XRP price extended gains above $3.00 and $3.050 before correcting gains. The price is now consolidating gains and facing hurdles near the $3.050 level. XRP price is slowly moving higher above the $2.920 support zone. The price is now trading below $3.00 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key declining channel forming with resistance at $3.050 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $3.050. XRP Price Faces Resistance XRP price started a recovery wave after it found support above $2.80 and $2.820, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to surpass the $2.920 and $2.950 resistance levels. The price even climbed above $3.00 before the bears appeared. A high was formed at $3.098 and the price corrected some gains to test $2.950. It is now consolidating near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $3.070 swing high to the $2.950 low. The price is now trading below $3.050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $3.00 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $3.070 swing high to the $2.950 low. The first major resistance is near the $3.050 level. There is also a key declining channel forming with resistance at $3.050 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. A clear move above the $3.050 resistance might send the price toward the $3.080 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $3.120 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $3.150. Another Decline? If XRP fails to clear the $3.00 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.950 level. The next major support is near the $2.920 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.920 level, the price might continue to decline toward $2.850. The next major support sits near the $2.80 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $2.720. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $2.950 and $2.920. Major Resistance Levels – $3.00 and $3.050.
XRP has defended support at $2.90 and made several attempts to push above $3.10 over the past week. Although XRP bulls have managed to hold above $3, the cryptocurrency hasn’t really followed rallies witnessed by Bitcoin and Ethereum in the past 24 hours. Nonethless, XRP’s price action in the past few days has caused its price chart to print a new technical setup that has previously marked the beginning of significant rallies, and history might repeat itself again. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breaks $123,000 As Rising Open Interest Signals More Action Ahead Bullish XRP Technical Signal Reappears Technical analysis of XRP’s 3-day candlestick chart shows that the cryptocurrency is currently repeating a technical signal which has preceded rallies multiple times this cycle. This signal, which was first revealed on the social media platform X by crypto analyst Cryptoinsightsuk, holds importance, as it has preceeded three different price rallies already this cycle. Crypto analyst Cryptoinsightuk shared a post on X highlighting this development, noting that XRP just achieved a great 3-day candle close and a simultaneous bullish cross on the 3-day RSI, which is a setup that historically preceded explosive price movements. The RSI, which tracks momentum shifts in market sentiment, has just crossed above its signal line to form a bullish structure identical to those seen in November 2024, April 2025, and June 2025. Each of these past simultaneous 3-day candle closes and RSI crosses occurred shortly before major XRP rallies. The RSI crossover in November 2024 occurred right before the most remarkable XRP rally since 2017. Notably, this RSI breakout was followed by a sharp 500% price surge, and XRP’s price increased from around $0.5 to over $3 within the weeks that followed. The April 2025 signal similarly preceded another leg up. Although the resulting rally was smaller than the November 2024 rally, XRP went from around $1.9 to $2.7. Then came June 2025, when the same RSI and candle setup appeared for a third time after XRP closed its 3-day candlestick above $2.2. This one proved even more significant than April’s signal, and this eventually culminated in a new all-time high of $3.65. XRP 3D Price Chart. Source: Cryptoinsightuk on X Market Context And What Comes Next The patterns noted above are very important for XRP, and there’s no reason for it not to repeat the same rally. According to Cryptoinsightuk, the reappearance of this exact signal suggests that XRP might once again be gearing up for pop to the upside. Interestingly, the signal also sets a good precedent for the possible approval of Spot XRP ETF applications by the US SEC. Related Reading: XRP To $100? Analyst Says It Could Be The Next Amazon At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $3.03. If history repeats itself even on a smaller scale, such as the rally witnessed in April 2025, XRP could climb toward $3.80 in the coming weeks. The most bullish repeat scenario could see the XRP price climb as high as $15. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Crypto analyst Bobby revealed that the XRP price has completed a consolidation pattern, hinting at a potential parabolic rally for the altcoin soon. The analyst suggested that XRP’s price could rally to double digits once this rally occurs. XRP Price Eyes Rally To $19 As It Completes Double-Bottom Pattern In an X post, Bobby indicated that the XRP price has completed the macro double-bottom pattern, which it had spent over seven years building. The analyst’s accompanying chart showed that the altcoin is now gearing up for a rally to as high as $19 following the completion of this consolidation pattern. Related Reading: XRP Price Faces 25% Drawdown Risk, But This Technical Point Is Key Meanwhile, the analyst noted that the XRP price spent over nine months building support near the neckline of the massive W pattern. He added that the altcoin spent the same amount of time consolidating below the 1.618 Fibonacci extension of its latest macro swing high to swing low. Bobby indicated that the XRP price rally will begin once it breaks through $3.02 and gains monthly acceptance above that level. He expects this move to take XRP into the take-profit levels he has highlighted on several occasions. These levels include $4.7, $6.4, $7.4, and possibly $19, all of which mark new all-time highs (ATHs) for the altcoin. The analyst also predicts that the XRP ETFs could spark a rally to between $8 and $13 with possible wicks into the $20 range. These funds are expected to launch this month, depending on when the U.S. government shutdown ends. They provided a bullish outlook for XRP due to the amount of inflows that they could drive into the altcoin’s ecosystem. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that Bobby had also earlier alluded to previous cycles as the reason XRP could rally to $13. Analyst Sounds Warning To Bulls Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has warned XRP bulls that the XRP price needs to close above $3.13 to $3.20 on the 3-day chart to sustain the current bullish momentum. His warning followed XRP’s reclaim of the psychological $3 level, which he noted has wrecked the bears. However, the altcoin needs to close above this range, or the bulls are also in danger of getting wrecked. Related Reading: Analyst Says XRP Price Remains Bullish As This Level Holds Egrag Crypto stated that the XRP price could follow suit if Bitcoin and Ethereum get rejected on their current rallies. He added that the altcoin could head lower, which he believes might actually be better. He assured that the last impulsive move would be explosive and could lead to life-changing gains for the bulls. However, for now, he believes that XRP is simply ranging until it closes above $3.20. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $3, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP has managed to break past the $3 mark in the past 24 hours, and this has given readers a glimpse of bullish momentum. However, this breakout is not yet confirmed, as the XRP price is yet to make a weekly close above this price level. The cryptocurrency is still trading within a descending channel on the weekly timeframe, and in this context, an interesting technical analysisof crypto outlines a bearish scenario of what could happen if XRP loses its current structure. Analyst Warns Of Bearish Breakdown To $1.9 There have been different bullish predictions and technical analyses for XRP in recent weeks. However, crypto analyst CoinsKid has raised concerns about what might happen if XRP fails to maintain its position above critical support levels. The analyst shared his outlook on the social media platform X, accompanied by a chart showing the potential downside scenario. Related Reading: Analyst Highlights 2 Scenarios That Sends XRP Price To $9.6 And $33 According to CoinsKid, XRP has been going sideways since December of last year, but is finding stability along the bull market support band (BMS). He described the current moment as the last bullish case for XRP, warning that a breakdown through the BMS could erase that bullish outlook entirely. In his words, “Lose the BMS and the bullish support at $1.90 and XRP could be in free fall.” Despite this, he noted that he still remains cautiously bullish for now, but the caution stems from the visible threat of losing these crucial levels. The weekly candlestick chart that accompanied his post illustrates the situation clearly. XRP is sitting inside a descending channel, and the last three weekly candlesticks have been red after XRP was rejected at the upper trendline of this channel in September. The bearish scenario is based on XRP extending this rejection and then falling to as low as the lower trendline of this descending channel, which is currently around $2.2. A break below this line would indicate that selling pressure has overtaken the support structure, likely setting up a deeper retracement. The next major support level is highlighted at $1.90, which coincides with a bullish support zone dating back to an order block formed in June. XRP Price Levels To Watch The $2.20 and $1.90 price levels represent the most important zones on the weekly chart. Holding above $2.20 could still allow XRP to maintain its bullish structure in the longer term. Closer short-term support levels are at $2.8 and $2.72, and holding up above these levels will set up XRP for another attempt at breaking above the descending channel. Related Reading: Demand For XRP On CME Explodes As Reports Show Over $18 Billion XRP has managed to hold above $2.8 in the past few days. Particularly, newfound buying pressure has allowed XRP to push past $2.9 and $3.0 in the past 48 hours, reaching an intraday high of $3.10. Interestingly, CoinsKid’s chart also leaves room for optimism. A bullish projection shows a scenario where XRP breaks through the channel’s upper trendline and rallies above $4. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $3.05. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
The XRP price has often drawn ambitious forecasts, but few as outrageous as a recent prediction placing its potential value at $170,000 per token. This projection not only suggests that XRP could surpass the current price of its primary rival, Ethereum, but even dethrone Bitcoin, which has an ATH above $124,000. The crypto analyst behind this bold claim openly rejects conventional valuation models, arguing that they belong to the “old world” and are incapable of measuring the disruptive potential of blockchain-based assets. Why A $170,000 XRP Price Isn’t “Impossible” XRP long-term price forecasts continue to grow bolder as the market evolves, with the latest prediction by crypto analyst ‘XRP Dragon,’ suggesting that reaching $170,000 is not only possible, but inevitable. The analyst argued that the reason many dismiss such a target is due to an insistence on applying “old world math” to an emerging digital economy that operates under different principles. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts XRP Price Will Definitely Reach $10,000, Gives Reasons Why To illustrate this distinct perspective, the analyst shared a video alongside his analysis on X social media, featuring a woman who explained the reasoning behind his bold $170,000 forecast. She likened the misconceptions surrounding XRP’s price potential to how people viewed the internet in its early days. She explained that back in 1995, it would have made no sense to measure the transformative power of the internet through an outdated tool like the phone book. This is because, at the time, the internet was creating an entirely “new world” that the phone book could not capture. She argues that a similar shift is occurring with money today. Many still rely on old-world concepts, such as market capitalization, a measure that works in the old paper system. However, this obsolete system is falling apart as the world transitions into a new era of digital money. According to her, using outdated calculations like market cap to define XRP’s potential value is akin to trying to fit a revolutionary new technology into a framework designed for the past. Related Reading: Analyst Highlights 2 Scenarios That Sends XRP Price To $9.6 And $33 She further added that the foundation of global finance is shifting rapidly as banks, countries, and eventually trillions of dollars transition onto digital rails. Within this system, XRP is designed to serve as the connecting bridge that enables value to flow between institutions and across borders. From this perspective, the $170,000 XRP price projection is not an impossible or unrealistic target but an “inevitable” outcome, if the asset is measured according to the digital system it was created for. XRP Repeats 2017 Bull Run Pattern New technical analysis further reveals that XRP is showing signs of repeating its historic 2017 bull cycle. According to crypto analyst EtherNasyonal, back then, XRP followed a precise sequence of accumulation, rally, re-accumulation, and then another explosive move upward before entering distribution. The analyst’s chart shows that XRP is mirroring the exact pattern seen during the 2017 bull run. Already, XRP has passed through its accumulation and initial breakout phase, now sitting in a consolidation zone. If price action repeats past patterns exactly, another strong move higher could emerge in 2025. EtherNasyonal predicts a potential price surge toward $10 before the distribution phase kicks in. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
The latest analysis from DustyBC Crypto indicates that the XRP price is still struggling to overcome key resistance levels. The price has increased a few times, but each attempt to move higher has faced rejection. For XRP, the situation is not yet showing clear signs of a breakout. Instead, the market outlook remains cautious, and there is still a chance of further downside before the pattern can fully play out. XRP Price Faces Resistance With More Rejections In Market Action According to DustyBC Crypto, XRP recently pushed upward but quickly met a strong resistance zone. After testing that level, the price began rejecting again, showing that sellers are still active in this range. These repeated rejections suggest weakness in the market, and they are not unusual compared to what is happening with Bitcoin and Ethereum. Related Reading: SWIFT Is Planning To Launch Its Own Blockchain Amid Trillion-Dollar Battle, But It’s Not With Ripple DustyBC Crypto’s analysis indicates the XRP price action has not yet demonstrated the strength necessary to confirm a bullish trend, and the market remains uncertain. DustyBC Crypto notes that this behavior is common when an asset is between support and resistance levels, and it often takes time for a clear direction to form. Because of this, DustyBC Crypto reminded traders that they should not mistake the current price movements for real breakouts. Short-term gains may appear positive on the surface, but until XRP can break through the key resistance zone, rejections are likely to continue. The market remains range-bound, and the technical picture has not undergone significant changes. Bearish Scenario Keeps $2.69–$2.33 Range In Play DustyBC Crypto also warns that the risk of a further drop remains in play. The bearish target range of $2.69 to $2.33 remains valid as long as the market continues to show weakness. XRP could fall further before a pattern completion, keeping traders on alert. According to his analysis, there is still considerable room for the price to decrease. Although XRP can occasionally provide small bullish signals, these moves are not strong enough to confirm a new uptrend. The risk of fake-outs remains high, and traders who chase these moves without patience could get caught in sudden reversals. Related Reading: Early Bitcoin Investor Reveals Biggest Regret After Years In The Market The $2.69–$2.33 zone is highlighted as the area to watch, as it represents where bearish pressure may next push the market. DustyBC Crypto emphasizes that patience is key, as only after this range plays out will the longer-term pattern become more complete. Until then, the market remains technically uncertain, and DustyBC Crypto advises caution. For now, XRP traders are urged not to rush into bullish trades too early. According to DustyBC Crypto, the best approach is to wait for stronger confirmation before making an entry. He says this way, they could reduce risk and avoid being caught by short-term market fluctuations. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
The XRP price is positioned at a pivotal level that will determine the next trend to play out from here. This was highlighted by crypto analyst, The Alchemist Trader, in a TradingView post that shared notable insights into the current price action of the cryptocurrency. The crypto analyst also explained that there are technical points that will determine the next move, and depending on how bears and bulls perform, there could either be a lot of gains or major losses. The Three Key Points To Watch With the XRP price already showing a lot of weakness, The Alchemist Trader explains that the altcoin is now consolidating near the value area low of its local trading range. This sits around the $2.8 level that the price has been moving around over the last few weeks. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Predicts What Dogecoin Investors Should Expect Price-Wise This Month The price trading at this value area low also shows that there are a lot of sellers in the market pushing down the price. It had previously pushed the price back toward a critical support level at $2.7, and this has set the stage for either the next bounce or decline. This is because this level holds a lot of liquidity, meaning it is an equal opportunity point for both bears and bulls. Given this trend, the crypto analyst has outlined three key technical points that investors should watch for the XRP price. The first of these is the possibility of the XRP price making consecutive lower highs and pushing it toward the value area low, a bearish signal. Next on the list is that a breakdown from there could push the price toward the Point of Control (POC), as well as the 0.618 Fibonacci and VWAP confluence. Then, last but not least, is the fact that the liquidity at the current levels could mean that there is a sharp wick before the price begins to reverse. How The XRP Price Could Play Out From Here As mentioned above, one of the first things to watch out for is the test of the value area low. From here, if the XRP price were to break down, then it would signal that the decline would deepen from here. It would push the target toward the Point of Control (POC) and deeper support levels. Reaching these levels would mean a possible 25% decline toward $2.33. Related Reading: Analyst Says Dogecoin’s Parabolic Run Is Inevitable – Historical Pattern Point To Another Breakout However, in the event that this support holds firmly, then the analyst sees the XRP price bouncing back into its trading range. The price could wick down first, but this would end in an eventual stabilization and continuation. In this case, the target is placed at $3.5, possibly setting the price on a campaign for new all-time highs. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
SWIFT, the global network that handles most of the world’s cross-border payments, is preparing to launch its own blockchain as rumors about an ongoing payments battle with Ripple circulate. While many often compare SWIFT’s role to Ripple due to its XRP-linked payment solutions, this new plan is not a direct challenge to the fintech company, but rather part of a much larger trillion-dollar race to define the future of digital money. SWIFT Partners With Consensys To Build Blockchain Network According to the announcement, SWIFT is collaborating with Consensys, the Ethereum development company founded by Joe Lubin, to create a shared digital ledger that supports faster, cheaper, and more efficient international transactions. Related Reading: Early Bitcoin Investor Reveals Biggest Regret After Years In The Market SWIFT is still keeping its blockchain ledger in the prototype stage, but leading banks are already testing it. JP Morgan in the United States and Deutsche Bank in Europe are among the major institutions participating in these early trials. SWIFT and its partners design the new infrastructure to support regulated stablecoins as well as tokenized assets. The shared ledger links directly to private blockchains that organizations use internally and to public blockchains open to the general public. By connecting the two, banks and financial companies in different regions will be able to join the platform without having to abandon the systems they already use. Ripple, long known for linking its XRP token with cross-border solutions, has been in this space for years. However, the announcement notes that SWIFT’s strategy differs. Instead of relying on a single cryptocurrency, it is creating a network that works directly with banks and established institutions. Trillion-Dollar Stablecoin Threat Pushes SWIFT Into Blockchain Race SWIFT’s move to launch its own blockchain could be part of a much bigger trillion-dollar battle in the payments world. Stablecoins, which are digital assets tied to fiat currencies, are now used in transactions worth trillions of dollars. The rise of stablecoins could challenge SWIFT’s long-established role in global payments. If banks begin to settle transactions directly with stablecoins, they may no longer depend on the global messaging network for cross-border transfers. Related Reading: XRP Price May Not See An Explosive Rally In October As Expected, Here’s Why The rapid growth of stablecoins could prompt banks to bypass SWIFT altogether, and if banks opt to use new digital payment systems instead, SWIFT’s role could shrink significantly. The global messaging network for financial institutions is now building the blockchain ledger within its framework to reduce this risk and prevent banks from migrating to rival providers. The move does not mean SWIFT is going head-to-head with Ripple alone. As stablecoins and tokenized money gain wider adoption, SWIFT is developing its own blockchain ledger to maintain its central position in the international payments market. The global financial messaging giant may be working to strengthen its leading position and prepare for the trillion-dollar race that could shape the international money transfer market. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto pundit Mikybull Crypto has revealed that XRP has flipped green for the first time since 2017. Based on this, he predicted that the altcoin could record a rally of up to 500%, reaching $15 in the process. XRP Eyes Rally To $15 As Price Flips Green In an X post, Mikybull Crypto predicted that XRP could rally to between $5 and $15. This came as the analyst noted that the altcoin has flipped green on the quarterly chart for the first time since 2017. He suggested that the rally of up to 500% may already be underway, noting that XRP has already broken above the resistance, just as it did in 2017. In a follow-up X post, Mikybull Crypto doubled down on his bullish sentiment towards XRP, stating that the altcoin’s big move is incoming as it is heading for a mega breakout. His accompanying chart indicated that the key was for XRP to successfully flip the $2.90 level again into support and decisively break above the psychological $3 level. Related Reading: XRP Price Is About To Close A 3M Candle Above This Major Region, Here’s What It Means For Price Meanwhile, crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has made a more bullish forecast for XRP, predicting that it could rally to as high as $33. Like Mikybull Crypto, the analyst also alluded to the 2017 bull cycle as the reason why XRP could witness a parabolic surge to this ambitious price target. However, although he is bullish on XRP in the long term, Egrag Crypto stated that he believes there might be one more flush out before the altcoin rallies to new highs. The crypto analyst further remarked that there is about a 70% chance for a flush before the XRP uptrend continues, which he noted is healthier from a structural point of view. He added that there is a 30% chance of an immediate pump but warned that it will eventually lead to a sharp correction. Egrag Crypto expects XRP to drop to at least $2.65, with the possibility of a further decline to the fair value gap between $2.35 and $2.40. Bearish Divergences Hint At Further Drop Before The Breakout Crypto analyst CasiTrades stated that XRP’s bearish divergences hint at lower support levels before a potential breakout to the upside. She noted that the downside tests remain valid, with $2.79 and $2.58 as the key support levels to watch out for as the altcoin remains below $3. The analyst added that a test of $2.58 could still support a much larger bullish move to new highs. Related Reading: XRP Price Final Low: Here’s The Target To Watch For Next Recovery However, CasiTrades warned that a break below $2.58 would invalidate the bullish market structure and threaten the macro outlook. Meanwhile, she told market participants that when XRP is truly ready to begin wave 3, the macro resistance levels at $2.79, $3, and $3.25 should break cleanly and without hesitation. If XRP continues to hesitate, she believes that further downside testing may be necessary first. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $2.8, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Ripple is taking another bold step toward mainstream finance by extending the reach of its Interledger Protocol into the SWIFT network, regarded as the backbone of global payments. By enabling interoperability between two of the most influential payment ecosystems, Ripple is positioning XRP as a key player in the future of international money movement. Could XRP Become A Standard For Settlement? The strategy for mainstream adoption of the XRP Ledger (XRPL) and its native asset, XRP, is intricately linked to the Interledger Protocol (ILP). As highlighted by researcher SMQKE on X, Ripple’s approach is to become an essential part of the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT) network, providing an interoperable layer that seamlessly bridges the old and new financial worlds. Related Reading: Pundit Claims That Ripple Is Building The Banking System Right On The Blockchain Using XRP This Interledger Protocol is designed to synchronize separate ledgers without forming a new one, while acting as a connective tissue across financial systems. In many ways, it mirrors SWIFT’s own structure, where the successful processing of a payment message creates binding obligations to pay between nodes and intermediaries. However, ILP is Ripple’s core strategy for mainstream adoption of the XRP Ledger. By making ILP fully compatible with SWIFT, Ripple ensures that both XRP and its technology can plug into the world’s most dominant payment network. What’s important about this move is the fact that Ripple itself is now often described as evolving into the Interledger Protocol initiative. Ripple understood that the world would never standardize on a single ledger, which is why it built ILP to enable interoperability to bridge across multiple systems. Meanwhile, this approach is reinforced through the ISO 20022 adoption to ensure that the entire transaction is secure, seamless, and scalable, offering a superior settlement experience that coexists with the bank’s existing messaging connectivity across the global financial infrastructure. “The strategy is clear: one protocol (ILP), unlimited networks, and seamless XRP movement,” SMQKE noted. The Promise Of Financial Freedom With XRP As the crypto landscape expands, XRP has been hailed as an asset that could offer financial breakthroughs. The sentiment expressed by Traveler2236 points to a profound vision of global financial inclusion and the end of economic inequality enforced by legacy systems. His core claim is that there will come a day when XRP will unleash dreams beyond imagination. Related Reading: Analyst Warns XRP Investors That This Is Happening Right Now – Time To Pay Attention? Also, there will be no denials because of a credit score, and no more doors closed because your income doesn’t match some arbitrary outcome. Traveler2236’s statement is not merely a prediction, but a declaration of certainty, bordering on a personal epiphany. “This isn’t a dream anymore, it’s happening right now,” the expert stated. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP is showing signs of strength as it holds above key support levels, but the road to a breakout remains far from clear. While momentum off the trendline brings optimism, bearish divergences on higher timeframes are raising caution. Bearish Divergence Signals Market Caution CasiTrades, in a recent update, noted that XRP has managed to show some momentum after bouncing off the black trendline highlighted last week. The respect of this level is encouraging, but the market is not out of danger just yet. Its price still faces the critical $3 resistance, which remains the key hurdle to confirm the start of a new bullish trend. Until that level is broken, downside risks remain valid, with $2.79 (0.5 retracement) and $2.58 (0.618 retracement) identified as the main support zones. Related Reading: Everyone’s Wrong About XRP: Here’s Why, Says Top Analyst However, the move from the trendline appears to be forming a clean ABC corrective pattern rather than a 5-wave impulsive rally. Price action has already rejected the targets for the C-wave, and bearish divergence has been spotted on the 4-hour chart. This combination of factors does not align with the characteristics typically expected at the beginning of a true Wave 3 breakout. On the 1-hour RSI, XRP is now testing the lower support trendline, which CasiTrades is closely monitoring for confirmation of the next move. Looking ahead, the key level to watch is $2.69. Ideally, XRP avoids a new low beneath this zone, as that would force a reset of the wave count and shift the outlook. However, a retest of $2.58 remains valid and could still serve as a springboard for a larger bullish move. The overall picture suggests XRP is at a pivotal stage: breaking through resistance could ignite a long-awaited rally, but failure here risks invalidating the bullish structure entirely. XRP Supports Hold Firm As Momentum Builds CasiTrades emphasized that XRP’s support levels remain unchanged for now, and the market is still waiting for one of these key zones to spark the momentum required to break through resistance. Without a decisive push, the price risks lingering in its current range while testing lower levels. Related Reading: XRP Price Attempts Recovery – Can Market Push Higher Despite Strong Barriers? According to the analysis, a true Wave 3 breakout will only be confirmed when XRP cleanly clears the major resistance levels at $2.79, $3.00, and $3.25. These barriers must fall without hesitation or repeated rejection; otherwise, the price action would simply signal weakness and the likelihood of further downside testing. CasiTrades also advised keeping a close watch on Bitcoin’s movements for broader market alignment, as well as on signs of bullish divergence forming during the next pullback. Once that momentum appears, XRP could finally have the setup to trigger the breakout that traders have been anticipating. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP price is attempting a recovery wave above the $2.850 zone. The price now faces a couple of key hurdles near $2.920 and $2.950. XRP price is slowly moving higher above the $2.850 support zone. The price is now trading above $2.850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $2.8320 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $2.920. XRP Price Faces Resistance XRP price started a recovery wave after it found support above $2.720 and $2.770, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to surpass the $2.80 and $2.850 resistance levels. There was a clear move above the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the $2.995 swing high to the $2.70 low. The bulls even pushed the price toward $2.920 before they faced resistance. Besides, there is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $2.8320 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The price is now trading above $2.850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $2.925 level or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the $2.995 swing high to the $2.70 low. The first major resistance is near the $2.950 level. A clear move above the $2.950 resistance might send the price toward the $3.00 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $3.050 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $3.120. Another Decline? If XRP fails to clear the $2.920 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.850 level. The next major support is near the $2.8320 level and the trend line. If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.8320 level, the price might continue to decline toward $2.770. The next major support sits near the $2.720 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $2.650. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $2.8320 and $2.770. Major Resistance Levels – $2.920 and $2.950.
Ripple’s XRP might be trending towards a short squeeze as new analysis suggested its available trading supply could shrink to levels comparable to Bitcoin’s 21 million cap. XRP commentator Chad Steingraber, in a post on social media platform X, argued that the amount of the altcoin actually available for retail trading is going to be a fraction of its total supply. His comments came in response to discussions about the role of institutional and network-led lockups, with projects such as Axelar and Flare Networks working to secure billions of XRP tokens. XRP Might Be Gearing Up For Short Squeeze The discussion began after a popular crypto commentator posted about Axelar’s plan to lock up $10 billion worth of XRP, a move that would remove around 5% of the token available to retail traders. Similarly, Flare Networks has set a goal of locking up 5 billion XRP. These two initiatives alone would place significant pressure on the pool of XRP available for active trading. Related Reading: Demand For XRP On CME Explodes As Reports Show Over $18 Billion Steingraber noted that XRP’s active trading supply is what ultimately influences market pricing, not the total supply figure often cited. As such, he suggested that such accumulation by these companies, combined with other supply constraints, could reduce the number of the token available for public trading. Particularly, Steingraber predicted that this number could fall drastically to as low as 21 million XRP, an amount symbolically identical to Bitcoin’s hard cap. The possibility of only 21 million XRP being available for trading from its current circulating supply of 59 billion tokens is very ambitious. However, the scenario of this drastic fall becomes possible if Spot XRP ETFs are approved in the United States. Institutional ETFs would demand a steady supply of XRP for custody, and this would create large-scale accumulation that could permanently restrict availability on exchanges. In such a case, supply shocks could become very common. Aside from new institutional lockups, there are other clear signs that XRP’s active trading pool is thinning. A notable example is crypto exchange Coinbase, where XRP reserves have dropped sharply in recent months. Adding to that, Ripple itself still controls a large portion of the total supply, with billions of the token locked in escrow. Although these tokens are technically part of circulation, they are unavailable for retail use and are released only under strict schedules. Price Impact Of A 21 Million Effective Supply The idea that XRP’s active trading supply could fall to just 21 million tokens shows how scarcity could alter its valuation. Based on today’s circulating supply of about 59 billion XRP and a market price of $2.89, XRP has a market capitalization of about $172.8 billion. If that same market capitalization were concentrated into only 21 million tokens, the implied price per coin would be about $8,120. Related Reading: XRP Price Final Low: Here’s The Target To Watch For Next Recovery The most important thing now, however, is for the altcoin bulls to prevent any further declines below $2.8. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP has entered a pivotal phase as institutional adoption increases and regulatory clarity reshapes its market prospects. Related Reading: XRP Gets A Retirement Twist: Expert Calls It A 401(k) The resolution of Ripple’s case with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in March 2025 cleared a long-standing obstacle, confirming that XRP is not a security in secondary transactions. This milestone has motivated major institutions to get involved. XRP ETF Launch and Institutional Catalysts Drive Rally The debut of the REX-Osprey XRP ETF (XRPR) marked a notable regulatory shift, with $37.7 million in first-day trading volume. BlackRock’s partnership with Ripple on its RLUSD stablecoin and Ripple’s application for Federal Reserve payment access through a national trust bank charter showcase the project’s growing institutional presence. Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity network, which processed $1.3 trillion in Q2 2025, further strengthens XRP’s role in cross-border settlements. September’s rally saw XRP rise by 385%, stabilizing between $2.86 and $2.87 while whales accumulated tens of millions of tokens. With six more ETF applications pending approval in October and CME preparing to list XRP options on October 13, the token’s bullish catalysts remain strong. Analysts project medium- to long-term price targets ranging from $5 to $22, with some anticipating $30 or higher by 2026. XRP's price trends sideways on the daily chart. Source: XRPUSD on Tradingview Technical Outlook: Key Levels to Watch XRP remains above its $2.80 support level, even as volatility continues. Resistance is forming around $3.00, with a breakout likely to pave the way toward $3.40, $4.00, and ultimately $5. Surpassing the $5 mark could boost momentum toward $7. On the downside, immediate support is at $2.60, with further levels at $2.25 and $2.00. Technical indicators are still favorable, with the CCI (50) and Directional Movement Index indicating bullish signs. Traders are considering dip-buying around $2.60, with stop losses near $2.00 and profit targets between $4 and $5. Whale Influence and ETF Scrutiny Despite rising institutional confidence, concerns over concentrated XRP ownership persist. The recent Cyber Hornet ETF filing with the SEC flagged whale dominance as a potential risk, arguing that large holders retain the power to influence price movements disproportionately. Unlike Bitcoin or Ethereum, XRP’s pre-minted supply structure increases liquidity concerns, making it more vulnerable to large transactions. Regulators worldwide have taken notice, with high-value transfers now under closer scrutiny. Related Reading: XRP Supply Shock Incoming As Axelar And Flare Target 8 Billion Tokens Nonetheless, the growing number of institutional products and consistent retail participation suggest that XRP is poised to maintain its momentum, even as debates around whale activity persist. Cover image from ChatGPT, XRPUSD chart from TradingView
According to reports from Egrag Crypto, a statistical model now being applied to XRP points to a wide range of possible outcomes — from a modest climb to an extreme rally. The coin is trading near $2.86 and has fallen about 2% over the past week, which the firm says sits it near an important junction on a long-term trend line. Related Reading: Eric Trump Steps Into Market Talk, Says ‘Buy The Dips’ Let’s check these numbers: a monthly linear regression plotted on a logarithmic scale, with an R-squared of 0.847. That figure is being used to argue that the model explains roughly 80% of past price movement. Monthly Regression Model On Log Scale Egrag’s model is statistical and simple in form, but it is plotted in a way traders often use to read long-term cycles. According to Egrag, XRP has touched the upper limit of that regression channel on three separate occasions, and those past touches inform the present forecast. #XRP – Hit, Miss, or Over Shoot? ( $27, $18 Or $200)???? The chart below is based on the monthly time frame and reflects our analysis of hits, misses, and overshoots using linear regression on a log scale. This analysis is grounded in a 2-standard deviation model. Key Info -… pic.twitter.com/x6M7gEx5Jg — EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) August 27, 2025 In one cycle, XRP overshot the channel by 570% during the 2017–2018 run. In contrast, the 2021 peak landed about 45% below the same boundary. Those past outcomes are being translated into three possible paths for the current phase: a standard hit to $27; a repeat of the 2021 shortfall to about $18; or an extreme overshoot that would push the price toward $200. Three Potential Price Paths The math makes the scale of those options clear. Moving from $2.86 to $18 would mean a rise of about 530%. A leap to $200 would imply a gain of roughly 6,890%. At $200, XRP’s market capitalization would sit near $12 trillion under current supply assumptions; a $27 level would imply a market cap north of $1.6 trillion. Those headline numbers have prompted sharp pushback online, with critics calling the most ambitious forecasts unrealistic given current adoption and liquidity conditions. Crypto Expert’s View Placed In Context Meanwhile, market observers have pointed to XRP’s unusual longevity. Vandell Aljarrah, co-founder of Black Swan Capitalist, reminded readers that XRP traded around $0.00589 in August 2013 and still ranks among the larger tokens today at about $2.78 in recent posts. XRP traded at just $0.00589 in August 2013. 10 years later, still a top-10 asset at $2.78. Most tokens die within a cycle. This kind of resilience doesn’t happen by accident. Assets that survive this long don’t disappear, they usually compound. That’s called staying power. — Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist (@vandell33) September 27, 2025 Reports of that long track record are being used to argue that XRP has a level of staying power many other projects lack. That history does not prove future gains, but it does add a practical footnote when weighing bold forecasts against plain skepticism. Related Reading: When Will XRP Reach $25? Bitcoin Investor Shares A Bold Prediction Possible Outcomes And Market Reality The range from $18 to $200 captures both conservative and extreme views. Based on the regression, EGRAG treats the mid and lower outcomes as the more likely of the three, while the $200 case is cast as a best-case overshoot that would depend on factors far beyond the model itself. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView
The phrase “Uptober” has gained popularity in the crypto market, as October has historically delivered gains in the past. For the XRP price, however, the picture looks very different. A closer look at its history shows a mix of big wins and painful losses, making October far less predictable. Removing the extreme years shows that the data points to flat or negative results, which means investors counting on an explosive rally may end up disappointed. Although the last quarter of the year has brought substantial gains in some cases, the overall record remains inconsistent, suggesting that “Uptober” may be more of a myth than a promise for XRP holders. Historical Data Challenges The “Uptober” Hype For XRP Price Every October, the crypto community hopes that coins will rise, and while Bitcoin sometimes lives up to this expectation, XRP’s history tells a different story. Data from CryptoRank shows that XRP has experienced some notable fluctuations in October over the last decade. In 2013, the token soared by more than 94%. In 2014, it jumped 130%. In 2020, it even delivered an explosive rally of nearly 179% in just one month. Related Reading: Pundit Says Bitcoin Is Still In A Bull Market Despite Price Crash; Here’s Why But these massive rallies are rare. In many other years, the results were disappointing. For example, the XRP price suffered double-digit losses in October of 2018 and 2021. In other years, gains were delivered only in tiny amounts, far below what traders had hoped for. Stripping away the highs and lows makes the overall trend clear. The median October return for XRP is actually a slight loss of 1.79%, and the average return is even worse at -4.58%. This data suggests that October is far more likely to bring disappointment than explosive growth for XRP holders. While the idea of “Uptober” may sound exciting, the history of XRP shows its performance in October is scattered, unpredictable, and often hostile. Q4 Patterns Show Risk Of Relying On Seasonal Myths Some traders argue that even if October is not always a great month, the XRP price usually performs well in the final quarter of the year. Indeed, the last quarter has sometimes delivered big rallies, and the average Q4 return for XRP is nearly 88%. But these results are heavily skewed by a few extraordinary years. When the numbers are balanced, the median return for Q4 is actually a loss of 4.32%. Related Reading: XRP Holders Could Lose Millions Of Dollars In 10 Days, Here’s Why The negative median Q4 return shows that the perception of Q4 strength is not as reliable as many believe. The standout rallies do not represent the typical outcome. Instead, most years end up modest or even negative. The pattern points to risk, not certainty, for those who assume every Q4 will bring green candles. Past data proves that while extraordinary runs are possible, they are rare, and the more common result is far less exciting. XRP could still surprise to the upside, but history warns against treating October as a guaranteed month of gains. Believing the hype without considering the risks may leave investors unprepared for disappointment. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto analyst Bobby has revealed that the XRP price is about to close a 3-minute candle above a major region. He indicated that this was very bullish for the altcoin, providing insights into how high it could rally. XRP Price Set To Close Fourth 3M Candle Above In an X post, Bobby revealed that the XRP price is about to close its fourth 3-minute candle above the highest 3-minute candlestick close of its prior bull cycle. He added that the altcoin is also on track to close a 3-minute candle body above the previous 3-minute candle wick high amid a highly fearful market and even without reaching a 1.618 extension. Related Reading: XRP Price Is ‘Firing On All Cylinders’ As Super Rare Bullish Setup Emerges Based on this, he urged market participants to “think bigger,” possibly alluding to the projections for the XRP price in this market cycle. His accompanying chart showed that XRP could rally to as high as $13, representing a gain of over 400% from its current price level. Meanwhile, Bobby highlighted the candle closes above the April 2021 high as another reason he is bullish on XRP. His analysis comes amid a market downtrend, which has seen the XRP price drop below crucial support levels. Bobby suggested that the current downtrend was nothing to worry about. He stated that a golden pocket retest for XRP, from its latest low to its swing high, would be between $2.50 and $2.55. However, he declared that a drop to this range wouldn’t change a “single thing” about where the altcoin is heading. Instead, the crypto analyst believes that this would help weed out paper hands, who don’t deserve to benefit from what is to come for the diamond hand holders. He added that strategy and patience are needed amid the wait for the XRP price to reach new highs. XRP Could Reach As High As $33 Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has predicted that the XRP price could reach as high as $33 in this market cycle. He explained that, within the 2-week timeframe of the last leg in previous cycles, XRP always touched the 21 EMA before it blasted off. In 2017, the altcoin touched the EMA and then surged 1,250% while it rallied 560% in 2021. Related Reading: XRP Analyst Says ‘We Will All Be Surprised’ By October With This Breakout Egrag Crypto noted that if history repeats, the XRP price could rise to as high as $33 or $17, based on the gains from the previous cycle. Meanwhile, XRP could also record an average rally of 905%, which would put its price at $27. The analyst added that he doesn’t see how XRP won’t reach these targets. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $2.85, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP price is attempting a recovery wave above the $2.820 zone. The price now faces a couple of key hurdles near $2.880 and $2.920. XRP price is slowly moving higher above the $2.80 support zone. The price is now trading above $2.80 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $2.80 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $2.920. XRP Price Dips Eyes Upside Break XRP price found support near $2.70 and recently started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to surpass the $2.780 and $2.80 resistance levels. There was a clear move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the $2.995 swing high to the $2.70 low. However, the price is now facing hurdles near $2.88. Besides, there is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $2.80 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The price is now trading above $2.820 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $2.88 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the $2.995 swing high to the $2.70 low. The first major resistance is near the $2.920 level. A clear move above the $2.920 resistance might send the price toward the $2.9880 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $3.020 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $3.050. Another Decline? If XRP fails to clear the $2.880 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.820 level. The next major support is near the $2.80 level and the trend line. If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.80 level, the price might continue to decline toward $2.720. The next major support sits near the $2.70 zone, below which the price could gain bearish momentum. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $2.80 and $2.720. Major Resistance Levels – $2.880 and $2.920.
Demand for XRP on the CME derivatives exchange continues to rise, providing a bullish outlook for the altcoin. This comes ahead of the potential approval of the XRP ETFs, which could further spark institutional demand for XRP. CME XRP Futures Hit New Milestone In an X post, the CME group announced that it has hit its four-month milestone for XRP futures, with a notional trading volume of $18.3 billion, 6 billion XRP traded, and 397,000 contracts traded. This again highlights the demand for the altcoin, with the derivatives exchange previously stating that the altcoin’s futures products have shown demand from both institutional and retail participants. Related Reading: Institutional Investors Are Heavily Accumulating XRP And Solana – Here Are The Numbers Notably, the CME XRP futures crossed $1 billion in open interest (OI) last month, with the altcoin becoming the fastest-ever contract to do so, having hit the mark in just three months. Amid the demand for the altcoin on the derivatives exchange, CME has announced plans to launch options trading on the XRP futures on October 13. This is expected to further boost the demand on the CME exchange, which is a positive for the altcoin. This new milestone for XRP futures comes just ahead of the potential launch of XRP ETFs under the 33 Act, which will also elevate institutional interest in the altcoin. Fund issuers are expected to file amendments for their respective funds as soon as the end of this week. This comes amid the SEC’s approval of the generic listing standards, which could enable these XRP ETFs to launch earlier. If that doesn’t happen, the focus will shift to Grayscale’s October 18 deadline, which is the first final deadline among all seven XRP filings. The commission could approve these funds simultaneously, just as it did with the Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. Massive Demand Expected For The ETFs It is worth mentioning that market expert Nate Geraci had previously alluded to the success of the CME XRP futures as one of the reasons he believes people are underestimating the demand the spot XRP ETFs may record. He also noted at the time that there was already over $800 million in futures-based XRP ETFs. Related Reading: XRP Goes Head-To-Head With Bitcoin In This Metric As South Korean Market Wakes Up In another X post, Geraci doubled down on his statement that people are “severely” underestimating the investor demand for the spot XRP ETFs. He noted how a similar thing happened with the spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, which have so far exceeded expectations. Canary Capital CEO Steven McClurg also has high expectations for the XRP ETFs, predicting that they could record up to $5 billion in inflows in their first month. He also believes that they could outperform the Ethereum ETFs in the process. At the time of writing, the altcoin price is trading at around $2.75, down over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP fell about 8% since last week and dropped below the $3 psychological mark, trading near $2.74 after a sell-off that followed rejection at $2.95. According to Sistine Research, a pattern of tightening price action — known as a compression phase — is forming again, and that pattern could set the stage for a sharp move once buyers or sellers push price out of the narrow range. Related Reading: Hyperliquid’s Days Numbered? Expert Forecasts ‘Painful Death’ Compression Phase Returning Based on reports from Sistine Research, XRP has entered its third major compression phase since the US election last November. In plain terms, price swings have grown smaller as trading has concentrated into a tighter band. That shrinking range can build pressure. When that pressure releases, price can move quickly because there are fewer orders nearby to slow the move. Expecting a large expansionary move from XRP soon (within months). As the price action compresses, so does the orderbook, with most liquidity compressing into a tighter and tighter range. This results in very large gaps in liquidity. XRP is on its 3rd compression since the… pic.twitter.com/hjRVzeK8wc — Sistine Research (@sistineresearch) September 24, 2025 Liquidity Gaps Could Amplify The Breakout Market watchers point to liquidity gaps as a key reason any breakout might be sudden. Based on the explanation given by researchers, buy and sell orders cluster inside the compressed range. That leaves thin order books just outside the band. If XRP breaks up or down, those thin spots mean less friction and a higher chance of rapid price movement. History Shows Compression Can Precede Big Gains Past cycles for XRP back up the basic idea that compression can precede big moves. In early 2017, XRP rose from about $0.0054 in February to roughly $0.43 in May — a move that amounted to a nearly hundred-fold gain over roughly three months. Analyst Targets Add Fuel To The Debate No single price target was set by Sistine Research, but other analysts have published bold scenarios. Matt Hughes has mapped Fibonacci extension levels at $8.30, $13.39, and $26.63, and projects a potential 770% rally to some of those zones. According to his math, a stake of 40,000 XRP could be worth more than $1,000,000 at the highest target. Those projections are being used by bullish traders as reference points, while skeptics warn that big targets come with big risks. #XRP – Patterns Repeat, But You Keep Ignoring It! Target: $15-$33 ????: ▫️The last phase of the #XRP bull run always leaves significant clues, and I’m not overlooking them! ???? While many in the #XRP community are panicking, I see a different picture. Some are selling off their… pic.twitter.com/j2D5iY5m5L — EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) September 25, 2025 ‘Patterns Repeat, But You Keep Ignoring It’ Meanwhile, Egrag Crypto, a well-known XRP bull, has reiterated that historical patterns provide clues and has criticized lower forecasts as misleading. According to his commentary, the same setups that preceded previous rallies are reappearing now, and those who dismiss them may be underestimating upside potential. Related Reading: Bitmine’s Ethereum Appetite Grows With Fresh $70 Million Buy What Traders Should Watch Short-term traders will likely monitor support near current levels and watch order flow around $2.95. A clear breakout above the tight band could trigger fast moves if liquidity gaps remain; conversely, a failure to hold support could lead to a quick drop. Based on reports, the coming weeks could be decisive for XRP’s next directional move. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView
XRP price attempted a recovery wave above the $2.850 zone but failed. The price is again moving lower and might decline again below the $2.720 zone. XRP price is moving lower below the $2.850 support zone. The price is now trading below $2.840 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $2.850 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it dips below $2.720. XRP Price Dips Below Support XRP price attempted a recovery wave above the $2.90 level, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to surpass the $2.90 and $2.92 resistance levels before the bears appeared. A high was formed at $2.995 and the price started a fresh decline. There was a drop below the $2.90 support. Besides, there was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $2.850 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. A low was formed at $2.724 and the price is now consolidating below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $2.995 swing high to the $2.724 low. The price is now trading below $2.850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $2.788 level. The first major resistance is near the $2.850 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $2.995 swing high to the $2.724 low. A clear move above the $2.850 resistance might send the price toward the $2.920 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $2.950 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $3.00. Another Decline? If XRP fails to clear the $2.850 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.720 level. The next major support is near the $2.680 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.680 level, the price might continue to decline toward $2.6150. The next major support sits near the $2.60 zone, below which the price could gain bearish momentum. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $2.720 and $2.680. Major Resistance Levels – $2.850 and $2.920.
Dark Defender, a prominent XRP analyst, has drawn significant attention to the token, suggesting that XRP may be setting up a move that could take the market by surprise. Despite its struggle to decisively break above the $3 mark, XRP is now forming a Falling Wedge pattern that signals the potential for a powerful breakout by October. Falling Wedge Signals XRP Breakout By October In a recent XRP price analysis, published on Monday, Dark Defender noted that the third-largest cryptocurrency has once again respected its key support levels at $2.85, despite being rejected at $3.13. The XRP price tapped into the primary support trendline, highlighted in orange on the chart, which has consistently held as a structural base. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts XRP Price Will Definitely Reach $10,000, Gives Reasons Why Importantly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is edging closer to oversold territory, a signal often associated with potential price reversals. While skepticism spreads across the market, Dark Defender insists that the XRP bullish structure remains intact and that disbelief itself is a sign that many could be caught off guard by what’s to come. The analyst notes that the cryptocurrency has been consolidating within a Falling Wedge pattern between July and September. According to him, October could be the month when XRP finally breaks free from the wedge and delivers a rally strong enough to surprise the broader market. Building on this momentum, Dark Defender has forecasted three potential price targets for XRP by October: $4.17, $4.92, and $5.85. These levels correspond to upper Fibonacci Extension zones, specifically 261.8%, 361.8%, and 236.8%, respectively. Meanwhile, XRP has its closest supports set at $2.80 and $2.64, ensuring a strong base for the projected Falling Wedge breakout. XRP Bullish Run Just Starting Following his earlier predictions, Dark Defender further reinforced his bullish case by asserting that XRP has not begun its true rally. He suggested a power shift is underway, hinting that what the market has seen so far is only the beginning of a larger bullish wave. Related Reading: Analyst Unveils 3-Month Prediction For Bitcoin, XRP, And Dogecoin – It’s Very Bullish This perspective arrives at a time when XRP has already delivered a remarkable performance in 2025. According to CoinMarketCap’s data, the cryptocurrency has gained 384% Year-to-Date, a surge fueled by increasing demand, rumors of a potential XRP ETF, and renewed confidence after the conclusion of the Ripple-SEC lawsuit. With XRP reaching a high of $3.65 earlier this year and trading just over 5% shy of reclaiming its former all-time high of $3.84, Dark Defender remains certain that the asset’s real growth is still ahead. Based on this view, the recent pullback below $3 is not seen as a weakness, but rather as a consolidation phase before the next leg higher. He highlighted that XRP is nearing the end of this corrective ABCDE consolidation phase and preparing for a lift-off. According to his chart analysis, once the cryptocurrency reclaims the $3.33 level, it could pave the way for double-digit prices. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP holders just got reminded that they may miss out on a major token giveaway if they do not act promptly. A reminder from the crypto community has made it clear that only a short time remains before the current claim window closes. If eligible holders fail to take part, they risk losing millions of dollars in value from the free distribution. The project team has stated that the claim process is open, but it will not remain so indefinitely. After the first phase concludes, fewer opportunities will be available, leaving many with limited or no options. Rick McCracken Warns XRP Holders Of Imminent Deadline Cardano community member Rick McCracken is now urging XRP and Cardano holders to pay attention. He reminded users that only 10 days remain to claim their free Midnight (NIGHT) tokens. The first phase of the airdrop, known as the Glacier Drop, will officially close on October 4 at 12:00 p.m. UTC, after which any holder who has not claimed their share will no longer be able to receive it in this phase. Related Reading: Expert Reveals Why XRP Won’t Mirror Bitcoin’s Path And Why A Decoupling Is Imminent This reminder has raised an alarm because many XRP holders are yet to act. The risk is clear: failing to claim means missing out on tokens that could be worth millions in the future. Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson has also given updates on the claim process. He explained that tens of thousands of addresses have already taken their share of NIGHT tokens. Millions At Stake As Midnight Airdrop Enters Final Phase The claim portal for NIGHT tokens opened on August 5, allowing 33.6 million addresses across eight major blockchains to participate. The supported networks include Cardano, XRP, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, Avalanche, Basic Attention Token, and BNB. From the very beginning, the distribution was to allocate half of the supply to Cardano users, 20% to Bitcoin holders, and the remaining 30% to other chains. Related Reading: CEO Dismisses September Crash, Reveals Why The Bitcoin Price Is Headed For $150,000 So far, more than 70,000 users have claimed over 1.6 billion NIGHT tokens. XRP holders, however, account for only 5.72% of the claims so far, indicating that many have yet to take action. It leaves a considerable amount of unclaimed value still on the table. With only days left in the Glacier Drop, the clock is ticking for XRP holders to protect their stake. After the Glacier Drop ends, the Scavenger Mine will begin. In this next phase, users can collect unclaimed NIGHT by completing basic computer tasks. Later, the Lost and Found phase will open for those who missed the first round. However, any tokens remaining after these steps will be allocated to the project’s treasury and will be permanently lost. That is why XRP holders face the real risk of losing millions in value if they fail to act before October 4. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Ripple has unveiled a partnership that places its RLUSD stablecoin at the center of tokenized finance involving BlackRock and VanEck. The announcement, which was shared on the company’s official X account, connects Ripple directly to tokenized versions of institutional funds and sets the stage for deeper integration between the XRP Ledger and some of the largest names in asset management. Ripple And Securitize Join Forces Ripple confirmed that it is working with Securitize,the world’s largest tokenization platform, to bring in real-time liquidity for institutional assets provided by BlackRock and VanEck. Through this arrangement, holders of BlackRock’s $BUIDL and VanEck’s $VBILL can instantly convert their fund shares into RLUSD, allowing them to retain access to on-chain yield. With the partnership, BUIDL and VBILL holders will now be able to instantly exchange their shares for RLUSD 24/7. Related Reading: Ripple Meets With US And US Government To Talk Crypto – Here’s What Happened Acording to the announcement, Securitize is also expanding integration with the XRP Ledger. Considering Securitize is one of the largest tokenization platform, this move increases the XRP ecosystem’s exposure to tokenized assets and strengthens Ripple’s push to imporove its on-chain financial infrastructure. “Making RLUSD available as an exchange option for tokenized funds is a natural next step as we continue to bridge traditional finance and crypto,” said Jack McDonald, SVP of Stablecoins at Ripple. “ Ongoing Discussions Around Ripple and BlackRock Speculation around Ripple’s relationship with BlackRock has been building for months, and many in the industry have linked Ripple’s cross-border settlement technology to the asset manager’s vision for tokenization. The company is now working to tokenize $2 trillion worth of assets on the blockchain. BlackRock launched its first tokenized fund, BUIDL (BlackRock USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund), in March 2024, doing so through Securitize’s infrastructure. Securitize serves as the platform that tokenizes BlackRock’s fund, issuing digital tokens that represent ownership of the underlying real-world assets. Related Reading: Ripple’s XRP Ledger Just Introduced A Pivotal Update In Its Quest For Dominance The implications are significant. Ripple has managed to secure a foothold in the conversation by tying RLUSD to tokenized funds. Ripple’s RLUSD is now linked not only to BlackRock’s BUIDL but also to VanEck’s VBILL fund. This creates a direct link between Ripple’s stablecoin ecosystem and products from two of the world’s biggest asset managers. The partnership can be viewed as an important step that could eventually pave the way for XRP itself to be tied into BlackRock’s tokenization efforts. This partnership also speaks to Ripple’s strategy of expanding the utility of RLUSD. Since its launch, the stablecoin has steadily grown in adoption, reaching a market capitalization of about $742 million. The collaboration with Securitize, and through it with BlackRock and VanEck, also improves XRPL’s presence in the real-world asset (RWA) tonization sector. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP stands at a pivotal point as it approaches the $2.97–$3 resistance zone. Holding above this level could confirm bullish momentum and spark the next Wave 3 rally, but a rejection here risks triggering a deeper correction. Perfect Retest: $2.79 Support Holds Strong CasiTrades, a crypto analyst, recently shared an update on XRP’s ongoing market structure, pointing out that the backtest of the $2.79 support level was flawless. According to CasiTrades, this was precisely where momentum was expected to re-enter the market, and buyers have indeed shown strength at this zone. She emphasized that the macro 0.5 Fibonacci level is continuing to act as a major support, anchoring XRP during the broader correction phase. Related Reading: XRP Needs To Defend $2.98 Support To Avoid Deeper Correction – Details Despite this positive reaction, the analyst cautioned that the market is not entirely clear just yet. While the bounce from support shows encouraging signs, XRP still has work to do to confirm a fully bullish reversal. CasiTrades explained that for XRP to invalidate the risk of a deeper correction, the price must break and sustain above the $2.97 level. This mark, representing the 0.854 retracement and the bottom of Wave 1, is a crucial barrier that could alter the trajectory of XRP if successfully reclaimed. The analyst added that the full confirmation of support would only come if XRP manages to flip the $3.00 level, which aligns with the macro 0.382 Fibonacci retracement range, into a reliable support zone. Strength Or Collapse: XRP Market’s Defining Moment CasiTrades laid out the two potential paths for XRP based on its reaction to the key resistance levels. If the asset successfully breaks above the previously mentioned resistance points, namely $2.97 and $3.00, it would signal a major strength and confirm a new trend for what she refers to as Wave 3 up. This outcome would likely validate the recent rally and suggest that the correction is over. Related Reading: XRP Price Recovery Stalls – Traders Watching If Bulls Can Overcome Resistance Conversely, she warns of a potential downside if those resistance levels are not broken. In this scenario, the market could retest the $2.79 support level once again. A more bearish outcome would see the price dip even lower, toward the $2.58 level, which corresponds to the .618 Fibonacci retracement level. Thus, the crypto analyst concludes by emphasizing the importance of closely monitoring these levels on the RSI (Relative Strength Index) for any signs of exhaustion. The RSI is a momentum oscillator, and watching it in conjunction with the price action could provide early warnings of a potential reversal, helping to confirm whether the trend is strong or if a pullback is imminent. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP price attempted a recovery wave above the $2.850 zone. The price is now struggling to clear $3.00 and might decline again below the $2.80 zone. XRP price is moving lower below the $2.920 support zone. The price is now trading near $2.90 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $2.850 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it dips below $2.850. XRP Price Faces Hurdles XRP price found support near $2.680 and recently started a recovery wave, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to surpass the $2.80 and $2.85 resistance levels. The bulls pushed the price above the 50% Fib retracement level of the main decline from the $3.138 swing high to the $2.678 low. However, the bears are active near the $3.00 resistance. The price faced rejection near $3.00 and reacted to the downside. The price is now trading near $2.90 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. Besides, there is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $2.850 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $2.95 level. The first major resistance is near the $2.9620 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the main decline from the $3.138 swing high to the $2.678 low. A clear move above the $2.9620 resistance might send the price toward the $3.00 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $3.050 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $3.120. Another Decline? If XRP fails to clear the $2.9620 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.880 level. The next major support is near the $2.850 level and the trend line. If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.850 level, the price might continue to decline toward $2.780. The next major support sits near the $2.70 zone, below which the price could gain bearish momentum. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $2.880 and $2.850. Major Resistance Levels – $2.9620 and $3.00.
XRP Ledger has just reached a turning point in its history with the launch of its first native stablecoin. This milestone marks the beginning of a broader expansion for the XRP Ledger, positioning it as a serious player in the race to blend global liquidity with everyday usability. Why A Native Stablecoin Matters For XRP The recent launch of the first native stablecoin for XRP on the Flare Network marks a significant development for the XRP ecosystem. Onur, a trader and ambassador to NEARProtocol and Somnia_Network, has mentioned on X that the new stablecoin is designed to provide extra utility for XRP and create new liquidity rails for holders. It is worth noting that this initiative is part of Flare Network’s broader strategy to expand the utility of FAssets adoption. Related Reading: XRP Price Stability Signals Opportunity – Is a Fresh Breakout on the Horizon? Onur also drew attention to the stablecoin design, which is based on a battle-tested collateralized Debt position (CDP) and stability pool model. He also sees this as a first step toward a more self-sustaining DeFi layer on Flare, where liquidity is generated natively rather than depending solely on external assets. Onur concludes by expressing his curiosity about the level of demand from XRP holders for liquidity without selling for this new product. Based on a new report highlighted by a technical analyst, ALLINCRYPTO, Ripple is positioning the XRP Ledger as a top-tier platform for institutional DeFi. In addition, the report reveals significant milestones, including securing over $1 billion in monthly stablecoin volume and ranking among the top real-world asset tokenization activities. Meanwhile, the report also confirms that zero-knowledge proofs (ZKPs) are currently being developed for the XRPL to strike a balance between user privacy, regulatory compliance, and scalability. Major Analysts Are Now Targeting XRP An Italian crypto expert, Fabio Zuccara, has drawn attention to a shift in the market’s perception of XRP, referencing bold price predictions from major market voices on Wall Street. These forecasts, which place XRP’s potential value between $10,000 and $35,000, are not mere random speculation. Related Reading: $480 Million In 2 Weeks? XRP Whale Movements Could Reveal The Next Price Direction Zuccara’s core argument is that the adoption of XRPL for RWAs is poised for an explosion. He points to the $653.39 trillion global real estate market, which is preparing to migrate onto the XRPL through Real token. The token was launched with a phase one supply of just 100 million tokens, with a remarkable 80% already burned. Specifically, this extreme scarcity creates the foundation for a massive supply squeeze. Zuccara illustrates this with a compelling calculation that if a mere 1% of the $650 trillion market flows through the XRPL, the value of the Real token could surge from its current price of $0.023 to $64,500. However, this kind of supply shock could unfold overnight, positioning the REAL Token as the premier RWA and DeFi asset on the XRP Ledger. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
A fresh technical analysis by market expert Egrag Crypto highlights two major scenarios that could shape the next potential XRP price rally. Drawing on historical price patterns and critical support levels, the analyst suggests that XRP could be on track for either a slightly conservative surge toward $9.6 or an explosive rally to $33. XRP Price Retest Signals Path Toward $9.6 In his post released on X social media, Egrag Crypto highlights XRP’s market behavior during the 2021 cycle, particularly the cryptocurrency’s interaction with the 21 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and how it has played a role in fueling massive gains. At the time, XRP faced one of its most turbulent periods in its history. Related Reading: 8-Year Accumulation Phase Could Catapult XRP Price To $6 The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) lawsuit against Ripple had triggered a sharp drop, pushing the XRP price below the 21 EMA. This move disrupted the bullish structure that had supported XRP in earlier rallies, spreading uncertainty and fear across the market. However, XRP eventually managed to reclaim the 21 EMA and hold it as a critical support level. The chart analysis shows that after the cryptocurrency executed a successful retest, it staged a powerful rebound, driving its price up by approximately 414%. Applying this same percentage gain to XRP’s current market structure, the analyst presents his first bull rally scenario, projecting targets that point to a peak around $ 9.60. His chart analysis reveals that the current market setup resembles the key conditions observed in 2021, particularly with XRP’s recent retest of the 21 EMA on June 9 this year. The Altcoin Faces Potential Moonshot To $33 Egrag Crypto’s second scenario for the XRP price outlook is modeled after its explosive rally during the 2017 cycle, when the 21 EMA acted as a powerful launchpad for growth. At the time, XRP bounced off this key support level twice, paving the way for a remarkable 1,610% rally. Related Reading: Analyst Sounds Major XRP Warning: Last Chance To Get In As Accumulation Balloons This breakout marked one of the most defining moments in XRP’s history, propelling the asset from sub-dollar levels to a fresh ATH around $3.84 at the peak of that bull cycle. If XRP repeats the 2021 cycle dynamics in 2025, Egrag Crypto forecasts that the measured move points to another 1,610% increase, potentially pushing the price to a more ambitious target of $33. Such a rally would represent one of the strongest performances in XRP’s history, firmly establishing it as a standout asset in the market. With the US SEC lawsuit finally concluded and XRP completing its third retest of the 21 EMA this year, the conditions are aligning for a potential surge toward $9.6 or $33. Currently, XRP is trading at $2.87, having declined in the past week by approximately 5%. While the cryptocurrency managed to reclaim the $3 resistance level briefly, it failed to sustain momentum and is now consolidating below this key threshold. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
The crypto market has long moved in the shadow of Bitcoin, because for years, its rallies and sharp drops have pulled nearly every other digital asset such as XRP with it. However, according to Versan Aljarrah, co-founder of Black Swan Capitalist, the XRP token could break away from this cycle. According to him, XRP is on a different mission, one that goes beyond speculation and closer to real-world use. That role is why he says it will not mirror Bitcoin’s path, and why a decoupling is now on the horizon. Versan Aljarrah Reveals XRP’s Institutional Role Sets It Apart From Bitcoin Aljarrah stresses that XRP does not follow Bitcoin’s “digital gold” story. While Bitcoin serves as a store of value, XRP serves a very different purpose. In the X post, the expert refers to the cryptocurrency as a bridge asset for banks and financial institutions. Related Reading: CEO Dismisses September Crash, Reveals Why The Bitcoin Price Is Headed For $150,000 In today’s financial world, cross-border payments can often be slow, expensive, and risky because of foreign-exchange issues. XRP addresses these problems by cutting out multiple intermediaries. According to Aljarrah, this practical utility places XRP closer to the daily operations of global finance, rather than the speculative trading behavior that defines Bitcoin. Rather than acting like a typical cryptocurrency, XRP is evolving into core financial infrastructure. That transformation, according to Aljarrah, could move XRP far beyond a purely speculative asset and position it as part of the underlying system that connects currencies and payment networks worldwide. Why Regulatory Clarity And Adoption Drive XRP Toward Decoupling For years, one of the biggest obstacles facing XRP was legal uncertainty. Ripple Labs, the company associated with XRP, was embroiled in a lawsuit with the SEC. But that cloud has now lifted. Court rulings have made it clear that XRP sales on public exchanges are not securities transactions, and with the appeals dropped, the case is now closed. With the court issue resolved, attention is shifting to growth, as developers are now adding new tools for institutions to the XRP ecosystem, including automated market making, stablecoin support, and updated token standards. Related Reading: Grayscale Files For New Dogecoin ETF Amid Approval Expectations, Is The Next Price Surge Coming? Banks, fintech companies, and payment providers are starting to test and integrate with XRP. At the same time, the XRP Ledger is growing stronger. Ripple has also launched RLUSD, a stablecoin, and is working on obtaining banking licenses worldwide. All these steps point toward a token that evolves into financial infrastructure rather than remaining a speculative play. Aljarrah notes that these changes mean XRP will no longer move like Bitcoin. Its price will not only depend on market speculation but also on its usage, the strength of regulations, and the growing demand for instant settlement. For these reasons, he believes decoupling is certain. Over time, XRP will carve its own path as adoption spreads and its role in finance becomes more central. Featured image from DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP price started a fresh decline below the $2.90 zone. The price is now showing bearish signs and might decline again below the $2.780 zone. XRP price is moving lower below the $2.90 support zone. The price is now trading below $2.880 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.90 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it dips below $2.780. XRP Price At Risk of Another Decline XRP price failed to stay above the $3.00 pivot level and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $2.920 and $2.90 support levels. The bears even pushed the price below $2.80. A low was formed near the $2.678 support, and the price recently started a recovery wave. There was a move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $3.138 swing high to the $2.678 low. However, the bears are active near the $2.90 resistance. The price is now trading below $2.90 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.90 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $2.880 level. The first major resistance is near the $2.90 level and the trend line. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $3.138 swing high to the $2.678 low. A clear move above the $2.90 resistance might send the price toward the $2.950 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $3.00 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $3.120. Another Decline? If XRP fails to clear the $2.90 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.780 level. The next major support is near the $2.7150 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.7150 level, the price might continue to decline toward $2.650. The next major support sits near the $2.60 zone, below which the price could gain bearish momentum. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $2.780 and $2.7150. Major Resistance Levels – $2.90 and $2.950.