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Bitcoin flashed a short-term “buy” signal that previously marked the $49,000 and $74,000 swing lows, according to on-chain analyst Frank (@FrankAFetter), a quant at Vibe Capital Management. “Officially got the Oversold print on the short-term holder MVRV bollinger bands,” he wrote on X, pointing to prior occurrences during the “Yen Carry Unwind” around $49,000 and the “Tariff Tantrum” near $74,000, adding a third instance “Today – $108k. The metric in focus blends the short-term holder market-value-to-realized-value (STH-MVRV) ratio with Bollinger Bands to capture when newer coins trade at statistically depressed valuations versus their cost basis. In the chart Frank shared, the STH-MVRV Bollinger oscillator probed the oversold threshold that previously aligned with local exhaustion of selling. Related Reading: Bitcoin Mirrors Historical Pullback Ranges – Healthy Correction Or Trouble Ahead? More Reasons To Be Bullish For Bitcoin On a companion panel, the STH-SOPR gauge—spent-output profit ratio for coins younger than roughly 155 days—remains below 1.0, signaling that recent buyers are realizing losses into the tape rather than profits. “Short-term holders (top buyers) are in pain & realizing losses,” Frank noted, emphasizing that “STH-SOPR is not high!” Positioning has also turned cleaner in derivatives. “Longs got ‘delevered’ every day last week—that’s seven straight days of magic blue dots,” he said, describing persistent long liquidations and balance-sheet shrinkage among leveraged bulls. He is now “watching for the flip: when they give up and start shorting with leverage (exactly at the wrong time), providing fuel for a potential relief squeeze.” Macro context may be additive, in his view. “Gold hit new highs last week. ‘Gold leads, bitcoin follows.’ The yellow metal often looks around corners, and it might be sniffing out the debasement trade headed into 2026 as the administration stokes the economy for mid-terms,” he wrote, suggesting a potential catch-up dynamic if Bitcoin lags the move in bullion. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whale Dumps Billions For ETH, But $5 Billion Selloff Still Looms Risk markers remain clearly defined. Frank pegs the short-term holder realized price—an aggregate cost basis for recent coins—at $108,800. “If BTC breaks down below the short-term holder cost basis of $108.8k, it may want to investigate demand at the 200-day moving average, which sits at $101k.” That layered support map frames the oversold print as a tactical signal inside a still-intact longer-term uptrend, but it also acknowledges that violations of STH cost basis can extend tests toward the cycle’s primary trend gauge. Taken together, the confluence of these signals presents a strong confluence, according to Frank. Whether history rhymes again will hinge on spot demand emerging above short-term cost basis and on whether any shift toward aggressive shorting provides the fuel for a squeeze. As Frank summarized, “If we are in a bull market—and I believe we are—this is the kind of behavior that typically sets the stage for the next leg higher.” At press time, BTC traded at $111,382. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

In a notable achievement, Metaplanet has made headlines by significantly expanding its Bitcoin treasury, reaching a total of 20,000 BTC. This aggressive accumulation strategy solidifies its position as one of the world’s leading corporate Bitcoin holders. Strengthening Its Long-Term Bitcoin Treasury Strategy Metaplanet, a publicly traded company based in Japan, has successfully transitioned from a hotel operator to a major Bitcoin powerhouse. The company recently purchased 1,009 BTC, which increased its total holdings to 20,000 BTC. This acquisition cements its position as the sixth-largest corporate Bitcoin holder, surpassing Riot Platforms.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Treasury Race Heats Up As Dutch Firm Shoots For $23-M Launch A crypto-oriented social media influencer known as Next100XGEMS has stated on X that what makes this achievement more significant is that the investment reflects more than just a financial play. However, it represents a fundamental shift in its core business strategy.  By dedicating a significant portion of its treasury to Bitcoin, Metaplanet demonstrates a profound level of institutional trust in the digital asset as a long-term strategic reserve, which marks a new era of institutional adoption. Metaplanet’s 21 million plan is a bold, long-term strategy to combat the decline in the value of the Japanese yen and rising inflation. The company aims to acquire a significant portion of the total 21 million Bitcoin supply, positioning itself as a hedge against currency debasement. This strategic use of BTC as a currency protection tool highlights its growing appeal as an alternative to traditional fiat currencies, a trend that is becoming increasingly popular globally. The remarkable 486.7% year-to-date yield from this investment showcases the immense potential and could serve as a model for businesses and organizations around the world, prompting them to reassess their own treasury management approaches. This development is expected to drive increased demand for Bitcoin, further fueling its price growth and solidifying its role in the emerging financial system. Institutional Flows Fuel Bullish Momentum As institutional demand for Bitcoin accelerates and market infrastructure strengthens, CryptoBusy has revealed that September has long been considered a historically weak month for Bitcoin. Data shows that the median return sits at -3.12% with 8 of the last 12 years ending in the red. However, 2025 is shaping up to be fundamentally different. Related Reading: $40M Bitcoin Treasury Launch Marks South Korea’s First Institutional Crypto Move The landscape has shifted significantly. ETFs are now live, institutional inflows are accelerating, and the US has openly embraced Bitcoin. These factors have transformed the usual bearish September narrative into a potentially bullish setup. Last year, September 2024 closed with a green candle at +7.29% despite the seasonal headwinds. With Bitcoin having already printed a new all-time high of $124,000 earlier in this cycle, the market is poised to see if 2025 will mark the first ETF-driven September Rally. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin is facing renewed volatility after losing the $110,000 level just a few days ago, a breakdown that has fueled uncertainty across the market. Bulls are attempting to reclaim this crucial support, but fear of a deeper correction continues to weigh heavily on sentiment. With every failed rebound, traders are left questioning whether this pullback is simply a pause within the broader uptrend or the beginning of a larger downtrend. Related Reading: Ethereum Demand Stays Strong As Exchange Reserves Keep Falling – Details Crypto analyst Darkfost has shared new data providing context for the current environment. Since Bitcoin’s most recent all-time high near $123,000, the asset has retraced by roughly -12%. According to Darkfost, this move remains well within the boundaries of a normal correction, especially when compared to historical pullbacks in previous bull cycles. Such corrections are often healthy, serving to reset leverage, cool overheated sentiment, and create fresh entry points for long-term investors. While uncertainty remains in the short term, history suggests that Bitcoin’s current retracement does not necessarily signal the end of the cycle. Instead, it may represent a period of stabilization before the next major move. Bitcoin Correction Aligns With Historical Patterns According to Darkfost, Bitcoin’s current retracement should be viewed within the broader context of this cycle rather than as a sign of structural weakness. Looking more closely, since the first all-time high in March 2024, the largest drawdown recorded so far reached 28%. Importantly, Bitcoin has not corrected more deeply than that throughout the ongoing bull market. Historically, the most severe pullbacks in bullish phases have averaged between -20% and -25%, placing the present move well within the expected range. With Bitcoin now down roughly 12% from its latest all-time high of $123,000, the retracement is still modest compared to prior cycle corrections. Darkfost emphasizes that this behavior is not unusual and could even extend further without breaking the underlying bull trend. In fact, such drawdowns are often healthy and necessary in long-term uptrends. They serve several functions: flushing out excessive leverage in the derivatives market, cooling down overheated sentiment, and shaking out short-term speculators. At the same time, they create new entry opportunities for investors who may have missed earlier stages of the rally. For long-term holders and institutions, these phases are less about panic and more about preparation. Historically, similar corrections have preceded renewed strength, as Bitcoin stabilizes before resuming its upward trajectory. If the current pattern holds, this retracement may ultimately strengthen the market foundation, setting the stage for the next leg of growth. Related Reading: Binance Network Activity Outpaces Ethereum As Active Addresses Double Since April Testing Recovery Level After Deep Pullback Bitcoin is attempting to recover after a sharp correction that took the price down to the $108K region. As shown in the chart, BTC recently bounced back above $110K but continues to struggle to sustain momentum. The rejection from the $123K zone marked the cycle’s most recent all-time high, and the market has since been in a retracement phase. The 12-hour chart highlights how BTC dipped below its 200-day moving average (red line) but quickly rebounded, signaling that bulls are still defending this crucial support. The 50-day (blue) and 100-day (green) moving averages, however, are trending downward, suggesting that pressure remains in the short term. BTC will need to reclaim the $112K–$115K zone to shift sentiment back toward bullish momentum. Related Reading: Galaxy Digital Sells 1,167 Bitcoin Amid Ongoing Volatility On the downside, losing the $108K level could open the door to a deeper correction toward $105K or even the $101K region, where the 200-day MA sits as the last line of defense. Bitcoin is consolidating in a fragile position. A decisive move above $115K could reignite bullish momentum, but failure to hold current support may confirm a prolonged correction phase before any attempt at a new all-time high. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

According to pseudonymous Bitcoin analyst PlanC, the road to $1,000,000 per coin might look a lot less pronounced than many expect. Related Reading: Ethereum Bullishness: Ark Invest Boss Scoops $16-M More In BitMine Stock PlanC floated the idea that, instead of sharp parabolic runs, Bitcoin could “slow-grind” higher — inching upward over the next seven years and quietly reaching $1 million by 2032. What if the earlier “Bitcoin cycles” were nothing more than the product of a retail-dominated, FOMO-fueled market? What if, from here on, Bitcoin simply slow-grinds up and to the right, with long, drawn-out, uneventful 10–30% corrections and consolidations? And every time we… — PlanC (@TheRealPlanC) August 31, 2025 Slow Grind, Fewer Flashy Moves PlanC argues that long stretches of sideways trading tend to fool people into thinking the cycle has ended and that crashes of up to 80% are coming. He suggested those deep wipeouts haven’t played out every time prices pause. Instead, he envisions recurring, drawn-out consolidations and corrections of roughly 10–30% — messy but manageable — that add up to steady gains rather than headline-grabbing rallies. Jan3 Founder Sees An Omega Candle Not everyone agrees. Jan3 founder Samson Mow has painted a very different picture. According to reports, Mow predicted an “omega candle” that could lift Bitcoin by $100,000 in a single day. $1M #BITCOIN ISN’T THAT MUCH GIVEN ALL THE MONETARY MONKEY BUSINESS GOING ON FOR THE LAST FEW DECADES pic.twitter.com/MzZZXi0mtD — Samson Mow (@Excellion) January 1, 2024 He told Magazine in June that $1,000,000 is “a given,” and he suggested the milestone could come this year or next. That view leans on the idea that sudden, extreme demand imbalances can still trigger explosive moves. Institutional Demand Versus Market Mechanics Spot Bitcoin ETFs and corporate treasuries are central to the debate. According to reports, several high-profile figures now predict Bitcoin will reach $1 million. Tom Lee has suggested it could hit that kind of figure or even $3,000,000 long term, while Michael Saylor has put $1 million on the table by 2035. Tom Lee says Bitcoin will experience a supply shock, and the $BTC price will reach $3,000,000. Do you agree with Tom Lee? Could Bitcoin experience a supply shock? Perhaps we can add $LUNC to this list.#Bitcoin #BTC #Bullish #TomLee pic.twitter.com/rhHT1yFXTj — TerraNewsEN (@TerraNewsEN) August 24, 2025 Asset managers have joined the chorus. Bitwise forecasts $1.3 million by 2035, pointing to rising US debt and a weaker dollar as drivers. Other voices include Robert Kiyosaki, who sees $1 million by 2030, and Cantor Fitzgerald analysts who also back the milestone. Timelines differ, but institutional confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term case is clearly growing. BTCUSD trading at $110,610 on the 24-hour chart: TradingView Risk Of Forced Selling Remains Real Meanwhile, Swyftx lead analyst Pav Hundal warned that many treasury buyers use credit, and if credit spreads widen or risk measures spike, “strong hands” could be forced sellers. Market structure can change quickly when liquidity thins or macro stress appears. Reports have disclosed that institutional flows create a base of demand, but they don’t remove traditional market pressures. Related Reading: Scam Tokens Prompt Shiba Inu Team To Issue Emergency Alert – Details Bitcoin’s Path To $1M: Sudden Surge Or Slow Grind Ahead? Some industry figures view a rapid ascent as a red flag. Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz said on Aug. 17 that a million-dollar Bitcoin next year would likely mean the US economy was in serious trouble. Stories and lessons from a decade in crypto with Mike @Novogratz. We talk about $GLXY, the 80,000 bitcoin transaction, whether Mike has any investing regrets, maxis and altcoin communities, Bitcoin’s roadmap to $1 million and much more. Timecodes: 00:00 Meet Mike Novogratz:… pic.twitter.com/4HrOi1juE5 — Natalie Brunell ⚡️ (@natbrunell) August 12, 2025 In his view, extreme price moves tied to fear or systemic stress would not be a healthy signal for either markets or the broader economy. For now, the outlook splits between a blockbuster surge and a quiet climb. Whether Bitcoin delivers an omega candle or inches its way higher, the possibility of reaching $1,000,000 remains central to the debate. If PlanC is right, there may be no fireworks at all—just a steady grind that takes the coin to its milestone over the next seven years. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

Ostium Labs argues that Bitcoin’s uptrend remains intact after August’s reversal, but it draws a bright red line at $98,000. In its September 1 Market Outlook, the firm writes: “Closing below $98k on this timeframe would turn weekly structure bearish,” adding that “above $98k weekly structure is still bullish and therefore we should anticipate the formation of a higher-low.” At publication time, Ostium referenced BTC around $108,017, with the August monthly candle settling “firmly red” after wicking through the record to roughly $124.5k and closing near prior resistance-turned-support around $108.2k. Key Bitcoin Price Levels To Watch Now On the monthly chart, Ostium sees no evidence of a 2021-style cyclical top. The note acknowledges some momentum divergence on RSI but stresses the absence of confirmation from the Awesome Oscillator: “AO has continued to point towards building momentum throughout the uptrend… I do not think this is even remotely similar to the 2021 top formation.” Related Reading: Bitcoin HODLers Spend 97,000 BTC—Biggest Move This Year The bear case strengthens only if September “closes below the 2025 open at $93.3k and therefore below local trendline support.” For the bullish path, the team wants September to find support “above the yearly open, but likely much higher around the July lows at $105k,” and “ideally” finish the month green “above the August open at $115k,” a configuration they say would “set us up for expansion beyond the highs in October.” Weekly structure, by Ostium’s read, “showed no exhaustion on the move higher” and has now reset toward 50 on RSI, a profile the firm says supports trend continuation. Should the market carve a higher low early in September and reclaim momentum, a weekly close “back above $112k leads to a retest of the August open and potentially $117.5k into FOMC with a retest of the highs before month-end.” The daily timeframe remains the near-term hurdle. Ostium characterizes the pullback as “orderly,” with supports flipped to resistance on the way down and “the key level… obviously the $112k prior all-time high,” which served as support in early August and then “reclaimed resistance” on last week’s leg lower. “A breakout and close above the trendline and back above $112k would look like the bottom is in,” they write. A failed probe—“wick above the trendline into $112k and reject”—would bias price toward “the June open at $104.5k, with the 200dMA below that at $101.3k being key demand.” In derivatives, CoinGlass liquidation heatmaps for Binance’s BTC/USDT pair over one week and one month show dense liquidation bands layered above the $114k cap and clustered below around the $120k region, while no significant levels are visible to the downside. With a macro-heavy week ahead— ISM prints, JOLTS, the Fed’s Beige Book, jobless claims, ADP, ISM Services, and Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls—Ostium lays out conditional tactical setups. For longs, they prefer evidence of exhaustion into support: trendline resistance respected, “today’s low” taken out via a liquidation wick into the June-open/200-day cluster, and bullish divergence forming there before bidding for a move back to the weekly open and the $112k retest. For shorts, they prefer a sharp early-week squeeze into $112k “with trend exhaustion… having not taken out today’s low around $107k,” fading the pop back into weekly lows with risk reduced if it unfolds ahead of NFP. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whale Dumps Billions For ETH, But $5 Billion Selloff Still Looms Ostium also surveys positioning, pointing to snapshots across Velo and CoinGlass, three-month annualized basis, and the mix between Bitcoin and altcoin open interest, as well as one-week and one-month liquidation maps. While it refrains from headline claims on those dashboards, the note’s technical levels line up with the most concentrated liquidation density visible in the attached heatmaps, where stacked interest remains perched near the $112k pivot overhead and layered through the $105k–$101k demand shelf. DXY As Tailwind For The BTC Price The report extends beyond Bitcoin. The dollar backdrop, in Ostium’s framework, remains a tailwind for BTC into year-end. With DXY around 97.2, the firm says the current sequence rhymes with past cyclical drawdowns and expects “DXY to break below 96 and push towards at least 94.6, but more likely 93,” where a bottoming formation could emerge above the 200-month moving average. The secular DXY bull case is not dismissed; rather, Ostium situates the present leg as the final cyclical downswing before a higher-low and multi-year recovery, contingent on policy outcomes. A decisive monthly reclaim of 100 would invalidate the near-term bearish DXY view. Across assets, the through-line of Ostium’s September map is clarity on thresholds. For Bitcoin, a weekly loss of $98,000 would be the first structural break of the cycle; a daily reclaim of $112,000 would strongly argue the local low is in; and a monthly hold above $105,000 with a close back over $115,000 would tee up fresh highs into October. At press time, BTC traded at $110,610. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin has seen a rebound since retesting the short-term holder Realized Price, a sign that this historical on-chain support may be holding. Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Realized Price Just Acted As Support As explained by CryptoQuant author IT Tech in an X post, Bitcoin found support around the short-term holder Realized Price during the latest dip. The “Realized Price” here refers to an on-chain indicator that measures the cost basis of the average investor on the BTC network. Related Reading: Bitcoin HODLers Spend 97,000 BTC—Biggest Move This Year When the price of the cryptocurrency is above this metric, it means the holders as a whole are in a state of net unrealized profit. On the other hand, it being under the indicator implies the overall market is in the red. In the context of the current topic, the Realized Price of only a specific segment of investors is of interest: the short-term holders (STHs). This cohort includes the holders who purchased their coins within the past 155 days. The STHs make up for one of the two main divisions of the Bitcoin market done on the basis of holding time, with the other side being known as the long-term holders (LTHs). Where these groups differ is that the investors of the former tend to be weak hands who make panic moves whenever volatility emerges in the sector, while the latter’s members show high-conviction behavior. To any investor, their cost basis is an important level and since the STHs are particularly fickle, they usually show some kind of reaction when their Realized Price gets retested. This has led to the asset’s price observing various interactions with this metric in the past. One such interaction may have occurred during the past day, as the below chart shared by the analyst suggests. As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin STH Realized Price currently sits around $107,500. During BTC’s latest dip, its price slightly went under this mark, but found a rebound to higher levels. Generally, STHs buy to defend their cost basis when the sentiment among them is bullish. In such periods, they believe a price decline to their break-even mark to be a “dip-buying” opportunity Considering the fact that the asset has been able to find support at the STH Realized Price, it would appear that the STHs still think a bullish regime is on. That said, Bitcoin has only seen a small rebound for now, so it only remains to be seen whether the asset will remain above the level or if another retest would occur. Related Reading: Solana Breaks Out Of Ascending Triangle: Is $300 The Next Stop? In the scenario that a breakdown of the metric occurs, the cryptocurrency may face a shift to a bearish trend in the short-term, as it took place in February of this year. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $109,200, down 2% over the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

The recent downturn in Bitcoin prices has raised eyebrows among market analysts, with one prominent figure warning that the leading cryptocurrency could face a significant decline toward the $90,000 mark in the coming months.  As Bitcoin opened the month officially dropping below critical support levels, the market’s reaction remains tepid, suggesting that many investors have yet to fully grasp the severity of the situation. BTC’s Last Line Of Defense In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), market analyst Doctor Profit highlighted key price levels associated with various holder groups: $115,600 for 1 million holders, $113,600 for 3 million holders, and approximately $107,000 for 6 million holders.  Related Reading: Ethereum Demand Stays Strong As Exchange Reserves Keep Falling – Details As Bitcoin traded below all these thresholds earlier on Monday, Doctor Profit pointed out that every recent buyer is currently facing unrealized losses. However, he cautioned against interpreting this lack of panic as a sign of stability.  According to him, “these investors haven’t tasted enough fear yet,” suggesting that market makers may continue to drive prices lower until a genuine capitulation occurs. The analyst emphasized that the $107,000 to $108,900 zone represents the last robust line of defense for Bitcoin. Should this level fail to hold, he predicts a swift movement toward the $90,000 to $95,000 range.  Currently, the market’s leading cryptocurrency has recovered above $109,000. It is trading above the last line of support, preventing the analyst’s scenario of an additional 17% price drop for Bitcoin toward its Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) gap placed just above $90,000. Tough September Ahead For Bitcoin  Doctor Profit also argued in his analysis that the current market sentiment is characterized by minimal fear and an unrealized loss of only 0.5%, especially when compared to the more significant corrections of 30% or more seen in historical bear markets.  He believes that the lack of panic among the cryptocurrency’s holders indicates that many are still too comfortable, which could set the stage for a more severe market correction. Related Reading: XRP Price Action Turns Bearish, Analyst Says Crash Below $1 Is Coming Further complicating matters, Doctor Profit noted the recent behavior of corporate insiders in the stock market, where over 200 alleged insider trades occurred, with not a single buy recorded.  If insiders are choosing to offload their stocks during a period of apparent strength, the analyst asserts that this activity could foreshadow similar selling pressure in the Bitcoin and broader cryptocurrency market. As market makers seek to capitalize on this development, Doctor Profit warns that these entities will likely apply pressure until a substantial portion of short-term traders are forced to sell at a loss.  Doctor Profit concludes by suggesting that the real pain for Bitcoin holders is still to come, predicting that September will be particularly unkind as the market shifts from denial to a more painful reality. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin’s (BTC) recent volatility has unsettled investors, as the largest cryptocurrency by market cap slid by more than five percent over the last two weeks. However, two key on-chain factors indicate that the BTC market structure is largely resilient. Bitcoin Remains Strong Despite Volatility According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor XWIN Research Japan, two important on-chain indicators suggest that despite the recent slump in price, the overall market structure remains strong for the flagship cryptocurrency. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment On Binance Turns Bullish – But Is The Market Setting A Trap? The first is Bitcoin’s Delta Cap – a long-term valuation model derived from the difference between Realized Cap and Average Cap – that has historically acted as a reliable floor during major cycles. In early August, BTC traded above this steadily rising line, suggesting that the market is building a stronger foundation compared to previous drawdowns. A rising Delta Cap also signals capital inflows and long-term investor conviction, even during price corrections. The CryptoQuant analyst shared the following chart showing Delta Cap hovering around $739.4 billion. Although BTC is currently trading below this line, a quick move to $120,000 would likely push the price back above it. The second on-chain factor pointing toward resilience in BTC market structure is the Coinbase Premium Gap, which currently stands at +11.6. The high positive value of the metric suggests stronger demand from US institutions, who are accumulating BTC at a premium. For the uninitiated, the Coinbase Premium Gap measures the price difference of Bitcoin between US exchange Coinbase and global exchanges like Binance. A positive gap means Bitcoin trades at a higher price on Coinbase, often signaling stronger US institutional buying demand. Historically, sustained periods of positive premium have preceded major bullish phases, as institutional accumulation drives price discovery. The analyst concluded: Together, these two metrics point toward a constructive setup: Bitcoin consolidating above $100K with strong institutional support and a long-term valuation floor steadily rising. Corrections, rather than being a sign of weakness, appear to be opportunities for accumulation within a robust structural uptrend. Is BTC Out Of The Woods? Although the two aforementioned on-chain indicators point toward strength in BTC market structure, not all analysts are as optimistic. For instance, a fall below $105,000 might send BTC all the way down to $90,000. Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Price Is Heading To $256K — Here’s When Another analyst recently warned that if BTC loses the support at $108,600 level, then it could fall further to $104,000. A failure to bounce from $104,000 could see BTC test the psychologically important $100,000 level. That said, Bitcoin’s rapidly rising illiquid supply on Binance may play a pivotal role in sending it to a fresh all-time high (ATH). At press time, BTC trades at $109,289, up 0.9% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Bitcoin long-term holders have seen their spending accelerate recently, with the largest daily spike of the year taking place on Friday. 1 To 2 Years Old Bitcoin Investors Made Up For The Biggest Part Of The Spike In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed how the activity of the Bitcoin long-term holders (LTHs) has been looking recently. The LTHs refer to the BTC investors who have been holding onto their coins for more than 155 days. Related Reading: Solana Breaks Out Of Ascending Triangle: Is $300 The Next Stop? Statistically, the longer an investor holds onto their coins, the less likely they are to sell them in the future. As such, the LTHs with their relatively long holding time are considered to be resolute entities. Despite their conviction, however, there are times when even members of this cohort decide to part with their coins. Below is a chart shared by Glassnode that shows how spending from this cohort has fluctuated over the past year. As is visible in the graph, the 14-day simple moving average (SMA) of the Bitcoin volume spent by the LTHs has shot up recently, indicating the HODLers are ramping up their transaction activity. The spike in LTH spending has come after a decline in the BTC price. The timing could be a possible sign that some of the diamond hands are starting to think the bull run is winding down, so they have decided to exit with their profits while they still can. Though while Bitcoin LTH transactions are elevated right now, they are still significantly below the levels observed in the last quarter of 2024. Also, the smoothed data of the 14-day SMA may suggest the development corresponds to an increase in spending over a period, but it turns out that it’s largely due to a single large daily spike. From the chart, it’s apparent that this large spike that occurred on Friday involved around 97,000 BTC, worth a whopping $10.6 billion. This is the largest spending day for the LTHs in 2025 so far. Related Reading: Solana Social Media Hype Hits 11-Week High As Price Jumps 16% The LTH group’s 155-day cutoff means that the cohort covers a rather large range, so here’s another chart, this one breaking down how the different segments of the group have contributed to this event: It would appear that the 1 to 2-year-old Bitcoin LTHs provided the largest part of the spending spike at 34,500 BTC. The 6 to 12 months and 3 to 5 years segments are other standouts, each contributing around 16,000 BTC. BTC Price Bitcoin slipped toward $107,000 during the weekend, but it appears the coin has jumped back to start Monday as its price is now trading around $109,500. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com

On-chain analytics platform Santiment has weighed in on whether the Bitcoin price has reached its bottom, following its drop to the $108,000 range. The platform alluded to the current social sentiment, suggesting that a further drawdown may be looming.  Bitcoin Price Bottom Not Yet In Amid Spike In Social Dominance In a research report, Santiment indicated that the Bitcoin price bottom may not yet be in, considering the surge in the social dominance of ‘buy the dip’ mentions. The platform explained that a true bottom is often marked not by price but by a shift in social narrative from ‘buy the dip’ optimism to widespread fear. This creates a strong bearish case that discourages buying.  Related Reading: Analyst Warns Investors To Avoid Bitcoin At All Cost As Price Is Going Below $60,000 Santiment suggested that the Bitcoin price typically rebounds when the sentiment is bearish and when investors least expect an uptrend. However, for now, market participants are still getting “antsy and trying to find some entry spots now that prices have cooled down a bit, Santiment analyst Brian Quinlivan explained.  The analyst opined that the cooldown in the Bitcoin price so far is not a huge one, while noting that BTC has detached from the S&P 500. Quinlivan predicted that BTC and other crypto assets could play catch-up to the stock market when the crowd stops getting too optimistic about buying the dip. He added that the true ‘buy the dip’ opportunities happen when the crowd stops believing there is an opportunity.  In the research report, Santiment noted that the current ‘buy the dip’ chatter needs to be suddenly replaced by discussion of the narrative that supports the bearish case. In line with this, the platform advised market participants to pay close attention to the dominant social narrative. According to the report, when the conversation shifts from hopeful buying to widespread fear, it can be a stronger bottom signal than the Bitcoin price alone. Another Metric To Keep An Eye On The Santiment report indicated that BTC whale transfers are another key metric to watch for, as they can help determine if the Bitcoin price has reached its bottom. These whales, wallets holding 10 to 10,000 BTC, have not been selling off in any significant way despite the market dip.  Related Reading: MicroStrategy Successfully Claims 3% Of Bitcoin Supply, Here’s How Much It’s Now Worth According to Maksim, who joined Santiment analyst Brian on the podcast, whenever these wallets do decrease their holdings, it can lead to “postponed price suppression weeks thereafter.” Therefore, Santiment advised market participants to monitor the holdings of large Bitcoin wallets. A lack of selling from whales could indicate underlying strength, while a significant drop can be a warning of future price weakness.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $107,800, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

A long-dormant Bitcoin “OG” has been rotating billions of dollars’ worth of BTC into ETH over the past two weeks, executing the bulk of the trades on Hyperliquid and withdrawing large tranches of ETH to self-custody—before staking a significant portion on the Beacon Chain. Bitcoin OG Whale Still Rotates Into ETH On-chain sleuth “MLM” has chronicled the flows in real time. In the most recent 46-hour window, the address cluster associated with the trader sold 7,000 BTC (≈$759 million at reference prices used by MLM) and bought 171,791.84 ETH (≈$773 million). MLM added that 3,000 BTC remained in the actively used source address—likely earmarked for further rotation—while two older wallets still held a combined 46,816 BTC (≈$5.07 billion). Cumulatively across the past 11 days, MLM tallied 34,110 BTC sold (≈$3.7 billion) and 813,298.84 ETH purchased (≈$3.66 billion), using $108,400 per BTC and $4,500 per ETH as baseline pricing for comparability. The execution venue has become part of the story. Hyperliquid’s public explorer (HypurrScan) shows heavy activity at the Hyperliquid account cited by MLM, corresponding with phased BTC deposits and batched ETH withdrawals. “MoonOverlord”—a trader—downplayed the mystery around the venue choice: “idk why it’s bizarre? it’s a trade, he picked the best venue.” MLM replied that the oddity is not the platform but that “the identity of this person is unknown, and he decided to swap such a large amount of BTC to ETH, which is unusual for a ‘og’ bitcoin whale.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Risks Deeper Losses If $107,800 Line Fails To Hold – Details Arkham Intelligence independently flagged the same entity, writing: “THIS WHALE JUST BOUGHT $430M OF ETH – AND STILL HAS $650M LEFT TO BUY,” and identifying specific addresses on both chains. According to Arkham, the whale “has purchased over $3 BILLION of ETH in total and staked the majority of it,” with flows linking a BTC source wallet beginning “169q…” and an ETH receiver “0x6167…”. Those staking claims are now visible on-chain. On September 1, funding flows from 0x6167… led to a “Beacon Depositor” account that submitted a series of deposit transactions totaling 165,010 ETH to Ethereum’s staking contract, with dozens of 30,000 ETH-sized and 15,010 ETH-sized deposit calls posted within the same hour. The deposit contract view and the funding trail from 0x6167… corroborate that a substantial slice of the newly acquired ETH has moved directly into staking. On the Bitcoin side, the active source wallet “169q…” and two long-idle companion wallets “17MWd…” and “12Xqe…” anchor the cluster that MLM has been tracking since last week. Mempool records show recent inter-wallet activity and outputs from 169q… consistent with the staged deposits to Hyperliquid described in the thread. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Closes Below STH Realized Price For The 2nd Time In 2025 — Details The trader’s provenance is still speculative. MLM argues the entity is “presumably Asian,” noting that the original BTC was accumulated seven to eight years ago via Asia-linked platforms and miners—“HTX, OKX, ViaBTC (a mining pool), Bixin (a miner), and Binance.” But MLM cautioned readers not to over-interpret intent: “Of course, don’t take this prediction as financial advice, since it’s all speculation for now and we don’t know the intentions of this whale.” $5 Billion Selloff Still Looms While commentators are debating motives, the mechanics are clear: staged BTC funding to a single trading venue, piecemeal ETH fills to minimize slippage, rapid withdrawals to self-custody, and swift conversion of a large portion to staked ETH. The cadence of deposits and withdrawals—some clustered over weekends—also lines up with timing observations in MLM’s logs and Arkham’s updates. What remains uncertain is how much further the rotation will go. MLM’s running ledger suggested that at least several thousand BTC were still poised to move: “Additionally, there’s another combined 46.816 BTC ($5.07B) across these wallets: 17MWd [and] 12Xqeq. Of this, another 14.495 BTC ($1.57B) might get rotated based on previous activity, though it’s unclear what will happen with the remaining 32.321 BTC ($3.5B). At this point, it looks like he is rotating everything lol.” At press time, BTC traded at $109,621. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

After hitting a new all-time high last month, the Bitcoin price has since retraced by more than 10%, crashing below $110,000 once again. This bearish pressure has continued into the new month, with sell-offs being the order of the day, especially as investors move to secure their profits. Despite calls for a possible bottom, a crypto analyst has suggested that the Bitcoin crash is far from over. In fact, going by the analysis, the decline may just be starting as Bitcoin is expected to tumble further. Why A Crash To $93,000 Is Imminent In the analysis, crypto analyst MMBTtrader acknowledges the fact that the Bitcoin price is already under immense pressure. This is shown by the fact that the cryptocurrency has been rejected from $120,000 and has now fallen back to the next major support zone. Related Reading: Cardano Price To Rise 300% To $4? Analyst Reveals When So far, the $108,000 level has acted as a support, preventing further decline. However, with sellers still being in charge of the market, it is possible that this level does not hold for long. Looking at the broader picture, the crypto analyst calls for further price decline, and this could trigger a cascading effect. As the analyst explains, this is happening because the market needs some rest. There is also the trendline that began back in 2024, shown by the line in green, suggesting where the Bitcoin price could fall next. A retest of this trendline suggests that Bitcoin could dump back to $93,000, where the trendline makes its next contact. Naturally, the next retest of the trendline in this case would mean that it is hitting support. But there is also the fact that momentum doesn’t point to a possible Bitcoin price recovery. Even after hitting $93,000, the analyst expects a further breakdown and a move to as low as $70,000. Why Bitcoin Price Could Still Jump In the case of bulls being able to maintain support and triggering a bounce, the crypto analyst shows there is still a possibility of a price jump. Here, the price would have to reclaim the trendline above $117,000 to complete the upward continuation. Related Reading: Analyst Says XRP Price Is Yet To Hit Its First Bearish Target – Details A price jump from this support level could end in another 30% price increase, pushing the price above the $137,000 level. However, the analyst remains adamant that there is more possibility of a breakdown. “I am thinking of breakout to the downside and more dump after that like red arrows maybe now with higher possibility,” MMBTtrader stated. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin is once again at the center of market attention, facing a decisive test after several days of heightened volatility. Last Friday, BTC lost the crucial $110,000 support level, sparking concerns that the recent rally may be running out of steam. Since then, the market has been marked by sharp swings as bulls attempt to defend current levels against mounting selling pressure. Related Reading: Ethereum Leads Market While Altcoins Lose Ground – Details Analysts are increasingly divided. While some believe this is a healthy consolidation within a broader uptrend, others are warning that Bitcoin could be on the brink of a deeper correction. With fear creeping back into sentiment, traders are closely watching key levels that could determine the next phase of price action. Adding to the uncertainty, new data from CryptoQuant reveals that Galaxy Digital has been selling BTC in the past hours, fueling speculation about whether institutional players are beginning to take profits. Such moves often amplify volatility, as smaller investors react to large-scale transactions by whales and funds. With Bitcoin’s trajectory at a crossroads, the coming days will be crucial. Either bulls regain control and push BTC back above resistance, or selling pressure intensifies, dragging the market into its sharpest correction since the summer rally. Galaxy Digital Sells BTC, Signals Market Shift According to CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn, Galaxy Digital’s Bitcoin balance has dropped by 1,167 BTC, adding fresh pressure to an already fragile market. The move comes at a moment when Bitcoin is testing crucial levels after losing the $110,000 mark last Friday, intensifying speculation that institutions may be locking in profits. While the reduction in holdings may not seem overwhelming in isolation, the timing has sparked concerns as Bitcoin’s next weekly close approaches. The broader market context makes this development even more significant. Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, is consolidating around key demand levels after weeks of heavy volatility, suggesting that capital rotation is slowing while investors reassess their risk appetite. If ETH continues to hold firm, it may provide a degree of support for altcoins, but Bitcoin remains the decisive anchor for market sentiment. For Bitcoin, the next sessions represent a make-or-break phase. A strong weekly close above $110,000 could help restore confidence, signaling that the recent correction was temporary profit-taking rather than the start of a deeper downturn. Conversely, if selling pressure persists and BTC fails to recover, analysts warn of a possible slide toward $100,000 as the next major support zone. With Galaxy Digital’s activity highlighting institutional caution, investors are left weighing whether this is a short-term shakeout or the first sign of a broader distribution trend. Either way, the market’s reaction in the coming days will set the tone for the weeks ahead. Related Reading: Ethereum Demand Climbs As Monthly Transactions Hit New All-Time High Bitcoin Struggles To Hold Support As Selling Pressure Mounts Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $108,764, showing signs of weakness after failing to recover from last week’s breakdown below the $110,000 level. The daily chart highlights how BTC has struggled to regain momentum, with repeated rejections around $112,000 confirming heavy selling pressure from the market. The technical outlook suggests that Bitcoin is now sitting at a crucial crossroads. The 50-day moving average (blue line) near $111,673 has flipped into resistance, a bearish signal that underscores the market’s current weakness. Meanwhile, the 100-day moving average (green line) at $116,323 has also begun sloping downward, suggesting that medium-term momentum is turning bearish. Related Reading: Bitcoin Index Highlights Two Accumulations And Five Distribution Waves This Cycle – Details Support, however, lies around the 200-day moving average (red line) near $101,207. If BTC continues to trend lower, this level will be critical to watch, as it could provide the foundation for a rebound. Losing it would open the door to a deeper correction, with $100,000 emerging as the next psychological level. Bitcoin’s inability to reclaim the $110K–$112K zone leaves it vulnerable to further downside. Bulls must step in soon to defend support, or the market risks accelerating into its largest correction since the summer rally. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s rally and its doubters remain on a collision course as the market pauses after a run of record highs. Related Reading: Ethereum Bullishness: Ark Invest Boss Scoops $16-M More In BitMine Stock According to CoinGecko, Bitcoin hit $124,050 on July 14 and was trading around $109,124 at the time of publication. The pullback has not stopped some voices from projecting far higher prices, but it has kept sceptics loud. Skepticism Will Likely Persist According to Luke Broyles, a commentator known as The Bitcoin Adviser, doubt about bitcoin’s upside will probably stick around even if prices soar. Broyles told Natalie Brunell on the Coin Stories podcast that he expects bitcoin to reach $5 million, $10 million or more, and that people will still insist it can’t go any higher. He said this is not just a market problem. It is a mindset problem. Psychology Trumps Tech For Many People Broyles argued that most people have not yet connected bitcoin to things that change daily life. “I think it’s going to be that way for a very long time,” he said. Adoption, he suggested, will advance faster when bitcoin is tied to familiar financial decisions rather than presented as a small, optional investment to chip away at over months. That, he said, is what will convince larger groups of people to take it seriously. Real Estate Integration Could Drive Adoption Broyles offered a practical example. He asked whether it would be easier to persuade someone to buy small amounts of bitcoin for 200 months, or to tell them they could refinance a home and convert some equity into bitcoin. He said the latter would “blow people’s minds.” Reports have disclosed that blending bitcoin with mortgage and loan products could make the asset feel more useful, not just speculative. A Wide Gap In Understanding Remains According to an August 2024 survey by Australian exchange Swyftx, over 40% of nearly 2,230 respondents said they had not used crypto because they were not sure about it. That finding underscores a persistent gap between market moves and mainstream comfort. Price records are visible and headline-grabbing. Practical familiarity is slower to arrive. Related Reading: XRP Price Could See Boost As Japanese Gaming Giant Commits 2.5-B Yen Investment Skeptics Reappear At Every Milestone History shows critics have questioned Bitcoin at each new high and during every correction. At times when prices tumbled, some commentators said it was over for good. Those views faded when the market recovered. That pattern has been repeated many times and was noted again in recent comments from market watchers. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Cryptowzrd, in a fresh update on Bitcoin’s daily technical outlook, noted that the market closed bearish, leaving room for further downside. A decisive close below the $110,500 support could mark a key shift, making lower levels worth watching.  Daily Candle Signals Bearish Pressure For Bitcoin Cryptowzrd expanded on his outlook by pointing out that Bitcoin’s daily candle closed bearish, with price now trading beneath the $110,500 support zone. This breakdown is significant and could invite further selling pressure in the sessions ahead if buyers fail to reclaim the level. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Rally Over? Analyst Forecasts Drop To $94,000 If This Level Doesn’t Hold He emphasized that holding below this support opens the door for a potential move toward the $100,000 mark. However, a strong bullish candle and a swift recovery could invalidate the bearish setup, restoring confidence for buyers. In the analysis, he also highlighted the performance of Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D), which closed indecisively while displaying weakness. This weakness in dominance is often viewed as a positive signal for altcoins, as it suggests capital is flowing away from Bitcoin and into alternative assets. Such a shift in market dominance reflects growing market confidence in altcoins. When Bitcoin dominance stalls or declines, it tends to fuel altcoin rallies, allowing traders to diversify into promising setups across the market. Finally, he noted that markets are heading into the monthly transition period, a time often associated with increased volatility and mixed sentiment. Going into the weekend, he emphasized the importance of staying rational and avoiding overextending in either direction, maintaining measured strategies while waiting for clearer confirmation signals. BTC Volatility Dominates Intraday Trading Cryptowzrd highlighted that today’s intraday chart displayed sharp volatility with a clear bearish tone, as Bitcoin slipped and is currently holding below the $110,400 intraday support. This level has now become critical, as losing it signals weakening buyer strength and raises the risk of further downside pressure.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Rally Over? CryptoQuant’s Bull Score Index Turns Bearish He explained that if Bitcoin retests $110,400 and fails to reclaim it, the level could flip into resistance. Such a scenario would likely trigger a short setup, with price action targeting the $105,500 support area or even extending lower if bearish momentum accelerates. This makes the $110,400 region a decisive battleground for traders closely watching intraday setups. On the other hand, Cryptowzrd pointed out that a strong reclaim and hold above $110,400 could shift momentum back in favor of the bulls, opening the door for further upside pressure. However, the crypto analyst emphasized that the market currently lacks clarity, and traders should exercise caution before rushing in. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

The Bitcoin price is once again under heavy pressure in the market. An analyst has warned that the coin shows strong bearish signs after being rejected at a resistance level. The price has now fallen to a critical support area, where buyers are trying to hold the line. According to the analyst, if the level fails, the price could drop even lower, raising doubts about whether the key levels will remain safe. Analyst Says Bitcoin Price Turned Bearish After $121,000 Rejection The analyst explained that the bearish trend began when Bitcoin strongly rejected the $121,000 resistance level. According to the analyst, that rejection forced the coin to break down from its earlier upward channel, which had guided the price during its last rally. Once this breakdown happened, the mood in the market shifted, and a new bearish phase took hold. Related Reading: VanEck CEO Reveals Which Altcoin Is “The Wall Street Token”, It’s Not XRP The analyst added that Bitcoin first moved within a downward channel, but even that structure could not hold. As selling pressure increased, the coin also broke below the support level of this channel. The downward move marked a shift in sentiment, as buyers could not keep the price stable. According to the analyst, Bitcoin’s fall may now follow a steep local trend line, which could cause the coin to decline faster. This kind of move shows that sellers are firmly in control for now. The analyst’s view is that the rejection at $121,000 was a turning point, and the coin has been unable to regain strength since then. For many traders, this level has become a clear resistance that won’t break again without strong demand. $109,700 Support Under Pressure, Analyst Targets $104,000 Next The analyst also pointed out that Bitcoin is now directly testing the key buyer zone at $109,700. The level acts as a horizontal support, and the analyst says that if it fails, the bearish case could only grow stronger. While there may be a short period of sideways movement or a minor retest of the nearby trend line, the analyst believes the dominant force in the market remains downward pressure. Related Reading: Bitcoin OG Who Told People To Buy BTC At $1 Reveals How High XRP Price Will Go In simple terms, the analyst expects the weight of selling to break the $109,700 level. If that happens, the path to $104,000 becomes the next logical target. The analyst explained that this lower zone could be the next support area where buyers might try to fight back. However, if $109,700 does not hold, the move to $104,000 could come quickly. Beyond that, the market will begin to ask a bigger question — can Bitcoin hold the critical $100,000 level? Traders are watching closely, because a break below that level would mark a significant shift in the broader trend. Featured image from DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin remains under pressure after sliding from its all-time high above $124,000 earlier this month. At the time of writing, the asset trades at $110,219, reflecting a weekly decline of about 2% and a broader drop of more than 10% from its peak. Despite the correction, analysts continue to examine on-chain data for signs of the market’s next direction. Among the latest insights, CryptoQuant contributor CryptoOnchain highlighted the significance of the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) Price Bands, a long-observed metric used to assess market cycles. According to the analyst, Bitcoin’s current positioning above key support bands suggests the uptrend remains intact, but with room for both continued growth and potential volatility. Related Reading: JPMorgan Says Bitcoin Is ‘Undervalued’—But By How Much? MVRV Price Bands Point to Potential Cycle Top The MVRV Price Bands model has historically been used to identify both bottoms and tops in Bitcoin’s long-term cycles. CryptoOnchain noted that the model’s lower band, often referred to as the “floor price,” reliably marked market lows in 2018 and 2022, while the upper band highlighted cycle peaks such as 2017 and 2021. Currently, Bitcoin’s trading price is positioned well above the model’s floor price of around $52,300 and its median support level of approximately $91,600. This indicates what the analyst referred to as a “healthy uptrend” with persistent activity from long-term holders. Importantly, the model’s projected ceiling price suggests that Bitcoin could reach as high as $183,000 by August 2025, assuming historical trends remain consistent. The analyst emphasized that while the ceiling level offers a potential target, traders should monitor the mid-price band for signs of weakening momentum. A decisive move below this level could indicate a shift in trend, raising the possibility of deeper corrections even within a bullish cycle. Bitcoin Cost Basis Trends Reflect Market Behavior A separate analysis by CryptoQuant contributor BorisD provided additional context by examining the cost basis of Bitcoin investors on Binance. Data shows that the average deposit address cost basis on Binance has risen from $44,000 earlier this year to $62,000. This suggests that investors are actively accumulating at higher price zones, particularly around Bitcoin’s recent peaks. New whale investors, defined as large-scale buyers with significant holdings, currently hold an average cost basis of $108,000, which is emerging as a key support level. According to BorisD, this level could serve as the foundation for the next leg of upward momentum if demand persists. At the same time, miner-linked wallets showed a slight reduction in their average cost basis from $58,000 to $54,000, hinting at modest selling pressure from mining operations. Related Reading: Bitcoin And The September Curse: Can This Time Be Different? Long-term holders, meanwhile, remain well positioned, with a cost basis near $40,000. This region has historically been considered a strong accumulation zone, providing resilience during broader market corrections. BorisD pointed out that cost basis levels often track closely with price behavior and can act as both support and resistance during volatile swings. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

The Bitcoin price has experienced a notable downturn, with the market’s largest cryptocurrency retracting 8% in the monthly time frame. This decline has sparked significant criticism on social media, particularly against the crypto exchange Binance, which some investors accuse of contributing to the current market slump. Binance Behind The Bitcoin Price Slump? Market analyst DeFitracer shared insights on social media site X (formerly Twitter), questioning why the market is experiencing a sell-off despite what he describes as an oversaturation of positive catalysts.  These include record inflows into crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) anticipated for next month. Yet, he points out, “we’re still dumping—why?” Related Reading: LINK Price Climbs Following Chainlink’s Deal With US Commerce Department, Eyes $30 According to DeFitracer, the ongoing sell-offs appear to be orchestrated by Binance, which he claims is using a third party, market maker Wintermute, to execute its trades.  This strategy, he argues, is designed to set a bearish trend that retail investors follow, ultimately benefiting Binance through profits from futures liquidations. In fact, 2024 saw $344 million liquidated in a single day on the exchange, and current market manipulations may yield similar results, he asserts. As of press time, the market’s leading cryptocurrency trades at $108,295, meaning a 12% retrace from all-time high (ATH) levels of $124,000 reached earlier in the month.  Three-Phase Reaction To Crypto Sell-Off DeFitracer also highlighted significant activity surrounding Solana (SOL). The analyst indicates that beyond Bitcoin, Binance has also been offloading SOL, potentially driven by an alleged desire to curb competition with its own token, Binance Coin (BNB), which currently has a market cap of $117 billion compared to SOL’s $102 billion.  The analyst also said in his analysis that this activity raises questions about where Binance is sourcing its Solana, as their proof-of-reserves only shows client funds, suggesting that customer assets might be at risk in these trading maneuvers. DeFitracer added that these movements echo the practices of collapsed exchanges like FTX, which similarly utilized client funds through its trading arm Alameda Research:  This is a terrible look for the exchange. User funds should stay safe – not be used for market games. FTX pulled the same move with client funds through Alameda Research. We all know how that ended Related Reading: Ethereum Could Suffer $5 Billion Sell Pressure As Exit Queue Crosses 1 Million ETH While the current market conditions may seem daunting, DeFitracer outlines a potential three-phase market reaction: an initial phase of panic leading to retail exits, followed by accumulation during the downturn, and finally, a sharp rebound.  He emphasizes that the upcoming rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve next month could significantly shift the market sentiment, recalling how similar cuts in 2021 triggered a massive bull run, propelling the Bitcoin price to new heights. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Fresh data from Binance suggests that Bitcoin’s (BTC) illiquid supply has reached historically high levels, a development that could set the stage for BTC to eye the $150,000 milestone by the end of 2025. Bitcoin Illiquid Supply On Binance Hit Record Highs According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, Bitcoin’s illiquid supply recently touched new highs on the Binance exchange. In contrast, BTC’s liquid supply has seen a significant decline. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment On Binance Turns Bullish – But Is The Market Setting A Trap? The CryptoQuant contributor shared the following chart which shows the difference between BTC’s liquid vs illiquid supply on Binance. Bitcoin recently hit a fresh all-time high (ATH) above $120,000 before a price correction, showing that the market is currently in a state of “liquidity scarcity” supporting an upward trend. A high level of illiquid supply essentially means that more BTC is locked away in wallets with minimal movement, effectively removing it from circulation on exchanges. This reduces the amount of Bitcoin available for trading. A lack of BTC readily available on exchanges increases buying pressure on the limited supply that remains. This dynamic helps explain how BTC has continued to reach new highs even without massive inflows of external liquidity. That said, there remain some risks. BTC’s low liquid supply means that whales or large holders can exert significant pressure on the cryptocurrency through any sudden sell-off. Such pressure could result in sharp price correction for the digital asset due to the lack of liquidity to absorb the new supply. At the same time, current on-chain data indicates that whales and institutions appear to be adopting a “hold for the long haul” strategy, underscoring their confidence in Bitcoin’s role as a long-term strategic asset. However, analysts caution that any sudden shift in this behavior would be felt almost immediately across the market. BTC In A “Fragile Bull Run” Arab Chain described the present market situation as a contradictory one. On one hand, rising illiquid supply provides a foundation for further price appreciation. On the other, the lack of liquid supply creates a fragile market structure where even moderate selling could cause significant volatility. Related Reading: More Pain For Bitcoin? Open Interest Surpasses $40 Billion As Longs Crowd In As a result, Bitcoin is currently in a “fragile bull run” in that it is supported by long-term holders but susceptible to sudden selling from whales. However, if BTC illiquid supply continues to rise, then it could move toward levels exceeding $150,000 by the end of 2025. On the flipside, if the liquid supply increases due to persistent sell-offs, then the market could face challenges, leading to a price decline to as low as the $90,000 to $100,000 range. Despite BTC’s fragile price momentum, some experts continue to remain optimistic. Crypto analyst Timothy Peterson recently predicted that BTC can surge as high as $160,000 by Christmas. At press time, BTC trades at $109,286, down 3% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Eric Trump laid out a bluntly bullish, supply-and-demand case for why Bitcoin can reach $1 million, arguing that accelerating institutional access collides with Bitcoin’s fixed 21 million-coin cap, during a “Bitcoin Takes Over the World” session with David Bailey at the Bitcoin Asia conference in Hong Kong on August 29. Bitcoin’s Path To $1 Million Is ‘No Question’ “Everybody wants Bitcoin. Everybody is buying Bitcoin. And that’s uh that’s an incredible thing. And that’s why I’ve always said that I really believe that in the next several years, Bitcoin will hit a million dollars. There’s no question Bitcoin hits a million dollars,” Trump told the audience, adding that “every person who wants an asset class and you have a very limited supply… it doesn’t take a genius to figure out where that goes.” He urged long-term accumulation over timing: “Buy right now. Shut your eyes. Hold it for the next five years and you are going to do terrifically well.” Trump also recounted his private discussions with high-level investors in the lead-up to the conference: “When you’re in the room with certain people and and I had breakfast this morning with, you know, a couple of the most powerful people in the region and the hospitality space and you’re literally sitting there trying to explain to them what digital currency is, you realize how early we all are to this race […] I hear from people all the time, you know, should I get into cryptocurrency? Did I miss it? Am I too late? And I literally start laughing at them. I go, we haven’t even scratched the surface of what Bitcoin is going to be.” Related Reading: Bitcoin And The September Curse: Can This Time Be Different? Trump’s core thesis combined two pillars: finite issuance and broadening distribution rails. He repeatedly emphasized Bitcoin’s provable scarcity—“There’s only 21 million coins… It’s finite. And that’s what makes it so damn powerful”—while asserting that channels for ownership have widened to large pools of capital. “In America, people are buying it for their retirement plans for the first time… you’ve got trillions of dollars of liquidity that’s opening up,” he said, citing custody at “major financial institutions,” as well as uptake by “the biggest banks,” “the biggest families,” “Fortune 500 companies,” and “sovereign wealth funds.” According to Trump, those cohorts are long-term holders: “Those retirement accounts are not letting Bitcoin go. Those companies are not letting Bitcoin go. Those sovereign wealth funds are not letting Bitcoin go.” Pressed on what he is hearing in high-level rooms globally, Trump offered another anecdote—without naming the country—about a leader who “literally [takes] the entire energy supply of a major city in the middle of a winter and uses it to mine Bitcoin because that’s how much they believe in the asset.” He added, “You realize how early we all are […] more and more people are finding their inroads,” pointing to improving exchange usability and new consumer on-ramps. “We’re literally trying to get cryptocurrency to the masses,” he said about World Liberty Financial. Related Reading: Bitcoin Supply In Profit Hits Historical Threshold – Echoing Past Patterns Trump also highlighted his own commercial exposure to the sector. He described American Bitcoin as “one of the biggest Bitcoin mining companies on Earth,” claiming it produces “about 3% of the world’s Bitcoin every single day,” operates from “some of the cheapest energy in the world… in Texas,” and targets a “rough cost per… mining of Bitcoin… about $37,000,” with plans to list on Nasdaq “very soon.” Beyond mining, he praised his involvement with MetaPlanet alongside Simon Gerovich—whom he dubbed “the Michael Saylor of Asia”—saying the company had “single-handedly changed… the way [Japan and] a lot of Asia” view Bitcoin. The conversation returned repeatedly to Bitcoin’s evolving utility narrative. While calling Bitcoin “digital gold” and “the greatest store of value that’s arguably ever been created,” Trump argued its use cases are broadening: “Every single day they’re figuring out new ways to kind of stake it, to get yield on it, to use it for everyday purchases […] you’re taking this digital gold […] and you’re putting massive utility behind Bitcoin.” He framed volatility as an ally for long-term buyers—“Volatility is our friend”—and, with a wink to Michael Saylor’s famous extremism, quipped, “I know obviously he jokes when he says that, but he’s right. Buy it, hold it, and I think you’re going to do extremely well.” At press time, BTC traded at $110,149. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin has entered a consolidation phase after reaching $124,500 earlier this month and retracing below the $115,000 mark. The sharp move higher followed by weeks of sideways action has left the market in a state of uncertainty, with traders watching closely for the next decisive move. For many analysts, this consolidation is not a sign of weakness but rather a natural pause before the next leg higher. Related Reading: Bitcoin Supply In Profit Hits Historical Threshold – Echoing Past Patterns A push above the all-time high would be the clearest confirmation that the next wave of growth has begun. Momentum, however, remains dependent on whether buyers can reclaim lost ground and sustain pressure against resistance levels. Despite short-term caution, onchain signals suggest the broader cycle is still building toward expansion. According to key data shared by CryptoQuant, the Bitcoin Composite Probability points to an early accumulation phase. Historically, such phases occur before major breakouts, when patient investors quietly build positions while price consolidates. This indicator aligns with the idea that the market is resetting before another surge. Bitcoin Market Structure Points To Early Accumulation According to top analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin’s current cycle can be broken down into clear phases of accumulation and distribution. The index highlights two major accumulation points: the first in March 2023, when Bitcoin traded around $22,000, and the second in August–September 2023, near the $29,000 level. These zones marked periods when long-term holders and new entrants quietly built positions before the next leg upward. Following these accumulation phases, Adler identifies five distribution waves where profit-taking dominated: first between $34,000 and $44,000, then at $62,000, followed by $90,000, $109,000, and most recently at $118,000. Each wave represented a step higher in the market structure, but also a point where sellers gradually released supply back into the market. Currently, CryptoQuant’s composite places Bitcoin at a Probability of 38% with a Min-Max of 31%, which he defines as the “repair zone.” This phase, also referred to as digestion or base formation, reflects early accumulation without yet confirming an upward reversal. In other words, while the groundwork for a new rally may be forming, conviction from buyers has not fully returned. For investors, this repair zone carries important implications. Historically, such phases have preceded new bullish waves, offering opportunities for those willing to accumulate before momentum shifts. As Bitcoin consolidates below its highs, Adler suggests that the market may be quietly preparing for continuation — a reminder that consolidation often sets the stage for the next decisive move. Related Reading: Bitcoin Normalized Address Activity Drops To 30%: Selling Pressure Eases Testing Pivotal Level As Downtrend Extends Bitcoin is trading around $109,800 after another sharp drop, reinforcing the selling pressure that has weighed on price action throughout August. The 4-hour chart highlights BTC’s continued struggle to regain momentum following repeated rejections near the $123,000 resistance zone. Each attempt to push higher has been met with heavy supply, leaving the market to trend lower in a series of lower highs and lower lows. Currently, BTC sits just above the $110,000 mark, a level acting as short-term support. However, the broader structure remains bearish, with price trading below the 50-day ($112,725), 100-day ($115,023), and 200-day ($115,831) moving averages. These technical levels now serve as overhead resistance, further complicating the path for bulls to stage a meaningful recovery. Related Reading: Bitcoin MVRV Compression Signals Pause – Market Digests Recent Volatility If Bitcoin fails to hold the $110,000 support, the next downside target lies near $108,000, with a deeper correction potentially extending toward $106,000. Conversely, a bounce from current levels would require reclaiming $112,000 to ease immediate pressure, while a decisive move above $115,000 would be essential to shift momentum back in favor of buyers. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Charles Hoskinson, a founder of Ethereum and the driving force behind Cardano, laid out a sweeping forecast for crypto markets and payments this week. Related Reading: Dogecoin Gears Up For Triple Surge Vs. Bitcoin – Details He predicted Bitcoin could reach $250,000 in the current market cycle and said the token’s total market value might hit $10 trillion in the next five years. Reports have disclosed that he links that outlook to new US stablecoin rules and what he calls clearer market structure. Bitcoin’s Role And Limits In an interview on the David Lin Report, Hoskinson argued that Bitcoin’s design made it strong as a store of value but limited as a global payments rail. He pointed to the old “big block” debates that pushed the network toward saving rather than everyday payments. Layer Two solutions, he said, are where Bitcoin gains the speed and lower cost needed for daily use. This framing leaves room for other blockchains to offer broader financial services. Cardano’s Track Record And Staking Hoskinson framed Cardano as an alternative path — one built on research and formal methods rather than rapid experimentation. Based on reports, the network has operated continuously for about eight years and uses a proof-of-stake model that many users back. Reports also state that over 70% of ADA in circulation has been staked by holders who support the network. That figure is commonly cited when comparing Cardano’s staking take-up to other blockchains. Stablecoins, Lawmakers, And Push For Tokenization Stablecoins are central to Hoskinson’s case. He told lawmakers and audiences that tokens tied to fiat could give people in countries with weak local currencies access to dollar-like stability. According to White House materials, the GENIUS Act has moved through the political process and was signed into law by US President Donald Trump, creating a new US framework for stablecoins. Based on data, the stablecoin market has topped $250 billion in supply, a milestone that regulators and banks are watching closely. A Critique Of Traditional Markets Hoskinson was blunt about exchanges and the stock market. He called current exchange practices “preposterous” and criticized systems that rely on centralized trust, including large listing fees and gatekeeping by a few firms. Related Reading: Finance News Giant Outlines Where XRP Could Be In 2026 And Beyond He said decentralized exchanges — where the protocol enforces rules — could cut out those middlemen and give people more control over their assets. That pitch fits a wider industry argument for moving custody and trade settlement onto public blockchains. For Hoskinson, Bitcoin will stay digital gold, while stablecoins, tokenized assets, and decentralized systems grow around it. The real question, he suggests, is not only how high Bitcoin’s price can go, but how the movement of money will be reshaped. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

JPMorgan has thrown fresh fuel on the most durable comparison in digital assets, arguing in a new research note that Bitcoin now screens “too cheap” versus gold as its volatility collapses to historic lows. How Undervalued Is Bitcoin? The bank’s cross-asset team says six-month BTC volatility has fallen from nearly 60% at the start of 2025 to roughly 30%—a series low—and that Bitcoin is now only about twice as volatile as gold, the narrowest gap on record. On the bank’s volatility-adjusted framework, that compression implies Bitcoin’s market value would need to rise about 13%—translating to roughly $126,000 per coin—to align with the roughly $5 trillion private investment market in gold, leaving BTC “undervalued by around $16,000” on this basis. Related Reading: Bitcoin And The September Curse: Can This Time Be Different? The framing matters. JPMorgan is not saying Bitcoin should be as large as the entire gold complex—jewelry, central-bank reserves and industrial uses included—but rather that on a risk-adjusted basis, given how much less volatile BTC has become relative to bullion, Bitcoin’s capitalization can justify a higher level than where it trades today if one benchmarks against gold’s private-investment slice of the market. The headline takeaway—“Bitcoin undervalued vs. gold as volatility falls”—was amplified by market-moving account Walter Bloomberg on X, underscoring the point that the valuation gap is a function of volatility as much as price. The bank’s analysts, led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, attribute part of the volatility collapse to an evolving holder base and market structure. They point to accelerating accumulation by corporate treasuries—which they estimate now hold more than 6% of circulating supply—and to index-related dynamics that are drawing passive capital into equities tied to Bitcoin exposure, both of which dampen day-to-day swings. The cause-and-effect is straightforward in their telling: a larger, more stable base of “sticky” holders lowers realized volatility, which in turn raises fair value on a volatility-normalized, gold-relative model. Gold Parity And Beyond The claim also drew a pointed reaction from industry commentators. “It’s only a matter of time until Bitcoin reaches parity with gold,” argued Joe Consorti, head of growth at Theya, calling JPMorgan’s note “a big admission.” Related Reading: Bitcoin & Ethereum Whale Populations Quietly Growing, On-Chain Data Reveals In his view, the longer-run destination is not parity on a risk-adjusted model but outright dominance: “At today’s market capitalization, Bitcoin would trade at $1.17 million per coin if it were equal to the size of gold.” He extends the thought experiment into a timeline, contending that if Bitcoin and gold simply maintain their five-year compound growth rates, parity arrives in the early 2030s. “If Bitcoin and gold simply keep growing at their current five-year compound annual growth rates, parity arrives in late 2031. That would mean a $53 trillion market cap for Bitcoin and a price north of $2.5 million per coin. Even under more conservative assumptions, the convergence still happens in the early 2030s. Because it’s not just about Bitcoin’s growth, it’s also about gold losing market share,” the analyst argues. JPMorgan just admitted bitcoin at $112k is undervalued versus gold. Bitcoin would be $1.17M if it was the size of gold today. When will bitcoin reach gold parity, and how much will it be worth? [B2YB @JoinHorizon_] pic.twitter.com/GvofTvKEef — Joe Consorti ⚡️ (@JoeConsorti) August 28, 2025 While these are Consorti’s projections, not JPMorgan’s, they sketch the more maximalist endpoint of the same relative-value logic. At press time, BTC traded at $111,061. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin’s price remains under pressure after retreating from its record high above $124,000 earlier this month. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $113,146, reflecting a decline of 8.7% from its recent peak, though it has recorded a modest 1.8% daily increase. The movement highlights ongoing volatility, as investors weigh both on-chain metrics and broader market sentiment to determine whether the bull cycle can regain strength. Analysts have pointed to a shift in behavior among large traders, particularly on Binance, the world’s largest exchange by volume. According to Arab Chain, a contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, the activity of whales, investors with large holdings, has played a significant role in recent corrections. His analysis of August trading activity suggests that weakened momentum and renewed selling pressure may explain the inability of Bitcoin to sustain its highs. Related Reading: Bitcoin And The September Curse: Can This Time Be Different? Whale Activity on Binance Signals Weakening Momentum Arab Chain noted that throughout July, Bitcoin fluctuated between $118,000 and $122,000 in what he described as a “trendless” market, with low volatility and limited directional moves. During this period, inactive deltas, which measure the circulation of older coins, declined, suggesting whales had paused selling or temporarily exited the market. However, by mid-August, the trend reversed as inactive deltas surged, signaling that long-held coins were again being moved and potentially sold. This activity coincided with Bitcoin’s drop below $112,000, with the Delta indicator remaining near zero, an absence of clear buying pressure. Arab Chain explained that the lack of demand amid increased coin circulation typically results in corrections. “Large investors are selling again without a strong wave of new buyers emerging to balance the effect. This isn’t the end of the bullish cycle, but the momentum is starting to lose steam,” he said. He added that future price movements may depend on whether new catalysts, such as macroeconomic developments or institutional inflows, can reignite demand. Bitcoin Exchange Data Highlights Mixed Sentiment Another CryptoQuant analyst, TraderOasis, examined several metrics to provide further context. He observed that the Coinbase Premium Index, which compares trading activity between US exchanges and global platforms, showed accumulation even as prices fell. This suggests some investors, possibly institutions, were buying during the dip. However, he flagged caution given that the funding rate remained positive, a sign that traders were still leaning bullish even as prices declined, raising concerns about the risk of a liquidity reset. TraderOasis also pointed to open interest, or the number of outstanding derivatives contracts, as a key factor. He argued that open interest often acts as support or resistance relative to spot price. Currently, open interest sits above the market price, which could act as resistance unless broken. “If this level is broken, the price will continue to rise,” he noted. Together, these insights reveal a complex backdrop. While long-term adoption metrics and institutional buying remain supportive, short-term dynamics show cautious sentiment and potential for volatility. With whales selling, stablecoin inflows rising, and derivatives markets heating up, Bitcoin’s next move will likely depend on whether demand can reassert itself strongly enough to offset recent profit-taking. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Bull Score Index has dropped to a value of 20, hinting that a potential bearish transition could have occurred for the asset. Bitcoin Bull Score Index Is Now In “Extra Bearish” Territory In a new post on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has shared how the analytics firm’s “Bull Score Index” has changed for Bitcoin after its recent price drawdown. The Bull Score Index is an indicator that tells us about the market phase the cryptocurrency is currently going through. It determines this by referring to a bunch of key on-chain metrics. Related Reading: Bitcoin & Ethereum Whale Populations Quietly Growing, On-Chain Data Reveals Below is a chart that shows the trend in the indicator over the past year. As is visible in the graph, Bitcoin entered into the “bullish cooldown” phase at the start of August. This signal interestingly persisted even when its price set a new all-time high (ATH) later in the month, a potential sign that the breakout was always gonna be short-lived. In the market downturn that has followed this peak, the Bull Score Index first dipped into the “getting bearish” zone, and now, it has plunged right into “extra bearish” levels. “This is something to take serious,” notes Maartunn. Here is another chart, this one breaking down the individual signals contributing to the Bull Score Index’s value: As displayed in the graph, almost all of the indicators are giving a bearish signal at the moment. Perhaps the most popular metric on the list is the “Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-Score,” which relates to investor profitability. It would appear the current market conditions are bad enough to force it to turn red. Last time the MVRV Z-Score and Bull Score Index turned bearish was back in February of this year. What followed the signal was an extended phase of negative price action for Bitcoin. Given that the Bull Score Index is once again giving an extra bearish indication for the cryptocurrency, it remains to be seen whether its price will now see another transition. Related Reading: Bitcoin Selloff: $2.2 Billion In BTC Floods Exchanges Replying to Maartunn’s post, analyst Ali Martinez has agreed with the caution and shared another signal that could point to a similar outcome for Bitcoin. The indicator cited by Martinez is the net position change of the 90-day exponential moving average (EMA) Bitcoin Supply In Profit. From the chart, it’s apparent that the metric has turned negative recently, which is something that also happened before the bearish market phase earlier in the year. BTC Price While on-chain metrics may be pointing at a bearish conclusion for Bitcoin, its price has made a recovery to $113,000 for now. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin is entering a phase of unusual calm, with price volatility dropping to some of its lowest levels in years. For many analysts, this reduced volatility is not a sign of weakness; rather, it’s a sign of strength. If this trend continues, the groundwork could be laid for a sustainable bull run fueled by Bitcoin’s growing reputation as a long-term store of value. Can Reduced Volatility Redefine Bitcoin’s Market Identity? Bitcoin is entering a new phase in its market evolution. As highlighted by CryptoRank_io on X, the world’s leading cryptocurrency has seen its volatility steadily decline in tandem with the growth of its market capitalization. This trend suggests that Bitcoin is maturing from a speculative, high-risk asset into a more stable, long-term investment vehicle. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breakdown in Motion – Bounce Trap Or Deeper Bear Market Warning? Such a shift toward stability could significantly impact how Bitcoin evolves in the years ahead, rather than the explosive, parabolic rallies and brutal corrections that have historically defined BTC’s price action. The lower volatility suggests that the next phase of growth may come in the form of steadier and more sustainable increases with shallower pullbacks. This is a crucial development for institutional investors and major funds. Traditional finance prefers assets with predictable risk profiles, and Bitcoin’s reduced volatility makes it far more attractive for large-scale allocation.  BTC’s market structure signals bearish sentiment despite rising open interest. According to Luca, the Bitcoin market is showing signs of tension. Since BTC topped out in mid-August, a clear divergence has emerged between Open Interest and Funding Rates. While Open Interest has been steadily climbing, indicating that more positions are being opened, Funding Rates have been trending lower. This setup suggests that bears are doubling down and loading up on short positions in anticipation of further downside. Traders seem to be betting that the latest move lower is just the beginning, especially as BTC heads into September, which is a historically weak month for Bitcoin. Luca noted that this aligns with his previous observations, suggesting that the market may continue to favor bearish positioning in the near term. Sideways Movement Highlights Bitcoin Stability Daan Crypto Trades also revealed that Bitcoin has largely been consolidating over the past few months, showing sideways price action compared to the Standard & Poor 500 (S&P 500). BTC is only up around 10% vs the 2021 all-time high in relation to stocks in 2021. Related Reading: Bitcoin 10% Off Its Highs—But Hidden On-Chain Data Tells a Different Story The trend highlights that the cryptocurrency has yet to replicate the dramatic gains seen in previous cycles. Daan points out that the S&P 500’s performance during this period has been significantly boosted by the surge in AI-related developments, which accelerated equity market gains. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

The crypto market is paying close attention after one of the most famous early Bitcoin voices shared a bold view on XRP. Davinci Jeremie, who gained notoriety for advising people to buy Bitcoin at just $1 back in 2013, has now issued a strong forecast for XRP, noting that the token’s chart displays a healthy structure and a bullish pattern.  Davinci Jeremie Maps XRP Price Path To $4.93 With Fibonacci Levels In his detailed breakdown, Jeremie focused on XRP’s recent movements and the structure forming on its chart. He pointed to a clear W-shaped pattern as a bullish signal. According to him, the market action that pushed XRP higher in recent weeks appeared to be organic, with genuine investor activity providing support rather than artificial manipulation. Related Reading: Pundit Says Bitcoin Price Crash Is Not Over, Why A Decline Below $100,000 Is Coming Jeremie explained that he used the Fibonacci extension levels to calculate possible price targets for XRP. He said the 1.618 level comes in at 4,555 Chilean pesos, but he believes the token could go slightly higher. His projection puts the token at 4,761 pesos, which converts to about $4.93. If this outlook materializes, XRP would not only maintain its current momentum but also surpass its previous all-time high of $3.65, which it met in July of this year. According to the analyst, XRP’s earlier moves in late 2024 appeared forced, with extreme jumps that raised doubts, but this newest action looks more natural and could carry further implications. He emphasized that the chart math and price behavior support the path to further bullish growth, while the token’s structure itself demonstrates clear strength. Bitcoin Maximalist Turns Bullish On XRP’s Market Structure What makes this analysis stand out even more is who it is coming from. Davinci Jeremie has long been regarded as a strong supporter of Bitcoin, often described as a Bitcoin maximalist. His early call for people to buy BTC when the price was at only $1 has given him lasting credibility in the cryptocurrency space. For that reason, his positive comments on XRP are being taken very seriously by many in the market. Related Reading: Rumored Ripple NDA Suggests Trump, BlackRock, And JP Morgan Are Working With XRP Ledger Jeremie emphasized that XRP’s moves from January to June formed a clean W formation on the weekly chart. He explained how the token reached a high of $ 3.40 in January, dropped to around $2.11 in April, rebounded to $2.60 in May, declined to near $2 in June, and then rallied strongly to surpass its January high. That sequence, he said, completed the pattern and opened the door for more gains. His change of tone shows that a strong market structure can override token bias. Even for someone who has close ties to Bitcoin, the health of XRP’s current chart was enough to spark a bullish outlook. Jeremie’s analysis suggests that more investors may start looking at XRP differently, seeing it as an asset with room to grow beyond old expectations.  Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin dominance is at a pivotal moment, testing key support levels that could determine market direction. A bounce from these zones may signal temporary stability, while a breakdown could trigger deeper declines and shift attention toward altcoins.  Market Structure Signals Growing Vulnerability According to @Crypto_TheBoss in a recent market update, Bitcoin dominance has slipped below the 60% support level, signaling a notable change in market dynamics. This breakdown points to a weakening grip for Bitcoin as capital flows begin to diversify into other areas of the crypto market. Moves like this often act as early signals of potential altcoin strength, as traders look beyond Bitcoin for opportunities. Related Reading: Altcoins Takeover Incoming? These On-Chain Metrics Signal An Imminent Market Shift The analyst noted that Bitcoin dominance has bounced from the 58% area, showing that some buying pressure emerged to defend the level. This bounce highlights temporary stability, but it does not yet confirm a recovery. Instead, it reflects a cautious response from the market, where buyers are attempting to prevent further declines while broader sentiment remains uncertain. Looking ahead, @Crypto_TheBoss explained that if the 58% level fails to hold, Fibonacci retracement zones could act as key areas of support. Losing this support would deepen the bearish outlook and likely accelerate capital rotation into altcoins, shifting momentum away from Bitcoin’s leadership in the market. Positive And Negative Technical Signals @Crypto_TheBoss went on to highlight that the bounce from support shows buyers stepped in and temporarily halted the downside pressure. This kind of reaction often reflects how market participants are still willing to defend critical levels, even when sentiment leans toward caution. By holding above support, Bitcoin dominance was able to avoid a deeper immediate drop, though uncertainty still lingers. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment On Binance Turns Bullish – But Is The Market Setting A Trap? The analyst further emphasized that Fibonacci levels are widely used in technical analysis as reliable support and resistance zones. For Bitcoin dominance, the Fibonacci structure provides a technical roadmap, guiding market participants on where the price may either stall, reverse, or accelerate if another leg lower unfolds. In a negative scenario, @Crypto_TheBoss cautioned that losing the 58% support could trigger stronger selling pressure, pushing dominance further down. A breakdown below this level would not only signal structural weakness but also reinforce the narrative of Bitcoin losing its edge in market control.  Such a scenario is often interpreted as a sign of capital rotation into altcoins. As Bitcoin dominance decreases, investor attention tends to shift toward alternative cryptocurrencies, sparking renewed activity and potentially driving sharp moves in the altcoin sector. This rotation could set the stage for fresh momentum in altcoins, particularly if Bitcoin struggles to quickly reclaim its lost ground. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a narrow range, trading below the $115,000 level while holding key support above $110,000. This consolidation reflects the ongoing tug-of-war between bulls and bears, as volatility continues to push the market in both directions. Despite the temporary stability, recent price action shows that selling pressure has gained a slight edge, leaving traders cautious about the next major move. Related Reading: Bitcoin Taker Buy/Sell Ratio Plunges To Lowest Since 2018: Strong Sell Signal Flashes Top analyst Darkfost has highlighted an important on-chain development that adds context to this phase. According to his data, the percentage of Bitcoin supply in profit has now reached a historically critical threshold. This metric, which tracks how much of the circulating supply is currently above its cost basis, has long been a key guidepost for identifying major phases of the cycle. While a large share of supply in profit is not inherently bearish, history shows that such levels often coincide with pivotal turning points in Bitcoin’s market structure. With BTC consolidating in this crucial zone and profit supply peaking, the market stands at a delicate moment. Whether Bitcoin can reclaim momentum above $115K or faces a deeper correction may depend on how investors react to this latest signal. Bitcoin Supply In Profit Reaches Critical Cycle Zone According to top analyst Darkfost, the current level of Bitcoin supply in profit carries far more nuance than many assume. While some investors interpret a large share of coins in profit as a bearish warning, Darkfost emphasizes that it is, in fact, a necessary component of Bitcoin’s cyclical behavior. Contrary to what many might think, he explains, “a high percentage of supply in profit is what fuels the euphoric waves that drive the market forward.” Looking at history, the long-term average of supply in profit sits at roughly 75%, defined by a bell curve of Bitcoin’s performance since inception. In other words, across cycles, three-quarters of supply tends to sit in profit at any given time. When this ratio climbs above 90%, it usually signals a period of strong bullish momentum — the kind often seen in major bull markets. Such elevated levels create the psychological backdrop for rallies to extend, as confidence builds and capital flows into the market. However, Darkfost also warns that this metric can signal turning points. Once the percentage of supply in profit drops back below 90%, the market often transitions into corrective phases. These can be short-lived pullbacks or prolonged downturns, but historically, the break beneath that line has marked the shift away from euphoria. Bitcoin’s position near this threshold highlights the stakes. If supply in profit remains elevated, the market could continue its upward march. If not, the risk of a deeper correction grows, reinforcing the importance of this metric as a cycle-defining indicator. Related Reading: Bitcoin MVRV Compression Signals Pause – Market Digests Recent Volatility Bulls Struggle To Regain Momentum After Pullback Bitcoin is trading near $112,900 after a rebound from lows around $110,800, yet the chart shows that momentum remains fragile. Following the rejection at $123,000 earlier this month, BTC entered a corrective phase, slipping below both the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, which now act as resistance near $115,700–$116,600. This area stands out as the immediate barrier for bulls to reclaim if they want to shift the trend back in their favor. The 200-day moving average at $111,600 is currently providing a layer of support, helping BTC stabilize after recent volatility. Holding this zone will be crucial in preventing a deeper retrace toward the $108,000 region. If buyers can defend this level while building momentum, the market could stage a relief rally back toward the mid-$115K range. Related Reading: Bitcoin STH Cost Basis Aligns With Critical Indicator: Support Builds Around $100K Level However, failure to reclaim the moving averages would leave BTC vulnerable to extended downside pressure. The inability to hold above $115K has already signaled fading strength, and without a decisive breakout, sellers could regain control. For now, Bitcoin sits in a consolidation phase, caught between critical support and resistance, with the next move likely to determine whether the market stabilizes or slides further. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is trading at a critical level after successfully holding above $110,000 as support, but market sentiment remains on edge. The recent defense of this zone has given bulls a temporary cushion, yet selling pressure is mounting as volatility continues to drive uncertainty. Some analysts warn that further declines may follow if buyers fail to regain momentum, putting Bitcoin’s resilience to the test. Related Reading: Bitcoin Taker Buy/Sell Ratio Plunges To Lowest Since 2018: Strong Sell Signal Flashes Top analyst Axel Adler highlights a key onchain signal that sheds light on the current market structure. According to Adler, Bitcoin’s Normalized Address Activity (NAA) dropped sharply from 60% — the level at which the $124,000 all-time high was formed — down to just 30%. This decline reflects a clear cooling in transactional intensity, with fewer coins moving on-chain. While this signals that short-term supply is weakening and immediate selling pressure has eased, it also raises questions about whether there is enough demand to fuel another rally. The balance between cooling activity and sustained support will be decisive. If Bitcoin holds $110K and demand reemerges, the market could stabilize. But if volatility keeps pressuring buyers, the risk of deeper corrections remains firmly on the table. Bitcoin Long-Term Seller Base Expands According to Adler, while Bitcoin’s short-term supply activity has cooled, long-term dynamics reveal a different story. The annual Normalized Address Activity (NAA) has climbed from 30% — recorded when Bitcoin was trading near $80,000 — to 40% today. This steady increase shows that more holders are willing to realize profits at higher levels, gradually broadening the seller base. For context, the peak of selling activity in this cycle occurred in September 2023, when the annual NAA hit 85% with Bitcoin priced around $37,000. That marked a period of heavy distribution at lower valuations. By contrast, the current phase reflects a more balanced environment, where selling pressure is elevated compared to earlier this year but still far below peak cycle extremes. Adler suggests this positioning indicates Bitcoin has entered a “mid-stage” phase of distribution, where profit-taking grows but the structural trend remains intact. Despite this, price action underscores hesitation. Bitcoin is holding above critical support at $110,000, but has so far failed to reclaim higher supply zones that would confirm bullish continuation. The market now sits at a crossroads, with speculation rising about the next major move. Whether buyers can overcome expanding long-term selling pressure will likely decide if Bitcoin stabilizes for another rally or faces a deeper corrective wave. Related Reading: Bitcoin MVRV Compression Signals Pause – Market Digests Recent Volatility Bulls Push To Test Key Levels Bitcoin is trading near $112,900 after a series of volatile swings that pushed the price down from recent highs above $123,000. The chart highlights how BTC has struggled to reclaim lost ground, with short-term momentum still capped by resistance levels. After defending the $110,000 zone, buyers are attempting a recovery, but the structure suggests that a more decisive move is needed to shift sentiment. Currently, BTC remains below the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, which hover between $113,000 and $115,000. These levels form the immediate barrier for bulls, and breaking above them would be crucial to altering momentum in favor of an upside push. A successful retest and hold of $115,000 could signal the start of renewed strength, setting the stage for another attempt at the $120,000–$123,000 resistance zone. Related Reading: Ethereum Faces Risk As Binance Leverage Ratio Skyrockets To Record Levels On the downside, failure to break higher keeps BTC vulnerable. A rejection near current levels could open the door to another retest of $110,000 support, with deeper risks extending toward $108,000. Market sentiment remains cautious, and the next few sessions will likely determine whether Bitcoin can reclaim bullish momentum or remain stuck under pressure. For now, $115,000 stands as the critical line in the sand. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView