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XRP may be approaching a significant technical moment after returning to an important level on the XRP/BTC chart. A crypto analyst known as Austin recently highlighted that the last time XRP broke above a specific resistance against Bitcoin, the result was a rapid and powerful price expansion. That same level is now being tested again, and it is worth keeping a close watch on how XRP moves from here. XRP/BTC Breakout Level Returns Technical analysis of XRP’s price action against BTC shows that the important signal lies in XRP’s performance against Bitcoin, specifically the 0.00002168 level on the XRP/BTC chart. This level is interesting because the last time the XRP/BTC broke through this zone, the pair surged by roughly 40% within a single week.  Related Reading: XRP Price Could Push Further If It Beats This Resistane – ‘$15 Is On The Radar’ However, that move did not happen because Bitcoin’s price was crashing but because XRP was rallying. As XRP gained strength against Bitcoin, XRP/USD followed with an even larger breakout of over 50% within the following week. The chart accompanying Austin’s post shows a highlighted eight-day move where XRP gained approximately 52.9%, rising from around the low $2 range to above $3.60. Trading volume rose massively during that period, and this ultimately pushed XRP to a new all-time high of $3.65. As it stands, the XRP/BTC pair is now trading around this same level, with the most recent daily candlestick printing green, which means that XRP is outperforming Bitcoin. History shows that when XRP begins to outperform Bitcoin decisively, it often leads to a broader price expansion. Austin noted that breaking through this level again could be a significant sign of a big move to come. Current Structure And What Comes Next As shown in the daily candlestick chart above, XRP has been locked in a broader corrective trend against the US dollar with lower highs and lower lows after reaching $3.65 in July 2025. The recent selloff saw XRP drop below $1.15 in early February before rebounding. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $1.46 and attempting to print daily candlestick closes above $1.50. Related Reading: Analyst Wans XRP Price Could Crash Below $1 If Bitcoin Reaches This Level If XRP/BTC manages to close convincingly above 0.00002168, it could signal a renewed shift in momentum. That would likely draw attention back to higher resistance zones on the USD chart, including $1.90, and then $2.10 as initial upside targets.  A stronger continuation could open the path toward retesting deeper overhead supply levels. If the structure were to repeat the prior breakout, where XRP rallied by 52% in a short window, price projections would place the asset near the $2.30 region from current levels. Featured Image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP price failed to surpass $1.680 and started another decline. The price is now correcting gains and might struggle to stay above $1.450. XRP price started a downside correction and declined below $1.550. The price is now trading above $1.450 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $1.4880 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it stays above $1.440. XRP Price Rally Cools XRP price failed to stay above $1.620 and started a downside correction, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $1.60 and $1.550 levels to enter a negative zone. The price even dipped below the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.3475 swing low to the $1.6713 high. Besides, there was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $1.4880 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The bulls are now active above the $1.450 zone. The price is now trading above $1.4620 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $1.50 level. The first major resistance is near the $1.510 level, above which the price could rise and test $1.5450. A clear move above the $1.5450 resistance might send the price toward the $1.580 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.620 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.640. Downside Continuation? If XRP fails to clear the $1.510 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.440 level. The next major support is near the $1.4240 level or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.3475 swing low to the $1.6713 high. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.4240 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.40. The next major support sits near the $1.360 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.340. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.440 and $1.4240. Major Resistance Levels – $1.50 and $1.510.

The XRP price continues to struggle amid bear pressure within the market. On Friday, XRP rose by about 5.7%, which, while positive, was only a relief to an initial 7.1% loss seen earlier during the week. Meanwhile, a recent on-chain evaluation suggests that the XRP market could soon be entering an accumulation phase that could pave the way for strong market demand and recovery. Related Reading: XRP Set To Dethrone Bitcoin Within 6 Years, Entrepreneur Says XRP Exchange Reserves Fall To 2024 Lows In a recent post on QuickTake, pseudonymous analyst CryptoOnchain reveals that the amount of XRP on the Binance exchange has dipped extensively to the downside of the charts. This post derives its credibility from the XRP Ledger: Exchange Reserve – Binance metric. CryptoOnchain explains that the XRP exchange reserves have recently fallen to levels as low as 2.5 billion XRP. This level, notes the analyst, is the lowest yet since the early months of 2024. As of November 2024, the Binance reserves had peaked at approximately 3.2 billion in XRP, and have since taken on a downward trend. Compared to its current readings, it becomes apparent that investors have pulled more than 700 million XRP off Binance in the past 15 months. Usually, when coins are moved en masse to exchanges, it signals preparedness among investors to offload their tokens. On the other hand, reduced inflows to exchanges reflect increasing reluctance to shave off holdings and growing investor conviction. Hence, CryptoOnchain explains that the outflow of XRP from exchanges suggests a significant reduction in sell-side liquidity.   Related Reading: Bitcoin NUPL Back In Hope/Fear Region: What Happens Next? Declining Reserves, Possible Sign Of Accumulation: Analyst CryptoOnchain further explains that declining exchange reserves have often served as signs of upcoming accumulation, and could be a bullish signal in the short-term. This is because, as has been mentioned earlier, lower holdings on exchanges reflect declining appetite among market participants towards selling their holdings.  Interestingly, CryptoOnchain also points out that this current trend in exchange reserves could be telling us that investors are moving their assets out of exchanges into cold storage in order to focus on long-term growth. This present scenario paints a more optimistic view for the XRP price. The crypto pundit summarizes the situation, stating that XRP reserves hitting a two-year low could create a supply shock such that any rebound in market demand could initiate a significant price gain. As of press time, XRP holds a valuation of $1.40. CoinMarketCap data reflects that the cryptocurrency has seen a 3.07% gain over the past 24 hours. Featured image from The Economic Times, chart from Tradingview

XRP continues to face persistent selling pressure, with price action showing limited momentum as broader crypto market conditions remain fragile. The token has struggled to establish a clear recovery trend, reflecting cautious investor sentiment and subdued speculative activity. While volatility has eased compared with previous sharp moves, the lack of strong buying conviction suggests the market remains in a consolidation phase rather than a confirmed rebound. Related Reading: Bitcoin BCMI Drops Toward Bear Market Territory: How Close Is BTC To A Real Buy Zone? A recent CryptoQuant report provides additional insight through analysis of XRP trading volume on Binance using a 30-day Z-Score framework. According to the data, XRP is currently trading near $1.37, with daily trading volume around 173 million XRP. The Z-Score hovering close to zero indicates that trading activity is broadly aligned with its recent historical average, without significant spikes or contractions. This equilibrium in volume typically reflects a balance between buyers and sellers, often emerging after periods of heightened volatility. Rather than signaling immediate bullish or bearish dominance, such conditions tend to accompany market stabilization or repositioning phases. In practical terms, the data suggest traders are reassessing exposure while awaiting clearer directional signals. Until a decisive increase in volume or sentiment emerges, XRP’s price dynamics may remain slow, with consolidation continuing to define the near-term market environment. XRP Volume Equilibrium Suggests Consolidation Before Next Major Move Historical comparisons in the CryptoQuant report suggest that XRP’s volume Z-Score has frequently acted as a leading indicator for major price movements. Periods marked by sharp spikes in the metric have often preceded significant directional moves, both upward and downward, as sudden increases in trading activity typically reflect shifts in market conviction. Conversely, when the Z-Score stabilizes near zero, the market tends to enter a consolidation phase in which buying and selling pressures remain broadly balanced before a new trend eventually develops. The current reading fits this latter pattern. With the Z-Score hovering close to neutral levels, XRP appears to be in a holding phase rather than building momentum for an immediate breakout. This environment generally corresponds with reduced volatility, slower price development, and cautious positioning among market participants. However, such equilibrium phases rarely persist indefinitely. A decisive increase in trading volume could quickly alter the landscape. A sustained move in the Z-Score above +2 would likely signal strengthening participation and potential bullish momentum, while a sharp drop below that threshold could indicate renewed defensive positioning and the risk of further corrective pressure. For now, volume behavior suggests preparation rather than resolution, with the next significant move likely dependent on whether participation expands or contracts. Related Reading: Ethereum Endures Historic Liquidation Week: Largest Sustained Liquidation Phase Since 2021 XRP Price Tests Key Support As Downtrend Structure Persists XRP continues to trade under sustained selling pressure, with the chart showing a clear deterioration in structure since late 2025. After failing to hold above the $2.00–$2.20 region, price action accelerated lower, pushing XRP toward the $1.30–$1.40 area, which now represents the nearest visible support zone. The recent decline appears sharp rather than gradual, suggesting reactive selling rather than orderly repositioning. From a trend perspective, XRP is trading below its major moving averages, which are now sloping downward. This alignment typically reflects a bearish medium-term structure, where rallies tend to encounter resistance rather than trigger sustained upside continuation. The inability to reclaim these averages reinforces the idea that momentum currently favors sellers. Related Reading: Bitcoin Realized Losses Hit Luna Crash Levels — But Price Context Points To A Different Market Phase Volume dynamics also deserve attention. The latest drop was accompanied by elevated activity compared with preceding consolidation phases, indicating active participation in the selloff rather than thin liquidity moves. Historically, such spikes can precede either capitulation lows or continued downside, making confirmation essential. Technically, a sustained recovery above the $1.80–$2.00 region would be needed to stabilize sentiment. Until then, the broader structure suggests caution, with consolidation or further downside remaining plausible scenarios while market confidence rebuilds. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Rumors are spreading across X after reports surfaced that executives from SWIFT and Ripple may have held a private lunch in Miami. The rumor, first highlighted on X by XRP analyst Steph, suggested that the two payment giants quietly met to discuss possible collaboration involving XRP. There has been no official confirmation from either SWIFT or Ripple that such a meeting took place, nor has there been any statement acknowledging partnership talks. Even so, the possibility alone leads to conversations as to whether Ripple and SWIFT could eventually find common ground. Ripple To Move Forward With SWIFT? Ripple has positioned itself as a technology company built to modernize cross-border payments, which is a sector that has always been dominated by SWIFT. That competitive posture has led to years of comparisons between the two.  Related Reading: How SWIFT Could End Up Working With XRP For Global Payments Ripple executives, including CEO Brad Garlinghouse, have openly discussed capturing a significant share of the cross-border payments market historically associated with SWIFT.  In one conference, Garlinghouse noted that Ripple plans to capture around 14% of SWIFT’s processing volume within the next five years.  Rumors are that a private executive luncheon recently took place between Ripple and SWIFT executives in Miami. However, this is not the first time whispers of collaboration between SWIFT and Ripple have circulated on social media. Over the years, social media has repeatedly speculated about potential integrations and transitions to XRP-based liquidity. None of those claims have materialized into a formal partnership announcement. Nevertheless, the conversation continues to attract attention from industry figures. For instance, business legend Patrick Bet-David publicly stated that he is buying XRP and sees a $100 price target if integration with SWIFT were to happen. Can SWIFT Integrate With Ripple? While speaking at the 2025 XRPL Apex Conference, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse stated that the XRP Ledger could capture about 14% of the volume currently processed by SWIFT within five years. However, replacing or even integrating with SWIFT is no small task, given the company is supported by decades of activity in financial institutions. SWIFT was founded in the 1970s and connects thousands of banks worldwide in over 200 countries and territories. Related Reading: How Much Would You Have If You Put $500 In Bitcoin In 2014 Vs. XRP? Interestingly, SWIFT itself has acknowledged that blockchain technology has a role to play in the future of global finance. Back in September 2025, the company announced that it is adding a blockchain-based shared ledger to its technology infrastructure. Ripple, on the other hand, has been working tirelessly with acquisitions and partnerships to increase its footprint within institutional finance and global liquidity corridors. Acquisitions include purchases of Hidden Road and GTreasury. The company is also expanding its reach by onboarding regional banking partners across Asia, the Middle East, and Europe. The idea of SWIFT integrating with Ripple is not really far-fetched. In theory, SWIFT could continue to handle standardized messaging while also integrating distributed ledger technology for faster settlement. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP price failed to surpass $1.4650 and started another decline. The price is now correcting gains and might struggle to stay above $1.320. XRP price started a downside correction and declined below $1.40. The price is now trading below $1.380 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a declining channel forming with resistance at $1.3880 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it stays above $1.30. XRP Price Dips To Support XRP price failed to stay above $1.4650 and started a downside correction, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $1.420 and $1.40 levels to enter a negative zone. The price even tested the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.1356 swing low to the $1.5435 high. The bulls are now active near the $1.340 zone. Besides, there is a declining channel forming with resistance at $1.3880 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The price is now trading below $1.3850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $1.3880 level. The first major resistance is near the $1.40 level, above which the price could rise and test $1.420. A clear move above the $1.420 resistance might send the price toward the $1.450 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.4820 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.50. Downside Continuation? If XRP fails to clear the $1.40 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.340 level. The next major support is near the $1.30 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.1356 swing low to the $1.5435 high at $1.2920. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.2920 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.2650. The next major support sits near the $1.250 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.2250. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.340 and $1.2920. Major Resistance Levels – $1.3880 and $1.40.

XRP price’s structural positioning is back under the microscope after a well-known market analyst flagged a decisive inflection zone that could determine the asset’s next expansion leg. However, the call centers on whether price can decisively overcome a reclaimed barrier that previously acted as both a milestone and now a ceiling. $2.47 Rejection Defines XRP Price’s Immediate Battlefield The analyst’s thesis traces back to an earlier strategic entry identified near the $0.50 region. From that foundation, XRP advanced to meet the $2.47 target before extending beyond $3.30, producing an estimated +600% appreciation during that impulse phase. Current price behavior, however, reflects a shift in market character. The $2.47 level that once served as an upside objective has now transitioned into overhead resistance. The charts show price stalling beneath this horizontal barrier after a sharp rally, reinforcing it as a supply-dense zone. Related Reading: Is XRP Near a Turning Point? Oversold Readings Clash With Key $1.50 Resistance Reinforcing this view is XRP’s broader historical structure. A long-term chart shared by the analyst highlights a rounded macro base formed after an extended drawdown along a descending curved trendline. Multiple higher lows emerged across that base, signaling progressive demand absorption. A breakout from this compression zone triggered the vertical expansion that ultimately tested the $2.47 region. Now, price is consolidating above prior support shelves while compressing beneath resistance — a configuration more commonly associated with continuation setups than terminal tops. The analyst connects this compression to the early phase of an altcoin cycle rotation, emphasizing that XRP has historically outperformed during periods of sector-wide capital expansion. Alt-Season Tailwind Opens Path To $4.804, Then $15+ The analyst’s forward projection depends on one trigger: a confirmed move back above $2.47. His models indicate that turning this level into support would open the next measured leg, targeting $4.804. From the current positioning, that would mark a gain of more than +230%. Related Reading: Here’s Why The XRP Price Has Been In A Consistent Downtrend Since 2025 The projected path on the chart he posted follows a staircase expansion structure — breakout, consolidation, continuation — reflecting XRP’s prior cycle behavior. Horizontal markers above price show interim friction zones, but the trajectory assumes momentum will accelerate once the resistance supply is cleared. Beyond this mid-range objective sits a much larger macro outlook. On a broader view, the analyst points to historical symmetry between XRP’s previous cycle expansion and its current base formation. The scale of the completed accumulation, combined with the curvature of the long-term reversal, supports an extended projection placing $15+ within strategic range. This upper target is not framed as immediate but as a cycle-level radar point dependent on sustained alt-season liquidity, continued higher-low formations, and structural acceptance above reclaimed resistance zones. In execution terms, $2.47 acts as the gateway. Rejection keeps XRP range-bound; acceptance turns the structure into a continuation engine. If wider market conditions align with the analyst’s alt-season thesis, the charts suggest XRP’s expansion phase may remain incomplete — with $4.804 as the next operational milestone and $15+ positioned as the longer-horizon objective. Featured Image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP price failed to surpass $1.50 and started another decline. The price is now correcting gains and might find strong bids near $1.340. XRP price started a downside correction and declined below $1.420. The price is now trading below $1.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a declining channel forming with resistance at $1.4050 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it stays above $1.3320. XRP Price Holds Support XRP price failed to stay above $1.50 and started a downside correction, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $1.450 and $1.420 levels to enter a negative zone. The price even dipped below the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.1356 swing low to the $1.5435 high. However, the bulls remained active near the $1.340 zone. Besides, there is a declining channel forming with resistance at $1.4050 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The price is now trading below $1.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $1.40 level. The first major resistance is near the $1.4050 level, above which the price could rise and test $1.4650. A clear move above the $1.4650 resistance might send the price toward the $1.50 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.5250 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.550. More Losses? If XRP fails to clear the $1.4050 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.3380 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.1356 swing low to the $1.5435 high. The next major support is near the $1.2920 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.2920 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.250. The next major support sits near the $1.2320 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.2150. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.3380 and $1.2920. Major Resistance Levels – $1.4050 and $1.450.

XRP is showing strength in its Wave 4 bounce following last week’s sharp sell-off. While short-term momentum is building, the larger downtrend hasn’t been broken yet, leaving the possibility of one final push lower before a true recovery can take hold. Wave 4 Relief Bounce Unfolds After Brutal Capitulation XRP is currently moving through a Wave 4 relief phase after last Thursday’s aggressive sell-off. According to CasiTrades, the intensity of that drop with RSI hitting multi-year lows suggests capitulation likely took place. However, it also raises the probability that the broader correction may still require one more wave down before fully completing. Related Reading: XRP Price To $1 Or $10? Analyst Warns Investors Of Possible Crash The rebound since that flush has shown strength, which is typical for a Wave 4 reaction after a deeply oversold move. So far, price has already reached the first Wave 4 target at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement near $1.52. This level also aligns with the macro 0.65 retracement, creating a strong confluence zone where temporary resistance would be expected during a bounce of this nature. There is still room for the relief to extend higher toward the $1.65 region, where the 0.5 retracement and macro 0.618 Fib converge. That level now stands as the key decision point. A sustained move above it would strengthen the recovery outlook, while rejection there would increase the likelihood of a wave down to complete the correction. $1.65: The Line In The Sand For XRP’s Next Big Move Analyst CasiTrades further explained that if price fails to reclaim and hold $1.65 as support, it would likely pave the way for a final impulsive leg lower, with downside targets sitting around $1.09 and potentially as deep as the $0.90 region. Related Reading: XRP Price Above $1.50 Could Flip Sentiment And Fuel Recovery She noted that the recent relief rally has already helped reset the RSI from extremely oversold conditions. As a result, a drop into those lower targets could form a bullish divergence on momentum indicators, which often marks strong long-term buying opportunities, if the setup materializes. On the other hand, if XRP successfully breaks above $1.65 and flips it into solid support, the outlook shifts. In that scenario, the focus would be on waiting for a confirmed back-test of the reclaimed level, using that strength as a more favorable and structured entry rather than chasing price prematurely. CasiTrades emphasized that this is not the moment for panic selling. XRP is hovering near the deeper end of a broader correction, and major technical levels across exchanges have already been tested. Thus, the anticipated final wave down either shortens or fails altogether, potentially marking the beginning of a stronger recovery phase. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto analyst TARA has predicted that the XRP price could still crash below the psychological $1 level. This came as she drew the altcoin’s correlation to Bitcoin’s price action, while highlighting how a BTC crash could also push XRP to as low as $0.87. XRP Price Could Drop To $0.87 If Bitcoin’s Crash Deepens In an X post, TARA stated that a Bitcoin crash to $52,200 would bring the XRP price down to its .786 support at $0.87. She noted that this level is also the .618 extension and the gap that was left by the October 10 liquidation event. The analyst made these comments while noting what she was watching for on XRP during this market downtrend.  Related Reading: XRP Price Enters ‘Final Shakeout Zone’, What Investors Should Expect TARA also mentioned that the XRP price has reached its textbook .382 resistance at $1.53, but that the waves on Bitcoin appear incomplete. She predicted that XRP could suffer another leg down in the short term as she expects a short-term correction for BTC to $65,800 before it makes another push up to the .5 resistance level at $75,400.  The analyst stated that this projected Bitcoin crash to $65,800 could bring the XRP price down to $1.30 as a short-term support, with another wave up expected as high as the .5 resistance at $1.65. Meanwhile, TARA remains bullish on XRP in the long term, noting that the macro Wave 3 targets remain $7 to $9.  She also noted that XRP could have bottomed around this current range, but BTC continues to largely drive price action for the altcoin and the broader crypto market, which is why it can still drop further.  Two Potential Scenarios For XRP Crypto analyst CasiTrades stated in an X post that the XRP price is currently in a Wave 4 relief that could send it towards the .5 retracement and macro .618 near $1.65, a level she described as critical. She warned that if XRP fails to flip $1.65 into support, it would set up a clean final wave down targeting $1.09 or even $0.90.  Related Reading: What Happens Now That The XRP Price Has Revisited The October 10 Lows? CasiTrades further stated that this current relief bounce has reset the RSI enough that a move down to these levels would likely produce a bullish divergence, which makes them “exceptional long-term buy zones.”  On the other hand, if the XRP price reclaims $1.65, she stated that it will be best to wait for confirmation of a back-test of support and then use that as an entry off strength. The analyst told investors that this is not a time to panic sell, as major lows have been reached, and that there is a chance the final wave down fails.  At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.38, down over 4% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

On-chain data from Glassnode has unveiled the reason why the XRP price has been in a persistent downtrend since 2025. Notably, the XRP price crashed from its high above $3 last year and has been falling ever since. While many in the crypto space believed XRP could eventually reclaim the $3 level, the cryptocurrency has continued to struggle, shedding more gains each month amid broader market weakness and a shift in sentiment.  Why The XRP Price Has Been Declining Since 2025 Glassnode has attributed XRP’s prolonged price correction since 2025 to a shift in investor behavior driven by weakening on-chain profitability and rising losses among holders. According to the data, XRP fell below the aggregate holder cost basis, which represents the average price at which current investors acquired their tokens. Related Reading: XRP Price To $1 Or $10? Analyst Warns Investors Of Possible Crash When a cryptocurrency trades below this level, a large portion of holders are technically underwater, meaning they are holding at a loss. This condition often leads to panic selling as investors attempt to limit further losses, increasing selling pressure on the asset and reinforcing the price downtrend.  A key indicator supporting this view is the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), measured using a seven-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The SOPR tracks whether coins being moved or sold on the blockchain are being done so at a profit or a loss. Glassnode’s chart shows that XRP’s SOPR declined from about 1.6 in July 2025 to around 0.96 recently.  Notably, a value above 1 indicates that holders are selling at a profit, while a value below that signals that coins are being sold at a loss. This sustained move below the neutral level suggests that most selling activity in XRP is now occurring at a loss rather than in profit-taking conditions. As a result, on-chain profitability for XRP holders has turned negative. Such an environment usually weakens investors’ confidence in a cryptocurrency and reduces the incentive to hold it, especially among short-term traders. Negative profitability can also discourage new capital inflows, as prospective buyers see limited signs of recovery or momentum, further contributing to price decline or stagnation.   XRP Structure Mirrors Bearish 2022 Setup   Interestingly, Glassnode noted that XRP’s current market structure closely resembles a period between September 2021 and May 2022. During that earlier phase, XRP’s SOPR also fell below 1 and remained there for a long time.  Related Reading: XRP Bounces Hard After Capitulation — Relief Rally Or Another Bull Trap? The period was also marked by prolonged consolidation and low volatility following sharp declines, before the market eventually stabilized. This comparison suggests that XRP may be experiencing a similar structural phase in which losses dominate trading activity and recovery is delayed until selling pressure eases and sentiment moves back to positive territory.  As of writing, the XRP price has declined even further, now trading under $1.4. CoinMarketCap data shows that the cryptocurrency has plummeted by more than 4.3% over the past 24 hours and by well over 46% year to date.   Featured Image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

After recovering from last week’s lows, XRP has been moving sideways, hovering between $1.40 and $1.45 during the past four days. As the price attempts to hold its local range lows, a market observer has affirmed that the cryptocurrency could be preparing for a potential recovery if its critical level holds. Related Reading: Bitcoin Could See New Drop To $60,000 Despite Bounce – Here’s The Level To Defend XRP At Critical Inflection Point On Tuesday, crypto analyst ChartNerd highlighted XRP’s performance over the past six months, suggesting that the altcoin could be ‘Positioned for a Major Bullish Structure Shift.” He explained that the cryptocurrency has seen “6 months of downside with virtually no relief,” while showing key signals, such as the MACD and RSI reaching historical oversold levels. Moreover, the analyst highlighted the simultaneous retests of the 50-Month Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a prior eight-year resistance line, and the Fibonacci demand zone.  “This marks the first 50EMA backtest since November 2024, and doing so, we have a wick marked on the 0.618/0.5 FIB demand zone. A popular reversal pocket,” he noted. In a video analysis, ChartNerd also emphasized that XRP is currently at a “critical inflection point,” pointing to its 200-week EMA, a level that had not been tested since 2024 until now, and where the price is currently sitting. The analyst detailed that “this is one of the most important times for XRP because if it holds the line above this moving average, this could set the pace for new all-time highs and continuation of the trend to higher targets.” For his bullish case, he pointed out XRP’s 2023-2024 performance, when it consolidated above the indicator and held it as support for over a year, leading to the breakout in November 2024. To him, the important part is to “hold the 200W EMA, defend it, and create a higher low base. This is where XRP could push to new all-time highs if it respects this long-term structure moving average.” Analyst Warns Of New 50% Correction The analyst also shared a bearish outlook for XRP, noting that losing the 200W EMA in the weekly timeframe and, more importantly, confirming it as resistance could signal a major drop ahead. Per ChartNerd’s analysis, if the altcoin starts closing below the 200W EMA, located around the $1.41 area, it risks descending toward the $0.70 mark. This is where the previous local highs that have not been retested since the late 2024 breakout are. He explained that in 2022, after reaching a local high of around $1.97, XRP “came back down for a retest on its 200-week EMA. It then placed a lower high, lost the 200-week, and corrected even further to its bear market lows.” Related Reading: An ‘Inverted Alt Season’? Analyst Explains How The Altcoins Market Has Changed In past cycles, when XRP failed to hold this critical inflection level, it entered a deep corrective period, crashing by around 50% toward the bear market bottom. “So technically speaking, if XRP lost right now, for example, the 200-week EMA and we crashed another sort of 49% roughly, you’re bringing XRP back down to 70, which is again those highs that I spoke about in the past that we haven’t actually back tested for support since breaking out,” he warned. As of this writing, XRP trades at $1.39, a 3% decline on the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

XRP price failed to surpass $1.550 and started another decline. The price is now correcting gains and might struggle to stay above $1.340. XRP price started a downside correction and declined below $1.450. The price is now trading below $1.420 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a declining channel forming with resistance at $1.430 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it stays above $1.320. XRP Price Dips Again XRP price failed to clear $1.550 and started a downside correction, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $1.50 and $1.480 levels to enter a negative zone. The price even dipped below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.1356 swing low to the $1.5435 high. Besides, there is a declining channel forming with resistance at $1.430 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The price is now trading below $1.420 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $1.430 level. The first major resistance is near the $1.450 level, above which the price could rise and test $1.50. A clear move above the $1.50 resistance might send the price toward the $1.545 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.625 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.720. More Losses? If XRP fails to clear the $1.50 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.340 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.1356 swing low to the $1.5435 high. The next major support is near the $1.30 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.30 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.240. The next major support sits near the $1.20 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.150. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.340 and $1.30. Major Resistance Levels – $1.430 and $1.50.

Ripple has secured a new strategic partnership in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) as the country continues to position itself as a regional hub for digital assets and blockchain innovation.  The company announced on Tuesday that it is expanding its relationship with Zand, a UAE‑based digital bank built around artificial intelligence (AI) and blockchain technology, to support the development of the digital economy through stablecoins and distributed ledger solutions. Expanded Ripple And Zand Deal  Under the collaboration, Zand and Ripple will work together on a range of initiatives centered on Zand’s UAE dirham‑backed stablecoin, AEDZ, and Ripple’s US dollar stablecoin, RLUSD.  According to both parties, the goal is to create new infrastructure and use cases that connect traditional financial services with on-chain systems within a regulated environment. Related Reading: Bernstein Calls Bitcoin Crash A ‘Crisis Of Confidence,’ Maintains $150,000 Target Reece Merrick, Ripple’s managing director for the Middle East and Africa, said in a social media post that the agreement builds on an earlier payments partnership between the two firms.  He explained that Ripple and Zand are now expanding their cooperation to explore several areas, including support for RLUSD within Zand’s regulated digital asset custody platform, as well as direct liquidity solutions between RLUSD and AEDZ. XRPL Deployment In The UAE According to the official statement, the expanded partnership will also focus on examining the feasibility of seamless liquidity between the two stablecoins and issuing AEDZ on the XRP Ledger (XRPL).  Any deployment on XRPL would be accompanied by appropriate compliance standards, monitoring tools, and risk management controls, the companies said. Related Reading: Strategy Expands Bitcoin Holdings With $90M Purchase, Bitmine Follows With ETH Zand’s Chief Executive Officer, Michael Chan, said the bank views stablecoins, blockchain technology, and tokenization as key building blocks as traditional finance increasingly moves on-chain.  He described the partnership with Ripple as an important milestone for the growth of the digital asset ecosystem in the UAE, adding that it could reshape how governments and businesses interact with secure and trusted blockchain‑based solutions. At the time of writing, XRP was trading at $1.40. It has registered major losses of 26% and 33% over the past fourteen and thirty days, respectively. This positions the fifth-largest cryptocurrency 61% below its all-time high of $3.65.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

A crypto analyst has shared a comprehensive roadmap for XRP, outlining key milestones and projected prices at each stage. The report examines potential catalysts, institutional demand, liquidity, global settlements, and market conditions that could drive the XRP price towards $10,000.  XRP Short-Term Price At New Market Milestones Market analyst Crypto_Luke has outlined a detailed roadmap for XRP, showing potential milestones that could push the cryptocurrency to new highs. He identifies $3.84 as the first key target, a level that could break XRP’s 2018 all-time high. The analyst said that crossing this level could trigger price discovery, with XRP potentially surging to $18, marking the fifth wave of market momentum. Related Reading: Pundit Explains Why The XRP Price Hitting $100 Isn’t Delusional Crypto_Luke notes that many investors may choose to exit during this stage, not because the rally is over, but because market conditions may appear overstretched. The analyst said the market would create a sense of euphoria, testing retail sentiment before a major shakeout.  After entering a price discovery, XRP is expected to “release from suppression,” and launch from $18 toward $80. Crypto_Luke highlighted that this stage will attract the most profit-taking, especially from retail investors. Following this, the analyst expects XRP to explode into the quadruple-digit range, fueled by its institutional use cases as a global payment currency.  Roadmap To A $10,000 Valuation Crypto_Luke’s roadmap outlines a transition phase leading to a final target of $10,000. Before XRP reaches this ambitious valuation, he predicts its price will break out of the initial $18 target and potentially reach $1,000. The analyst said this explosive rally will likely be fueled by “early utilization,” indicating real-world use of XRP by institutions and financial systems worldwide.  Related Reading: Why The Market Cap Argument For XRP Price Not Reaching $10,000 Is ‘Flawed’ Crypto_Luke noted that access to liquidity corridors is also critical during this transition phase. These channels allow XRP to move efficiently between institutions across different regions. During this stage, banks and payment providers begin using the token for cross-border settlements, demonstrating its value beyond being a speculative cryptocurrency. The analyst added that financial institutions would also repeatedly test and scale XRP, likely to ensure the network can handle large transaction volumes and complex operations.  By the time XRP reaches full utilization, Crypto_Luke projects that its price will skyrocket to $10,000. At this level, the analyst said XRP could power banking rails and enable global settlement, enabling faster, more reliable transactions across countries. In addition, XRP would support asset tokenization at scale, enabling currencies and financial products to be represented digitally and transferred throughout the blockchain network.  Notably, Crypto_Luke confirmed that no specific date has been set for his bullish projections. He noted that the market moves in response to changes in conditions, not a calendar. When this happens, he expects XRP’s repricing to happen rapidly. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP is still grinding in the mid-$1 range, with the past 24 hours, for instance, spent trading between $1.38 and $1.46. Although XRP is trading with some stability compared to the crash last week, the outlook among crypto traders and analysts is divided.  Some traders are positioning for additional downside, while others are anticipating a rebound to higher price levels. A technical outlook shared on X added uncertainty to the discussion around where XRP could be headed next, with the analyst warning of a possible crash to $1. It is no secret that a large section of the XRP community across social media believes the token is on the verge of entering double-digit territory. Expectations of a rapid move to $10 have become increasingly common in recent discussions on various social media platforms. However, an analysis, which was shared by crypto analyst Crypto Patel, pushes back against the optimism around a straight move to $10 in the next altseason. Analyst Questions Whether $10 Comes Before A Drop To $1 Recent price action, most especially the crash in early February, has shown that the market-wide sentiment needed for XRP to trade at $10 might not actually be there yet. According to Crypto Patel, the path to $10 may not be as linear as many expect. Related Reading: Next XRP Breakout Target At $15 Following This Measured Move; Analyst The army is focused on a $10 target, but the price action could first put that conviction to the test through a deeper corrective phase. The important question raised by the analyst is whether XRP pushes straight toward double digits, or does it revisit $1 first? Clues to that answer can be found on the monthly candlestick chart, which shows a higher probability of XRP revisiting the $1 area before any sustained push toward $10. XRP is currently trading about 60% below its July 2025 peak, and the chart highlights a broad resistance band above current prices and a clearly defined accumulation zone lower down.  The structure shows that although a repeat of the brutal 96% collapse seen from $3.28 to $0.105 back in 2018 is unlikely, a controlled retracement beneath $1 cannot be ruled out. A strong support is marked well below the $1 level, and the analyst suggested that the $0.70 to $0.50 region is the most attractive long-term accumulation area if the price were to unwind below $1. Patience Over FOMO Chasing price at local highs carries significant risk in the current setup. The best place to buy, according to the analyst, is between $0.70 and $0.50. The $1 level is also a reasonable entry point, though only for small position sizes. The most important thing, however, is patience and not falling into FOMO at the top. Related Reading: These Metrics Are Flashing Warning Signs As XRP Approaches A Potential Bear Market Shift At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $1.42. A decisive move higher, particularly a weekly close above the $1.50 level, would likely shift sentiment back toward a more bullish outlook. Featured Image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP price started a decent increase above $1.420. The price is now consolidating gains and might aim for more gains above the $1.50 zone. XRP price started a decent upward move above the $1.40 zone. The price is now trading above $1.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a declining channel forming with support at $1.350 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $1.50. XRP Price Faces Hurdles XRP price started a recovery wave above $1.380 and $1.40, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price gained pace for a clear move above the $1.450 resistance. The bulls even pumped the price above the $1.50 zone. A high was formed at $1.5435 and the price started a consolidation phase. There was a drop below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.135 swing low to the $1.543 high. The price is now trading above $1.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. Besides, there is a declining channel forming with support at $1.350 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $1.450 level. The first major resistance is near the $1.50 level, above which the price could rise and test $1.5450. A clear move above the $1.5450 resistance might send the price toward the $1.650 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.720 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.80. Another Decline? If XRP fails to clear the $1.50 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.40 level. The next major support is near the $1.340 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.135 swing low to the $1.543 high. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.340 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.30. The next major support sits near the $1.250 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.20. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.40 and $1.340. Major Resistance Levels – $1.450 and $1.50.

Crypto analyst Austin has commented on how XRP could record a 1,500% rally to $24 based on an Elliot Wave theory. He also stated that the rally will be swift, which is why the analyst warned investors to be prepared when the current correction is over.  XRP Eyes 1,500% Rally To $24 as Analyst Warns Investors To Be Prepared In an X post, Austin shared an accompanying chart showing that XRP could rally to $24 on Wave 5 of an Elliot Wave analysis. Meanwhile, the altcoin is expected to reach between $8 and $14 on Wave 3, which the analyst expects to happen anytime soon. He remarked that XRP is well-positioned to begin the macro 3rd wave into price discovery at any moment.  Related Reading: XRP Price Has Just Reached Most Oversold Level In History And This Analyst Is Predicting A Bounce Austin further mentioned that the XRP rally on this Wave 3 could be right around the corner or that it could take a while longer to work out this correction before the next impulse. However, he warned investors to be prepared because when this correction resolves, which he is confident it will, it will result in swift and violent moves to higher prices just like the Wave 1 move.  The analyst also noted that the 2.618 extension sits at $8.47 while the 4.236 extension is at $13.64. He stated that these are both good targets to aim for, but expects higher prices given the length of time XRP has been consolidating and building out its current structure.  Why XRP Is Ready To “Blast” Into Price Discovery Austin stated that on the macro scale, XRP appears ready to enter price discovery at any moment. He explained that the altcoin has experienced a 7-year contracting triangle accumulation structure followed by an explosive 5-wave breakout to test the all-time highs (ATHs) at Macro Wave 1.  Related Reading: Analyst Who Predicted XRP’s 600% Rally Forecasts The Bottom And A Target Of $10 The analyst further noted that XRP has been in an ABC correction/reaccumulation for over a year, which has resulted in mass fear and capitulation down to a .702 to .786 retrace. He assured that this has been nothing but a macro wave 2. Meanwhile, Austin also reminded investors that XRP is the only crypto asset with complete regulatory clarity in the U.S. following the settlement of the SEC lawsuit.  He added that Ripple has continued to silently build out the infrastructure required to foster global adoption when the time is right to “flip the switch.” Notably, the crypto firm recently unveiled its roadmap for institutional DeFi on the XRP Ledger (XRPL), highlighting XRP’s role at the core of this infrastructure as it rolls out compliance-focused features to attract institutions.  At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.44, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

The XRP Ledger has quietly crossed a critical milestone. What began as an experimental blockchain designed to challenge the inefficiencies of cross-border payments is now maturing into full-scale financial infrastructure. With the final constraints that once limited bank participation now removed, XRPL is no longer something institutions test; it’s something they can deploy. How XRPL Addressed Compliance And Operational Gaps Ripple has removed a key barrier that previously prevented banks from settling directly on the XRP Ledger, a change that could enable billions of inflows into the Ledger. Crypto analyst Diana has revealed that for years, a recurring question has surrounded Ripple’s network of over 300 bank partnerships: If adoption was so broad, why isn’t there massive on-chain volume on XRPL? Related Reading: Is XRP Poised To Replace SWIFT As Global Payments Infrastructure? As explained by Ripple Chief Technology Officer (CTO) and board member David Schwartz (JoelKatz), the reason was not technical performance; it was compliance and counterparty certainty. Institutions were unable to guarantee who was providing liquidity or whether counterparties met regulatory requirements when settling on-chain. That constraint is now being addressed. Permissioned Domains are live on XRPL, allowing institutions to operate within compliant, access-controlled environments while still benefiting from on-chain settlement.  However, a Permissioned DEX, which is scheduled to go live on February 18, will enable institution-only liquidity pools designed specifically for regulated participants. A big week is ahead for Ripple XRP, with more token utility anticipated. BSCN on the X platform reported that the week ahead could be an important one for the Ripple community, with new updates focused on expanding the real-world utility of XRP set to be introduced. RippleXDev has announced that the XRP community day will take place on February 11, featuring a series of live social media events. One of the key discussion points will be how upcoming roadmap features translate directly into XRP utility. RippleXDev indicated that the session will explore several foundational pillars designed to drive adoption, including programmability through smart extensions and contracts, zero-knowledge proofs (ZKPs) for privacy and stability, and compliance building blocks such as permissioned domains and the permissioned DEX. Why Extreme Conditions Often Precede Relief Rallies XRP price has entered the most oversold condition in its history. According to Skipper, analysts are stating that every time the altcoin reached comparable extremes, the price eventually reversed to the upside. Based on this historical pattern, XRP may be approaching a significant rebound, with a move back above the $2 level now back in focus. Related Reading: XRP Price Bearish Continuation Confirmed As Downside Pressure Builds At the same time, the evolution of the classic DEX is accelerating. DEX Pro would bring together the critical market data into a single, streamlined interface, bridging the gap between decentralized execution and professional-grade data analysis and giving traders the tools to make smarter, faster, and more informed decisions. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP has staged a sharp rebound after a brutal sell-off that flushed price into deep capitulation territory, sparking a fast and aggressive bounce. While the recovery shows clear short-term strength, the bigger question remains whether this move marks the start of a meaningful trend shift or just another relief rally within a broader downtrend. Capitulation Flush Sets The Stage For A Bounce XRP has recently emerged from a sharp sell-off that printed yet another lower low, underlining the strength of bearish pressure seen in recent weeks. According to MakroVision Research, such impulsive downside moves are often seen toward the later stages of broader corrective phases, where panic selling and capitulation tend to peak as weaker hands are flushed out. Related Reading: XRP Price Has Just Reached Most Oversold Level In History And This Analyst Is Predicting A Bounce From that capitulation low, price action has started to stabilize and transition into a short-term recovery attempt. Buyers reacted swiftly, suggesting that selling pressure may be easing for now and that the market is trying to build a base after the steep decline. The rebound itself unfolded with notable momentum, as XRP surged by more than 30% in a relatively short period. This impulsive recovery is typical of first reactions following strong sell-offs. Despite the encouraging short-term strength, the broader structure remains under pressure, and XRP is still locked in a medium-term downtrend. Unless the price decisively breaks above the descending trendline and reclaims the key resistance cluster around $2.20, the bigger picture continues to favor a bearish bias rather than a confirmed bullish reversal. Upside Reclaim Needed To Shift XRP Narrative MakroVision Research further noted that the recovery phase places several critical levels in focus. A sustained move back above the $1.80–$1.85 zone would be the first clear indication that buyers are beginning to regain control, opening the door for a broader continuation of the rebound. Related Reading: XRP Price Bearish Continuation Confirmed As Downside Pressure Builds Until that happens, downside risks remain present. The liquidity area extending toward the $1.35 level continues to act as an important reference point, as price could still be drawn back into this zone if the current recovery loses momentum. The firm also cautioned traders to pay close attention to the nature of the counter-trend move. Recovery rallies that unfold in deep, impulsive bursts often signal distribution rather than accumulation, and in past market phases, this type of price action has frequently preceded another leg lower. Overall, XRP has stabilized after the sharp sell-off and is attempting to build a short-term base. While the immediate reaction shows strength, the broader market structure remains bearish as long as the resistance cluster near $2.20 caps price. Whether this move evolves into a sustainable recovery or fades into another lower high will depend on how the price behaves around these key levels. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP’s price action has revisited and retested a resistance level that it already broke out from on the monthly candlestick timeframe chart. According to a technical analysis shared on the social media platform X by crypto analyst Javon Marks, this retest is part of a broader continuation structure, much like something it has done before.  Despite the current bearish price action, the technical analysis is pointing to a rebound to significantly higher price targets, with the measured move projecting a run to as high as $15. XRP Pulls Back To Test Broken Resistance XRP’s price action in the past week has been notably bearish, with the cryptocurrency losing price support levels upon price support levels. This price crash saw XRP fall from above $1.90 in the last week of January to eventually bottom around $1.15 on February 5, its deepest one-week pullback in recent months. Although a rebound followed the February 5 low, the broader tone of the past week has yet to turn fully bullish. Related Reading: Why Is XRP Sentiment Rising To The Positive While Bitcoin And Ethereum Suffer? Interestingly, this crash fits into a larger bearish trend that has been playing out for multiple months on the monthly timeframe. XRP’s price action on the monthly candlestick timeframe chart reveals the cryptocurrency is now on five consecutive red monthly candlesticks.  The most recent red candlestick close was in January, where it closed with a negative 10.6% below its open. February trading is showing little evidence of a decisive reversal so far, and XRP has extended its losses by 13% since the beginning of the month, according to data from CryptoRank. According to technical analysis shared by Javon Marks, the recent downturn corresponds to a familiar behavior that appeared in XRP’s long-term chart history back in 2017. Marks pointed out that the slide to $1.15 on February 5 coincided with a retest of a long-term descending trendline that had capped XRP’s price action since the $3.40 peak in 2018. That trendline was kept intact for years before finally breaking in 2025, during XRP’s advance toward a new all-time high of $3.65 in July 2025. The chart accompanying Marks’ analysis, which is shown below, demonstrates how February’s wick low precisely tagged this resistance trendline before it bounced higher. Measured Move Projection Targets $15 Now that XRP has rebounded from this trendline, the important thing is predicting what happens from here. The analyst’s outlook is built around a measured move derived from how XRP played out the last time such a similar trendline retest happened back in 2017.  Related Reading: Here Are The Next Major Levels To Watch For XRP As The Crypto Market Enters Red Season The chart above shows a prolonged period of compression inside converging trendlines before XRP finally resolved higher. By projecting the height of that consolidation from the breakout point, Marks places the next major price target above the $15 level. According to Marks, this retest may be what sends XRP on a major push to $15. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $1.43, having rebounded by about 24% from its February 5 low. Featured Image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP price started a recovery wave above $1.50 but failed near $1.9250. The price is now consolidating and might aim for a fresh move above $1.50. XRP price started a recovery wave above the $1.420 zone. The price is now trading above $1.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.4550 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $1.50. XRP Price Faces Key Hurdle XRP price remained supported above $1.20 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to climb above $1.250 and $1.320 to enter a short-term positive zone. There was also a move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.6320 swing high to the $1.1356 low. The bulls even pushed the price above $1.45 but they struggled to keep the price above $1.50. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.4550 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The price is now trading above $1.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $1.4550 level. The first major resistance is near the $1.4660 level. A close above $1.4660 could send the price to $1.50. The next hurdle sits at $1.5150 or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.6320 swing high to the $1.1356 low. A clear move above the $1.5150 resistance might send the price toward the $1.620 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.650 resistance. Another Drop? If XRP fails to clear the $1.50 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.40 level. The next major support is near the $1.3850 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.3850 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.330. The next major support sits near the $1.320 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.250. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.40 and $1.3850. Major Resistance Levels – $1.50 and $1.5150.

The price of XRP has shown a sheer amount of resilience after a couple of red days for the general crypto market. The altcoin has managed to return to around $1.5 over the weekend, reflecting a nearly 25% jump since reaching its latest local low. However, this fresh burst of momentum seems to be just that, a short-lived moment of positivity that might not translate to the long-term trajectory. According to the latest on-chain data, the XRP price might still be tilting more towards the bearish side of the market. Low Funding Rate Signals Reduced Appetite In Derivatives Market In a recent Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, Arab Chain revealed that belief might be increasingly exiting the XRP derivatives market. This on-chain observation is based on changes in the funding rates on Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. Related Reading: Forget A Bitcoin Yearly Top, BTC Price Might Have Hit A 16-Year Cyclical Peak For context, the “funding rate” metric estimates the periodic fee exchanged between traders in the derivatives market of a particular cryptocurrency. A positive funding rate often signals that the long traders (investors with buy positions) are paying a fee to short traders (investors with sell positions) in the derivatives market, while a low funding rate metric implies that the payment is the other way round. As shown in the chart above, the XRP funding rate on Binance has been in a notable decline over the past few days, recently dropping to around -0.028, reflecting its lowest level since April 2025. According to Arab Chain, this shift signals a clear move toward defensive positioning and hedging against further downside. The on-chain analyst revealed that a deeply negative funding rate shows the level of pessimism in the market, as traders are more willing to pay a premium to hold short positions. This trend is even more damaging, considering the decline seen by the XRP price in the past few weeks. Arab Chain wrote in the Quicktake post: Historically, funding rates reaching extreme negative levels often coincide with advanced stages of downtrends, when a large portion of traders are already positioned short. While low funding rates have sometimes set the stage for temporary rebounds triggered by a return of speculative demand, they often reflect heightened caution and reduced risk appetite in the market. Nevertheless, this funding rate level also suggests that any uptick in sentiment could catalyse “faster-than-expected” price moves. XRP Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of XRP stands at around $1.44, reflecting an over 1% decline in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Breathe… XRP Is The ‘Oxygen’ Of The New Financial System, CEO Says Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

The XRP price has hit oversold levels, marking its lowest readings in history. A crypto analyst has reported that each time XRP has reached these levels, a price bounce has followed. Based on this, he believes that XRP could be on the verge of another major rebound, projecting a potential rally above $2.  XRP Price Sinks To Oversold Levels Ahead Of Rebound A crypto market analyst known as ‘Ripple Bull Winkle’ on X has outlined a short-term bullish outlook for XRP. Despite consistently breaking key support levels and now trading around $1.4, the analyst argues that XRP may be positioning itself for a substantial recovery that could ultimately push its price back above $2.  Related Reading: Pundit Says XRP Price Is Not A ‘Crypto’ Question, But A Systemically Important Liquidity Asset The basis for Ripple Bull Winkle’s optimism stems from a recurring historical pattern that, in his view, has never failed to produce a bounce in the XRP price. Specifically, the analyst highlights a repeating Relative Strength Index (RSI) pattern. He announced that XRP recently reached an RSI of 20 on the daily chart, marking the most oversold reading in its history.  According to the analyst, every time XRP has entered similarly extreme oversold territory, a price bounce of approximately 15-40% has always followed. He said such rebounds typically occur within two weeks of reaching these levels. He also emphasized that this recovery has not happened occasionally but consistently, reinforcing his confidence that XRP is likely to follow the same pattern and bounce again.     If everything plays out as expected, Ripple Bull Winkle projects that XRP could see a relief bounce to $2.20-$2.50 before the end of February 2026. He noted that a rally to this bullish target is the highest-probability event the market has had this year.  Analyst Shares Multiple Resistance Targets For XRP Looking at Ripple Bull Winkle’s accompanying price chart, he has marked several key resistance zones using red horizontal lines, indicating areas where XRP may encounter selling pressure or struggle to advance. These levels range from approximately $1.8-$1.91 to $2.06-$2.19, followed by $2.29-$2.41, $2.67-$2.78, and a higher resistance band near $3.10-$3.18.  Related Reading: Rising Above The Ashes: XRP ETFs Set New Record Despite Market Crash Collectively, these levels serve as both potential barriers that could slow price movement and upside targets that XRP is expected to reach. The upward-pointing blue arrows in the chart also signal the analyst’s expectation of a bullish breakout or a sustained rally toward the stacked resistance levels if XRP builds enough momentum.  As of writing, XRP appears to be recovering from its recent downtrend. Its price has rebounded by more than 10% over the past 24 hours and is currently trading above $1.4 after briefly dipping below $1.3, according to CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

The XRP price was on the verge of losing the $1 level merely two days ago, as the entire crypto market succumbed to an almost unprecedented level of volatility and bearish pressure. The altcoin fell to as low as $1.16, its lowest level since November 2024. While the general cryptocurrency market appears to be showing some signs of recovery, the XRP price activity has been particularly impressive since bottoming out at around the $1.15 mark. According to a prominent crypto analytics firm, below are the reasons behind the altcoin’s latest resurgence. Whale And Network Activity Throw XRP A Lifeline On Friday, February 6, popular blockchain firm Santiment took to the social media platform X to discuss the recent correction and the subsequent recovery experienced by the XRP price going into this weekend. With the strong volatility witnessed in the market, XRP seemed to be bound for $1 in that downward movement.  Related Reading: Ethereum Coinbase Premium Drops To 2022 Bear-Market Levels: Capitulation Or Further Downside? Santiment said on X: Panic sellers should have stopped to notice the massive activity on the XRP Ledger as speculators were discussing whether the coin would fall below $1.00. However, the fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization briefly reclaimed the $1.5 level on Friday, signaling the return of fresh buying momentum to the market. According to Santiment, this XRP price jump might have been triggered by the group of large investors known as the whales. The latest on-chain data shows that an “obvious” whale accumulation took place while the XRP price headed for the bottom. Santiment data shows that about 1,389 $100,000 whale transactions occurred during the dip, the highest volume seen over the past four months. Meanwhile, activity on the XRP Ledger has been on the rise since the altcoin’s price fell to its lowest level in over a year. According to Santiment’s post on X, the amount of unique addresses on the blockchain saw a notable surge to 78,727 in just one 8-hour candle, its highest level in approximately six months. The crypto analytics noted that these occurrences are both significant to the potential price resurgence of any asset. With an uptick in whale demand and network activity, the XRP price could build the foundation required to return to a bullish structure. However, investors might want to approach the market with extreme caution, as a relief rally is not the strangest phenomenon in a bear market. XRP Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of XRP stands at around $1.46, reflecting an almost 25% jump in the past 24 hours. However, this single-day action is not enough to erase the past week’s losses, which still sit roughly over 16%. Related Reading: XRP Social Sentiment Still Bullish While Bitcoin Mood Sours Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

XRP’s current pullback has diverted attention away from short-term volatility and back toward the bigger picture on the chart. The cryptocurrency is now down by over 60% from its July all-time high, and the decline is showing signs of more downside.  As the price continues to break below support levels, one analyst whose earlier outlook preceded a major XRP rally says the cryptocurrency may be approaching a bottom for another accumulation phase. Analyst Points To A New Accumulation Phase XRP’s recent price action has seen many analysts projecting a bottom where the decline might end. However, a technical analysis of XRP’s price action on the 2-week candlestick timeframe chart, which was posted on the social media platform X, frames the current XRP price action as an entry into an accumulation zone.  Related Reading: XRP Price Falls Below $1.6: You Won’t Believe What Institutions Are Doing Amid The Crash According to the analysis, XRP has now corrected roughly 58% from its recent peak, placing it directly inside what he calls the first accumulation zone between $1.50 and $1.30. The outlook by Crypto Patel is that this area is not about catching an exact bottom but about building exposure gradually as the price stabilizes. Based on this, the analyst predicted that XRP’s decline will bottom somewhere between $1.5 and $1.3, and this is a great time to start buying slowly at these levels.  However, Patel’s outlook also accounts for a deeper drawdown scenario. Should XRP lose the $1.30 region, then the next focus is in a secondary accumulation band between $0.90 and $0.70. Nonetheless, a move into that lower range would still not invalidate the bullish thesis. Instead, it would represent what he describes as the best long-term accumulation opportunity for maximum profits. The $10 Target Is Still In Play XRP’s current price action is a far stretch from reaching $10, and that target seems out of reach at the moment. However, despite adopting a near-term caution, many analysts have not changed their long-term projections. Related Reading: XRP’s 173-Day Theory: What Happens If This Historical Trend Plays Out Again Patel, for example, noted that his long-term target is $10. Although the $10 target remains the same, the analyst noted that buying at $3 or $2 is not ideal since there are opportunities for entries at $1.50-$1 during hard dips for much bigger returns. To support his confidence, Patel pointed back to his previous cycle call, where he shared an XRP setup around $0.50 during the last bear market. That setup preceded a rally to $3.66, delivering gains of over 600%. XRP’s price action in the past 24 hours is characterized by a crash from an intraday high of $1.44 to an intraday low of $1.14. The cryptocurrency is now back to trading at $1.30 at the time of writing, 670% away from reaching the $10 price target. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

The debate over whether the XRP price could reach $10,000 has reignited in the crypto market. However, this time, one crypto analyst challenges the common argument that market capitalization could limit XRP’s growth. According to the analyst, this claim is flawed and does not take into context XRP’s liquidity and utility as a global settlement currency.  Why Market Cap Does Not Limit Price Surge To $10,000 Some critics argue that XRP would never hit $10,000 because doing so would make its market capitalization exceed the global money supply. Market analyst Crypto_Luke has addressed this misconception in a recent X post, emphasizing that market cap does not limit the XRP price in any way.  Related Reading: Expert Explains Why The Market Cap Theory Doesn’t Apply To XRP The analyst explained that market cap is simply the last traded price multiplied by a cryptocurrency’s circulating supply, which is a snapshot of overall trading activity and not a reflection of how much money is required to achieve a certain price. He noted that the common criticism that market capitalization represents the amount of money invested in an asset is inaccurate.  One reason Crypto_Luke believes the market cap argument is flawed is that it fails to account for how XRP operates. Unlike assets designed primarily for storing value, such as BTC, XRP is designed for rapid liquidity and settlement across global corridors. He stated that XRP can be used multiple times in a single day, facilitating transactions without requiring additional capital. As a result, he suggests that XRP’s price is determined by its “actively traded float,” rather than by the total supply that is idle.   In his analysis, Crypto_Luke emphasized that liquidity and price adjustments go hand-in-hand in XRP’s design. He explained that assets that move quickly through settlements allow the blockchain network to satisfy demand without requiring equivalent dollar-for-dollar backing. As XRP’s transaction volume increases, its price naturally adjusts to reflect the value of its utility rather than a fixed market cap.  The analyst noted that XRP’s supply was intentionally designed to be large, fixed, and non-reissuable. This structure supports a multi-trillion-dollar liquidity pool and enables the network to handle high-volume settlement throughput.  XRP Market Cap Crashes Nearly 10% More recently, XRP faces additional downward pressure, as CMC data shows that the cryptocurrency’s market capitalization has crashed by nearly 10%. As of writing, XRP’s market cap has fallen to approximately $79.25 billion following a massive decline in its price over the past 24 hours.  Related Reading: XRP Completes ‘Super Guppy Compression’ Against Bitcoin, Next Target Emerges The downturn aligns with the broader market sell-off across major cryptocurrencies, as sentiment has become increasingly bearish. XRP has been among the worst affected, with its price slipping toward $1.3, marking its lowest levels since 2024. The cryptocurrency shows no clear signs of a rebound despite a recent surge in daily trading volume, which has increased by more than 148%. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

Heavy capital outflows and large-scale liquidations have pushed the crypto market firmly into the red, with XRP recording a 26.5% decline over the past week. As prices slide and panic-driven selling accelerates, analysts are shifting focus away from rebound timing toward where support is most likely to form. One prominent market analyst, Casi, has now identified XRP’s next key macro levels, outlining where the asset could either stabilize or face deeper downside pressure. Panic-Driven Market Breakdown Keeps XRP Under Pressure According to Casi’s market assessment, the ongoing selloff reflects broad panic conditions rather than controlled profit-taking. Bitcoin has already shed close to 10% in the current downswing, while XRP has recorded losses approaching 20%, underscoring the scale of liquidation moving through altcoin markets. Related Reading: This Analyst Called The Bitcoin Price Crash 4 Months Ago, But There’s More She emphasized that attempted bullish divergence signals are being consistently invalidated. In structural terms, this means momentum indicators are failing to confirm price strength, removing a key early signal that traders typically rely on to anticipate reversals. Instead of basing, price continues to expand lower, suggesting the market is still in active discovery mode for demand. This context reframes XRP’s decline. Rather than viewing the drop as an isolated retracement, Casi interprets it as part of a broader emotional unwind sweeping crypto. Fast downside expansions, thin bid support, and reactive positioning all point to forced selling rather than strategic rotation. Until volatility compresses and divergence structures hold, the probability of sustained recovery remains limited. Key Fibonacci Zones Define XRP’s Stabilization Path Within this high-pressure environment, the analyst mapped precise macro retracement zones where structural support could emerge. For XRP, the immediate focus sits near the $1.09 region, aligning with the macro 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. This level represents deep correction territory. Reinforcing this outlook, XRP has breached multiple interim supports while following a descending trend, signaling ongoing distribution. The projected drop into the 0.786 zone aligns with historical demand clusters, marking the next area where sellers may tire and buyers could re-enter. However, the analyst stopped short of calling a bottom. The current price behavior was described as fast and emotionally driven, conditions that often produce overshoots before equilibrium returns. In this framework, the $1.09 level is not a guaranteed floor but a structural checkpoint where stabilization can begin forming if sell pressure weakens. Related Reading: Why The Bitcoin Price Could Quickly Revisit $81,000 Again After The Crash Bitcoin’s positioning adds macro context to XRP’s outlook. The analyst is monitoring $64,500 on BTC, corresponding with its macro 0.5 Fibonacci retracement. Should Bitcoin secure support there, it could provide the cross-market stability required for XRP to defend its deeper retracement zone. Failure, however, would increase the probability of extended downside across altcoins. In sum, XRP’s trajectory is now tightly linked to panic dynamics and macro support validation. Until structural confirmation emerges, the market remains in support-seeking mode, with $1.09 standing as the next major level where price may attempt to regain footing. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP price extended losses and traded below $1.30. The price is now consolidating losses but faces hurdles near $1.30 and $1.350. XRP price started another decline and traded below the $1.30 zone. The price is now trading below $1.30 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.380 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it stays below $1.40. XRP Price Dips Over 15% XRP price failed to stay above $1.50 and extended its decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price declined below $1.450 and $1.40 to enter a short-term bearish zone. The price even extended losses below $1.250. A low was formed at $1.1356, and the price is now consolidating losses. There was a minor upward move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.6320 swing high to the $1.1350 low. The price is now trading below $1.30 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is also a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.380 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. If there is a fresh recovery move, the price might face resistance near the $1.30 level. The first major resistance is near the $1.320 level. A close above $1.320 could send the price to $1.380, the trend line, and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.6320 swing high to the $1.1350 low. The next hurdle sits at $1.40. A clear move above the $1.40 resistance might send the price toward the $1.420 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.450 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.50. Another Drop? If XRP fails to clear the $1.320 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.240 level. The next major support is near the $1.2250 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.2250 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.20. The next major support sits near the $1.1650 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.150. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.220 and $1.20. Major Resistance Levels – $1.320 and $1.380.

Data shows social media users are still optimistic about XRP even as sentiment around Bitcoin and Ethereum has declined alongside the market downturn. XRP Positive/Negative Sentiment Is Still At A Notable Level In a new post on X, analytics firm Santiment has talked about how social media sentiment has compared across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP during the latest market decline. The indicator of relevance here is the “Positive/Negative Sentiment,” which tells us about how positive comments related to a given asset stack up against the negative ones on the major social media platforms. Related Reading: Social Media Now Talking Sub-$60,000 Bitcoin Prices As Fear Rises The metric works by assembling posts/comments/messages containing mentions of the asset and feeding them into a machine-learning model to classify them as bearish or bullish. It then counts up the number of posts in each category and finds their ratio. When the value of this ratio is greater than 1, it means positive comments related to the cryptocurrency outweigh the negative ones. On the other hand, the indicator being under this threshold suggests the dominance of bearish sentiment. Now, here is the chart shared by Santiment that shows the trend in the Positive/Negative Sentiment for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP over the past month: As is visible in the above graph, the Positive/Negative Sentiment plunged across the three cryptocurrencies at the end of January as prices crashed. The indicator’s value slipped below 1 for each of them during this drop, indicating traders became bearish on the market as a whole. As prices have continued to slide down since then, however, a shift has occurred in the Positive/Negative Sentiment, with its value separating for the three. The chart shows that the metric’s latest value for XRP is nearly 2.2, indicating that social media users have become more optimistic about the coin. Meanwhile, the indicator continues to be inside the bearish zone for Bitcoin with a value of 0.79. Ethereum has seen some improvement in the metric to a neutral value of 1, but compared to the normal for January, this level could still be considered to reflect a bearish sentiment among the retail social media crowd. Related Reading: Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score Compresses To Levels Last Seen Near $29,000 Historically, digital asset markets have often tended to move in a direction contrary to the expectations of retail traders. This means that an extreme amount of fear can help prices rebound, while overhype can lead to tops. “There remains a strong argument for a short-term relief rally as long as the small trader crowd continues to show disbelief toward cryptocurrency as a whole,” explained the analytics firm. Given that trader sentiment has diverged for XRP recently, however, it only remains to be seen how the sector will develop in the near future. XRP Price At the time of writing, XRP is floating around $1.35, down more than 27% over the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com