to “buy when there is blood on the streets.” This represents times of extreme losses, where most investors are scared to put their money in the market. Thus, with the market teetering on Extreme Fear, it could be the time to buy. Related Reading: XRP’s 2017 Pattern Returns In 2025, Analyst Predicts Massive Rally The last time that the market declined into Extreme Fear this low was back in April 2025, and what followed was a rally that saw the Bitcoin price reach new all-time highs in May 2025. If this trend holds, then the market could be looking at a possible rapid increase. By Sunday, the market was already recovering, with the Bitcoin price crossing $114,000 and Ethereum making its way back above $4,000. It is still quite early to tell if the market is in a full recovery trend, but with prices already bouncing, it could signal the next wave of gains. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin appears to be quietly gathering strength beneath the surface. After a healthy pullback that shook out weak hands, the market is showing signs of renewed momentum. Key technical signals suggest this correction may have been a setup for the next major rally, potentially paving the way for a new all-time high. Healthy Correction Within A Dominant Uptrend EtherNasyonaL, in a recent post, highlighted that Bitcoin continues to maintain its upward trajectory despite recent market fluctuations. The analyst described the latest movement as a healthy correction within the broader bullish trend, emphasizing that such retracements are natural in a sustained rally. Related Reading: Bitcoin Pauses Below Key Levels – Can It Regain Momentum For A Rally? Following a rejection from the supply zone, Bitcoin found strong support at a key demand area, where buyers quickly stepped in to defend the price. This rebound underscores the underlying strength of market participants and reaffirms that bullish sentiment remains dominant. EtherNasyonaL noted that short-term volatility, for traders not involved in leveraged positions, often appears as noise in the bigger picture. BTC’s macro trend is still positive, and the ongoing correction may simply serve as fuel for the next leg higher. Overall, Bitcoin’s structure remains solid, with its trend intact and momentum still alive.  Bullish Spring Formation Points To Possible Breakout Setup Crypto analyst Christopher Inks, in an X post, noted that Bitcoin’s latest price action has refined its trading range, offering a clearer market structure. He suggested that the asset may have just formed a heavy spring or bullish Swing Failure Pattern (SFP), a setup that often precedes strong upward movement.  Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin Price Crashed After Hitting $125,700 All-Time High If this bullish setup holds, the analyst expects a validation phase, where Bitcoin could form a higher low on lower volume, a classic sign of successful testing. Such a move would confirm the spring’s strength and potentially trigger momentum toward a new all-time high (ATH). This phase is critical in determining whether the next major rally is about to begin. Inks also pointed to Open Interest (OI) as a key confirmation tool. A decline in open interest as price consolidates would suggest short covering and validate the bullish test. On the other hand, rising OI on lower closes would imply continued distribution, signaling that the market may need more time before reversing decisively. From an Elliott Wave Theory (EWT) perspective, Inks identified a three-wave structure from the swing low while printing a new swing high that fits a flat correction pattern. Since flat corrections often occur before the continuation of a larger uptrend, this analysis aligns with the Wyckoff interpretation, suggesting Bitcoin’s structure remains strong and poised for another upward leg. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

The Bitcoin price has experienced a notable decline of 6% from its all-time highs, leading to significant liquidation events that approached $200 million on Friday, while sparking renewed speculation about the cryptocurrency’s future trajectory.  Analysts from The Bull Theory attribute the current slump to geopolitical developments, specifically President Donald Trump’s announcement of substantial tariffs and export controls on Chinese goods, particularly affecting key industrial and strategic materials. How Tariff Risks Are Impacting The Bitcoin Price The implications of these tariffs, according to the analysts, are multifaceted, introducing risks that could disrupt supply chains, accelerate inflation, and slow global trade.  Related Reading: Why The Dogecoin Price Could Surge 3,690% To $9.8 This Bull Cycle Several factors are contributing to Bitcoin’s sell-off at this time. First, there is a notable risk rotation occurring, with investors seeking refuge in safer assets such as cash and gold.  Second, the looming tariff risks could lead to rising inflation, potentially delaying anticipated rate cuts. Third, the unwinding of short leverage positions is impacting alternative cryptocurrencies and leveraged Bitcoin holdings, exacerbating the downward trend.  Lastly, the uncertainty surrounding trade policies has created an “uncertainty premium,” prompting markets to demand a discount until a clearer picture emerges. Drawing parallels to past market behavior, the analysts recall that threats of tariffs in 2025 precipitated a significant crash in the Bitcoin price and other cryptocurrencies. These recent moves appear to serve as liquidity probes, testing the market’s resilience and flushing out weaker hands before a potential recovery phase. Analysts Predict Positive Outlook For BTC Looking ahead, The Bull Theory suggests market participants should be vigilant about BTC’s nearest key support zone, particularly around the $116,000 mark, where buyers have historically returned.  Additionally, they assert that the reaction of policymakers will be crucial; if the Federal Reserve (Fed) signals a willingness to ease monetary policy, a sharp rebound could follow. Conversely, if Trump’s rhetoric regarding tariffs diminishes or becomes more defined, it is expected that confidence in the market may be restored. In the short term, analysts anticipate continued downside volatility with potential retests of support levels. However, the medium-term outlook suggests that savvy investors may begin accumulating Bitcoin as the prevailing narrative weakens.  Long-term, with anticipated rate cuts and the historically strong performance of markets in the fourth quarter, the prospects for the Bitcoin price appear promising. As liquidity returns and market momentum builds, the path forward for Bitcoin often trends upward. BTC At $130,000 By Month-End? Market expert Timothy Peterson has also weighed in, noting that half of Bitcoin’s gains for October may have already been realized, according to artificial intelligence (AI) simulations.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Who? XRP Leads Coinbase Search Charts, Beating The Giants The analysis presented earlier this week a 50% chance that the Bitcoin price will finish the month above $140,000, and a 43% probability it would end below $136,000.  However, following the recent Bitcoin price drop, the updated AI forecast suggests an expected month-end value of around $130,000, representing an 11% increase from the current price of approximately $117,300.  Despite this, there is now an 18% chance that ‘Uptober’ could conclude negatively, adding another layer of uncertainty to the market’s outlook. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

The spot Bitcoin ETFs (exchange-traded funds) have been in solid form over the past two weeks, laying a foundation for the strong price action experienced by the premier cryptocurrency recently. According to market data, the crypto-linked investment products opened the week with a daily inflow record of over $1.21 billion. As of this writing, with data from Friday’s trading session yet to be included, the US-based Bitcoin ETFs are currently on a nine-day streak of positive inflows. However, a focused look into the inflows trend shows that this data point doesn’t fully tell the story. Do Bitcoin ETFs’ Performance Depend On BlackRock’s IBIT? In a recent post on the X platform, market analyst CryptoOnchain stated that the latest data shows a major divergence in the US-based Bitcoin exchange-traded fund market. According to the on-chain pundit, the capital flow has been mostly positive because of BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT). Related Reading: Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Marks A Turning Point: Analyst Explains Why This Time Is Different Breaking down the trend with the Bitcoin ETFs, CryptoOnchain labeled BlackRock’s IBIT as the “market’s shock absorber,” mopping up the heavy sell-side liquidity. The largest Bitcoin exchange-traded fund by net assets has not posted an outflow day in October, with a $4.21 billion inflow so far. On the other hand, the second-largest BTC ETF Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) has had a mixed performance in recent days, signaling a trend of portfolio rebalancing amongst their investors. Meanwhile, Grayscale’s GBTC has struggled with muted capital performances, interspersed with some daily net outflows. CryptoOnchain also highlighted the Invesco Galaxy Bitcoin ETF (BTCO), which witnessed a major one-day outflow, which precipitated significant market pressure. However, the net positive activity of BlackRock’s IBIT kept the BTC price afloat at the time. CryptoOnchain noted that any slowdown in capital inflows for the iShares Bitcoin Trust could significantly weaken the bullish momentum of the BTC price. However, it is worth mentioning that the Bitcoin price is currently under intense downward pressure due to the looming trade war between the United States and China. As of this writing, Bitcoin is valued at around $112,143, reflecting an over 7% downturn in the past 24 hours. Bitcoin Institutional Demand Remains Steady: Glassnode Before the market downturn triggered by US President Donald Trump’s tariff rumors and eventual announcement, the Bitcoin price had managed to stay above $120,000. In an earlier October 10 post on X, Glassnode shared that the Bitcoin ETFs might have helped keep the premier cryptocurrency afloat. Related Reading: Bitcoin Foundation Has Changed: Cycle 4 Is Redefining Long-Term Market Trend – Here’s How According to the on-chain firm, the exchange-traded funds have continued to record capital inflows despite BTC’s mild pullback from its all-time high. “This suggests structural buying is still underpinning the market, helping to absorb volatility and stabilize price action,” Glassnode concluded. Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

The Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices are crashing today, sparking bearish sentiment in the crypto market. This followed the U.S. President Donald Trump’s move, which has ignited fears of a full-blown trade war with China.  Why The Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin Prices Are Crashing The Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices are down today, according to CoinMarketCap data. The flagship crypto has dropped to as low as $104,000 over the last 24 hours, wiping out its early October gains that led to a new all-time high (ATH) above $126,000. Ethereum dropped to as low as $3,400, while Dogecoin broke below the psychological $0.2 level and fell to $0.11.  Related Reading: Institutions Dump Massive Amounts Of Bitcoin And Ethereum As XRP And Solana Buying Ramps Up This massive crash in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin followed Trump’s Truth Social post, in which he announced that the U.S. will impose a 100% tariff on China, over and above any tariffs they are currently paying, starting on November 1. He added that they will also impose Export Controls on any and all crucial software from China starting on November 1.  Notably, Trump had earlier in the day threatened to massively increase tariffs on China, while stating that the country was becoming hostile. This initial threat caused Bitcoin to sharply drop below $120,000 from a high of around $122,000. Meanwhile, the Ethereum and Dogecoin prices also faced sharp declines.  Bitcoin was trading around $116,000 when Trump announced a 100% tariff on China, which sent the crypto market into a spiral. BTC’s further decline also pushed Ethereum and Dogecoin to intraday lows of $3,400 and $0.11, respectively, extending their market losses. Meanwhile, these massive declines for the crypto assets contributed to the largest liquidation event in crypto’s history.  CoinGlass data shows that $20 billion has been wiped out from the crypto market in the last 24 hours, driven by crashes in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices. This liquidation event was larger than the COVID-19 crash and the FTX bankruptcy crash.  Exchanges May Have Contributed To The Crash BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes suggested that crypto exchanges may have contributed to the crash in the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices. In an X post, he stated that the word on the street is that big CEX’s auto liquidation of collateral ties to cross-margined positions is why many altcoins “got smoked on the move down.” He congratulated those who bought the dip, stating that market participants are unlikely to see those levels again anytime soon on many high-quality altcoins.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Short-Term Prediction: Why The Price Will Cross $140,000 By The End Of October Crypto analyst Kevin Capital opined that the drop in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices was caused by serious issues across top exchanges like Robinhood, Coinbase, and Binance. He added that what makes it even worse is that these exchanges didn’t let people buy the dip at the lowest point. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com