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XRP is showing mixed signals from large investors in early 2026, as fresh buying meets ongoing selling pressure. The latest move, a rapid $35 million purchase executed through an automated trading bot, has added a new dimension to an already divided market. Algorithmic Buying Spree Quietly Accumulates Massive XRP Position An unidentified entity accumulated more …

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Data shows the XRP Open Interest has witnessed a notable surge alongside the asset’s price drop, a sign that investors have been putting up fresh bets. XRP Open Interest Has Shot Up Over The Past Day As pointed out by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in an X post, the XRP Open Interest has seen a jump recently. This indicator measures the total amount of positions related to the asset that are currently open on all centralized derivatives exchanges. Related Reading: Bitcoin Realized Price Sits At $54,000—Will BTC Revisit It This Cycle? When the value of the metric rises, it means investors are opening up fresh positions on the market. Generally, new positions come with an overall increase in the leverage for the sector, so the asset could end up becoming more volatile following a jump in the indicator On the other hand, the Open Interest witnessing a decline implies traders are either closing up positions of their own volition or getting forcibly liquidated by their platform. In either case, the reduced leverage can make the market more stable. Now, here is the chart shared by Maartunn that shows the trend in the XRP Open Interest over the last few days: As displayed in the above graph, the XRP Open Interest has gone up during the past day. This surge in the indicator has come alongside a drawdown in the cryptocurrency’s spot price. Thus, it would appear that traders have been trying to guess where the coin will move after this decline. As mentioned earlier, an increase in the metric can make the asset behave in a volatile manner. This is due to the fact that mass liquidation events are more likely to occur the more overleveraged the market is. Where the cryptocurrency heads from here could become the trigger for such an event. In the case of a further drawdown, longs could get caught up in liquidations, acting as fuel for an extended decline. Related Reading: Bittensor (TAO) Rallies 35%, But Social Sentiment Stays Mixed XRP isn’t the only asset that has seen a jump in the Open Interest recently. As CryptoQuant has highlighted in an X post, Bitcoin has also observed a positive change in the metric. The latest bearish price action in the sector has meant that liquidations have already started piling up on exchanges, with longs being the most heavily affected, according to data from CoinGlass. As displayed in the table, liquidations in the sector have totaled at $450 million, with about $401 million coming from the bullish positions. XRP Price XRP has plunged to the $1.33 level following the bearish action. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

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Everyone in crypto watches market cap. It is the number that appears on every chart, every app and every news headline. But according to financial analyst Jake Claver, market cap might actually be one of the worst ways to measure whether a digital asset is genuinely strong or just temporarily popular. Claver has spent the …

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The next XRP Ledger release will be dedicated entirely to bug fixes and improvements.

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Crypto lawyer Jake Chervinsky said legislation covering crypto developer protections has been overshadowed by the intense focus on stablecoin yield in the CLARITY Act.

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New wallet creation in the Shiba Inu ecosystem has held steady at between 5,000 and 12,000 per month, pushing total holders past 1.50 million — a sign that retail interest has not dried up despite a rough stretch for the token’s price. Related Reading: UK Slaps Sanctions On $20B Crypto Black Market Tied To Southeast Asia Scam Rings Tokens Flow Back To Exchanges That growth figure, released by the Shibarium team, comes at an awkward time. On-chain data from CryptoQuant shows that nearly 40 billion SHIB tokens moved into exchanges over a 24-hour window ending March 26, with outflows failing to keep pace. The result was a positive netflow — a condition that typically signals more selling firepower sitting on trading platforms. Exchange reserves climbed from 81.20 trillion to 81.29 trillion tokens during the same period, confirming the trend. When holders move tokens off private wallets and onto exchanges, it does not always mean a sell-off is coming. But it does mean those tokens are now within easy reach of anyone looking to exit their position quickly. With market conditions still choppy, that availability matters. SHIB dropped 4% over that same 24-hour stretch. The decline was not isolated — broader crypto markets also fell during this period. Still, the token’s technical picture added its own weight to the slide. Price Hits A Wall At Triangle Resistance According to analysts, SHIB attempted to push through the upper boundary of a descending triangle pattern and was turned away. Descending triangles are generally considered bearish formations. Each failed attempt to break through the top of the pattern tends to reinforce selling momentum, and this rejection was no different. The price pulled back after failing to clear that level, adding to what had already been a difficult day for the token. The combination of a technical rejection and rising exchange inflows gave traders little reason for confidence in the short term. Related Reading: Ethereum Supply Tightens As Staking And Outflows Hit Record Highs Ecosystem Activity Tells A Different Story The Shibarium team’s wallet data points to an ecosystem that is still drawing in new users. Between 5,000 and 12,000 new wallets were created monthly — a pace that has been consistent enough to push the holder count beyond the 1.50 million mark. More wallets generally mean more participants, and more participants tend to support demand over time. Whether that longer-term demand is enough to absorb the near-term selling pressure is a question the market will answer on its own. For now, both forces are visible in the data — one pulling the price down, the other quietly building underneath it. Featured image from A-Z Animals, chart from TradingView

#franklin templeton #ripple #xrp #xrp ledger #etfs #xrp price #xrp news #xrpusd #xrpusdt #xrpl #ondo finance #rlusd #dbs bank #pumpius #odl #ousg #ripple's on-demand liquidity #dnaonchain #stellar rippler

As Wall Street accelerates its shift toward tokenized assets, XRP is increasingly being viewed as a potential bridge at the center of this transformation. Major financial players are exploring blockchain-based versions of stocks, ETFs, and the demand for efficient, real-time settlement infrastructure is intensifying. This shift is placing renewed focus on blockchain solutions capable of supporting global-scale liquidity and interoperability. How XRP Gains Relevance In Tokenized Financial Markets The shift toward tokenized finance is accelerating, with Ripple and XRP increasingly positioned at the center of  Wall Street transformation. An analyst known as Pumpius on X revealed that a key part of this development is a reported collaboration between Franklim Templeton, worth $1.7 trillion, and Ondo Finance to issue tokens backed by real-world assets such as stocks and ETFs. Related Reading: Ripple Pushes XRP Global With Multi-Continent Expansion Drive Pumpius argues that while this is being framed as innovation, it connected the dots. At the early stage of this partnership, Ripple and Ondo have already introduced tokenized US Treasuries through OUSG on the XRP Ledger, leveraging RLUSD for near-instant minting and redemption. In parallel, Ripple has collaborated with Franklin Templeton and DBS Bank to explore tokenized fund trading and lending with sgBENJI and RLUSD on the XRPL. Currently, Franklin Templeton is reportedly moving into the ecosystem, using Ondo to tokenize its own EFTs, growth funds, large-cap stocks, gold, high-yield bonds, and income products. Within this model, the XRP Ledger serves as the underlying rails, and the Ripple RLUSD stablecoin facilitates settlement. This quietly reinforces the role of the XRP ecosystem in enabling seamless asset movement. XRP Ledger Moves From Experimentation To Real-World Deployment A major shift may be underway across Africa as Ripple expands its infrastructure footprint, particularly around the XRP Ledger. Crypto analyst Stellar Rippler has reported that Nigeria is currently adopting the Ledger infrastructure through instant Naira payouts and payments, Ripple Custody, and zero-knowledge privacy pilots on the XRPL. Related Reading: Why SWIFT’s Latest Global Payments Infrastructure Is Bullish For XRP Holders One of the most notable advancements in this move is Ripple supercharging crypto-to-Naira payment through Redotpay, enabling users to send XRP or RLUSD and receive local currency directly into Nigerian bank accounts within minutes. On the institutional side, Absa Bank, one of South Africa’s biggest banks, is now Ripple’s first major custody partner on the continent. Ripple has also collaborated with Mobile Financial Services (MFS) to bring on-demand liquidity (ODL) solutions across Africa. Meanwhile, a pilot program led by the DNAOnChain initiative involving zero-knowledge (ZK) privacy technology is reportedly underway on the XRPL testnet in Nigeria. These zero-knowledge proofs are anchoring real privacy infrastructure. According to Stellar Rippler, they don’t want individuals connecting the dots on Africa’s remittance revolution, including private on-chain infrastructure and institutional rails. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

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Ripple’s Brad Garlinghouse noted that stablecoin trading volume soared to over $33 trillion in 2025, while Bloomberg predicted that stablecoin flows would hit $56.6 trillion by 2030.

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XRP’s long-running market cap debate misses the real question, according to Digital Ascension Group CEO Jake Claver: can the network absorb institutional-scale payment flows without blowing out execution costs? In a March 26 video, Claver argued that market cap is a poor measure of a digital asset’s functional strength and said XRP’s price would need to rise materially if it is ever to support bank-scale settlement. Claver framed the case around what he called a “liquidity index,” a model he says is designed to measure “the true utility and stability of a digital asset” rather than just its headline valuation. His framework combines six variables: market depth, liquidity continuity, slippage, available supply, settlement speed, and access. When those factors are assessed together, he said, the key requirement for a payments asset is not speculative upside but a high enough price to make large transactions workable. Related Reading: Analyst Reveals The Plan For XRP Price Using The Bitcoin Chart “The assets that will power the next financial system can’t just be volatile speculation,” Claver said. “They actually require a high stable price in order to function at a global scale.” Why XRP Could Need A Much Higher Price His argument starts with supply. Claver compared XRP to a scarce collectible, saying the relevant figure is not just total issuance but how many tokens are actually available to trade. If demand rises while more of the supply is effectively locked away, the remaining float becomes more valuable. He tied that directly to XRP’s payments thesis, describing it as “fixed supply, growing demand,” with the reduced amount left on the market doing more of the pricing work. From there, Claver turned to market depth, which he cast as the central constraint for institutional use. He likened XRP liquidity to a pool of water that must be deep enough to absorb a large entrant without chaos. If a bank wanted to move $100 million across borders using XRP, he said, a shallow market would not absorb the flow cleanly and price dislocation would follow. “The lever for that has got to be price,” he said. “If XRP is worth $1 each and you need to move $100 million to the network, you need a hundred million tokens sitting in the pool ready to be able to absorb that trade. But as the pool gets larger and let’s say XRP is worth $100 each, you only need a million tokens to absorb the same $100 million trade.” Related Reading: XRP Could Be Building A Major Short Squeeze, Analyst Says That logic extended to slippage, which Claver described as one of the clearest reasons banks are not yet using crypto rails for large-value transfers. He said a $100 million XRP transaction today could lose “somewhere around 10% just because of slippage,” or roughly $10 million, while traditional equity markets can process similar size for less than half a percent. To narrow that gap, he argued, the value sitting on order books would need to grow by roughly 20 to 100 times. With token supply fixed, he said, price would have to do “all of that work.” Claver also argued that available XRP supply could tighten further over time. He pointed to ETF products, corporate and bank treasury inventory, and DeFi pools as sources of locked-up tokens that would be unavailable for exchange liquidity. In that setup, he said, rising demand would collide with shrinking float and price would not “slide up gradually” but gap higher once sellers became scarce. Speed is the other pillar of the thesis. Claver said XRP’s 3-to-5-second settlement time gives the same pool of capital far more turnover than slower networks, allowing market makers to recycle liquidity more efficiently. But he stressed that speed alone is not enough. “If every single trade cost you 1 to 2% in slippage,” he said, “the speed advantage turns into a faster way to lose money.” He closed by arguing that market cap offers only a superficial snapshot because it assumes every token could be valued at the last traded price. For a network meant to process cross-border value at scale, he said, the real test is whether its order books can absorb institutional volume without destroying capital. On Claver’s telling, that makes higher XRP prices less a matter of hype than a structural condition for the network to do the job its advocates envision. At press time, XRP traded at $1.3337. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

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The average public miner spent $79,995 to produce one bitcoin last quarter. Bitcoin is trading at $70,000. The math doesn't work, so the industry is pivoting to AI, taking on $70 billion in contracts, and liquidating bitcoin treasuries to finance the shift.

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Morgan Stanley, one of the leading banks in the US with $6.2 trillion in client assets and 16,000 financial advisors, has set a 0.14% management fee for its spot Bitcoin ETF (MSBT).  The announcement is part of its updated S-1 registration statement filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for said Bitcoin ETF. …

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Investor sentiment in the crypto market sits at its lowest point in months — and the biggest Bitcoin holders are treating it like a buying window. Retail Sellers, Whale Buyers While everyday investors have been stepping back, wallets holding between 10 and 10,000 Bitcoin added roughly 61,568 coins over the past 30 days, according to data from market analytics firm Santiment. Related Reading: Over $6B: XAUT Futures Volume Rewrites Records On Binance That 0.45% increase in holdings came even as geopolitical tensions flared and broader financial markets turned choppy. At the same time, the smallest wallets — those holding under 0.01 BTC — also added coins, picking up around 213 Bitcoin, a 0.42% rise. The two groups moved in the same direction, but for different reasons, analysts say. ???????? Despite dipping to $68.1K today, Bitcoin’s key stakeholders are accumulating. Whales and sharks with 10-10K $BTC have accumulated 61,568 BTC (+0.45%) in the past month, which is a promising sign of an eventual breakout from this range. ???? Besides the current macroeconomic… pic.twitter.com/YDbRYNYH85 — Santiment (@santimentfeed) March 26, 2026 Dominick John, an analyst at Zeus Research, said that large holders are quietly stacking during flat-price periods, not reacting to daily headlines. Small wallet holders, he said, are driven by something else entirely — fear of missing out when prices tick upward. “Small wallets are chasing the momentum,” John said, adding that if retail buying overheats, a brief sell-off before the next accumulation wave is possible. A Pattern Analysts Have Seen Before Santiment analysts pointed to a longer historical pattern: when large wallets accumulate while smaller holders are selling, it has often preceded the start of a sustained price rise. The firm called the current behavior a “promising sign” that a breakout from the months-long trading range could be ahead — and that the direction of that breakout is more likely to be up than down. Bitcoin exchange outflows have also been steady throughout March, data shows. Coins leaving exchanges typically signal holders are moving assets into cold storage, a sign they plan to hold rather than sell in the short term. Not every major holder has been buying, though. On March 19, two Bitcoin whales moved tens of millions of dollars worth of coins onto exchanges — a move that often precedes a sale. That day, Bitcoin prices dropped as attacks on Gulf oil and gas infrastructure pushed energy prices higher and rattled markets tied to the Iran conflict. Related Reading: Iran Rejects Peace Talk Claims, Leaving Bitcoin Stuck At $70K Extreme Fear Grips The Market The Crypto Fear & Greed Index recorded a score of 10 on Thursday and 13 on Friday. Both readings fall firmly in “extreme fear” territory. The entire month of February and the week prior both averaged the same. A score of zero represents maximum fear; 100 represents peak greed. That kind of prolonged fear reading is unusual. It reflects a market where uncertainty has settled in — not as a spike, but as a sustained mood. Middle East tensions have been a key driver. US and Israeli strikes against Iran in February triggered a wave of retaliations across the region, and the conflict has continued to weigh on global markets since. Featured image from EG Healthcare, chart from TradingView

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XRP is currently sitting at a key transition zone where market structure is being tested, and direction is about to be decided. Historical patterns suggest that periods like this don’t last long, often leading to significant moves once the price breaks out of consolidation. With both bullish and bearish scenarios still in play, the next move could set the tone for what comes next. XRP Enters Critical Decision Zone In a recent XRP analysis, EGRAG CRYPTO highlighted that price is currently sitting at a highly sensitive level, one that could determine the market’s next major direction. This zone represents a key inflection point, where market structure is being tested, and a decisive move is likely to follow.  Related Reading: XRP Price Turns Soft, Red Signals Renewed Bearish Pressure If this level holds, XRP could begin to grind higher as buyers step in to defend the support. On the other hand, a failure to hold this zone would likely trigger a deeper correction, with price potentially revisiting lower support levels around $1.15. That makes the current range a critical battleground, where the next move could set the tone for the coming weeks. Historical behavior adds more weight to this setup. In previous cycles, a similar signal appeared when the yellow line crossed above the red line, a shift that often aligned with the market approaching a bottom. While not an exact timing tool, the crossover has consistently marked an important transition phase in XRP’s price action. The timing around this signal has varied across cycles, with the 2018 bottom forming roughly 126 days after the cross, while in 2022, the bottom occurred about 42 days before it. In both cases, the crossover identified a zone rather than a precise bottom, suggesting that XRP was either at or very close to its lowest point. With the same signal now appearing again, it points to the possibility that the market is once more entering a key transition zone where a major move could soon unfold. Watching The Levels That Matter Most The analyst went on to outline the key levels being closely monitored, emphasizing that a weekly close above $1.80, aligned with the yellow line, would signal that XRP is reclaiming its market structure and could begin shifting momentum back in favor of the bulls. Related Reading: XRP Eyes Massive Breakout, But Not Before A Potential Shakeout A stronger confirmation would come from a decisive break and sustained hold above the $2.20 level. Achieving that would signal a transition into a more aggressive expansion phase, often referred to as full thrust mode, where bullish momentum accelerates, and price action becomes more directional. On the other hand, failure to reclaim the $1.80 level would suggest that the market is not yet ready for a sustained upside move. In that case, downside pressure would remain active. The strategy remains centered on confirmation rather than prediction, allowing price action to validate the next move. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

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The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) faced a deadline on Friday, March 27, to decide on several applications for spot XRP ETFs. The agency was expected to rule on 91 pending crypto ETF applications spanning 24 tokens, including XRP. Several spot XRP ETFs, including those from Canary Capital, Bitwise, and 21Shares, are already live …

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Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas said Morgan Stanley’s 16,000 financial advisors, who manage $6.2 trillion in client assets, would have no problem recommending the product at such low fees.

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A veteran Bitcoin evangelist who entered the market when most people had never heard the word “blockchain” is now pointing the finger at the Trump family, not a crypto exchange, as many think, for the liquidation chaos that shook the crypto industry last October.  Davinci Jeremie, one of the earliest known Bitcoin adopters, recently shared his unfiltered take on what he believes caused the October 10, 2025, crash. What Davinci Jeremie Actually Believes The October 10, 2025, crypto market crash is one of the most debated events of the current cycle, with traders still split over what really triggered the sudden collapse in price. In the months since, several theories have surfaced, ranging from Binance-led liquidations to coordinated sell attacks. Related Reading: Expert Analyst Says Bitcoin Expansion Is Over, It Won’t Rally Until This Is Over Speaking on The Sujal Show, Jeremie offered a perspective that was politically charged. In his view, the Trump family’s financial interests provide a simpler explanation for what happened to the crypto market on that day. “I think obviously the Trump family. It’s clear right now that the Trump family wants to push crypto down so that they can get as much as they want,” Jeremie said. According to the early Bitcoin believer, wealthy participants approach markets differently. In his words, short-term thinking dominates retail behavior, with many looking for quick gains or rapid wealth creation. Large players, however, operate on extended timelines, often spanning five to ten years. “If you’re wealthy, you don’t think in short terms as most people do; you think in long terms,” he said. The Binance Theory That Took Over Crypto Jeremie’s take stands in opposition to the explanation that dominated industry discourse in the months following October 10.  The October 2025 crypto crash, primarily on October 10, saw over $19 billion in leveraged positions liquidated within 24 hours. The sell-off began shortly after Donald Trump signaled plans to impose an additional 100% tariff on Chinese imports. That caused traders to dump risky investments, from stocks to Bitcoin. However, that crash was much more pronounced on the crypto market than expected. Related Reading: Bitcoin Roadmap To $300,000: Analyst Shares Step-By-Step Guide To The Top After the immediate aftermath of the crash, much of the attention was directed to crypto exchange Binance. The exchange quickly became the focal point of speculation, with many pointing to liquidation cascades on its derivatives platform as the primary reason for the crash. The theory was amplified after OKX CEO Star Xu went public with his criticisms, which were based on Binance’s promotional campaign that offered 12% APY on USDe.  According to Star Xu, the campaign by Binance blurred the line between USDe and stablecoins like USDT and USDC, and retail investors were not aware of the systemic risks relating to the synthetic stablecoin ecosystem. Davinci Jeremie is known as one of the earliest Bitcoin adopters, having entered the market when BTC was trading around $1. His reputation grew significantly years later when an old YouTube video resurfaced of him urging viewers to buy at least $1 worth of Bitcoin. The clip has since become one of the most referenced moments in crypto history. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

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Crypto prices came under pressure again on Friday as Treasury yields, not crude, became the macro variable traders could not ignore. Bitcoin slipped back below $69,000 after a short-lived relief rally earlier this week, while ether also traded lower, as hopes for a near-term easing in the Iran conflict faded and the US 10-year yield stayed near 4.42%. That is the core argument The Kobeissi Letter pushed in a widely shared thread via X: the market’s center of gravity has shifted from the oil spike itself to the rates shock that follows it. “The bond market is, by far, the biggest problem for the US right now, much bigger than the energy price situation,” Adam Kobeissi wrote. In the longer note, the firm sharpened the point further: “For weeks, markets have been fixated on oil, war headlines, and geopolitical escalation. But beneath the surface, a much larger force has been building, and it’s now beginning to take control. The bond market is now dictating the path of equities, commodities, and ultimately, policy itself.” Related Reading: Fidelity Sees Key Crypto Catalysts Emerging For Q2 2026 The market action this week fits that thesis. On Thursday, President Donald Trump said he would pause attacks on Iran’s energy plants for 10 days, until April 6, saying talks were “going very well.” Yields initially eased on the headline, but the move did not hold. By the end of the session, the 10-year Treasury yield had climbed to 4.415%, the highest since July, while mortgage rates had already risen to their highest since October and Fed Governor Lisa Cook said the war had shifted the balance of risks toward inflation. Futures markets had moved to price virtually no chance of a Fed cut in 2026. And the data shows the stress. The MOVE Index, a gauge of Treasury volatility, is at 115.02, up 17.86% on the day. Kobeissi also showed a FedWatch distribution that, in Kobeissi’s reading, now points to a base case of rates staying broadly unchanged through September 2027, a dramatic reversal from late 2025, when markets were still debating how many cuts the Fed would deliver in 2026. This is truly historic: In just 27 days of the Iran War, the discussion has now become about Fed rate HIKES. Just weeks ago, investors were debating how many rate cuts the Fed would implement in 2026. Now? There’s a 48% chance of an interest rate HIKE by January 2027. And,… https://t.co/ccQ91LLH3g pic.twitter.com/ve2drzl4Rb — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) March 26, 2026 The firm tied that repricing to a labor market it says has deteriorated even before the latest inflation shock, citing deep downward revisions to payroll data over the last three years and a February unemployment duration of 25.7 weeks. For crypto, the message is straightforward: this is still trading as a liquidity-sensitive macro asset class. When Trump first said on March 23 that the US would postpone strikes and pursue talks, bitcoin rallied more than 5% to as high as $71,794 in New York, with altcoins also moving higher. That relief move has since unwound. By Friday, bitcoin was trading at $68,639 and ether at $2,061.81, both down on the day as the market rotated back to yields, policy risk and tighter financial conditions. BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes framed the crypto angle more directly in his usual shorthand. “Almost there … If Trump invades Iran what is Buffalo Bill Bessent going to do to calm the UST market?” he wrote, referring to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. Almost there … If Trump invades Iran what is Buffalo Bill Bessent going to do to calm the UST market? pic.twitter.com/7H2qakadgT — Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) March 26, 2026 The point is not simply that war could rattle markets, but that a deeper selloff in Treasuries could force some form of response from Washington. In Hayes’ macro framework, crypto does not meaningfully recover just because geopolitical tensions ease; it recovers when bond-market stress becomes severe enough to bring liquidity back into the system, whether through Bessent, the Fed, or both. Related Reading: Crypto Analysts Warn: Traders Misreading The Clarity Act Could Miss The Real Opportunity Kobeissi’s framework is similar. The firm argues that as yields move toward the 4.50% to 4.70% range on the 10-year, the odds of some form of policy response rise sharply because the White House has already shown it is sensitive to bond-market stress. That leaves crypto watching the same dashboard as every macro desk: Treasury yields, rate expectations and the credibility of any de-escalation headline. If bond volatility cools, crypto assets could respond the way they did earlier this week, snapping higher on even a modest improvement in war headlines. But if yields continue grinding upward, the market may keep treating bitcoin and the rest of crypto less as geopolitical hedges than as another expression of the global rates trade. At press time, the total crypto market cap stood at $ Total crypto market cap chart, 1-week chart | Source: TOTAL on TradingView.com ds   Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

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US lawmakers on Friday unveiled the Digital Asset PARITY Act — a wide‑ranging draft bill that would reshape tax and regulatory treatment for digital assets while drawing immediate criticism for excluding Bitcoin (BTC).  Introduced by Representatives Max Miller and Steven Horsford, the measure would, among other changes, create a narrow tax exemption for small stablecoin transactions and alter how staking income is treated.  Key PARITY Act Provisions Under the PARITY proposal, regulated payment stablecoins used in transactions worth less than $200 would be exempt from recognizing gains or losses, provided the stablecoin’s price remains within 1% of its dollar peg at the time of payment.  Related Reading: NVIDIA Faces Class Action After Court OKs $1 Billion Crypto-Mining Revenue Claims – Stock Dips 7% The bill also contains several other notable provisions, on staking for example, as it seeks to change the tax timing for income earned by passive participants in proof‑of‑stake (PoS) networks, permitting those “passive stakers” to defer the immediate tax consequences of staking rewards.  Yet the bill’s approach to staking and mining has become a focal point for criticism. The Bitcoin Policy Institute (BPI) has been one of the most vocal opponents, arguing that PARITY’s staking deferral provisions create an uneven, technology‑biased tax regime that disadvantages proof‑of‑work (PoW) networks such as Bitcoin.  BPI Objection Over Bitcoin Exclusion The Bitcoin Policy Institute contends the draft perpetuates the “phantom income” problem that both miners and stakers previously acknowledged needed legislative relief, but solves it only for stakers.  The organization warned that by offering deferral to staking participants while leaving miners outside the relief, the bill effectively penalizes mining and undermines technological neutrality. Related Reading: MARA Holdings’ Bitcoin Sell-Off: 15,000 BTC Liquidated As Prices Crash Below $69,000 BPI called the imbalance “a two‑tier tax regime,” and urged lawmakers to remedy it by restoring a broader de minimis exemption that is not limited to stablecoins and by extending the deferral election to all block‑reward recipients — miners as well as stakers — or otherwise explicitly including mining in the relief.  The Bitcoin Policy Institute argued these fixes are minimal but necessary steps if Congress truly intends to maintain US leadership in Bitcoin and digital asset innovation. Left unchanged, the group warned, the draft could disadvantage proof‑of‑work systems and shift innovation offshore. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at roughly $66,000, representing a 4% and almost 6% loss in the 24-hour and seven-day time frames, respectively, as the broader crypto market wraps up the week to the downside.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

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Frustrations are continuing to boil over in the crypto industry as it finds itself again at an impasse over the treatment of stablecoins.

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The executive order is the latest in a wave of legal actions in the US seeking to curb government insider trading on prediction markets.

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XRP is under selling pressure. Weeks of consolidation below $1.50 have given way to a test of critical support. And quietly, an indicator that most traders are not watching has just flipped in a direction they should care about. Related Reading: Unknown Wallet Buys $107 Million In Ethereum – Purchase Pattern Points To Bitmine An Arab Chain report tracking risk-adjusted performance data on Binance has identified a shift that the price chart is not yet reflecting: XRP’s Sharpe Ratio has moved into positive territory at 0.0267, while the 30-day average return has climbed to 0.00063 — a modest but meaningful reading that marks the first sustained improvement in risk-adjusted returns following months of negative and near-zero readings. These are not large numbers. That is precisely the point. The Sharpe Ratio does not need to be high to be significant — it needs to be moving in the right direction after an extended period of moving in the wrong direction. For XRP, that directional shift is new, it is recent, and it is happening while the price is still under pressure. That divergence — between what the risk-adjusted data is signaling and what the spot market is doing — is where the most important market information tends to live. The price reflects the present. The indicator is measuring something further out. The Indicator Spent Four Months in the Red. March Changed That Arab Chain’s historical read of the data places the current positive reading in its proper context. From October through late December, the Sharpe Ratio remained in negative or near-zero territory — a sustained period in which XRP holders were bearing risk that their returns were not compensating them for. That is not a temporary fluctuation. That is a regime, and it lasted the better part of a quarter. The February capitulation marked the low point of that regime. When XRP’s price collapsed sharply in early February, the indicator registered its most negative reading of the entire period — the moment when risk was highest, and returns were most punishing simultaneously. What followed was not an immediate recovery but a gradual one: the Sharpe Ratio began climbing as price stabilized, and March delivered the decisive shift, with the 30-day average return rising enough to push the indicator into positive territory for the first time since the cycle began deteriorating. Arab Chain frames the forward scenario with appropriate precision. If the Sharpe Ratio continues climbing — if returns improve while volatility stays contained — the data supports a progressively more stable bullish setup. If it reverses into negative territory, the stress regime returns. The indicator has crossed. The price has not followed yet. One of them will move toward the other. Related Reading: $2.3 Billion Ethereum Has Left OKX And Binance This Quarter: The Sell-Side Supply Is Thinning The XRP Support That Was Holding Is Now Being Tested XRP is trading at $1.3365, down 1.79% on the day. The session opened at $1.3608, reached $1.3726, and has sold off to a session low of $1.3340 — a candle that opened, rejected immediately, and has spent the remainder of the day pressing toward levels not seen since the February capitulation floor. Today’s price action is not ambiguous. It is a breakdown attempt. The daily chart context makes today’s move consequential rather than routine. XRP has been in a confirmed downtrend since November 2025, producing a sequence of lower highs without exception — the January rally to $2.40, the post-capitulation bounce to $1.65, the March recovery attempt to $1.55, each one sold into at a lower level than the one before. The structure has not produced a single higher high in five months. Related Reading: Ethereum Staking Ratio Hits Record 31.4% As Exchange Supply Crashes To 2016 Lows All three moving averages are declining in sequence, and the price trades beneath all of them. The 50-day MA has crossed below the 100-day MA, confirming the death cross on the intermediate timeframe. The 200-day MA descends from approximately $2.20, so far above the current price that it offers no near-term reference point. The February capitulation wick to $1.15 is the last meaningful support on this chart. Today’s close at $1.3365 is pressing toward the lower boundary of the post-capitulation range. A daily close below $1.33 puts $1.15 back in play — not as a prediction, but as the next structural level the chart exposes if the current floor gives way. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

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Bitcoin price slumped on Friday as uncertainty over the US economy and war in Iran negatively impacted stock and crypto markets.

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"The issue is whether or not people support CROPS and going in that direction, the issue is how the EF is going about it,” Optimism's Mark Tyneway said.

#regulation

Kalshi gets margin approval as its $22 billion valuation and booming event trading volumes push prediction markets further into Wall Street.
The post Kalshi moves toward margin trading with new regulatory approval appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#trading #analysis #market #bear market #featured #price watch

Bitcoin has never finished a year positive after a start this bad Bitcoin seasonality is one of those market narratives that stays alive because the average is easy to screenshot. The problem is that the average often hides the only thing that matters: the state. A strong “Uptober” inside a healthy bull trend is not […]
The post Bitcoin price has never ended a year higher after a start this bad — can 2026 break the pattern? appeared first on CryptoSlate.

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Regulatory uncertainty shakes stablecoins as institutions push forward, prediction markets tighten rules and AI agents reshape micropayment economics.

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Bitcoin (BTC) has plummeted below $66K, trading at $65,675 at press time, which is a 3.98% drop in 24h, and a 47.9% dip from its October all-time high (ATH) of $126K. Source: CoinMarketCap Liquidations in Bitcoin futures positions totaled $189.17 million, with long positions accounting for $173.24 million. Traditional assets have not been spared, with …

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Prediction market platforms are tightening trading restrictions and surveillance tools as concerns grow over insider participants.

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The bank priced its proposed spot bitcoin fund at 14 basis points, making it the lowest fund on the market, if approved.

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The P2P.me team opened positions on the Polymarket prediction platform to wager whether the project would hit its $6 million fundraising goal.