Independent researcher Giancarlo Lelli derived a 15-bit elliptic curve key on a publicly accessible quantum computer, Project Eleven said.
Metaplanet's bond issuance for Bitcoin accumulation could influence corporate treasury strategies and impact Bitcoin's market dynamics.
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Etherealize, an institutional adoption and advocacy group backed by the Ethereum Foundation, has made a bold prediction, suggesting that ETH could one day reach $250,000 before Bitcoin (BTC). The group said that if Ethereum can capture a share of the combined monetary premium of gold and Bitcoin, the upside could be massive. That target is significantly higher than ETH’s current price of around $2,300, and would require a major shift in how global markets value the cryptocurrency. It would also mean Ethereum could become more than a smart contract chain and grow into a top store of value, similar to Bitcoin. How Ethereum Could Hit $250,000 Before Bitcoin In an X post, Etherealize published a detailed report outlining the factors that could push Ethereum toward the ambitious $250,000 valuation. For Ethereum to reach that price level, the group suggested that the cryptocurrency would need to be treated as a global monetary asset. That means pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, banks, and public firms would need to buy and hold ETH at scale rather than relying solely on Bitcoin. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts A 30% Bitcoin Price Crash To $50,000, Here’s When Etherealize also pointed to supply dynamics as a major factor that could support price growth. The group explained that when ETH is staked or locked, fewer coins trade freely on the market. As a result, if demand rises while liquidity remains tight, upward price pressure could build more quickly, driving ETH higher. Beyond supply-and-demand trends, Etherealize also identified Ethereum’s ability to generate yield as a key driver of price growth. They noted that, unlike BTC, Ethereum can offer staking rewards to holders. Therefore, if global investors begin to view ETH as both a growth asset and an income-producing asset, it could strengthen its appeal as a long-term holding. Over time, the growing demand for cryptocurrency could fuel an upward momentum that could propel it toward the projected $250,000 target. ETH Price Outlook Dependent On Global Monetary Value According to Etherealize, price action alone would not be enough to carry Ethereum to a $250,000 valuation. Instead, the group noted that that ambitious target depends on Ethereum capturing the combined monetary premium of gold and Bitcoin, which is about $31 trillion. Etherealize argued that if Ethereum were to acquire part of that value, and move it across its roughly 121 million circulating supply, it could support a much higher valuation over time. Once this happens, they noted that Ethereum could begin competing for existing global stores of value. Related Reading: The Bitcoin Cycle Is Different: Crypto Expert Reveals When Price Will Cross $100,000 Again Etherealize also highlighted Ethereum’s role as a programmable blockchain that already supports a wide range of activity. In addition to being a payments currency, the crypto network also enables stablecoin issuance and real-world asset tokenization. This existing use case could also be a potential driver for ETH’s price. Ultimately, Ethereum reaching $250,000 before Bitcoin is still a long shot. However, Etherealize believes that if ETH can become the base layer for global finance, attract sustained institutional demand, and capture value currently stored in gold and Bitcoin, that ambitious target could move from pure speculation to a possible long-term outcome. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Anthony Scaramucci said Bitcoin may not see a meaningful recovery until October or November, arguing that the current drawdown still fits the asset’s historic four-year cycle despite a more favorable regulatory backdrop in Washington. Speaking on the Thinking Crypto podcast from the Solana Policy Summit, the SkyBridge Capital founder framed the market weakness as a cyclical bear phase rather than a structural break. He said investors had expected a stronger policy-driven rally after the change in US administration, but that whales and long-time holders have continued to sell into ETF-driven demand. “I’m old school. I’ve been in the category that this is a cyclical bear market traditional to the four-year cycle of Bitcoin,” Scaramucci said. “You’ve just crossed the halfway mark of the halving and so you’re on your way to the back half of this thing. You typically don’t get any type of real recovery until the first quarter of next year.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Enters Disbelief Phase As Traders Keep Shorting The Rally Scaramucci added that Bitcoin’s timeline may have been slightly accelerated by macro factors, including President Donald Trump’s tariff-related messaging and geopolitical conflict. Still, he said Bitcoin has remained “fairly sticky” during the war period referenced in the interview. “You probably won’t see a recovery in Bitcoin until maybe the first month of the last quarter,” he said, pointing to “October possibly November” as a more realistic window. Why Bitcoin ETF Demand Has Not Been Enough The comments address a central frustration across the crypto market: why prices have failed to respond more forcefully to a pro-crypto administration, institutional ETF access, and improving legislative momentum. According to Scaramucci, the answer lies partly in supply. ETF activity has brought new buyers into Bitcoin, including older investors using traditional brokerage channels, but that demand has met heavy distribution from whales and early holders. “You’re still seeing a lot of Bitcoin buying. A lot of boomers are buying Bitcoin, but it’s just not enough,” he said. “You got whales that are selling into the — the OGs in this industry believe in the four-year cycle. And so what they do is they fulfill the prophecy of the four-year cycle by acting on the four-year cycle and selling.” He said whales were “pumping lots of coins into the supply at around $100,000,” which in his view contributed to Bitcoin falling into the high $60,000s. Scaramucci also tied Bitcoin’s next phase of institutional adoption to US market-structure legislation, especially the Clarity Act. He argued that the idea Bitcoin is “valueless” is now “completely off the table,” but said banks are unlikely to move aggressively without clearer rules. “If you don’t get the Clarity Act legislation passed, you’re not going to get the banks to really open up,” he said. He cited experimental custody programs at Bank of New York and SoFi, while arguing that real adoption requires major money-center banks to offer custody, yield, and borrowing against Bitcoin on more competitive terms. Until then, he said, investors will not see “real full-throated adoption.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Rebuild As Futures Metric Hits 4-Month High Scaramucci also criticized the political and lobbying dynamics around stablecoin yield and crypto legislation. He said banks are pushing back because of their entrenched market position, while warning that holding out for a perfect bill could delay progress. “I’m a little bit more practical. I probably would have tried to get something done and I would not make the perfect deal the enemy of progress,” he said. “The best example I can give you is the Bitcoin ETF. Gary Gensler hates us. He did not want that to happen. He lost the lawsuit, so he was forced to have it happen.” Bitcoin Reserve Debate Still Politicized On the question of whether the US government should hold Bitcoin in strategic reserves, Scaramucci said yes, but only if the issue can move beyond partisan framing. “It’s very hard to hold Bitcoin in a strategic reserve if it’s a partisan issue,” he said. “If we can get this to be a transformative post-partisan what’s right or wrong for the country, what’s right or wrong for the American taxpayer, then the answer is yes.” He said he would not aggressively push the issue before broader consensus forms, instead favoring an approach where government-held Bitcoin from legal actions is retained rather than sold. He also said he was unsure whether the US government had completed an audit of its Bitcoin holdings. At press time, BTC traded at $77,844. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Spot bitcoin ETFs logged $223.2 million in net inflows on Thursday, led by $167.5 million into BlackRock's IBIT.
In the first quarter of this year, Metaplanet purchased 5,075 BTC, bringing its total to 40,177 BTC as of March 31.
MicroStrategy is pushing a new narrative around Bitcoin, with CEO Phong Le detailing how the firm is building a yield-driven system around BTC. Le described the approach as a “digital credit ecosystem,” where capital is deployed into Bitcoin-linked strategies with target returns as high as 30%, and a portion of that yield is passed back …
Bitcoin’s advance over the past four weeks is colliding with a derivatives market that still looks positioned for weakness. Analysts tracking Binance funding and futures basis say traders continue to lean short even as BTC moves higher, creating what CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost described via X as a “phase of disbelief” rather than a clean bullish reset. That divergence matters because it suggests the rally is unfolding against persistent skepticism, not broad conviction. In crypto, that kind of setup can cut both ways: it can signal fragile market structure, but it can also provide fuel if bearish positioning is forced to unwind. Darkfost pointed to the 30-day cumulative evolution of Binance funding rates as the clearest sign that the market remains out of sync with price. “We’ve been hearing a lot about funding rates lately, as they remain negative even while Bitcoin continues to move higher,” he wrote. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull Cycle Is Right On Schedule: Analyst Reveals When The Bull Run Will Begin “This chart offers a different perspective from what is usually observed. It shows the 30 day cumulative evolution of funding rates on Binance, making it easier to clearly identify when funding entered a sustained negative trend.” His comparison was to late 2022, when Bitcoin was beginning to emerge from the bear market. At that point, Binance funding rates kept falling and reached as low as -7% on a 30-day cumulative basis. Today, the same indicator sits around -4.5%, which, in his view, shows how aggressively traders have continued betting against the move in recent months. Darkfost’s argument is not simply that funding is negative, but that the persistence of that negativity reflects a market still trying to fade price strength. “Each time such a strong consensus has formed, it has instead helped create a bottom and fueled the rally that was beginning to develop,” he said. “As I mentioned several days ago, the market has entered a phase of disbelief, where traders still prefer fighting the trend rather than following it.” Bitcoin Derivatives Market In A Regime Of Caution On-chain analyst Axel Adler Jr. approached the same backdrop from a more defensive angle. In his April 23 market note, he argued that Bitcoin’s derivatives structure is “rapidly losing its bullish structure” as the short-term futures premium over spot nearly disappears. The 7-day basis SMA dropped from +0.465% to +0.054% in just four days, while the funding rate 7DMA remained negative at -0.00945%. For Adler, the message is straightforward: the market is no longer willing to pay up for long leverage. “Basis 7D SMA has sharply compressed and is almost at zero, showing that the futures premium over spot has nearly vanished,” he wrote. “This is not just a local cooldown – it is nearly a complete disappearance of the futures premium over spot. Meanwhile, the 30D SMA remains noticeably higher, around +0.41%, meaning the short-term derivatives structure has deteriorated much faster than the medium-term norm.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Rebuild As Futures Metric Hits 4-Month High He made a similar point on funding. “What matters is not just the negative reading itself, but its persistence,” Adler said. “This is not a one-off spike or a panic anomaly within a single hour. This is a steady accumulation of bearish positioning, where the market continues to pay for short exposure.” Taken together, the two analysts are reading the same data through slightly different lenses. Darkfost sees disbelief as a potentially constructive condition for the ongoing rally, especially if consensus remains heavily skewed against price. Adler sees a market that has lost its bullish premium and is shifting into a more cautious regime unless basis and funding recover. At press time, BTC traded at $77,836. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The question of whether the Bitcoin price has hit a final bottom remains a major topic of discussion, as analysts remain unconvinced that the flagship cryptocurrency has reached a definitive floor. A recent analysis by market expert Maxi Trades suggests Bitcoin could be positioning for another major correction, forecasting a 30% crash that could push the price to fresh lows near $50,000. The bearish outlook has added to the market’s growing uncertainty about Bitcoin’s price direction, especially after the cryptocurrency’s latest rebound above $78,000. Historical Patterns Signal Upcoming Bitcoin Price Crash In his BTC price analysis shared on X this week, Maxi Trades drew on historical data and recurring chart patterns to support his bearish outlook for Bitcoin and projected bottom target. The analyst noted that the Bitcoin price has been stuck within a defined range for more than two and a half months now. He pointed out that a decisive breakout, either to the upside or the downside, has historically followed such an extended consolidation. Related Reading: Bears Are Fully In Control Of Bitcoin And It Will Crash Below $60,000, Here’s Why According to Maxi Trades, the last three times Bitcoin displayed a similar range-bound movement, it took roughly 64 to 114 days for a breakout to occur. His accompanying chart reflects this historical setup, showing that during the first prolonged consolidation, Bitcoin traded sideways for 64 days before surging by 14%. The second instance saw the cryptocurrency remain range-bound for 114 days, followed by a decline of approximately 27%. In a third similar formation, Bitcoin consolidated for 77 days before recording a 33% price crash. Based on this recurring trend, the analyst believes that Bitcoin could be approaching another major volatility event, with downside risk still on the table once its current range-bound movement resolves. Analyst Sees Bitcoin’s True Bottom Around $50,000 In his post, Maxi Trades noted that despite Bitcoin remaining in a bear market for more than six months since its October 2025 all-time high above $126,000, its price action has yet to show any signs of a true bottom formation. Because of this, he argued that the market has likely not reached its final capitulation phase. Related Reading: Why The PEPE Price Could Stage A 55X Rally To Reach New $0.0001 ATH As a result, the analyst said he is highly confident that BTC’s next breakout may be to the downside, warning of another major price crash before a true market bottom is established. He added that if the current cycle unfolds like previous range-bound periods, the market may still have time left before the anticipated breakout. Maxi Traders further noted that if his bearish scenario plays out and Bitcoin breaks below its recent lows, then the cryptocurrency could experience a rapid correction toward $50,000, marking a decline of more than 36% from current levels above $78,000. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin price started a fresh increase and cleared the $78,000 zone. BTC is consolidating and might aim for more gains above the $78,550 level. Bitcoin managed to stay above $77,000 and started a fresh increase. The price is trading above $77,800 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $78,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might extend gains if it stays above the $77,200 and $77,000 levels. Bitcoin Price Eyes Fresh Upside Bitcoin price found support near $75,000 and started a fresh increase. BTC gained pace for a move above the $76,500 and $77,500 resistance levels. The bulls even pushed the price above $79,000. A high was formed at $79,490, and the price started a minor downside correction. It declined below $78,000 and tested the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $74,850 swing low to the $79,490 high. However, the bulls were active above $77,000. Bitcoin is now trading above $78,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is also a bullish trend line forming with support at $78,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. If the price remains stable above $77,200, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $78,550 level. The first key resistance is near the $79,000 level. A close above the $79,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $79,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $80,000 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $82,000. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $78,550 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $78,000 level. The first major support is near the $77,000 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $74,850 swing low to the $79,490 high. The next support is now near the $76,250 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $75,500 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $75,000, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $77,200, followed by $77,000. Major Resistance Levels – $78,550 and $79,000.
Bitcoin futures markets lit up within an hour of US President Donald Trump hinting that diplomatic talks with Iran could resume as early as Friday. Open interest on Binance climbed nearly 2%, while CME recorded a 0.5% rise, reflecting a quick surge in bullish bets from derivatives traders. Related Reading: A New Phase For XRP? Integrations Keep Rolling In Across The Ecosystem Derivatives Market Responds Fast Total Bitcoin futures open interest jumped over 8% in 24 hours, crossing $62 billion, according to data from CoinGlass. That kind of movement in the derivatives market signals traders are positioning for further upside, not just reacting to a short-term bounce. Bitcoin itself climbed more than 4% over the same period, pushing past $78,000 — a level that puts the $80K target back within reach after weeks of pressure. Price action followed in the wake of US equities indexes rebounding from their previous losses. The S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones all climbed by about 1%, benefiting from the ceasefire extension as well as strong company earnings results. Risk assets across the board were bid up as investors responded to the softer tone coming out of Washington. Trump told the New York Post that a second round of talks was possible as soon as Friday — a comment that quickly circulated across financial markets. Pakistan has also backed the push, with mediators actively working to set up a new round of negotiations. The ceasefire between the US and Iran had already been extended by three to five days before these latest signals emerged. Iran’s Position Remains Unclear But the picture on Iran’s side is far from settled. According to the Tasnim news agency, Iran had no current plans to negotiate on Friday — a direct contradiction of Trump’s stated expectations. Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has not been communicating directly, and a divide between IRGC generals and Iran’s civilian negotiators is adding to the uncertainty. Iranian forces also seized two cargo ships near the Strait of Hormuz shortly after the ceasefire extension was announced, a move that complicated the diplomatic mood. Trump’s negotiators, based on reports, are now unsure whether there are reliable partners on the Iranian side to move a deal forward. Related Reading: Consistent XRP Buys Could Deliver Outsized Gains By 2030: Finance Expert Bitcoin Volume Data Raises Caution Bitcoin’s 24-hour trading volume dropped 30% even as the price climbed. That gap between price action and volume is a familiar warning sign in crypto markets — it suggests the rally may lack the broad participation needed to hold higher levels. Despite the $80K target drawing attention again, thin volume means the move could reverse quickly if the geopolitical situation shifts. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin and crypto have already proven that six figures are achievable, with price surging past $100,000 and extending to a peak of $126,198 in 2025. However, the pullback that followed has since dragged Bitcoin down to around $78,267. Yet, rather than signaling the end of the cycle, one expert argues that this downtrend is part of a broader structure that points to a return above $100,000. Bitcoin’s $100,000 Crypto Cycle Crypto expert @TheRealPlanC recently stated in a tweet that the rally which carried Bitcoin beyond $100,000 did not occur under favorable economic conditions. Instead, he explained that it developed during a contractionary business cycle, a period that has historically constrained risk assets. Related Reading: The Bitcoin Playbook: Analyst Says These 4 Numbers Are Your Entire Week Even within that restrictive environment, Bitcoin advanced into six-figure territory, suggesting that underlying demand remained intact. As the expert notes, that strength was met with sustained selling. Long-term holders reduced exposure as prices climbed beyond $100,000, while traders guided by Bitcoin’s four-year cycle exited positions toward the latter part of 2025. The decline that followed was intense but not driven by market structure alone. A combination of disruptions, including an exchange-related incident, institutional trading concerns, and heightened global uncertainty, added further strain. Despite these pressures, Bitcoin’s drawdown settled at roughly 52% from peak to trough, a level that, in the analyst’s view, reflects a correction rather than a collapse. This sequence, as @TheRealPlanC frames it, recasts the $126,198 high. Instead of marking the end of the cycle, it begins to resemble the first peak in a market that has yet to fully play out. When Bitcoin Could Climb Back Above $100,000 With Bitcoin now trading well below its previous high, the focus shifts to timing its return above $100,000. The Crypto expert links this expectation to a shift in the broader economic backdrop. He points to recent data showing the business cycle moving above the neutral threshold for three consecutive months, a development that signals a transition toward expansion. This shift is significant because it contrasts with the restrictive conditions that defined the earlier rally, opening the door for renewed upside. Related Reading: Pundit Predicts XRP Price Will Hit $100 In 2026 If These Dominoes Fall He also highlights changing demand dynamics. Large-scale accumulation, led by corporate buyers such as Michael Saylor, is reportedly absorbing between 10,000 and 30,000 Bitcoin each week. In the analyst’s view, this steady demand adds a structural layer of support as the market stabilizes. Within this context, @TheRealPlanC interprets the decline from $126,198 to current levels near $78,267 as a mid-cycle reset rather than a prolonged downturn. Based on this framework, the analyst expects Bitcoin to reclaim $100,000 as conditions improve. He ultimately places the next major peak in 2027, suggesting that a move back above six figures could occur before that point as momentum gradually rebuilds. This perspective positions the current phase as part of an extended cycle, where reclaiming $100,000 signals continuation rather than completion. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum has surged roughly 36% from its recent accumulation zone, pushing the price into a critical area where momentum often gets tested. With key resistance now in play and signs of hesitation emerging, the market is approaching a decisive moment that could determine whether the rally continues or a pullback unfolds. Ethereum Surges 36% From Accumulation Zone According to Crypto Patel, ETH has surged approximately 36% from its accumulation zone, pushing the price into a critical resistance area. After such a strong move, this region is typically seen as a logical zone for swing traders to consider locking in partial profits while watching how the price reacts. Related Reading: Ethereum Just Saw Its Strongest Buy Pressure Since The 2022 Bear Market The analyst outlined several key levels that could shape the next phase of price action. On the upside, the first target sits around $2,828, marking a fair value gap (FVG) that the price may look to fill. Just above that lies the major resistance and decision zone near $2,900. On the downside, a return toward the $2,000 region would act as the invalidation point, signaling that the bullish structure has weakened. From a scenario standpoint, a decisive breakout above $2,900, especially if supported by strong volume, would confirm bullish continuation. Such a move could shift market sentiment significantly, opening the door for a much larger rally to the $10,000 region. On the flip side, failure to break above $2,900 could trigger a deeper pullback, with price likely rotating back toward the $2,000 area as part of a broader corrective phase. Ultimately, the emphasis remains on discipline and patience. Rather than chasing price or reacting to hype, the strategy is to let the market confirm its direction, which helps to avoid unnecessary risk as the next move unfolds. A Rejection At $2,400 Resistance Level Analyst Ted highlighted that Ethereum made an attempt to reclaim the $2,400 level but ultimately failed to do so. This rejection suggests that buyers are still struggling to regain control at key resistance, keeping short-term momentum on the weaker side. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Loses $2,350 Level, Traders Eye Rebound Signals Following the failure, focus is now shifting to the next key support zone around $2,250. This level is likely to be tested if selling pressure continues, and how the price reacts there will be crucial. A strong bounce could stabilize the structure, while a breakdown may open the door for a deeper correction. Currently, Ethereum is underperforming relative to Bitcoin, which adds another layer of risk. When ETH shows relative weakness, it often becomes more vulnerable during broader market pullbacks. As a result, even a modest correction in Bitcoin could have a magnified negative impact on Ethereum’s price action in the near term. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Input Output Global, the primary software laboratory behind the Cardano blockchain, has halved its annual treasury funding request, asking the network’s decentralized governance body for $46.8 million to finance its 2026 operations. The pullback marks a deliberate transition away from single-entity dominance, pivoting the ecosystem toward a future where specialized third-party firms shoulder a larger […]
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Bitcoin (BTC) is approaching a critical juncture as it presses against its nearest resistance wall at $80,000, which, according to some analysts, if not cleared, may send BTC back below $70,000. What’s happening under the surface is also getting more complicated, with CryptoQuant pointing to a key inflection point where two major groups of marginal buyers are effectively testing their own break-even prices at the same time. Why $80,000 Is The Decision Point In a recent CryptoQuant report, the focus was on exchange-traded fund (ETF) investors and short-term whales—two cohorts that tend to influence price action when conditions become borderline. The Realized Price of Bitcoin ETF investors was reported at about $76,4000 as of April 21. That cohort has been underwater since January 30 until April 23’s surge back above $77,000, meaning they had carried unrealized losses for nearly three months. Related Reading: 4-Figure XRP: How High Will The Price Be If Ripple Captures 50% Of SWIFT? A similar dynamic is showing up with short-term holder whales. Their Realized Price sits at approximately $79,600, which is slightly above the spot price at the time of writing, meaning that they have been trading in loss territory since November 1. CryptoQuant noted that With Bitcoin moving in a $76,000 to $80,000 range, both ETF-related demand and short-term whale positioning appear to be hovering near their respective “decision points.” Two Scenarios For Bitcoin Ahead In this context, the key $80,000 level is not just a chart marker—it’s portrayed as the psychological and financial boundary between relief and renewed losses. Whether Bitcoin can withstand the sell pressure that can follow at these thresholds—especially if the market rejects the level—could shape the structure of BTC’s next directional move, potentially defining how the second quarter develops. Related Reading: CEO Calls CLARITY Act ‘Horrible Bill,’ Warns Of Prolonged Crypto Bear Market Ahead Analyst Ash Crypto added a more direct two scenarios outlook tied to the $80,000 wall. In the first scenario, Bitcoin closes above $80,000 on a daily basis and confirms that this rally has real follow-through. If that occurs, Ash Crypto’s view is that BTC could then surge toward a target range of $86,000 to $90,000. The second scenario is the opposite: if Bitcoin gets rejected near $80,000, the analyst expects a sharp pullback back into a $74,000 to $68,000. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
Admiral Samuel Paparo said the US military is running a Bitcoin node for cyber defense tests, highlighting Bitcoins strategic utility.
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Adm. Paparo told Congress that the U.S. military is running a Bitcoin node to test how the protocol can support national security.
Pantera backs shareholder push for Satsuma to sell $50 million bitcoin hoard after 99% stock plunge, according to Bloomberg.
Crypto analyst RWA Investor has predicted that Bitcoin will rally to $140,000 and XRP to $7, setting new all-time highs (ATHs) for these cryptos. The analyst also provided a timeline for when they will reach these targets and what will spark the parabolic rally. Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Rally To $140,000 And XRP to $7 In an X post, RWA Investor predicted that Bitcoin would be trading at $140,000 in May and that XRP would hit $7. He claimed that this is not wishful thinking but a psychological perspective. The analyst explained that the transition from Wave 2 to Wave 3 is rapid and is intended to drive capital on the sidelines and all bears into the market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Power Laws Predicts When Price Will Hit $1,000,000 Meanwhile, the analyst indicated that the CLARITY Act and an interest rate cut will be the catalysts that spark this Bitcoin and XRP rally. He claimed that the crypto bill and an interest rate cut are just around the corner. However, it is worth noting that the crypto bill has yet to advance, with the Senate yet to set a markup date for the bill. At the same time, there is still uncertainty about exactly when the Fed may lower rates, with the U.S.-Iran war raising inflation concerns. Market participants are currently pricing in the possibility that the Fed will hold rates steady throughout the year in a bid to bring inflation down to its 2% target. As such, it is uncertain whether the CLARITY Act or an interest rate cut could spark this Bitcoin and XRP rally, since they are unlikely to happen anytime soon. However, these cryptos, alongside the broader crypto market, have rallied this week amid optimism that the U.S.-Iran war could end soon as both sides continue to negotiate. U.S. President Donald Trump also extended the ceasefire yesterday, signaling the U.S. willingness to end the war soon. BTC Has Bottomed In an X post, crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe opined that Bitcoin has bottomed, signaling that XRP and other altcoins may have also found a bottom. He noted that BTC’s fair value is still far away, even as the Nasdaq has made new ATHs, which is why the analyst is confident that this current rally may be sustained for a while. Related Reading: $60,000 Is The Bottom: Bitcoin Analyst Predicts Lowest Level Before Run To $200,000 The analyst further remarked that, based on the statistical data, the only time the market has seen another low was due to the FTX collapse. He noted that there is no such case this time around and predicts that BTC will likely continue its uptrend towards $90,000, then consolidate there for a while. Michaël van de Poppe added that this is when altcoins will start to get some spotlight again. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com
The U.S. Indo-Pacific Command is operating a live Bitcoin node to study its use in cybersecurity. Admiral Samuel Paparo confirmed that the project is still experimental and focused on research, not mining or financial use. The military is examining Bitcoin’s blockchain, cryptography, and proof-of-work system to understand how they can help monitor and secure digital …
Bitcoin Magazine Pro lead analyst Matt Crosby says traders relying on Bitcoin’s traditional four-year cycle may be leaning on a framework that no longer fits the market. In his latest analysis, Crosby argued that structural shifts in supply, institutional demand and macro liquidity now matter more than the old halving-driven playbook. Bitcoin’s Old Cycle Playbook Is Breaking Down Crosby’s core claim is straightforward: Bitcoin may already be trading in a different regime. Pointing to the fact that more than 20 million BTC are now in circulation, he said over 95% of the total eventual supply has already been issued, reducing the relative shock value of each new halving. Historically, halvings cut Bitcoin’s inflation rate in half and helped shape a familiar pattern of post-halving rallies, then drawdowns and recovery into the next cycle. Crosby said that pattern may now be losing force. “Many people are looking towards the previous cycles as a potential for what Bitcoin will do this time,” he said. “We can’t bottom out anytime soon. We need to wait until at least a year has passed from that peak, because that’s what we’ve always done.” Crosby pushed back on that logic, adding that he has “concrete evidence” for why the old cycle should no longer be treated as the base case. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Rebuild As Futures Metric Hits 4-Month High Much of that evidence, in his view, comes from demand. Crosby highlighted the scale of accumulation now coming from large treasury buyers and spot Bitcoin ETFs, saying Strategy alone has been acquiring more than 1,000 BTC per day, or roughly two to three times Bitcoin’s daily inflation rate. He also pointed to a recent day in which spot ETFs bought nearly $750 million worth of Bitcoin. That kind of persistent demand, he argued, is materially different from the market structure seen in earlier cycles. Rather than anchoring on calendar-based cycle models or seasonality, Crosby said investors should watch liquidity and broader macro conditions. He cited a 96.26% long-term correlation between the S&P 500 and global M2 liquidity, along with a 93% correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P over 15 years on a monthly basis. Bitcoin itself, he said, shows an 85% correlation to global liquidity, reinforcing the idea that liquidity expansion and contraction remain the dominant force behind major moves. Crosby also challenged the usefulness of election-cycle seasonality. While Bitcoin’s midterm years have sometimes posted strong average returns, he noted that median returns are negative and that the sample size remains thin. Gold and equities, by contrast, do not show the same kind of clean political-cycle pattern. For Crosby, that makes seasonality a weak foundation for market calls. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull Score Index Turns Neutral For First Time This Bear Market He also argued that Bitcoin looks different when measured against gold rather than the US dollar. On that basis, he said, Bitcoin may have topped in late 2024 and already spent more than a year in a relative bear phase, potentially bottoming around February 2026. That, he suggested, is another sign the classic four-year cycle has already begun to break down. The more actionable signals, Crosby said, are coming from on-chain and macro indicators. He pointed to Coin Days Destroyed and Value Days Destroyed as tools that have historically flagged major tops and attractive accumulation zones, and said Bitcoin has recently re-entered an area that previously aligned with undervaluation. At the same time, he noted that US consumer sentiment in April 2026 fell to 47.6%, which he described as the lowest reading on record, while manufacturing expectations and liquidity conditions have started to improve. “At some point, it’s inevitable this four-year cycle is going to break,” Crosby said. “We are seeing fresh liquidity entering the system. We are seeing the S&P 500 rally. We are seeing more positivity in manufacturing outlooks, and we are seeing incredible negativity, not just in Bitcoin, but in sentiment across equity markets as well.” His conclusion was not that risk has disappeared. It was that the market may no longer reward waiting for an “arbitrary date on a calendar.” If Crosby is right, the next big Bitcoin move will be shaped less by inherited cycle lore and more by the harder forces of liquidity, positioning and sustained institutional demand. At press time, BTC traded at $78,144. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Over the years, Bitcoin has maintained a near-consistent bull cycle pattern, usually starting and ending in a similar number of days. As a result, using the previous cycle pattern has become a popular way to try to predict when the next bull market will start and when the next bear market will begin. One of the patterns that many have followed to try to predict the next bull run is the number of days between each cycle, and one analyst is using it to predict the next move. The 1,065-Day Rule That Predicts The Next Bitcoin Bull Run Crypto analyst @0xbeehive took to the X (formerly Twitter) platform to explain a trend that has repeated over the last two cycles and could repeat again this time. This trend comes up with the number of days that go by between each bull market and when the next bear market begins. Related Reading: ‘The Short Version For Why I Hold XRP Through Everything’; Analyst Reveals The crypto analyst goes as far back as the 2018-2021 market cycle, which was one of the most important bull runs in the history of Bitcoin. Apparently, the bear market had run for a total of 365 days, so one year, before it eventually bottomed and began the next cycle move. This bull run would last for 1,066 days before topping. The result of this bull run was a massive rally that saw the Bitcoin price go from below $5,000 in 2020 to $69,000 before topping in 2021. This shows that this trend is powerful, and if the Bitcoin price does stick to it, then it could be a major run for it. Next on the list is the 2022-2025 bull run that saw another major Bitcoin price rally. The same trend repeated as the analyst shows that the Bitcoin price spent 365 days in the bear market before bottoming. Then, the bull market would resume and run for a similar 1,065 days, leading to an over 10x return, with the price going from $16,000 in 2022 and topping at $126,000 in 2025. Related Reading: Remember Arbitrum? This Analyst Just Predicted That A 7,400% Rally Is Coming This time around, the crypto analyst has highlighted that the same trend could be playing out once again. Currently, the bear cycle is still running, but it still has some ways to go before it’s completed. According to the analyst’s chart, the bear market will bottom in the last quarter of 2026, reaching somewhere around $47,000 in the process. As always, the crypto analyst expects a bull run that will last for another 1,065 days, but with diminishing returns as seen over the last few cycles. In this case, it would see the Bitcoin price cross $200,000, which would be an over 5x return for the digital asset. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is accelerating toward the $80,000 threshold as market participants navigate a complex intersection of Middle Eastern geopolitics, shifting monetary policy regimes, and a heavily skewed derivatives market. Data from CryptoSlate shows that the digital asset's surge from recent lows was driven by the temporary diplomatic relief between the US and Iran. However, the underlying […]
The post Bitcoin’s uptrend towards $80,000 is increasingly attracting bears – but they keep losing appeared first on CryptoSlate.
Bitcoin price has moved back above $78,000, with momentum supported by a clear return of aggressive buying activity. Binance net taker volume has crossed $1 billion for the third time this month, signaling that demand is coming from active market participants rather than passive positioning. BTC price move is developing just below the $80,000–$82,000 resistance …
Data shows a large amount of Bitcoin short positions have been liquidated following the cryptocurrency’s surge to the $79,000 level. Bitcoin Has Surpassed $79,000 For The First Time Since Early February Bitcoin has seen a continuation of its recent bullish momentum during the past day as its price has hit the $79,300 level after a jump of nearly 5%. The below chart shows how the recent trajectory of the cryptocurrency has looked. Bitcoin also made an attempt at recovery last week, but that push ended up fizzling out as the asset approached the $78,000 level. This new surge has taken the cryptocurrency beyond this mark, to levels not seen since the first few days of February. Related Reading: Ethereum Sees First SuperTrend Bullish Flip In Over A Year Since the rally has been sharp, it has unleashed a wave of chaos over on the derivatives side of the sector. A Large Amount Of BTC Liquidations Have Piled Up On Exchanges According to data from CoinGlass, Bitcoin has seen a notable amount of liquidations following the volatility of the last 24 hours. “Liquidation” here refers to the forceful closure that any open contract undergoes after it has amassed losses of a certain degree. Below is a heatmap that shows how daily liquidations have compared between the various assets in the sector. It would appear that Bitcoin has been the number one contributor of liquidations in the market like usual, with more than $222 million in positions related to the asset getting flushed during the past day. About $205 million of these positions were short ones, meaning that bearish bets made up for an extreme majority of the liquidations. Shorts being the most heavily affected side is naturally down to the fact that the cryptocurrency has seen a sharp surge inside this window. Ethereum, which has seen the second-largest derivatives flush, also saw the shorts make up for $99 million of its $115 million in total liquidations. In total, the digital asset sector as a whole has witnessed nearly $449 million in liquidations over the last 24 hours. From the table, it’s apparent that $365 million or over 80% of these liquidations involved short positions, reinforcing the bullish wave that the sector as a whole has seen in this period. A mass liquidation event like today’s is popularly known as a squeeze. Since the latest event has involved mostly shorts, it would be called a short squeeze. Generally, these events kickstart after a sharp swing in the price unleashes an initial wave of liquidations. This flush then feeds back into the move, which causes even more liquidations in the market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Fear Fading? Sentiment Hits Highest Since Mid-January In the cryptocurrency sector, these events aren’t exactly a rare sight due to the volatility that coins tend to see on the regular and leverage use being widespread among derivatives traders. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) pushed higher on Wednesday, extending its recovery rally to levels not seen since late January. The price rose to just under 5% above the $79,000 mark after President Trump announced he would extend a ceasefire with Iran. Can Bitcoin Sustain The Rally? Market analysts say attention is shifting quickly from the breakout itself to the next set of hurdles higher up the chart. Alex Kuptsikevich, chief market analyst at FxPro, said he believes the $75,000 to $86,000 zone does not look “saturated” with heavy resistance. In his view, if there are no major negative developments, Bitcoin could maintain upward momentum. He also flagged $86,000 as a critical point, though, because the 200-day moving average (MA) is expected to sit near that level and lines up with an important pivot area. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bottom At $63,000? Grayscale Research Flags Feb. 5 As This Cycle’s Low Others emphasized that near-term support has been holding up, which could help Bitcoin keep pressing higher. Caroline Mauron, co-founder of Orbit Markets, said the $75,000 level should act as solid support. She added that a clean move above $80,000 would likely open the door to “significant” further upside, suggesting traders are watching for confirmation rather than just a quick spike. As Bitcoin climbs, sentiment will likely depend on whether the current strength can continue. Joel Kruger, markets strategist at LMAX Group, said the key question going forward is whether the breakout can be sustained and translated into new momentum. He pointed to a mix of supportive conditions, including relative stability in macro factors, gradual improvement in institutional flows, and progress on regulatory clarity. At the same time, he warned that the market still has to deal with headline risk—especially from global geopolitics—as well as shifts in broader risk appetite that can quickly change how investors respond to crypto news. 8% Pause Could Come Before The Real Push Market expert Ali Martinez also weighed on the recent surge, noting that Bitcoin is forming a bullish reversal pattern, currently developing a Morning Star candlestick setup on the monthly chart. This is described as a three-day sequence often interpreted as a signal that sellers may be exhausted and that buyers are regaining control. Even so, Martinez cautioned that strong signals don’t always produce an immediate straight-line rally. Related Reading: XRP Indicator Turns Bullish Again After 3 Months: What’s The Next Price Target? According to his read of the data, Bitcoin often pauses briefly after the move—typically around “an 8% breather” on average—before the bigger continuation leg begins. This implies that BTC could retrace back to $72,000 before moving higher. Taken together, the next move may depend on whether BTC can hold above established support levels like $75,000, sustain the push through key thresholds such as $80,000, and avoid major negative shocks as geopolitics and risk sentiment remain active variables for markets. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin has finally broken out of its long sideways phase that lasted for weeks between roughly $65,000 and $75,000. Price has now moved into the $77,500–$78,000 zone, shifting the market from consolidation into what looks like an early trend phase. In under two weeks, BTC is up nearly 10%. Prediction Markets Turn More Bullish at …
On-chain data shows the cost basis of the Bitcoin short-term holders is located at $80,700, a level that could come into focus after the latest rally. Bitcoin Is Nearing The Short-Term Holder Realized Price In a new post on X, cycle analyst Root has shared the latest data for the Realized Price of the short-term holders. The “Realized Price” here refers to an on-chain metric that keeps track of the average cost basis or acquisition level of investors on the Bitcoin network. Related Reading: Ethereum Sees First SuperTrend Bullish Flip In Over A Year When the value of the cryptocurrency is above this indicator, it means the BTC holders as a whole are sitting on some net unrealized profit. On the other hand, the asset trading below the metric suggests the dominance of loss on the network. In the context of the current topic, the Realized Price of only a specific portion of the market is of interest: the short-term holders (STHs). This cohort includes the BTC investors who purchased their coins within the past 155 days. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin STH Realized Price over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin spot price broke under the STH Realized Price during the price drawdown of Q4 2025. Since then, the cryptocurrency has remained trapped below the line. As BTC’s drawdown has played out, the STH cost basis itself has also gone down. The reason behind this naturally lies in the fact that coins have been getting involved in trading at the lower post-crash prices, thus decreasing the average acquisition mark of the new investors. Today, the STH Realized Price is sitting at $80,700. Following BTC’s latest price rally, the cryptocurrency isn’t too far from hitting this level, implying that if the bullish winds continue, a retest of it could end up taking place. In the past, the indicator has often held relevance for Bitcoin as a support or resistance level. The reason behind this lies in the fact that the STHs represent the low-conviction side of the market, who tend to easily show reaction to price movements; a retest of their cost basis is naturally an event that causes members of the cohort to make some moves on the network. From the chart, it’s visible that the price rally back in January topped out near the STH Realized Price. This suggests that the cohort looked at the recovery surge as an opportunity to exit at their break-even mark. Related Reading: Bitcoin Fear Fading? Sentiment Hits Highest Since Mid-January If Bitcoin attempts another retest of the level in the near future, it will be interesting to see how the market will react this time around. BTC Price Bitcoin has hit the $78,200 level following its latest price surge. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
A community analyst known as Daphne recently pushed back on the idea that buying coffee and investing in crypto are mutually exclusive. “You can sip your coffee while making the purchase,” she wrote on social media. Her comment came in response to a growing conversation sparked by finance coach John Vasquez, about what small, daily investments in XRP and Bitcoin could mean for ordinary people by the end of the decade. Related Reading: Bitcoin Set For Stronger Week, Eyes $88K On Stable Macro Backdrop: Analyst Redirecting Daily Spending Into Crypto Vasquez made his case publicly, arguing that putting small amounts of money into XRP and Bitcoin every day — instead of spending on routine luxuries — could place investors ahead of the vast majority of people by 2030. He noted the approach mirrors his own personal practice but stopped short of calling it financial advice. The strategy he described falls under dollar-cost averaging, or DCA, a method where an investor buys fixed amounts of an asset at regular intervals regardless of price. Buy BITCOIN/XRP every days vs morning expensive ass coffee and you will be ahead of 99% of the population by 2030. Not financial advice just what I have been doing for a long time. It works. — Coach, JV (@Coachjv_) April 21, 2026 XRP was trading near $1.45 at the time of his post. Bitcoin was sitting around $78,900. Supporters of the strategy say those entry points, combined with consistent buying over time, could add up to significant returns if projections for either asset come true. XRP holder Sami backed the approach, framing it as a straightforward discipline play. He stressed that consistency and keeping assets in personal custody matter more than trying to time the market. Price Targets Drive The Debate The conversation has drawn interest partly because of where some analysts and community figures expect these assets to be priced by 2030. Bitcoin has been projected by multiple sources to reach $1 million — a figure that would represent roughly 13 times its current value. EasyA Cofounder Dom Kwok Predicts That $XRP Will Hit 1,000 By 2030https://t.co/jCihpuq4mE — XRPcryptowolf (@XRPcryptowolf) January 24, 2026 For XRP, community expectations range widely, with many voices placing it between $10 and $100. On the far end, Dom Kwok, founder of EasyA, has put out a $1,000 target within five years, though that projection sits well outside the mainstream view. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Record Miner Sell-Off Casts Shadow Over Ceasefire-Fueled Rebound Risk Warnings Temper The Optimism Not everyone is on board. Analyst George Walter acknowledged that DCA can work but argued that framing it as a near-certain path to outperforming most investors leaves out too much. Crypto markets remain volatile. Risk tolerance, personal financial goals, and portfolio diversification are all factors the “skip your coffee” narrative tends to gloss over, Walter said. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin price started a fresh increase and cleared the $77,500 zone. BTC is consolidating and might aim for more gains above the $79,500 level. Bitcoin managed to stay above $76,500 and started a fresh increase. The price is trading above $77,200 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a short-term declining channel forming with resistance at $78,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might extend gains if it stays above the $77,150 and $76,650 levels. Bitcoin Price Regains Traction Bitcoin price found support near $74,850 and started a fresh increase. BTC gained pace for a move above the $75,500 and $77,200 resistance levels. The bulls even pushed the price above $78,500. A high was formed at $79,490, and the price is now correcting gains. There was a move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $74,850 swing low to the $79,490 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $77,200 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $77,000, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $78,500 level. There is also a short-term declining channel forming with resistance at $78,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The first key resistance is near the $79,200 level. A close above the $79,200 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $79,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $80,000 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $82,000. Another Drop In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $78,500 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $77,700 level. The first major support is near the $77,150 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $74,850 swing low to the $79,490 high. The next support is now near the $76,650 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $75,500 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $75,000, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $77,700, followed by $77,150. Major Resistance Levels – $78,500 and $79,500.