As XRP anticipates a potential rally toward a key short-term resistance level, an analyst has set a bold target for the cryptocurrency’s long-term performance, suggesting that the altcoin could soar by over 1,300% during the next bull run. Related Reading: Ethereum Eyes $2,100 Retest As BlackRock Debuts Staked ETH ETF XRP Targets $48 In Next Bull Run On Friday, XRP joined the broader market rebound, experiencing a 3.5% surge and reaching a one-week high of $1.45. Over the past month, the cryptocurrency has been oscillating between $1.20 and $1.50, hovering above the upper area of this range. Amid this performance, analyst Ali Martinez shared a bold prediction for XRP’s price in the next bull run, suggesting a massive rally could unfold in the coming years based on a multi-year pattern. According to the chart, the altcoin has been forming an ascending triangle pattern on the monthly chart since 2018, when it rallied around 1,500% over two months to its old all-time high (ATH). XRP has traded between the $3.30 horizontal resistance and the ascending trendline over the past eight years, marking the bottom and peak of each rally during the last two cycles. The analyst suggested the altcoin could continue to move within this pattern until the next bull run and potentially rally 1,350% to the $48 target once it breaks through the multi-year resistance. Similarly, market observer Chard Nerd shared XRP’s macro chart but highlighted a potential retest of a resistance-turned-support instead. He noted that the cryptocurrency broke out of a multi-year symmetrical triangle pattern when the price soared past its eight-year resistance during the Q4 2024 market rally. Per the post, XRP could test the pattern’s neckline, currently around the $0.70-$0.80 area, as support in the coming months before beginning to recover from the bear market lows. Is A March-April Rally Brewing? In a Friday video analysis, Chart Nerd also shared a short-term outlook for XRP, highlighting its attempt to break out of a one-month symmetrical triangle on the daily timeframe after today’s pump. As he explained, the altcoin’s price has been compressing between a major level of resistance and a major level of ascending support over the past five weeks, which could target a 25% rally in the next few weeks as it approaches the tighter range of its apex. The apex does have a date (…) we’re looking towards the end of March, 25th of March, where XRP could, if it rejects from this $1.42-$1.43 level, (…) get really tight and compressed into a corner to look for a decision. The analyst suggested that the pattern’s upper boundary has been a major level of resistance throughout February, which could squeeze XRP’s price “into this apex towards the end of March” before potentially choosing its next direction. Related Reading: Bitcoin ‘Sandwiched’ Between Two Key Zones As Price Tops $71,000 – Major Move Ahead? If XRP breaks out of this apex to the upside and reclaims the $1.50 horizontal resistance, it will validate a move toward the $1.80-$2.00 area, which he previously called “a critical inflection point,” by the end of March or start of April. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
XRP may be approaching another pivotal moment as its long-term cycle pattern continues to repeat. Historically, strong expansion phases have been followed by extended corrections before the market eventually builds momentum for the next major move. With price now nearing key structural support and technical confluence zones, analysts suggest the current consolidation could represent the groundwork for a potential expansion phase ahead. XRP Continues To Respect Long-Term Rising Trendline According to crypto analyst Egrag Crypto, XRP has continued to respect a long-term ascending trendline since its major breakout in 2017. Throughout this period, each powerful expansion phase has been followed by a descending corrective move, forming a repeating cycle within the broader market structure. Related Reading: XRP Slingshot Setup Builds As Market Enters Potential Bottoming Phase The analyst noted that this pattern has played out multiple times over the years, reinforcing the reliability of XRP’s long-term technical behavior. As the current corrective phase progresses, price action is now approaching an important confluence area where several technical factors are beginning to align. Egrag pointed out that the most significant bottoming region currently sits between $0.95 and $0.80. This zone stands out as a key area where the market could stabilize if the broader structure continues to follow its historical rhythm. The importance of this region stems from the convergence of multiple technical elements. These include the compression of the 21 EMA, 50 EMA, and 100 EMA, the support of the long-term ascending trendline, and a historically significant liquidity zone. When several structural indicators align in this way, it often creates conditions where macro market bottoms begin to form. Market May Be Undergoing A Time-Based Reset Revealing what may come next, Egrag Crypto explained that the current XRP structure appears to be undergoing not only a price correction but also a time-based reset. According to the analyst, this suggests the market may still require an extended period of consolidation before the next major move begins. Related Reading: XRP Bollinger Bands Are Squeezing—Volatility Incoming? Such a phase could involve additional grinding price action, continued compression, and periods of frustration for traders as the market stabilizes. If XRP continues to follow its historical cycle pattern, Egrag believes the bottoming process could gradually unfold and complete around the Q2–Q3 period of 2026. Looking ahead, the next expansion phase would likely begin only after XRP starts reclaiming key structural levels. The first important step would be a recovery above the 21 EMA, followed by a decisive break of the descending corrective structure that has been guiding the recent downtrend. Beyond that, the analyst highlighted $2.20 as a critical level where momentum could begin to accelerate again. With trendline support, EMA confluence, and a potential time reset aligning with a developing bottoming structure, Egrag suggests that the next major expansion phase may be a matter of time if these conditions hold. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
A crypto pundit has outlined what the XRP circulating supply could look like if the cryptocurrency is adopted as a global settlement asset. According to him, the effective float available for real-time payments could be significantly smaller than XRP’s total supply, a factor he argues may play a central role in determining the cryptocurrency’s price at full operational capacity. XRP Supply To Shrink With Global Settlement Adoption A new discussion about the future supply of XRP has caught the attention of the crypto community following a brief commentary by XRP advocate @UnknownDLT on X. The crypto expert examines how XRP’s circulating supply could evolve if it were to operate as a global settlement asset within the financial sector. In the post, @UnknownDLT stated that the likely XRP float available for global settlement would range from 15 billion to 30 billion tokens. This projection is based on the expectation that a significant portion of the overall supply could become locked within institutional structures. Related Reading: Dogecoin Descending Channel Shows Where It Is In This Cycle According to the XRP advocate, large amounts of the cryptocurrency could be held as institutional collateral, strategic reserves, and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). As a result, only a small portion of the total supply would remain actively available for transactions across payment networks. Within this framework, @UnknownDLT stated that the remaining XRP float would be used to facilitate real-time settlement across financial systems. These transactions would function within Real Time Gross Settlement (RTGS) style payment environments that process transfers instantly between institutions. Notably, RTGS systems are widely used in modern financial infrastructure for high-value payments between banks and clearing institutions. Another important element @UnknownDLT highlighted in his post is how price dynamics could be evaluated based on his proposed global settlement framework. He explained that the value required for XRP to operate at full settlement capacity should be determined by the available float rather than the total token supply. Following @UnknownDLT’s post, members of the crypto community on X responded with their own thoughts on the topic. One member noted that while circulating supply plays an important role in market dynamics, it does not fully determine XRP’s ultimate value. They noted that other factors, such as market demand, technological development, and practical application, also shape and drive the cryptocurrency’s price. XRP To Target Wall Street And DTCC Settlement In more recent posts, @UnknownDLT further discussed the potential expansion of XRP into traditional financial markets. He stated that XRP could be used for Wall Street settlement activity as early as 2026. Related Reading: Will XRP Reach $4 In 2026? Analyst Predicts How Far Price Can Go Additionally, the crypto pundit also referenced Ripple, the crypto payments company and its digital asset spot brokerage platform, Ripple Prime. According to @UnknownDLT, Ripple Prime could help accelerate the absorption of transaction volume generated by the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation (DTCC). Notably, the DTCC is known to process a large share of securities transactions within the United States financial system. Based on this, @UnknownDLT suggests that if XRP is used as institutional collateral, it could help handle transaction volumes associated with DTCC settlements, potentially creating upward pressure on its price. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP price started a recovery wave above $1.40 and $1.4050. The price is now consolidating and might aim for a fresh move above $1.420. XRP price started a recovery wave above the $1.40 zone. The price is now trading above $1.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $1.380 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $1.420. XRP Price Aims Steady Gains XRP price remained supported above $1.3680 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to climb above $1.3950 and $1.40 to enter a short-term positive zone. There was also a move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.4423 swing high to the $1.3668 low. Besides, there was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $1.380 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The bulls even pushed the price above $1.4050 but they struggled near $1.4140. The price is now trading above $1.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $1.4140 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.4423 swing high to the $1.3668 low. The first major resistance is near the $1.420 level. A close above $1.420 could send the price to $1.4295. The next hurdle sits at $1.4420. A clear move above the $1.4420 resistance might send the price toward the $1.4650 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.50 resistance. Another Drop? If XRP fails to clear the $1.420 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.3920 level and the same trend line. The next major support is near the $1.3840 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.3840 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.3680. The next major support sits near the $1.350 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.3120. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.3920 and $1.3840. Major Resistance Levels – $1.4200 and $1.4295.
Interest in XRP is once again gaining momentum after reports that global payments giant Mastercard is exploring collaboration opportunities with Ripple and its blockchain-based payment infrastructure. The development has drawn attention across the digital asset space, as partnerships between traditional financial institutions and blockchain firms continue to shape the evolution of cross-border payments. What The Collaboration Could Mean For The XRP Ecosystem An initiative from Mastercard is drawing significant attention to the role of blockchain technology in global payments, particularly to XRP. Crypto commentator Archie revealed on X that Mastercard has recently launched a Crypto Partner Program that brings together more than 85 companies from across the digital asset ecosystem. The partnership includes platforms such as Binance, PayPal, and blockchain firm Ripple to revolutionize the role of digital assets in global payments. Related Reading: Why XRP’s Infrastructure May Be Positioned For The Tokenisation Boom This powerhouse collaboration aims to connect blockchain-based technologies directly to Mastercard’s global payments infrastructure, spanning over 200 countries. Archie suggests that this type of initiative could support use cases such as seamless cross-border transfers, lightning-fast business-to-business payments, and more instant global payout systems. Within that framework, Ripple’s expertise in on-chain solutions payment infrastructure places it in a strategic position for XRP as the go-to asset for real-world utility. As traditional finance giants like Mastercard and Visa move to integrate crypto, XRP is primed for explosive growth. This isn’t hype, it’s adoption in action. Where XRP Could Fit In The Expanding Digital Payments Ecosystem The scale of stablecoin activity is becoming one of the most overlooked developments in the digital asset space. An analyst known as XFinanceBull has highlighted that in 2025 alone, stablecoins processed an estimated $33 trillion in transaction volume, reflecting real payment activity rather than projections. This growth has been rapid, with total transaction volume rising 72% year over year while global user adoption reportedly surged 146% across 106 countries. Related Reading: XRP Funding Rates And Spot Volume Tell An Interesting Story For Price Several regional dynamics are helping drive this expansion. In Nigeria, a remittance economy estimated at $59 billion is increasingly interacting with digital dollar alternatives. In Turkey, demand for dollar-denominated stability amid currency volatility has driven the adoption of stablecoins into everyday use. Meanwhile, institutional settlement initiatives in the United Arab Emirates are also contributing to the growing role of blockchain-based payment infrastructure. One of the fastest-growing segments is cross-border business-to-business payments, which expanded 733% to about $226 billion in transaction flows. According to XFinanceBull, this trend reveals a deeper shift in finance, and stablecoins are evolving beyond trading tools into a foundational layer for digital payments. Within this evolving landscape, Ripple’s stablecoin initiative, RLUSD, has positioned its ecosystem directly inside this expanding liquidity layer. As stablecoins move globally, the networks providing settlement infrastructure may become strategically important. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP is currently in a consolidation phase below $1.50 as the broader cryptocurrency market navigates uncertain momentum and limited liquidity. After experiencing significant volatility in recent months, price action has slowed. The asset is now moving sideways while traders monitor both macroeconomic conditions and underlying on-chain signals that could influence future market direction. Related Reading: The $2,050 Pivot: Ethereum Scarcity Index Turns Positive As Binance Supply Tightens While the spot price suggests relative stability in the short term, new blockchain data points to notable structural changes occurring beneath the surface. According to a recent report from a CryptoQuant analyst, XRP reserves on Binance have declined to their lowest level in roughly ten months. Potentially signaling tightening supply conditions on the exchange. Binance remains the largest cryptocurrency trading platform by volume. Making reserve data from the exchange an important indicator for assessing market liquidity and potential selling pressure. The analysis uses a metric that tracks the total value of XRP reserves held on Binance, expressed in billions of dollars. Because the indicator is denominated in USD, it reflects both the number of XRP tokens held on the platform and the asset’s prevailing market price. As a result, changes in reserves can provide insight into shifts in investor behavior. Particularly when coins are withdrawn from exchanges and moved into private wallets or long-term storage. XRP Exchange Reserves Fall to 10-Month Lows The CryptoQuant report highlights a significant decline in the amount of XRP held on Binance, pointing to a notable shift in exchange liquidity. According to the data, the total value of XRP reserves on the platform dropped to approximately $3.7 billion by March 10, marking the lowest level recorded since April 2025. The decline has accelerated in recent days. In a previous update, Binance reserves were estimated at around $3.9 billion. Indicating that the metric has continued trending downward over a short period. This steady reduction suggests that a portion of the XRP supply is gradually leaving the exchange. Historical comparisons provide additional context. Earlier in 2025, Binance reserves climbed above $10 billion during both January and July. Those periods were followed by sharp price corrections, with XRP eventually falling more than 60% and dropping below the $1.20 level. Analysts often monitor exchange reserve metrics because they help estimate how much supply is readily available for immediate trading or selling pressure. Rising reserves generally indicate that more coins are moving onto exchanges, potentially increasing sell-side liquidity. Conversely, declining reserves can suggest that investors are withdrawing assets from exchanges and transferring them to private wallets or long-term storage. A behavior sometimes associated with accumulation or reduced selling intent. Related Reading: XRP Withdrawal Surge Meets $1.4B ETF Inflows as Capital Returns to Select Altcoins XRP Trades Sideways After Prolonged Downtrend The chart shows XRP consolidating near the $1.38 level following a prolonged corrective phase that began in the second half of 2025. After reaching highs above the $3.00 region earlier in the cycle, the asset gradually entered a sustained downtrend characterized by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Technically, the broader trend remains bearish. XRP continues to trade below its key moving averages, including the short-term and medium-term trend indicators, which are both sloping downward. The longer-term moving average also sits significantly above the current price, highlighting the structural weakness that developed during the past several months. Related Reading: TRON Joins Agentic AI Foundation As AI Systems Move Toward Real-World Deployment One of the most notable events on the chart occurred in early February 2026, when XRP experienced a sharp sell-off that pushed the price briefly toward the $1.20 area. The move was accompanied by a spike in trading volume, suggesting a wave of liquidations or aggressive selling from market participants. Since that capitulation-like drop, price action has stabilized. XRP is now trading within a relatively narrow range between roughly $1.30 and $1.45, indicating that the market is attempting to establish a temporary equilibrium. From a technical perspective, the $1.30 region has become a key support level, while the $1.50 zone now acts as the first significant resistance barrier for any potential recovery. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
A lone green candle on XRP’s three-week chart is drawing attention from at least one analyst who believes it could be the start of something bigger than a routine bounce. Crypto analyst CW, posting on X, flagged a bullish candlestick formation on the XRP/USD 3W chart that he says signals the opening of a full-scale uptrend. One that, if his cycle analysis holds, with the setup pointing first to a retest of the all-time high zone and then, in an extreme scenario, to $21.5. New Uptrend Is Starting On The 3-Week Chart Technical analysis of XRP’s price action on the 3-week candlestick timeframe chart is revealing an interesting signal. The signal itself is straightforward: a green candlestick has been printed on XRP’s three-week chart at a time when the price is sitting just above $1.38. Related Reading: Analyst Maps Out XRP’s Exact Path For 2026, Here’s The Roadmap The analysis comes from crypto analyst CW, and according to this projection, this could be the first bullish wick that shows sellers are losing control on this higher timeframe. It is important to note that the rally hasn’t kicked off yet, and XRP is still looking to solidify a break above $1.4. Also, indicators are yet to print full-scale uptrend signals, but according to the analyst, these bullish reversal signals will appear soon. Those sub-indicators are visually consistent with a momentum oscillator cycling between oversold and overbought extremes shown in the chart below. They have printed blue dots at every significant XRP low since 2014, including the floors that preceded the 2017 and 2021 rallies. A new blue dot appears to be forming now. Multi-Phase Cycle That Sends XRP Price To $21.5 The chart attached to the analysis lays out two cycle structures divided into four separate phases. In the first cycle, Phase 1 was the initial markup, Phase 2 a massive correction, Phase 3 a prolonged descending consolidation inside a symmetrical triangle, and Phase 4 was a breakout. Related Reading: XRP Starts New Week With Bullish Confirmation, But This Level Is A Problem The technical analysis places the current cycle as tracing the same sequence almost precisely. Phase 2 printed as the post-2021 bear market decline, Phase 3 as the multi-year compression between 2022 and 2024, and the surge to $3.65 as the first part of Phase 4 in the new cycle. XRP is now, by this reading, still playing out Phase 4 into a move that overshoots everything that came before, despite being down by about 62% from its all-time high price. Interestingly, the chart also labels the first upside objective as a return to this all-time high. Therefore, before any talk of double-digit prices, XRP would first need to reclaim the zone around its prior record of $3.65. CW’s final projection is a cycle top at $21.5, which he ties to the Fibonacci 6.618 extension level. That level is marked as TP2 on the chart, with the all-time high zone serving as TP1. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
cHowever, a growing segment of analysts believes the more important outlook is based on the financial infrastructure of Ripple and XRP. The global financial system processes about quadrillions each year, a scale few investors truly grasp. Much of that flow moves through the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC), which still operates on settlement rails built decades ago. The need for improvement has led to interest in the architecture of Ripple’s ecosystem, and the math behind XRP’s price potential places it far above levels that most retail investors can think of. The $3.7 Quadrillion System Ripple Is Competing With The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) processes about $3.7 quadrillion in transactions each year across traditional settlement rails. These systems were designed decades ago for batch processing and delayed settlement. However, the world is now becoming increasingly focused on tokenized assets, cross-border liquidity, and continuous 24/7 markets, which is making the limitations of those legacy systems more visible. Related Reading: Dogecoin Descending Channel Shows Where It Is In This Cycle Tokenized real-world assets of equities, bonds, real estate, and commodities require infrastructure that can operate continuously and handle the compliance requirements that institutional counterparties demand. This is where Ripple and the XRP Ledger comes in. How XRP Will Reach $3,700 Ripple is becoming a notable player in the new path of global finance, and supporters are anticipating a steady rise in the price of XRP. Two notable figures have previously joined the company: Michael Bodson, the former CEO of DTCC, and Rosie Rios, the former US Treasurer. According to a crypto analyst that goes by the name X Finance Bull on the social media platform X, their involvement shows Ripple is positioning itself to participate in the future architecture of financial settlement. This, in turn, is expected to play into the price action of XRP, and this is where the conversation changes to price discovery and where the math becomes clear. Related Reading: Bitcoin S2F Model Says BTC Price Is Headed To $500,000, Here’s When If only 1% of the DTCC’s annual $3.7 quadrillion volume eventually flows through XRP as a liquidity bridge, that represents $37 trillion in network value demand. Assuming a circulating supply of 100 billion XRP, that single percentage point of capture implies an XRP price around $370. At 10% adoption, the total liquidity flowing through XRP would rise to around $370 trillion. Under the same assumptions, that level of network usage would correspond to a price of $3,700 per XRP. At 50%, the implied price is around $18,500 per XRP. Ripple’s stablecoin is also expected to play an important role in this growth. According to X Finance Bull, RLUSD will act as the digital cash leg, while XRP becomes the neutral liquidity bridge for global settlement and FX movement. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
The XRP funding rate has been on the decline after the price hit its 2025 peak above 2025, and this trend has continued into the new year. Between February and March 2026, the XRP funding rate spent most of the time in the negative, and this speaks to how investors are currently viewing the cryptocurrency. Analyst Cryptoinsightuk points this out in a recent X post, alluding to what this could mean for the digital asset going forward. XRP Funding Rate Hasn’t Been This Low Since 2022 Cryptoinsightuk’s post highlights the interesting XRP trend, showing that in the last 39 days, 31 of those days have been spent with negative funding rates. This means that only a few days out of the month of February saw a funding rate in the positive. And now, the month of March seems to be following the same trend. Related Reading: Bitcoin Is Repeating 2022 Playbook That Triggered Crash To $17,500 The post also includes the other times that the altcoin has seen a trend like this and what eventually happened. The most recent of these was back in 2025, when the funding rate spent the better part of the months of March and April in the negative. However, what followed was a massive XRP price rally, eventually leading to levels not seen since 2018. While this did not lead the XRP price to new all-time highs, it pushed it to new yearly peaks, a rally that took investors by surprise. Moving further back, the crypto analyst points out that another period when a similar trend had been seen was back in 2022. This came with the crash of the FTX crypto exchange as the market buckled under negative news. Eventually, though, this trend would mark the bottom for XRP, and the price began to rise in the following year. Related Reading: Dogecoin Remains Inside Falling Channel, Bulls Target Surge Above $0.1 Going by the previous performances, it is possible that the same trend could mark a bottom here once again. If this happens, then it will not be long until the XRP price begins to rise again. Additionally, such low funding rates suggest that more traders are short, making it a good time for a bounce. According to data from Coinglass, the funding rate is not the only metric that has suffered. The XRP open interest has also taken a nosedive since 2025, showing that traders are not participating in the market as much as they used to. Daily trading volume has also suffered, dropping from a peak of $78.85 billion at the tail end of 2024 to below $4 billion at the time of this report. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
A cryptocurrency analyst has highlighted how the Bollinger Bands are squeezing on the daily XRP price, a potential sign that volatility could be coming. XRP Bollinger Bands Have Tightened Recently In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about the latest trend in the Bollinger Bands for XRP. The “Bollinger Bands” refer to a tool from technical analysis (TA) that help provide a gauge for an asset’s volatility. The indicator involves three bands: a 20-day moving average (MA) middle line and two standard deviations above and below this level. Whenever the bands show a wide gap, it means the price is behaving in a volatile manner. Similarly, them contracting to a narrow width suggests stability in the market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short Bets Surge—Will Bears Get Squeezed? Now, here is the chart shared by Martinez that shows the trend in the XRP Bollinger Bands on the daily timeframe over the last few weeks: As displayed in the above graph, the XRP Bollinger Bands were arranged at a notable gap from each other during the first half of February, but since then, they have shown contraction. This trend has developed as the asset’s price has taken to consolidation. Today, the band are relatively tight around the cryptocurrency’s value, implying that volatility has dropped. The analyst has noted that this suggests the coin could see a volatile spike soon. Historically, digital assets have often tended to follow up periods of stale price action with chaotic movement, so XRP observing volatility from here wouldn’t be unprecedented. Besides being a measure of volatility, the Bollinger Bands are also sometimes used for judging whether an asset is overbought or underbought. The price rising to the upper band may be considered as a sign that it’s becoming overpriced, while it going down to the lower band can lead into a bottom. Related Reading: Bitcoin SOPR Ratio Shows Early Capitulation—But Not Full Bottom Yet From the chart, it’s visible that XRP found its low in February after breaching under the lower level. Currently, the coin is trading right around the middle band, so from the perspective of the indicator, it’s in a neutral spot. As such, if a volatile move emerges from here due to the contraction of the bands, it could be equally probable to take place in either direction, at least in theory. It now remains to be seen whether the current low volatility phase will be followed by sharp price action or if the market will continue to be stale for a while. XRP Price At the time of writing, XRP is floating around $1.39, down 0.3% in the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP price failed to stay above $1.3950 and started a downside correction. The price is now holding the $1.3680 support but is at risk of more losses. XRP price started a downside correction and declined below $1.4050. The price is now trading near $1.3720 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a new bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.3910 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it stays above $1.3680. XRP Price Corrects Gains XRP price failed to stay above $1.4120 and started a downside correction, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $1.4050 and $1.4020 levels to enter a negative zone. The price even dipped below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.3217 swing low to the $1.4430 high. Besides, there is a new bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.3910 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The price is now trading near $1.3720 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $1.3840 level. The first major resistance is near the $1.3920 level, above which the price could rise and test $1.40. A clear move above the $1.40 resistance might send the price toward the $1.4140 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.4250 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.450. More Downside? If XRP fails to clear the $1.40 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.370 level. The next major support is near the $1.3680 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.3217 swing low to the $1.4430 high. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.3680 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.340. The next major support sits near the $1.3250 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.3120. Any more losses might call for a test of $1.3050. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.3680 and $1.3250. Major Resistance Levels – $1.3910 and $1.4000.
XRP is currently consolidating after several volatile trading sessions triggered by geopolitical tensions surrounding the Iran conflict, which briefly shook risk markets and pushed cryptocurrencies into sharp intraday swings. While price action across the crypto sector remains sensitive to macro developments, recent data suggests that parts of the altcoin market may be beginning to stabilize. Related Reading: TRON Joins Agentic AI Foundation As AI Systems Move Toward Real-World Deployment A report from CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost indicates that, despite the uncertainty that has weighed on digital assets in recent weeks, altcoins are starting to display early signals of resilience. One of the key indicators supporting this view is the performance of Total3, a metric that tracks the combined market capitalization of altcoins excluding Ethereum. According to the data, Total3 is currently consolidating within a range between $640 billion and $740 billion. Since the beginning of February, the index has posted a gain of roughly 11%, suggesting that a portion of capital remains allocated to altcoins even in a fragile liquidity environment. However, the broader market structure remains selective. Liquidity across the crypto sector is still relatively constrained, while the number of competing altcoin projects continues to grow. In this environment, capital tends to concentrate in a limited number of assets, making careful asset selection increasingly important for investors navigating the current market cycle. Rising Withdrawals and ETF Demand Signal Selective Interest Darkfost also points to several signals suggesting that XRP is attracting renewed attention despite the broader market uncertainty. One of the most notable developments is the recent spike in withdrawal transactions on Binance. According to the data, the number of XRP withdrawals has increased sharply on several occasions in recent days, including a surge of more than 14,000 transactions recorded on March 6. This type of activity often indicates that some investors are moving assets away from exchanges and into private wallets. In market terms, such behavior can signal accumulation, as participants withdraw tokens they intend to hold rather than keep available for immediate trading. The trend is unfolding alongside growing institutional interest in XRP-related investment products. XRP exchange-traded funds have reportedly accumulated more than $1.4 billion in total inflows, highlighting sustained demand despite the challenging macroeconomic environment affecting digital assets. Institutional exposure also appears to be gradually increasing. Reports suggest that Goldman Sachs currently holds more than 83 million XRP, illustrating how certain large financial players are beginning to monitor or gain exposure to the asset. If these dynamics persist, XRP could continue attracting a share of the limited liquidity circulating within the altcoin market, where capital increasingly concentrates in a small group of assets. Related Reading: XRP Trading Interest Fades: Exchange Transactions Fall To Historic Lows XRP Consolidates Near Key Support After Prolonged Downtrend XRP continues to trade near the $1.35–$1.40 region following an extended corrective phase that has defined its market structure since late 2025. The 3-day chart shows the asset stabilizing after a sharp decline earlier this year that pushed price from above $2.20 down toward the $1.10–$1.20 range, where buyers briefly stepped in to absorb selling pressure. Despite the recent stabilization, the broader trend remains bearish. XRP trades below its major moving averages, including the 50-period and 100-period trends, which now slope downward and act as dynamic resistance zones. The long-term 200-period moving average near the $1.90 region represents a more significant structural barrier that the market would need to reclaim to shift the broader trend. Related Reading: Bitcoin Exchange Reserves Fall To 2019 Levels As ETFs And Corporate Treasuries Accumulate Price action over the past several weeks suggests a consolidation phase forming between roughly $1.25 and $1.45. This range has emerged after the February capitulation wick that briefly drove XRP to its cycle low. Since then, volatility has compressed as buyers and sellers search for equilibrium. For the market structure to improve, XRP would likely need to reclaim the $1.60–$1.70 resistance zone, where previous breakdowns accelerated the decline. Until that occurs, the chart indicates a period of sideways consolidation within a broader corrective trend. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
XRP may be approaching a critical turning point as technical indicators begin to signal the early stages of a potential bottoming phase. After an extended pullback and cooling momentum, analysts are pointing to growing price compression and historically oversold conditions that could precede a major move. If market structure holds and demand gradually returns, the developing slingshot setup could position XRP for a strong recovery in the coming months. Monthly Chart Signals High-Timeframe Reset, Not Collapse XRP is currently trading near the $1.35 level, a price zone that many market participants interpret as a sign of weakness. However, crypto analyst Diana suggests the situation may not be as bearish as it appears. According to her, the monthly chart shows what looks more like a high-timeframe reset following a major rally rather than a market collapse. Related Reading: XRP Price Sets Stage for Comeback — Recovery Wave Incoming? From a broader perspective, the overall trend structure still appears constructive. The $1.30–$1.35 region is acting as a key support zone where price has begun to stabilize. Although momentum has cooled, selling pressure appears to be gradually losing strength, and the current compression phase could eventually lead to a decisive breakout or breakdown. Diana also pointed out that many traders focus heavily on XRP’s large total supply and assume it cannot move significantly. However, the amount of XRP actively available for trading may be far tighter than widely believed. A considerable portion of the supply remains locked, stored off exchanges, or held by long-term investors who are not eager to sell, meaning that a surge in demand could push prices higher quickly. If XRP holds this support zone and reclaim higher resistance levels, the market could begin targeting a move back toward $3, with a stronger cycle extension potentially opening the door to the $5–$8.50 range. On the other hand, a decisive breakdown below this support area could signal the need for a deeper reset before any larger bullish continuation develops. XRP Weekly RSI Enters Historic Oversold Territory Crypto analyst EGRAG CRYPTO recently highlighted that XRP’s weekly RSI is now entering what could be the most oversold region in the asset’s history. According to the analyst, this zone has historically appeared near major turning points, making it an area that many traders and long-term investors are watching closely. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts 1,500% XRP Price Increase To $15 If This Is A Wave 2 These instances occurred in 2014, 2015, 2018, 2020, and 2022. Each time the indicator reached these extreme levels, the market was approaching a major macro low before eventually shifting direction. The analyst noted that entering this oversold zone does not necessarily mean the exact bottom will form immediately. Instead, it often signals that the market is moving into the bottoming phase, which resembles a final liquidity sweep, sideways accumulation before a gradual recovery begins. Thus, EGRAG explained that many experienced investors prefer accumulating during such conditions rather than perfectly timing the absolute bottom. With XRP’s weekly RSI now approaching this historically significant level once again, the key question is whether the current moment represents a risky entry point or a potential long-term accumulation opportunity. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP has had a rough start to 2026, with the first two months of the year closing in the red. Right now, XRP enthusiasts are hungry for a bullish direction. Interestingly, one analyst thinks he has the full picture. Not just a target, but a turn-by-turn roadmap of exactly how the next months will play out for XRP. CryptoBull, a closely followed crypto analyst on X, has laid out a detailed five-wave projection for XRP that begins right where the market currently stands, and the destination is unlike anything most traders are prepared for. XRP’s 2026 Broadening Pattern Roadmap The basis of CryptoBull’s roadmap is a five-wave broadening pattern drawn on XRP’s weekly chart. The structure on the chart is labeled from A to E and is sitting inside two diverging trendlines, forming a wide megaphone-like setup that widens as the pattern develops. Related Reading: XRP Price Could Stage 1,500% Rally To $20 If It Mirrors This 2017 Move Price action on that roadmap indicates that XRP has already completed Waves A and B and is now wrapping up Wave C around the lower boundary of the formation. The chart shows this decline unfolding from the July 2025 $3.65 high marked as Wave B, followed by a long slide into early 2026. That lower trendline is now the most important support in the entire setup because it is the area where the next major pivot is expected to happen. XRP is close to ending Wave C and preparing to reverse into Wave D, which is not going to be just a small relief bounce. It is a strong advance to the upper boundary of the broadening pattern, with the Wave D target placed around $5. $5, Then A Gut-Punch, Then $27 According to CryptoBull, Wave C could still dip to around $1.10 to form a double bottom before XRP turns higher to Wave D. Wave D in this framework targets $5, which would see XRP trading in new price territories. However, here is where the pattern gets ruthless. Related Reading: Analysts Predict Conservative XRP Price If It Follows 2017 Run Based on the projection, Wave E follows the D wave, dragging the price back down to $0.78 before the final thrust begins. That final breakout is where the most ambitious part of the prediction comes in. Once Waves A through E are complete, the analyst projected that the XRP price would surge to $27 in the move that follows. Notably, this analysis is based on a purely technical standpoint, not looking at XRP fundamentals or examining its related growth in traditional finance. The chart is plotted on a weekly timeframe on Bitstamp, which means each candle represents one week of price action, and the projected path stretches well into late 2026 and the coming years. Therefore, this is not a trade for the impatient. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $1.37, down by 1.9% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Pxfuel, chart from Tradingview.com
Institutional investors are beginning to pull capital out of XRP after a month of steady inflows, raising new questions about whether confidence in the digital asset is weakening. Lately, XRP has experienced significant volatility, sending its price crashing below $1.4. If this downtrend continues alongside capital outflows, it would not be surprising if market participants begin to wonder whether now may be the right time to sell their bags to avoid deeper losses. XRP Records Outflows As Other Digital Assets Attract Capital XRP currently stands apart from the rest of the crypto market, and not in a good way. According to a CoinShares digital asset fund flows weekly report, XRP recorded substantial outflows of $30.3 million last week. The decline stands in contrast to the broader digital asset investment market, which continued to attract new money during the same period. Related Reading: Buying XRP At These Prices Is Like Buying Bitcoin At $200 Across all digital asset investment products, CoinShares reports that total inflows had jumped to $619 million. Early in the week, the market also showed strong demand, with $1.44 billion flowing into crypto funds during the first three days. However, the trend reversed toward the end of the week, with investors withdrawing $829 million on Thursday and Friday. According to CoinShares analysts, the negative shift in sentiment came as oil prices rose, complicating inflation expectations. This occurred even though US payroll data came in weaker than expected, a development that would normally support risk assets like cryptocurrencies, but failed to do so. Investors Become More Selective About Crypto Despite the late-week reversal, the total inflows show that institutional interest in digital assets has remained relatively strong, especially amid ongoing geopolitical tensions involving the US, Israel, and Iran. Still, the distribution of those flows shows that investors are becoming more selective about capital allocation, with XRP notably absent from the list of assets attracting new institutional money. Related Reading: XRP Starts New Week With Bullish Confirmation, But This Level Is A Problem Instead, funds are concentrated on larger assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana, leaving XRP outside the current focus of institutional demand. CoinShares reports that Bitcoin attracted the vast majority of new capital, with $521 million flowing into related investment products. At the same time, $11.4 million moved into short Bitcoin products, reflecting a divided outlook among investors. Notably, Ethereum recorded $88.5 million in inflows, while Solana brought in $14.6 million. Smaller allocations were also directed toward Uniswap and Chainlink. Against this backdrop, XRP was the only major digital asset to experience significant outflows. The recent withdrawals could signal that institutions are rotating capital from XRP into assets with stronger narratives or higher expected returns. For investors, this shift could raise questions about whether it is time to sell. Although institutional outflows do not automatically signal a price decline, they can indicate weakening confidence among large investors. If these outflows continue in the coming weeks, it could be a sign of caution ahead. Featured image from Pxfuel, chart from Tradingview.com
Blockchain payments giant Ripple has initiated a share buyback program that positions the company at a substantial valuation of $50 billion. Ripple Revives Share Buyback Effort According to a Wednesday report from Bloomberg, Ripple plans to repurchase up to $750 million in shares from both investors and employees. The plan is set to run through April, as disclosed by sources familiar with the situation. This new buyback effort follows a previous attempt in September, when Ripple aimed to buy back $1 billion worth of shares. However, that initiative fell short, as the company’s participation rate was notably low compared to earlier rounds of tender offers. Related Reading: XRP Price Outlook: Analyst Foresees New All-Time Highs Above $40 In 2026 During that attempt, Ripple had valued the company at $40 billion but struggled to attract interest from current shareholders, suggesting that many were reluctant to part with their stakes in what they believed to be a promising venture. Despite the recent buyback news, the blockchain payment company has consistently maintained that it has no plans to take Ripple public in the United States. Meanwhile, a growing number of crypto firms, including giants such as Circle (CRCL) and Gemini (GME), have launched their own initial public offerings (IPOs) in the US over the past year, amid a notable shift toward a pro-crypto environment among regulators. XRP Price Sees Minor Recovery In connection with the buyback announcement, XRP, Ripple’s associated digital asset, experienced a slight rebound, reaching approximately $1.39 at the time of writing. Related Reading: Top Analyst Suggests Solana May Surpass XRP In Market Value: Here’s Why And When However, the fifth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization continues to face challenges in all time frames, recording losses between 4% and 5% over the past seven to fourteen-day period, respectively. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
XRP’s prolonged decline has seen its price down more than 60% from its 2025 peak, placing it inside what can be viewed as an extended corrective phase. As expected, this has led to questions among crypto investors as to whether XRP can still go on a rally this year that would see it push to new all-time highs and possibly above $4. One analyst has now laid out a scenario suggesting XRP could soon complete its correction and begin another upward wave that may eventually push the price to new highs. XRP May Be Nearing The End Of A Long Corrective Phase The prevailing discussion around XRP’s decline in the past few months has largely centered on the cryptocurrency topping out at its summer 2025 all-time high of $3.65. According to one analyst posting on X, that reading may be fundamentally incorrect. Related Reading: Expert Trader Shows ‘Simple Math’ To Calculate The Bitcoin Price Bottom Based on this analysis, the impulsive wave for XRP completed as far back as January 2025, when XRP reached a peak above $3.30. This was several months before the all-time high was printed. The subwaves originating from July 2024 fit best as an impulsive structure that concluded in January 2025, with the price action that followed, including the ATH, forming a corrective pattern. The last major corrective stretch on the weekly chart lasted 61 weeks from top to bottom and erased about 85% of XRP’s value before the next meaningful recovery began. Applying that same time window to the January 2025 high would place the current correction close to completion around mid-March 2026. XRP Price Chart. Source: @protechtor On X As shown in the chart above, XRP’s earlier correction after 2021 unfolded inside a descending channel and lasted 61 bars, or 427 days, before finding a low. The price decline during that phase reached about 85.34%. The current structure on the right side of the chart is looking like that earlier breakdown in both shape and duration. This time, the decline has so far reached about 71.52%, with the same 61-week duration highlighted as a key timing marker. A descending trendline cuts through the current price structure and converges at $1.05. According to the analyst, that level could serve as the final downside target if XRP has not already bottomed. Can XRP Still Reach $4 In 2026? A move to $4 in 2026 would require XRP to do far more than just bounce from support, but the scenario is not unrealistic if the current correction is approaching its end. A rally from the analyst’s suggested downside at $1.05 to $4 would represent a gain of about 281%. Even from the price zone shown on the chart, around $1.38, XRP would still need to climb 200% to reclaim and break beyond the upper boundary of the current corrective structure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Liquidation Map Predicts The Next Targets To Watch Out For A confirmed monthly bottom followed by a strong push above the horizontal resistance area at $1.80 would likely be the first signal. From there, the upper trendline of the current structure and the prior highs around the $3.4 to $3.6 range would become the next price targets. This is where the $4 discussion will become more realistic. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
The XRP price has experienced a modest 5% recovery in the last 24 hours, managing to reclaim the crucial support level at $1.40. However, it remains substantially below its all-time highs reached in 2025. Despite this, technical analyst Egrag Crypto believes that this year could see the XRP price soaring to a price point as high as $42, meaning a potential gain of up to 2,900% from its current levels. XRP Price Cycles Egrag delineates his forecast by identifying four macro formations on the cryptocurrency’s monthly chart, each of which follows a similar cyclical pattern over the past decade. These cycles demonstrate that the XRP price tends to undergo a period of compression into a tight range before breaking out and embarking on a significant rally, ultimately resetting before the next structure emerges. Related Reading: What’s Fueling Hyperliquid’s Surge? HYPE Outperforms Top 100 Cryptos In Latest Rally The first formation occurred in October 2014, when XRP rose from $0.0046 to $0.028 by December. Following this initial surge, the price consolidated within the range of $0.006 to $0.009 for nearly three years until early 2017. The second formation initiated in March 2017, leading to a breakout that pushed the XRP price from under $0.01 to $0.40 by May of the same year, resulting in over 4,000% gains. After another consolidation period through November 2017, XRP reached a peak of $3.31 in January 2018 before experiencing a prolonged decline that ultimately brought it down to around $0.17 by June 2020. The fourth formation began from the $0.17 low in June 2020, where XRP rallied to $1.96 by April 2021. After another extended period of consolidation around the $0.50 mark, XRP broke through a significant descending trendline in November 2024, which had been constraining its price since 2018. This breakout propelled the XRP price to $3.65 by July 2025. The current price pullback to the $1.30–$1.40 range is effectively retesting that breakout level. If XRP continues along the same proportional trajectory as previous cycles, Egrag’s target of $42 could be within reach. Two Scenarios To Keep An Eye On It’s important to note that Egrag does not position $42 as the immediate target. Instead, he has laid out intermediate goals that are much lower—such as $4.50 if a breakout occurs, and potentially $10–$13 if the rally expands further. But when averaging across all four macro scenarios, Egrag estimates that an XRP price around $11 would be plausible, suggesting a market cap of about $670 billion for the altcoin. Related Reading: BitMine Acquires 60,000 ETH; Chair Discusses Outlook For Ethereum And Crypto Prices Lastly, Egrag presents a cautious perspective regarding the $42 target, outlining two potential scenarios moving forward. One possibility is that the bullish structure may fail, leading the XRP price into a deeper bear market. Alternatively, Egrag leans toward the thought that the current drawdown is merely a retest within a new growth cycle. He emphasizes that this structural framework must remain intact for his projections to hold. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
Solana (SOL), currently the seventh-largest cryptocurrency by market cap—trailing behind Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), USDT, Binance Coin (BNB), XRP, and USDC—may be on the path of surpassing its closest competitor, XRP. This potential shift is largely attributable to the intensifying infrastructure race between the two projects, as highlighted by market analyst Alex Carchidi from The Motley Fool in a Tuesday report. The Race For Tokenization Capital While XRP holds a larger market cap of approximately $87 billion compared to Solana’s $50 billion at the time of writing, both assets are vying to become the backbone for the tokenization of real-world assets (RWAs), such as stocks and commodities converted for trading on blockchains. Carchidi notes that Solana’s strengths lie in its speed and cost-effectiveness, making it particularly suited for managing tokenized assets that require rapid movement at scale—like stocks, bonds, and commodity contracts. The Solana platform currently has around $272 million in tokenized stocks circulating within its ecosystem, marking a 14% increase over the 30-day period that ended on March 5. Related Reading: What’s Fueling Hyperliquid’s Surge? HYPE Outperforms Top 100 Cryptos In Latest Rally Predictions suggest the total market value of tokenized stocks could climb to over $38 billion by 2035, up from about $1 billion today, indicating a substantial growth area ripe for competition. The argument for Solana’s potential to overtake XRP hinges on its aspiration to become the central hub for trading equities, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and institutional funds around the clock—all at minimal costs. Carchidi asserts that Solana doesn’t necessarily need to capture 100% of the tokenized assets market to see significant price appreciation. Its current market cap is already so close to that of XRP’s that even a modest gain at XRP’s expense could tip the scales in Solana’s favor. Carchidi acknowledges that Solana may indeed flip XRP. However, the path for SOL to surpass XRP is not without challenges. XRP’s Edge Against Solana At present, the XRP Ledger (XRPL) holds approximately $453 million in tokenized assets specifically available for trading, rather than just for record keeping. The stablecoin base on XRPL is currently around $432 million. A substantial portion of XRP’s tradeable tokenized assets comprises US Treasury bills and government bonds valued at about $294 million. On the surface, this setup may not seem to threaten Solana’s growth trajectory. Yet, the analyst contends that XRP has its own advantages. Known for its speed and low transaction costs, XRP also benefits from a robust compliance infrastructure that is integrated into its blockchain. Related Reading: BitMine Acquires 60,000 ETH; Chair Discusses Outlook For Ethereum And Crypto Prices This allows financial institutions looking to tokenize assets—such as bonds, stocks, or securities—to avoid the time-consuming process of developing a compliance framework from scratch. As a result, XRP may attract more capital inflows related to tokenization over the next few years. Despite these challenges, the analyst believes that Solana would eventually outperform XRP in terms of valuation, possibly in 2030 and beyond, owing to its plans for a larger ecosystem. At the time of writing, Solana was trading at roughly $88.48, up 2.7% in the previous 24 hours. XRP, on the other hand, has surpassed SOL’s growth over the same period, with gains approaching 5% and the token trading at $1.43. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
XRP price failed to stay above $1.40 and started a downside correction. The price is now holding the $1.3680 support and might aim for another increase. XRP price started a downside correction and declined below $1.4250. The price is now trading above $1.3680 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $1.3890 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it stays above $1.3680. XRP Price Dips Again XRP price failed to stay above $1.4350 and started a downside correction, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $1.4250 and $1.4120 levels to enter a negative zone. The price even dipped below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.3217 swing low to the $1.4432 high. Besides, there was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $1.3890 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The price is now trading above $1.3680 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $1.3980 level. The first major resistance is near the $1.40 level, above which the price could rise and test $1.4250. A clear move above the $1.4250 resistance might send the price toward the $1.450 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.50 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.5250. More Losses? If XRP fails to clear the $1.4250 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.3720 level. The next major support is near the $1.3680 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.3217 swing low to the $1.4432 high. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.3680 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.350. The next major support sits near the $1.3420 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.3320. Any more losses might call for a test of $1.320. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.3720 and $1.3680. Major Resistance Levels – $1.4250 and $1.4500.
XRP is trading around $1.40 after the market recorded modest upside following a volatile week that saw sharp intraday swings across several major cryptocurrencies. While price action has stabilized in the short term, on-chain data suggests that underlying market participation may be entering a quieter phase. Related Reading: Bitcoin Exchange Reserves Fall To 2019 Levels As ETFs And Corporate Treasuries Accumulate According to a CryptoQuant analyst, activity across centralized exchanges has dropped significantly in recent weeks. Data tracking XRP deposits and withdrawals across major trading platforms shows that transaction counts have fallen to the lowest levels recorded since the metric began tracking exchange behavior. The indicator, known as the Multi Exchanges Daily Depositing and Withdrawing Transactions Delta, monitors the net number of XRP transfer transactions across 15 major cryptocurrency exchanges. Unlike traditional flow metrics that measure the volume of coins moving on and off exchanges, this dataset focuses on the number of transactions themselves. This distinction provides insight into user behavior rather than capital size. In practical terms, the metric reveals how many participants actively interact with exchanges by sending or withdrawing XRP. The recent decline, therefore, suggests a slowdown in user-driven exchange activity. Such periods often emerge when markets transition between phases, as traders step back from short-term speculation while waiting for clearer price direction. XRP Exchange Activity Signals Market Cooling Phase The report also explains how the deposit and withdrawal transaction metrics should be interpreted within a broader market context. Unlike volume-based indicators, this dataset focuses on the number of transactions occurring across exchanges, which helps reveal shifts in investor behavior rather than simply measuring capital flows. When the metric rises sharply, it typically indicates that more users are sending XRP to exchanges than withdrawing it. In market terms, that behavior often precedes increased selling pressure, as traders move coins to trading platforms in preparation for potential liquidation. The opposite dynamic emerges when the metric declines. Lower readings generally suggest that investors withdraw XRP from exchanges into private wallets. This behavior often aligns with accumulation phases, when participants move assets off trading platforms and reduce their intention to sell in the short term. Related Reading: Altcoins Approach Historic Stress Levels as 38% of Tokens Near All-Time Lows Recent data shows a pronounced decline in the number of XRP deposit and withdrawal transactions. In practical terms, fewer investors currently interact with exchanges using XRP, creating an unusually quiet market environment. The broader context also matters. XRP has fallen more than 60% from its previous highs, a move that appears to have significantly reduced retail participation. The last major spike in exchange deposits occurred in January 2025 when XRP approached the $3 level. Binance remains the primary exchange driving transaction activity. XRP Struggles to Reclaim Key Resistance as Downtrend Persists XRP continues to trade near the $1.40 level after a prolonged correction that has defined its price structure since late 2025. The daily chart shows the asset attempting to stabilize following a sharp sell-off that pushed prices from above $2.30 down toward the $1.20–$1.30 range earlier this year. The broader technical structure remains bearish. XRP has consistently traded below its major moving averages, including the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day trends, all of which now slope downward. This alignment typically reflects sustained selling pressure and a lack of strong bullish momentum. Related Reading: Post-Crash Purge: XRP’s 60% Valuation Reset Meets a Record Low in Exchange Liquidity Recent price action suggests that the $1.30–$1.35 zone is currently acting as short-term support. Buyers stepped in after the February capitulation wick that briefly pushed XRP near the $1.20 area, triggering a rebound that brought the asset back toward the $1.40 region. However, upside attempts remain limited. The declining 50-day moving average near $1.60 now represents the first meaningful resistance level. A recovery above that zone would signal improving momentum and could allow XRP to test the $1.80–$2.00 range. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is in a spot that could decide whether the cryptocurrency’s larger cycle still has room to run. Although the price action is perambulating around $1.40, one new technical outlook contends that the current weakness may not be the start of a deeper collapse. Instead, it may be a familiar pause inside a structure that looks very similar to the one XRP formed before its 2017 rally. If this holds, then XRP might be well on track to hitting a 1,500% rally to $20. A Familiar Breakout Structure For XRP According to technical analysis posted on the social media platform X by crypto analyst Javon Marks, XRP’s current pattern setup and breakout process are extremely similar to the move that preceded its major 2017 rally. Related Reading: XRP Starts New Week With Bullish Confirmation, But This Level Is A Problem Interestingly, the analyst’s view is based on a side-by-side comparison of two large market structures on the long-term chart, both of which appear to form symmetrical triangle-like consolidations that ended with a breakout attempt, a brief fakeout beneath support, and then an upside expansion. To understand why Marks is making this call, you have to go back to 2014. XRP spent nearly three years carving out a descending triangle that was defined by a series of lower highs pressing against a flat or declining support base. The chart shows multiple rejected peaks between 2014 and 2016, with each bounce leading to lower highs. Most traders watching at the time would have seen a broken asset grinding lower. The twist came in late 2016, when the price briefly fell below the triangle’s lower boundary to create a false breakdown. From there, XRP snapped back violently, broke out of the entire structure, and launched a 2,029.78% rally that pushed to new all-time highs. The current chart structure appears to follow the same sequence. XRP spent multiple years coiling between descending resistance and rising support between 2018 and 2024, printed another false breakdown near the end of the formation, and then broke upward in 2025. That move already produced a powerful surge to a new price high of $3.65, but the overall breakout process may not be finished yet. XRP To Rally Above $20 The important part of the analysis is that XRP may now be in the same stage where it briefly cooled off before the next leg of the 2017 move. According to Marks, this current retreat, back to the $1.30s and $1.40, is structurally identical to the brief consolidation that followed XRP’s 2017 breakout before the parabolic leg higher truly kicked off. In his words, “Right now is only a temporary pullback before a move well above the $20 mark.” Related Reading: Analysts Predict Conservative XRP Price If It Follows 2017 Run However, the $20 target is not the last stop. Based on a purely technical outlook, the chart also shows a much larger measured move, with a peak projection just above $90 based on how the 2017 rally finally peaked. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
As the financial industry accelerates its push toward tokenising real-world assets, attention is increasingly turning to the infrastructure that could support this transformation. Advocates argue that XRP and the XRP Ledger may already have the tools that are needed for this shift and have supported asset issuance and tokenized value transfers long before the concept became a mainstream focus in global finance. How The XRP Ledger Handles Asset Issuance At Scale The current developments around XRP are becoming increasingly difficult to ignore as the broader financial world begins focusing on tokenisation. According to a post on X by crypto analyst XFinanceBull, the former Ripple executive Ashish Birla has recently highlighted a crucial detail that many investors may overlook: the XRP Ledger was already capable of tokenizing assets such as gold more than a decade ago. Related Reading: Ripple Exec Clears The Air On Blocked XRP Transactions – When Does It Happen? Meanwhile, the infrastructure was built long before the current wave of institutional interest in tokenised finance. Currently, major financial firms such as BlackRock and Franklin Templeton are actively entering the tokenisation race. As regulatory clarity gradually evolves, institutional capital is flowing into the digital asset infrastructure, and the market is finally focusing on the same challenge the XRP Ledger was designed to address. If tokenised real-world assets moving on-chain eventually reach trillions of dollars in scale, the network that provides the rails that settle value could become extremely important. Xfinancebull argues that the technology cycles tend to follow a predictable path, in which infrastructure is built first, and then price follows adoption. The Math Behind XRP Ledger’s Massive Throughput Potential The question of whether the XRP Ledger can handle real global-scale transaction volume is best answered with simple math. Crypto investor Grape explained that the network closes roughly every 3 to 5 seconds and can sustain about 1,500 transactions per second under normal conditions, which translates to roughly 129 million transactions per day without reaching its limits. Related Reading: XRP’s Real Value Will Arrive When Infrastructure Is Ready — Here’s Why Grape pointed out a major stress test conducted in 2021 involving Ripple and Pyypl pushing the public XRPL beyond 50,000 transactions per second while still maintaining a settlement time of 3 to 4 seconds, which amounts to approximately 4.3 billion per day. When compared to other payment and blockchain systems, the numbers are notable. Visa averages around 1,700 transactions per second, with a peak capacity of 65,000, while Ethereum processes roughly 15 to 30 transactions per second, and Bitcoin averages 7 transactions per second. Ripple CTO David Schwartz noted that the upper limits of the network are still unknown. Despite that capacity, the XRPL network is currently processing only about 1 million transactions per day, which represents less than 1% of its tested capacity. In this view, the limiting factor for XRPL is not infrastructure, but the level of real-world adoption. Featured image from Peakpx, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP price started a recovery wave above $1.350 but failed near $1.390. The price is now consolidating and might aim for a fresh move above $1.40. XRP price started a recovery wave above the $1.3750 zone. The price is now trading above $1.3720 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $1.3705 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $1.40. XRP Price Faces Resistance XRP price remained supported above $1.3220 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to climb above $1.3350 and $1.350 to enter a short-term positive zone. There was also a move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.4739 swing high to the $1.3217 low. Besides, there is a bullish trend line forming with support at $1.3705 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The bulls even pushed the price above $1.3850 but they struggled to keep the price above $1.3800. The price is now trading above $1.370 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $1.3880 level. The first major resistance is near the $1.3980 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.4739 swing high to the $1.3217 low. A close above $1.3980 could send the price to $1.4120. The next hurdle sits at $1.420. A clear move above the $1.420 resistance might send the price toward the $1.450 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.4650 resistance. Another Drop? If XRP fails to clear the $1.3980 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.370 level and the trend line. The next major support is near the $1.350 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.350 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.3360. The next major support sits near the $1.3220 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.3050. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.3700 and $1.3500. Major Resistance Levels – $1.3980 and $1.4120.
On-chain data shows the amount of XRP supply sitting underwater has shot up to historically high levels following the recent market downturn. 36.8 Billion Tokens Of The Asset Are Currently Being Held At A Loss In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has shared an update on the latest trend in the XRP Total Supply in Loss. This metric measures, as its name suggests, the total amount of the cryptocurrency’s supply that’s currently in a state of net unrealized loss. The indicator works by checking the on-chain history of each coin in circulation to find what price it was last moved at. If the last transaction price was more than the current spot price for any token, then that particular coin is in a state of loss. The Total Supply in Loss adds up all tokens satisfying this condition. Related Reading: Bitcoin Big-Money On The Move: Exchange Whale Ratio Spikes To 0.6 A counterpart indicator called the Total Supply in Profit takes care of the supply of the opposite type (that is, the coins with a cost basis lower than the latest spot price). Now, here is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows the trend in the 7-day exponential moving average (EMA) of the XRP Total Supply in Loss over the last few years: As shown in the graph above, the XRP Total Supply in Loss fell to a relatively low level in 2025, but in the last quarter of the year, the metric rose. The trend change came as the cryptocurrency sector as a whole saw the start of a bearish phase. Today, the Total Supply in Loss has a value of 36.8 billion XRP. From the chart, it’s visible that this is a relatively high level when compared to the past, with it being surpassed only once before in the current cycle. The picture is a bit different when the indicator is denominated in USD terms. As shown in the above chart, the USD version of the XRP Total Supply in Loss set a peak higher than any witnessed in the past few years during the latest market downturn. This suggests that the capital invested in the cryptocurrency has gone up by magnitudes as the years have passed. Currently, supply worth around $50 billion is in a state of loss on the blockchain. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces On-Chain Air Gap To $81,000: Will Momentum Build? Generally, digital asset markets tend to arrive at bottoms when investor pain is at its highest. As such, considering the current loss situation on the XRP network, it only remains to be seen whether the coin will reach a bottom in the near future. XRP Price At the time of writing, XRP is floating around $1.35, down over 0.5% in the last 24 hours. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP has entered the new week with a technical setup that is beginning to tilt in favor of bulls, even though the price action is stuck inside a range. A bullish divergence has appeared on the daily chart, hinting that downside momentum may be fading and that a rebound could be close. However, XRP’s price structure is fragile, and technical analysis has revealed a level that could either support a recovery attempt or lead to another round of selling pressure. Bullish Divergence Shows Selling Pressure Is Losing Strength The foundation of the bullish case is the daily divergence now visible on the daily candlestick chart. XRP has been holding inside a narrow range near the $1.34 to $1.50 range, but momentum is no longer falling at the same pace as the price. Related Reading: XRP Bull Flag Breakout After 8-Month Consolidation To Send Price To $11 When price makes a lower low, but momentum refuses to follow, as the RSI is clearly showing on the XRP daily chart right now, it tells traders that the selling pressure behind each leg lower is weakening. The Bears are still in control on paper, but they’re running out of fuel. This is exactly what unfolded in the February lows. Price crashed to the $1.13 range in a capitulation flush; the RSI fell into oversold territory below 25. However, the price action is now beginning to stabilize and consolidate between roughly $1.34 and $1.40, but this hasn’t led to the creation of higher highs. However, RSI shows momentum and is beginning to quietly recover to build a higher low. That divergence is now confirmed on the daily timeframe with the start of the new week. Why $1.34 Is The Level Bulls Cannot Afford To Lose Despite the improving short-term outlook, the bullish thesis has a very clear line in the sand. According to technical analysis from a crypto analyst known as “Guy on the Earth,” anything below $1.34 would invalidate the setup in the short term. That makes it the level traders are likely to watch most closely at the start of the week. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $1.36, just a little higher than the important $1.34 level. This support matters because it has effectively become the price floor of the current range. XRP has already spent several sessions trading just above it, and this shows that buyers are still willing to defend that zone. According to the analyst, a clean break below $1.34 would open the door to another leg lower or see a capitulation wick closing back above $1.34. Related Reading: Pundit Says XRP Price Could Reach $1,000 By End Of 2026 If This Happens Signals are one thing; confirmation is another, and for XRP, confirmation only comes at $1.50. The chart above shows the upper boundary of the current range around $1.50, and that is the level bulls need to break if XRP is going to shift from recovery talk to a real trend reversal. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
The long-term vision of XRP has often been debated within the crypto market, where price speculation and retail trading tend to dominate the narrative. The proponents of the asset argue that XRP’s core purpose extends beyond short-term market cycles. Instead, they view it as a key component of the emerging concept of the Internet of Value, and enable the seamless transfer of money and assets across global networks as easily as information moves across the internet. XRP’s long-term significance has never been rooted in retail speculation, but in its potential fit-in-purpose utility within an emerging Internet of Value infrastructure. Analyst Rob Cunningham has mentioned on X that the world markets advance toward regulated digital commodity venues, clearer token classification, and tokenized movement of value across interoperable rails. Thus, assets designed for fast settlement, liquidity bridging, and neutral transfer between networks become relevant. How The Internet Of Value Requires Interoperable Assets Cunningham noted that regulatory developments such as the Clarity Act framework are not designed as an XRP bill, and no law can guarantee XRP adoption. However, clearer market structure legislation could address one of its long-standing challenges in the US: legal ambiguity, which is an inference from the legislation’s structure and purpose, not a promise. Related Reading: Cardano Founder Shares What To Expect For XRP If The Clarity ACT Is Passed Analyst Cunningham frames this transition as the “shipping container moment” for finance, meaning the financial world is standardising the movement of value, similar to how it standardised the movement of goods. When this shift happens, the winners are rarely the loudest brands, but it’s the rails, standards, and protocols that reduce friction across the system. From this perspective, the growth of Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT) adoption signals a deeper transformation of truth, and settlement and ownership are being re-architected at the protocol level. Cunningham views this trend as a “sound-money renaissance” focused less on nostalgia and more on restoring transparent rules and reliable measurements for digital finance. Related Reading: Pundit Explains How XRP Becomes A Global Reserve Asset In that broader macro context, the debate around the Clarity Act reflects a decision about whether the US will lead the digital asset transition through clear legislation or allow innovation to remain in regulatory ambiguity. Meanwhile, the XRP implications become strongest in a world that requires neutral, fast, and interoperable value transfer under well-defined rules, where the macro-direction is increasingly favourable, as the regulated utility will ultimately matter more than the narrative cycle in the market. A Liquidity Shift Is Unfolding In The XRP Market A notable shift is emerging in the XRP market liquidity. Crypto commentator XFinanceBull revealed that the data from exchange heatmaps shows that Upbit has recently moved into the top position for XRP trading volume, surpassing major global platforms such as Binance and Coinbase. This development shows that market liquidity is positioning before the broader narratives become recognised. According to XFinanceBull, the surge in XRP activity on a South Korean exchange suggests that regional traders are betting on the network. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP price extended losses and traded below $1.3650. The price is now consolidating losses but faces hurdles near $1.3550 and $1.380. XRP price started another decline and traded below the $1.3550 zone. The price is now trading below $1.3620 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.3520 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it stays below $1.380. XRP Price Extends Losses XRP price failed to stay above $1.3740 and extended its decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price declined below $1.3650 and $1.3550 to enter a short-term bearish zone. The price even extended losses below $1.3350. A low was formed at $1.3217, and the price is now consolidating losses below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.4739 swing high to the $1.3217 low. The price is now trading below $1.3550 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh recovery move, the price might face resistance near the $1.3520 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.3520 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The first major resistance is near the $1.380 level. The main resistance could be $1.3980 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.4739 swing high to the $1.3217 low. A close above $1.3980 could send the price to $1.420. The next hurdle sits at $1.4250. A clear move above the $1.4250 resistance might send the price toward the $1.450 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.4750 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.50. Downside Break? If XRP fails to clear the $1.380 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.3365 level. The next major support is near the $1.3220 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.3220 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.3120. The next major support sits near the $1.3080 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.30. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.3365 and $1.3220. Major Resistance Levels – $1.3800 and $1.3980.
According to recent on-chain data, large investors in the XRP market seem to be adjusting their positions. Further analysis suggests that if XRP finds favorable alignment with the current conditions, it could be at the start of a larger upside rally. 44 Million XRP Leave Binance Late In February In a Quicktake post on CryptoQuant, market analyst Amr Taha shared that there have recently been major withdrawals of XRP tokens from Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume. This outflow trend is based on the Multi Exchanges Daily Whales Netflow metric. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Hit $180,000 This Year, But Only If This Scenario Plays Out: Amber Data For context, this metric monitors the daily net flows of XRP held by whale wallets across 15 major crypto exchanges (all of which Binance leads in trading volume). Positive readings from the metric indicate that XRP is moving into the exchanges; on the other hand, negative netflows signal an efflux of XRP from these exchanges. According to the analyst, there has been a significant increase in negative netflows from the Binance platform. This is also reflected in the chart shared below, where, as of February 27th, about 44 million XRP tokens flowed out of Binance’s whale wallet addresses. Interestingly, this event was not a one-off in the month of February, as roughly 30 million XRP had left these same wallets on the 6th of the month. What This Means For XRP Price Increasing netflows on exchanges is often a tell-tale sign of investors’ intention to sell off their holdings or exchange their coins, thereby adding bearish pressure to the market. So, when whale netflows lean towards the negative, it means there is less bearish intent among this investor cohort. Also, when two withdrawals of this magnitude happen within the same month, it is a clear suggestion that these large market players might actually be accumulating XRP in equally large amounts. It could also be a sign that, rather than accumulation, these large holders are locking up their tokens for long-term storage. Based on historical precedent, events like this are often bound to have positive effects on the price of an asset. In the event that netflows are significantly large, the analyst points out that there is a corresponding reduction in available XRP supply. This means there would be less XRP in the market than is currently being demanded by buyers. Demand exceeding supply is a typical economic situation that drives an asset’s price to the upside. It then becomes clear that if current demand levels persist or increase, the altcoin’s price would likely follow an upward trajectory. At the time of writing, XRP is valued at approximately $1.37, reflecting a 2.9% decline in the past day. Related Reading: Analyst Shares Timeline For When A New Bitcoin Bull Run Will Begin This Year Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
Crypto analyst Luke has drawn attention to an XRP bull flag breakout, which could send the price to $11, which would mark a new all-time high (ATH) for the altcoin. This comes as the altcoin faces further downside amid the U.S.-Iran war, which threatens to drag on for a long time. XRP Eyes Rally To $11 Amid Bull Flag Breakout In an X post, Luke stated that a bull flag breakout is forming on the XRP weekly chart, with the target being $11. The analyst noted that this is a textbook bull flag after the 8-month consolidation. A pole height measured move points to a rally to exactly $11 while the altcoin could reach $11.20 based on the 1.618 Fib extension. Related Reading: XRP Price Ladder Shows What Conditions Are Needed For $18, $100, And $500 An XRP rally to $11 from the current price represents an upside of almost 700%. Luke indicated that such a rally is possible, with institutions also accumulating, a development that shows a “parabolic leg” is incoming. However, it is worth noting that the XRP ETFs have seen daily net outflows in the last two days as tensions between the U.S. and Iran intensify. SoSoValue data shows that the funds recorded outflows of $6.15 million and $16.62 million on March 5 and 6, respectively. As a result, the net assets of these XRP ETFs have dropped below $1 billion. The altcoin, alongside the broader crypto market, is currently facing downside pressure, with the U.S.-Iran tensions pushing oil prices to multi-year highs. Crypto analyst CasiTrades predicted that XRP could drop to as low as $0.87, as it remains below the $1.67 resistance level. Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto also stated that XRP could drop to as low as $0.85 after facing rejection at the $1.55 level. Insight Into the Current Price Action In an X post, crypto analyst JB stated that all previous wicks, including the one on October 10, have been filled down into the demand zone. The analyst opined that there isn’t much additional downside fuel left if XRP is still in a higher timeframe (HTF) bullish environment. JB also mentioned that the first attempt to reclaim $1.61 failed, so a retest of the $1.25 and $1 level are now back on the table. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts 1,500% XRP Price Increase To $15 If This Is A Wave 2 For an invalidation of this bearish structure, XRP needs to reclaim $1.61 and break the diagonal resistance. JB noted that this would significantly increase the odds of resuming the broader uptrend after about 15 months of correction. “The current area offers one of the strongest R:R setups for HTF spot longs, with invalidation below the gray demand zone,” the analyst added. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.36, down over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com