XRP price’s structural positioning is back under the microscope after a well-known market analyst flagged a decisive inflection zone that could determine the asset’s next expansion leg. However, the call centers on whether price can decisively overcome a reclaimed barrier that previously acted as both a milestone and now a ceiling. $2.47 Rejection Defines XRP Price’s Immediate Battlefield The analyst’s thesis traces back to an earlier strategic entry identified near the $0.50 region. From that foundation, XRP advanced to meet the $2.47 target before extending beyond $3.30, producing an estimated +600% appreciation during that impulse phase. Current price behavior, however, reflects a shift in market character. The $2.47 level that once served as an upside objective has now transitioned into overhead resistance. The charts show price stalling beneath this horizontal barrier after a sharp rally, reinforcing it as a supply-dense zone. Related Reading: Is XRP Near a Turning Point? Oversold Readings Clash With Key $1.50 Resistance Reinforcing this view is XRP’s broader historical structure. A long-term chart shared by the analyst highlights a rounded macro base formed after an extended drawdown along a descending curved trendline. Multiple higher lows emerged across that base, signaling progressive demand absorption. A breakout from this compression zone triggered the vertical expansion that ultimately tested the $2.47 region. Now, price is consolidating above prior support shelves while compressing beneath resistance — a configuration more commonly associated with continuation setups than terminal tops. The analyst connects this compression to the early phase of an altcoin cycle rotation, emphasizing that XRP has historically outperformed during periods of sector-wide capital expansion. Alt-Season Tailwind Opens Path To $4.804, Then $15+ The analyst’s forward projection depends on one trigger: a confirmed move back above $2.47. His models indicate that turning this level into support would open the next measured leg, targeting $4.804. From the current positioning, that would mark a gain of more than +230%. Related Reading: Here’s Why The XRP Price Has Been In A Consistent Downtrend Since 2025 The projected path on the chart he posted follows a staircase expansion structure — breakout, consolidation, continuation — reflecting XRP’s prior cycle behavior. Horizontal markers above price show interim friction zones, but the trajectory assumes momentum will accelerate once the resistance supply is cleared. Beyond this mid-range objective sits a much larger macro outlook. On a broader view, the analyst points to historical symmetry between XRP’s previous cycle expansion and its current base formation. The scale of the completed accumulation, combined with the curvature of the long-term reversal, supports an extended projection placing $15+ within strategic range. This upper target is not framed as immediate but as a cycle-level radar point dependent on sustained alt-season liquidity, continued higher-low formations, and structural acceptance above reclaimed resistance zones. In execution terms, $2.47 acts as the gateway. Rejection keeps XRP range-bound; acceptance turns the structure into a continuation engine. If wider market conditions align with the analyst’s alt-season thesis, the charts suggest XRP’s expansion phase may remain incomplete — with $4.804 as the next operational milestone and $15+ positioned as the longer-horizon objective. Featured Image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP’s price has drifted lower this week, slipping roughly 4.5% and trading below $1.40, as macroeconomic pressures and unresolved regulatory issues weigh on digital assets. Related Reading: Bitcoin Giant Awakens: 2,043 BTC Moved After 7-Year Slumber Market data from major price aggregators show XRP’s market capitalization at around $85 billion, amid persistent volatility in broader crypto markets. Despite this downturn, some analysts underline technical patterns and potential policy shifts that could set the stage for a significant market move. XRP's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: XRPUSD on Tradingview XRP Price Action and Technical Signals On the technical front, crypto analysts note that XRP recently returned to the lower boundary of a long-term price channel on the weekly charts, a level that has historically preceded upward trends. According to chart interpretations, XRP’s price tends to rebound strongly after touching this support zone, with similar patterns seen in early 2017, late 2024, and earlier in 2026. These bottoms have often led to extended upticks, suggesting traders might be watching the current zone closely as a potential entry point. Short-term price metrics reflect ongoing pressure. XRP is trading below key moving averages and immediate support levels, with few strong bullish catalysts in sight today. Institutional interest in spot XRP ETFs has cooled compared with early phases of their launch, and derivatives markets show traders unwinding positions, with a negative weighted funding rate signaling short-term bearish sentiment. Regulatory Uncertainty and Macro Headwinds Regulatory ambiguity remains a significant factor influencing XRP’s performance. Discussions in Washington over crypto policy, particularly around stablecoins and digital asset oversight, have failed to provide clear guidance, leaving traders cautious. Investor commentary has picked up, with some market figures suggesting that XRP could benefit from broader regulatory changes. Well-known investor Mark Yusko noted potential shifts in digital asset rules that could limit access to private stablecoins and elevate alternative assets like XRP for payments and reserves. While specifics on timing and structure remain vague, the idea of upcoming rule changes has fueled debate within the crypto community. What Analysts Are Watching Despite the bearish drift, a number of analysts are closely watching structural signals. Technical patterns that historically signalled rebounds could hint at future strength if broader market sentiment stabilises. Some traders see current price levels as key to positioning for a possible breakout should regulatory clarity or macro conditions improve. Related Reading: BlockTower’s Ari Paul: Bitcoin May Never Hit Another All-Time High Overall, XRP’s short-term outlook is mixed. Current price behavior reflects ongoing market uncertainty, but technical patterns and potential policy developments keep the door open for a larger move if external conditions shift. Cover image from ChatGPT, XRPUSD chart on Tradingview
XRP price failed to surpass $1.50 and started another decline. The price is now correcting gains and might find strong bids near $1.340. XRP price started a downside correction and declined below $1.420. The price is now trading below $1.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a declining channel forming with resistance at $1.4050 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it stays above $1.3320. XRP Price Holds Support XRP price failed to stay above $1.50 and started a downside correction, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $1.450 and $1.420 levels to enter a negative zone. The price even dipped below the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.1356 swing low to the $1.5435 high. However, the bulls remained active near the $1.340 zone. Besides, there is a declining channel forming with resistance at $1.4050 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The price is now trading below $1.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $1.40 level. The first major resistance is near the $1.4050 level, above which the price could rise and test $1.4650. A clear move above the $1.4650 resistance might send the price toward the $1.50 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.5250 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.550. More Losses? If XRP fails to clear the $1.4050 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.3380 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.1356 swing low to the $1.5435 high. The next major support is near the $1.2920 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.2920 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.250. The next major support sits near the $1.2320 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.2150. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.3380 and $1.2920. Major Resistance Levels – $1.4050 and $1.450.
XRP is showing strength in its Wave 4 bounce following last week’s sharp sell-off. While short-term momentum is building, the larger downtrend hasn’t been broken yet, leaving the possibility of one final push lower before a true recovery can take hold. Wave 4 Relief Bounce Unfolds After Brutal Capitulation XRP is currently moving through a Wave 4 relief phase after last Thursday’s aggressive sell-off. According to CasiTrades, the intensity of that drop with RSI hitting multi-year lows suggests capitulation likely took place. However, it also raises the probability that the broader correction may still require one more wave down before fully completing. Related Reading: XRP Price To $1 Or $10? Analyst Warns Investors Of Possible Crash The rebound since that flush has shown strength, which is typical for a Wave 4 reaction after a deeply oversold move. So far, price has already reached the first Wave 4 target at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement near $1.52. This level also aligns with the macro 0.65 retracement, creating a strong confluence zone where temporary resistance would be expected during a bounce of this nature. There is still room for the relief to extend higher toward the $1.65 region, where the 0.5 retracement and macro 0.618 Fib converge. That level now stands as the key decision point. A sustained move above it would strengthen the recovery outlook, while rejection there would increase the likelihood of a wave down to complete the correction. $1.65: The Line In The Sand For XRP’s Next Big Move Analyst CasiTrades further explained that if price fails to reclaim and hold $1.65 as support, it would likely pave the way for a final impulsive leg lower, with downside targets sitting around $1.09 and potentially as deep as the $0.90 region. Related Reading: XRP Price Above $1.50 Could Flip Sentiment And Fuel Recovery She noted that the recent relief rally has already helped reset the RSI from extremely oversold conditions. As a result, a drop into those lower targets could form a bullish divergence on momentum indicators, which often marks strong long-term buying opportunities, if the setup materializes. On the other hand, if XRP successfully breaks above $1.65 and flips it into solid support, the outlook shifts. In that scenario, the focus would be on waiting for a confirmed back-test of the reclaimed level, using that strength as a more favorable and structured entry rather than chasing price prematurely. CasiTrades emphasized that this is not the moment for panic selling. XRP is hovering near the deeper end of a broader correction, and major technical levels across exchanges have already been tested. Thus, the anticipated final wave down either shortens or fails altogether, potentially marking the beginning of a stronger recovery phase. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto analyst TARA has predicted that the XRP price could still crash below the psychological $1 level. This came as she drew the altcoin’s correlation to Bitcoin’s price action, while highlighting how a BTC crash could also push XRP to as low as $0.87. XRP Price Could Drop To $0.87 If Bitcoin’s Crash Deepens In an X post, TARA stated that a Bitcoin crash to $52,200 would bring the XRP price down to its .786 support at $0.87. She noted that this level is also the .618 extension and the gap that was left by the October 10 liquidation event. The analyst made these comments while noting what she was watching for on XRP during this market downtrend. Related Reading: XRP Price Enters ‘Final Shakeout Zone’, What Investors Should Expect TARA also mentioned that the XRP price has reached its textbook .382 resistance at $1.53, but that the waves on Bitcoin appear incomplete. She predicted that XRP could suffer another leg down in the short term as she expects a short-term correction for BTC to $65,800 before it makes another push up to the .5 resistance level at $75,400. The analyst stated that this projected Bitcoin crash to $65,800 could bring the XRP price down to $1.30 as a short-term support, with another wave up expected as high as the .5 resistance at $1.65. Meanwhile, TARA remains bullish on XRP in the long term, noting that the macro Wave 3 targets remain $7 to $9. She also noted that XRP could have bottomed around this current range, but BTC continues to largely drive price action for the altcoin and the broader crypto market, which is why it can still drop further. Two Potential Scenarios For XRP Crypto analyst CasiTrades stated in an X post that the XRP price is currently in a Wave 4 relief that could send it towards the .5 retracement and macro .618 near $1.65, a level she described as critical. She warned that if XRP fails to flip $1.65 into support, it would set up a clean final wave down targeting $1.09 or even $0.90. Related Reading: What Happens Now That The XRP Price Has Revisited The October 10 Lows? CasiTrades further stated that this current relief bounce has reset the RSI enough that a move down to these levels would likely produce a bullish divergence, which makes them “exceptional long-term buy zones.” On the other hand, if the XRP price reclaims $1.65, she stated that it will be best to wait for confirmation of a back-test of support and then use that as an entry off strength. The analyst told investors that this is not a time to panic sell, as major lows have been reached, and that there is a chance the final wave down fails. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.38, down over 4% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
On-chain data from Glassnode has unveiled the reason why the XRP price has been in a persistent downtrend since 2025. Notably, the XRP price crashed from its high above $3 last year and has been falling ever since. While many in the crypto space believed XRP could eventually reclaim the $3 level, the cryptocurrency has continued to struggle, shedding more gains each month amid broader market weakness and a shift in sentiment. Why The XRP Price Has Been Declining Since 2025 Glassnode has attributed XRP’s prolonged price correction since 2025 to a shift in investor behavior driven by weakening on-chain profitability and rising losses among holders. According to the data, XRP fell below the aggregate holder cost basis, which represents the average price at which current investors acquired their tokens. Related Reading: XRP Price To $1 Or $10? Analyst Warns Investors Of Possible Crash When a cryptocurrency trades below this level, a large portion of holders are technically underwater, meaning they are holding at a loss. This condition often leads to panic selling as investors attempt to limit further losses, increasing selling pressure on the asset and reinforcing the price downtrend. A key indicator supporting this view is the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), measured using a seven-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The SOPR tracks whether coins being moved or sold on the blockchain are being done so at a profit or a loss. Glassnode’s chart shows that XRP’s SOPR declined from about 1.6 in July 2025 to around 0.96 recently. Notably, a value above 1 indicates that holders are selling at a profit, while a value below that signals that coins are being sold at a loss. This sustained move below the neutral level suggests that most selling activity in XRP is now occurring at a loss rather than in profit-taking conditions. As a result, on-chain profitability for XRP holders has turned negative. Such an environment usually weakens investors’ confidence in a cryptocurrency and reduces the incentive to hold it, especially among short-term traders. Negative profitability can also discourage new capital inflows, as prospective buyers see limited signs of recovery or momentum, further contributing to price decline or stagnation. XRP Structure Mirrors Bearish 2022 Setup Interestingly, Glassnode noted that XRP’s current market structure closely resembles a period between September 2021 and May 2022. During that earlier phase, XRP’s SOPR also fell below 1 and remained there for a long time. Related Reading: XRP Bounces Hard After Capitulation — Relief Rally Or Another Bull Trap? The period was also marked by prolonged consolidation and low volatility following sharp declines, before the market eventually stabilized. This comparison suggests that XRP may be experiencing a similar structural phase in which losses dominate trading activity and recovery is delayed until selling pressure eases and sentiment moves back to positive territory. As of writing, the XRP price has declined even further, now trading under $1.4. CoinMarketCap data shows that the cryptocurrency has plummeted by more than 4.3% over the past 24 hours and by well over 46% year to date. Featured Image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP price failed to surpass $1.550 and started another decline. The price is now correcting gains and might struggle to stay above $1.340. XRP price started a downside correction and declined below $1.450. The price is now trading below $1.420 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a declining channel forming with resistance at $1.430 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it stays above $1.320. XRP Price Dips Again XRP price failed to clear $1.550 and started a downside correction, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $1.50 and $1.480 levels to enter a negative zone. The price even dipped below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.1356 swing low to the $1.5435 high. Besides, there is a declining channel forming with resistance at $1.430 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The price is now trading below $1.420 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $1.430 level. The first major resistance is near the $1.450 level, above which the price could rise and test $1.50. A clear move above the $1.50 resistance might send the price toward the $1.545 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.625 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.720. More Losses? If XRP fails to clear the $1.50 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.340 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.1356 swing low to the $1.5435 high. The next major support is near the $1.30 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.30 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.240. The next major support sits near the $1.20 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.150. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.340 and $1.30. Major Resistance Levels – $1.430 and $1.50.
A crypto analyst has shared a comprehensive roadmap for XRP, outlining key milestones and projected prices at each stage. The report examines potential catalysts, institutional demand, liquidity, global settlements, and market conditions that could drive the XRP price towards $10,000. XRP Short-Term Price At New Market Milestones Market analyst Crypto_Luke has outlined a detailed roadmap for XRP, showing potential milestones that could push the cryptocurrency to new highs. He identifies $3.84 as the first key target, a level that could break XRP’s 2018 all-time high. The analyst said that crossing this level could trigger price discovery, with XRP potentially surging to $18, marking the fifth wave of market momentum. Related Reading: Pundit Explains Why The XRP Price Hitting $100 Isn’t Delusional Crypto_Luke notes that many investors may choose to exit during this stage, not because the rally is over, but because market conditions may appear overstretched. The analyst said the market would create a sense of euphoria, testing retail sentiment before a major shakeout. After entering a price discovery, XRP is expected to “release from suppression,” and launch from $18 toward $80. Crypto_Luke highlighted that this stage will attract the most profit-taking, especially from retail investors. Following this, the analyst expects XRP to explode into the quadruple-digit range, fueled by its institutional use cases as a global payment currency. Roadmap To A $10,000 Valuation Crypto_Luke’s roadmap outlines a transition phase leading to a final target of $10,000. Before XRP reaches this ambitious valuation, he predicts its price will break out of the initial $18 target and potentially reach $1,000. The analyst said this explosive rally will likely be fueled by “early utilization,” indicating real-world use of XRP by institutions and financial systems worldwide. Related Reading: Why The Market Cap Argument For XRP Price Not Reaching $10,000 Is ‘Flawed’ Crypto_Luke noted that access to liquidity corridors is also critical during this transition phase. These channels allow XRP to move efficiently between institutions across different regions. During this stage, banks and payment providers begin using the token for cross-border settlements, demonstrating its value beyond being a speculative cryptocurrency. The analyst added that financial institutions would also repeatedly test and scale XRP, likely to ensure the network can handle large transaction volumes and complex operations. By the time XRP reaches full utilization, Crypto_Luke projects that its price will skyrocket to $10,000. At this level, the analyst said XRP could power banking rails and enable global settlement, enabling faster, more reliable transactions across countries. In addition, XRP would support asset tokenization at scale, enabling currencies and financial products to be represented digitally and transferred throughout the blockchain network. Notably, Crypto_Luke confirmed that no specific date has been set for his bullish projections. He noted that the market moves in response to changes in conditions, not a calendar. When this happens, he expects XRP’s repricing to happen rapidly. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP’s recent slide has left traders asking whether the worst is over. Prices have been weak since Q4 2025, and reports say the token has lost roughly half its value from an October opening near $2.80 to about $1.42 as we speak. That drop came with a sharp move in momentum indicators, which traders rarely ignore. Related Reading: After Predicting XRP’s Drop, Analyst Says The Bottom May Be In Extreme RSI Readings Near A 12-Year Low According to market reports, the daily relative strength index fell to about 17 on Feb. 5, pushing readings to levels not seen in over a decade. That is an extreme number for RSI on a daily chart. When readings hit this depth, past action has often produced strong, quick rebounds. History does not promise a repeat, but it does give a pattern that many traders watch closely. Patterns From The Past Offer Both Hope And A Warning Reports note several prior episodes when low RSI numbers lined up with sharp recoveries. After an October low, a bounce of roughly 70% came in just nearly half a month. Other lows in mid-2024 and April 2024 produced gains of about 65% and 35% within short windows of days. Those moves were fast, and they were driven by buyers jumping in when momentum looked exhausted. Still, past rebounds can be followed by renewed selling, and what happened before isn’t guaranteed to happen again. XRP just hit an RSI of 20 on the daily—the most oversold it’s ever been in its history. Every single time XRP has hit these extreme levels, a 15-40% bounce followed within two weeks. Not sometimes. Every time. Relief bounce to $2.20-$2.50 is the highest probability setup we’ve… pic.twitter.com/F8e7WBRbyu — Ripple Bull Winkle | Crypto Researcher ???????? (@RipBullWinkle) February 5, 2026 Major Bounce In The Offing? A vocal market commentator, crypto researcher Ripple Bull Winkle, has pointed to those patterns and argued that a 15%–40% bounce often follows such extreme readings. Based on reports, that view has traction with some traders, who are watching for signs of a short squeeze or a flush that shakes out weak hands. Other traders caution against leaning on a single signal. The broader market, macro news, and funds’ behavior can overwhelm technical cues. Large short-liquidity zones above $2.25 and between $4.20 and $4.40 are on the chart; if price hits those spots, moves can accelerate quickly. XRP’s Position Versus Major Coins XRP has not been alone in losing ground, but its pair trades show some relative strength. The XRP/ETH pair has been in a range since August 2025, and XRP/BTC recovered after a brief breakdown. Dominance metrics have held near the 3.5% area and have even bounced to roughly 3.6%. These data points mean XRP isn’t collapsing in isolation; it’s moving inside a market that’s broadly weak. What Traders Might Watch Next Volume will matter. So will daily closes above key resistances and whether the RSI climbs out of extreme territory with conviction. A clean break above the $2.25 level could put the next targets in view, while failure to sustain a bounce would likely keep sellers in control. Related Reading: Tron Accumulates TRX, Price Pops As Justin Sun Weighs In Risk control is expected to be important; many moves after deep oversold readings were sharp but short-lived, so position sizing and stop rules have a practical role. For now, reports say the setup is one of opportunity and danger at once. Traders who are watching momentum see a chance for a quick recovery. Others note that structural selling and wider market pressures could blunt any rally. Either way, the coming days should show whether this is a relief bounce or the start of something larger. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView
XRP is still grinding in the mid-$1 range, with the past 24 hours, for instance, spent trading between $1.38 and $1.46. Although XRP is trading with some stability compared to the crash last week, the outlook among crypto traders and analysts is divided. Some traders are positioning for additional downside, while others are anticipating a rebound to higher price levels. A technical outlook shared on X added uncertainty to the discussion around where XRP could be headed next, with the analyst warning of a possible crash to $1. It is no secret that a large section of the XRP community across social media believes the token is on the verge of entering double-digit territory. Expectations of a rapid move to $10 have become increasingly common in recent discussions on various social media platforms. However, an analysis, which was shared by crypto analyst Crypto Patel, pushes back against the optimism around a straight move to $10 in the next altseason. Analyst Questions Whether $10 Comes Before A Drop To $1 Recent price action, most especially the crash in early February, has shown that the market-wide sentiment needed for XRP to trade at $10 might not actually be there yet. According to Crypto Patel, the path to $10 may not be as linear as many expect. Related Reading: Next XRP Breakout Target At $15 Following This Measured Move; Analyst The army is focused on a $10 target, but the price action could first put that conviction to the test through a deeper corrective phase. The important question raised by the analyst is whether XRP pushes straight toward double digits, or does it revisit $1 first? Clues to that answer can be found on the monthly candlestick chart, which shows a higher probability of XRP revisiting the $1 area before any sustained push toward $10. XRP is currently trading about 60% below its July 2025 peak, and the chart highlights a broad resistance band above current prices and a clearly defined accumulation zone lower down. The structure shows that although a repeat of the brutal 96% collapse seen from $3.28 to $0.105 back in 2018 is unlikely, a controlled retracement beneath $1 cannot be ruled out. A strong support is marked well below the $1 level, and the analyst suggested that the $0.70 to $0.50 region is the most attractive long-term accumulation area if the price were to unwind below $1. Patience Over FOMO Chasing price at local highs carries significant risk in the current setup. The best place to buy, according to the analyst, is between $0.70 and $0.50. The $1 level is also a reasonable entry point, though only for small position sizes. The most important thing, however, is patience and not falling into FOMO at the top. Related Reading: These Metrics Are Flashing Warning Signs As XRP Approaches A Potential Bear Market Shift At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $1.42. A decisive move higher, particularly a weekly close above the $1.50 level, would likely shift sentiment back toward a more bullish outlook. Featured Image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP price started a decent increase above $1.420. The price is now consolidating gains and might aim for more gains above the $1.50 zone. XRP price started a decent upward move above the $1.40 zone. The price is now trading above $1.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a declining channel forming with support at $1.350 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $1.50. XRP Price Faces Hurdles XRP price started a recovery wave above $1.380 and $1.40, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price gained pace for a clear move above the $1.450 resistance. The bulls even pumped the price above the $1.50 zone. A high was formed at $1.5435 and the price started a consolidation phase. There was a drop below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.135 swing low to the $1.543 high. The price is now trading above $1.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. Besides, there is a declining channel forming with support at $1.350 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $1.450 level. The first major resistance is near the $1.50 level, above which the price could rise and test $1.5450. A clear move above the $1.5450 resistance might send the price toward the $1.650 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.720 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.80. Another Decline? If XRP fails to clear the $1.50 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.40 level. The next major support is near the $1.340 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.135 swing low to the $1.543 high. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.340 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.30. The next major support sits near the $1.250 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.20. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.40 and $1.340. Major Resistance Levels – $1.450 and $1.50.
XRP is approaching mid-February caught between technical stress and renewed accumulation. After one of its sharpest sell-offs in months, the token has rebounded from recent lows but remains capped below a key resistance zone near $1.50. Related Reading: Next XRP Breakout Target At $15 Following This Measured Move; Analyst The conflicting signals, extreme oversold indicators, heavy capitulation volume, and steady institutional inflows, are fueling debate over whether XRP is stabilizing or simply pausing before another move lower. The latest downturn unfolded quickly. XRP fell more than 30% from early January highs, briefly touching the $1.11 level during the February 5 market-wide sell-off. That drop coincided with peak fear across crypto markets, as Bitcoin slid toward $60,000 and broad liquidations erased hundreds of billions in market value. XRP's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: XRPUSD on Tradingview Oversold Signals and Capitulation Volumes Technical analysts point to unusual momentum conditions. On the weekly chart, XRP’s Relative Strength Index fell to levels historically associated with market bottoms rather than routine pullbacks. Analysts such as STEPH IS CRYPTO note that these readings often reflect selling exhaustion, though they do not guarantee an immediate reversal. Volume data adds weight to that view. During the February 5 crash, XRP recorded its highest single-day trading volume on Coinbase in nearly a year, a pattern some analysts associate with capitulation. Blockchain Backer, who had warned of a downturn earlier in January, argues that such spikes often mark the later stages of a decline, even if prices still consolidate or retest lows afterward. XRP Dip Buyers Step In as Institutions Hold Interest While retail sentiment weakened during the drop, several high-profile investors publicly disclosed dip buying. Media personality Patrick Bet-David confirmed adding to his XRP position during the sell-off, echoing similar disclosures from market commentator Coach JV. Both framed their purchases as long-term accumulation rather than short-term trades. Institutional data tells a similar story. XRP was the only major crypto asset to post positive ETF flows last week, attracting roughly $45 million in net inflows while Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana products saw outflows. The bulk of that demand came from Franklin Templeton and Bitwise XRP ETFs, suggesting that some institutions are maintaining exposure despite ongoing price weakness. The $1.50 Level Remains the Line to Watch Despite the rebound, technical resistance remains firm. XRP continues to trade below former support zones between $1.50 and $1.65, which now act as supply. Analysts caution that until the price reclaims these levels and begins forming higher lows, recent gains should be viewed as corrective. Related Reading: Retail Dumps, Bitcoin Inflows Surge: On-Chain Data Flags Capitulation For now, XRP sits at a crossroads. Oversold conditions and steady inflows suggest selling pressure may be easing, but the market has yet to confirm a broader trend change. Whether XRP can turn stabilization into a sustained recovery likely hinges on how it behaves around the $1.50 resistance in the days ahead. Cover image from ChatGPT, XRPUSD chart on Tradingview
Crypto analyst Austin has commented on how XRP could record a 1,500% rally to $24 based on an Elliot Wave theory. He also stated that the rally will be swift, which is why the analyst warned investors to be prepared when the current correction is over. XRP Eyes 1,500% Rally To $24 as Analyst Warns Investors To Be Prepared In an X post, Austin shared an accompanying chart showing that XRP could rally to $24 on Wave 5 of an Elliot Wave analysis. Meanwhile, the altcoin is expected to reach between $8 and $14 on Wave 3, which the analyst expects to happen anytime soon. He remarked that XRP is well-positioned to begin the macro 3rd wave into price discovery at any moment. Related Reading: XRP Price Has Just Reached Most Oversold Level In History And This Analyst Is Predicting A Bounce Austin further mentioned that the XRP rally on this Wave 3 could be right around the corner or that it could take a while longer to work out this correction before the next impulse. However, he warned investors to be prepared because when this correction resolves, which he is confident it will, it will result in swift and violent moves to higher prices just like the Wave 1 move. The analyst also noted that the 2.618 extension sits at $8.47 while the 4.236 extension is at $13.64. He stated that these are both good targets to aim for, but expects higher prices given the length of time XRP has been consolidating and building out its current structure. Why XRP Is Ready To “Blast” Into Price Discovery Austin stated that on the macro scale, XRP appears ready to enter price discovery at any moment. He explained that the altcoin has experienced a 7-year contracting triangle accumulation structure followed by an explosive 5-wave breakout to test the all-time highs (ATHs) at Macro Wave 1. Related Reading: Analyst Who Predicted XRP’s 600% Rally Forecasts The Bottom And A Target Of $10 The analyst further noted that XRP has been in an ABC correction/reaccumulation for over a year, which has resulted in mass fear and capitulation down to a .702 to .786 retrace. He assured that this has been nothing but a macro wave 2. Meanwhile, Austin also reminded investors that XRP is the only crypto asset with complete regulatory clarity in the U.S. following the settlement of the SEC lawsuit. He added that Ripple has continued to silently build out the infrastructure required to foster global adoption when the time is right to “flip the switch.” Notably, the crypto firm recently unveiled its roadmap for institutional DeFi on the XRP Ledger (XRPL), highlighting XRP’s role at the core of this infrastructure as it rolls out compliance-focused features to attract institutions. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.44, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
The XRP Ledger has quietly crossed a critical milestone. What began as an experimental blockchain designed to challenge the inefficiencies of cross-border payments is now maturing into full-scale financial infrastructure. With the final constraints that once limited bank participation now removed, XRPL is no longer something institutions test; it’s something they can deploy. How XRPL Addressed Compliance And Operational Gaps Ripple has removed a key barrier that previously prevented banks from settling directly on the XRP Ledger, a change that could enable billions of inflows into the Ledger. Crypto analyst Diana has revealed that for years, a recurring question has surrounded Ripple’s network of over 300 bank partnerships: If adoption was so broad, why isn’t there massive on-chain volume on XRPL? Related Reading: Is XRP Poised To Replace SWIFT As Global Payments Infrastructure? As explained by Ripple Chief Technology Officer (CTO) and board member David Schwartz (JoelKatz), the reason was not technical performance; it was compliance and counterparty certainty. Institutions were unable to guarantee who was providing liquidity or whether counterparties met regulatory requirements when settling on-chain. That constraint is now being addressed. Permissioned Domains are live on XRPL, allowing institutions to operate within compliant, access-controlled environments while still benefiting from on-chain settlement. However, a Permissioned DEX, which is scheduled to go live on February 18, will enable institution-only liquidity pools designed specifically for regulated participants. A big week is ahead for Ripple XRP, with more token utility anticipated. BSCN on the X platform reported that the week ahead could be an important one for the Ripple community, with new updates focused on expanding the real-world utility of XRP set to be introduced. RippleXDev has announced that the XRP community day will take place on February 11, featuring a series of live social media events. One of the key discussion points will be how upcoming roadmap features translate directly into XRP utility. RippleXDev indicated that the session will explore several foundational pillars designed to drive adoption, including programmability through smart extensions and contracts, zero-knowledge proofs (ZKPs) for privacy and stability, and compliance building blocks such as permissioned domains and the permissioned DEX. Why Extreme Conditions Often Precede Relief Rallies XRP price has entered the most oversold condition in its history. According to Skipper, analysts are stating that every time the altcoin reached comparable extremes, the price eventually reversed to the upside. Based on this historical pattern, XRP may be approaching a significant rebound, with a move back above the $2 level now back in focus. Related Reading: XRP Price Bearish Continuation Confirmed As Downside Pressure Builds At the same time, the evolution of the classic DEX is accelerating. DEX Pro would bring together the critical market data into a single, streamlined interface, bridging the gap between decentralized execution and professional-grade data analysis and giving traders the tools to make smarter, faster, and more informed decisions. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP has staged a sharp rebound after a brutal sell-off that flushed price into deep capitulation territory, sparking a fast and aggressive bounce. While the recovery shows clear short-term strength, the bigger question remains whether this move marks the start of a meaningful trend shift or just another relief rally within a broader downtrend. Capitulation Flush Sets The Stage For A Bounce XRP has recently emerged from a sharp sell-off that printed yet another lower low, underlining the strength of bearish pressure seen in recent weeks. According to MakroVision Research, such impulsive downside moves are often seen toward the later stages of broader corrective phases, where panic selling and capitulation tend to peak as weaker hands are flushed out. Related Reading: XRP Price Has Just Reached Most Oversold Level In History And This Analyst Is Predicting A Bounce From that capitulation low, price action has started to stabilize and transition into a short-term recovery attempt. Buyers reacted swiftly, suggesting that selling pressure may be easing for now and that the market is trying to build a base after the steep decline. The rebound itself unfolded with notable momentum, as XRP surged by more than 30% in a relatively short period. This impulsive recovery is typical of first reactions following strong sell-offs. Despite the encouraging short-term strength, the broader structure remains under pressure, and XRP is still locked in a medium-term downtrend. Unless the price decisively breaks above the descending trendline and reclaims the key resistance cluster around $2.20, the bigger picture continues to favor a bearish bias rather than a confirmed bullish reversal. Upside Reclaim Needed To Shift XRP Narrative MakroVision Research further noted that the recovery phase places several critical levels in focus. A sustained move back above the $1.80–$1.85 zone would be the first clear indication that buyers are beginning to regain control, opening the door for a broader continuation of the rebound. Related Reading: XRP Price Bearish Continuation Confirmed As Downside Pressure Builds Until that happens, downside risks remain present. The liquidity area extending toward the $1.35 level continues to act as an important reference point, as price could still be drawn back into this zone if the current recovery loses momentum. The firm also cautioned traders to pay close attention to the nature of the counter-trend move. Recovery rallies that unfold in deep, impulsive bursts often signal distribution rather than accumulation, and in past market phases, this type of price action has frequently preceded another leg lower. Overall, XRP has stabilized after the sharp sell-off and is attempting to build a short-term base. While the immediate reaction shows strength, the broader market structure remains bearish as long as the resistance cluster near $2.20 caps price. Whether this move evolves into a sustainable recovery or fades into another lower high will depend on how the price behaves around these key levels. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP’s price action has revisited and retested a resistance level that it already broke out from on the monthly candlestick timeframe chart. According to a technical analysis shared on the social media platform X by crypto analyst Javon Marks, this retest is part of a broader continuation structure, much like something it has done before. Despite the current bearish price action, the technical analysis is pointing to a rebound to significantly higher price targets, with the measured move projecting a run to as high as $15. XRP Pulls Back To Test Broken Resistance XRP’s price action in the past week has been notably bearish, with the cryptocurrency losing price support levels upon price support levels. This price crash saw XRP fall from above $1.90 in the last week of January to eventually bottom around $1.15 on February 5, its deepest one-week pullback in recent months. Although a rebound followed the February 5 low, the broader tone of the past week has yet to turn fully bullish. Related Reading: Why Is XRP Sentiment Rising To The Positive While Bitcoin And Ethereum Suffer? Interestingly, this crash fits into a larger bearish trend that has been playing out for multiple months on the monthly timeframe. XRP’s price action on the monthly candlestick timeframe chart reveals the cryptocurrency is now on five consecutive red monthly candlesticks. The most recent red candlestick close was in January, where it closed with a negative 10.6% below its open. February trading is showing little evidence of a decisive reversal so far, and XRP has extended its losses by 13% since the beginning of the month, according to data from CryptoRank. According to technical analysis shared by Javon Marks, the recent downturn corresponds to a familiar behavior that appeared in XRP’s long-term chart history back in 2017. Marks pointed out that the slide to $1.15 on February 5 coincided with a retest of a long-term descending trendline that had capped XRP’s price action since the $3.40 peak in 2018. That trendline was kept intact for years before finally breaking in 2025, during XRP’s advance toward a new all-time high of $3.65 in July 2025. The chart accompanying Marks’ analysis, which is shown below, demonstrates how February’s wick low precisely tagged this resistance trendline before it bounced higher. Measured Move Projection Targets $15 Now that XRP has rebounded from this trendline, the important thing is predicting what happens from here. The analyst’s outlook is built around a measured move derived from how XRP played out the last time such a similar trendline retest happened back in 2017. Related Reading: Here Are The Next Major Levels To Watch For XRP As The Crypto Market Enters Red Season The chart above shows a prolonged period of compression inside converging trendlines before XRP finally resolved higher. By projecting the height of that consolidation from the breakout point, Marks places the next major price target above the $15 level. According to Marks, this retest may be what sends XRP on a major push to $15. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $1.43, having rebounded by about 24% from its February 5 low. Featured Image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP price started a recovery wave above $1.50 but failed near $1.9250. The price is now consolidating and might aim for a fresh move above $1.50. XRP price started a recovery wave above the $1.420 zone. The price is now trading above $1.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.4550 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $1.50. XRP Price Faces Key Hurdle XRP price remained supported above $1.20 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to climb above $1.250 and $1.320 to enter a short-term positive zone. There was also a move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.6320 swing high to the $1.1356 low. The bulls even pushed the price above $1.45 but they struggled to keep the price above $1.50. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.4550 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The price is now trading above $1.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $1.4550 level. The first major resistance is near the $1.4660 level. A close above $1.4660 could send the price to $1.50. The next hurdle sits at $1.5150 or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.6320 swing high to the $1.1356 low. A clear move above the $1.5150 resistance might send the price toward the $1.620 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.650 resistance. Another Drop? If XRP fails to clear the $1.50 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.40 level. The next major support is near the $1.3850 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.3850 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.330. The next major support sits near the $1.320 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.250. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.40 and $1.3850. Major Resistance Levels – $1.50 and $1.5150.
The XRP price has hit oversold levels, marking its lowest readings in history. A crypto analyst has reported that each time XRP has reached these levels, a price bounce has followed. Based on this, he believes that XRP could be on the verge of another major rebound, projecting a potential rally above $2. XRP Price Sinks To Oversold Levels Ahead Of Rebound A crypto market analyst known as ‘Ripple Bull Winkle’ on X has outlined a short-term bullish outlook for XRP. Despite consistently breaking key support levels and now trading around $1.4, the analyst argues that XRP may be positioning itself for a substantial recovery that could ultimately push its price back above $2. Related Reading: Pundit Says XRP Price Is Not A ‘Crypto’ Question, But A Systemically Important Liquidity Asset The basis for Ripple Bull Winkle’s optimism stems from a recurring historical pattern that, in his view, has never failed to produce a bounce in the XRP price. Specifically, the analyst highlights a repeating Relative Strength Index (RSI) pattern. He announced that XRP recently reached an RSI of 20 on the daily chart, marking the most oversold reading in its history. According to the analyst, every time XRP has entered similarly extreme oversold territory, a price bounce of approximately 15-40% has always followed. He said such rebounds typically occur within two weeks of reaching these levels. He also emphasized that this recovery has not happened occasionally but consistently, reinforcing his confidence that XRP is likely to follow the same pattern and bounce again. If everything plays out as expected, Ripple Bull Winkle projects that XRP could see a relief bounce to $2.20-$2.50 before the end of February 2026. He noted that a rally to this bullish target is the highest-probability event the market has had this year. Analyst Shares Multiple Resistance Targets For XRP Looking at Ripple Bull Winkle’s accompanying price chart, he has marked several key resistance zones using red horizontal lines, indicating areas where XRP may encounter selling pressure or struggle to advance. These levels range from approximately $1.8-$1.91 to $2.06-$2.19, followed by $2.29-$2.41, $2.67-$2.78, and a higher resistance band near $3.10-$3.18. Related Reading: Rising Above The Ashes: XRP ETFs Set New Record Despite Market Crash Collectively, these levels serve as both potential barriers that could slow price movement and upside targets that XRP is expected to reach. The upward-pointing blue arrows in the chart also signal the analyst’s expectation of a bullish breakout or a sustained rally toward the stacked resistance levels if XRP builds enough momentum. As of writing, XRP appears to be recovering from its recent downtrend. Its price has rebounded by more than 10% over the past 24 hours and is currently trading above $1.4 after briefly dipping below $1.3, according to CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP’s price crash earlier this week has kept many bullish investors in the XRP community on edge, but one outspoken voice in the community believes the move is not as random as it looks. A crypto pundit known as Stellar Rippler has encouraged XRP holders to pull their cryptocurrencies off centralized exchanges immediately, with the outlook that the recent volatility is not just another routine market dip but a warning sign of what’s to come. Related Reading: Bitcoin Edges Past Gold In Appeal, JPMorgan Says Engineered XRP Crash? Stellar Rippler’s position is based on the idea that XRP is being treated differently from most digital assets behind the scenes. He pointed to past remarks from David Schwartz, co-creator of the XRP Ledger, where XRP was described as a form of pre-allocated liquidity for institutional use, as well as statements suggesting that XRP currently held in escrow can be sold to institutions but will not be circulated until NDAs are disclosed. He went further to name large financial players, including BlackRock, JPMorgan, Bank of America, and institutions linked to the BRICS, the United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom, and European central banking structures. According to the pundit, all these institutions have bought the right to buy the XRP currently held in escrow by Ripple. At the time of writing, there are no public filings that confirm coordinated buying of XRP escrows by these entities, but the argument has found receptive ears among investors unsettled by the recent sell-off. From that angle, the pundit noted that sudden downside moves, such as the recent drop to $1.15, are engineered. By “engineered,” this means the price crash serves a strategic purpose of creating opportunity for large financial players to accumulate XRP at lower prices before any market repricing takes place. Should You Take Your XRP Off Exchanges? Another part of the warning focused on user experience at major crypto exchanges. According to the pundit, Binance and Coinbase users have reportedly been facing difficulties getting their crypto off the exchanges. This, in itself, is a warning for XRP holders to get their cryptos off crypto exchanges and into a cold wallet. That message taps into conversation in crypto about self-custody versus keeping holdings on crypto exchanges. Calls to be your own bank tend to resurface whenever price action turns volatile. The alarm was sounded against the backdrop of a Bitcoin price crash below $70,000 that pulled most cryptocurrencies lower. XRP, in particular, dipped to around $1.15 during the sell-off before rebounding. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sell-Off May Be Done, Analyst Flags Recovery Signs At the time of writing, XRP is trading near $1.42, easing some immediate pressure but not fully restoring confidence. On the subject of confidence, sentiment surrounding XRP on social media is relatively optimistic. Data shows XRP is drawing more positive commentary than other large-cap assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum despite the recent market-wide crash. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
XRP is being talked about in a different way now — not just as a token to trade, but as something that could plug into real finance. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sell-Off May Be Done, Analyst Flags Recovery Signs The talk is shifting from ticker-watchers to companies that want reliable settlement rails and liquid collateral for on-chain assets. That shift shows up in moves on the ledger and in comments from people building businesses around it. XRP Seen As Financial Lifeline According to Jake Claver, CEO of Digital Ascension Group, XRP should be thought of as foundational collateral rather than a short-term bet. He called it “the most pristine collateral” and warned that 99% of holders “have no clue” what they actually hold. Those are strong words, and they line up with wider signals from developers and some institutional players who are testing XRPL’s features for real-world use. 99% of people that own XRP have no clue what it really is…. It’s the most pristine collateral the world has ever seen… It’s the oxygen the new financial system will need to breathe.. I do not know how to impress upon you how important XRP will be for the world moving forward. — Jake Claver, QFOP (@beyond_broke) February 4, 2026 Growing Tokenized Commodity Activity Reports say the XRPL now hosts roughly $1.14 billion in tokenized commodities. That number is important. It shows companies are putting things like energy-linked tokens and diamonds onto the ledger, and it positions XRPL just behind Ethereum in the specific area of tokenized commodity value. These assets aren’t just experiment tokens; they are intended to be tied to physical goods and cash flows, which changes how XRP might be used in settlement and collateral roles. Ripple’s Plan For Institutional DeFi Based on reports from Ripple’s roadmap, the ledger is being prepared for deeper institutional use. Permissioned domains and credentials are being highlighted as tools to let regulated firms operate with KYC and compliance baked in. XRP Price Action Market moves reacted to these developments. After a slide to about $1.11 amid broad market stress, XRP climbed back to roughly $1.53 on February 7, a move of over 35% from the recent low. Trading has since cooled off a little. Some traders point to renewed institutional flows and accumulation by large wallets, while others say global risk sentiment and macro headlines remain the main drivers of day-to-day swings. Institutional Steps Toward On-Chain Credit Meanwhile, reports note early institutional participants are preparing to put capital to work to increase yield and liquidity on XRPL. Planned features like a permissioned DEX, confidential transfers, and smarter escrow controls are meant to make the ledger easier for banks and regulated funds to plug into existing processes. Related Reading: Bitcoin Edges Past Gold In Appeal, JPMorgan Says XRP As ‘Oxygen’ If those pieces arrive and are adopted, XRP’s role as an on-ledger liquidity provider and settlement asset would be reinforced. There are good reasons to watch both the tech and the market. The ledger’s growing base of tokenized goods and the roadmap for lending give a clear use case for XRP as operational collateral. At the same time, price swings show that broader macro forces and speculation still matter a great deal, and adoption by banks and funds will be what really tests the claim that XRP can act as the “oxygen” for a new financial plumbing. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
XRP’s current pullback has diverted attention away from short-term volatility and back toward the bigger picture on the chart. The cryptocurrency is now down by over 60% from its July all-time high, and the decline is showing signs of more downside. As the price continues to break below support levels, one analyst whose earlier outlook preceded a major XRP rally says the cryptocurrency may be approaching a bottom for another accumulation phase. Analyst Points To A New Accumulation Phase XRP’s recent price action has seen many analysts projecting a bottom where the decline might end. However, a technical analysis of XRP’s price action on the 2-week candlestick timeframe chart, which was posted on the social media platform X, frames the current XRP price action as an entry into an accumulation zone. Related Reading: XRP Price Falls Below $1.6: You Won’t Believe What Institutions Are Doing Amid The Crash According to the analysis, XRP has now corrected roughly 58% from its recent peak, placing it directly inside what he calls the first accumulation zone between $1.50 and $1.30. The outlook by Crypto Patel is that this area is not about catching an exact bottom but about building exposure gradually as the price stabilizes. Based on this, the analyst predicted that XRP’s decline will bottom somewhere between $1.5 and $1.3, and this is a great time to start buying slowly at these levels. However, Patel’s outlook also accounts for a deeper drawdown scenario. Should XRP lose the $1.30 region, then the next focus is in a secondary accumulation band between $0.90 and $0.70. Nonetheless, a move into that lower range would still not invalidate the bullish thesis. Instead, it would represent what he describes as the best long-term accumulation opportunity for maximum profits. The $10 Target Is Still In Play XRP’s current price action is a far stretch from reaching $10, and that target seems out of reach at the moment. However, despite adopting a near-term caution, many analysts have not changed their long-term projections. Related Reading: XRP’s 173-Day Theory: What Happens If This Historical Trend Plays Out Again Patel, for example, noted that his long-term target is $10. Although the $10 target remains the same, the analyst noted that buying at $3 or $2 is not ideal since there are opportunities for entries at $1.50-$1 during hard dips for much bigger returns. To support his confidence, Patel pointed back to his previous cycle call, where he shared an XRP setup around $0.50 during the last bear market. That setup preceded a rally to $3.66, delivering gains of over 600%. XRP’s price action in the past 24 hours is characterized by a crash from an intraday high of $1.44 to an intraday low of $1.14. The cryptocurrency is now back to trading at $1.30 at the time of writing, 670% away from reaching the $10 price target. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
The debate over whether the XRP price could reach $10,000 has reignited in the crypto market. However, this time, one crypto analyst challenges the common argument that market capitalization could limit XRP’s growth. According to the analyst, this claim is flawed and does not take into context XRP’s liquidity and utility as a global settlement currency. Why Market Cap Does Not Limit Price Surge To $10,000 Some critics argue that XRP would never hit $10,000 because doing so would make its market capitalization exceed the global money supply. Market analyst Crypto_Luke has addressed this misconception in a recent X post, emphasizing that market cap does not limit the XRP price in any way. Related Reading: Expert Explains Why The Market Cap Theory Doesn’t Apply To XRP The analyst explained that market cap is simply the last traded price multiplied by a cryptocurrency’s circulating supply, which is a snapshot of overall trading activity and not a reflection of how much money is required to achieve a certain price. He noted that the common criticism that market capitalization represents the amount of money invested in an asset is inaccurate. One reason Crypto_Luke believes the market cap argument is flawed is that it fails to account for how XRP operates. Unlike assets designed primarily for storing value, such as BTC, XRP is designed for rapid liquidity and settlement across global corridors. He stated that XRP can be used multiple times in a single day, facilitating transactions without requiring additional capital. As a result, he suggests that XRP’s price is determined by its “actively traded float,” rather than by the total supply that is idle. In his analysis, Crypto_Luke emphasized that liquidity and price adjustments go hand-in-hand in XRP’s design. He explained that assets that move quickly through settlements allow the blockchain network to satisfy demand without requiring equivalent dollar-for-dollar backing. As XRP’s transaction volume increases, its price naturally adjusts to reflect the value of its utility rather than a fixed market cap. The analyst noted that XRP’s supply was intentionally designed to be large, fixed, and non-reissuable. This structure supports a multi-trillion-dollar liquidity pool and enables the network to handle high-volume settlement throughput. XRP Market Cap Crashes Nearly 10% More recently, XRP faces additional downward pressure, as CMC data shows that the cryptocurrency’s market capitalization has crashed by nearly 10%. As of writing, XRP’s market cap has fallen to approximately $79.25 billion following a massive decline in its price over the past 24 hours. Related Reading: XRP Completes ‘Super Guppy Compression’ Against Bitcoin, Next Target Emerges The downturn aligns with the broader market sell-off across major cryptocurrencies, as sentiment has become increasingly bearish. XRP has been among the worst affected, with its price slipping toward $1.3, marking its lowest levels since 2024. The cryptocurrency shows no clear signs of a rebound despite a recent surge in daily trading volume, which has increased by more than 148%. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
Heavy capital outflows and large-scale liquidations have pushed the crypto market firmly into the red, with XRP recording a 26.5% decline over the past week. As prices slide and panic-driven selling accelerates, analysts are shifting focus away from rebound timing toward where support is most likely to form. One prominent market analyst, Casi, has now identified XRP’s next key macro levels, outlining where the asset could either stabilize or face deeper downside pressure. Panic-Driven Market Breakdown Keeps XRP Under Pressure According to Casi’s market assessment, the ongoing selloff reflects broad panic conditions rather than controlled profit-taking. Bitcoin has already shed close to 10% in the current downswing, while XRP has recorded losses approaching 20%, underscoring the scale of liquidation moving through altcoin markets. Related Reading: This Analyst Called The Bitcoin Price Crash 4 Months Ago, But There’s More She emphasized that attempted bullish divergence signals are being consistently invalidated. In structural terms, this means momentum indicators are failing to confirm price strength, removing a key early signal that traders typically rely on to anticipate reversals. Instead of basing, price continues to expand lower, suggesting the market is still in active discovery mode for demand. This context reframes XRP’s decline. Rather than viewing the drop as an isolated retracement, Casi interprets it as part of a broader emotional unwind sweeping crypto. Fast downside expansions, thin bid support, and reactive positioning all point to forced selling rather than strategic rotation. Until volatility compresses and divergence structures hold, the probability of sustained recovery remains limited. Key Fibonacci Zones Define XRP’s Stabilization Path Within this high-pressure environment, the analyst mapped precise macro retracement zones where structural support could emerge. For XRP, the immediate focus sits near the $1.09 region, aligning with the macro 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. This level represents deep correction territory. Reinforcing this outlook, XRP has breached multiple interim supports while following a descending trend, signaling ongoing distribution. The projected drop into the 0.786 zone aligns with historical demand clusters, marking the next area where sellers may tire and buyers could re-enter. However, the analyst stopped short of calling a bottom. The current price behavior was described as fast and emotionally driven, conditions that often produce overshoots before equilibrium returns. In this framework, the $1.09 level is not a guaranteed floor but a structural checkpoint where stabilization can begin forming if sell pressure weakens. Related Reading: Why The Bitcoin Price Could Quickly Revisit $81,000 Again After The Crash Bitcoin’s positioning adds macro context to XRP’s outlook. The analyst is monitoring $64,500 on BTC, corresponding with its macro 0.5 Fibonacci retracement. Should Bitcoin secure support there, it could provide the cross-market stability required for XRP to defend its deeper retracement zone. Failure, however, would increase the probability of extended downside across altcoins. In sum, XRP’s trajectory is now tightly linked to panic dynamics and macro support validation. Until structural confirmation emerges, the market remains in support-seeking mode, with $1.09 standing as the next major level where price may attempt to regain footing. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP price extended losses and traded below $1.30. The price is now consolidating losses but faces hurdles near $1.30 and $1.350. XRP price started another decline and traded below the $1.30 zone. The price is now trading below $1.30 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.380 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it stays below $1.40. XRP Price Dips Over 15% XRP price failed to stay above $1.50 and extended its decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price declined below $1.450 and $1.40 to enter a short-term bearish zone. The price even extended losses below $1.250. A low was formed at $1.1356, and the price is now consolidating losses. There was a minor upward move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.6320 swing high to the $1.1350 low. The price is now trading below $1.30 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is also a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.380 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. If there is a fresh recovery move, the price might face resistance near the $1.30 level. The first major resistance is near the $1.320 level. A close above $1.320 could send the price to $1.380, the trend line, and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.6320 swing high to the $1.1350 low. The next hurdle sits at $1.40. A clear move above the $1.40 resistance might send the price toward the $1.420 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.450 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.50. Another Drop? If XRP fails to clear the $1.320 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.240 level. The next major support is near the $1.2250 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.2250 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.20. The next major support sits near the $1.1650 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.150. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.220 and $1.20. Major Resistance Levels – $1.320 and $1.380.
The XRP price is facing renewed selling pressure, even as Ripple announces another step toward deeper institutional integration with the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem. Related Reading: Bitcoin Crash To $72,000 Signals Major Reset: On-Chain Metrics Deteriorate The token is trading near $1.42, down more than 10% over the past 24 hours, as market participants focus less on corporate developments and more on weakening technical and on-chain signals. The divergence shows a familiar pattern in the markets, positive infrastructure news does not always translate into price support. The latest drop accelerated after XRP slipped below $1.60, a level that had previously served as short-term support. Once that floor gave way, automated selling and stop-loss orders appear to have intensified the move, pushing prices closer to levels not seen since the last broader market pullback. XRP's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: XRPUSD on Tradingview XRP Price Slides as Key Support Breaks Technical indicators suggest the sell-off has been sharp. The Relative Strength Index is approaching oversold territory, reflecting strong downside momentum rather than a slow grind lower. Trading volumes have also picked up during the decline, a sign that sellers are acting with conviction rather than hesitation. On-chain data adds to the cautious outlook. Recent metrics show reduced network activity and limited evidence of sustained accumulation at current levels. In previous corrections, XRP price often stabilized when wallet activity and transaction counts began to rise. If the price fails to reclaim $1.60, analysts increasingly point to the $1.00 psychological level as the next area to watch. While oversold conditions can sometimes trigger short-term bounces, the broader structure suggests XRP remains vulnerable unless sentiment improves. Ripple’s Hyperliquid Integration Fails to Lift XRP The price weakness comes despite Ripple announcing that its institutional prime brokerage arm, Ripple Prime, has added support for Hyperliquid, a decentralized derivatives platform. The integration allows institutional clients to access on-chain perpetual futures while cross-margining those positions with assets such as foreign exchange, fixed income, and other digital assets through a single account. Market reaction has been mixed. While the move underscores Ripple’s push to bridge traditional finance and DeFi, it does not create a direct new demand driver for XRP itself. Some investors had hoped Ripple would prioritize deeper integration of the XRP Ledger. Diverging Signals Across the Market The contrast is clear elsewhere. Hyperliquid’s native token, HYPE, has shown relative strength following the integration news, trading above key moving averages even as the broader market weakens. That divergence suggests capital is flowing toward platforms tied to institutional trading activity, rather than toward legacy large-cap tokens facing technical breakdowns. Related Reading: Are We Near A Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom? History Offers A Framework For now, XRP’s trajectory appears driven more by market structure and on-chain signals than by Ripple’s expanding institutional footprint. Until buyers step in decisively, the risk of a deeper XRP price move toward $1.00 remains on the table. Cover image from ChatGPT, XRPUSD chart on Tradingview
XRP investors are closely monitoring market signals as the cryptocurrency navigates turbulent trading conditions and choppy price action. A recent analysis by market analyst Egrag Crypto identifies a critical exit candle, which could signal the next major step for XRP holders. As volatility increases and downside risks intensify, traders are debating whether to hold, sell, or buy more assets. Analyst Identifies XRP Investors’ Next Exit Candle Egrag Crypto shared a cautious chart analysis for XRP on X this week, highlighting the importance of understanding upcoming price movements if the market is indeed in a bearish phase. He warned that if traders truly believed XRP could decline another 50-60%, then the pump after this price crash should be considered the traders’ next exit candle. Related Reading: XRP Price Falls Below $1.6: You Won’t Believe What Institutions Are Doing Amid The Crash Although he highlighted an exit pump for investors, Egrag Crypto stated that he will not sell his XRP and intends to hold it even if prices fall below $1. He emphasized that, unless XRP breaks below the blue support channel in the chart, his strategy remains long-term, ignoring the market noise. The analyst further noted that XRP’s market structure could soon challenge bearish sentiment, potentially forcing many traders to exit in panic. He said that external factors, such as regulatory changes in the United States (US), could pose significant risks for investors. In particular, Egrag Crypto highlighted the possibility of US President Donald Trump appointing Kevin Warsh as new FED chair, replacing former chairman Jay Clayton. The crypto expert said that if this happens, things could get even worse in the market, potentially accelerating downside pressure. Despite the warnings of a bearish outlook for XRP, Egrag Crypto emphasized that many investors will follow their own strategies. He said that some will continue to hold XRP even if it goes back to $0.5, marking a more than 83% decline from its price high above $3 earlier last year. He also stated that other investors might see the decline as an opportunity to buy and accumulate more tokens, ahead of any future price surges. Market Discipline and Emotional Strategy Remain Critical At the start of his post, Egrag Crypto stressed that his XRP chart analysis is meant to guide investors facing panic, confusion, or emotional overload due to recent market downturns and sudden price crashes. He compared being a crypto investor and trader to competitive sports like basketball or football, describing it as a game that requires skills, preparation, and patience to succeed. Related Reading: Pundit Says XRP Price Is Not A ‘Crypto’ Question, But A Systemically Important Liquidity Asset Since the market runs 24/7, Egrag Crypto asserts that managing both emotional and financial resources is essential. He advised traders to step away from the market when needed and avoid letting any asset dominate their emotional state. He also highlighted the importance of strategy and discipline when investing or trading. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP has been misunderstood as just another retail-traded crypto asset, when in reality, it was engineered from the ground up to serve institutional finance. Most retail investors approach XRP through the lens of short-term price action, but that framing misses what the asset was actually built to do. XRP was never built for retail investors. Crypto trader Adam highlighted on X that from the outset, XRP was designed as institutional-grade infrastructure, powering liquidity corridors, cross-border settlements, and the movement of value between financial systems fast and efficiently. How Early Liquidity Providers Sit Ahead Of Demand The goal isn’t hype or speculation, but rather plumbing for global money flow. In this framework, the retail participant isn’t the target audience. Instead, retail holders occupy an early position, providing optional liquidity and gaining front-row access while the underlying rails are still being built. Related Reading: Ripple’s Next Steps: Where XRP Stops Being Trade And Starts Being Infrastrucutre As institutional adoption continues to expand, retail holders are positioned ahead of the curve and may benefit from utility demand, which ultimately drives long-term value. In this contest, being early doesn’t mean being excluded; it simply means being advantaged ahead of the curve. XRP has already transitioned into an institutional-grade asset. Analyst Xfinancebull has pointed out that the narrative from just two years ago was that many believed institutions would avoid XRP due to its uncertainty, perceived risk, and regulatory clarity, but that landscape has shifted. Currently, XRP exposure is available on major institutional platforms, including Vanguard, which manages over $10 trillion in assets and serves more than 50 million investors globally, and is second only to BlackRock. Multiple XRP ETFs are now live and accessible, including the Bitwise XRP ETF, Franklin Templeton XRP ETF, Canary XRP ETF, and Teucrium 2x XRP ETF. Despite this progress, XRP’s price remains low, and institutions are not emotional about the dip because they don’t buy green candles; they accumulate during the times of fear, and position their capital when retail interest is distracted or discouraged. XRP is now available on the same platforms used in managing retirement funds for millions of Americans and now offers direct XRP exposure. Once institutional allocations begin to flow, available supply can be absorbed quickly. “You’re either positioned before institutions move, or chasing after they’ve already entered,” Xfinancebull noted. Banks Are Already Testing XRPL Infrastructure According to Jake Claver, the CEO of DAGFamilyOffice, the global banking system currently has roughly $27 trillion locked in pre-funded accounts, which only exist because banks can’t settle transactions in real-time. Meanwhile, the XRP ledger alternative can handle that settlement in seconds, and banks are already testing this infrastructure. Related Reading: XRP Tops All Assets On Risk/Reward, Analyst Says The key question, as Claver frames it, is not whether real-time settlement is possible, but how long the current system can persist before the efficiency gains become impossible for banks to ignore. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP is back at a level traders remember all too well. The cryptocurrency suffered a sharp flash crash on October 10 that sent the price crashing down from $2.82 to $1.58 before an equally fast rebound toward $2.36. Months later, that same zone is back in play, but this time without the volatility spike or immediate recovery that characterized the earlier move. At the time of writing, XRP is trading around $1.44, down 10.4% over the past 24 hours. This sustained selling pressure has pushed the XRP price back into the flash crash low, and the next question is about what happens from here. Why The October 10 Wick Low Matters So Much According to a technical analysis done by crypto analyst Hov on the social media platform X, the October 10 wick low has been one of the most important structural levels to hold on XRP’s weekly candlestick timeframe chart. Related Reading: XRP Just Hit A Golden Pocket, Relief Bounce Puts Price At $2.5 During the October 2025 flash crash, the XRP price registered a low of around $1.58, which acted as a panic extreme where the XRP price snapped back quickly once forced liquidations were cleared. However, the current situation looks different. XRP has now revisited and slightly undercut that wick low through real bearish trading, and as noted by crypto analyst Hov, things are starting to shape up. Hov’s technical analysis framework places XRP in the final stages of an expanded flat correction, with the current decline forming the C-wave. Notably, the analyst is tracking an ending diagonal within the C-wave. This is because ending diagonals are known for overlapping price action, compressed ranges, and false breakdowns that can shake out late sellers. If the structure holds, then XRP might transition into a stabilization phase and a potential reversal sequence. If it fails, then the corrective phase is not yet complete. $1.43 Is The Line That Changes Everything The most important thing to note going forward is how XRP reacts at $1.43 on the weekly timeframe. Technical analysis shows that this is the level XRP must hold to keep the current structure intact. A close below $1.43 would invalidate the ending diagonal thesis and shift the outlook decisively bearish. In the analyst’s words, that is where “things get real ugly real quick.” Related Reading: XRP’s 173-Day Theory: What Happens If This Historical Trend Plays Out Again The bullish scenario laid out on the chart also depends on XRP managing to hold above this $1.43 area. In that case, the projection shows the price stabilizing at this support before reversing higher and eventually going into a powerful rebound. Under this outlook, XRP would be entering an Impulse Wave V within a larger Elliott Wave structure. If that impulse plays out as expected, the chart points to long-term upside price targets stretching as high as $5.53. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP price extended losses and traded below $1.50. The price is now consolidating losses but faces hurdles near $1.5320 and $1.550. XRP price started another decline and traded below the $1.5250 zone. The price is now trading below $1.50 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.5850 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it stays below $1.60. XRP Price Dips Again XRP price failed to stay above $1.5320 and extended its decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price declined below $1.5250 and $1.50 to enter a short-term bearish zone. The price even extended losses below $1.4850. A low was formed at $1.4330, and the price is now consolidating losses with a bearish angle below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.6322 swing high to the $1.4330 low but failed. The price is now trading below $1.50 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is also a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.5850 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. If there is a fresh recovery move, the price might face resistance near the $1.480 level. The first major resistance is near the $1.5320 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.6322 swing high to the $1.4330 low. A close above $1.5320 could send the price to $1.5850. The next hurdle sits at $1.60. A clear move above the $1.60 resistance might send the price toward the $1.620 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.650 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.70. Another Drop? If XRP fails to clear the $1.5320 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.4320 level. The next major support is near the $1.4250 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.4250 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.412. The next major support sits near the $1.4650 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.450. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.4320 and $1.4250. Major Resistance Levels – $1.5320 and $1.550.
Crypto analyst Diana has predicted that the XRP price could rally to $7, representing a 450% gain for the altcoin. She alluded to technical setups that prove that the token could reach this price target this year, which would mark a new all-time high (ATH). XRP Price Eyes 450% Rally To $7 In an X post, Diana stated that the XRP price technical setup targets $7 next based on the Elliot Wave and Fibonacci levels. She noted that right now, the altcoin is sitting at a critical support zone between $1.50 and $1.55 and that this is the level buyers must defend. If this support holds, the analyst predicts that XRP can rise to between $1.88 and $2 with volume, which could lead to the chart opening up fast. Related Reading: XRP Price Crash Is Not Over If This Support Doesn’t Hold Diana also highlighted the short, medium, and long-term outlook for the XRP price even as it looks to surge to the $7 target this year. In the short term, she expects a clean breakout above $2, which could send XRP to between $2.20 and $2.70, a move that the analyst noted will finish the current local wave. For the medium-term outlook, Diana noted that the XRP price structure looks like the start of a larger wave 5 impulse from the 2025 to 2026 lows. Using Fibonacci extensions and channel projections, she stated that the major target lands in the $5 to $8 zone, with $7 lining up perfectly as the next realistic cycle high. The analyst also predicted that the XRP price could reach this target within the next four to eight months if momentum continues. She added that XRP could peak between June and October 2026 in bullish scenarios. XRP Could Soon Begin Wave 4 Move To The Upside In an X post, crypto analyst CasiTrades stated that she expects the Wave 4 relief move to begin soon for the XRP price as the altcoin has held its current support nicely. She noted that the first resistance she is watching is the .382 retrace at $1.78, which also coincides with the prior support breakdown. Related Reading: XRP Price Falls Below $1.6: You Won’t Believe What Institutions Are Doing Amid The Crash CasiTrades also noted that the Wave 2 move was very shallow, with the XRP price only retracing to .382, and that in Elliot Wave, shallow Wave 2 moves often lead to deeper Wave 4 retraces. As such, she believes that it is possible that this Wave 4 move could push higher toward $1.93 or even up to the $2.03 macro .5 retracement level. The analyst added that the XRP price needs to reclaim $2.03 and hold it as support. This would invalidate the need for another wave down toward $1.55 or lower, thereby causing Wave 5 to fail. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.58, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Peakpx, chart from Tradingview.com