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#prediction markets

The S&P 500's record high suggests increased investor confidence, potentially driving further market gains amid easing global tensions.
The post S&P 500 hits all-time high amid easing geopolitical tensions appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

The diplomatic stalemate may prolong regional tensions and hinder potential resolutions, impacting global security and economic stability.
The post Iran confirms no nuclear talks with US amid diplomatic stalemate appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#news

The Upbit listing of Venice Token highlights the potential for rapid price fluctuations and liquidity challenges in crypto markets.
The post Upbit adds Venice Token, trading starts May 12, 2026 appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Cerebras' IPO success could boost investor confidence in AI hardware, potentially influencing future tech IPOs and market dynamics.
The post Cerebras Systems sets IPO price, targets $48.8B valuation amid high demand appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#news

Solana's Alpenglow upgrade could reshape blockchain economics by reducing MEV profitability, potentially enhancing network fairness and stability.
The post Anatoly Yakovenko says Solana’s Alpenglow upgrade changes MEV economics appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#artificial intelligence

Peter Jackson says Hollywood’s fears around AI could hurt recognition for motion-capture acting, as debates about how the technology will reshape the movie industry grow.

#bitcoin #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #btc news #bitcoin power law

Physicist Giovanni Santostasi says Bitcoin’s long-term price trajectory is not best understood as an S-curve, speculative bubble, or simple exponential trend, but as a power law similar to patterns found in cities, biology and other natural systems. Speaking with Nathalie Brunell on the May 12 episode of the Coin Stories podcast, the director of the Scientific Bitcoin Institute argued that Bitcoin’s historical data points to roughly $1 million per coin in about eight years and $10 million in roughly 20 years. Santostasi explained his Bitcoin Power Law thesis in detail. His core claim is that Bitcoin’s price has followed a nonlinear mathematical relationship with time since the network’s early trading history. In his formulation, Bitcoin’s price is proportional to time raised to a power of roughly 5.8 to 5.9, often rounded to six. That exponent, he said, is not just a curve-fitting artifact but a “fingerprint” of the system. “With bitcoin we found a similar relationship where the price is proportional to the time,” Santostasi said. “So the age of bitcoin, how many years, you can measure it in days, you can measure it in years. And then you take the power and that power is 5.8.” Bitcoin Is Growing Like A City He acknowledged that Bitcoin remains volatile in the short term, with wars, crises and liquidity shocks producing large deviations. But he argued those moves are oscillations around a deeper trajectory. Related Reading: Bitcoin Exits ‘Panic Zone,’ But Capital Inflows Remain Weak According to Santostasi, Bitcoin’s power law currently implies a central price level around $120,000, while the market has recently traded below that level. He said the lower statistical band, which he described as a kind of floor, is currently near $56,000 to $57,000. He also cited a correlation coefficient of 0.97 for the power law fit, arguing that only around 3% of Bitcoin’s long-term price variation is not described by the model. A key part of Santostasi’s thesis is that Bitcoin behaves more like a networked organism than a corporate asset. He compared Bitcoin to cities, which he said grow through bottom-up interaction and tend to endure far longer than corporations. Cities, in his telling, follow power laws because their value emerges from networks of people freely interacting, building and exchanging information. “Bitcoin is like a city,” Santostasi said. “Bitcoin is like tooth and nails and thorns and shells, these natural forms. To me, if you can simplify this message — and because it’s not poetry, it’s science actually, it’s based on data — it is one of the most convincing orange-pilling arguments that you can make.” The physicist contrasted that with exponential growth, which he associated with systems that expand quickly but eventually hit resource limits. He cited corporations as an example, saying most die within 150 years, while cities such as Rome can persist for millennia. That distinction led to one of the more provocative implications of the discussion: corporations backed by Bitcoin, Santostasi suggested, could theoretically become more city-like in their durability. “This is one of the reasons why I want Saylor to start adopting this language of a power law,” he said, referring to Strategy executive chairman Michael Saylor. “He could say exactly that. We are turning corporations into cities.” Related Reading: Arthur Hayes Says The Bitcoin Bull Market Has Begun: $126,000 Is Next Santostasi also argued that Bitcoin’s address growth supports the thesis. He said Bitcoin addresses have grown as a power law with time cubed, while price reacts to address growth roughly according to a square relationship, similar to Metcalfe’s Law. Combining those two relationships, he said, produces the observed price relationship of time to the sixth power. “If you double the number of addresses, the price goes up to four,” Santostasi said. “If you triple it, it goes to nine. So it’s a power law with the square.” That framework also leads Santostasi to reject the common view that Bitcoin adoption should be modeled primarily as an S-curve, like refrigerators, televisions or other consumer technologies. Those products, he argued, are not networks in the same way Bitcoin is. Bitcoin’s social, monetary and technical layers make it closer to the internet or a city than to a household appliance. Still, Santostasi stopped short of presenting the forecast as certainty. Asked how confident he is that Bitcoin will reach roughly $1 million per coin in about eight years and $10 million in roughly 20 years, he put the probability near 90%, while leaving room for failure conditions. He said continued capital inflows, larger institutional participation and new pools of capital are necessary for the path to remain intact. At press time, BTC traded at $80,963. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

#trading #etf #ripple #analysis #xrp #market #featured #price watch

XRP is rising into a market split between traditional finance infrastructure and crypto-native skepticism. According to CryptoSlate's data, the token recently traded above $1.46 as spot-market indicators improved, exchange-traded funds drew their strongest daily inflows in more than four months, and Ripple expanded the credit capacity behind its institutional prime brokerage business. However, this came […]
The post Wall Street is buying XRP while Binance traders keep betting against it appeared first on CryptoSlate.

#latest news

The Bermuda-based asset manager launched a tokenized liquidity fund using Chainlink and Sygnum infrastructure, with JPMorgan providing daily NAV data for pricing.

#podcast #podcast notes #on the brink with castle island

Restaking in DeFi introduces complex risks, highlighting the urgent need for robust security infrastructure.
The post Pluto: Restaking in DeFi poses financial risks, cross-chain bridges are vulnerable to exploitation, and AI’s dual role in crypto security | On The Brink appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#podcast #podcast notes #empire

Quantum computing's rapid advancements pose an urgent threat to the security of digital assets and financial systems.
The post Alex Pruden: Quantum computing threatens elliptic curve cryptography, urgent need for postmodern cryptography, and the Bitcoin community’s philosophical divide | Empire appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#podcast #unchained #podcast notes

Morpho's modular design limited losses to $1 million during a $300 million DeFi hack, showcasing its resilience.
The post Paul Frambot: Morpho’s modular architecture enables tailored lending markets, 90% of volume is stablecoin loans, and operational security is critical for DeFi risk management | Unchained appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#podcast #unchained #podcast notes

Privacy emerges as the crucial competitive edge in crypto amid maturing infrastructure and regulatory clarity.
The post Ali Yahya: Crypto infrastructure supports billions of users, regulatory clarity fuels innovation, and privacy emerges as a competitive advantage | Unchained appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#bankless #podcast #podcast notes

Bitcoin's anticipated rise amid AI-driven economic shifts positions it as a key hedge against inflation.
The post Jordi Visser: Bitcoin is set to break higher, the crypto winter will be the mildest ever, and AI will disrupt traditional value storage | Bankless appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#news #newsletters #tech #ethereum news #solana news

Also: LayerZero apology, Ronin layer-2 transition and ‘Clear Signing’

#press releases

This quarter, AI started writing its own exploits. Tea is shipping the trust layer underneath it. Code Is Abundant. Trust Is Not.

#markets #news #bitcoin news

CEO Simon Gerovich says regulatory and infrastructure challenges are slowing the launch of Metaplanet's perpetual preferred share.

#podcast #podcast notes #y combinator startup podcast

Relocating to startup hubs like Silicon Valley can transform founders' ambitions and accelerate their success.
The post Paul Graham: Relocating to startup hubs boosts access to talent, unplanned meetings spark innovation, and Silicon Valley investors achieve superior returns | Y Combinator Startup Podcast appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#markets

Trump's rejection of Iran's proposal heightens geopolitical tensions, potentially impacting global oil markets and diplomatic relations.
The post Trump rejects Iran’s proposal, says ceasefire is ‘on life support’ appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#markets

The US's supportive stance on yen policy may lead to Japanese rate hikes, impacting global markets and strengthening US-Japan economic ties.
The post US signals support for Japan’s yen strategy as Bessent meets Tokyo officials appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#news #policy #uk #regulation #cryptocurrency

If found guilty of violating the Parliamentary code of conduct, the Reform UK party leader could be suspended from the House of Commons.

#markets

Market analysts eye fresh Ethereum upside, fueled by JPMorgan and BlackRock tokenized fund moves plus looming CLARITY Act catalyst.

#security #exploits #web3 #immunefi #the block #code4rena #crypto ecosystems

Immunefi said it will help migrate Code4rena’s bounty programs, rewards and researchers onto its platform.

#markets

Institutional traders' increased activity amid market volatility suggests a shift towards risk-taking, potentially boosting financial market dynamics.
The post JPMorgan’s prime-brokerage balances hit record high amid market volatility appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Heightened regional instability may disrupt air travel, impacting economies and increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
The post Iran conflict raises airspace closure concerns in Middle East appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#markets #news #bitcoin news

Bitcoin held by so-called conviction buyers has surged to nearly 4 million BTC, a roughly 300% increase since late 2025.

#prediction markets

Persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions may lead to prolonged high interest rates, impacting economic growth and financial market stability.
The post Fed’s Collins warns inflation to persist, no rate cuts expected through 2026 appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#business

Ledger's IPO delay highlights the challenges crypto firms face in volatile markets, potentially shifting focus to private funding strategies.
The post Ledger shelves US IPO plans, weighs private fundraising: Report appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#markets

AI's integration into money laundering operations significantly amplifies the scale and complexity of financial crimes, challenging regulatory frameworks.
The post Australia’s watchdog warns money launderers are increasingly using AI to scale scams appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#markets

The revised CLARITY Act could catalyze crypto innovation by balancing regulatory clarity with industry growth, potentially reshaping financial markets.
The post Clarity Act revision gains industry support after key compromises on stablecoin yield and tokenization appeared first on Crypto Briefing.